1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: Welcome in. We'll drive in the great episode three seventy 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: one hour Week four NFL Picks Show, gambling show. This 3 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: episode is brought to you, as always by our friends 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: at boost Mobile, and we would greatly appreciate if you like, rate, subscribe, 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,799 Speaker 1: review to the pod, and a reminder to all of you. 6 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: All lines are from hard Rock bet all right. Deman's 7 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: last week was a stumble. Your teasers will get to 8 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: him in a minute. No longer undefeated and two. Week three. 9 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 1: I told you I felt I deserved better than I got. 10 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: I'm sorry week week two, I told you my Week 11 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: two picks. I think we went two and three or 12 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: three and two, it doesn't matter. I felt. I know that, 13 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: I felt like I was on the absolute right side 14 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: on four of those games and got, for lack of 15 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: better term, screwed. 16 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 2: That happened. 17 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: That is not what happened in week three. My three 18 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: losses in Week three, Demons are as bad a picks 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 1: as anyone's ever gonna have. So we was two and 20 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: three last week, a game under five hundred for the year. 21 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,839 Speaker 1: That part's fine. But these losses, some of them should 22 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: have counted double they were so bad. So let's go 23 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: through them. Green Bay minus seven and a half against Cleveland. 24 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:33,399 Speaker 1: They lose outright, I lose all my survivors. I'm just 25 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: cooked that they were never covering they I mean they 26 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 1: were up ten nothing. I guess they were covering briefly. 27 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: That was a terrible pick. Awful job road team against 28 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: a great defense and a look ahead spot. I should 29 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: have known. I took the bait. Somehow, that was my 30 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: best of the bad ones. Tennessee plus three and a 31 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: half against the Colts, pick six, first play of the game. 32 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: Brian call Hand can't figure out how to call a 33 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: field goal unit out there that they kicking just to 34 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: just routed by the Colts. And somehow that wasn't my 35 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 1: worst one of the day because I laid five points 36 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: with a divisional road favorite with a shaky quarterback, broke 37 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: all the rules I laid. Here's the thing. I for 38 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: my Atlanta minus five bet to win, Carolina would have 39 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: had to score negative six points because Atlanta, I laid 40 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 1: five points with a team that got shut out and 41 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: allowed thirty That was. 42 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 2: The weirdest I was. That one was super weird. I 43 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: guess s green Bay Brown is pretty weird. 44 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 1: But I was thirty five points off on this one. 45 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: I thought Atlanta could win by five. They lost by thirty. 46 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: Just awful. Now the Chargers controlled the early part of 47 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: that game, Denver came back Chargers field goal at the gun, 48 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: so a little lucky there, and then Detroit was clearly 49 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: the right side and it went kind of how I 50 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: thought it was going to go where I was like, 51 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: last team with the ball wins. Detroit ended up adding 52 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: an extra score on it, but they went for that 53 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: fourth down late ice the game. So we go two 54 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: and three this week. Luckily, I feel great. 55 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 2: I like this week's sleep. 56 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: I feel I feel like we're going to start off 57 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: one to zero before ten am West Coast time because 58 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: there's a London game, and there's a London game we love. 59 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: We will get to that in a moment. First, let 60 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: me remind you guys, today's show was brought to you 61 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: by our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. If you love 62 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: betting on sports, or you just love sports and want 63 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: to try beating, the hard Rock Bets sportsbook Gap makes 64 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: it simple, packed with great insights and NonStop promos. 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Must be twenty one plus and 88 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 1: physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 89 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concern about 90 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida, call one eight eighty eight. Admit it. 91 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 1: In Indiana. If you are someone you know as a 92 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: gambling problem wants help, call one eight hundred and nine 93 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 1: with it. Gambling problem, Call one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 94 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, Deman's let's 95 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:53,360 Speaker 1: quickly roll through the games that I am not touching. Okay, 96 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: so what is the first? One? 97 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 2: Thursday night? I guess we talked about now because. 98 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: This is where doing this on a Thursday, but people 99 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: are gonna hear it on Friday. So Thursday night, I 100 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 1: don't have a lean, I don't have a feel. I'm 101 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: not touching it. You guys will have already heard it. 102 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 2: You got Washington minus oneed Atlanta stand away from that one. 103 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 1: Well, that's the line. I don't have the I don't 104 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: have you're just gonna have that. This is one of 105 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: the I guess the downsides to us doing these early. 106 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: We don't know the quarterback situation. I can't give you 107 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: any handicap on it. What I can't tell you is 108 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 1: Michael Pinnix is very lucky that the Atlanta Falcons don't 109 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 1: have a real fan base outside of Atlanta, or else 110 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,799 Speaker 1: we'd be talking about it more because he has looked shaky. 111 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,479 Speaker 1: The next game, go ahead. 112 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 2: New Orleans and Buffalo. New Orleans at Buffalo. 113 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, New Orleans getting fifteen and a half, That to 114 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:50,840 Speaker 1: me is a vintage stay away. It's just so many points. 115 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: Buffalo can dominate this game and should dominate this game, 116 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 1: and New Orleans can backdoor cover. I just I'm also, 117 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:03,280 Speaker 1: full disclosure, not gonna be really locked into that game. 118 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 1: I think that's gonna be a seventeen to three early 119 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: second quarter game over game. Next one, you. 120 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 2: Got Tennessee plus seven at Houston. 121 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I have decided I am not betting on 122 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: Tennessee again with Brian Callahan as the head coach, just 123 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: not doing it until he until he's gone. I will 124 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: not put any money on the Titans. I've made this 125 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: mistake twice this year. I'm not doing it again. With 126 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 1: that said, I can't lay a touchdown with the Texans 127 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: team that can't score, So that's the definition of a 128 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: stay away. Next. 129 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 2: Next, the Chargers minus six and a half of the Giants. 130 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: I almost included this one. I almost included the Giants 131 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: six and a half. But it's a rookie quarterback against 132 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: a great defense. It's too many points to lay with 133 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:12,119 Speaker 1: the Chargers team that's been, you know, been playing very 134 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 1: tight games. So I'm not going to lay the touchdown 135 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: with the Chargers. I kind of like the Giants, but 136 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 1: it's a rookie quarterbacks first start against a good defense. 137 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: Will stay away from it. 138 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 2: Next. Next, you've got Philly minus three and a half 139 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 2: at Tampa. 140 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think Philly is the right side in this, 141 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 1: but Philly plays so conservatively that laying more than a 142 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: field goal on the road just feels foolish. I can't 143 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: bet Tampa with all those injuries, but if I were 144 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: to Philly, to me, is the right side of it. 145 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 2: Next, Carolina plus five and a half at New England. 146 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 1: Gross. Neither these teams is trustworthy. I understand. Carolina just 147 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: scored thirty I think that's, you know, an aberration. The 148 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: Patriots can't you know, just had five turnovers in a game. 149 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 1: It's just to stay away, just flatly. I'm not interested 150 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: in either team, either side of this game, just flatly 151 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: staying away. 152 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:18,719 Speaker 2: Next, you got Indie plus three and a half at 153 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 2: the Rams. 154 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: I lean Rams, but I have you know consistently and 155 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: I you know, what I don't want to do is 156 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: after betting against Indy a couple of times, then overcorrect 157 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 1: bet on them and have that be the week that 158 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 1: I'm right about them for the season where any think 159 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 1: they were that good. But I can't keep betting against them, 160 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 1: and so I'm very excited to watch that game. If 161 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: Indye wins that game, I will have to take them serious. 162 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: But I'm staying away from that one. 163 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 2: Next Chicago plus one at the Raiders. I might have 164 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 2: been wrong about the Raiders. I believed in the Raiders 165 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 2: going into the year. I thought the defense would be 166 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 2: better than people said it would be. 167 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: It kind of has been. I thought Gino was a 168 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 1: huge upgrade aside from Week two he has been I 169 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: might have underrated how awful that offensive line is. With 170 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 1: that said, because I have some real stakes in the 171 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: ground on the Raiders. I don't want to flip entirely 172 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden go with the Bears this week. 173 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 1: So this is just I'm just staying away. 174 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 2: Sunday night, Green Bay minus six and a half at Dallas. 175 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: If I had to bet a side here, I would 176 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: definitely bet green Bay. I think though Dak Prescott at 177 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: home getting almost a full touchdown back door cover is 178 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: going to be wide open the whole game. I think 179 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: that a blowout is far more likely than a Dallas victory. 180 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: But I just don't want to lay a full touchdown 181 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:19,079 Speaker 1: on the road in what could be an emotional spot 182 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: for both teams. And I certainly can't bet on Dallas 183 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: after what their defense has been all year long. All right, 184 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:27,559 Speaker 1: last one we're not doing. 185 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 2: Uh you got the Jets plus two and a half 186 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:31,439 Speaker 2: at Miami. 187 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know how you can put believe in 188 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I also don't think you can right now 189 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 1: bet on the Jets getting less than a field goal. 190 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: So those are stay aways. It's always a good sign, 191 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: Demanse when a few of the stay away games, I 192 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 1: actually like, it's never a good sign. When we're down 193 00:11:56,240 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 1: we're to the fourth pick of my five. Yeah, but 194 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: I just have to have five. It's a great sign 195 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: when there's a game like the Giants getting six and 196 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 1: a half that I kind of like, or what was 197 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 1: the other one, Philly laying three and a half that 198 00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: I kind of like that. I just am saying, we're 199 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 1: not doing it because I love these five so much. 200 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 1: Let's start in Dublin, Demons. 201 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:31,559 Speaker 2: You've got Minnesota minus two and a half versus pitt 202 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 2: or Pittsburgh. I don't know. 203 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, they'd be minus more against pitt the College, but 204 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh, I can't believe. I don't have to lay 205 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 1: a full field goal here. Aaron Rodgers played in overseas 206 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: last year against Minnesota. That was the famous Mike Mike's 207 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 1: gotta be on the red line game. He turned the 208 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 1: ball over three times against that Flores defense. I just 209 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 1: all this Minnesota defense absolutely demolish Jake Browning, who right 210 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: now stylistically is not that dissimilar to Rogers. Accurate, gotta 211 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 1: get the ball out quick. Favorites and international games are 212 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 1: covering machines thirty two and eighteen against the spread. Rogers 213 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: has been awful against pressure this year. Bottom three quarterback 214 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: in the league win pressured, and the Vikings are the 215 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:41,079 Speaker 1: top three in the league at bringing pressure. I love 216 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,720 Speaker 1: Minnesota laying a field laying less than a field goal. 217 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: I understand that means I'm betting Carson Wentz as a favorite. 218 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 1: I don't care. I'm not betting Carson Wentz. I'm betting 219 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 1: the Vikings defense minus two and Alfagans Pittsburgh. And I 220 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 1: don't clip this. We don't want this to be correct, 221 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:10,959 Speaker 1: but I'm just flagging it. It's on the board. You're 222 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: shaking your head, Demnsey, What do you think I'm gonna 223 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:13,839 Speaker 1: say here? 224 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:17,439 Speaker 2: You're gonna say Aaron Rodgers might end his season and 225 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:18,559 Speaker 2: or something like that. 226 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 1: You said it. It's on the board against this defense 227 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: with that Pittsburgh offensive line, that this is the last 228 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 1: we see of Aaron, Like, I think you gotta be 229 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: prepared for that. Like I am legitimately worried for Rogers 230 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 1: in this game. I don't think that offensive line has 231 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 1: been good. He's not mobile and they are gonna heat 232 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: him up. So I love Minnesota minus two and a half. 233 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 2: Next Cleveland plus ten at Detroit. 234 00:14:54,760 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 1: So listen, the Cleveland defense is awesome. They're awesome. The 235 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 1: Lions offensive line was great against Baltimore's D line. Cleveland's 236 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 1: d line with rookie Mason Graham, who's been great Miles Garrett, 237 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: who's just an all time great, is very different than 238 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 1: Baltimore's defensive line. I also think you've got Detroit short 239 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: week coming off that emotional win. The trends of teams 240 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: that had a win like Cleveland did an early season touchdown, 241 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: bigger dogs that win a game out right the next week. 242 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 1: Eighteen nine to four against the spread, I know Detroit's 243 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: been covering machines. Ten is just too many points for 244 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: a game that I think is going to not be 245 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 1: super high scoring. I think Cleveland's defense can keep them 246 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: in games. Week one, Cleveland defense kept him in the 247 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: Sincy game. Week three, Cleveland's defense one in the game. 248 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: Week four against Baltimore, Cleveland's defense was good. Cleveland had 249 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: more passing yards, rushing yards, third down, more time possession 250 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: than Baltimore. Lost by a million because they had a 251 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: pump blocked, there's a fumble, there's a pick. If Cleveland 252 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: just takes care of the ball, they can keep this 253 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: to within single digits. I'll take Cleveland plus ten next. 254 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, Jacksonville plus three at the Niners. 255 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: Yeah. I I think that Trevor's going to have time 256 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: to throw with Nicki Bosa out. I also think that 257 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 1: whether it's Mac Jones or Party, that Jacksonville d line 258 00:16:51,760 --> 00:17:04,879 Speaker 1: is legitimate and is is scary. And I think that 259 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: the Niners, to their credit, have found ways to win. 260 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 1: They It's been close games, and I think those three 261 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:20,239 Speaker 1: points are super, super valuable. Now, I will tell you this, 262 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 1: because we're recording this on Thursday. If you like Jacksonville 263 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 1: on this spot, I would wait to bet them because 264 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 1: I think perty is going to play and I think 265 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: that this line goes at least to three and a 266 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 1: half and maybe to four. But the Niners, it's not 267 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:47,439 Speaker 1: only that obviously Bosa is out, but as of Wednesday, 268 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 1: Juwan Jennings and Ricky pearsall weren't practicing. Another defensive lineman, 269 00:17:54,440 --> 00:18:00,200 Speaker 1: Gross Mattos, was not practicing. They Trent Williams the he's 270 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 1: healthy but and so he didn't practice, but that was 271 00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:10,280 Speaker 1: just rest related. I just I think Jacksonville is as 272 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 1: good as San Francisco, and I'm getting a field goal. 273 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: I'll take Jacksonville next. 274 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 2: Can't Who would have known Kansas City plus two and 275 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 2: a half versus Baltimore. 276 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:25,479 Speaker 1: I mean, Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar. The Ravens are 277 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 1: on a short week. The Ravens D line Wednesday, demanday, 278 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 1: every single one of the Ravens starting d linemen misspractice, 279 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 1: every single one. We know Mattebouquet is not playing, and 280 00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 1: that's a bigger story for them for the whole season 281 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 1: because he might be. His neck injury is like really scary. 282 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: But the Chiefs are at home. I believe the Chiefs 283 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 1: are better than Baltimore. The Chiefs need it. They are 284 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 1: getting Xavier Worthy back. They are the more rested team, 285 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:05,159 Speaker 1: they are the more put together team right now. They 286 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: are the team that comes into this game more confident. 287 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 1: And I I think the Lamar versus the Chiefs thing 288 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 1: is real. And the fact that I am getting points 289 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 1: in Kansas City against a Ravens team that right now 290 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 1: has the worst defense in the conference. I'll just take it. 291 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: And Patrick, by the way five and one in his 292 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 1: career against Lamar, four and two against the spread. I'll 293 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 1: take the Chiefs here. This is also where you and 294 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 1: I need to discuss. 295 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 2: That two oh yeah, oh what do you want to line. 296 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: So what do you if the Ravens win? What do 297 00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:48,159 Speaker 1: you want from me? 298 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,159 Speaker 2: The best thing I could think of, I mean this 299 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 2: is way later down the road. I think this is 300 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,760 Speaker 2: in March. Grand Theft Auto six is coming out, and 301 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 2: the prices of games these days gone up. Used to 302 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 2: be sixty, it's like seventy now. But that's like a 303 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 2: game everybody's been waiting on, so that one might be 304 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 2: like one hundred dollars. So I would love to like 305 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 2: not have to come out of pocket for Grand that 306 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,119 Speaker 2: was six when the game straight up? 307 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,360 Speaker 1: All right, So if the Ravens win the game straight up, 308 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 1: this is a straight. 309 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 2: Up bet, not ah, not spread. Yeah. 310 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 1: Is there anything else game related that you're gonna want 311 00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 1: when that comes out? Like a headset or anything else related? Like, 312 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: I don't know how Grand Theft works these days, is there? 313 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean, if you want to throw some extra money, 314 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,320 Speaker 2: I could buy a Shark card, throw some money on there. 315 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:39,640 Speaker 2: Immediately it's like, what's a card? It's like, okay, it's 316 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 2: like in game currency five million, It's like what's it 317 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:52,080 Speaker 2: v bucks exactly exactly. It's great, okay, done, Here's what 318 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 2: I want from you? Okay, whatever the next holiday you 319 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 2: come home for from all. 320 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:14,120 Speaker 1: Of my all of my kitchen clean up responsibilities fall 321 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 1: to you. Okay, not for the whole time. What whe 322 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 1: there it's Thanksgiving dinner or Christmas dinner, whatever, big, the big, 323 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: the one big meal. Kitchen clean up responsibilities are yours 324 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:36,640 Speaker 1: and yours like you, there's not gonna be any you're 325 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,440 Speaker 1: gonna have. You're the one that tells your mom I 326 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,199 Speaker 1: lost a bet. I have to do this. He's not 327 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:43,800 Speaker 1: allowed to. 328 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 2: Yeh, I'll take it. Thanksgiving is rough. 329 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 1: But that's why I added that short card, because yeah, okay, 330 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: all right, we have a best all right, all right deal, 331 00:21:58,520 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: all right, what's the last pick of the way? 332 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 2: Last pick is Cincinnati plus seven and a half at Denver. 333 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 1: I couldn't believe this line. I couldn't believe it. Listen, 334 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 1: I understand Cincinnati has not looked good with Browning. I 335 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: get that he's not gonna turn the ball over three 336 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 1: times every game. They still have those skill position guys Denver. 337 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:25,520 Speaker 1: Why would you trust Denver to blow anybody out like 338 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:30,880 Speaker 1: I just I'm getting more than a touchdown. Cincinnati plus 339 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,919 Speaker 1: seven and a half in a game, I think they 340 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:39,240 Speaker 1: could win outright, so yeah, I don't overthink this one. 341 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus seven and a half, they can win outright 342 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 1: if Pat Sartan's not playing great, Denver's offense is shaky 343 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 1: at best. Yes, give me the seven and a half. 344 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: All right? So our five picks this week four dogs, 345 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,640 Speaker 1: one favorite in Ireland, Minnesota minus two and a half 346 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:04,200 Speaker 1: against Bitsburgh, Cleveland getting tanneg at Detroit, Jacksonville getting three 347 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,880 Speaker 1: at San Francisco, Kansas City getting two and a half 348 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,359 Speaker 1: at home against Baltimore, and Cincinnati getting seven and a 349 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:14,119 Speaker 1: half at Denver. Before we get to Demanse's teaser, let 350 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 1: me remind you, guys, if you're thinking about upgrading to 351 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,199 Speaker 1: the all new iPhone seventeen Pro. 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Delivery 362 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: available for select devices. Purchase at boostmobile dot com. Terms 363 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 1: do apply, all right, Demanse, you took one on the 364 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 1: chin last week with the teaser three team eight pointer. Yeah, 365 00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 1: that was plus eleven was a great one. Houston plus ten. 366 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 1: I don't we can show Houston plus ten solid Cincinnati 367 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 1: plus eleven. Brian Flores did it to your pal? 368 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was That was just a problem in my 369 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,159 Speaker 2: process there. I should have There were a lot of 370 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 2: other games on the slate that I could have chosen 371 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 2: Cincinnati after dealing with the backup quarterback in their second game, 372 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 2: there's this other landscape I should have chosen differently, and 373 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 2: you could have doubled the teaser and it STI would 374 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 2: have lost. But this week is a three team eight 375 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 2: point teaser for plus one hundred. We were teasing Kansas 376 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 2: City up to plus ten and a half, the Jets 377 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 2: up to plus ten and a half, and Green Bay 378 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 2: up to plus one and a half. 379 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:53,160 Speaker 1: I am aware, yeah, that way till one and a half. 380 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm aware that the Browns are out there. That 381 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 2: was another another one that I liked a lot. I 382 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 2: would have liked to tease that one. But this is 383 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 2: the one that we're going with. I don't see green 384 00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,120 Speaker 2: Bay losing that game. And but yeah, I. 385 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 1: Agree with that. I listen, Kansas City doesn't get blown out. 386 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 1: Green Bay is not gonna lose. You're also not getting 387 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: as much value if you do Cleveland because you're not 388 00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:22,359 Speaker 1: getting through as key of numbers. With the Jets, you 389 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: get through all the key numbers. And the question is 390 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:29,159 Speaker 1: can the Dolphins blow anybody out? The answer that's probably no, 391 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: because you are teasing through the zero. I can't give 392 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 1: you a straight A. I will give you an a minus. 393 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,199 Speaker 1: I like this one a lot. Okay, I like this 394 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: one a lot. Producers, you guys had in there an 395 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:49,879 Speaker 1: offer earlier that I was going to take. Oh wow, 396 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:55,119 Speaker 1: the the and it's gone now. So see, so demons, 397 00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 1: let's go to the offer that they the offers they 398 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,520 Speaker 1: have in there now, and I'm gonna tell you if 399 00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 1: I'll take those as well. But there is one that 400 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 1: I'm interested in. 401 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, so you said that this was time for Kelsey 402 00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 2: to use one of his good games. So Kelsey six 403 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 2: plus receptions is at plus two thirty or if you 404 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,240 Speaker 2: want to get really spicy and dangerous with it, you 405 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 2: can go Kelsey eight plus receptions for plus nine hundred. 406 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,800 Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna take either one of those. But 407 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:30,160 Speaker 1: they had in there earlier, like Kelsey here it is. 408 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: This one is plus money, and I like it a lot. 409 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: I like this offer, and I'm gonna take this offer. 410 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:39,240 Speaker 1: You got it? Demanse Yeah. 411 00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 2: Oh so Kelsey four plus receptions and Parsons over to 412 00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 2: have a sack at plus one forty six. 413 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:50,399 Speaker 1: So half a sack over half a sack. So that 414 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: so if he gets half a sack, we don't lose it. 415 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:58,880 Speaker 1: Ohka reduces. Yeah, because you can get half sacks. So 416 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 1: Kelsey have at least four catches Micah over half a 417 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 1: sack plus one forty six. I am taking that offer. 418 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 1: I think Kelsey's gonna have at least four catches. I 419 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,679 Speaker 1: think Micah will get home at least once. I'm taking 420 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:18,679 Speaker 1: that offer. Done and done first off the year that 421 00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: we're taking. I love it all right. Thank you to 422 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,920 Speaker 1: all our great sponsors, Thank you to Blue Duck, thank 423 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,240 Speaker 1: you to Volume, thank you to all you guys. Please 424 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: like great, subscribe review. Good luck to everybody this week 425 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:34,879 Speaker 1: and Ryder Cup. Amazing day of college football on Saturday, 426 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:40,399 Speaker 1: Ireland game Sunday morning, Chiefs Ravens Sunday afternoon. Great weekend 427 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:51,240 Speaker 1: of football. Talk to you guys later. What's right? All right? 428 00:27:51,280 --> 00:28:09,320 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, appreciate you guys. Gotta run bye,