1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome and everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: your bets. It It's me Joey p joe Pisapia and 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: this is betting Pros NFL. Joining me as always to 4 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:13,120 Speaker 1: look ahead for the week is Andrew Erickson, the Undertaker himself. 5 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: We're going to go through the early lines here on 6 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: a Monday morning, fresh off of what we saw on Sunday, 7 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: and we saw a lot. We saw maybe the end 8 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: of Bryce Young as the quarterback of the Carolina Panthers. 9 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: This is a time for the red rifle, Andy Dalton, 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: I think it might be Andrew Erickson. We've seen Will 11 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: Levis continue to give games away. What was your big 12 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: takeaway from Sunday's action here? We were close to a 13 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: couple upsets, did not quite get them, but certainly a 14 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: lot of news and a lot of well fun I guess, 15 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: and interesting moments in the NFL in Week two. 16 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:47,599 Speaker 2: Well, I guess maybe this is I'm not sure if 17 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 2: I'm overreacting just the early portion of the season. 18 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 3: But why are we betting on favorites? Why? 19 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: What's the point? I don't know. Because the Ravens eliminated 20 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: me from my survivor pools. 21 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:02,279 Speaker 2: I mean, why I number one? Is anyone left? Are 22 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 2: there anyone that's left in any of other survivor pools? 23 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 1: I thought I was a hot shot guy. I thought 24 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: I was really smart to fade in away from the 25 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: Bengals in Week one and then goes ah Baltimore. There's 26 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,759 Speaker 1: no way the Baltimore Ravens is gonna lose ad home 27 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: against the Raiders. Well they did, they did. And how 28 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: about the Dallas Cowboys getting poned by the New Orleans 29 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: Saints yesterday? Are the New Orleans Saints for real? Andrew? 30 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:27,199 Speaker 3: I think that their offense is for real? 31 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: I mean Clint Kubiak, that scheme is really perfecting those playmakers. 32 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 2: It's using for Shichi heat and really unique ways getting 33 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 2: him open downfield. Again, I wrote about this in one 34 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 2: of the Props articles. I wrote, when he plays zone coverage, 35 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 2: he's gonna catch a bomb. It happens every single week, 36 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 2: and I was like, first thing, Oh, Dallas plays zone 37 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 2: coverage or shiet chet over how long did it take 38 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 2: from to hit the over five plays? So that's something 39 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 2: to keep in mind as we're looking at the Saints now. 40 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 3: Again. 41 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 2: The concern entering the year was the offensive line. But 42 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 2: through two weeks they've held up really, really well. So 43 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: again it's a combination. How do teams overcome poor offitsive 44 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 2: line personnel. It's through scheme, it's through quick passes, through motion, 45 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 2: it's through play action. And Ka Koubak is doing that 46 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 2: in finals, firing on all cylinders with Derek cart the helman. 47 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 3: He looks, he looks really good. 48 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna go through the games for week 49 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: three before we do. Just a quick reminder. DraftKings Sports 50 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: Book is available right now has incredible offer for new customers. 51 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 1: Bet five bucks you instantly get two hundred bonus bets, 52 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: plus you can enjoy one month of NFL plus premium 53 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 1: on them. Sign up today at betting pros dot com 54 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: slash DraftKings and make your first deposit. Again five bucks 55 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: get you two hundred and you can stream more football. 56 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: That sounds like a pretty good deal to me. Only 57 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: on DraftKings Sportsbook. The crown is yours. All right, Let's 58 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: start with Thursday Night football. Our Patriots going on the 59 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: road to New York short week against the New York Jets. 60 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 1: The Jets are six and a half void favorites thirty 61 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: eight and a half is the number for this one. 62 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: The Pats on the money line plus two forty andrew 63 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 1: This line feels pretty good to me. I don't see 64 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: any early value right now, so I'm going to just 65 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: stay away from it. Where are you at with the 66 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: Pats and Jets? 67 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 3: I like the Pats six and a half points. 68 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: What have we seen for the Jets that suggest that 69 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 2: they can beat a team by a touchdown with them 70 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 2: totally not imploding on their own. That's what we saw 71 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: last week with the Titans. The Titans were practically begging 72 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 2: the Jets to win by a touchdown and all the things, 73 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 2: because that game was close, That game was competitive, it 74 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 2: was two dominant defenses. The Jets offense isn't this. I 75 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 2: think it's efficient, but it's not this super high powered offense. 76 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 2: That's not how they want to run the stuff over there. 77 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 2: They're not trying to score thirty points on teams. They 78 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 2: know that they don't need to score thirty points to 79 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: beat the Patriots. All they do is want to beat 80 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 2: the Patriots. They don't necessarily need to beat the Patriots 81 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 2: by a touchdown. And through two weeks is page defense 82 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 2: has been legit right, and they should have beat the 83 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 2: Seahawks at home again, they share underdogs, and they beat 84 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 2: the Bengals already, so again, it's a short week. Jacoby 85 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 2: Brissette took a beating that offensive line with Patriots is 86 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 2: horrible and pass pro. It's not going to hold up 87 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 2: all year long, and that's going to cost some issues. 88 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 2: But that's why the Jets are nearly a touchdown favorite. 89 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: So for me, I think the values on New England 90 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 2: in a game that thinks can be low scoring prime time. 91 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: I agree if a numbers already low thirty eight and 92 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: a half, though, geez, I mean it's already pretty low. 93 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: I mean it might be so low too that I 94 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: still might go with it anyway. But I'm with you. 95 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: If I was leaning one way, I'd be leaning on 96 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: the Patriots side of this. In six and a half 97 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: does feel like a lot, but short weeks are weird. 98 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 1: I'm going to stay away from this one. I'm not 99 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: going to away from this next one, though. The Indianapolis 100 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: Colts at home against the Chicago Bears. Caleb Williams just 101 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: took another sack while we were talking about the Jet game. 102 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: They are one point favorites. The Colts are at home 103 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 1: forty five and a half is the number here. You're 104 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: getting even money on the money line for the Bears. 105 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: But I'm looking right now with the Indianapolis Colts at 106 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:39,919 Speaker 1: minus one twenty, and I think that is the best 107 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 1: wager you can make. I mean, Caleb Williams does not 108 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 1: seem like he's a good spot. You want to talk 109 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: about bad offensive lines, Well, the Bears offensive line it's 110 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 1: basically a repeat of the field Eers with less theoretical weapons. 111 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: You know, they give him more weapons, but they really 112 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: didn't protect him. And Caleb Williams is just taking sack 113 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 1: after sack after sack. He's running around like a chicken 114 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 1: with his head cut off. And I know that the 115 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 1: Colts craft the bed in Green Bay. I get that, 116 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: and I know the Colts defense isn't very good. But 117 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: I'm still gonna go with the Colts here at home. 118 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: I'm taking them to win at home. I don't think 119 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 1: the Bears are any good either. I think they're worse. 120 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 2: Well, you look at what have the Colts been really 121 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,799 Speaker 2: bad against. It's been the run. What have the Bears 122 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 2: shown no ability to do over the first two weeks 123 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 2: of the season run the football again? 124 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 3: So I'm trying to play again. 125 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 2: You got to play matchups here, and honestly, I think 126 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 2: Shane Stike, I think they got cute. They should have 127 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 2: just gave them the ball, Jonathan Taylor more, They should 128 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 2: have just absolutely Taylor was rushing yards and they were 129 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 2: getting cute trying to take the shots downfield when there 130 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 2: was no consistency. And I think the thing with the Colts, 131 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 2: they need to get Anthony Richardson in rhythm. There's no 132 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 2: rhythm with him. It's like, oh, he dropped back, throw 133 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 2: the ball eighty yards downfield, run the ball five times 134 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: in a row, and then he's not getting any type 135 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 2: of rhythm with the passing game. And I think that 136 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 2: what could be a big boost for that is Josh Downs. 137 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 2: He's going to be coming back to the lineup, I 138 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 2: think next week. So I think having that underneath outlet 139 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 2: because Adan Night Mitchell. Yes, he's a big play specialist, 140 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 2: not reliable, he is so inconsistent, but there are so 141 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 2: many times for him and Anthey Bridgesson are not on 142 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 2: the same page and that's causing that a disruption in 143 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 2: the passing game. So I think getting Josh Downs back 144 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 2: playing at home, back in the Dome. I think that 145 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 2: you'll see a bounce back here from the Colts, who 146 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 2: are usually a team that you want to take as 147 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 2: a favorite. 148 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,039 Speaker 3: So I like the Colts at homes and downs. 149 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: Was the guy in preseason that Richardson keep going on 150 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: and on about. It's like, this is my guy. I 151 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 1: feel really comfortable with him if the report was growing. 152 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: So yeah, give me the Colts here on the money 153 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: line straight up there. If you want to take the 154 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: minus one, that's fine too. You're getting minus one ten, 155 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: it's even better, go for it. The New York Football Giants. 156 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 1: They're zero and two. They're gonna head to Cleveland. Now 157 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: Cleveland got a victory. Deshaan Watson play better. It's still 158 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 1: not great, but better. The Giants are a hot mess. 159 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: The Cleveland Browns hour six and a half point favorites. 160 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: Thirty eight and a half is the number. Another low 161 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,239 Speaker 1: total here under forty plus two sixty on the money 162 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: line for the New York Giants. Look, this is a 163 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: tough spot here you go oh and three. If you're 164 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: the Giants, you're fighting for your life here. You're trying 165 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: to stay relevant. Getting off to an oh to three 166 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: start is not the way to do it, Andrew, But 167 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: it feels like it's going in that direction. That being said, 168 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 1: I think this is more on the Cleveland defense than anything, 169 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: like I'm looking for the Cleveland defense to get them 170 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: this win. Six and a half though, feels like a 171 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: lot of points for the Cleveland Browns. Where are you 172 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: at with this one? 173 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a lot. 174 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 2: I think the values on the Giants, But that doesn't 175 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 2: mean I want to bet on Daniel Jones on the 176 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 2: road the Cleveland Browns because it's just there's so much. 177 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 2: There's such a high percent chance of turnovers. They couldn't 178 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 2: score in the red zone against the worst defense of 179 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 2: the NFL, the Washington Commanders. So if the Giants can't 180 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 2: score touchdowns, then how are they supposed to cover the 181 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 2: seven point spread which is a touchdown? 182 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 3: Joe? 183 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: So I'm not touching it. I think right now this 184 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 2: game is crossed off the card. 185 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 1: Now and maybe the under now thirty eight and a 186 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: half against low number. 187 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's the thing. 188 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: It's already it's so low. It's just tough. Like this. 189 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: Was it like forty one and a half, I'd be like, okay, 190 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: maybe under, but thirty eight and a half are already 191 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: kind of begging for it. Some of these numbers and 192 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 1: over under in week three are not encouraging, and you're 193 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: getting all the players hurt. 194 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 2: When I was looking through this early slate, I'm like, 195 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 2: oh my god, these games are so gross. 196 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:03,559 Speaker 3: There's a lot of gross games. 197 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 1: He gonna gross? How about the next one? Thirty seven 198 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:08,239 Speaker 1: and a half for the Tennessee Titans at home against 199 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. The Packers ran the ball seven 200 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty two times yesterday and somehow came out 201 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: with a victory. They are two and a half point 202 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: underdogs with Milik Willis on the road. It's the Malik 203 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: Willis revenge game. Andrew Hoy plus one oh five for 204 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: the Packers on the money line. Give me the Packers 205 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: on the money line plus one oh five. I'm going 206 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: right for it. They're gonna run the ball, run the ball, 207 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: run the ball some more. And what have we learned 208 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: so far? In two games? Will Levis is going to 209 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: do stupid things and hand the other team the game. 210 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 1: He did it in Week one against the Bears. He 211 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: did it in week two. He thinks he can make 212 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: every play and every moment, and all he does is 213 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: literally hand the ball to the other team and take 214 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: scoring opportunities away from his and so far, I don't 215 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 1: see that changing. I don't know when it's gonna change, 216 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 1: if it's ever gonna change. But I'm just gonna go 217 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: with the Packers here, which I can't believe it. I'm 218 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: taking a Malik Willis Packers team on the road. I 219 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: don't know what I mean. This is we three here, 220 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: We're here already, this is it. 221 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, when I was handicapping this game, I think I 222 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: went with the Titans minus one and that was just 223 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 2: kind of during a you know, hat tip to well, 224 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 2: they're playing at home, and so, yeah, the value is 225 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 2: on the Packers here. Give me the Malik Willis revenge 226 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 2: game against the team that traded him for a seventh 227 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 2: round pick and said, no, we're gonna ride with Milik 228 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 2: Willis or I mean, we're gonna ride with Will Levis 229 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 2: as our quarterback. And you look up and Leagui has 230 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 2: already has more wins this year than Will Levis. 231 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: God, I don't even think about it that way. But 232 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: plus one oh five and give me plus money for 233 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: Green Bay to find a way to win, play defense, 234 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 1: run the football, figure it out, They're get Jayden Read involved. Obviously, 235 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 1: Jacobs is gonna work a toon Marshall. Lloyd's came come back. 236 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 1: Now they're just gonna run the ball and run the 237 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: ball some more. And I just I'm sorry, Like Will 238 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 1: Levis might have that fun throw here or there, but 239 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 1: it is terrible to watch him literally just try to 240 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:56,319 Speaker 1: do too much every week and just implode. Imploded. 241 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 2: So Allahan was saying on the sideline right when he 242 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: did that weird side throw thing. 243 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: Oh my god, so appalling. All Right, the New Orleans 244 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:07,199 Speaker 1: Saints are two and oh they just handed the Cowboys 245 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,559 Speaker 1: their lunch, and yet they are still underdogs at home 246 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 1: plus two and a half against the Eagles. We'll see 247 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: what the Eagles have in store for us on Monday 248 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 1: Night football. Now. AJ Brown not playing in that game, 249 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 1: so we'll shall see here if he is back for 250 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 1: this coming week. So that kind of does show up 251 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 1: potentially in some of these early lines here. The way 252 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:26,680 Speaker 1: things are going, it feels like the New Orleans Saints 253 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:27,839 Speaker 1: are the way to go here with the two and 254 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:30,080 Speaker 1: a half, the total for this one much higher forty 255 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 1: eight and a half. If you like the New Orleans 256 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: Saints on the money line and plus one twenty. I 257 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 1: don't know if I want to go there, but I 258 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: like the New Orleans Saints with the points here because 259 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 1: until they show me different, I've got to keep rolling 260 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:43,000 Speaker 1: with the Saints. Andrew, where are you at here? 261 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:43,839 Speaker 2: Yeah? 262 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 3: I think two. 263 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 2: After we see the Eagles play the Falcons, I think 264 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 2: we're probably going You're probably going to see maybe more 265 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 2: value on the Saints. 266 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 3: So I like the Saints here as well. 267 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm fascinated to see because I think if this 268 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: number could change if the Eagles don't look good, if 269 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: they lose to the Falcons tonight, if there's more news 270 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: on AJ Brown. This is one of the more intriguing 271 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 1: numbers to jump on early if you're watching the show 272 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 1: before Monday night when this guests released. 273 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 2: So when I watched this, what I will say too 274 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 2: is the Eagles have an early bye week. I believe 275 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,719 Speaker 2: it's week five, so if they want to hold out 276 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 2: AJ Brown just because hey, like, we got bigger fish 277 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 2: to fry. Playing in the NFC, the path to the 278 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 2: number one seed in the NFC is much easier to 279 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 2: get to than the number one seed in the AFC, 280 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 2: for example, which seems like the Chiefs are already getting ready. 281 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter how players could hurt. 282 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: But handle the Ravens at home and then they handle. 283 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 3: Yeah they beat two. Yeah, they just play two power out. 284 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: Their pathway to the super Bowl just got so much 285 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: easier with those two victories. I can't even fathom it. 286 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:45,079 Speaker 1: I mean, they're going to have the buy most likely, 287 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,080 Speaker 1: and they're probably going to have the two home playoff games. 288 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,079 Speaker 1: Those those two wins out of the gate were so important. 289 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: And I know they lost, but checko for a while 290 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: and it's going to hurt them a little bit. But 291 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: let's be honest. They'll throw first offense anyway. They'll patch 292 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 1: it together like they always do with the running back position, 293 00:11:57,720 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 1: because that's what a read's always done. Yeah, you know, 294 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,959 Speaker 1: Darnold Williams, the Daryl Williams is the Yeah, the guys 295 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: off the waiver wires, Samashi, p Rhin will get his stuff, 296 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 1: and Carson Steele and who knows who else they'll sign. 297 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 1: The Los Angeles Chargers are two and oh so are 298 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers also to and oh. The total for 299 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,439 Speaker 1: this game is thirty six and a half. Pittsburgh has 300 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: been grinding out these victories. The Chargers had a Quinton 301 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:27,560 Speaker 1: Johnston appearance yesterday for two touchdowns. The Pittsburgh Seiers are 302 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites at home. That feels 303 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 1: right to me. The Chargers on the money line plus 304 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: one fifteen. Andrew walk us through this contest here because 305 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,199 Speaker 1: we don't know is this where Russell Wilson comes back 306 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: or do we still get fields. So with that being said, 307 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: is there any early value on this one? 308 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 2: I took this piece Steelers already, so I bet this 309 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 2: early at minus two and a half that I like 310 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 2: the Steelers at home. We do have some question marks 311 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 2: about the health of Justin Herbert. He took a weird sack. 312 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 2: He finished the game, but he was getting tested after 313 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: the game. So trying to get ahead of any quarterback news. 314 00:12:58,240 --> 00:12:59,959 Speaker 2: I know Herbert was dealing with that foot injury earlier 315 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 2: the offseason. And I also bet the under again this. 316 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 2: We did this song and dance last year with the Steelers. 317 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 2: Every game was twenty points total, Like that's what was happening. 318 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 2: Because TJ Watch takes over these games, They're not trying 319 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 2: to score touchdowns. They want to grind it out, grind 320 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: the games through the mud. And Harbaugh is giddy about that. 321 00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 2: He's like, oh, sign me up, baby, I'm ready for 322 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 2: a ten to thirteen, you know, tuggle war slugfest. So yes, 323 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 2: I think that the under is the play here until 324 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 2: I see otherwise to suggest that the Steelers are trying 325 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 2: to be aggressive on offense, and the same thing with 326 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:33,439 Speaker 2: the Chargers. They want to run the football. So I 327 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 2: like the Steelers by the two and a half and 328 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:35,959 Speaker 2: the under. 329 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: I love that it's the lowest number and we're still 330 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 1: both of us on the under. 331 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 2: I just I just did this last year too. It 332 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 2: was we see something different just to keep in the 333 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 2: unders on the Steelers game. 334 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: I'm with you, dude, I'm with you. Houston at Minnesota 335 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 1: Minnesota Viking has gotten off to a really good start. 336 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: They're at home Houston Texans obviously, you know, a pretty 337 00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: complete team, a playoff team last year. Vikings haven new 338 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 1: on life. Here. We do have the injury to Justin Jefferson, 339 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 1: but it seems like he's going to play. But regardless, 340 00:14:04,400 --> 00:14:06,960 Speaker 1: here Minnesota three and a half point underdogs in their 341 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 1: own building. Forty six and a half is the number 342 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:11,319 Speaker 1: plus one forty for Minnesota to win this game. This 343 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: is a very tricky game here. I think for the 344 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 1: Houston Texans they got to be careful here because when 345 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: you have a a game wrecker like Justin Jefferson and 346 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 1: Donald keeps getting confidence every single week, I think that's 347 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: a very dangerous thing here. I actually like Minnesota with 348 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 1: the points. I think the three and a half is 349 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: really nice. So I'm on the Minnesota side of this one. 350 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 1: I think Houston, you know, does find a way to win, 351 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: but I can't deny what Minnesota's being able to do 352 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: so far. And I think the confidence of Sam Donald 353 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 1: is something not to dismiss. But what do you think 354 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: about this one? 355 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:45,200 Speaker 2: So I'm looking at one of these updated lines here 356 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 2: and I'm seeing that at least that ESPN bet on 357 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 2: the betting Pros dashboard, you can get the Houston Texans 358 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 2: minus one and a half. So I like that number 359 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 2: in particular because the Texas has been a weird team 360 00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 2: because you look at this year and you think, oh, 361 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 2: they've they've been good. 362 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 3: They're owing to two against the spread. Somehow, somehow, some way, they. 363 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 2: Just have they've been It's been on the slimmest of margins, 364 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 2: Like it was six and a half. They beat the 365 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 2: Bears by six points. It was two and a half 366 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 2: against the Colts, and the opener they won by two points, 367 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 2: so they've just kind of been on that. I think 368 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 2: that you're gonna see it regress a little bit. I 369 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 2: think that at one and a half, I think that 370 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 2: they can win by a field goal here. I think 371 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 2: that they are the better team over the Minnesota Vikings. 372 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 2: They are playing in the Dome. I'm not afraid of oh, 373 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 2: you know him, Minnesota's at home, afraid to look. I 374 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 2: think C CJ start. There's too many weapons for blind 375 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 2: Flores to try to combat here with what they have. 376 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 2: When they can run the ball, they can throw the ball. 377 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 3: I mean you saw. 378 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 2: The Nico Collins was the only receiver really involved last 379 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 2: night and they were still able to win. Right now, 380 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 2: Gigs and Tankdale were basically non factors, and Joe Mixon 381 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 2: was banged up during the game. They couldn't run the 382 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: football as effectively as week one, So I think they 383 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 2: find a way to get it done in minus one 384 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 2: and a half. 385 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:48,320 Speaker 3: I like those odds. 386 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: Before we get to our next game. Just a reminder 387 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 1: to sink your sports books for free. Download the Betting 388 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: pros app and use the tools, including Betting Systems, which 389 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 1: is a tool designed to help you find winning strategies 390 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: and make smarter bets. You can cut, demize your betting 391 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: systems by sport, by bet type and timeframe to find 392 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:07,280 Speaker 1: the best opportunities using real time data and expert analysis, 393 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: track the performance of different betting systems over time, and 394 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: optimize your bets to increase your chances of success. Download 395 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app right now to elevate your betting 396 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: strategy and start betting smarter, not harder. Next one up 397 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 1: here on our list of games for a week three, 398 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: we have the Denver Broncos zero and two against my 399 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: that's right, my Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and we are the 400 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: Bucks shirt today on the show, MVP Baker Mayfield. Do 401 00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: you like the sound of that, MVP Baker Mayfield? Oh? 402 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 1: The first two games, who's the MVP of the league. 403 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 3: I mean it's not Derek Carr. 404 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 1: Maybe it's Derek Carr. If not, it's Baker Mayfield. And 405 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:45,280 Speaker 1: they're gonna get another w here there are six and 406 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: a half point favorites. I know that seems like a 407 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 1: huge number. Bo Nix is wretched. We knew this going in. 408 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 1: I think things are gonna unravel quickly in Denver. The 409 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 1: number for this one is thirty nine and a half 410 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 1: plus two to sixty for Denver on the money line. Look, 411 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: I think Tampa's gonna handle their business and up a 412 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: mudhole in Denver. And I think this is a team. 413 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: You've really got to look now at the South and say, hey, 414 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 1: you know, if Atlanta doesn't get there, you know what, 415 00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:11,199 Speaker 1: together the Bucks and the Saints are going to leave 416 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: them in the dust. And I know it's early, and 417 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:15,440 Speaker 1: I don't want to be hyperbolic, but the Buccaneers look 418 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 1: like a team that's ready to go now. Vitavea dealing 419 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 1: with injury. That's one to keep an eye on. But 420 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,159 Speaker 1: I feel very confident about this one. I know it's 421 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,240 Speaker 1: a big number for the Bucks, but Denver on the road, 422 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 1: I got no faith in bo Nicks. I think he's 423 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,360 Speaker 1: going to struggle again. What are your thoughts on this one? 424 00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,120 Speaker 1: Am I just too giddy here with the kool aid 425 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 1: for the Baker Mayfield Bucks? No? 426 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,360 Speaker 2: I mean they just beat the Lions, who were considered 427 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 2: the Super Bowl favorite or top contender in the NS 428 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 2: in their own building, in their own building, and they're 429 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 2: playing a rookie quarterback at home, a rookie quarterback that 430 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 2: has not looked great in the two regular season games 431 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: that he has played. He's been a turnover machine. So 432 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,959 Speaker 2: with Todd Bowles and that defense that I mean, they 433 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 2: played so well against the Lions, I mean Jared Goff 434 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 2: was making a ton of mistakes. I know that they 435 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 2: put up a lot of yards, but they were forcing 436 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: Jared Goff to turn the ball over and that's what 437 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 2: I ultimately end up getting them the victory. So I 438 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 2: think that even how they're a little bit undermanned with 439 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:11,120 Speaker 2: the injuries in their secondary. 440 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 3: Again, you mentioned the injury to Vita Villa or Vidavey. 441 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 2: Well, last I checked, the Denver Broncos leading rusher through 442 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 2: two weeks is Bix So I'm not so sure that 443 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos running back Caneam take advantage of Videve 444 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 2: and not being there to plug up the interier because 445 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos cannot run the football a lick. So 446 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 2: I love Tampa Bay. I thought that the spreadsheet be 447 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 2: closer to seven and a half. So six and a half, yes, 448 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:34,399 Speaker 2: easy for me. 449 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers win list take on the Las Vegas Raiders, 450 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,640 Speaker 1: who got a huge road win. A great moment there 451 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: in that game too, where Minshot throws an early pick, 452 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 1: Matt Crosby runs on the field, grabs him, holds him, 453 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:47,639 Speaker 1: is pumping them up, saying, don't let it bother you, 454 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: all those things I got you while as it was wild, 455 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:52,479 Speaker 1: and then the Raiders somehow found a way to win 456 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: that football game. They are at home, seven point favorites. 457 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 1: The Raiders are at home. You know, I go see 458 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,439 Speaker 1: that very often this year, but again it's Carolina. I 459 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,120 Speaker 1: don't know if Bryce Young makes it through this game. 460 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 1: I really don't, which actually worries me a little bit 461 00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: about that seven, just a little bit, you know, does 462 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:09,639 Speaker 1: Andy Dalton come out there and does he, you know, 463 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: do enough and get things done and just kind of 464 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,440 Speaker 1: sling the football around old school Veterans style to maybe 465 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: keep this one closer. We'll see. Thirty eight is the 466 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,399 Speaker 1: number for this one plus two to seventy on the 467 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: money line for the Panthers not touching that one. So 468 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: I know it's a big number of the seven considering 469 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 1: it's the Las Vegas Raiders, but coming off a huge 470 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 1: win that momentum's got to be enormous for them. I 471 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 1: got to imagine Andrew, they can build that into this 472 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 1: week and say, hey, we got a cookie match up here. 473 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 1: Let's go beat this team and then continue to stay 474 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:39,480 Speaker 1: in this playoff hunt. And I think that is right 475 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,480 Speaker 1: there for the taking. I don't think the Raiders are 476 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 1: gonna whiff on this one, and I don't know if 477 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:44,680 Speaker 1: the Panthers are up for a fight. 478 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:46,879 Speaker 2: I mean, if the Panthers can't score a Touchdow, how 479 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 2: are they supposed to cover with the subpoints. That's a 480 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 2: good kind of the way I see it, And to me, 481 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:53,879 Speaker 2: it's I feel like Panthers these lines as we go 482 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 2: forward through the season, as Bryce Some continues to be 483 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,159 Speaker 2: the starter for the Panthers, it's basically, how big does 484 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:00,439 Speaker 2: the line have to be to get someone to bet 485 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 2: the underdog, to bet the Panthers, Like, what is it 486 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,639 Speaker 2: gonna take for It's got to be ten points for 487 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 2: me to take a shot on the Panthers at this 488 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 2: point because they can't score. They can't score touchdowns, They 489 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 2: were losing the entire game, and they are taking dink 490 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 2: and dunk passes with Bryce Young. They're not attacking downfield, 491 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 2: he just looks overmatching half the passes he's doing. 492 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:22,440 Speaker 3: He has to jump. He's doing jump passes on standard dropbacks. 493 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 2: And again, great college quarterback, but we see a lot 494 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 2: of great college quarterbacks not transitioned into. 495 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,679 Speaker 1: Good college quarterback team. That's where I will take. I 496 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 1: will good college quarterback on a great team. That's that 497 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 1: and I always felt that. So you can go back 498 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,240 Speaker 1: and check the receipts on that one. As Scott Bogwin 499 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 1: for the years that we were covering college football together, 500 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:44,159 Speaker 1: I was always very tough on Bryce Young. Miami Seattle. 501 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 1: Now Miami did sign Tyler Huntley recently. That just news 502 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 1: came across earlier today off the practice squad. So we're 503 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,600 Speaker 1: pro bowler, pro bowler Tyler Huntley. So we'll see. This 504 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,920 Speaker 1: is Skyler Thompson who's playing for them, but Seattle at home. 505 00:20:58,080 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: They are six and a half point favorites on this 506 00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: one at minus one tenant betting pros. Forty one and 507 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: a half is the number for this game, plus two 508 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 1: twenty five for Miami on the money line. HM got 509 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 1: a ton of work and now have a little bit 510 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 1: of extra rest here. It feels like a tall order 511 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 1: for Miami to go on the road without their quarterback 512 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: and get this w But is the six and a 513 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,119 Speaker 1: half too much respect? 514 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 3: I think it Nattle. I think it's too much. 515 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 2: I think it's too much when you look at we 516 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,680 Speaker 2: see this all the time when backup quarterbacks make their 517 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:25,160 Speaker 2: first start. 518 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 3: Everyone is kind of counting them out. And what do 519 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 3: they do? 520 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 2: They cover the spread or sometimes they went out right. 521 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 2: Look who Seattle has played through two weeks. Bonix and 522 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos offense didn't cover and the Seattle they 523 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 2: played the Patriots this past week and had to go 524 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,160 Speaker 2: to overtime to win. And depending on what line you got, 525 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 2: they may not cover that spread either. So they've been 526 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 2: again another team very on the margins of covering these spreads, 527 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 2: and everyone's all. We got Seattle's at home. Count with 528 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 2: the Miami Dolphins, who are coming off extra rest number one, 529 00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 2: and Skyler Thompson is familiar with the system. 530 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 3: He's been in this. 531 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 2: System for three years. He started a playoff game for 532 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,360 Speaker 2: the Miami dolph as thirteen and a half point underdogs 533 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:06,200 Speaker 2: in Buffalo. They almost won that game outright. So I'm 534 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,399 Speaker 2: a believer that when you look at the scheme that 535 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 2: McDaniel has in Miami, He's gonna put Scott Thompson in 536 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 2: a position to succeed with Tyreek Kill, with Jayalen Waddell, 537 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 2: with the Von A Chan those. 538 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 3: Guys can make huge plays. 539 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 2: What team have they faced that has that heap of 540 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,680 Speaker 2: weaponry Between the Patriots and the Broncos not even close, 541 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,119 Speaker 2: So I think that this is gonna be much closer. 542 00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 2: So I love the underdogs here with the miam Dolphins 543 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:27,640 Speaker 2: on the road. 544 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: I mean, it would be a huge upset if they 545 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: won outright, you think that's possible? You know, plus two 546 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: on it, Like, that's that's a really intriguing you know, 547 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 1: you sold me so much that I almost say, hey, 548 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:40,399 Speaker 1: I mean the points is safe at the six and 549 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 1: a half, but now on that money line play a 550 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 1: plus two to twenty five. That's a big number. 551 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 2: Well, it reminds me of and this is something that 552 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 2: Ryan Wormley has brought up on the Fantasy Pro Show. 553 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 2: When it comes to this Mike mcmcdonald defense from the 554 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 2: Seattle Seahawks formerly of the Ravens, it's very complex, so 555 00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 2: it takes sometimes with the Ravens, it took a little 556 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,479 Speaker 2: bit of time for their players to jell. And I 557 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 2: just think that these past two matchups between the Broncos 558 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 2: and the Patriots, those offenses don't have the weaponry to 559 00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:11,399 Speaker 2: expose that type of defense, but Miami, Miami does. Miami 560 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 2: has the horses to get it done. And all Scott 561 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 2: Thrump says do is, dude, just get the ball to 562 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 2: your playmakers. And I think he can do that. So 563 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 2: I like Miami a lot. Here and again we're seeing 564 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 2: so many underdogs just win. I'm like, you know, I'd 565 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 2: be more hesitating. I don't know, Joe. I think they'll 566 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 2: cover Sepe. Well, if theyre going to cover, they might 567 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 2: as well just win too. So let's go with the Dolphins. 568 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,920 Speaker 1: Plus two two five, baby, all right, here's one. It's 569 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:33,280 Speaker 1: really exciting. Detroit coming off a tough home loss, going 570 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 1: to Arizona coming off a big home win. Arizona's been 571 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 1: putting up points on Buffalo. They put up a huge 572 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,399 Speaker 1: game yesterday against the Rams, a depleted Rams team but 573 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:46,239 Speaker 1: still impressive. Nonetheless, the Lions are three point favorites on 574 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 1: the road. They are fifty one and a half giant 575 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 1: total for this one, the highest of the week. It's 576 00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 1: plus one forty for the Cardinals on the money line. 577 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: Despite the fact that this number is high at fifty 578 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,400 Speaker 1: one and a half, I think this potential for the over, however, 579 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,920 Speaker 1: depends on the health of I'm on Rossaint Brown. We 580 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 1: got some update on him that again feels like things 581 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:05,680 Speaker 1: are gonna be okay. He's gonna end up playing in 582 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: this one. But the Lions, I think the first two weeks, 583 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: I don't want to say sleepwalking, but sleepwalking Andrew. I mean, 584 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: I kind of feel like that's what they've been doing 585 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: a little bit where maybe they're reading their own press clippings. 586 00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,239 Speaker 1: Maybe that loss in home is exactly what they need 587 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,879 Speaker 1: to kind of jolt themselves. But this is not a 588 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,159 Speaker 1: cakewalk assignment anymore, because the Arizona Cardinals are gonna put 589 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 1: up points. I mean Marvin Harrison Junior, oh yeah, well 590 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,159 Speaker 1: he is good at football. Oh yeah, no kidding, It 591 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 1: was a pretty incredible day for him. And guess what, 592 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray, is your job to find Marvin Harrison Junior 593 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,640 Speaker 1: because when you do, you get w's. So this one 594 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,440 Speaker 1: is really interesting me. I think it's gonna go over, 595 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: even though it's a high total. That is the most 596 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,359 Speaker 1: appealing one to me. I think this one could really 597 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:48,480 Speaker 1: open up over time. I don't believe necessarily in the 598 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: Cardinals defense. And you know, as much as eight Hundredson 599 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: is a game wrecker and he was yesterday. I mean, 600 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,199 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray is so mobile. He's able to get out 601 00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: there in space. And that's kind of what was the 602 00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,960 Speaker 1: undoing last week, you know, with the Baker Mayfield making 603 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 1: moves and getting out there in space. That was kind 604 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,280 Speaker 1: of the undoing of the Lions defense. And Murray is 605 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,160 Speaker 1: even more mobile than Baker Mayfield. I think we even 606 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 1: agree on that. 607 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I like the over as well. 608 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:16,159 Speaker 2: I mean, next to Ford Field, the Glendale Arizona is 609 00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 2: where all the overs hit all last year. 610 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 3: Every single game went over total. 611 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 2: That was not That was the Joshua Dobbs Cardinals, that 612 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,400 Speaker 2: was not even the Kyler Murray Cardinals. 613 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 3: All those games went over the total. 614 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 2: So the lines coming off back to back home games 615 00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,960 Speaker 2: where you didn't go over the total, I mean regression 616 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 2: to the mean baby is screaming for an overhere. So 617 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,880 Speaker 2: I love the over here play and again because it's 618 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 2: a game that could go so back and forth, kind 619 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 2: of like my analysis last week, with the Buccaneers and 620 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: a Lions, Well just take the underdog if it's going 621 00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 2: to come down to the last possession and neither defense 622 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 2: can stop the offense. I think the value is on 623 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,920 Speaker 2: the Cardinals. And again we were high on the Cardinals 624 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:51,959 Speaker 2: entering this year, like we thought that. I mean, I 625 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,160 Speaker 2: know I had NFC could they win the NFC West. 626 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:55,880 Speaker 2: I haven't looked at the updated odds of who could 627 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 2: be the NFC West winner. I don't know what they 628 00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,680 Speaker 2: are for Arizona. I know that in the offseason was 629 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 2: plus the eighteen hundred, and I no, it's definitely not 630 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 2: plus thirteen hundred anymore. But so that's how I'm looking 631 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 2: at the situation. I like the Cardinals here, I'm gonna 632 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 2: keep backing them. 633 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: You are correct, it is half of that. It is 634 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 1: plus six hundred currently, so with the way plus thirteen 635 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 1: hundred for the Rams right now. And speaking of the Rams, 636 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 1: they are at home, winless without Cooper Cup, without Pucinaku, 637 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,159 Speaker 1: without an offensive line. There are seven point dogs at 638 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 1: home against the San Francisco forty nine ers, who once 639 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,439 Speaker 1: again crap the bet in Minnesota two years in a row. 640 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:28,200 Speaker 1: Forty five and a half is the number out with 641 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: the under in this one, because I'm concerned that Los 642 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,120 Speaker 1: Angeles can keep up at all the way that offensive 643 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: line is right now. Plus two to eighty for an upset, 644 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,239 Speaker 1: no thank you, I'll pass. But to me, look, this 645 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 1: is a San Francisco just get right game here. You 646 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 1: handle your business and your division. You had a tough 647 00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 1: loss on the road to Minnesota. Minnesota's got some big playmakers. 648 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson rang you up. Okay, you come back home, 649 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 1: you run the football, you play defense, and you get by. 650 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 1: I still am fading them on the season overall, but 651 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:01,840 Speaker 1: I don't think this is the week where I'm fading 652 00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. So I'm back on the forty 653 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: nine ers this week after fading them last week. So 654 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: I'm very I'm very mercurial when it comes to the 655 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers this year. But how do 656 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: you see this one? 657 00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 3: Yeah? 658 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 2: So the only reason I can't go in on the 659 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,400 Speaker 2: fort nine ers is because in this matchup last year 660 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 2: between these two teams, I remember Sean McVay kicked a 661 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 2: useless field goal to cover the spread for the Rams, 662 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 2: and I'll never forget it. So I'm gonna stay through 663 00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 2: from sides here. I like the under two. This was 664 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,680 Speaker 2: one of when I was doing my projections. This was 665 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,720 Speaker 2: the game that went under the total on the boards 666 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 2: versus my projections the most. What did you say the 667 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,359 Speaker 2: number was? I was seeing it at forty six and 668 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 2: a half and. 669 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: Forty five and a half, forty six and a half. 670 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I like the under there for for sure. 671 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like the under two. I just don't know 672 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: if the Los Angeles Rams can put up on offense. 673 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 3: Don't have the horses. 674 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:52,200 Speaker 1: It's there, no Cooper Couple, DeMarcus Robinson, Tyler Johnson, Whittington, 675 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,360 Speaker 1: like you know, Kyraen Williams, Like it's just not enough. 676 00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:56,639 Speaker 1: I don't think at the end of the day, like 677 00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,920 Speaker 1: I could see them putting up thirteen. Like maybe I'm wrong, 678 00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 1: maybe not, but we'll see. Uh. And again that pass 679 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 1: rush with that bad offensive line right now all dinged 680 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: up is not good. So here we go two teams 681 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,199 Speaker 1: coming off embarrassing losses. I never thought i'd say this, 682 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,680 Speaker 1: the zero to two Ravens yikes against the one in 683 00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: one Dallas Cowboys. This is like a this feels like 684 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,399 Speaker 1: a fork in the road, and these hm out of 685 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 1: conference games are always weird to begin with. So the 686 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,600 Speaker 1: Cowboys are one point underdogs at home. I don't know, 687 00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 1: I feel like that's wrong. I feel like the Ravens 688 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,840 Speaker 1: should be favored. I don't know why. It just it 689 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 1: doesn't feel right to me with the way the Dallas 690 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 1: Cowboys looked yesterday. Forty seven and a half is the 691 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: number minus one fifteen for the Ravens to win out right, 692 00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 1: minus one oh five for the Cowboys to win out right. 693 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: So the Ravens are favored by one, it feels like 694 00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: they should be favored by more. Let me let me 695 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 1: just be clear about that one. I don't know why. 696 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: I know they completely embarrassed yesterday. Maybe it's just that letdown, 697 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,000 Speaker 1: you know, maybe they just took the Raiders for granted, 698 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 1: you know, after that big you know, it's week one, 699 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,360 Speaker 1: We're playing the Chiefs, and he just kind of all 700 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 1: that emotion kind of comes out. I think the Ravens 701 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 1: show up here. I think the Ravens win this football game. 702 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 1: I just have very little faith in Dallas. And look, 703 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:16,760 Speaker 1: the last two times we've seen Dallas at home, they 704 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 1: have taken embarrassing loss after embarrassing loss. That playoff games 705 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,320 Speaker 1: with the Packers was embarrassing and yesterday against the Saints 706 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 1: and Derek Carr complete embarrassment. Your thoughts on this. 707 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 2: One, Yeah, So I talked about this on the Betting 708 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,400 Speaker 2: Pros live stream with Matt Perrault talking about how the 709 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 2: Raiders were in a good spot and how the Ravens 710 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 2: were not going to cover that massive spread because the 711 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 2: Ravens played down to their competition. 712 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 3: They do this all the time. They did this all 713 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 3: last year. 714 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 2: It's why the Colts went in under Gardner Minshew and 715 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 2: beat them in overtime in Gardner Minshew again two and 716 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 2: oh with the last two years against the Ravens because 717 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 2: they play down to their competition, they play with their food, 718 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,160 Speaker 2: they don't take in fear of teams and just beat them. 719 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 2: They're like, no, we're gonna do experiment, We're can do this, 720 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 2: and that they're not going to take, especially after losing 721 00:29:57,600 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 2: at home. They're not going to take Dallas lately. So 722 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:01,719 Speaker 2: I I was able to get this one at Baltimore 723 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 2: plus one and a half, which I think is still 724 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:05,600 Speaker 2: I don't I think I think I don't think it's 725 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 2: available anymore. But I mean, if the Ravens were an underdog, easy, 726 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 2: easy bet to make. You always want to bet on 727 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,880 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson as an underdog any situation. But yeah, this 728 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 2: is a matchup where, yes, the Ravens should be favored. 729 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 2: I don't care if Dallas is playing at home. I 730 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 2: don't care if they're playing on the Moon. To be honest, 731 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:20,480 Speaker 2: it doesn't really matter. 732 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 1: Favorite by one. I think it should be Baltimore three. 733 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 2: I agree, it's a It's a game where Lamar should 734 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 2: bounce back. This is a team that they're not going 735 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 2: to be taking lightly like they did last week against 736 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 2: the Raiders, so I think you're going to see their 737 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:33,719 Speaker 2: best effort. 738 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 3: And Dallas look. 739 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 2: What they just I mean, they're always set up so well, 740 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 2: especially when they played at home. But you're right back 741 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 2: to back home losses. 742 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: No, not good Kansas City Chiefs two and ore going 743 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 1: to take on Atlanta. I expect Kirk Cousins actually tonight 744 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 1: to have a good game. Last time we saw Kirk 745 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: Cousins in Philadelphia last year, he put up a huge 746 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,440 Speaker 1: game and was four hundred yards passing. I know it 747 00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 1: was with Justin Jefferson and all that, but still some 748 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,280 Speaker 1: of the guys just play well against certain teams, and 749 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 1: I feel like Cousins just plays well against the Eagles 750 00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,720 Speaker 1: for whatever reason. The number here for this one is 751 00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: Kansas City minus four and a half. Forty six and 752 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 1: a half is the total on this one, plus one 753 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,600 Speaker 1: eighty four of the Falcons on the money line. Look, 754 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 1: they're not gonna have a check over for this game, 755 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 1: so it takes a hit in the run game for them, 756 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,640 Speaker 1: for sure, But I'm still pretty confident here. I'll take 757 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 1: the four and a half of Kansas City regardless. But 758 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey needs to start showing up two. I know 759 00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: there was a big catch he had that got called 760 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 1: back on a holding call, but like a certain point here, 761 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,800 Speaker 1: if we're really like Kelsey needs to step up, he 762 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: needs to start playing better because he has not been 763 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: a factor really enough in these last two games. 764 00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:39,160 Speaker 2: No, definitely not involved nearly enough in the offense. I 765 00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 2: think that the lines are pretty sharp here, four and 766 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,800 Speaker 2: a half forty five and a half total, so I'm 767 00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 2: not touching this. I kind of want to see what 768 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,720 Speaker 2: Atlanta does a little bit on Monday night football, but yeah, 769 00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:49,360 Speaker 2: I'd probably be back in the Chiefs right now. 770 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 1: All right. Jacksonville at Buffalo. Buffalo's two and zero. Jacksonville 771 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,040 Speaker 1: is winless so far. Buffalo six point favorites at home. 772 00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 1: Josh Allen just taking over games the first two weeks 773 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 1: is basically he's done. Forty six and a half is 774 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: the number, and your boy who runs between the twenties 775 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:05,560 Speaker 1: scored a lot of touchdowns. Last time I looked, James 776 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: Cook just was cooking. He was unbelievable in that game. 777 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 1: All the tds Jacksonville for the upset plus two twenty five. 778 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 1: It's tough here, Like it feels like Jacksonville's gonna end 779 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:17,720 Speaker 1: up looking at zero to three, and it feels like 780 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: Buffalo is once again in control of this division, especially 781 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 1: with Miami having this quarterback situation and the Jets looking 782 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:27,040 Speaker 1: like a team that you know is still trying to 783 00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 1: figure things out and get out of their own way. 784 00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 1: So I like Buffalo. The six is a good amount, 785 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 1: But again, I just I have no faith right now 786 00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: in Jacksonville to get it done. So I'll take the 787 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,040 Speaker 1: side here with Buffalo. Where are you at? 788 00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:42,920 Speaker 2: I don't like this game, honestly, I think that the 789 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,200 Speaker 2: I don't see any value on either the side or 790 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,600 Speaker 2: the total get they're playing in Buffalo and Jacksonville office 791 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 2: has kind of been a mess. So I'm not touching 792 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 2: either side right now at this point. 793 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 1: And I will say with two Monday night games too, Yeah, 794 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: we have the Sunday night football case. This is one 795 00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: of the two Monday. 796 00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 2: Nighters, doubleheader Monday Night football. And go back to the 797 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 2: James Cook point the entire time when he was scoring 798 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 2: all those touchdowns. In my mind, I'm thinking about and 799 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:06,720 Speaker 2: happy gilmore right when he file learns out a putt. 800 00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 3: It's like, hey, Kyt's Cook final ard no how to score. 801 00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: Touchdowns finally learned, and you know what they should be 802 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: continuing to give them all. He's been fantastic, good you know. 803 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:19,720 Speaker 1: And plus it'll take some mileage off of Josh Allen. 804 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 1: I understand what your thought process is too, Like I 805 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:23,600 Speaker 1: get it. I get why you're a little scared of 806 00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 1: this game. But the way Josh Allen's played and the 807 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 1: extra rest all the way going to the Monday. So 808 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:30,760 Speaker 1: they played it on the Thursday and they don't play 809 00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 1: again until the Monday, and they're at home. I think 810 00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: that's a big I think that's a big swing for 811 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. The Cincinnati Bengals need a win at home. 812 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,520 Speaker 1: I think they get it this coming week here against 813 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. The Commanders are one and one. The 814 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: Bengals are zero to two, seven and a half point favorites. 815 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:48,920 Speaker 1: It's a big number for the Bengals. I don't know 816 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 1: if I'm there with this number, but I do think 817 00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,040 Speaker 1: the Bengals win this contest. Forty eight and a half 818 00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 1: is the total plus two eighty five for the Washington Commanders. 819 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 1: So the question is this, do you want to take 820 00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 1: the Washington side of the points or is this the 821 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 1: Bengals coming out party? In Week three? 822 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,080 Speaker 2: This has to be the Bengals coming out party. I mean, 823 00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:08,520 Speaker 2: is he if Joe secondary. If Joe Burrow and Jamar 824 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:10,879 Speaker 2: Chase don't combine for three touchdowns in this game, I'm 825 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 2: going to be very very sad because they need to 826 00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,280 Speaker 2: get going. They need to get cooking. 827 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 1: Well. 828 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:16,959 Speaker 2: Week one, he was coming off the hold in or whatever. 829 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:18,399 Speaker 2: And then week two, what do we see from the Chiefs. 830 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:18,839 Speaker 3: What do they do? 831 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 2: They try to take away your number one weapon. They 832 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 2: always do that, and they were making sure that Chase 833 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:24,920 Speaker 2: was not going to beat thein Swaissa Yoshi vas catch 834 00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 2: two touchdowns and it wasn't Chase that was really involved. 835 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:29,880 Speaker 2: So but they always suck at September, you know they 836 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 2: I think they're what in Zach Taylor six seasons. They've 837 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 2: been owing to in five of them to start the year, 838 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,160 Speaker 2: So slow starters from the get go. But this is 839 00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,080 Speaker 2: where you start to see them cooking. They're back at home. 840 00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,600 Speaker 2: The commanders have the NFL's work secondary. I mean, Malik 841 00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 2: Nighbors was good, Daniel Jones was good against his defense 842 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 2: throwing the ball yesterday. So Joe Burrow, this is where 843 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,359 Speaker 2: they can build some momentum. So I think this one 844 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 2: actually could get could get pretty ugly. 845 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I think Cincinnati coming out party 846 00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:59,120 Speaker 1: as well. But what do you think? Drop your comments below. 847 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 1: Subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and Ring the 848 00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 1: Belt to Lit Goes Dings so you don't miss a 849 00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 1: second of coverage here on BP NFL with us got 850 00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,440 Speaker 1: the daily juice every single day. We got our boy 851 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,839 Speaker 1: Terrell doing all the WNBA before you know what, NBA 852 00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,960 Speaker 1: stuff will be around the corner as well. And don't 853 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:15,920 Speaker 1: forget to synk your sportsbooks for free. Download the Betting 854 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,759 Speaker 1: Pros app Start betting smarter, not harder. That'll do it 855 00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:20,759 Speaker 1: for us. That's the look ahead for week three for 856 00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:24,400 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 857 00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 858 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,040 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 859 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 860 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:36,400 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 861 00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:40,120 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 862 00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:48,320 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.