1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel. 2 00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: It's NFL playoff time. No better place to get in 3 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: on the action than Fan Duel. FanDuel app is safe, 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 1: You get paid fast, a lot of ways to play 5 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: the spread, the money line, team totals, players, props, a 6 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 1: lot of stuff over unders, jump into the action, same game, 7 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,479 Speaker 1: parlays are my favorite. Just use the promo code Colin 8 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: and download the FanDuel app today. Fan Duel now live 9 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: in Ohio. Hi, everybody, Welcome in to the Friday Colin 10 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: Cowherd podcast playoff version of Sharper Square Boom Tasty. I 11 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: did finish the regular season hitting fifty four and a 12 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: half percent of my picks. Feel pretty good about that. 13 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: Feel pretty good? Try to get to fifty five fifty six. 14 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: But you know, got three things I want to talk about. 15 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: Number One, the video is now out of OBJ former 16 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 1: Giants Browns rams receiver on an airplane that he got 17 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: kicked off of. Well it's not great, but yet there's 18 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: plenty of O. B J Stands defending him. I've come 19 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 1: to terms with something about celebrity in our country. It 20 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: can be justin Bieber, it can be Taylor Swift. It 21 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: can be ob J men are often still little boys. 22 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: They're fanboys. That's my turn for them fanboys. They worship celebrities. 23 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: I love having fans. I don't want any of you 24 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: to worship me, nor should you. I'm completely flawed. But 25 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: OBJ all over the interweb, little boys in their thirties 26 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:02,279 Speaker 1: and forties who are physically men but have no sense 27 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 1: of self. They worship, They coddle, They waited in line. 28 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: They wear jerseys. You'll never see me wearing a jersey. 29 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: I thought OBJ moved into des Bryant territory. Remember when 30 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: des Bryant was on hard knocks near the end of 31 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: his career, and there was a piece of video of 32 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: des Bryant calling out a coach and being temperamental and 33 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: immature and incredibly needy. His market literally dried up. Nobody 34 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: wanted des Bryant aging receivers who come off as petulant 35 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 1: and needy. OBJ has no market, none dover. But Obj's 36 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: never had any self awareness. He's now more known for 37 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: you know, the end Zone peeing, the model in Paris, 38 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: on the boat, the video on the plane outside of 39 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: the one handed catch. What's his next biggest catch? If 40 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: my kids acted like the video of OBJ, I would 41 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: write them out of the will. And one of my 42 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: kids is sixteen. Obj's like in his thirties, total arrogant, entitled, 43 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: lack of self awareness. But I can tell you right now, 44 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:32,679 Speaker 1: fanboys will be all over this podcast whining and defending OBJ, 45 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: because that's the culture. We have a celebrity culture and 46 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: some guys, some men are boys fanboys. It doesn't matter 47 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: what the behavior is. I mean, the first time I 48 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: really came to terms with this was years ago with 49 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: Bobby Knight, and Bobby Knight had a horrible reputation and 50 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: a secret video of practice came out and I forget 51 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: the name of the player and you could see him 52 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: putting his hand on his throat. And I worked with 53 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: a guy in the media who was a co host 54 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:04,839 Speaker 1: for a short period of time, who loved Bobby Knight, 55 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: who defended it, and I remember saying, what if that 56 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 1: was your kid, would you defend it? Really, it was 57 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 1: the first time it really hit home that there are 58 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: men who are really have the maturity of boys that 59 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: they worship. I mean, I collected baseball cards when I 60 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 1: was eight, and I admire great artists. I mean I 61 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: was you know, it was Larry Bird, Magic Johnson, Patrick Mahomes. 62 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: These guys are incredible. I don't worship. And if you're 63 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: still defending OBJ, he just became Dez Bryant that video. 64 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: No thanks, folks. What's the one position college football furnishes 65 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: the NFL with every year with twenty new really good 66 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: players wide receiver? OBJ is temperamental, brittle, expensive and emotionally 67 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: needy hard pass. So the Bills in Chiefs, if they 68 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: meet in the AFC Championship, will play in Atlanta in 69 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: a dome. Some people just need to be outraged. I 70 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: don't want to hear about Buffalo and Kansas City or 71 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: cold weather teams. Josh Allen's from California. You think he 72 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: loves the Buffalo weather. One of the worst games he 73 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: ever played was in that forty mile an hour nor 74 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: East against the Patriots when he lost to Mac Jones. 75 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: There's a reason there is no picture or video of 76 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: the Beatles ever performing in a blizzard, because if they 77 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: had a concert scheduled in one, they would have canceled. 78 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 1: Great artists and performers, and that's what quarterbacks and pro 79 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: athletes are are at their best performing in ideal conditions 80 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:55,839 Speaker 1: suited for good performances. Go look at Josh Allen's best games. 81 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: The weather has been closer to fifty five or sixty 82 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: degrees nine. There's this myth that cold weather teams are 83 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: best suited for cold weather. Really, Buffalo is a passing team. 84 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 1: They have an inconsistent run game. Ohio State's a prime example. 85 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: In the sixties, seventies and eighties, they were built for 86 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: cold weather. But Ohio State football now is a wide 87 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: receiver factory. If they'd have played Georgia in a thirty 88 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: mile hour windstorm, they would have gotten derailed. They would 89 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 1: have been blown out. But they had the better receivers 90 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 1: and the better quarterback and three NFL offensive linemen. So CJ. Stroud, 91 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: in ideal conditions, sat back and picked a great Georgia 92 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: defense apart. The truth is cold, ugly weather benefits Michigan 93 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: more than Ohio State in their current rivalry. Michigan is 94 00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: a ground and pound team. Ohio State's Alabama. They're an 95 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: aerial circus. They're wide receiver. You just because you play 96 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: in cold weather doesn't mean you're ideally built for it. 97 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers last three cold weather playoff games. Lost to Brady, 98 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: lost to Garoppolo. And let's be honest. The Detroit game, 99 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 1: it was in the regular season, but it was a 100 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: playoff game. Really, it was a battle for a playoff position. 101 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: He's stunk in the fourth quarter. Aaron's not good in cold. 102 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: He's a Californian. He just happens to play a lot 103 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: in the cold. I want to talk Derek Carr so 104 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: he hasn't no trade clause. The Raiders are now looking 105 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: around for trade partners. They want to do it February 106 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 1: fifteenth or earlier. That helps them out in the salary situation. 107 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: So you can go to therapy. I've gone to therapy, 108 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: but when I go to therapy, I am seeking a change. 109 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: Not everybody is. I've probably had six seven different therapists 110 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: in my life. I moved all over the country, as 111 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: many of you know, and I have gone for a 112 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 1: specific reason to overcome something, fight through something, work through something. 113 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 1: But I have friends who have been therapists, and they'll 114 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: tell you that change is hard. Even when you want 115 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: to change, most people don't. And so I watched the 116 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: New York Jets. They're trying to find a quarterback. So 117 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: what do they do? They fire their offensive coordinator, Mike Lafleur. 118 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:30,239 Speaker 1: Apparently it came from the owners. The New York Jets 119 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 1: need therapy. They can't help themselves. They've got a breakthrough, 120 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: so Derek Carr is going to seek continuity. The Jets 121 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: already had a few things working against them. They have 122 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: a defensive coach, they don't have a good left tackle, 123 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: they have a defensive culture. One of the few things 124 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: they had going for them interesting young wide receiver talent, 125 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: and Matt Lafleur's smart brother as their coordinator. Now they 126 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: just fired him. If you're trying to attract Derek Carr, 127 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,439 Speaker 1: because you're not going to get Tom Brady, so it's 128 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: down to Garoppolo, Tannehill, Derek Carr, and Derek Carr to 129 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 1: me's the best one on the market. He's always healthy, 130 00:09:13,520 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: usually solid B B plus. You just fired your offensive coordinator. 131 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: Matt Lafleur's brother is respected. It was one of the 132 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 1: few things you had working for you. Now it looks 133 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: like Miami in your same division is the perfect landing space, 134 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: better weather, offensive coach, significantly better veteran weapons, better left tackle. Jets. 135 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 1: You're like the person that goes to therapy but you're 136 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 1: really not looking to change. You're just going because somebody 137 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: said you needed to go to therapy. Defensive coach, New 138 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:55,959 Speaker 1: York Tax's no left tackle, shaky ownership. Now you have 139 00:09:56,080 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: fire a respected oc. What do you do as a 140 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 1: small business owner or hiring manager? Success depends on the 141 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 1: team you surround yourself with. That's why you should check 142 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: out LinkedIn jobs. 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It's why small businesses rate LinkedIn Jobs 151 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: number one number one in delivering quality hires against leading competitors. 152 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 1: Go to post your job for free at LinkedIn dot 153 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 1: com slash Colin LinkedIn dot com slash column, place is great. 154 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 1: Post your job for free. Turns and conditions apply LinkedIn 155 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: dot Com slash column. Looking to get more out of 156 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 1: the NFL season. Now is the perfect time to download FanDuel, 157 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: America's number one sports book. 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In 177 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: Virginia one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in 178 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 1: Louisiana one one hundred two seven oh seven one one 179 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 1: seven for confidential health in Michigan, Wan eight seven seven 180 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 1: h Ope n Y or text Hope n Y f 181 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: for six seven three six nine in New York, Tennessee 182 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: Redline one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine 183 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: Tennessee visits one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. Alright, 184 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 1: Chad Millman, c CEO Action Network. All odds provided by 185 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: a FanDuel. So I ended my regular season hitting fifty 186 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: four and a half percent. I had a winning week 187 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:56,439 Speaker 1: last week. I liked to get to fifty six. This year, 188 00:12:56,480 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 1: I was fifty four and a half percent. I'm okay it. 189 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: If I picked earlier in the week, I think I 190 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 1: could go from fifty four and a half to fifty six. 191 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 1: I'm not going to make any excuses. That's not who 192 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 1: I am. Anyway. Let me ask you a question. Last week, 193 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: I said take these teams, and I feel like you'll 194 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: get there. And I don't think you took those teams. 195 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 1: I think I took one of the teams. I don't 196 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,840 Speaker 1: have a problem finishing at fifty six percent this year. Well, 197 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: you're a professional gambler. Well I'm trying to get you there. 198 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: That's why I give you the answers. Yeah, that's what 199 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: my mechanics says. And then I say, listen, you work 200 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: at Jiffy lou fix my goddamn car. No, listen, you 201 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: do that, that's what you do. That's why I bring 202 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:48,719 Speaker 1: you on. I am a slightly more refined square than 203 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: your average square, but I'm a square. That said, I 204 00:13:53,320 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: usually take underdogs. Let me tell you my I like 205 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: two of the favorites this week. Let me tell you 206 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: the underdog I like. I like the Ravens. It's now 207 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 1: at minus ten. They've given Burrow Joe Burrow issues. I 208 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: do not like having to face a team back to back. 209 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: Cincinnati's better, there's no question. But this series and this 210 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: Baltimore culture made Brady earn every win, made Peyton earn 211 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: every playoff win. They're built for this stuff. The lines ten, 212 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: I have to take the Ravens. Sharper square, you have 213 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 1: to take the Ravens. I'm sick about this. It's totally sharp. 214 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: I took the Ravens at six and a half thinking 215 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson might play. I took the Ravens at seven 216 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 1: and a half when I thought that when it became 217 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: clear Lamar Jackson probably wasn't going to play. I can't 218 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: believe this number keeps going up, and I think you 219 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: nail the couple of things on the head. Number one, 220 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: playing the team again is a challenge. Number two. Culturally, 221 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 1: this is a good spot for the Ravens. They don't 222 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 1: get blown out in games three. Let's talk about the 223 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: offensive line for the Bengals, which are now down two 224 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 1: key players. And even last week, when when the Ravens 225 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 1: were resting eight starters, they were still getting pressure on 226 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow. And this is an entirely different defense since Halloween, 227 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 1: that's when Roquan Smith joined the team. Since that time, 228 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: they've gone from twentieth I'll use a fancy term, fancy 229 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: analytics term that betters love. DVOA really just a stat 230 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: that encompasses many different metrics to come up with all 231 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,440 Speaker 1: encompassing number. A lot of betters use it. They were 232 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: twentieth in DVOA against the rush after a Roquan Smith, 233 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 1: they were third one hundred and thirty two points allowed 234 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 1: since Smith joined second fused in the NFL. He's a 235 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: tackling machine. He started water, He's going to tackling machines. 236 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: But here's the other key. He joined the team and 237 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: Patrick Queen, who had been underachieving which is why they 238 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: traded for him, moved over and now together they are 239 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: a much more athletic pass rushing dynamo that has the 240 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: third most pressures of any linebacker duo since Roquan Smith 241 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: joined the team. So ten is just a massive numbers. 242 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 1: It's getting out of control. Yeah. Secondly, Seahawks getting nine 243 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: and a half some places ten. The weather is going 244 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: to be windy and cold and wet. I know, I 245 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,119 Speaker 1: live here. We're getting hit with what they call cyclone 246 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: bombs Pineapple Express. Now southern California is just getting wet. No, 247 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 1: cow's getting wind and wet. You're asking a rookie quarterback, 248 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: first playoff game. Pete Carroll's been around the block. This 249 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: is not his first road. Do I think the Seattle 250 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 1: Seahawks struggle to move the ball. Yeah, their offensive line. 251 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: The rookie tackles have, as Greg Kosell pointed out to 252 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 1: me this week, have regress post Thanksgiving. Why because you 253 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 1: go from college, you go down to Phoenix or Miami 254 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,160 Speaker 1: and train, you go into camp, you go to the season, 255 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,719 Speaker 1: and you hit a wall post Thanksgiving. All rookies do. So. 256 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: The old line for Seattle is not what it was 257 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 1: in September when Charles Cross was impenetrable but lousy weather. 258 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:36,919 Speaker 1: A completion machine in Geno Smith Brock pretty makes an 259 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: early mistake. Shanahan gets tight and restrictive. It feels like 260 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 1: twenty four seventeen to me, ugly, wet, sloppy, one unlucky 261 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: Niner turnover early. Shanahan puts the clamps in, wants to 262 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: get out of town. Ball control Seattle feels like the 263 00:17:55,160 --> 00:18:00,360 Speaker 1: side Sharper Square Sharp Calls winner of the Week. I've 264 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 1: referenced Sharp Calls on the podcast multiple times this season. 265 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 1: It's a segment we do on the Favorites, me and 266 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, where over the course of the week we 267 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 1: get a lot of calls from professional betters who are 268 00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 1: listening to the podcast and they will give us their 269 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: feedback on games we are talking about. This was the 270 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:22,239 Speaker 1: game they all called about. They like the Seahawks in 271 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:25,400 Speaker 1: this spot. A lot of reasons why, all of which 272 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 1: you just mentioned. On the field. I think the weather 273 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 1: is certainly something that when you get a number this big, 274 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: you have to take the weather in any consideration, especially 275 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:39,800 Speaker 1: unprecedented weather like this. Tons and tons of trends backing 276 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 1: the Seahawks in this situation. So yeah, you're playing the 277 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 1: sharp side here. So those two dogs feel pretty tasty. 278 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 1: Now I'm going to give you two favorites, and I 279 00:18:55,280 --> 00:19:00,680 Speaker 1: don't love this do it? Chargers minus two and a half. 280 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 1: This concerns me. That's the one I wanted you to do. Okay, 281 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 1: this concerns me. Mike Williams not at practice. It's Thursday. 282 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: But the Chargers defense in the last five weeks is 283 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: different than it was earlier in the year. It is 284 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: different period. The Jaguars have also, as in big spots 285 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,880 Speaker 1: this year, have been very hot and cold. It kind 286 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 1: of depends on the Sunday they've they've They're very young. 287 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 1: The Jags feel like they're ahead of where we thought 288 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,239 Speaker 1: they would be post Urban Meyer disaster. They got they 289 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 1: got good pretty fast. The Chargers, there's a little more urgency. 290 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 1: They get rolled. Brandon Stalely and that staff are out 291 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: of work very possibly. This is a you got to 292 00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 1: win this game if you're the Chargers. I'm not saying 293 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,160 Speaker 1: that Jags don't want to win it, but they're ahead 294 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 1: of schedule. I didn't think they're gonna win this division. 295 00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: We like Vrabel, we like Matt Ryan and the Colts. 296 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 1: If Mike Williams can give me some reps, I'm going 297 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 1: to take the Chargers minus two and a half sharper square. 298 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 1: So look as the playoffs right, there's not going to 299 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: be there's a usual consensus that you get during the 300 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: regular season. The game opened a two and a half, 301 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: got that down pretty aggressively. Wise guys coming in on 302 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 1: the Jaguars got down all the way to one and 303 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: then started creeping back up. I think because of the 304 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 1: Joey Boson news. I think when it became clear he 305 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:35,919 Speaker 1: was practicing and full go and was going to be 306 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,959 Speaker 1: fully healthy for this game, it started creeping back up. 307 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 1: I love the Jags in this spot. Ay, I always 308 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,359 Speaker 1: have a preference, and that's why the number started moving. 309 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 1: Wise guys do too. For home underdogs. But I also 310 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 1: feel like, and again this is sometimes a number of 311 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 1: this close. There's not going to be numbers and metrics 312 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:01,240 Speaker 1: and analytics that back it up. It's about where your 313 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: comfort zone is. I bet on the Jacks to win 314 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 1: the AFC South before the season began. I was a 315 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 1: big believer in Doug Peterson, in the kind of culture 316 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,359 Speaker 1: he creates, what he could do with the talent like 317 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence, and over the last half of the season 318 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 1: that paid off, literally paid off. They became the team 319 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: that we expected them to become. I think he is 320 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 1: a better coach than Brandon Staley. I think his decision 321 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 1: making is risky in the right spots, but it's also 322 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:36,200 Speaker 1: more consistent than Brandon Staley, Who's gotten Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, 323 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:40,159 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert playing in a totally meaningless game, Mike Williams 324 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 1: getting hurt for no reason whatsoever. And so to me, 325 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: I'm back in a better coach as a short home underdog. 326 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 1: That to me is entirely what it comes down to, 327 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,679 Speaker 1: and I think that's why the number initially started to 328 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,520 Speaker 1: move in favorite of the Jackson. Okay, I'm going to 329 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,080 Speaker 1: take another favorite I love them and will not be 330 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 1: mocked for it. Dallas, off losses, has followed all of 331 00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 1: them this year with multiple wins. It was Dak's worst performance. 332 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: I have a rule, and it's one of my only 333 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 1: betting rules. When a B to B plus quarterback, a 334 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 1: capable quarterback a Kirk Cousins at Dak Prescott has a stinker, 335 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: they read the press, they hear the press, they're pissed. 336 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:29,119 Speaker 1: They always bounce back with a solid or better than 337 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:33,359 Speaker 1: solid performance. Dallas is the better team. You take out 338 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:38,640 Speaker 1: Mike Evans against Carolina's fourth string cornerback. They can't run. 339 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 1: They haven't been vertically successful. There are certain realities with teams. 340 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,719 Speaker 1: Tampa hasn't run the football in two years. They're totally 341 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,920 Speaker 1: one dimensional. Brady's gotta throw forty eight times. I don't care. 342 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,719 Speaker 1: I'm swallowing the points. I liked the Cowboys Sharper square, 343 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: totally square. The line opened at three. I betted it's 344 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 1: three on Sunday night. It's been sitting around at two 345 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 1: and a half all week. And there's a lot of 346 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 1: signals here for the Bucks. Number one again short home favorite. 347 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 1: You're telling me that I can have Tom Brady who 348 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: just finished another record setting year with his best full 349 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 1: game of the year in Week seventeen. I don't poop 350 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 1: poo what he did in Week seventeen against a coach 351 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 1: in Mike McCarthy, who, let's face it, has proven to 352 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: be bad in these tactical situations, high risk situations, where 353 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: the season is on the line. He just has been. 354 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,880 Speaker 1: I mean that, going back to Green Bay, teams underperformed 355 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,640 Speaker 1: in the postseason. Look at how ill prepared they were 356 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: last year justin trying to get a snap off at 357 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,800 Speaker 1: the end of the game. Look at the Cowboys have 358 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 1: done the past several weeks against Sam Howell, Josh Dobbs, Gardner, 359 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: Minshew giving up twenty seven points per game the past 360 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:03,640 Speaker 1: five weeks, Prescott leading the league interceptions, missing a third 361 00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 1: of the season, so he's growing up against a top 362 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: ten defense in total yards, passing, yards per attempt, sacks. 363 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,359 Speaker 1: And by the way, they've got a Keen Hicks and 364 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,960 Speaker 1: Vita Vea playing together again. It's only the eighth time 365 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:19,159 Speaker 1: that's happened all year. The other seven times Tampa was 366 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,920 Speaker 1: six and one, they gave up less than four yards 367 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: per rush, less than fifteen points per game without both 368 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 1: of those guys five yards per rush, twenty five points 369 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 1: per game. So you're getting a very healthy defense that 370 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 1: will probably play like we expected them too well season long. 371 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 1: All right, now, I get I ask you about a 372 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 1: game I considered, and I want you to convince me. Okay, 373 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 1: So I initially loved the Giants getting three, loved it. 374 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 1: I like the matchup. Unless you've watched Minnesota a lot, 375 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: and I have, you don't realize how bad their run 376 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: defense is. It is atrocious. I think the Giants match 377 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: up very well. But now everybody likes the Giants, and 378 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 1: I am a contrarian. I don't like betting what the 379 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 1: public likes. I'm square enough. I don't want to be 380 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:21,120 Speaker 1: that square, So convince me the sharp and the square sides. Look, 381 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:25,119 Speaker 1: there is no convincing here. The Giants are really the 382 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 1: sharp side. I will tell you that I haven't bet 383 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 1: this game because I'm feeling the same things you are. 384 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: Taking the points in the Giants is what we should 385 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,520 Speaker 1: be doing. Like in every metric, this game just happened. 386 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: The Giants were the better team, outgained the Vikings by 387 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:51,480 Speaker 1: one hundred yards. They Kirk Cousins is thirty fourth in 388 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,479 Speaker 1: the NFL against the blitz. According to PFF, the Giants 389 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:57,719 Speaker 1: blitz most in the league. The Giants play a lot 390 00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: of Man cousins struggles against Man. The Giants are top 391 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,120 Speaker 1: five defense and situational spots. They're down in red zone. 392 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,680 Speaker 1: The Giants may be a better team than the Vikings, 393 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:12,120 Speaker 1: but I'm having a hard time pulling the trigger because 394 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,720 Speaker 1: of what you just said. Because the flip side is 395 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: the Vikings do win these games. They just did it 396 00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 1: three weeks ago. So I'm having a really hard time 397 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: this one. Have not bet it, haven't gotten full consensus. 398 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 1: Other than wise, guys are leaning Giants, but still struggling 399 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: with it. Okay, Bills are now all odds provided by 400 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 1: a fan duel, like a thirteen and a half point favorite. 401 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 1: I honestly I would take Buffalo. I think it's going 402 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,160 Speaker 1: to be awful. Bills by a million. This was our 403 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 1: big balls better the week forty to fourteen. Yeah, you know, 404 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: I bet the Bills at twelve and a half. I 405 00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,480 Speaker 1: didn't have the smarts to bet him when he was 406 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 1: at ten. I feel like and a lot of the 407 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 1: wise guys you're like in these wild card games, they 408 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: oftentimes play to the script, and they oftentimes play to 409 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 1: the script when it's a first time playoff quarterback playing 410 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,920 Speaker 1: against a veteran playoff quarterback or the past twenty years 411 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 1: fourteen and thirty five against the spread for first time 412 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: playoff quarterbacks and very small sample size, but favorites are 413 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 1: ten or more at home in the wildcard round five 414 00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 1: and one the past six years. So I am not 415 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,359 Speaker 1: afraid of taking the Bills at a big number in 416 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: this game. And the wise guys aren't either. Wow, I 417 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 1: was on the sharp side. There you were, you were. 418 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,920 Speaker 1: It's tricky, but here's what happens. Colin Like the playoffs 419 00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,920 Speaker 1: are entirely different than the regular season. You don't like 420 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:50,159 Speaker 1: automatically we'd be thinking, oh, of course we're gonna take 421 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,719 Speaker 1: the Dolphins here, right, and of course we're gonna take 422 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,399 Speaker 1: the Seahawks. Of course we're gonna take the Bucks. But 423 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,480 Speaker 1: you can make a case for the Cowboys, you can 424 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 1: make a case for the Charger, you can make a 425 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,400 Speaker 1: case for taking the Bills as a really big number. 426 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,600 Speaker 1: So there we can all be sharp and we can 427 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:10,480 Speaker 1: all be square. Because there's fewer games models change. Playoffs 428 00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 1: makes things a lot tighter, games move faster, and then 429 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:16,479 Speaker 1: on Sunday and Monday we find out if we're right 430 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 1: or run. Chad Millman, c CEO Action Network. God, I 431 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,600 Speaker 1: love the Cowboys so much. Well, you want to have 432 00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,879 Speaker 1: a little bet off, let's do what that mean? I 433 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: don't know. You've got the Cowboys, I got the box. 434 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:34,920 Speaker 1: We'd come up with some steaks and we got to 435 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: figure out how to embarrass each other in the next podcast. Okay, 436 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:43,120 Speaker 1: I'll make you do. Okay, I own partially small small 437 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: portion of maximum Beverage. I knew you do. I shofer 438 00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 1: your time because of you. I will get you. What's 439 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: your favorite one? You know what I love? What do 440 00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:02,760 Speaker 1: you love? Class zoo? Well tequila? It's that nice tequila. 441 00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,880 Speaker 1: It's pricey. It's pricey, but it's that it's in that 442 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: really fancy you know, white and blue bottles. Almost. Ah, dude, 443 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 1: it's the best. It's the first thing to go. You 444 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: have it at a party. Everyone's like, this is amazing, 445 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden you're like, you know, it's 446 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 1: gone in half an hour. And if you win, if 447 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 1: you win, if I win, if you win, I will 448 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 1: send you. I will send you two Loumle naughties Deep 449 00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 1: dish pizzas, Oh Chicago's finest. Yeah, those are great. Those 450 00:29:40,760 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: are the bests. Go Cowboys. Thanks man, yep the volume. 451 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: Make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I 452 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 1: brought Draymond Green into the Volume because one of the 453 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 1: more entertaining voices in sports, unique perspective understands behind the rope. 454 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 1: Also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, 455 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 1: Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever 456 00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, only on the Volume podcast Network.