1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's move to the semiconductor chip space, if you will, 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:06,040 Speaker 1: and more pain here for some of the corporates involved 3 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: with video, the latest one to give a week forecast 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,319 Speaker 1: for the current period. It does suggest to demand maybe 5 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 1: even worse than fear. Let's get over and discuss all 6 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 1: this with Ian King, Bloomberg News US semiconductor reporter. We 7 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: got to the moment after ours four and a half 8 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: pers sent down video that they missed their forecast by 9 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: a billion dollars. Now, surely these corporate companies that normally 10 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,599 Speaker 1: try and under promise and over deliver, this is not 11 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: the case here. Yeah. I mean what in video is 12 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: basically saying is, look, we have got this mountain of 13 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: inventory that essentially the massive dip that we're seeing contumer 14 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: spending driven by inflation quarter that we just couldn't respond 15 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 1: in time. We have all of these chips. Suppliers have 16 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: all of these chips that you know, we just don't 17 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: have the absolute demand for. So we're just going to 18 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 1: undership what's going after shelves for the next couple of 19 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: quarters and make sure that all of this works its 20 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: way through the system and that we get back to 21 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 1: a more healthy position. Is this a darling that's kind 22 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: of gone off the rails, or is this all understandable 23 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 1: given you know, this sort of progression of the pandemic 24 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: and and bottlenecks and the like, a mixture of both. 25 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 1: I would say, I think what has been underestimated by 26 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: investors is the amount of these GPU chips and video 27 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: makes that we're actually in the hands of the crypto minors. 28 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: And that's obviously a very volatile situation. And there's new 29 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: technology under way that will basically mean that video's chip 30 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: won't be used for this market anymore. So there's been 31 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: a lot of a lot of lack of clarity there. 32 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: But on the flip side, look, this is what the 33 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 1: chip industry does. It always gets ahead of itself, it 34 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 1: always gets caught out, and it always then has to 35 00:01:56,680 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: do this called inventory correction. The question is always how 36 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: long so, And I mean, we have a situation right 37 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: now also that other PC makers are feeling it. And 38 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: to me about gaming revenue, how that really held up 39 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:13,679 Speaker 1: if it did hold up at a tour, which sure 40 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 1: it didn't. And on top of that, one of the 41 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: main drivers of growth that we've seen is the data centers. 42 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: Now you know how are they doing, and what's the 43 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: sort of forecast for them looking ahead, because that's going 44 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: to really also be something that we're going to be 45 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: perhaps looking at again in the next quarter. Yeah. No, 46 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: I mean you've you've nailed at These are the two 47 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: things that people are worried about. You know, just spoke 48 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: with the CEO about half an hour ago and he said, look, 49 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 1: you know, fundamentally the gaming market is in, you know, 50 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: in a good place. You know, lots of games out there, 51 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 1: lots of two technology, and there lots of exignment. But 52 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: you know, consumer spending is what it is. We'll just 53 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: have to work our way through this. So obviously that's 54 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: a you know, a rather sort of how can I 55 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: put this less bullish approach, and we've heard from him 56 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: about that market. Data center is a very different situation though, 57 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 1: he's saying, look, we just literally can't meet demand. We 58 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: can't get enough of the support chips we need for 59 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: the cards we need for the systems, otherwise would be 60 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: even better than this record level that we're at. So 61 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: two very different situations. You know that the chip industry 62 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: is kind of two faces if you like that. We're 63 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 1: still not out of the chip shortages. But we're already 64 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: into oversupply of other types of chips. So consumer electronics 65 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: and smartphones suffering I guess a lot here, and part 66 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: of that can be explained, I suppose by inflation. But 67 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 1: since data center is more on the enterprise side, that 68 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: looks pretty solid and maybe enough to wretch things back. Yeah, 69 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: I mean the balance of these two businesses. For in videos, 70 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: it's it's very much at that point right where if 71 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: data center has a really really good quarter and gaming 72 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: stays at kind of this level, then data center will 73 00:03:56,080 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: be more important. But overall, the problem, Brian and is 74 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: that there is concerned amongst the analysts based upon what 75 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: other chipmakers have said that guess what, we're consumer leads 76 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: than enterprise will follow because we'll see an overall week 77 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: in the economy and that'll cause large companies to cut 78 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 1: their budgets and that will just work. It's right, screw 79 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: into things like in videos data center business. So that's 80 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:25,159 Speaker 1: the abiding concern untils sorry in vidious CEO. So don't 81 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: worry about that. We're not seeing that. The technology reasons 82 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: for all of this data center spending is still strong. 83 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: Don't planic kind of thing. But that's that's definitely in 84 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 1: underligning concern and I think that's you know, you're asking 85 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: the right questions in let's have also look at how 86 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 1: in videos stacks up next to its rivals, and you 87 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:46,839 Speaker 1: know they've said similar things. Does this perhaps lead that 88 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 1: would be because of the number of them cause regulatory 89 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: concerns some consolidation. The problem, I think is that there's 90 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: been so much over the last four or five years 91 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: that we're down to a very few players, and as 92 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 1: we saw within Video and their attempt to get hold 93 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 1: of UM that there's just so much opposition amongst the 94 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: customer base, you know, those willing to whisper to regulators 95 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: around the world. But you know, consolidation is just is 96 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 1: just very, very difficult to go through as a process 97 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: because there's so many ways to undermine any deal that 98 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: gets proposed that it just doesn't seem to be a 99 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: huge amount of appetite for that right now, anything that's 100 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 1: not small and just roughly an add on that nobody 101 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: cares about kind of thing. Just in ten seconds, margins 102 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,880 Speaker 1: margin held them well. Margin's held up well because we're 103 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: moving to the sort of speaks speaks to management, I suppose, 104 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: And yeah, anyway out of time this time, but Jensen 105 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 1: Wong is a good operator. Interesting to see how long 106 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: it takes for the company to bounce back. Ian King 107 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: with US as usual, providing some insightful commentary.