1 00:00:00,720 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants 3 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot 6 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 7 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and 8 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: welcome into the podcast, O Joe, we are back at it. 9 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: A new weekend is here The Fifth Hour with Ben 10 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: Maller and Danny G Radio, But not really the Fifth 11 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: Hour because it's a special edition every Friday until further 12 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: notice during the NFL season. Danny G we go inside 13 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: the gambling world for Benny versus the Penny. Are you ready, Danny? 14 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: I am ready. I took the penny out of its 15 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: lock box. I see you're ready. With a raider's hat on, 16 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 1: which is amazing. Good luck for the team this weekend. 17 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: See your vision is going to look at that. That's 18 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 1: a B for Ben. Wrong looks like a capital R 19 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,759 Speaker 1: in handwriting. That's a raider's hat. I got it cheap 20 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 1: and it has a be on it. Although It doesn't 21 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: look like a B because it's it's written very oddly, 22 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: but it is a B B for Ben and be 23 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: for beating the penny. Let's strike up the band and 24 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: then we will get to Benny versus the penny. Here 25 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:54,639 Speaker 1: we go. Welcome players, you're welcome. It's time now Betty 26 00:01:55,040 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: versus the penny? All ight, So you know the drill here, Danny, 27 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: the basics on this. If you're new to the podcast, 28 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: we've been promoting it on the radio show, so we 29 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:10,959 Speaker 1: welcome in. Danny g has been with me on the 30 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: Fifth Hour for a while now, and he used to 31 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 1: be my guy years ago on the show, and then 32 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: he went on to the morning show and now he's 33 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 1: he's back at a weekday show. How's that going, by 34 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: the way, everything good with that. It's been going really good. 35 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 1: A lot of hard work for me behind the scenes, 36 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: but on the air it's a lot of fun, alright. 37 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: Cavino enriched the newest show at Fox Sports Radio in 38 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: the weekday line up at Danny's part of that, and 39 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: so the coin is flipped up in the here. Now 40 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 1: explain Danny. For those that don't understand how this works, 41 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 1: you have you have heads you have tails on the penny, 42 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: old uncle Abe there. So when we do the flip 43 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: of the coin, how does it work? How do we 44 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: determine which team is Hends is the home team? Right? 45 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 1: And tails? And they are away team planes, trains and 46 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: automobiles to get to the game. They sit on their 47 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: back side, their tail tailbones. So it's private planes though, 48 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: so is it really like sitting on your tailbone? Well, 49 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: private planes, I'm fortunate enough. I've done that a few times. 50 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 1: Like they charter regular planes. They like their regular planes. 51 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: But you know, some teams, but they have top not 52 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: stewardess though, can I still say stewardess sexist? I don't 53 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: know what year is it, who's in charge? I don't know. 54 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 1: I gotta check all those things. I'll get back to 55 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 1: you on that. But but before we get to the 56 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: games on Sunday and Monday, let's look back week three 57 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: and we must look at the tail of the tape. Now, 58 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: there were sixteen games on the card Benny versus the penny, 59 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: and I went ten and six. So the benny part 60 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: of this went ten and six, six winning percentage. Now 61 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: I had to do a double take when I looked 62 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: at the Pennies record because I thought, there's no way 63 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: that my math must be wrong on this. I was 64 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: writing some chicken scratch down and I was doing the 65 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: math on against the spread. How did the penny do 66 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: so out of sixteen games, this seems like a mathematical 67 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: and probability. The penny went three and thirteen. That is 68 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: one of the worst weeks we've ever had on the 69 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 1: penny in the history of benny versus the Penny. It's 70 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: seemingly impossible when you have a fifty fifty chance at 71 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: every game just about I know the point spread changes it, 72 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: but you're flipping the coin, the penny, and you only 73 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: got three right. The only games the Penny got right 74 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: where the Rams, the Jags, and the Eagles. That's it. 75 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: No other games. Every other game was wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong. 76 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: So that that brings us to the season total overall, 77 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: I am twenty seven and twenty one. That's a five 78 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: sixty three winning percentage on the here. So you wouldn't 79 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 1: make money if you bet game. We don't advise you 80 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: to bed every game, but if you did do that, 81 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:06,840 Speaker 1: you'd make money with my picks. The penny. Because of 82 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: that pathetic performance in week three, even though they had 83 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: the Penny had a winning week in week one and 84 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: week two. Week three was so bad. The Penny is 85 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: under five hundred now twenty two and twenty six and 86 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: n G. What was worse Derek Carr's pathetic two point 87 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: conversion pass or the Pennies performance last weekend? I would 88 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: say the entire Raiders in the first half of that game. 89 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: But but three and thirty So overall twenty two and 90 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: twenty six, that's a four fifty eight winning percentage for 91 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: the Penny. So I have a five game lead in 92 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: the lost column. But as you know, Danny, I'm the 93 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 1: one that could go three and thirteen this weekend, right. 94 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: I mean, these things are very bizarre how this works. 95 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,040 Speaker 1: So with that being said, let's get to the games. Here. 96 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: We'll start out with the early television window Minnesota at 97 00:05:56,600 --> 00:06:00,040 Speaker 1: New Orleans. You're talking about early. This game is in 98 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: jolly old London, a nine thirty am kickoff time Eastern times, 99 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: So if you're on the West coast in the States, 100 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: here at six thirty am, breakfast and bacon and football 101 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: on the NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the 102 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: butt Fumble Guy, have the call Googles. That's a Fox 103 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: team and they have the call. So the Vikings opening 104 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 1: up a one point favorite. They're favored by three. The 105 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: handle on this game the cash in favor of Minnesota, 106 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 1: which scares me a little bit here over sunny, mostly sunny. 107 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: It's London, so it's not always said, but mostly sunny 108 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: in London. Sixty four degrees at kickoff at Totenham Hot 109 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 1: Spur Stadium. Have you ever been to London, Danny? You 110 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: ever been? Due? Uh? No? I think it's Todtenham? Is 111 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: it Todd? What I say? It sounds better that way. Yes, 112 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: A bunch of toads hate hold stool. I'm showing what 113 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: an evil American I am. So some of the trends 114 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,559 Speaker 1: in this game. Minnesota their last ten against the spread 115 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: versus teams that have a losing record there three and seven. 116 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: The Vikings are ten and fifteen their last against the 117 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: spread with Kirk Cousins started, or ten and fifteen rather 118 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: last I believe I said that in Craiggy. So either way, 119 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: the numbers are not particularly great for Minnesota. New Orleans 120 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: is two and five with Jamis Winston starting, but is 121 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 1: he going to start I'm gonna take the Vikings in 122 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: this game. Minnesota's defense has been lousy. They get a 123 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 1: reprieve here this week. The Saints are horrid on offense. 124 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: New Orleans ranks thirty one and expected points added. The 125 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: last two weeks, they've averaged twelve points per game. Jamis 126 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: Winston's got five interceptions the last two weeks combined, He's 127 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 1: been sacked eleven times. He's so damaged he probably won't 128 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: even start this game. Andy Dalton is being prepared as 129 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: the starter as we're talking, no official announcement. There's also 130 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: two starting linemen who are hurt in this game for 131 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: New Orleans, and there's no way I'm gonna bet on 132 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: a main gold Jamis Winston or the red pa shooter 133 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: and not the red rifle. He's a pea shooters. So 134 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Purple People leaders and lay the 135 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: three points. Vikings thirty, Saints twenty. The final Ah, the 136 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 1: penny is trying to copy off your paper right away, 137 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: also going with the Vikings. Okay, so we're in agreement 138 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: on that one. Next up, Tennessee, we go back to 139 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: the US Tennessee at Indianapolis, Tennessee one and two, Indianapolis 140 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: one one and one. It is on Fox, so you 141 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: better watch. Adam A. Mean and Mark Slaver have the call. 142 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:00,040 Speaker 1: The Colts opened up a three and app point in 143 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 1: this game. They are favored by three and the money 144 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 1: is pretty even. There's not a big lean to either side. 145 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: As we are doing Benny versus the Penny at Lucas 146 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: Oil Stadium. It's a dome, but temperatures around seventy degrees 147 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: outside the dome at kickoff. Tennessee check this out. Last 148 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: ten October games with Mike Rabel as coach eight and 149 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 1: two against the spread, and Tennessee their last fifteen as 150 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: an underdog of seven or less. Like this game, they're 151 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: ten and five against the number. Now, they say that 152 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: styles make fights, and these teams are very similar. They 153 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: have a big time running back, they have a very 154 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: average quarterback. You've got Derrick Henry on one side of 155 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: the ring, Jonathan Taylor on the other. I'm gonna take 156 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: the Titans in this game. Both these teams have been inconsistent. 157 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 1: I am not a believer in India. I know they 158 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:55,320 Speaker 1: upset Kansas City last week and I was on the 159 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 1: Colts last week, but the Indie squad is averaging three 160 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: point eight yards per play and less than twenty five 161 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: yards per drive, and Matt Ryan is the quarterback according 162 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: to Pro Football Focuses rankings. Now, I'm not gonna sit 163 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: here and sell you on Ryan Tannehill. You saw the 164 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:20,199 Speaker 1: Titans last Weekdanny. They played half a game really well 165 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: and then they almost gave it all back to the 166 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: Raiders in the second half. And I believe they only 167 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: have to play half a game really well this week. Again. 168 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: The teams are pretty close. I like getting the points. 169 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 1: Divisional matchup. Final score, Titans go into Indie and get 170 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 1: a win. Titans seven, Colts three. The penny looks like 171 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 1: it's a Matt Ryan believer going with the Colts. Well, 172 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:50,199 Speaker 1: don't bet on a falling star because he have a 173 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: falling star falls on you. We know how that works. 174 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: Next up, you're talking about unattractive matchups. It's like a 175 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: hot tup time machine game. Chicago to and one. The 176 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: New York Giants tuned and it's on Fox. Joe Davis, 177 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 1: the Dodger played by play Guy and Darrel Moose Johnston 178 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 1: have the call. The Giants opened up a three point favorite. 179 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: They've been bet up to three and a half. I 180 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: don't understand why six of the money is on the 181 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 1: Giants coming off a loss on Monday Night football at 182 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium temperatures in the high sixties. The Bears have 183 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: been lousy with Josh Fields against the spread, their two 184 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: and eight their last ten with Josh Field starting. The Giants, 185 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 1: though their last ten games at home in October there 186 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 1: one eight and one, and the Giants as a favorite 187 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 1: are four ten in one their last fifteen games as 188 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: a favorite. So there's a lot of dueling trends that 189 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: both look ominous for each side, Chicago and New York. 190 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: But my pick, I'm gonna take the Bears here, and 191 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: let me give you my logic behind that pick. It's 192 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: a short week for the Giants. You've got two bad teams. 193 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: The Bears running that nineteen seventies style offense, It somehow 194 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,840 Speaker 1: has worked. They beat the forty niners, they beat the Texans. 195 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: That's not a great win, but they still wanted. Chicago's 196 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 1: averaging a hundred and eighties six points seven yards on 197 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 1: the ground per game their second in the NFL. New York, 198 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: though also averaging a hundred sixty nine yards a game, 199 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 1: which is fourth in the league. So this game is 200 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 1: going to be a back and forth between David Montgomery 201 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: and someone named Khalil Herbert who had a big game 202 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:39,079 Speaker 1: last week coming out of nowhere for Chicago, and then 203 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: Sequon Barkley on the other side. Now, this is not 204 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: good news with the Giants because Danny the Giants still 205 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 1: try to pass, and I'm counting on Danny dimes with 206 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:52,439 Speaker 1: a spicy hot turn over here, and that will give 207 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 1: the Bears a short field the key when you don't 208 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,319 Speaker 1: have a quarterback, and the Bears are like the headless 209 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: Horseman with Josh Field. They really all are. Uh. You 210 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,440 Speaker 1: need special teams and you need the other team to 211 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: make a timely mistake, and I just can't bet on 212 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: the Giants laying more than a field goal here. So 213 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: I am roaring with the Bears and I'll take them 214 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: to to get the cover. Giants will actually win the game, 215 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: but I'm take the Bears to cover. Giants thirteen Bears twelve. 216 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: The final bet the underalls. The penny landed on tails, 217 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 1: going with Chicago. Okay, so the penny picking up my 218 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: pick and taking it too to be there pick as well. 219 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 1: All right? Next up, Buffalo two and one at Baltimore 220 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 1: two and one. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and 221 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 1: Charles Davison. I will be watching this game. Uh yeah, 222 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: I'm by flipping around all the games, but I will 223 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 1: be focused on this game in particular. The Bills opened 224 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 1: up a four point favorite, and as we talk right 225 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: now and Benny versus the Penny, the Bills are a 226 00:13:56,080 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: three point favorite. The money is mostly been on this 227 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 1: game at M ANDT Bank Stadium, the House that Sports 228 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: with Coleman Bill Our our radio friend podcast friend from Baltimore, 229 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: cloudy and temperatures in the sixties at kickoff. You look 230 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: at some of the trends in this game. The Bills 231 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 1: their last seventeen games, which probably goes back to like 232 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 1: the nineteen eighties on the road after playing Miami. I 233 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 1: guess it doesn't go back that far, but they're four 234 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: and thirteen against the spread. They're not They have not 235 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: done particularly well on the road after playing Miami, and 236 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: the Ravens have been very good in the John Harbaugh 237 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 1: era as an underdog. There twelve and three against the spread. 238 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: Their last fifteen is an underdog. I'm taking Baltimore in 239 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 1: this game. It'll be a shootout. We love betting on 240 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: a team that is as explosive as the Ravens are 241 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:56,800 Speaker 1: getting a field goal at home. The Ravens lead the 242 00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: NFL and scoring. The Bills have some damaged linebackers, their 243 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: secondary is still a hot stew and they just will 244 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 1: not be able to consistently stop Lamar Jackson by air 245 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 1: and by ground. And Mark Andrews the tight end is 246 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 1: off the way, really record breaking type season. He's been 247 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: a blowtorch for the Ravens. I only expect Baltimore to 248 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 1: stop Josh Allen. I'm gonna sit here and sell you 249 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: on the Ravens defense. The Ravens defense blows. Uh, They've 250 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: They've been terrible. Baltimore has allowed five yard passers the 251 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 1: last nineteen games going to last season. Before that, they 252 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: had this massive stretch of never allowing like even three 253 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 1: yard passers. So I am going to take the Poets 254 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: plus the points and the Ravens forty one, Bills forty 255 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: in a thriller attract met and the penny says Ken 256 00:15:55,800 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: Dorsey will not smash anything this weekend, going with a penny, 257 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: gone with where the Buffalo Room. Next up, the l 258 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 1: A Chargers at Houston Chargers one and two, Houston O 259 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: two and one. In this game on CBS, Andrew Catalan 260 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:21,480 Speaker 1: and the noble veteran James Lofton have the call. The 261 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 1: Chargers opened up a seven point road favorite. They're favored 262 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: by five. That's a big number here for a Charger 263 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 1: team that got their face smashed in by Jacksonville last week. 264 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 1: The money is a slight lean to the Chargers. At 265 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 1: n RG Stadium in Houston. It is a dome, temperatures 266 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: in the eighties in Houston on Sunday at kickoff outside Houston. 267 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: They've been a sneaky good play for gamblers with Davis 268 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 1: Mills at quarterback and could have, would have, should have 269 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: beat the Bears last week. David Mills made the big 270 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,040 Speaker 1: mistake late that gave the Bears a short field set 271 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: them up for the game winning field goal. But Davis 272 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 1: Mills with him under center. Houston is six and one 273 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:05,640 Speaker 1: against the spread their last seven and the Chargers. Check 274 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:08,360 Speaker 1: this out if you're a fan of trends. The Chargers 275 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:11,240 Speaker 1: of the last seven games is a favorite of seven 276 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 1: or less. They are one in six against the spread 277 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: and so that bodes well. I'm gonna take the Texans 278 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 1: this game. The Chargers without Joey Bosa yet again, where 279 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: have we heard that before? Got a groin injury, Rashawn 280 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 1: Slater's out for the year, the left tackle, the blind 281 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: side protector of Justin Herbert, who still dinged up. He's 282 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: got his own issues. Everyone seems to be heard. The 283 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL, 284 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,800 Speaker 1: but they have been competitive with Davis Mills. As I said, 285 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: and so I am going to cover my eyes. I 286 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: am going to pretend I'm not doing this, but I 287 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:51,440 Speaker 1: am going to do it. Texans twenty seven and the 288 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: Chargers dropped the one in three and helped the Raiders 289 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:57,400 Speaker 1: out and everyone else in that a f C West 290 00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: Chargers penny is flashing back to the end of last season. 291 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 1: Also going with the Texans. Alright, So we've got a 292 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: lot of agreements so far early on Benny versus the Penny. 293 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 1: Next up Seattle one and two at Detroit, also one 294 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 1: and two. It is on Fox with our former colleague 295 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 1: and FSR Alumni Association member Chris Myers in the old 296 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 1: Minnesota Viking running back Robert Smith. The line on this 297 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: game opened Lions by six. It's down to four and 298 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 1: a half Detroit to four and a half point favorite, 299 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: A slight lean to Seattle in the handle on this 300 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: game at Ford Field temperatures as we head into October 301 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: starting to cool down, temperatures in the low sixties outside 302 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: the dome. Seattle five and ten their last fifteen on 303 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 1: the road against the spread with Pete Carroll as head coach. 304 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:01,639 Speaker 1: Detroit has been very good with Dan Campbell and Jared 305 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 1: Goff their last ten games together eight and two against 306 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,159 Speaker 1: the spread. But I want to take the Seahawks. I 307 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: don't care about the trends. I don't need the trends 308 00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 1: on my side. I'm going with the healthier team. And 309 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: I love the Lions and I like the way they fight. 310 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 1: But Seattle is a healthier team. The Lions were without 311 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 1: not one, not two, not three, not four, not five, 312 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 1: not six, not seven, not eight, not nine. How about 313 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:26,960 Speaker 1: ten players at practice this week, including many key starters 314 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. How about amon ra 315 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 1: st Brown, the talented the wide receiver, bad ankle, DeAndre 316 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 1: Swift bad ankle. He's likely out. T J Hockenson the 317 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 1: tight end, also out. Several linemen dinged up and even 318 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,880 Speaker 1: if most of these guys play, how effective are they 319 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 1: going to be? So here's another game, Danny, where I 320 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 1: want to puke in my mouth. But I'm going to 321 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 1: take the Lions opponent in this game. I'm gonna take 322 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: the Seahawks in this game. So I'm taking Seattle. Lions 323 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: will win the game, but the Seahawks win the money, 324 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: getting the four and half and they will cover that. 325 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: And final score Detroit thirty three and the Seahawks thirty 326 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 1: and the penny is going the other way. Taking the Lions, 327 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: all right, Taking the Lions over a field goal at home, 328 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:22,000 Speaker 1: that's a risky proposition. Next up the New York Jets 329 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:26,120 Speaker 1: j E T s Sucks Sucks Suck and the pets 330 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: Berg Steelers at one and two. Both these teams that 331 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:33,200 Speaker 1: one and two. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel, who 332 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: hates sports radio is an elitist schmuck, and Adam rch 333 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 1: Aletta that is the play by play team there at CBS. 334 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 1: The Steelers opened a three and a half point favorite. 335 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 1: The line here has stayed at three and a half 336 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 1: at Accrasher Stadium formerly known as Hines Field, temperatures in 337 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: the sixties cloudy in Pittsburgh at kickoff for this game. 338 00:20:56,720 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 1: What kind of condiment is I believe of that is 339 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: right next to mayonnaise and sauerkraud, I think. But alright, 340 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 1: so the Jets their last twenty games with Robert Salem 341 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: as the coach, how have they done for gamblers? Seven 342 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,399 Speaker 1: and thirteen against the spread? Do you know, Danny, you 343 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,480 Speaker 1: have something in common with Robert Salo though? Robert Sala 344 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,400 Speaker 1: announced this week that after the Jets beat the Browns, 345 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,639 Speaker 1: he got a phone call from Donald Trump, president former 346 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,520 Speaker 1: president Donald Trump. So you, you and Robert Sala have 347 00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: both talked to President Trump on the phone. So congratulations, 348 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 1: then congratulations. What do you think Trump told him? Well, 349 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 1: Sala claims that Trump called him up and was congratulating 350 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 1: him and said that he was as good a coach 351 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: or better coach than Vince Lombardi. So either that was 352 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,680 Speaker 1: Donald having a good time watching football and get a 353 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: little carried away, or that was a Donald Trump at personator. 354 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, um, but either way, that was an 355 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 1: interesting side note. Footnote, if you all Pittsburgh their last 356 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:10,200 Speaker 1: ten as a favorite. They've been so good for so long, 357 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 1: but those days are in the rear view mirror. Pittsburgh 358 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 1: two and eight against the spread their last ten as 359 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: a favorite, and Pittsburgh just eleven thirteen and one overall 360 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: against the number last twenty five games with Mike Thomas. 361 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Jets in this game. Now 362 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 1: there's a chance Zach Wilson plays. He's been upgraded to 363 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,640 Speaker 1: probable for the Jets. As we getting played all year, 364 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: It's either gonna be Wilson or Flacco, and that's not 365 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 1: great either way. The key here is rather obvious. The 366 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 1: Steelers can't get out of their own way on offense 367 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 1: as long as New York can play a semi clean game. 368 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 1: Easier said than done. The Jets are bread clumsy. The 369 00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:58,320 Speaker 1: Steelers without t J. Watt do not stop the run. 370 00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: They haven't been able to generate a pass rush, which 371 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: you know, I didn't play in the NFL, but I 372 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 1: think those are things that generally, if you can't do 373 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 1: those things, you're not going to win a lot of games. 374 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 1: They're not gonna cover a lot of spreads if you 375 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,360 Speaker 1: can't get to the quarterback and you can't stop the run. 376 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,600 Speaker 1: And Mitch Robinsky needs a flea bath. He's been a 377 00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: dog with fleas here. This is a field goal game. 378 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 1: So the way I'm looking at this, if I've got 379 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 1: the Jets plus three and a half, the Jets either 380 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 1: win by a field goal, I win the bet, they 381 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: lose by a field goal, and I still win the bet. 382 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,880 Speaker 1: So there's two ways I can win on this if 383 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 1: I'm right that this game is anyone's game in the 384 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,640 Speaker 1: fourth quarter and it's gonna come down to the kicking game. 385 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: So I will take the Steelers to win the game 386 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 1: because I can't trust the Jets, but the Jets to 387 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 1: win the money. Steelers sixteen and the Jets thirteen the final, 388 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: and the penny is going with Eddie's Steelers. BO, that's 389 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,879 Speaker 1: not a terrible towel, but a terrible pick. How about 390 00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:02,159 Speaker 1: shut up? Next up, boy, this is a darling of 391 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,360 Speaker 1: the NFL world right now. Philadelphia three and oh they're 392 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 1: playing host of Jacksonville two and one. Who would have 393 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: thought that both these teams would have a winning record 394 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 1: heading into Week four, But that's the case. It's on 395 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 1: CBS with Spirodidas and Jay Feely. They have the call. 396 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: The Eagles opened a seven point favorite at home, and 397 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: they are favored by six and a half. The money 398 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 1: is pretty even on this game, which is surprising. I 399 00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 1: thought that was surprising. Lincoln Financial Field, the length, the site, 400 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: temperatures cloudy in the sixties for this game. Jacksonville, They've 401 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 1: been so bad for so long. Their last fifteen non 402 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,440 Speaker 1: conference games there four and eleven against the spread. That 403 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 1: includes a win last week against the Chargers and Philly. 404 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 1: With Jalen Hurts as the starting quarterback, they actually have 405 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: a losing overall record. There are two games under five 406 00:24:55,640 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: hundred over the course of his his time. Obviously much 407 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: better this Philadelphia team, with the talent they picked up 408 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 1: in the off season. They've lived up to the hype 409 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: so far after a shaky late game and the opener 410 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 1: against Detroit. So I'm gonna take Jacksonville on this game. 411 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:16,119 Speaker 1: Despite all of the love for the Eagles, Doug Peterson's 412 00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,440 Speaker 1: homecoming game Jacksonville's coach. He won a Super Bowl as 413 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 1: coach that Fluke Nick Foles super Bowl back in the day. 414 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 1: The Jags have played with great tenacity. That's stuff we 415 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 1: don't normally see from Jacksonville football teams. This is obviously 416 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,680 Speaker 1: the ultimate placement test. Trevor Lawrence has got some swagger 417 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:39,439 Speaker 1: back at quarterback. You're going against an Eagle team that 418 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:44,360 Speaker 1: has been an absolute wagon so far, and Jalen Hurts 419 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,360 Speaker 1: has been putting teams in a blender. The Birds are 420 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: averaging four seven yards of offense. But I'm on the 421 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,720 Speaker 1: side of the professional game. But was the sharps are 422 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 1: on the Jags, And I like being on the side 423 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: of the pro gamblers and not the casual betters. So 424 00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Eagles to win, but I'll take 425 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: Jacksonville to cover the number of getting that almost a touchdown. 426 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:14,679 Speaker 1: Eagles thirty, Jags twenty four. The final cue the Rocky music. 427 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: The penny represents the everyday working man, Ben going with Philly. 428 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 1: All right, put that Rocky statue up right there there. 429 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:29,120 Speaker 1: It is next up Washington, oh and three at Dashally 430 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: they're wanting to excuse me. They wanted they did beat 431 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:34,640 Speaker 1: jackson What it too at Dallas two and one. It's 432 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:39,359 Speaker 1: on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. This is 433 00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: the big game on Fox this weekend. That's the number 434 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,560 Speaker 1: one team. You know why it's the number one team, 435 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 1: It's the Cowboys. The Cowboys could be playing dogshit and 436 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,439 Speaker 1: they would and I think they are actually this week, 437 00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:54,720 Speaker 1: and they would still draw a huge audience, and that's 438 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 1: really what it's all about for TV. Most of the 439 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,359 Speaker 1: money is on Dallas in this game. The Cowboys opened 440 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: up a three point favorite. As we are recording Benny 441 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 1: versus the Penny, it is a three and a half 442 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:11,000 Speaker 1: point line in favor of Dallas. Mostly cloudy in Jerry's world, 443 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 1: and seventy five degrees to kick off in the Metroplex 444 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:20,960 Speaker 1: there in Arlington, Washington. The last ten games with Ron 445 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 1: Rivera coaching, they are five four and one against the spread. 446 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:30,840 Speaker 1: Dallas with Mike McCarthy, they've been very good for gamblers. 447 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 1: Cowboys are eighteen and seven against the spread and most 448 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 1: of that against the NFC East, seven and oh against 449 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 1: the spread their last seven inside the division. And I'm 450 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:42,679 Speaker 1: on the side of the public on this one. I'm 451 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,399 Speaker 1: gonna take the Cowboys and I'll tell you my logic 452 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,560 Speaker 1: behind this pick. Micael Parsons and that Dallas defense licking 453 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,800 Speaker 1: their chops after Carson Wentz was a crash test dummy 454 00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 1: last week against the Eagles. I love that Cowboy front defensively, 455 00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 1: and if Washington has time to throw and Carson Wentz 456 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 1: is so pigheaded that he won't make adjustments to a 457 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 1: three steps drop, mixing in bubble screens to keep the 458 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:14,719 Speaker 1: defense on their toes. Good luck on that keep their 459 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:18,359 Speaker 1: defense on their heels. I should say flustered. Flustered is 460 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: the word for for Carson Wentz. Here, Cowboys looked pretty 461 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: good against the gents. That offensive line, some of the 462 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: changes there. They were able to run the ball. They 463 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: should run the ball very well in this game. Washington 464 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,679 Speaker 1: has been blown out twice already this year. Their one 465 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 1: win was a come from behind gift at the hands 466 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 1: of Jacksonville, and they took took advantage of the gift 467 00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 1: from the Jags. So anyway, let's Cooper rush is not great, 468 00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 1: he's not sexy, but he's average and all you need 469 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 1: is average. All you need is average in this game 470 00:28:52,160 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: Cowboys seven and the Commanders the Old Redskin sixteen and 471 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 1: the penny says he was part of a Cooper rush 472 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,720 Speaker 1: tip one time, also going with the Cowboys, all right, 473 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 1: so the penny backing me up on the Cowboy pick. 474 00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:17,000 Speaker 1: Next up Cleveland two and one at Atlanta one and two. 475 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 1: It is on CBS with Beth Mowins Antiki Barber. Yeah, 476 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:29,320 Speaker 1: that's it's a mute button game right here. All right. 477 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 1: So the game opened up, Brown's favored by two and 478 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,320 Speaker 1: a half and they are favored by one here the 479 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 1: Falcons getting a slight lean in their favor. As far 480 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: as the Handle was concerned, it's gonna be a rainy 481 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 1: day in Atlanta. Not that it matters. The game's being 482 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:49,680 Speaker 1: played inside the dome at Mercedes ben Stadium. Some of 483 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 1: the trends coming this game. Cleveland five nine and one 484 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: their last fifteen against the spread with Kevin Stefanski as coach. 485 00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 1: And how about this one at Atlanta their last eight 486 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:05,080 Speaker 1: games at home with Arthur Smith coaching just one and 487 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:10,080 Speaker 1: seven against the spread. What happened, dirty Birds? I'm gonna 488 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:12,720 Speaker 1: take the Falcons on this game. Uh. And to me, 489 00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 1: this game is a throwback. You forget about Marcus Mariota, 490 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 1: and Jacoby said, it is all about the headliners on 491 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,040 Speaker 1: this should be the running backs Nick Chubb and cor 492 00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 1: Darrel Patterson, the NFL's top two rushers. Cleveland has been 493 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:31,720 Speaker 1: wobbly on special teams there ranked twenty. And those are 494 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: the hidden points that Atlanta is gonna have to take 495 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:38,200 Speaker 1: advantage of. Taking advantage of the buffoonery from the Brown 496 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: special teams. You toss in the fact we do not 497 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 1: expect Miles Garrett, who was involved in a car accident, 498 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 1: he was allegedly speeding in his car, did the flipped 499 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 1: the flip. I don't expect him to play. That's a 500 00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 1: huge difference maker off the field there, and I don't 501 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 1: next man it up all that. But even with Myles Garrett, 502 00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 1: Cleveland's defense was ranked twenty seventh in defensive efficiency and 503 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,120 Speaker 1: that was with Garrett out there. As we said, so 504 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,560 Speaker 1: the dirty birds on the right side in this game, 505 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 1: they end the home Blues Falcons as a small home 506 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 1: dog Falcons twenty and the Browns seventeen. The final and 507 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 1: the Penny says, don't worry about that flip. The Browns 508 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 1: are gonna be victors. No, it'll be a brown out. 509 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:30,600 Speaker 1: It is going to be a brown out. Next up, 510 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:38,520 Speaker 1: late television window, late television window, the Arizona Carolina matchup 511 00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: both these teams one and two. It's on Fox. A 512 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: friend of ours Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call. 513 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 1: The game opened up Cardinals by two and a half 514 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,840 Speaker 1: and this line. You look at the updated line on 515 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,720 Speaker 1: this hold on a sec year because this line has 516 00:31:56,720 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: actually moved. Uh, there's been a a bunch of movement 517 00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:02,560 Speaker 1: on the speech. You know, why why would you think 518 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 1: to be any movement on this game? Because these are 519 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: two terrible teams. But nonetheless, let me get the freshest 520 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 1: line as I click refresh on this and yes, it's 521 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 1: now gone in favor of the Panthers as a one 522 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,640 Speaker 1: point favorite in this game. So Arizona went from two 523 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: and at point favors to a one point underdog. Cardinals 524 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 1: getting a good amount of the moolah, which is surprising 525 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 1: considering the amounts that the point spread moved. You think 526 00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 1: that would be the other way, But that's the numbers 527 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 1: that we have in Charlotte. Light rain. It's kind of 528 00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:41,480 Speaker 1: a big storm. I don't know if you've heard about it, Danny. 529 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:45,200 Speaker 1: There has been a big storm there moving up the 530 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:50,360 Speaker 1: eastern seaboard this weekend. The weather reporters wearing baseball helmets 531 00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:55,320 Speaker 1: on camera and condoms on their microphones. Light rain, temperatures 532 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: in the sixties. This is an outdoor stadium at Bank 533 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: of America Stadium there in Charlotte, And so that's the weather. 534 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: The trends in this game. Arizona eight and two against 535 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,720 Speaker 1: the spread, their last ten on the road with Cliff Kingsbury, 536 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: but their last ten overall just three and seven with 537 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray as the quarterback. And Carolina has got their 538 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 1: own problems there, one in nine against the spread, their 539 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 1: last ten with Matt Rule coaching, and the last fifteen 540 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: games at home for the Carolina Panthers against teams that 541 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: are losing record like Arizona, They're just two and thirteen 542 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: against bad teams at home. That said, I'm gonna take 543 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 1: the Panthers. I'll tell you why this is a more 544 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,560 Speaker 1: of a play against Arizona. I'm not a believer in 545 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:46,520 Speaker 1: the Cardinals and their defense. Cardinals are allowing opponents almost 546 00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,480 Speaker 1: nineteen first half points per game, that is worst in 547 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 1: the NFL. So they're playing uphill every week. You get 548 00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 1: away with that every once in a while. Carolinas dinged 549 00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:59,480 Speaker 1: up yet again. Christian McCaffrey. Tell me or stop me 550 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,480 Speaker 1: if you've heard this. He's got a bad quad. He 551 00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:05,080 Speaker 1: may or may not play. Baker Mayfield, whether he plays 552 00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,520 Speaker 1: or not, he is not playing well at all. He 553 00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:09,719 Speaker 1: does not have the same pep in his step that 554 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,360 Speaker 1: he had in Cleveland. He is half the man he 555 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:14,919 Speaker 1: had been with the Browns. And we haven't really seen 556 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: any good Baker Mayfield yet in Carolina. This likely will 557 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 1: be the week we start seeing something. If not, you 558 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 1: might want to send Baker Mayfield back. Return to sender. 559 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 1: This game looks too easy for Kyler Murray. The average 560 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,759 Speaker 1: gambler expecting Kyler to do his thing. I expect this 561 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 1: to be a dogfight. Murray has started two games against 562 00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:42,360 Speaker 1: Carolina in his career. He is owing two in that time, 563 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 1: and one of those was against a Matt Rule coach team. 564 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 1: And he's averaged less than five yards per pass attempt 565 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,040 Speaker 1: in his career against Carolina. Now that's not going to 566 00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:56,680 Speaker 1: continue forever. But I'm taking the Panthers twenty three and 567 00:34:56,760 --> 00:35:04,800 Speaker 1: the Cardinals twenty the final. And the penny says, please 568 00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: stay safe to everyone in the hurricane zone. But you 569 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,439 Speaker 1: know what happens with hurricanes. Sometimes Ben brings out the alligators, 570 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,759 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, And who the penny is 571 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,920 Speaker 1: going with? No, no, he He's gonna need a lifeboat, 572 00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 1: and a lifeguard. Tyler is what he's gonna need. An 573 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:27,239 Speaker 1: alligator can thrive in a hurricane Ben Okay, all right? 574 00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:32,320 Speaker 1: Next up, Danny j we go to Sin City, lost 575 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:38,320 Speaker 1: wages Nevada as it's Denver two and one and Las 576 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,320 Speaker 1: Vegas oh and three on CBS with Kevin Harlan and 577 00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,680 Speaker 1: Trent Green. They have to call. The Raiders opened up 578 00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:49,320 Speaker 1: a two point favorite and they are favored by three 579 00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: in this game, and the Raider is getting a lot 580 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,200 Speaker 1: of the money almost on the side of the Raiders. 581 00:35:56,280 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 1: Sonny temperatures in the nineties outside elite at Stadium in 582 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:06,319 Speaker 1: Vegas the Raiders. The one team that Derek Carr looks 583 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 1: good against has been the Broncos. He's done very well 584 00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 1: against Denver, eight and two against the spread his last ten, 585 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,640 Speaker 1: so that's the good news. The bad news is Vegas 586 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,920 Speaker 1: is one in nine their last ten as a favorite, 587 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,560 Speaker 1: so that doesn't bode well here. The Broncos mentioned to 588 00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,120 Speaker 1: having all kinds of issues with Derek Carr in particular, 589 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,160 Speaker 1: Broncos have not beaten the Raiders on the road since 590 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:34,399 Speaker 1: they were in Oakland back in so it's been it's 591 00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,800 Speaker 1: been quite a stretch here. And after starting six and 592 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,520 Speaker 1: how about this for your guy, Josh McDaniels, after starting 593 00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:41,840 Speaker 1: six and oh with the Broncos and oh nine his 594 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 1: last twenty five games, Josh McDaniels has walked off the 595 00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,680 Speaker 1: field the loser twenty of the twenty five games, five 596 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:51,680 Speaker 1: and twenty record. And so there's all kinds of of 597 00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,560 Speaker 1: numbers we can throw out here, But bad news, Danny, 598 00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Broncos in this game might actually be 599 00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 1: good news. No, no, no, I'm in the penny so far. 600 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,399 Speaker 1: You're smartass. Derek Carr is a mess in the red 601 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,520 Speaker 1: zone in particular, so he's been fine moving the ball, 602 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 1: but they get down the red zone. It hasn't gone well. 603 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:13,280 Speaker 1: The Broncos end of the week though, as the league's 604 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: top red zone defense, So if you go on what 605 00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,920 Speaker 1: has happened, the Raiders are gonna have more problems again 606 00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 1: on the red zone offense. But keep in mind Russell 607 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 1: Wilson and the Broncos also have been terrible in the 608 00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 1: red zone. In fact, statistically, they've actually been worse than 609 00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 1: the Raiders. At least Davante Adams has been able to 610 00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:33,960 Speaker 1: get some touchdowns in the red zone. But I like 611 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:38,520 Speaker 1: this matchup for Denver Patricks certained the second He's gonna 612 00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:42,399 Speaker 1: keep Davante Adams under wraps there and not that that's 613 00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 1: that hard. Recently, the last couple of weeks, DeVante Adams 614 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 1: has been mostly a decoy. Both these teams have struggled 615 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,560 Speaker 1: so much to play a complete game. I don't think 616 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 1: it goes completely one way towards the Raiders or the Broncos. 617 00:37:56,719 --> 00:38:01,120 Speaker 1: And I like getting the point, so I'm gonna take 618 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:05,080 Speaker 1: Denver plus the points. Raiders, as I said, Uh, they're 619 00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:06,920 Speaker 1: not the right side here, but they will win the game, 620 00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:08,480 Speaker 1: but they will not win the bet. That's all we 621 00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:12,239 Speaker 1: care about. The gambling line. Raiders twenty four Broncos twenty three. 622 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:16,799 Speaker 1: The final said the Raiders were gonna win. Well, they're 623 00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:19,279 Speaker 1: gonna win, but yes, but the Broncos are gonna win 624 00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:25,840 Speaker 1: the bet. That's all we care about. The penny agrees 625 00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: with you. Also going on the Broncos side. Cool Broncos last, 626 00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 1: all right, So that is the Raider Bronco game. Next 627 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:39,080 Speaker 1: up New England at green Bay. That's actually one of 628 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:42,640 Speaker 1: my stronger plays. New England one and two, Green Bay 629 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:46,000 Speaker 1: two and one. It's on CBS with Jim Nance and 630 00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:49,840 Speaker 1: Tony Romo. They have the call. The Packers opened up 631 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,279 Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite that skyrocketed all 632 00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:55,440 Speaker 1: the way up to nine and a half and everyone 633 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:59,640 Speaker 1: thinks this is a free money game. Almost on Green 634 00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:03,760 Speaker 1: Bay a mostly sunny, temperatures in the sixties at kickoff 635 00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:10,400 Speaker 1: at Lamb Bowle Field, the mild tundra this week. So 636 00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:12,920 Speaker 1: some of the trends and numbers in this game. Brian 637 00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:17,319 Speaker 1: Hoyer oh and eleven his last eleven starts. He has 638 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 1: not won a game in six years. In fact, on 639 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:26,000 Speaker 1: Sunday when this game is played, it will be exactly 640 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:33,040 Speaker 1: six years October two, the last time Brian Hoyer started 641 00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 1: a game and walked off the field with a victory. 642 00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,640 Speaker 1: The point spread difference, What is the difference you ask 643 00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 1: between Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer. Well, the drop off 644 00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:49,759 Speaker 1: according to the experts is right around four points. So 645 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:54,360 Speaker 1: the bookmaker believes the Patriots are about four points worse 646 00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:58,640 Speaker 1: with Brian Hoyer. The Packers have been straight money at 647 00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 1: home there twenty and nine against the spread with Matt 648 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:07,719 Speaker 1: Lafleur coaching. But I'm gonna take the Patriots. I like 649 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,360 Speaker 1: the Patriots. No Mac Jones, he's got the bad ankle. 650 00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 1: No chance, I say, not so fast is what I say. 651 00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:17,360 Speaker 1: There's actually, to me, not as big a gap between 652 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:22,399 Speaker 1: Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer as the wise guys think. 653 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,160 Speaker 1: The Patriots bread and butter. If they're gonna win games 654 00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,320 Speaker 1: this year, it's gotta be with the running game, Damien 655 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:33,680 Speaker 1: Harris and raymondre Stevenson. The Packers are eighteen against the run. 656 00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:37,920 Speaker 1: They're allowing a hundred and thirteen rushing yards per games, 657 00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 1: so there's yards to be had there, and the Patriots 658 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:46,719 Speaker 1: have to play a methodical, suck the clockdown type of strategy. 659 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,399 Speaker 1: And you mix in the fact that cream Bay does 660 00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 1: not have the wow factor. They don't have the big 661 00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:58,120 Speaker 1: playmakers for Aaron Rodgers, and this game is a value play. 662 00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:01,719 Speaker 1: This is a value play. I love getting over a touchdown. 663 00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,200 Speaker 1: And this is one of those games everyone just assumed 664 00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:06,279 Speaker 1: Screen Bay can show up and collect to win. And 665 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,800 Speaker 1: last week the Patriots were leading the Ravens at halftime. 666 00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,440 Speaker 1: We played a terrible third quarter. They had a defensive meltdown. 667 00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:15,000 Speaker 1: I get it, that's part of the game. But I'm 668 00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 1: gonna take the Patriots plus the nine and a half 669 00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:28,279 Speaker 1: Packers and the Patriots twenty three penny going chalk here 670 00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:31,640 Speaker 1: with the Packers. Alright, the Penny going in that direction. 671 00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:36,480 Speaker 1: Next up, we had to Sunday Night Football on and 672 00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:41,719 Speaker 1: be see Kansas City two and one at Tampa Bay 673 00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:45,799 Speaker 1: two and one. You've got Mike Tarico and Chris Collinsworth 674 00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 1: in the booth. Now, this game is supposed to be 675 00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:52,440 Speaker 1: played at Raymond James Stadium, but there's a kind of 676 00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,279 Speaker 1: a big storm and as we're doing this, we we're 677 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:57,320 Speaker 1: not sure it could be played in Minnesota or in Tampa. 678 00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,560 Speaker 1: Doesn't really matter. The Chiefs opened to two point favorite. 679 00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:03,399 Speaker 1: The Chiefs are a three point favorite in this game. 680 00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:07,520 Speaker 1: The money is pretty even. Kansas City their last fifteen 681 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 1: games on the road, revenging a road loss, they are 682 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,480 Speaker 1: eleven three and one, so they've been a very good bet. 683 00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:20,360 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, also at home with Tom Brady, has been wonderful, 684 00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:24,280 Speaker 1: and as an underdog there ten four and one, last 685 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,720 Speaker 1: fifteen at home with Brady, and as an underdog obviously 686 00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:32,000 Speaker 1: most of those games as an underdog without Brady. Tampa 687 00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: Bay and the Giants the only two teams without first 688 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:42,040 Speaker 1: half touchdowns this season. The Giants and Tampa Bay. Holy 689 00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:46,399 Speaker 1: Tom Brady, Batman, you've got Brady Mahomes. They've faced each 690 00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:48,759 Speaker 1: other five times, Brady has a three to two edge 691 00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:51,480 Speaker 1: in the head to head, But I'm gonna take the Chiefs. 692 00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Kansas City here, Tom Brady, Mahomes the headliners. 693 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,440 Speaker 1: But the story of this game defense, defense, defense. Kansas 694 00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:03,200 Speaker 1: City and Tampa have been crushing people, crushing skulls all season. 695 00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,400 Speaker 1: Tampa's allowing nine points per game. They have played a 696 00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:10,799 Speaker 1: couple of inferior offensive teams, the Cowboys with Dak Prescott, 697 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 1: who was no good and he got hurt, and then 698 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:15,919 Speaker 1: they also played sat the Saints, who are a mess. 699 00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:19,320 Speaker 1: The Chiefs defense. Had they've been able to contain Kyler 700 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,839 Speaker 1: Murray justin Herbert, they had the lead, should have, could 701 00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,520 Speaker 1: have would have beaten Matt Ryan and the coast. There 702 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:29,640 Speaker 1: was that donculous unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on third down that 703 00:43:29,760 --> 00:43:33,279 Speaker 1: extended any Annapolis drive, helped them win the game. So 704 00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,520 Speaker 1: I think this is a low scoring game. I trust 705 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,640 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes at this point more than forty five year 706 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:41,320 Speaker 1: old Tom Brady. I know that Tampa's getting Mike Evans 707 00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:45,120 Speaker 1: back from suspension. Julio Jones, the washed up Julio Jones, 708 00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:47,640 Speaker 1: is back as well. But I'm gonna take the Chiefs 709 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:52,480 Speaker 1: low scoring game, Chiefs twenty four and the Buccaneers nineteen 710 00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:59,640 Speaker 1: the final and the Penny would like to join you 711 00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,319 Speaker 1: and and d read out for some nice marin Era 712 00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:07,040 Speaker 1: case little Ravioli with the Marinerera. Can't go wrong with 713 00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:11,200 Speaker 1: that unless you drop it on your foot. Alright, last game, Danny, 714 00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:15,040 Speaker 1: We're at the last game on the card. Monday Night Football. 715 00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:19,000 Speaker 1: The l a I am two and one at San 716 00:44:19,160 --> 00:44:22,200 Speaker 1: Francisco one and two. It's on ESPN Slash ABC with 717 00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:26,040 Speaker 1: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. Yeah, I guess got some 718 00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,239 Speaker 1: money here. The guys that took the Saudi Oil money 719 00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,680 Speaker 1: to go over to their ESPN took that big paycheck, 720 00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:33,960 Speaker 1: and so the forty Niners, good for them. I do 721 00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:37,520 Speaker 1: the same thing. Forty Niners opened up a two point favorite. 722 00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:41,080 Speaker 1: They are favored by one and the handle on this 723 00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:46,680 Speaker 1: game in favor of the l a RAMS. The numbers 724 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:48,440 Speaker 1: coming in here. It's gonna be in the temperatures in 725 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,440 Speaker 1: the seventies at Levi Stadium in Santa Clara. The last 726 00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,440 Speaker 1: seven games, Kyle Shanahan has gone against Sean McVeigh with 727 00:44:56,560 --> 00:45:01,200 Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo six and one. The Niners record but the 728 00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:05,560 Speaker 1: Rams have been a wonderful road team with Sean McVeigh 729 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:08,800 Speaker 1: except against the forty Niners overall, the twenty seven and 730 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:13,840 Speaker 1: nineteen against the spread. Uh, and I really was looking 731 00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:16,719 Speaker 1: to take the forty Niners in this game. You're probably thinking, well, 732 00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:18,480 Speaker 1: why would you do that. You're a Rams fan, you 733 00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:21,040 Speaker 1: should take the you know, we just take the Ram. Well, 734 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Rams. But I like betting on underdogs, 735 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,719 Speaker 1: and the forty Niners have been able to just kick 736 00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:29,560 Speaker 1: the snot out of the Rams in recent years, except 737 00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:32,399 Speaker 1: for the NFC Championship game, where there was a key 738 00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:36,600 Speaker 1: drop thank god by a forty Niner defender in that game. 739 00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,560 Speaker 1: But recent history on side on the side of the Niners. 740 00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 1: But men, are they struggling right now and in this season. 741 00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:47,880 Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo, he's been lousy since he took over, and 742 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:50,839 Speaker 1: really he's been lousy since last year. The last six 743 00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:55,040 Speaker 1: games going back to the playoffs, Garoppolo has five touchdowns, 744 00:45:55,080 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 1: six interceptions of passer rating of one. And San Francisco 745 00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:01,239 Speaker 1: while they have been able to push around and be 746 00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:05,359 Speaker 1: bullies against the Rams, the physicality, it's gonna be harder 747 00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:07,160 Speaker 1: to do that the Niners have not been able to 748 00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:11,960 Speaker 1: run the ball consistently. Well, they don't have their starting 749 00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:15,920 Speaker 1: left tackle now. Trent Williams, the Mountain Man, has a 750 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,760 Speaker 1: bad ankle, so he's out for at least a month, 751 00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,160 Speaker 1: and so you've got Deebo Samuel as An Island as 752 00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,520 Speaker 1: the only playmaker. I know that I'm saying this, and 753 00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:28,160 Speaker 1: I've said these things before in the Rams have played 754 00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:31,239 Speaker 1: the Niners, and I've looked like a complete donkey, but 755 00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:34,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Sean mcveigher. I think there's something 756 00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:37,600 Speaker 1: to this, the Niners having their issues here, and this 757 00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:39,800 Speaker 1: seems like a pretty good opportunity. The Rams have not 758 00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:42,239 Speaker 1: figured things out, even though they beat the Cardinals last week. 759 00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:46,040 Speaker 1: There's still some underlying issues there with the Rams. But 760 00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,319 Speaker 1: I'll take the l a Rams three. You can ram 761 00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:50,920 Speaker 1: it all day, you can ram it all night. And 762 00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:57,960 Speaker 1: the forty Niners twenty and the penny is showing some 763 00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:02,560 Speaker 1: copper balls doing what you wouldn't do. Taking the Niners alright, 764 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,320 Speaker 1: Taking the Niners there painting for gold, panning for gold 765 00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,080 Speaker 1: there with the forty Nights, Well, that that is it. 766 00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:11,320 Speaker 1: That is it. Good luck, May all your bets be 767 00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:15,399 Speaker 1: winning ones. And remember, good teams win, great teams cover, 768 00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:19,040 Speaker 1: and that's the key thing here. It's one thing to win. 769 00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:21,719 Speaker 1: But did you cover the spread? And you can be 770 00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,160 Speaker 1: really bad and as long as you cover, we're good 771 00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:27,400 Speaker 1: with that. And so we'll see what happens, and uh, 772 00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:31,520 Speaker 1: we'll check in next week, same time, same podcast station. 773 00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:36,880 Speaker 1: Until then, have a wonderful rest of your Friday. Asta pasta, 774 00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:38,560 Speaker 1: gotta murder, Gotta go.