WEBVTT - NFL Week 3 Early Picks | Line Movement Predictions (Ep. 518) 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:03.200 Welcome and everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.240 --> 0:00:05.560 your bets. It It's me Joey p joe Pisapia and 0:00:05.640 --> 0:00:09.160 this is betting Pros NFL. Joining me as always to 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:13.120 look ahead for the week is Andrew Erickson, the Undertaker himself. 0:00:13.119 --> 0:00:15.520 We're going to go through the early lines here on 0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:18.560 a Monday morning, fresh off of what we saw on Sunday, 0:00:19.000 --> 0:00:21.520 and we saw a lot. We saw maybe the end 0:00:21.520 --> 0:00:23.960 of Bryce Young as the quarterback of the Carolina Panthers. 0:00:23.960 --> 0:00:25.960 This is a time for the red rifle, Andy Dalton, 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:28.680 I think it might be Andrew Erickson. We've seen Will 0:00:28.760 --> 0:00:31.800 Levis continue to give games away. What was your big 0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:35.320 takeaway from Sunday's action here? We were close to a 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:38.760 couple upsets, did not quite get them, but certainly a 0:00:38.800 --> 0:00:42.920 lot of news and a lot of well fun I guess, 0:00:42.920 --> 0:00:45.680 and interesting moments in the NFL in Week two. 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:47.599 Well, I guess maybe this is I'm not sure if 0:00:47.600 --> 0:00:50.080 I'm overreacting just the early portion of the season. 0:00:50.240 --> 0:00:52.680 But why are we betting on favorites? Why? 0:00:52.880 --> 0:00:57.440 What's the point? I don't know. Because the Ravens eliminated 0:00:57.480 --> 0:00:58.680 me from my survivor pools. 0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:02.279 I mean, why I number one? Is anyone left? Are 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:04.200 there anyone that's left in any of other survivor pools? 0:01:04.240 --> 0:01:06.400 I thought I was a hot shot guy. I thought 0:01:06.400 --> 0:01:09.720 I was really smart to fade in away from the 0:01:09.800 --> 0:01:12.600 Bengals in Week one and then goes ah Baltimore. There's 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:14.759 no way the Baltimore Ravens is gonna lose ad home 0:01:14.840 --> 0:01:17.640 against the Raiders. Well they did, they did. And how 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:20.880 about the Dallas Cowboys getting poned by the New Orleans 0:01:20.880 --> 0:01:24.680 Saints yesterday? Are the New Orleans Saints for real? Andrew? 0:01:25.240 --> 0:01:27.199 I think that their offense is for real? 0:01:27.600 --> 0:01:32.440 I mean Clint Kubiak, that scheme is really perfecting those playmakers. 0:01:32.280 --> 0:01:35.200 It's using for Shichi heat and really unique ways getting 0:01:35.240 --> 0:01:37.680 him open downfield. Again, I wrote about this in one 0:01:37.680 --> 0:01:40.760 of the Props articles. I wrote, when he plays zone coverage, 0:01:40.959 --> 0:01:43.520 he's gonna catch a bomb. It happens every single week, 0:01:43.520 --> 0:01:45.720 and I was like, first thing, Oh, Dallas plays zone 0:01:45.760 --> 0:01:48.880 coverage or shiet chet over how long did it take 0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:52.920 from to hit the over five plays? So that's something 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:55.040 to keep in mind as we're looking at the Saints now. 0:01:55.440 --> 0:01:55.680 Again. 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:58.560 The concern entering the year was the offensive line. But 0:01:58.720 --> 0:02:01.000 through two weeks they've held up really, really well. So 0:02:01.360 --> 0:02:04.760 again it's a combination. How do teams overcome poor offitsive 0:02:04.760 --> 0:02:07.840 line personnel. It's through scheme, it's through quick passes, through motion, 0:02:07.880 --> 0:02:10.200 it's through play action. And Ka Koubak is doing that 0:02:10.240 --> 0:02:13.280 in finals, firing on all cylinders with Derek cart the helman. 0:02:13.320 --> 0:02:14.359 He looks, he looks really good. 0:02:14.680 --> 0:02:16.440 All right, we're gonna go through the games for week 0:02:16.440 --> 0:02:19.040 three before we do. Just a quick reminder. DraftKings Sports 0:02:19.040 --> 0:02:21.760 Book is available right now has incredible offer for new customers. 0:02:21.800 --> 0:02:24.360 Bet five bucks you instantly get two hundred bonus bets, 0:02:24.480 --> 0:02:26.960 plus you can enjoy one month of NFL plus premium 0:02:27.000 --> 0:02:29.239 on them. Sign up today at betting pros dot com 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:32.320 slash DraftKings and make your first deposit. Again five bucks 0:02:32.360 --> 0:02:34.840 get you two hundred and you can stream more football. 0:02:35.040 --> 0:02:36.720 That sounds like a pretty good deal to me. Only 0:02:36.760 --> 0:02:40.720 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The crown is yours. All right, Let's 0:02:40.720 --> 0:02:44.040 start with Thursday Night football. Our Patriots going on the 0:02:44.080 --> 0:02:47.200 road to New York short week against the New York Jets. 0:02:47.240 --> 0:02:49.359 The Jets are six and a half void favorites thirty 0:02:49.400 --> 0:02:50.760 eight and a half is the number for this one. 0:02:50.800 --> 0:02:53.840 The Pats on the money line plus two forty andrew 0:02:53.880 --> 0:02:55.639 This line feels pretty good to me. I don't see 0:02:55.680 --> 0:02:58.640 any early value right now, so I'm going to just 0:02:58.680 --> 0:03:00.960 stay away from it. Where are you at with the 0:03:01.080 --> 0:03:02.520 Pats and Jets? 0:03:02.880 --> 0:03:05.160 I like the Pats six and a half points. 0:03:05.720 --> 0:03:07.480 What have we seen for the Jets that suggest that 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:09.680 they can beat a team by a touchdown with them 0:03:09.800 --> 0:03:11.799 totally not imploding on their own. That's what we saw 0:03:11.880 --> 0:03:14.880 last week with the Titans. The Titans were practically begging 0:03:14.919 --> 0:03:17.520 the Jets to win by a touchdown and all the things, 0:03:17.520 --> 0:03:19.360 because that game was close, That game was competitive, it 0:03:19.400 --> 0:03:23.160 was two dominant defenses. The Jets offense isn't this. I 0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:26.560 think it's efficient, but it's not this super high powered offense. 0:03:26.560 --> 0:03:28.720 That's not how they want to run the stuff over there. 0:03:28.919 --> 0:03:30.960 They're not trying to score thirty points on teams. They 0:03:31.000 --> 0:03:32.639 know that they don't need to score thirty points to 0:03:32.680 --> 0:03:33.880 beat the Patriots. All they do is want to beat 0:03:33.880 --> 0:03:35.800 the Patriots. They don't necessarily need to beat the Patriots 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:38.640 by a touchdown. And through two weeks is page defense 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:41.680 has been legit right, and they should have beat the 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.440 Seahawks at home again, they share underdogs, and they beat 0:03:44.440 --> 0:03:47.760 the Bengals already, so again, it's a short week. Jacoby 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:50.720 Brissette took a beating that offensive line with Patriots is 0:03:50.920 --> 0:03:53.280 horrible and pass pro. It's not going to hold up 0:03:53.320 --> 0:03:55.280 all year long, and that's going to cost some issues. 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:57.560 But that's why the Jets are nearly a touchdown favorite. 0:03:57.600 --> 0:04:00.000 So for me, I think the values on New England 0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:02.160 in a game that thinks can be low scoring prime time. 0:04:02.640 --> 0:04:05.080 I agree if a numbers already low thirty eight and 0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:06.760 a half, though, geez, I mean it's already pretty low. 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:09.160 I mean it might be so low too that I 0:04:10.640 --> 0:04:13.280 still might go with it anyway. But I'm with you. 0:04:13.320 --> 0:04:14.800 If I was leaning one way, I'd be leaning on 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:16.160 the Patriots side of this. In six and a half 0:04:16.200 --> 0:04:19.200 does feel like a lot, but short weeks are weird. 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:20.560 I'm going to stay away from this one. I'm not 0:04:20.600 --> 0:04:22.479 going to away from this next one, though. The Indianapolis 0:04:22.480 --> 0:04:25.560 Colts at home against the Chicago Bears. Caleb Williams just 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:28.520 took another sack while we were talking about the Jet game. 0:04:29.160 --> 0:04:31.400 They are one point favorites. The Colts are at home 0:04:31.720 --> 0:04:33.840 forty five and a half is the number here. You're 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:36.200 getting even money on the money line for the Bears. 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:38.200 But I'm looking right now with the Indianapolis Colts at 0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:39.919 minus one twenty, and I think that is the best 0:04:40.120 --> 0:04:42.800 wager you can make. I mean, Caleb Williams does not 0:04:43.000 --> 0:04:44.480 seem like he's a good spot. You want to talk 0:04:44.520 --> 0:04:47.520 about bad offensive lines, Well, the Bears offensive line it's 0:04:47.520 --> 0:04:51.279 basically a repeat of the field Eers with less theoretical weapons. 0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:52.800 You know, they give him more weapons, but they really 0:04:52.800 --> 0:04:55.719 didn't protect him. And Caleb Williams is just taking sack 0:04:55.800 --> 0:04:58.720 after sack after sack. He's running around like a chicken 0:04:58.760 --> 0:05:00.800 with his head cut off. And I know that the 0:05:00.839 --> 0:05:03.160 Colts craft the bed in Green Bay. I get that, 0:05:03.320 --> 0:05:06.120 and I know the Colts defense isn't very good. But 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:07.760 I'm still gonna go with the Colts here at home. 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:09.640 I'm taking them to win at home. I don't think 0:05:09.680 --> 0:05:11.360 the Bears are any good either. I think they're worse. 0:05:11.920 --> 0:05:14.000 Well, you look at what have the Colts been really 0:05:14.000 --> 0:05:16.799 bad against. It's been the run. What have the Bears 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:18.920 shown no ability to do over the first two weeks 0:05:18.920 --> 0:05:21.800 of the season run the football again? 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:22.880 So I'm trying to play again. 0:05:22.880 --> 0:05:25.280 You got to play matchups here, and honestly, I think 0:05:25.320 --> 0:05:27.320 Shane Stike, I think they got cute. They should have 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:29.000 just gave them the ball, Jonathan Taylor more, They should 0:05:29.000 --> 0:05:31.640 have just absolutely Taylor was rushing yards and they were 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:35.040 getting cute trying to take the shots downfield when there 0:05:35.080 --> 0:05:37.159 was no consistency. And I think the thing with the Colts, 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:40.360 they need to get Anthony Richardson in rhythm. There's no 0:05:40.440 --> 0:05:41.920 rhythm with him. It's like, oh, he dropped back, throw 0:05:41.920 --> 0:05:44.080 the ball eighty yards downfield, run the ball five times 0:05:44.120 --> 0:05:46.200 in a row, and then he's not getting any type 0:05:46.200 --> 0:05:47.800 of rhythm with the passing game. And I think that 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:50.640 what could be a big boost for that is Josh Downs. 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:52.120 He's going to be coming back to the lineup, I 0:05:52.160 --> 0:05:54.200 think next week. So I think having that underneath outlet 0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:57.320 because Adan Night Mitchell. Yes, he's a big play specialist, 0:05:57.720 --> 0:06:00.320 not reliable, he is so inconsistent, but there are so 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:02.360 many times for him and Anthey Bridgesson are not on 0:06:02.440 --> 0:06:05.120 the same page and that's causing that a disruption in 0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:07.719 the passing game. So I think getting Josh Downs back 0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:10.560 playing at home, back in the Dome. I think that 0:06:10.600 --> 0:06:12.160 you'll see a bounce back here from the Colts, who 0:06:12.160 --> 0:06:13.680 are usually a team that you want to take as 0:06:13.720 --> 0:06:14.320 a favorite. 0:06:14.360 --> 0:06:16.039 So I like the Colts at homes and downs. 0:06:16.080 --> 0:06:18.120 Was the guy in preseason that Richardson keep going on 0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:19.800 and on about. It's like, this is my guy. I 0:06:19.800 --> 0:06:22.480 feel really comfortable with him if the report was growing. 0:06:22.560 --> 0:06:24.159 So yeah, give me the Colts here on the money 0:06:24.200 --> 0:06:25.440 line straight up there. If you want to take the 0:06:25.440 --> 0:06:27.160 minus one, that's fine too. You're getting minus one ten, 0:06:27.160 --> 0:06:30.080 it's even better, go for it. The New York Football Giants. 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:32.159 They're zero and two. They're gonna head to Cleveland. Now 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:34.800 Cleveland got a victory. Deshaan Watson play better. It's still 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:37.760 not great, but better. The Giants are a hot mess. 0:06:38.279 --> 0:06:40.640 The Cleveland Browns hour six and a half point favorites. 0:06:40.680 --> 0:06:42.320 Thirty eight and a half is the number. Another low 0:06:42.360 --> 0:06:45.239 total here under forty plus two sixty on the money 0:06:45.240 --> 0:06:47.520 line for the New York Giants. Look, this is a 0:06:47.520 --> 0:06:49.120 tough spot here you go oh and three. If you're 0:06:49.200 --> 0:06:52.400 the Giants, you're fighting for your life here. You're trying 0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:54.880 to stay relevant. Getting off to an oh to three 0:06:54.920 --> 0:06:56.640 start is not the way to do it, Andrew, But 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.159 it feels like it's going in that direction. That being said, 0:06:59.440 --> 0:07:01.760 I think this is more on the Cleveland defense than anything, 0:07:01.839 --> 0:07:04.120 like I'm looking for the Cleveland defense to get them 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:06.760 this win. Six and a half though, feels like a 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:09.240 lot of points for the Cleveland Browns. Where are you 0:07:09.240 --> 0:07:09.920 at with this one? 0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:10.920 Yeah, it's a lot. 0:07:11.200 --> 0:07:13.840 I think the values on the Giants, But that doesn't 0:07:13.880 --> 0:07:15.920 mean I want to bet on Daniel Jones on the 0:07:16.000 --> 0:07:18.640 road the Cleveland Browns because it's just there's so much. 0:07:18.640 --> 0:07:21.320 There's such a high percent chance of turnovers. They couldn't 0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:23.520 score in the red zone against the worst defense of 0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:26.240 the NFL, the Washington Commanders. So if the Giants can't 0:07:26.240 --> 0:07:28.680 score touchdowns, then how are they supposed to cover the 0:07:28.720 --> 0:07:30.960 seven point spread which is a touchdown? 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:31.440 Joe? 0:07:31.560 --> 0:07:34.200 So I'm not touching it. I think right now this 0:07:34.280 --> 0:07:37.680 game is crossed off the card. 0:07:38.200 --> 0:07:40.400 Now and maybe the under now thirty eight and a 0:07:40.440 --> 0:07:41.400 half against low number. 0:07:41.480 --> 0:07:42.280 Yeah, yeah, that's the thing. 0:07:42.280 --> 0:07:45.200 It's already it's so low. It's just tough. Like this. 0:07:45.280 --> 0:07:48.240 Was it like forty one and a half, I'd be like, okay, 0:07:48.280 --> 0:07:49.920 maybe under, but thirty eight and a half are already 0:07:49.960 --> 0:07:52.400 kind of begging for it. Some of these numbers and 0:07:52.480 --> 0:07:55.280 over under in week three are not encouraging, and you're 0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:56.840 getting all the players hurt. 0:07:56.920 --> 0:07:59.440 When I was looking through this early slate, I'm like, 0:07:59.800 --> 0:08:02.200 oh my god, these games are so gross. 0:08:02.320 --> 0:08:03.559 There's a lot of gross games. 0:08:03.800 --> 0:08:06.000 He gonna gross? How about the next one? Thirty seven 0:08:06.040 --> 0:08:08.239 and a half for the Tennessee Titans at home against 0:08:08.240 --> 0:08:10.600 the Green Bay Packers. The Packers ran the ball seven 0:08:10.680 --> 0:08:13.520 hundred and fifty two times yesterday and somehow came out 0:08:13.520 --> 0:08:15.440 with a victory. They are two and a half point 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:18.440 underdogs with Milik Willis on the road. It's the Malik 0:08:18.480 --> 0:08:22.320 Willis revenge game. Andrew Hoy plus one oh five for 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:24.080 the Packers on the money line. Give me the Packers 0:08:24.080 --> 0:08:25.920 on the money line plus one oh five. I'm going 0:08:26.040 --> 0:08:28.080 right for it. They're gonna run the ball, run the ball, 0:08:28.160 --> 0:08:29.680 run the ball some more. And what have we learned 0:08:29.720 --> 0:08:31.880 so far? In two games? Will Levis is going to 0:08:31.880 --> 0:08:34.520 do stupid things and hand the other team the game. 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:37.160 He did it in Week one against the Bears. He 0:08:37.200 --> 0:08:39.160 did it in week two. He thinks he can make 0:08:39.200 --> 0:08:42.040 every play and every moment, and all he does is 0:08:42.120 --> 0:08:44.199 literally hand the ball to the other team and take 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:47.040 scoring opportunities away from his and so far, I don't 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:49.280 see that changing. I don't know when it's gonna change, 0:08:49.320 --> 0:08:51.720 if it's ever gonna change. But I'm just gonna go 0:08:51.760 --> 0:08:54.040 with the Packers here, which I can't believe it. I'm 0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:58.920 taking a Malik Willis Packers team on the road. I 0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:00.600 don't know what I mean. This is we three here, 0:09:00.600 --> 0:09:02.000 We're here already, this is it. 0:09:02.640 --> 0:09:04.960 Yeah, when I was handicapping this game, I think I 0:09:05.080 --> 0:09:08.000 went with the Titans minus one and that was just 0:09:08.080 --> 0:09:10.280 kind of during a you know, hat tip to well, 0:09:10.280 --> 0:09:13.360 they're playing at home, and so, yeah, the value is 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:15.840 on the Packers here. Give me the Malik Willis revenge 0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:17.920 game against the team that traded him for a seventh 0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:20.200 round pick and said, no, we're gonna ride with Milik 0:09:20.240 --> 0:09:22.480 Willis or I mean, we're gonna ride with Will Levis 0:09:22.480 --> 0:09:24.440 as our quarterback. And you look up and Leagui has 0:09:24.440 --> 0:09:26.520 already has more wins this year than Will Levis. 0:09:27.160 --> 0:09:29.160 God, I don't even think about it that way. But 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:30.800 plus one oh five and give me plus money for 0:09:30.800 --> 0:09:32.800 Green Bay to find a way to win, play defense, 0:09:32.840 --> 0:09:36.920 run the football, figure it out, They're get Jayden Read involved. Obviously, 0:09:36.960 --> 0:09:39.680 Jacobs is gonna work a toon Marshall. Lloyd's came come back. 0:09:39.720 --> 0:09:41.560 Now they're just gonna run the ball and run the 0:09:41.559 --> 0:09:44.400 ball some more. And I just I'm sorry, Like Will 0:09:44.440 --> 0:09:47.840 Levis might have that fun throw here or there, but 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:52.439 it is terrible to watch him literally just try to 0:09:52.480 --> 0:09:56.319 do too much every week and just implode. Imploded. 0:09:56.480 --> 0:09:58.480 So Allahan was saying on the sideline right when he 0:09:58.520 --> 0:10:00.520 did that weird side throw thing. 0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:04.280 Oh my god, so appalling. All Right, the New Orleans 0:10:04.320 --> 0:10:07.199 Saints are two and oh they just handed the Cowboys 0:10:07.200 --> 0:10:10.559 their lunch, and yet they are still underdogs at home 0:10:10.920 --> 0:10:12.800 plus two and a half against the Eagles. We'll see 0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:14.600 what the Eagles have in store for us on Monday 0:10:14.640 --> 0:10:16.720 Night football. Now. AJ Brown not playing in that game, 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:19.160 so we'll shall see here if he is back for 0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:22.000 this coming week. So that kind of does show up 0:10:22.040 --> 0:10:24.600 potentially in some of these early lines here. The way 0:10:24.640 --> 0:10:26.680 things are going, it feels like the New Orleans Saints 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:27.839 are the way to go here with the two and 0:10:27.880 --> 0:10:30.080 a half, the total for this one much higher forty 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:31.640 eight and a half. If you like the New Orleans 0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:33.640 Saints on the money line and plus one twenty. I 0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:35.520 don't know if I want to go there, but I 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:38.160 like the New Orleans Saints with the points here because 0:10:38.280 --> 0:10:41.320 until they show me different, I've got to keep rolling 0:10:41.320 --> 0:10:43.000 with the Saints. Andrew, where are you at here? 0:10:43.559 --> 0:10:43.839 Yeah? 0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:45.000 I think two. 0:10:45.040 --> 0:10:49.120 After we see the Eagles play the Falcons, I think 0:10:49.160 --> 0:10:51.920 we're probably going You're probably going to see maybe more 0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:53.160 value on the Saints. 0:10:53.240 --> 0:10:54.920 So I like the Saints here as well. 0:10:55.640 --> 0:10:58.920 Yeah, I'm fascinated to see because I think if this 0:10:59.040 --> 0:11:01.800 number could change if the Eagles don't look good, if 0:11:01.800 --> 0:11:05.360 they lose to the Falcons tonight, if there's more news 0:11:05.400 --> 0:11:07.160 on AJ Brown. This is one of the more intriguing 0:11:07.240 --> 0:11:09.800 numbers to jump on early if you're watching the show 0:11:09.840 --> 0:11:11.440 before Monday night when this guests released. 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.760 So when I watched this, what I will say too 0:11:13.800 --> 0:11:16.720 is the Eagles have an early bye week. I believe 0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:19.719 it's week five, so if they want to hold out 0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:22.280 AJ Brown just because hey, like, we got bigger fish 0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:24.520 to fry. Playing in the NFC, the path to the 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.480 number one seed in the NFC is much easier to 0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.520 get to than the number one seed in the AFC, 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:31.240 for example, which seems like the Chiefs are already getting ready. 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:33.760 It doesn't matter how players could hurt. 0:11:33.720 --> 0:11:35.840 But handle the Ravens at home and then they handle. 0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.000 Yeah they beat two. Yeah, they just play two power out. 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:40.920 Their pathway to the super Bowl just got so much 0:11:40.920 --> 0:11:43.000 easier with those two victories. I can't even fathom it. 0:11:43.040 --> 0:11:45.079 I mean, they're going to have the buy most likely, 0:11:45.120 --> 0:11:47.080 and they're probably going to have the two home playoff games. 0:11:47.600 --> 0:11:50.079 Those those two wins out of the gate were so important. 0:11:50.080 --> 0:11:51.720 And I know they lost, but checko for a while 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:53.360 and it's going to hurt them a little bit. But 0:11:53.679 --> 0:11:56.040 let's be honest. They'll throw first offense anyway. They'll patch 0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:57.680 it together like they always do with the running back position, 0:11:57.720 --> 0:12:00.160 because that's what a read's always done. Yeah, you know, 0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:03.959 Darnold Williams, the Daryl Williams is the Yeah, the guys 0:12:04.000 --> 0:12:06.960 off the waiver wires, Samashi, p Rhin will get his stuff, 0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:09.160 and Carson Steele and who knows who else they'll sign. 0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:12.880 The Los Angeles Chargers are two and oh so are 0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:16.160 the Pittsburgh Steelers also to and oh. The total for 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:19.439 this game is thirty six and a half. Pittsburgh has 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:23.640 been grinding out these victories. The Chargers had a Quinton 0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:27.560 Johnston appearance yesterday for two touchdowns. The Pittsburgh Seiers are 0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.000 two and a half point favorites at home. That feels 0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:33.000 right to me. The Chargers on the money line plus 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:36.400 one fifteen. Andrew walk us through this contest here because 0:12:36.840 --> 0:12:39.199 we don't know is this where Russell Wilson comes back 0:12:39.280 --> 0:12:42.160 or do we still get fields. So with that being said, 0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:44.000 is there any early value on this one? 0:12:44.320 --> 0:12:46.160 I took this piece Steelers already, so I bet this 0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:48.240 early at minus two and a half that I like 0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:50.760 the Steelers at home. We do have some question marks 0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:53.320 about the health of Justin Herbert. He took a weird sack. 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:55.600 He finished the game, but he was getting tested after 0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.240 the game. So trying to get ahead of any quarterback news. 0:12:58.240 --> 0:12:59.959 I know Herbert was dealing with that foot injury earlier 0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:03.920 the offseason. And I also bet the under again this. 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:05.880 We did this song and dance last year with the Steelers. 0:13:05.960 --> 0:13:09.800 Every game was twenty points total, Like that's what was happening. 0:13:09.800 --> 0:13:12.400 Because TJ Watch takes over these games, They're not trying 0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:14.959 to score touchdowns. They want to grind it out, grind 0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:18.000 the games through the mud. And Harbaugh is giddy about that. 0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:20.560 He's like, oh, sign me up, baby, I'm ready for 0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:25.200 a ten to thirteen, you know, tuggle war slugfest. So yes, 0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:26.760 I think that the under is the play here until 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:28.800 I see otherwise to suggest that the Steelers are trying 0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:30.920 to be aggressive on offense, and the same thing with 0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:33.439 the Chargers. They want to run the football. So I 0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:35.400 like the Steelers by the two and a half and 0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:35.959 the under. 0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:38.400 I love that it's the lowest number and we're still 0:13:38.440 --> 0:13:39.400 both of us on the under. 0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:42.240 I just I just did this last year too. It 0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:44.679 was we see something different just to keep in the 0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:45.600 unders on the Steelers game. 0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:49.280 I'm with you, dude, I'm with you. Houston at Minnesota 0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:51.600 Minnesota Viking has gotten off to a really good start. 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:56.640 They're at home Houston Texans obviously, you know, a pretty 0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:59.880 complete team, a playoff team last year. Vikings haven new 0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:02.320 on life. Here. We do have the injury to Justin Jefferson, 0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:04.360 but it seems like he's going to play. But regardless, 0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:06.960 here Minnesota three and a half point underdogs in their 0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:08.720 own building. Forty six and a half is the number 0:14:08.920 --> 0:14:11.319 plus one forty for Minnesota to win this game. This 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.000 is a very tricky game here. I think for the 0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:15.240 Houston Texans they got to be careful here because when 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:19.520 you have a a game wrecker like Justin Jefferson and 0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:23.840 Donald keeps getting confidence every single week, I think that's 0:14:23.880 --> 0:14:26.840 a very dangerous thing here. I actually like Minnesota with 0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:28.120 the points. I think the three and a half is 0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.880 really nice. So I'm on the Minnesota side of this one. 0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:33.640 I think Houston, you know, does find a way to win, 0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:38.280 but I can't deny what Minnesota's being able to do 0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.240 so far. And I think the confidence of Sam Donald 0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:42.400 is something not to dismiss. But what do you think 0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:43.080 about this one? 0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.200 So I'm looking at one of these updated lines here 0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:47.920 and I'm seeing that at least that ESPN bet on 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:50.960 the betting Pros dashboard, you can get the Houston Texans 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.680 minus one and a half. So I like that number 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:57.320 in particular because the Texas has been a weird team 0:14:57.360 --> 0:14:58.960 because you look at this year and you think, oh, 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:00.000 they've they've been good. 0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:02.840 They're owing to two against the spread. Somehow, somehow, some way, they. 0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:05.080 Just have they've been It's been on the slimmest of margins, 0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:06.440 Like it was six and a half. They beat the 0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.480 Bears by six points. It was two and a half 0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.840 against the Colts, and the opener they won by two points, 0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:14.200 so they've just kind of been on that. I think 0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:15.560 that you're gonna see it regress a little bit. I 0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:16.600 think that at one and a half, I think that 0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:18.080 they can win by a field goal here. I think 0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.640 that they are the better team over the Minnesota Vikings. 0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:22.320 They are playing in the Dome. I'm not afraid of oh, 0:15:22.360 --> 0:15:25.160 you know him, Minnesota's at home, afraid to look. I 0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:26.960 think C CJ start. There's too many weapons for blind 0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:29.920 Flores to try to combat here with what they have. 0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:31.960 When they can run the ball, they can throw the ball. 0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:33.160 I mean you saw. 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.320 The Nico Collins was the only receiver really involved last 0:15:35.360 --> 0:15:38.240 night and they were still able to win. Right now, 0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:41.000 Gigs and Tankdale were basically non factors, and Joe Mixon 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:42.480 was banged up during the game. They couldn't run the 0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.040 football as effectively as week one, So I think they 0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:46.320 find a way to get it done in minus one 0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:46.720 and a half. 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:48.320 I like those odds. 0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:50.080 Before we get to our next game. Just a reminder 0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:52.760 to sink your sports books for free. 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Next one up 0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.080 here on our list of games for a week three, 0:16:23.360 --> 0:16:27.240 we have the Denver Broncos zero and two against my 0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:29.600 that's right, my Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and we are the 0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:33.560 Bucks shirt today on the show, MVP Baker Mayfield. Do 0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:36.240