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Speaker 1: Does anybody want to be liked? Is it good to

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Speaker 1: be liked at media days? If it's not, Oklahoma's in

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Speaker 1: perfect position in Texas is screwed. That's what I've learned

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Speaker 1: so far. In Dallas. Yeah, we are in red hot,

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Speaker 1: scorching hot downtown Dallas, Texas. Tuesday July sixteenth, they over

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Speaker 1: LAWD twenty twenty four. We're still jam packs, not just

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Speaker 1: an SEC show. Contrary to the background, We've actually got

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Speaker 1: to spend the whole country tonight. College football conference realignment

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Speaker 1: depending on your opinion on where it's about to go.

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Speaker 1: Was dealt a severe body blow by Brett McMurphy this morning?

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Speaker 1: Does that fall in line with what we've been thinking

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Speaker 1: on this show. I'll talk about that we've got real

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Speaker 1: contenders out there, and then we've got summer contenders out there,

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Speaker 1: and then some are some aren't. Which ones are which

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk about a couple of those tonight.

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Speaker 1: I want your opinion on Steve Sarkizan, just flat out

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Speaker 1: give it to me like an adult. What is your

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Speaker 1: opinion on the Texas head coach? I got bold predictions,

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Speaker 1: I've got what IFFs. We've got a jam pack show

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Speaker 1: being on the road stops none of that. In fact,

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Speaker 1: some say we prefer to be on the road. They're

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Speaker 1: watching us in Ronoke, Virginia, Prosperity, South Carolina, Monroe, Louisiana, Alabaster, Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much. At Lake Kick, Josh, we

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Speaker 1: got all kinds of access out here. Most of my

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Speaker 1: conversations today were off the record with coaches a couple

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Speaker 1: of players as well. I share that when I can.

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Speaker 1: But we have gotten a lot of good stuff out

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Speaker 1: here today, and in due time we'll sort of weave

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Speaker 1: it into the show. But in the meantime, okay. So,

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Speaker 1: Conference realignment has been the biggest collective story in college

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Speaker 1: football for like five years now. It was at this

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Speaker 1: event SEC Media Days three years ago that Texas and

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Speaker 1: O you. Three years later, they're going to come to

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Speaker 1: the SEC. So I've been waiting with baited breath, as

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Speaker 1: have many of you. What's the next domino to fall? Now?

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Speaker 1: I've been cryptic intentionally. I've been vague intentionally when I've

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Speaker 1: spoken about this now because I'm sitting on some big story.

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Speaker 1: Quite the opposite, It's because I'm sitting on general information

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Speaker 1: and otherwise I'm looking through a cloud of fog, just

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Speaker 1: like everyone else is. So this morning, Brett McMurphy of

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Speaker 1: Action Network puts out a really, really comprehensive story. Number

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Speaker 1: of university presidents quoted, athletic directors quoted, TV network executive

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Speaker 1: types quoted, and it didn't sound good for the prospects

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Speaker 1: of let's say, Florida State going to the Big Ten

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Speaker 1: or Florida State going to the SEC. That falls right

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Speaker 1: in line with the feeling that I've had for a

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Speaker 1: month and a half or so. There was a point

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Speaker 1: where I thought Florida State to the Big ten or

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Speaker 1: the SEC made a lot of sense. In fact, I

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Speaker 1: still think it makes a lot of sense, but it

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Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense from a fans perspective, doesn't

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Speaker 1: make a lot of sense from the perspective of the

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Speaker 1: people making these decisions. And whether that's right or wrong

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Speaker 1: or indifferent, we'll talk about that. We can hash that

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Speaker 1: out another time. But the Big twelve or Independence has

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Speaker 1: been where I thought Notre Dame and Clemson may be

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Speaker 1: headed for a while. I had it told to me

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Speaker 1: point blank by someone in a very authoritative position in

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten. They're not coming here. Whatever that means

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Speaker 1: to you is whatever that means to you, And that

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Speaker 1: was weeks ago. Okay, I certainly wasn't given permission to

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Speaker 1: say that on the record. Well, now mc murphy's run

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Speaker 1: with this, so I'm telling you that's what was told

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Speaker 1: to me. That's the sentiment that I've heard from anyone

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Speaker 1: I would believe on this. It was FSU and it

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Speaker 1: was Clemson. Now here's the thing. Most people I've spoken

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Speaker 1: to stop there. They don't include North Carolina in that.

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Speaker 1: They don't include Virginia in that. I think there's good

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Speaker 1: reason for that, because while those two Florida Stateton Clemson

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Speaker 1: may not have current access or a current invitation to

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Speaker 1: one of the big two, maybe if the AC dissolved,

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Speaker 1: maybe North Carolina would be more attractive, Maybe Virginia would

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Speaker 1: be more attractive for reasons that don't necessarily interest you

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Speaker 1: and I, but interest you know, the suits that are

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Speaker 1: in these rooms making these decisions. There was very strong

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Speaker 1: language in this Brett McMurphy piece today about how uncooperative

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Speaker 1: a member institution Florida State has been, and I took

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Speaker 1: note of that because they didn't mention anyone else. Florida

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Speaker 1: State's been disruptive. Florida State through no fault of their own.

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Speaker 1: I'd be the same way if I were you guys,

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Speaker 1: So I'm not faulting you at all. But the powers

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Speaker 1: that be in these other conferences that have their hands

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Speaker 1: on the lever, they made sure to say in this

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Speaker 1: Brett McMurphy piece, do we really want Florida State? I mean,

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Speaker 1: look at how look at how how much they've misbehaved

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Speaker 1: over there. What would they be like in our conference?

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Speaker 1: They'd give you really good football games, That's what they'd

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Speaker 1: be like. I don't I don't really know what else

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Speaker 1: to make of that. You still don't know? Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: the headline here. I saw some of you who were

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Speaker 1: sharp enough to go back in time and find media

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Speaker 1: pieces once upon a time that had people anonymously quoted

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Speaker 1: as saying, the Big Ten's not interested in Oregon. The

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Speaker 1: Big Ten's not interested in Washington. Both Washington and Oregon

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Speaker 1: will play a Big Ten schedule this year because they're

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Speaker 1: in the conference. So there were a few people anonymously

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Speaker 1: quoted in this Brett McMurphy piece who did say never

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Speaker 1: say never. That's not the takeaway, though. I'm telling you,

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Speaker 1: I've been around hundreds of media types today and the

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Speaker 1: takeaway has been Wow, Well, now that the SEC and

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Speaker 1: the Big ten are out the window, is FSU really

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Speaker 1: going to go to the Big twelve? Is Clemson really

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Speaker 1: going to go to the Big twelve? Hey, the door's

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Speaker 1: not absolutely slammed shut on that. Okay, I don't believe

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Speaker 1: it's about to happen. I don't believe that's eminent. The

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Speaker 1: door's not shut on that. In other words, it's easy

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Speaker 1: to say that now that status quo is what it is.

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Speaker 1: If the ACC were to crumble tomorrow, I don't know

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Speaker 1: how that would happen. And just humor me, if the

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Speaker 1: ACC were to just implode in on itself in Florida States,

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Speaker 1: just sitting there and Clemson's just sitting there, you telling

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Speaker 1: me those conferences are really gonna look as they drive

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Speaker 1: by and say, oh, man, I hope someone picks that

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Speaker 1: guy up. We got to get to the next town.

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Speaker 1: Though I doubt that. Maybe that's the case. I doubt that.

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Speaker 1: Having said that, I now want to talk about the

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Speaker 1: difference between how we think, you and I largely versus

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Speaker 1: how they think the people who are making these decisions.

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Speaker 1: I don't want any of this to happen. Let me

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Speaker 1: put it perfectly clear. Because I don't think I've been

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Speaker 1: clear enough on this. I'd like to hit the rewind button.

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Speaker 1: Not only do I not want any more realignment, I'd

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Speaker 1: like to undo the realignment we had. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Oregon has any business planning in the Big ten. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I wish Texas and know You were still in the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve. In fact, I wish the Southwest Conference in

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Speaker 1: the Big eight were still around. So I'd love to

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Speaker 1: go back to a time before I was born. We

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Speaker 1: can't do that, though, So speaking in practical modern day terms,

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Speaker 1: I think it's pretty wild how a lot of these

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Speaker 1: folks make their decisions. There's two schools of thought. One

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Speaker 1: school of thought is, all right, we've got the markets

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Speaker 1: and the footprints and the media landscape, and we want

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Speaker 1: to make sure we lock down this market in that market.

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Speaker 1: Why would we want this school We've already got those

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Speaker 1: media markets. That's one way to think, and there used

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Speaker 1: to be a lot of merit in thinking that way nowadays,

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Speaker 1: and the train of thought that I buy into is

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Speaker 1: an inventory based mentality, and that basically sounds like this.

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Speaker 1: If you're the SEC or you're the Big ten, you

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Speaker 1: already matter coast to coast, whether the Big Ten has

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Speaker 1: someone in Florida or not, people in Florida are watching

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Speaker 1: major Big Ten games. So you shouldn't make your moves

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Speaker 1: once you've saturated the market nationally. Your moves shouldn't be

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Speaker 1: to go grab as many media markets as you can

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Speaker 1: as much as it should be go grab as much

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Speaker 1: precious inventory as you can. So if I'm the SEC,

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Speaker 1: for example, if I added Florida State and Clemson, no,

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Speaker 1: I don't grab a huge market share in the states

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Speaker 1: at Florida or South Carolina that I didn't already have.

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Speaker 1: What I do is I put FSU versus Oklahoma on

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Speaker 1: my schedule. I put Clemson versus Alabama on my conference schedule.

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Speaker 1: I put those pieces of inventory on the shelf, just

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Speaker 1: like I put Texas versus Georgia or Oklahoma versus Auburn

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Speaker 1: on the shelf. With this last round of re alignment,

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Speaker 1: That's what realignment should be about to me, And I

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Speaker 1: guarantee you ninety eight percent of people watching or listening

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Speaker 1: to this, that's all you care about. You don't care

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Speaker 1: about media markets, you don't care about AAU accreditation, and

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Speaker 1: I of you don't even know what that is, and

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Speaker 1: that's fine because it doesn't interest you. It's not why

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Speaker 1: you watch a show like this, it's not why you

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Speaker 1: turn the games on on Saturday, Which brings me to

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Speaker 1: my last point. Have you noticed one of the drums

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Speaker 1: we like to beat whenever this conversation is brought up?

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Speaker 1: Have you noticed how distant the concept of fans and

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Speaker 1: players has been in this conversation. It always seems to

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Speaker 1: be that when the biggest decisions are made in college athletics,

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Speaker 1: sports that ideally center around players and are built to

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Speaker 1: be as big as they are because the fans. When

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Speaker 1: the biggest decisions get made, no one mentions the player,

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Speaker 1: no one mentions the fan, because really, at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, yet we've come along and we've watched

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Speaker 1: for a long time. We've built these up to be

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Speaker 1: major value propositions, and players have come through and they've

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Speaker 1: built universities up to be major value propositions. But ultimately,

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Speaker 1: what happens is someone who really wasn't responsible for doing

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Speaker 1: either of those things gets placed in a chair and

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Speaker 1: they throw on a suit worth more than your wardrobe,

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Speaker 1: and they make these calls. And I can either be

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Speaker 1: upset about it. I can scratch my head at it,

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Speaker 1: I cannod and approve all at it. That's the way

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Speaker 1: it's going to happen. I will say again, as I've said,

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Speaker 1: for the entirety of this ordeal, no one knows ultimately

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Speaker 1: where this is going. And I've been saying that, and

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Speaker 1: I've been accused of either not telling you the whole

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Speaker 1: story or being intentionally vague or clickbaiting, whatever that means

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Speaker 1: in this entire context. No, I really mean, there is

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Speaker 1: no definitive answer. There's still not today. The most informed people,

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Speaker 1: there's several of them here, guys, the most informed people,

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Speaker 1: they'll give you their opinion. You know. The opinion I

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Speaker 1: got a lot was, Hey, Florida State, if they do

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Speaker 1: pony up that money to get out of the acc

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Speaker 1: they're not doing that just to go to the Big twelve. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if they don't have anywhere else to go, where do

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Speaker 1: they go? Like, you know, that's an end pass. But

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Speaker 1: everyone's got their opinion. No one knows. Every conversation wraps

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Speaker 1: with oh't no, man, we'll see, yeah we will. But

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Speaker 1: at least we had Brett McMurphy deliver a lot of

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Speaker 1: the stuff that everyone's been whispering about in an actual

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Speaker 1: piece that everyone could read publicly. That's over at Action

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Speaker 1: Network by the way, if you want to go read

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Speaker 1: that in the meantime. Yeah, we're at SEC Media Days.

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Speaker 1: A little bit earlier start time than you. Well, Gigi's

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Speaker 1: got a bedtime. Okay, she's got to go get dinner.

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Speaker 1: She got a bedtime, and so we had to start

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Speaker 1: the show early. It has nothing to do with me

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Speaker 1: wanting to get out of here. I promise you that

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Speaker 1: that that doesn't sound like me at all. I appreciate

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Speaker 1: you guys being TUNEDENDO. Make sure you're subscribed to both

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Speaker 1: the YouTube channel and the pod if you haven't already,

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Speaker 1: many many, many of you have. A few of you

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Speaker 1: are holding out, whether you know it or not, so

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Speaker 1: make sure you check. So we've been at SEC Media Days.

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Speaker 1: We'll be here all week. I wanted to tell you

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Speaker 1: just a few things. You know, some of the buzz

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Speaker 1: I've picked up on around here. We talked to a

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Speaker 1: lot of coaches, a lot of administrative types. The Texas

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Speaker 1: fatigue is insane. It's legitimately insane. We're in the state

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Speaker 1: of Texas, Sark and Texas As. We're talking with each

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Speaker 1: other here Tuesday night. They haven't even come yet, they

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Speaker 1: haven't even shown up yet, and everyone's asking questions about Texas.

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Speaker 1: Everyone wants to talk about Texas. Every radio hit I've done,

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Speaker 1: in the big media room, every coach, all they've been

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Speaker 1: asked about is Texas. So what I'm trying to tell you,

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Speaker 1: Texas haters is I get it. I'm not among you,

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Speaker 1: but I get it because if that's what it's really like,

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Speaker 1: if that's what life has really been like in the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve forever, if that's what life in this state

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Speaker 1: for a non Texas fan has been like, Okay, I

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Speaker 1: will grant you that you've got reason to feel the

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Speaker 1: today because I had the Texas sucks crowd and I

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Speaker 1: had to say, well, they clearly don't suck. They went

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Speaker 1: to the playoff last year, they're over unto wintals ten

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Speaker 1: and a half in the SEC. They clearly don't suck.

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Speaker 1: And then I got this other crowd that says, you know, Sark,

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Speaker 1: he's less than a god, but he's certainly much more

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Speaker 1: than a man. And I'm like, let's pop the brakes

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Speaker 1: on that front. As well. Texas, I think could accurately

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Speaker 1: be described is a really good program, probably still trending up,

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Speaker 1: probably haven't hit their ceiling yet. It's a treacherous thing though.

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Speaker 1: There's a tightrope walk that has to be accomplished by them.

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Speaker 1: There's a unique pressure that's on Texas. They move from

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve to the SEC and that does carry

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Speaker 1: a lot of weight with it. Make no mistake, it's

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Speaker 1: still a tightrope walk. It's just a difference in walking

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Speaker 1: a tight rope ten feet off the ground versus ten

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Speaker 1: stories off the ground. Technically, nothing changes. Technically, the way

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Speaker 1: you walk tight rope ten feet off the ground is

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Speaker 1: the same way you walk tight rope ten stories off

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Speaker 1: the ground. Difference being everyone knows you can fall when

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Speaker 1: you're ten feet off the ground. It may hurt, you

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Speaker 1: may sprain your ankle, but you can get up and

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Speaker 1: climb right back up the ladder and try again. That

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Speaker 1: was life in the Big Twelve. You fall from one

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Speaker 1: hundred feet, you fall from ten stories up your street pizza,

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Speaker 1: You're done. And it's not that they can't afford to

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Speaker 1: lose per se, but the level of play collectively, Like

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Speaker 1: I have got a question one of you gave me

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Speaker 1: later in the show about Sark and Texas, how will

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Speaker 1: they look when they just face quality competition more frequently.

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Speaker 1: That's totally fair, totally fair. They haven't even come through

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Speaker 1: here yet though in Dallas they're a Wednesday team, Day

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Speaker 1: three team, and the Texas fatigue has already set. In

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Speaker 1: Tennessee total wildcard team. Even their folks will tell you

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Speaker 1: behind the scenes, as they did in the spring when

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Speaker 1: we were in Knoxville and did the show there, it's like,

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Speaker 1: we know what we've got physically in Nico Iamliava quarterback,

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Speaker 1: we know what we've got, or at least we're pretty

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Speaker 1: sure we know what we got. However, there's this million

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Speaker 1: dollar question always with the first year starter at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: How does he process now? How does he just deal

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Speaker 1: with that spotlight? Is he just a player on the

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Speaker 1: team or is it his team? And they really believe

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Speaker 1: Niko i aam Aliava is that kind of guy, and

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Speaker 1: they weren't shy about saying that. In fact, you know,

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Speaker 1: talking to Hypel before we sat down with him, and

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Speaker 1: I talked to him again today. He's like, look, I mean,

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Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, I think I know a

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Speaker 1: fair amount about this kind of thing. He's our guy,

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Speaker 1: and we're comfortable riding with him, We're comfortable giving him

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Speaker 1: the keys to the offense. It's a lot to say

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Speaker 1: about a first year starter. It's a lot to say.

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Speaker 1: You want to do a fun little exercise that lets

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Speaker 1: you know how rare it is if they're right about him,

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Speaker 1: how rare that is. Do this. Go find the former

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Speaker 1: five star rated quarterbacks. Just look around the country. Find

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Speaker 1: the guys who were rated five stars out of high school.

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Speaker 1: Tell me how many of them have played a season

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Speaker 1: of five star caliber football. The list is not long.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not hating on our rankings council. In fact,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they whiffed on these guys. I just

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Speaker 1: think it's that hard. It's that hard to play that

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Speaker 1: position at that level. So if they get that from

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Speaker 1: him this year, Tennessee's not some cute story that could

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Speaker 1: exist on the fringes of playoff contention. If you answer

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Speaker 1: that question, then they're a prime contender. You don't have

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Speaker 1: a whole lot of elite quarterback players. It's not a

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Speaker 1: thing that happens a whole lot. And you can name

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Speaker 1: the exceptions to the rule and I'll say that's just

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Speaker 1: what they are exceptions to the rule. Kirby Smart. I

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Speaker 1: think a lot of people assume or assumed what was

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Speaker 1: going to be the face of the SEC once Nick

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Speaker 1: Saban retired. You just naturally say, all right, well, who's

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Speaker 1: the next biggest name, who's the next best what's the

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Speaker 1: next biggest program? Well the answer is Kirby and Georgia. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so then is well Saban used to be the guy

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Speaker 1: everyone turned to when there was a question. You know,

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Speaker 1: there's this existential threat to the sport, the portal's changing.

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Speaker 1: Let's go ask Nick what he thinks. Oh man, look

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Speaker 1: what Nio is doing. Let's ask Nick what he thinks. Well,

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Speaker 1: now he's the one asking questions, which is a surreal scene,

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Speaker 1: by the way, watching Nick Saban ask Brian Kelly questions

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Speaker 1: the other day, for example, crazy be that as may

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Speaker 1: that's his new job. And so you've got a ton

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Speaker 1: of oxygen in the room. This stuff matters beyond the SEC.

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Speaker 1: But even in the SEC, I don't think Kirby Smart

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Speaker 1: is the kind of guy who's just dying to grab

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Speaker 1: that mantle. When we had him on the show, you

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Speaker 1: remember we went up to Athens or down to Athens.

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Speaker 1: We sat face to face with him. I said, face

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Speaker 1: of the SEC, face of college football used to be

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Speaker 1: Nick Saban. He's stepped aside. Now he's doing media Like

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Speaker 1: is that you? And he said, I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you just assume that no one assumes that role. It's

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Speaker 1: probably a multiple person share responsibility. But you got to

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Speaker 1: earn that. He earned it over decades, not a couple

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Speaker 1: of years. So Kirby's not that right now. And you

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Speaker 1: can feel they don't have that in the sport right now.

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Speaker 1: Kirby's probably as close as we have to it. I know,

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart is very influential, you know, unlike the rules

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Speaker 1: Committee and whatnot. He's very vocal there. It should be.

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Speaker 1: He's very knowledgeable, one of the foremost authorities on the

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Speaker 1: game at the head coaching level today but or in general,

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Speaker 1: not just today, but the face of the SEC is

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Speaker 1: really interesting. Just I don't know that it matters on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday in general, but it's interesting. Shane Biemer was

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Speaker 1: in here yesterday. I always love being around South Carolina

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Speaker 1: this time of year because they are excellent at showcasing themselves.

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Speaker 1: They're excellent at creating hype, now, in the past, I've

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Speaker 1: just had fun with that, and then I've been ridiculed

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Speaker 1: on the show because you accused me of buying into

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Speaker 1: South Carolina hype, and then they lose games in the fall,

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Speaker 1: and then you were wrong. That's what they tell me.

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Speaker 1: You were wrong. Well, I haven't even made it prediction

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Speaker 1: on South Carolina. I will do that soon. However, your

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Speaker 1: point has been taken. So what I'm gonna do is

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Speaker 1: I'm going to acknowledge South Carolina that the momentum feels great,

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Speaker 1: the energy feels great around the program. Then you pause. However,

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Speaker 1: other places probably have some pretty good energy of their

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Speaker 1: own right now. Other places probably have some pretty good momentum.

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Speaker 1: No one feels bad about their trajectory in July. Let

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Speaker 1: me put it that way. Nobody's creative media department is

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Speaker 1: struggling for content in July. Let me put it that way.

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Speaker 1: And so we look at our fan duel odds, and man,

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Speaker 1: they're playing seven of the top twenty teams in the

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Speaker 1: country this year preseason odds to win at all. So

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Speaker 1: you could be a pretty good team. You can be

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Speaker 1: pretty motivated, still get beat on Saturdays, which means the

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Speaker 1: questions will ultimately be on the field. It's not how

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Speaker 1: motivated you are, it's not how together you are. Those

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Speaker 1: things matter, but you're gonna win close games? Are your

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Speaker 1: games gonna be close? Are going to be able to

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Speaker 1: depend on that offensive line? Are you going to have

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Speaker 1: a quarterback that you really can lean on like you

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Speaker 1: think you can. These sorts of things weighing on my

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Speaker 1: mind heavily as we try to engage South Carolina. And

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Speaker 1: then at LSU, I talked to a ton of LSU

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Speaker 1: media yesterday and I noticed this trend, which was kind

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Speaker 1: of weird because I don't feel this way. They almost

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Speaker 1: had accepted the default that since the defense was so

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Speaker 1: bad last year, and since they didn't make a ton

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Speaker 1: of personnel moves, they made a tonch of coaching moves,

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Speaker 1: but not a ton of personnel moves, then maybe the

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Speaker 1: bar should be lowered just a little bit. No, it shouldn't.

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Speaker 1: That's LSU now, It shouldn't. You ought to be disgusted

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Speaker 1: at what last year brought you, which was a Heisman

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Speaker 1: Trophy quarterback and a nine to three year in the

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Speaker 1: regular season, because your defense sucked. But that shouldn't be

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Speaker 1: what that shouldn't be. What's accepted at LSU. That should

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Speaker 1: be a one year aberration and you look back on

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Speaker 1: that once this year gets corrected and say, hopefully never again.

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Speaker 1: I've got my doubts about how improved the defense can be.

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Speaker 1: I think it will be better. How much it's improved,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. But this is not some window program.

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Speaker 1: This is not LSU where you got to say, all right, well,

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Speaker 1: if we're really good at recruiting, you know, we're really careful,

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Speaker 1: maybe a couple of years from now we can contend.

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Speaker 1: It's every year there. You ought to be contending and

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Speaker 1: competing for it all every year there. And that's not

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Speaker 1: the energy Brian Kelly gave all. Kelly's all about it.

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Speaker 1: He's all in. But some of the media around LSU,

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Speaker 1: unless I'm missing my mark, and I talked to several

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Speaker 1: of them, we're almost like, well nine and a half

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Speaker 1: over under win total. But I mean, you know, eight

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Speaker 1: and four, nine and three, like that's pretty good. Really,

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Speaker 1: I got plenty of LSU folks watching the show. Really,

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Speaker 1: your program, not mine? Is that how you feel? The

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Speaker 1: entire show's brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors

401
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Speaker 1: because they made it possible for us to come on

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Speaker 1: the road they have for a long time, but Late

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Speaker 1: Kick Live, brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors,

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Speaker 1: just rolls off the tongue. I am still full from lunch,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's partially because they brought Mahi mahi

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Speaker 1: in here today, and the other part is because I

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Speaker 1: had lunch with our friends from Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 1: And it's a shame that we couldn't pull up two

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Speaker 1: more chairs here and they could have made their own

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Speaker 1: cam debut. Things have been great for a long time

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Speaker 1: between our respective brands, and so I got a story

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Speaker 1: for you. This has to do with you, guys. I

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Speaker 1: can't tell you who it is, but suffice it to say,

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Speaker 1: there's another pretty big show out there in sports media

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Speaker 1: that came to our friends at Academy and said, the

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Speaker 1: way that the audience acts on pat show, how do

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Speaker 1: we get that? How do we recreate that? Like it's

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Speaker 1: bottled up and they just kind of break the bottle open,

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Speaker 1: then that happens. If I could just send a gift

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Speaker 1: card to every one of you, by the way right now,

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Speaker 1: I would, because that is worth its weight in beyond

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Speaker 1: gold for us. We appreciate that a lot. Academy appreciates it.

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Speaker 1: Believe me. As we set there over dessert, they want

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Speaker 1: immediately reiterate how much they appreciate that. Hey, just go

425
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:13,440
Speaker 1: check them out in store. You need what they have anyway.

426
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,719
Speaker 1: I mean, all of us are at least somewhat active outdoors,

427
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: and so if you are blessed to be able to

428
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 1: get outdoors, you got some free time. Do whatever you

429
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 1: want to do. I don't care if it's volleyball or

430
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 1: it's picnicking, camping, hiking, grilling, whatever. Just make sure you

431
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 1: go to Academy because they've got everything you need. And

432
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 1: I know what you're thinking, Well, Josh, I live in

433
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 1: the remotest part of Wyoming. They don't have an academy here.

434
00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 1: It's pretty up there, isn't it. You got internet though,

435
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 1: Academy dot Com and so they can get you shipped

436
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 1: whatever you need. But make sure you check them out

437
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,920
Speaker 1: because the show, especially when we're on the road, brought

438
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 1: to you by Academy Sports Outdoors. They're watching us in Ontario, Canada.

439
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 1: Thank you so much. Statesboro, Georgia, and Bend, Oregon appreciated

440
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 1: viewership from all across the country and beyond. All Right,

441
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 1: let's talk about some what ifs, and I've got several

442
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 1: more angles to get to tonight. Got some stuff on Sark,

443
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:08,480
Speaker 1: just some wild opinions on Sark. Who knows, Maybe more

444
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 1: of you think this than I thought. In the meantime, though,

445
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 1: some of the biggest what ifs in college football this year.

446
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,360
Speaker 1: Let me bounce you a wild scenario from the Big

447
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:20,639
Speaker 1: Ten Oregon and Ohio State. Everyone expects them to do

448
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 1: big things this year, right, I do too? What if

449
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: neither one of them makes the Big Ten championship game?

450
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:31,119
Speaker 1: How would this happen? Is this even possible? Well, it's improbable,

451
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 1: but it is possible. I had stats in Info, run

452
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 1: the numbers, and mathematically it's possible. This is number one

453
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 1: and number two in odds to win the Big Ten.

454
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 1: They have top three or top four odds each one

455
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 1: of them to win the whole thing this year. So yeah,

456
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 1: keeping them out of a twelve team playoff would be

457
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: a stretch. Crazy things happen all the time in this sport,

458
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 1: So let's just say what happens. The Will Howard experiment

459
00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 1: doesn't pan out at Ohio State. The offensive line costs

460
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 1: them a couple of games. Oregon, who knows. Maybe they're

461
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 1: not as ready physically as we thought they'd be to

462
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 1: join the Big Ten. Whatever happened. Maybe it's just big

463
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 1: injuries on both teams. Whatever happens, if they're out, who

464
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 1: was responsible for it? If it was injury, okay, that's

465
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 1: one thing. But if they're relatively healthy and they both

466
00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 1: get bounced out of this thing, they're not even playing

467
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 1: in Indianapolis. That means there were at least two teams

468
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,679
Speaker 1: in the conference better than them. Because we're not in

469
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: a division era anymore, we just flat out take the

470
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 1: best two teams. Was there a dark horse that emerged?

471
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: Certainly Michigan had to be part of this because Michigan

472
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 1: plays both of these teams. So I've got to assume

473
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 1: Sharon Moore and Michigan just soared this year. If Ohio

474
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:41,679
Speaker 1: State and Oregon are out of the thing, they're not

475
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten title game. But who else or

476
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: Hoop Stelts, Did Lincoln Riley and USC really make that

477
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,840
Speaker 1: big of a statement? Did Nebraska come from the rafters?

478
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 1: Luke Fickle? Wisconsin year two? What happened? Penn State? Penn State?

479
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,919
Speaker 1: They very well could be Penn State. What has to

480
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 1: have happened, not for them to miss the playoff. We're

481
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 1: talking about them missing the conference championship game. And then

482
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: well we were talking about that as a staff earlier today,

483
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 1: somebody who shall remain nameless but rhymes with Juducer PESSI said, well,

484
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 1: this would be good for the Big Ten, right, because

485
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: that means that quality depth must have emerged. I would

486
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:29,400
Speaker 1: counter with this. No, that's my counter. No, to a point,

487
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 1: I get it, like to a point, Yeah, it'd be great.

488
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 1: Like we talked about the other night, if Nebraska, Wisconsin, Minnesota,

489
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: Penn State, whoever you want to throw in there, they

490
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 1: formed this solid tier two at the expense of Ohio

491
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,719
Speaker 1: State and Oregon not even playing in Indianapolis. I'm not

492
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 1: sure if we might not have pushed it a little

493
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: bit too far there for the Big Ten. Reasonable minds

494
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 1: can disagree on that one. Next up probably harder to

495
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 1: believe for some folks than the first one. What if

496
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: Florida is a top fifteen team this year? Stop laughing,

497
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 1: be respectful. Let's just talk this through you and I.

498
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 1: What if they're a top fifteen team, not top five,

499
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 1: not even top ten, just thirteen fourteen, fifteen, somewhere around there. Well,

500
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 1: first off, I'm a believer that if Florida really is

501
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 1: the fifteenth best team in the country this year, they'll

502
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: never finish ranked fifteenth Because if Florida is the fifteenth

503
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: best team in the country and you look at their schedule,

504
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,919
Speaker 1: they probably still play five teams minimum better than fifteenth

505
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: in the country. And if we just draw it out

506
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 1: on paper like it normally would play out, they could

507
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 1: be like a six and six or seven and five

508
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 1: team and reasonably be the fifteenth best team in the country. Well,

509
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: they wouldn't be ranked fifteenth at that point. So then

510
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:46,879
Speaker 1: you get to the whole how do you judge them?

511
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 1: How would anyone know? Forget fifteen, even if they're twentieth.

512
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 1: If Florida is the twentieth best team in the country,

513
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 1: that means they're better than what you thought they were preseason,

514
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: because hardly anyone thinks they're one of the twenty best teams.

515
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:00,159
Speaker 1: So if they're the twentieth best team at the end

516
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: of the year, technically they overachieved from a raw performative standpoint,

517
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:08,359
Speaker 1: would you be able to measure it accurately? In other words,

518
00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 1: would you be able to watch Florida and know they're

519
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 1: any good Part A, Part B. How would Billy Napier

520
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: be judged? Would people be fair on it? Would they realize, Wow,

521
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,959
Speaker 1: he just improved this team. Record doesn't look like it,

522
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 1: but he just improved this team. I have no idea.

523
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 1: I'd have to see it play out. And number three,

524
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: we're gonna go way off the grid for this one.

525
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:35,520
Speaker 1: Will Rogers? Where is he anyone? Remember he's not in

526
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 1: Starkville anymore. He's in Washington, He's in Seattle. What if

527
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 1: Will Rogers is a top five quarterback this year? Did

528
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:49,360
Speaker 1: Judfish pull this off? How would this go down? Their

529
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 1: new staff at Washington, new quarterback, twenty of twenty two

530
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,880
Speaker 1: starters are replaced. Everyone thinks it's just a total reset

531
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,439
Speaker 1: job up there, me included, I think that not a

532
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 1: total RecA in terms of like you got to start

533
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: from one or two wins and work your way up.

534
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 1: But it's newness. It's just a lot of newness. Washington's

535
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 1: program was actually left in a very good way. So

536
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 1: you know, a lot of the skeleton, the nuts and

537
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 1: bolts of the program, they're in a really good way.

538
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:15,720
Speaker 1: It's just a lot of unknown. Well if all of

539
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 1: a sudden, part of the unknown is known and not

540
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 1: known is well Will Rogers the top five quarterback this year.

541
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 1: That would mean that Washington ended up being obviously way

542
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:29,120
Speaker 1: better than they're expected. And guess who they played this year.

543
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:33,920
Speaker 1: They play Michigan, they play usc they play at Oregon,

544
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: they play I believe, at Penn State. So it would

545
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,400
Speaker 1: mean in the aggregate, a lot of those teams ended

546
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: up getting tests that they didn't think they'd get over

547
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:48,120
Speaker 1: under win total six and a half for Washington coming

548
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: off a national championship appearance, coming off a playoff win

549
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: over Texas, coming off beaten Oregon twice last year. Why

550
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:58,800
Speaker 1: do I not remember those games? Oh, it's cause I

551
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: picked against them both times and I tried to erase

552
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: it from my memory. So yeah, that's what what IF's

553
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: all about. Man, Throw the craziest stuff imaginable out there.

554
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 1: Maybe some of it'll stick. We've been doing our whole

555
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 1: court of public opinion thing. I like to do that

556
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 1: this time of the year. As I explained the other day,

557
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 1: I looked like gathering as much public opinion on as

558
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: many people in this sport head coaches as possible. So Colin,

559
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 1: here's a good endpoint for you. What do you think

560
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 1: of Steve Sarkisian. Don't look at the live chat, don't

561
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 1: look at the comments, don't ask your buddy or anything

562
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 1: like that. Just you and you alone. I'm gonna make

563
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 1: my opinion. You make your opinion. What do you think

564
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: of Steve Sarkisian. There's a lot of variants, a surprising

565
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 1: amount of variance. When I posted this earlier today on

566
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: Twitter at late Kick Josh mind you, I asked what

567
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 1: do you think? And I got a ton of replies

568
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: and it went everywhere, from a group of people thinking

569
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 1: he's a slam dunk top five coach in the sport

570
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: right now to a bunch of people saying, yeah, last

571
00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: year was good, but it may have been just a

572
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 1: blip on the radar. We need to see a lot

573
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: more from him. Both may be fair. I will tell you.

574
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:09,280
Speaker 1: I got a few people who said things like he's

575
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 1: Jimbo Fisher without a ring. Well, that's a little bit harsh.

576
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: I've seen Sark's desk. It's not nearly as messy as Jimbo.

577
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: I think he's doing okay there. How will he handle

578
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: matching up with the elite teams more often? One of

579
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 1: you said that I'm going to get back to in

580
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:28,320
Speaker 1: a second. That's a good point. And then another said,

581
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: He's the French toast and Texas is the syrup, which

582
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 1: basically just means once you take one and you dip

583
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 1: it into the other, that thing is made all that

584
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 1: much better. It always had potential. French toast always has potential.

585
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 1: You just need the powdered sugar. Some of you put

586
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 1: fruit on it. I'm not that guy. And then you've

587
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 1: got the syrup, which is a must. It kind of

588
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 1: feels that way, doesn't it. You think about the situation

589
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: he was in. Part of it is off the field related,

590
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 1: his personal life related. A part of it is not

591
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 1: getting it done enough on the field to the liking

592
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 1: of his bosses in years past. And you know that story.

593
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 1: I'm going to come back to that, but think about

594
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 1: what it could have been versus what it is for Sark. Now,

595
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 1: let me go back to what one of you said,

596
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: how will he handle matching up with elite teams more often?

597
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: I'm going to soften it a little bit. Just comparable teams,

598
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,920
Speaker 1: don't even say elite. Comparable teams, in other words, teams

599
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 1: that have a comparable roster to his they used to

600
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: not face any in the regular season because it was

601
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve. They outmanned every team they played except

602
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: for Oklahoma. In most years, they may have a slight

603
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 1: talent roster advantage over Oklahoma, although it didn't matter a

604
00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 1: lot because Oklahoma still beat them more times than not.

605
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 1: Maybe that's changed, maybe it doesn't. But think about it, it's

606
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 1: not just Oklahoma. Now. They played Georgia this year. Any

607
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: given year they could have Bama, LSU, Georgia, and Tennessee

608
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,400
Speaker 1: on the schedule and Oklahoma. That's five games. I mean,

609
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: that's a realistic schedule where they could play almost half

610
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: their games against teams that have comparable rosters to them.

611
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 1: In other words, it's the kind of game where you

612
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 1: can't afford to play C plus and win. And there

613
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 1: have been some times where Texas can afford to play

614
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 1: C plus ball and win. I think that's a fair question,

615
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 1: a totally fair question. It's not doubting, it's just a

616
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: fair question. But realize how fortunate Steve Sarkisian is. Steve

617
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: Sarkisian got his shot to be a head coach and

618
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: it didn't ultimately pan out for him, and then he

619
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,959
Speaker 1: ends up at Bama, briefly goes to Atlanta and then

620
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 1: back to Bama, and he's the offensive coordinator on that

621
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 1: twenty twenty national title team, some of the best work

622
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: I've ever seen done, but with how checkered his past

623
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: was and with how unproven he was as a head coach.

624
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 1: Think about how this would have played out ninety nine

625
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 1: times out of one hundred if you had the past

626
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:59,040
Speaker 1: he had had, and then he goes to Bama, even

627
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 1: though he kills its offensive coordinator there. Normally that person

628
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 1: would have had to go probably the G five route,

629
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: high level FCS route, or a much lower tier power

630
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 1: forward job as a head coach before they get Texas.

631
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 1: Hardly anyone would have had that passed and then go

632
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: straight from Bama assistant head coach or assistant coach to

633
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:26,000
Speaker 1: Texas head coach. Sart did now as he took that

634
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 1: Texas job. Remember what changed in the sport. The nil

635
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 1: and portal combination up ended the sport, and then all

636
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 1: of a sudden, you have what you have now, which is,

637
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: if you're a G five coach, the better you do,

638
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 1: the more you get punished, because the better you do

639
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 1: it evaluating the guys you have and the better you

640
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: do it developing them, the better they play. Sounds good, right, No,

641
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 1: then you get to the end of the year and

642
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:52,600
Speaker 1: the big boys just come poach your roster. They buy

643
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 1: your players out from under you, and you're punished. There's

644
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: nothing you can do. You can't afford to keep them,

645
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: so you get punished. And then the next year your

646
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 1: roster gets stripped and your coaching staff gets stripped, and

647
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 1: you go four and eight and you did everything right,

648
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 1: and the public sits there and screams at you in December,

649
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 1: you are what your record says you are, and you

650
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:15,240
Speaker 1: get fired. What if sarkit had to go that route?

651
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 1: Is there any guarantee, no matter how good he is,

652
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: is there any guarantee? Because y'all are crapping on a

653
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 1: lot of good G five coaches right now because they're

654
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 1: getting their rosters rating. Sark didn't have to go that route.

655
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,400
Speaker 1: It's just something to think about as he does whatever

656
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: he ends up doing. Think about it going from Bama

657
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:37,719
Speaker 1: assistant straight to Texas head coach. I have opinions on Sark.

658
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 1: I think he's second to none as an offensive mind,

659
00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: as an offensive play caller. I love that he's an

660
00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:48,839
Speaker 1: imperfect person who has certainly capitalized on second chances. He'd

661
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 1: be the first one to tell you that I think

662
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 1: he values the right things in terms of building a program,

663
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 1: the structure, the organization, the attention to detail. He heavily

664
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,799
Speaker 1: leans in to that stuff to the point where you wonder, man,

665
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: can he stay as sharp as he needs to offensively

666
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 1: because of how invested he is as a head coach

667
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 1: and the other mechanisms of his program. But Steve Sarkis

668
00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: has still got a lot of chapters left to right

669
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: in his book. It gonna be fun to watch, really

670
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 1: fun to watch, because if they come in the SEC

671
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 1: and they do fulfill on the hype, and they go

672
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 1: to Atlanta in year one, you're in the playoff at

673
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: that point, I would imagine, and you're doing some really

674
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,959
Speaker 1: special things at that point. All right, moving on, good

675
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: pace here. Appreciate you guys being tuned in. I know

676
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 1: it's a little earlier than normal, And if you're watching

677
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:41,319
Speaker 1: tomorrow or listening tomorrow on podcasts, don't worry. None of

678
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 1: this means anything to you. But we just went a

679
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:46,399
Speaker 1: little early tonight because we could, because the day's over here.

680
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 1: So make sure you're subscribed to the channel and subscribe

681
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:53,759
Speaker 1: to the pod. Number one college football pod in the

682
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 1: world for about two weeks now. It's been there and

683
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 1: we've been number one in the YouTube space forever. So

684
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 1: thank you guys so much. So that's cause of you,

685
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 1: that's not cause of us. Is Miami a playoff contender

686
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 1: this year? There's twelve of them. Mind you remember that

687
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 1: there's twelve of them, So you may hate Miami, that's okay.

688
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 1: Are they a playoff contender? Odds makers say they are.

689
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: FanDuel says they are. They got them right there in

690
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:20,799
Speaker 1: the thick of the playoff mix. Also, Miami, as of

691
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,800
Speaker 1: this week, the third best odds to win the ac C.

692
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,239
Speaker 1: But those are odds. You could be very quick in

693
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 1: the live chat to say, well, odds don't mean anything.

694
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:31,799
Speaker 1: Odds makers get it wrong every year. I don't know

695
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 1: if they get it wrong. Just because things don't shake

696
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: out exactly according to the odds market doesn't mean they

697
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 1: got it wrong. But my advice is, if you think

698
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 1: it's wrong, go bet it. So they're over underwent Toltal

699
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 1: is nine and a half right now. That is heavily

700
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 1: juiced to the under. But it's nine and a half

701
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 1: Right now, they're plus four forty to win the ACC,

702
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 1: they're plus two to ten to make the playoff. They're

703
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 1: right there in the mix. What has to happen there.

704
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 1: They have to execute in games, that's what has to happen. Yes,

705
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 1: it's great to talk about transfer portal and they've done

706
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:05,319
Speaker 1: a great job in that front. Yes, it's great to

707
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,959
Speaker 1: talk about recruiting. They've done better and better and better

708
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 1: as the years have gone on on that front. It's

709
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 1: great to talk about energy in the program, and that

710
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:17,680
Speaker 1: place runs on Colombian coffee. They're good, they're Cuban coffee.

711
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 1: Oh no, if we weren't live, I would have us

712
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,279
Speaker 1: restart because I know that's going to get clipped from

713
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,760
Speaker 1: certain people in the program down there. I apologize. Cuban, Cuban,

714
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 1: Cuban coffee. Energy incredible. You've got to do it on

715
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,719
Speaker 1: Saturday and we all know that, and there were times

716
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:36,799
Speaker 1: where they did and they didn't last year. So that

717
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:38,720
Speaker 1: over under win total of nine and a half means

718
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:41,840
Speaker 1: you got to win double digit games this year to

719
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,359
Speaker 1: hit that over and if they do that, they're in

720
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 1: the playoff. I've got to imagine cam Ward coming down

721
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 1: there could end up being one of the difference making

722
00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 1: moments in Mario Christobal's career. Think about this, No matter

723
00:37:56,680 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 1: what you think about Nil, he's there. And it's largely

724
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: because of that. They were relentless in their pursuit of him.

725
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: They've got him. And then once they got him, that program,

726
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,800
Speaker 1: led by Morio Cristobaul, said yeah, we're going to break

727
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 1: the bank. We're going over the cliff. Load this roster

728
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,399
Speaker 1: up as much as we can. We may never get

729
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 1: an opportunity like this again. What if they capitalize on it.

730
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:21,399
Speaker 1: I know what the conversation will be like. People will

731
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: doubt Miami right up until the seconds count down off

732
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 1: the clock and they win something of note because they

733
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 1: haven't done that yet. So they'll have their doubters. That's fine.

734
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 1: There's a lot of tangible reason to doubt. Miami's been

735
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 1: a program that's wandered for a while. The difference is

736
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 1: not that I try and defend that. I don't defend

737
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 1: the ineptitude they've had down there for a long time.

738
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,279
Speaker 1: What I say is to the crowd that thinks it's

739
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,919
Speaker 1: that way, because Miami can't do that anymore. The only

740
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 1: thing I've said to them is will tell me why

741
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:55,359
Speaker 1: and then that you just you bring these generalities at me. Well,

742
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 1: the game's passed them by. The game's not passing them by.

743
00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 1: Elite kids still play football in South Florida. They just

744
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 1: have gone other places to play their college ball. So

745
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 1: you keep enough of them home and you execute with

746
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 1: them on Saturdays and develop them the right way. Voila,

747
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 1: you win football games. It's that simple. They're a playoff

748
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 1: contender this year. Firmly believe that. Been down there to

749
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 1: watch them twice work out. I'll probably go down there

750
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: again before the season starts. I know what playoff caliber

751
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 1: football teams, the playoff caliber rosters look like. They look

752
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 1: like one. It's getting it done on Saturday. It's coaches

753
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: making the right decisions. It's players being put in the

754
00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: right position, players executing when they're in the right position.

755
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 1: That quarterback position has to has to be one of

756
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 1: the best in the country. It should be Camboard should

757
00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 1: be one of the best in the country. If they

758
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,880
Speaker 1: do that, they're a playoff contender. And at that point,

759
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,960
Speaker 1: well it's off to the races. But before that point

760
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 1: they should accept nothing less. I promise you, no one

761
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 1: in that organization is leaning away from that, like no

762
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 1: one's shying away from that. I'd lean into it if

763
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:58,959
Speaker 1: I were a fan base. I mean, that's the fun

764
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 1: of summer, the fun of it all. Don't be cautious.

765
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,080
Speaker 1: Who wants to be cautious. It's not as speed zone

766
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:07,960
Speaker 1: we're driving through here. Just go one hundred miles an

767
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 1: hour into the season. Another of the biggest questions to

768
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:15,200
Speaker 1: me in the sport this year, and I actually am

769
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:18,279
Speaker 1: going to ask you to pause because I have to

770
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 1: type in something. Oh well, Internet's good here, Gigi. It

771
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:25,719
Speaker 1: came up really quick. So think about the best seasons

772
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,440
Speaker 1: we've had, schedule, think about some of the what are

773
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,840
Speaker 1: your favorite seasons that we've had, Like everyone goes to

774
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 1: seven if you were around and with good reason. O

775
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:38,479
Speaker 1: seven was as chaotic as like anything we've ever seen.

776
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 1: So here's the question, Colin, here's a good endpoint for you.

777
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 1: How much chaos will we have in the first few

778
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,800
Speaker 1: weeks of the season this year. There's always a thought

779
00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 1: that you have the top five established when you go

780
00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:54,520
Speaker 1: into a college football season. So this year, you know,

781
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:58,080
Speaker 1: like for example, people will come in say Georgia's the

782
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 1: overwhelming favorite to do this or that, Hey, that's all

783
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 1: well and good, and they've earned that. What if they

784
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,200
Speaker 1: were to lose to Clemson in week one, you're talking

785
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:10,920
Speaker 1: about a bomb going off in college football. It shouldn't

786
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,840
Speaker 1: be viewed that way because Clemson's a really good team.

787
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 1: But they're gonna be a double digit underdog. They're about it.

788
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 1: They're nearly a two touchdown underdog in Georgia and teams

789
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 1: like Georgia when you give them extended time to prepare

790
00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 1: for games and they're all healthy because you play them

791
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: at the beginning of the season. Dude, that's a hard

792
00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 1: team to beat. If Clemson were to do that, are

793
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,840
Speaker 1: we talking about any team at that point as the

794
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:36,680
Speaker 1: overwhelming favorite to win it all? And then think about

795
00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:39,800
Speaker 1: what we could have in Week two, Texas goes to Michigan.

796
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 1: What if Michigan pulls that off? Think about how differently

797
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 1: you're talking about the Big Ten. That's not even a

798
00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:48,759
Speaker 1: conference game, but all of a sudden you're saying, yeah, Oregon, Yeah,

799
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Dude, Michigan, Like Sharon Moore, week two, they

800
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 1: already took this guy down. They already took Sark down.

801
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 1: That defense clamped down on Quinn Yours well, if they

802
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 1: did that, they could compete against anybody and the SEC

803
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:05,400
Speaker 1: would probably look way way more open at that point.

804
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 1: And by the way, speaking of the SEC, it's not

805
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 1: all roses for them because that Sunday night game in

806
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:16,360
Speaker 1: week one is in Vegas. What if USC were to

807
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 1: beat LSU, tons of questions around LSU already are they

808
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:23,280
Speaker 1: would just be amplified at that point. But you're speaking

809
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 1: of changing the landscape of the Big Ten. How would

810
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 1: it be appropriate to look at USC at that point?

811
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 1: What if people like me are wrong? What if their

812
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 1: defense really is way more improved, then I think is

813
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 1: reasonable to expect them to be improved. So you start

814
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:40,440
Speaker 1: talking about that stuff, you know, you start talking about

815
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:44,000
Speaker 1: the big upsets that could happen Bama at Wisconsin early

816
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:47,479
Speaker 1: in the year. What if it's not a massive point

817
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 1: spread game. What if? So you can look at that

818
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:53,840
Speaker 1: from a game by game perspective, or you could just say,

819
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 1: all right, let's go broad strokes. Here. Take the top teams.

820
00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:58,839
Speaker 1: I don't care how you want to do them, one

821
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:02,240
Speaker 1: through five, one through ten. What if Texas's defensive line

822
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: just not good enough to hold up losing those guys

823
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 1: it was hard to replace them. They're vulnerable there. The

824
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 1: wide receivers they got from the portal don't end up

825
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 1: being everything they thought they'd be. Georgia defensive line just

826
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:21,160
Speaker 1: not there. Injury could always crop up as well. Bama

827
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 1: year one under Kaylin de Bor. Maybe Jalen Milroe didn't

828
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:25,959
Speaker 1: grab the offense and run with it like you hoped

829
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 1: you would. Maybe the depth Nick Saban himself talked about

830
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 1: with Alabama maybe being a vulnerability. Maybe they're not deep

831
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,960
Speaker 1: enough this year. Maybe Ohio State's offensive line and quarterback

832
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:39,000
Speaker 1: is a step or two below the elite level. My

833
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:41,360
Speaker 1: point is, if any or all of these things happen,

834
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,719
Speaker 1: you've got yourself a wide open field. You didn't need

835
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 1: playoff expansion to make it happen. You just needed the

836
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 1: game to work the way it normally does. But since

837
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 1: we're in the expanded playoff era, if you have that,

838
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,800
Speaker 1: forget about fighting for the eleven and twelve seed. Even

839
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,719
Speaker 1: the top five or six seeds could be very in

840
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,879
Speaker 1: per teams and at that point, and I think we'll

841
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:06,239
Speaker 1: probably know it midway through the season, at that point,

842
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 1: you could have a wide open playoff race where it

843
00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:12,480
Speaker 1: really is get in and you could win and If

844
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 1: that's the case, that's the one area in a year

845
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:18,839
Speaker 1: where you don't have elite teams. That's the year where

846
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 1: the expanded college Football Playoff could actually make twenty five

847
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:26,919
Speaker 1: teams have hope of a title in November. It could

848
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:29,440
Speaker 1: be fools Gold. And of course we could have a

849
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 1: couple of elite teams emerged like we do most years,

850
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:33,839
Speaker 1: and you could be saying it doesn't matter who makes

851
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 1: it in, they're just going to be served up for

852
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: slaughter come December or January. That's why we got to

853
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 1: know how much chaos we're going to have. And if

854
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,760
Speaker 1: you're gonna have chaos, that is an underdog better's dream.

855
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 1: And to do that you need look no further than

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861
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862
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863
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864
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:11,280
Speaker 1: bet them to miss the playoff. If you do believe

865
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:14,879
Speaker 1: Texas can win the SEC Okay, well believe and then

866
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 1: go bet it. If you don't bet at all, that's

867
00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:19,919
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868
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869
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870
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890
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891
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892
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893
00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: wrap up with some good old fashioned bold predictions, and

894
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,399
Speaker 1: again before we uh, before we get out to hear,

895
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 1: I want to thank you guys. We're not ending the

896
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 1: show yet, but I want to thank you guys, because

897
00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:08,600
Speaker 1: it used to be that when we went on the road,

898
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 1: and especially we did shows at irregular times, we'd hope

899
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:15,879
Speaker 1: to get one hundred people, you know, watching, and that's

900
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:17,960
Speaker 1: not a concern for us anymore. So thank you so

901
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 1: much for that bold prediction. Time We've done several chapters

902
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 1: of this what do you believe that you think is

903
00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 1: really bold? But you would bet your own money on it.

904
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:30,600
Speaker 1: First up, Texas A and M beating Notre Dame by

905
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:35,360
Speaker 1: double digits in Week one. We got a line on

906
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:38,360
Speaker 1: the game FanDuel courtesy of Fandel A and M minus

907
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:40,600
Speaker 1: one and a half. That's your line on that game

908
00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 1: right now. Games in college station. They didn't put it

909
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:46,680
Speaker 1: in the Texans stadium. They didn't put it in Jerry World.

910
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:50,400
Speaker 1: They put a college football game. Believe the audacity to

911
00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 1: do this. They put a college football game in a

912
00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:55,520
Speaker 1: college football stadium in Week one. I wonder if it'll work.

913
00:47:56,600 --> 00:48:01,439
Speaker 1: We'll see forecast high about one hundred and sixteen that day.

914
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:06,920
Speaker 1: Both teams have new offensive coordinators, So Colin Klein is

915
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:08,960
Speaker 1: the new OC at A and M. So you're saying

916
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 1: he's gonna go in there and he's gonna beat Notre

917
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:13,800
Speaker 1: Dame by double digits. That's interesting. Both of these teams

918
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:16,719
Speaker 1: have top twenty defenses. I'd be more inclined to look

919
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:18,880
Speaker 1: at the under at forty eight and a half, honestly,

920
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 1: But Texas A and M under Mike Elco. Now you're

921
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:24,320
Speaker 1: one total wild card. I will admit that, I'll grant

922
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,560
Speaker 1: you that it'd be a huge shot heard around college football,

923
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 1: and it would be fitting if we went all of

924
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 1: these months everyone's talking about Texas and our dark course,

925
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:37,440
Speaker 1: and I'm patting myself on the chest preemptively because we

926
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 1: have been talking about him a lot. What if Mike

927
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: Elko serves up a a twenty three to ten win

928
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,560
Speaker 1: over Notre Dame. That's an eight point twenty five on

929
00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:48,240
Speaker 1: the boldness scale, by the way, but it could happen.

930
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:53,280
Speaker 1: Next up, this is a little bolder. No New SEC

931
00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 1: or Big ten teams will make the playoff. That's a

932
00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 1: nine point twenty five for me, bordered on the nine

933
00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 1: point five Oregon big favorite to make it minus two ninety.

934
00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:07,840
Speaker 1: Texas is minus two thirty. So they're both heavily favored

935
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:12,040
Speaker 1: to make the playoff. And even if that happens, even

936
00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:15,560
Speaker 1: if they don't make it, you still got to make

937
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:18,719
Speaker 1: sure USC doesn't come out of nowhere. You still got

938
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 1: to make sure Oklahoma doesn't find their offensive lines footing

939
00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 1: and they make a run. So you know, my point is,

940
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:29,200
Speaker 1: if Texas doesn't make it, there's a likelihood it's because

941
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 1: they lost to Oklahoma and if Oklahoma beans Texas, you know,

942
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:34,800
Speaker 1: that's part of a really really good playoff looking resume?

943
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:38,320
Speaker 1: Did oh with USC? Maybe Oregon didn't make it because

944
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:41,600
Speaker 1: USC ended up making it in step. So because of that,

945
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:44,120
Speaker 1: I think this is bold enough to be a nine

946
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:46,839
Speaker 1: point twenty five. One of those new teams is going

947
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 1: to be in the playoff, at least one of them.

948
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 1: Clemson has a single digit win season. That's a seven

949
00:49:56,080 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 1: on the boldness scale. You know why they're over one

950
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 1: to Clemsons win total was nine and a half. Do

951
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 1: you understand that? So oddsmakers themselves with that number juice

952
00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 1: to the under, by the way, are telling you it's

953
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 1: more likely than not to us that they finished with

954
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:19,279
Speaker 1: single digit wins. This right here happened last year. So

955
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:21,520
Speaker 1: they won single digit games last year. That was the

956
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 1: first time that happened since twenty ten. But if you

957
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 1: go back to the twenty eighteen national title game and

958
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:31,000
Speaker 1: they won that, they had zero losses that year. Here's

959
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:32,920
Speaker 1: how many losses they've had every year since then. They

960
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 1: had zero that year, one loss the following year, two

961
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 1: losses after that, three losses, three losses, four losses. This

962
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: is called a trend, I'm told, and so there's reason

963
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: to believe, especially when you got Georgia right out the gate.

964
00:50:49,160 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 1: Then you play you play in C State, good team,

965
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:55,040
Speaker 1: Florida State on the road, they've got Louisville, they've got

966
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 1: South Carolina. This wouldn't be crazy. A nine and three

967
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 1: season is not a bad season. And so if that's

968
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 1: all that's got to happen for this to hit, that's

969
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:08,839
Speaker 1: a seven on the boldness scale. And lastly, how about

970
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 1: an individual here, Darius Taylor of Minnesota leads the Big

971
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:15,520
Speaker 1: Ten in rushing. That's only an eight point seventy five.

972
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 1: It sounds a lot bolder than it is. So you

973
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:20,520
Speaker 1: may think, oh Man Quinn, Shawn Judkins and Travon Henderson.

974
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:24,959
Speaker 1: Surely Ohio State will will stop stop because we said

975
00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 1: an individual. So you know, if Darius Taylor touched the

976
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:32,319
Speaker 1: rock by himself twenty five times a game, nobody at

977
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 1: Ohio State's going to do that. So he may very

978
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 1: well lead individually in rushing. They returned four starters on

979
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:40,960
Speaker 1: the O line there. He had three games last year

980
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 1: out of six that he played in with one ninety

981
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:46,440
Speaker 1: plus on the ground. He had eight hundred rushing yards

982
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 1: through six games as a true freshman. They did portal

983
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 1: in multiple running backs. And you do have a guy

984
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 1: like Donovan Edwards at Michigan. Rutgers has got a guy

985
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:58,640
Speaker 1: too that could individually carry a lion's share of the

986
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 1: carries in the backfield. But this is not crazy bold.

987
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:05,000
Speaker 1: I think it's an eight point seventy five, not crazy bold.

988
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:07,839
Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much. We're gonna do a live

989
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:10,800
Speaker 1: show Thursday too, so you know, every forty eight hours

990
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: here this time of year thereabouts, we do a show.

991
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,920
Speaker 1: Make sure that you are following on the socials at

992
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 1: late Kick, Josh, because there's a lot going on here.

993
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 1: I can't promise all of it makes it on the show.

994
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:24,239
Speaker 1: And make sure you and at least five of your

995
00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: friends are subscribed to the channel. Subscribe to the podcast feed.

996
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,799
Speaker 1: It makes our job so much easier, and it makes

997
00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:33,320
Speaker 1: it so much fun to go and sit before management

998
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 1: and say, who are you to doubt us? If they

999
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:39,359
Speaker 1: believe in us? One day I looks that line. Thank

1000
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:41,239
Speaker 1: you so much for our crew here on the road,

1001
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,279
Speaker 1: our crew back in Nashville. I'm Josh Peyton. Take care.

1002
00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 1: We'll see you Thursday. Until then, God bless must be

1003
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