1 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites from the Action Network. I am 2 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: Chad Millman. Listen, folks, there is a massive story going 3 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: on in the sports world right now. Uh and it's 4 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 1: called the A A F. What is that? Is that? 5 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: The American Alliance of Football. Is that what they're calling it. 6 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: I gotta tell you it is. It is. Hold on, 7 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: don't don't start talking. I haven't introduced you yet, but 8 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: my guest in the podcast today has taken over coverage 9 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: of the a F in a way that is unparalleled. 10 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:51,639 Speaker 1: There is no one doing it the way he's doing it. 11 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: He's kind of a combination of you know, Adam Schefter 12 00:00:56,560 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: and Matt Hasselbeck and John Gruden and John Madden all 13 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,760 Speaker 1: rolled into one. The guy has watched more film on 14 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: the a F than I think I've watched of my 15 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 1: kids growing up. It is actually astonishing how much work 16 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: Ian Heartt's of the Action Network is doing on A 17 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: a F coverage. What's going on? Brother? Thanks Chad. You know, 18 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 1: like I think I'm a homeless man's combination of those 19 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: lovely people you mentioned. But now I had to step 20 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: in there early on because it's the Alliance of American 21 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: Football League. So A lot of people think America is 22 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 1: coming first, which it shouldn't most parts of life, but 23 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: not for the A F. You think I would get that, right, 24 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 1: that's all goods only it's only we're all on A 25 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: week three. Well we're all out A week three. And uh, 26 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: this morning on the Action Network, you had like another 27 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: five thousand words story that broke down film rated players 28 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: gave best odds to win the a F title rated 29 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: position groupings. Uh, broke down like every element of every 30 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: player down to snap being played targets. It's kind of amazing. 31 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: I feel like we have to start from the beginning. 32 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: So first of all, explain to people how your obsession 33 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: with the A A F began. Yeah. So, you know, basically, 34 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: I was full on NFL grind from Week one, the preseason, 35 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 1: all the way up until the super Bowl and then 36 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:37,960 Speaker 1: you know that pretty much terrible Rams Patriots super Bowl ends, 37 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: um more, Monday morning comes around. I was just kind 38 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 1: of looking at my schedule and uh, you know, free 39 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: up that much NFL time, there's a there's a lot 40 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: of free time all of a sudden for a full 41 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: time NFL writer. And you know, I'm not like some 42 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: fantasy analysts that try to jump around these different sports. 43 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: Halfway through and I just saw a nice situation opening 44 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: up where there was a league that, you know, was 45 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: eleven and eleven tackle football, which I love more than anything, 46 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: and uh, there was a kind of painfully lack of 47 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: reporting and awareness kind of going on with it. So 48 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 1: I figured, you know, why not kind of devote some 49 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: of these cold winter months of my life to this 50 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: league that at the very least, you know, resembles tackle football. 51 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: And I don't know, man, I mean I'm not the 52 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: biggest NBA fan out there or anything, but like I 53 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: will literally watch like a Division five high school game 54 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: over you know, professional sports being played, you know, in 55 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: a different type of games. So I've been all for it, 56 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: and I'm happy to see that the public. So I 57 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: began to come around as well. It looks like, look, 58 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: I mean people should know that, uh, you are a 59 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: regular uh analyst for the Action Network covering the NFL. 60 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: You do our matchups column every week, which is amazing. 61 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: Tell me the amount of work that goes into doing 62 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: a matchups column for us? Oh yeah, I mean I 63 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: have a magic manifesto during a week and a wide 64 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: receiver cornerback during the week. I don't know chat I mean, 65 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: I consider like September through January, you know, those are 66 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: my those are my months to pretty much work from 67 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: a sun off to sundown. So it's it's a huge 68 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: effort every week, you know, from the time to games 69 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: and on Sunday, you know, I'm writing to takeaways calumn 70 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: and then Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday are almost exclusively spent pretty 71 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: much getting these columns ready for the weekend. So it's 72 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: you know, it's it's I've been putting out a ton 73 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 1: of a f content, but because there's only eight teams, uh, 74 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: you know, I don't think it's as a rough of 75 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 1: a grind as the NFL season at all, And it's 76 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: it's fun to kind of be learning about these new 77 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: squads and not having the same level I guess, uh 78 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 1: kind of the NFL news grind, which can kind of 79 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 1: weigh on you over you know, that long of a season. 80 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: So it's been a nice relief getting into a f 81 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 1: you know, it's still a bunch of work, but hey man, 82 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: if you're not working harder than what are you doing? 83 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: So it's all good. I agree, And you sure remind 84 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: people you played college football, Yes, sir, University of Chicago, 85 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 1: and they have a football team for all the haters 86 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: out there, undefeated all time and gets Notre Dame. How 87 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 1: many games have they played against Notre Dame? That's not 88 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 1: really important or here, I'm pretty sure to two games 89 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: back when Jay Brewinger was playing in the nineteen thirties. 90 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: Hey man, according to Michigan fans, that's the time that 91 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 1: really matters or something. So uh So, listen, you guys, uh, 92 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 1: you and Sean Corner both who's known as uh the 93 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: odds maker and whose rankings and UM ratings of fantasy 94 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: football players are beloved and sort of a driver certainly 95 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: for us at the Action Network. You guys have been 96 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: dominating this coverage and certainly you guys talk about it 97 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 1: on the Action Network NFL podcast. But I feel like 98 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: we need to give people a little bit of a primer, 99 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 1: like a a F how many games are there going 100 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: to be? What are some the things that have been 101 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: most interesting to you when you're watching these games? Yes, 102 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: so the big thing if you've never watched a snap like, 103 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 1: just realize a F is a developmental NFL league. I mean, 104 00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: this isn't the XFL or Canadian in football or arena 105 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: league where you're seeing you a weird motion and kind 106 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 1: of a game that resembles football. I mean, the goal 107 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:10,039 Speaker 1: here was to be like kind of little brother to 108 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: the NFL and provide a stepping stone for players to 109 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: get more reps and get better and hopefully make it 110 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: to the NFL. So there's eight teams. It's a ten 111 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,119 Speaker 1: week regular season you know, begins a week after the 112 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 1: Super Bowl end basically right around the NFL draft. Two 113 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 1: round playoff formats for twelve weeks total um. It was 114 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: founded by just you know, former TV producer son of Dick, 115 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:33,239 Speaker 1: Charlie eversol as all as well as Hall of Famer 116 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: Bill poly And so they kind of had the you know, 117 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: more entertainment as well as the on field football both 118 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: those sides covered. And yeah, so there are different rules, 119 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: but again these rules are more meant to embrace the 120 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: on field NFL product and to really change too much. 121 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 1: And there's no kickoffs, so on site kicks are replaced 122 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: by a fourth and twelve conversion of the offense has 123 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: to go for. There's no extra points, so teams always 124 00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: have to go for two, you know, to seemingly minor 125 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: rules somewhat but you just end up getting these kind 126 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 1: of extra place throughout the game. You're not being slowed 127 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 1: down by special teams as much, which after you watch 128 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: a couple of games, you do notice much faster increased 129 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: pace of play. The biggest difference are a kind of 130 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: blitz restrictions that are put on defenses. They can only 131 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 1: rush five guys at a time. Uh, they more or 132 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 1: less handcuffed the defenses. I mean you can't do double 133 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: a gap blitzer or disguise them all out well. The 134 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: players have to kind of be on the line of scrimmage, 135 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 1: which you know, we're talking Jeff Schwartz and some of 136 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: us before the season started about how these offenses should 137 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: be able to with the ball up and down the 138 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: field with these blitz restrictions that are kind of like 139 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: what you see in the Pro Bowl almost. But as 140 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: we kind of found out in Week one, might have 141 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: underestimated just how bad some of these quarterbacks are, especially 142 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: early in the season. So, uh, we're seeing as many 143 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: points to start the years. I think maybe the League 144 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 1: of hope, but I think overall, you turned the game 145 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: on and you're gonna be pleasantly surprised with the off 146 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: field product. All right, So I want to get to 147 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: a bunch of different betting questions, But first I want 148 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: to know, like why should I trust you? You know what, 149 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: I mean, You're you're analyzing this stuff. Nobody else is, 150 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: but like, how are you doing it? What makes me blue? What? 151 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: What should make me trusting what you're saying? I mean, 152 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: I think, uh, what Kanye said it best if you 153 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: can do it better than me, than you do it. 154 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: But uh no, I's know, I really am pouring pretty much, 155 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: uh my heart and soul into trying to do this 156 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: as well as possible. And to me, when you're approaching 157 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: a league like this or we don't have much information available, 158 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 1: I mean, really, all we can do is try to 159 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:36,079 Speaker 1: um take in all the information that is available. I mean, 160 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: I see a lot of people kind of scoffing at 161 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: the idea of betting on a f because you know, 162 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 1: there's so much we don't know. But I mean the 163 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: oddsmakers there's a lot they don't know too, because this 164 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: is such an unknown for everyone. So you know, I 165 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 1: think there is a little bit of an edge they're 166 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: and just embracing that in certainty and realizing that we 167 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 1: don't know at all. But you know, all I can 168 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 1: do in the meantime, they just trying to know it 169 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 1: all as fast as possible. So for me that you know, 170 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: pretty much watching most of these games on Saturday or Sunday. 171 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,360 Speaker 1: You know, I'd like to say, I'm I have a 172 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: bit more of a social life in that, but I 173 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: have watched an alarming amount of these games live so far, 174 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 1: and then uh afterwards, you know, making sure to go 175 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: back through and finding these games again on YouTube or 176 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: some other channel and rewatching them because I have found that, 177 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 1: because of the lack of a news information available, the 178 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: broadcasts are very helpful with the coaches will kind of 179 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 1: analyze their packages and why this player played over this player, 180 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: and different information like that which you can only really 181 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,320 Speaker 1: hear from listening to broadcast. So uh, just watching the 182 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,680 Speaker 1: film listening to broadcast. And then now that we're a 183 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: couple of weeks in, we've had websites like Pro Football 184 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 1: Focus and No Extra Points dot com beginning to provide information, 185 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:45,199 Speaker 1: so I'm able to do you know, more of the 186 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 1: uh typical NFL type analysis that you know I've I've 187 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 1: gotten good at over the last few years. So you know, 188 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 1: I say, if you want to take a chance on me. 189 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: Just go ahead read my scouting report. You know, I 190 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: think you'll see. Uh. You know, I put a ton 191 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 1: of time into this, and yeah, you know, it's trying 192 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 1: to really uncover every stone because the big thing is 193 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: I'm not having an ego with any of this. I've again, 194 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: I was very wrong early on the season about thinking 195 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: that the overs will be hitting because of these rules. 196 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 1: I mean, we got to have a kind of short 197 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 1: mindset and this be willing to adjust on the fly 198 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 1: because it's a new league and we don't know that much. 199 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 1: So just trying to keep getting better week by week, 200 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: and I think the best way to do that is 201 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: just immerse yourself in it. Alright, So have you been 202 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: betting on the A A S. I have been, and 203 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: how's it going? Not too bad? A Week one was 204 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: our whole strategy was pretty much fate Christian Hackenberg, which 205 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: worked out brilliantly. Uh. Didn't know much of else about 206 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: the rosters there. Uh yeah, Like I said, I think 207 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: the overs in week one but one and three, So 208 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: that didn't go that great. But last week we're able 209 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,319 Speaker 1: to adjust. In our ultimate betting guy, we're able to 210 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 1: go four and two. Uh, pretty much counted the underdogs 211 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: two and two there. But by knowing kind of how 212 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: these quarterbacks and offenses are a little bit, I was 213 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: able to get on the who was at Orlando San 214 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: Antonio because those are two of the pretty much only 215 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: decent offenses as well as the Atlanta San Diego under 216 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: after seeing how bad those guys are. So we're getting there, Chad, 217 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 1: let's talk about Christian Hackenbroke for a second. I almost 218 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 1: feel bad for the guy, do you know what I mean? Like, 219 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: here was a guy who you know, many many years ago, 220 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: took a huge chance, he was the number one rated 221 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: player coming out of high school, took this huge chance, 222 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:32,560 Speaker 1: decided to stay at Penn State even after all of 223 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 1: the Joe Pap drama, and probably had a chance to 224 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: walk away from his scholarship at Penn State. He decides 225 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: to stay. He does okay, and at one point I 226 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:47,080 Speaker 1: feel like maybe coming out of his junior year, if 227 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: he had gone out after his junior year, he might 228 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 1: have been her first round pick. Stays for a senior year, 229 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 1: doesn't do that well, falls down in the draft, goes 230 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: to the Jets. It's kind of a joke there. This 231 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 1: is a cautionary tale all along the way. What do 232 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: you think of that? Yeah, he said it may not 233 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: once at Hackenburg ever really been set up for success 234 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 1: since he's left high school. I mean he has. He 235 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: goes to Penn State, starts as a freshman, and things 236 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 1: go so well with Bill O'Brien that you know, O'Brien 237 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 1: leaves and takes the Texans job. So there goes you know, 238 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: pretty much the only good college head coach Hackenburg had, 239 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 1: and then he had to deal with those depleted Penn 240 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 1: State rosters for the next two years. You know, before 241 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 1: they were kind of able to kind of research under 242 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 1: James Franklin and become that, you know, much more confident 243 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: team that we've seen the last few years. And now, 244 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: like I said, he goes the Jets, doesn't really have 245 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: a chance to succeed there. Now he's in the a F. 246 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 1: His head coach is Mike Singletary, you know, longtime defensive mind, 247 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 1: old school football coach, and their offensive coordinator was supposed 248 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 1: to be how hum who's more of a progressive air 249 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:54,079 Speaker 1: raid of minded coach, but he unfortunately left the team 250 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 1: about too monch supporting season started. So, man, if you 251 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 1: watch about a quarter of this uh not this offense 252 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: with Hackenburg. I wouldn't be shocked if Singletary has an 253 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 1: alarming amount of slight and what exactly they're trying to 254 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 1: do on offense, because it really just isn't a situation 255 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 1: that I think many quarterbacks would be able to succeed in. Unfortunately, 256 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: it's looking like it's kind of bringing out the worst 257 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 1: in Hackenburg in this last game, because the guy just 258 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: hardly has any time to throw. When he does, he's 259 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:24,840 Speaker 1: pretty rushed. So, I mean, it seems like his strategy 260 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 1: last week was if his first reason there take off 261 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: scramble and then not sliding. I mean, oh my god, Christian, 262 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: he was getting absolutely pulverized last week. I felt bad 263 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 1: for the guy. Even when he manages to score a touchdown, 264 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: he's laid out into the end zone afterwards. So, man, 265 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 1: if anyone needs a break in this world, it's Christian Hackenburg. 266 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 1: Well what was it? What was the number of this weekend? 267 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 1: It was sixteen and a half? Is that this weekend 268 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 1: of the weekend before as uh sixteen last week and 269 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 1: week two well we barely know anything about and it 270 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: was sixteen and halve and he didn't cover did he 271 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: he did cover? Yeah, they actually, Uh it was funny 272 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: that this was up on Arizona, who was widely considered 273 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 1: the best team in the league. Twelve nothing at halftime, 274 00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 1: so you think, you know, you're winning by two scores 275 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: against the best team in the league. Your quarterback must 276 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: be playing pretty well. But it was so bad that, 277 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 1: like Brandon Sobers was, even their backup was even warming 278 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: up in the third quarter of that game because Hackenburg 279 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 1: still just couldn't really get anything going. So they did 280 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: end up covering. Arizona came back in a oneen anyway, 281 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: but sixteen points was still just a ridiculous sight to see. Alright, So, 282 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 1: Christian Hackenburg, you know that's too bad. He's probably not 283 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: going to get back to the NFL. How are you 284 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 1: making decisions about betting in this sport? How are you 285 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 1: power rating teams right now? So the big thing for 286 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: me when it started was just trying to identify who 287 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: the good quarterbacks are in, what offenses are potentially running 288 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: some new loook schemes. I mean, I won't pretend to 289 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: be like the biggest offensive wizard in the world, but 290 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 1: we did have a bunch of coaches here like Mike 291 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: Arts and some of these guys who literally had not 292 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 1: coached in ten years. So that's not always a bad 293 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 1: thing for coaches. You know, sometimes you see them go 294 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: out even if they're broadcasting and stuff. You know, they're 295 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 1: still kind of learning new offenses, learning new things, going 296 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 1: around the country doing all that. But we find out 297 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: that there are other coaches like Mike Martz who more 298 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 1: or less don't do anything for ten years and then 299 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 1: trying to run the same offense that worked really well 300 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 1: in So trying to identify that before the year was 301 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: kind of what led me on to Birmingham for example. Uh, 302 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 1: they had the worst odds in the entire league to 303 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: start the year, but the quarterback Luis Perez actually won 304 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 1: the D two Heisman and seventeen was able to get 305 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: a couple of coffee with the Rams and Sean McVeigh 306 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 1: in the preseason eighteen. So you know, if Sean mcvays 307 00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: thinks highly of you, that's usually get enough to get 308 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 1: a head coaching job in the NFL. So it's not 309 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 1: bad if you're a quarterback as well, I figure, and 310 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: uh yeah, so kind of knowing that Birmingham had at 311 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 1: least a halfway cough in the quarterback under center. You know, 312 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: they've been lucky enough to start too. And Oh, I 313 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 1: was able to kind of get on that future before 314 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 1: and I think what we've really seen now after two 315 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 1: weeks is a separation and that quarterback play throughout the league. 316 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: You're seeing Arizona, Orlando, Birmingham, and San Antonio are kind 317 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 1: of top four teams with their quarterback play. Salt Lake 318 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 1: the starter Josh Woodroum hurt his hamstring in the first 319 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: half of the first game, so they're still a little 320 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 1: bit up in the air. But San Diego, Atlanta and 321 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 1: Memphis are bad and we've seen that really play out. 322 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: And because I mean any level of football, if you 323 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: don't have a good quarterback, you're gonna struggle to consistently 324 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: move the ball. So yeah, maybe you can overcome that 325 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 1: with a good defenses and different things in that nature, 326 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 1: but it was really impossible for us to know that 327 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: going to season. So the biggest thing for me, it's 328 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 1: just been evaluating these kbs. Alright, So, uh, I believe 329 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: you said in your story today, Garrett Gilbert maybe the 330 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 1: best quarterback in the a F Garrett Gilbert does the 331 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: NFL like just miss this guy, or is he good 332 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: for the A A F but a third stringer or 333 00:16:56,480 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 1: non roster player in the NFL. Give me an assessment here. Yeah, So, 334 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 1: I think it's important to keep in mind, like when 335 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 1: we're talking about a guy being great in the AF, 336 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that they're gonna go to the NFL 337 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 1: and have the same level of success. I think it 338 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: honestly just shows how high level the NFL really is 339 00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: for these players to, you know, attempt to go to 340 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: the NFL, and I understand a lot of them maybe 341 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 1: didn't have the opportunity needed to succeed or there maybe 342 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:25,240 Speaker 1: there are some various factors that didn't allow them to flourish. 343 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:28,360 Speaker 1: But either way, I mean, we've seen more than enough 344 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 1: examples of the a F of just talented players that 345 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 1: weren't able to crack in the NFL to know that 346 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 1: there's still plenty of high level football being played out here. 347 00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:39,880 Speaker 1: So yeah, Garrett Gilbert, you know, I wasn't really able 348 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 1: to do anything, uh professionally when the few snaps he 349 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: was able to get. And now all of a sudden 350 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:46,959 Speaker 1: you're thrown with Steve Spurrier and he looks like a 351 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 1: freaking god. But it's just uh yeah, I keep in mind, 352 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: especially I think in this Orlando offense that uh, it 353 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 1: is different than anything we're kind of seeing in the NFL. 354 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: Because the crazy thing with Gilbert of his past is 355 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 1: how have been at least twenty yards or downfield so 356 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: far this season. I mean, they are not afraid to 357 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: chuck that ball. And I mean, for comparison, no NFL 358 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:11,640 Speaker 1: quarterback has even surpassed on his deep ball rate. So 359 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: it's definitely different styles being played a little bit, which 360 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,960 Speaker 1: I think is helping increase numbers for someone like Gilbert, 361 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: but it's also just some good football being played. You know, 362 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,960 Speaker 1: guys like Rashad Ross, Charles Johnson, these wide receivers that 363 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 1: are balling out as well. Yeah, maybe they're not going 364 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 1: to go to the NFL and you know, immediately become 365 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,320 Speaker 1: a thousand yard guy. But I think just given these 366 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: players extra foam opportunities, extra chances show hey, you know, 367 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: if you do give me ten targets per game, I'm 368 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 1: capable of coming down with five or six of them. 369 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:41,879 Speaker 1: Having those chances, I think it's just really huge for 370 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: every position. I love that Steve Spurrier is coaching and 371 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: that he's got the best passing stats in the league, 372 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:50,640 Speaker 1: and I feel like, I feel like if I feel 373 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 1: like betting should be allowed by the players on this 374 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:55,880 Speaker 1: and they should be able to bet on their own 375 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: that that would take the league to the next level. 376 00:18:58,160 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: And they've got this app, and the app is playing 377 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: and like, you know, you can pick the next play 378 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 1: that's going on. And all weekend I was playing with it, 379 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,879 Speaker 1: and I kept picking plays and I went with the opposite. 380 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,479 Speaker 1: I ended up being on the opposite side of the 381 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 1: crowd and nearly everyone because I'm a contraining but I 382 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 1: feel like this league is Taylor made for, like, you know, 383 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,880 Speaker 1: players to bet on themselves. In the player prop category, 384 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 1: I agree. I mean, especially if they're betting on themselves. 385 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:27,679 Speaker 1: I mean I don't really see the downside in it, 386 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: because everyone's just worried about, you know, someone throwing a game, 387 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 1: which obviously no one wants, but yeah, I think people 388 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: would love that, and they're already kind of interviewing these 389 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,280 Speaker 1: uh you know, I see a player interview to kind 390 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 1: of end the first and the third quarter, and I mean, yeah, 391 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 1: imagine if uh, you know, Louis Perez walked out there 392 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 1: and goes, yeah, I saw my player prop for yards 393 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: is only two hundred and five. Like that's an insult. 394 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: I'm easily I'm easily covering that. I mean, just adds 395 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 1: a whole another storyline to it. That's a fun thing 396 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,360 Speaker 1: to uh get excited about. So yeah, I'm with you chat, 397 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:59,160 Speaker 1: especially while this league remains you know a little bit 398 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 1: of niche kind of betting and fantasy sport. Just doing 399 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 1: everything they can to embrace that would really be great. 400 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 1: Did you watch any Louise Perez games in college? I 401 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 1: did not, but I did grind some filmal film in 402 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 1: the preseason NFL preseason in particular, as I was trying 403 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:23,120 Speaker 1: to get a better read on these teams. You grinded 404 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 1: some film on Louise Perez. Yeah, it's so uh it's Perez. 405 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 1: But here's the crazy thing to like, these quarterback situations 406 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 1: haven't even been locked in stone. I mean, I thought 407 00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: I was getting a good read on everyone, but we 408 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 1: find out, like Arizona, who has been the consensus best 409 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: team all year, they were supposed to be gone with 410 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 1: Trevor Knight, who was at Oklahoma and later Texas A 411 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,879 Speaker 1: and EMM in college, Like he was their starting quarterback 412 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 1: up until about the Thursday before game time, they turned 413 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: around and go with John Woolford, who that looks like 414 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 1: the best quarterback in the league on Sunday. So it's 415 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: uh one of these things where, yeah, maybe the quarterback, 416 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,440 Speaker 1: you know, it's gonna be a certain part of how 417 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 1: good this offense is. But it's also once you see 418 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: kind of the system they're in, the scheme they're running, 419 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 1: that's really when you can set the ceiling. Is it 420 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,479 Speaker 1: all that different? Like, are you seeing things that are 421 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:14,919 Speaker 1: innovative in the A A F that the NFL doesn't do? Uh, 422 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 1: not so much from the off field product, yet I 423 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,360 Speaker 1: think the NFL is ahead of it. It's it's kind 424 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: of difficult for the defense is in particular to be 425 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: all that innovative because of those kind of aforementioned blitching 426 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 1: rules that handcuffed from a bit. But the only real 427 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 1: offense I've seen that looks like a modern kind of 428 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 1: almost college style team is Arizona. I mean they've they've 429 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:38,920 Speaker 1: run the second most play action in the league and 430 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,159 Speaker 1: they're getting the ball out. Walford is gonna ball all 431 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: the hands that quicker than anyone, A whole bunch of 432 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 1: up tempo, stemp up tempo stuff there, but I think 433 00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:49,679 Speaker 1: he'll still be surprised like some of the cave memball 434 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 1: that's going on with these teams, like Memphis Week one 435 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 1: with Hackenburg that they're down a couple of scores at halftime, 436 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:58,879 Speaker 1: and like, I kid you not, their second half of 437 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: game plan change was to run more wildcat. So I 438 00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: think some of these teams are still uh, still still 439 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 1: playing a little bit behind the eight ball there. Uh. 440 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: Do you think this is better than college football or 441 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:14,880 Speaker 1: is it the same as college football? I think college 442 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 1: football is better because people still have the tradition to 443 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 1: latch onto and more of a comfort zone with it. 444 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,879 Speaker 1: I think the on field product has a chance to 445 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: be pretty similar, though I don't think it's there yet. 446 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 1: But like we saw last week and that or landover 447 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: Santonio game matchup between pretty much two of the only 448 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 1: four decent qbs in the league. It was really the 449 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: most entertaining one. Yeah, kind of like a poor man 450 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: version of Rams Chiefs where yes, there was really good 451 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,680 Speaker 1: offense kind of going back and forth, but we saw 452 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 1: some defensive scores. I mean, it wasn't like a Big 453 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: twelve game. I mean there was a good defense and 454 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,640 Speaker 1: offense kind of being played on both sides of the ball. 455 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: So there are situations like that, but I mean, come on, like, 456 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 1: you can also look at San Diego versus Atlanta, where 457 00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,240 Speaker 1: we got you know, Philip Nelson chucking the ball over 458 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: his head like he's a madman. Where it's like, all right, guys, 459 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: like this is really the best level of football we 460 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:08,639 Speaker 1: can display here. So I think, uh, you know, I 461 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 1: think it's mean, isn't going to be as good as 462 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 1: called football, but I think the better games of the 463 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,359 Speaker 1: a F are certainly at that level. All right. So 464 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: this past weekend, uh, there were four games, and all 465 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: four games had relatively bad beats. And like we came 466 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: into the office this morning, Scott Miller, our executive editor, 467 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: came in this morning. He's like, I bet on all 468 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 1: four games. Got got beaten all four games in ways 469 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 1: that if that was an NFL game, we would have 470 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 1: written four massive stories about how bad those beats were. 471 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 1: So explain to me, Explained to me, how you're gonna 472 00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 1: feel good if you're in that situation betting on a 473 00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:54,520 Speaker 1: sport that's two weeks old and which the only person 474 00:23:54,520 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 1: who's telling us anything is you. Ian Hartet's. Yeah, it's 475 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 1: I've seen a couple more guys come out of the 476 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,639 Speaker 1: woolworks sit in the last few weeks, so we're starting 477 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,399 Speaker 1: to get some more competition in the field, which you know, 478 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:08,919 Speaker 1: I was just gonna help bring out the best and 479 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 1: all all of us. But yeah, some pretty bad beats 480 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: going on last week. But I don't know, man like, 481 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,199 Speaker 1: it isn't a bad beat, just a good beat for 482 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,439 Speaker 1: the other, for the other better on the other side. 483 00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:22,399 Speaker 1: So I feel for Scott and I wish they'd worked 484 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: out a little better for him, But I don't know. 485 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 1: I still felt like we had a pretty decent grasp 486 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 1: on the league going into last week. Maybe as a whole. 487 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 1: I mean there's some um, you know, there's definitely some 488 00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 1: variance to pop up, but I mean we looked at 489 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 1: sixteen point Memphis spread and kind of do that was 490 00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: too high. I was able to come to fruition and 491 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 1: then uh, you know, Birmingham, uh was favored by a 492 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,880 Speaker 1: little too much over Salt Lake. They weren't quite able 493 00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 1: to cover that. So I think these games that have 494 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:53,159 Speaker 1: two really bad quarterbacks, like you like your Atlanta San 495 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 1: Diego game, you got to recognize that and kind of 496 00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:57,720 Speaker 1: think that there's gonna be some more variance there, you know, 497 00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,879 Speaker 1: hied higher chance returnovers and then of that nature. But 498 00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 1: I think you know, the key to this is is folks, 499 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,919 Speaker 1: maybe don't bet on every game like you, like some 500 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 1: of your dgens might for the NFL slate and just 501 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,199 Speaker 1: focus on the two or three you think you can 502 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 1: actually get an edge. And because look, I mean, yeah, 503 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 1: guys like me, you know, guys, you know these other 504 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: fantasy analysts, we don't know as much about this as 505 00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 1: we do about the NFL. But the same thing could 506 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,359 Speaker 1: be said about the oddsmakers. I mean, it's a new 507 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: league for everyone, so I think really trying to immerse 508 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,479 Speaker 1: ourselves early as possible or just give us the best 509 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:29,480 Speaker 1: chance to be successful. All Right, So you just said 510 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 1: something really interesting, which was obviously you want to pay 511 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 1: attention to quarterbacks, Like if if I am a better 512 00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:40,160 Speaker 1: Jones in first some action on football and I'm thinking 513 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:43,679 Speaker 1: about betting on the A A F how am I 514 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:48,959 Speaker 1: finding my edge quarterbacks? You just mentioned the variants and quarterbacks. 515 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 1: Obviously you can read your stuff. You can go to PFF, 516 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: you can sort of do a lot of different things. 517 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:55,199 Speaker 1: You try to figure out what the research is, But 518 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: what are the keys that you're looking for when you're 519 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: power rating these games. Yeah, so the big thing before 520 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 1: the season, like I said, it was just play callers, quarterbacks. 521 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: Now we actually have a little more stuff going on 522 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: with us. I'm able to do, you know, more of 523 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 1: the typical NFL style statistical annoulynsis during the week with 524 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 1: some of that data we mentioned, but uh, really, you know, 525 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,560 Speaker 1: once kind of we're at the Tuesday Wednesday part of 526 00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 1: the week, that's when I want to kind of start 527 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: looking at these matchups more to see who's gonna get exploited, 528 00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:29,000 Speaker 1: because right now we're seeing a huge disparity between these offenses. 529 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 1: I mean, Orlando is averaging seven point six yards per 530 00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 1: play way to go Spurrier. Meanwhile, we have three teams 531 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 1: averaging three point nine yards for players fewer. I mean 532 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:45,639 Speaker 1: that's literally literally almost Uh you know, you're having half 533 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: of one of Orlando play is going to get you 534 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: two of Salt Lakes plays. I mean, it's ridiculous how 535 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,119 Speaker 1: much more efficient some of these offenses are. So just 536 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: recognizing that and then trying to get a good read 537 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: on these defenses, I thin because the season goes on 538 00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 1: will be useful as well. Right now, I don't see 539 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 1: a thing. I mean, maybe Atlanta. I think it's only 540 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: defense I would point to that looks like a kind 541 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: of major liability, but also in defenses that at least 542 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,959 Speaker 1: look pretty okay for the most part. So keeping an 543 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: eye on who they're being tested by, like, for example, Birmingham. 544 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:16,960 Speaker 1: You know, they looked really good, but they've played in 545 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:20,159 Speaker 1: Memphis and uh San Diego so far this week with 546 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,840 Speaker 1: the guy Atlanta, so really haven't been tested yet. Trying 547 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 1: to keep that in mind. And then I think the 548 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 1: last thing is just, uh, you know, we don't have 549 00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 1: a great schefter guy in the a F that's gonna 550 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,160 Speaker 1: give you all the news. You know, injury reports are 551 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 1: pretty tough to come by, so really just doing everything 552 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 1: you can to dig through those, you know, go through 553 00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 1: the a F beat writers. I mean it can be 554 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 1: a tedious task sometimes, but you know, then we find 555 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 1: out in a situation like with salt Lake last week 556 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: that while Josh Woodman was a game time decision and 557 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,680 Speaker 1: questionable all week, if you kind of pay attention more 558 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,480 Speaker 1: the beat writers and some of the articles, you would 559 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,199 Speaker 1: know that he was more doubtful side of things. So again, 560 00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 1: just you know, really trying to cover, really trying to 561 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 1: uncover every last own and piece of information is I 562 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: think just the best way to go about it. Well, 563 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,520 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, this is also about 564 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,040 Speaker 1: another way to take advantage of a market in which 565 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: you can make some money. Absolutely. Yeah, I was gonna say, 566 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,640 Speaker 1: like the one thing we haven't we you know, talking 567 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:20,199 Speaker 1: about kind of the gambling ways and going it, but 568 00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 1: there's a big fantasy market kind of growing on it too. 569 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 1: We've been lucky enough to get some daily fantasy contests 570 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 1: with the fine folks at fan Ball, and I think 571 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:32,400 Speaker 1: that's gonna be a big boost to this league. League 572 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:34,360 Speaker 1: staying power in general is just trying to get more 573 00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 1: people involved in the fantasy side of things, because I mean, 574 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 1: you know, people, I don't even love football per se, 575 00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: I love playing fantasy football, and that's kind of an 576 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 1: opportunity we're getting here. So it was pretty tough for 577 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: anyone to get a season long league going, and even 578 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: if you were able to get it going, I'm sure 579 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 1: there's been enough kind of fluky draft picks already kind 580 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: of sway the tide in those leagues. So I do 581 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: think the kind of nature this league, you know, as 582 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 1: we know more each week and weekend and week out, 583 00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 1: it does set itself up really kindly to the daily 584 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 1: fantasy format where you can kind of take more of 585 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 1: a week by week approach. Alright, so Ian, we're gonna 586 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 1: we got Eli Herskovic, our our college basketball analyst, is 587 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:19,600 Speaker 1: going to come up later in the show. But before 588 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: you go, I need you to give me your picks 589 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 1: for this weekend's a A F games. That's what we've 590 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 1: been leading to this whole time. This is what we've 591 00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 1: been waiting for. You are all things a A F 592 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:39,120 Speaker 1: media rolled into one. Give me your picks. I wish 593 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,680 Speaker 1: we had the lives available, but I am not seeing 594 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,480 Speaker 1: them just yet. But so interestingly enough, two of these 595 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:50,280 Speaker 1: games already feature rematches and between teams I've faced in 596 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 1: week one, uh so San Diego and San San Antonio, 597 00:29:55,360 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 1: as well as um Or Salt Lake Frost Arizona games. 598 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 1: They're already faced her in week one. And you know, 599 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 1: one piece of research that Jonathan Bales, um my boss, 600 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,240 Speaker 1: has done in the passes, He's looked at NFL quarterbacks 601 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: and their second kind of divisional game of the season, 602 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 1: and the offense has always performed worse. I think this 603 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 1: makes sense. You know, defenses get a second look at 604 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:19,719 Speaker 1: a team and they're gonna have a chance to make 605 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: adjustments and be better, especially considering that these offenses they've 606 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 1: only had two weeks to improve during the span. I 607 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: love the unders in these games, even though I don't 608 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,200 Speaker 1: know what they are yet in San Diego, sant A Tonio, 609 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 1: as well as UM Salt Lake in Arizona not Lee's 610 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,520 Speaker 1: Uh you know, I'll get my straight up text these 611 00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 1: games too. Uh Arizona. I think it's the best team 612 00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 1: in the league. They're gonna take down Salt Lake if 613 00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:47,680 Speaker 1: John Josh Woodrum is still out. Keep an eye on 614 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:49,760 Speaker 1: that though, because Woodroum coming back is going to help 615 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 1: that Salt Lake team. I don't think they're as bad 616 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: as their own two records said they are well Landover's 617 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 1: Memphis hard to harden, not Rivos Burger and Company at home. 618 00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 1: But I do think we could see another lofty line 619 00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 1: in that sixteen point range potentially, so might be no 620 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 1: situation to take a dog that's not too happy about uh. 621 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 1: Birmingham versus Atlanta. I do like Birmingham Louis Perez talked 622 00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: him up a ton in Atlanta is just so bad 623 00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 1: with Matt Simms or bunch their coach. I've left in 624 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 1: the last month, so I got Birmingham and they're finally 625 00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 1: San Diego ver san Antonio, and I like San Antonio. 626 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: Here is another situation though, where I can see that 627 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 1: line being a little high, So Mike could go out 628 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,360 Speaker 1: of the underdog, which was something we did last week 629 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: to a little bit of success. So even though it 630 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 1: might not feel good, people, if you don't know a 631 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 1: ton about it as much as you do about another sport, 632 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: just you know, embraced uncertainty and must hopefully make some money. 633 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,680 Speaker 1: Embrace the uncertainty. It's just a good way for all 634 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 1: of us to live our lives. Ian Heart, it's from 635 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,440 Speaker 1: the Action Network. Dude, you are killing it. This stuff 636 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 1: is so so good. Uh, if you don't know anything 637 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 1: about the a F but if you just like to 638 00:31:55,800 --> 00:32:00,080 Speaker 1: read someone who is fully immersed in analyzing football, you 639 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 1: gotta go ready and heartsits and uh fill his heart 640 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 1: with joy because he is putting a lot of effort 641 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:09,200 Speaker 1: into these things. Ian, nice work, buddy, Thanks for coming 642 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: on the podcast. Thanks a Buch for having me. Chad, 643 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 1: have a good one, all right, brother, alright. Coming up 644 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 1: next on the podcast, Eli Herskovich is going to talk 645 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: about college basketball. He's been following it all season long 646 00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: on the Action Network and we had to change the 647 00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 1: Top the Top twenty five this week. We're gonna break 648 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,080 Speaker 1: it down, but first I want to tell you about 649 00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 1: mac Weldon. Mac Weldon's mission is simple, to make sure 650 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 1: all your basics and beyond are smartly designed, and shopping 651 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,960 Speaker 1: for them is easy and convenient, and frankly, Mac Weldon 652 00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 1: is better than whatever you're wearing right now. 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I know, right, 670 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 1: I know how easy was it to use the website. 671 00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 1: It was so easy that I over spent and as 672 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 1: I said, I love, love, love the hoodie. Your first order, 673 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,360 Speaker 1: visit mac Weldon dot come and enter promo code action 674 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 1: at check out. Off your first order, visit mac weldon 675 00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:13,200 Speaker 1: dot com and enter promo code action at checkout. Folks, 676 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 1: you gotta go to mac Weldon. You know we love 677 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 1: our sponsors. We want you to support our sponsors. Be 678 00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:22,000 Speaker 1: good to them because they're good to us. Let's get 679 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:25,840 Speaker 1: to Eli Herskovich in some college basketball, all right, as 680 00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:28,319 Speaker 1: promised next up on the podcast, Not only are we 681 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,680 Speaker 1: talking a a f today as we did with Ian Hartitt's, 682 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:36,400 Speaker 1: we're talking a little college troops with Action Network college 683 00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:46,000 Speaker 1: hoops basketball writer Eli Herskovich in Chicago, my hometown, Eli, 684 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 1: what's happening? Not much chat? Thanks for me and I 685 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:54,399 Speaker 1: appreciate it so A. I love hearing your voice as 686 00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:57,399 Speaker 1: a fellow Chicagoan because it makes me feel like I'm 687 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 1: at home. B. I love the you went to DePaul, 688 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:04,720 Speaker 1: which you know, when I was growing up in Chicago 689 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:09,719 Speaker 1: in the eighties was like the transcendent basketball program that 690 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: I lived for and watched every single night during the 691 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:18,279 Speaker 1: season on w G n UH and see You're gonna 692 00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: catch us up man, because now all the attention is 693 00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:23,560 Speaker 1: going into college basketball. We're out of the All Star break. 694 00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:28,120 Speaker 1: U k uh and UT played this weekend. My Ama 695 00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 1: Mater Indiana plays Perdue Uh tonight, huge huge Duke U 696 00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,839 Speaker 1: n C game tomorrow. Here are my questions for you. 697 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:43,799 Speaker 1: Are you ready? Let's do it? Number one Tennessee. Were 698 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:47,920 Speaker 1: they exposed or can they recover? I think they were 699 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 1: exposed a little bit. And this was a team that 700 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:53,200 Speaker 1: I was really high on coming into the season. Got 701 00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:55,959 Speaker 1: one as a future play and that's really good value 702 00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 1: of considering their twelve to one depending out where you 703 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 1: shop around. But defensively, they were eighth in the country 704 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,640 Speaker 1: and adjusted defensive efficiency last year, and that's opponent's points 705 00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,040 Speaker 1: per a hundred possessions. So you're looking at a team 706 00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 1: that brought back a ton of upperclassmen. Grant Williams and 707 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,280 Speaker 1: Admiral Scope Field, two of the top guys in that group. 708 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 1: And and and they're now that the second in the 709 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: country in the fifties high forties in that department. So 710 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: Kentucky really took it to them on the block. PJ. Washington, 711 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,359 Speaker 1: who has been out of control good over the last 712 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:30,160 Speaker 1: eight games for the Wildcats. It's been a blessing for 713 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,520 Speaker 1: for John Kelly Priory that he came back to school. 714 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 1: Henry Travis were dominant against that front line. Ashton Higgins, 715 00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:41,279 Speaker 1: who's been a huge who's who's improved a ton over 716 00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:45,400 Speaker 1: over the conference stretch for the Kentucky Wildcats, was tremendous 717 00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,440 Speaker 1: against Jordan Bone, who's a pretty good defensive point guards. 718 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:53,920 Speaker 1: So offensively, Tennessee taken that next step, but defensively, uh 719 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,120 Speaker 1: Grant Williams and Kyle Alexander, who's a really good defensive center. 720 00:36:57,160 --> 00:36:59,560 Speaker 1: For the battles, they were exposed. And I think this 721 00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,520 Speaker 1: is a for Tennessee going forward. I'm not saying that 722 00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:05,360 Speaker 1: they won't beat LSU on the road on Saturday, that 723 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 1: that looks like a good matchup on paper, just looking 724 00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:10,760 Speaker 1: at that one a little bit. But come the tournament, 725 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 1: this team has has real defensive issues. So what did 726 00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,120 Speaker 1: we learn about Kentucky then in this matchup? Are they 727 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:21,720 Speaker 1: sort of finding peak Kentucky right now? Are they getting 728 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,200 Speaker 1: into the great great place as the head into the tournament? 729 00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 1: I think so. And and it starts with one of 730 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 1: the guys I brought up, Aston Haggens. If you get 731 00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:33,040 Speaker 1: good point guard playing the tournament, everyone always talks about 732 00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:35,960 Speaker 1: good defense and elite point guard play, and it's not 733 00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:38,920 Speaker 1: just it's not a fallacy. You get you get Aston 734 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:43,399 Speaker 1: Hagans are racking up seven assists in one turnover come March. 735 00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,000 Speaker 1: So this is that was a huge step for Kentucky 736 00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:48,759 Speaker 1: to get a point guard uh In Haggins that it 737 00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:52,360 Speaker 1: isn't turning the basketball over. And then again with PJ. Washington, 738 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,319 Speaker 1: who's one of the best bigs in college basketball and 739 00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 1: is starting to ascend here down the stretch, Ree Travis 740 00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:01,360 Speaker 1: one of the best front courts in the country. With 741 00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:05,040 Speaker 1: Washington and Travis, and then Kelton Johnson who could shoot 742 00:38:05,080 --> 00:38:08,000 Speaker 1: it from deep. The biggest flaw last season for Kentucky 743 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,360 Speaker 1: was they couldn't shoot the three, and now you have 744 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:13,000 Speaker 1: a five star in Johnson that could train it from deep. 745 00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 1: They're much improved in that department this season. So this 746 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:19,320 Speaker 1: is a team that looks like a bomb of four contender. 747 00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:21,799 Speaker 1: I think they were in the fifteen range. Is the 748 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:24,719 Speaker 1: future going back to the preseason, and there wasn't much 749 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:26,759 Speaker 1: value in that series. It's not like you're missing out 750 00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:30,160 Speaker 1: on anything if you didn't grab Kentucky. But in this 751 00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 1: season they're shooting thirty point three per cent from deep. 752 00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 1: That's above average, so not you're looking at an elite 753 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,640 Speaker 1: three point shooting team. But the difference is is they 754 00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:41,760 Speaker 1: also have experienced Washington has come back as a sophomore, 755 00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 1: Travis a graduate transfer from Stanford, So you're not just 756 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 1: looking at five star freshman's in Johnson and Hagan's that 757 00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:51,799 Speaker 1: are in a young core around them. This is a 758 00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:55,600 Speaker 1: very experienced team. That's it's It's not similar to other 759 00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 1: Calipari teams. So this isn't a season where years pat 760 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:02,319 Speaker 1: like in years, passing feels like everything is wide open. 761 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 1: Even though I think you look down sort of in 762 00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:09,120 Speaker 1: the in the numbers for futures. And you guys talked really, 763 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:12,360 Speaker 1: really smartly about this on the Action Network Colleges podcast 764 00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:16,719 Speaker 1: the other day. Um, why wouldn't I just bet on Duke? 765 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:20,320 Speaker 1: What are the holes in Duke's opportunity to win the 766 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:24,600 Speaker 1: national championship? Yeah, and it starts with their three point shooting. 767 00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:28,360 Speaker 1: You watched that game against North Carolina State on Saturday, 768 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:32,279 Speaker 1: shutter on sixteen per cent, and everyone set going back 769 00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:35,640 Speaker 1: to the second Virginia win a couple of weeks ago. Well, 770 00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:37,960 Speaker 1: Duke is turning that on from three, so now it's 771 00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 1: it's game over. That was more of an anomaly for 772 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 1: Duke than than any sort of consistent stretch that's coming 773 00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:47,319 Speaker 1: from the beyond the perimeter. I know they came back 774 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:50,920 Speaker 1: against Louisville from that twenty three point deficit, just an 775 00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,799 Speaker 1: insane comeback, and and Duke could very well make the 776 00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 1: Final four. I'm not saying this team is going to 777 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,040 Speaker 1: get bounced in in the round of thirty two and 778 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 1: the opening around like some like some coach K teams 779 00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:06,600 Speaker 1: have going back to ten with Chicago guy and Javari Parker, 780 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,759 Speaker 1: I know she has you're a big pantis Chicago guy, 781 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,719 Speaker 1: so Jabari Parker. UH at that Duke team Australian at 782 00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,440 Speaker 1: the tournament. UH, and this team isn't like that. But 783 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:18,759 Speaker 1: you look at the rest of of the college basketball 784 00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:22,240 Speaker 1: right now and in Kentucky has a chance. Gonzaga obviously 785 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,640 Speaker 1: beat Duke earlier this season, and that was without Tilly, 786 00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:27,960 Speaker 1: who's likely going to be done for the rest of 787 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 1: the season. Might come back to the tournament. But still 788 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,080 Speaker 1: you've Hotchi Moore and Brandon Clark, and Clark is one 789 00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,880 Speaker 1: of the best two way bigs in college basketball U 790 00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:39,000 Speaker 1: n C. That will be an interesting game, like you mentioned, 791 00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 1: coming up on Wednesday night, and they're starting to ascend 792 00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,880 Speaker 1: defensively and they could shoot the three ball. Kobe White 793 00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,360 Speaker 1: is one of the most explosive freshman in college basketball. 794 00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:51,160 Speaker 1: I know Virginia's lost to Duke already, and I don't 795 00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:55,600 Speaker 1: necessarily like UH. Slow teams come the tournament and low 796 00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 1: possession teams. When you look at Virginia, there only averaging 797 00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 1: under sixty five possessions of game. So that's why they've 798 00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:07,000 Speaker 1: gotten exposed against Michigan State and Path tournaments. But it's 799 00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:09,840 Speaker 1: still not a lock that Virginia's kind of go down 800 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,799 Speaker 1: in the you know, the Sweet six senor before that. 801 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:15,160 Speaker 1: This season in the tournament, this is one of Tony 802 00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:19,759 Speaker 1: Bennett's better offensive team. So Duke's flaws going back to 803 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:22,719 Speaker 1: the original point, it's it's three point shooting, and it's 804 00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,320 Speaker 1: it's also defense. Coach kis had to switch to his 805 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,239 Speaker 1: zone from time to time, and that this isn't a 806 00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 1: team that, if you go back to the last season, 807 00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:34,320 Speaker 1: is gonna play primarily zone. That was a terrible defensive 808 00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:37,319 Speaker 1: team that coach k had to cover up. But this 809 00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:39,880 Speaker 1: year they went had to go to his own against Louisville, 810 00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,440 Speaker 1: and Louisville didn't know what was coming at him, which 811 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,680 Speaker 1: which was surprising. Uh and a coach that has experienced 812 00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 1: that at Xavier, uh ton so uh defensively that they 813 00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:52,759 Speaker 1: can get exposed. And if if you're facing a team 814 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:54,640 Speaker 1: that knows how to play a zone in the tournament 815 00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,840 Speaker 1: and Duke decided to switch to that and throw you 816 00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:01,319 Speaker 1: off if not necessarily gonna work March all right, So 817 00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:03,920 Speaker 1: you guys talked about this on the Action Network Colleges 818 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,200 Speaker 1: podcast too, And I want to give people who might 819 00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:10,120 Speaker 1: not have heard that a chance to do what I did, 820 00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:12,160 Speaker 1: which is, as soon as I was done listening to 821 00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:16,880 Speaker 1: that podcast, I went and bet uh Marquette, I bet 822 00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:22,160 Speaker 1: Kansas State, and I bet Washington all at more than 823 00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:26,680 Speaker 1: a hundred to one to win the college basketball title. 824 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 1: I almost bet Houston. I think they had dropped considerably 825 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:34,080 Speaker 1: between maybe when you guys recorded the podcast and even 826 00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:36,359 Speaker 1: when I finally got to listen to it about forty 827 00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,759 Speaker 1: eight hours later. Break down those four teams. For me, 828 00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:42,560 Speaker 1: that's what made me think, like, is this so wide open? 829 00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:47,040 Speaker 1: Could you realistically see a Marquette, Kansas State, Washington or 830 00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:51,440 Speaker 1: Houston moving that far into the tournament and potentially winning it? 831 00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:54,440 Speaker 1: So let's start off with Marquette. I I am a 832 00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:57,560 Speaker 1: fan of them. I got them two weeks ago around 833 00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,760 Speaker 1: fifty one, but like you mentioned, if you shop around, 834 00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:02,720 Speaker 1: you can get him at triple figures on the futures market, 835 00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:05,280 Speaker 1: and if they lose a couple of games in conference play, 836 00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 1: you can get by low value with them too. And 837 00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:10,120 Speaker 1: it's it starts with Marcus Howard, one of the most 838 00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:13,640 Speaker 1: dynamic UH scores in college basketball. I think he scored 839 00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,759 Speaker 1: around fourty or fifty points three times this season. So 840 00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:20,239 Speaker 1: you you want that march manness hero Marcus Howard can 841 00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:23,400 Speaker 1: do it for you. And it's also defensively. This team 842 00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:26,160 Speaker 1: is is tremendous on the glass, and it hasn't been 843 00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:30,239 Speaker 1: good defensively overall under Steve Ojaowski since he's got their 844 00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:33,520 Speaker 1: market up. Until this season, they were around a hundred 845 00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,880 Speaker 1: eighty and adjusted defensive efficiency going back to last season 846 00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,239 Speaker 1: now in the forties or fifties. When you take it 847 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:41,680 Speaker 1: on a game by game basis, they could stretch the 848 00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:44,720 Speaker 1: three ball with the Houser brothers Joey Houser a freshman 849 00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:48,400 Speaker 1: coming into this year and Sam Houser junior. And again 850 00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:51,480 Speaker 1: going back to the glass, Theo John and Brandon Morrow, 851 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 1: uh two really good defensive bigs down low. John is 852 00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:58,880 Speaker 1: a tremendous shop blocker, and Morrow and John combines you 853 00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:03,000 Speaker 1: to be a really good defensive rebounding tandem. And then 854 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:06,560 Speaker 1: sacar Adam as well, one of the more underrated players 855 00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:09,040 Speaker 1: not only in this team but in the country, because 856 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,319 Speaker 1: what he could do as a shot maker from deep 857 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,839 Speaker 1: as well as their best on ball defender. And that's 858 00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,200 Speaker 1: what I'm looking for coming come and March can do 859 00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:21,319 Speaker 1: you have that lockdown guy that could shut down. Uh, 860 00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:25,400 Speaker 1: the opponent's Marcus Howard a similar player to that, and 861 00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:29,279 Speaker 1: Sakar Adam has that kind of potential. Uh come March 862 00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:32,319 Speaker 1: a breakout candidates in that sense. And then you brought 863 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 1: up Kansas State, And while the other guys were on them, 864 00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:38,440 Speaker 1: I'm not the biggest fan of the Wildcats. I know 865 00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,520 Speaker 1: they went in to West Virginia, Dean Wade was a 866 00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:44,400 Speaker 1: little banged up, and they won that game. And defensively, 867 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 1: this is one of the top teams in college basketball. 868 00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:49,640 Speaker 1: So from that perspective, you need defense to win the tournament. 869 00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:52,919 Speaker 1: I get that. But they go on these stretches, uh, 870 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:55,480 Speaker 1: similar to a Texas Tech. Even though the Red Raiders 871 00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,200 Speaker 1: had picked it up. Houston can go on these stretches 872 00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,040 Speaker 1: a little bit. You're in there too, But the to 873 00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:03,799 Speaker 1: go on these scoring droutes where your question, can can 874 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:07,719 Speaker 1: they sustained their offense come March. So offensively, I am 875 00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,239 Speaker 1: a little bit concerned. I know it's changed since Dean 876 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,120 Speaker 1: Wade came back from from his injury, and and we 877 00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 1: start to see in Kansas stay picking up athensically, especially 878 00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,240 Speaker 1: from the perimeter. But offensively, I think that's what's gonna 879 00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,680 Speaker 1: hold this team back. I'm not the biggest fan of 880 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,239 Speaker 1: Kansas State come March and then who are there? Who 881 00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:26,239 Speaker 1: are the other two teams brought up Washington and else 882 00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:30,880 Speaker 1: Washington Washington and Houston Okay, and then Washington I got 883 00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:34,239 Speaker 1: a two one value to begin the season. So I 884 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:36,520 Speaker 1: was a big fan of what Mike Hopkins, who is 885 00:45:36,560 --> 00:45:39,359 Speaker 1: a former syer Accusa system UH the two three zone 886 00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:43,200 Speaker 1: that he's brought up west UH northwest to to to 887 00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,880 Speaker 1: U W and and the zone has played really well 888 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:50,480 Speaker 1: in Pact to All Play, and they're adjusted defensive efficiency 889 00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:53,680 Speaker 1: is spiked up to this is the top adjusted DEFENSI 890 00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:56,480 Speaker 1: efficiency in the Pact twelve. I get people are going 891 00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:58,920 Speaker 1: to say the Pact twelve is down this year, but 892 00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,759 Speaker 1: that hasn't only been the case. Again, you can't really 893 00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:05,960 Speaker 1: just just say that and assume Washington is going to 894 00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:08,799 Speaker 1: be done early in the tournament. This team has a 895 00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:11,879 Speaker 1: ton of scoring options. Noah Dickinson is a really good 896 00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,960 Speaker 1: download big Positis and j lived A. Weell has has 897 00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:18,640 Speaker 1: ascended as well as a score in in UH Inpact 898 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:22,640 Speaker 1: to All Play really dynamics somethmore. He's come back and 899 00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,160 Speaker 1: he's been a big plus for then David Chris can 900 00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,600 Speaker 1: struct it from three. So Washington has a ton of 901 00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:31,279 Speaker 1: offensive options along with that zone that's fostered a ton 902 00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:34,919 Speaker 1: of opponents. They got exposed against Arizona State a couple 903 00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,160 Speaker 1: of weeks back, and that was more of a letdown 904 00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:40,239 Speaker 1: game because Washington had it lost in Pact All play 905 00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:43,160 Speaker 1: and Arizona State was coming off just a terrible loss 906 00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:46,839 Speaker 1: to Washington State at home. So you're looking at our 907 00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:50,480 Speaker 1: bounce back performance. But as much as I like Washington 908 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:54,480 Speaker 1: Chad defensively, that zone can get exposed. I was talking 909 00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,759 Speaker 1: about Duke's zone last year getting exposed and how it 910 00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:00,719 Speaker 1: how it played well for them against Louisville. Going back 911 00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,520 Speaker 1: to last week, but over the weekend, Washington State almost 912 00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,719 Speaker 1: knocked off Washington. I know that's an in state rivalry game, 913 00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:10,560 Speaker 1: but they shot the lights out from three. So where 914 00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,520 Speaker 1: do zones get exposed, it's from beyond the ark, and 915 00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:16,879 Speaker 1: in Washington State almost did that to Mike Hopkins's crew, 916 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,760 Speaker 1: So I'm not necessarily all the way in on Washington. 917 00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,440 Speaker 1: I do like the value I got the man, and 918 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:23,640 Speaker 1: if you can get them at triple digits, it's it's 919 00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:26,640 Speaker 1: really good value for a potential eight seed, the nine 920 00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:28,280 Speaker 1: c that can make a run of the Big Dance, 921 00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:30,640 Speaker 1: but I'm not all over them. And then to the 922 00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,439 Speaker 1: last team that you brought up in Houston, h Man, 923 00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,239 Speaker 1: do I love this team? And you go back to 924 00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:37,719 Speaker 1: the last season's tournament, it was similar to why I 925 00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:40,000 Speaker 1: pick trying to see as a as a as the 926 00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:44,000 Speaker 1: future value. Going back to the preseason, UH Tennessee losing 927 00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,720 Speaker 1: to loyal Chicago on that rott rattling shot from Clayton 928 00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:51,200 Speaker 1: Custer and Houston going down at the buzzer to Jordan's pool. 929 00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:53,680 Speaker 1: So I know they lost rob Gray going back to 930 00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,759 Speaker 1: the last season, but this team brought back a ton 931 00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 1: of its scores. Corey Davis and Armanti Brooks can light 932 00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:03,400 Speaker 1: it from three, and Davis and Gaveon Robinson are are 933 00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:07,320 Speaker 1: tremendous ball handling backcourt. So you're looking at elite guard 934 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:10,680 Speaker 1: play from that standpoint. They rebound the basketball. They're they're 935 00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:13,799 Speaker 1: top at d and offensive and defensive rebounding rate in 936 00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:15,920 Speaker 1: the country. And and they're not the biggest team in 937 00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:18,480 Speaker 1: the country, but man are they good at games rebounding, 938 00:48:18,520 --> 00:48:21,440 Speaker 1: which is big cumb March. So from that perspective, and 939 00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:24,279 Speaker 1: and they turned you over their on ball defense. Their 940 00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,840 Speaker 1: ball pressure limits the opposition from getting into the paint. 941 00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:31,120 Speaker 1: They have really good depth de Genderu and Nate Hinton 942 00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:33,640 Speaker 1: coming off the bench and going back to a game 943 00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:37,840 Speaker 1: against Cincinnati at home since Nanny Leddy wanted about six 944 00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:41,880 Speaker 1: minutes left and Nate Hinton, Uh, Calvin Sampson who plugged 945 00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:44,239 Speaker 1: Nate Hinton, and here and Cumberland who's one of the 946 00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:46,960 Speaker 1: best scores in the A A C. And he's shut 947 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 1: not only Cumberland down, but Houston didn't allow Cincinnati to 948 00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,840 Speaker 1: score a single point over the last six minutes of 949 00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:56,560 Speaker 1: that game. So this is a legitimate defensive team that's 950 00:48:56,560 --> 00:48:59,879 Speaker 1: gonna stop you consistently, and that's what he needed, March. 951 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,799 Speaker 1: Can a defense bring you back in the game when 952 00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,279 Speaker 1: you're down by five to ten points. They not only 953 00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:07,799 Speaker 1: did that against its natty, but they did it against 954 00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:11,160 Speaker 1: a red hot LSU team going back to December when 955 00:49:11,160 --> 00:49:13,000 Speaker 1: they were down double digits in the second half and 956 00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:15,400 Speaker 1: they came back and won that game by six and 957 00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,680 Speaker 1: nearly covered on the line. I got a day before that. 958 00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:23,439 Speaker 1: So the Cougars are legit under a Sampson uh that 959 00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,040 Speaker 1: that's one of the tournament consistently going back to these 960 00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:28,759 Speaker 1: days at Indiana and Oklahoma. All Right, so basically what 961 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,600 Speaker 1: you're saying to me is I should uh reevaluate all 962 00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:33,960 Speaker 1: the futures bets I made, because the one I didn't 963 00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,759 Speaker 1: make after listening to you guys was Houston. So I'm 964 00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,359 Speaker 1: basically going to go back in right now and uh 965 00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:44,960 Speaker 1: double down on Houston. Eli Herskovich, Action Network College basketball Writer, 966 00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:48,360 Speaker 1: Thanks for everything you've been doing. It's great stuff, obviously. 967 00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:51,279 Speaker 1: Uh We'll be hearing more and more from you during 968 00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:55,320 Speaker 1: the rest of the season into the tournament. Thanks man awesome, 969 00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:57,880 Speaker 1: make sure of me on Chad all right. Eli Herskovich, 970 00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:01,319 Speaker 1: college basketball expert for the Action Network, Thanks so much 971 00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:04,600 Speaker 1: for joining us, Buddy. This has been the favorite podcast 972 00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:06,759 Speaker 1: from the Action Network. You can listen to us at 973 00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:11,560 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, at radio dot com, slash the Action networker 974 00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:16,160 Speaker 1: anywhere you get your podcast. We will be back on Thursday, 975 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:20,600 Speaker 1: mean black Jack Fletcher. We'll have some special guests until then.