1 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast. 2 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. Tracy, you know, 3 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: we've had a number of episodes about tech and some 4 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: of the excesses of the VC boom, et cetera, maybe 5 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: the softening labor market. But it's one of these topics 6 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: that we can't talk about enough because it's so critical 7 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: I think, to the markets, to the economy, and so 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: I think ambiguous about like where the industry is going next. 9 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 2: Absolutely, So there's two big things that seem to be 10 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 2: going on right now. Are two big questions, and the 11 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:44,559 Speaker 2: first one has to be we've seen a lot of 12 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 2: layoffs in the tech sector, and I guess the question 13 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 2: is is that reflective of the broader economy or is 14 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: that something tech specific as a more interest rate sensitive 15 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: part of the economy. And then I guess the second 16 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 2: thing is, you know, tech heck was one of the 17 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: big winners of the pandemic era, and how much of 18 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 2: that is getting rolled back now? How much of you 19 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 2: mentioned excesses, how much of the excesses are being taken 20 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: out of the system. 21 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 1: Well, And then I would say the third thing, which 22 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: is that and it just really leaped to the public 23 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 1: consciousness in the last several months. Is people being very 24 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: aware of AI and these questions about like, Okay, we 25 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: had this sort of like era of what we thought 26 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:26,759 Speaker 1: of as like a software company over the last decade, 27 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: the software is a service company's VC funded, et cetera. 28 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: So in addition to the macro questions about hiring and 29 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: a different in addition to the question about financing, there's 30 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: this question like, well, what's going to happen with like 31 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,119 Speaker 1: tech business models and how like upended will be and 32 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: what that's going to mean for existing talent and where 33 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: the money is going to flow from all that, And 34 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: I think, like, you know, everyone has posted threads on that, 35 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,559 Speaker 1: but I've never like found something that's like, oh, that's 36 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: that compelling. 37 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 3: No, You're right, there's a lot to talk about. 38 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: So I'm very excited because today we're going to be 39 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: speaking with a guest that I would say has really 40 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: been I was going to say like the four front 41 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: of two sort of like major apocal tech trends, but 42 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: I kind of actually think it's two and a half 43 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: because so there was the web two point zero like 44 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: sort of like social kind of like user generated Internet, 45 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 1: and then there was the sort of like the SaaS boom, 46 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: software as a service, et cetera. And then in the 47 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: last few years with work from home like tech that 48 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: enabled work from home, which is almost like its own 49 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: distinct kind of story in my view. 50 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, someone who brings those mega trends together and maybe 51 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 2: maybe might be on the verge of another mega trend 52 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 2: that we should. 53 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: Ask, well, well, the perfect person to see if there's another 54 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: mega trend. So we have the perfect guest. We're gonna 55 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: be speaking with one and only Stuart Butterfield, the co 56 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: founder of Flicker, the photo sharing site, the co founder 57 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: of Slack, the workplace messaging app that everyone used that 58 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: eventually sold the salesforce. Recently stepped down as the CEO 59 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: of Slack. So Stewart, thank you so much for coming on. 60 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: So I gotta say I meant to say. What's also 61 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: interesting here is both Flicker and Slack, as far as 62 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: I understood, it originally started because you wanted to create 63 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: an online game company, and both of them had to 64 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: pivot into these like mego world changing hits. So I 65 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: guess my first question is, are you working on a 66 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:12,640 Speaker 1: new online game? 67 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 4: I am not. I get asked that a lot, and maybe. 68 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: It is a cliche questions like a good warm up. Okay, 69 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 1: but you're not right now, No. 70 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:20,639 Speaker 4: I'm not okay. 71 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 2: So I mean, maybe we should start with the pandemic boom, 72 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 2: because I mean, Slack really became the sort of poster 73 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 2: child for the success of SAS. 74 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 3: In twenty twenty and twenty twenty one. 75 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 2: And you also had a kind of famous Twitter thread 76 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 2: where you explained what it was like being on the 77 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 2: front lines at that moment in time. But talk to 78 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 2: us about how would you characterize that experience, because looking 79 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 2: back on it now, there is a lot of talk 80 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: about maybe there was over hiring, maybe there was access 81 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 2: in various ways, but how did you experience it? 82 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, that was a big moment, like the March of 83 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 4: twenty twenty, but I feel like it really started twenty 84 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 4: fifteen or something like that. I was looking back through 85 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 4: some old interviews and I think it was twenty and fifteen. 86 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 4: It might have the years a little bit off. Slack 87 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 4: raised money in a two point eight billion dollar valuation 88 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 4: and people were like, well, that's crazy. And even back 89 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 4: then it was a parent and we would say interviews, 90 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 4: this is just zero interest rate, like this is what happens, 91 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,679 Speaker 4: and so I think that kind of boost that that 92 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 4: I don't know to say rocket fuel, but rocket makes 93 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 4: it sound like. I think this kind of like rocket 94 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 4: fuel propelled us all the way through and even you know, 95 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 4: before going back, I guess twenty fifteen, tenty sixteen, we 96 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 4: started to be launched. In twenty fourteen, we had a 97 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 4: million dollars of ARR the you know, the following week. 98 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 4: I think it took us about eighteen months to get 99 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 4: to one hundred million dollars of ARR, and that growth 100 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 4: was crazy through that whole period and then accelerated in 101 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 4: March of twenty twenty. I think the excesses are maybe 102 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,479 Speaker 4: not a different story. But I guess there's there's two 103 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 4: parallel tracks, and one is like the Google Facebook track, 104 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 4: which is r they make a lot of money and 105 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 4: so there's no real constraint on hiring. And then there's 106 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 4: the VC back company, which is they raised a lot 107 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 4: of money and so there's no real constraint on hiring. 108 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 4: But absent those constraints, you hire someone, and the first 109 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 4: thing that person wants to do is hire other people, 110 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 4: right because they it's a very obvious signal. And it's 111 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 4: very true that the more people who report to you, 112 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 4: the higher your prestige, the more your power. 113 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 3: In the organization than the hire bility. 114 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly, and even you know, even if it's like 115 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 4: a two person empire, it's something like, you know, if 116 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 4: you're a we become a manager, you want to become 117 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,160 Speaker 4: a senior manager. If you're a senior manager, you want 118 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 4: to become a director. And there's a very powerful intentive. 119 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 4: So if you hire a thousand people, you have you know, 120 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 4: nine hundred and ninety six people or you know, roughly 121 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 4: one hundred percent, we're like, I need to hire. So 122 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 4: every every budgeting process is I really want to hire. 123 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 4: And that to me is the root of all the 124 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 4: excess because if you don't have the constraint of we 125 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,119 Speaker 4: just don't have the money. You know, if you're manufacturing 126 00:05:56,600 --> 00:06:00,080 Speaker 4: lighting or something like that, like yeah, you know, a 127 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 4: seventy year old industry where there's a lot of competitors 128 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 4: and all the margins been taken out of it, you 129 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 4: can't do that. And if you have infinite money, either 130 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 4: from being monopoly on search engines or having vcs give 131 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 4: you lots of money, you can get rid of that 132 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 4: constraint altogether. 133 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: You know. You mentioned like this sort of like this 134 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: flood of VC money and maybe like the sort of 135 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: zero interest rates or cheap money was like a sort 136 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 1: of jet fuel or rocket fuel for it. But on 137 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 1: the other hand, like there was something real going on 138 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 1: because the entire like the entire way the world consumed 139 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 1: software massively changed, probably between the Great Financial Crisis between 140 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 1: then and the pandemic. So like how would you wait 141 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,119 Speaker 1: those two different factors, Like, sure, there's the cheap money 142 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: in the vcs, but also like there was this like 143 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 1: real shift in corporate spend on technology. 144 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 4: Oh absolutely, yeah, Sorry, I don't mean that, no. 145 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 1: No, no, no, And I'm always like but I but 146 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:53,839 Speaker 1: I do think like I do think like you know, 147 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,599 Speaker 1: for listeners, like it's easy to characterize the last decade 148 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 1: like sort of dismissively right as like well, cheap money VC, 149 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: but like something real, like really did change about how 150 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: we usually how the companies use it. For sure, technology. 151 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 4: Slack launched in the beginning of twenty fourteen, so not 152 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 4: quite ten years ago. Still, you know, it's like nine 153 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 4: and a half years in and it's at a two 154 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 4: billion dollar revenue run rate. You know, and we went 155 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 4: public five and a quarter of years after we launched, 156 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 4: and you know, we're acquired by Salesforce a couple years 157 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 4: after that. So that's that's very real, Like it's not 158 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 4: not many companies in the world ever get to a 159 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 4: billion dollars in revenue, and that's a real change in 160 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 4: people's behavior. That's you know, tens of millions of people 161 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 4: who spend hours and hours a day in a fundamentally 162 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 4: different way than they did before. 163 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 2: So Slack launched in twenty fourteen, as you just mentioned, 164 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 2: and since then, I think there's been a lot of 165 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 2: competition from the big incumbents. Microsoft would be the obvious one. 166 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 2: But I feel like there's always sort of mixed feelings 167 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 2: in Silicon Valley about startups versus incumbents, because on the 168 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: one hand, you think of a startup, maybe they're more innovative, 169 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: maybe they're more flexible in what they can do. You know, 170 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 2: they can zig when others are zagging. But then you 171 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 2: do have these giants that just have lots of money, 172 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 2: lots of capital, lots of talented engineers that they can 173 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 2: throw at these problems and either acquire you or maybe 174 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 2: do a similar thing with their own resources. 175 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny. I used to go back to Wikipedia's 176 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 4: kind of registry of what the components of the DOW were, 177 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 4: and you can look, like one hundred years ago today 178 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 4: it was American Leather Corporation and I don't know US Steel, 179 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 4: maybe it wasn't quite But like the first tech companies 180 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 4: were Westinghouse in General Electric and a couple of Yeah, 181 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,719 Speaker 4: and everything has a has a life cycle. Roughly, you know, 182 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 4: there's a couple of companies that survive for one hundred 183 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 4: plus years. But all of the and I know we 184 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 4: should all say the word H, E, G, E, M, 185 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:56,320 Speaker 4: O and Y at the same time so you can 186 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 4: see what the real pronunciation is. 187 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: But one, okay, geminy. 188 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 2: We actually did a whole episode about the US dollar 189 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,439 Speaker 2: roll where we said this quite a lot. 190 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 4: That eventually disappears. And I don't know how real that 191 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 4: AI threat to Google is, for example, but Google has 192 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 4: seemed absolutely invincible for a decade plus. Like it's just 193 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 4: it's inconceivable to me that anyone would compete with them 194 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 4: on their ground. To build that technology and to build 195 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,680 Speaker 4: the infrastructure and to build the data centers and stuff 196 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 4: like that seemed impossible. But you know, maybe there's a 197 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 4: way around. And obviously, if you're a venture capitalist, you 198 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:39,679 Speaker 4: know your job isn't to get a fifteen percent return 199 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 4: by investing in a basket of public tech companies. So 200 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 4: you're very much incentive to see the startups succeed, but 201 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:50,960 Speaker 4: they're also you look back over the last twenty years 202 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 4: or even just make it from the Great Financial crist 203 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 4: the last fifteen years, it's been a lot of value created. 204 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 4: I mean not just in in you know, funny money, 205 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 4: but like a lot of revenue, a lot of shift 206 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,119 Speaker 4: in how business is done, and a lot of huge successes. 207 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: Well, you know, I'm sure we're going to talk more 208 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: about like AI and how that's going to change the 209 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 1: whole world. But it is interesting to me that like 210 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: the one big publicly traded company that like a lot 211 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: people are giving a lot of credit to for AI 212 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 1: is Microsoft, which was like the dominant tech company thirty 213 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 1: years ago, thirty five years ago. Probably, like does that 214 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: surprise you that like the biggest, like powerful juggernaut, And 215 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: then of course obviously with the teams versus slack competition, 216 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,839 Speaker 1: just like that there's this in this industry that's supposedly 217 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 1: so disruptive and like so competitive that there's like this 218 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: company and a couple of companies that are just so 219 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:41,680 Speaker 1: like seem rock solid. 220 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 4: Yeah. I think that that one. It's interesting, very effectively done. 221 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,679 Speaker 4: But the AI tech is all open AI. Sure, it's a. 222 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 1: Part like ahead of it, and they're like god, you 223 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 1: know they they did make that investment and people are excited, 224 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,679 Speaker 1: like oh, they're going to create a word and all 225 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: that stuff. So it's like tech aside, Like people are 226 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: giving the company a lot of credit for how they're 227 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: positioned in this. 228 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's using their enormous resources and a huge profitability 229 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 4: as leverage to leapfrog into the next next thing. I 230 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 4: think it is very impressive. 231 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 2: This was sort of why I asked that question about 232 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 2: you know, Microsoft versus startups, but like what are the 233 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 2: pros and cons of a smaller tech company versus a 234 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 2: bigger tech company, And you know, you can shade it 235 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 2: towards AI or talk about tech in general. 236 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 4: I mean, I think it's just classic innovator celebrity people 237 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:34,319 Speaker 4: become when you have nothing to lose, then you can 238 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 4: do take any risks you want, and if you have 239 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 4: a lot to lose, then become much much more conservative. 240 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 4: And I think Google and AI is a great example 241 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 4: because obviously, if you asked anyone two years ago who's 242 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 4: the greatest company when it comes to AI, everyone would 243 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 4: have said Google, you know right, zero percent of people 244 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 4: would have picked Microsoft at that time. And why aren't 245 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,920 Speaker 4: they in Microsoft's position today? I think a lot of 246 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 4: it has to do with that conservatism, because you know, 247 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 4: they see, we can release this thing and then it 248 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 4: says dumb racist stuff, and then we get in trouble, 249 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 4: or we release this thing and someone relies on it 250 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 4: and then someone gets injured or killed in an accident. 251 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:13,559 Speaker 4: You can come up with a million yeires. Like you know, 252 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 4: I was up talking to the CEO of another company 253 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 4: once and we're just talking about you know, we're just complaining. 254 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 4: We're like, oh yeah, our life is hard. But he 255 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,080 Speaker 4: was saying, if they're at a board meeting and the 256 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 4: board said, you really need to hire someone doing risk 257 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:29,959 Speaker 4: and compliance, and he's like, okay, So it hires that person, 258 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 4: and then the first thing that person does, like it 259 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 4: started earlier, was they need to hire two more people 260 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 4: because they need you know, there's a lot of work too. 261 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 4: We haven't you haven't had anyone at risk. We've got 262 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 4: to catch up, we've got to make sure we have 263 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,679 Speaker 4: the right policies and stuff like that. Fast forward eighteen 264 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,959 Speaker 4: months and they're doing the agenda for this board meeting 265 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 4: and someone tells him that they're going to have eight 266 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:49,640 Speaker 4: people from the risk team show up, and he's like 267 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 4: eight people? How many? How many people work in that group? 268 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 4: Twenty three? So this is like, you know, over over 269 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 4: the course of eighteen months, and every single one of 270 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 4: you know, it's just like the classic incentives. They get 271 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 4: zero upside if they say yes to something, and they 272 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 4: have this powerful incentive to say no. 273 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,199 Speaker 3: Downside basically if they mess something up. 274 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:12,600 Speaker 1: Well beyond just risk. However, like thinking about Google and AI, 275 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: like it is like, you know, an AI inference, I 276 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: guess is like costly, right in a way that a 277 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 1: search is not, like people seem to like you kind 278 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 1: of have to pay for it, chad GBT is a 279 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 1: service that people pay for, like Google has been free, this, 280 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: you know, has always been free. Seems like some of 281 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 1: the AI tools may not be as conducive to an 282 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 1: AD sales model since the answer is right there rather 283 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:39,679 Speaker 1: than taking you somewhere else, and so I'm curious like 284 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: this tension that exists in Google where that maybe like 285 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 1: AI is like kind of like a I hate you 286 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: at the word paradigm because because I don't know what 287 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 1: it means. But a different business, like the business model 288 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 1: of AI is different than say the business model of search. 289 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 1: All these companies, like well many companies, whether large or small, 290 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,199 Speaker 1: sort of find that in a more AI driven world, 291 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: like there's a real business model shift even sitting aside, 292 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: like some of like the risks associated with it right now. 293 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 4: One hundred percent. And I don't know that either. I'm 294 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 4: smart enough where I've thought about it long enough to 295 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 4: be able to predict all the way out obviously, but 296 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 4: something like you know, image licensing for stock photos, that 297 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 4: seems like a business that I wouldn't invest in today. 298 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 4: When you can just go to mid journey or whatever, 299 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 4: then they'll get better and better. 300 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 1: I think some big, some big stock photos. I just 301 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: like had a biout side for a biotofer for a 302 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: few billion. I don't know what's going anyway. 303 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 4: Oh yeah, yeah, there's a funny story said, if someone 304 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 4: gives me four billion dollars, then I will buy Getty Images. 305 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: I will do that too, if someone gives me four billion. 306 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 4: Okay, but yeah, so there's there's like a pretty trivial example. 307 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 4: But I think the longer term it's a little bit 308 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 4: harder to know how the knock on effects because you 309 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 4: think about previous ways of technological innovation. And I don't 310 00:14:56,800 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 4: mean software computers. I mean like just you know, going 311 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 4: back to steam power and stuff like that. It would 312 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:05,320 Speaker 4: have been tough in eighteen forty to kind of predict 313 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 4: the impact of railroads on the world and then the automobile, 314 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 4: all those technologies, but they really become part of us 315 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 4: because when you think about I used to use this 316 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 4: example of slack all the time. If your job is 317 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 4: to dig ditches, you can only dig so many ditches 318 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 4: a day, and if you are given tobacco, you can 319 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 4: dig one hundred times more, five hundred times more, whatever 320 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 4: the multiple is. But those technologies come with I think 321 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 4: there's a better word than risks, but they come with 322 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 4: additional risks. You can like accidentally knock down a building 323 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 4: with tobacco, and you can't accidentally knock down to building 324 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 4: with the shovel. We get to the point now where 325 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 4: there's this incredible augmentation to our memory to our ability 326 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 4: to think. You know, I remember going to the library 327 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 4: when I was a kid and having to talk to someone. 328 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 4: Then they can maybe find the book, maybe they can't 329 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 4: find the book. And now it's like anything like a 330 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 4: little card. Yeah exactly, I can just like type it 331 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 4: a couple of words. I don't even have to spell 332 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 4: the words, right, Like, I just have to kind of 333 00:15:57,760 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 4: gesture at the words that I want and Google return 334 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 4: and everything I can want. What does that do to us? 335 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 4: Long run? And I think, you know, we're living with 336 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 4: the effects now, and this is pretty well recognized of 337 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 4: what social media does and the doom scrolling and the 338 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,400 Speaker 4: changes to our physical posture because we're looking down on 339 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 4: our phone all the time. And I would really compare 340 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 4: this to give a couple hundred thousand years of evolutionary 341 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 4: pressure to seek calories and then not today we live 342 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 4: in a world of effectively infinite free calories for everyone, 343 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 4: and so a lot of people get diabetes, and we 344 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 4: have a couple hundred thousand years of evolutionary pressure towards 345 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 4: acknowledgment and recognition and all these social signals that suddenly 346 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 4: you can get a thousand x what you used to 347 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 4: be able to get and you end up with the 348 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 4: kind of cognitive diabetes. So when I say the long 349 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 4: term effects are hard to recognize, both in AI and 350 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 4: just in what technology does to us as human beings 351 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 4: in general, it can take a while for us to 352 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 4: catch up. Like the Thames and the Charles River used 353 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 4: to catch on fire routinely in the end of the 354 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 4: nineteenth century, and we kind of figured out how to 355 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 4: have benefits of the industrial evolution without those and content weathers. 356 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 4: I think we'll do that with all kinds of tech, 357 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,439 Speaker 4: but it might take a generation or two. 358 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,879 Speaker 2: Just on the business model idea, can you talk to 359 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:29,439 Speaker 2: us about how tech companies actually make money off of AI? 360 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,400 Speaker 2: And and here is where I, you know, very embarrassingly 361 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 2: confess that I still don't really understand what salesforce does 362 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:37,120 Speaker 2: and how they make. 363 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 1: We're gonna ask this is the big question. We're gonna 364 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 1: have to let's segment this for like TikTok, because a 365 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,239 Speaker 1: bunch of people have this question, and ever no one 366 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: has ever had the chance to get an answered. So 367 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:48,359 Speaker 1: we're gonna like have to do a little like online 368 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: segment of Stewart's answer to that. 369 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 2: Okay, so I guess my question is one, what does 370 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:52,919 Speaker 2: Salesforce actually do? 371 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 3: How do they make money? 372 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 2: And then secondly, like you know, if a company like 373 00:17:56,280 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 2: Salesforce were to build something like open ai, how would 374 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 2: they actually derive money from that product. 375 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:05,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's it's a good question. I think that Salesforce 376 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 4: is actually really well positioned to take advantage because here's 377 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,959 Speaker 4: what it does. I mean, obviously, it makes money by 378 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,960 Speaker 4: selling software to people. And it was the first to say, 379 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 4: rather than just pay us one hundred dollars and you 380 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 4: can have the software and run it on your computer 381 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 4: like we used to do with floppy disks and stuff, 382 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 4: We're going to sell it to you for much cheaper, 383 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 4: but you got to pay us every month or every year. 384 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:27,479 Speaker 4: But what the software does, I think is interesting because 385 00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 4: the original Salesforce product was CRM, or Customer Relationship Management, 386 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 4: and it's just it's a database, right. It has like 387 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:38,119 Speaker 4: here's all my customers, here's depending what's important to me 388 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 4: their phone number or if I'm a dentist the last 389 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 4: time they had to check up r or if I'm 390 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,199 Speaker 4: a retailer, of the total of all their purchases. And 391 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 4: you can kind of extrapolate from there to more and 392 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 4: more sophisticated products. So being able to do marketing segmentation 393 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 4: and send the right promotional email to just the right people, 394 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 4: and that's incredibly valuable people. It's hard to build, it's expensive, 395 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 4: and so Salesforce has a lot of customers that kind 396 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,719 Speaker 4: of rely on it for this core set of services 397 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 4: that the branch onto a lot of things, but are 398 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 4: roughly around customer relationship management and marketing. So what do 399 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 4: people do with that software, Well, they have you know, 400 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 4: they sit in conference rooms and they show each other 401 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 4: slide decks saying this would be a great promotional idea. 402 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 3: Which is very relatable. 403 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 4: That's the most Yeah if you who said this, But 404 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,959 Speaker 4: someone's description of like, here's what a lot of people's 405 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 4: job are and this is this is actually a great 406 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 4: opportunity for slack. Their job is to get some data, 407 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 4: put it into Excel, make a chart, take a screenshot 408 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 4: of the chart, past into a PowerPoint, and then email 409 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 4: the PowerPoint to people. And then it really is like 410 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 4: that's that's what's seventy percent of people with desk jobs 411 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,840 Speaker 4: do is But so sorry, people are trying to decide 412 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 4: how can we use this database of customer activity or 413 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 4: marketing to be to make more money, to be more 414 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 4: effective on our business. And that's almost certainly something that 415 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 4: AI will do better or at least, you know, having 416 00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 4: an AI copilot alongside here. 417 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 2: So AI could, for instance, like look at your proprietary database. 418 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,679 Speaker 2: I mean the software itself is not proprietary, but the 419 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 2: data within it is unique to your company and maybe 420 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 2: spot like opportunities within it that you, as a human 421 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: wouldn't have thought of. 422 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely, I mean so both Like people who are 423 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,159 Speaker 4: professional investers, I love the stories of you know, they 424 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 4: drive outside some parking lot in the mall and see 425 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 4: who's right, which retailer has the most cars parked? 426 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 2: And this is my favorite genre of sell side research. 427 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,400 Speaker 2: It's when they send the analysts to like the shopping 428 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:37,880 Speaker 2: mall to look at foot traffic and stuff like that. 429 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 4: But people do that inside their company too, right. They're 430 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 4: looking for opportunities. Should we sell more of access to 431 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,399 Speaker 4: sell more of? Why should we sell more online? Should 432 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 4: we you know, open more smaller retail outlets so that 433 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 4: customers can come in and see the product, or should 434 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 4: we concentrate on whatever? I think most of that stuff is. 435 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 4: You're going to do a better job with with some companion, 436 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 4: let's say that finds those patterns more easily because they 437 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,919 Speaker 4: can just day the AI. 438 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,679 Speaker 2: I have this image of Clippy coming back and being like, 439 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 2: have you considered well, I. 440 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 4: Think you think about things much faster to you? 441 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 1: Well, the I mean the other area. And just as 442 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 1: you said customer relationship management, it seems like a I 443 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:20,399 Speaker 1: would be really great at like remembering birthdays, and for 444 00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:24,920 Speaker 1: a salesperson specifically, it's like, hey, how did you know, oh, 445 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 1: your daughter turned sixteen and you know she need driver's 446 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 1: insurance or something like that. And then it's like, well, 447 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: does the salesperson even need to like pay attention or 448 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: can they just put in a rule that says, every 449 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:40,680 Speaker 1: time I have a client that you know, has someone 450 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 1: in their family that has a major life event, and 451 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: just send them a message and something that seems like 452 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 1: it's coming from me, and so like, ay, like, well 453 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: it be good enough so that like sales salespeople can 454 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 1: like talk to one hundred clients in a day versus ten, 455 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 1: and not maybe like two out of those one hundred 456 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,679 Speaker 1: things times say something so embarrassing that it destroys their 457 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 1: entire reputation. 458 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 4: Well, the I don't know if it's good news or whatever. 459 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,199 Speaker 4: The fact is that people who have done that for 460 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 4: a while you don't even to kind of like automatically 461 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,480 Speaker 4: get a prompt you send at your desk and pops 462 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 4: up and says you should email I got. 463 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 1: A happy birthday from the dentist, and it's like, yeah, 464 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 1: I'm not. I don't. I'm not. I'm not under the 465 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 1: illusion that the dentist is like paying attention to. 466 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 4: But also I get a lot of it. And like, 467 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 4: the dumb version of this is SDR sales development representatives 468 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,400 Speaker 4: or like kind of people who are trying to drum 469 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 4: up some business for a company send a lot of email. 470 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 4: I think I probably get a disproportionate amount this because 471 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 4: I've made a bunch of databases as a CEO of 472 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 4: a company who will buy software from you. So I 473 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 4: just get all of these ridiculous pitches like Hello Stewart, 474 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 4: I couldn't help but notice that you are the CEO 475 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 4: of Slack Technologies in Corporated, and you're like, I mean them. 476 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: We get that people think that we can make purchasing 477 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,119 Speaker 1: decisions on behalf of Bloomberg all the time. 478 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 4: So I think better versions of that. But I think 479 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 4: even more, remember Google demo that that voice assistant that 480 00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,879 Speaker 4: would call and make an appointment at the hairdresser for you. 481 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,880 Speaker 4: It was like it even like it paused and said 482 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 4: and stuff like this very convincing. This image of like 483 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,479 Speaker 4: I'm a salesperson and you know you're a buyer at 484 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 4: some company, and my AI automatically generates this long email 485 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,440 Speaker 4: to you, and then your AI reads the email and 486 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 4: summarizes it and just says like Stewart has widgets sell 487 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,520 Speaker 4: And then you know, your generates this long response to me, 488 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 4: and then my AI reads it. I can imagine a 489 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 4: lot of activity just becoming like AI. 490 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 2: So this was going to lead into my next question, 491 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,159 Speaker 2: and I'm trying to think about how to phrase this, 492 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 2: but you can imagine how AI would be very very 493 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 2: relevant to an application like Slack. But I guess the 494 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:48,199 Speaker 2: question is how extreme do you think companies will go here? 495 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 2: Because you know, there's a big difference between having a companion, 496 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,359 Speaker 2: as you put it, who is helpfully pointing stuff out 497 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 2: and maybe you know, going over your data and spotting 498 00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 2: things that you wouldn't have seen other wise. And then 499 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 2: at the other end of the spectrum, you can also 500 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 2: imagine where you have, you know, someone who actually uses 501 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: AI basically to do their whole job. You know, you 502 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:15,160 Speaker 2: could just automate responses to Slack and retreat completely from 503 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:18,920 Speaker 2: that communications platform. So how far do you think companies 504 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 2: will go with this tech? 505 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think they'll go all the way and where well, 506 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 4: I don't know what all the way is, by the way, 507 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 4: but I see this example all the time. Ben Evans, 508 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 4: who is a former vc I Guess Andres and Horowitz, 509 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 4: wrote this great article called Office Messaging and Verbs, and 510 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,160 Speaker 4: in the beginning he takes these stills from the movie 511 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 4: The Apartment Jack Lemon and Shirlie McLain. It's nineteen sixty 512 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 4: and Jack Lemon works at an insurance company and there's 513 00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 4: like all these you know, like early in the days 514 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 4: of office buildings, all these shots of like long rows 515 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,159 Speaker 4: and columns of desks, and on his desk there's an 516 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,959 Speaker 4: adding machine, there's a typewriter, there's a telephone. And then 517 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,639 Speaker 4: people come by with the push carts, you know, with 518 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 4: paper on it, and they like they'll put some paper 519 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 4: on his desk and then he'll perform some calculations and 520 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,120 Speaker 4: then type up the results, and they put the paper 521 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:04,680 Speaker 4: on the other side of his desk, at his outbox, 522 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,679 Speaker 4: and someone will come along with a trolley and take that. 523 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,640 Speaker 4: He's literally a sell on a spreadsheet. That is exactly 524 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:15,160 Speaker 4: what he's doing. It's like take input, you know, execute formula, 525 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 4: produce output. And that's what each Ben talked about. Each 526 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,200 Speaker 4: floor of this insurance company's office is like one worksheet 527 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 4: in a big fact sheet. The same number of people 528 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 4: work at insurance companies today. No one does that anymore. 529 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,200 Speaker 4: So when you say that people do their whole jobs 530 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 4: with AI, that'll last for a little while. You know. 531 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 4: Let's say if you're content marketer, and honestly you couldn't 532 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 4: a I couldn't do worse than most of the garbage 533 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:42,439 Speaker 4: content marketing. But eventually people say, look, that's not your 534 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,920 Speaker 4: job anymore. Like no one's job is to perform a rhythm. 535 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:46,119 Speaker 3: And that's a good way of looking at it. 536 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,679 Speaker 2: I just remember my first job at Bloomberg when I 537 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 2: was an intern, was to monitor the fax machine and 538 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:55,199 Speaker 2: to actually like bring the important faxes to someone. And 539 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 2: that has that job has thankfully gone away, and I 540 00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:58,880 Speaker 2: don't feel that bad about it. 541 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,440 Speaker 4: I think hundred years the pace at which jobs become 542 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 4: obsolete has definitely increased. 543 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 1: I think this idea that you know, tech will not 544 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: end employment as we know it. It'll likely change and 545 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,640 Speaker 1: certain specific careers or categories will go away and new 546 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 1: things will created. But as someone obviously in your career 547 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 1: who has hired many engineers and coders, and this is 548 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,679 Speaker 1: a whole other aspect of AIS, like people are kind 549 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 1: of blown away frequently, like how do you see like 550 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,119 Speaker 1: that specific. 551 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 3: Changing or specifically are freaked out right? 552 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 1: And is there going to be an infinite demand for 553 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: the skills that we call coding or engineering today, or 554 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:42,240 Speaker 1: will like what we think of as a coder sort 555 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:43,640 Speaker 1: of be a different skill set. 556 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,720 Speaker 4: It's a little bit harder to extrapolate, but definitely it 557 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:50,720 Speaker 4: will become different. But even people kind of tending to 558 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,720 Speaker 4: these machines who are generating code for them, software is 559 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,720 Speaker 4: really hard to make and it's like surprisingly hard, and 560 00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:59,680 Speaker 4: that's why there's so much crappy software. I don't know 561 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:04,320 Speaker 4: exactly what their supervisory duties will be, but it is 562 00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 4: going to be just like any wave of technology, it's 563 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,119 Speaker 4: like this massive augmentation and that people end up moving 564 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 4: higher up the value chain, just like you know, I 565 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:17,399 Speaker 4: sometimes think about banks in I don't know, nineteen tens 566 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 4: or something like that. I have no idea how they 567 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 4: knew how much money anyone had. I think this all 568 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:23,680 Speaker 4: the time, talk about. 569 00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 1: Card cattle all the time, like how did stocks work? 570 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,200 Speaker 3: You opened the vaults, and I know, I'm glad you said. 571 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 1: It makes no sense to me that we had any 572 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,679 Speaker 1: banking and finance before computers. I just cannot rep my 573 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 1: head around. 574 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 2: Well, you also had a lot of bank failures, which 575 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:38,360 Speaker 2: suggests that they weren't. 576 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: Maybe actually very good in it. 577 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 4: But then imagine being like a stock trader in the 578 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,320 Speaker 4: nineteen sixties than in the eighties, and then in the 579 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:50,879 Speaker 4: two thousands, and now you know, like the thirteen milliseconds 580 00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,119 Speaker 4: you get by moving your servers closer to wherever in 581 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 4: New Jersey make a real difference. No one was doing 582 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:58,119 Speaker 4: that before. But there again, there's no there's not fewer 583 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:02,080 Speaker 4: jobs impact probably a lot more jobs that are trying 584 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,479 Speaker 4: to make money off trading than there were the sixties 585 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:05,960 Speaker 4: or the eighties. So I think the same thing is 586 00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,439 Speaker 4: true of coders, whatever that role evolves to be. You know, 587 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:13,120 Speaker 4: like no one in the sixties was hiring physics PhDs 588 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 4: to be quants at some hedge fund. But now, look 589 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 4: there's another pathway for people who do PhDs in physics, 590 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 4: and so I think the same thing will be true 591 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 4: of coding as well. 592 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,640 Speaker 2: Since this is now firmly an AI conversation, can we ask, 593 00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 2: you know, is this something that you're interested in? And 594 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,280 Speaker 2: is this maybe what your next project could be? 595 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 4: Weirdly, not really, I mean so I'm sorry. I'm interested 596 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 4: in it as like a human, as a citizen, I 597 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 4: haven't come up with anything where I'm uniquely able to contribute. 598 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 4: I don't think in AI. Maybe that'll change because you know, 599 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,440 Speaker 4: it'll become part of the background of everyone's roles and 600 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,239 Speaker 4: you come to rely on it more and more, just like 601 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 4: you know, this is probably a crappy example, but we're 602 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,800 Speaker 4: processing or you know, I would never would have been 603 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 4: someone who is doing letter press layouts and moving bits 604 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:04,960 Speaker 4: of lead around and something like that. But it definitely 605 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 4: changed the way we're prosably changed the way I wrote 606 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 4: because it's not longhand and I can infinitely edit it, 607 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 4: and I wrote a thesis for my grad school and 608 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 4: all that stuff. But maybe a better idea are better 609 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:20,000 Speaker 4: comparison is EXCEL because I think about in my life, 610 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:23,480 Speaker 4: I might have done as much financial modeling as all 611 00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 4: of humanity did until nineteen sixty five something like that. 612 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 4: Because when you because you can just like make a 613 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 4: spreadsheet and then be like, oh, change those changes, changes 614 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 4: everything cascades through, whereas before that was you know a 615 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 4: lot of people with ledgers and calculators and pencils and paper, 616 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 4: and allows you to think at a much higher level. 617 00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 4: So I think about AI again and that augmentation capacity 618 00:29:46,080 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 4: and what it will enable us to do. 619 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:07,480 Speaker 1: Just actually going sort of back to the last decade 620 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 1: or two decades, I mean, you know, Slack was sort 621 00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: of like the to my mind, one of like the 622 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:17,479 Speaker 1: prototypical like software as a service companies, but there were 623 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,280 Speaker 1: all these other ones, and many of which we've never 624 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,200 Speaker 1: heard of, that probably made a bunch of money by 625 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: like we're going to improve you know, dentist billing or 626 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 1: ticketing at sports events. There's all all kinds of like 627 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 1: little like niche categories that someone found an opportunity for. 628 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 1: Is there still like I don't know if low hanging 629 00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: fruit is the right word, but moderate hanging fruit in 630 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,320 Speaker 1: that world that has not been exhausted of essentially still 631 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 1: taking like tech one point zero and really legacy tech. 632 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 1: We've talked about a little bit with like Patrick McKenzie 633 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 1: and you know, some of the old whether it's government 634 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: and just sort of like, is there still a lot 635 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: of the economy that hasn't really even got to like 636 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:53,200 Speaker 1: twenty tens tech yet? 637 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean, I think anytime you see you're in 638 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:59,200 Speaker 4: a financial transaction with someone and there's pen and paper involved, 639 00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:00,720 Speaker 4: that there's an opportunit there. And I think a lot 640 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 4: of the blockers tend to be regulatory. So like when 641 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:04,760 Speaker 4: you go to the doctor and you know you're give 642 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:06,440 Speaker 4: them like seven pieces of paper and you have to 643 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 4: write your name on five piece. Sometimes you have to 644 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 4: write your name two times on the same sheet of 645 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 4: paper and the date over and over again. That's a 646 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 4: regulatory block It's. 647 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:18,240 Speaker 2: Also my big gripe about fintech, right, which is you 648 00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 2: got a bunch of people going like, oh, it's ridiculous 649 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 2: that we're still writing checks nowadays or doing this or 650 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,000 Speaker 2: doing that. But often the reason is a regulatory constraint 651 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 2: versus a technological one. 652 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, So I think where eventually those regulatory dams break 653 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 4: because well maybe I've mentioned with such confidence, but I 654 00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,120 Speaker 4: can't imagine that one hundred years from now we're still 655 00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 4: getting seven pieces of paper when you go to the 656 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,960 Speaker 4: doctor's office and have to write our name on five 657 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,040 Speaker 4: of them. I think there's a lot of opportunities for 658 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 4: real improvement, and the low hanging fruit maybe never ends 659 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 4: because as soon as you automate some layer and people 660 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,479 Speaker 4: start operating at a higher level, the people who are 661 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:01,160 Speaker 4: doing financial modeling aren't doing arithmetic anymore. There thinking about 662 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:04,840 Speaker 4: the business. Then there's new opportunities for automation that comme 663 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 4: at higher and higher levels. And that's what we really 664 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 4: thought about at slack, the ability to maybe a little 665 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 4: bit abstract, we thought about Slack is like a messaging 666 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:18,160 Speaker 4: bus inside of a computer. It's the like interchange or 667 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 4: the traffic controller for all the thoughts that people are having. 668 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 4: And a lot of those are just like, yeah, want 669 00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:24,960 Speaker 4: to get lunch or something like that, and some of 670 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 4: them are here's my extensive proposal for next quarters blah 671 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:33,400 Speaker 4: blah blah. When you're able to improve the efficacy of 672 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:38,400 Speaker 4: communication versus the all set of paper memo that can 673 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 4: schedule a meeting and it's three weeks from now or 674 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 4: something like that, it opens up new possibilities, and the 675 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 4: same thing is true with every bit of automation that 676 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,800 Speaker 4: you can do. There's a huge amount of business processes 677 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 4: that are essentially humans translating between one database and another 678 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 4: because the databases aren't connected effectively. And eventually those databases 679 00:32:56,600 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 4: become connected effectively and people move up the chain again 680 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 4: and get to work on harder stuff or I guess 681 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 4: stuff that produces more value. 682 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 2: AI to standardize databases would be amazing. Just on the 683 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 2: topic of constraints and going back to the first part 684 00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,400 Speaker 2: of this conversation where you were talking about how you 685 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 2: know a lot of the empire building or hiring boom 686 00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,600 Speaker 2: that we've seen in tech companies was potentially driven by 687 00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 2: low interest rates and you know, you didn't have a 688 00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 2: financial constraint on the amount of resources you could accumulate. 689 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 2: It does feel like in twenty twenty three, Silicon Valley, 690 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,400 Speaker 2: the tech industry in general, is in a very different 691 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:35,680 Speaker 2: financial environment. 692 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,160 Speaker 3: We have higher interest rates. 693 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 2: We just saw Silicon Value Bank fail and that seems 694 00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 2: to have taken a big chunk of potential liquidity out 695 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 2: of the market. How do you expect that to impact 696 00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 2: the industry and what are you seeing now. 697 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 4: Well, obviously we've seen a lot of layoffs, and I 698 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,200 Speaker 4: think probably you know, I never want to suggest that 699 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 4: being laid off is a good experience for anyone. For 700 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 4: the companies, it's almost certainly a healthy thing because a 701 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,640 Speaker 4: lot of companies are you know, that have twenty thousand 702 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 4: people could probably do what they're doing with twelve thousand 703 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:11,959 Speaker 4: people or something like that. The higher indust rates, I think, 704 00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 4: I don't know, I don't want to say that they're good. 705 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:17,800 Speaker 4: But go back to two thousand and nine, which is 706 00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:20,240 Speaker 4: when the company that ended up becoming Slack was founded. 707 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,080 Speaker 4: This is, you know, like March of two thousand and nine. 708 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:26,720 Speaker 4: So I said, we're still probably in the Great Financial 709 00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 4: Crisis or like you know, maybe just just getting out 710 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,840 Speaker 4: of it. And if you're a venture capitalist like Excel, 711 00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 4: you could buy twenty percent of what became Slack for 712 00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 4: five million dollars, you know, and then you end up 713 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 4: making four billion or something like that. So I think 714 00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:42,799 Speaker 4: from a if you're a VC, it's it's probably not 715 00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 4: all bad. You know, like some of your existing investments 716 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 4: I think lost a lot of value and maybe we're 717 00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:50,880 Speaker 4: going to have to defer realizing a lot of gains 718 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:52,920 Speaker 4: that you might have realized much more quickly a couple 719 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 4: of years ago. But over the long run, I don't 720 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:58,000 Speaker 4: think it's a net bad for them for the companies. 721 00:34:58,440 --> 00:34:59,680 Speaker 4: It can be a debt bad can. 722 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:03,680 Speaker 1: I as a sort of cultural slash economic question, which 723 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,920 Speaker 1: is like I was, I think slack is like an 724 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:09,280 Speaker 1: acronym for something, right, Yeah, it's kind. 725 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 4: Of It's unclear. 726 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,279 Speaker 1: So we have a lot of the conversation you're the 727 00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:13,279 Speaker 1: one who created. 728 00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,680 Speaker 4: Well, there's we have a transcript of a conversation we 729 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:18,120 Speaker 4: were having internally where I suggest it as searchable log 730 00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 4: of all communication and knowledge. But I'm not sure if 731 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,799 Speaker 4: I Yeah, I'm not sure if I if we came 732 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:24,200 Speaker 4: up with the name slack. 733 00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:26,239 Speaker 2: First, because I think slack is catch Here I got 734 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 2: to say, but the reason. 735 00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:31,760 Speaker 1: I actually asked the question is because the last decade 736 00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,560 Speaker 1: that edition everything else was characterized by labor market slack, 737 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 1: and so I wish think it's sort of interesting that 738 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 1: this big company slack was like came of the decade 739 00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:43,319 Speaker 1: of like loose labor markets. And it also seems like 740 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: that your technology changed in many ways, the relationship between 741 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 1: management and employees, and employees and places can unionize more 742 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,960 Speaker 1: easily because they have slack channels and they can communicate 743 00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:57,760 Speaker 1: in ways that maybe the management doesn't love, or maybe 744 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,279 Speaker 1: managers at companies want all their work, want them back 745 00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:02,840 Speaker 1: to the office, and it's like, well, yeah, but we 746 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,560 Speaker 1: can communicate on slack et cetera. Can you, like, do 747 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 1: you have any like like sort of like broader reflections 748 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:09,400 Speaker 1: on the way like, because this is not really like 749 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 1: a software question, it's a very slack specific question of 750 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 1: like how you saw firsthand your software like changing this 751 00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,640 Speaker 1: sort of employee management or just this sort of corporate environment. 752 00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:21,400 Speaker 4: Yeah. I think, going back to that idea of the 753 00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 4: ditch digger given a back up, most technology kind of 754 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,920 Speaker 4: amplifies our ability to accomplish something or augment us and 755 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 4: gives us extra power. So that's true everywhere. Obviously, where 756 00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 4: you intend it to be true, that's great, or you 757 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:38,320 Speaker 4: don't intend it to be true. Sometimes it's great, sometimes 758 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 4: it's terrible, sometimes it's somewhere in between. But the superpower 759 00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:45,960 Speaker 4: in people's ability to have conversations at work will include 760 00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 4: conversations that sometimes managers where they didn't have. I do 761 00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:53,320 Speaker 4: think that's something that works itself out relatively quickly. And 762 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 4: I also think interestingly, internally we will call that slack divism, 763 00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,400 Speaker 4: andably someone else came up with that outside. But I 764 00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 4: think that's probably moderated quite a bit over the last year, 765 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 4: just because the environment has changed. Because the other, you know, 766 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:12,640 Speaker 4: fact that comes with the low interest rates is that 767 00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 4: people pay a lot of money for engineers. The engineers 768 00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,480 Speaker 4: can always change jobs and get paid more and more money, 769 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,040 Speaker 4: and that's less true today. People are more worried about 770 00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:22,799 Speaker 4: job security, so there's less And I'm not saying this 771 00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:24,680 Speaker 4: is a good thing necessarily, but there's certainly less like 772 00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:28,200 Speaker 4: labor organizing happening on people's slack insance that there would 773 00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:29,120 Speaker 4: have been two years ago. 774 00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:33,080 Speaker 2: This is a slightly weird question maybe, but I mean 775 00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:35,120 Speaker 2: one of the debates about work from home is are 776 00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 2: people actually more productive in an office environment or at home? 777 00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 3: Within slack? 778 00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:44,320 Speaker 2: Did you ever have conversations about maybe like measuring productivity 779 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,880 Speaker 2: in some way using the communications channel? 780 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 4: We did, and they were all they all seemed kind 781 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 4: of doomed. You know that there's a had a I 782 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,839 Speaker 4: don't know if she's still the CIO, but a woman 783 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 4: named Luri Beer was the CEO of JPY. Maybe still 784 00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 4: is if so Hi, Lori and we have the great 785 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,839 Speaker 4: conversation once they breakfast at a conference and we're talking 786 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,240 Speaker 4: about like the history of trying to measure the productivity 787 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,319 Speaker 4: of software engineers, which is like famously impossible. So you 788 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,160 Speaker 4: would say, well, how many lines of code do they produce? 789 00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:13,920 Speaker 4: And then people would just change their coding style to 790 00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 4: be you yeah, exactly. Or you would say how many 791 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,759 Speaker 4: bugs get closed? And then instead of just fixing something 792 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 4: right away, people take the time to go file the 793 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 4: bug and then fix it and then close the bug. 794 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 2: Insert a bunch of bugs. Then you're the solution to 795 00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:27,520 Speaker 2: your own problems. 796 00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:32,960 Speaker 1: Like as soon as you start to measure something then yeah, yeah. 797 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, and so you kind of I don't know what 798 00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 4: we came up with, the way the conversation kind of 799 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 4: ended was looking at employee engagement surveys. If engineers are happy, 800 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:46,239 Speaker 4: it doesn't necessarily mean that they're productive. But if they're unhappy, 801 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 4: I think, do I have the backwards If. 802 00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 1: They're unhappy, it probably means they're unproductive. 803 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:56,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, because no engineers are not productive and and happy 804 00:38:57,000 --> 00:39:00,680 Speaker 4: like they just it's it's frustrating to feel like you 805 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:02,520 Speaker 4: come into work and you put all this effort in 806 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,279 Speaker 4: and nothing happens, you know, like no one wants to 807 00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,719 Speaker 4: work on debt end projects that get canceled and all 808 00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,399 Speaker 4: of that. So the same thing I think is true, 809 00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,480 Speaker 4: Like if you think it's hard to measure the productivity 810 00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:15,960 Speaker 4: have a software engineer, like marketing, it's impossible to measure, 811 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:20,480 Speaker 4: Like people just have no idea whether their marketing department 812 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,640 Speaker 4: needs to be five times bigger or five times smaller, 813 00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:26,239 Speaker 4: or do they need one at all. I'm not sure 814 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:29,200 Speaker 4: what you do about that, like the measurement, because there's 815 00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:32,560 Speaker 4: a lot of just kind of hand feel and in management. 816 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,359 Speaker 4: It would be great if you could in some sense, 817 00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,880 Speaker 4: but I think you also run the risk of limiting 818 00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:43,720 Speaker 4: all the opportunities for serendipity and accidental discoveries and cool innovation. 819 00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,919 Speaker 1: I have I have one last question, and Tracy's gonna 820 00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:49,560 Speaker 1: hate me for asking it. I already asked the cliche question. 821 00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,000 Speaker 1: I already asked the cliche question about whether you're going 822 00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:55,280 Speaker 1: to start another games company. Do you still support minting 823 00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,560 Speaker 1: the coin to avoid a debt sealing disaster. 824 00:39:57,719 --> 00:39:58,680 Speaker 3: It's unavoidable. 825 00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 2: We can anot have a single con we can talking about. 826 00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,239 Speaker 1: The coin, but when there's a when there's a prominent, 827 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,440 Speaker 1: famous person who on Twitter has expressed support. 828 00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like that's that's you and me. We 829 00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 4: bonded over over the coin, so yes, I think you 830 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 4: definitely could. I think it's really funny. The debate about 831 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:19,240 Speaker 4: modern monetary theory seems to have come down to should 832 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 4: we spend lots of money? And if you think yes, 833 00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:24,040 Speaker 4: then MMT and if you think no, then you're against 834 00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,680 Speaker 4: empty which doesn't seem to capture it at all to me. 835 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,839 Speaker 4: Like the the idea that the deficit is a myth 836 00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:33,680 Speaker 4: seems just obvious, and that the government's role in the 837 00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:36,920 Speaker 4: amount of money is like the adjudicator of a basketball 838 00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:38,839 Speaker 4: game deciding how many points you can have. Too many points, 839 00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:40,480 Speaker 4: I mean, you can mess up the game of basketball, 840 00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 4: so it's not fun for anyone, Like you can cause 841 00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:45,839 Speaker 4: a lot of inflation. But that idea that you need 842 00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:48,080 Speaker 4: to have the money in order to be able to 843 00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,480 Speaker 4: spend it is obviously not true if you're the government. 844 00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 3: For what it's worth. 845 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,040 Speaker 2: I'm not a big fan of MMT, but I do 846 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:54,480 Speaker 2: think the government should spend money. 847 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 1: So the Stuart Butterfield, this is such a treat to 848 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 1: have you on kind of funny that our first guest 849 00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:05,040 Speaker 1: in our new like physical video studio is the founder 850 00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:07,640 Speaker 1: of Slack, which, more than anyone else, contributed to the 851 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:11,279 Speaker 1: ability to work on and operate and communicate remotely. But 852 00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,120 Speaker 1: such a treat to have you in and thank you 853 00:41:13,160 --> 00:41:13,840 Speaker 1: so much for joining me. 854 00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:14,480 Speaker 4: Thank you. 855 00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:17,560 Speaker 2: Next interview we can do via Slack. Just to just 856 00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 2: to even. 857 00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:33,000 Speaker 1: It out, Tracy, I thought that was a lot of fun. 858 00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:35,400 Speaker 1: That was a real treat. That was just very I 859 00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,279 Speaker 1: don't know in my head, in my mind, I had 860 00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,080 Speaker 1: that hyped up and I felt like my mind it 861 00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:40,240 Speaker 1: lived up to my own hype. 862 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:40,680 Speaker 3: It was. 863 00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:44,600 Speaker 2: It was a wide ranging conversation, and I love that 864 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:46,799 Speaker 2: we went from like how did banks used to do 865 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 2: business in the early nineteen. 866 00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,800 Speaker 3: Hundreds to like the future of AI market. 867 00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: We were going to have to do an episode on 868 00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 1: just like how a bank work one hundred years ago, 869 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,319 Speaker 1: because in my mind, I do not understand how they 870 00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,080 Speaker 1: kept track of anyone's how much money anyone had before 871 00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,680 Speaker 1: digital technology, Like they really just what had a piece 872 00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:04,480 Speaker 1: of paper for everyone? 873 00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:06,400 Speaker 3: They just opened the vault and see what's in there. No, 874 00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:08,799 Speaker 3: we're all good today. 875 00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:09,120 Speaker 1: We're all good. 876 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:12,360 Speaker 2: No, there is a lot to pick through that conversation. 877 00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I do think like the idea of finances 878 00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:19,120 Speaker 2: being a constraint on resources in the workforce, I mean 879 00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:22,560 Speaker 2: it is kind of obvious, but also we are seeing 880 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:24,520 Speaker 2: it play out in real time right now. 881 00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:25,440 Speaker 3: So it was good to hit that. 882 00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 4: No. 883 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 1: And just like this idea is like there's it does 884 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 1: feel like there's multiple turning points at once, and I 885 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:35,399 Speaker 1: don't feel like anyone knows it's like pretty clear right 886 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:37,840 Speaker 1: like they're like, oh, well, this is who's this is 887 00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:39,840 Speaker 1: who's going to win, this is who's going to make money, 888 00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:41,719 Speaker 1: this is going to be the business model. Like it 889 00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:43,879 Speaker 1: does feel like even if we didn't have this sort 890 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:47,520 Speaker 1: of like macro change, there would be a tremendous amount 891 00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:50,280 Speaker 1: of ambiguity about like how value is going to accrue 892 00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:52,560 Speaker 1: and how companies are going to work and all of that. 893 00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:56,160 Speaker 2: Well, also the conversation about Microsoft and how you know, 894 00:42:56,200 --> 00:42:58,920 Speaker 2: two years ago, no one would have expected Microsoft to 895 00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:01,399 Speaker 2: be the sort of front runner in the AI game 896 00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:02,680 Speaker 2: and yet here we are today. 897 00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 3: That was really interesting. 898 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:07,240 Speaker 2: Do you have any bets on what Stuart's next project 899 00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:07,960 Speaker 2: is actually. 900 00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:08,040 Speaker 3: Going to be? 901 00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:10,520 Speaker 1: Even though he said no, I bet it, I still 902 00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,239 Speaker 1: feels like he's probably gonna do a game. 903 00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:16,160 Speaker 3: Can I resist the lure? If you really try twice, 904 00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:18,080 Speaker 3: it's like what times. 905 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,760 Speaker 1: And then it'll pivot that something can be another world 906 00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 1: changing thing. That's my guest. 907 00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:24,080 Speaker 3: Shall we leave it there? 908 00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:24,799 Speaker 1: Let's leave it there? 909 00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:25,200 Speaker 3: All right? 910 00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,840 Speaker 2: This has been another episode of the Odd Loots podcast. 911 00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,239 Speaker 2: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at 912 00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 2: Tracy Alloway, and. 913 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,919 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me on Twitter at 914 00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:37,240 Speaker 1: the Stalwart. Follow our guest Stuart Butterfield under the handle 915 00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:41,240 Speaker 1: at Stewart, Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Arman 916 00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,799 Speaker 1: and dash Oll Bennett at dashbod, and check out all 917 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,480 Speaker 1: of the podcasts at Bloomberg under the handle at podcasts, 918 00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:50,399 Speaker 1: and for more odd Logs content, go to Bloomberg dot 919 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,280 Speaker 1: com slash odd lots, where post transcripts. We have a blog, 920 00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,520 Speaker 1: Tracy and I have a weekly newsletter, and check out 921 00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,600 Speaker 1: our discord Discord dot gg, slash odd Logs, where we 922 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:03,720 Speaker 1: chat four seven and stream Bloomberg originals on Apple TV, Roku, 923 00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:07,560 Speaker 1: Samsung TV, and more. Tune in at ten pm Eastern time,