1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, so you. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 2: Can hear the chatters from the crowd. We have a 3 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:12,559 Speaker 2: big chance, a big chance to lakh question the big 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: buck three time? 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: What a man? 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network podcast NBA Finals Edition. 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 1: My name's Matt Moore. 8 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 3: I'm the senior NBA rider for the Action Network, joined 9 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 3: by my podcast producer and NBA Fantasy expert Dan Titus 10 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 3: on this Thursday morning, after the Boston Celtics defeated the 11 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 3: Golden State Warriors in Game three, take a two to 12 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 3: one series lead, one to sixteen one hundred on Wednesday, Dan, 13 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,480 Speaker 3: we have a short turnaround for this game. I'm gonna 14 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,639 Speaker 3: try and get into some best bets. First off, how 15 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 3: you doing. 16 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 4: Doing great man, coming off another good night of heat check, 17 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 4: so salute to you for going undefeated yet again. 18 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 2: But yeah, it was an interesting game. 19 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 4: I think we were all on the right side of 20 00:00:58,080 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 4: things for the most part, except for me. I was 21 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 4: on the under so that didn't hit. But otherwise I 22 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 4: think we were spot on with the handicap. But for 23 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 4: this game. Game four was such a quick turnaround. Man, 24 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 4: I have some concerns on the Warriors side of the ball, 25 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 4: so I'm going to take the Boston Celtics minus three 26 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 4: and a half here to kick it off. 27 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 3: Wow, okay, taking the Celtics right off the bat to 28 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 3: go up three to one on Golden State Warriors. Before 29 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 3: we get you get started, want to let you know, 30 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 3: make sure to rate review this podcast because we'll be 31 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 3: calling out our favorite five star reviews right here on 32 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 3: the show. Every reviewer we call out, where's a free 33 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 3: Action pro account for one year? 34 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: Be all sorts of cool stuff like that with that, including. 35 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 3: Like signals and where the money's coming in awesome stuff 36 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 3: a full year. So be sure to leave those awesome 37 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 3: Apple podcast reviews and keep listening to hear us shout 38 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 3: you out. All right, hi ys, so you can listen 39 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 3: to our full NBA podcast. This is gonna be a 40 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 3: shorter edition if you want to hear more on this 41 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 3: game and check out buckets with me and Brandon Anderson, 42 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 3: and our starting position was. 43 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: Like shrug because we love the Celtics. 44 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 3: In Game three, to the point that we were all 45 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 3: getting nervous about should we bet the Warriors just because 46 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 3: all of us agree we like the Celtics. The heat 47 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 3: checked was nothing but Celtics. I was on Celtics Brandon 48 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 3: was on Celtics, Joe Hilarith, like the whole Action crew 49 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 3: was on Celtics, and it was a nice payday for us. Yeah, 50 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 3: this game, I feel like, is a lot more up 51 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 3: in the air. I'm curious to know my inclination. My 52 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 3: lean is actually Warriors, but I'm not going to bet it. 53 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 3: I'm curious to know why Celtics minus four is your 54 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 3: best bet for Game four. 55 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 2: Yeah. 56 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 4: I just can't get over the fact that I don't 57 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 4: know what the Warriors do to counter the Celtics here 58 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 4: because Draymond Green has not been playing well offensively. He's 59 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 4: only averaging seven points, five rebounds, and five assists. He 60 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 4: is really their energy guy. But I felt the momentum 61 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 4: was really when they were on their home floor. And 62 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 4: I can't turn away from Steph Curry's injury. He's not 63 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 4: getting an MRI. He's going to play, but how hurt 64 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 4: is he. He's the catalyst of that offense. And despite 65 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 4: Clay Tops had giving you twenty five points, they still 66 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 4: lost by sixteen. 67 00:02:56,960 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 2: So I just don't think that the Warriors right now. 68 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 4: I think they're gonna need a reset here and get 69 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 4: back to their home floor to kind of gain their 70 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 4: momentum back in this series here. Marcus Marr was absolutely 71 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 4: phenomenal in Game three. Their big three really showed up. 72 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 4: And I don't know that I can trust that the 73 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 4: Warriors big three can show up on the road here. Now, 74 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 4: they do have a really good record against the spread 75 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 4: after a loss in the postseason. They're four to one 76 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 4: against the spread, covering by a margin of eight and 77 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 4: a half points five. 78 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 2: And oh straight up. But all five of those games. 79 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 4: Were at home and they have yet to have a 80 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,799 Speaker 4: game on the road after a loss. So sixty to 81 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 4: eleven against the spread after a loss since twenty fifteen 82 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 4: playoffs seven and six on the road. That pretty much 83 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 4: leads me to the coin flip, right, And if I'm 84 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 4: looking at the better team, I got trust Celtics here 85 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 4: at three and a half. 86 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 3: So I think there's a couple of things. After Game 87 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 3: two on the reams, I like Boston was. If you 88 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 3: looked at the Game two performance, you wind up being like, 89 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 3: why was Boston dumb? Like why did Boston play? As 90 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 3: as coach Udoka act asked that playing like assholes, stop 91 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 3: playing like assholes, And that's really all the standing in 92 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 3: the way the Boston Celtics winning the series. However, the 93 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 3: Warriors played like assholes in Game three, Like that is 94 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 3: definitely true. Look at some of these rotation decisions, Like 95 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 3: Steve Kirr comes out on Thursday and is like, we 96 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 3: gotta do better on the glass, We gotta we've got 97 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 3: to clean up the rebounding. Okay, how about not play 98 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: Kevon Looney sixteen minutes and forty nine seconds there? 99 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: Steve like, that's that's the thing you probably shouldn't do. 100 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 4: Uh. 101 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 3: I think he got he realized very quickly that Nimanja 102 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 3: bi Elitza's little moment of being relevant had passed. Even 103 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 3: realized that very quickly be Elitza he plays in game 104 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 3: two and cost me money by taking auto porters minutes, 105 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 3: and then he plays three twenty seven in this one. 106 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 1: So just like, okay, guess that's out. 107 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 3: I think here's here's a couple of my concerns we've 108 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 3: we One of the reasons that we all like the 109 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 3: Celtics in Game three was because of how good they've 110 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 3: been after a loss now seven and zero straight up 111 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 3: and against the spread after loss. 112 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: I like them off of high turnover games too. 113 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 3: I mentioned that a heat check that after they have 114 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 3: high turnover games that come back and they play much better. Sure, 115 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 3: the problem is they have not been great in wins. 116 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 3: They haven't been bad. 117 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: This is the key. 118 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 3: Okay, Boston seven and seven straight up and against the 119 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 3: spread after a win in the postseason. So again we're 120 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 3: looking at it's not that they lose. This isn't a 121 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 3: fade the Celtics spot. It's just that this isn't as 122 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 3: good of a position for them. The Celtics come out 123 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 3: and they steal game one. The Warriors have to make 124 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 3: adjustments to avoid going down oh two. The Celtics counter 125 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 3: those adjustments in Game three, playing more Robert Williams, they 126 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 3: play with a lot more energy, they do a couple 127 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 3: of things different. Now it's Game four and it's curves 128 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 3: turn to be able to counter those adjustments. 129 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 1: And again I think the Celtics are. 130 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:58,240 Speaker 3: The better team and have the edge, but it's not 131 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 3: enough to where I feel like there's good value at 132 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 3: minus four or on the money line. Now, the team 133 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 3: that's won in the NBA Finals covers. That's just been 134 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 3: the trend over forever and ever and ever, Like there's 135 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 3: it's very rare that you get a win, not a cover. 136 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: Right, It makes sense. 137 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 3: These two teams are supposed to be pretty good winning 138 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 3: their respective conferences. You should be able to hang within 139 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 3: the number or cover the number rather and if you 140 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 3: if you can get within range, you should win outright. 141 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 3: But the money line doesn't sound good to me for Boston, 142 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 3: so I don't have to worry about the points, right, 143 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 3: and four does seem a little strong for a bounce 144 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 3: back spot. Maybe a point high if you get a 145 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 3: three and a half, and I'll mind it. 146 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:38,280 Speaker 2: So see, a couple of books are still hanging to 147 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 2: three and a half. There. 148 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 3: I still kind of go very much towards Warriors with this, 149 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 3: but again I don't I don't want to bet it. 150 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: I'll see if I get there by Friday, I might. 151 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 2: I might. 152 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:49,839 Speaker 3: I'll tell you my best bet for this game, and 153 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 3: it's pretty simple. It's Celtics team total under. There's a 154 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 3: one oh eight and a half hang in, which is 155 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,599 Speaker 3: to me crazy. That's a that is a high number 156 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 3: of points. You look at and you go like, well, yeah, 157 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 3: but they just scored one hundred and sixteen. And it's 158 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 3: true that when they have these offensive performances, they're great. 159 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 3: I look this up via give me the doog dot 160 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 3: com games after in the playoffs, after the Celtics hit 161 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 3: their team total over, they are three and five straight 162 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 3: up two and five since the NETS series, notably, and 163 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 3: two and five against the spread. Also in those games, 164 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 3: they have wound up five and three to the under 165 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 3: on their team total after going over. This makes sense, right, 166 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 3: This is like the key. The Celtics come out red hot, 167 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 3: and they execute well, and they hit the offensive glass 168 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 3: and get threes, and they're scoring and they're in rhythm. 169 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 3: They put up a one to twenty two offensive rating 170 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 3: on Golden State. So Kerr watches this and is like, Okay, 171 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 3: they're hitting a night. They came out with a lot 172 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 3: of energy. They come out with the home crowds behind them. 173 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 3: I have to play offense in order to keep up, 174 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna play less Kevon Looney to try and 175 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 3: space the floor. That doesn't work. They give up the 176 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 3: offensive rebounds. So game four, he comes back and says, 177 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 3: all right, our focus is gonna be on I think 178 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 3: he's gonna go the other side. I think he's gonna 179 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 3: go to defense. I think he's gonna We're gonna see 180 00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 3: more Cavon Looney. If Steve Kirk comes out after Game 181 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 3: three and says, we got to clean up the rebounding. 182 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 3: There is no other solution that is most readily apparent 183 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 3: than Kevon Looney. 184 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 4: What about Gary Payton the second too, I mean, he 185 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 4: only saw eleven minutes and he was really good in 186 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 4: game two. Do you see him playing more as well? 187 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 4: Because he can help on the defensive side, but also 188 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 4: in the front core too. He's a very good slasher, slash, 189 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 4: offensive rebounder. 190 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 2: I think. 191 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:38,079 Speaker 3: So what's interesting here is it looks very much like 192 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 3: kur is starting to chop guys out of the rotation, 193 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 3: so like Idella is available and doesn't play right. 194 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: The Elitza goes back to. 195 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 3: Three twenty seven. He had like a brief stin that 196 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 3: first quarter. Everybody else's garbage time, and other than that, 197 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 3: it's Wiggins, Draymond, Steph Clay, Loony for sixteen minutes, Peyden 198 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: for six for eleven minutes, and Auto Porter Junior with 199 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:02,079 Speaker 3: Jordan Poole. 200 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: It's eight man. 201 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 3: That's still like a pretty standard NBA, you know, playoff rotation. 202 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: But the fact that he played eleven twenty five for 203 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,679 Speaker 3: Peyton and sixteen forty nine for Looney, like he wound 204 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 3: up going heavier on these guys, which again is kind 205 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 3: of surprising to your point. On the Celtics, like Clay 206 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 3: goes thirty nine minutes and Steath goes thirty seven in 207 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 3: a road game three, with Game four two days later. 208 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:25,319 Speaker 2: I don't know. 209 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 3: The idea was like maybe we could steal it, but 210 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 3: like they play less than forty, which is good, Like 211 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 3: Wigas is the only guy who goes over forty. 212 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: But that is kind of interesting. 213 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 3: But I do think that the Warriors buckle down offense, 214 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 3: the Celtics buckles down defense. The Celtics offense probably tapers 215 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 3: down a little bit. 216 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 4: So do you lean the under in this game? If 217 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 4: you had a lean to the what is it? What 218 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:48,359 Speaker 4: is it posted at two fifteen right now. 219 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 3: Two fifteen, I lean, I really like the team total under. 220 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:55,560 Speaker 3: And let me explain what because I talked about this 221 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 3: on heat check because you took the under and I said, 222 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 3: I like Golden State under here and it hit thanks 223 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 3: to them scoring four points in the last five minutes 224 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,679 Speaker 3: of the game. I joked in our slack like all 225 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 3: I need is for them to score eight points or 226 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 3: less in the last five minutes. 227 00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 1: Lol. 228 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 3: And then they scored four points, so that we probably 229 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 3: should have not cash, but it did. It's two fourteen 230 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 3: and a half by the way, right now it open 231 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,199 Speaker 3: two fifteen and a half. The app our app has 232 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 3: it at two fourteen and a half, so we're seeing 233 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 3: some movement towards the under. I'll say this, if you're 234 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,439 Speaker 3: gonna play a total, I think it's got to be 235 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 3: the under. 236 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: That's what I think you've got to do. 237 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 3: The Celtics can win this game with a team total under. 238 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 3: They can lose this game with a team total under. 239 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 3: My concern I think for the total under the combined 240 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 3: is the Warriors can do exactly what the Celtics did 241 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 3: one to sixteen to one hundred. They have a good 242 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 3: defensive game, they put up points, they get fast break, 243 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 3: they force turnovers, which has been Boston's Achilles heel, and 244 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 3: they're able to get this win with them going towards 245 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 3: the over. I don't want to bet the Warriors over 246 00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 3: because again that at least if I'm betting Celtics under 247 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:05,680 Speaker 3: and I bet Warriors over, I should just bet the side. Right. 248 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 3: I do think there's value on the Celtics under here 249 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 3: at one oh eight and a half it's a high 250 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 3: total relative to how good these defenses have been. There 251 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 3: is kind of this question. One of the concerns I 252 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 3: have for the under is two days off, Right, where 253 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:21,200 Speaker 3: does that impact things? 254 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 1: These are defense first teams. 255 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 3: The fatigue may honestly hit them more on the defensive 256 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 3: end than the offensive end. 257 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 1: Right, That's possible. 258 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 3: We kind of think of it the opposite, which is like, oh, 259 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 3: they're gonna have dead legs. But if you're a team 260 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 3: that puts defense first, you're a step slow on rotations. 261 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 3: Guys in the NBA, in my opinion, can always kind 262 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 3: of get buckets, like they know how to drive, like 263 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 3: they often have energy. It's the mental and physical work 264 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 3: of getting back on defense and transition and managing all 265 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 3: especially in these two teams with all their switches. It's 266 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 3: managing all that and covering space on rotations and those 267 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 3: types of things. So I do kind of worry about that, 268 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,080 Speaker 3: but overall I still wind up being like, you know, 269 00:11:56,320 --> 00:12:01,079 Speaker 3: I could see Golden State scoring to put the Celtics 270 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 3: having to go against the set defense, which is exactly 271 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:06,840 Speaker 3: what Boston did the Golden State in Game three, and. 272 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 1: Then coming out. I can also see Boston winning. 273 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:14,480 Speaker 3: A one oh four one hundred real grinded out comes 274 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 3: down to a handful of possessions. They cover the three 275 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,079 Speaker 3: and a half kind of game. That's both of those 276 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:20,840 Speaker 3: scenarios are in play for me. So for me, the 277 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 3: best bet is Celtics team total under. 278 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 2: I like it. 279 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,439 Speaker 4: I think that jives with much of what you were 280 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 4: saying in terms of like just the game script and 281 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 4: how this may go. I think I might have been 282 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 4: a game early on the under, but I too agree 283 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 4: with you. I leaned the under as well. We want 284 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:37,719 Speaker 4: to throw out some other ideas for you. So where 285 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 4: do you think you picked the Celtics in the beginning 286 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 4: of this series? What do you see as the exact 287 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 4: outcome to be? Now that you're leaning more towards the 288 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,280 Speaker 4: Warriors having to bounce back here and they have won 289 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 4: at least one away game in twenty six consecutive playoff series, 290 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 4: So do you think they're going to grab Game four? 291 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 2: What do you see as the outcome thereafter? 292 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 3: So I bet Celtics mins one and a half on 293 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 3: the series spreadline. And this is going to sound crazy, 294 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 3: but it's really what I think. I think that they 295 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,440 Speaker 3: lose game of my lean again Celtics could absolutely win 296 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 3: Game four, which is. 297 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: Why I'm up petting it. 298 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 3: But my leen is Warriors win Game four. Everyone goes like, 299 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 3: you know, despite everything, the Warriors have home court back, 300 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 3: and then Boston goes in and wins Game five and 301 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 3: then closes it out in Game six. 302 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: That to me is like a very possible outcome. 303 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 2: Here. 304 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 3: The question of do I, when I get into trouble 305 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 3: with this bet, is do I think that the Celtics 306 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 3: will beat the Warriors in fewer games than they beat 307 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 3: the Milwaukee Bucks without Chris Middleton and the Miami Heat. 308 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:38,960 Speaker 2: Yeah. 309 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 3: Once we put in those terms, I'm like, But one 310 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:42,960 Speaker 3: of the reasons I bet the six is I got 311 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 3: a plus two hundred on it, and I can bet 312 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 3: I can hedge it with a game seven, which is 313 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 3: probably what I'll do now. I we'll say, like, I 314 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 3: took a little Warriors in seven bets last night because 315 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 3: the number is so high, which is already kind of 316 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 3: a prior hedge. 317 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 2: Did you get it at three to one? Yeah? 318 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,559 Speaker 1: And so three fifty actually, and so I found a 319 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 1: three fifty out there. 320 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:03,839 Speaker 2: So I took that. 321 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 3: I think I just feel like the Warriors, the Celtics 322 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 3: are gonna win two of the next three. I'll say this, like, 323 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 3: this is what I love about the playoffs right now. 324 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 3: If I tell you the Warriors have to win three 325 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 3: of the next four games to win the versus the 326 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 3: Boston Celtics, the best team in the NBA since January 327 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 3: twenty ninth, to win the NBA Finals, you go, ooh. 328 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 3: But if they win game four and protect home court 329 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 3: at home, they just got to win one to two. 330 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 1: So it's like, that's how quickly it changes in terms 331 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: of when we do. They got to win X out 332 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: at X. 333 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 3: But I still look at the overall I look at 334 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 3: the overall format there and I go, I don't see 335 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 3: the Warriors beating Boston three out of four, And really, 336 00:14:57,480 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 3: what this comes down to is game one like that, 337 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 3: So this comes down to it. 338 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 2: But if they stole, they stole. 339 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 3: Game one, and that's a coin that's a huge It's 340 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 3: funny because if you listen to this, you know that 341 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 3: I like the Celtics in the series, but I thought 342 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 3: they would lose Game one and win game two, And 343 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 3: you go, like, how does that make so much of 344 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 3: a difference if they win game one? And the reality 345 00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 3: is because it kickstarted all these rotational advantages. Kerr has 346 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 3: to make the first adjustments in game two because it 347 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 3: can't afford going down oh two. So that gives Udoka 348 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 3: two days off to be able to make adjustments for 349 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 3: game three. So now Kerr has to make the adjustments 350 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 3: in game four. But by game five, game six, you're 351 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 3: out of it, like there's only so many adjustments you 352 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 3: can make here, and teams will get better versus those adjustments, 353 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 3: and it will just come out to like who's gonna 354 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 3: make more shots and who's going to execute better. And 355 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 3: the Warriors obviously have all this firepower, but this is 356 00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 3: the best defense that they've ever faced, I think in 357 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:49,760 Speaker 3: the in my opinion, this is the best defense they've 358 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 3: ever faced. 359 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: In the finals. There's not been a better one. And 360 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: so I do wind up thinking that they're gonna win. 361 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 3: The Celtics are gonna win two of the next three somehow, 362 00:15:58,320 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 3: and take this in six. 363 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 4: Exactly come I'm seeing for plus one seventy out there. 364 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 4: You could probably get it a couple other different places 365 00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 4: for Celtis and six and then Warriors and seven. We 366 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 4: already said plus three fifty plus three hundred. I think 367 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 4: that's still pretty good. 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Who do you 403 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 1: like for Finals MVP right now? 404 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,919 Speaker 4: Tatum still available at plus money, which is nice if 405 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 4: you're on the Celtics side, But you know that's Steph 406 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,440 Speaker 4: keeps creeping up, so you know, I picked Warriors and 407 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 4: seven from the get go, So I just bought in 408 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 4: some additional Steph shares just because it's at at two 409 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 4: to one right now, which potentially after we'll see after 410 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 4: game four that could even go even even higher. But 411 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 4: I like it at two to one right now. Other ones. 412 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 4: I don't really see much value on the Klay Thompsons anymore. 413 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 4: Definitely not Draymond Green on the Celtics side. I think 414 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 4: Jalen Brown is becoming more compelling. I haven't place placed 415 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 4: a bet on it yet, but I think he's probably 416 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 4: the one that would compete with Jason Tatum the most 417 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 4: on the Celtics side right now. But I think Al 418 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 4: Horford is pretty much leaning towards dead. 419 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:26,920 Speaker 3: Say, I'm so sad, this such a good first quarter, baby, 420 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 3: and then you know that seven point possession and that 421 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 3: was that was not good and it just didn't They 422 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 3: just decided to start guarding his threes. 423 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 1: Stop guarding his threes, Warriors. 424 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 3: I have a Tatum from way back. 425 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,359 Speaker 1: I grabbed him plus one seventy five. 426 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,399 Speaker 3: I have a longer odds on him at one of 427 00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:48,360 Speaker 3: the books I. 428 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 2: Have to. 429 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: I have it on a sheet here at longer number. 430 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: I did take Jalen Brown. 431 00:18:55,400 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 3: At plus six fifty ooh after Game two, and then 432 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 3: I bet him again last night at plus three point fifty. 433 00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:06,040 Speaker 3: So I'm pretty well established because to me, it's Jalen 434 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 3: Brown or Jason Tatum exactly, and that's I think there's 435 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 3: a I think a Lean's Tatum. 436 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: I'm way more on Tatum. 437 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 3: I'm heavy on Tatum, but I think Jalen has a 438 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 3: genuine shot here because a lot of It's like when 439 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:19,120 Speaker 3: the if I think the Celtics are going to win, 440 00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 3: and there's gonna be like Tatum will be better in 441 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:25,160 Speaker 3: the losses. Yeah, and I think Brown will be better 442 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:28,400 Speaker 3: in the winds. And Brown's been huge in some of these, 443 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 3: Like Tatum's passing has been sublime, but the Warriors are 444 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:34,880 Speaker 3: also very much trying to make him a passer, and 445 00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 3: Brown is just attacking, like he went at Draymond last night, 446 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 3: which I thought was really interesting. He just attacked him. 447 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:45,280 Speaker 3: Draymond looks bad. He looks cooked right now. 448 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,239 Speaker 4: Man, And with all this complaining outside about you know, 449 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:49,560 Speaker 4: the crowd and. 450 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 2: All this, I don't know, he might be a little 451 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 2: shook here. 452 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 4: And it probably wasn't the best idea to talk about 453 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 4: how much he's earned his keeping his calls on the 454 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 4: home floor before you take a road trip to Boston. 455 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 2: Probably not the best look for him. 456 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:03,479 Speaker 1: Yeah. 457 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 3: Uh, Brandon and I talked about this on buckets. I 458 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 3: don't know what a Draymond bounce back game. 459 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:08,679 Speaker 1: Looks like. 460 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 2: He doesn't have anything to give on offense right now. 461 00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:16,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the Draymond game would be peak defense, 462 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 3: but there's only so much he can do Yeah, Like 463 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 3: the Celtics are just not gonna like play into him. 464 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 3: That's not what they're gonna do. They don't have to 465 00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 3: go to him, they don't have to play him, you know, 466 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:33,160 Speaker 3: so they'll just avoid him or Brown will attack him. 467 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:33,679 Speaker 2: You know. 468 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 3: He won game two versus Brown, and Brown came back 469 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 3: in one game three, right and so and look nikaias 470 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 3: Duncan also mentioned on on Twitter, I thought this was 471 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 3: like notable that Draymond played a lot of on Brown 472 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:50,359 Speaker 3: in the third quarter when the Warriors went on that 473 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 3: huge run. So maybe they're still kind of a work there. 474 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 3: But like his bounce back game to me still looks like, Okay, 475 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 3: he gets better rebounds. His rebound has been terrible, right, 476 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 3: so let's say like ten rebounds, Yeah. 477 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: Maybe eight assists. 478 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 3: So like, if you are wanting to play a bounce 479 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 3: back game for graymaind, I guess just take the over 480 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,000 Speaker 3: on points or on rebounds, on assists. 481 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: But I don't think there's a lot of value there. 482 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 3: Like, if anybody's going to carry them offensively in game four, 483 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:16,960 Speaker 3: it's gonna have to be stuff first off, because they're 484 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 3: daring him to beat them, which is a bold strategy. 485 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 3: That's somehow working out and Klay Thompson, who kind of 486 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 3: got going. Everyone's kind of been like, you know, you 487 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 3: mentioned it. You're like, well, they got twenty five from 488 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:31,640 Speaker 3: Clay and they lost. Yeah, because their defense is bad. 489 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:35,080 Speaker 3: So if Clay's kind of broken that seal, so to speak, 490 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 3: and is kind of a little bit more, if the 491 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 3: water's flown a little bit more for him, then maybe 492 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,040 Speaker 3: he gets going and it has like a big instead 493 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 3: of instead of game six. 494 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: Play, maybe we get game four play. 495 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's if you're betting Warriors like those are 496 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 3: the kind of side. 497 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: Do you have any other thing on props? 498 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 2: Do you want to talk about? Yeah? 499 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:50,879 Speaker 3: I do. 500 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:52,919 Speaker 4: Like Jalen Brown, I'm going to continue to ride the 501 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,959 Speaker 4: wave here of over six and a half rebounds. They 502 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 4: haven't really moved this line yet, so I'm going to 503 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 4: continue to attack it. Been over in six to ten 504 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 4: home games in the postseason, twelve point six rebound chances 505 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 4: at home in the postseason over in four or five 506 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 4: games versus Golden State average seven point six. And I 507 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 4: think the switching d really allows for more variants and 508 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,919 Speaker 4: rebounding for the Celtics. We've seen different players be the 509 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 4: rebounding leaders for the squad, and you know, even though 510 00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 4: you know you're tracking to an under that should be 511 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 4: more misses, so more rebound opportunities potentially for Jalen Brown here. 512 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 2: So I really like his over rebounds. 513 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: Like that spot. 514 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 3: If you like the war if you like the Celtics, 515 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 3: take the Tatum over on assists, if you like the Warriors, 516 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:38,600 Speaker 3: take the Tatum under on assists. 517 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 4: Are you concerned that it went up to six and 518 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 4: a half? Do you still like it at six and 519 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 4: a half? 520 00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 2: What's a juice won? Ten? 521 00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:45,120 Speaker 4: Yeah? 522 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: One ten? I still think you're. 523 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,800 Speaker 3: Fine over if you like it, if you like the Celtics, 524 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 3: because like ye had nine, right, you had nineteen potential 525 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 3: assists in game one, all these types of things again 526 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 3: they've they've bounced back. It makes me like the under 527 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 3: more because I like the war I lean Warriors, but 528 00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 3: I also like, again, I won't bet it because that's determinative, 529 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 3: Like I don't know who wins this game, and as such, 530 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 3: I cannot bet Tatum over unders. I suggested Marcus smart 531 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 3: unders to Brandon, and Brandon was like, yeah, but you 532 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 3: kind of think he's like if you think the Celtics 533 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: are live you can't bet Marcus Smart unders because if 534 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 3: the Celtics win, Marcus Smart had a good game, and 535 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,560 Speaker 3: so that's a stay away as well. This is a 536 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 3: this is a very tricky game. I think Game five 537 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 3: is gonna have a lot of value. I liked Game 538 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,120 Speaker 3: two for Golden State, I like Game three for Boston. 539 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 3: This is the trickiest one I think of the series. 540 00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 3: So those are your best bets for the NBA Finals. 541 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 3: You got anything else on the board. 542 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 2: No, that's it. 543 00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 4: I think that's a great, great coverage and yeah, it's 544 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:45,959 Speaker 4: gonna be a great game with only one day turnaround here. 545 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 3: If the series continues, we'll have another NBA episode for 546 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,679 Speaker 3: you next week on the Action Network podcast. If not, 547 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:56,160 Speaker 3: keep it here for all your Stanley Cup Final coverage 548 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:57,360 Speaker 3: on the Action Network. 549 00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:58,199 Speaker 1: Podcast, go avs. 550 00:23:58,440 --> 00:23:59,919 Speaker 3: Thanks you for joining us to everybody make sure to 551 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,199 Speaker 3: and review the podcast because we're gonna be calling out 552 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 3: our favorite five star reviews right here on the show. 553 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 3: Every reviewer we call out is going to receive a 554 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 3: free Action Pro account for one year from the Action 555 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 3: Network and Action. 556 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: Network app a full year. 557 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,439 Speaker 3: So be sure lead those awesome Apple podcast reviews and 558 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,760 Speaker 3: keep listening to hear a shout, you out. We'll see 559 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 3: you guys again next time on the Action Network podcast