WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 4) 0:00:00.720 --> 0:00:05.520 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:09.240 week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.240 --> 0:00:12.480 of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:15.520 treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the 0:00:15.640 --> 0:00:19.919 rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot 0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:23.640 takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 0:00:23.840 --> 0:00:32.720 Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and 0:00:32.760 --> 0:00:36.800 welcome into the podcast, O Joe, we are back at it. 0:00:37.040 --> 0:00:41.640 A new weekend is here The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:41.680 --> 0:00:46.960 Maller and Danny G Radio, But not really the Fifth 0:00:46.960 --> 0:00:51.920 Hour because it's a special edition every Friday until further 0:00:52.040 --> 0:00:57.720 notice during the NFL season. Danny G we go inside 0:00:59.000 --> 0:01:04.080 the gambling world for Benny versus the Penny. Are you ready, Danny? 0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:06.640 I am ready. I took the penny out of its 0:01:06.720 --> 0:01:10.039 lock box. I see you're ready. With a raider's hat on, 0:01:10.080 --> 0:01:13.280 which is amazing. Good luck for the team this weekend. 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:17.560 See your vision is going to look at that. That's 0:01:17.560 --> 0:01:22.039 a B for Ben. Wrong looks like a capital R 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:25.759 in handwriting. That's a raider's hat. I got it cheap 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:29.080 and it has a be on it. Although It doesn't 0:01:29.120 --> 0:01:32.640 look like a B because it's it's written very oddly, 0:01:32.760 --> 0:01:36.720 but it is a B B for Ben and be 0:01:37.200 --> 0:01:42.080 for beating the penny. Let's strike up the band and 0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:44.800 then we will get to Benny versus the penny. Here 0:01:44.800 --> 0:01:54.639 we go. Welcome players, you're welcome. It's time now Betty 0:01:55.040 --> 0:02:02.840 versus the penny? All ight, So you know the drill here, Danny, 0:02:02.640 --> 0:02:06.280 the basics on this. If you're new to the podcast, 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:08.480 we've been promoting it on the radio show, so we 0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:10.959 welcome in. Danny g has been with me on the 0:02:10.960 --> 0:02:14.200 Fifth Hour for a while now, and he used to 0:02:14.240 --> 0:02:17.359 be my guy years ago on the show, and then 0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:19.680 he went on to the morning show and now he's 0:02:20.160 --> 0:02:23.360 he's back at a weekday show. How's that going, by 0:02:23.360 --> 0:02:25.720 the way, everything good with that. It's been going really good. 0:02:25.720 --> 0:02:28.000 A lot of hard work for me behind the scenes, 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:30.920 but on the air it's a lot of fun, alright. 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:33.680 Cavino enriched the newest show at Fox Sports Radio in 0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:36.440 the weekday line up at Danny's part of that, and 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:39.720 so the coin is flipped up in the here. Now 0:02:40.280 --> 0:02:43.880 explain Danny. For those that don't understand how this works, 0:02:44.000 --> 0:02:46.360 you have you have heads you have tails on the penny, 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:50.800 old uncle Abe there. So when we do the flip 0:02:50.840 --> 0:02:52.960 of the coin, how does it work? How do we 0:02:53.040 --> 0:02:57.520 determine which team is Hends is the home team? Right? 0:02:58.280 --> 0:03:02.280 And tails? And they are away team planes, trains and 0:03:02.360 --> 0:03:04.560 automobiles to get to the game. They sit on their 0:03:04.560 --> 0:03:09.320 back side, their tail tailbones. So it's private planes though, 0:03:09.360 --> 0:03:12.160 so is it really like sitting on your tailbone? Well, 0:03:12.160 --> 0:03:15.040 private planes, I'm fortunate enough. I've done that a few times. 0:03:15.040 --> 0:03:18.640 Like they charter regular planes. They like their regular planes. 0:03:18.680 --> 0:03:21.440 But you know, some teams, but they have top not 0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:27.160 stewardess though, can I still say stewardess sexist? I don't 0:03:27.160 --> 0:03:30.280 know what year is it, who's in charge? I don't know. 0:03:30.280 --> 0:03:32.639 I gotta check all those things. I'll get back to 0:03:32.680 --> 0:03:35.200 you on that. But but before we get to the 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:39.480 games on Sunday and Monday, let's look back week three 0:03:40.520 --> 0:03:42.800 and we must look at the tail of the tape. Now, 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:47.600 there were sixteen games on the card Benny versus the penny, 0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:52.120 and I went ten and six. So the benny part 0:03:52.160 --> 0:03:55.960 of this went ten and six, six winning percentage. Now 0:03:56.000 --> 0:03:57.840 I had to do a double take when I looked 0:03:57.840 --> 0:04:01.040 at the Pennies record because I thought, there's no way 0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:03.120 that my math must be wrong on this. I was 0:04:03.120 --> 0:04:05.680 writing some chicken scratch down and I was doing the 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.440 math on against the spread. How did the penny do 0:04:09.040 --> 0:04:12.760 so out of sixteen games, this seems like a mathematical 0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:18.040 and probability. The penny went three and thirteen. That is 0:04:18.080 --> 0:04:20.360 one of the worst weeks we've ever had on the 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:24.680 penny in the history of benny versus the Penny. It's 0:04:24.920 --> 0:04:28.920 seemingly impossible when you have a fifty fifty chance at 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:32.360 every game just about I know the point spread changes it, 0:04:32.560 --> 0:04:36.080 but you're flipping the coin, the penny, and you only 0:04:36.080 --> 0:04:38.360 got three right. The only games the Penny got right 0:04:38.400 --> 0:04:42.680 where the Rams, the Jags, and the Eagles. That's it. 0:04:43.640 --> 0:04:47.200 No other games. Every other game was wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong. 0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:51.800 So that that brings us to the season total overall, 0:04:52.839 --> 0:04:55.640 I am twenty seven and twenty one. That's a five 0:04:55.800 --> 0:04:59.000 sixty three winning percentage on the here. So you wouldn't 0:04:59.000 --> 0:05:01.360 make money if you bet game. We don't advise you 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:03.440 to bed every game, but if you did do that, 0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:06.840 you'd make money with my picks. The penny. Because of 0:05:06.880 --> 0:05:10.240 that pathetic performance in week three, even though they had 0:05:10.480 --> 0:05:12.120 the Penny had a winning week in week one and 0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:14.760 week two. Week three was so bad. The Penny is 0:05:14.880 --> 0:05:19.040 under five hundred now twenty two and twenty six and 0:05:19.440 --> 0:05:24.200 n G. What was worse Derek Carr's pathetic two point 0:05:24.279 --> 0:05:28.440 conversion pass or the Pennies performance last weekend? I would 0:05:28.440 --> 0:05:30.960 say the entire Raiders in the first half of that game. 0:05:31.000 --> 0:05:34.000 But but three and thirty So overall twenty two and 0:05:34.040 --> 0:05:37.039 twenty six, that's a four fifty eight winning percentage for 0:05:37.200 --> 0:05:41.560 the Penny. So I have a five game lead in 0:05:41.600 --> 0:05:45.440 the lost column. But as you know, Danny, I'm the 0:05:45.480 --> 0:05:47.600 one that could go three and thirteen this weekend, right. 0:05:47.600 --> 0:05:50.200 I mean, these things are very bizarre how this works. 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:53.040 So with that being said, let's get to the games. Here. 0:05:53.040 --> 0:05:56.400 We'll start out with the early television window Minnesota at 0:05:56.600 --> 0:06:00.040 New Orleans. You're talking about early. This game is in 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:05.640 jolly old London, a nine thirty am kickoff time Eastern times, 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:08.080 So if you're on the West coast in the States, 0:06:08.080 --> 0:06:14.760 here at six thirty am, breakfast and bacon and football 0:06:15.000 --> 0:06:19.760 on the NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the 0:06:19.800 --> 0:06:22.960 butt Fumble Guy, have the call Googles. That's a Fox 0:06:23.040 --> 0:06:26.120 team and they have the call. So the Vikings opening 0:06:26.160 --> 0:06:29.159 up a one point favorite. They're favored by three. The 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:32.520 handle on this game the cash in favor of Minnesota, 0:06:32.520 --> 0:06:37.239 which scares me a little bit here over sunny, mostly sunny. 0:06:37.240 --> 0:06:39.400 It's London, so it's not always said, but mostly sunny 0:06:39.400 --> 0:06:44.520 in London. Sixty four degrees at kickoff at Totenham Hot 0:06:44.640 --> 0:06:48.159 Spur Stadium. Have you ever been to London, Danny? You 0:06:48.160 --> 0:06:52.000 ever been? Due? Uh? No? I think it's Todtenham? Is 0:06:52.000 --> 0:06:57.000 it Todd? What I say? It sounds better that way. Yes, 0:06:58.360 --> 0:07:02.960 A bunch of toads hate hold stool. I'm showing what 0:07:03.000 --> 0:07:05.240 an evil American I am. So some of the trends 0:07:05.240 --> 0:07:08.559 in this game. Minnesota their last ten against the spread 0:07:08.680 --> 0:07:11.640 versus teams that have a losing record there three and seven. 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:16.840 The Vikings are ten and fifteen their last against the 0:07:16.880 --> 0:07:20.560 spread with Kirk Cousins started, or ten and fifteen rather 0:07:20.680 --> 0:07:23.800 last I believe I said that in Craiggy. So either way, 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:27.520 the numbers are not particularly great for Minnesota. New Orleans 0:07:28.160 --> 0:07:31.040 is two and five with Jamis Winston starting, but is 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:33.720 he going to start I'm gonna take the Vikings in 0:07:33.760 --> 0:07:37.280 this game. Minnesota's defense has been lousy. They get a 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:41.640 reprieve here this week. The Saints are horrid on offense. 0:07:41.680 --> 0:07:46.480 New Orleans ranks thirty one and expected points added. The 0:07:46.600 --> 0:07:51.160 last two weeks, they've averaged twelve points per game. Jamis 0:07:51.160 --> 0:07:54.840 Winston's got five interceptions the last two weeks combined, He's 0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:58.680 been sacked eleven times. He's so damaged he probably won't 0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:01.920 even start this game. Andy Dalton is being prepared as 0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:06.280 the starter as we're talking, no official announcement. There's also 0:08:06.360 --> 0:08:10.560 two starting linemen who are hurt in this game for 0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:14.600 New Orleans, and there's no way I'm gonna bet on 0:08:14.760 --> 0:08:19.840 a main gold Jamis Winston or the red pa shooter 0:08:20.560 --> 0:08:22.400 and not the red rifle. He's a pea shooters. So 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:25.920 I'm gonna take the Purple People leaders and lay the 0:08:26.000 --> 0:08:34.040 three points. Vikings thirty, Saints twenty. The final Ah, the 0:08:34.080 --> 0:08:36.680 penny is trying to copy off your paper right away, 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:39.400 also going with the Vikings. Okay, so we're in agreement 0:08:39.440 --> 0:08:41.320 on that one. Next up, Tennessee, we go back to 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:47.120 the US Tennessee at Indianapolis, Tennessee one and two, Indianapolis 0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:52.600 one one and one. It is on Fox, so you 0:08:52.679 --> 0:08:56.560 better watch. Adam A. Mean and Mark Slaver have the call. 0:08:56.679 --> 0:09:00.040 The Colts opened up a three and app point in 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:04.240 this game. They are favored by three and the money 0:09:04.400 --> 0:09:07.840 is pretty even. There's not a big lean to either side. 0:09:07.960 --> 0:09:11.880 As we are doing Benny versus the Penny at Lucas 0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:15.520 Oil Stadium. It's a dome, but temperatures around seventy degrees 0:09:16.120 --> 0:09:19.720 outside the dome at kickoff. Tennessee check this out. Last 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:23.600 ten October games with Mike Rabel as coach eight and 0:09:23.679 --> 0:09:28.439 two against the spread, and Tennessee their last fifteen as 0:09:28.480 --> 0:09:31.200 an underdog of seven or less. Like this game, they're 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.640 ten and five against the number. Now, they say that 0:09:34.800 --> 0:09:38.920 styles make fights, and these teams are very similar. They 0:09:38.920 --> 0:09:40.880 have a big time running back, they have a very 0:09:40.920 --> 0:09:44.280 average quarterback. You've got Derrick Henry on one side of 0:09:44.360 --> 0:09:47.000 the ring, Jonathan Taylor on the other. I'm gonna take 0:09:47.040 --> 0:09:50.679 the Titans in this game. Both these teams have been inconsistent. 0:09:51.160 --> 0:09:53.080 I am not a believer in India. I know they 0:09:53.160 --> 0:09:55.320 upset Kansas City last week and I was on the 0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:59.679 Colts last week, but the Indie squad is averaging three 0:09:59.679 --> 0:10:03.040 point eight yards per play and less than twenty five 0:10:03.160 --> 0:10:09.040 yards per drive, and Matt Ryan is the quarterback according 0:10:09.080 --> 0:10:12.360 to Pro Football Focuses rankings. Now, I'm not gonna sit 0:10:12.400 --> 0:10:16.960 here and sell you on Ryan Tannehill. You saw the 0:10:16.960 --> 0:10:20.199 Titans last Weekdanny. They played half a game really well 0:10:20.280 --> 0:10:22.640 and then they almost gave it all back to the 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:25.280 Raiders in the second half. And I believe they only 0:10:25.320 --> 0:10:27.800 have to play half a game really well this week. Again. 0:10:28.360 --> 0:10:30.960 The teams are pretty close. I like getting the points. 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:36.600 Divisional matchup. Final score, Titans go into Indie and get 0:10:36.600 --> 0:10:44.640 a win. Titans seven, Colts three. The penny looks like 0:10:44.679 --> 0:10:48.240 it's a Matt Ryan believer going with the Colts. Well, 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:50.199 don't bet on a falling star because he have a 0:10:50.240 --> 0:10:52.240 falling star falls on you. We know how that works. 0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:56.080 Next up, you're talking about unattractive matchups. It's like a 0:10:56.120 --> 0:10:58.720 hot tup time machine game. Chicago to and one. The 0:10:58.760 --> 0:11:03.120 New York Giants tuned and it's on Fox. Joe Davis, 0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:05.720 the Dodger played by play Guy and Darrel Moose Johnston 0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:09.800 have the call. The Giants opened up a three point favorite. 0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:11.600 They've been bet up to three and a half. I 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:15.120 don't understand why six of the money is on the 0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:19.040 Giants coming off a loss on Monday Night football at 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:22.960 MetLife Stadium temperatures in the high sixties. The Bears have 0:11:23.120 --> 0:11:27.120 been lousy with Josh Fields against the spread, their two 0:11:27.160 --> 0:11:31.120 and eight their last ten with Josh Field starting. The Giants, 0:11:31.160 --> 0:11:34.640 though their last ten games at home in October there 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:37.960 one eight and one, and the Giants as a favorite 0:11:39.080 --> 0:11:43.040 are four ten in one their last fifteen games as 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:47.360 a favorite. So there's a lot of dueling trends that 0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:52.720 both look ominous for each side, Chicago and New York. 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:56.320 But my pick, I'm gonna take the Bears here, and 0:11:56.400 --> 0:11:58.600 let me give you my logic behind that pick. It's 0:11:58.600 --> 0:12:02.880 a short week for the Giants. You've got two bad teams. 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:07.480 The Bears running that nineteen seventies style offense, It somehow 0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:10.840 has worked. They beat the forty niners, they beat the Texans. 0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:13.920 That's not a great win, but they still wanted. Chicago's 0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:18.560 averaging a hundred and eighties six points seven yards on 0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:21.560 the ground per game their second in the NFL. New York, 0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:24.800 though also averaging a hundred sixty nine yards a game, 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:28.640 which is fourth in the league. So this game is 0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:32.160 going to be a back and forth between David Montgomery 0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:35.920 and someone named Khalil Herbert who had a big game 0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:39.079 last week coming out of nowhere for Chicago, and then 0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:42.280 Sequon Barkley on the other side. Now, this is not 0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:44.520 good news with the Giants because Danny the Giants still 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:49.679 try to pass, and I'm counting on Danny dimes with 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:52.439 a spicy hot turn over here, and that will give 0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:55.240 the Bears a short field the key when you don't 0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:57.319 have a quarterback, and the Bears are like the headless 0:12:57.320 --> 0:13:01.280 Horseman with Josh Field. They really all are. Uh. You 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:04.440 need special teams and you need the other team to 0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:08.120 make a timely mistake, and I just can't bet on 0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:10.520 the Giants laying more than a field goal here. So 0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:14.520 I am roaring with the Bears and I'll take them 0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:17.240 to to get the cover. Giants will actually win the game, 0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:21.040 but I'm take the Bears to cover. Giants thirteen Bears twelve. 0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:29.080 The final bet the underalls. The penny landed on tails, 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:33.400 going with Chicago. Okay, so the penny picking up my 0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:36.720 pick and taking it too to be there pick as well. 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.720 All right? Next up, Buffalo two and one at Baltimore 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:43.120 two and one. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and 0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:46.360 Charles Davison. I will be watching this game. Uh yeah, 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.280 I'm by flipping around all the games, but I will 0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:50.960 be focused on this game in particular. The Bills opened 0:13:51.040 --> 0:13:54.120 up a four point favorite, and as we talk right 0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:56.000 now and Benny versus the Penny, the Bills are a 0:13:56.080 --> 0:14:00.440 three point favorite. The money is mostly been on this 0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:03.960 game at M ANDT Bank Stadium, the House that Sports 0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:07.959 with Coleman Bill Our our radio friend podcast friend from Baltimore, 0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:13.240 cloudy and temperatures in the sixties at kickoff. You look 0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.280 at some of the trends in this game. The Bills 0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:18.720 their last seventeen games, which probably goes back to like 0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:22.680 the nineteen eighties on the road after playing Miami. I 0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:24.560 guess it doesn't go back that far, but they're four 0:14:24.560 --> 0:14:27.000 and thirteen against the spread. They're not They have not 0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:31.760 done particularly well on the road after playing Miami, and 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:35.760 the Ravens have been very good in the John Harbaugh 0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:40.280 era as an underdog. There twelve and three against the spread. 0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:42.960 Their last fifteen is an underdog. I'm taking Baltimore in 0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:47.600 this game. It'll be a shootout. We love betting on 0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:52.920 a team that is as explosive as the Ravens are 0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:56.800 getting a field goal at home. The Ravens lead the 0:14:56.920 --> 0:15:02.280 NFL and scoring. The Bills have some damaged linebackers, their 0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:07.600 secondary is still a hot stew and they just will 0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:10.920 not be able to consistently stop Lamar Jackson by air 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.440 and by ground. And Mark Andrews the tight end is 0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:18.160 off the way, really record breaking type season. He's been 0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.280 a blowtorch for the Ravens. I only expect Baltimore to 0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:23.320 stop Josh Allen. I'm gonna sit here and sell you 0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:26.800 on the Ravens defense. The Ravens defense blows. Uh, They've 0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:31.680 They've been terrible. Baltimore has allowed five yard passers the 0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:35.400 last nineteen games going to last season. Before that, they 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:38.360 had this massive stretch of never allowing like even three 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:42.200 yard passers. So I am going to take the Poets 0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:47.920 plus the points and the Ravens forty one, Bills forty 0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:55.760 in a thriller attract met and the penny says Ken 0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:00.800 Dorsey will not smash anything this weekend, going with a penny, 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:03.800 gone with where the Buffalo Room. Next up, the l 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:09.840 A Chargers at Houston Chargers one and two, Houston O 0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:14.560 two and one. In this game on CBS, Andrew Catalan 0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:21.480 and the noble veteran James Lofton have the call. The 0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:26.280 Chargers opened up a seven point road favorite. They're favored 0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:29.560 by five. That's a big number here for a Charger 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:33.640 team that got their face smashed in by Jacksonville last week. 0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:37.400 The money is a slight lean to the Chargers. At 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:41.080 n RG Stadium in Houston. It is a dome, temperatures 0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:45.040 in the eighties in Houston on Sunday at kickoff outside Houston. 0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:48.640 They've been a sneaky good play for gamblers with Davis 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:51.160 Mills at quarterback and could have, would have, should have 0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.160 beat the Bears last week. David Mills made the big 0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.040 mistake late that gave the Bears a short field set 0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:58.320 them up for the game winning field goal. But Davis 0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:01.200 Mills with him under center. Houston is six and one 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:05.640 against the spread their last seven and the Chargers. Check 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.360 this out if you're a fan of trends. The Chargers 0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:11.240 of the last seven games is a favorite of seven 0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.640 or less. They are one in six against the spread 0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:18.280 and so that bodes well. I'm gonna take the Texans 0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.840 this game. The Chargers without Joey Bosa yet again, where 0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:25.040 have we heard that before? Got a groin injury, Rashawn 0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:28.000 Slater's out for the year, the left tackle, the blind 0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:32.040 side protector of Justin Herbert, who still dinged up. He's 0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:35.440 got his own issues. Everyone seems to be heard. The 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.600 Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL, 0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:40.800 but they have been competitive with Davis Mills. As I said, 0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.800 and so I am going to cover my eyes. I 0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.760 am going to pretend I'm not doing this, but I 0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:51.440 am going to do it. Texans twenty seven and the 0:17:51.560 --> 0:17:54.840 Chargers dropped the one in three and helped the Raiders 0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.400 out and everyone else in that a f C West 0:17:57.480 --> 0:18:05.600 Chargers penny is flashing back to the end of last season. 0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:08.720 Also going with the Texans. Alright, So we've got a 0:18:08.760 --> 0:18:11.399 lot of agreements so far early on Benny versus the Penny. 0:18:11.440 --> 0:18:16.760 Next up Seattle one and two at Detroit, also one 0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:21.440 and two. It is on Fox with our former colleague 0:18:21.440 --> 0:18:25.520 and FSR Alumni Association member Chris Myers in the old 0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:29.880 Minnesota Viking running back Robert Smith. The line on this 0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:33.040 game opened Lions by six. It's down to four and 0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:35.160 a half Detroit to four and a half point favorite, 0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:38.800 A slight lean to Seattle in the handle on this 0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:44.080 game at Ford Field temperatures as we head into October 0:18:44.119 --> 0:18:47.560 starting to cool down, temperatures in the low sixties outside 0:18:48.280 --> 0:18:52.600 the dome. Seattle five and ten their last fifteen on 0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:57.400 the road against the spread with Pete Carroll as head coach. 0:18:57.480 --> 0:19:01.639 Detroit has been very good with Dan Campbell and Jared 0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:04.200 Goff their last ten games together eight and two against 0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:06.159 the spread. But I want to take the Seahawks. I 0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:08.280 don't care about the trends. I don't need the trends 0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:11.600 on my side. I'm going with the healthier team. And 0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:13.720 I love the Lions and I like the way they fight. 0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:16.200 But Seattle is a healthier team. The Lions were without 0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:18.520 not one, not two, not three, not four, not five, 0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:21.040 not six, not seven, not eight, not nine. How about 0:19:21.080 --> 0:19:26.960 ten players at practice this week, including many key starters 0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:29.560 on both sides of the ball. How about amon ra 0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.160 st Brown, the talented the wide receiver, bad ankle, DeAndre 0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.679 Swift bad ankle. He's likely out. T J Hockenson the 0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:40.399 tight end, also out. Several linemen dinged up and even 0:19:40.440 --> 0:19:43.880 if most of these guys play, how effective are they 0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:47.520 going to be? So here's another game, Danny, where I 0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:50.160 want to puke in my mouth. But I'm going to 0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:53.960 take the Lions opponent in this game. I'm gonna take 0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:57.320 the Seahawks in this game. So I'm taking Seattle. Lions 0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:59.359 will win the game, but the Seahawks win the money, 0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:01.720 getting the four and half and they will cover that. 0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:06.280 And final score Detroit thirty three and the Seahawks thirty 0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:14.000 and the penny is going the other way. Taking the Lions, 0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:17.760 all right, Taking the Lions over a field goal at home, 0:20:17.920 --> 0:20:22.000 that's a risky proposition. Next up the New York Jets 0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:26.120 j E T s Sucks Sucks Suck and the pets 0:20:26.560 --> 0:20:29.520 Berg Steelers at one and two. Both these teams that 0:20:29.600 --> 0:20:33.200 one and two. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel, who 0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:36.560 hates sports radio is an elitist schmuck, and Adam rch 0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:40.359 Aletta that is the play by play team there at CBS. 0:20:40.480 --> 0:20:43.040 The Steelers opened a three and a half point favorite. 0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.760 The line here has stayed at three and a half 0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:51.720 at Accrasher Stadium formerly known as Hines Field, temperatures in 0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:56.240 the sixties cloudy in Pittsburgh at kickoff for this game. 0:20:56.720 --> 0:21:00.560 What kind of condiment is I believe of that is 0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:08.040 right next to mayonnaise and sauerkraud, I think. But alright, 0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:13.280 so the Jets their last twenty games with Robert Salem 0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:15.840 as the coach, how have they done for gamblers? Seven 0:21:15.880 --> 0:21:18.399 and thirteen against the spread? Do you know, Danny, you 0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:22.480 have something in common with Robert Salo though? Robert Sala 0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:26.400 announced this week that after the Jets beat the Browns, 0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:30.639 he got a phone call from Donald Trump, president former 0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:33.520 president Donald Trump. So you, you and Robert Sala have 0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:38.320 both talked to President Trump on the phone. So congratulations, 0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:42.800 then congratulations. What do you think Trump told him? Well, 0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:46.760 Sala claims that Trump called him up and was congratulating 0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:49.720 him and said that he was as good a coach 0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:54.720 or better coach than Vince Lombardi. So either that was 0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:57.680 Donald having a good time watching football and get a 0:21:57.720 --> 0:22:00.560 little carried away, or that was a Donald Trump at personator. 0:22:00.640 --> 0:22:03.560 I don't know, um, but either way, that was an 0:22:03.560 --> 0:22:07.119 interesting side note. Footnote, if you all Pittsburgh their last 0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:10.200 ten as a favorite. They've been so good for so long, 0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:14.840 but those days are in the rear view mirror. Pittsburgh 0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:19.240 two and eight against the spread their last ten as 0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:25.359 a favorite, and Pittsburgh just eleven thirteen and one overall 0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:28.520 against the number last twenty five games with Mike Thomas. 0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:30.000 So I'm gonna take the Jets in this game. Now 0:22:30.000 --> 0:22:34.080 there's a chance Zach Wilson plays. He's been upgraded to 0:22:34.400 --> 0:22:37.640 probable for the Jets. As we getting played all year, 0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:42.040 It's either gonna be Wilson or Flacco, and that's not 0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:44.320 great either way. The key here is rather obvious. The 0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:46.600 Steelers can't get out of their own way on offense 0:22:47.040 --> 0:22:50.240 as long as New York can play a semi clean game. 0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:53.760 Easier said than done. The Jets are bread clumsy. The 0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:58.320 Steelers without t J. Watt do not stop the run. 0:22:58.359 --> 0:23:01.720 They haven't been able to generate a pass rush, which 0:23:01.920 --> 0:23:03.240 you know, I didn't play in the NFL, but I 0:23:03.320 --> 0:23:06.320 think those are things that generally, if you can't do 0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:08.800 those things, you're not going to win a lot of games. 0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:11.080 They're not gonna cover a lot of spreads if you 0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:13.360 can't get to the quarterback and you can't stop the run. 0:23:13.720 --> 0:23:16.600 And Mitch Robinsky needs a flea bath. He's been a 0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:18.840 dog with fleas here. This is a field goal game. 0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:21.440 So the way I'm looking at this, if I've got 0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:24.920 the Jets plus three and a half, the Jets either 0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:27.600 win by a field goal, I win the bet, they 0:23:27.680 --> 0:23:30.240 lose by a field goal, and I still win the bet. 0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:32.880 So there's two ways I can win on this if 0:23:32.880 --> 0:23:34.960 I'm right that this game is anyone's game in the 0:23:34.960 --> 0:23:37.640 fourth quarter and it's gonna come down to the kicking game. 0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:40.800 So I will take the Steelers to win the game 0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.280 because I can't trust the Jets, but the Jets to 0:23:43.320 --> 0:23:47.240 win the money. Steelers sixteen and the Jets thirteen the final, 0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:56.040 and the penny is going with Eddie's Steelers. BO, that's 0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:58.879 not a terrible towel, but a terrible pick. How about 0:23:58.880 --> 0:24:02.159 shut up? Next up, boy, this is a darling of 0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:05.360 the NFL world right now. Philadelphia three and oh they're 0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.840 playing host of Jacksonville two and one. Who would have 0:24:08.840 --> 0:24:11.040 thought that both these teams would have a winning record 0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.280 heading into Week four, But that's the case. It's on 0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:16.440 CBS with Spirodidas and Jay Feely. They have the call. 0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:21.240 The Eagles opened a seven point favorite at home, and 0:24:21.280 --> 0:24:23.359 they are favored by six and a half. The money 0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:26.359 is pretty even on this game, which is surprising. I 0:24:26.440 --> 0:24:30.280 thought that was surprising. Lincoln Financial Field, the length, the site, 0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:35.800 temperatures cloudy in the sixties for this game. Jacksonville, They've 0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:39.879