WEBVTT - Week 17 NFL Best Bets (Ep. 71) 0:00:13.720 --> 0:00:16.360 Hey, everybody, Welcome back to another episode of the Betting 0:00:16.400 --> 0:00:18.840 Pros NFL podcast. I'm your host Dan Harris. With me, 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:20.880 of course, is Matt Perrault. Find us on Twitter at 0:00:20.920 --> 0:00:24.560 Dan Harris Hadi and at Sports Talk Matt Matt Week seventeen. 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:25.200 What's going on? 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:29.520 Well, I mean, for starters, I look like I just 0:00:29.560 --> 0:00:32.519 kind of woke up because I just did. So this 0:00:32.560 --> 0:00:34.680 is an early morning tape session here on the West 0:00:34.680 --> 0:00:37.479 Coast for me, So I do apologize. If you're like 0:00:37.479 --> 0:00:39.559 Matt Man, what happened to you? I'm on vacation, all right, 0:00:39.600 --> 0:00:41.440 I'm on vacation. Actually that's what happened to me. I'm 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:45.200 a vacation. But you know, look last week, Week seventeen, 0:00:45.479 --> 0:00:48.040 Week sixteen into seventeen, it's hard. This is a really 0:00:48.040 --> 0:00:50.120 tough time. I know we went two and three, but 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:52.680 I'm I'm proud of our first run. I mean, I 0:00:52.680 --> 0:00:54.360 know we came in the top two hundred, into the 0:00:54.400 --> 0:00:56.680 top two hundred of the DraftKings contest, not in the money, 0:00:57.040 --> 0:00:59.440 but I think I learned a lot about the DraftKings 0:01:00.400 --> 0:01:03.560 system for next year because it is a different system 0:01:03.600 --> 0:01:06.200 than than others. Given that two bye week situation, did 0:01:06.240 --> 0:01:08.640 you have to take ye? Were you happy with where 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:10.080 we took our by weeks? Would you rather have taken 0:01:10.120 --> 0:01:11.240 them earlier? No? 0:01:11.440 --> 0:01:13.240 I think that they were good. I don't you know. 0:01:13.360 --> 0:01:15.000 I The one thing I think I would change is 0:01:15.040 --> 0:01:17.040 that I think we went in with a set mindset 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:19.320 of what we were going to do with the bye weeks. 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:21.520 This week. This year in particular, it was so tough 0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:24.440 because there were certain weeks that I think provided more 0:01:24.520 --> 0:01:26.760 value than others, which we didn't know about because of 0:01:26.880 --> 0:01:29.679 COVID concludits right where there'd be a line, they have 0:01:29.760 --> 0:01:31.800 to set. These lines, they get set on Wednesday, and 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:33.720 then you might have you know, half the teams out 0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:36.600 they can find out on Saturday. So I was very 0:01:36.600 --> 0:01:38.760 happy with our first year in the contest. Again, you 0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:41.360 mentioned top two hundred, one hundred and seventy first out 0:01:41.400 --> 0:01:43.880 of about seven hundred teams. 0:01:43.440 --> 0:01:46.200 So really not eight hundred. It was like seven to sixty, right. 0:01:46.480 --> 0:01:48.720 Yeah, it might be eight a hundred number was right. 0:01:48.720 --> 0:01:50.200 The number was a little different, so it might be 0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:52.160 eight hundred, right, So that's top. You know, twenty five 0:01:52.200 --> 0:01:54.400 percent went thirty eight and thirty two fifty four point 0:01:54.440 --> 0:01:57.120 three percent, which is good percent of course. So we 0:01:57.120 --> 0:01:59.000 were four picks out of the money, so we make 0:01:59.120 --> 0:02:01.840 four different picks, and I feel like, you know, yeah, 0:02:02.000 --> 0:02:04.320 I was. I was very happy with our first showing. 0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:06.760 We we you know, didn't have a great final week, 0:02:06.760 --> 0:02:08.840 as you mentioned, we lost on the Rams. You know, 0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:11.280 even though the final the final week was a little 0:02:11.320 --> 0:02:14.320 different too, because we were thinking a little bit strategically, 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:17.440 Like we left in the Browns that we liked originally, 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:19.840 even when all the receivers were out, which we realized 0:02:20.240 --> 0:02:23.280 figured probably most people wouldn't be on given the line 0:02:23.320 --> 0:02:25.400 and everything like that, but it was worth taking a 0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:28.040 shot on them that obviously didn't work out. Your Rams, 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:31.480 Jared Goff Jared goffed and you know, broke his thumb, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:33.600 so you had that. The Titans, we were just we 0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:35.720 just missed on the Titans, like that was that was 0:02:35.760 --> 0:02:37.680 a pick I know you liked. We kind of missed 0:02:37.680 --> 0:02:37.920 on it. 0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:40.000 Just I miss on the Rams. I missed on the Titans. 0:02:40.040 --> 0:02:42.080 I mean I missed my two favorite picks of the 0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:44.520 week that I liked a lot, and some of the 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:47.679 crazier ones you know that that were later in the week, 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:49.960 you know, the people that was doing the other contests, with. 0:02:50.040 --> 0:02:52.800 I mean, this is this is year four for me 0:02:52.960 --> 0:02:56.360 doing contests, and you know, every year I learned something new. 0:02:56.840 --> 0:03:00.200 It's incredibly difficult. Next year, the DraftKings contest will have 0:03:00.320 --> 0:03:02.960 probably four times as many people as they're in it 0:03:03.040 --> 0:03:05.480 right now. We will probably have three thousand people in it. 0:03:05.520 --> 0:03:07.360 Four thousand people that are in it next year. And 0:03:07.680 --> 0:03:10.519 you know, the rules every contest, they'll tweak them and 0:03:10.560 --> 0:03:12.640 they'll turn them around. But you know, I think one 0:03:12.720 --> 0:03:16.359 of the more challenging things this year was the idea 0:03:16.440 --> 0:03:18.920 of who and when the game gets played and who's 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:20.960 going to be in the game, and so this was 0:03:20.960 --> 0:03:24.680 as challenging. It's hard anyway people think, oh, static lines, 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:28.200 it's easy. No, it's really hard, But not just that. 0:03:28.280 --> 0:03:30.640 It's really hard when you don't know for sure whether 0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:32.240 players are going to be in or out, and then 0:03:32.240 --> 0:03:35.520 the impact that that player being out is it significant 0:03:35.560 --> 0:03:38.080 or is it nothing? And trying to balance that is 0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:41.000 pretty hard. But I do like the fact that DraftKings 0:03:41.000 --> 0:03:44.360 has that late change addition. But one thing I think 0:03:44.440 --> 0:03:46.040 what you and I did, and what I did more 0:03:46.080 --> 0:03:48.080 than anything, is that I talked us off way too 0:03:48.080 --> 0:03:51.160 many picks. I take responsibility for a lot of that 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:52.960 because I think I think I talked us off of 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:57.720 at least three guaranteed points during the week. 0:03:58.120 --> 0:04:00.560 I think what we should do, we should stick with 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:03.280 it a little more, stick with our initial thoughts for 0:04:03.320 --> 0:04:06.040 sure if we can. I also think, like I don't know, 0:04:06.040 --> 0:04:08.200 maybe next year something that we do it. We should 0:04:08.240 --> 0:04:11.760 maybe we should each have like one one like guaranteed 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:12.600 pick or something like that. 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:14.240 Yeah, that's a good point. Do we hold on to 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:15.560 and that's hours yeah? 0:04:16.800 --> 0:04:19.760 Yeah. And I also think we did this once with 0:04:19.839 --> 0:04:22.240 the Rams versus the Patriots, which again that was that 0:04:22.320 --> 0:04:24.359 was one that you pushed and you were like, no, 0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:26.320 this is my favorite bet of the week, and I 0:04:26.360 --> 0:04:28.039 did like it, I think, even though it was a 0:04:28.040 --> 0:04:30.039 parathosm with the five and a half, but that was 0:04:30.040 --> 0:04:31.960 a Thursday game. And the one thing that separates the 0:04:32.040 --> 0:04:35.280 DraftKings contest from these other contests is that again, you 0:04:35.320 --> 0:04:37.920 can make the Thursday pick but not lock in your 0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:39.960 other picks. You can you can mess around with all 0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:42.200 the picks. They don't lock until Sunday mornings, so you 0:04:42.240 --> 0:04:45.440 can make picks and then change them right before Sunday morning. 0:04:45.520 --> 0:04:47.840 And your other kinda is in the West Gate in 0:04:47.880 --> 0:04:50.480 the circa. You if you pick a Thursday game, you 0:04:50.520 --> 0:04:52.279 lock in all your picks at that point, right. 0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.320 Yeah, I went three and oh on Saturday in Week sixteen. 0:04:55.160 --> 0:04:56.000 Oh really yeah? 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:59.160 Three? I got all three games, right, nobody, but nobody 0:04:59.160 --> 0:05:01.719 wanted to use it. Yeah, and I So I literally 0:05:01.720 --> 0:05:03.760 went to you and to my other two partners and 0:05:03.800 --> 0:05:06.840 I was like, here's what like on Saturday. And I 0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:09.640 liked all three games, and everybody was like, nah, man, 0:05:09.760 --> 0:05:12.400 I can't do it. I can't can't play Saturday. We 0:05:12.480 --> 0:05:14.680 just let's just stick to Sunday. I was like, but 0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:16.359 I like the forty nine ers. They're like, you like 0:05:16.400 --> 0:05:18.039 the forty nine ers. I was like, yeah, I like 0:05:18.040 --> 0:05:20.119 the forty nine ers. Are like, no, I'm not playing 0:05:20.160 --> 0:05:22.840 the forty nine ers. And then I was like, oh man, 0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:25.040 so it's just it's whatever. 0:05:25.200 --> 0:05:27.560 Yeah, are you still alive in any of them at all? 0:05:27.600 --> 0:05:31.200 West Skates? I am still alive. So I am. I 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:34.640 cannot win the Westgate reboot, but I can come in 0:05:34.680 --> 0:05:37.880 the top ten to cash. Okay, So I need a 0:05:37.920 --> 0:05:41.680 four and one game. I mean, I basically am half 0:05:41.720 --> 0:05:44.960 a point out of the money. But everyone's gonna mean 0:05:45.560 --> 0:05:47.719 this is week seventeen. So this is always a real 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:51.479 topsy turvy week. And this is where people who this 0:05:51.520 --> 0:05:52.720 is what I love about the West Gate in the 0:05:52.760 --> 0:05:55.360 Circle for that matter, people who have you know, one 0:05:55.440 --> 0:05:57.960 or two teams. Sometimes they have two teams in they 0:05:58.000 --> 0:06:01.120 will go and they'll bet once and then for their 0:06:01.120 --> 0:06:04.200 other team they'll bet the complete other side. Yeah in 0:06:04.200 --> 0:06:06.720 case in case they go oh and five, they go 0:06:06.800 --> 0:06:08.680 five and oh with their other team, and they potentially 0:06:08.720 --> 0:06:11.080 could get into the money that way. So you know 0:06:11.120 --> 0:06:13.960 where the standings are right now. I mean, look, if 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:15.440 we go four and one in the West Gate, then 0:06:15.480 --> 0:06:18.520 I think we'll probably be in the money. But one 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:21.400 of my friends is tied for thirtieth in the circa 0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:25.960 right now. Wow, and they're they're currently in Maui on vacation, 0:06:26.400 --> 0:06:29.000 and I'm like, you better not get vacation, brain, because 0:06:29.040 --> 0:06:32.280 you have a chance to get I mean quite a know, 0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:33.880 you're coming in the top ten in the circa and 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:37.600 you're cashing a six figure check. So you know, I'm 0:06:37.640 --> 0:06:40.800 watching closely Sausage King of Omaha if you're curious to 0:06:40.839 --> 0:06:44.920 watch that, the Sausage Kings team Sausage King of Omaha. 0:06:44.960 --> 0:06:47.320 I think it's number three because he's got three, he's 0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:49.800 got one, two and three, but potentially they may get 0:06:49.839 --> 0:06:50.480 into the money. 0:06:50.800 --> 0:06:52.760 All right, So no more contest picks here for us, 0:06:52.760 --> 0:06:54.360 because again that all of the west Gate and the 0:06:54.400 --> 0:06:56.960 Circa are still going. They go through week seventeen. DraftKings 0:06:57.040 --> 0:07:00.240 ended on week sixteen, So we're just gonna basically get 0:07:00.279 --> 0:07:03.560 our five best against the spread bets on this pick. 0:07:03.640 --> 0:07:06.320 We're gonna you know, essentially contest it, but we're gonna 0:07:06.400 --> 0:07:08.920 use the consensus lines of our betting pros dot com. 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:12.200 Again that takes the aggregate lines that are available and 0:07:12.360 --> 0:07:14.640 gives you a consensus of what is and like you 0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:18.280 can see, they're dropping, like the Steelers Browns line is dropping. 0:07:18.560 --> 0:07:21.440 So yeah, I can tell I've got the Westgate numbers, 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:26.040 so like I can use where the betting Pros consensus 0:07:26.080 --> 0:07:28.200 lines are, I can use that up against the west 0:07:28.280 --> 0:07:29.880 Gate just to give you an idea of the differences 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:32.080 as to where the contests are going to be versus 0:07:32.120 --> 0:07:34.080 where we are for right now with the lines. 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:37.640 Okay, all right, so let's get started then, Matt as usual, 0:07:37.640 --> 0:07:40.120 why don't you kick us off with your number one 0:07:40.120 --> 0:07:40.680 play of the week. 0:07:40.720 --> 0:07:43.200 Oh man, this is this week's stinks man, because you 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:47.000 just don't really know what each team is going to do. 0:07:47.160 --> 0:07:50.280 Like there, you know we know that certain teams like 0:07:50.320 --> 0:07:53.320 the Bills, the Steelers, we already know that they're not 0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:56.000 going to be playing their starters, right, so like. 0:07:56.080 --> 0:07:57.680 Do we know that? Hold on, do we know that 0:07:57.720 --> 0:07:58.400 about the Bills? 0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:01.520 Pretty much? Yeah, I mean this morning saw McDermott, like, 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:02.000 you know. 0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:03.320 Somebody made their decisions. 0:08:03.360 --> 0:08:06.680 Basically, Yeah, Matt Barkley is probably gonna play quite a bit. 0:08:07.080 --> 0:08:09.400 I think I think you might see the Bills play. 0:08:09.880 --> 0:08:12.560 You know, maybe they start the game with their starters 0:08:12.600 --> 0:08:13.840 and they pull everybody out. 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:16.560 I think that's what they did last year. The one 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:18.920 thing is, and again I don't know, Matt, and you 0:08:19.240 --> 0:08:21.280 might have a better sense of this, is how much 0:08:21.680 --> 0:08:24.600 they care. Like, for example, if the Bills win and 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:28.800 the Steelers lose, then the Bills are going to get 0:08:28.880 --> 0:08:31.400 the second seed. Correct, I don't know how much that 0:08:31.440 --> 0:08:33.960 matters to them. You avoid the Chiefs, right, You avoid 0:08:34.000 --> 0:08:38.560 the Chiefs until the final round essentially for that, But 0:08:38.600 --> 0:08:40.680 I guess you would anyway. I guess it doesn't matter. 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:42.840 Just really be the home game that's sort of coming 0:08:42.880 --> 0:08:45.080 out there. So I don't know. I don't know whether 0:08:45.160 --> 0:08:47.760 or not that matters to a team at this point 0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:50.680 or whether it's legitimately well where second or third doesn't. 0:08:50.760 --> 0:08:52.600 We don't really care. So we're going to completely rest. 0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:54.960 But there is something on the line, at least for 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:56.040 the Bills. But go ahead. 0:08:56.280 --> 0:08:58.680 Yeah, it's it's difficult because I think if they fine, 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:01.680 teams that have to win have to play. So one 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:03.880 thing that I've been looking at, I'm looking at the 0:09:03.920 --> 0:09:06.880 early games for the game I'm gonna bet and the 0:09:06.920 --> 0:09:09.760 games I'm gonna pick, because I don't like that later 0:09:09.800 --> 0:09:12.280 in the day, if you already know your fate, then 0:09:12.320 --> 0:09:13.000 it gets I don't. 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:14.840 I didn't they set it up so that you don't. 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:16.640 Didn't they set it up so that any game that 0:09:16.679 --> 0:09:20.320 affects another game gets played at the same time. I 0:09:20.360 --> 0:09:21.199 think that's what they did. 0:09:21.520 --> 0:09:24.800 It gets played early, right, So I think most of 0:09:24.840 --> 0:09:29.320 the games, like, Okay, so Bill's Dolphins is early, right, 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:35.720 Steelers Browns is early, Cowboys, Giants is early other games, 0:09:35.960 --> 0:09:38.480 and then the and then the Packers and the Bears 0:09:38.520 --> 0:09:42.200 are late. Seahawks forty nine, Ers is late Chargers, Chiefs 0:09:42.200 --> 0:09:47.760 doesn't matter. And then you've got Saints Panthers, which is late, 0:09:47.800 --> 0:09:50.800 and then the night game is Washington and the Eagles. 0:09:51.160 --> 0:09:54.640 So both the Titans and the Colts play late right 0:09:54.720 --> 0:09:57.560 at the same time, given that they're both fighting it after. 0:09:57.440 --> 0:10:01.319 The correct correct Yes, so like those are those are 0:10:01.360 --> 0:10:04.800 games that do matter. It matters from home for home teams, 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:08.400 right sure. So like I, I don't really have a 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:11.080 number one at the moment, Okay, yeah, because I'm having 0:10:11.120 --> 0:10:14.480 a tough time with the week. But if I had 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:17.000 to make a play right now, it would be on 0:10:17.040 --> 0:10:21.120 the Cowboys to beat the Giants, Okay. And I think 0:10:21.240 --> 0:10:23.160 the one and a half line in the Westgates Super 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:26.760 Contest are two right now, the consensus lines two. There 0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:28.640 are the Fandals at two and a half, so there 0:10:28.640 --> 0:10:31.920 are some numbers are climbing. I think up to three points, 0:10:32.200 --> 0:10:34.600 I would take the Cowboys over the Giants. I just 0:10:34.640 --> 0:10:36.960 think that this offense for the for New York is 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:41.400 really struggling mightily and Dallas is making a serious, serious run. 0:10:41.480 --> 0:10:45.240 I'd a buddy of mine h three weeks ago tell 0:10:45.320 --> 0:10:49.080 me the Cowboys are going to win that division, and 0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:52.120 I was like, Okay, well that's probably not gonna happen. 0:10:52.600 --> 0:10:55.440 But I do think the Cowboys have a legitimate chance 0:10:55.480 --> 0:10:58.480 here to make because they can't make the playoffs? Right? 0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:02.160 Are they alive? Still? Well? Who Cowboys? Yeah? 0:11:02.200 --> 0:11:05.760 If the Cowboys win and Washington loses, Cowboys win, they okay, right. 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:08.760 Good, that's it. So, so the Cowboys know they have 0:11:08.800 --> 0:11:10.920 to win this game out right, And I just I 0:11:10.960 --> 0:11:13.520 watched them play last week and I think they're coming. 0:11:13.559 --> 0:11:16.079 I think McCarthy's got something going. I think the offense 0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:18.320 is playing pretty well for Dallas. So if I had 0:11:18.320 --> 0:11:20.120 to bet right now, I would lay the one and 0:11:20.120 --> 0:11:21.920 a half two when the Cowboys at the Giants. 0:11:22.200 --> 0:11:24.200 My big worry about it is just that this has 0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:27.200 got to be the because everybody saw what the Cowboys 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:29.680 look like, right, everybody saw that. They've seen how terrible 0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:32.800 the Giants are. Like the Cowboys just feel like such 0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:35.320 a public play they always are, Oh yeah, and the 0:11:35.360 --> 0:11:37.520 exact time that they let you down though, right, like 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:40.920 this is the historical sort of like here come the Cowboys. 0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:42.800 Here they come, and they're gonna let you down. And 0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:46.520 the Giants, meanwhile, I know they've lost, you know, several 0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:48.560 games in a row here, but Daniel Jones has not 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:52.840 been close to one hundred percent. They've played some good teams. Yeah, 0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:55.440 you know, coming in, I think the Giants might be 0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:59.679 a little better than people think at this point. And 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.080 I I'm just it's funny because I looked at it 0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.680 and my initial reaction was like, oh God, the Cowboys 0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:07.080 are gonna are gonna win this game, Like they're gonna 0:12:07.080 --> 0:12:08.439 be fine. Bye. If you're giving me less than a 0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:11.560 field goal, I like it. My worry just is this. 0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:14.760 You know. It feels like the line is saying we 0:12:14.880 --> 0:12:17.000 know everybody is going to take the Cowboys and we 0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:18.720 don't care. And I agree with whether or not you 0:12:18.760 --> 0:12:19.240 think about that. 0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:21.040 No, I absolutely, of course I do. Yeah, I mean 0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:23.920 I I completely trapped. Lines are out there, but in 0:12:23.960 --> 0:12:26.440 the Cowboys. I mean. The one thing about Vegas is 0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:28.400 I learned this in my second week of being here 0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:31.360 in Las Vegas, where I was talking to a friend 0:12:31.400 --> 0:12:33.440 of mine who who is working at the time for 0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:37.480 Sez Sportsbooks, and you know, he Matt Holt his name. 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:39.200 He's gone on to do a lot of really cool things, 0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:40.959 but he's the one that first told me about the 0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:43.199 Cowboys in the in Vegas and I was like, what 0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:45.160 do you mean? He's like every time we put a 0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:48.800 Cowboys lineup, we always add a point. Always doesn't matter 0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:51.439 of dogs are favorite, we always add a point because 0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:53.600 the Cowboys are the most public bet team in Vegas. 0:12:54.240 --> 0:12:56.520 So for that, I mean, and it happens all over 0:12:56.520 --> 0:12:58.480 the place, happens off sure, same place. I mean, Cowboy 0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:01.760 fans are everywhere that I do. I understand that point, 0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:03.600 you know, I think it's it's a valid point that, Okay, 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.200 this line really could be like MINS one or a 0:13:06.240 --> 0:13:09.360 pick right, so that it's okay, flip a coin. But 0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:11.920 I still think the Cowboys are the better football team, 0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.160 and I still think there's some problems for that offense, 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:15.840 for the cut for the for the Giants, I just 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:17.280 don't think that they can score. 0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:19.920 All right, Well, let's let's put it on the maybe list, 0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:22.200 because I mean, I don't hate it. It just feels like, again, 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.600 this is a bad week. This is just a very 0:13:24.600 --> 0:13:27.199 difficult week to sort of navigate because a lot of 0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:29.280 it is going to depend on, you know, who plays. 0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:31.080 I also think there's a tendency by the way of 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:34.040 better is to think that if a team is out 0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:36.160 of it, one team's playing for something, one team isn't 0:13:36.160 --> 0:13:37.920 playing for something. That the team that's not playing for 0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:40.240 something is just going to roll over and everything that. 0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:43.280 I don't think that that's really how it works. I mean, right, 0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:46.679 you know, it's even even the Steelers, who I kind 0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:48.200 of like, we'll we'll get to that in a little bit. 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:51.280 Not love. But and the line is dropping unfortunately. 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:55.360 But this is the one week where I actually not 0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:58.480 I don't believe in parlaying. Okay, I've heard the Daily Juice, 0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:00.800 you know, I don't believe parloy this, but this is 0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:03.800 one of the weeks where money line parlays. Yeah, I 0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:07.800 don't actually mind them. Yeah, and you can take you know, Okay, 0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.120 do they just have to win? Like not, don't worry 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:12.000 about the number, but do they just have to win 0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.400 a football game to get into the postseason? If you 0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:16.680 can line up two, three, four of those in a row, 0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:19.680 you can find you can bring down Like you know, 0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:22.280 the Vikings are minus two ninety five on the money 0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:25.320 line against the Lions. Right, and so Matthew Stafford maybe 0:14:25.920 --> 0:14:28.360 when he plays, doesn't play, if he could be his 0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:30.640 last game with the Lions and they may be totally 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:32.800 you know, everyone knows the Lions or cleaning house and 0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.720 changing everything next year. So it's like, you know, those 0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:37.640 are the teams that you can be like, Okay, they're 0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:40.400 gonna lay down and get destroyed. Texans, maybe another one. 0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.400 You don't worry about the number. You just kind of 0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:44.800 stack up a bunch of those teams on money lines 0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:46.800 and then see, you know, a bunch of minus two 0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:50.200 fifty favorites and you could probably find yourself into like, 0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:51.920 you know, two to one, three to one type of 0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:54.760 wagers that I do tend to play a little bit 0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:57.960 more in week seventeen because it is so tricky with 0:14:58.160 --> 0:14:59.960 who gets pulled when right. 0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:02.240 So I mean, we might as well just talk about 0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:03.960 this game. It's not my favorite. I don't have a 0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:06.400 favorite really pick maybe I do, but it's not this one. 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:08.280 But let's talk about it. Since you mentioned it, How 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:10.240 do you feel about the Vikings link six and a 0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:12.560 half the lines, because I know there's no Dalvin Cook, 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:16.520 I get it, but I'm going to be shocked if 0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:19.400 Matthew Stafford plays. At this point, Kenny Galley is already out. 0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.240 We have known who's going to be out. Chase Daniel. 0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.920 As bad as bad as this defense is for the Vikings, 0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:30.080 Chase Daniel just can't really do anything. I think Kirk 0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:33.400 Cousins and the passing game is gonna have a huge 0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:35.920 day in this one in a bounce back effort. They 0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:38.720 were embarrassed. Of course, the whole team was embarrassed by 0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:41.960 Alvin Kamara scoring six touchdowns last week. I just think 0:15:42.320 --> 0:15:46.000 that the Vikings are going to destroy the Lions with 0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:48.360 Chase Daniel back there, and if it's under a touchdown 0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:50.120 for me, it's one of the games I kind of like. 0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.320 And so I get this two teams not playing for anything, 0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:54.040 so you're sort of like, what are you going to see? 0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:56.760 But without Matthew Stafford as I'm expecting at this point, 0:15:56.880 --> 0:15:58.640 even if he plays, I think he gets knocked out 0:15:58.640 --> 0:15:59.960 early in the same way you saw with the Buck 0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:03.200 so sat him on the Vikings minus six and a half. 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.400 Does Jefferson have any potentially. 0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:10.160 Over forty seven yards, I think is what he needs to. 0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:13.560 I believe set the rookie receiving record that's not a ton, 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:15.720 so you could see him sort of have a fifty 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:17.440 yard game. Same thing with Mike Evans. By the way, 0:16:17.800 --> 0:16:21.760 Mike Evans needs forty yards to get another one thousand 0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:24.440 yard season, which they were trying to do against the 0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:26.760 lie you saw that, they were like, definitely, just let's 0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:28.920 just get it so we can rest the guy. So 0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:31.400 you don't know whether or not when Jefferson gets the 0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:33.840 forty seven yards whether or not they'd be like whatever. 0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:36.240 But I don't think that's a team like the Vikings. 0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:36.920 That's not what they'll do. 0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:40.320 They'll I agree. I think one of the things to 0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:43.680 me the comments from Mike Zimmer about the defense after 0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:46.400 the loss when he was I mean, you never hear 0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:49.400 coaches say this is one of the worst defenses I've 0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:51.280 ever had, Like, I've never had a defense as bad. 0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:55.240 You don't normally hear a coach say that. What did 0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:58.640 you just say? So I wonder if going seven to 0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:02.760 nine actually me something to him. Oh and I wonder 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:05.320 how much of a notice he put his defense on 0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:08.879 of Like, guys, here's your last chance to put some 0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.359 game film before I go through the whole entire roster 0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:13.960 and start cutting half of the guys here. Yeah, so 0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:17.320 like with Chase Daniel out there, plus that, I agree 0:17:17.359 --> 0:17:19.119 with you. I think the Viking's under a touchdown or 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:19.879 a solid play. 0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:22.399 Yeah. So that's one of my plays this week, and 0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:25.119 you know it doesn't see I'm surprised a little bit. 0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:27.400 It's under a touchdown, and maybe if Stafford is ruled out, 0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:29.720 it'll pop to over it. So that's why I'm probably 0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:31.679 gonna bet it now, and I have bet it now 0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:34.080 at six and a half. But it is something where yeah, 0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:36.800 I think and the Vikings, they haven't quit. Their defense 0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:39.679 is terrible, it's injured, it's just a terrible defense. But 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:42.240 I don't see them sort of you know, you see 0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.119 some teams, you watch them and you don't want to 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:46.800 say quit, But it does look like they're kind of like, Okay, 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:49.440 I'm going through the motions. I'm not willing to really 0:17:49.480 --> 0:17:51.399 put my body online. Doesn't look like that. They're just 0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:53.320 not a very good defense, but they do have a 0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:55.760 good offense, even without Davin Cook, So I'm willing to 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:57.600 roll with them at minus six and a half. 0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:04.120 Okay, my second play, and I again looking for spots 0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:08.000 here yep. Week seventeen. I think there is something to 0:18:08.080 --> 0:18:10.919 a thirteen and three record for the Buffalo Bills, and 0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:14.240 I think they actually want it, and I'm gonna be 0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:17.160 curious to see we talked about earlier. I'm curious to see. 0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:21.600 I think Matt Barkley can beat the Dolphins, and I 0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.439 think they can do it just running, throwing, and I 0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:26.560 gotta see how many before I would bet this. I 0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:29.560 gotta see how many receivers are playing. Okay, Colby's is hurt, 0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:30.480 so that's out. 0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:34.840 He's out. He's out, but he's out. 0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:35.720 Is Digs playing? 0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:38.959 I don't know the thing. 0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:41.080 If it's yes, okay, if Diggs is playing, and the 0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:45.480 answers yes, because you know, going thirteen and three is significant. 0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:47.639 And then I want to see what the Dolphins wind 0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:49.040 up doing with Tua. 0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:51.760 Okay, and oh you know what they're going to do 0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:53.520 with Tua. They're going to start him. 0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:56.320 Yeah, but they may pull him if it looks like right. 0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:59.760 But if it looks like they're going to lose, do 0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:02.119 they put Fitzpatrick back in there? Or do they just 0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:04.120 leave two in there and just say, look, we're gonna 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:07.119 be You know, Fitzpatrick may wind up playing the postseason. 0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:10.800 I have no idea what Brian Flores is doing. It 0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.840 is so insane what he's doing with the quarterback spot. 0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:17.240 How is this not Fitzpatrick's team? I'm saying it literally 0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:18.160 for weeks. 0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:20.680 You know what annoys me, Matt, And it's probably because 0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:24.040 I have a pretty large investment in Kevin Stefanskiez, coach 0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:25.840 of the Air, which may have died last week given 0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:28.120 the Jets game. But the fact that people are giving 0:19:28.160 --> 0:19:30.960 kudos to Flores for the way he's willing to pull 0:19:31.080 --> 0:19:34.080 Tua and go to Fitzpatrick, like that's a positive. You 0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:37.200 have to pull Tua because Tua does not play well 0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.880 and Ryan Fitzpatrick is your better option. So the fact 0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:41.760 that he's playing Tua to begin with, and I know 0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:43.800 you harped on this when it first happened to me, 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.160 is mind boggling, because I think the team would be, 0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:49.160 you know, much better on offense if you just left 0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:49.880 fitz in there. 0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:53.760 I again, I says on Twitter, people got really mad 0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:56.719 at me. I'll say it here. I believe that ownership 0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:59.840 has told Brian Flores what to do. I think ownership 0:19:59.880 --> 0:20:03.439 has said, Tua tanga a Looa is our franchise face, 0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:06.960 and I need Tua to play as much as possible 0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:08.200 and then go all the way up to the point 0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:10.800 where you're gonna lose, and then it's the break in 0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:14.320 case of emergency, Okay, play Fitzpatrick. But then the second 0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:15.960 you have a chance to put to a back in there. 0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:19.080 You do it because this is funny that he was 0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:22.040 comparing it to a relief pitcher. This is like having 0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:25.600 like Randy Johnson out of the bullpen. Like you go 0:20:25.720 --> 0:20:28.280 and put Randy Johnson in the starting rotation, right, You 0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:30.320 don't have him in the bullpen. You use him as 0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:32.800 a starter because you need starters are more valuable. Like, 0:20:32.840 --> 0:20:35.199 it doesn't make any sense to me. That analogy is 0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:39.320 ridiculous and it's I cannot I've tried for the life 0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:41.800 of me to justify the decisions they're being made here 0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:45.119 with Miami, and if I'm a Dolphin fan, all I 0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.639 can hope is that when the postseason happens, like to 0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:49.920 if he struggles in the first quarter, or if they're 0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:53.040 down at halftime or whatever, that Brian Flores has the 0:20:53.560 --> 0:20:56.119 guts to go ahead and say we're playing Fitzpatrick because 0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.199 you're not winning a playoff game with Tua. I'm just 0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:00.440 call me a hater, but you're just you're not winning 0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:02.200 a playoff game with two at the quarterbacks, right. 0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:06.400 So I guess my issue is, I guess I don't 0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:08.160 know how to what to do with this game because 0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:11.639 I don't know who's playing. I don't know whether or 0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:16.120 not the Bills are motivated to win this game. Maybe 0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:17.760 it's the thirteen and three, but again, it could be 0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:20.600 the second seed because if you're if you're the third seed, 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:24.320 I think you're probably getting I guess it depends on 0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:26.520 what happens with the Dolphins, but you you might be 0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:29.840 getting the Ravens. You know, they might be the sixth 0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:32.120 seed at this point, so maybe the number two seed. 0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:34.960 Does the fans start this week or next week? 0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:37.119 I think the fans start next week. 0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:39.840 The playoffs because if nine thousand fans are going to 0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:42.879 be there for their playoff games, right, so that's huge. 0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:44.760 That's huge for Bill's Mafia to be able to be 0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:46.160 in that building. That's good. 0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:48.399 I you know, I have a very soft spot for 0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:51.359 Bills fans and for Bill's Mafia because I went to 0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:53.480 school there. So I still have a lot of friends 0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:55.200 who are really investing in this. It's just it's hard 0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:57.160 for me to get a real And again, the fact 0:21:57.160 --> 0:21:59.200 that the Bills are favored in this game, I don't 0:21:59.240 --> 0:22:01.959 really know what to do with because I just if 0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:04.720 it's Matt Barkley and there's no Stefan Diggs and t 0:22:04.880 --> 0:22:07.399 Davious White, you know, doesn't play, Matt, I mean, do 0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:08.399 you still like the Bills? 0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:11.200 Yeah, that you still do, because I think the Dolphins. 0:22:11.280 --> 0:22:15.679 I think this is a game, just speaking generally, Okay, 0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:18.080 it doesn't matter all that much for the Dolphins, and 0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:19.040 it's gonna be cold. 0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:23.639 You're so it matters for the Dolphins, Matt. Well if 0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:27.520 they if they lose, they're probably not making the playoffs. 0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:31.399 You know that, right, because if they lose, the Ravens 0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:32.400 are gonna beat the Bengals. 0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:36.000 Right. Okay, you're walking around through how they miss the playoffs. 0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:40.720 Okay, Sure the Dolphins lose, Okay, they finish ten and six, 0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:45.160 okay with me, yep, the Ravens are ten and five. 0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:47.480 They're gonna beat the Bengals, right, eleven and five? Right, 0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:50.639 the Browns are playing a Steelers team that's resting all 0:22:50.680 --> 0:22:51.040 the starter. 0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:52.440 Correct, Brown's gonna win that game. 0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:57.560 Eleven and five. The Colts are playing the Jaguars. They're 0:22:57.560 --> 0:22:59.960 gonna beat the Jaguars. They're going to finish eleven and five. 0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:04.120 The Titans, right, yeah, are playing Detexans. If they win 0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:07.200 their eleven and five, they win the Division three playoff 0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:10.639 teams Seeds five, six, and seven, The wild card teams 0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:12.919 are the Ravens at eleven and five, the Browns at 0:23:12.960 --> 0:23:15.919 eleven and five, the Colts at eleven and five, the Dolphins. 0:23:15.960 --> 0:23:17.359 If they lose are ten and six, they're out of 0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:22.440 the playoffs. They have to win. Huh, they have to win. 0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.440 So does that affect the way they have to win? 0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:28.840 If they lose and any one of those teams. 0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:31.400 Loses, they're in. They're in. Okay, They're in. I knew 0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:33.000 there was something. I knew there was something like it 0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:34.320 looked like that they're. 0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:37.080 All playing at the same time, and all of the 0:23:37.160 --> 0:23:39.520 teams that they're going at our favored now the Browns 0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:42.119 because their COVID concerns are slightly less than double digits, 0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:45.520 but they're favored by nine over the backups for Steelers. 0:23:45.560 --> 0:23:48.280 I think the Steelers could pretty easily win that game still, 0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:51.240 even when Mason Rudolph. And again, that's probably gonna be 0:23:51.280 --> 0:23:52.639 one of the ones that I put out here, but 0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:53.840 I don't know what the spread is going to be 0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:58.200 by the time people listening right now, it's ten at 0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:01.120 It's dropping though, because this morning the more COVID concerns 0:24:01.359 --> 0:24:02.040 for the Browns. 0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:04.360 Yeah, yes, it's nine in the contest. 0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:06.920 Right, and it's nine now for the consentuves lines, and 0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:08.200 you can get it at ten. I like it. I 0:24:08.240 --> 0:24:11.080 think I still like it at nine. Remember that as 0:24:11.160 --> 0:24:13.480 bad as the Steelers were, I know we're switching jumping 0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:15.320 around a little bit here, but as bad as Steelers were, 0:24:15.400 --> 0:24:19.000 they still went eight to eight last year with Mason Rudolph. 0:24:19.080 --> 0:24:21.320 You know at the quarterback much time. You know they 0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:25.400 don't like the Browns that you know, there's certainly revenge factor, right, and. 0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:27.679 Miles Garrett's Miles Garrett's playing right. 0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:31.959 Yes, Miles Garrett's candn't play, so there's that. But the 0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:34.960 Browns need a win to get in against mostly backups. 0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:37.320 And the Browns are, you know, a solid team, they're 0:24:37.320 --> 0:24:40.359 they're well coached. If they have actual wide receivers, then 0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:40.879 they could do it. 0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:42.639 So so the Bills can knock out the Dolphins, I 0:24:42.720 --> 0:24:45.840 like it. So that's just okay. Now I like even more. Okay, 0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:48.040 if the Bills can knock out the Dolphins. 0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:49.800 They cannot get it. That's why it's really But the 0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:51.720 Steelers can knock out the Browns and it doesn't look 0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:53.399 like they're gonna go for it. It's very this is 0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:54.560 such a weird week, Matt. 0:24:54.440 --> 0:24:57.760 Oh, It's impossible. It's it literally is for to fourmentiononal chess, 0:24:57.800 --> 0:24:59.399 you have to be in the minds, you have to 0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:01.399 be inside of the minds of the coaches as to 0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:03.560 what they really care about. I just wonder. I mean, 0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:06.840 there is that factor of like everyone's saying, okay, who 0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.040 is the heir to the Patriots thrown? Which I don't 0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:11.400 think is gone by the way, but it's it's now 0:25:11.400 --> 0:25:13.320 okay here it's the Bill's division, and one's like, no, 0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:16.040 it's a Dolphins division. Well, okay, Now, it's kind of 0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:17.600 a way of flexing your muscle a little bit of 0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:21.480 a buffalo and keeping your rival out of the postseason 0:25:21.920 --> 0:25:24.920 if you beat them. So in this an area you 0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.400 just laid out. If you can knock the Dolphins out, 0:25:27.440 --> 0:25:29.400 I think there's some real motivation. I think Bills fans 0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:31.440 would be fired up to keep the dolphinsut of the playoffs. 0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:35.280 Yeah, and you know, I think it is sort of 0:25:35.600 --> 0:25:37.840 This is probably not something, but the two favorites for 0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.760 the Coach of the Year right now for the betting 0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:43.199 markets from what I've seen, are now Brian Flores and 0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:47.560 Sean mcdermoy. So if the Bills keep the Dolphins out 0:25:47.600 --> 0:25:50.639 of the playoffs, that certainly makes a difference, you know, 0:25:50.680 --> 0:25:53.280 and they could at least somewhat be thinking about that 0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:54.960 in terms of flexing your muscle. 0:25:55.000 --> 0:25:57.919 But yeah, I just will Can we pause on that 0:25:57.920 --> 0:26:00.760 for one second? Yeah? How is Ron Rivera winning this award? 0:26:01.200 --> 0:26:03.840 He was up there, but they may not win the division. 0:26:03.880 --> 0:26:05.520 I don't care if they win the division or not. 0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:10.879 And Ron Rivera was getting cancer treatment at halftime, I understand, 0:26:10.960 --> 0:26:14.000 and his play and he had an Alex Smith quarterback 0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:17.040 with you know, coming back up the most horrific legg 0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:20.000 injury we've seen, Sinceneisman. I don't even know how is 0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.560 this even a conversation? Brian Flores has I got a 0:26:22.560 --> 0:26:25.640 great year, But I don't get how you don't vote 0:26:25.640 --> 0:26:28.080 when you're when it's pen to paper time. How are 0:26:28.119 --> 0:26:29.080 you not voting for Ron. 0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:31.280 Rivera because they're probably going to finish six and ten? 0:26:31.480 --> 0:26:34.040 Okay, you know, it's incredible. That's a great run for 0:26:34.119 --> 0:26:34.520 that team. 0:26:34.760 --> 0:26:36.480 I get it, I get it, But I mean to 0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:38.320 be like six and ten coach of the Year. I 0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:40.320 can't imagine what the lowest record for a Coach of 0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:42.959 the Year ever is. But I get it. He's up there, 0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:43.560 He's up there. 0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:46.040 I hate that. I hate it in college basketball too 0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:48.320 because it was, you know, same thing, like Belichick should 0:26:48.320 --> 0:26:51.159 have won that award like fifteen times, right point, saman 0:26:51.200 --> 0:26:52.840 should win that award every single exactly. 0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:55.320 Like it's funny. Yeah, we talked about it because I 0:26:55.359 --> 0:26:58.359 was in that sportsbook sort of contest about the most 0:26:58.400 --> 0:27:01.439 likely candidates, and you almost always need at least ten wins, 0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:03.639 and you almost always need to have a gain of 0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:06.000 at least three wins from one year to the next 0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:09.240 like that, that's the bottom line for it. So maybe 0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:10.560 Rivera and I'd have no problem with that. 0:27:10.560 --> 0:27:13.400 I thought, of course as well, should be right. I mean, 0:27:13.600 --> 0:27:14.080 I think the. 0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:15.879 Fancy is one of them. Yeah, but the loss of 0:27:15.920 --> 0:27:18.000 the Jets really hurt. If they make the playoffs, we'll see. 0:27:18.040 --> 0:27:20.840 But anyway, we're getting we're getting off topic here. Seventeen 0:27:21.720 --> 0:27:24.119 whatever we can do, whatever we want. Everybody listen, doesn't matter. 0:27:24.200 --> 0:27:26.719 It's gonna be amazing. Bill's one and a half to Dolphins. 0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:28.360 I'm fine with it. We'll put that in the baby 0:27:28.400 --> 0:27:31.119 category for sure. That that's fine to go in. But 0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:33.919 what do you think about the Steelers. I think the 0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:35.640 Steelers are going to keep this game, Cleo. I don't 0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:39.800 think Mike Tomlin is out there ever to say I'm not. 0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:40.440 I don't care. 0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:43.040 Oh no, I agree with that. Yeah, I mean Fanders 0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:45.480 down to eight and a half. I mean, yeah, there's 0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:47.480 stefrom steam coming in here on Pittsburgh. 0:27:48.200 --> 0:27:50.040 It's a lot of it is COVID though, Matt, this 0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:52.840 morning there's more COVID problems, like before you woke up, 0:27:53.040 --> 0:27:55.160 there's more COVID problems this morning already. 0:27:55.200 --> 0:27:57.639 So people are who's out anybody anybody know? 0:27:58.200 --> 0:28:00.719 No, I mean I think Harrison Bryant, you know, head end, 0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:02.479 but that that's not a big deal. The receivers are 0:28:02.520 --> 0:28:03.960 still penned to come back. 0:28:04.119 --> 0:28:07.280 But you know, it's just is this the third time 0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:08.960 the Browns have closed their facility? 0:28:09.320 --> 0:28:09.840 Yeah? 0:28:10.080 --> 0:28:10.600 Third time? 0:28:11.000 --> 0:28:11.280 Yeah? 0:28:11.320 --> 0:28:13.800 Like, come on, guys, what's going I mean, I know 0:28:13.840 --> 0:28:16.959 it's COVID, it's everywhere, it's horrible, but three times, yeah, Like, 0:28:16.960 --> 0:28:19.280 something's going on with the Browns that it's not great 0:28:19.320 --> 0:28:21.840 in terms of the where they're they're gods, you're behaving. 0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.560 But so this strikes me as a game that probably 0:28:24.560 --> 0:28:26.960 the Browns wind up winning. Although I don't hate the 0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:30.159 money line at the on the Steelers, but that if 0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:32.720 you're getting more than that, even more than a touchdown, yeah, 0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:34.480 I mean you're getting a ten, I love it. But 0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:36.000 if you're getting more in the touchdown, I think the 0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:37.120 Steelers are going to keep this game. 0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:38.920 Yeah. I think the nine will be that we be 0:28:39.000 --> 0:28:41.480 one of the consensus picks in the in the Westgate 0:28:41.520 --> 0:28:44.040 contest because it's plus nine and this is really large 0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:48.320 and right now is plus line Yeah it's not. Yeah, 0:28:48.520 --> 0:28:51.360 it's ten at bet mgm uh, you know on the 0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:54.200 East Coast it's still nine. And then Fan Duels got 0:28:54.240 --> 0:28:56.400 an eight and a half. They're the market low currently 0:28:56.680 --> 0:28:58.520 and I'm guessing that the number is gonna come down 0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:01.120 even more. So It's like, if you like the Steelers, 0:29:01.600 --> 0:29:03.360 you got to take them early, get take them now 0:29:03.880 --> 0:29:05.400 to get the best number possible. But I mean, I 0:29:05.400 --> 0:29:07.240 think the Steelers should be I mean, they'll probably be 0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:10.400 included in in my two team teaser just because you 0:29:10.440 --> 0:29:14.120 get over fourteen and uh yeah, backdoor cover possibilities and 0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:16.480 there's just a lot of I mean guys in week seventeen, 0:29:17.120 --> 0:29:20.840 you know, you lose the big name guy but the 0:29:20.840 --> 0:29:23.960 fourth string and fifth string wide receiver on certain teams 0:29:24.040 --> 0:29:25.840 is good enough to be a second or a third 0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:28.400 on some other teams. So you put it on film, 0:29:28.720 --> 0:29:30.600 you know, you show, you're showing out, you're trying to 0:29:30.680 --> 0:29:33.280 prove yourself, you're trying to justify your job, and they'll 0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:36.000 play hard. And sometimes I would prefer a third string 0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:39.120 wide receiver over a you know, fifty percent first string guy. 0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:43.360 And don't forget when you're playing with these uh these 0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:46.480 backup quarterbacks and everything like that, they kind of have 0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:49.760 chemistry with the practice good point squad guys, right, these 0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:51.560 are the guys they know. These are the guys they 0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:53.760 work on the routes with, so good point they usually 0:29:53.800 --> 0:29:56.400 play a little bit better. So, yeah, it's a weird 0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:58.320 week though, as we Matt and I have harped on 0:29:58.320 --> 0:29:59.920 on this, it's a very weird week. 0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:01.880 It's times plus nine. I think it's a good pick. 0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:03.960 I think that that's a good side to be on 0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:06.840 in particular because I think, you know, if the Browns 0:30:06.840 --> 0:30:09.320 are gonna brown and they and they go ten and 0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:13.160 they lose the game outright, can go ten and six? 0:30:13.640 --> 0:30:17.120 Yeah, a ten and six Browns team where you lost 0:30:17.120 --> 0:30:19.720 to the Jets. To miss out on the playoffs is 0:30:19.920 --> 0:30:22.280 pretty brownsie. You know, that would be a pretty big year. 0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:24.000 So yeah, all right, so that's probably one of them. 0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:25.320 All Right, You got any others that you like? 0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:28.160 I mean there's only a couple that I again, I 0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:32.320 don't love the numbers like Titans Texans, Right, you mentioned 0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:36.920 it like seven and a half, Like yuck, Like keep 0:30:36.960 --> 0:30:40.120 me six and a half? Yes, Okay, now we're talking 0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:42.400 seven and a half. I don't know what to do 0:30:42.480 --> 0:30:46.160 with that, even though my inclination is they want to 0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:50.440 bounce back after being really embarrassed. And what's really frustrating 0:30:50.480 --> 0:30:53.880 about that entire game? I mean, have you ever seen 0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.520 a team want to get away from the weather faster 0:30:56.600 --> 0:30:57.480 than the Titans did? 0:30:57.760 --> 0:31:01.440 Oh no, that was weird, right, Like immediately you saw that, 0:31:01.480 --> 0:31:02.400 you're like, oh god. 0:31:02.240 --> 0:31:05.080 They didn't even call tight. They punted. Yeah, like I 0:31:05.120 --> 0:31:07.600 had a potential back door. I mean there were chances 0:31:07.640 --> 0:31:10.000 to get I mean, I've just never seen it. It 0:31:10.040 --> 0:31:13.480 was so weird to me to watch a team because 0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:15.640 I had the over in that game was to watch 0:31:15.680 --> 0:31:21.600 them down big with three timeouts, fourth down and like 0:31:21.640 --> 0:31:23.520 it was like six, like they're on like forty yard 0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:26.280 line and they punted. I was like, what are you? 0:31:26.400 --> 0:31:29.560 Mike Vrabel ran off the field. He could not get 0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:33.640 into a warmer area faster. He wanted nothing to do 0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:36.000 with Green Bay. And that's really weird for a power 0:31:36.040 --> 0:31:40.400 run football team. That. I mean that to me concerns 0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:42.680 if the Titans are going to play the Bills or 0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:46.280 anybody any weather potential, I will fade the Titans if 0:31:46.280 --> 0:31:47.720 they're watching that performance that. 0:31:47.760 --> 0:31:50.520 Was It might really though it might have just been 0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:53.560 that they said. He was like, we can't stop green Bay. 0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:55.680 If they want to come down and score, they're going 0:31:55.680 --> 0:31:57.600 to be able to score. We have lost this game, Like, 0:31:57.680 --> 0:31:59.440 let's just move on, because the Colts had already lost 0:31:59.480 --> 0:32:02.160 the control their own destiny if they beat I mean 0:32:02.320 --> 0:32:04.160 teasing that. This strikes me as a game where you 0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:06.960 tease the Titans afinitely laying one and a half. 0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:09.680 Right, like or money line or just more money line at. 0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:11.800 Whatever you want to do, exactly like that. But that's 0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:13.800 what this strikes me to me. It's seven and a half. Yeah, 0:32:13.880 --> 0:32:16.360 because again the Tecans kept it close the last time 0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:18.960 they play. That's and kudos to the Texans and JJ 0:32:19.080 --> 0:32:22.120 Watts got that video that he's pumping everybody. You know, 0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:24.280 he's so mad at his defense. Scares me a little 0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:25.160 bit at that number. 0:32:24.920 --> 0:32:27.280 Of Texans number, that guy's career, by the way, we're 0:32:27.280 --> 0:32:29.280 gonna we're going to look back and to shake our 0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:30.920 head and be like JJ Watt was one of the 0:32:30.960 --> 0:32:35.360 all time great awful teams his whole career. 0:32:35.960 --> 0:32:39.080 How do you feel about the doing you know, again, 0:32:39.160 --> 0:32:41.200 going back to the Ravens on another big number. It's 0:32:41.200 --> 0:32:43.560 big number. It's twelve and a half for the consensus. 0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:45.360 But I think the Ravens are going to come out here. 0:32:45.600 --> 0:32:47.160 I think they hate the Bengals by the way they 0:32:47.240 --> 0:32:49.680 destroyed the Bengals when it was Joe Burrow earlier in 0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:52.000 the year. I think they hate the Bengals. This is 0:32:52.040 --> 0:32:54.360 their chance for a playoff. You know, if they win, 0:32:54.400 --> 0:32:56.600 they're in. I think they're going to come out and 0:32:56.680 --> 0:32:58.320 I think they're going to be like, oh, the Bengals. 0:32:58.360 --> 0:33:00.480 You think the Bengals are playing well well, all of 0:33:00.520 --> 0:33:02.440 a sudden, you know, I think they're gonna come out 0:33:02.440 --> 0:33:04.320 and I think they're going to It's a huge number, 0:33:04.680 --> 0:33:06.000 but I don't mind laying it. 0:33:06.080 --> 0:33:07.760 Yeah, it's the biggest number on the board. Outside the 0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:10.760 cults and the Jags. So I mean it's it's it's a, 0:33:10.960 --> 0:33:14.680 it's a it's the biggest number where I guess the 0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:16.760 culture at culture at home, right, the culture at home 0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:19.560 against Jaggs fortunate. So yeah, so it's the biggest road, 0:33:20.240 --> 0:33:22.360 you know, you know, laying twelve and a half on 0:33:22.400 --> 0:33:25.640 the road is not often great to do that, but 0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:28.479 I do I concur I agree. I think you're going 0:33:28.560 --> 0:33:30.240 to see the Ravens. We talked about this three with 0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:32.440 three weeks ago when were sorry back in the Ravens. Yeah, 0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:36.200 this is them getting into form, right, this is them 0:33:36.560 --> 0:33:38.320 where this is almost like an exhibition game in some 0:33:38.360 --> 0:33:40.760 ways where it's like we need to work on us 0:33:41.040 --> 0:33:43.360 and if that means we score fifty, we score fifty. 0:33:43.480 --> 0:33:45.760 Okay, we need to work on both sides of the wall. 0:33:45.840 --> 0:33:46.880 By the way, so f. 0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:49.080 You starters are in the game, you know, if we 0:33:49.400 --> 0:33:51.400 if we need to punch in a late touchdown to 0:33:51.440 --> 0:33:53.800 work on a goal line situation, like we're going to 0:33:53.880 --> 0:33:55.920 do what we have to do to win, and that's 0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.160 just it. So like, yeah, yeah, I'm with it, La. 0:33:59.320 --> 0:33:59.680 I like that. 0:33:59.880 --> 0:34:01.720 I think this is gonna be a game I don't 0:34:01.760 --> 0:34:04.800 love laying huge numbers like this, especially not on the road. 0:34:04.800 --> 0:34:06.960 It's ridiculous. But I do think that this is gonna 0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:08.319 be a game where they are just gonna come out 0:34:08.360 --> 0:34:10.839 and they are just going to be this is we're 0:34:10.840 --> 0:34:13.360 gonna you don't want to play us in the playoffs, 0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:16.320 and we're going to use this game to basically tighten 0:34:16.400 --> 0:34:19.120 up the screws. Just Lamar Jackson. I think he by 0:34:19.120 --> 0:34:20.520 the way, not that this matters because I want to 0:34:20.520 --> 0:34:22.120 get into the playoffs, but I think he needs something 0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:24.960 like eighty seven yards rushing to get to a thousand 0:34:25.719 --> 0:34:28.120 for the season. So my guess is that you'll see 0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:30.359 a lot of him getting out there. They're just gonna 0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:32.320 I think this is just gonna be a monster performance. 0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:32.560 Son. 0:34:32.600 --> 0:34:34.680 I'm okay with the big number. Anything else that you're 0:34:34.680 --> 0:34:35.520 looking at, whatsoever. 0:34:35.600 --> 0:34:40.080 Yeah, So I'm wearing so every week on the live stream, 0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:43.200 I wear different hats that I have for teams that 0:34:43.280 --> 0:34:45.320 I look to because either they're playing a game that 0:34:45.360 --> 0:34:47.640 I bet on heavily or playing a team that I hate. 0:34:48.080 --> 0:34:50.040 So I'm wearing a Packer's set. You can't see mer enough. 0:34:50.040 --> 0:34:51.359 I'm wearing a Packer set right now. 0:34:51.480 --> 0:34:51.719 Yep. 0:34:51.840 --> 0:34:53.439 So I'm all in green and a green T shirt 0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:56.880 and wearing a Packer. I hate the Bears because I 0:34:56.920 --> 0:35:00.319 think I'm ohing four this year on the Bears, and 0:35:00.440 --> 0:35:03.200 I have a small number here, and I got all 0:35:03.200 --> 0:35:04.719 these people telling me the Bears are going to win 0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:09.520 this game, and I as long as they don't bench 0:35:09.800 --> 0:35:13.000 and Rogers is playing right, Oh, they they still have 0:35:13.080 --> 0:35:14.640 to win, right to get the one seed. 0:35:15.280 --> 0:35:17.080 Well, they don't have to win to get the one seed. 0:35:17.080 --> 0:35:18.600 And this is if you listen to me on the 0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:21.400 Fantasy Bros. End of year recap sort of thing. I 0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:23.920 didn't get this because I knew that they had beaten 0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:26.600 the Saints in terms of a head dead match, but 0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:31.080 because the Seahawks won. Technically, if both I believe, if 0:35:31.120 --> 0:35:37.360 both the Saints and the Seahawks win and the Packers lose, 0:35:37.480 --> 0:35:40.040 then the Seahawks would tech would get the number one seeds. 0:35:40.120 --> 0:35:43.520 So technically they need the Packers still. 0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:45.960 Need to win, and it's the Bears, yes, and. 0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:47.919 They want to right, and they want to beat the Bears. 0:35:47.960 --> 0:35:50.560 They want to beat the Bears. Rogers isn't talking about 0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:54.360 how he's in love with like Soldier Field and playing 0:35:54.400 --> 0:35:57.480 there and he likes playing in the environment. He firs 0:35:57.520 --> 0:36:00.839 it with fans and what this whole idea that Matt 0:36:00.920 --> 0:36:05.879 Nagy and Mitchell Trubitski are going to be back next 0:36:05.960 --> 0:36:11.239 year for the Bears. Oh, I mean, uh uh. 0:36:10.440 --> 0:36:12.280 This is it's a it's a paraltism. 0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:14.759 That's five and a half. I would lay it up 0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:18.840 to ten. I think the Packers are going to destroy 0:36:18.960 --> 0:36:21.960 the Bears here, and it's it's not my number one 0:36:21.960 --> 0:36:23.279 pick because it's an emotion pick. 0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:26.640 So I like it though. I like it. I think 0:36:26.640 --> 0:36:28.640 you're right. Yeah, I think you have it correct. I 0:36:28.719 --> 0:36:31.719 think that the Bears are playing over their head and 0:36:31.719 --> 0:36:34.600 they've had a really soft schedule here that people are 0:36:34.840 --> 0:36:37.640 getting excited about. And I think that the Packers, with 0:36:37.760 --> 0:36:40.600 the level that Aaron Rodgers is playing at at this moment, 0:36:40.680 --> 0:36:43.600 ye are they could easily win this game by fourteen 0:36:43.640 --> 0:36:47.000 points without thinking too much about it at this point. 0:36:47.080 --> 0:36:49.279 And you know, it's funny, Matt, because you saw what 0:36:49.320 --> 0:36:51.320 they did, and I think they're gonna do a similar 0:36:51.320 --> 0:36:53.960 thing right now. Is they're gonna set they sold out 0:36:53.960 --> 0:36:56.600 to stop Derrick Henry. Yeah, they know their rush defense 0:36:56.680 --> 0:36:58.799 is not good, so they said, Okay, this is what 0:36:58.840 --> 0:37:01.080 we're gonna do, especially in the cold weather, we are 0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:04.080 going to do whatever we can to stop Derrick Henry, 0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:06.040 and we're going to rely on you know, Jay or 0:37:06.120 --> 0:37:09.640 Alexander and our corners to just hold down as best 0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:13.200 they can to pass defense by themselves. I think that 0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:15.520 you're going to see a very similar strategy here, except 0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:19.759 it's against a worse past offense. You're going to see 0:37:19.760 --> 0:37:21.839 them say, okay, Dave Montgomery, you've been having a great run. 0:37:21.920 --> 0:37:23.680 We're gonna do whatever we can to stop you. We're 0:37:23.680 --> 0:37:26.080 gonna let Mitchell Drubisky, you know, try to throw it 0:37:26.080 --> 0:37:28.239 at Alan Robinson's great, but you know who else you 0:37:28.239 --> 0:37:30.359 want to throw to Mooney or you know, Anthony Miller 0:37:30.440 --> 0:37:32.359 or the tight ends. I think that's what you're gonna see. 0:37:32.360 --> 0:37:34.279 So I like it, man, I like it as ed 0:37:34.280 --> 0:37:38.880 minus five and a half. Let's see. How do you 0:37:38.880 --> 0:37:41.760 feel about the Bucks laying six and a half two Falcons? 0:37:42.600 --> 0:37:45.360 I looked at it. I mean, who's got more to 0:37:45.360 --> 0:37:46.399 play for in this game? 0:37:47.600 --> 0:37:49.080 Well, what do the Falcons have to play for? 0:37:49.320 --> 0:37:51.080 Well? The Falcons of jobs? Right? 0:37:51.400 --> 0:37:51.600 Yeah? 0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:55.320 Fine? Is this Matt Ryan's last start with the Falcons? 0:37:56.280 --> 0:37:59.040 This is it is? Is he head a Disan Francis. 0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:01.680 I mean the rumors are him going to San fran 0:38:01.960 --> 0:38:05.040 You know, if Garoppolo gets cut, they move Garoppolo, and 0:38:05.040 --> 0:38:09.200 then we wind up seeing a Matt Ryan be moved, 0:38:09.440 --> 0:38:11.880 and then it's and then it's Garoppolo goes to New 0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:16.040 England and Ryan goes to San Francisco. And so is 0:38:16.080 --> 0:38:18.640 this you know, he's been their franchise quarterback. Does he 0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:21.680 want to go out one last hurrah and beat Tom 0:38:21.719 --> 0:38:24.399 Brady in the Buccaneers? I mean, you know at ten 0:38:24.440 --> 0:38:27.799 and five the Bucks can get what seed? What's the 0:38:27.840 --> 0:38:31.560 best they can be at eleven to five? Fifth and 0:38:31.640 --> 0:38:33.120 they lose, They're the seventh. 0:38:33.760 --> 0:38:36.319 No, So I this is my understanding, and that this 0:38:36.400 --> 0:38:36.719 is not. 0:38:38.280 --> 0:38:40.440 Just by the way you guys listening. This year is 0:38:40.480 --> 0:38:43.560 so freaky because of the extra game, the extra team 0:38:43.600 --> 0:38:46.399 getting in only one bye week. We've never seen these 0:38:46.520 --> 0:38:48.440 tie breakers before. It's very complicated. 0:38:48.520 --> 0:38:51.399 So here's the deal. The Saints have won the division, right, 0:38:51.480 --> 0:38:53.520 so we know that's done. So that means that the 0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:57.160 best the Bucks can do is fifth. Right, the four 0:38:57.600 --> 0:38:59.880 division winners are going to be the top four seeds. 0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:02.040 The best they can do is fifth. I believe they 0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:05.720 can fall to sixth if they lose and the Jared 0:39:05.760 --> 0:39:10.960 Goff and Cooper cup Less Rams beat the Cardinals. If 0:39:11.000 --> 0:39:13.640 that happens, the Rams would jump them and they would 0:39:13.640 --> 0:39:15.319 go to six. Now they're not going to know because 0:39:15.320 --> 0:39:18.040 they should be playing I believe at the same time. 0:39:18.000 --> 0:39:20.840 They played early in the Rams. 0:39:20.360 --> 0:39:23.160 Uh late, Yes, so they won't know by the time 0:39:23.160 --> 0:39:25.920 they they won't know because the Rams. So they have 0:39:26.000 --> 0:39:28.080 to assume that the Rams are gonna win. And again, 0:39:28.120 --> 0:39:30.200 you're gonna have Kyler Murray at less than one hundred percent. 0:39:30.200 --> 0:39:32.040 You've still got that defense. So they can't take that 0:39:32.080 --> 0:39:34.760 for granted. And is there a difference between the fifth 0:39:34.760 --> 0:39:37.520 seed and the sixth seed in my opinion? Oh yeah, 0:39:37.680 --> 0:39:40.759 big time. The fifth seed is going to get the 0:39:40.800 --> 0:39:45.240 winner of the NFC East. That team, whoever it is, 0:39:45.239 --> 0:39:48.000 is definitely going to be weaker than whoever the sixth 0:39:48.040 --> 0:39:48.759 seed is going to play. 0:39:48.880 --> 0:39:51.879 I want my prediction to be I want my right 0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:55.640 or the Saints right. Yeah, I made a call a 0:39:55.680 --> 0:39:59.360 while ago, as you laid that out, I picked the 0:39:59.400 --> 0:40:00.880 Bucks to lose was in the first round of the 0:40:00.920 --> 0:40:02.440 playoffs to the winner of the n FC East. 0:40:03.840 --> 0:40:07.480 Really yeah, wait, you made like a specific bet. 0:40:07.520 --> 0:40:08.799 No, I know, but I don't mean a bet. I 0:40:08.800 --> 0:40:10.920 mean a prediction that I'm going to bet. I'm gonna 0:40:10.920 --> 0:40:13.319 bet for the Bucks to lose that game on the 0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:15.920 on the road, whoever they play, they're gonna lose. That. 0:40:16.480 --> 0:40:18.040 I said. The winner of the NFC East is gonna 0:40:18.080 --> 0:40:19.960 play the Bucks and they're gonna win. They're gonna win 0:40:20.000 --> 0:40:22.239 the game. They're gonna beat the Buccaneers because I think 0:40:22.280 --> 0:40:24.840 the Bucks are fools gold right now. To be quite asked, 0:40:24.880 --> 0:40:27.640 in the postseason, I think that blowout victory they had 0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:30.919 was the best thing. I was so happy to see 0:40:30.960 --> 0:40:34.240 that blowout because it's gonna give us a great number 0:40:34.440 --> 0:40:36.480 when they go on the road and it's gonna be 0:40:36.600 --> 0:40:39.080 like an eight or nine. You know, Bucks are gonna 0:40:39.080 --> 0:40:41.520 be six, seven, eight, nine, somewhere in that range whoever 0:40:41.560 --> 0:40:44.759 they play. And that's beautiful for me because I think 0:40:44.760 --> 0:40:47.719 this Tampa team's got problems and no one wants to 0:40:47.760 --> 0:40:51.040 talk about them. Oh not here though, not here. I 0:40:51.080 --> 0:40:52.280 think they beat the Facings easily. 0:40:52.760 --> 0:40:55.560 Yeah, so that I think with them being motivated at 0:40:55.560 --> 0:40:58.360 this point, they've already come out and said we're playing everybody. 0:40:58.800 --> 0:41:01.040 So it's six and a half. You know the Falcons 0:41:01.080 --> 0:41:03.680 hang around for the most part in these games, but 0:41:03.880 --> 0:41:04.799 I'd be willing to take. 0:41:04.719 --> 0:41:08.440 Him at what did you say, Julio Jones playing. 0:41:08.719 --> 0:41:11.400 I'm almost positive he's not. He's trying. He has he 0:41:11.440 --> 0:41:13.799 hasn't practiced yet this week. He's trying to get back 0:41:13.800 --> 0:41:16.319 out there. It'd be crazy for him to actually get 0:41:16.320 --> 0:41:18.480 back out there. So assume he's not playing. And it's 0:41:18.560 --> 0:41:20.799 just Ridley Engage and Hayden. 0:41:20.560 --> 0:41:22.960 Hurst and they can't really run the football. 0:41:23.200 --> 0:41:25.120 They can't run the football at all, and not against 0:41:25.120 --> 0:41:28.160 the Bocks. Yeah, I mean, I think Carlton Davis maybe 0:41:28.239 --> 0:41:30.440 I'm not sure about Carlton Davis playing. So Ridley is 0:41:30.520 --> 0:41:33.440 going to be able to to probably do some stuff, 0:41:33.440 --> 0:41:35.560 and you know they they were able to move the ball, 0:41:35.960 --> 0:41:36.720 you know Bucks. 0:41:36.960 --> 0:41:38.600 I mean it's ugly, but I like it. Six and 0:41:38.600 --> 0:41:40.560 a half. I'm a right cool with it, all right. 0:41:40.600 --> 0:41:42.520 Any other games that you've been thinking about or you want. 0:41:42.400 --> 0:41:44.520 Me to, Yeah, I mean, look at the think we 0:41:44.560 --> 0:41:45.960 think we have to talk about and have to look 0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:50.520 at it. It is Washington and the Eagles, and boy 0:41:51.600 --> 0:41:54.440 Alex Smith is gonna play for Washington, right. 0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:55.480 We think so? 0:41:55.760 --> 0:41:55.960 Right? 0:41:56.000 --> 0:41:57.359 We we think so all right. 0:41:57.400 --> 0:42:00.920 If Alex Smith plays for Washington, I think the Washington 0:42:00.920 --> 0:42:06.360 football team wins this game. If it's not, though, Man, 0:42:06.560 --> 0:42:09.560 this is tough because you have the Dwayne Haskins thing. 0:42:09.680 --> 0:42:15.160 He's now gone, and I mean I did. There's just 0:42:15.239 --> 0:42:17.719 not anyone that I really could back for Washington if 0:42:17.719 --> 0:42:18.040 it's not. 0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:20.920 Al Keller Hennegy might be better than Dwayne Haskins. 0:42:21.040 --> 0:42:21.560 Very possible. 0:42:21.680 --> 0:42:24.719 Yes, And Kara mclaurin's gonna play. 0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:24.880 It. 0:42:24.880 --> 0:42:27.239 Worries me a little bit about McLaurin because he really 0:42:27.320 --> 0:42:30.279 without him, you're talking about Cam Sims, you know, as 0:42:30.320 --> 0:42:33.360 your number one wide receiver there that I mean Thomas. 0:42:33.200 --> 0:42:37.080 Yeah, not good. But here's the problem for the Eagles, 0:42:37.120 --> 0:42:39.520 just like we saw last week. I I just I 0:42:39.560 --> 0:42:41.520 don't think that Eagles defense is all that good. 0:42:41.840 --> 0:42:43.160 That's terrible. 0:42:42.440 --> 0:42:45.399 And and so I think there's a chance no matter 0:42:45.400 --> 0:42:46.920 who's out there, I think there's a chance to move 0:42:46.960 --> 0:42:49.560 the football. And you know, Gibson bane back and whatnot. 0:42:50.000 --> 0:42:52.880 And then I mean not to say that that you know, 0:42:52.920 --> 0:42:55.680 the blooms off the rose there for jam Hurts, but 0:42:55.800 --> 0:42:59.560 I think his mobility gets limited big time up against 0:42:59.560 --> 0:43:01.880 that defense line. Yeah, And I don't think he can 0:43:01.880 --> 0:43:03.759 pick up the same yardage normally. I mean he needs 0:43:03.760 --> 0:43:05.600 to run the football to be effective. I mean he's 0:43:05.680 --> 0:43:09.000 you know, yes, his passing abilities are still lacking. He 0:43:09.080 --> 0:43:12.200 still needs more seasoning, more time. He's not you know, 0:43:12.280 --> 0:43:14.759 he doesn't have this great route tree and yeah, you 0:43:14.760 --> 0:43:17.120 know so, I don't think he's got enough in the 0:43:17.160 --> 0:43:19.520 tank there to go up against a Washington defense that's 0:43:19.560 --> 0:43:22.680 been playing pretty well. So I would like Washington to 0:43:22.719 --> 0:43:26.319 win this game outright in prime time they go seven 0:43:26.360 --> 0:43:28.920 and nine. So if Washington wins, it goes seven and nine. 0:43:29.400 --> 0:43:32.479 What happens? I'm sorry say it again. 0:43:32.480 --> 0:43:36.800 So Washington wins the game outright? Yep, they win the division? Yes, 0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:40.240 and they're in correct. Yeah. I like Washington there. 0:43:40.520 --> 0:43:43.120 Okay, I don't. I don't hate it. I I My 0:43:43.360 --> 0:43:46.360 only worry with it. My only worry with it is 0:43:46.400 --> 0:43:48.839 that this is the last game of the year for 0:43:48.920 --> 0:43:52.600 the Eagles. You're as much as Doug Peterson I think 0:43:52.640 --> 0:43:56.080 has done a pretty terrible job with Carson Wentz at least, 0:43:56.120 --> 0:43:57.439 you know, in the way they call the games everything 0:43:57.440 --> 0:44:00.680 like that. I think you're gonna see as many ricks 0:44:01.000 --> 0:44:04.600 as can be pulled. Sure in this game, but I 0:44:04.640 --> 0:44:06.960 agree with you that that defense is very strong. This 0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:09.279 is the last game, right, this is Sunday night game 0:44:09.360 --> 0:44:11.400 or whatever, so they that's why they did it that way, 0:44:11.440 --> 0:44:14.839 because no matter what else happens, Washington wins and they're in. 0:44:15.520 --> 0:44:15.800 Yeah. 0:44:15.920 --> 0:44:17.680 I don't, I don't. I don't hate it. I originally 0:44:17.680 --> 0:44:18.839 when I looked at it, I was like, I think 0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:22.560 the Eagles might, but yeah, I think, you know, at 0:44:22.560 --> 0:44:25.400 this point, I think that's probably right. I like Washington. 0:44:25.440 --> 0:44:28.000 All right, let's get it there, Okay, any other ones 0:44:28.040 --> 0:44:29.360 you want to talk about before I run through the 0:44:29.360 --> 0:44:30.080 remaining games. 0:44:30.640 --> 0:44:36.080 No, I mean, you know, I I am selfishly I 0:44:36.120 --> 0:44:37.520 need the Raiders to beat the back. 0:44:37.600 --> 0:44:39.000 I'm aware I was going to ask you about that. 0:44:39.160 --> 0:44:40.959 I know you need them for your feet. Yeah, because 0:44:41.000 --> 0:44:44.120 I was looking and you know, putting together the five 0:44:44.200 --> 0:44:46.839 hundred bets that you have made on the Daily Juice 0:44:46.880 --> 0:44:48.040 podcast so I can get your win. 0:44:48.040 --> 0:44:51.680 Loss and more than I'm seven hundred now, I think whatever. 0:44:52.000 --> 0:44:53.279 Right, I was looking at it, I was like, oh, 0:44:53.280 --> 0:44:56.720 here's one that's still outstanding that I can't technically count yet. 0:44:56.640 --> 0:44:59.120 For it's the last future. We went five and one 0:44:59.160 --> 0:45:01.480 going into them four one or five and one on the 0:45:01.480 --> 0:45:04.040 futures in the NFL. So we did quite well with 0:45:04.080 --> 0:45:06.880 our future bets, but this is the last one that's outstanding, 0:45:06.880 --> 0:45:09.400 and it's a push currently because I got seven right, 0:45:09.520 --> 0:45:12.920 so I got slight plus money. And if you remember 0:45:12.960 --> 0:45:15.520 back way back in July, when we didn't have sports 0:45:15.560 --> 0:45:18.000 to bet on all that much, it was I talked 0:45:18.000 --> 0:45:20.040 to a bookmaker in Vegas who at that point had 0:45:20.040 --> 0:45:23.640 not taken a single under bet on the Raiders under seven. 0:45:23.800 --> 0:45:26.360 Like literally every single bet was on the over. So 0:45:26.400 --> 0:45:29.640 there is a monster liability for the books here when 0:45:29.680 --> 0:45:31.840 it comes to this game, Like they are pulling so 0:45:32.000 --> 0:45:34.759 hard for the Broncos, then they don't like refunds. But 0:45:34.840 --> 0:45:37.040 seven and a half was a number that closed a 0:45:37.080 --> 0:45:39.200 lot of places around Vegas. It was seven and a half. 0:45:39.360 --> 0:45:41.480 I got it early in the summer, so it was seven, 0:45:41.760 --> 0:45:43.200 but it was seven and a half for a lot 0:45:43.239 --> 0:45:45.560 of places. So Raiders lose this game to the Broncos, 0:45:45.640 --> 0:45:47.719 it's gonna be a nice windfall for different different books 0:45:47.760 --> 0:45:52.719 around around the strip. So I mean the Raiders, gosh, 0:45:52.960 --> 0:45:54.719 I mean they they have to be able to win 0:45:54.760 --> 0:45:56.920 this game. But it's it's a mile high. It's just 0:45:57.120 --> 0:45:59.000 it's such a tough place to go play and have 0:45:59.120 --> 0:46:01.680 to win, and it does doesn't mean anything like it 0:46:01.760 --> 0:46:03.759 only means it's a football game, so you want to 0:46:03.800 --> 0:46:08.200 win it, but there's no playoff implications. It's this is 0:46:08.239 --> 0:46:11.560 this is so hard. I mean, my gut says Raiders 0:46:11.560 --> 0:46:14.439 can win it, but I don't know. I mean that's yeah. 0:46:14.560 --> 0:46:16.680 My My problem is I need it, so I'm a 0:46:16.719 --> 0:46:17.880 little biased. 0:46:17.760 --> 0:46:20.560 Right, No, I'm I'm actually the exact I don't need it, 0:46:20.600 --> 0:46:23.160 but I'm in the exact same situation in terms of 0:46:23.200 --> 0:46:26.080 how I view it. This everything to me says like 0:46:26.719 --> 0:46:29.400 the Raid, the Raiders are a better team than the Broncos, 0:46:29.440 --> 0:46:32.000 Like I don't have much doubt about that. Yeah, it 0:46:32.080 --> 0:46:34.160 says to me like they should be able to win 0:46:34.200 --> 0:46:36.520 this game. But in Mile High always scares me no 0:46:36.560 --> 0:46:39.680 matter what, nothing really to play for. It just makes 0:46:39.719 --> 0:46:43.120 me just makes me too hesitant. But awesome, I'm gonna 0:46:43.160 --> 0:46:45.400 be investing in the Raiders because I'm invested. 0:46:45.320 --> 0:46:49.600 In you in your future, so I very well might 0:46:49.640 --> 0:46:52.239 be in this and on this simply personally, just you know, 0:46:52.320 --> 0:46:53.719 as a money line. You know, if you do one 0:46:53.760 --> 0:46:55.279 of these money line parlays we made to have the 0:46:55.360 --> 0:46:57.240 Raiders be a part of it. It's a small line 0:46:57.520 --> 0:46:59.040 at two and a half, so it's not horrible if 0:46:59.040 --> 0:47:00.960 you want to just lay it and I think they're 0:47:00.960 --> 0:47:03.560 gonna win the game. But like, does Waller have any 0:47:03.760 --> 0:47:05.680 I gotta look at something. I wonder if Darren Waller 0:47:05.719 --> 0:47:08.600 has any incentives because I didn't. 0:47:08.880 --> 0:47:12.759 I didn't see it. I've been trying hard to uh 0:47:13.160 --> 0:47:16.520 keep track of that if I can. I didn't see 0:47:16.560 --> 0:47:18.360 anything there. 0:47:18.560 --> 0:47:20.920 But I mean he because if he's the key to 0:47:20.960 --> 0:47:24.560 their entire team. So like, if Waller has a reason 0:47:24.640 --> 0:47:27.040 to ball and go out and have a two hundred, 0:47:27.160 --> 0:47:27.640 I got. 0:47:27.440 --> 0:47:31.160 I got one ready. Yees, six six catches from the 0:47:31.280 --> 0:47:32.840 single season record. 0:47:33.160 --> 0:47:36.080 They're going to force feed that. Okay, that's happening. So 0:47:36.200 --> 0:47:38.759 Waller's a prop bet reception over there? 0:47:38.800 --> 0:47:40.880 We go, Yeah, by the way, right, let's have some 0:47:40.920 --> 0:47:43.399 fun on prop bets this way. Yeah, you probably got 0:47:43.400 --> 0:47:45.920 all this sort of stuff to get there. But yes, 0:47:46.080 --> 0:47:49.440 apparently six receptions. There's somebody on on Twitter. I'll give 0:47:49.480 --> 0:47:54.120 me a shout out, Anthony Amico or amiccot at A 0:47:54.320 --> 0:47:57.320 M I C S T A. He has been listing 0:47:57.880 --> 0:48:02.640 all the notework the milestones slash bonuses the players can 0:48:02.680 --> 0:48:04.040 reach in week seventeen. 0:48:04.239 --> 0:48:08.000 So what's the handle again at. 0:48:07.360 --> 0:48:11.600 Amic style, which is a M I. C. S T. 0:48:12.040 --> 0:48:16.160 A Anthony Miko or Amigo. He's a good follow on Twitter, 0:48:16.280 --> 0:48:17.680 but he's been keeping track. 0:48:17.680 --> 0:48:21.840 Yeah, because that's well, yeah, that's big. That's a Waller. 0:48:22.360 --> 0:48:24.799 You know, probably five and a half receptions probably will 0:48:24.840 --> 0:48:27.120 be set at and maybe he might be six and 0:48:27.120 --> 0:48:28.799 a half, knowing the books are probably gonna be aware 0:48:28.800 --> 0:48:30.279 of that, so maybe six and a half, but I 0:48:30.320 --> 0:48:32.200 still would bet the over there they're going to force 0:48:32.239 --> 0:48:35.120 feed Waller and get to get him the receptions record. 0:48:35.760 --> 0:48:38.040 So that's one thing I would look at. And so 0:48:38.520 --> 0:48:41.120 you know, if he's running down the sidelines with forty 0:48:41.160 --> 0:48:44.360 fifty yard receptions because he could, then yeah, okay, the 0:48:44.440 --> 0:48:47.160 Raiders very well might be in there. And you know, 0:48:47.280 --> 0:48:49.520 Derek Carr has a lot of pride. He's trying to 0:48:49.560 --> 0:48:52.000 prove himself. He's trying to say, this is my team. 0:48:52.120 --> 0:48:53.800 And you know, we're going to the fact. 0:48:53.560 --> 0:48:56.800 That he played last week and played well. Yeah, given 0:48:57.120 --> 0:48:59.360 you know, the the growing, you know, strain that he 0:48:59.400 --> 0:49:01.959 had is pretty remarkable in and of itself. 0:49:01.640 --> 0:49:03.399 And I do think the team wants to doesn't want 0:49:03.440 --> 0:49:05.880 to end a year on back to back losses and losing. 0:49:06.280 --> 0:49:09.000 It would be they would have lost. I think there 0:49:09.000 --> 0:49:10.840 were seven and three at one point, so they go 0:49:10.880 --> 0:49:14.239 seven and nine. They have lost the last six games, right, right, So. 0:49:14.360 --> 0:49:14.960 I think that's right. 0:49:15.000 --> 0:49:16.600 I don't think they want to go out like that 0:49:17.200 --> 0:49:20.440 on that type of losing streak, and you know, being 0:49:20.520 --> 0:49:23.160 in a playoff contention to just falling flat on their 0:49:23.160 --> 0:49:26.319 face like that. So them and the Patriots are both 0:49:26.400 --> 0:49:28.720 are in the in this spot where I just wonder 0:49:29.200 --> 0:49:31.960 I wouldn't touch the Patriots game, but just I'm wondering 0:49:32.040 --> 0:49:35.120 if they've got this we can't go out like that. 0:49:35.560 --> 0:49:38.360 Attitude, So what do you. Let's talk about the Patriots 0:49:38.360 --> 0:49:40.279 real quick. So you just they're laying three to the 0:49:40.360 --> 0:49:41.640 Jets in New England. 0:49:41.760 --> 0:49:47.080 Just I could see the Patriots lose that game by twenty. Yeah, 0:49:47.120 --> 0:49:50.799 I could see this. I could see everyone's coming for this. 0:49:50.960 --> 0:49:53.719 You know that this is the lion that has a 0:49:53.719 --> 0:49:57.720 broken leg. Okay, everyone's coming for him. Everyone wants a piece, 0:49:58.040 --> 0:50:00.600 they all. I mean, this is the only thing that's 0:50:00.640 --> 0:50:02.880 interesting about this game that leads me to believe the 0:50:02.960 --> 0:50:05.440 Jets might not do that is that Adam gaze is 0:50:05.480 --> 0:50:07.440 rumored to be joining the Patriots' staff. 0:50:08.200 --> 0:50:12.000 Okay, but is that rumor really just based on Bill 0:50:12.000 --> 0:50:14.360 Belichick being like, Oh, I think Sam Darnold has gotten 0:50:14.440 --> 0:50:16.719 the best coaching that he possibly could have gotten. I mean, 0:50:16.800 --> 0:50:19.040 is that or is there actual rumors about them? 0:50:19.040 --> 0:50:21.920 There's actual rumors that he could be joining the Patriots 0:50:21.920 --> 0:50:25.279 as an offensive There's rumors that Josh McDaniels is going 0:50:25.360 --> 0:50:28.000 to go and take a head coaching job and that, 0:50:29.120 --> 0:50:31.200 and then the Patriots would hire Adam Gasee to be 0:50:31.200 --> 0:50:32.120 the offensive coordinator. 0:50:32.480 --> 0:50:34.840 I mean, you're available, Matt, why don't they hire you 0:50:34.880 --> 0:50:37.320 as the offensive coordinator instead of Adam Gates? 0:50:37.600 --> 0:50:39.960 You know, I don't, look, I'm not a football mind. 0:50:40.040 --> 0:50:42.640 I can't tell you that if the offense is being 0:50:42.680 --> 0:50:45.120 run properly and it's the quarterbacks problem, or it's a 0:50:45.160 --> 0:50:48.000 receiving problem, or I don't know. Gates is a horrific leader, 0:50:48.160 --> 0:50:50.759 He's a horrific head coach. He's been that way. And 0:50:50.800 --> 0:50:53.720 I made the joke that maybe maybe the Saban rehab 0:50:53.800 --> 0:50:56.200 tour is going to come to the NFL and all 0:50:56.239 --> 0:50:58.239 these former head coaches are going to go work for 0:50:58.280 --> 0:51:02.000 Bill Belichick to get the to rehab their image and 0:51:02.040 --> 0:51:04.320 then go on and do something else. I mean Steve, 0:51:04.880 --> 0:51:08.839 Steve Sarkesian for the Forbama. You know he was he's 0:51:09.000 --> 0:51:11.319 obvious an alcoholic still, but he had all problems off 0:51:11.320 --> 0:51:12.920 the field, and now he's like the hottest name in 0:51:12.960 --> 0:51:15.000 coaching right now to get go to the job because 0:51:15.040 --> 0:51:17.400 of what he's done with with with Mac Jones and Alabama. 0:51:17.480 --> 0:51:20.120 So maybe you can turn the tide if the Patriots 0:51:20.120 --> 0:51:22.520 get a quarterback, if it's Matthew Stafford who comes in, 0:51:22.560 --> 0:51:25.120 which I would be all in on. Uh, you know, 0:51:25.760 --> 0:51:28.200 you get Stafford, you get Adam Gase. I mean maybe 0:51:28.280 --> 0:51:31.480 you changed the topic and change the conversation. But I 0:51:31.640 --> 0:51:33.800 just I don't know, man, Yeah, I could see that. 0:51:33.960 --> 0:51:36.719 I'm not going near that. Yeah, I just bring back 0:51:36.760 --> 0:51:38.239 to the game. I'm not going near it. I think 0:51:38.280 --> 0:51:41.600 the Jets might win, but I can never underestimate how 0:51:41.680 --> 0:51:45.680 much Belichick hates the Jets, so I never really want 0:51:45.680 --> 0:51:46.120 to get there. 0:51:47.120 --> 0:51:49.120 Sinham starting, I don't know. 0:51:49.200 --> 0:51:51.319 I don't think it matters, man, Matt. I think Cam 0:51:51.360 --> 0:51:53.479 Newton's terrible, but I think Dared Sidham's pretty terrible. 0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:54.960 From what I would agree, I mean, he but I 0:51:55.280 --> 0:51:57.600 wonder what I want is I want the narrative to 0:51:57.640 --> 0:52:00.959 be over. If you gave Art's sid him an entire 0:52:00.960 --> 0:52:03.160 week to prepare, like this is your week, kid, right, 0:52:03.760 --> 0:52:05.239 and then he goes off against the Jets and he 0:52:05.280 --> 0:52:08.319 loses and looks bad. It ends the conversation about who 0:52:08.800 --> 0:52:10.719 Jared Stinham is going to be for the Patriots. It's 0:52:10.760 --> 0:52:13.080 no longer He's not the guy. I mean, it's just done. 0:52:13.440 --> 0:52:15.960 And I think you've seen throughout the course of the 0:52:16.080 --> 0:52:21.360 year why he's not playing and cam is it's because 0:52:21.360 --> 0:52:23.640 the team knows he's not very good and they learned 0:52:23.640 --> 0:52:26.160 that as they went as they were like, uh oh, 0:52:26.480 --> 0:52:29.200 he really can't like he thought he might, but he 0:52:29.280 --> 0:52:32.600 really can't. So they're going to bring in a bunch. 0:52:32.840 --> 0:52:35.080 And that's where I just think. I mean, put this way, 0:52:35.200 --> 0:52:37.200 the Patriots may have a chance to bring back both 0:52:37.280 --> 0:52:42.000 Jacoby Brissett and Jimmy Garoppolo next year. Yeah, like that's possible. 0:52:42.160 --> 0:52:44.640 They could bring it. They could bring both quarterbacks back 0:52:44.880 --> 0:52:47.480 that they had, not that they will, but I think 0:52:47.480 --> 0:52:49.960 they could bring Garoppolo back if they if they have 0:52:50.000 --> 0:52:51.279 to have a chance to do it. If the forty 0:52:51.360 --> 0:52:55.360 Nunders do release him, so I just I would rather 0:52:55.560 --> 0:52:58.560 if it was Stinham, I might back the Patriots, but 0:52:58.680 --> 0:53:02.040 with Cam, I can't the Patriots. I just it's no 0:53:02.480 --> 0:53:04.320 and you have to run the football for the Patriots, 0:53:04.360 --> 0:53:06.120 and the Jets are decent and stop in the run. 0:53:06.840 --> 0:53:09.120 Yeah, that's the one thing the Jets do fairly well. 0:53:09.120 --> 0:53:11.200 But yeah, I'm not really going near that game. Just 0:53:11.520 --> 0:53:13.880 I think the Jets might win, but I'm not betting it. 0:53:14.360 --> 0:53:16.880 How about the what do you think about the Seahawks 0:53:17.560 --> 0:53:19.280 laying six to the forty nine ers. 0:53:20.040 --> 0:53:21.560 Look, this is a game with the Niners that they 0:53:21.680 --> 0:53:24.280 play hard. I'd be concerned and I think the numbers 0:53:24.280 --> 0:53:27.400 too heavy. Personally, I think Seattle wins the game. But 0:53:27.400 --> 0:53:28.920 I think if I was a back aside on this, 0:53:28.920 --> 0:53:30.279 I would take the six points. 0:53:30.560 --> 0:53:32.320 Yeah, I think I would too. I like the under. 0:53:32.560 --> 0:53:34.040 I have it at forty six. You know, I go 0:53:34.080 --> 0:53:35.799 and you can get the picks on betting press because 0:53:35.800 --> 0:53:38.000 I think there's just gonna be one of those kind 0:53:38.040 --> 0:53:40.400 of close games. I kind of do like the Niners, 0:53:40.440 --> 0:53:42.880 but the Seahawks they do still have something to play for, 0:53:43.160 --> 0:53:45.440 of course, because they can win it. So I'm probably 0:53:45.440 --> 0:53:47.040 not going near it. But I agree that if there 0:53:47.120 --> 0:53:49.000 is a side, the forty nine ers. But the bet 0:53:49.120 --> 0:53:51.360 I like in this game if there is one, is 0:53:51.400 --> 0:53:54.160 the under on the forty six when I got it, 0:53:54.239 --> 0:53:55.480 because I do think that this is gonna be a 0:53:55.520 --> 0:53:58.040 game where both teams are gonna run and control the clock, 0:53:58.080 --> 0:54:00.000 and you know you've got all the offensive pieces out 0:54:00.400 --> 0:54:02.480 for the forty nine ers. But yeah, I agree, I would. 0:54:02.320 --> 0:54:05.160 Prefer the game not being in Arizona. 0:54:04.600 --> 0:54:06.719 Though, yes, it's an Arizona, right, Yeah, I. 0:54:06.680 --> 0:54:09.240 Would prefer not being there because that leads to more offense. 0:54:09.239 --> 0:54:10.839 If it was in sam fran I would be one 0:54:10.880 --> 0:54:11.800 hundred percent of the under. 0:54:11.840 --> 0:54:14.000 But it's a good point. Good point, very good point. 0:54:14.600 --> 0:54:16.600 How about the Chargers laying three and a half to 0:54:16.640 --> 0:54:18.000 the backup Chiefs. 0:54:18.160 --> 0:54:19.680 I don't know what to make of that. That just 0:54:19.680 --> 0:54:21.800 feels like the Casey's punting on the game. 0:54:21.680 --> 0:54:24.040 Right, Yeah, so like completely punting. 0:54:24.239 --> 0:54:26.319 Can the Chargers win a game at Arrowhead and the 0:54:26.320 --> 0:54:29.400 weather outside? I mean, I mean, here's the question, how 0:54:29.400 --> 0:54:32.000 does Anthony wit Lynn manage to win this game by 0:54:32.040 --> 0:54:36.319 three points and not cover? That's my question? Right, He's 0:54:36.320 --> 0:54:38.200 not gonna come, you know, he's not covering Like Anthony 0:54:38.280 --> 0:54:40.319 Lyn's not going to do anyone a favor on the 0:54:40.320 --> 0:54:42.240 way out the door. He's not going to cover against 0:54:42.280 --> 0:54:45.200 Kansas City, right, So, like, how does he backdoor lose 0:54:45.600 --> 0:54:47.719 by if they win the win by three, they won't 0:54:48.040 --> 0:54:49.080 the hook there matters. 0:54:49.400 --> 0:54:53.080 Yeah, Yeah, I don't want it. I just don't. This 0:54:53.120 --> 0:54:55.080 is a type of game where I'm like, I'm staying away. 0:54:55.120 --> 0:54:58.920 I'm not going anywhere. Second Cardinals laying three to the Rams. 0:54:59.239 --> 0:55:04.279 Look, something tells me that Rams are gonna win that game. Now, 0:55:04.280 --> 0:55:06.439 I'm not touching it, Okay, because I've been way off 0:55:06.480 --> 0:55:09.120 on this, But McVeigh has been talking about this backup 0:55:09.200 --> 0:55:12.520 quarterback like it's his son, like he likes this kid 0:55:12.840 --> 0:55:16.160 a lot, and and supposedly he says that ninety percent 0:55:16.160 --> 0:55:21.960 of the playbook is in for the Rams here, So no, 0:55:22.400 --> 0:55:24.160 Kyler Murray's not gonna be one hundred percent, It's gonna 0:55:24.160 --> 0:55:26.920 be a you know, seventy five eighty percent. I don't know. 0:55:26.960 --> 0:55:29.240 I just think after the Rams away they've played recently, 0:55:29.239 --> 0:55:31.160 I wouldn't put it past them. If the Rams win 0:55:31.239 --> 0:55:33.840 and go ten and six, are they they in? 0:55:35.280 --> 0:55:37.160 If the Rams win and go ten and six, they 0:55:37.160 --> 0:55:37.400 are in. 0:55:37.480 --> 0:55:40.160 Yes, so they got to win to get in correct. 0:55:40.160 --> 0:55:42.640 This is a game basically for the playoffs, so. 0:55:42.600 --> 0:55:46.600 It's a home dog with a win to get in scenario. Yes, 0:55:46.680 --> 0:55:48.040 how do we not take the Rams there? 0:55:49.520 --> 0:55:51.880 Because they have no running back and they have no quarterback. 0:55:51.920 --> 0:55:53.040 That that's the only way. 0:55:55.000 --> 0:55:57.279 Huh. So you need the defense to make a bunch 0:55:57.320 --> 0:56:03.160 of plays. Yeah, and they are fully healthy at defense. Yes, 0:56:03.920 --> 0:56:05.640 I'd buy the half a point, go three and a half. 0:56:05.680 --> 0:56:10.480 I'd lay it, would I would take the three and half, 0:56:10.480 --> 0:56:11.959 not late, Sorry, I take the three and a half. Sorry, 0:56:12.320 --> 0:56:14.040 I would. I would take Rams plus three and a 0:56:14.080 --> 0:56:17.880 half if it gets there. I know one book fandels 0:56:17.920 --> 0:56:19.319 at three and a half right now, but everybody else 0:56:19.360 --> 0:56:22.480 is at three points bets is three even money, So 0:56:22.520 --> 0:56:24.160 they don't want to get they don't want to get 0:56:24.160 --> 0:56:26.480 off of it. It looks like there's Chargers that there's 0:56:26.480 --> 0:56:29.600 Cardinals money coming in though, So let the public bet 0:56:29.640 --> 0:56:31.040 the Cardinals and take the Rams late. 0:56:31.880 --> 0:56:34.880 Okay, I like it. I like where your heads are. Actually, 0:56:34.920 --> 0:56:36.560 yeah it is. It's at three and a half right 0:56:36.560 --> 0:56:37.960 now on DraftKings. 0:56:37.680 --> 0:56:42.000 For the ramsay, so so that hook matters for me. 0:56:42.239 --> 0:56:45.160 It's two and a half in the Westgate Contest. I 0:56:45.200 --> 0:56:47.840 will not be playing that. I probably would take that. 0:56:48.000 --> 0:56:49.520 I may do. The Cardinals are two and a half. 0:56:49.600 --> 0:56:51.319 I think I think it's a big I think it's 0:56:51.360 --> 0:56:52.919 one of those games where it's going to be nip 0:56:52.920 --> 0:56:55.160 and tuck coming down. I would expect both quarterbacks to 0:56:55.200 --> 0:56:58.480 make mistakes. I think both defenses need to rise up. 0:56:59.200 --> 0:57:01.719 One thing that drove me nuts and I'm wondering is 0:57:01.760 --> 0:57:05.200 it a Jared Goff thing or a Sean McVay thing. 0:57:05.280 --> 0:57:09.840 But the amount of horizontal running that this team that 0:57:09.880 --> 0:57:13.840 the Rams do on offense drives me crazy. Now everything 0:57:14.000 --> 0:57:17.360 is a is a bubble screen or a jet sweep 0:57:17.840 --> 0:57:20.439 or a toss. I mean, they just don't go north 0:57:20.440 --> 0:57:23.280 and south enough. And it drives me crazy with with 0:57:23.400 --> 0:57:25.760 with Jared Goff the quarterback spot, So I wonder with 0:57:25.840 --> 0:57:29.480 the backup do they throw the ball more vertically? Can 0:57:29.520 --> 0:57:32.280 they throw the ball vertically more? Can they be more 0:57:32.320 --> 0:57:36.200 north and south against the Cardinals? I guess we'll find out. 0:57:36.280 --> 0:57:37.800 Is it the offense or is it golf? 0:57:38.320 --> 0:57:42.160 Yeah? I don't know. I you got if you talked 0:57:42.200 --> 0:57:44.200 me into taking the Rams plus three and a half, 0:57:44.240 --> 0:57:45.720 I'm gonna be really mad at you because I'm just 0:57:45.760 --> 0:57:47.640 I'm not ready, not ready to do it. I have 0:57:47.680 --> 0:57:48.760 no idea what we just wait. 0:57:49.080 --> 0:57:50.640 I think public money is coming into the Cardinals. 0:57:50.640 --> 0:57:52.520 I think I know, of course it is. 0:57:52.600 --> 0:57:55.640 Of course, I think the line is gonna be higher. 0:57:55.680 --> 0:57:56.280 I think the lines. 0:57:56.280 --> 0:57:59.760 Well, I'm on draftings right now, I'm looking at it, 0:57:59.800 --> 0:58:02.520 and over the last hour it has moved to three 0:58:02.560 --> 0:58:04.479 and a half. That so you're you're right. I mean, 0:58:04.520 --> 0:58:05.760 this is man. 0:58:05.600 --> 0:58:07.400 To watch it. I mean you you might get four, 0:58:07.440 --> 0:58:09.040 you might get, but you might get more. I mean 0:58:09.120 --> 0:58:11.400 it's a it's a home dog in a must win situation. 0:58:11.480 --> 0:58:14.040 I mean, it's just I don't really care. I mean again, 0:58:14.320 --> 0:58:16.600 if this backup kid can be at eighty five to 0:58:16.680 --> 0:58:19.200 ninety pero of the playbook, okay, I mean I don't 0:58:19.240 --> 0:58:21.160 I know. The running back situation is horrible. You got 0:58:21.160 --> 0:58:24.800 third string running backs back there. Who is Henderson? Who's running? 0:58:25.400 --> 0:58:27.919 No, Henderson's out, He's on ir It's gonna be Malcolm Brown, 0:58:27.960 --> 0:58:30.840 assuming that Cam Akers can't come back, which I'm assuming 0:58:30.880 --> 0:58:31.360 at the moment. 0:58:31.840 --> 0:58:34.320 So but if he does come back, does that change 0:58:34.320 --> 0:58:35.640 your opinion? Maybe? 0:58:35.840 --> 0:58:37.840 Maybe? I don't know. I don't know enough about Walford. 0:58:37.880 --> 0:58:39.840 You know, I just don't know enough about him, like 0:58:40.360 --> 0:58:42.120 they do, be really tough to back. 0:58:42.040 --> 0:58:44.680 Them at every RAMS person I follow says this kid 0:58:44.720 --> 0:58:45.240 can play. 0:58:45.480 --> 0:58:47.080 Okay, but I mean who knows. 0:58:47.120 --> 0:58:49.840 But everyone everyone covers the Rams says, if you think 0:58:49.880 --> 0:58:52.680 the offense is not gonna work because of the backup quarterback, 0:58:52.680 --> 0:58:55.280 you're wrong. Like all right, I mean, oh. 0:58:55.160 --> 0:58:58.040 Man, okay, all right, Well again, Darren Goff has you know, 0:58:58.120 --> 0:59:01.080 rarely impressed me anyway, So we'll maybe. 0:59:00.920 --> 0:59:03.720 Sir, teaser three and a half, four and a half 0:59:03.760 --> 0:59:07.760 get to ten RAM plus ten at home, right, all right, 0:59:07.880 --> 0:59:08.480 all right. 0:59:08.400 --> 0:59:10.560 Austin, already, I'm gonna give my teaser at the end 0:59:10.560 --> 0:59:13.000 of this because I do have a two team the 0:59:13.240 --> 0:59:18.320 patented paral two team teaser six on the year you're crushing, man, 0:59:18.360 --> 0:59:20.760 I'm gonna I've just made mine as we were doing this, 0:59:20.840 --> 0:59:23.200 I was betting it on draftings as we were talking 0:59:23.200 --> 0:59:25.720 through this. Sometimes this helps my process. I have just 0:59:25.760 --> 0:59:27.040 bet it. I will give it at the end. Let's 0:59:27.040 --> 0:59:29.240 finish up the last two games that we haven't talked about. 0:59:29.560 --> 0:59:33.360 Colt slaying fourteen to the Jaguars in Indianapolis. 0:59:33.640 --> 0:59:37.200 I mean, I just think this is a game they win, right, 0:59:37.320 --> 0:59:37.919 that don't cover? 0:59:38.680 --> 0:59:43.120 Right? I don't. I don't. I don't think that it's 0:59:43.160 --> 0:59:45.240 something where I could feel comfortable. 0:59:45.280 --> 0:59:47.320 It feels like a twenty to three type of game 0:59:47.440 --> 0:59:49.680 where yes, they just do enough to win, the Jags 0:59:49.720 --> 0:59:53.840 do nothing, and then it's just an ugly awful Week 0:59:53.920 --> 0:59:58.080 seventeen slop fest. Yes, and like, okay, maybe one bounce 0:59:58.160 --> 0:59:59.840 of the ball, the Jags lose it by twenty to 0:59:59.840 --> 1:00:02.320 tw ten and you lose your bet. So like, no way, 1:00:02.360 --> 1:00:04.080 you can never beat the Jaguars or the Colts in 1:00:04.080 --> 1:00:04.400 this game. 1:00:04.760 --> 1:00:06.840 I agree. And finally the Saints slank six and a 1:00:06.840 --> 1:00:08.120 half to the Panthers. 1:00:08.200 --> 1:00:10.280 So this is an interesting game for me because I 1:00:10.360 --> 1:00:11.880 want to tease. This is a game I want to 1:00:11.880 --> 1:00:15.000 tease down and take the Saints. Yep, just because the 1:00:15.000 --> 1:00:16.960 Saints have to win this game, right, like going But 1:00:17.120 --> 1:00:18.840 will they know they're They don't. 1:00:18.880 --> 1:00:22.120 They don't have to. I think the only way they 1:00:23.320 --> 1:00:28.520 get the number one seed is if they the Packers 1:00:28.560 --> 1:00:31.800 have to lose, right guaranteed, and they have to win 1:00:32.280 --> 1:00:35.160 and the Seahawks have to win. That's the only way 1:00:35.200 --> 1:00:38.520 they get it. So they lose the Seahawks have to 1:00:38.600 --> 1:00:42.200 win because if it's a head, this is my understanding. 1:00:42.280 --> 1:00:43.400 It's a three headed monster. 1:00:43.480 --> 1:00:46.440 Right now, I had to head with the with the Packers, 1:00:46.480 --> 1:00:49.360 they lose a three a three way tie. 1:00:49.040 --> 1:00:51.600 They win, okay because that third Yeah, okay, and that's right. 1:00:51.880 --> 1:00:58.280 I'm receive Krannaky doing that. Yeah, I would, just I mean, 1:00:58.320 --> 1:01:00.320 if I played this, tease, just tease down to a point, 1:01:00.320 --> 1:01:01.320 say it's gona win the game, that's all. 1:01:01.560 --> 1:01:03.200 I don't even like it. I don't like it. I mean, 1:01:03.240 --> 1:01:06.360 the Panthers are down. Every running back, not even Mike 1:01:06.440 --> 1:01:08.880 Davis is playing in this one. Right, I don't even know. 1:01:08.920 --> 1:01:11.000 But it's Steady Covers. I don't know who knows. I 1:01:11.360 --> 1:01:13.000 just i'd stay away from it, all right, Matt. So 1:01:13.200 --> 1:01:15.520 we'll have our five official picks. Here are the ones 1:01:15.560 --> 1:01:18.160 that are under consideration right now. Vikings lank six and 1:01:18.200 --> 1:01:20.959 a half to the Lions, yep. The Steelers getting nine 1:01:22.000 --> 1:01:24.440 from the Browns yep. The Ravens laying twelve and a 1:01:24.480 --> 1:01:26.960 half to the Bengals, the Packers laying five and a 1:01:27.000 --> 1:01:29.360 half to the Bears, the Bucks laying six and a 1:01:29.400 --> 1:01:32.560 half to the Falcons, Washington laying one and a half 1:01:32.560 --> 1:01:34.800 to the Eagles, Bills laying one and a half to 1:01:34.880 --> 1:01:39.160 the Dolphins, the Cowboys, I think it was right laying 1:01:39.240 --> 1:01:41.440 two and a half to the Giants, and maybe the 1:01:41.600 --> 1:01:43.880 Raiders laying two and a half to the Browns. 1:01:43.840 --> 1:01:45.240 Were way too many favorites. 1:01:45.480 --> 1:01:46.800 No, no, that's fine. 1:01:46.960 --> 1:01:47.200 Yeah. 1:01:47.240 --> 1:01:50.640 So I like the Steelers, you know that, Okay, getting 1:01:50.680 --> 1:01:53.560 nine and a half? Yeah, you're okay with that? Yep, okay, 1:01:53.720 --> 1:01:55.880 very good. All right, what else do you like? You 1:01:56.000 --> 1:01:57.920 like the Packers, right, you're big on the Packers. 1:01:58.040 --> 1:02:00.360 Yeah, I like like I like the Packer Kers and 1:02:00.400 --> 1:02:01.840 the Vikings both to be go out to be home. 1:02:01.880 --> 1:02:04.320 Okay, let's get those, Okay, So there we go. So 1:02:04.360 --> 1:02:06.080 the other ones are I mean, I like the Ravens, 1:02:06.080 --> 1:02:07.560 but that's a big number, of course. 1:02:07.720 --> 1:02:09.080 Yeah. 1:02:09.240 --> 1:02:11.000 Washington basically just needs to win the game. 1:02:11.200 --> 1:02:13.880 Yeah, I like, I like Washington. There. I wish it 1:02:13.920 --> 1:02:16.760 was a dog though, man, that's I got. 1:02:16.800 --> 1:02:19.040 Well, we don't have any other dogs, man, Like that's it. 1:02:19.040 --> 1:02:21.400 It's it's it's the Steelers. 1:02:21.280 --> 1:02:23.600 I guess. I mean, there is some logic to laying 1:02:23.640 --> 1:02:26.400 favorites in Week seventeen, just because of the fact that 1:02:26.520 --> 1:02:29.000 there are teams who need to win and at this point, 1:02:29.040 --> 1:02:31.960 the books have all the algorithm data that they need 1:02:32.400 --> 1:02:34.920 right to come up with and tell you who is 1:02:34.960 --> 1:02:36.880 going to be you know, where the money is going 1:02:36.960 --> 1:02:39.520 to go and where people are going to get into. Yeah, 1:02:39.520 --> 1:02:43.680 but I've gone I've done more study into why lines 1:02:43.720 --> 1:02:45.640 are made where they are this year than I ever 1:02:45.720 --> 1:02:49.920 have before. And it is a fascinating year because in 1:02:50.000 --> 1:02:52.560 Las Vegas, in the month of November it was the 1:02:52.600 --> 1:02:57.640 most profitable month in the history of Vegas, and nine 1:02:57.760 --> 1:03:01.760 out of every ten bets made were one in the 1:03:01.840 --> 1:03:08.560 NFL by the books. Wow, okay, ninety percent wagers in 1:03:08.640 --> 1:03:10.480 the NFL were won by the books. 1:03:10.760 --> 1:03:12.360 Holy cow, that's insane. 1:03:12.440 --> 1:03:15.880 The public got annihilated this year in the NFL. Just 1:03:16.000 --> 1:03:19.400 week after week after week, they got killed. The only 1:03:19.440 --> 1:03:21.760 thing that really hurt the books was two team teasers, 1:03:22.280 --> 1:03:24.560 and a lot of people did very well, including myself 1:03:24.680 --> 1:03:27.320 on two team teasers. But other than that, I mean 1:03:27.360 --> 1:03:32.120 like literally everything else. So the lines this year have 1:03:32.240 --> 1:03:35.800 been super sharp, and they've dangled in from of the 1:03:35.840 --> 1:03:39.600 public without fans in the stands. I think that's when 1:03:39.640 --> 1:03:41.040 we look back on the NFL year, I think that's 1:03:41.080 --> 1:03:42.520 gonna be the most difficult thing for all of us 1:03:42.520 --> 1:03:44.760 to realize is that fans in the stands really did 1:03:44.760 --> 1:03:47.919 play a pretty big factor in how these games went 1:03:48.120 --> 1:03:51.560 and just straight up playing football without any real influence 1:03:51.560 --> 1:03:55.280 of an environment. The books took advantage of us, of 1:03:55.360 --> 1:03:57.560 everyone pros and Joe's I. 1:03:57.920 --> 1:03:59.640 Got one for you then? Are you ready? 1:03:59.680 --> 1:03:59.760 Now? 1:04:00.040 --> 1:04:02.880 Technically the consensus line is at three, but it hasn't 1:04:03.720 --> 1:04:06.080 as the DraftKings just moved. Why don't we just take 1:04:06.080 --> 1:04:08.400 the Rams getting three and a half against the Cardinals? Yes, 1:04:08.640 --> 1:04:10.400 love it, Okay, okay. 1:04:10.200 --> 1:04:11.640 It's two and a half for me in my contest, 1:04:11.640 --> 1:04:12.280 but let's take it. 1:04:12.560 --> 1:04:15.880 Yeah, all right, So that'll be our official five plays, 1:04:15.920 --> 1:04:18.160 even though again we don't have a contest. Yes, but 1:04:18.360 --> 1:04:20.560 it's the Vikings laying six and a half the lines, 1:04:20.640 --> 1:04:23.960 the Steelers getting nine. It's nine or nine and a half, 1:04:24.040 --> 1:04:26.280 but we'll do it at nine to the Browns, the 1:04:26.840 --> 1:04:30.200 Packers length five and a half to the Bears, Washington 1:04:30.320 --> 1:04:31.760 Lane one and a half to the Eagles, and the 1:04:31.840 --> 1:04:34.360 Rams getting three and a half from the Cardinals. 1:04:34.680 --> 1:04:37.000 Two dogs, three favorites, right, yeah, I like two dogs. 1:04:37.040 --> 1:04:39.160 Tore your favorites, yes, and one of the favorites is Washington, 1:04:39.160 --> 1:04:40.200 which is a point and a half. 1:04:40.360 --> 1:04:41.280 Yes, like it. 1:04:41.440 --> 1:04:43.760 You go with that. Go all right, and let me 1:04:43.800 --> 1:04:45.600 tell you the two team teasers that I bet while 1:04:45.600 --> 1:04:47.840 we were doing this as we were talking through it 1:04:47.920 --> 1:04:50.040 is h and again this is on DraftKings because I'm 1:04:50.040 --> 1:04:52.840 in New Hampshire sale place. Second bet the Steelers. I'm 1:04:52.880 --> 1:04:55.400 teasing them up from which is currently plus nine two 1:04:55.520 --> 1:04:59.560 plus fifteen like it, and the Titans. I'm teasing down 1:04:59.600 --> 1:05:01.640 from seven and a half to laying one and a half. 1:05:01.720 --> 1:05:01.800 Like. 1:05:02.000 --> 1:05:04.439 That's my two team teaser. It's at minus one twelve. 1:05:04.480 --> 1:05:06.520 By the way, didn't two team teasers Matt used to 1:05:06.560 --> 1:05:10.320 be at minus one forty last year. Well, but whenever. 1:05:10.080 --> 1:05:13.800 I are shopping, books are trying to attract different business. Interesting, 1:05:13.920 --> 1:05:17.120 So the Westgate in Vegas is miss one forty. Circa 1:05:17.160 --> 1:05:19.600 in Vegas is the low at mass one twenty five. 1:05:19.800 --> 1:05:21.960 That's why I bet all my two team teasers at 1:05:21.960 --> 1:05:24.760 Circa Sports. What is DraftKings offering it at? 1:05:25.120 --> 1:05:28.080 This? One is at minus one twelve. I had another 1:05:28.160 --> 1:05:31.160 one that I did. Yeah, last it's mostly been at 1:05:31.200 --> 1:05:34.480 minus one twenty for me. Yes, so minus one twelve 1:05:34.520 --> 1:05:35.520 I don't know, But. 1:05:35.680 --> 1:05:38.440 So Johnny Avello in Week seventeen is trying to entice 1:05:38.480 --> 1:05:40.960 people to bet teasers. Yeah, which is scary to. 1:05:40.920 --> 1:05:43.160 Me, to be honest, it is scary what I saw 1:05:43.200 --> 1:05:45.560 it was minus one twelve. I sort of had the moment. 1:05:45.600 --> 1:05:48.440 But I feel very, very confident that the Titans are 1:05:48.440 --> 1:05:50.520 going to beat the Texans. I don't feel confident about 1:05:50.520 --> 1:05:52.720 seven and a half whatsoever. Right one and a half 1:05:53.480 --> 1:05:55.520 close to a pick them. I feel confident that they're 1:05:55.600 --> 1:05:58.600 going to win that game by you know whatever, more 1:05:58.640 --> 1:06:01.640 than you know a point. So I have that, and 1:06:01.720 --> 1:06:05.000 I'm very big on the Steelers not getting come I 1:06:05.000 --> 1:06:08.520 mean over you know, fifteen points. I'm confident the Steelers 1:06:08.560 --> 1:06:10.200 are gonna be able to keep this game close. I'll 1:06:10.240 --> 1:06:13.240 take the extra six, so I feel I feel pretty 1:06:13.320 --> 1:06:15.880 pretty good about it. So that's my two team teaser. 1:06:15.920 --> 1:06:17.800 Matt will get you'll give your two team teaser. I 1:06:17.800 --> 1:06:19.640 assume on the daily juice like you always do. 1:06:19.920 --> 1:06:23.120 As always, we will have well, I may have two 1:06:23.200 --> 1:06:25.480 this week just because this is a we have no 1:06:25.600 --> 1:06:27.920 Thursday night football, we have no Monday night football, no 1:06:28.000 --> 1:06:31.480 Saturday football. We got sixteen games on Sunday. It is 1:06:31.520 --> 1:06:35.760 one of the best eating and lounging days of the year, 1:06:36.200 --> 1:06:38.200 so I may have a couple, I may have a 1:06:38.200 --> 1:06:40.560 bit more action than normal, so maybe two teams well, 1:06:40.560 --> 1:06:43.200 and the year with a couple of two team teasers excellent. 1:06:43.240 --> 1:06:45.120 And again don't forget Sunday morning, we're still doing the 1:06:45.120 --> 1:06:47.400 live stream and then for the first round the playoffs, Matt, 1:06:47.400 --> 1:06:49.320 We're good on that. We're gonna do a half hour 1:06:49.400 --> 1:06:52.160 live stream on Saturday before the games and then a 1:06:52.200 --> 1:06:54.200 half hour live stream on Sunday. That's at YouTube dot 1:06:54.200 --> 1:06:56.480 com slash Betting Pros, so you can get all your 1:06:56.520 --> 1:06:59.480 little great you know, last minute advice you can get 1:06:59.600 --> 1:07:02.680 from Matt. Don't forget to join again Discord, which is nuts, Matt. 1:07:02.720 --> 1:07:04.720 What is it twenty five hundred. 1:07:04.520 --> 1:07:06.960 Something like that. Yeah, I mean it's it's just during 1:07:07.040 --> 1:07:09.760 games there's about three hundred people, you know a night 1:07:09.800 --> 1:07:12.040 who are in there chat. Yeah, and I mean some 1:07:12.080 --> 1:07:14.520 really funny stuff comes up, something I don't even like. 1:07:14.760 --> 1:07:17.400 It's become its own little community. I mean, they're betting 1:07:17.440 --> 1:07:20.760 on Chinese basketball, so I mean, yeah, go figure. 1:07:20.880 --> 1:07:26.040 Yeah crazy, Okay. So also we are going to we're 1:07:26.160 --> 1:07:27.920 trying to cook up something special for you guys for 1:07:27.960 --> 1:07:29.480 the Super Bowl. We're working on that. We'll be back 1:07:29.520 --> 1:07:32.800 with more on that, but in the meantime, enjoy the 1:07:32.920 --> 1:07:36.360 last NFL betting weekend of the regular season. There's gonna 1:07:36.360 --> 1:07:38.400 be a ton of great playoffs stuff, and Matt and 1:07:38.440 --> 1:07:47.800 I will talk to you here next week