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Speaker 1: One of guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition in the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolgi. You guys follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning we're here approaching our five one

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Speaker 1: hundredth episode. We're going to be taping that on Wednesday

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Speaker 1: night for a Thursday drop number five hundred for the

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Speaker 1: Deal Juice Podcast. Unbelievable, but hopefully some news on that

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Speaker 1: coming up a little bit later on bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: where you find this wherever you get your audio podcast

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Speaker 1: YouTube for video as well, always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BETMGM with a ten dollars offer above me on

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Speaker 1: YouTube ten bucks to win one hundred and fifty bucks

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Speaker 1: in any event with the promo Cojuice one fifty BETMGM

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Speaker 1: or betemgm dot com. All right, so one in one

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Speaker 1: night last night we went very light and a couple

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Speaker 1: of things we're going to get into here at the

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Speaker 1: top about the football game that happened Monday night football. Ah,

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Speaker 1: so we go just down the jew So nothing.

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Speaker 2: Really of that series.

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Speaker 1: Technically a losing day, but really no blood, no harm,

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Speaker 1: no foul there for a one in one Hawks cover

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Speaker 1: minus ten. We do not get the cover. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what the heck happened in that Marquette game. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Illinois was up by double digits and they turned the

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Speaker 1: ball over so many times, so many free throws.

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Speaker 2: Marquette just kept on going to the line over and

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Speaker 2: over and over again.

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Speaker 1: Just a sloppily played game. So big ten's been bad

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Speaker 1: in this Gavid game. More on that here in just

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Speaker 1: one second. We got two picks coming up for college

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Speaker 1: basketball that I'm gonna give you in the Gavit games.

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Speaker 2: Here as well.

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Speaker 1: Okay, couple things I am not surprised is the way

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Speaker 1: I'll frame this that the forty nine Ers won last

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Speaker 1: night outright at home, catching three and a half points

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Speaker 1: to the Rams. Now, there is a very large argument

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Speaker 1: about Sunday Night Football and the Chiefs game and Monday

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Speaker 1: Night Football and what happened with the Rams. I maintained

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Speaker 1: there's a difference. Others are saying there is not. My

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Speaker 1: difference in my opinion. Reason why I think it's difference

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Speaker 1: because standalone games are standalone games, and Monday Night is

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Speaker 1: a standalone game. Sunday Night's the biggest, most most popular

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Speaker 1: TV show on TV. Every week huge handle and Parlay's

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Speaker 1: roll into it as much as Parlays were rolling to Monday.

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Speaker 1: But the difference is on a standalone you've got more

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Speaker 1: time to bet it. More bets were made on that

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Speaker 1: game going into it with the forty nineers and the Rams,

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Speaker 1: and the Rams.

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Speaker 2: Are a very public team. The Chiefs are as well.

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Speaker 1: But the public yes, won a lot on that Sunday

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Speaker 1: night football game. But there were some raiderbackers and the

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Speaker 1: number was two and a half and it never really moved.

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Speaker 2: It was.

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Speaker 1: It opened at two and a half or three, depring

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Speaker 1: on the book, and it stayed at two and a half.

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Speaker 2: It didn't move well.

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Speaker 1: The Rams game opened at four and it moved to

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Speaker 1: three and a half, then stopped and did not go

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Speaker 1: to three. When ninety percent of the money all came

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Speaker 1: in on the Rams Monday night standalone game, and I said, look,

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Speaker 1: the books taking a position. The books were taking one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ten thousand bets before some finally somebody came

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Speaker 1: in for half a mill on the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 1: and I just when the books take positions, and as

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Speaker 1: a standalone game, I think you got to pay attention.

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Speaker 1: And that's why I said last night I said, look

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Speaker 1: at I'm not betting it, but if I did, I

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Speaker 1: would bet three and a half. Take the three and

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Speaker 1: a half points. We went into it with circa. Both

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Speaker 1: my circle teams had the Rams minus four. Everybody had

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Speaker 1: the Rams minus four. That's the problem. It's when everybody's

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Speaker 1: on one side.

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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 1: I didn't see everyone on the Chiefs. Actually, I saw

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Speaker 1: a lot of Raider people. Saw a lot of people

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Speaker 1: in the sports betting world be on the Raiders on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night, not on the Rams, sorry, not on the

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Speaker 1: forty nine, but on the Rams as well. And so

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Speaker 1: they were wrong to be on the Raiders, and they

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Speaker 1: were wrong to be on the Rams. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying it's an end all be all. I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: it's you know, one hundred percent. I'm just saying, when

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Speaker 1: the books take a position, pay attention. Doesn't mean you

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Speaker 1: blindly follow. It doesn't mean you blindly bet it. But

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Speaker 1: I wanted no part of that for.

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Speaker 2: A reason, because it's stunk.

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Speaker 1: That line stunk out loud, and the forty niners destroyed

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Speaker 1: the Rams, and it was a very nice win for

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Speaker 1: the sports books who took a position. And people are

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Speaker 1: saying well, actually it's the professionals who took the position, Matt.

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Speaker 2: It's the same thing to me.

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Speaker 1: Whether they're trusting the pros to help line sharpen to

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Speaker 1: go from three and a half from four to three

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Speaker 1: and a.

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Speaker 2: Half, it's all the same to me. It's no different.

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Speaker 2: It's no different to me.

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Speaker 1: It's the books are taking liability all on one side,

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Speaker 1: and they're comfortable being there. They're comfortable being on the

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Speaker 1: same side as that sharp, but they're still comfortable taking

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Speaker 1: the liability on. So they're taking a position. Whether it's

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Speaker 1: semantics to me as to why they're taking the position,

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Speaker 1: but they took a position. And when they do that,

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Speaker 1: you have to pay attention. Again, don't blindly follow it.

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Speaker 1: But when the books take a position, pay attention. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's a game you probably want to lay off on,

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Speaker 1: or a game that you want to either bet the

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Speaker 1: other side or don't bet it at all because something

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Speaker 1: funky is about to happen. Again, the Chiefs, we're a

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Speaker 1: similar not exactly the same, but a similar situation. On

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Speaker 1: Sunday night again, I saw a lot more people tay say,

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Speaker 1: take the Raiders, Raiders money line, Raiders plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half I saw nobody recommending the forty nine ers

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Speaker 1: until after we saw all the money coming in on

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Speaker 1: one side. So again, it's a learning experience. It's a

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Speaker 1: chance to take a look at what happens. And you know,

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Speaker 1: we get those everyone's saying like, where can I find

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Speaker 1: that information?

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Speaker 2: Guys? I get an email to me. I don't go

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Speaker 2: sign they send it to me.

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Speaker 1: I get bet MGM, I get FanDuel, I get DraftKings,

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Speaker 1: and I get win Bet, get those four books who all.

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Speaker 2: Send me information every day. So that's where I get it. Okay.

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Speaker 1: It's not like I'm got some like proprietary inside knowledge

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Speaker 1: to this. It's email to everyone in the sports betting media.

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Speaker 1: I just happen to be part of the sports betting media.

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Speaker 2: Okay, all right, So let's get to the picks today.

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Speaker 1: And I've got three plays in college basketball that I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna give you guys, and I've got a I've got

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Speaker 1: a happy unit that's going to be added tomorrow or

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Speaker 1: today during the Discord channel, either with props or I

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Speaker 1: may go with the Manning curse. If you don't know

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Speaker 1: what the Manning curse is, look it up. But nets

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Speaker 1: minus two and a half was a lean anyway against

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Speaker 1: the Warriors. Second game of this road trip, didn't look

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Speaker 1: great against the against Charlotte, and had a tough game

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Speaker 1: against the Hornets, and now you've got to face the

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn Nets. I know you could have a Curry explosion,

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Speaker 1: but this is when I think the they're due to

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Speaker 1: cool down. Okay, They're definitely due to cool down. So

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Speaker 1: I may have an ad with that. So sorry, hold on,

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Speaker 1: I've got two college basketball and I've got one NHL bet. Okay,

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Speaker 1: sorry to college basketball. One NHL bet, and then also

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna do. We're gonna hop in with the

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Speaker 1: with the potential either two player props or the NBA

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Speaker 1: bet with the Warriors.

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Speaker 2: So sorry. So I think I said three college basketball bets.

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Speaker 2: Not true?

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Speaker 1: Okay, So let's start with the Creighton Blue Jays at

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Speaker 1: the Nebraska Cornhuskers. In other words, the game that I

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Speaker 1: might be the most so stated with in my broadcasting career.

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Speaker 1: So I was the Creighton basketball pore and postgame show host.

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Speaker 1: I hosted Afternoon Driving OMAH for five years and I

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Speaker 1: made it my you know, the the tent pole event

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Speaker 1: of my show was this game. Nebraska fans became you

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Speaker 1: know incredibly angry with me when I told them they

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Speaker 1: could not be creating basketball fans once they are Husker fans.

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Speaker 1: You stay on your side of the Platte River. Like

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Speaker 1: I've talked about, if you wear red in the fall,

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Speaker 1: you wear red in the wintertime. Husker fans didn't like

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Speaker 1: that to create and Blue Jay fans. I said, if

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Speaker 1: you wear red in the fall, you can't wear blue

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Speaker 1: in the winter. Either you wear blue all the time

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Speaker 1: or none of the time. They didn't like that either. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So this is where I really said. I come from

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Speaker 1: a place where there are rivals and rivalries and you

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Speaker 1: don't get to pick and choose.

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Speaker 2: You can't be a Laker fan and a Yankee fan. Okay.

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Speaker 2: I don't buy it. I don't take it. I think

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Speaker 2: it's a joke. If you are, I'm sorry. If that

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Speaker 2: calls that's you.

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Speaker 1: Reassess your your requirements, Okay, reassess who you are because

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Speaker 1: it doesn't make any sense. So for this game, the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays have had two very lackluster performances. Greg

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Speaker 1: McDermott has owned Nebraska, and I mean owned Nebraska in

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Speaker 1: his career, but he normally has the better team Greg

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Speaker 1: McDermott normally has a team full of players who are

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Speaker 1: going to be fringe NBA guys or they're going to

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Speaker 1: be players who will play overseas. This Blue Jay team

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Speaker 1: is so young. They are so so young. Coach Mac

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Speaker 1: is fifteen and four all time against Nebraska. He's nine

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Speaker 1: and two since becoming the blue Jays head coach, replacing

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Speaker 1: Dana Altman. He's two and one against Fred Hoiberg, the

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Speaker 1: current head coach in the Nebraska Cornoskers. My problem with

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Speaker 1: the Blue Jays is that they are not filled up

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Speaker 1: with the typical weapons they normally have. They normally have

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Speaker 1: a ton of players who can jack threes, can just

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Speaker 1: go ahead.

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Speaker 2: I think for the.

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Speaker 1: First time in a long time, there's actually more talent

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Speaker 1: on the Nebraska sideline than there is for the Creighton

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays. This is a short number, Okay, it's minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half here for the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

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Speaker 2: I do like the over in this game.

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Speaker 1: I will have a personal play going on the over

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Speaker 1: if you want to double up. But officially here I'm

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Speaker 1: going to come in and say that the Nebraska that

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Speaker 1: the Creighton young team filled up with really one senior

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Speaker 1: and you know a guy who was a Duke cast

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Speaker 1: off and who hasn't played all that well in his career,

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Speaker 1: and a player that I think a lot of people

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Speaker 1: have thought, you know, oh my gosh, the blue Jay

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Speaker 1: has got a transfer from from Duke. But I mean

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Speaker 1: Alex O'Connell has not been a good player, and he

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Speaker 1: and right now, they are so incredibly young. Arkansas Pine

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Speaker 1: Bluff and Kennesaw State had the lead at the half

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Speaker 1: at Omaha. They won both the games, but this young team,

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Speaker 1: they're lacking point guard experience going into a really hostile environment.

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Speaker 1: This is a rivalry game, and I've seen it only

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Speaker 1: a couple of times, but I have seen the Jays

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Speaker 1: get worked, and I have seen them when they aren't

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Speaker 1: right defensively, and they just don't have the experience. It

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Speaker 1: would be a great learning experience for a lot of

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Speaker 1: these younger Blue Jays, and they've got a very talented

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Speaker 1: core of young players. Good times are coming for the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays, just not tonight. I think Nebraska covers

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Speaker 1: the two and a half points. I do like the

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Speaker 1: over one forty five and a half as well, but

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Speaker 1: officially we're going to take for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: Nebraska minus two and a half at home against the

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Speaker 1: Creton Blue Jays. Don't never tell me I won't bet

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Speaker 1: against the J's or teams that I like, Okay, because

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Speaker 1: I the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 2: Are my team. So if I'm wrong, I'll be really happy. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I hope coach Mack wins this game. I just don't

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Speaker 1: really see it. I can't see this young Jay's team

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Speaker 1: in a hostile environment, in a big rivalry setting, going

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Speaker 1: into Lincoln in a pinnacle arena and winning a game

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Speaker 1: on the road. This will be a big learning experience

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Speaker 1: and the Jays will be a much better team come

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Speaker 1: February than they are right now. They may have a

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Speaker 1: really tough year. This line is probably too short. This

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Speaker 1: line probably should be five or six Nebraska mines two

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Speaker 1: and a half half a unit, other half a unit.

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Speaker 1: We are going to go to another Big Ten Big

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Speaker 1: East matchup in its Seaton Hall at Michigan. Its game

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Speaker 1: is a nine pm Eastern time tip. Game is at

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Speaker 1: Michigan on Fox Sports one. Seaton Hall is a scrappy team.

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Speaker 1: Have you guys been paying attention to what the Big

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Speaker 1: East is doing?

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Speaker 2: Here?

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Speaker 1: The Big East against the Big Ten it's been quite remarkable.

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Speaker 1: Providence gets a big win over Wisconsin and not normally

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Speaker 1: you know, you go, okay, it's not that shocking. But

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Speaker 1: there have been some games that you're kind of like, wait,

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Speaker 1: I thought the Big Ten was going to be like

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Speaker 1: elite this year. I mean, Marquette beat Illinois. We had

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Speaker 1: Illinois mise eight and a half. Marquette beat Illinois shock

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Speaker 1: a Smart huge win for his program there now three

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Speaker 1: and oh at home beating Illinois top ten team another,

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Speaker 1: I mean a top ten win already for Shaka Smart

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Speaker 1: with Marquette not good, right, I mean you look at

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Speaker 1: it and you're like, I thought the Big Ten was

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Speaker 1: gonna be like, you know, a really really good conference.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State did beat Bowling Green, but you mass beat

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Speaker 1: Penn State. I should have bet the last game I

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Speaker 1: wanted to bet last night was you mass at home

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Speaker 1: catching four against Penn State. And I was like, man,

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Speaker 1: that's my school, it's my ala mater. They're gonna be

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Speaker 1: jacked up to have Penn.

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Speaker 2: State go in there. I don't think Penn State's very good.

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Speaker 1: You mass killed them eighty one fifty six as four

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Speaker 1: point home dogs, just ruined them, scored forty four points

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Speaker 1: in the second half, So that's not good. So Providence

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Speaker 1: Beach Wisconsin, you Mass beats Penn State, Marquette beats Illinois.

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Speaker 1: I think Seaton All could beat Michigan.

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Speaker 2: I really do. They're catching nine points. This is nine points.

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Speaker 1: Public is all over Michigan coming up, and I haven't

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Speaker 1: even seen the spreads yet. But gimme Kevin Willard's team

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Speaker 1: to scrap and fight. And I look to me. We

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Speaker 1: were on Michigan a couple of days ago against who

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Speaker 1: were they against?

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Speaker 2: It was now.

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Speaker 1: We were on there on Wednesday or Thursday, right, yeah,

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Speaker 1: against Buffalo. When they were they were twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites, and they won by twelve.

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Speaker 2: Michigan is okay. I mean, they just beat up.

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Speaker 1: On Prairie View. But this is their first real game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they got UNLV after this. I think Seaton Hall could

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Speaker 1: hang around.

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Speaker 2: I really do.

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Speaker 1: I think this team's got the grit and the toughness

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Speaker 1: to play hard. They got a couple of fifty year seniors,

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Speaker 1: they play defense. I think Michigan wins the game. But

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Speaker 1: plus nine give me Michigan. Give me Seaton Hall plus

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Speaker 1: nine at Michigan. Here keeping the game, close, hard fought game.

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Speaker 1: Michigan wins Seaton Hall with the plus nine. I'll give

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Speaker 1: like go half a unit. Mine's one ten Seaton Hall

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Speaker 1: on the cover. Okay, so let's talk hockey here for

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Speaker 1: one second. And somebody brought this up yesterday and they said, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you haven't bet hockey in a long time. Why don't

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Speaker 1: you bet hockey anymore? Please bet hockey. Well, I'm not

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Speaker 1: that great at betting hockey, all right, So my numbers

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Speaker 1: have been been pretty bad. I'm gonna take a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a flyer here because us the Vegas Golden

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Speaker 1: Knights are playing a very good Carolina Hurricanes team coming

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Speaker 1: up here tonight at home in Vegas. The Golden Knights

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Speaker 1: are the number one team for scoring goals in the

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Speaker 1: first ten minutes. Okay, this is minus one fifties. Where

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Speaker 1: I found this tonight? Okay, shop around see if you

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Speaker 1: can find this. The Hurricanes are at a seventy percent clip.

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Speaker 1: Vegas is at an eighty percent clip for goals in

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Speaker 1: the first ten minutes either four or against.

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Speaker 2: The total of this game is six.

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Speaker 1: Okay. Here in Vegas, Golden Knights have scored and goten

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Speaker 1: off to fast starts, but they've also given up goals

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Speaker 1: very quickly here. Okay, mine's one fifty. I it's I'm

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Speaker 1: adding it. It's a happy unit play. It's quick, it's dirty,

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Speaker 1: it might blow up in our face, but it's hit

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Speaker 1: so consistently that I have to start riding this a

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Speaker 1: bit more because it's just one of those things where

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Speaker 1: the Hurricanes are scoring fast and giving up goals fast,

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Speaker 1: and the Golden Knights also are doing the same. I

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Speaker 1: think there's value at plus one oh five on the

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Speaker 1: gold Knights at home to win the game. It's hockey

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Speaker 1: for goodness sakes, in Vegas at home at plus one

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Speaker 1: oh five, that will be tempting.

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Speaker 2: I may be on that personally as well, but for

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Speaker 2: the official play.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna jump for a half a unit, maybe a

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Speaker 1: little expensive here, and it's Mie one fifty.

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Speaker 2: That's why I have to make it. I can't make

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Speaker 2: it a quarter unit. I got to make it a

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Speaker 2: half unit or it's not worth it.

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Speaker 1: Mi's one fifty a goal in the first ten minutes

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Speaker 1: between Vegas and the Carolina Hurricanes, and I think we're

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Speaker 1: going to get a quick goal here for one of

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Speaker 1: these two teams. Somebody after ten minutes, will be up

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Speaker 1: one nothing. Now I think Vegas again could be very

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Speaker 1: much alive to win the game outright. You got an

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Speaker 1: eleven and two team. Carolina is very good. They're eleven

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Speaker 1: and two on the year, steamrolling five and one on

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Speaker 1: the road. Vegas is five and three at home. They've

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Speaker 1: had kind of a rough start of late, but they're

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Speaker 1: getting healthier. Guys are coming back here. And get a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a COVID issue with Vegas with William Career,

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Speaker 1: who's out with COVID. But the got Mark Stone back.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, Robin Leondard is playing well in net.

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Speaker 1: Their offense needs to you know, needs a boot boost here.

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00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 1: But Carolina is first game of a road trip. Let's

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Speaker 1: see if the Golden Knights can steal one. But instead

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Speaker 1: let's go for a half a unit. A goal in

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Speaker 1: the first ten minutes. Yes, goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: DraftKings credit Tonight. Other books have it as well. Mi's

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Speaker 1: one fifty for the Vegas Golden Knights and the Carolina Hurricanes.

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Speaker 1: They're making us pay a lot of juice for it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but it's expensive. I normally never lay this, but you

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Speaker 1: guys are asking for hockey, and I don't know what

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Speaker 1: to bet for hockey because I've been so bad, So

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Speaker 1: why not just get it over with quickly. If I'm

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Speaker 1: going to lose a half a unit, let's just lose

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Speaker 1: it fast here with minus one ten fade or follow

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Speaker 1: if you want, take the go ahead and take the No,

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Speaker 1: it's plus money. If the cash is for you, that's phenomenal.

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Speaker 2: I'm happy. I don't mind if you fade my picks. Guys.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind it.

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Speaker 1: When I'm cold and I've been cold, I do not

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Speaker 1: mind you guys fading it. Don't be jerks about it.

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Speaker 1: But if you say, hey, Matt, you're cold, I gotta

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Speaker 1: fad you. I'm not mad at all. If you're a

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Speaker 1: jerk about it and be like you're an idiot, I'm

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Speaker 1: feeding you. Like, okay, you want to be.

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Speaker 2: A jerk, you're getting to get a jerk being back.

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Speaker 1: But if you're respectful about it and just say, hey,

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Speaker 1: I gotta do what I gotta do, no problems, no worries,

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Speaker 1: no questions.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: So the NBA will either be the Warriors nets game

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Speaker 1: taking the Nets minus two and a half or two

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Speaker 1: player props in the NBA to be giving you guys

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Speaker 1: here for the other half a unit, but we're going

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Speaker 1: half unit on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus two and a

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Speaker 1: half at home against the Creton Blue Jays plus nine

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. Half a unit on the road at Michigan

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Speaker 1: Carolina Vegas. Yes for a goal in the first ten

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Speaker 1: minutes for a half a unit at minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: with an ad coming in the Discord channel coming up

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com, slash chat, or the link gets

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Speaker 1: underneath me here on YouTube. It's a big week for

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Speaker 1: us guys, really special time. Thursday, the five hundredth episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice Podcast minus Matt Parolt. To follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports doc Matt.

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Speaker 2: Each very morning.

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Speaker 1: It's the Daily Juice Podcast right here on Bettingpros dot com.