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Speaker 1: Whats up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Parrelt at sports doc Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: You guys know about this podcast being sponsored by bet

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Speaker 1: mgm in case you don't. First time users first bet

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Speaker 1: New users thousand dollars first bet offer with the promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice at sign up at betmgm dot com. Promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice thousand dollars first bet offer. All right, two

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Speaker 1: and one again, two and one, two and two, two

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Speaker 1: and one, two and two, two and one. Okay, it's

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Speaker 1: a winning week. It's not outstanding, we're not killing it,

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Speaker 1: but we're winning more than we're losing, which is really important.

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Speaker 1: This is now as we head to the sixth day,

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Speaker 1: we've only lost on one day and it was a

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Speaker 1: small loser. So we pick up another you know, not

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Speaker 1: dramatic here, but because the parlay lost that was a

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Speaker 1: quarter loss quarter unit, we won two units. That was

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Speaker 1: a one point seventy five up day. Okay, so that

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Speaker 1: pretty much puts us I think by three or four

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Speaker 1: units up for the week heading into Saturday. So it's

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Speaker 1: pretty good. So not bad. Nuggets come in we get

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Speaker 1: that correct. Indiana State covers by half a point. We

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Speaker 1: got that correct. My Boston Celtics ruined my night, ruined it.

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Speaker 1: So officially I did well, but personally I got killed.

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Speaker 1: I had the Celtics in so many different parlays, in plays,

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Speaker 1: I mean, moneyline parlay. It's just like that. Celtics up

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Speaker 1: by twenty eight points and they lost the game by

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Speaker 1: double digits. That is absolutely a disgusting performance by the

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Speaker 1: Boston Celtics, unacceptable on so many levels. Just lah. So

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Speaker 1: that crushed my night. So I didn't win last night,

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Speaker 1: but the parlay did, so that's good. So we'll take

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Speaker 1: that and we'll move on to a Saturday. Hope to

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Speaker 1: kind of recoup my bank roll a little bit. I

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Speaker 1: took on the chin yesterday with that. Got a little loose,

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Speaker 1: I'll admit it. But we're doing some things on the

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Speaker 1: boss Stony versus of the book. We're rolling over a

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Speaker 1: parlay and you know that Celtic's lost. It cost me

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Speaker 1: an eight dollars parlay, a two unit parlay. Not fun,

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Speaker 1: but whatever, we move on to a Saturday here for us. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I got two college basketball leans. I'm gonna tell you

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Speaker 1: about not gonna make him official one. I can't play

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Speaker 1: yet because of the number is not even out yet.

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Speaker 1: I've got three bets for UFC two eighty five. I

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Speaker 1: will be there. I'm going to cover UFC two eighty

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Speaker 1: five here in Las Vegas. Cyril gone up against John Jones.

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Speaker 1: I was at the ceremonial way Ins tonight. It was

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Speaker 1: pretty wild. Jake Jillenhall shot a scene for his movie,

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Speaker 1: so I guess I potentially could be in a movie now.

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Speaker 1: It's neat. Connor McGregor was there. I haven't seen Connor

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Speaker 1: in a while. It was fun to see him in person.

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Speaker 1: So that was neat. Three bets there, and I have

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Speaker 1: two bets in hockey for us. Forget the NBA. Okay, yes,

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Speaker 1: I hit a bet with the NBA, So Matt, go

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Speaker 1: back to the NBA. No, no, thank you. Like the

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Speaker 1: Nuggets fourth quarter, big fourth quarter for the Nuggets to

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Speaker 1: cover that five and a half point line. That was nice,

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Speaker 1: But I don't want to do anything else with that.

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Speaker 1: So before I run through a litany of bets here

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Speaker 1: on a Saturday, let me tell you a little bit

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Speaker 1: that anyway, comment on this video below and you could

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Speaker 1: not harder. Okay, let's talk about UFC two eighty five,

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Speaker 1: the return of John Jones. I've got two bets going

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Speaker 1: in the main event. We'll hold that here for one

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Speaker 1: second because we'll get to a pay per view card parlay.

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Speaker 1: So Bo Nickel is the biggest favorite on the card.

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Speaker 1: He opened up at minus nineteen hundred at Circus Sports,

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Speaker 1: was bet up to twenty two hundred. Has since come

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Speaker 1: back down because the number just got too good. To

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take a flyer on the dog just

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Speaker 1: because the price is ridiculous. Plus nine hundred on a

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Speaker 1: fight it's fighting one punch, one move. Who knows bo

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Speaker 1: Nickel now making his pay per view debut. This kid

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Speaker 1: could be an absolute superstar in the UFC. Okay, everyone's

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Speaker 1: saying this kid is the real deal. His stats don't

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Speaker 1: even make sense when you start looking at what bo

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Speaker 1: Nickel has done. Bow Nickel averages per every fifteen minute

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Speaker 1: fight three minute fights, twenty three point seven submission attempts,

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Speaker 1: twenty three per three rounds. He has one hundred percent

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Speaker 1: takedown accuracy. He averages twenty three point six takedowns per

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Speaker 1: fight per three round fight. This guy has an average

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Speaker 1: fight time of fifty seven seconds. You heard me right,

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Speaker 1: fifty seven seconds. Three time national champion and wrestler. He's

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Speaker 1: fighting a guy who has decent takedown in Jamie Pickett,

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Speaker 1: unless Jamie Pickett clips him and catches bo Nickel early.

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Speaker 1: This guy's coming off of two losses. His last win

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Speaker 1: came in on January fifteenth of twenty twenty two. I

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Speaker 1: mean in both were decisions. This is a setup fight

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Speaker 1: in a lot of ways. Bo Nichol's gonna submit Jamie Pickett. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you can bet this solo if you want, but it's mine.

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Speaker 1: One fifty five at CIRCA, so that's a little pricey.

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Speaker 1: You can pair this with Sevchenko with Valentina. Look, in

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Speaker 1: the lightweight division, there's no one that can touch Valentina.

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Speaker 1: And I hope Amanda and I hope Alexa Grosso puts

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Speaker 1: on a show. Okay, I hope that she boxes. I

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Speaker 1: hope that she's able to make it a contest, make

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Speaker 1: it interesting. But in this division, Valentina just is dumb,

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Speaker 1: like she's just so much better. She's so much more talented.

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Speaker 1: And whether it be by decision or whether it be

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Speaker 1: by knockout, whether it be by submission, decision knockout, I

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Speaker 1: don't know how she gets it done. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna worry about that. I'm just gonna bet chef Chenko

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Speaker 1: to win and keep her belt. It could be a test.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think Alexa Grosso is going to be

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Speaker 1: an interesting fighter to watch in the future. And if

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Speaker 1: she fights hard and it's a close fight, maybe she

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Speaker 1: gets a rematch up against to Go you know again.

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Speaker 1: But Grosso's fifteen and three, she's won four straight fights.

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Speaker 1: She deserves this opportunity. But this is just a really

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Speaker 1: difficult deal. She's a great striker, averages five point one

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Speaker 1: strikes landed per minute. Okay, she could hit forty four

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Speaker 1: percent striking accuracy, that's great, but she gets hit four

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Speaker 1: strikes absorbed per minute. Valentina only hits one point nine,

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Speaker 1: and her power translates. Her power is damaging. I think

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Speaker 1: she Valentina is going to do a very similar thing

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Speaker 1: to what she did to Grosso, what she did to

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Speaker 1: Jessica Andrage. I think valentin is just gonna basically pin

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Speaker 1: her to the ground and put her in a crucifix

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Speaker 1: and beat the crap out of her. And I think

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Speaker 1: just her strength, her length, her jiu jitsu, her ability.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this was a second round TKO of Jessicon

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Speaker 1: Rage back in April of twenty twenty one. I was wait,

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Speaker 1: I was pretty si, I was at that fight. Very

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Speaker 1: similar thing happens here in my mind. Chevchenko just to win.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how minus one twenty two leg money

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Speaker 1: line parlay Valentina buy money line just to win Boe

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Speaker 1: Nickel by submission, minus one twenty one point two units down.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking a little two unit or a little one

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Speaker 1: point two unit two leg money line or two leg

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Speaker 1: parlay Nickel by submission Valentina money line now to the

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Speaker 1: main event. So John Jones looks like a linebacker in person.

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Speaker 1: He's enormous. He doesn't look like the same guy. Took

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Speaker 1: him three years to get to this weight. He weighs

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Speaker 1: more than zero gone, but he's way short of the

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Speaker 1: heavyweight limit of two sixty five. I thought he might

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Speaker 1: come in a little heavier. Actually, can John Jones fight

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Speaker 1: at this weight? We're gonna find out. Does John Jones

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Speaker 1: still have the advantage that he had it light heavyweight

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Speaker 1: at this weight class. We're going to find out. The

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Speaker 1: total rounds is four and a half. I can't get

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Speaker 1: past this a heavyweight fight with a total for four

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Speaker 1: of rounds of four and a half, juiced to the over,

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Speaker 1: heavily juiced to the over. Get plus money on the

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Speaker 1: under plus one thirty. You look at John Jones in

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Speaker 1: the way that he has fought. John Jones's last three

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Speaker 1: fights were boring, boring, all five round unanimous decisions. Why

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Speaker 1: is he coming up to heavyweight? Is he coming up

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Speaker 1: to put on a show? Is he coming up to

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Speaker 1: go and knock out guys again? To submit guys again

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Speaker 1: to end fights? If John Jones wins this fight, this

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Speaker 1: fight will wind up going under four and a half rounds.

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Speaker 1: I don't believe John Jones can win a technical fight

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Speaker 1: against Cereal Gone, nor does he want to think. John

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Speaker 1: Jones just wants to go ahead and win this fight

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Speaker 1: in impressive fashion. But I also think by doing that,

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Speaker 1: he puts himself in a viral position. John Jones is

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Speaker 1: the goat, but he hasn't fought in three years. Does

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Speaker 1: he get tired in the later rounds or five rounds?

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Speaker 1: In when you're carrying all that weight having fought at

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Speaker 1: a championship level four rounds, five rounds, it's plus one thirty.

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Speaker 1: I can't get over it. I got a better half

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Speaker 1: a unit on it under four and a half rounds.

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Speaker 1: John Jones serial gone plus one thirty jumping in half

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Speaker 1: a unit. So what am I doing with the other

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Speaker 1: half a unit? Well, here's the thing. God can win

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Speaker 1: inside the distance, but God can also win the fight

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Speaker 1: on the cards. If this thing goes five rounds, I

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Speaker 1: believe that God will win on the cards. He's plus

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Speaker 1: one sixty four. You guys might get more value to this.

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Speaker 1: This thing just is climbing and climbing and climbing one

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Speaker 1: p seventy one eighty. This is a heavyweight fight. Weird

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Speaker 1: things happen, and God deserves to be in this one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent deserves to be in this fight. He knocked

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Speaker 1: out two of USA in the third round. For his

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Speaker 1: last fight, went all five rounds with a compromised Francis

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Speaker 1: Nganu won it or sorry, lost it by decision controversial

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Speaker 1: in some ways. He knocked out Derek Lewis, he Volkov

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Speaker 1: went to decision, Rosen Strike went to decision, knocked out

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Speaker 1: Junior's Desondos. Three of the last five Three of the

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Speaker 1: last six fights have been knockouts for Zero Gone three decisions.

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Speaker 1: Could this fight go to the cards, absolutely okay. If

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Speaker 1: it goes to the cards, though, look, if John Jones

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Speaker 1: wins a decision, we lose both bets here. It's a

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Speaker 1: happy unit loss. Okay. But these are plus plus and

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Speaker 1: we could hit them both. If Gon knocks out or

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Speaker 1: submits or stops John Jones under four and a half rounds,

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Speaker 1: we hit both bets. If John Jones stops Zero Gone,

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Speaker 1: submits him, or knocks him out inside of four into

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Speaker 1: four and a half rounds, we win plus one thirty.

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Speaker 1: It's a small win, okay, it's point three or not

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Speaker 1: even point three, it's point one five, but it's still

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Speaker 1: a win. Okay. This is a really hard fight to bet,

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Speaker 1: really hard fight to call. So I want to be involved,

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Speaker 1: I want to have money on it. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to go too crazy with this because I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be watching this and I'm really curious. I honestly

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Speaker 1: don't know who wins. To be frank, this is just

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Speaker 1: playing on numbers under four and a half rounds plus

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Speaker 1: one thirty half a unit Cereal gone plus one sixty

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Speaker 1: four money line. See how it plays out. Should be

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun, all right, Two guns in play

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Speaker 1: for UFC two eighty five now two bets in the

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Speaker 1: NHL Colorado, Dallas, Boston, New York. Hello Rangers, Bruins. You

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Speaker 1: know what I'm going to be on personally, Okay, you

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Speaker 1: know this not making it official, but Bruins on the

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Speaker 1: puck line is just I'm firing, okay, lick the straight

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Speaker 1: up firing Bruins on the puck line. Everyone's saying, oh

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Speaker 1: the Rangers, Oh the Rangers. Bruins have won nine games

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Speaker 1: in a row. That just won seven to one by

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Speaker 1: scoring five goals in the third period. I guess four

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Speaker 1: goals in the third period, gave up one game five

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Speaker 1: Lou Over like we talked about, you know, I had

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Speaker 1: the over and that gag in that fight amazingly and

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Speaker 1: that game amazingly enough. But the Bruins have won five

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Speaker 1: to two, three one both times on the puck line

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Speaker 1: all marks in net Bruins. Look, it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a lean, not official, but Bruins puck lines plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty way too much value not to take the Bruins

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Speaker 1: on the puck line. Now. Colorado is eight and two

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Speaker 1: to the under over their last ten games on the road.

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Speaker 1: Dallas is seven too and one to the under at home.

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Speaker 1: This very well could be a preview of the Western

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Speaker 1: Conference Finals. We've got the Bruins playing first on ABC ESPN,

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Speaker 1: followed up here by Colorado and Dallas. This is if

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Speaker 1: you're a hockey fan, just kick your heels up and

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Speaker 1: watch both these games. We could we could be watching

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Speaker 1: the final four in hockey Rangers, Bruins, Avalanche Stars, very possible.

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Speaker 1: Six is the total minus one twenty under right, Yes,

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Speaker 1: this is an under game. Colorado Dallas under for one

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Speaker 1: point two units minus one twenty under six. Great push

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Speaker 1: potential under six Dallas, Colorado for one point two units.

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Speaker 1: One more play early start nine to thirty eastern, twelve

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Speaker 1: thirty Pacific time. Sorry, flip that nine to thirty Pacific time,

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Speaker 1: twelve thirty eastern Tampa Bay at Buffalo. This is ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: So these teams have played three times so far, eight

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Speaker 1: eleven eleven total goal scored. Like, what are we doing?

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Speaker 1: Were betting the under No? Six and four to the

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Speaker 1: over at home for Buffalo seven and three to the

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Speaker 1: over for Tampa when these teams are playing though, Lukening

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Speaker 1: gives up so many goals and just gave up I

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Speaker 1: guess he was in net for six of the seven

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Speaker 1: against the Bruins. That's a Leski's been given up a

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Speaker 1: bunch of goals. But we'll see who winds up being

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Speaker 1: in net here. For right now, it's Vassilevski, but it

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Speaker 1: could be Elliott either or I don't really care. Minch

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Speaker 1: one twenty over six and a half Tampa and Buffalo

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Speaker 1: over six and a half for one point two units,

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Speaker 1: all right under six Colorado Dallas over six and a

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Speaker 1: half Buffalo Tampa. Two bets in the NHL, now two

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Speaker 1: bets in college basketball. Huge slateon college basketball. These are

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Speaker 1: just my own plays, Alabama is a two point dog

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Speaker 1: at tixs A and m kem Pom has this as

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Speaker 1: a three point win for Alabama. Bama hasn't played well

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Speaker 1: on the road. Reason why I'm not making this official

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Speaker 1: is because Alabama the last time they were on the

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Speaker 1: road as a dog, they went to Tennessee and they

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Speaker 1: got spanked. They were three point dogs at Tennessee and

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Speaker 1: Knoxville lost by nine. So they were one and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites against Auburn and they won by eight,

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Speaker 1: but they were laying seventeen points in South Carolina on

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Speaker 1: the road, had to go to overtime and they won

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Speaker 1: by two. Okay, I think you have plus money on

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Speaker 1: what I think is the best team in the country

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Speaker 1: in Alabama plus two rather plus points. I just take it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's a lean, it's not official. But if you want more,

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Speaker 1: if you want to college basketball, play Alabama plus two.

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Speaker 1: And if you like the Valley Tournament and you want

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Speaker 1: to get involved with the Valley Tournament, you can do

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Speaker 1: either a parlay of Bradley and Drake, because I think

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Speaker 1: those two teams have been on a collision course for

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Speaker 1: a while to meet in the Valley Final. So you

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Speaker 1: can go moneyline, money line two leg moneyline parlay for

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Speaker 1: Drake and Bradley, or you could go and lay the

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Speaker 1: five or so. There's no number on Drake, but Drake

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Speaker 1: is playing Southern Illinois. Drake I think is it'll win

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Speaker 1: that game and cover, So you can lay that as

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Speaker 1: well if you want. I don't know about Illinois State

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Speaker 1: and Bradley and Bradley. That's gonna be a barn burner

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Speaker 1: of a game. I lean towards the over in that game,

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Speaker 1: but that's gonna be a lot of fun to watch.

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Speaker 1: Illinois State's playing sor Indiana State. Illinois State, Indiana State.

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Speaker 1: It's playing really well. They're a phenomenal team against the

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Speaker 1: number this year, and they just keep on winning and

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Speaker 1: they keep on covering. So they've won their last two games,

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Speaker 1: covered their last two games, and they've covered now four

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Speaker 1: of the last five. Oh sorry, not covered three to

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Speaker 1: the last five. Sorry. They have gone over for the

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Speaker 1: last five totals one forty two. I lean towards the

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Speaker 1: over in that game. They've scored ninety four in ninety

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Speaker 1: seven points so far here in Arch Madness. No problem

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Speaker 1: with the rims, no problem with the crowd, no problem

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Speaker 1: with the dome. I lean towards the over again for

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Speaker 1: Indiana State and Bradley here at one forty two total

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Speaker 1: was one forty four and a half against Evansville, won

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Speaker 1: fifty three and a half against Belmont, went over by

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half in by two and a half.

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Speaker 1: So he want some college basketball. There you go, but

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Speaker 1: five bets officially Valentina money line with bow Nickels submission

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Speaker 1: parlay from minus one twenty John Jones and zero Gon

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Speaker 1: under four and a half rounds half a unit at

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Speaker 1: plus one thirty zero Gan money line to win the

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Speaker 1: fight at plus one sixty four half a unit. Colorao

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Speaker 1: Dallas under six goals one point two units at MI

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Speaker 1: Mius won twenty and Buffalo Tampa over six and a

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Speaker 1: half for minus one twenty as well. Got all that

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Speaker 1: busy day I'll be at the fights. Should be a

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Speaker 1: fun day, should be a fun card. Lots to get into.

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Speaker 1: Let's hopefully have a big Saturday. Head to Sunday with

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Speaker 1: a guaranteed winning week for our third consecutive winning week.

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Speaker 1: As I said, two and one, two and two, two

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Speaker 1: and one, two and two, two and one, five bets

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Speaker 1: going can't go two and two this time, but let's

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Speaker 1: see what we do. Min As Mapparol. Follow them on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's

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Speaker 1: The Diligence Podcast, being brought to you by Bet'm Jim