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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris,

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Speaker 1: joined by Bau mcbrair. The second major of the season

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Speaker 1: is upon us. It's the PGA Championship, which we'll be

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Speaker 1: played at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina. We'll give

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Speaker 1: you an overview of the course, run through the odds,

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Speaker 1: talk about some of the contenders, and give you our

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Speaker 1: early betting cards. We'll also make some one and dune

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Speaker 1: picks at the end of the show. But let's start

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Speaker 1: with a quick recap of last week's two PGA Tour events.

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Speaker 1: Sepstraca won the truest Championship at the Philadelphia Cricket Club's

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Speaker 1: wiss A Hickin Course. Straca beat Shane Lowry and Justin

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Speaker 1: Thomas by two strokes. It was a big win for

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Speaker 1: Straca in the PGA tours sixth signature event of the year.

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Speaker 1: Straka earned three point six million dollars for the victory,

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Speaker 1: his second of the season. The Big Austrian also won

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Speaker 1: the American Express back in January. Straca is now third

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Speaker 1: on the twenty twenty five money list, behind only Rory

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Speaker 1: McElroy and Justin Thomas, and Straka Troull's only Rory McElroy

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Speaker 1: in the FedEx Cup points list. Straka got off to

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Speaker 1: a fast start with the sixty three on Thursday that

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Speaker 1: left in two shots behind mister Thursday himself, Keith Mitchell,

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Speaker 1: who always seems to come roaring out of the gate.

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Speaker 1: Mitchell fired a sixty one on Thursday, but his putting

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Speaker 1: betrayed him in subsequent rounds. Conditions toughen up on Friday

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Speaker 1: and Saturday is The wind picked up, but Straka continued

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Speaker 1: to play well. He carted a sixty seven on Friday

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Speaker 1: a sixty six on Saturday, but Shane Lowry, the big Irishman,

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Speaker 1: pulled into a tie with Strake going into the final round.

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Speaker 1: The two big men went toe to toe on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Justin Thomas tried to make a run at the leaders

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Speaker 1: but couldn't quite close the gap. Strach and Lowry were

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Speaker 1: tied after fifteen holes. Then Lowry missed a seven foot

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Speaker 1: par putt on the par three sixteenth to give Straca

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Speaker 1: one shot lead. After they both parted the seventeenth, it

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Speaker 1: came down to the final hole. In the eighteenth at

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Speaker 1: the Hicken Club is a long five hundred and fourteen

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Speaker 1: yard Part four. Both players hit the green in regulation.

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Speaker 1: Straco was about thirty one feet from the hole, Lowery

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Speaker 1: about twenty feet from the hall. Straka lagged within three

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Speaker 1: and a half feet. Lowry hammered his birdie put through

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Speaker 1: the break. He then missed the six foot comebacker, effectively

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Speaker 1: handing Straca the win. But Straka made his par putt anyway,

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Speaker 1: so a big win for Stepstraca. Bow your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: the Truest Championship and the Wicked Hitson course, which was

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Speaker 1: hosting a PGA Tour event for the first time.

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Speaker 2: Everybody was talking about how amazing this golf course was,

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Speaker 2: and I completely disagree. I think the course was garbage.

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Speaker 2: It was fun to watch a good field take on

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Speaker 2: a course like that. I liked that it was a

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Speaker 2: shorter course, strategic. It was so easy without wind, like

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Speaker 2: these guys were just lighting that place on fire on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: And guess what when the wind picks up on a

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Speaker 2: course like that, it gets exponentially tougher, as we saw.

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Speaker 2: And when they get exponentially tougher, that's when we start

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Speaker 2: to see the efferveescence of Shane Lowry rise to the

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Speaker 2: top of the leader board. It's like every single time

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Speaker 2: the weather rolls in, the irishman starts to crack his

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Speaker 2: knuckles and say, all right, boys, it's time to play

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Speaker 2: some golf. And that was that was the first three

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Speaker 2: days we're entertaining. I thought Sunday it almost felt like

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Speaker 2: nobody wanted to win that tournament because you had perennial

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Speaker 2: awful putters like Straka and Lowry completely bludgeoning the tee

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Speaker 2: to green game was fine for those two, but they

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Speaker 2: couldn't make a putt between the two of them. Straca

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Speaker 2: made a couple to keep his lead, but it was like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: who's gonna make a putt besides Straka And that was

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Speaker 2: at the end of the day. Straca's hot putting and

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Speaker 2: timely putting in the middle of that Sunday round won

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Speaker 2: him that tournament. Justin thomas short game was fantastic and

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Speaker 2: he made a lot of clutch putts to save par

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Speaker 2: because if he had any ball striking it off, Justin

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Speaker 2: Thomas could hit a fairweight or a green to save

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Speaker 2: his life. On Sunday, he would have won that tournament

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Speaker 2: by five shots because nobody else was making anything. It

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Speaker 2: wasn't overly tough on Sunday, but nobody wanted to win.

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Speaker 2: Everybody is hitting terrible unforced error shots all day on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: It was unbelievable how bad everybody played on that course

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Speaker 2: where it was right for the picking. And I was

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Speaker 2: just enraged that Justin Thomas could not hit the broadside

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Speaker 2: of a barn because with his short game he would

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Speaker 2: have won going away. But he was awful from Tita

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Speaker 2: Green and that that's really what shook down. Shook out

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Speaker 2: to be with Stroka made a couple birdie putts and

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Speaker 2: that was what made the difference.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, very out of character for JT. He should have

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Speaker 1: won that. It would have been his second win in

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Speaker 1: a row. And the waisted Hicken course a little like

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Speaker 1: the American version of Saint Andrews in the old course.

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Speaker 1: It's wind is the defense it is you don't get win,

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Speaker 1: it's a portion.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. All those bunkers, what one hundred and twenty, one

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty of them, most ninety five percent of

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Speaker 2: them were not even in play. They were just there

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Speaker 2: for aesthetics.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that that course would be a

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Speaker 1: lot tougher on me than it is on Stepstraca or

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Speaker 1: Justin Thomas.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was fun to watch, of course that a

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Speaker 2: lot of people play. It's a it's I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: a private course, but it's not really that private when

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Speaker 2: it comes to just being your local club. So I

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Speaker 2: like that it's that kind of accessible feel to it.

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Speaker 2: But as far as a PGA Tour event stop, I'm

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Speaker 2: glad that they're going back to quill Hollow next year.

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Speaker 1: Yes, sir, And we did have a second PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: event last week, the one Flight Myrtle Beach Classic. We

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Speaker 1: don't have to spend a lot of time on this one.

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Speaker 1: Ryan Fox won a three man playoff against Mackenzie Hughes

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Speaker 1: and Harry Higgs. Fox missed the fairway to the left

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Speaker 1: on the first playoff hole. He missed the green to

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Speaker 1: the rights with his approach shot, but then he hold

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Speaker 1: a fifty three foot chip. Higgs couldn't make his thirty

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Speaker 1: footer to stay in the playoff, and when Hughes missed

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Speaker 1: his seventeen footer, Fox, the New Zealander, got his first

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Speaker 1: PGA Tour victory in sixty eight starts. Now we'll get

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Speaker 1: to the PGA Championship in just a moment, but first.

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Speaker 1: Now. As mentioned earlier, the PGA Championship will be played

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Speaker 1: at Quel Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina. Quail Hollow has

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Speaker 1: hosted the Wells Fargo Championship since two thousand and three,

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Speaker 1: with the exception of twenty seventeen, when Quayle Hollow hosted

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Speaker 1: the PGA Championship for the first time. Justin Thomas won

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Speaker 1: the PGA that year. He finished eight under par are

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Speaker 1: two shots better than Patrick Reid, Louis Eustasen, and Francesco Malinari.

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Speaker 1: Quayle Hollow also hosted the President's Cup in twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Now for the PGA Championship. Quayl Hollow will play as

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Speaker 1: a seven six hundred and twenty six yard par seventy one.

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Speaker 1: It's going to play pretty long this week, especially after

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Speaker 1: some rain on the course early in the week. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I guess today Monday it was it was storming pretty well,

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Speaker 1: it looked like now. All but two of the par

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Speaker 1: fours at Quayle Hollow are at least four hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty nine yards long, and three of them weigh in

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Speaker 1: at more than five hundred yards. Three of the four

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Speaker 1: par threes are longer than two hundred yards, including the

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Speaker 1: two hundred and forty nine yards sixth Doal par fives

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Speaker 1: are all fairly reachable, although the five hundred and ninety

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Speaker 1: two yard tenth hole will require two pretty good pokes.

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Speaker 1: The fair ways that Quayle Hollow are rather narrow. Driving

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Speaker 1: is going to be important this week. Players who are

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Speaker 1: long and straight off the tee should be able to

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Speaker 1: pick up some strokes. There's not a lot of water

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Speaker 1: until you get to the final four holes. It's definitely

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Speaker 1: going to be a factor on those finishing holes where

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Speaker 1: the water really comes into play. The greens at Quall Hollow,

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Speaker 1: they normally play firm and fast, but we'll see if

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Speaker 1: that's the case this time around. After the early week rain,

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Speaker 1: there was rain in the forecast for the Charlotte area also,

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Speaker 1: I believe Tuesday and maybe Wednesday. Otherwise, the weather looks

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Speaker 1: pretty good for the tournament itself. Temperatures are expected to

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Speaker 1: be in the eighties all week, with mild breezes ranging

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Speaker 1: from five to fifteen miles per hour and minimal rain chances.

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Speaker 1: BO what do you make of Quail Hollow?

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Speaker 2: It's a beast with this setup. Seventy six hundred yards

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Speaker 2: is a beast already, and then with the softer conditions

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Speaker 2: that they'll have earlier in the week, it's going to

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Speaker 2: make it even longer. This is already a golf course

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Speaker 2: that favors long, straight drivers of the golf ball, and

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Speaker 2: now it's going to even more emphasize long, straight driving

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Speaker 2: of the golf ball. These are narrow fairways. It's a

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Speaker 2: long course. You're going to have a lot of long

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Speaker 2: iron approaches. Even your longest hitter in the game will

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Speaker 2: hit it, be hinting a lot of mid irons into

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Speaker 2: these par fours, and the par fives are no joke,

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Speaker 2: like a lot of a lot of majors can tout

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Speaker 2: gettable par fives to kind of give you a relaxed

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Speaker 2: feeling on the par fives. Uh, Quail Hollow is not

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Speaker 2: like that. You're gonna you're gonna see good shots rewarded

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Speaker 2: and bad shots heavily penalized. I still think this is

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Speaker 2: a really good fair test of golf that anybody could win.

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Speaker 2: But there are some there are some things that were

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Speaker 2: longer hitters who can hit the ball straight off the

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Speaker 2: tee have a massive advantage, especially before things dry out. Uh,

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Speaker 2: this is the kind of course where the big boys

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Speaker 2: are gonna come to play, and we got some boppers

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Speaker 2: in this field that are gonna be very Uh, they're

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Speaker 2: gonna be on a pedestal. There's gonna be a lot

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Speaker 2: of eyeballs on them to see how they perform, especially

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Speaker 2: with the expectations.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, driving is gonna be important, long iron play. Like

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Speaker 1: you said, ball striking, it will be a ball striker's test.

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Speaker 1: But I think because we we're going to see some

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Speaker 1: missed greens this week, so scrambling is going to be

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Speaker 1: pretty important too. And you know who can master these

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Speaker 1: Bermuda greens.

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Speaker 2: Three pett avoidance huge.

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Speaker 1: Most definitely all right. We'll get to the PGA Championship

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Speaker 1: odds in just a moment.

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Speaker 1: All odds are courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Some of these odds may have changed by the time

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Speaker 1: you consume this show. Scotti Scheffler is the favorite at

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Speaker 1: plus four hundred, followed closely by Rory McElroy at plus

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Speaker 1: four fifty. Then it's Bryce and Dschambeau at plus nine

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Speaker 1: to fifty, John Ram at plus sixteen hundred, and Xander

217
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Speaker 1: Schaffley at plus two thousand. Ludwig Oberg, Justin Thomas and

218
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Speaker 1: Colin Morikawa are all at plus twenty two hundred. Joaquin

219
00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:31,960
Speaker 1: Neeman is plus three thousand, Tyrold Hatton, Patrick Cantley, Deki

220
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Speaker 1: Matsuyama and Brooks Koepka are all plus four thousand, Tommy

221
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Speaker 1: Fleetwood is plus forty five hundred, and Victor Hovlin and

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Speaker 1: Jordan Speith are plus five thousand. Bo who do you

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Speaker 1: look more at their respective price Scotty at plus four

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Speaker 1: hundred or Rory at plus four to fifty.

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Speaker 2: Well, obviously, I pull up my first run model, I

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Speaker 2: use my Quail Hollow model and just filtered for the

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Speaker 2: longer distance and the Bermuda and number one Rory Mack,

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Speaker 2: number two Scotty Schffler, who's surprised no One. And it's

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Speaker 2: gonna come down to how much does putting matter? How

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Speaker 2: much does driving matter? Obviously, Rory McElroy is a massive

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Speaker 2: advantage in driving and putting he's twelfth in this field

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Speaker 2: in putting. That's an that's an incredible stat. In fact,

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Speaker 2: the only the only stat where Scotty edges Rory in

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Speaker 2: this field is on approach, where Scotty's number five and

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Speaker 2: Rory is sixty fifth. That's that's gonna come down to.

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Speaker 2: If Rory's on his driving game, he's he's got the

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Speaker 2: biggest advantage in the game. If Scotty Scheffler is driving

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Speaker 2: the ball well, which he's been kind of hit and

239
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Speaker 2: miss off the tee, he's still really good. It's still

240
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Speaker 2: Scotty Scheffler. But if Scotty is off the tee a

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Speaker 2: little squirrely like he has been on occasion, this is

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Speaker 2: gonna be a rough week for Scotty Scheffler, especially with

243
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Speaker 2: his ability to putt and scramble not nearly as good

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Speaker 2: as Rory. I'm gonna start with Rory plus four fifty.

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Speaker 2: I got him at plus five hundred a little bit

246
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Speaker 2: ago on DraftKings, so that's that's a pretty good line.

247
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Speaker 2: Or mister Quail Hollow himself, he's won here four times.

248
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Speaker 2: I think that means that if you go on Wikipedia,

249
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Speaker 2: he probably is listed as the owner of Quail Hollow

250
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Speaker 2: Golf Club in Charlotte. Rory McElroy is mister Quail Hollow.

251
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Speaker 2: It is his destiny to complete not just the career

252
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Speaker 2: Grand Slam, which he did earlier in the year, but

253
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Speaker 2: also the season long Grand Slam, where you have Quail Hollow,

254
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Speaker 2: his favorite course, you have Oakmont, which rewards driving even

255
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Speaker 2: more than Quail Hollow does, and then of course the

256
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Speaker 2: Open Championship in Northern Ireland where he's from. So in

257
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Speaker 2: order to fulfill his destiny, Rory has to complete the

258
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Speaker 2: Quail Hollow five peete. It's insane how much how well

259
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Speaker 2: he does here. So I would obviously be crazy not

260
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Speaker 2: to bet Rory McElroy here, especially with the heat or

261
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Speaker 2: he's on. He's won three out of eight starts. Is

262
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Speaker 2: that right? That's a really high percentage. That's Tiger esk

263
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Speaker 2: and a very small snapshot. I'm also very interested in

264
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Speaker 2: who I think is going to be the only one

265
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Speaker 2: that can push Rory if he's having a good time,

266
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Speaker 2: and that's Bryce and d Schambeau plus nine hundred or

267
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Speaker 2: plus nine to fifty depending on the book. I really

268
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Speaker 2: like Bryson here. He's playing out of his mind good golf.

269
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Speaker 2: This season even better than Scotty, even though we just

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Speaker 2: saw Scotty demolish a lesser field. Rice and Deshambo is

271
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Speaker 2: the kind of guy who will do well on this

272
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Speaker 2: golf course, an outstanding driver of the golf ball in

273
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Speaker 2: a very underrated short game.

274
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Speaker 1: Yeah, it seems sort of crazy that we would question

275
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Speaker 1: whether Scotty should be the favorite at any tournament. This

276
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,360
Speaker 1: would be it, yes, because I mean, after all, the

277
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Speaker 1: last time we saw Scotty Scheffler was two weeks ago

278
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Speaker 1: at the CJ Cup Fire and Nelson, where he won

279
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Speaker 1: by eight shots.

280
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Speaker 2: It wasn't fair though, that wasn't a fair fight. This

281
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Speaker 2: is as good of a test as you're going to

282
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Speaker 2: see Scotty have sure was stylistically with the golf course

283
00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:56,160
Speaker 2: not necessarily fitting his game and obviously a much much

284
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Speaker 2: stronger field, arguably the strongest field in professional golf.

285
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Speaker 1: As you said, Bo, Rory's won at queyl Holla four times,

286
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Speaker 1: winning the Wells Fargo Championship almost five times. He lost

287
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Speaker 1: to Ricky Fowler in a playoff in twenty twelve. It's

288
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,840
Speaker 1: funny Rory got his first PGA Tour win at Quayle

289
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,720
Speaker 1: Hollow in twenty ten. He set the course record that

290
00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,440
Speaker 1: year with a sixty two on the final day. Then

291
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Speaker 1: he broke his own record with the sixty one in

292
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Speaker 1: twenty fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Seems good.

294
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Speaker 1: Does seem good? And you know, he's first on tour

295
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,680
Speaker 1: in strokes gained off the tee, second in strokes gain

296
00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:36,720
Speaker 1: t to Green. The ball striking has just been impeccable

297
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:41,320
Speaker 1: this season, Bryson. You said it, bo. He's finished first, second, sixth,

298
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Speaker 1: and fifth in his last four majors. That's pretty good.

299
00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 1: And he is on a heater and in his last

300
00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: two Wells Fargo Championship appearances before he left for the

301
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,320
Speaker 1: Live Tour, Bryson finished eighth and fourth. So he's shown

302
00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,840
Speaker 1: some aptitude for Quail Hollow and you know, obviously his

303
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:04,080
Speaker 1: big driver should play well this week. Now, let's talk

304
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Speaker 1: about some of the other guys from this group. Who

305
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:10,000
Speaker 1: else do you like at their respective odds.

306
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,800
Speaker 2: I'm kind of going back and forth. Of course, I

307
00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,000
Speaker 2: want to do the dueling Banjos Rory, bryceon type of thing,

308
00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 2: because that's just good television, that's good betting, because these

309
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 2: guys are the hottest guys on the planet and a

310
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:26,200
Speaker 2: good course fit. But I'm conflicted on Ludwig Oberg because

311
00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,520
Speaker 2: his t degreeding game is so really it's just a

312
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:32,760
Speaker 2: perfect fit for this golf course. But his short game

313
00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:36,320
Speaker 2: worries me, and so if he's dialed in with his

314
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,480
Speaker 2: driver and long irons like he often is, it won't

315
00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 2: even matter. But it's also if the conditions are softer,

316
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,720
Speaker 2: Oberg has a big advantage. He's a scoring machine when

317
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,800
Speaker 2: the conditions are soft, which they will be on Thursday

318
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,600
Speaker 2: at least. If things start to dry out and get

319
00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:57,160
Speaker 2: a little tougher and he starts missing greens, then I

320
00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,640
Speaker 2: think Oberg is a threat to miss the cut because

321
00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,320
Speaker 2: his game is one hundred and thirty eighth in this field.

322
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:07,240
Speaker 2: Not great, Bob. It's a jekylin high type thing. He's

323
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:11,160
Speaker 2: a young player, he's an aggressive player. I can see

324
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:13,639
Speaker 2: him winning, and I can also see him missing the

325
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,080
Speaker 2: cut by five shots. But that's also why he's at

326
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 2: plus twenty eight hundred. That's the most appropriate line we've

327
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,280
Speaker 2: seen from Oberg and a major since he joined the

328
00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:25,720
Speaker 2: PGA Tour, where we've always gotten over inflated odds when

329
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,640
Speaker 2: he hasn't won anything. I think this is a kind

330
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,720
Speaker 2: of number that tempts me and I think I need

331
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,720
Speaker 2: to get a little closer to a Thursday to figure

332
00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:36,159
Speaker 2: out if I want to bet on him or not.

333
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,880
Speaker 2: But for sure, just Rory and Bryson, and then I'll

334
00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:43,000
Speaker 2: be doing quite a few long shots and mid plays.

335
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:48,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk about defending PJ. Champ. Xander Schaffley, who

336
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,879
Speaker 1: won at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville last year, the

337
00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,240
Speaker 1: first of his two major victories in twenty twenty five.

338
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:58,240
Speaker 1: He also won the Open Championship. Shoffley is another player

339
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 1: seems to like Quell Hollibols, second at the Wells Fargo

340
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,960
Speaker 1: in each of the last two years. Xander plays tough

341
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,640
Speaker 1: course as well, and he is a tiger in majors.

342
00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:12,919
Speaker 2: He is. He's also got horrendous short game over his

343
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,560
Speaker 2: last twenty four rounds, one of the worst putters in

344
00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:18,399
Speaker 2: this field, one hundred and eighth, one hundred and sixth

345
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:20,679
Speaker 2: in total short game which is around the green and

346
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:25,359
Speaker 2: putting combined, and sixty sixth in the one to seventy

347
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,960
Speaker 2: five to two hundred bucket, which belies his expertise in

348
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,640
Speaker 2: the proximity at two hundred plus approach, which he's obviously

349
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 2: very very good at. It I just I think Xander

350
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:40,120
Speaker 2: is going to benefit from tougher conditions. But if it's

351
00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,200
Speaker 2: a scoring fest like it could be the first two

352
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,560
Speaker 2: days of this tournament, I don't know that he can

353
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 2: keep ups. That's where his short game, his struggles putting

354
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,119
Speaker 2: the season have showed up, where if you need to

355
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 2: make birdies, I don't know if he can do it.

356
00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,199
Speaker 1: Now you've been on Justin Thomas lately. He won the

357
00:18:56,240 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: last PGA Championship at Quel Hollow in twenty seventeen. His

358
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 1: two most recent PGA Tour appearances resulted in a win

359
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 1: at the RBC Heritage and that runner up finish at

360
00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 1: the Truest Championship this past weekend, and Bo, like Thomas,

361
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 1: we talked about this, he easily could have won the Truest.

362
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 1: Could his fall striking had been more Justin Thomas like

363
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: on Sunday? So are you scared off him a little

364
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,399
Speaker 1: bit by how poorly he struck the ball.

365
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,720
Speaker 2: Especially off the tee. His off the tee game, which

366
00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:30,920
Speaker 2: is going to be absolutely paramount this week, It's been

367
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 2: so bad, like this guy's driver is out of whack.

368
00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 2: He couldn't hit any fairways going down the stretch where

369
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,159
Speaker 2: he had birdie hole after birdie hole to try to

370
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 2: get a tie for the lead for a little bit.

371
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 2: Then he was only one back. And then he comes

372
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,920
Speaker 2: up to the par five and just hit the damn fairway, dude,

373
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,760
Speaker 2: and he just he hits all pull hook thirty yards left,

374
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 2: and you're like, Okay, now you're scrambling to make par

375
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:57,119
Speaker 2: on an easy par five and you're not giving yourself

376
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 2: a chance to score. Where his short game is so

377
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,439
Speaker 2: good that you know he can if he's in and

378
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,719
Speaker 2: around the green, but if he's playing catch up off

379
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,919
Speaker 2: the tee, he's a very live threat to miss the

380
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 2: cut here. Off the tea game is so important to

381
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: Quail Hollow, especially with the length that it's going to

382
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 2: be required. He's a long enough hitter. I just don't

383
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,919
Speaker 2: I don't trust his consistency off the tea with the driver.

384
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 2: He's gonna be hitting a lot of drivers. And it

385
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 2: scares me. It scares me a lot. I love JT,

386
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 2: but not a very good sign when he couldn't hit

387
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,119
Speaker 2: the broadside of a barn coming down the stretch on

388
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,360
Speaker 2: a Sunday with every chance in the world to win

389
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 2: that tournament.

390
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 1: It's frightening that it wasn't a consistent miss off the two.

391
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,360
Speaker 2: Oh he was there. He was playing Army player, Yeah,

392
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 2: Army left left left right left, Yeah.

393
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:42,639
Speaker 1: He was.

394
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 2: It was atrocious. I was so mad watching it because

395
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,919
Speaker 2: of course I was holding all those JT tickets and

396
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,200
Speaker 2: watching him just throw it all down the drain.

397
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 1: Now I can't get on John Ram at sixteen to one.

398
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 1: He hasn't won on the Left Tour this season, although

399
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: he's finished top ten in all seven of the live

400
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:03,120
Speaker 1: events he's played, But his last three appearances in majors seventh,

401
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 1: missed cut, last four appearances excuse me, seventh, miss cut,

402
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: forty fifth, fifteenth. Colin Morikawa, great ball striker, ranked sixteenth

403
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,040
Speaker 1: in stroke scanned off the tee, fourth in stroke scanned

404
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 1: an approach, fifth, and stroke scanned total, but he also

405
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 1: ranked sixty third in putting and seventieth in scrambling, and

406
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,920
Speaker 1: his recent form hasn't been great. I like Victor Hovlin,

407
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 1: but other than his win at the Valspar in March,

408
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,760
Speaker 1: he hasn't really done much this year. He ranks one

409
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: hundredth in total driving and one hundred and thirty third

410
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,480
Speaker 1: in strokes gined putting, which wouldn't seem to bode well

411
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 1: for Victor this week. What do you make of Joaquin niemanbo?

412
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:42,920
Speaker 1: I mean, he's won three Live Tour events this year,

413
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,640
Speaker 1: but the twenty six year old Chilean has not made

414
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 1: any serious noise in any major thus far in his career.

415
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's amazing. He's one of the best golfers I've

416
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 2: ever seen, but his best finished in major is outside

417
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,879
Speaker 2: the top twenty zero top twenty finishes in majors in

418
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,920
Speaker 2: his entire career. That's not great. It's not going to

419
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 2: get any better this week. This is a loaded field

420
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:06,400
Speaker 2: and he's just overinflated. I don't know where these odds

421
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 2: come from, because Joaque Neman has proven nothing in a

422
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 2: major at any point. There might be one spike for

423
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 2: any of these players you can see have had a

424
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 2: good showing in a major at some point in their career.

425
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 2: Joaquin Neeman has done at zero times where we've been Oh,

426
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 2: Joaque Neeman could very well win this tournament. It's never happened.

427
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 2: So I'm completely off of Neeman. As much as I

428
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 2: love watching him play regular events, when it gets to

429
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 2: major time, something just happens where he just doesn't win.

430
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 2: He turns into Tommy Fleetwood, which is a top twenty five,

431
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 2: top thirty machine that is going to make the cut.

432
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 2: But that's all you can expect.

433
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,359
Speaker 1: All right, Let's run through some more odds. We've got

434
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 1: Shane Lowry at plus fifty five hundred, Corey Conners at

435
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: plus six thousand. Stepstraca and Russell Henley are plus sixty

436
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 1: five hundred. Jason Day is plus seventy five hundred, Wyndham Clark, Sung,

437
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:59,199
Speaker 1: j M. Patrick Reid and minwoo Lee are plus nine thousand.

438
00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 1: Justin Rosendayaniel Berger are both one hundred to one and

439
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 1: at one hundred and ten to one. Tony Final Sergio Garcia,

440
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 1: Robert McIntyre, Maverick McNeely, Keegan Bradley and Cam Smith both

441
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:15,360
Speaker 1: The short odds on Scotty, Rory and Bryson have created

442
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 1: some pretty long odds for some pretty good players. Are

443
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,120
Speaker 1: you considering anyone from the group I just mentioned.

444
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: Let's backtrack just a tiny bit. I like brooks kep

445
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 2: get plus forty five hundred. His ball striking and off

446
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,880
Speaker 2: the t game is amazing. The fact that his short

447
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 2: game is kind of coming around a little bit on

448
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 2: the live tours is encouraging. He's he's a PGA championship master.

449
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 2: He's got two US opens and three PGAs, which is

450
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 2: not the best club to be in. It is like

451
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 2: like if JT wins the PGA, then that's his third.

452
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 2: This is we want. We don't want the guys who

453
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:53,560
Speaker 2: only have PGA championships. Thankfully, for Brooksy, it's he's got

454
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: two US Opens to go with it. But I like

455
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 2: Brooks at plus forty five hundred, that's an amazing line.

456
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,159
Speaker 2: And then I drop all the way tow on to

457
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 2: Minwu Le at ninety to one. Minu ly off the

458
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: tee is dynamic, he's exciting. He can absolutely destroy the

459
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 2: golf ball off the tee, accurate and long. Just like Rory.

460
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 2: His approach game is god awful, but he's been getting

461
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 2: better this season on approach, which is why he's had

462
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 2: more favorable results this season. I can see him having

463
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 2: the firepower if this stays a scoring fest, like if

464
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 2: we do get a little bit of thunderstorm action on

465
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 2: Friday and Saturday, which is in the forecast a low likelihood,

466
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 2: I can see Minuly scoring in bunches. He's got all

467
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 2: the talent in the world to do that. And then

468
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 2: Will's alatorus one hundred and thirty to one another. Just

469
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 2: pure ball striker who can catch a hot putter. And

470
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 2: I think that if we're looking for a prototype golfer,

471
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 2: it's got to be the guys that get off the

472
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 2: tee and on approach well enough to give themselves enough

473
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,879
Speaker 2: scoring opportunities to where even if they're a little bit

474
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,440
Speaker 2: off on the short game, they're giving themselves the chances

475
00:24:58,480 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 2: to keep pushing forward.

476
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 1: I might be interested in Shane Lowry if we were

477
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 1: getting gusty winds on any of the days at Kuyle Hollow,

478
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:07,919
Speaker 1: but it appears we're not going to get that. Lowry

479
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 1: has finished top twenty at seven of his last eight events, though,

480
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 1: so it might be worth considering for a top ten

481
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,159
Speaker 1: or top twenty bet. But man, it was just so

482
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: disappointing that he could not close the deal at the

483
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 1: Truest when a good final round would have earned him

484
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:22,120
Speaker 1: the trophy.

485
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 2: It's amazing how great he is at chipping and how

486
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 2: terrible he is it petting. He should just go out

487
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,120
Speaker 2: there with his wedge and put with his wedge, because

488
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,639
Speaker 2: he'd make a lot more shot good way.

489
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,359
Speaker 1: That Birdie put on the seventy second haul.

490
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 2: Was just like, I mean the eagle chip on fifteen

491
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:42,199
Speaker 2: that he'd darn nearer jarred from behind the bunker. That

492
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:43,959
Speaker 2: was one of the best shots ever and it was

493
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 2: it should have gone in for eagle, and he would

494
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 2: have had a whole different outlook on the last three holes.

495
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:54,720
Speaker 2: But his putting so bad, it's it's atrocious, and so yeah,

496
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,360
Speaker 2: his ball striking really picks up on the field when

497
00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 2: the weather gets nasty. But you can't trust the guy

498
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 2: who can't make putts down in the clutch.

499
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:07,879
Speaker 1: Now, I'm intrigued by Corey Connors. The Canadian has finished

500
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: inside the top twenty and seven of twelve PGA Tour

501
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: events this season, including five top tens. He finished eighth

502
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: in the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow in twenty

503
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:21,119
Speaker 1: twenty three, and I believe was fourth there in twenty

504
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: twenty four. Now he's not a great bet for an

505
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 1: outright win because of his shaky putting, but Connors is

506
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: a pretty interesting option for a top ten or top

507
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,439
Speaker 1: twenty bets both. Russell Henley's an auto bet for me

508
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 1: on any course with Bermuda Greens. He's finished ten Wells

509
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,560
Speaker 1: yes he is, and he was tenth at the Wells

510
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 1: Fargo Championship last year. Patrick Reid another one. He won

511
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,120
Speaker 1: me some money at the Masters. He's finished top ten

512
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 1: in three of his last four appearances at Kuayle Hollow,

513
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 1: including a second place finish at the twenty seventeen PGA

514
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:56,320
Speaker 1: Championship behind Justin Thomas and Patrick Reid. Finished third at

515
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 1: the Masters last month. Jason Day not having a great season,

516
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 1: but he's kind of a Quail Hollo specialist. He won

517
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 1: the Wells Fargo in twenty eighteen and finished fourth last year.

518
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 1: All Right, but what about long shots who intrigue you.

519
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,120
Speaker 2: I have a laundry list of guys I'm taking shots on.

520
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 2: I mentioned Manually and Willie Z. I'm also gonna take

521
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 2: a shot on Michael Thorby Ornson two hundred and fifty

522
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 2: to one. And yeah, I'm gonna probably take a couple

523
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 2: bucks and throw it on my guy from Chico, California,

524
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,400
Speaker 2: Kirk Kitty Yama. He's an amazing driver the golf ball.

525
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 2: He's one of the best long earned players in the world.

526
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 2: He's just on golf course of this length, with these conditions,

527
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 2: it really favors his style. Of play. Can he make

528
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 2: putts at all? That remains to be seen. He's one

529
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 2: of the worst putters on tour. He's got a decent

530
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 2: short game. The problem is can he make any putts

531
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,640
Speaker 2: at all? I don't think I've seen him make any

532
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 2: of the season. If you discount the short game and

533
00:27:56,320 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 2: then the putting overall, he's He's just an amazing iron player,

534
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 2: one of the longer players out there. He's going to

535
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,360
Speaker 2: have an advantage off the tee and on approach. Can

536
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,440
Speaker 2: he make enough birdies? I think two hundred and fifty

537
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,879
Speaker 2: to one is plenty baked in for the upside. I

538
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 2: just don't know that if the scoring stays favorable that

539
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 2: he can keep up. He's more of a grinder like

540
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,879
Speaker 2: that's if he's another Shane Lowry type. He's almost exactly

541
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 2: like Shane Lowry. If Flowery could hit the ball farther.

542
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 2: He is like amazing long iron player, really straight off

543
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:28,959
Speaker 2: the tee. Just cannot make putts.

544
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:32,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, you have said that. You know you don't want

545
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 1: to bet Kirt Kittie. I'm at a Birdie festime tournament.

546
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:36,439
Speaker 1: You would have bet him in a place like this,

547
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: and you know, like one thing worth mentioning bo I,

548
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 1: I've heard people say that the drainage at Kuwel Hollow

549
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 1: is excellent, like they have a system in place for that.

550
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: So maybe it's not going to be as soft as

551
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 1: we would think. I mean, it's not going to be

552
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 1: playing super firm and fast after all the rain they're

553
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 1: getting early in the week. But maybe it's not going

554
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 1: to be you know, hitting darts on.

555
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 2: A dartboard either. I don't think I think it'll ever

556
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 2: be that easy at Quail Hollow. It's it's just gonna

557
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 2: be It's gonna be interesting to see who kind of

558
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 2: puts their stamp on the tournament on Thursday, when the

559
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:13,959
Speaker 2: conditions are at their easiest. If somebody goes out there

560
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 2: and posts a good number on Thursday, it's gonna be

561
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: really hard to get them off of that as the

562
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 2: week progresses.

563
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: Now, Ricky followers two hundred to one, and this dude

564
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 1: has a pretty good track record at Quail Hollow bow

565
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 1: He beat Rory and Da Points in that playoff I

566
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 1: mentioned earlier in twenty twelve.

567
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 2: Da points there's that big.

568
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 1: That is a blast from the past, and uh, Ricky

569
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: Fowler's had several other top fives there, and while he

570
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 1: hasn't seriously contended anywhere this season, he did just finish

571
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 1: fifteenth at the Truest Championship, and you know, came roaring

572
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: out of the gates with a pretty good first round.

573
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 1: So I'm mildly intrigued by Ricky at two hundred to one,

574
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 1: and bo I've got two dollars in my pocket that

575
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 1: I am ready to throw on our guy Rio. He

576
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:05,959
Speaker 1: shot Sune at four hundred and fifty to one, and

577
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 1: why not he saw Sune's finished top twenty in five

578
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: of his last ten events. He ranks twenty seventh in

579
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: total driving efficiency, thirty ninth in strokes gain total, and

580
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 1: forty first in strokes gain Tita Green, not a bad

581
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 1: profile for a sleeper. At four hundred and fifty.

582
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 2: To one to win, I can go even deeper, all right,

583
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 2: hit me, all right? So everybody expects me to bet

584
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 2: on Carl Phillips this week, I'm not betting on Carl Phillips,

585
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 2: even though he's five hundred to one and it's super tempting.

586
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: I'll throw a top twenty bet on Carl Phillps because

587
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 2: it's plus eight fifty, but I'm gonna throw a couple

588
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 2: dollars outright on Nico Etcheveria six hundred to one. I

589
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 2: think we can do pretty well with the guy who's

590
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 2: playing outstanding off this season. He puts the lights out.

591
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 2: This guy was one of the best buttters on the planet,

592
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 2: and he's really long off the tee. If he can

593
00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 2: find some fair ways this week, he's got a chance.

594
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 1: Not bad at those? At those?

595
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 2: Why not?

596
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 1: Oh? Why not?

597
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: Why not?

598
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: Pat? Why not?

599
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 2: Us? So?

600
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: Who is on your early betting card?

601
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 2: All right, so I'm going right off the top. I'm

602
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 2: doing Rory and Bryce and plus five hundred and plus

603
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:20,560
Speaker 2: nine fifty. I also have Ludwig Oberg Ladder because I'm

604
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 2: just crazy like that. I might talk myself out of

605
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 2: it by Thursday, but I haven't placed that bet yet,

606
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 2: but I'm waiting for it. I might. It's it's gambling.

607
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 2: This is all gambling. Be responsible, but also have fun.

608
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 2: Brooks Koepka forty five to one, Minu Lee at ninety

609
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 2: to one, Willie z will Zaladturus for the lay person

610
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,080
Speaker 2: one hundred thirty to one, Michael Thorby Jornsen two hundred

611
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 2: and fifty to one, Carl Phillips top twenty plus eight fifty,

612
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,880
Speaker 2: and then of course Niko Etcheveria plus sixty thousand.

613
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,479
Speaker 1: I am also betting Rory outright at plus four fifty.

614
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Xander Schaffley despite the poor putting this season,

615
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 1: outright at plus two thousand. We've got Russell Henley for

616
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:05,440
Speaker 1: an outright at plus sixty five hundred, with the top

617
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 1: five kicker at plus nine hundred. I owe Patrick Reid

618
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 1: for the Masters. I'm betting him outright at plus nine thousand.

619
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 1: We've got Corey Connors for a top twenty including ties

620
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 1: at plus one ninety. I feel like that the odds

621
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 1: are pretty reasonable there for a guy who's just consistently

622
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 1: plugged away this year. Ricky Fowler outright at two hundred

623
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 1: to one, and Rio he Sasine outright at four hundred

624
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 1: and fifty to one, with the top ten at eighteen

625
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 1: to one. I got all right now on to our

626
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 1: one and done picks.

627
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 2: BO.

628
00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 1: Last week, you took Ludwig Oberg, I took Brian Harmon.

629
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 1: You said you weren't going to be very happy if

630
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 1: I out earned you in I'm not Oberg Harmon man.

631
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 2: Very unhappy because Ludwig did great except for Saturday. He

632
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,320
Speaker 2: just blew it up like imploded on Saturday.

633
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 1: Yes, and while Harmon did out earn Ludwig, it wasn't

634
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:00,080
Speaker 1: by much. Harmon finished tied for forty six, good for

635
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: fifty three six hundred dollars. Olberg was tied for sixty.

636
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 1: It's good for forty two thousand.

637
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 2: Mature event. That is pretty poor.

638
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: Not a banner week for us in the one in

639
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 1: don Ball, but a new day dawns. I'm up first

640
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 1: at the PGA and I am going to take mister

641
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 1: Rory McElroy. It's the perfect combination of recent form and

642
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 1: course fit.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, mister Quailhall is an excellent pick. And in order

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00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 2: to pivot off of your pick, obviously I would have

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00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 2: picked Rory if you didn't, I'm going to go with

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00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 2: mister City of Water, Wealth, contentment and health Modesto California

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00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 2: shout out NorCal Bryson Deshambeau.

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00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 1: Ooh battle the heavyweights this week, bo looking forward to it.

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00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 1: That's all for this week's Betting Pros PGA podcast. Come

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00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: join us again next week when we will be previewing

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00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: the Charles Schwab Challenge. Until then, so long everyone.

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00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 2: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,160
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Speaker 1: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

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