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Speaker 1: Hey guys, So, how are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk, Matt on Twitter, to follow me

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros to follow Betting Pros where you'll find

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. That excuse me, A ten dollars offer to

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Speaker 1: win one hundred and fifty dollars is above me on

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Speaker 1: the YouTube video promoc juice one fifty that works in

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Speaker 1: New York by the way, BETMGM betmgm dot com, or

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Speaker 1: on the bet MGM application for that promo co juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty to ten dollars bet wins one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars.

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Speaker 2: All right, So a two and oho night.

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Speaker 1: Last night, we get on the hook going our way

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Speaker 1: OU plus three number closed debt plus four. Some money

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Speaker 1: came in on Kansas. Oklahoma doesn't win the game, but

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Speaker 1: they keep it close enough like we thought, must win

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Speaker 1: game for OHU. Lose by three, cover three and a half,

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Speaker 1: and then Wisconsin had a good run late in that game.

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Speaker 1: Big money on the I mean it was Joe public.

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Speaker 1: Everybody was home Wisconsin. Wisconsin wins and covers.

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Speaker 2: Not shock.

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Speaker 1: You know, I told you last night it was gonna

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Speaker 1: be a public play, but hey, you know we'll take

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Speaker 1: it to and oh, half a unit. We're gonna come

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Speaker 1: back here today with a couple of more bets, a

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Speaker 1: couple of more half unit college basketball plays, and then

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Speaker 1: two more bets I am eyeballing in college basketball that

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Speaker 1: I want to get into, but the numbers aren't out

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Speaker 1: exactly yet, so we got to wait and see on that.

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Speaker 1: And then one NBA play that I'm also considering as well,

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Speaker 1: that I'll give you. But two plays I'm gonna give

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Speaker 1: you right now in college basketball for the overnight bets

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Speaker 1: I have already made. Let's start talking about Alabama and LSU.

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Speaker 1: Alabama right now is reeling. Crimson Tide have lost three

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Speaker 1: games in a row, three games against the spread. They

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Speaker 1: are one in five, sorry, one in four against the

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Speaker 1: spread over their last five. They are two and eight

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Speaker 1: two and eight against the number over their last ten,

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Speaker 1: seven and three. LSU, they did not cover in their

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Speaker 1: last game. They lost in their last game, they were

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Speaker 1: red hot. They are ten and one at home against

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Speaker 1: the spread, but this game is in Tuscaloosa. The number

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Speaker 1: at FanDuel last night was three, and I told you

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel grab the minus three. Here is why.

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Speaker 1: And this number I think is just going to climb here.

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Speaker 1: I think the public might buy it back down, so

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Speaker 1: you may get some LSU public money here. Alabama has

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Speaker 1: lost three games in a row. They lost to Missouri

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Speaker 1: on the road as fourteen point favorites. They lost by

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Speaker 1: six against Auburn at home. We were on Auburn in

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Speaker 1: that game. They lost by four, and then they went

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Speaker 1: on the road to Mississippi State one and a half

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Speaker 1: point dogs and they lose the game by two points.

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Speaker 2: They do not cover. I like the sec A lot

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Speaker 2: this year.

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Speaker 1: As I mentioned, LSU read hot, but they lost by

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Speaker 1: seven at six and a half point home favors against Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: the only game so far this year they have not covered.

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Speaker 1: They lost the game outright to Arkansas, but they beat

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Speaker 1: Florida on the road by six as three point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They won by twelve over Tennessee at home as two

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. They beat Kentucky by five

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Speaker 1: as two point favorites. But what's interesting about this matchup.

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Speaker 1: Auburn got to the rim at will and Auburn was

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Speaker 1: able to use their size and their athleticism to really

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Speaker 1: pester and really make it a problem on the interior

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Speaker 1: for Alabama. Look, any Bama game is going to come

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Speaker 1: down to whether or not the Crimson Tide will hit threes.

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Speaker 1: But this game, this I don't want to call it

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Speaker 1: the season. But much like while we were on Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: saying like they had to win that game, they didn't,

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Speaker 1: but they they were close enough. Alabama's got to win

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Speaker 1: this game.

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Speaker 2: Man. They are absolutely reeling right now.

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Speaker 1: Things are going in the wrong direction for and Neil's

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Speaker 1: team in a big, big way, and the Crimson Tide

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Speaker 1: just have to come back out here at home and

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Speaker 1: ride the home crowd. It's a big basketball rivalry. These

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Speaker 1: two programs really don't like each each other. Two schools

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Speaker 1: don't like each other, fan bases don't like each other.

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Speaker 1: Alabama is really kind of a strange team right now

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Speaker 1: because you know they're three point percentage, They're two hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty sixth in three point percentage, Like what is

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Speaker 1: that for the Crimson Tide? Just thirty one point eight

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Speaker 1: percent making threes. But in terms of made threes, because

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Speaker 1: they jack so many made threes a game, they hit

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Speaker 1: nine point four threes a game that's thirtieth in the country.

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Speaker 1: They also take twenty nine threes a game that's seventh

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Speaker 1: in the country. For LSU, they give up twenty six

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Speaker 1: three point attempts. That's three hundred and thirty third in

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Speaker 1: case you're counting, that's last in college basketball. They're good

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Speaker 1: with opposing shooting percentage first in the country thirty five percent.

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Speaker 1: They play defense, but they give up threes one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty two made threes a game. They protect the

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Speaker 1: rim against Alabama, they don't care if you protect the rim.

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Speaker 2: It's a bad matchup.

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Speaker 1: I think the Crimson Tide gets hot and Crimson Tide

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Speaker 1: shoots threes, and I just think this team for LSU

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Speaker 1: is not going to do the things that really burn

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Speaker 1: Alabama defensively because they're small on the interior. These teams

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Speaker 1: match up fairly well with each other. I'll take the

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Speaker 1: Crimson Tide to snap the losing streak here. I'll lay

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Speaker 1: the three points Alabama minus three for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit up against LSU at home tonight in Tuscaloosa. Second game.

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Speaker 1: Have you guys been watching our bet on the valley

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Speaker 1: at all? Remember we've got Lela Chicago to win the

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Speaker 1: Missouri Valley. Right, got good value on that bet. Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa is charging, and I mean charging up the Missouri

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Speaker 1: Valley Conference rankings standings. So they're at Valpo tonight, Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa at Valpereizo. These two teams played back on the

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Speaker 1: fifth of January in Northern Iowa won the game by

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Speaker 1: twenty seven points. Four consecutive losses for Pereiso, five straight

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Speaker 1: wins for You and I, But they didn't cover the

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Speaker 1: last two wins. They were laying twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: home against Indiana State, They're won by six. They're on

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Speaker 1: the road at some of Illinois, laying one and a half.

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Speaker 1: They won by one. Okay, not that horrible. But over

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Speaker 1: the last ten, they're five and five against the number

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Speaker 1: on the road. You and I is four and four

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Speaker 1: against the spread for Ben Jacobson's team, val Prareiso is

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Speaker 1: two and six at home against the number. They're one

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Speaker 1: and four over their last five, four and five over

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Speaker 1: the last ten, or four to five and one over

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Speaker 1: the last ten, and seven and nine overall against the spread.

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Speaker 1: This season, I got one team streaking and one team

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Speaker 1: going the other way. Look, this is a very similar

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Speaker 1: line to like, you look at this game and you're like,

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Speaker 1: why is it Northern Iowa more heavily favored in this game?

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Speaker 1: Much like why wasn't Wisconsin more heavily favored last night?

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna overthink this. I got a team that

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Speaker 1: just beat this team by two twenty seven points. They've

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Speaker 1: won five games.

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Speaker 2: In a row.

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Speaker 1: They're needing to keep pace with Leola Chicago, who did

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Speaker 1: win last night. So to keep pace just one game

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Speaker 1: behind in the standings, Northern Iowa can't keep the can't

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Speaker 1: take their foot off their gas. They got to get

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Speaker 1: going here and they got to play strong. They can't

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Speaker 1: afford to have any any slip ups or can't afford

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Speaker 1: to overlook anybody.

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Speaker 2: Even though they just beat them.

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Speaker 1: Four and four on the road straight up for Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa this season. Valpariso is five and five at home

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Speaker 1: straight up this season, but five and one against the

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Speaker 1: conference so far for Northern Iowa. One in five against

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Speaker 1: the conference for Valparaiso.

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Speaker 2: It's four and a half. I'm gonna lay it.

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Speaker 1: Northern Iowa minus four and a half against val Paraiso

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Speaker 1: here for a half a unit, all right, So those

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Speaker 1: are the two bets that have been booked.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about two bets that have not been booked yet.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk about Iowa and Rutgers first half total.

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Speaker 1: We don't have these out yet. This won't be out

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Speaker 1: till till the morning we tape overnight. But watch this number.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Northern Iowa is thirteen three and one to the over

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Speaker 1: in the first half. Rutgers this season is ten and

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Speaker 1: five to the over this year, okay, or ten and six, sorry,

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Speaker 1: ten and six to the over. So we've got a

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Speaker 1: team in Rutgers hitting sixty two point five percent of

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Speaker 1: the time to the first half over taking on Iowa

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Speaker 1: thirteen three and one eighty one point three percent to

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Speaker 1: the first half over. The number is going to be inflated.

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Speaker 1: There's no debating that the books know this as much

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Speaker 1: as anybody else. But let's watch that number here for

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Speaker 1: Iowa and Rutgers and try to figure out exactly what

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Speaker 1: that total is going to look like in how much

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Speaker 1: it moves. It's one fifty one right now. So if

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Speaker 1: you cut it in half, okay, we're talking, you know,

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Speaker 1: seventy six somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's not right, am I doing the math

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Speaker 2: correctly on the fly there on that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, seventy five, seventy five, one fifty, right, so I

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Speaker 1: I by fifteen seventy six, probably somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we don't get like a seventy seven or a

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Speaker 1: seventy eight. Hopefully it's still kind of in that range

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Speaker 1: for us. But if I get that, I like over

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Speaker 1: Rutgers and Iowa first half over for this game that's

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Speaker 1: going to take place tonight, And then I'm also gonna

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Speaker 1: come back and look at the Saint John's versus Creighton game.

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Speaker 1: Saint John's is ten and five to the over first

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Speaker 1: half overs. The Jays used to be like an automatic

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Speaker 1: they used to. I mean, it was just like one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent we bet the over in the first half.

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Speaker 1: For the Creighton Blue Jays, they've.

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Speaker 2: Been off for a while.

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Speaker 1: They just had a game against Georgetown where they scored

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Speaker 1: eighty eight points. The Jays scored eighty eight points against Georgetown,

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Speaker 1: seventy eight points against Connecticut, seventy three points against Providence,

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Speaker 1: eighty nine points against De Paul. They've been I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, sorry, that's Saint John Sorry, excuse me, that's

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Speaker 1: Saint John's Saint john scored eighty eight points against Georgetown,

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Speaker 1: seventy eight against Connecticut, seventy three against Providence, eighty nine

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Speaker 1: against Paul. They've been scoring points a lot ten and

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Speaker 1: five to the first half.

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Speaker 2: Over for the Creighton.

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays, They've not been great on this stat okay,

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Speaker 1: but when they played teams at home that play fast,

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Speaker 1: I just wonder if Saint John's is going to speed

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Speaker 1: up the Creighton Blue Jays here tonight and we potentially

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Speaker 1: might see the Jays hit more threes than what they

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Speaker 1: have been hitting. And that's going to be a major

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Speaker 1: question mark for this game because the Creighton Blue Jays, unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: just have not been hitting threes like they normally do.

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Speaker 1: We've talked about it before, normally averaging nine nine and

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Speaker 1: a half threes a game. They're averaging six six and

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Speaker 1: a half threes made threes a game. That is very

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Speaker 1: uncreating basketball like and it's kind of stunning, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest, just given where the Jays have been this

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Speaker 1: season and the way that Greg McDermott normally likes to play.

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Speaker 1: He wants his guys flying around, he wants his guys

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Speaker 1: getting floor burns, he wants his guys shooting tons of threes,

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Speaker 1: and that just hasn't happened for whatever reason that it

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Speaker 1: hasn't been the case. So it's kind of like, wait,

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Speaker 1: what is going on here? But I'm I'm very curious

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Speaker 1: to see how this team goes. The total was one

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Speaker 1: forty nine in a half right now, So maybe we

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Speaker 1: get like a seventy three and a half. Maybe we

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Speaker 1: get it shaded down because the Jays don't play that fast.

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Speaker 1: I think Saint John's ten and five record, you know,

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Speaker 1: I think there's a decent shot we get the Creighton

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays to kind of get with us here and

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Speaker 1: help us out and score some points, and maybe we

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Speaker 1: get ourselves into a situation where, yeah, the Jays can

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Speaker 1: hit more threes. They've been scoring a little bit. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they only scored forty one versus Nova, which is bad,

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Speaker 1: but they're at home against Xavier they scored seventy three

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Speaker 1: points on the road agains Xavier, Marquette seventy five points

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Speaker 1: against Nova. They scored seventy nine. At home against Arizona

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Speaker 1: State that scored fifty eight. BYU they scored eighty three.

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Speaker 1: So there has been certain games where they've scored more

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Speaker 1: given their opponent, I think Saint John's will score with

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Speaker 1: them and push tempo first half over a eyeball on that.

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Speaker 1: So I've not bet Iowa first half over or Creighton

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Speaker 1: first half over yet, but I'm gonna watch those numbers

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Speaker 1: and watch when it comes out out in the morning.

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Speaker 1: We tape overnight to see where we are, so I

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Speaker 1: could be in on one or both those, depending on

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Speaker 1: where the number is the Iowa Rutger game. Hopefully it's

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Speaker 1: not totally like seventy eight seventy nine. Okay, hopefully the

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Speaker 1: books don't screw us. But let's see where the number

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Speaker 1: is for Iowa in Rutgers in the first half for

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Speaker 1: that game, and then we'll see where we're creating in St.

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Speaker 2: John's is going to be as well.

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Speaker 1: So the two plays we've made so far Alabama minus

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Speaker 1: three at home against LSU half a unit, Northern Iowa

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Speaker 1: on the road at Valparaiso laying the four and a

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Speaker 1: half for Northern Iowa at Valparaiso also for a half unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so two plays in could have four, maybe some other ones.

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Speaker 1: I'm also kind of looking at where we are in

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Speaker 1: the NBA just a little bit in the NBA, where

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Speaker 1: we do have Memphis potentially catching five six points at Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: We'll see how high that number goes, six and a half,

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Speaker 1: maybe seven, that number gets over seven, seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I may come back in here on Memphis, and I

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Speaker 1: know they're on the road this year, on the road

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Speaker 1: though Memphis is fifteen and five. Fifteen and five Memphis,

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Speaker 1: So let's see how high this number climbs. How much

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Speaker 1: do the public come in here on Milwaukee. How high

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Speaker 1: of a number we could get seven, seven and a

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Speaker 1: half we get over seven. I really like Memphis to

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Speaker 1: keep that game relatively close. Milwaukee's eight and fourteen at home,

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Speaker 1: by the way against the spread this season, fifteen and

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Speaker 1: five from Memphis on the road, and then could be

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Speaker 1: catching seven or more points here. So those three playsm

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Speaker 1: eyeballing in the discord channel. You guys know about it,

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot COM's last chat. The link underneath me on

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Speaker 1: YouTube to get in. I'll tell you what plays I'm making.

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Speaker 1: Two plays officially Bama minus three, Northern Iowa minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half, and we may come back in here

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Speaker 1: with first half overs and Memphis at Milwaukee.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I'll play all five. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: We'll see how it goes. We'll see where the numbers

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Speaker 1: are coming up in the morning. Definitely be on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel and I will get that to you for sure.

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Speaker 1: It may be earlier in the day than normal, maybe

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Speaker 1: right after my show because tomorrow's my first day of

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Speaker 1: school at UNLV, so spring semester starts tomorrow, so my

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Speaker 1: class starts at two point thirty. I may be able

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Speaker 1: to get you right afterwards. It ends at three forty five,

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Speaker 1: which is six forty five Eastern. But sometimes first days

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Speaker 1: go late. People want to stop and ask questions and

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Speaker 1: stay late, so maybe I'll get out of there a

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Speaker 1: little bit too late and I'll miss tip for seven o'clock,

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Speaker 1: so that might be something to eyeball, although it is

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Speaker 1: an eight o'clock Eastern time tip for Memphis in Milwaukee,

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Speaker 1: so good.

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Speaker 2: News on that.

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Speaker 1: Minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, It's the Deal Juice podcast, always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM