1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:05,199 Speaker 1: Why from our nation's how do we reopen this economy? 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What 3 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: does this do for the United States relationship with China? 4 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:16,600 Speaker 1: Floomberg Sound On, The Insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're 5 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like 6 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: never before. We're looking at seventy kennidates for different vaccines. 7 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,280 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this scale 8 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: Surrel on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven fm 10 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: h D. Two Eyes on Florida as both President Trump 11 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden head to the Sunshine State. 12 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 1: All important, and of course tuesday's election Speaker Pelosi talks 13 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: to our David Weston will give you the latest on 14 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 1: the fiscal stimulus front. No surprise they're not getting to 15 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: a deal. All of that, plus the latest on what's 16 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 1: happening in the markets today. First though, let's get a 17 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: check of the headlines from my good friend Nancy Lions 18 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: and NaN's thanks, Kevin, you said it. Florida is in 19 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: the focus today for both presidential candidates President Trump and 20 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 1: Joe Biden have been holding rallies in the Sunshine State. 21 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: Melania Trump kicked things off for her husband. For those 22 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 1: of you who are still deciding who vote for on Tuesday, 23 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: I hope that what I have to say will prove 24 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: to you that a vote for President Trump is a 25 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 1: vote for a better America. At a drive in rally 26 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 1: in Broward County, Joe Biden told his supporters if Florida 27 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 1: goes blue, he wins it. All these final days, stay empowered, 28 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 1: stay optimistic, stay united, make a plan to vote. And 29 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 1: a Monmouth University poll release today, Biden leads Trump tot 30 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: cent among registered voters in Florida in a model for 31 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: a high turnout election that goes to we'll give up 32 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: on the mail and take your ballot to a drop box. 33 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: That's the advice being given by the local elections officials. 34 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: Maryland officials say more than one point six million voters 35 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: in Maryland requested mail ballots this year, a roughly tenfold 36 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: increase in twenty sixteen, but due to continued postal delays, 37 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: they're saying it may be too late to return to 38 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: your ballot by mail. They're suggesting voters drop off ballots 39 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: at one of the states two two drop boxes. The 40 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: state requires that ballots be postmarked by November three and 41 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 1: then received by November. In order to count in Virginia, 42 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: all mailed ballots must be postmarked November three and received 43 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: by noon November six. Well after making its deepest plunge 44 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:43,399 Speaker 1: in seven decades in the second quarter, the US economy 45 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 1: bounced back in the third with an annualized gain of 46 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: thirty at top economists estimates of a thirty two pent rise. Analysts, 47 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: though remain cautious for the future. Outlook is the virus 48 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: surges and additional relief remains elusive. It's unclear if the 49 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: report will impact the election, given more than seventy seven 50 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 1: million Americans have already cast their ballot. There is a 51 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: positive direction today on Wall Street, the DAL was up 52 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 1: a hundred thirty nine points to twenty six thousand, six 53 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: fifty nine. Yesterday, you may remember, it dropped more than 54 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: nine hundred points. The Nasdaq was up a hundred eighty 55 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: one points to eleven thousand six in the SNP game 56 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,640 Speaker 1: thirty nine Global News twenty four hours a day on 57 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: air and on Bloomberg Quick Take powered by more than 58 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,639 Speaker 1: twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts and more than a 59 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty countries. I'm Nancy Allions back to you, Kevin, 60 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: and see my name is Kevin SURREALI. I'm the chief 61 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. All 62 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: eyes on Florida, folks. As now we are just days 63 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: away from the presidential election. Former Vice President Joe Biden 64 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: and President Trump holding dueling rallies in the battleground state 65 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: of Florida today as the clock ticks down till election day. 66 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: On Tuesday, at a drive in rally in the politically 67 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: famous Broward, Connie fired up. Joe Biden urged supporters to 68 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: get out the vote. Here he is, you haul the key. 69 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: If Florida goes blue, it's over. It's over. And then 70 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 1: there was President Trump. Here's President Trump. We're never gonna 71 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: lockdown again. We locked down, we understood the disease, and 72 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: now we're open for business. And that's what it is. 73 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 1: That was President Trump speaking, and earlier later on in 74 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 1: the program, speaking of speaking of the economy, we're going 75 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 1: to hear from an exclusive interview that our David Weston 76 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: did with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. But first 77 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: let's get a lay of the political map from Greg 78 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 1: Darau Bloomberg, Government elections reporter Greg All important Florida. What's 79 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: the latest in terms of the polls are saying in 80 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: the early voting is saying well, in Florida, it's very 81 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: key to the presidency. Of course, just about every time 82 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 1: Florida votes for the winner of the presidential election, see 83 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:03,840 Speaker 1: a robust vote in early voting, but also mail in 84 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:09,159 Speaker 1: votes UM and in person votes. The the voting by 85 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: mail has favored Democrats, but voting in person early has 86 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: favored Republicans. And so on election night we need to 87 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: exercise some cautution because once those first votes start hit 88 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: shortly after seven pm Eastern time in those counties that 89 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: closed at that time on the eastern coast, we could 90 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: see a lead for Biden materialized early, but Trump could 91 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: whittle away at it depending on who shows up on 92 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 1: election day. Okay, what specific parts of Florida shall we 93 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,279 Speaker 1: be paying attention? So well, we can look at almost 94 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 1: every county and just compared to the sixteen baseline. Now, 95 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: Trump and Clinton did in the sixteen races, but there 96 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 1: are some counties of note in Florida that tend to 97 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: vote like the nation or like the state at large. 98 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 1: And a couple of counties I'm looking at pretty closely 99 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: include Panellis County that includes clear Water and St. Petersburg 100 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: on the on the Tampa Bay Coast that voted very 101 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: closely to the Florida totals in the election. And then, 102 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: given President Trump's uh weakness or softness amongst some senior 103 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: citizen uh senior citizen voters, you can look at counties 104 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 1: that have larger, higher median ages, like Sumter County, which 105 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: includes the villages the President recently made a campaign visit there. 106 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: It has the highest median age in the country. Trump 107 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: carried it by forty and if he loses, if he 108 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: wins it by say or thirty, you know it's a 109 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: warning sign because you should be winning it by more. Okay, Meanwhile, 110 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: let's go off the coast. It's in North Carolina. What's 111 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: the lightest on North Carolina. There, you've got really close 112 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: races at all levels of the ballot for president, for Senate, 113 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: even for the state legislature. In a couple of House seats. 114 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: It's a seven thirty PM poll closing time, and North 115 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 1: Carolina is permitted to kind of collect and process votes 116 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: that come early, unlike in some northern states. Um, so 117 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 1: we may get the result of North Carolina perhaps Tuesay 118 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: night or early Wednesday morning, depending on how close it is. 119 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: But it's yes, it's It's definitely one of the six 120 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: or seven top states worth watching in the presidential election, 121 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: and also one of the top four or five states 122 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: to watch in terms of control of the Senate. Greg 123 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: Drowse with me Bloomberg, Government Elections reporter. Greg. You know, 124 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: you look at a state like Pennsylvania and at folks. 125 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: Greg is literally the battleground political map mind of Bloomberg. 126 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: He knows every county, every parish down in Florida. But 127 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: you know, I look at a state like Pennsylvania so 128 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: incredibly important. Uh. And and the south eastern, not the southwestern, 129 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: the southeastern part of the state where you've got to 130 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 1: policy issues on a collision course. Racial inequality in the 131 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: city of Brotherly Love, where there is a nine pm 132 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: carfew because of the killing of a black man um 133 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: by police officers. Uh. And that that incident that has 134 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: sparked looting and protests, some peaceful so I'm not uh 135 00:07:56,840 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 1: in Philadelphia. And then you've got the issue of fracking, 136 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: an energy policy where news overnight on the Bloomberg Terminal 137 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: just across the river, where people commute back and forth 138 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: across the Delaware River on the Commodore Barry Bridge, where 139 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: they've got a refinery laying off two D fifty workers, 140 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 1: all of their refinery workers. How how is Pennsylvania? How 141 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: is that? Right? There? An illustration of the dynamics in Pennsylvania. 142 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: Greg really fascinating state. Pennsylvania very well, maybe the so 143 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: called tipping points state. It's certainly a state where I 144 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: want to know the results of the of the election 145 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: there is sooner rather than later. But it could be 146 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: a long count because Pennsylvania is not one of those 147 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:41,959 Speaker 1: states that can process early votes before election days. So 148 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,080 Speaker 1: we may see on election night in Pennsylvania, Donald Trump 149 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: move out to an early lead that Joe Biden may 150 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: whittle away at and possibly take over the lead later 151 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: later in the week. Even but it's a pretty fascinating 152 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 1: state politically. You've got a number of counties worth watching there. Um, 153 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: there are three counties in Pennsylvania that voted for Barack 154 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 1: Obama and Donald Trump. In Erie County where Trump made 155 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: a visit a few days ago, Luzerne County near Scranton, 156 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 1: and then Northampton County. Uh, in the in the you know, 157 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: in the eastern part of state of the Poconos. So 158 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 1: you've got those three counties there. But as you mentioned, 159 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 1: it's a fascinating state where you've had Southeastern Pennsylvania kind 160 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: of moved towards Democrats the last couple of decades, but 161 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:28,199 Speaker 1: southwestern Pennsylvania, which used to be very ancestry Democratic, shifted 162 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,839 Speaker 1: strongly toward Trump. And then you've got this big T 163 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: that I like to call it that Pennsyltucky. You've got 164 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: a T, kind of a big T. I think Rhodes Cook, 165 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 1: a political analyst, coined this. But you've got a big 166 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: tea across the northern tier of Pennsylvania and cutting down 167 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: the middle that is overwhelmingly Republican. And Trump in really 168 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 1: squeezed a lot of votes there out of those rural 169 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: counties that enabled him to overcome his deficits in Metro Philadelphia. 170 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: All right, Uh, what else is on your radar in 171 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,319 Speaker 1: terms of other battleground states. What do we miss seeing? 172 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: Greg Drew? Give us, give us the what are we missing? 173 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: What do you think? Uh, we're not seeing well. You 174 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: always get some early signs from some of the early 175 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: poll closing states, although we may not know the results 176 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:13,439 Speaker 1: of them right away. But the first polls closed at 177 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 1: six o'clock Eastern time in Indiana and Kentucky. There's a 178 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: suburban Indianapolis district. I'm watching closely there, But seven o'clock 179 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: is when most of Florida closes. As I mentioned, Georgia 180 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 1: is also worth watching very closely. Their poll closing time 181 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:29,680 Speaker 1: is seven pm Eastern. They've got not one but two 182 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: US Senate races and both could go to runoffs in 183 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 1: January if no one wins a majority of the vote. 184 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: There are a couple of House races worth watching in 185 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 1: suburban Atlanta, and then the presidential race there is very close. 186 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: We may see Georgia as a top battleground state after 187 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 1: years of Republican dominance. All right, what do you think 188 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,679 Speaker 1: the Greg Jorrow is with us? I mean, do you 189 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: what do you do you fill out like a bracket? 190 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 1: Do you have like your own prediction coloring map? How 191 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,319 Speaker 1: does how does Greg Drew, the political junkie mastermind, predicts 192 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: the election? I don't do a whole lot of predicting. Um. 193 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:06,079 Speaker 1: I do like to watch where the votes are coming 194 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: from and how they compare the previous elections. So how 195 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: I prepare is just and you know, just a lot 196 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: of data crunching. I pull up election results from the 197 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 1: most recent elections, trying to detect trends. But what's your method? 198 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:20,839 Speaker 1: What's your method? Grag give us a little color because 199 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 1: you know on this show we like to go behind 200 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 1: the scenes. Do you do you do you have a 201 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 1: cup of coffee or do you have a certain election? Uh? 202 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: I don't know. Strategy meal, How does someone get that 203 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,520 Speaker 1: much information packed in their head on on these counties 204 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 1: and whatnot? Oh, it's just I think it's an accumulation 205 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 1: of doing the same thing for about you more than 206 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: twenty years. I started doing this in the late nineteen nineties. 207 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 1: I remember two thousand very vividly and seeing, you know, 208 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 1: what happened in Florida, And you know, you just need 209 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: to be prepared and learn as much about the counties 210 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 1: as you can. I like delving into the history of counties. 211 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: I like Pennsylvania as an example. I just it's it's 212 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: just fascinating how much Western Pennsylvania in eastern Pennsylvania basically 213 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: flipped in political orientation over the last or thirty years. 214 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,480 Speaker 1: It is exactly and it's personal. It's so deeply personal 215 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 1: to people. And the great thing about Greg Folks is 216 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 1: that he's just purely data and it's so hard to 217 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 1: come by in this climate. Thanks to Greg Jorrow, I 218 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 1: cannot waits keep talking with you all throughout the week. 219 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: He is, of course, our elections guru here at Bloomberg. 220 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: Coming up next. What happened in the markets? I'm Kevin Cirelli. Speaker. 221 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:30,440 Speaker 1: Pelosi still says she's trying to get to a deal. 222 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: When you're listening to Bloomberg, you're listening to Bloomberg. Sound 223 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 1: on with Kevin Currele on Bloomberg and one oh five 224 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: points seven m h D two. I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief 225 00:12:56,600 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 1: Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. US 226 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: stocks bounced back a day after their biggest route in 227 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: four months, with investors encouraged by better than forecast economic 228 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 1: data even as they keep a wary eye on growing 229 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 1: coronavirus infections. The specks one two percent, the most since 230 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: October twelfth. After President Donald Trump said he plans a 231 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 1: very big package of stimulus following the election, and how 232 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 1: Speaker Nancy Pelosi spoke to our very own David Weston 233 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: about that g d P number more than thirty percent 234 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 1: more than GDP growth in the third quarter according to 235 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 1: the data that we got out from from earlier today. 236 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 1: Take a listen to Speaker Pelosi earlier today on Bloomberg TV. 237 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 1: It is proof that we need to stimulus. Even more so. 238 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 1: The reason we had a good a better second quarter 239 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 1: than uh was a better third quarter is good because 240 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 1: what we did in the Cares Act and the following 241 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 1: a subsequent legislation for p P P that put money 242 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 1: into the economy. Now people are coming. Uh, that's going 243 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 1: to wear off and we need another infusion. We know 244 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: that the said is that was Speaker Pelosi speaking earlier 245 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 1: today on Bloomberg Television. Eric Weener joins me now Bloomberg 246 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 1: Markets Live team leader and the author of two books 247 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: about Wall Street, What Goes Up and the Shadow Market. 248 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: Eric helped me make sense of the market today. Bad day, yesterday, 249 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: good day today? What gave well, it was bad three days. Um. Really, 250 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: the if you look at the SMP it's been down 251 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 1: while starting Monday, it was down five through yesterday, so 252 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 1: really you were kind of ready for a bit of 253 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 1: a giveback. Anyway, Historically after a day like yesterday, you 254 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: usually get some kind of a bounce back, so we 255 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 1: weren't entirely surprised. Um, it was sort of muted. Uh. 256 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 1: You also have what people haven't been talking about is 257 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: um the European Central Bank talking about doing stimulus itself, 258 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: so or you know, easing or however it would be done. 259 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 1: But that's kind of a bullish thing for investors. And 260 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 1: then we also saw a couple of buy programs move 261 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: in late in the afternoon, in the middle of the afternoon, 262 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: and that was really probably triggered by somebody hitting some 263 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: level somewhere. And you know, once that kicks in automatically, 264 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: you have a bunch of computers just buying a bunch 265 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: of stocks. Um, So it lifted things, but I don't 266 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 1: necessarily know if the tenor of the market is that 267 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: this is going to hold Alright, Alright, so this talking 268 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: economic stimulus, you heard from Speaker Pelosi, if you heard 269 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 1: from President Trump, how's that impacting the mood of the markets? 270 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if they buy it. I mean, really, 271 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 1: everybody's kind of on hold until the election. Um. Every 272 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that the President wants a big package, 273 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 1: and he should. It's pretty clear that Pelosi wants a 274 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 1: big package and she should. Good. Uh, it's pretty clear 275 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 1: that they disagree on some of the elements of it, 276 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: but those appear to be able to be bridged. It's 277 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: really the GOP Senate that is most obstructing in this sense. 278 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 1: But I don't know that, like the markets are thinking 279 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: that if Biden comes along and wins and you get 280 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: the Dems Senate, you'll get a bigger stimulus. But I 281 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: don't know that anybody assumes you won't get a nice 282 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: sized stimulus package of Trump wins too, because he's really 283 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: going to go after that hard. It's it's it's really 284 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 1: a remarkable, remarkable recalibration of swords on the markets that 285 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 1: have factored in in recent weeks, the likely election volatility 286 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: coming with the results on Tuesday, and now seemingly we're 287 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 1: caught off guard by some of the lockdowns and restricting 288 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: and maybe lockdowns is too much of a is not 289 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: the appropriate world, but some of the increased restrictions to 290 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: be more precise that are that are happening in Germany 291 00:16:57,000 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: and France, and now the sense of this economic anxiety 292 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: amongst investors that it could happen again in the United 293 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,159 Speaker 1: States because of the uptick and COVID cases. Can you 294 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 1: speak to that. That's absolutely what's going on. So if 295 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 1: you think about the stock market, it's a forward looking mechanism. 296 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,400 Speaker 1: It's trying to predict what's going to happen next. And 297 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 1: the fear really isn't about the election anymore. It's about, 298 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 1: to the extent that it's about the election, it's about 299 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 1: who would manage COVID better. Because really what people are 300 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:29,719 Speaker 1: afraid of are these coming lockdowns or whatever will happen 301 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: restrictions on the economy. I read yesterday that about ten 302 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: percent of office workers are back in New York City. 303 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 1: I'm not back in New York City. I'm working out 304 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 1: of my house. Um, but when you think about like 305 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 1: the amount of money that's just spent commuting, uh, all 306 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 1: of that's gone. And then you have restaurants and you 307 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,359 Speaker 1: have every other aspect of the economy that can be 308 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:54,400 Speaker 1: shut down, and regionally, nationally at some level, it's going 309 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 1: to hit. That's the fear that the market has. That's 310 00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 1: what yesterday was all about. You start seeing things like 311 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 1: France shutting down, and everybody goes, oh my god, that's 312 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 1: gonna happen here. Look at what's going on in the 313 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 1: Upper Midwest. Uh. Eric Wiener's on the line. Uh. And 314 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: and he just did this brilliant, brilliant he's our he's 315 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 1: our Bloomberg Markets Live team leader and the author of 316 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,119 Speaker 1: two books about Wall Street what goes up in the 317 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:19,360 Speaker 1: shadow market. But he just did this incredible, incredible m live, 318 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 1: go speechless feature on the Bloomberg terminal titled a Trader's 319 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: Guide to Election. Uh. Many of our readers participated, as 320 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,880 Speaker 1: well as some of our colleagues. And I was really 321 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,919 Speaker 1: struck by Cameron's comments. Cameron crease Um macro Strategists up 322 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 1: in New York, just about how over in Europe the 323 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 1: equity cyclical tilt should be should see export oriented sectors 324 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 1: catch a bid on less protectionist trade policies. That's the 325 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 1: expectation is that a Biden administration would come in and 326 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: would have less protectionist trade policies. However, based upon my reporting, 327 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 1: I think some of these tariffs Eric are are are 328 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: here to stay. Regardless of the outcome. Um, in November, 329 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 1: I really do well that see you're reporting is interesting 330 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:08,639 Speaker 1: to me because that is not what the market is expecting. 331 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 1: One of the things that we find is that the 332 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 1: market doesn't always read politics right. They don't know how, 333 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 1: but they don't know how. Eric, I gotta jump in 334 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 1: here because it's it's remarkable to me because the way 335 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 1: policy in Washington works, whether it's some of the sanctions 336 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 1: that have been placed in the last couple of weeks 337 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: coming from the State's Department, or at some of the 338 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 1: negotiations that have gone on. Do you really think Biden's 339 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:34,200 Speaker 1: gonna get in there and say, oh, you know what, TikTok, 340 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,239 Speaker 1: We're gonna drop this case or we're gonna do that. 341 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:39,399 Speaker 1: It's not the way it works. No, And it's I 342 00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:41,639 Speaker 1: have these conversations all the time because I actually do 343 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: come from a political background originally. But um, the really, 344 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 1: when you when you look at it, what markets think 345 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: is that Biden will come in and peace will break 346 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: out all over the world, our trading partners back in 347 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,879 Speaker 1: uh in Europe, China will be our friend again, and 348 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: everything is going to be fun. And it's as you 349 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: put it, it's just not that simple. And you just 350 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: don't write wipe out things that have been written into orders. 351 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 1: You don't just discount everything that was done if it 352 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: could have been done easily. Think of what Trump would 353 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 1: have done to Obamacare. So it's just not as simple 354 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: as that. But the market reacts as if this would 355 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:26,159 Speaker 1: be like, you know, flipping a switch. And really, I 356 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,920 Speaker 1: think the expectation is that if Biden comes in, there's 357 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 1: this sea change in kind of how trade works. But 358 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 1: I don't know that consumption is going to be there. 359 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: I mean, even if let's just say piece does break 360 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 1: out all over the world, who's going to buy anything? 361 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 1: Who's making money? And that's really the question. And the 362 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 1: other question is do you really think, folks that Senator 363 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:53,399 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders or Senator Elizabeth Warren are going to be 364 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 1: in favor of the World Trade Organization w t O 365 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:04,240 Speaker 1: uh nominee that the Obama illustration blocked in? Negozi okonjo iweala. 366 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 1: I don't know. That's where populist politics gets really really interesting. 367 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 1: We got a minute left, go ahead? Yeah, Well that's it. 368 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 1: And it's not only senator, it could be cabinet bingo. 369 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 1: You know, so you all of these people who have 370 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 1: varying different agendas are going to be feeding into Biden's 371 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,200 Speaker 1: head and we have no idea where this is going 372 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,679 Speaker 1: to go. And the market is taking a very simplistic 373 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:32,879 Speaker 1: view of a very complex issue. Very good, Eric Quener, 374 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 1: thank you so much for for making time for me today. 375 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,680 Speaker 1: I always learn when I talked to Eric, he's just brilliant, brilliant, brilliant, 376 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:40,959 Speaker 1: and his team has a great special what goes Up? Um, 377 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:42,920 Speaker 1: well that's his book, What Goes Up in the Shadow Market. 378 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 1: But he also has a great special on Bloomberg called 379 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 1: a Trader's Guide to Election. Go check it out. Coming up, 380 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: we head back down to Florida. Adam Goodman is gonna 381 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: join me and Adam Hodge, the Adams, the Atoms are back. 382 00:21:55,359 --> 00:22:17,479 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin CURRELLI you're listening to Bloomberg. Why from our 383 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: nation's CALEA, how do we reopen this economy? The latest 384 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 1: on how this pandemic is impacting farmers? What does this 385 00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: do for the United States relationship with China? Floomberg sound 386 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:33,439 Speaker 1: on the insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're responding to 387 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: this crisis, and manufacturers are stepping up like never before. 388 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 1: You're looking at seventy Kennedys for different vaccines. How do 389 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,440 Speaker 1: we make sure a pandemic of this scale never happens again? 390 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:48,159 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin's related on Bloomberg 391 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 1: one and one oh five point seven fm h D two. 392 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:56,240 Speaker 1: President Trump and Joe Biden hosting dueling rallies in the 393 00:22:56,280 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 1: sunshine state of Florida. We go live to Florida with 394 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: Adam Goodman, plus the latest on the economic stimulus. Speaker 395 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 1: Pelosi talks to our David West in this as US 396 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 1: stocks bounced back a day after their biggest route in 397 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:15,399 Speaker 1: four months. The US economy's record third quarter surge has 398 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: already given way to a more moderate pace of growth, 399 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 1: fresh new economic indicators suggest. First though, let's get a 400 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 1: check of the headlines from my good friend Nancy lions Hey, 401 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: nuts Hey, Kevin. President Trump and Joe Biden have been 402 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: looking for votes in the battleground state of Florida today, 403 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: with both making the argument that they're the best person 404 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 1: to move the country forward. We're never gonna lock down again. 405 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 1: We locked down, we understood the disease, and now we're 406 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 1: open for business. And that's what it is. I'm not 407 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 1: gonna shut down the economy. I'm not gonna shut down 408 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:52,400 Speaker 1: the country, but I'm gonna shut down the virus. President 409 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: Trumph is also expected a campaign in North Carolina today, 410 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: but that trip was canceled due to the winds from 411 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 1: what's left of Zeta. The category to storm the made 412 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: landfall yesterday at about this time. In Louisiana, well a 413 00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: businessman accused of taking part in a fraud and money 414 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,720 Speaker 1: laundering plot with two associates of Rudy Giuliani, is pleaded guilty. 415 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:15,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Nathan Hagar reports David Correa was accused of working 416 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 1: with Leve Parnass and Igor Frewman in a wide ranging 417 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:23,119 Speaker 1: scheme to solicit campaign donations from foreign investors while advancing 418 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: their business interests in the US. One of the charges 419 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 1: against Korea related to a three twenty five thousand dollar 420 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,760 Speaker 1: donation made by Parnass and Frewman to the Trump affiliated 421 00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 1: America First Political Action Committee. Corea's plea is the first 422 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 1: admission of guilt from any of the defendants in the case. 423 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: Nathan Hagar, Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 424 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: m HD two did ec police Department has released bodycam 425 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: footage of the police pursuit and crash that resulted in 426 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:54,120 Speaker 1: the death of twenty year old Karen Hilton. The footage 427 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 1: shows a police cruiser following Hilton, who was riding a 428 00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 1: mop head, and as he exits the alley and t 429 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,679 Speaker 1: and into Kennedy Street in Northwest ec he's hit by 430 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:09,119 Speaker 1: an ongoing passenger vehicle. Hilton's family blames the officers for 431 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 1: his death. Vehicle chases for traffic violations are not allowed 432 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,679 Speaker 1: under mpd S policy. Mayor Muriel Bowser is promising a 433 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,679 Speaker 1: full investigation. I can assure you that we will be 434 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:23,720 Speaker 1: working to get the clear answers about what happened and 435 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:28,200 Speaker 1: share that information as soon as possible. Four officers have 436 00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 1: been placed on leave with their powers revoked pending the 437 00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 1: outcome of the investigation. Former Liberty University president Jerry Folwell Jr. 438 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 1: Is suing the school for defamation and breach of contract. 439 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:45,400 Speaker 1: Folwell claims Liberty accepted false claims against him without investigating them, 440 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 1: forced him to resign, then sought to quote tarnish, minimize, 441 00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 1: and outright destroy the legacy of himself and his family. 442 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 1: He stepped down from leading the school back in August. 443 00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,280 Speaker 1: A cool spring, early fall tempts, and a hurricane in 444 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: August helped reduce the dead zone in the Chesapeake Bay. 445 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 1: The so called dead zone is an area where oxygen 446 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 1: levels are so low that aquatic life dies. In its 447 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:13,440 Speaker 1: annual Dead Zone report, the Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences 448 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 1: at William and Mary found the total amount of hypoxia, 449 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 1: which is the formal name for a dead zone, was 450 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:22,399 Speaker 1: estimated to be considerably lower than in the recent past, 451 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 1: with hypoxia both starting later and ending earlier. It's time 452 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: now for the Beltway business record. Here is Bloomberg S 453 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: Tracy Johnkie Nancy this morning brought news of the fastest 454 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,360 Speaker 1: economic rebound on record, but stocks didn't really take off 455 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,200 Speaker 1: until the White House and how speaker mentioned the possibility 456 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: of a stimulus package after election day. The Dow is 457 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,439 Speaker 1: up a hundred thirty nine points at twenty six thousand, 458 00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 1: six fifty nine. The NASDAC is up a hundred eighty 459 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 1: one points at eleven thousand six, the SMP up thirty 460 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: nine points. GDP growth top thirty three percent during the 461 00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 1: July to September quarter, and now we're hearing from technology 462 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: giants about their performance during roughly this same period. A 463 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,479 Speaker 1: July boycott of Facebook by a thousand advertisers over its 464 00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:11,000 Speaker 1: management of hate speech could not stop revenue games at 465 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,879 Speaker 1: Facebook last quarter, and Apple beat Wall Street's estimates, but 466 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: its revenue from the iPhone fell on The new iPhone 467 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: twelve wasn't launched until this quarter. Some DC businesses and 468 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: building owners are boarding up store fronts in anticipation of 469 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 1: something happening on and after election Day. Most of the 470 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: plywood appears to be going up downtown, where some windows 471 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 1: were smashed during protests in June. District officials say there 472 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,440 Speaker 1: have been no credible threats of election day violence. You 473 00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:40,920 Speaker 1: have the data on business from the belt Way to Baltimore. 474 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 1: I'm Tracy john Kie. This is Bloomberg one oh five 475 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 1: point seven f MHD two. Thanks Tracy. Global News twenty 476 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 1: four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, 477 00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,600 Speaker 1: powered by more than twenty seven journalists and analysts and 478 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: more than a hundred and twenty countries. I'm Nancy Lions. 479 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 1: Back to you, Kevin. Thanks. NAT's My name is Kevin 480 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 1: Cerilli on, the chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television. And 481 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:07,160 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Radio. Let's head to the Sunshine State, Florida, 482 00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 1: where former Vice President Joe Biden and President Trump held 483 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,480 Speaker 1: dueling rallies today in the key battleground state. As the 484 00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: clock ticks down before election day, at a drive in 485 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: rally in Broward County, fired Up, Joe Biden urged supporters 486 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 1: to get out the vote. Here is we're learning to 487 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:28,320 Speaker 1: die within. Donald Trump has waived the white flag, abandoned 488 00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 1: our families, and surrendered to the virus. But the American 489 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:36,239 Speaker 1: people don't give up. We don't give in, and we 490 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: surely don't cower, nor will I under any circumstances. Meanwhile, 491 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 1: President Trump, despite the latest increase in COVID cases and 492 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 1: hospitalizations around the world, not just here in the United 493 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 1: States and Germany, France also imposing new restrictions as a 494 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: result of those cases, he says the focus should be 495 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,440 Speaker 1: on reopening the economy in a way that's safe and healthy. 496 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,800 Speaker 1: Here is in Tampa. We're never gonna lock down again. 497 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 1: We locked down, we understood the disease, and now we're 498 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,560 Speaker 1: open for business. And that's what it is. And then 499 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 1: there's the economy. Reid pickered on the Bloomberg terminal. The 500 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 1: U S economy's record third quarter surge has already given 501 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 1: way to a more moderate pace of growth, with a 502 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 1: fresh jump in coronavirus infections and an extended deadlock over 503 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 1: further stimulus threatening to weigh on activity. Economists coming out 504 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 1: from the government with their g d P gross domestic product, 505 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 1: which jumped thirty three point one percent between July and 506 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 1: September thirty three point one percent. That figure largely reflected 507 00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: a rebound and economic activity after widespread lockdowns earlier this year. 508 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, speaking earlier today to 509 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 1: my colleague David Weston, said that that GDP growth means 510 00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 1: there should be more stimulus. Here she is and it 511 00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:00,479 Speaker 1: is proof that we need to stimulus even more so. Uh. 512 00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 1: The reason we had a good a better second quarter 513 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: than uh was a better third quarter is because what 514 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 1: we did in the Cares Act and the following the 515 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: subsequent legislation for p P P that put money into 516 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 1: the economy. Now people are coming. UH. That's going to 517 00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 1: wear off and we need another infusion. She sent a 518 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: letter to Treasury Secretary Stephen Venusian UH today who and 519 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: he responded and said, quit playing hardball and paraphrasing both sides, 520 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 1: still dug in, Still no signs of a deal. Adam 521 00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:38,920 Speaker 1: Goodman's with me, republican media strategist, columnist and partner Ballard 522 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: Partners in Washington, d C. But he's very familiar with 523 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 1: Florida and Adam Hodge, senior vice president at Aerial Investments. 524 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: Previously he was with the Treasury Department in the Obama administration. 525 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 1: All Right, the two Adams, Adam Goodman, I'll start with you. 526 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: You know, it's that's the lay of the lamb. As 527 00:30:55,520 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: the economy rebounds, but COVID escalates. The economy's rebounding, COVID's 528 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: seemingly hitting another peak. And here we are, just five 529 00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:08,960 Speaker 1: days away out of Goodman. Just when you think we've 530 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 1: had more than enough to consume to figure out how 531 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: this is going to go, we get even more. Me Obviously, 532 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: I think my other, my other friend Adam would agree that, 533 00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 1: you know, to see a thirty or three percent rise 534 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,520 Speaker 1: in g d P, yes, it comes off a very 535 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: very tough second quarter is encouraging. What is an encouraging, frankly, 536 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 1: is Washington still can't get its act together to come 537 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 1: together for a stimulus deal that every economist says, everyone says, 538 00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 1: we need to keep moving forward. But in terms of 539 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: how this impacts, what is about that that happened? Uh? 540 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 1: You heard in the clip leading into the segment uh 541 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 1: coming that the President's down in Tampa Bay talking about 542 00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: he will not close down the economy. I think that 543 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: is underneath all this. That's a very powerful signal. Even 544 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 1: with of cases that might be getting the second spike, 545 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 1: we don't want to go back to a complete lockdown. 546 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 1: That may have a lot to do with some of 547 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 1: the swing boats here in the last five days. Do 548 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: you agree with that, Adam Hodge? I think that this 549 00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 1: is clear that that as long as UH Trump as president, 550 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 1: he's going to do whatever he can to stop the lockdown. 551 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 1: I think that the problem and the disconnect with the 552 00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 1: actual economy and getting the virus under control, because that 553 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: is not married with a push to get people to 554 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,240 Speaker 1: wear masks and socially distance and and do those things 555 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 1: that would help bring the cases under control. I think 556 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,280 Speaker 1: that the number today certainly, Uh. You know that definitely 557 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 1: gets you to open your eyes. But I can't help 558 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 1: but remember that, you know, we've had thirty two weeks 559 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 1: of record high undeployment, and I think the last couple 560 00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 1: of weeks you've seen the job of claims continue to increase, 561 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 1: and so it's a bit of a disconnect from where 562 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 1: we are today. And I agree that there's no clear 563 00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: um past stimulus between now an election day, but it 564 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 1: needs to happen. It should have happened three months ago. Um, 565 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 1: and people are are you know, putting um. They've kind 566 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 1: of spent every last diamond and bank account and they're 567 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 1: wondering where they're going to go next with jobs continuing 568 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,400 Speaker 1: to to suffer. So we got a long road to home, 569 00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 1: and I think biden Is has a strong argument to 570 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 1: make that all of this could have been dealt with 571 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:25,640 Speaker 1: in a much better fashion with much less damage to 572 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,760 Speaker 1: the economy. You know. But one of the things, Adam 573 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 1: uh good Man, we got like swonds left for for 574 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: this answer that Republicans have struggled with. I mean, whether 575 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 1: it's Germany a progressive country, um, France a progressive country, 576 00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 1: they're having to have new restrictions. I mean, this is 577 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 1: not this uptick is not unique to the United States. 578 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: You've got Canada up north, they're having to grapple with 579 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:50,040 Speaker 1: more another round of stimulus. I mean, these fights in 580 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 1: the Western hemisphere are are very similar fights, uh that 581 00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:57,200 Speaker 1: everyone's having, But on the campaign trail it feels like 582 00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: a uniquely American problem here at good. Then the problem 583 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:05,600 Speaker 1: with all this is you have the democratic argument that 584 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 1: if I can distill it is blame this president and 585 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 1: is in competence for two thousand American desks and all 586 00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:16,200 Speaker 1: the damage COVID's done. And yet we see examples all 587 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:18,759 Speaker 1: over the world of the damage it's done all over 588 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 1: the world, and and there's really very few places on 589 00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 1: Earth that is in control of this, so that doesn't 590 00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:27,879 Speaker 1: really watch. What really we really have to focus on 591 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 1: is which one, Joe Biden or President Trump has a 592 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:36,400 Speaker 1: better plan and better, more credible idea of moving forward. 593 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 1: This election right now is a referendum on that, and 594 00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:44,000 Speaker 1: in the election beyond that, Kevin is a referendum on 595 00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 1: the president of the United States. Joe might as well 596 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,960 Speaker 1: does go back to Delaware. This is all about whether 597 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 1: you like or don't like the president and what he's 598 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: done and where he wants to go. Joe can go 599 00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:55,919 Speaker 1: down to Brower County all he wants. It isn't gonna 600 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:57,840 Speaker 1: make any difference, well, you know, and and coming up, 601 00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 1: we're gonna dign much more into this. But I think 602 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 1: in terms of fumbled messaging, I mean, I was reading 603 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:04,520 Speaker 1: in the Wall Street Journal today. Rule is set for 604 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,240 Speaker 1: free vaccines. Here it is seniors and people in private 605 00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 1: health insurance plans are among those who won't be charged 606 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:14,319 Speaker 1: for getting a coronavirus vaccine under a Trump administration rule 607 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: designed to ensure that as many people as possible get 608 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: vaccinated once a shot becomes available. I don't hear that. 609 00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 1: I don't hear that from their surrogates. I don't hear 610 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,960 Speaker 1: that from their messaging. And it's if they bury, they 611 00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:29,359 Speaker 1: bury their own, their own, their own success. I got 612 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 1: the two atoms with me, the the the Atoms sound 613 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 1: on Family. You know it's Halloween. I'm trying to to 614 00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,200 Speaker 1: work that in. Adam Hodges gonna say, Adam Goodman's gonna 615 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:41,360 Speaker 1: stay coming up next, Uh, we talk more politics and 616 00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,840 Speaker 1: policy five four days out, four days and some hours, 617 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,879 Speaker 1: five days. This is it. Buckle up, keep your eye 618 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:51,480 Speaker 1: on the road. I'm Kevin CURRELLI you're listening to Bloomberg 619 00:35:51,600 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: Night and I want Yeah, it's the Adams sounds on Family. 620 00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Curreli, chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 621 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:31,720 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Radio. We got the Adams on the Adams 622 00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,320 Speaker 1: Adam Goodman with Republican media strategist, columnists and partner of 623 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,760 Speaker 1: Ballard Partners in Washington, and Adam Hodge, senior vice president 624 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:44,800 Speaker 1: at Aerial Investments, former Obama Treasury per probably person person, 625 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: former Obama Treasury official. I don't even know Adam. I 626 00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,360 Speaker 1: was still I was I was thinking of how I 627 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 1: was going to ask the Adams if they ever were 628 00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 1: for Halloween Adams family person, person character? What is with 629 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:02,479 Speaker 1: my words today? Adam Hodge? And it's where it's worth. 630 00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 1: Four days off in the election in the world. Are 631 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:08,840 Speaker 1: all card you know, we're all having some models the days. Um. 632 00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:13,480 Speaker 1: You know. I think Adam's family in college once once 633 00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 1: what was This is what I'm asking everybody all, what 634 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:25,319 Speaker 1: was your best Halloween costume ever in your whole life? 635 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:30,960 Speaker 1: It was so dramatic, like a dramatic pause in college 636 00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,319 Speaker 1: that that when you went to college in in in 637 00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:36,080 Speaker 1: the early two thousands, uh, you probably couldn't good to 638 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 1: get away with that. And thankfully there were an iPhones 639 00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 1: back in the in those days. Out of Hodge, out 640 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 1: of Goodman. Let's change the subject, out of Goodman. Uh, 641 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:49,600 Speaker 1: let's we'll talk Halloween later. Um, what was I gonna say? Okay, 642 00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,800 Speaker 1: battleground states, Let's focus back on that mail in ballots 643 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,840 Speaker 1: and increase and mail in ballots. I mean this is 644 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 1: we were talking to the break with our with our 645 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,080 Speaker 1: producers Matt Shirley and and Christine Barrada out how there's 646 00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:05,800 Speaker 1: so many big variables in this in this election mail 647 00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:10,320 Speaker 1: in ballots. You've got Hurricane Zeta, you got hurricane you 648 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:13,520 Speaker 1: got so that's a hurricane. You've got COVID nineteen violence, 649 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 1: potentially so much. Adam Goodman, what's your biggest unknown variable 650 00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 1: heading into Tuesday, whether or not we're gonna know on 651 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:29,640 Speaker 1: Tuesday the third or January third? I think there are 652 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:31,680 Speaker 1: you talked about? The imponderable is the one thing we 653 00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:34,560 Speaker 1: know is there's a heck of a lot of vote 654 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: coming at uh. Supervisors of elections all over the country, 655 00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 1: and many of them don't have frankly, all the machinery 656 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:47,280 Speaker 1: and technology they need to do this counting seamlessly, which 657 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,840 Speaker 1: means with all this vote coming out, I mean, of 658 00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,239 Speaker 1: course you see that the Supreme Court decisions that are 659 00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:55,040 Speaker 1: starting to come out varying on whether or not certain 660 00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:57,759 Speaker 1: states can count. You know, a couple of days or 661 00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:01,320 Speaker 1: longer past election day. What you're looking at is not 662 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 1: an election night, probably not an election week. You're probably 663 00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,360 Speaker 1: looking at a couple of weeks. If it's a close election, 664 00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:10,600 Speaker 1: definitely a couple of weeks. And then you get the 665 00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: thing we don't really want to even confront, which is 666 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,640 Speaker 1: if there are election challenges and a number of key 667 00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,279 Speaker 1: states that may hold the balance and may determine the 668 00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 1: next president United States. And I came out of two 669 00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,920 Speaker 1: thousand three kind of flard. I'm telling you, I still 670 00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:27,920 Speaker 1: have nightmares waking up at night thinking that's still they're 671 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,839 Speaker 1: still counting. Um. If that happens, and you have state 672 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:35,440 Speaker 1: supreme courts that are weighing in in various swing states, 673 00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: then funneled ultimately to the U. S. Supreme Court, we're 674 00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,080 Speaker 1: in for a story bigger than the story of election night. 675 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,480 Speaker 1: You know, it's it's really remarkable. And and you just 676 00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:49,960 Speaker 1: alluded to the Supreme Court case or lack thereof, rather yesterday, 677 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:53,759 Speaker 1: in which Judge Amy Coney Barrett did not participate in 678 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,120 Speaker 1: a spokesman for a c B. As she's as she's 679 00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,560 Speaker 1: known as here in the Beltway. I said that because 680 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:01,320 Speaker 1: her for staying on the job was at the beginning 681 00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:04,440 Speaker 1: of the week, she didn't have enough time to prepare 682 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:07,440 Speaker 1: or participate in. But they left the door open for 683 00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:12,600 Speaker 1: additional cases. And so to Adam Goodman's point right there, 684 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,439 Speaker 1: just because they didn't have a ruling yesterday on North 685 00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:20,560 Speaker 1: Carolina and Pennsylvania or taken up, they still left wiggle 686 00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 1: room for there to be additional cases. You mentioned North Carolina. 687 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:30,920 Speaker 1: Hawk the tar Heel state of North Carolina. Uh, just 688 00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,840 Speaker 1: a key, key, key battleground state. You know. When President 689 00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:39,279 Speaker 1: Trump at his campaign officials just last month outlined their 690 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,840 Speaker 1: paths to the White House, they offered seven different paths 691 00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:45,840 Speaker 1: to the White House. Five of the seven included winning 692 00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:49,840 Speaker 1: North Carolina. So the what happened yesterday with the Supreme 693 00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,840 Speaker 1: Court was that if you have a ballot postmark in 694 00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,680 Speaker 1: the in the tar Heel State on November three, election 695 00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,600 Speaker 1: day and it gets it can be counted to November 696 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,799 Speaker 1: twelve at five pm Eastern. So what does that mean. 697 00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 1: It means we might not know who won North Carolina 698 00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 1: until days days after UM Adam Hodge in terms of 699 00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:20,799 Speaker 1: the dynamics of our viral media cycle, not even a 700 00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:25,280 Speaker 1: twenty four hour cycle, a Twitter cycle, just the national discourse. 701 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,279 Speaker 1: And I don't want to get too hypothetical here, but 702 00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:30,400 Speaker 1: we really should be preparing for not having a result 703 00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:34,280 Speaker 1: on November three. That's right, And Kevin, I think that's 704 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:38,600 Speaker 1: part of the reasons, UH that you've seen the Biden 705 00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:42,120 Speaker 1: campaign and allies and the UH in the Democratic Party 706 00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:45,319 Speaker 1: encouraging people to take their ballots and either drop them 707 00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,160 Speaker 1: off at a polling place or in a ballot drop 708 00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:50,600 Speaker 1: box instead of putting them in the mail. Now you 709 00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 1: know it is encouraging that. Um, if you postmark your 710 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:56,719 Speaker 1: ballot by them by election day, it should count. That 711 00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,279 Speaker 1: seems like a pretty intuitive as you can walk into 712 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,760 Speaker 1: a polling place and cash your vote on election day, 713 00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,520 Speaker 1: mailing it by election they shouldn't be an issue. Um, 714 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,560 Speaker 1: But I think I have an abundance of caution, and 715 00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:10,680 Speaker 1: given the delays that we've seen in the post office, 716 00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:14,560 Speaker 1: everyone should if everything considering about filling out an abstute 717 00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:16,680 Speaker 1: about just drop it off, take it or take it 718 00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:22,359 Speaker 1: to a polling place. And why why risking Go ahead? Good? Now, 719 00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,280 Speaker 1: I was gonna say. I was gonna say, Adam Gidman, 720 00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:26,600 Speaker 1: you're gonna be with me for the rest of the hour. 721 00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:28,480 Speaker 1: And I know, Adam Hodge, you've got to run, So 722 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:29,799 Speaker 1: I wanted to make sure I was able to ask 723 00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:33,680 Speaker 1: you this. You served in the Treasury Department for UH, 724 00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:36,239 Speaker 1: for the Obama White House, and and there is a 725 00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,560 Speaker 1: lot of questions. Some of them, I think they're they're justified. 726 00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 1: How do you, based upon the conversations that you have 727 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:47,280 Speaker 1: a democratic officials, how do you foresee abiden administration governing 728 00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:51,440 Speaker 1: if he wins, will he pick maybe not Senator Elizabeth 729 00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:54,600 Speaker 1: Warren for the Treasury Department, but someone from her ideology 730 00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:56,719 Speaker 1: to lead some of these agencies. Because a lot of 731 00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:59,759 Speaker 1: a lot of Centrists, you know, are worried about that, 732 00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:02,239 Speaker 1: and a lot of Republicans who are turned off by 733 00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:05,600 Speaker 1: Trump's rhetoric and considering voting for Joe Biden. Maybe they 734 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:07,800 Speaker 1: that's a big question for them. We're gonna talk energy 735 00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:09,640 Speaker 1: policy in a minute, but let's let's stick with treasury 736 00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:12,160 Speaker 1: right here, Adam Hodge in a minute. Yeah, I think 737 00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:17,160 Speaker 1: that that one of the we're all crossing our fingers 738 00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:19,839 Speaker 1: and toes and whatever, and knocking on as much as 739 00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:22,160 Speaker 1: became that that Biden gets to make that that choice. 740 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,720 Speaker 1: I think he's someone who saw the importance of having 741 00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:30,280 Speaker 1: a functioning government, having competent leaders in important cabinet positions 742 00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:34,399 Speaker 1: who can um get things done and not get held 743 00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,440 Speaker 1: up on some of the um sort of more nuanced 744 00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:39,520 Speaker 1: pieces of running an agency. And so I think you 745 00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:42,840 Speaker 1: may see him turn to someone with experience and market 746 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:47,120 Speaker 1: experience to Adam, have fun with the family this Halloween, 747 00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,840 Speaker 1: all right, and I kind of curious for what you 748 00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:53,240 Speaker 1: want for Halloween. And uh, let me know off the record, 749 00:43:53,440 --> 00:44:10,080 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Sirelli more Nex. You're listening to Bloomberg. You're 750 00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:13,960 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. Sound On with Kevin Curreley on Bloomberg 751 00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:18,120 Speaker 1: and one Old five point seven h D two. I'm 752 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,480 Speaker 1: Kevin Cereli, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for 753 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:25,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. US stocks bounced back a day after their 754 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:28,600 Speaker 1: biggest route in four months, with investors encouraged by better 755 00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:31,880 Speaker 1: than forecast economic data even as they kept a wary 756 00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:36,400 Speaker 1: eye on growing coronavirus infections. The SMP five necks increase 757 00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:40,239 Speaker 1: one point to percent, the most since October twelve, after 758 00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 1: President Trump said he plants a very big package. We 759 00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:47,399 Speaker 1: already played what Speaker Pelosis. Speaker Pelosi had to say 760 00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 1: to David Weston, she also wants some type of deal um. 761 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:55,200 Speaker 1: But the dollar and treasury yields rose after reports showed 762 00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,840 Speaker 1: a decline in weekly jobless claims and a surge in 763 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:01,400 Speaker 1: third quarter echo, a nomic growth that reversed much of 764 00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,160 Speaker 1: the pandemic collapse. It's really fascinating, folks. When you look 765 00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,640 Speaker 1: at the economic data, there's some confusion in terms of 766 00:45:07,920 --> 00:45:10,320 Speaker 1: trying to decipher what it means. A lot of Americans 767 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,640 Speaker 1: are spending money on home improvement projects, but then they're 768 00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,799 Speaker 1: not spending money in other areas, so they're doing more savings. 769 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 1: So the pandemic consumer, I don't think the markets a 770 00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:22,880 Speaker 1: long way of saying, I'm not sure the markets have 771 00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:27,719 Speaker 1: figured out the psychology of the American consumer. And with that, 772 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:31,400 Speaker 1: let's pivot back to politics. H Adam Goodman still with me, 773 00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:35,400 Speaker 1: Republican media strategist, columnist and partner at Ballard Partners in Washington, 774 00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 1: d C. And Adam Hodge, s VP at Aerial Investments, 775 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,799 Speaker 1: previously worked in the Obama Treasury Hodge, I almost let 776 00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,160 Speaker 1: you go by accident, and I apologize. I had to 777 00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:45,880 Speaker 1: text him in the break. I said, come back, I 778 00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,839 Speaker 1: messed up. And then I said, PS, can you tell 779 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:50,960 Speaker 1: me what you were for Halloween that you didn't want 780 00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:52,960 Speaker 1: to say on air? And then you told me, and 781 00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:54,439 Speaker 1: now I'm going to try to get you to say 782 00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:57,880 Speaker 1: it on air. What were you for Halloween? It was 783 00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:03,000 Speaker 1: a golf pro but the shorts worth of questionable. Let 784 00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,880 Speaker 1: you know, it's fun. What was your best Halloween costume? 785 00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:12,279 Speaker 1: Adam Gibbon I I my shudder to say this. I 786 00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:15,640 Speaker 1: think I dressed up once during his presidency as Bill 787 00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 1: Clinton and went to our Republican party. That's how much 788 00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:24,040 Speaker 1: great I was getting from my own friends without knowing, 789 00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,839 Speaker 1: you know, them knowing who was behind the mask. Yeah, 790 00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,360 Speaker 1: that was that was fun. Well, yesterday I told everybody 791 00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 1: that I was French Fries one year, pizza, one year 792 00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:34,000 Speaker 1: on a pack of Lifesavers another year. I went through 793 00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:35,759 Speaker 1: like all of my favorite I went through a food 794 00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,319 Speaker 1: phase when I was a kid. And then what I 795 00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:41,600 Speaker 1: didn't tell people is that also one year I was 796 00:46:41,680 --> 00:46:44,959 Speaker 1: Humpty Dumpty. I was Humpty Dumpty and I didn't fall 797 00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:49,120 Speaker 1: off the wall, and I'm not even kidding politically minded 798 00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:52,080 Speaker 1: even as a child. Okay, let's pay it back to politics. 799 00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:55,640 Speaker 1: I want to stick with this issue of um A 800 00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 1: battleground states, right because coming up we're gonna talk about Pennsylvania. 801 00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:01,600 Speaker 1: I want to stick with a state that I think 802 00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:04,080 Speaker 1: is going to be so incredibly important, and that's Wisconsin 803 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:07,399 Speaker 1: and headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal just within the last 804 00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,799 Speaker 1: couple of minutes that Joe Biden is going to be 805 00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:14,239 Speaker 1: traveling to Wisconsin on October. Course President Trump has been 806 00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:19,000 Speaker 1: there as well. How incredibly important is the state of Wisconsin, 807 00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:23,880 Speaker 1: Adam Goodman. It has been very important in the last 808 00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:28,279 Speaker 1: couple of presidential elections, and obviously both parties still have 809 00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:32,239 Speaker 1: aspirations for carrying it. But there is a new electoral 810 00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:37,080 Speaker 1: math that's in play here that maybe mitigates whatever happens 811 00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 1: in Wisconsin as people are starting to cass and eye 812 00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:44,759 Speaker 1: to other states, in particular the state of Arizona. So 813 00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,080 Speaker 1: not to to say what's gonna happen or predict what's 814 00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:51,440 Speaker 1: going to happen in Wisconsin, which is which is one 815 00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:54,680 Speaker 1: of this ultimate swing states, Joe Biden has had to 816 00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,719 Speaker 1: lead there varying from a couple of points to more 817 00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:00,759 Speaker 1: in the last a week or two. It should be 818 00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:05,040 Speaker 1: a good place for the President United States. So frankly, UM, 819 00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:08,239 Speaker 1: I can tell you insiders in the our side of 820 00:48:08,280 --> 00:48:13,239 Speaker 1: defense are looking more, um, kind of longingly at the 821 00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:17,120 Speaker 1: state of Minnesota. You're talking about a swing state and 822 00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:20,840 Speaker 1: a shocker. We're looking more maybe in Minnesota, perhaps in 823 00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:23,240 Speaker 1: the state of Wisconsin. Alright, time now for my favorite 824 00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,160 Speaker 1: part of the program, which is what is on the 825 00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:28,160 Speaker 1: panel's radar. We're gonna do it a little bit differently 826 00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:29,799 Speaker 1: today because we got a segment on p A coming 827 00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:33,360 Speaker 1: up next. But Adam Hodge, what's on your radar? What 828 00:48:33,560 --> 00:48:36,360 Speaker 1: the final early book number is in North Carolina? I 829 00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:39,520 Speaker 1: think they they. I think that has been a state 830 00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:42,239 Speaker 1: that to your point earlier about on on the fence, 831 00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:44,600 Speaker 1: and it will tell a lot of doing. Democrats have 832 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,920 Speaker 1: been really enthusia like getting that state back in our 833 00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:52,560 Speaker 1: our column and especially could have Um also because of 834 00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,560 Speaker 1: what it means for the U. S. Senate. Um, it's 835 00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 1: just a key, key race that I think I'm obsessed 836 00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:01,480 Speaker 1: with because I'm obsessed with that ray. So the top 837 00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:04,120 Speaker 1: of the ticket, obviously you've got Trump Biden duking it 838 00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:07,960 Speaker 1: out for for North Carolina, the Tar Hills state, You've 839 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:12,400 Speaker 1: got so many different dynamics in just that sense, Uh, 840 00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:16,239 Speaker 1: where Nash County is so incredibly important. In Nash County 841 00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:20,799 Speaker 1: razor razor thin margin that Trump carried it by Obama 842 00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:24,279 Speaker 1: actually was really the only Democrat in decades to be 843 00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:27,600 Speaker 1: able to win this purple state back in two thousand 844 00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:30,879 Speaker 1: and eight. Butt Romney won it back uh in two 845 00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,800 Speaker 1: thousand and twelve, but obviously went on to lose the election. 846 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:37,960 Speaker 1: Why is Nash Council quick QUI quick point on what 847 00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,319 Speaker 1: different this time to time time? I think having a 848 00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:44,120 Speaker 1: Democratic governor in the state. Is it just a huge 849 00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:47,640 Speaker 1: difference from certainly from four years ago. UM, And so 850 00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:49,799 Speaker 1: I think that that could be one of the things 851 00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:53,960 Speaker 1: that tips the balance in Democrats favor UM and certainly 852 00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:58,319 Speaker 1: UM with the efforts that the Republicans have made and 853 00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,240 Speaker 1: in the legislature has really tarnished them brand of Republicans 854 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:03,640 Speaker 1: in the state of North Carolina. And so that's why 855 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:09,120 Speaker 1: I think you're you've seen both Biden, Um Cooper and 856 00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:15,160 Speaker 1: UM UH and Calcunningham really show real strength and durability 857 00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:17,440 Speaker 1: in a race that many thought. Um, it was all 858 00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:19,640 Speaker 1: off the table at the beginning of the selection. And look, 859 00:50:19,680 --> 00:50:21,399 Speaker 1: I think if we get an early result in North 860 00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:23,799 Speaker 1: Carolina for for the left, it's going to be a 861 00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:26,880 Speaker 1: good night for for Democrats. I mean Cal Cunningham, the 862 00:50:26,920 --> 00:50:30,480 Speaker 1: Democratic challenger. Here's an army veteran who's locked now in 863 00:50:30,560 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 1: a sexting scandal that has been playing out in the 864 00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:38,960 Speaker 1: front pages of North Carolina's UH news news stories newspapers. 865 00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,719 Speaker 1: UM against Senator Tom Tillis, who was a member of 866 00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:45,560 Speaker 1: Republican incumbent, a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee. Obviously 867 00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:49,200 Speaker 1: the A C B confirmation UH a key issue in 868 00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:53,560 Speaker 1: that Senate race. Um. So, just a fascinating, fascinating state 869 00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:57,399 Speaker 1: to watch. Bank of America headquartered, their new core headquartered there. 870 00:50:57,600 --> 00:51:01,680 Speaker 1: Duke Energy down headquartered in North Carolina. So a really 871 00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:06,120 Speaker 1: fascinating dynamic. Um, Adam Goodman, what's on your radar? Let 872 00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:08,720 Speaker 1: me take us further out to my home state of Florida. 873 00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:14,400 Speaker 1: So in the early mail balloting, Democrats by registration, Democrats 874 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:17,520 Speaker 1: hold about a six hundred and fifty thousand vote lead 875 00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:21,720 Speaker 1: over Republicans, which is daunting right Well, now, the early 876 00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:25,040 Speaker 1: vote as starting to kick in. Republicans right now are 877 00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:27,959 Speaker 1: up by four hundred and seventy thousand in their early vote, 878 00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:31,239 Speaker 1: which means the bottom line as we stand is the 879 00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:35,000 Speaker 1: difference between votes that have been cast from Democrats versus 880 00:51:35,000 --> 00:51:39,640 Speaker 1: Republicans is a minus one eight for Republicans sounds like 881 00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,600 Speaker 1: a big one and eight thousand sounds like a big number. Right. 882 00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:46,960 Speaker 1: All the models and I'm very much you know, involved 883 00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:49,160 Speaker 1: with a lot of the players that just different breathe 884 00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:51,680 Speaker 1: this not for media spent, but for where are we 885 00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:54,680 Speaker 1: All the models that we have in Florida say, if 886 00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:59,400 Speaker 1: we're anything under three hundred thousand votes as a deficit 887 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:02,759 Speaker 1: going into a election day, history says we're gonna win. Well, 888 00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:06,040 Speaker 1: we're already at one eight. If the trend line continues, Kevin, 889 00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,160 Speaker 1: that number will be under one dred thousand as a 890 00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:13,240 Speaker 1: difference going into election day where traditionally Republicans in PARTA 891 00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:17,319 Speaker 1: have had their way with the electorate in terms of 892 00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:21,720 Speaker 1: margins over the Democrats. Wow, that's incredibly nuanced and and 893 00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:25,040 Speaker 1: and and very insightful. I'm gonna go geo political for 894 00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:29,720 Speaker 1: a second. I'm gonna pause on the uh second Secretary 895 00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:34,839 Speaker 1: of State Mike Pompeo was traveling in Sri Lanka UH 896 00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:38,440 Speaker 1: this week and he blasted the Communist Party of China 897 00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:43,080 Speaker 1: in a speech some some obviously some interesting geo political 898 00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,399 Speaker 1: UH tensions happening in Sri Lanka. Where you've got now 899 00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:51,359 Speaker 1: a pro I wanta say pro, but a more sympathetic 900 00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:55,920 Speaker 1: new government that's been more sympathetic to China than than 901 00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:58,440 Speaker 1: to the United States. So Secretary of Pompeo went over 902 00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:01,920 Speaker 1: there and he said, direct quote, I want to make 903 00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:03,880 Speaker 1: sure I get it right. Here is I marked it 904 00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:07,200 Speaker 1: in my show prep? Where is it? He called? He said, 905 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:10,600 Speaker 1: the Chinese Communist Party is a predator. He told this 906 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:13,200 Speaker 1: to reporters after a meeting Wednesday with Sri Lankan Foreign 907 00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:16,560 Speaker 1: Minister Denish Gonna Wardena, the United States comes in a 908 00:53:16,600 --> 00:53:19,680 Speaker 1: different way. We come as a friend and as a partner. Now, 909 00:53:19,680 --> 00:53:24,400 Speaker 1: obviously Sri Lanka just for a quick uh history, lesson 910 00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:27,479 Speaker 1: geo politically, they've struggled with their transition in terms of 911 00:53:27,560 --> 00:53:31,799 Speaker 1: what's been going on UH to to their democracy. But 912 00:53:32,520 --> 00:53:35,400 Speaker 1: they've got a lot of issues when it comes to 913 00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:38,080 Speaker 1: infrastructure and whatnot. And the Chinese that come in there 914 00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:41,640 Speaker 1: and as they do, said we'll make you a really 915 00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:45,719 Speaker 1: good deal, but their strings attached. So Secretary Pompeo going 916 00:53:45,800 --> 00:53:49,320 Speaker 1: over there. But some tough talk continuing from Secretary Pompeo 917 00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:53,920 Speaker 1: on on the CCP. More coming up next. Now we 918 00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 1: say goodbye to Adam Hodge out of given stays. Thank you, 919 00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:59,480 Speaker 1: Adam Hodge. I'm Kevin CERELI. They're listening to Bloomberg nine 920 00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:16,120 Speaker 1: to nine one. This is Bloomberg's Sound On with Kevin 921 00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:20,360 Speaker 1: Surreley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 922 00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:25,680 Speaker 1: M HD two. I'm Kevin Surreley, Chief Washington correspondent for 923 00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:32,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg of Radio. You know, folks Pennsylvania. 924 00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:37,719 Speaker 1: I'm not saying it just because just because I'm from there. 925 00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:44,040 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania is fascinating, fascinating right now. And I don't know 926 00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:47,200 Speaker 1: if you've been following this, but Philadelphia, the City of 927 00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:52,040 Speaker 1: Brotherly Love, in a curfew nine pm curfew. Mayor Kenny Democrat. 928 00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:56,279 Speaker 1: Mayor Kenny imposing a nine pm curfew in the City 929 00:54:56,320 --> 00:55:00,239 Speaker 1: of Brotherly Love because of the unrest that has on 930 00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:04,120 Speaker 1: on in the city over the past the past, the 931 00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:06,440 Speaker 1: past couple of days. I want to make sure you 932 00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:09,600 Speaker 1: get this right, reading from dal Jones. A city wide 933 00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,239 Speaker 1: curfew took effect in Philadelphia Wednesday at nine pm as 934 00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:16,040 Speaker 1: officials tried to restore order after two nights of looting 935 00:55:16,120 --> 00:55:20,200 Speaker 1: and vandalism sparked by the fatal shooting of Walter Wallace Jr. 936 00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,680 Speaker 1: By police. The city officials said the first is several 937 00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:26,600 Speaker 1: hundred Pennsylvania National Guard soldiers are expected to arrive in 938 00:55:26,640 --> 00:55:30,280 Speaker 1: the city Friday with a primary mission to safeguard property 939 00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:34,000 Speaker 1: and prevent looting. So that's what's going on in the 940 00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:37,040 Speaker 1: city of brotherly love. Hop across the commodore Barry Bridge, 941 00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:44,840 Speaker 1: and you go to refineries, Okay, refineries in the not 942 00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 1: just in Delaware. Joe Biden's Delaware. And I wake up 943 00:55:48,520 --> 00:55:51,680 Speaker 1: this morning very early, as I do, and I check 944 00:55:51,719 --> 00:55:57,120 Speaker 1: my Bloomberg terminal. UH New Jersey refinery becomes latest casualty 945 00:55:57,160 --> 00:56:01,600 Speaker 1: of collapse and fuel demand. My colleague Barbara Powell, reporting 946 00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:04,960 Speaker 1: on the terminal. PPF energies Paulsburg Refinery in New Jersey 947 00:56:05,280 --> 00:56:08,560 Speaker 1: has become the latest oil processing facility to fall victim 948 00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:12,880 Speaker 1: to a COVID driven collapse in fuel demand, announcing plans 949 00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:15,960 Speaker 1: to idle operations for the foreseeable future. The company plans 950 00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:18,640 Speaker 1: to lay off two hundred and fifty employees at the 951 00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:21,680 Speaker 1: one and sixty thousand barrel a day plant and halt 952 00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:24,680 Speaker 1: fuel production as a result of low demand. Why do 953 00:56:24,760 --> 00:56:28,880 Speaker 1: I bring this up? Fracking? Okay? I know when we 954 00:56:28,920 --> 00:56:31,200 Speaker 1: talk about p A, most of us consider, oh, it's 955 00:56:31,239 --> 00:56:33,600 Speaker 1: just you know the pundits they talk about, Oh it's 956 00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:37,120 Speaker 1: just southwestern or southwestern Pennsylvania. Then that's where this issue is. 957 00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:41,840 Speaker 1: But if you are from this state and what I 958 00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:46,240 Speaker 1: just outlined for you, that's the zeitgeist of the Delco area, 959 00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:50,959 Speaker 1: the Delco mind set that yeah, is district along with 960 00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:55,160 Speaker 1: with South Philly, but it's there's a there's a schism 961 00:56:55,239 --> 00:56:59,799 Speaker 1: of refinery blue collar workers. That that's what they're living 962 00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:02,440 Speaker 1: with right now. So I'm thrilled to welcome back to 963 00:57:02,440 --> 00:57:05,319 Speaker 1: the program Adam Gimmons with me and Charlie Jarrou. I 964 00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:08,040 Speaker 1: looked at the rundown, I said, Charlie Jarreau, the political 965 00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:11,920 Speaker 1: PA mastermind of Republican politics. Charlie Jarreau is going to 966 00:57:12,040 --> 00:57:13,880 Speaker 1: be on the program. And then I looked at the 967 00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:16,120 Speaker 1: Hill dot com where I used to work. All frackt 968 00:57:16,200 --> 00:57:20,440 Speaker 1: Up is the title of their column Biden's Keystone State breakdown. 969 00:57:20,960 --> 00:57:23,520 Speaker 1: All right, Charlie Jarreau, thanks for being here. What are 970 00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:25,800 Speaker 1: you right in the Hill dot com about how fracking 971 00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:27,600 Speaker 1: is going to be such a crucial issue in the 972 00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:31,560 Speaker 1: closing arguments to election day. It's great to be on 973 00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:34,600 Speaker 1: with you, Kevin. And fracking, as you know, has been 974 00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:38,080 Speaker 1: an issue throughout the campaign as Joe Biden and Kamala 975 00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:41,520 Speaker 1: Harris have flip flopped all over the place, first calling 976 00:57:41,520 --> 00:57:44,040 Speaker 1: for an outright band, then saying only a partial band, 977 00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:46,720 Speaker 1: and saying, oh, maybe we're gonna cut out fossil fuels 978 00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:50,960 Speaker 1: altogether instead of punctuated by that really incredible remark he 979 00:57:51,000 --> 00:57:53,000 Speaker 1: made at the close of the second debate where he 980 00:57:53,040 --> 00:57:56,480 Speaker 1: said he's also gonna shut down the oil industry, which 981 00:57:56,720 --> 00:58:00,920 Speaker 1: has another major component to the Pennsylvania of the hundreds 982 00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:04,880 Speaker 1: of thousands of Pennsylvania jobs depend on natural gas and 983 00:58:05,040 --> 00:58:07,720 Speaker 1: on oil. After all, the oil industry in the United 984 00:58:07,760 --> 00:58:11,320 Speaker 1: States began right here in Pennsylvania. Well, Charlie, that's right. 985 00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,440 Speaker 1: I want to take this. Charlie Jarreau is with this. 986 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:17,439 Speaker 1: You know, I think for people outside of of this 987 00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:21,600 Speaker 1: of these geographical regions in our country, it's difficult to 988 00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:26,120 Speaker 1: understand how just how nuanced this issue is in the 989 00:58:26,160 --> 00:58:29,280 Speaker 1: sense we cable news reports this as you know, how 990 00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:31,160 Speaker 1: can anyone not have their minds made up? But it's more, 991 00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:34,040 Speaker 1: it's more. These are many of these refinery workers. Some 992 00:58:34,080 --> 00:58:37,280 Speaker 1: of these are union jobs. These are but they're the 993 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,200 Speaker 1: they're the swing voters. And it's not just a decision 994 00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:41,880 Speaker 1: of whether or not they're going to vote for President 995 00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:44,400 Speaker 1: Trump or Joe Biden. It's if they're gonna show up 996 00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:48,200 Speaker 1: to the polls at all. When you've got refinery laying 997 00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:50,760 Speaker 1: off workers, I mean, what does that do to the 998 00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 1: dynamics in the lead up? Charlie Jarreau to that to 999 00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:58,280 Speaker 1: to turn out on election day in a state like Pennsylvania. Well, 1000 00:58:58,320 --> 00:59:00,320 Speaker 1: you're correct, Kevin. I mean a lot of these folks 1001 00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:04,120 Speaker 1: are not traditional Republican voters by any strett the imagination. 1002 00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:07,200 Speaker 1: Most of them are union households. These are very good 1003 00:59:07,240 --> 00:59:09,720 Speaker 1: paying jobs. A lot of the jobs in the oil 1004 00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:12,840 Speaker 1: fields and in the gas fields pay a hundred thousand 1005 00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:16,640 Speaker 1: bucks a year or more, and folks not only depend 1006 00:59:16,680 --> 00:59:19,120 Speaker 1: on them for their families, but there are a large 1007 00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:23,280 Speaker 1: number of ancillary industries that are also totally dependent on 1008 00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:26,560 Speaker 1: gas and oil. So You've got a whole new group 1009 00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:30,520 Speaker 1: of pro Trump voters who are highly motivated to turn 1010 00:59:30,560 --> 00:59:35,400 Speaker 1: out on Tuesday, folks that perhaps didn't even vote. I 1011 00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:38,360 Speaker 1: think it's fascinating and I think, you know, coupled with 1012 00:59:38,400 --> 00:59:42,080 Speaker 1: what's going on just a couple of miles away and Philadelphia, 1013 00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:44,640 Speaker 1: which is dominating the local news in the Philadelphia and 1014 00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:47,760 Speaker 1: media markets, it's it's, it's I keep saying it. This 1015 00:59:47,920 --> 00:59:50,920 Speaker 1: is another variable that is that I don't that is 1016 00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:59,080 Speaker 1: hard to predict, Adam Goodman, I am. They're saying that 1017 00:59:59,200 --> 01:00:02,960 Speaker 1: upwards of sixty of Pennsylvanians at the act to vote, 1018 01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:07,200 Speaker 1: and you're looking at a big election day turn out. Well, 1019 01:00:07,240 --> 01:00:10,440 Speaker 1: the most googled item after that that terrible debate by 1020 01:00:10,520 --> 01:00:14,440 Speaker 1: Joe Biden in the state of Pennsylvania wasn't oil and guests, 1021 01:00:14,520 --> 01:00:18,560 Speaker 1: And there was one survey saw that said that of 1022 01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:23,120 Speaker 1: Pennsylvanians who hadn't voted are reconsidering how they're going to 1023 01:00:23,240 --> 01:00:27,080 Speaker 1: vote based on that issue. So when Charlie Darrow says 1024 01:00:27,120 --> 01:00:29,920 Speaker 1: this is this is a major gap, this is a 1025 01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:32,600 Speaker 1: major deal in a blue collar state that these aren't 1026 01:00:32,600 --> 01:00:36,120 Speaker 1: just Republicans, these are boot collar Democrats. This has got 1027 01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:39,400 Speaker 1: to really worry Joe Biden. Isn't it telling that Joe 1028 01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:42,200 Speaker 1: Biden in his final for longer the race, with a 1029 01:00:42,200 --> 01:00:45,440 Speaker 1: couple of days to go in Pennsylvania, a key state 1030 01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:49,680 Speaker 1: in the electoral map, that he's decided not to come back. 1031 01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,480 Speaker 1: He's not, at least at this point, he doesn't want 1032 01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:55,920 Speaker 1: to come back because he knows the questions he's going 1033 01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:59,040 Speaker 1: to get they're not good ones, and he has no answer. Well, 1034 01:00:59,840 --> 01:01:02,400 Speaker 1: so let's let's let's go analytical for a second, because obviously, 1035 01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:05,760 Speaker 1: if if I were to have a Democrat would say, okay, well, 1036 01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:08,320 Speaker 1: you know, he wants to you know, better the environment 1037 01:01:08,360 --> 01:01:10,760 Speaker 1: and whatnot. But my question to you is is this 1038 01:01:10,840 --> 01:01:13,800 Speaker 1: by design? Is he not taking a position on energy 1039 01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:18,440 Speaker 1: or is he leaving the questions Adam Goodman around his 1040 01:01:18,600 --> 01:01:21,400 Speaker 1: energy policy? And it's not just energy, mind you, it's 1041 01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:25,080 Speaker 1: also uh financial policy. Right, there's a headline just just 1042 01:01:25,200 --> 01:01:28,520 Speaker 1: cross Politico, just within the last hour that says a 1043 01:01:28,560 --> 01:01:32,720 Speaker 1: Senator Elizabeth Warren is going to be jockeying for Treasury secretary. 1044 01:01:32,800 --> 01:01:35,360 Speaker 1: They cite three unnamed sources close to her inner circle. 1045 01:01:35,400 --> 01:01:39,080 Speaker 1: That's citing political But is this by design? This question 1046 01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:41,440 Speaker 1: around his policy Adam Goodman, and if it is, is 1047 01:01:41,440 --> 01:01:47,480 Speaker 1: that a smart policy, a smart strategy, a smart strategy. Sorry, well, Kevin, 1048 01:01:47,520 --> 01:01:49,560 Speaker 1: you know why he's doing it. Let's just be real. 1049 01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:52,720 Speaker 1: Joe Bien is trying to have both ends against the middle. 1050 01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:55,000 Speaker 1: He's trying not to answer that question. I guess that's 1051 01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:58,040 Speaker 1: what you do after forty seven years of being a politician. 1052 01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:00,080 Speaker 1: You try to make sure that no one will he 1053 01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:02,560 Speaker 1: knows where you're coming from. And part of it is 1054 01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,520 Speaker 1: also he is sending a message the progressive left that 1055 01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:07,480 Speaker 1: he's going to do some of their bidding. And the 1056 01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:12,760 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren h balloon that's being philitipher Treasury and Bernie 1057 01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:16,400 Speaker 1: Sanders on healthcare, you get what's going on. And cracking 1058 01:02:16,520 --> 01:02:19,840 Speaker 1: oil and gas in Pennsylvania is just another example of 1059 01:02:19,880 --> 01:02:24,080 Speaker 1: how Joe Biden wants to have it all without being anywhere. 1060 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:27,080 Speaker 1: Charlie got like forty five seconds left, so very quickly, 1061 01:02:27,120 --> 01:02:28,440 Speaker 1: just give us the lay of the lamb. Where do 1062 01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:30,120 Speaker 1: you think is going to happen in p I and 1063 01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:32,040 Speaker 1: then please come back on the show. We have more time. 1064 01:02:32,720 --> 01:02:34,920 Speaker 1: I would love to, and I do think that Donald 1065 01:02:34,920 --> 01:02:39,280 Speaker 1: Trump wins Pennsylvania again by another narrow margin, but Adam 1066 01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:41,760 Speaker 1: is absolutely correct. What you saw Joe Biden doing in 1067 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:44,080 Speaker 1: the last four or five days of the campaign was 1068 01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:47,440 Speaker 1: really trying to extricate himself from his position between the 1069 01:02:47,440 --> 01:02:49,720 Speaker 1: dog and the political tree where he put himself in 1070 01:02:49,760 --> 01:02:52,720 Speaker 1: that debate. He wasted an entire day having to come 1071 01:02:52,720 --> 01:02:56,200 Speaker 1: back to Pennsylvania appear before one of his small gatherings 1072 01:02:56,320 --> 01:02:59,600 Speaker 1: to explain himself. And as you know, when you're explaining 1073 01:02:59,600 --> 01:03:03,360 Speaker 1: in a tical campaign, you're losing ground. Meanwhile, Donald Trump 1074 01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:05,840 Speaker 1: is back here to huge crowds and guess where he's 1075 01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:11,240 Speaker 1: closing his campaign on Monday in Scranton, Pennsylvania. Wow. And 1076 01:03:11,320 --> 01:03:12,960 Speaker 1: that's where he did it. That's where he closed last 1077 01:03:13,000 --> 01:03:15,000 Speaker 1: cycle too. I was there. That's where my grandma was 1078 01:03:15,160 --> 01:03:18,920 Speaker 1: from me. I'm thinking of you, Charlie Jireau, Adam Goodman. 1079 01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:21,320 Speaker 1: Fracking and I can't stress it enough. Can you imagine 1080 01:03:21,320 --> 01:03:24,640 Speaker 1: waking up to that headline refinery jobs going away in Delko? 1081 01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:34,479 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin's really you're listening to Wimberg. Yeah,