Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
Speaker 1: week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants
Speaker 1: of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the
Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot
Speaker 1: takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
Speaker 1: Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and
Speaker 1: welcome into the podcast, O Joe, we are back at it.
Speaker 1: A new weekend is here The Fifth Hour with Ben
Speaker 1: Maller and Danny G Radio, But not really the Fifth
Speaker 1: Hour because it's a special edition every Friday until further
Speaker 1: notice during the NFL season. Danny G we go inside
Speaker 1: the gambling world for Benny versus the Penny. Are you ready, Danny?
Speaker 1: I am ready. I took the penny out of its
Speaker 1: lock box. I see you're ready. With a raider's hat on,
Speaker 1: which is amazing. Good luck for the team this weekend.
Speaker 1: See your vision is going to look at that. That's
Speaker 1: a B for Ben. Wrong looks like a capital R
Speaker 1: in handwriting. That's a raider's hat. I got it cheap
Speaker 1: and it has a be on it. Although It doesn't
Speaker 1: look like a B because it's it's written very oddly,
Speaker 1: but it is a B B for Ben and be
Speaker 1: for beating the penny. Let's strike up the band and
Speaker 1: then we will get to Benny versus the penny. Here
Speaker 1: we go. Welcome players, you're welcome. It's time now Betty
Speaker 1: versus the penny? All ight, So you know the drill here, Danny,
Speaker 1: the basics on this. If you're new to the podcast,
Speaker 1: we've been promoting it on the radio show, so we
Speaker 1: welcome in. Danny g has been with me on the
Speaker 1: Fifth Hour for a while now, and he used to
Speaker 1: be my guy years ago on the show, and then
Speaker 1: he went on to the morning show and now he's
Speaker 1: he's back at a weekday show. How's that going, by
Speaker 1: the way, everything good with that. It's been going really good.
Speaker 1: A lot of hard work for me behind the scenes,
Speaker 1: but on the air it's a lot of fun, alright.
Speaker 1: Cavino enriched the newest show at Fox Sports Radio in
Speaker 1: the weekday line up at Danny's part of that, and
Speaker 1: so the coin is flipped up in the here. Now
Speaker 1: explain Danny. For those that don't understand how this works,
Speaker 1: you have you have heads you have tails on the penny,
Speaker 1: old uncle Abe there. So when we do the flip
Speaker 1: of the coin, how does it work? How do we
Speaker 1: determine which team is Hends is the home team? Right?
Speaker 1: And tails? And they are away team planes, trains and
Speaker 1: automobiles to get to the game. They sit on their
Speaker 1: back side, their tail tailbones. So it's private planes though,
Speaker 1: so is it really like sitting on your tailbone? Well,
Speaker 1: private planes, I'm fortunate enough. I've done that a few times.
Speaker 1: Like they charter regular planes. They like their regular planes.
Speaker 1: But you know, some teams, but they have top not
Speaker 1: stewardess though, can I still say stewardess sexist? I don't
Speaker 1: know what year is it, who's in charge? I don't know.
Speaker 1: I gotta check all those things. I'll get back to
Speaker 1: you on that. But but before we get to the
Speaker 1: games on Sunday and Monday, let's look back week three
Speaker 1: and we must look at the tail of the tape. Now,
Speaker 1: there were sixteen games on the card Benny versus the penny,
Speaker 1: and I went ten and six. So the benny part
Speaker 1: of this went ten and six, six winning percentage. Now
Speaker 1: I had to do a double take when I looked
Speaker 1: at the Pennies record because I thought, there's no way
Speaker 1: that my math must be wrong on this. I was
Speaker 1: writing some chicken scratch down and I was doing the
Speaker 1: math on against the spread. How did the penny do
Speaker 1: so out of sixteen games, this seems like a mathematical
Speaker 1: and probability. The penny went three and thirteen. That is
Speaker 1: one of the worst weeks we've ever had on the
Speaker 1: penny in the history of benny versus the Penny. It's
Speaker 1: seemingly impossible when you have a fifty fifty chance at
Speaker 1: every game just about I know the point spread changes it,
Speaker 1: but you're flipping the coin, the penny, and you only
Speaker 1: got three right. The only games the Penny got right
Speaker 1: where the Rams, the Jags, and the Eagles. That's it.
Speaker 1: No other games. Every other game was wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong.
Speaker 1: So that that brings us to the season total overall,
Speaker 1: I am twenty seven and twenty one. That's a five
Speaker 1: sixty three winning percentage on the here. So you wouldn't
Speaker 1: make money if you bet game. We don't advise you
Speaker 1: to bed every game, but if you did do that,
Speaker 1: you'd make money with my picks. The penny. Because of
Speaker 1: that pathetic performance in week three, even though they had
Speaker 1: the Penny had a winning week in week one and
Speaker 1: week two. Week three was so bad. The Penny is
Speaker 1: under five hundred now twenty two and twenty six and
Speaker 1: n G. What was worse Derek Carr's pathetic two point
Speaker 1: conversion pass or the Pennies performance last weekend? I would
Speaker 1: say the entire Raiders in the first half of that game.
Speaker 1: But but three and thirty So overall twenty two and
Speaker 1: twenty six, that's a four fifty eight winning percentage for
Speaker 1: the Penny. So I have a five game lead in
Speaker 1: the lost column. But as you know, Danny, I'm the
Speaker 1: one that could go three and thirteen this weekend, right.
Speaker 1: I mean, these things are very bizarre how this works.
Speaker 1: So with that being said, let's get to the games. Here.
Speaker 1: We'll start out with the early television window Minnesota at
Speaker 1: New Orleans. You're talking about early. This game is in
Speaker 1: jolly old London, a nine thirty am kickoff time Eastern times,
Speaker 1: So if you're on the West coast in the States,
Speaker 1: here at six thirty am, breakfast and bacon and football
Speaker 1: on the NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the
Speaker 1: butt Fumble Guy, have the call Googles. That's a Fox
Speaker 1: team and they have the call. So the Vikings opening
Speaker 1: up a one point favorite. They're favored by three. The
Speaker 1: handle on this game the cash in favor of Minnesota,
Speaker 1: which scares me a little bit here over sunny, mostly sunny.
Speaker 1: It's London, so it's not always said, but mostly sunny
Speaker 1: in London. Sixty four degrees at kickoff at Totenham Hot
Speaker 1: Spur Stadium. Have you ever been to London, Danny? You
Speaker 1: ever been? Due? Uh? No? I think it's Todtenham? Is
Speaker 1: it Todd? What I say? It sounds better that way. Yes,
Speaker 1: A bunch of toads hate hold stool. I'm showing what
Speaker 1: an evil American I am. So some of the trends
Speaker 1: in this game. Minnesota their last ten against the spread
Speaker 1: versus teams that have a losing record there three and seven.
Speaker 1: The Vikings are ten and fifteen their last against the
Speaker 1: spread with Kirk Cousins started, or ten and fifteen rather
Speaker 1: last I believe I said that in Craiggy. So either way,
Speaker 1: the numbers are not particularly great for Minnesota. New Orleans
Speaker 1: is two and five with Jamis Winston starting, but is
Speaker 1: he going to start I'm gonna take the Vikings in
Speaker 1: this game. Minnesota's defense has been lousy. They get a
Speaker 1: reprieve here this week. The Saints are horrid on offense.
Speaker 1: New Orleans ranks thirty one and expected points added. The
Speaker 1: last two weeks, they've averaged twelve points per game. Jamis
Speaker 1: Winston's got five interceptions the last two weeks combined, He's
Speaker 1: been sacked eleven times. He's so damaged he probably won't
Speaker 1: even start this game. Andy Dalton is being prepared as
Speaker 1: the starter as we're talking, no official announcement. There's also
Speaker 1: two starting linemen who are hurt in this game for
Speaker 1: New Orleans, and there's no way I'm gonna bet on
Speaker 1: a main gold Jamis Winston or the red pa shooter
Speaker 1: and not the red rifle. He's a pea shooters. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Purple People leaders and lay the
Speaker 1: three points. Vikings thirty, Saints twenty. The final Ah, the
Speaker 1: penny is trying to copy off your paper right away,
Speaker 1: also going with the Vikings. Okay, so we're in agreement
Speaker 1: on that one. Next up, Tennessee, we go back to
Speaker 1: the US Tennessee at Indianapolis, Tennessee one and two, Indianapolis
Speaker 1: one one and one. It is on Fox, so you
Speaker 1: better watch. Adam A. Mean and Mark Slaver have the call.
Speaker 1: The Colts opened up a three and app point in
Speaker 1: this game. They are favored by three and the money
Speaker 1: is pretty even. There's not a big lean to either side.
Speaker 1: As we are doing Benny versus the Penny at Lucas
Speaker 1: Oil Stadium. It's a dome, but temperatures around seventy degrees
Speaker 1: outside the dome at kickoff. Tennessee check this out. Last
Speaker 1: ten October games with Mike Rabel as coach eight and
Speaker 1: two against the spread, and Tennessee their last fifteen as
Speaker 1: an underdog of seven or less. Like this game, they're
Speaker 1: ten and five against the number. Now, they say that
Speaker 1: styles make fights, and these teams are very similar. They
Speaker 1: have a big time running back, they have a very
Speaker 1: average quarterback. You've got Derrick Henry on one side of
Speaker 1: the ring, Jonathan Taylor on the other. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Titans in this game. Both these teams have been inconsistent.
Speaker 1: I am not a believer in India. I know they
Speaker 1: upset Kansas City last week and I was on the
Speaker 1: Colts last week, but the Indie squad is averaging three
Speaker 1: point eight yards per play and less than twenty five
Speaker 1: yards per drive, and Matt Ryan is the quarterback according
Speaker 1: to Pro Football Focuses rankings. Now, I'm not gonna sit
Speaker 1: here and sell you on Ryan Tannehill. You saw the
Speaker 1: Titans last Weekdanny. They played half a game really well
Speaker 1: and then they almost gave it all back to the
Speaker 1: Raiders in the second half. And I believe they only
Speaker 1: have to play half a game really well this week. Again.
Speaker 1: The teams are pretty close. I like getting the points.
Speaker 1: Divisional matchup. Final score, Titans go into Indie and get
Speaker 1: a win. Titans seven, Colts three. The penny looks like
Speaker 1: it's a Matt Ryan believer going with the Colts. Well,
Speaker 1: don't bet on a falling star because he have a
Speaker 1: falling star falls on you. We know how that works.
Speaker 1: Next up, you're talking about unattractive matchups. It's like a
Speaker 1: hot tup time machine game. Chicago to and one. The
Speaker 1: New York Giants tuned and it's on Fox. Joe Davis,
Speaker 1: the Dodger played by play Guy and Darrel Moose Johnston
Speaker 1: have the call. The Giants opened up a three point favorite.
Speaker 1: They've been bet up to three and a half. I
Speaker 1: don't understand why six of the money is on the
Speaker 1: Giants coming off a loss on Monday Night football at
Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium temperatures in the high sixties. The Bears have
Speaker 1: been lousy with Josh Fields against the spread, their two
Speaker 1: and eight their last ten with Josh Field starting. The Giants,
Speaker 1: though their last ten games at home in October there
Speaker 1: one eight and one, and the Giants as a favorite
Speaker 1: are four ten in one their last fifteen games as
Speaker 1: a favorite. So there's a lot of dueling trends that
Speaker 1: both look ominous for each side, Chicago and New York.
Speaker 1: But my pick, I'm gonna take the Bears here, and
Speaker 1: let me give you my logic behind that pick. It's
Speaker 1: a short week for the Giants. You've got two bad teams.
Speaker 1: The Bears running that nineteen seventies style offense, It somehow
Speaker 1: has worked. They beat the forty niners, they beat the Texans.
Speaker 1: That's not a great win, but they still wanted. Chicago's
Speaker 1: averaging a hundred and eighties six points seven yards on
Speaker 1: the ground per game their second in the NFL. New York,
Speaker 1: though also averaging a hundred sixty nine yards a game,
Speaker 1: which is fourth in the league. So this game is
Speaker 1: going to be a back and forth between David Montgomery
Speaker 1: and someone named Khalil Herbert who had a big game
Speaker 1: last week coming out of nowhere for Chicago, and then
Speaker 1: Sequon Barkley on the other side. Now, this is not
Speaker 1: good news with the Giants because Danny the Giants still
Speaker 1: try to pass, and I'm counting on Danny dimes with
Speaker 1: a spicy hot turn over here, and that will give
Speaker 1: the Bears a short field the key when you don't
Speaker 1: have a quarterback, and the Bears are like the headless
Speaker 1: Horseman with Josh Field. They really all are. Uh. You
Speaker 1: need special teams and you need the other team to
Speaker 1: make a timely mistake, and I just can't bet on
Speaker 1: the Giants laying more than a field goal here. So
Speaker 1: I am roaring with the Bears and I'll take them
Speaker 1: to to get the cover. Giants will actually win the game,
Speaker 1: but I'm take the Bears to cover. Giants thirteen Bears twelve.
Speaker 1: The final bet the underalls. The penny landed on tails,
Speaker 1: going with Chicago. Okay, so the penny picking up my
Speaker 1: pick and taking it too to be there pick as well.
Speaker 1: All right? Next up, Buffalo two and one at Baltimore
Speaker 1: two and one. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and
Speaker 1: Charles Davison. I will be watching this game. Uh yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm by flipping around all the games, but I will
Speaker 1: be focused on this game in particular. The Bills opened
Speaker 1: up a four point favorite, and as we talk right
Speaker 1: now and Benny versus the Penny, the Bills are a
Speaker 1: three point favorite. The money is mostly been on this
Speaker 1: game at M ANDT Bank Stadium, the House that Sports
Speaker 1: with Coleman Bill Our our radio friend podcast friend from Baltimore,
Speaker 1: cloudy and temperatures in the sixties at kickoff. You look
Speaker 1: at some of the trends in this game. The Bills
Speaker 1: their last seventeen games, which probably goes back to like
Speaker 1: the nineteen eighties on the road after playing Miami. I
Speaker 1: guess it doesn't go back that far, but they're four
Speaker 1: and thirteen against the spread. They're not They have not
Speaker 1: done particularly well on the road after playing Miami, and
Speaker 1: the Ravens have been very good in the John Harbaugh
Speaker 1: era as an underdog. There twelve and three against the spread.
Speaker 1: Their last fifteen is an underdog. I'm taking Baltimore in
Speaker 1: this game. It'll be a shootout. We love betting on
Speaker 1: a team that is as explosive as the Ravens are
Speaker 1: getting a field goal at home. The Ravens lead the
Speaker 1: NFL and scoring. The Bills have some damaged linebackers, their
Speaker 1: secondary is still a hot stew and they just will
Speaker 1: not be able to consistently stop Lamar Jackson by air
Speaker 1: and by ground. And Mark Andrews the tight end is
Speaker 1: off the way, really record breaking type season. He's been
Speaker 1: a blowtorch for the Ravens. I only expect Baltimore to
Speaker 1: stop Josh Allen. I'm gonna sit here and sell you
Speaker 1: on the Ravens defense. The Ravens defense blows. Uh, They've
Speaker 1: They've been terrible. Baltimore has allowed five yard passers the
Speaker 1: last nineteen games going to last season. Before that, they
Speaker 1: had this massive stretch of never allowing like even three
Speaker 1: yard passers. So I am going to take the Poets
Speaker 1: plus the points and the Ravens forty one, Bills forty
Speaker 1: in a thriller attract met and the penny says Ken
Speaker 1: Dorsey will not smash anything this weekend, going with a penny,
Speaker 1: gone with where the Buffalo Room. Next up, the l
Speaker 1: A Chargers at Houston Chargers one and two, Houston O
Speaker 1: two and one. In this game on CBS, Andrew Catalan
Speaker 1: and the noble veteran James Lofton have the call. The
Speaker 1: Chargers opened up a seven point road favorite. They're favored
Speaker 1: by five. That's a big number here for a Charger
Speaker 1: team that got their face smashed in by Jacksonville last week.
Speaker 1: The money is a slight lean to the Chargers. At
Speaker 1: n RG Stadium in Houston. It is a dome, temperatures
Speaker 1: in the eighties in Houston on Sunday at kickoff outside Houston.
Speaker 1: They've been a sneaky good play for gamblers with Davis
Speaker 1: Mills at quarterback and could have, would have, should have
Speaker 1: beat the Bears last week. David Mills made the big
Speaker 1: mistake late that gave the Bears a short field set
Speaker 1: them up for the game winning field goal. But Davis
Speaker 1: Mills with him under center. Houston is six and one
Speaker 1: against the spread their last seven and the Chargers. Check
Speaker 1: this out if you're a fan of trends. The Chargers
Speaker 1: of the last seven games is a favorite of seven
Speaker 1: or less. They are one in six against the spread
Speaker 1: and so that bodes well. I'm gonna take the Texans
Speaker 1: this game. The Chargers without Joey Bosa yet again, where
Speaker 1: have we heard that before? Got a groin injury, Rashawn
Speaker 1: Slater's out for the year, the left tackle, the blind
Speaker 1: side protector of Justin Herbert, who still dinged up. He's
Speaker 1: got his own issues. Everyone seems to be heard. The
Speaker 1: Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL,
Speaker 1: but they have been competitive with Davis Mills. As I said,
Speaker 1: and so I am going to cover my eyes. I
Speaker 1: am going to pretend I'm not doing this, but I
Speaker 1: am going to do it. Texans twenty seven and the
Speaker 1: Chargers dropped the one in three and helped the Raiders
Speaker 1: out and everyone else in that a f C West
Speaker 1: Chargers penny is flashing back to the end of last season.
Speaker 1: Also going with the Texans. Alright, So we've got a
Speaker 1: lot of agreements so far early on Benny versus the Penny.
Speaker 1: Next up Seattle one and two at Detroit, also one
Speaker 1: and two. It is on Fox with our former colleague
Speaker 1: and FSR Alumni Association member Chris Myers in the old
Speaker 1: Minnesota Viking running back Robert Smith. The line on this
Speaker 1: game opened Lions by six. It's down to four and
Speaker 1: a half Detroit to four and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: A slight lean to Seattle in the handle on this
Speaker 1: game at Ford Field temperatures as we head into October
Speaker 1: starting to cool down, temperatures in the low sixties outside
Speaker 1: the dome. Seattle five and ten their last fifteen on
Speaker 1: the road against the spread with Pete Carroll as head coach.
Speaker 1: Detroit has been very good with Dan Campbell and Jared
Speaker 1: Goff their last ten games together eight and two against
Speaker 1: the spread. But I want to take the Seahawks. I
Speaker 1: don't care about the trends. I don't need the trends
Speaker 1: on my side. I'm going with the healthier team. And
Speaker 1: I love the Lions and I like the way they fight.
Speaker 1: But Seattle is a healthier team. The Lions were without
Speaker 1: not one, not two, not three, not four, not five,
Speaker 1: not six, not seven, not eight, not nine. How about
Speaker 1: ten players at practice this week, including many key starters
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. How about amon ra
Speaker 1: st Brown, the talented the wide receiver, bad ankle, DeAndre
Speaker 1: Swift bad ankle. He's likely out. T J Hockenson the
Speaker 1: tight end, also out. Several linemen dinged up and even
Speaker 1: if most of these guys play, how effective are they
Speaker 1: going to be? So here's another game, Danny, where I
Speaker 1: want to puke in my mouth. But I'm going to
Speaker 1: take the Lions opponent in this game. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Seahawks in this game. So I'm taking Seattle. Lions
Speaker 1: will win the game, but the Seahawks win the money,
Speaker 1: getting the four and half and they will cover that.
Speaker 1: And final score Detroit thirty three and the Seahawks thirty
Speaker 1: and the penny is going the other way. Taking the Lions,
Speaker 1: all right, Taking the Lions over a field goal at home,
Speaker 1: that's a risky proposition. Next up the New York Jets
Speaker 1: j E T s Sucks Sucks Suck and the pets
Speaker 1: Berg Steelers at one and two. Both these teams that
Speaker 1: one and two. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel, who
Speaker 1: hates sports radio is an elitist schmuck, and Adam rch
Speaker 1: Aletta that is the play by play team there at CBS.
Speaker 1: The Steelers opened a three and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: The line here has stayed at three and a half
Speaker 1: at Accrasher Stadium formerly known as Hines Field, temperatures in
Speaker 1: the sixties cloudy in Pittsburgh at kickoff for this game.
Speaker 1: What kind of condiment is I believe of that is
Speaker 1: right next to mayonnaise and sauerkraud, I think. But alright,
Speaker 1: so the Jets their last twenty games with Robert Salem
Speaker 1: as the coach, how have they done for gamblers? Seven
Speaker 1: and thirteen against the spread? Do you know, Danny, you
Speaker 1: have something in common with Robert Salo though? Robert Sala
Speaker 1: announced this week that after the Jets beat the Browns,
Speaker 1: he got a phone call from Donald Trump, president former
Speaker 1: president Donald Trump. So you, you and Robert Sala have
Speaker 1: both talked to President Trump on the phone. So congratulations,
Speaker 1: then congratulations. What do you think Trump told him? Well,
Speaker 1: Sala claims that Trump called him up and was congratulating
Speaker 1: him and said that he was as good a coach
Speaker 1: or better coach than Vince Lombardi. So either that was
Speaker 1: Donald having a good time watching football and get a
Speaker 1: little carried away, or that was a Donald Trump at personator.
Speaker 1: I don't know, um, but either way, that was an
Speaker 1: interesting side note. Footnote, if you all Pittsburgh their last
Speaker 1: ten as a favorite. They've been so good for so long,
Speaker 1: but those days are in the rear view mirror. Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: two and eight against the spread their last ten as
Speaker 1: a favorite, and Pittsburgh just eleven thirteen and one overall
Speaker 1: against the number last twenty five games with Mike Thomas.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Jets in this game. Now
Speaker 1: there's a chance Zach Wilson plays. He's been upgraded to
Speaker 1: probable for the Jets. As we getting played all year,
Speaker 1: It's either gonna be Wilson or Flacco, and that's not
Speaker 1: great either way. The key here is rather obvious. The
Speaker 1: Steelers can't get out of their own way on offense
Speaker 1: as long as New York can play a semi clean game.
Speaker 1: Easier said than done. The Jets are bread clumsy. The
Speaker 1: Steelers without t J. Watt do not stop the run.
Speaker 1: They haven't been able to generate a pass rush, which
Speaker 1: you know, I didn't play in the NFL, but I
Speaker 1: think those are things that generally, if you can't do
Speaker 1: those things, you're not going to win a lot of games.
Speaker 1: They're not gonna cover a lot of spreads if you
Speaker 1: can't get to the quarterback and you can't stop the run.
Speaker 1: And Mitch Robinsky needs a flea bath. He's been a
Speaker 1: dog with fleas here. This is a field goal game.
Speaker 1: So the way I'm looking at this, if I've got
Speaker 1: the Jets plus three and a half, the Jets either
Speaker 1: win by a field goal, I win the bet, they
Speaker 1: lose by a field goal, and I still win the bet.
Speaker 1: So there's two ways I can win on this if
Speaker 1: I'm right that this game is anyone's game in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter and it's gonna come down to the kicking game.
Speaker 1: So I will take the Steelers to win the game
Speaker 1: because I can't trust the Jets, but the Jets to
Speaker 1: win the money. Steelers sixteen and the Jets thirteen the final,
Speaker 1: and the penny is going with Eddie's Steelers. BO, that's
Speaker 1: not a terrible towel, but a terrible pick. How about
Speaker 1: shut up? Next up, boy, this is a darling of
Speaker 1: the NFL world right now. Philadelphia three and oh they're
Speaker 1: playing host of Jacksonville two and one. Who would have
Speaker 1: thought that both these teams would have a winning record
Speaker 1: heading into Week four, But that's the case. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS with Spirodidas and Jay Feely. They have the call.
Speaker 1: The Eagles opened a seven point favorite at home, and
Speaker 1: they are favored by six and a half. The money
Speaker 1: is pretty even on this game, which is surprising. I
Speaker 1: thought that was surprising. Lincoln Financial Field, the length, the site,
Speaker 1: temperatures cloudy in the sixties for this game. Jacksonville, They've
Speaker 1: been so bad for so long. Their last fifteen non
Speaker 1: conference games there four and eleven against the spread. That
Speaker 1: includes a win last week against the Chargers and Philly.
Speaker 1: With Jalen Hurts as the starting quarterback, they actually have
Speaker 1: a losing overall record. There are two games under five
Speaker 1: hundred over the course of his his time. Obviously much
Speaker 1: better this Philadelphia team, with the talent they picked up
Speaker 1: in the off season. They've lived up to the hype
Speaker 1: so far after a shaky late game and the opener
Speaker 1: against Detroit. So I'm gonna take Jacksonville on this game.
Speaker 1: Despite all of the love for the Eagles, Doug Peterson's
Speaker 1: homecoming game Jacksonville's coach. He won a Super Bowl as
Speaker 1: coach that Fluke Nick Foles super Bowl back in the day.
Speaker 1: The Jags have played with great tenacity. That's stuff we
Speaker 1: don't normally see from Jacksonville football teams. This is obviously
Speaker 1: the ultimate placement test. Trevor Lawrence has got some swagger
Speaker 1: back at quarterback. You're going against an Eagle team that
Speaker 1: has been an absolute wagon so far, and Jalen Hurts
Speaker 1: has been putting teams in a blender. The Birds are
Speaker 1: averaging four seven yards of offense. But I'm on the
Speaker 1: side of the professional game. But was the sharps are
Speaker 1: on the Jags, And I like being on the side
Speaker 1: of the pro gamblers and not the casual betters. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Eagles to win, but I'll take
Speaker 1: Jacksonville to cover the number of getting that almost a touchdown.
Speaker 1: Eagles thirty, Jags twenty four. The final cue the Rocky music.
Speaker 1: The penny represents the everyday working man, Ben going with Philly.
Speaker 1: All right, put that Rocky statue up right there there.
Speaker 1: It is next up Washington, oh and three at Dashally
Speaker 1: they're wanting to excuse me. They wanted they did beat
Speaker 1: jackson What it too at Dallas two and one. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. This is
Speaker 1: the big game on Fox this weekend. That's the number
Speaker 1: one team. You know why it's the number one team,
Speaker 1: It's the Cowboys. The Cowboys could be playing dogshit and
Speaker 1: they would and I think they are actually this week,
Speaker 1: and they would still draw a huge audience, and that's
Speaker 1: really what it's all about for TV. Most of the
Speaker 1: money is on Dallas in this game. The Cowboys opened
Speaker 1: up a three point favorite. As we are recording Benny
Speaker 1: versus the Penny, it is a three and a half
Speaker 1: point line in favor of Dallas. Mostly cloudy in Jerry's world,
Speaker 1: and seventy five degrees to kick off in the Metroplex
Speaker 1: there in Arlington, Washington. The last ten games with Ron
Speaker 1: Rivera coaching, they are five four and one against the spread.
Speaker 1: Dallas with Mike McCarthy, they've been very good for gamblers.
Speaker 1: Cowboys are eighteen and seven against the spread and most
Speaker 1: of that against the NFC East, seven and oh against
Speaker 1: the spread their last seven inside the division. And I'm
Speaker 1: on the side of the public on this one. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Cowboys and I'll tell you my logic
Speaker 1: behind this pick. Micael Parsons and that Dallas defense licking
Speaker 1: their chops after Carson Wentz was a crash test dummy
Speaker 1: last week against the Eagles. I love that Cowboy front defensively,
Speaker 1: and if Washington has time to throw and Carson Wentz
Speaker 1: is so pigheaded that he won't make adjustments to a
Speaker 1: three steps drop, mixing in bubble screens to keep the
Speaker 1: defense on their toes. Good luck on that keep their
Speaker 1: defense on their heels. I should say flustered. Flustered is
Speaker 1: the word for for Carson Wentz. Here, Cowboys looked pretty
Speaker 1: good against the gents. That offensive line, some of the
Speaker 1: changes there. They were able to run the ball. They
Speaker 1: should run the ball very well in this game. Washington
Speaker 1: has been blown out twice already this year. Their one
Speaker 1: win was a come from behind gift at the hands
Speaker 1: of Jacksonville, and they took took advantage of the gift
Speaker 1: from the Jags. So anyway, let's Cooper rush is not great,
Speaker 1: he's not sexy, but he's average and all you need
Speaker 1: is average. All you need is average in this game
Speaker 1: Cowboys seven and the Commanders the Old Redskin sixteen and
Speaker 1: the penny says he was part of a Cooper rush
Speaker 1: tip one time, also going with the Cowboys, all right,
Speaker 1: so the penny backing me up on the Cowboy pick.
Speaker 1: Next up Cleveland two and one at Atlanta one and two.
Speaker 1: It is on CBS with Beth Mowins Antiki Barber. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's it's a mute button game right here. All right.
Speaker 1: So the game opened up, Brown's favored by two and
Speaker 1: a half and they are favored by one here the
Speaker 1: Falcons getting a slight lean in their favor. As far
Speaker 1: as the Handle was concerned, it's gonna be a rainy
Speaker 1: day in Atlanta. Not that it matters. The game's being
Speaker 1: played inside the dome at Mercedes ben Stadium. Some of
Speaker 1: the trends coming this game. Cleveland five nine and one
Speaker 1: their last fifteen against the spread with Kevin Stefanski as coach.
Speaker 1: And how about this one at Atlanta their last eight
Speaker 1: games at home with Arthur Smith coaching just one and
Speaker 1: seven against the spread. What happened, dirty Birds? I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Falcons on this game. Uh. And to me,
Speaker 1: this game is a throwback. You forget about Marcus Mariota,
Speaker 1: and Jacoby said, it is all about the headliners on
Speaker 1: this should be the running backs Nick Chubb and cor
Speaker 1: Darrel Patterson, the NFL's top two rushers. Cleveland has been
Speaker 1: wobbly on special teams there ranked twenty. And those are
Speaker 1: the hidden points that Atlanta is gonna have to take
Speaker 1: advantage of. Taking advantage of the buffoonery from the Brown
Speaker 1: special teams. You toss in the fact we do not
Speaker 1: expect Miles Garrett, who was involved in a car accident,
Speaker 1: he was allegedly speeding in his car, did the flipped
Speaker 1: the flip. I don't expect him to play. That's a
Speaker 1: huge difference maker off the field there, and I don't
Speaker 1: next man it up all that. But even with Myles Garrett,
Speaker 1: Cleveland's defense was ranked twenty seventh in defensive efficiency and
Speaker 1: that was with Garrett out there. As we said, so
Speaker 1: the dirty birds on the right side in this game,
Speaker 1: they end the home Blues Falcons as a small home
Speaker 1: dog Falcons twenty and the Browns seventeen. The final and
Speaker 1: the Penny says, don't worry about that flip. The Browns
Speaker 1: are gonna be victors. No, it'll be a brown out.
Speaker 1: It is going to be a brown out. Next up,
Speaker 1: late television window, late television window, the Arizona Carolina matchup
Speaker 1: both these teams one and two. It's on Fox. A
Speaker 1: friend of ours Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call.
Speaker 1: The game opened up Cardinals by two and a half
Speaker 1: and this line. You look at the updated line on
Speaker 1: this hold on a sec year because this line has
Speaker 1: actually moved. Uh, there's been a a bunch of movement
Speaker 1: on the speech. You know, why why would you think
Speaker 1: to be any movement on this game? Because these are
Speaker 1: two terrible teams. But nonetheless, let me get the freshest
Speaker 1: line as I click refresh on this and yes, it's
Speaker 1: now gone in favor of the Panthers as a one
Speaker 1: point favorite in this game. So Arizona went from two
Speaker 1: and at point favors to a one point underdog. Cardinals
Speaker 1: getting a good amount of the moolah, which is surprising
Speaker 1: considering the amounts that the point spread moved. You think
Speaker 1: that would be the other way, But that's the numbers
Speaker 1: that we have in Charlotte. Light rain. It's kind of
Speaker 1: a big storm. I don't know if you've heard about it, Danny.
Speaker 1: There has been a big storm there moving up the
Speaker 1: eastern seaboard this weekend. The weather reporters wearing baseball helmets
Speaker 1: on camera and condoms on their microphones. Light rain, temperatures
Speaker 1: in the sixties. This is an outdoor stadium at Bank
Speaker 1: of America Stadium there in Charlotte, And so that's the weather.
Speaker 1: The trends in this game. Arizona eight and two against
Speaker 1: the spread, their last ten on the road with Cliff Kingsbury,
Speaker 1: but their last ten overall just three and seven with
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray as the quarterback. And Carolina has got their
Speaker 1: own problems there, one in nine against the spread, their
Speaker 1: last ten with Matt Rule coaching, and the last fifteen
Speaker 1: games at home for the Carolina Panthers against teams that
Speaker 1: are losing record like Arizona, They're just two and thirteen
Speaker 1: against bad teams at home. That said, I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Panthers. I'll tell you why this is a more
Speaker 1: of a play against Arizona. I'm not a believer in
Speaker 1: the Cardinals and their defense. Cardinals are allowing opponents almost
Speaker 1: nineteen first half points per game, that is worst in
Speaker 1: the NFL. So they're playing uphill every week. You get
Speaker 1: away with that every once in a while. Carolinas dinged
Speaker 1: up yet again. Christian McCaffrey. Tell me or stop me
Speaker 1: if you've heard this. He's got a bad quad. He
Speaker 1: may or may not play. Baker Mayfield, whether he plays
Speaker 1: or not, he is not playing well at all. He
Speaker 1: does not have the same pep in his step that
Speaker 1: he had in Cleveland. He is half the man he
Speaker 1: had been with the Browns. And we haven't really seen
Speaker 1: any good Baker Mayfield yet in Carolina. This likely will
Speaker 1: be the week we start seeing something. If not, you
Speaker 1: might want to send Baker Mayfield back. Return to sender.
Speaker 1: This game looks too easy for Kyler Murray. The average
Speaker 1: gambler expecting Kyler to do his thing. I expect this
Speaker 1: to be a dogfight. Murray has started two games against
Speaker 1: Carolina in his career. He is owing two in that time,
Speaker 1: and one of those was against a Matt Rule coach team.
Speaker 1: And he's averaged less than five yards per pass attempt
Speaker 1: in his career against Carolina. Now that's not going to
Speaker 1: continue forever. But I'm taking the Panthers twenty three and
Speaker 1: the Cardinals twenty the final. And the penny says, please
Speaker 1: stay safe to everyone in the hurricane zone. But you
Speaker 1: know what happens with hurricanes. Sometimes Ben brings out the alligators,
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, And who the penny is
Speaker 1: going with? No, no, he He's gonna need a lifeboat,
Speaker 1: and a lifeguard. Tyler is what he's gonna need. An
Speaker 1: alligator can thrive in a hurricane Ben Okay, all right?
Speaker 1: Next up, Danny j we go to Sin City, lost
Speaker 1: wages Nevada as it's Denver two and one and Las
Speaker 1: Vegas oh and three on CBS with Kevin Harlan and
Speaker 1: Trent Green. They have to call. The Raiders opened up
Speaker 1: a two point favorite and they are favored by three
Speaker 1: in this game, and the Raider is getting a lot
Speaker 1: of the money almost on the side of the Raiders.
Speaker 1: Sonny temperatures in the nineties outside elite at Stadium in
Speaker 1: Vegas the Raiders. The one team that Derek Carr looks
Speaker 1: good against has been the Broncos. He's done very well
Speaker 1: against Denver, eight and two against the spread his last ten,
Speaker 1: so that's the good news. The bad news is Vegas
Speaker 1: is one in nine their last ten as a favorite,
Speaker 1: so that doesn't bode well here. The Broncos mentioned to
Speaker 1: having all kinds of issues with Derek Carr in particular,
Speaker 1: Broncos have not beaten the Raiders on the road since
Speaker 1: they were in Oakland back in so it's been it's
Speaker 1: been quite a stretch here. And after starting six and
Speaker 1: how about this for your guy, Josh McDaniels, after starting
Speaker 1: six and oh with the Broncos and oh nine his
Speaker 1: last twenty five games, Josh McDaniels has walked off the
Speaker 1: field the loser twenty of the twenty five games, five
Speaker 1: and twenty record. And so there's all kinds of of
Speaker 1: numbers we can throw out here, But bad news, Danny,
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Broncos in this game might actually be
Speaker 1: good news. No, no, no, I'm in the penny so far.
Speaker 1: You're smartass. Derek Carr is a mess in the red
Speaker 1: zone in particular, so he's been fine moving the ball,
Speaker 1: but they get down the red zone. It hasn't gone well.
Speaker 1: The Broncos end of the week though, as the league's
Speaker 1: top red zone defense, So if you go on what
Speaker 1: has happened, the Raiders are gonna have more problems again
Speaker 1: on the red zone offense. But keep in mind Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson and the Broncos also have been terrible in the
Speaker 1: red zone. In fact, statistically, they've actually been worse than
Speaker 1: the Raiders. At least Davante Adams has been able to
Speaker 1: get some touchdowns in the red zone. But I like
Speaker 1: this matchup for Denver Patricks certained the second He's gonna
Speaker 1: keep Davante Adams under wraps there and not that that's
Speaker 1: that hard. Recently, the last couple of weeks, DeVante Adams
Speaker 1: has been mostly a decoy. Both these teams have struggled
Speaker 1: so much to play a complete game. I don't think
Speaker 1: it goes completely one way towards the Raiders or the Broncos.
Speaker 1: And I like getting the point, so I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: Denver plus the points. Raiders, as I said, Uh, they're
Speaker 1: not the right side here, but they will win the game,
Speaker 1: but they will not win the bet. That's all we
Speaker 1: care about. The gambling line. Raiders twenty four Broncos twenty three.
Speaker 1: The final said the Raiders were gonna win. Well, they're
Speaker 1: gonna win, but yes, but the Broncos are gonna win
Speaker 1: the bet. That's all we care about. The penny agrees
Speaker 1: with you. Also going on the Broncos side. Cool Broncos last,
Speaker 1: all right, So that is the Raider Bronco game. Next
Speaker 1: up New England at green Bay. That's actually one of
Speaker 1: my stronger plays. New England one and two, Green Bay
Speaker 1: two and one. It's on CBS with Jim Nance and
Speaker 1: Tony Romo. They have the call. The Packers opened up
Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite that skyrocketed all
Speaker 1: the way up to nine and a half and everyone
Speaker 1: thinks this is a free money game. Almost on Green
Speaker 1: Bay a mostly sunny, temperatures in the sixties at kickoff
Speaker 1: at Lamb Bowle Field, the mild tundra this week. So
Speaker 1: some of the trends and numbers in this game. Brian
Speaker 1: Hoyer oh and eleven his last eleven starts. He has
Speaker 1: not won a game in six years. In fact, on
Speaker 1: Sunday when this game is played, it will be exactly
Speaker 1: six years October two, the last time Brian Hoyer started
Speaker 1: a game and walked off the field with a victory.
Speaker 1: The point spread difference, What is the difference you ask
Speaker 1: between Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer. Well, the drop off
Speaker 1: according to the experts is right around four points. So
Speaker 1: the bookmaker believes the Patriots are about four points worse
Speaker 1: with Brian Hoyer. The Packers have been straight money at
Speaker 1: home there twenty and nine against the spread with Matt
Speaker 1: Lafleur coaching. But I'm gonna take the Patriots. I like
Speaker 1: the Patriots. No Mac Jones, he's got the bad ankle.
Speaker 1: No chance, I say, not so fast is what I say.
Speaker 1: There's actually, to me, not as big a gap between
Speaker 1: Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer as the wise guys think.
Speaker 1: The Patriots bread and butter. If they're gonna win games
Speaker 1: this year, it's gotta be with the running game, Damien
Speaker 1: Harris and raymondre Stevenson. The Packers are eighteen against the run.
Speaker 1: They're allowing a hundred and thirteen rushing yards per games,
Speaker 1: so there's yards to be had there, and the Patriots
Speaker 1: have to play a methodical, suck the clockdown type of strategy.
Speaker 1: And you mix in the fact that cream Bay does
Speaker 1: not have the wow factor. They don't have the big
Speaker 1: playmakers for Aaron Rodgers, and this game is a value play.
Speaker 1: This is a value play. I love getting over a touchdown.
Speaker 1: And this is one of those games everyone just assumed
Speaker 1: Screen Bay can show up and collect to win. And
Speaker 1: last week the Patriots were leading the Ravens at halftime.
Speaker 1: We played a terrible third quarter. They had a defensive meltdown.
Speaker 1: I get it, that's part of the game. But I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Patriots plus the nine and a half
Speaker 1: Packers and the Patriots twenty three penny going chalk here
Speaker 1: with the Packers. Alright, the Penny going in that direction.
Speaker 1: Next up, we had to Sunday Night Football on and
Speaker 1: be see Kansas City two and one at Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: two and one. You've got Mike Tarico and Chris Collinsworth
Speaker 1: in the booth. Now, this game is supposed to be
Speaker 1: played at Raymond James Stadium, but there's a kind of
Speaker 1: a big storm and as we're doing this, we we're
Speaker 1: not sure it could be played in Minnesota or in Tampa.
Speaker 1: Doesn't really matter. The Chiefs opened to two point favorite.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are a three point favorite in this game.
Speaker 1: The money is pretty even. Kansas City their last fifteen
Speaker 1: games on the road, revenging a road loss, they are
Speaker 1: eleven three and one, so they've been a very good bet.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, also at home with Tom Brady, has been wonderful,
Speaker 1: and as an underdog there ten four and one, last
Speaker 1: fifteen at home with Brady, and as an underdog obviously
Speaker 1: most of those games as an underdog without Brady. Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay and the Giants the only two teams without first
Speaker 1: half touchdowns this season. The Giants and Tampa Bay. Holy
Speaker 1: Tom Brady, Batman, you've got Brady Mahomes. They've faced each
Speaker 1: other five times, Brady has a three to two edge
Speaker 1: in the head to head, But I'm gonna take the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Kansas City here, Tom Brady, Mahomes the headliners.
Speaker 1: But the story of this game defense, defense, defense. Kansas
Speaker 1: City and Tampa have been crushing people, crushing skulls all season.
Speaker 1: Tampa's allowing nine points per game. They have played a
Speaker 1: couple of inferior offensive teams, the Cowboys with Dak Prescott,
Speaker 1: who was no good and he got hurt, and then
Speaker 1: they also played sat the Saints, who are a mess.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs defense. Had they've been able to contain Kyler
Speaker 1: Murray justin Herbert, they had the lead, should have, could
Speaker 1: have would have beaten Matt Ryan and the coast. There
Speaker 1: was that donculous unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on third down that
Speaker 1: extended any Annapolis drive, helped them win the game. So
Speaker 1: I think this is a low scoring game. I trust
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes at this point more than forty five year
Speaker 1: old Tom Brady. I know that Tampa's getting Mike Evans
Speaker 1: back from suspension. Julio Jones, the washed up Julio Jones,
Speaker 1: is back as well. But I'm gonna take the Chiefs
Speaker 1: low scoring game, Chiefs twenty four and the Buccaneers nineteen
Speaker 1: the final and the Penny would like to join you
Speaker 1: and and d read out for some nice marin Era
Speaker 1: case little Ravioli with the Marinerera. Can't go wrong with
Speaker 1: that unless you drop it on your foot. Alright, last game, Danny,
Speaker 1: We're at the last game on the card. Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: The l a I am two and one at San
Speaker 1: Francisco one and two. It's on ESPN Slash ABC with
Speaker 1: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. Yeah, I guess got some
Speaker 1: money here. The guys that took the Saudi Oil money
Speaker 1: to go over to their ESPN took that big paycheck,
Speaker 1: and so the forty Niners, good for them. I do
Speaker 1: the same thing. Forty Niners opened up a two point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are favored by one and the handle on this
Speaker 1: game in favor of the l a RAMS. The numbers
Speaker 1: coming in here. It's gonna be in the temperatures in
Speaker 1: the seventies at Levi Stadium in Santa Clara. The last
Speaker 1: seven games, Kyle Shanahan has gone against Sean McVeigh with
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo six and one. The Niners record but the
Speaker 1: Rams have been a wonderful road team with Sean McVeigh
Speaker 1: except against the forty Niners overall, the twenty seven and
Speaker 1: nineteen against the spread. Uh, and I really was looking
Speaker 1: to take the forty Niners in this game. You're probably thinking, well,
Speaker 1: why would you do that. You're a Rams fan, you
Speaker 1: should take the you know, we just take the Ram. Well,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Rams. But I like betting on underdogs,
Speaker 1: and the forty Niners have been able to just kick
Speaker 1: the snot out of the Rams in recent years, except
Speaker 1: for the NFC Championship game, where there was a key
Speaker 1: drop thank god by a forty Niner defender in that game.
Speaker 1: But recent history on side on the side of the Niners.
Speaker 1: But men, are they struggling right now and in this season.
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo, he's been lousy since he took over, and
Speaker 1: really he's been lousy since last year. The last six
Speaker 1: games going back to the playoffs, Garoppolo has five touchdowns,
Speaker 1: six interceptions of passer rating of one. And San Francisco
Speaker 1: while they have been able to push around and be
Speaker 1: bullies against the Rams, the physicality, it's gonna be harder
Speaker 1: to do that the Niners have not been able to
Speaker 1: run the ball consistently. Well, they don't have their starting
Speaker 1: left tackle now. Trent Williams, the Mountain Man, has a
Speaker 1: bad ankle, so he's out for at least a month,
Speaker 1: and so you've got Deebo Samuel as An Island as
Speaker 1: the only playmaker. I know that I'm saying this, and
Speaker 1: I've said these things before in the Rams have played
Speaker 1: the Niners, and I've looked like a complete donkey, but
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Sean mcveigher. I think there's something
Speaker 1: to this, the Niners having their issues here, and this
Speaker 1: seems like a pretty good opportunity. The Rams have not
Speaker 1: figured things out, even though they beat the Cardinals last week.
Speaker 1: There's still some underlying issues there with the Rams. But
Speaker 1: I'll take the l a Rams three. You can ram
Speaker 1: it all day, you can ram it all night. And
Speaker 1: the forty Niners twenty and the penny is showing some
Speaker 1: copper balls doing what you wouldn't do. Taking the Niners alright,
Speaker 1: Taking the Niners there painting for gold, panning for gold
Speaker 1: there with the forty Nights, Well, that that is it.
Speaker 1: That is it. Good luck, May all your bets be
Speaker 1: winning ones. And remember, good teams win, great teams cover,
Speaker 1: and that's the key thing here. It's one thing to win.
Speaker 1: But did you cover the spread? And you can be
Speaker 1: really bad and as long as you cover, we're good
Speaker 1: with that. And so we'll see what happens, and uh,
Speaker 1: we'll check in next week, same time, same podcast station.
Speaker 1: Until then, have a wonderful rest of your Friday. Asta pasta,
Speaker 1: gotta murder, Gotta go.