1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: The shares of a Tesla Motors today fell more than 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: ten and a half percent. Well, is there any specific 3 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: news from the company that would cause such a decline? 4 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: Not necessarily, although Wall Street is questioning whether Elon Musk's 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: plan to combine Tesla Motors with Solar City will actually 6 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: go through or even as good for the companies. Here 7 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: to tell us more is Salim Morsey, Advanced Transport analyst 8 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Salium, thanks very much for 9 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,880 Speaker 1: being with us, Thanks for having me. Is there any 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 1: technical reason, any strategic reason why combining a solar power 11 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: company with an automobile manufacturer that admittedly is building out 12 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: that giga factory for batteries, But is there a technical 13 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: reason why they are a fit? A technical reason, not 14 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 1: so much. I think this has been a quite a 15 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: loadly day for Elon Musk uh since announcing UH this 16 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: UH this proposed acquisition the the this this falls into 17 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: a narrative of a unified vision that Musk has that 18 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 1: far exceeds I think the the time horizons that investors have. 19 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: This has to do with the fact that he wants 20 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: to integrate this his his vision of having clean energy 21 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 1: powering vehicles that are zero tail pipe emissions. But in 22 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: the short term, I think investors are having a very 23 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: hard time understanding the ins and outs of this proposed deal. 24 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: Why is it because we don't understand Investors unless they're 25 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: very specialized, don't understand the the industry, the technology. I 26 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: think that's part of it. That there was a very 27 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 1: famous question in the last earnings called solar City that 28 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:39,679 Speaker 1: simply asked them what is solar city? Leaving leaving that aside, though, 29 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 1: Tesla is facing existential milestones it has to meet in 30 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: the next two years. It's valuation depends on it. The 31 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: equity rates that it uh did in the market about 32 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: a month ago also depends on it, and those are 33 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: very simple and straightforward in many ways. Though it's ramping 34 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: up the production of Model three half a million cars 35 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 1: a year, they say, by as well as building the 36 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: largest battery factory in the world. That takes a lot 37 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: of capital and a lot of focus. And it's not 38 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: clear at all that acquiring a solar company helps execute 39 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: those goals. And this would also be a family business, 40 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: wouldn't it exactly? So it's his two first cousins are 41 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: the the run Solar City they came up with this 42 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: idea when they were going to burning Man, so says 43 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: the kind of urban folklore about about how the company 44 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: was started. So yes, Elon Musko's about both of Tessa 45 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: and Solar City, and his first cousins run the solar company. 46 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: He's recused himself as a shareholder and voting for this, 47 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: uh this deal. But certainly I think there's going to 48 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: be some corporate governance issues going forward. Well, um, you 49 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: yourself have said that in terms of a Solar City acquisition, 50 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: it doesn't help him. Elon must that is, execute critical 51 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: milestones like keeping its focus on completing its Giga factory 52 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: quickly ramping up production and model of the Model three. 53 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean that that's exactly right. I think 54 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: that that, you know, the Tessa and and the valuation 55 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: of the company has been giving a lot of leeway 56 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: in the last few years because folks have been willing 57 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 1: to follow Elon Musk and his vision. I think today 58 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 1: the company hit a critical kind of fork in the 59 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: road where love investors said, Okay, hold on, you're loading 60 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 1: up Tesla now with over three billion dollars of debt 61 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: from Solar City for an enterprise value of solar City 62 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: that is just under six billion dollars and it's a 63 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: you know, a company that has had deteriorating financials, specifically 64 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: their balance sheet. And again it is really not clear 65 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: how these quote unquote synergies fit into each other. And 66 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: if you listen to a conference call that Musk had 67 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: this morning to kind of justify this deal, the narrative 68 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: was really around this unified vision of long term goals. 69 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: But sadly for him, I think in the short term, 70 00:03:56,320 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: investors are interested in return on investments and that didn't 71 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: particularly impress anyone in the market today. Well, as you said, 72 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: taking a look at the share price for example of 73 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: solar City, Uh, the offered range of the deal is 74 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: between twenty six and a half and twenty eight and 75 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 1: a half bucks of share. The stock traded higher today, 76 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 1: but it closed, So that kind of tells you what 77 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: investors think. Yeah, exactly, So I mean that, you know, 78 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: I think the share price has been sliding for for 79 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: more than a year now on you know, essentially the 80 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: fact that people like Jim Chaino is a famous short 81 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 1: of solar City, is calling it a consumer finance company 82 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: and it's frankly a commoditizing business, and commodities you know, 83 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: usually don't generate great margins. They're usually low margin business. 84 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: Is one of the pitches that we heard Elon musk 85 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: Uh present today was the fact that one of the 86 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,359 Speaker 1: differentiating factors of having solar panels sold in the showrooms 87 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,799 Speaker 1: of Tessa would help kind of consumers make better choices 88 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: and perhaps differentiate the product. But again, this is perhaps 89 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: not the right time to be thinking about, you know, 90 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:04,119 Speaker 1: introducing a new vertical to the test of business, where 91 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: when they have such critical execution milestones to reach right now. 92 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: And I guess no matter who accuses from a deal, uh, 93 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: the you know, in the pit of their stomach, investors 94 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: may still be wondering if the fact that he's related to, 95 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: you know, the Solar City guys is some some influence 96 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,239 Speaker 1: on him. And I guess even uh more broadly, Tesla 97 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: and Elon must have been just such darlings. Doesn't matter 98 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 1: what he does, right, everybody loves him in his stock 99 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: moves higher. Maybe people are just you know, maybe this 100 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 1: is just he's he's stepping outside of his uh the 101 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: batter's box just too much, and so some of that 102 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: shine just it isn't enough to keep people saying, you 103 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 1: go Elon, certainly, I think that's a great point. I 104 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 1: think that's you know, that's pretty much what happened. I mean, 105 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 1: they're very must be a very smart company, surrounds himself 106 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: with very smart people. I have no doubt that in 107 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 1: his when they were thinking about announcing this, it was 108 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: likely that this, uh, this reaction was was was anticipated. So, 109 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: I mean, from their perspective, perhaps they anticipated this and 110 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: they think that fundamentally this is the right move for 111 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: the company. I mean, we should give them credit that. No, 112 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:09,600 Speaker 1: there is from our perspective at Bloomberg new energy finance 113 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: growth opportunities. For sure. In the residential PV industry in 114 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: the US, about thirty thou US households are adding solar 115 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: to the roost a month, but that again may not 116 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,679 Speaker 1: be enough to sustain Tesla through the next two years. 117 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: Slen Morrisey, thank you so very much for joining us. 118 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 1: What excellent perspective on Tesla. Elon musk the two point 119 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: eight billion dollar announcement, uh well, and announcement of a 120 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: two point eight billion dollar acquisition to buy Solar City. 121 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: This is taking stock on Bloomberg Radio. Yeah,