1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's edition of the Clay Travis and buck 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:08,400 Speaker 1: Sexton Show podcast. Well, welcome back in our number three 3 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 1: Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. We appreciate all of you 4 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: hanging out with us. It's a normal day time slot, 5 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: but this is also an election day special as many 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 1: of you from the East coast to the West coast, 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: North and the south, all over this country are casting 8 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,319 Speaker 1: your ballots for the midterms, having an opportunity for the 9 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: first time to speak out about the Joe Biden administration, 10 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 1: about the inflation rate, about the economy, about the open 11 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: southern border crime that is skyrocketed everywhere, and of course 12 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: the fallout of the COVID vaccine mandates your kids being 13 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: required to wear masks, the fact that many of them 14 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: were kept out of school for far too long. This 15 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: is the electoral reckoning and we bring in now Ryan Gerdusky, 16 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,559 Speaker 1: who we affectionately refer to as a NERD when it 17 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 1: comes to breaking down polling data and letting us know 18 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: where exactly we are headed. Ryan, I'll start off right here. Um, 19 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: we had you on i think last week or the 20 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: week before last to get an overall big picture prediction 21 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: of where we were as we are about five hours 22 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 1: away from the first polls beginning to close. What do 23 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:15,199 Speaker 1: you think we're going to see tonight in the House 24 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: and the Senate And how is your prediction adjusted in 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: recent past couple of weeks. Well, I predicted a couple 26 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: of weeks ago that it was going to be a 27 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: fifty three sen Senate Republicans and then two hundred and 28 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 1: they're gonna pick up thirty two hundred and thirty nine 29 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: House seats Republicans. I'm about the same place. Um, you know, 30 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: Bolda could pull it off in New Hampshire, but New 31 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: Hampshire is a notoriously strange state. There is a lot 32 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: of independence, and it's harder really gauge as a lot 33 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: of Massachusetts people who moved to that state. So it's hard. 34 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. Um, as far as the House goes, 35 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: I'll keep it the same. But maybe I had a 36 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: few different seats wrong. Maybe they could pull us a 37 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: victory off in New Hampshire that I didn't see in 38 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: definitely at victory in Connecticut that I didn't see, and 39 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: maybe one in southern California and see either against Katie 40 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: Porter or the seat Belower. So I'm going to still 41 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: say about the same exact thing. I am nervous about 42 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:11,359 Speaker 1: Arizona with the voting machines not working apparently all morning, 43 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: and they've had dozens of sites saying that the machines 44 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: either don't work or partially work, and they're doing provisional 45 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: ballots in Pennsylvania, a lot of rural count a couple 46 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: of rural counties in northeastern Pennsylvania. In a very swing 47 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: House seat in Pennsylvania eighth, they've run out of apparently 48 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: the ballots that they've run out of paper, and they're 49 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: trying to extend voting in Luzerne County. I guess I 50 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: was just told by a campaign manager. So I am 51 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: nurse of Pennsylvania and in Arizona, and I was very 52 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: nurse with Nevada. Since John Ralston, who if he don't know, 53 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: John Ralston is a political predictor in Nevada, and he 54 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:50,839 Speaker 1: only does Nevada. He's predicted elections since two thousand and eight, 55 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: and he has never predicted an election incorrectly since two 56 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: thousand and eight. And he said that Blaxalt was going 57 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: to lose in the Senate. But seeing how votes are 58 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: going right now, I don't know how that's gonna happen. 59 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 1: I mean that I don't see how that's going to happen. 60 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: They've already erased the Democrats early voting lead in the 61 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: first two hours of voting in the state. So I 62 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: have a very tough time seeing that Democrats really have 63 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: to surge at the end of election day for that, 64 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: even in my mind, really come to fruition. Ryan, We 65 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: know we had you on recently. You laid out for everybody. 66 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: I mean, Clay and I were joking, this is like 67 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:28,919 Speaker 1: just the talking points that everyone needs at their election 68 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: party to be really in the know. You know, well 69 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: when the Virginia seventh and the South Carolina fifth and 70 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: the Blavity blog goes, so go with could you redo 71 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: that thing for everybody again? But with the latest and 72 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: most up to date information about about the early night bellweathers, 73 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: Because where Clay and I are going to be watching 74 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: this live with a lot of friends here in Nashville, 75 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 1: a lot of people across the country gonna be watching it. 76 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: What are the things to look for that are going 77 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: to tell you the trends early in the night. First 78 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: one would be Indiana's first congressional which is a Northwest Indiana. 79 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: It is a suburb of Chicago. It is a very 80 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: black district. The Republicans have a black female running. The 81 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: Republicans are expected to lose, but if they win, it 82 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: will be a Republican tidal wave across the country and 83 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: especially in the Midwest. Then you have Virginia's second and seventh. 84 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 1: Those are in central Virginia North Richmond. That's Virginia seventh. 85 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: And there's Virginia second in Virginia Beach. That's the district 86 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 1: that you guys are talking about a little while ago 87 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: that they tweeted at. The turnoff Republicans is very strong. 88 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: They are likely to pick up the second, they are 89 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 1: not as likely to pick up the seventh. If they 90 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 1: win both, it's a very good night. And then the 91 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: must win House district. The first for the Republicans, the 92 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: ones that they have to win is North Carolina's thirteenth 93 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 1: with Republican Bohines. If for some reason Republicans lose that district, 94 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 1: it is a very very very bad night. That's how 95 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: that's how critical that district is. That is a new seat. 96 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: It's a Biden plus two seat that he won by 97 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: But if Boheinz Boheims is likely to win, but if 98 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: for some reason something goes wrong he doesn't, that's a 99 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: very bad sign. So if you live in that district, 100 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:08,919 Speaker 1: or you live in any district and you know a 101 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,039 Speaker 1: bunch of people who don't usually vote, make sure that 102 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: they vote today. What's the most up to date right now? 103 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 1: And we're speaking to Ryan Grdusky. If you haven't, check 104 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: out his sub stack, which is the National Populous newsletter. 105 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,239 Speaker 1: He's also found of the seventeen seventy six Project Pack. 106 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 1: Ryan the Governor's races for me, the Big Three, although 107 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: I kind of leave Minnesota off the list that I shouldn't. 108 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: Minnesota's obviously a pretty interesting race too. But it's Zelden 109 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: in New York against Hokol, It's uh, it's ut Tutor 110 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 1: Dixon against Scratch and Whitmer in Michigan, and then Misconsin 111 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 1: in Michigan and then obviously Oregon. Amazing. Christine Drayson, what 112 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: are you thinking? What are you seeing as of today 113 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: based on turnout and poles? How are those looking? So? 114 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 1: In New York State, first of all, so New York 115 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: cities numbers are being pole being shown almost hourly by 116 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: the Board of Elections it looks like minority turnout within 117 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,479 Speaker 1: the New York City is very very low. As of noon, 118 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: they had about eight hundred and eighty thousand votes early 119 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: plus election day without absentees. But it's still eight hundred 120 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: and eighty three thousand votes out of New York City 121 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: is not very many. They had two point one million 122 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen. I think they'd probably be around one 123 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 1: point two to one point four million today in New 124 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 1: York City. Though, the borough that has the worst turnout 125 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 1: is the Bronx. They are abysmally low turnout. I think 126 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: it's eleven percent of artist to voters are showing up 127 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: in the Bronx right now. That is the most democratic 128 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: county in I think the state, not just the city, 129 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 1: but the whole state. Stat An Island has had a 130 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: very good turnout, but Manhattan has had a very good 131 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 1: to turn out. Manhattan's very good for hocol Staten Island's 132 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: very good for Zelvin and Queens and Brooklyn have had 133 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: average turnouts so far. It just depends on where those 134 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: votes are coming in from. If they're coming from the 135 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 1: Orthodox Jewish and communities in Brooklyn and a lot of 136 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: the Asian and working class white districts and Queens. That's 137 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: great for Zelden. If it's out of the more black 138 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 1: areas in both Brooklyn and Queens, that's not so great. 139 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: That's good for Hocal. I don't know if those numbers, 140 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: but it's the numbers are looking decent right now for 141 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: hopecoll of our first story for Zulden coming out of 142 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: New York City. It depends what Long Island's looking like 143 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: or upstate. We don't have those numbers yet. I don't 144 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: think Tutor Dick I'm gonna win in Michigan. I don't 145 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: feel good about Michigan at all. I think abortion being 146 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: on the ballot is going to be a killer for 147 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: a lot of Republicans in Michigan. And I that's my 148 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,119 Speaker 1: own personal opinion. I mean, abortion being on the ballot 149 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: is me very very rough, and I think we're gonna 150 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: look at a cancer situation. It's literally a provision on 151 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: the ballot and I don't know, and it's going to 152 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: drive up a lot of Democrats turn out going into 153 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 1: election day, and it has so far, and it is 154 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: election day. Maybe I'll be wrong, but I'm not super 155 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 1: optimistic on Tutor. And Oregon definitely has had a bunch 156 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: of Democrat efforts in the last few days as the 157 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: third Party Canada has lost some support, But a lot 158 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: of those votes are already in for the Republicans, So 159 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 1: I'd have to sit there and wait to see. All right, 160 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: So where would you say, and we're talking to Ryan Gerdusky. 161 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: You said you'd like fifty three in the Senate, two 162 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: thirty nine in the House. What races out there? And 163 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 1: I know you talked about Virginia and second and seven 164 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: there in North Carolina thirteen? But what races do you think? Hey, 165 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: this could happen like Balduck in New Hampshire would be 166 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: a big early sign. What kind of numbers would you 167 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: need to see from DeSantis or Rubio? Florida is probably 168 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: gonna have its numbers out early, right. New Hampshire takes 169 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 1: a very long time to count the votes as they 170 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 1: almost count them all by hand, and I don't know 171 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 1: if they ride horses to collect all the ballots. I 172 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 1: have no idea. It takes New Hampshire a very very 173 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: long time to count vote. So that will not be 174 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: in early, Okay, what about Florida will be in early? 175 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: But you have to look at where how Palm Beach, 176 00:08:56,920 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: Miami Day did. If Republicans win those are competitive in those, 177 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 1: it's gonna be great night for Republicans. But Florida is Florida. 178 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 1: They've built an amazing infrastructure in Florida for the GOP. 179 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: The earliest two states to look at our Ohio. In 180 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: North Carolina for the Senate seat, I think JD. Evans 181 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: is gonna win by over ten points. He's gonna outperform 182 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: Trump probably an eleven or twelve percent against him Ryan 183 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:23,439 Speaker 1: if he especially when Mahoning County, which is basically the 184 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 1: last white working class, blue collar county still voting Democrat nationwide, 185 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: If he wins that, it's really like an amazing sign 186 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 1: for Republicans in Pennsylmania as well, and in North Carolina. 187 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: Ted bugs gotta win it, but he's gottain probably six 188 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: or seven points to really have an incredible night, and 189 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 1: that will carry a lot of lower down ballot Republicans 190 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: across the line. What are we looking at for total 191 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: congressional pickups right now based on your reading of the 192 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: latest polling data, I would say about thirty five thirty six, 193 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 1: give or take give or take a ten ten of them. 194 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 1: I think that once again to Night. Super hopeful on Michigan, 195 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 1: but I am very hopeful in Nevada. I think it 196 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: might be a clean sweeper. Republicans win every House seat 197 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 1: in Nevada. I don't know if they'll be a man 198 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: standing left with the Democrats. I'm also very interested to 199 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:13,440 Speaker 1: see what happens in Orange County. There are two incumbent 200 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 1: Democrats that had huge war chests that in the last 201 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: couple of weeks we've seen them completely losing the polls. 202 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: Then there's also three seats in Oregon. There's see the 203 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 1: problem is for Republicans going to this electricycle. As much 204 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:30,200 Speaker 1: energy that there is, there's not that much low hanging 205 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: fruit left. This is not like twenty ten where there 206 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: were a bunch of Democrats and R plus twenty seats 207 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: that were ancestrally Democrats. There's so Republicans are going to 208 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:42,199 Speaker 1: have to win a lot of Biden seats, and that's 209 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: not impossible. It's certainly not impossible. They're going to The 210 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:48,199 Speaker 1: interesting things will see are they gonna win in Connecticut 211 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: in the House seat House seats five, or are they 212 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: gonna win Rhode Island to New Hampshire One May two 213 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: are they gonna win three seats in Oregon? Are they 214 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 1: gonna win one extra seat in Washington, all the seats 215 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: in Nevada. That expands the map greatly if they're able 216 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: to do that successfully, Ryan, what would you say high 217 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: end the low end? I'm big on like probabilities, and 218 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: I'm sure you are. If you're breaking this down, you 219 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 1: said you think the Senate fifty three. That would mean 220 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 1: basically all of the close races except for New Hampshire. 221 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,839 Speaker 1: I'm presuming breaking in the direction of the Republicans. Is 222 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 1: there much high end on the Senate side? Do you 223 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 1: think it's possible that Tiffany Smiley or that Joe O'Day, 224 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: both in Washington and Colorado. We've talked a lot about 225 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: their cases. Would that be a high end? Like fifty 226 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: six is the absolute apex in your mind? And the 227 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: Senate and yeah, if you hear an asteroid hitting good 228 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: Denver today, then yes, fifty six is totally possible. Before that, 229 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 1: I don't see how fifty six is you. I'm just 230 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: telling you the truth. I think fifty three is a 231 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: lot more likely. And I think that the problem with 232 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: Washington is Washington's a mail in ballid state. Everyone gets 233 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:56,120 Speaker 1: the ballot and they all just mail it in. There 234 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 1: is very little or close to no election day voting 235 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 1: at a whole site. So and as a jungle primary, 236 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: Patty Murray got over fifty percent in the last election 237 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: that just happened a few months ago. So that means 238 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 1: a lot of people who already voted for her would 239 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:14,559 Speaker 1: either have to be way overwhelmed or switch their vote. 240 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:17,079 Speaker 1: That's just why I see Washington day being a very 241 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 1: difficult state for Republicans to break through. Even if Tippy 242 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 1: Smile is a fantastic candidate, couldn't happen. Sure will it happen? 243 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 1: I wouldn't put money on it if I was gambling 244 00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: in Vegas. I don't think O'Day is gonna win. Colorado 245 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 1: is a state that a lot of Democrats who are 246 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 1: living in the Midwest and in Texas are fleeing to. 247 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:37,719 Speaker 1: I just don't know. I think Colorado maybe s have 248 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: gone too far to the left Ryan as a possibility, 249 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: Arizona is closer to the possibility Nevada in Pennsylvania and Georgia, 250 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 1: and that would be fifty five, but it's a very 251 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: important number. Fifty four senators for Republicans It's not only 252 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 1: fantastic news for this election cycle, but going to the 253 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: next election cycle in twenty twenty four, there are thirteen 254 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: incumbent Democrats. It's in purple red or very lightly blue 255 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: states that they have to defend in two more years. 256 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: And if there's a great of presidential election, there's a recession, 257 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: there's more problems than Biden can't run reelection. Whatever the 258 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: case is. Republicans, there is if they If we wake 259 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 1: up tomorrow and there's fifty four Republican senators in this country, 260 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,320 Speaker 1: the chances of a Republican Philip boost Philip buster proof 261 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 1: Senate majority in twenty twenty four is very, very very possible. 262 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:32,439 Speaker 1: So I hopefully get to fifty four. Getting to fifty 263 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: six I just don't see in the cards. Maybe a miracle. 264 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: Fifty five I highly doubt it. I would say fifty 265 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: three fifty four is very much reasonable. Ryan, if I 266 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 1: made you, which is what I'm doing right now on 267 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: national radio, pick one upset race where that you feel 268 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: the best about meeting. It's one that feels like a reach, 269 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:52,080 Speaker 1: but you think it's going to come through. Which one 270 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 1: is it? Lees? Elvin? I think I think anyone it's 271 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: going to be Lee's Elvin. I maybe I'm because I'm 272 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 1: a New Yorker and I'm delirious about it. But I've 273 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,439 Speaker 1: had a lot of Democrats that I know say they're 274 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 1: voting for Lee. I just I feel the momentum for Lee. 275 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: I've never felt this way before New York, and he's 276 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 1: getting crowd bigger than Hopewell. I just have a hard 277 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:15,000 Speaker 1: time scene that that New York state doesn't mean something. 278 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 1: Ce Clay, Ryan and I have a fever and the 279 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: only prescription is more Yelda Ryan, Yeah, don't forget vote 280 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: for your school board member if they're endorsed by the 281 00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: seventeen seventy project pack. Please please please vote for your 282 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,360 Speaker 1: school board member. Don't forget it on the ballot. People 283 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: oftentimes do absolutely go check out Ryan Subsect, national populous newsletter, 284 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: everybody great political analysis year around Ryan. Thanks so much, 285 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 1: my friends. These are the days that matter, the twenty 286 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: hour days that make you wonder where the energy comes 287 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 1: from to get through them and thrive with each passing 288 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: our Clay and I are going to be going all out. 289 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: It's going to require a lot of energy. You need energy, 290 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: and my friends, if you want more energy in your 291 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: day to day, not just on election day. 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You 309 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 1: get thirty five percent off for the life when use 310 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: my name Buck that's buc K in the ordering process. 311 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: Chalk choq dot com and use promo code buck for 312 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 1: thirty five percent selection day. My friends here on Clay 313 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: and Buck, we're following at all. We're gonna be tonight 314 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 1: having a Nashville based election night, well party, it's a 315 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: party we're having and if you want to join us, 316 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: go to Clayenbuck dot com. You can check out behind 317 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: the scenes or we running videos posting all kinds of stuff. 318 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: Become a VIP you can virtually be a part of 319 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: the party tonight here in Nashville. We're gonna be having 320 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: a lot of fun. And allegedly Jesse Kelly is going 321 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 1: to show up and complain about how the ors d'oeuvres 322 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: are not Paul Bunyan sized, which has tends to be 323 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 1: his way. We'll make sure we have the most expensive 324 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 1: tequila imaginable on hand for him. Our friend Michael Barry 325 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 1: from Houston will be in the house, and many many 326 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 1: others And Clay, what the heck is going on in 327 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: Maricopa County right now? You're seeing this stuff? Yeah, election 328 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: machines are it's wants say. You know when people do 329 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: that thing about you had one job. Yeah, you're right, 330 00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: elections in Arizona. You had one job. Maricopa County for 331 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 1: this day and you can't get it done. Yeah, it's Phoenix. 332 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 1: And this is for people out there who don't know 333 00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: the counties. That's basically Phoenix. And look, this has been 334 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: the argument that I've been making, and I hope we 335 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,399 Speaker 1: don't have to make it and beat the drum on 336 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 1: it tomorrow as well. Every state needs to adopt the 337 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:22,640 Speaker 1: exact same policies that Florida has in place, because Florida, 338 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: by nine o'clock eastern, ten o'clock eastern, you're gonna know 339 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 1: all the results, basically. And the reason why Florida got 340 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 1: everything fixed, Buck, is because two thousand was such a disaster. 341 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: We can't have election weeks. We have election days. Everybody 342 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 1: has to be able to give their full results. I 343 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 1: mean this within four or five hours of the polls closing, 344 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 1: or even if you're a Democrat, Republican, whatever your background is. 345 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:51,120 Speaker 1: It just creates the perception of dishonesty and we can't 346 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 1: have it. Look, our buddy Mike Lindell got his phone 347 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,400 Speaker 1: taken in a Hearty's parking lot because of the political 348 00:17:57,440 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 1: opinions he was sharing. And you know what it's done. 349 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: He's just stepped it up even more aggressively and just 350 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,680 Speaker 1: keeps putting out products that are fantastic that you guys 351 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,400 Speaker 1: are buying up like crazy. 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Welcome 365 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 1: back in Clay, Travis Buck Sexton show three and a 366 00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: half hours a little bit under, and so the first 367 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:04,439 Speaker 1: polls begin to close across the country a little bit 368 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: after two thirty Eastern on the East coast, and I 369 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 1: know many of you waking up and getting about your 370 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: day on the West Coast, still going through the process 371 00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 1: of voting. Frankly, a lot of you probably going after 372 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 1: you finished work. All over the country today, trend lines 373 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:24,800 Speaker 1: incredibly positive for a very celebratory evening for many people 374 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: out there that have been hoping for a reckoning over 375 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 1: the beginning of the Joe Biden administration. I like to 376 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 1: look at the gambling odds, Buck, as we have talked 377 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: a great deal about during the course of the past 378 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,359 Speaker 1: several months, looking at where we are and where we 379 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 1: are headed. Money is absolutely pouring in right now on 380 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: Republican candidates, in particular in the Senate, doctor Oz approaching 381 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 1: the biggest lead that he's had again. These are people 382 00:19:54,520 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 1: putting actual money down. Arizona Senate race solutely rolling there. 383 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 1: Nevada Senate Adam Laxalt is looking like he's an incredible shape. 384 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 1: Republicans are now massive gambling favorites to become the party 385 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: in control of the Senate. Early voting tallies on election 386 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:19,679 Speaker 1: day suggest that Democrats are not getting the turnout they 387 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 1: anticipated or expected. Joe Biden will not be making any 388 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 1: public appearances today at all a sign that things are 389 00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: not looking good with the data that the White House 390 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 1: is receiving. And at this point, Buck, the question is 391 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 1: how big of a showlacking can we put on? How 392 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 1: much of a tsunami are we going to see? And 393 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,360 Speaker 1: everybody out there listening to us right now that has 394 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: not yet voted, joined the team and get out there 395 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 1: and cast your ballot nationwide. The trend lines are great, 396 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: but we want to build this tsunami as high as 397 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: it can possibly go, and that requires every single one 398 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 1: of your participations. And we are going to see some 399 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 1: very interesting analysis, I think tonight from the biding media 400 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: apparatus about why we're here. I do think that a 401 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,639 Speaker 1: lot of them will be claiming that it's just inflation. 402 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: Nothing you can kind of do about it is luck 403 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,600 Speaker 1: of the draw right that you're gonna hear a lot 404 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 1: of presidents get more blame for a good economy and 405 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,640 Speaker 1: more blame for a bad economy than they deserve. They're 406 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 1: going to speak around the issues instead of looking at 407 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 1: what the polling actually shows, which is that the Democrats 408 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 1: engaged in incredible political malpractice in this campaign nationwide. I 409 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,480 Speaker 1: mean the way that they were positioning themselves. The fact 410 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,160 Speaker 1: that they do. They end up having six January six hearings. 411 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,200 Speaker 1: Do we know how many? Actually I'm being serious, you know, 412 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: and they kept having these hearings, and you know Liz Cheney, 413 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: and like the Liz Cheney endorsement would go for some Democrats. 414 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 1: In some places, there are five people who watch MSNBC 415 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: for whom the Liz Cheney endorsement is meaningful. I think 416 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:03,639 Speaker 1: they're all msnb he contributors themselves. This is an example 417 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,920 Speaker 1: of people who got so deep into the echo chamber 418 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 1: in the media that they were actually unhelpful, I think 419 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 1: to a lot of Democrat candidates, even when they they 420 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,159 Speaker 1: thought they were going to be doing their part for 421 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 1: the Democrat apparatus by talking about this stuff. But when 422 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: you look at it, no, turns out people really do 423 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 1: care more about whether their streets are safe, whether they 424 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 1: can afford their food, their rent, their gas. And also 425 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,159 Speaker 1: the you know, the illegal immigrant component of this, for 426 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,159 Speaker 1: the five million illegal crossings that have happened in the 427 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: border in the last two years. That also ties into budgets, 428 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 1: to the fental issue. There's a lot that people tie 429 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 1: into that. And you sit here and I can't even 430 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,359 Speaker 1: remember seeing and a single you know, we watched these 431 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:55,200 Speaker 1: clamps in the view and you know, MSNBC and CNN. 432 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: I can't remember anybody really making the case for Democrats 433 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 1: that that Biden was doing a good job. No, that 434 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 1: that's what's so. You know, they can talk about how 435 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:10,120 Speaker 1: Trump is, you know, the worst person. They can talk 436 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: about January sixth and how that was the most horrific 437 00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: thing that had ever happened to the country. And I 438 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: want to be clear, they would say and did say 439 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: things like the worst thing, including nine to eleven, worse 440 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 1: than nine to eleven, which is just completely Joe Biden 441 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 1: said the worst thing civil war. Yeah, just completely bonkers. 442 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, Pearl Harbor was a really bad 443 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:31,359 Speaker 1: day for the country. Like, there's a lot of stuff 444 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: you could point to, but they lost their minds. And 445 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 1: I do think, and I'm wondering we'll be able to 446 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: revisit this soon. I don't think that they will be 447 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 1: chasened by this. They'll obviously be very sad and emotional 448 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:47,359 Speaker 1: and the you know, the their emotional health is questionable 449 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 1: on the left to begin with, but I think they're 450 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 1: just going to transition immediately into the next phase. Which 451 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 1: they believe will be running against Donald Trump. I think 452 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,119 Speaker 1: that's where and Trump says he just was with us 453 00:23:58,160 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: by the If you miss that, we'll play a cut 454 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 1: maybe or two from that interview. He was with us 455 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:05,440 Speaker 1: at one eastern on the program last hour. Yeah, and 456 00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: he is fired up about this day for the country 457 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: and about what the Republicans should be able to achieve here, 458 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 1: and also about his announcement next week. But we are 459 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 1: there is no honeymoon period here where we're gonna be 460 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: talking a lot more about our favorite movies and a 461 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 1: lot less about politics because we're diving right into the 462 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four election. And I know this sounds crazy 463 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 1: because we're on election day right now, the twenty twenty 464 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: four election. Maybe it's say, starts Thursday, you know, maybe 465 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: Wednesday's just after action for this election, and then on 466 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,400 Speaker 1: Thursday it's going to be about And even Ryan said, 467 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 1: by the way, the Senate, the big win here in 468 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,680 Speaker 1: the Senate is yes, stopping the crazy Democrats if we 469 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,600 Speaker 1: can get that majority, but it's also lining it up 470 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: for a filibuster proof supermajority of sixty going into the 471 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: or after twenty twenty four. And then if you have 472 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:00,960 Speaker 1: the right president, then you can do a stuff right 473 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 1: right now, it's just preventing them from doing bad stuff. 474 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,640 Speaker 1: You might consider this to be high stepping. Buck. I'm 475 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:10,119 Speaker 1: already thinking in my head, when do I switch from 476 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 1: coffee to alcohol for our party? Our party starts at seven? 477 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: When should I? When should the first beer be cracked? Like? 478 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:23,200 Speaker 1: What is the election that is going to occur where 479 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 1: you're confident enough that things are going in a good 480 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,399 Speaker 1: direction to start to celebrate. I think it's gonna be 481 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: hard not to kick back and start to feel a 482 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,639 Speaker 1: little bit of that celebratory vibe because we know Florida 483 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:36,280 Speaker 1: is going to be done early and they're going to 484 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:40,479 Speaker 1: have solid results in and I think that that's going 485 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: to be that will show what results can do in 486 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 1: a state that is well governed in the face of 487 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,959 Speaker 1: all the stuff that they try to throw at Florida. 488 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 1: I remember get santists that try to get that tending. 489 00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:56,200 Speaker 1: And Florida was going to be the worst place, the 490 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 1: worst place in the whole country when it came to COVID. 491 00:25:58,480 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: That's all these things I said, None of it was 492 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 1: through and people are moving there in record numbers, and 493 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,440 Speaker 1: the state has a record surplus, by the way, I 494 00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 1: mean economically financially, it's being run so well. I think 495 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,199 Speaker 1: the Florida political miracle is going to be a really 496 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:13,840 Speaker 1: cool moment. I don't know when I need to look 497 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: into this, when will well. I don't think anyone necessarily 498 00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:20,440 Speaker 1: knows exactly when the New York governor's race will be called. 499 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 1: But for me, I don't see a world in which 500 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 1: Lee's Eldon wins and it isn't a really great night 501 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 1: for Republicans elsewhere across the country, you know. And I 502 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,960 Speaker 1: think that that is the one that I'm watching most closely, 503 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: and that's the one that I feel the most emotionally 504 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,439 Speaker 1: invested in. If I could say, I don't get emotional 505 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: about sports, I don't get emotion about politics. But the 506 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,840 Speaker 1: closest I get to being emotional will be the Lees 507 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,359 Speaker 1: Elden race. I think Virginia, as you heard Ryan your 508 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 1: Dusky say, and Florida two earliest states that will give 509 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 1: us a really good indication of how exactly things are 510 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 1: gonna go. We know Florida is going to be a 511 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: landslide paratively speaking, but those early Virginia congressional races as 512 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: well as Indiana one Jennifer Ruth Green. I believe who 513 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 1: we had on that is very much of an early 514 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,159 Speaker 1: read district. That will also help to let us know 515 00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 1: how things are going. But again, the trend lines are phenomenal. 516 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 1: If you are listening to us right now and you 517 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 1: have not yet voted, drop everything, get to your local 518 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 1: polling place, get your vote in, and be ready to 519 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:35,199 Speaker 1: celebrate with us tonight. What will feel like? I believe 520 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 1: a new birth of American freedom. I totally agree. I 521 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: think we're there, folks. Keep the foot on the accelerator 522 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: and we're going to be having a great night. And 523 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 1: like I said, if you want to join us at 524 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,199 Speaker 1: the Clay and Buck party tonight, virtually you can hang 525 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 1: out at home, put us on your on your laptop, 526 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,879 Speaker 1: or however you want to watch and join in on 527 00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 1: some of the fun. Clay and Buck dot com become 528 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,119 Speaker 1: a VIP check out party and night we're gonna have 529 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: a lot of a lot of great they're celebrating with us. 530 00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: I want to make sure you are safe when you're online. 531 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: LifeLock is the company that gives you and me the 532 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: best in class online identity theft protection. 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Well, guess what, 543 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 1: You're probably going to be told that someone's taken out 544 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 1: alone in your name or credit card. So you've got 545 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 1: to take action today to protect yourself with LifeLock. It's 546 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,800 Speaker 1: important to understand how cybercrime and identity theft are affecting 547 00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 1: our lives. If you do become a victim of identity theft, 548 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:54,480 Speaker 1: a dedicated LifeLock US based restoration specialist will work to 549 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 1: fix it. I could save you hours and hours of 550 00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,239 Speaker 1: frustration and headache. Is so worth it. No one can 551 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 1: prevent all Danny theft or monitor all transactions at all businesses, 552 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 1: but it's easy to help protect yourself with LifeLock. This 553 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,680 Speaker 1: is just something you need to have so you're safe online. 554 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: Join now save up at twenty five percent off your 555 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: first year with promo code buck call one eight hundred LifeLock, 556 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 1: or go online to LifeLock dot com and use promo 557 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:24,400 Speaker 1: code b uc K for twenty five percent All we're 558 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:26,240 Speaker 1: gonna be closing up shop here on the Clay and 559 00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: Buck Show for the day. But the day does not stop. 560 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,040 Speaker 1: The Buck will not stop. Play. That's a fun one. 561 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: Clay is doing a whamp whomp in his head. That's 562 00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: all right, dad, you're not a dead. Wow. The range 563 00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,280 Speaker 1: is hot and shots have been fired here on the 564 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,440 Speaker 1: Clay and Buck Show. But yes, true store not a 565 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: dead yet. And that is a dad joke. So we 566 00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: are going to be just looking at this election all day, 567 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 1: all night. What time? So we got our party here 568 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 1: in Nashville tonight. We got a hundreds of people coming, 569 00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 1: friends of ours here to join us for the event. 570 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 1: What time do you think we actually turn in tonight 571 00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 1: and feel like the victory is assured and we're good 572 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 1: to go. I'm gonna I'm willing to stay up to 573 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,200 Speaker 1: one or two o'clock in the morning. Think it goes 574 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: that late beyond that by I get too grumpy, I can. Yeah, 575 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 1: we'll have to be up late, I think to know 576 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 1: some of these for sure, but I think all the 577 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 1: trend lines will be readily apparent by ten o'clock Eastern. Yeah, 578 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,600 Speaker 1: there's will know if it's a if it's a good 579 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 1: night for Republicans. I do remember remember back in in 580 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen that midterm election, first midterm under Trump, Democrats 581 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 1: actually ended up having a much stronger night in Congress 582 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 1: than was initially anticipated based on how those votes were 583 00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 1: coming in. It took so long for California and the 584 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 1: West Coast to truly come in, and and the Republicans 585 00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,080 Speaker 1: did decent in the Senate, picked up seats. I think, yeah, 586 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 1: so well that and you look at the Kavanaugh situation, 587 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:55,479 Speaker 1: I think that likely cost Democrats control of this as 588 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: it well should have. Um. But but tonight, I think 589 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a very wrong night. And it does 590 00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 1: feel like we've been waiting for this moment more so 591 00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:08,719 Speaker 1: than even in a normal usually you know, the midterm 592 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: election is at some level a referendum on Well, let's 593 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 1: understand the Democrats have not only presidency, but have had 594 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,760 Speaker 1: a majority in the House and a day facto majority 595 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: in the Senate, and pretty much everything that they've done 596 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,080 Speaker 1: has made the situation for Americans worse. So there's a 597 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 1: referendum effect on the party at a national level. That's 598 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 1: a part of this, I think, to be sure. But 599 00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 1: in this case, Clay, the pandemic also and all of that, 600 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: you know, all of those decisions made and Biden, particularly 601 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 1: in Biden's first you know, eighteen months in office. That 602 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,160 Speaker 1: stuff we haven't had a chance to tell, you know. 603 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 1: And that's to the point about the mom brigades out 604 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,200 Speaker 1: there who are seeing what was done to their kids 605 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: totally unnecessarily. None of it. The school shutdowns were not necessary, 606 00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:59,720 Speaker 1: the vaccines for kids were not necessary, the masking of 607 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:04,240 Speaker 1: kid and actually it was abusive and counterproductive. This is 608 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: the first chance we have to say something meaningful about that. 609 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 1: And I think that's why, like I said, this election 610 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 1: feels personal. This one feels personal. That's the way that 611 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 1: I felt when I got out of bed this morning. 612 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: I've been waiting for this day for so long because 613 00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 1: I have been, like many of you, angry, angry about 614 00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 1: what they tried to do with masks, Angry about the 615 00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 1: fact that they tried to make you and me and 616 00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 1: all our kids get COVID shots angry about the way 617 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 1: that Joe Biden has lectured so many of us as 618 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: if he is some moral paragon of virtue. And I've 619 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:44,640 Speaker 1: just wanted the opportunity to speak back. And we're fortunately 620 00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: because we get to talk on the radio and say 621 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,320 Speaker 1: exactly what we think every day, and that's a privilege 622 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 1: we don't take lightly. But there's also something frankly, that 623 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:59,040 Speaker 1: is incredibly majestic in my mind. Maybe it's out of date, naive, 624 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: but I feel like it's incredible to be standing in 625 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 1: line on election day and get to register your voice officially. 626 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: There's just something that feels so innately American about that. 627 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,800 Speaker 1: It's why I like voting on election day so much, 628 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 1: and I know many of you still feel that same way. 629 00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: And this red tsunami that is growing, that each one 630 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 1: of us is a small, tiny droplet of that is 631 00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,720 Speaker 1: going to sweep across the entire nation. Buck Since we 632 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 1: took over in June, we've been building towards this day, yep. 633 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 1: And as soon as we finish this day, we'll start 634 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 1: building towards twenty twenty four. A big reason why I 635 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: wanted to have the opportunity to sit here with you 636 00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 1: and talk to so many people out there in the country. 637 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 1: Was because I think the country's gone insane, and I'd 638 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 1: like to think that we can be an important voice, 639 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 1: you and I and everybody who's listening to us towards 640 00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 1: bringing vac sanity in this are to rally the same yea. 641 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 1: That is our mission, that is what we do, and 642 00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,200 Speaker 1: try to bring anyone who's open to it to come 643 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:04,640 Speaker 1: over to the righteousness of reason, logic, freedom, liberty, and 644 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 1: the Constitution. Now you can put all of these things together. 645 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:12,680 Speaker 1: I think that what we've seen in the in the 646 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 1: depths of Fauciite Covidianism and then the first two years 647 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:23,840 Speaker 1: of the Biden administration is the most tone deaf and 648 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:29,640 Speaker 1: and honestly vindictive authoritarian overreach in the from the Democrat Party, 649 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:31,880 Speaker 1: from any political party in our lifetimes. I think the 650 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:38,279 Speaker 1: Democrats overreached more and were more vindictive and wrong than 651 00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 1: at any other time I can I can think of, 652 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:44,280 Speaker 1: and it affected people in the most personal of ways. 653 00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,879 Speaker 1: And today is the opportunity to speak out through through 654 00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:53,160 Speaker 1: our democratic process and to try to defend the basic 655 00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 1: notion in this Republic that just because a few bureaucrats 656 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:59,239 Speaker 1: want to get hits on MSNBC doesn't mean they can 657 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,160 Speaker 1: tell you you're essential. Your business doesn't count. They're going 658 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:05,600 Speaker 1: to spend this country into oblivion so you can't afford 659 00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:07,520 Speaker 1: to pay your bills anymore, and you're supposed to shut up, 660 00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 1: get ready to eat the bugs, and hope you don't 661 00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:13,799 Speaker 1: get attacked by some maniac who's been arrested fifty times. Enough, 662 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,640 Speaker 1: we've had enough of it. Get your votes in if 663 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:18,560 Speaker 1: you haven't already. We made a little bit of news 664 00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:21,520 Speaker 1: I think earlier. Let's play this. Trump I did not 665 00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:23,960 Speaker 1: announce last night at Ohio, but he was with us 666 00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:27,440 Speaker 1: the last hour and essentially said, yeah, I'm running for president. 667 00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:29,520 Speaker 1: Want you guys to be there, and I'm going to 668 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,160 Speaker 1: announce it next week. Listen to this cut from earlier 669 00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:33,799 Speaker 1: in the show. What are the top things that come 670 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,919 Speaker 1: to mind for you? What's happening in this country right now? Well? 671 00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 1: I think it's crime. I think it's inflation. I think 672 00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,120 Speaker 1: it's the economy, which a big, big part of inflation. 673 00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,040 Speaker 1: I guess if you think, but it's really crime. It's 674 00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:47,839 Speaker 1: the border where millions and millions of people are pouring 675 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 1: into our country totally unchecked, that nobody knows what's happening, 676 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:53,600 Speaker 1: and we're going to be paying a price for that 677 00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: for a long time. It's a lot of things like that. 678 00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:59,360 Speaker 1: I think it's even the Afghanistan. I think it was 679 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:01,480 Speaker 1: the worst moment in the history of our country. I 680 00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: think we were never so embarrassed by a thing. Is 681 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:07,319 Speaker 1: that the way that happened and the way it took 682 00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:10,239 Speaker 1: place so horrible could have gotten earlier with us on 683 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,800 Speaker 1: the show, he also said that he's going to announce 684 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,719 Speaker 1: essentially for president. We'll play you that tomorrow. He's announcing that, 685 00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 1: he's announcing. Yes, and again, thank you for everybody out 686 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 1: there that has let us talk to you for the 687 00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:27,640 Speaker 1: last couple of years. Now is the time for all 688 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: your voices to be heard. If you have not voted yet, 689 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 1: do it, do it. Do And we are so humbled 690 00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,240 Speaker 1: to have the time with you, this audience across the country, 691 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,719 Speaker 1: in the house that rush built every day, and we 692 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:40,680 Speaker 1: are grateful for all of you, and we are going 693 00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: to take our country back. You can count on it.