1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,519 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: your bets and it's me Joey paid joep Zapia and 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: the props for Week seven in the NFL. And the 5 00:00:10,720 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: guys were pretty darn good last week, a combined seven 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: in three on the props. Ooh, we let's go boys. 7 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: We've got a double down though this week. We've got 8 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: a lot of things that we are passionate about betting, 9 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: and the boys are gonna show you some of those 10 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: props here in just a moment. Don't forget you're looking 11 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: for the best props you could possibly get. Download the 12 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app or just go to bettingpros dot com 13 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: slash props, use the prop bet cheat sheet. It's there 14 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 1: to help you. It's gonna show you the best numbers 15 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:38,879 Speaker 1: with the best projections on the overs the unders, and 16 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: then the best place to bet it. So sink your 17 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 1: sportsbooks for free using Betting Pros, and don't forget too. 18 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:45,879 Speaker 1: When you get the Betting pros app. Now you get 19 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: thirty three days of premium, the perfect time where all 20 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: the sports are going right. Now you got NFL, NBA, 21 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: college football. You got baseball still hanging on, although my Mets, 22 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: I think are not hanging on anymore. I think that's 23 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: overwhelsh But here we go. It's it's betting season. We 24 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: want you to go and be successful with us, gentlemen. 25 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: A really strong week looking ahead to this week too. 26 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 1: Tons of injuries giving some clouds, but we've got some 27 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: marquee matchups Welsh two that are really exciting. So Week seven, 28 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: how are we feeling after a very strong Week six? 29 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,199 Speaker 2: Feeling good? I think we're feeling pretty solid. We've got 30 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 2: two plus over five hundred weeks. I think we're good. 31 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,199 Speaker 2: I will say this, I kind of wish they would 32 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 2: release a few more props. There's a few things that 33 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: are still not out there as we're recording this, that 34 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: are not there that I want to be there, mister 35 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 2: Andrew Erickson. But I think I think we're in a 36 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 2: good place for Week seven. 37 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 3: They're scared because we're on a here. 38 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: And not only they scared, but also you know, there's 39 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 1: so many injuries we're dealing with too, so a lot 40 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: of things are being held back. So many of these 41 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: running back and that situations too. Tampa situation. I mean, 42 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: just you know, so many just like just we're you know, 43 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: the New York situation as we're recording that, still waiting 44 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: to figure some of that out there. That's why a 45 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: lot of these numbers haven't dropped yet. So you got 46 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: to pay attention to look for opportunities. You know, we 47 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 1: were talking before the show too. I'm always the guy 48 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 1: pounding the table Andrew for you know, betting receiving yards 49 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: rather over the receptions. Because again we have a Tyreek 50 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: kill justin Jefferson. You like him in the matchup like 51 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: I love Tyreek Hill this week against the Colts Jefferson 52 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: one thousand plus yards in eight games in his career 53 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 1: against the Deroit Lions today away from the reception total, 54 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: but every now and then the reception total is really good, 55 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: and every now and then you get plus money. Where 56 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: Vegas hasn't caught up to a new situation, I feel like, 57 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 1: and I'm wearing the Patriot shirts, so everyon's gonna call 58 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: me a homer today. But still four and a half 59 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,239 Speaker 1: receptions plus money. One to oh five for Tomorio Douglas. 60 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,679 Speaker 1: We saw last week him just get peppered with targets. 61 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: He had ninety two yards. But still it's it seems 62 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: like Drake May has a rapport, has a relationship. The 63 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: Jaguars aren't good. I know the weather might be an issue, 64 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:45,520 Speaker 1: but every now and then you get an opportunity where 65 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: you have the plus money on a receptions prop where 66 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: Vegas is just slightly behind. I think that's the scenario. 67 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 1: We thought Vegas was behind the last week when it 68 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 1: comes to Drake May, and that we were definitely right 69 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: about Andrew. 70 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, Drake May came a big five scrambles went over 71 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 4: his rushing yards prop. I know that we like maybe 72 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 4: maybe to that this week because if it ain't Broke, 73 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 4: don't fix it Van Broke, don't fix it. And with Douglas, yeah, 74 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 4: I mean he is who was Drake May's number one 75 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 4: wide receiver at UNC, Josh Downs. So tomorrow Douglas has 76 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 4: taken on that Josh Downs role. And in Drake May's 77 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,519 Speaker 4: hypertogoneam he said this week can't guard this guy in 78 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 4: a phone booth? 79 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 3: So wheels up for Douglas? 80 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: Do they have phone booth anymore? 81 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 4: Like? 82 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 3: I feel like I gotta go to they do in London. 83 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 2: That's why I brought it up shout out to Colin 84 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 2: Farrell who is playing the penguin who was in Phone Booth, 85 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 2: who was a crazy movie back together. 86 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: Let's connect that to Kevin Bacon. Then we're done for 87 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: the show. All right, let's get to the props here. 88 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: Let's start with Welsh Joe Mixon returns to the Texans 89 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 1: matchup this week against the Green Bay Packers. Let's talk 90 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: about mixing's and receiving yards. It's eighteen and a half. 91 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: He going over or under? 92 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 2: I am going over. And I actually got this at 93 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 2: a lower number. This was around sixteen and a half 94 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 2: earlier in the week. It's moved up just a tiny bit, 95 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: but we're okay. We're still good with this number. Packers, 96 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: they're giving up around five catches and over forty yards 97 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 2: to running back so far this season, Mixon, he has 98 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 2: hit this in all of the games that he has played. 99 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 2: Still this number, not just my number at sixteen and 100 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 2: a half, because, like we talked about on the FP shows, 101 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 2: when he's out there, it's a dominant, dominant workhorse back. 102 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 2: But the great thing is they also use him in 103 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 2: the receiving side of this, so he gets the prominent 104 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 2: amount of snaps. If they can't establish some of the 105 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 2: running game, they're gonna throw the ball. They do it anyways, 106 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 2: he has hit this. I love this marker and I 107 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: avoided receptions here as well. I believe it's sitting around 108 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 2: two and a half, so under twenty receiving yards for 109 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: Joe Mixon. I think is a great play this weekend 110 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 2: because you've got to get him the ball, and you 111 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 2: got to give them the ball more when Nico Collins 112 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 2: is out. So let's go with this prop that has 113 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,479 Speaker 2: hit all of the games, Joe Mixon receiving yards over. 114 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 2: I feel like this one how I felt about Breise Hall, 115 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 2: which was a smash last week of the receiving yard. 116 00:04:58,440 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 2: So I love this one. 117 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: And if you're paying attention following us on social media 118 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 1: again betting pros on TikTok on x and Betting Pros 119 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 1: NFL on Instagram, you saw my video where not only 120 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: do I tech Welsh's but I went over on the 121 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: breeze Hall rushing yards as well. So all of it, 122 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: all the breeze Hall we could possibly get last week 123 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: against Buffalo Bills, and using that knowledge, we talked about 124 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,360 Speaker 1: this game earlier in the week. Andrew Rickson Tony Pollard 125 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 1: now against the Buffalo Bills. Tony Pollard pretty small number here. 126 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: I like this that we were getting, but also the 127 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: receiving yards for him very small, twenty one and a half. 128 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: I already bet that is the over. Same knowledge there, 129 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: same context, Buffalo Bills giving up a ton of receptions 130 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 1: and receiving yards to opposing running backs. But how do 131 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 1: you want to approach Tony Pollard in this game against Buffalo? 132 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 3: Yeah? 133 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 4: Like the over on his rushing yards sixty three and 134 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 4: a half rushing yards is the line. I think that 135 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 4: the Titans are going to keep it a little bit 136 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 4: closer cover this nine and a half point spread playing 137 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 4: on the road, because I think they have to run 138 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 4: the football right. That's how you defeat this Bill's defense 139 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 4: dead last yards per rushing attempt allowed this season on defense, 140 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 4: and this Titans run game tends to be very boom 141 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 4: or bust, So I think Pollard has the ability to 142 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 4: rip this off on a couple big plays here and there. 143 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 4: Taji Spears doesn't look like he's going to play in 144 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 4: this game, and despite him splitting workload with Taja Spears 145 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 4: throughout the season, there's only one game this year where 146 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 4: Pollard doesn't have at least sixteen carries. If the Titans 147 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:17,559 Speaker 4: want to win this game, or at least keep it close, 148 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 4: the coaching staff knows we cannot give it to well lepus. 149 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 4: We need to get to Tony Pollard as many times 150 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 4: as humanly possible. And anytime Pollard has had at least 151 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 4: sixteen carries, he's hit at least sixty two rushing yards. 152 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,359 Speaker 4: So the matchup is there, the workload is there, the 153 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 4: talent is there. 154 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 3: It's checking off all the boxes. 155 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 4: So I'm going with Tony Pollard over sixty three and 156 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 4: a half rushing yards. 157 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: While you were talking there, Tony Pollard anytime touchdown, Tony 158 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: Pollard over sixty five and a half, Tony Pollard over 159 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 1: twenty one and a half receiving yards that some have 160 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 1: twenty two on betting pros, I could see a couple 161 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: of spots with twenty one and a half and where 162 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: I bet it's twenty one and a half plus three 163 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: fifty two. Same game, parlay lock it in, folks. I 164 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 1: love that one. I think that is a great one today. 165 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: All right, wesh, let's go to you for another prop 166 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: here which your second one? You have a line up 167 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 1: here for Week seven. 168 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 2: All right, we are going to the tight ends, the dangerous, 169 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 2: scary tight ends that are no longer elite. But one 170 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 2: of those guys is Sam Laporta, who has not gotten 171 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 2: elite usage, but that is going to start to turn 172 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 2: this week. Vikings are giving up the third most passing 173 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 2: yards per game in the NFL to tight ends. They're 174 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 2: giving up five and a half catches and over fifty 175 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 2: six yards so far this year, so he's been used sparingly. 176 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 2: But even though he has only topped five targets once 177 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 2: this season, beat this receiving yard prop three of five 178 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: games so far this year. I got this number opening 179 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 2: at thirty nine point five. It has done nothing but 180 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 2: creep up throughout the rest of the week. Anything under 181 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 2: forty five. I really like he's not going to get 182 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: one target again. But he also just makes big plays. 183 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 2: This is a secondary that you are throwing the ball 184 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 2: all day long on and this game spread is relatively close. 185 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 2: So if you've got the Vikings that are keeping in 186 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 2: this game, they're gonna keep throwing the ball. And the 187 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 2: Vikings get up, they're gonna throw the ball even more. 188 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 2: Sam Laporta is going to get reinvolved. This is a 189 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 2: great also tight end matchup against coverage this week. So 190 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 2: the coverage works, the Vikings give up the passing yards 191 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 2: and they give it up to tight end Sam Laporte. 192 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 2: A super low receiving yard prop number. Love it, lock it. 193 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: In, like it a lot. I'm with you. I am 194 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: very much in on the Dolphins. Andrew knows this. I've 195 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: talked about this all week. I think they're gonna take 196 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: it to the Colts. Colts have a bad defense. I 197 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:34,719 Speaker 1: know the Dolphins have a bad defense. I think a 198 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 1: little bit of time here, a little bit of breath, 199 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: hopefully see Tyreek Hill emerge everybody where. Speaking of Tyreek Hill, 200 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 1: I love the over for the receiving yards for him. 201 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: One big Tyrek Hi will play and we pretty much 202 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 1: can get this one. Andrew, how are you approaching Tyreek 203 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 1: Hill in Week seven? 204 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 3: I just like the overs on all tyre Hill. 205 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 4: So I will go with the receptions route here at 206 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:57,839 Speaker 4: four and a half receptions last week or the last 207 00:08:57,880 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 4: time we saw the Dolphins play back in Week five 208 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 4: against the page Riots, he had six catches sixty nine 209 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 4: yards on nine targets, led the team with a twenty 210 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 4: nine percent target chair. So I think they're going to 211 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 4: get him going here. And I think we've seen enough 212 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 4: of this Dolphins offense with Tyler Huntley that yes, we 213 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 4: know that Terry Kill can connect on a big play 214 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 4: down the field, but we also want to give Huntley 215 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 4: the layups. I think that's what McDaniel is going to 216 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 4: do here and use those screenplays. Just get the ball 217 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:22,200 Speaker 4: in Tyreek Hill's hands as easy as possible. And that's 218 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 4: why I like the receptions proper. You look at the 219 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,440 Speaker 4: Colts defense not good against perimeter wide receivers. They move 220 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 4: Tyrrey Kill all over the formation, and every single receiver 221 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 4: that's most comparable to Tyreek Hill that has faced the 222 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 4: Colts has exceeded their projected receptions total. So I think 223 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 4: he'll get fed in this matchup, and whether he rips 224 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 4: off a big play or not, I think he's going 225 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 4: to go over four and a half catches. 226 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, four and a half catches. Again, I like it, 227 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:47,839 Speaker 1: but I'd rather tease up the fifty six and a 228 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,199 Speaker 1: half receiving yards because right now it's minus one twenty five. 229 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,439 Speaker 1: I would tease that up to probably sixty five seventy 230 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: five even I'm pretty comfortable I just think again, one 231 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 1: big play, we could smash the forty yards of it, right, 232 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 1: and all you got to is just get it up 233 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:03,439 Speaker 1: there a little bit higher. But there's definitely some opportunities 234 00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: here for this team to get back on track. A 235 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 1: little bit more time with hunt, leave for the playbook, 236 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: a little bit less pressure maybe, and you know, sometimes 237 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: the buy show up at perfect times for teams. Right 238 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: we talked about the Eagles with all their injuries at 239 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: wide receiver showing up at maybe the perfect time for them. 240 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,120 Speaker 1: It feels like maybe to stop the bleeding a little bit. 241 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: Hopefully we're getting to a back soon. We'll see how 242 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 1: that goes, but that would be what we'd like to 243 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: see here sooner than later. Let's get to the next 244 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,439 Speaker 1: one here on the list of props before we do, too, 245 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: just a quick reminder when I mentioned earlier about getting 246 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:39,320 Speaker 1: that free premium, use the promo code FP free and 247 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: you can get one month of free premium Betting pros. Again, 248 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 1: it's FP free free and you get the one free 249 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: month of premium for the Betting Pros app too, So 250 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: that's definitely the way to go right now. Utilize the tools. 251 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: This is the time of year and then build your 252 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 1: bank roll a little bit, so hopefully when you get 253 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: to a certain point here, when we get to the playoffs, 254 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 1: we have something to work with in January. So this 255 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: is the time to do that. Welsh. Let's get to 256 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 1: the next one here on your list where you're at 257 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: for your third pick for the I believe you have 258 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:10,479 Speaker 1: the Dolphins as well here in yours. 259 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 2: Yeah. I think you get confused early because I put 260 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 2: I did, I went out of order on the sheet 261 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 2: because I had Sam Laporta there. I was like, why 262 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 2: are you going to the Dolphins because. 263 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: I had I was so excited to talk about the Dolphins. 264 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 1: I was just so excited to talk about the DOLPHINSOE. 265 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 2: Just doesn't listen to me though, Like I talk, and 266 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 2: Joe's just like. 267 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: On you talk, and I'm trying to bet all the 268 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 1: things that you were just talking about. 269 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:32,959 Speaker 2: Last that's that's that's good. I thought you were looking 270 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 2: up phone booth and like. 271 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: What you're no, no, no, So we've got all our Dolphins 272 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 1: props in here, so we've already done all the Dolphins things. 273 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 1: So let's do something. 274 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 2: No, no, we are doing the Dolphins. We're doing all 275 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 2: the Dolphins problem we did the Sam Laporta, Who's on third, 276 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 2: We're going to my other favorite one because I love 277 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 2: the reception prop of Tyreek Hill. I actually tried to 278 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 2: steal it earlier the show, but Eric's already got it. 279 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:56,800 Speaker 2: We're going back is on fire right now, people, It 280 00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 2: is uh, we're going to Devon a chance. So that's 281 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 2: how we're going to Ericson and I probably for the 282 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 2: next two or three weeks are just gonna keep just 283 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 2: alternating Dolphins props here until we're just proven right and 284 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 2: the books change it, or we just can't do it 285 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 2: because we're broke. Tyreek Kill reception prop is money. Devon 286 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 2: ah Chan prop is so low this week it is 287 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 2: at forty four and a half. Now, I know it's 288 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 2: scary because we have the concussion, though he has been 289 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,840 Speaker 2: back in practice a good Jalen Wright looked really good, 290 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 2: and the Dolphins have just not been great projections. Love 291 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 2: this though. There is an over twenty yard difference on projections, 292 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 2: whether you're going to fantasy pros or you're going I 293 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 2: was looking at like PFF just as another random one 294 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 2: to go against, and there's over twenty yard rushing difference 295 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 2: on the projected side. One of those reasons because the 296 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 2: Colts are awful. They're giving up the second most rushing 297 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 2: yards per game this year. Four of six backs have 298 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 2: hit this number, and the backs that didn't was like 299 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:02,079 Speaker 2: Roshan Johnson leading for the Bears. But the four backs 300 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 2: that did hit this all went ninety yards or more. 301 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,920 Speaker 2: So I have a very big temptation to ladder this 302 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 2: a little bit because it is so low. But Dolphins 303 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 2: have been scary. Go forty four point five over devon 304 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 2: ah Chan. He's going to hit this coming off the 305 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 2: by what are we going to do? We get it simple. 306 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 2: We go Tyreek Hill and we go devon him. They're 307 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:24,079 Speaker 2: going to run the ball with him. He's going to 308 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 2: break a big one and he's going to hit this 309 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 2: marker forty four point five rushing yards for eight Chan 310 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 2: lock it up. 311 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think the hard part is the health of 312 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 1: a chance has been iffy two. So the good desire practice, well, 313 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:36,959 Speaker 1: that's why you have everything so low, But it's also 314 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 1: why you maybe don't want to go with the alternatives too, 315 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 1: which I understand there are temptations there. In last year 316 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: we had a huge ladder bit when it came to 317 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 1: a Chan so you know some certain opportunities there, that's 318 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 1: for sure. So see what it is. Maybe I want 319 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: to tease it up a little bit, maybe get a 320 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 1: little higher than the forty four and a half. You 321 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 1: could probably get to maybe sixty something and feel pretty 322 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 1: good about it all right, Ericson, it's time for it under. 323 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 1: Too many overs for you. I don't like this year 324 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:00,839 Speaker 1: you're making money. 325 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 2: Actually went to go look to see. I was like, 326 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 2: is he not going to do an under No, he's 327 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:04,559 Speaker 2: not one. 328 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 1: I feel like there's one coming here. Pick number three 329 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:08,559 Speaker 1: the end? Or is this time? 330 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 4: Yes, we have to get the requisite amount of unders 331 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,719 Speaker 4: on the show, at least one, at least one undertaker. 332 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,079 Speaker 4: So Michael Pittman Junior under four and a half receptions 333 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 4: last week. He didn't even hit this number, despite the 334 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 4: fact that Joe Flacco was the quarterback. He only had 335 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 4: three catches for thirty five yards. He also caught a 336 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 4: touchdown from Flacco. I'm very concerned about the type of 337 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 4: volume Pittman is going to see again that I don't 338 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 4: love the Dolphins defense, but we're expecting to see anthy 339 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 4: Richardson back under center as long as he doesn't have 340 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 4: any setbacks to his health. And that's bad because in 341 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 4: the first three weeks of the season, with Richardson being 342 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 4: the starting quarterback, Michael Pittman Junior was under this number 343 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 4: in every single game. So I'm trying to figure out 344 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 4: why the books haven't really adjusted because maybe they were 345 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 4: just waiting for the confirmation of the quarterbacks. But it 346 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 4: seems pretty clear cut to me that it's going to 347 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 4: be Richardson that's going to be the guy under center. 348 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 4: The other problem is Pittman has been outproduced, out targeted 349 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 4: by Josh Downs since he's come back from his injury. 350 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 4: So as greate as Pittman was last year, we're looking 351 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 4: at numbers in twenty twenty three, how many catches he 352 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 4: had every single week? You look at this number, Oh 353 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 4: my god, this number is way too small. But based 354 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 4: on Josh Downs his usage Anthey Richardson at quarterback, I 355 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 4: think he's gonna finish under four and a half catches. 356 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 4: So that's my owner of the week, Michael Pittman Junior 357 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 4: under four and a half receptions. 358 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sitting to him in a very important league 359 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 1: for Krishaan Watson this week. I just don't have a 360 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 1: good feeling either. So I'm in on that under one 361 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 1: hundred percent there, All right, Well, so let's pick things 362 00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: up here. Let's talk about a Jets wide receiver, but 363 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: not DeVante Adams. 364 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: No, not DeVante Adams. The guy I am still in 365 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 2: on Garrett Wilson. Garrett Wilson receiving yard prop this week 366 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 2: is at fifty five and a half, and people are 367 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 2: scared because not just because of Pittsburgh or anything like that. 368 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:49,400 Speaker 2: It's really because of Devanta Adams and what is he 369 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 2: going to mean to this offense? And as we've hit 370 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 2: a lot on Fantasy pros, I think he is going 371 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 2: to make this offense just more efficient. I really don't 372 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 2: think it. Yes, he's not gonna get only two targets 373 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 2: every single game, but you're still going to get eight 374 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 2: to ten plus targets from Garrett Wilson as defensive coverages 375 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 2: are going to slight over to Devonte Adams. So with Wilson, 376 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 2: he has hit this in four of six games so far, 377 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 2: including his last two. He's got a top five wide 378 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 2: receiver cornerback rating matchup according to PFF and is still 379 00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 2: eleventh in air yards in the NFL. You can't run 380 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 2: against the Steelers, by the way, but you can throw. 381 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 2: The Steelers are giving up more passing yards than the 382 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 2: forty nine Ers right now, and forty nine ers tend 383 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: to be anytime we look at wide receiver up against them, 384 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 2: we're like, hey, this is a good matchup. Well, guess 385 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 2: what Steelers side? 386 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: This is good. 387 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 2: You might get a lot of Briefts on the ground. 388 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 2: They're going to have to pivot out of this and 389 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 2: they're going to be throwing the ball. Adams will get some. 390 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 2: This is a super low number for Garrett Wilson. He's 391 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 2: going to get his targets. He's going to make everybody 392 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: feel more comfortable with Adams in town. Love it. Fifty 393 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 2: five point five over on the receiving yards for Garret Wilson. 394 00:16:57,880 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: And what would assume Adams is going to pick up 395 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: porter in that matchup? 396 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 2: So to assume, and that's why Garrett Wilson has given 397 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,639 Speaker 2: top five cornerback wide receiver matchup. If Adams is getting 398 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 2: the top coverage. 399 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, very interesting there, all right, Erickson DK metcalf The 400 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: number is sixty seven and a half receiving yards undertaker, 401 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: are you going over or under against the Falcons? 402 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 4: I'm taking the over on DK Metcalf sixty seven and 403 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,280 Speaker 4: a half receiving yards. Metcalfs been very boom or bust 404 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,240 Speaker 4: this year when you look at his numbers, He's gone 405 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 4: over one hundred yards in three games and then he's 406 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:29,719 Speaker 4: been under fifty five in the other three games. So, 407 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,639 Speaker 4: considering last week was a down week, I am buying 408 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 4: the dip on DK Metcalf in a game that I 409 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:35,920 Speaker 4: think is going to be a shootout. 410 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:37,360 Speaker 3: Got Gina Smith heading on the road. 411 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 4: That Atlanta Falcons cannot generate any type of pass rush, 412 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 4: so Gino's going to have all the time in the world. 413 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:45,160 Speaker 4: I think AJ Terrell is one of the most overrated cornerbacks. 414 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 4: I think DK Metcalf's going to have himself a day, 415 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:51,120 Speaker 4: especially based on the usage last week. He had eleven targets. Look, 416 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 4: he only had forty eight yards on three catches, but 417 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,479 Speaker 4: the usage was there for him, and he also had 418 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 4: a thirty yard game, So we know Metcalf can generate 419 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 4: a ton of big plays. We know that it's Genos, 420 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 4: that's his guy, is DK Metcff. And after it was 421 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 4: funny rewatching that game, he's on the phone with Ryan Grobe. Dude, 422 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,639 Speaker 4: I need to get more targets. You need to target 423 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,360 Speaker 4: me downfield. Let's get it going, baby. So I think Metcalf. 424 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,359 Speaker 4: The Falcons allowed the six most completions per game to 425 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 4: quarterbacks this year. I just think the Seahawks passing game 426 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 4: is gonna cook. And specifically we t Metcff as the 427 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,919 Speaker 4: number one wide receiver Atlanta seventh most receiving yards and 428 00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:25,640 Speaker 4: third most targets to opposing number one wide receivers this season. 429 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 4: DK Metcalf is going over a big game. Maybe latter 430 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 4: bet opporunity because I think he's gonna go over a 431 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 4: hundred yards. 432 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 1: Oh there you go. Who has more yards this week? 433 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:37,159 Speaker 1: DK Metcalf or Tyreek Hill Dk Metcalf Welsh. 434 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,679 Speaker 2: I would go with DK, but Tyreek could also do 435 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 2: it in one play. 436 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: I think it's Tyreek kill. I think you guys are 437 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 1: grossly You think you guys are grossly underestimating how bad 438 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: the Colts defenses the defense is. 439 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 2: I'm not grossly because I'm betting all the Dolphins every 440 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 2: sing in. 441 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:57,160 Speaker 1: This instance, speaking of the Dolphins, speaking of the Dolphins, Welsh, 442 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 1: see what I did there. It's a joke because I 443 00:18:58,800 --> 00:18:59,919 Speaker 1: was pretty up earlier. See that. 444 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 2: Oh Yeah, let's get to. 445 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:08,879 Speaker 1: One more from the guys here before we get our 446 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: touchdown calls in here. We love Drake may in the 447 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 1: rushing total last week so much. We bet it. It moved. 448 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: We bet it again, Welsh it's moved again. What is it? 449 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:20,119 Speaker 1: And are you betting it again? 450 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:22,960 Speaker 2: I have bet it earlier this week. I got it 451 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 2: at twenty six and a half. It's moved up to 452 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 2: twenty eight. I think at this point if it's under thirty, 453 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,919 Speaker 2: you're gonna probably have to play it. Last week he 454 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 2: went over thirty five carries thirty eight yards. We've got 455 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,400 Speaker 2: some weather in this game coming up while he's still 456 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 2: learning the offense, which works well by the way, against 457 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 2: the Jaguars. Jaguars are only averaging four and a half 458 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 2: rush attempts given up to quarterbacks and twenty eight yards, 459 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 2: but three of six quarterbacks have gone over seven rushing attempts, 460 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:55,399 Speaker 2: and two of those three have smashed this number. You 461 00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 2: had the Bears last week in Caleb Williams, you had 462 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 2: the Bills in week three absolutely smashed this rushing yard prop. 463 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 2: And at this point we know what the mess is 464 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 2: with the Patriots. You two know, of all people, Drake 465 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:11,360 Speaker 2: May under thirty rushing yards is a smash play right now, 466 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 2: So twenty eight and a half feel comfortable about it. 467 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: I got a little bit lower, but that is prop 468 00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 2: number five for the week on the quarterback rushing yards. 469 00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,520 Speaker 1: Here you go, all right, ericson last one here before 470 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 1: we get some touchdown calls. 471 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,399 Speaker 4: Going to the Chiefs forty nine Ers game, and Welsh 472 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,680 Speaker 4: teases a little bit earlier about that forty. 473 00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 3: Nine Ers past. Even's little leaky, and I think this 474 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 3: is going to be the Xavier Worthy show. 475 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,120 Speaker 4: I know everyone is on the juju Smith Schuster, Oh 476 00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,440 Speaker 4: he's back, baby, but he's already on the injury port. 477 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 4: He had one good week and now he's already hurt again. 478 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,679 Speaker 4: So I think it's going to be an Xavier Worthy 479 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:47,040 Speaker 4: breakout game. A rookie coming off the bye week. Andy 480 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 4: Reid has been in the lab devising ways. Hey, how 481 00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 4: can I get the fastest man in the NFL the 482 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,119 Speaker 4: ball more? And I think that's what he's going to 483 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 4: do in this particular matchup. Last week, again, this has 484 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 4: been the Seahawks played the forty nine Ers. The Seahawks 485 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 4: tested the forty nine ers de deep A lot you 486 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 4: can make up was generating a ton of air yards. 487 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 4: Now didn't end up transpiring into actual production, but I 488 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 4: think another week at it, I think you're going to 489 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 4: see it. So he's ever worthy for me. He still 490 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:11,920 Speaker 4: had six targets. He ran more routes than Juju the 491 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,159 Speaker 4: last time we saw the Kinas City Chiefs play. So 492 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 4: I think that he's going to have a massive role 493 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 4: in this game. And I think I mean thirty eight 494 00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:19,960 Speaker 4: and a half receiving yards. We're talking about guys that 495 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 4: can do in a one play man that's easy. So 496 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,639 Speaker 4: I think that he goes way over this number of 497 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 4: the forty nine ers eighth worst and epa per target 498 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,400 Speaker 4: on passes of twenty plus air yards. Everybody's complaining the Chiefs, 499 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 4: where's the explosiveness. They don't have explosive playmakers. Oh well, 500 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:35,640 Speaker 4: what do you know? We're going to see it here 501 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 4: in week seven and his name is Xavier Worthy. 502 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 2: They won't release the longest reception yard prop for Worthy, 503 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 2: by the way, they have all the year. That's all 504 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,360 Speaker 2: that I want to bet is Worthy's longest reception yard prop. 505 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 2: They will not release. 506 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 3: Over three eight and a half yard might be over. 507 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 2: It'll be more than his receiving yards that's total. 508 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 1: Well, I mean I imagine it's going to be in 509 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 1: the twenties. Like so yeah, of course if you get 510 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: a better number on that, you get plus money on that. 511 00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 1: Go take that. I mean, that's that's just no brainer. 512 00:21:59,920 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 2: Y Yeah. If it's like twenty two or twenty. If 513 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:04,880 Speaker 2: it's under twenty two, it's a smash hit. 514 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 3: It's probably gonna be. 515 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 4: Wasn't it week one wash when we talked about it, 516 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 4: wasn't it twenty two and a half. 517 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 2: I think so that's what fow we It's usually work 518 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 2: like the elite wide receivers will get like twenty four 519 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,440 Speaker 2: to twenty five, like Jami. 520 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 1: Masch twenty four, twenty two. I think it would be 521 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,880 Speaker 1: around there this week. I give it to me, Give 522 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,159 Speaker 1: it to it, and hopefully he scores all give it 523 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,199 Speaker 1: to me. Speaking of scoring, if you're looking for an 524 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:25,880 Speaker 1: edge and touchdown bets, make sure you go to betting 525 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 1: pros dot com slash touchdown for the Touchdown Score Report. 526 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,679 Speaker 1: Our Touchdown Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bets, 527 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: uh and odds projections to help identify the best anytime 528 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,440 Speaker 1: touchdown bets you can find. Head to bettingpros dot com 529 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: slash touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. All right, gentlemen, 530 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,280 Speaker 1: let's get after it. I was over to both my 531 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 1: quarterbacks there, Lamar and Jayden Daniels to score touchdowns last week. 532 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: And guess what now either got in the end zone. 533 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: Boo boo terrible. All right, Welsh, why don't you go first? 534 00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: And I'll try to pay attention this time. Who do 535 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 1: you want to uh score in Week seven? To make 536 00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: some money on Jamar Chase. Jamar Chase with one of the. 537 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,160 Speaker 2: Top I think it's the tippy tippy top of cornerback 538 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 2: wide receiver matchups against the Browns. They are going to 539 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 2: litter him with targets and it's a plus money touchdown bet. 540 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,320 Speaker 2: I believe the last time I bet Jamar Chase anytime touchdown, 541 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:20,919 Speaker 2: it's smashed. So we are back with Jamar Chase on 542 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 2: the anytime touchdown. And guess what, Hey remember the Dolphins 543 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,120 Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill last with Washington. 544 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: That was a hell of a movie. 545 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, remember the Dolphins. I mean great, it would be 546 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 2: we could do for this year, Denzel could be all right, 547 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 2: you thanks, They might mean to bring it best anytime 548 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 2: touchdown for Tyreek Hill. We've probably seen in five years 549 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 2: plus one ninety is what I saw in it. It's 550 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 2: almost two to one on anytime touchdown. I get it 551 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:57,520 Speaker 2: end around screen, pass deep, Colt stink, Tyreek Hill has 552 00:23:57,560 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 2: to score coming off of by. It has to be 553 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 2: the priority. Tyreek Hill at almost two to one anytime touchdown. 554 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 1: Love it, Ryan Gosling, I think plays corner for the Colts. 555 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,679 Speaker 1: All right, Ericson, let's get to your touchdown scores for 556 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:09,439 Speaker 1: week seven. 557 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 4: I want to be right on this call, so I'm 558 00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 4: just going with the juicy one. Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown 559 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 4: again rights. 560 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 1: Minus four hundred and seven. It's almost one six. You 561 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: know on FanDuel it's one fifty. It's a little bit 562 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,440 Speaker 1: better on Fandomyi. 563 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 2: I did parlay this with with one, so so I mean, hey, 564 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 2: it hits, then you're making money. 565 00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 3: So that's the why I see it. 566 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 4: So I like Saquon Barking to score a touchdown against 567 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 4: his old team. We've seen Nick Sirianni force feed Boston 568 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 4: Scott touchdowns in this particular matchup against the Giants before, 569 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,639 Speaker 4: so I think that he's going to feature Sakuon Barkley 570 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:43,919 Speaker 4: a decent amount against the New York Giants. So I 571 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 4: like Barkley to score. And my other one is Austin Eckler. 572 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,719 Speaker 4: Look at this Carolina Panthers defense. They have not only 573 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 4: been given up touchdowns to number one running backs, but 574 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 4: number two running backs are scoring touchdown at an absurd rate. 575 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 4: So I think the Commanders are going to run all 576 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,600 Speaker 4: over the Carolina Panthers. Brian Robinson, whether he plays or not, 577 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,520 Speaker 4: doesn't really matter. He'll score touchdowns, and I think Austin 578 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 4: ecker will be right behind him, also scoring touchdown, So 579 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 4: plus one fifteen. I think Eckler finds the end zone 580 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:08,439 Speaker 4: as well. 581 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 1: I'll see your Saquon Barkley and I'll raise you a 582 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:15,199 Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley. Saquon Barkley, two touchdowns get plus four hundred. 583 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 1: Two touchdowns plus four hundred. What's up that? Minus one 584 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 1: sixty No, No. 585 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:25,240 Speaker 4: One fifty his first touchdown to the game, first touchdown 586 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:25,640 Speaker 4: of the game. 587 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 1: Let me take a look at that. But if you 588 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 1: get the two touchdowns, you get plus four hundred on 589 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 1: that one first touchdown score of Saquon is plus two hundred. 590 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,680 Speaker 1: So both of those are better numbers. But I'm thinking 591 00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 1: two tuddies here for Saquon. 592 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:44,239 Speaker 2: How about his last touchdown? How about the third touchdown. 593 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: Of the game, the third touch. 594 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 3: It just might be the Saquon Barkley just like Breze 595 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 3: Hall last week. It's just all the Barkley overs that 596 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:53,440 Speaker 3: just might be the play. 597 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 1: Well, look, you know, all I know is that this 598 00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 1: is the Saquon Barkley game. You know, the revenge narratives 599 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,879 Speaker 1: are so overblown in so many these instances, not this one, 600 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,920 Speaker 1: not if you watch Hard Knocks, not if you watch 601 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 1: what went on there with the front office, especially the 602 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: ownership too. Like well, my favorite thing is when Mara 603 00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 1: said to uh, to Joe Shane, well, I just hope 604 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,359 Speaker 1: he doesn't go to the Eagles, and of course he 605 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,440 Speaker 1: goes to the Eagles. Like I love it. He said 606 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: it as he walked out of the office. It was 607 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 1: so embarrassing. It was such an incredible moment to know, 608 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: you know, after the fact, how everything was gonna end up. 609 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 1: It was good television, But Sakuan's gonna be good tv. 610 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 1: Give me Saquon for two touchdowns plus four hundred. On 611 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,800 Speaker 1: top of that, in that same game, give me Melik 612 00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 1: Neighbors plus one thirties back from the concussion of Eagles 613 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 1: secondary isn't good. This is gonna be a I think 614 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: this game might actually be entertaining. Typically speaking, Giants Eagles 615 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:43,640 Speaker 1: up and down a little bit last couple of years, 616 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 1: but I think this one has some opportunity. I think 617 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones too, with Melik Neighbors, stats have been much better. 618 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,200 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is a quarterback you have to give weapons to, 619 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:54,120 Speaker 1: and if you give him a Milik Neighbors, at least 620 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,960 Speaker 1: he can be decent enough in the fantasy perspective. But 621 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: Molike Neighbors to score a touchdown plus money, also big money. 622 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 1: Christian Watson, let's go plus two sixty to get a touchdown. 623 00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: I like it against the Houston Texas. Jordan Love plays 624 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: fast and loose sometimes even that football all round, and 625 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 1: I think Christian Watson's return fingers crossed for the better 626 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: health we can get. Finally, Christian Watson to make us 627 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: some more money. Last week he did find the end zone, 628 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 1: hoping he could do it again two weeks in a 629 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:26,040 Speaker 1: row against the Texans. I say yes, So what say you? Everybody? 630 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 1: Who are your touchdown calls for Week seven? Drop them 631 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 1: in the comments. Below. Of course, subscribe to the channel. 632 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 1: Subscribe wherever you get your podcasts to Betting Pros, and 633 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,479 Speaker 1: also make sure you ring that bell for notification so 634 00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 1: you never miss a piece of content here on the channel. 635 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 1: Because we've got NBA stuff going on, We've got NFL 636 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,479 Speaker 1: stuff going on, you name it, we're betting on it 637 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 1: here and don't forget to make sure you download the 638 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app as well, and don't forget you can 639 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 1: get the free thirty days one month of premium at 640 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,679 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Use that promo code FP three to go. 641 00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 1: Get that done. That'll do it for us, but the 642 00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:00,160 Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm 643 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,399 Speaker 1: Andrew Ericsson, I'm Joey p We'll see you next time kids. 644 00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:07,520 Speaker 1: How about those dolphins? Thanks for listening to the Betting 645 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 1: Pros podcast. 646 00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 5: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 647 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,040 Speaker 5: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 648 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 5: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 649 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,960 Speaker 5: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 650 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 5: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros