WEBVTT - 22 ETFs to Watch in '22

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Trillions. I'm Joel Webber and I'm Eric call

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<v Speaker 1>tunis Eric Happy. Um. I have a new year's resolution,

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<v Speaker 1>which is to make more money than than uh last year,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would like some investing advice and I'm hoping

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<v Speaker 1>that you and your team of analysts that Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>can help me out. Is that is that kosher? Can

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<v Speaker 1>we can we do that? Yeah? I mean I actually

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<v Speaker 1>thought your resolution was gonna be to clean your closet. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we we've been for those not in the know,

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<v Speaker 1>I've been recording in my closet for many, many many

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<v Speaker 1>episodes of Trillions. It's actually my wife's closet. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>here we are to answer your question though. Yes. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>So every year we write all these outlooks and it's

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<v Speaker 1>all very you know, sell side research ish. But one

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<v Speaker 1>thing we do that's a little buzzfeedish is a listical

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two et s for and sometimes we do retail

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<v Speaker 1>conferences and the doing yourself retail investors. They don't really

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<v Speaker 1>care that much about like how much is going from

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<v Speaker 1>advisors to brokers and some of that, like more trendy stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>They were just they want tickers. They they want to

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<v Speaker 1>learn e t s through tickers. They want genuine ideas

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<v Speaker 1>of of interesting new innovative products and whatnot. So we

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<v Speaker 1>did this because of that. And we don't necessarily these

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<v Speaker 1>ATMs are gonna go up. We're down. We don't make

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<v Speaker 1>any advice, but these are e t f s that

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<v Speaker 1>we just can't get off our mind. They're ones that

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<v Speaker 1>have really just stuck into our brain and we feel

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<v Speaker 1>like tap into bigger themes that we're watching as well,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we do it every year. And so we

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<v Speaker 1>have um, you know, Ethanacios, James and Rebecca on our

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<v Speaker 1>team who all contributed some of the e t s

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<v Speaker 1>of the twenty two So joining us on this epposite

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<v Speaker 1>of trillions, James Staffert, Athan Nacios, Seraphagus, and Rebecca Sin

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<v Speaker 1>from Hong Kong. We're going to patch in so that

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<v Speaker 1>she can contribute despite being at a different time zone

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<v Speaker 1>from the rest of us recording. And we're gonna hear

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<v Speaker 1>about some investing ideas for the next year. And don't

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<v Speaker 1>take this as investment advice. They're just ideas that hopefully

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<v Speaker 1>that the way we're phrasing ConTroll is ets to watch, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>watch sign off compliance, check that box. Okay, thanks for that.

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<v Speaker 1>I also want to confess that we had some technical

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<v Speaker 1>difficulties with my mike, so what follows may sound a

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<v Speaker 1>little differently than I usually sound. Sorry about that this

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<v Speaker 1>time on Trillions twenty two e t F s Athanasios,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna call you by your non Greek name from

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<v Speaker 1>now on, which is Tom. That sounds good, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna start with you give me your picks. How am

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<v Speaker 1>I going to make money in t F picks? Go?

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<v Speaker 1>All right, I'm gonna come in hot with this first one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's probably the biggest story of last year. Cathy would

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<v Speaker 1>right an ARCS fund, but I'm going on the opposite

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<v Speaker 1>side with the Shore arc fund. So it's s A

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<v Speaker 1>r K, which is the Tunnel Capital Short Innovation e

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<v Speaker 1>t F. I get it launching inverse. ETF is hard.

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<v Speaker 1>Markets tend to go up over time. I like this one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's got a lot of attention, very very quickly. Kathy

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot of haters out there. If you look

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<v Speaker 1>at performance it just launched, then I think, like November,

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<v Speaker 1>it's up already. Historically, that's one of the best performing

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<v Speaker 1>ets out of the gate. It's already got some volume

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<v Speaker 1>I'm calling this one like a mini s q q Q.

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's gonna be a good enough ecosystem around

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<v Speaker 1>it that I think this product will be around for

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<v Speaker 1>a while. Okay, so for that to succeed, Kathy has

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<v Speaker 1>to fail right at the highest level. Yes, but if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at something like s q q Q, right, so,

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<v Speaker 1>over time markets go up. But I was actually pretty

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<v Speaker 1>interested to see that even with the queues going up

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<v Speaker 1>so much, the assets and sqq have been going up.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, if Cathy's fund does well, just over time

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<v Speaker 1>is gonna be going down. But the way her fund

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<v Speaker 1>has actually been forming pretty recently, Uh, this has been

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<v Speaker 1>doing really good. Like I said, the funds up launched,

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<v Speaker 1>and not even the performance. I think if you can

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<v Speaker 1>build a pretty strong trading ecosystem, I think this is

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<v Speaker 1>what's going to keep this product alive. It's even just

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<v Speaker 1>as much as the performance. And just remember s q

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<v Speaker 1>q Q is obviously short the cues, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people look at SPY is sort of

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<v Speaker 1>like the market. The cues is sort of like innovative tech,

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<v Speaker 1>and then Cathy is like nonprofitable tech like stuff that

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully we'll pay off weight on the road, and now

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<v Speaker 1>she's actually creating her own little qui ish world. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think this is actually a compliment or good for her.

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<v Speaker 1>It'll because when this thing gets money, it's got to

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<v Speaker 1>buy a r k K. So it's all kind of

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<v Speaker 1>integrated into the Kathy ecosystem. So I think the liquid

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<v Speaker 1>it is good. But I agree Tom, this is one

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<v Speaker 1>that will probably have nice little spurts when ARC is

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<v Speaker 1>sold off. Okay, next, Okay, this one sounds boring, but

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's actually indicative of a much bigger thing.

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<v Speaker 1>B KLC, which is the Bank of New York melon

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<v Speaker 1>US Large Camp Cory TF, which is just basically um

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<v Speaker 1>like a generic type of the SMP or one of

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<v Speaker 1>those like generic large cap broad uh E T S.

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<v Speaker 1>Why this one is different. It's free, has a zero

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<v Speaker 1>expense ratio, right, so who who's not going to want

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<v Speaker 1>a free E T F. I actually taking this pick

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<v Speaker 1>as a product that I think is not going to

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<v Speaker 1>raise that much money even though it's free, because when

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<v Speaker 1>we look at what it's up against, right signed just

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<v Speaker 1>Trump Vanguard, I get it. Being cheap is a good lane.

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<v Speaker 1>You want to be in it. It's traducing work. Vanguard

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<v Speaker 1>already owns that space. And if you look at what

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<v Speaker 1>v O O can even do with tracking and total

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<v Speaker 1>cost of ownership, you already getting the O for free.

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<v Speaker 1>So I don't I think crying that money out of

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<v Speaker 1>the O O is gonna be really really hard for

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<v Speaker 1>this product. So I actually think that this is a

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<v Speaker 1>case that even if it's free, it's not going to

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<v Speaker 1>raise any money. Well, I will say it has four

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<v Speaker 1>fifty million. That's probably a lot of B y O A,

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<v Speaker 1>which is money coming in through their clients. But you

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<v Speaker 1>know this is the idea. Bank of New York is

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<v Speaker 1>a big custodian. They have a lot of they serve

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of advisors. They can say, hey, look what

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<v Speaker 1>by the ACME brand instead of Vanguard, it's three basis

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<v Speaker 1>points cheaper and obviously maybe a coupe people are doing

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<v Speaker 1>that next. All right, So Eric said, I can pick

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<v Speaker 1>one European one and it doesn't have use. It's in

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<v Speaker 1>the name, so it's fine. Uh, But I love this ticker.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a CEO two uh. And this is the spark

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<v Speaker 1>change physical carbon uh etc. And so carbons that been

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<v Speaker 1>a really hot item. So what this does is advised

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<v Speaker 1>carbon allowances. So I don't know if people know how

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<v Speaker 1>those work. It's essentially like a permit that people could

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<v Speaker 1>that companies can use to pollute. Right, So as companies

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<v Speaker 1>want to buy these up, this e t F actually

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<v Speaker 1>has two benefits. One, it's just going to track the

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<v Speaker 1>price of these carbon credits right as they go up

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<v Speaker 1>and then the demand they're gonna they're gonna track that price.

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<v Speaker 1>But what's so different about this product compared to any

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<v Speaker 1>other et F out there that that's tracking carbon credits.

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<v Speaker 1>It actually owns the credits. So this is almost like

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<v Speaker 1>a hoarder in a way, and that it's buying the

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<v Speaker 1>credit ETFs taking it off the market so companies can't

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<v Speaker 1>use them. It's actually taking the supply out of the market.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's basically saying that even if companies wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>buy these credits to the loot, they can't because we're

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<v Speaker 1>buying up all the supply. And then that also will

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<v Speaker 1>probably end up could potentially also end up moving the

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<v Speaker 1>price a little bit higher as well, just because you're

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<v Speaker 1>limiting it. So so they're actually like a market maker

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<v Speaker 1>because they're able to take onto their books an asset

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<v Speaker 1>that companies are are trying to get. Yeah, exactly. If

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<v Speaker 1>you look at some of the other carbon ones that

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<v Speaker 1>have done well, they're all just tracking futures, so parallels

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<v Speaker 1>what's happening with bitcoin futures versus physical They're actually owning

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<v Speaker 1>the credit, so even if you wanted to buy them,

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<v Speaker 1>they're hoarding them. So I think it's a really interesting strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the first of its kind, um and I like

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<v Speaker 1>I like the physically back aspect compared to some of

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<v Speaker 1>the other things anything. Yeah, they've actually done quite a bit.

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<v Speaker 1>They're over a hundred million, uh and only a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of months, and that's in Europe, so that's actually really

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<v Speaker 1>impressively in the context of that market. It's really really good.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a very very strong that makes up for your

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<v Speaker 1>previous pick, which was a little boring. Let's see what

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<v Speaker 1>you got for number or alright, this one's boring too,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's uh. It's sp I B, which is a

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<v Speaker 1>Spider portfolio intermediate term corporate bond ETF. They cut their

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<v Speaker 1>fee on this, so they vanguarded vanguarded, and Vanguard ended

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<v Speaker 1>up cutting the fee. But what I think this is

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<v Speaker 1>so important is if you look at the fixed income

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<v Speaker 1>et F market, it's all black Rock and Vanguard. They're

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<v Speaker 1>they're like eighty percent of the assets. State Street really

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<v Speaker 1>missed an opportunity here, and they were one of the original,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, ones that could launch fixed income ets. I

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<v Speaker 1>think they're gonna put a lot of effort into their

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<v Speaker 1>fixed income line up with fee reductions, maybe launching more products.

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<v Speaker 1>I just think this is the way that they're And

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at what's happening the rest of their business,

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<v Speaker 1>you know they're losing share too. I shares in Vanguard,

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<v Speaker 1>So I actually think they're gonna really try to make

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<v Speaker 1>it up on the fixed income side. So I'd be

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<v Speaker 1>looking for some really really aggressive moves for State Street

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<v Speaker 1>in their fixed income space. And I'm just picking this

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<v Speaker 1>et F as a proxy just because they were so

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<v Speaker 1>aggressive with some of the recent feet cuts. All Right,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm still bored. Giving some fireworks to end, Okay, I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is a pretty nice picker. It's MVPs, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the amplified thematical Austar e t F. Now how

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<v Speaker 1>we were talking about KATHY before. Just thematic ets in

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<v Speaker 1>general have gotten so so large. It's like one of

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest categories now sector wise. But the space has

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<v Speaker 1>gotten so big that when you say, hey, okay, I

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<v Speaker 1>want to buy an autonomous vehicle et F for CYBERSECURITYF

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<v Speaker 1>there's so much out there that actually the performance dispersion

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty wide. You can have a very different experience

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<v Speaker 1>than someone else with bought a different product. So what

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<v Speaker 1>this tries to do is cut through the middle of that, saying, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>there's all these different thematic products, but where's that one

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<v Speaker 1>point where they all meet, where the highest conviction thematic

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<v Speaker 1>picks of all these e t s And the category

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<v Speaker 1>is so big that this actually matters. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>over time, not only is this gonna so it's recally

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<v Speaker 1>sited down the middle, I actually think it's gonna do

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<v Speaker 1>better than the average because it's not just you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's trying to be sort of a diversified thematic thing,

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<v Speaker 1>but the fact that it's choosing the highest conviction names,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's actually a little bit better than average.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think it's just I like this product because

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<v Speaker 1>it cuts through all that thematic performance dispersion, which is

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<v Speaker 1>in its only forty nine basis points, it's pretty concentrated. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>I think those are it's a good you know, good

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<v Speaker 1>price points. I'm gonna be honest and say that the

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<v Speaker 1>ticker was better than your explanation. But you know that's

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<v Speaker 1>just the brutal reality of it, and you know, don't

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<v Speaker 1>don't don't don't read into it too much, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I would I would add like to throw in some

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<v Speaker 1>of the stats that that Athan or Tom mentioned. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>they have a hundred James is gonna bail you out?

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<v Speaker 1>James is gon no. I I love this pick from

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<v Speaker 1>tom um. The sector if you can consider thematic ets

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<v Speaker 1>a sector like Tom mentioned there, it's the second largest

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<v Speaker 1>sector of e t s. There's a hundred and sixty

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<v Speaker 1>one billion assets and these types of etf SO and

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<v Speaker 1>there's we have a ton of different categories in the dashboard,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's continually growing. It's one of the fast growing

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<v Speaker 1>enitors of the market. So I'm definitely gonna be watching

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<v Speaker 1>m vps as well. I believe this one also has

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<v Speaker 1>the most overlap with arc right, didn't um what's his name, Mike,

0:10:58.760 --> 0:11:02.080
<v Speaker 1>I can show that. So for Texas Harvesting, Yeah, because

0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking Tesla Navidio um Block, these are cathy stocks Shopify.

0:11:08.440 --> 0:11:11.439
<v Speaker 1>I really like products that try to cut through the noise.

0:11:11.720 --> 0:11:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Where do we all agree where do all these products

0:11:13.840 --> 0:11:15.840
<v Speaker 1>agree and I think there's some benefit there and just

0:11:15.920 --> 0:11:27.079
<v Speaker 1>finding these really high conviction picks. Rebecca Hong Kong Holcong

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:31.600
<v Speaker 1>is doing well. Happy New Year, Happy New Year to YouTube. Okay,

0:11:31.640 --> 0:11:34.520
<v Speaker 1>I want to hear your picks. Which one are you

0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:37.400
<v Speaker 1>most excited about? Let's start with that one. The one

0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm probably most excited about is electric vehicle. And the

0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:45.080
<v Speaker 1>reason why I chose electric vehicle is that there's been

0:11:45.080 --> 0:11:47.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of growth in this sector, especially in China.

0:11:47.960 --> 0:11:50.840
<v Speaker 1>So within the electrical vehicle in China, we've seen some

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:54.240
<v Speaker 1>of the ets return more than and one of the

0:11:54.280 --> 0:11:56.880
<v Speaker 1>main reasons for China's growth is that they're starting from

0:11:56.920 --> 0:12:02.680
<v Speaker 1>a much lower base. So Chinese electric vehicles posted greater

0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:05.440
<v Speaker 1>returns than they did in the US. So, for instance,

0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:08.160
<v Speaker 1>if we look at some stats like their new energy vehicle,

0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:13.200
<v Speaker 1>it contributed to of the return. Looking at one year earlier,

0:12:13.240 --> 0:12:16.040
<v Speaker 1>the return was only eight percent. And so the Chinese

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:18.840
<v Speaker 1>market has a lot more growth potential. And with a

0:12:18.920 --> 0:12:22.839
<v Speaker 1>chip shortage easing and everyone looking for driverless cars and

0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:26.439
<v Speaker 1>not autonomous technology and robotics as well as E s G.

0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>Favorite themes, I believe that electric vehicles will do really well,

0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:32.239
<v Speaker 1>and the one that I picked is global X Autonomous

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:35.640
<v Speaker 1>Electric Vehicle Drive US, which captures this segment at only

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:40.400
<v Speaker 1>sixty five basis points. So the ticker is drive. Wow,

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>that's an amazing ticker. Eric, how come we've never talked

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 1>about that one before? We might have brought it up.

0:12:47.400 --> 0:12:49.679
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's a couple electric vehicle e t F

0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:51.719
<v Speaker 1>s out there. UM, I know, I did it once

0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.320
<v Speaker 1>on our e t F battles with Rondo Legy and

0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 1>I get asked a lot about electric vehicle ets. It's

0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:58.599
<v Speaker 1>one of the most pop That and Bitcoin are the

0:12:58.679 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 1>probably the two most questions I get for like regular people. Um,

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.120
<v Speaker 1>I think people have seen non Tesla car companies get

0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 1>into electric vehicles and they're like, you know, this is

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:08.800
<v Speaker 1>it's going to take over. They can see Tesla a

0:13:08.880 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 1>little electric pumps showing up at the wah wah or

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:14.640
<v Speaker 1>the seven eleven or whatever, and they're like, this is

0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 1>really happening. So I agreat. I think this is a

0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:20.440
<v Speaker 1>big theme. I think some of these stocks though you

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 1>probably find other funds, but for the most part, I

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 1>think this is exactly why theme ets were invented. Electric

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:30.079
<v Speaker 1>vehicles is definitely has a bright future. Okay, Number two.

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Number two is metaverse. Everyone's heard of metaverse. But one

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:38.319
<v Speaker 1>of the things that's interesting is that the metaverse ets

0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 1>actually started a lot longer before Facebook rebranded to meta

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>and so I may have predicted that the metaverse e

0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:49.240
<v Speaker 1>t F universe may reach eight billion by four which

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:51.760
<v Speaker 1>might be a little bit aggressive, but we've had a

0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of progress since that. And so even in Asia,

0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.959
<v Speaker 1>in Korea, we had four metaverse ets launch on the

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:02.840
<v Speaker 1>exact same day, and two of the e t F

0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Sampson and Maria, managed to reach more than one hundred

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:09.400
<v Speaker 1>million in only six days, which is very quick for

0:14:09.440 --> 0:14:12.720
<v Speaker 1>reaching a hundred million. And so the metaverse et F

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>has surpassed more than two point three billion in December,

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:19.800
<v Speaker 1>and so I think that there's a lot of growth opportunity,

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:21.840
<v Speaker 1>and I know a lot of other regions, for instance,

0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, they're looking to launch metaverse

0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:27.320
<v Speaker 1>e t s as well this year. So the US

0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 1>is leading the race at more than one point four

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 1>billion in assets under management round Hill Balls Metaverse et

0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>F meta US leads the pack in terms of having

0:14:37.440 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 1>the largest assets under management, but there are other ETFs

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:42.760
<v Speaker 1>that are going to join and I see that a

0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>lot more et fish where is jumping in on the

0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 1>bandwagon for metaverse products? Okay, and of course if you

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 1>want to learn more about this metaverse space, we did

0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 1>a great episode with Rebecca and Matt Ball, who is

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the brain behind the Meta e t F. So you

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 1>can check that out. That was just a couple of

0:15:01.680 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>months ago. Uh yeah, I mean if one thing on

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Meta in the U s here that E t F.

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.080
<v Speaker 1>There was a four hundred and fifty ish launches last

0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:15.240
<v Speaker 1>year of natural organic flows. That was the third most

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 1>successful of all four fifty. That's a big feat. And honestly,

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.080
<v Speaker 1>they got a huge break when Facebook changed their name

0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:24.520
<v Speaker 1>to Meta. That's when that was like a catalyst moment

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:27.360
<v Speaker 1>because I think they maybe might have had like sixty

0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:30.520
<v Speaker 1>million now they have almost a billion. Sometimes it's good

0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 1>to be lucky, but they, you know what, they were

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:35.120
<v Speaker 1>ahead of the curve and that's important. You gotta be out,

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.320
<v Speaker 1>you gotta be in it to win it. Chill, we'll

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 1>see if it wins it, but definitely have a lot

0:15:40.920 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 1>of investor enthusiasm. Okay, what's next, Rebecca. The next one

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:49.280
<v Speaker 1>is cathy Woods flagship Arc innovation. A r K k

0:15:49.520 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 1>U S can't talk about e t S without talking

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:55.800
<v Speaker 1>about this one the number one performing fund in but

0:15:55.960 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 1>then it didn't do so well in one in, so

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe there's a lot of growth potential for it in. Ultimately,

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>this fund tracks five areas within the technology sector, which

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 1>includes DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology.

0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I believe that as the world becomes more dependent on technology,

0:16:18.360 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of growth opportunity for this. So look,

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>ARC has come down to earth a bit um, you know,

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 1>down since February. It had to happen. It was up

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:30.440
<v Speaker 1>too much. I think everybody saw it was like, how

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 1>on Earth could have fund returned this much in a

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>year um, and I think over five years though it's

0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>still an annualized return of like I mean, that's ridiculous.

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 1>But a lot of people came in at the high,

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.880
<v Speaker 1>so some people are underwater. It's ongoing controversy, but the

0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>fact is not a lot of people left the fund,

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 1>and I think the reason for that is again, they

0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 1>have cheap beta. They've got all the serious investor fundamentally

0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>sound stocks covered in their cheap beta. Part of their portfolio,

0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 1>so they already own all that stuff, because that's what

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>people ding Cathew on their Oh you you own all

0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 1>these nonprofitable crazy stocks. But most people are like, yeah,

0:17:05.320 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 1>that's a feature, not a bug, because I already owned

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the fundamental stuff. I want Kathy for that potential huge payoff,

0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:17.480
<v Speaker 1>the dreamers kind of stocks and you know that asymmetric

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>return potentially, and I think they buy into her five

0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:22.359
<v Speaker 1>year a plan. I mean she's basically said this is

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 1>going to take a little while, and um, I think

0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:27.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, her personality is also a big part of it.

0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:30.560
<v Speaker 1>So it's really interesting that people haven't left, and I

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:32.960
<v Speaker 1>think Cathy would and ARC will be around for a

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:36.360
<v Speaker 1>long time. If you cannot see outflows after draw down,

0:17:36.760 --> 0:17:42.600
<v Speaker 1>that is a really really good sign. Okay, Rebecca, last pick,

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 1>your last pick. My last pick is going to have

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:48.440
<v Speaker 1>to be China focused. Since I am based in Hong Kong.

0:17:49.080 --> 0:17:53.680
<v Speaker 1>China has had lots of difficulties in but I believe

0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 1>that there are pockets of growth in China in despite

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:02.560
<v Speaker 1>Beijing's regulatory crackdown straight to US relations, there are opportunities

0:18:02.600 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>of growth and some of these include clean energy, electric vehicles, tech, healthcare,

0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:11.640
<v Speaker 1>and China A shares. I'd say specifically where there's maybe

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 1>the most opportunity would be within China tech and the

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>reason for this is because it's been massively hit in

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:23.040
<v Speaker 1>hit more than fifty due to Beijing's regulatory crackdown, and

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the one I picked is Crane Shares CSI. China Internet

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:29.159
<v Speaker 1>k WEB. What's most interesting about k web is that

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:33.960
<v Speaker 1>despite the drop of more than fift they managed to

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:39.159
<v Speaker 1>get four billion dollars worth of inflows, and so more

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.879
<v Speaker 1>than of the assets under management came in as the

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:45.680
<v Speaker 1>fund was dropping, and so there's a lot, ultimately a

0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:48.200
<v Speaker 1>lot of people looking to invest into China technology and

0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 1>this is a great et f for that, and the

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:56.440
<v Speaker 1>thesis here being that it won't get worse. We believe

0:18:56.560 --> 0:19:00.360
<v Speaker 1>that China's technology sector has already been hit a lot

0:19:00.920 --> 0:19:04.119
<v Speaker 1>and that there will be a rebound in at what

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:08.440
<v Speaker 1>time It's to be determined. Ultimately, it is very dependent

0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:12.040
<v Speaker 1>on the government. But there is still a lot of

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:15.280
<v Speaker 1>growth opportunity within the China sector and so I think

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:21.239
<v Speaker 1>that it will rebound. Yeah. And actually, Rebecca, I think

0:19:21.280 --> 0:19:23.120
<v Speaker 1>the flows into k web are actually even a little

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:24.840
<v Speaker 1>more by the end of the year. I think they

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.960
<v Speaker 1>were like seven point five billion. That the spread between

0:19:28.160 --> 0:19:33.560
<v Speaker 1>negative and plus seven billion. That that's an insane spread

0:19:33.640 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 1>between performance and flows. Um as um Athanasio has put it,

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.440
<v Speaker 1>it's in the buy the dip hall of fame for sure.

0:19:40.880 --> 0:19:44.320
<v Speaker 1>At some point these people will be rewarded. But also

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:46.680
<v Speaker 1>there's not many dips to buy anymore. I mean, everything's

0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:49.360
<v Speaker 1>up all the time. It's like a utopia out there.

0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Um and this was a huge dip for people to

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:56.200
<v Speaker 1>buy into. I can't believe k web is the biggest

0:19:56.280 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 1>China et F in the US. It's past m SHI

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 1>and FX and all these like broader based ones that

0:20:02.600 --> 0:20:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you think would be way bigger. It's like it's like

0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:08.919
<v Speaker 1>having an awful draw out was like the best thing

0:20:08.960 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 1>that ever happened to it, I think within the China

0:20:11.000 --> 0:20:13.800
<v Speaker 1>sector also though, there are so many Chinese ETFs that

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 1>people often don't know which one to invest into, and

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:19.240
<v Speaker 1>so Crane Shares has done a well done, really good

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:23.520
<v Speaker 1>job at providing a niche exposure to the Chinese markets.

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:25.680
<v Speaker 1>And if you look at the Cream Shares product offer,

0:20:25.760 --> 0:20:29.120
<v Speaker 1>they have everything from electric vehicles to clean energy to healthcare,

0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:31.359
<v Speaker 1>as well as China A shares, which are really the

0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:34.399
<v Speaker 1>large segments, and so there's no other ETF issue in

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:36.879
<v Speaker 1>the US that covers the China market as well as

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:42.040
<v Speaker 1>cream shares ANTI and to this point about being the

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 1>hot sauce on top of cheap beta. If a lot

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 1>of people are own an Emerging markets et F like

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:50.119
<v Speaker 1>i MG um, you have China covered to a large extent.

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:52.359
<v Speaker 1>But k web can actually be put on top of

0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:55.280
<v Speaker 1>that because there isn't a ton of overlap between i

0:20:55.560 --> 0:20:57.360
<v Speaker 1>MG or e M and k WEB. So I think

0:20:58.080 --> 0:20:59.639
<v Speaker 1>k web has been a little bit of an arc

0:21:00.240 --> 0:21:03.000
<v Speaker 1>as well in the way it's used in a portfolio.

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 1>So I agree. Crane Chairs is a really a company

0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 1>doing a lot. And Ethanols just talked about the carbon

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>et F earlier. They have a carbon credit et F

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>coming out I believe in a couple of months as well. Okay, James,

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:28.639
<v Speaker 1>those are hard knocks to follow, no pressure. What do

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:30.480
<v Speaker 1>you got in the third quarter for US? Yeah, So

0:21:31.240 --> 0:21:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the first one, I'm gonna start with his biddow, which

0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:37.440
<v Speaker 1>made biggest headlines in Key four possibly the first bitcoin

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 1>futures et F launch in the US, first bitcoin ETF,

0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:44.920
<v Speaker 1>but unfortunately as futures I'm watching this obviously because everyone's

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.119
<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin and have been for a while, but

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 1>also because, as I mentioned, attracts futures, and there's issues

0:21:50.560 --> 0:21:53.359
<v Speaker 1>with futures ets involving role costs. So essentially, when you

0:21:53.800 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>buy futures, you have to sell the current contract and

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:58.760
<v Speaker 1>buy the next one, and there's costs in doing that,

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:01.280
<v Speaker 1>and we want to watch see how much those role

0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:03.520
<v Speaker 1>costs add up. Currently there are about two point seven

0:22:03.560 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>percent and it's only about it's only been existing for

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:08.760
<v Speaker 1>two and a half months, so um, at that rate,

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:12.120
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be overlve annual role costs to have exposure

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>to this thing. But again, this thing does have hot,

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 1>tight spreads, no commissions to trade at things like that,

0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:19.760
<v Speaker 1>so we're just gonna be watching this ecosystem. I think

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:21.679
<v Speaker 1>there's there's two other et f s out there right now.

0:22:21.760 --> 0:22:23.840
<v Speaker 1>There might be more of the cold bitcoin futures, and

0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:26.400
<v Speaker 1>I think there could be some competition amongst like how

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 1>well do they track spot bitcoin and them marketing against

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 1>each other. Hey, by the way, real quick, I'm looking

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>at the volume on biddow and it's never traded under

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:40.960
<v Speaker 1>a hundred million dollars in a day since birth. That

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:44.400
<v Speaker 1>that that there's no way that's been there's a precedent

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>for that. Yeah, I can't think of anything. It's crazy.

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:52.399
<v Speaker 1>It's definitely a good trading vehicle. I just it's just

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 1>there's definitely issues for it as as a long term

0:22:55.600 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 1>holding vehicle because of those role costs that can add up. Okay,

0:23:00.480 --> 0:23:02.840
<v Speaker 1>non bitcoin news, what you got for us? Okay? So

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the next one is going to be vote. Um Vote

0:23:06.000 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>is Engine the Engine number one transformed five t F.

0:23:09.320 --> 0:23:11.720
<v Speaker 1>This is just it basically holds the five d largest

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 1>US US stocks. It charges five basis points, and it's

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:17.399
<v Speaker 1>an E s G E t F, but it doesn't

0:23:17.440 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 1>do anything in its investments to be E s G.

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.960
<v Speaker 1>It's E s G through it's it's proxy voting, and

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 1>it's basically an activist investing with money behind it. So

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:28.639
<v Speaker 1>they had they had a campaign where they want to

0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:30.679
<v Speaker 1>get exon. That's when that's how Engine number one got

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:34.159
<v Speaker 1>its big name. They're doing stuff with GM and electric vehicles. Um.

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:36.440
<v Speaker 1>So this is just a whole different way to spin

0:23:36.560 --> 0:23:39.480
<v Speaker 1>E s G investing that obviously, I'm gonna be watching

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:42.200
<v Speaker 1>to see how it works out. It's almost about almost

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:45.080
<v Speaker 1>a three million, it's about six seven months old. And

0:23:45.119 --> 0:23:47.679
<v Speaker 1>it's been taken in money pretty consistently, two million here,

0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:50.879
<v Speaker 1>three million there. Ever, since it's launched, pretty much every

0:23:50.920 --> 0:23:53.480
<v Speaker 1>single week is taken in somebody. So it's it's gonna

0:23:53.480 --> 0:23:55.639
<v Speaker 1>be interesting to see how this does, especially compared to

0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:58.439
<v Speaker 1>the more traditional asset managers that are doing the massive

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:04.680
<v Speaker 1>exclusionary UH S G E T F strategies. Also, I

0:24:04.880 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 1>like Vote as well, UH namely because with E S G,

0:24:08.000 --> 0:24:10.119
<v Speaker 1>E T S you have a chance of underperforming. Here

0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.360
<v Speaker 1>you don't. It tracts the SNP and it's van Guardian

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 1>price point, so I like it. We actually interviewed the

0:24:17.560 --> 0:24:20.840
<v Speaker 1>vote people UM what like six months ago droll, and

0:24:20.920 --> 0:24:23.119
<v Speaker 1>they gave us a lot of information about their process.

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:24.719
<v Speaker 1>It's it was a good episode. I would go check

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>it out if you're interested to learn more. Yep. That

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:34.920
<v Speaker 1>was with with Charlie Penner, who led the campaign against Exxon. UM. Okay, James,

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:37.120
<v Speaker 1>what else you got? So the next one I'm gonna

0:24:37.400 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 1>so I'm very interested to watch how rate hedg gtfs go.

0:24:40.600 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of talk about inflation. The Fed's gonna

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 1>raise rates. UM. There's always this talk since basically UM

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>people want to hedge rising rates Uh. These things have

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 1>been around since then and they just haven't picked up

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>that much in the way of assets. But that really

0:24:55.680 --> 0:24:58.679
<v Speaker 1>changed in these things took in over two billion in assets.

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:01.240
<v Speaker 1>So one example that is the I G b H,

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>the interest the I shares, interest rate hedge long term

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:06.880
<v Speaker 1>corporate bond DTF. There's also l Q d H. There's

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of corporate bond and bond TTF that just

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 1>have a hedge on them, which basically means they're shorting treasuries.

0:25:11.359 --> 0:25:13.880
<v Speaker 1>So I'm gonna be watching to see if these continue

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:17.239
<v Speaker 1>to gain assets and if they are outperforming as rates rise. Um,

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:19.600
<v Speaker 1>we could see people piling up, piling on in uh

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:24.880
<v Speaker 1>in the performance chasing manner. Okay, time out of these

0:25:24.960 --> 0:25:28.960
<v Speaker 1>interest rate hedge gtfs are really interesting. Obviously they need

0:25:29.119 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>the stars to align. But I wonder if the currency

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>hedged e t F phenomenon of what is it like wig?

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.120
<v Speaker 1>It was big, everybody rushed in. It took sixty billion

0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:40.600
<v Speaker 1>dollars in, but then it's it's sort of stopped working

0:25:40.640 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and everybody pulled out. It started working again, and no

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:46.080
<v Speaker 1>one bought back in. They didn't get a second bite

0:25:46.119 --> 0:25:49.400
<v Speaker 1>of the apple. I wonder if the rate hedge gtfs

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:52.639
<v Speaker 1>are tainted because of the currency hedge DTF, people who

0:25:52.680 --> 0:25:55.120
<v Speaker 1>may got burnt rushing in and then realizing it doesn't

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:58.680
<v Speaker 1>outperform forever. Tom, what's your take on that. Yeah, I

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:02.920
<v Speaker 1>think that's a good point. A lot of histories and indication,

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:05.320
<v Speaker 1>whether it's the currency edge or even the arc stuff,

0:26:05.520 --> 0:26:08.959
<v Speaker 1>people coming late into these products. So I think when

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 1>people are going to allocate the currents to rate hedge,

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 1>it will be too rate. Yeah, that's I know, that's dismal.

0:26:17.160 --> 0:26:20.359
<v Speaker 1>People suck at timing. I guess that's what I essentially said.

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:24.280
<v Speaker 1>I also think that with rate hedging, the outperformance isn't

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:27.760
<v Speaker 1>as shiny ish, and so it's not going to attract

0:26:27.800 --> 0:26:30.960
<v Speaker 1>as many eyeballs as it did on the international equity side.

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 1>But we'll see, okay, James, let's hear it. Okay, bring

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:39.480
<v Speaker 1>it home. Yeah. So I So the next one I

0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:41.119
<v Speaker 1>I talked about is f R d M, which is

0:26:41.119 --> 0:26:44.200
<v Speaker 1>the Freedom one hundred Emerging Markets etf UM. I kind

0:26:44.240 --> 0:26:46.200
<v Speaker 1>of view this in as similar light as I view vote.

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:49.280
<v Speaker 1>It's another play on E s G, except because when

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:52.240
<v Speaker 1>you talk about this so emerging market, China's makeup of

0:26:52.280 --> 0:26:55.239
<v Speaker 1>the Emerging market index by market cap. So a lot

0:26:55.320 --> 0:26:57.359
<v Speaker 1>of people talk about using e s G investing in

0:26:57.400 --> 0:26:59.240
<v Speaker 1>e s G and then they just buy a broad

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 1>emerging markets e t F and China is arguably doing

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of things that would go against E s

0:27:03.920 --> 0:27:07.520
<v Speaker 1>G principles, which actually it's not really arguable that they

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:08.840
<v Speaker 1>are doing a lot of things that go against the

0:27:08.920 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 1>s G principle. And what this what this e t

0:27:11.160 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>F does is it kind of ranks countries and they

0:27:14.320 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 1>scores them by like protector how they protect life, liberty

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:21.159
<v Speaker 1>and property rights, so human rights, economic freedoms, things like that.

0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:23.440
<v Speaker 1>So China gets booted out of this e t F.

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:25.480
<v Speaker 1>There's a few other countries they have booted out. It's

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:28.399
<v Speaker 1>just a different play and emerging markets exposure. It's kind

0:27:28.400 --> 0:27:30.679
<v Speaker 1>of like an E s G exposure to emerging markets.

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:33.080
<v Speaker 1>UM So I'm going to be very interested to see

0:27:33.080 --> 0:27:35.600
<v Speaker 1>how this does going forward. It's a crossed over a

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:38.840
<v Speaker 1>hundred million just recently. Um So that's another thing we're

0:27:38.880 --> 0:27:42.119
<v Speaker 1>watching again, a tilt on E s G. Again, we

0:27:42.240 --> 0:27:44.359
<v Speaker 1>had Perth toll On who started f R d M,

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>who grew up in China. Um we had her on

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 1>before she was cool too, where she got you know popular. Uh,

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>this is one of her early episodes. I will say,

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:55.880
<v Speaker 1>I gotta say it's a little bit of a shame

0:27:55.920 --> 0:27:58.479
<v Speaker 1>that f r d M is at a hundred million dollars,

0:27:58.560 --> 0:28:01.560
<v Speaker 1>which is good, that's healthy for indie, but the black

0:28:01.680 --> 0:28:06.119
<v Speaker 1>Rock x China um is like well over a billion

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:09.159
<v Speaker 1>because a lot of people are liking this trade, but

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:11.680
<v Speaker 1>they're they're doing it through the e M x China.

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:14.240
<v Speaker 1>I think f r d M actually goes a little

0:28:14.280 --> 0:28:16.359
<v Speaker 1>further and says it's not just China, there's some other

0:28:16.400 --> 0:28:20.600
<v Speaker 1>countries that are uh equally as bad in terms of

0:28:20.640 --> 0:28:23.560
<v Speaker 1>their freedom score. But she had the idea, and it

0:28:23.680 --> 0:28:25.719
<v Speaker 1>just it's kind of, I don't know, a little bit

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:28.920
<v Speaker 1>of shame that there wasn't more traction there since it

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:31.480
<v Speaker 1>seemed to be her idea originally. But that's sort of

0:28:31.600 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 1>what distribution can do. I think, yeah, it's e M

0:28:34.080 --> 0:28:37.120
<v Speaker 1>x C and it's over two billion now. But one big,

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:38.920
<v Speaker 1>one big thing to say is what you mentioned it

0:28:39.560 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 1>f r d M does more than just screen out China,

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:43.600
<v Speaker 1>screens out a couple other countries. The other thing is

0:28:43.680 --> 0:28:46.120
<v Speaker 1>e M x C is half the price. So fr

0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:47.880
<v Speaker 1>d M is about forty nine BIPs and E m

0:28:48.000 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 1>x C ISPs, so that's another contributing factor. Hold on,

0:28:53.280 --> 0:28:55.280
<v Speaker 1>I have to see the performance of the three. Yeah,

0:28:55.400 --> 0:28:57.080
<v Speaker 1>so it looks like E m x C is up

0:28:57.120 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 1>eight percent, f r d M is up four point

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:01.440
<v Speaker 1>six percent, and E is down four percent for the year.

0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 1>So maybe E m XC has a little lecture performance,

0:29:05.160 --> 0:29:07.440
<v Speaker 1>but I think it's more black Rock and the brand

0:29:07.520 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 1>name and distribution. Okay, final pick James, and I think

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 1>I think I know what it is from last year, right.

0:29:16.720 --> 0:29:18.760
<v Speaker 1>He loves this. He can't stop thinking about it. This

0:29:18.920 --> 0:29:21.320
<v Speaker 1>is it like his significant other. I honestly get more

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:24.959
<v Speaker 1>questions on this product than any other product. You can

0:29:25.280 --> 0:29:27.680
<v Speaker 1>put put ten products together, and I get more questions

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 1>on this one product than all those ten together. And

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:33.520
<v Speaker 1>it's it's stopped talking about your extra It's uh. It's

0:29:33.600 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 1>g b T the Gray School, the Gray Scale Bitcoin

0:29:36.840 --> 0:29:39.440
<v Speaker 1>trust Um. Technically it's not in e t F, but

0:29:39.520 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 1>it's the biggest. It's a multi thirty billion dollar product.

0:29:42.680 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 1>It's could been over forty billion UM. It's a it's

0:29:45.680 --> 0:29:48.960
<v Speaker 1>a behemoth that's trades otc um, but it has huge issues.

0:29:49.000 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 1>It's trading at a discount right now, there's there's some

0:29:52.000 --> 0:29:53.960
<v Speaker 1>concerns around it, but what gray Scale wants to do

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:56.680
<v Speaker 1>is convert this to an e t F. Now, with

0:29:56.800 --> 0:30:00.200
<v Speaker 1>the SC approving the Bitcoin Futures ETF like bid, which

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 1>I already talked about, has opened some avenues for Gray

0:30:02.960 --> 0:30:06.560
<v Speaker 1>Scale to kind of like possibly file a lawsuit against

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:09.960
<v Speaker 1>the SEC for not treating like situations alike. Um, So

0:30:10.040 --> 0:30:13.280
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna see some SEC responses to other bitcoin applications

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 1>over the next few months, specifically some big ones in April,

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 1>and then the GBTC decision is due July six. So

0:30:20.720 --> 0:30:22.600
<v Speaker 1>over those next few months, I'm gonna be watching very

0:30:22.640 --> 0:30:24.920
<v Speaker 1>closely to see what kind of language the SEC uses

0:30:24.960 --> 0:30:28.200
<v Speaker 1>and how they handled the GBTC decision. We do expect

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:29.880
<v Speaker 1>them to deny it, but if they do deny it,

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:32.440
<v Speaker 1>I would, honestly I expect Gray Scale to possibly file

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:36.880
<v Speaker 1>and a lawsuit citing a a p A violation. Yeah. Look,

0:30:36.960 --> 0:30:41.200
<v Speaker 1>the lure here for GBTC is that it's premium. So

0:30:41.280 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 1>if and when it gets SEC says you can convert,

0:30:44.200 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 1>that's instant profit. I mean, you should be made whole

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.800
<v Speaker 1>pretty quickly, and that's what people But it's just a

0:30:50.960 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 1>question of how long GIF to weight guys, I don't

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:55.680
<v Speaker 1>think ENS is going to approve a spoty TF while

0:30:55.720 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 1>he's in office. That's my new thing. I'm pretty well

0:30:58.880 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 1>A lawsuit could could James, but it also could agitate

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:07.240
<v Speaker 1>because um Gray gray Scale has a couple of these

0:31:07.280 --> 0:31:10.720
<v Speaker 1>products which arguably the SEC could like look at because

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:14.080
<v Speaker 1>they aren't you know, they aren't really that functionally good.

0:31:14.240 --> 0:31:16.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean they had they traded wide prims and discounts.

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:18.800
<v Speaker 1>So do you want to I mean, I look, I'm

0:31:18.840 --> 0:31:20.800
<v Speaker 1>all four. I think the SEC should approve this stuff.

0:31:21.160 --> 0:31:22.720
<v Speaker 1>The lawsuit does it great? I just if I was

0:31:22.760 --> 0:31:24.720
<v Speaker 1>an issuer, I don't know if I'd want to agitate

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:28.240
<v Speaker 1>them like that. I don't know. It's a fascinating The

0:31:28.280 --> 0:31:29.560
<v Speaker 1>one O. The one other thing I would say is

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:33.120
<v Speaker 1>it's more than just twenty two, so it's at a discount. Theoretically,

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>if it par is one hundred and it's trading at

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:37.520
<v Speaker 1>seventy eight, to go from seventy to a hundred is

0:31:37.520 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 1>almost a thirty percent increase, not a increase, So it's

0:31:40.320 --> 0:31:42.640
<v Speaker 1>it actually is more than the discount when it goes

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 1>back to whatever NAV would be if it does get

0:31:45.200 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 1>approved but again, I don't think it's happening in two,

0:31:48.600 --> 0:31:50.440
<v Speaker 1>but I'm going to be watching very closely for what

0:31:50.520 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 1>the SEC says over the next six months. All right,

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:59.640
<v Speaker 1>thanks James. That's five plus four plus five is is

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:03.160
<v Speaker 1>let to do that fourteen to get to two. We

0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:04.800
<v Speaker 1>need eight more, so Eric, I guess you're on the

0:32:04.800 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 1>hook for for eight. Let's go. Yeah. We we just

0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:10.760
<v Speaker 1>hired two new people, but they're not up and writing yet,

0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 1>so next year they're going to handle this. So I

0:32:12.600 --> 0:32:17.080
<v Speaker 1>took double load. Uh, because you know that's what you

0:32:17.120 --> 0:32:20.160
<v Speaker 1>gotta do sometimes, you know, you gotta alright, alright, alright,

0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:22.520
<v Speaker 1>big man, let's hear it and then we'll we'll decide

0:32:22.560 --> 0:32:25.320
<v Speaker 1>how how great these ideas are. Okay, you want that?

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>You want the shiny ones first or the boring ones first?

0:32:28.640 --> 0:32:31.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean the boring ones first. Like Tom did a

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:35.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, set the table there by giving us some joking.

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:38.640
<v Speaker 1>Tom's okay, okay, go ahead quickly. T LT long dated

0:32:38.680 --> 0:32:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Treasury is probably the most boring thing out there. But

0:32:41.880 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 1>when the market sells off the stock market, these t

0:32:44.880 --> 0:32:47.400
<v Speaker 1>l T is the one of the best all natural

0:32:48.080 --> 0:32:51.440
<v Speaker 1>organic hedges out there. Almost every time the markets we

0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 1>look back, it almost offsets all your stock classes. It's

0:32:54.840 --> 0:32:58.200
<v Speaker 1>the hedge that bitcoin and gold can only dream of being.

0:32:58.800 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 1>In fact, gold is like us what it is. It's

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:03.840
<v Speaker 1>usually like flat. Bitcoin goes down worse than the market.

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:05.959
<v Speaker 1>So I I really wouldn't I went back and ran

0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:07.920
<v Speaker 1>this state. I would look at bitcoin or crypto as

0:33:08.160 --> 0:33:10.920
<v Speaker 1>a high beta stock, not a hedge, and maybe not

0:33:11.000 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 1>even a store of value. Although James will probably get

0:33:13.080 --> 0:33:15.520
<v Speaker 1>triggered by that. But I also think not that I

0:33:15.560 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 1>don't like bitcoin, I just think it behaves like a

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 1>high beta stock. And then t l T. I think

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 1>next year, the market has gone up the last three years.

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:27.440
<v Speaker 1>That is triple what you're supposed to get historically, so

0:33:27.560 --> 0:33:29.840
<v Speaker 1>we're we're like living way above our means in the

0:33:30.000 --> 0:33:32.840
<v Speaker 1>S and P. So I would perceive a rougher year,

0:33:32.920 --> 0:33:34.840
<v Speaker 1>and I think t LT will will will show again

0:33:34.920 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 1>it's a good hedge. UM and v T I another

0:33:38.440 --> 0:33:40.520
<v Speaker 1>boring one that's the Vanguard Total Market. I also picked

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:43.400
<v Speaker 1>this one last year. I think this is a perfect

0:33:43.480 --> 0:33:46.400
<v Speaker 1>et F. It's fomo proof and owned small caps, midcaps,

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:49.200
<v Speaker 1>value growth, whatever is doing well, you own it, even

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.280
<v Speaker 1>meme stocks. And I do think overtime vt I will

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:54.680
<v Speaker 1>be the biggest t t f UM you know on

0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the planet, probably within the next five years. It was

0:33:57.640 --> 0:34:00.600
<v Speaker 1>second and flows this year and because of the securities

0:34:00.640 --> 0:34:03.680
<v Speaker 1>lending and actually tracked perfectly, which means it's essentially free

0:34:03.720 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 1>exposure to the whole U s enchilada. It's a beautiful thing,

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a modern miracle of science in a way. UM stick

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:18.680
<v Speaker 1>with TALT here because that had a down years did

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 1>not do well. Right, So so you're saying that that

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:25.320
<v Speaker 1>despite going down and you know, apprehensions about what the

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:28.200
<v Speaker 1>stock market might do in two this is this will

0:34:28.239 --> 0:34:31.800
<v Speaker 1>be the safe the thing that everybody. So like in

0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:34.920
<v Speaker 1>two THO the market was down thirty five, TEALT was

0:34:35.000 --> 0:34:40.240
<v Speaker 1>up thirty UM and then in UH and then again

0:34:40.680 --> 0:34:43.120
<v Speaker 1>just last Thanksgiving or you know, like a month ago,

0:34:43.680 --> 0:34:45.800
<v Speaker 1>UM the market fell I think four percent. TALT was

0:34:45.840 --> 0:34:48.759
<v Speaker 1>up four percent. It doesn't always perfectly go up the

0:34:48.800 --> 0:34:50.759
<v Speaker 1>same the market goes down, but it's just proven to

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:55.319
<v Speaker 1>be the best offsetter. And it's not like a derivative

0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:58.799
<v Speaker 1>where like a put option or the VIX where you're

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:03.480
<v Speaker 1>constantly your insurance is corroding. This is literally just a

0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 1>bunch of bonds it's a long only thing, and I

0:35:05.320 --> 0:35:07.719
<v Speaker 1>like the fact there's nothing weird going on. You just

0:35:07.840 --> 0:35:10.400
<v Speaker 1>own a basket of bonds. So that's why I call

0:35:10.480 --> 0:35:13.799
<v Speaker 1>it all natural. So yeah, I agree with that. As

0:35:13.840 --> 0:35:16.120
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, gold is more of a diversifier. It does

0:35:16.160 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 1>its own thing. It never does what people expected to

0:35:19.000 --> 0:35:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin is more of a risk acid. At this point,

0:35:21.080 --> 0:35:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't argue that it's a hedge against pretty much anything.

0:35:24.120 --> 0:35:27.440
<v Speaker 1>Maybe against currency debasement, but that's about it. T LT

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:30.200
<v Speaker 1>really is does act as an equity market hedge, and

0:35:30.320 --> 0:35:34.800
<v Speaker 1>in times of stress it's it's boring but effective. Um okay.

0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:37.080
<v Speaker 1>So another one is usm V. This is the popular.

0:35:37.360 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Actually Tom chose this one last year. I'm sure I'm

0:35:39.520 --> 0:35:42.840
<v Speaker 1>choosing it this year. Minimum altility is such a great

0:35:43.480 --> 0:35:47.320
<v Speaker 1>easy thing to sell for an advisor to their older investors.

0:35:47.480 --> 0:35:50.160
<v Speaker 1>It's like, hey, it's like diet coke. You get most

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:52.960
<v Speaker 1>of the market, a little less volatility, it's a smoother ride, right,

0:35:53.040 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 1>less calories. It had a rough two years, especially since

0:35:56.040 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 1>Mark when the FED stepped in and saw a lot

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:02.240
<v Speaker 1>of outflows. Again, back to that second fight of the apple,

0:36:02.320 --> 0:36:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Will low Vall and Menvall get a second bite at

0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:07.760
<v Speaker 1>the apple. Let's say, because it's had a good December.

0:36:08.160 --> 0:36:10.000
<v Speaker 1>If it keeps it going well, people come back in.

0:36:10.760 --> 0:36:14.080
<v Speaker 1>And this is a great case study for that premise

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:16.200
<v Speaker 1>of how many bites of the apple do you get?

0:36:17.000 --> 0:36:18.759
<v Speaker 1>More and more? I'm thinking you get one. You have

0:36:18.800 --> 0:36:21.640
<v Speaker 1>your shiny object moment. People come in and then if

0:36:21.680 --> 0:36:24.479
<v Speaker 1>you really let them down too much and they leave,

0:36:24.560 --> 0:36:27.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't they tend not to come back even when

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:30.080
<v Speaker 1>you start doing well. And that's we'll see maybe this

0:36:30.200 --> 0:36:33.120
<v Speaker 1>will overcome that. Um. And then my last one is

0:36:33.200 --> 0:36:37.240
<v Speaker 1>a v d V which is the Avantis International Value

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:39.840
<v Speaker 1>e T F. Avantis is an up and coming issue.

0:36:40.320 --> 0:36:42.839
<v Speaker 1>They do like smart Beta and it's cheap, so they're

0:36:42.880 --> 0:36:45.080
<v Speaker 1>in the dirt cheap lane and they give you a

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:47.799
<v Speaker 1>little extra you know, smart Beta in there. Uh, they

0:36:47.880 --> 0:36:50.880
<v Speaker 1>throw it in there, so it's cheap. Smart Beta International

0:36:50.960 --> 0:36:55.200
<v Speaker 1>Small Cat Value is probably the most bargain basement bargain

0:36:55.320 --> 0:36:57.560
<v Speaker 1>bin thing you can find on on the earth. Right.

0:36:57.920 --> 0:37:00.520
<v Speaker 1>The pe of this thing I think is ten. Okay,

0:37:00.600 --> 0:37:03.759
<v Speaker 1>Like if anything were to lead the charge of a

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>regime change of value, I would look for this. This

0:37:07.640 --> 0:37:11.320
<v Speaker 1>isn't just small cat value, it's international small Cat value.

0:37:11.440 --> 0:37:14.759
<v Speaker 1>So it's sort of the canary in the coal mine.

0:37:15.280 --> 0:37:17.359
<v Speaker 1>But if it pops, this thing should pop a lot.

0:37:17.400 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 1>So I'm watching it to see if we will get

0:37:20.520 --> 0:37:22.320
<v Speaker 1>some people looking at the beat up stuff. Since the

0:37:22.440 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 1>SNP had such a good run, maybe values time is

0:37:26.200 --> 0:37:30.880
<v Speaker 1>is finally arrived. Okay, So GLT USB, M v T

0:37:31.080 --> 0:37:33.680
<v Speaker 1>I A V d V those are your boring picks.

0:37:33.800 --> 0:37:37.560
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to the spicy stuff. Sure so C t

0:37:37.800 --> 0:37:41.120
<v Speaker 1>RU which is the it's see through, it's the trans

0:37:41.239 --> 0:37:45.239
<v Speaker 1>arc transparency. So one of my big problems with E

0:37:45.440 --> 0:37:47.880
<v Speaker 1>S G is that it's trying to replace something like

0:37:48.000 --> 0:37:50.360
<v Speaker 1>V T I and who in the hell wants to

0:37:50.400 --> 0:37:52.960
<v Speaker 1>give up their cheap beata and and put in something

0:37:53.000 --> 0:37:55.360
<v Speaker 1>that could underperform that costs more. It's just that's just

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:59.440
<v Speaker 1>a tough sell. But Arc sells hot sauce, and now

0:37:59.520 --> 0:38:01.960
<v Speaker 1>what they're doing is they're making E SG hot sauce.

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:04.440
<v Speaker 1>It's largely the G but it's looking at the most

0:38:04.480 --> 0:38:07.839
<v Speaker 1>transparent companies and it's picking one and equal waiting them.

0:38:08.040 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 1>Equal waiting is like a legal performance enhancing drug itself,

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:14.719
<v Speaker 1>so you're basically jacking up the ball on purpose. So

0:38:14.960 --> 0:38:18.440
<v Speaker 1>this could be used as a way to compliment v T. I.

0:38:19.040 --> 0:38:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm very bullish on things complementing, not competing with Vanguard,

0:38:22.400 --> 0:38:23.759
<v Speaker 1>and this would be an e s G way to

0:38:23.800 --> 0:38:28.560
<v Speaker 1>do it. It will need the performance, but I'm watching it. Okay,

0:38:28.719 --> 0:38:31.560
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty good hot sauce. Another one is c O

0:38:31.719 --> 0:38:35.080
<v Speaker 1>p X, which is the Global X Copper Miners. This

0:38:35.280 --> 0:38:38.040
<v Speaker 1>is a fascinating story. This thing lived in oblivion for

0:38:38.120 --> 0:38:40.360
<v Speaker 1>like eleven years. It had a hundred million dollars, Like

0:38:40.440 --> 0:38:42.600
<v Speaker 1>no one gave a crap about this thing. All of

0:38:42.640 --> 0:38:45.520
<v Speaker 1>a sudden inflation hit where he's hit, and copper is

0:38:45.920 --> 0:38:47.880
<v Speaker 1>something you buy if you're worried about inflation. It's a

0:38:47.880 --> 0:38:51.160
<v Speaker 1>good it's a good hedge. And this thing now has

0:38:51.360 --> 0:38:54.520
<v Speaker 1>well over a billion dollars. It's it's amazing. It hung

0:38:54.600 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 1>on normally need TF throws in the towel after four

0:38:56.760 --> 0:38:59.320
<v Speaker 1>or five years, little loone ten. So it's I like

0:38:59.480 --> 0:39:01.840
<v Speaker 1>the fact that it's on its way up. Um. The

0:39:01.920 --> 0:39:04.799
<v Speaker 1>other thing is not only is copper and inflation hedge,

0:39:04.800 --> 0:39:07.440
<v Speaker 1>but it's like a risk on inflation hedge, and the

0:39:07.520 --> 0:39:09.120
<v Speaker 1>copper is also going to be used in a lot

0:39:09.160 --> 0:39:11.560
<v Speaker 1>of renewables and the sort of move to get to

0:39:11.640 --> 0:39:13.960
<v Speaker 1>net zero copper is a big So there's a couple

0:39:14.640 --> 0:39:17.919
<v Speaker 1>things kind of all coming together for for this play,

0:39:18.000 --> 0:39:22.640
<v Speaker 1>I think, And luckily global x did not liquidated, and

0:39:22.760 --> 0:39:25.080
<v Speaker 1>so it's gonna be interesting to see it's one point

0:39:25.160 --> 0:39:28.200
<v Speaker 1>seven billion dollars and it was like two million like

0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:32.759
<v Speaker 1>sixteen months ago. So so the other thing that copy

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:36.960
<v Speaker 1>miners are good for is basically economic economic recovery or activity.

0:39:37.040 --> 0:39:41.239
<v Speaker 1>So this thing was a reopening trade as well, so

0:39:41.440 --> 0:39:44.360
<v Speaker 1>it's hit a whole bunch of things that reopening, inflation,

0:39:44.440 --> 0:39:47.200
<v Speaker 1>all the things I mentioned. So it's been like in

0:39:47.280 --> 0:39:49.480
<v Speaker 1>the crosshairs of a bunch of bunch of news stories

0:39:49.520 --> 0:39:52.840
<v Speaker 1>over the last few months or years. Even at this point, Joel,

0:39:53.000 --> 0:39:55.880
<v Speaker 1>it's stars have aligned, and that's these things with these

0:39:55.960 --> 0:40:00.120
<v Speaker 1>niche products, they may have to wait ten years for

0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:04.600
<v Speaker 1>that right moment, and and this thing it seems to

0:40:04.640 --> 0:40:07.399
<v Speaker 1>have come because people do feel like things are okay there,

0:40:07.560 --> 0:40:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the Feds got their back, they're feeling like risk is on,

0:40:10.120 --> 0:40:12.719
<v Speaker 1>but they're definitely worried about inflation. So that's a really

0:40:13.560 --> 0:40:15.640
<v Speaker 1>that is the stars aligning for something like a copper

0:40:15.719 --> 0:40:20.200
<v Speaker 1>miners etf Anyway, so we'll see you're strong, strong, thank

0:40:20.239 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 1>you since you're naturally biased against me. The fact that

0:40:24.000 --> 0:40:26.719
<v Speaker 1>you said strong, I'm gonna actually times that by two

0:40:26.760 --> 0:40:30.440
<v Speaker 1>and be like you must be really bowled over. Okay, Um.

0:40:31.640 --> 0:40:37.080
<v Speaker 1>Next next is bits, So bits is like you know,

0:40:37.160 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 1>bid oh, James said. The problem is the roll cost

0:40:40.200 --> 0:40:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Bits basically is half bitcoin miners like blockchain stocks, and

0:40:45.320 --> 0:40:48.640
<v Speaker 1>half bitcoin futures. But it's also the futures in the

0:40:48.680 --> 0:40:51.279
<v Speaker 1>middle of the curve, and there's less roll costs. So

0:40:51.360 --> 0:40:53.080
<v Speaker 1>I did the calculation here, and you're only gonna look

0:40:53.080 --> 0:40:55.000
<v Speaker 1>at two or three percent roll costs a year probably,

0:40:55.920 --> 0:40:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and you get more kicked than you if you buy

0:40:57.960 --> 0:41:02.120
<v Speaker 1>a blockchain bitcoin mining EMTF. So it's kind of trying

0:41:02.200 --> 0:41:05.720
<v Speaker 1>to get the best too, best of both worlds. Because

0:41:06.000 --> 0:41:07.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't think advisors are gonna be comfortable with a

0:41:07.840 --> 0:41:10.319
<v Speaker 1>fift annual role costs. I just think it's too much,

0:41:10.760 --> 0:41:13.600
<v Speaker 1>and there's a big variable it could be more this.

0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 1>I think they're like, well, look, I know the role

0:41:16.239 --> 0:41:17.719
<v Speaker 1>costs won't be that much. It's middle of the curve,

0:41:17.760 --> 0:41:20.040
<v Speaker 1>it's only half the fund. I think this is a

0:41:20.160 --> 0:41:23.520
<v Speaker 1>safer bet for advisor as well. Gensler does nothing in

0:41:23.840 --> 0:41:25.440
<v Speaker 1>order in you know why the spot et F just

0:41:25.480 --> 0:41:28.680
<v Speaker 1>sits on ice. We'll see. I don't know, but I

0:41:28.920 --> 0:41:31.560
<v Speaker 1>do see this as being something that could appeal long term,

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:34.040
<v Speaker 1>and I like the innovation from a global x on

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:37.319
<v Speaker 1>that one. Yeah, I would chime in and just say

0:41:37.400 --> 0:41:41.320
<v Speaker 1>that the blockchain and crypto thematic et F world is

0:41:41.400 --> 0:41:43.840
<v Speaker 1>now over. It's over two billion dollars despite having a

0:41:44.560 --> 0:41:46.640
<v Speaker 1>decent sized draw down over the last month, just because

0:41:46.680 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin has also fallen. But there's fourteen e t s

0:41:49.480 --> 0:41:52.200
<v Speaker 1>already in their fifteen actually the ones launching very soon.

0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:55.000
<v Speaker 1>So um, it's very competitive market to be in. But

0:41:55.200 --> 0:41:57.359
<v Speaker 1>it's I agree with Eric, It's it's kind of hitting

0:41:57.360 --> 0:42:00.200
<v Speaker 1>all these different areas that advisors might like, especially for

0:42:00.239 --> 0:42:03.040
<v Speaker 1>advisors who don't like the roll costs of bidd oh

0:42:03.160 --> 0:42:05.040
<v Speaker 1>and do want exposure to bitcoin, and there's no spot

0:42:05.080 --> 0:42:07.960
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin ETF g BTC trades at a discount. This kind

0:42:07.960 --> 0:42:10.640
<v Speaker 1>of fits a lot of different avenues that advisors want

0:42:10.680 --> 0:42:13.840
<v Speaker 1>exposure to stuff. It's it's in a sweet spot. Interesting.

0:42:14.560 --> 0:42:17.080
<v Speaker 1>That said, it's it's almost two months old and only

0:42:17.120 --> 0:42:20.000
<v Speaker 1>eight millions, so it's I've seen this before. Sometimes an

0:42:20.040 --> 0:42:22.960
<v Speaker 1>ETF can appeal to the critics like me, and yet

0:42:23.040 --> 0:42:27.040
<v Speaker 1>nobody cares like the ex trackers all China E t F.

0:42:27.160 --> 0:42:28.920
<v Speaker 1>All the critics were like, oh, this is the greatest,

0:42:29.440 --> 0:42:30.920
<v Speaker 1>and yet nobody bought it. It's sort it's like one

0:42:30.920 --> 0:42:33.600
<v Speaker 1>of those movies that like, uh, like Tree of Life

0:42:33.719 --> 0:42:36.160
<v Speaker 1>with Sean Penn, where like it's like a it's like

0:42:36.280 --> 0:42:40.480
<v Speaker 1>it's like a rotten tomatoes like percent and audiences. Okay,

0:42:41.200 --> 0:42:43.680
<v Speaker 1>it's very I liked it, but I'm weird, but it's

0:42:43.760 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 1>not a It's not like a movie that like it's

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:51.160
<v Speaker 1>going to sweep the country. Anyway, all right, your final

0:42:51.560 --> 0:42:55.600
<v Speaker 1>final pick, Oh, my final one is f O v L,

0:42:56.040 --> 0:42:58.080
<v Speaker 1>but I'm gonna actually put a couple fo f o

0:42:58.160 --> 0:43:00.960
<v Speaker 1>v L, Deep and Q vale. These are all the

0:43:01.120 --> 0:43:03.879
<v Speaker 1>deep value. These things by the most beat up US

0:43:04.000 --> 0:43:07.520
<v Speaker 1>value stocks, and they're at the top of our value

0:43:07.640 --> 0:43:11.160
<v Speaker 1>factor intensity score. So if and when value comes back again,

0:43:11.320 --> 0:43:13.640
<v Speaker 1>these things should lead the way. And it was interesting

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:16.480
<v Speaker 1>we we made this intensity score and in Q one

0:43:17.000 --> 0:43:20.279
<v Speaker 1>it perfectly matched their returns. And I think these days

0:43:20.320 --> 0:43:22.719
<v Speaker 1>when people have a portfolio, if they have a V

0:43:22.840 --> 0:43:24.440
<v Speaker 1>T I or a VO or an I VV in

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:27.760
<v Speaker 1>the center, like cheap beta, there would be no reason

0:43:27.880 --> 0:43:30.399
<v Speaker 1>to buy a water down value et F. It would

0:43:30.400 --> 0:43:32.160
<v Speaker 1>make no sense because you you own a lot of

0:43:32.160 --> 0:43:35.040
<v Speaker 1>those stocks in your SMP or your total market. But

0:43:35.160 --> 0:43:38.080
<v Speaker 1>what would make sense is a deep value again to

0:43:38.280 --> 0:43:42.680
<v Speaker 1>complement the vanguards. So in other words, one of these

0:43:42.719 --> 0:43:45.399
<v Speaker 1>deep value wepps could be the future ARC. It could

0:43:45.840 --> 0:43:47.680
<v Speaker 1>it's believe it or not. A deep value could be

0:43:47.719 --> 0:43:50.560
<v Speaker 1>a shiny object for for three or four years. Remember

0:43:50.600 --> 0:43:52.279
<v Speaker 1>small cat value lead the way in the in the

0:43:52.320 --> 0:43:54.799
<v Speaker 1>two thousand's and the SMP was flat. So I keep

0:43:55.120 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 1>This is the second year in a row've been watching

0:43:56.760 --> 0:43:58.560
<v Speaker 1>deep value, and I have two on my list obviously,

0:43:59.040 --> 0:44:01.640
<v Speaker 1>But at some point, um, I think these things are

0:44:01.719 --> 0:44:05.759
<v Speaker 1>going to be hit the hit the gold mine, Tom,

0:44:05.800 --> 0:44:07.800
<v Speaker 1>what do you think? No, I really like it, and

0:44:07.840 --> 0:44:09.440
<v Speaker 1>I agree with the ext point And if you have to,

0:44:09.600 --> 0:44:12.320
<v Speaker 1>if you're saying just how the value rotations have been lately,

0:44:12.520 --> 0:44:15.560
<v Speaker 1>they've been really aggressive coming back, so I think it

0:44:15.640 --> 0:44:18.080
<v Speaker 1>makes sense to go really really concentrated. It's only got

0:44:18.160 --> 0:44:21.040
<v Speaker 1>something like fourty holdings. Um, so I'm a fan of

0:44:21.120 --> 0:44:24.200
<v Speaker 1>the more concentrated strategies, so I think this one could

0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:29.120
<v Speaker 1>do well. Value comes back very aggressively. I like, I'm

0:44:29.160 --> 0:44:32.280
<v Speaker 1>gonna be watching it too. I like it an international value.

0:44:32.360 --> 0:44:34.799
<v Speaker 1>It you have to be watching it at this point.

0:44:34.840 --> 0:44:37.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's it feels my entire professional career value

0:44:37.600 --> 0:44:40.960
<v Speaker 1>has been the garbage. So uh, you don't even know

0:44:41.080 --> 0:44:43.279
<v Speaker 1>what it's like. Yeah, I don't. I really don't. Only

0:44:43.320 --> 0:44:45.600
<v Speaker 1>from I doesn't even seem like it can happen. Yeah,

0:44:45.760 --> 0:44:50.440
<v Speaker 1>I've heard tell. I've heard tell. Long ago, small cat

0:44:50.600 --> 0:44:54.840
<v Speaker 1>value wasn't the worst trade of in the land far away.

0:44:55.880 --> 0:44:59.440
<v Speaker 1>While it seems impossible, let me drop this number. So

0:44:59.600 --> 0:45:03.800
<v Speaker 1>in in the two thousands, I j s which is

0:45:03.840 --> 0:45:08.560
<v Speaker 1>small cat value was up in the decade, the SNP

0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:11.560
<v Speaker 1>was down eight percent. For James, that has to seem

0:45:11.640 --> 0:45:13.360
<v Speaker 1>like some kind of a fairy tale, like like like

0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:16.920
<v Speaker 1>like magic, like how could that possibly have happened? But

0:45:17.040 --> 0:45:21.080
<v Speaker 1>it did and it will happen again at some point anyway,

0:45:21.239 --> 0:45:23.120
<v Speaker 1>So just to tell you, dreams do come true for

0:45:23.200 --> 0:45:25.719
<v Speaker 1>value once in a while. James, Tom Rebecca, thanks so

0:45:25.800 --> 0:45:34.160
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us on Trilliance. Thanks for listening to

0:45:34.280 --> 0:45:36.600
<v Speaker 1>Trillions until next time. You can find it on the

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:41.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple podcast, Spotify, and wherever

0:45:41.640 --> 0:45:43.920
<v Speaker 1>else you like to listen. We'd love to hear from you.

0:45:44.120 --> 0:45:47.839
<v Speaker 1>We're on Twitter. I'm at Joel Lebershow, He's at Eric

0:45:47.840 --> 0:45:51.960
<v Speaker 1>fulture Nous. This episode of Trillions was produced by Magneth Hendrickson.

0:45:52.360 --> 0:46:00.040
<v Speaker 1>Francesca Levy is the head of Bloomberg podcast by the

0:46:02.320 --> 0:46:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Tera to Death