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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen Cuddy twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

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Speaker 1: fifty and.

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Speaker 2: The kick as block College Football World Standard. Good Bye,

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, big stumbled and football the lateral.

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Speaker 1: Turn, the counter on the job, Get you the lad.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna table off the fiel to night God.

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Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting.

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Speaker 1: It's the side of the fight in the all.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to Big Bets on Campus.

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Speaker 2: This is our college football preseason best Bets. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: go through every conference and give our bet bet or

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Speaker 2: bets for each I'm stucky in joining me today as

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Speaker 2: always Colin Wilson, cal We got a lot of bets

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Speaker 2: to get to. Are you ready to fire away?

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Speaker 1: I'm ready. We don't really have any extra time here

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Speaker 1: over under a number of bets fifty two and a half,

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Speaker 1: so let's get started.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, might take the over there. And as a reminder,

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Speaker 2: we're just going to give a summary of our best bets,

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Speaker 2: but we have eleven other episodes that we did in

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Speaker 2: the preseason breaking down every conference too. For the sec

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Speaker 2: our group of five guys did a great job, myself, Colin,

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Speaker 2: Brett McMurphy joined them, and then Colin I did the

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Speaker 2: Power five episodes. So if you want to get in

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Speaker 2: to the weeds and hear a little bit more, make

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Speaker 2: sure you check out all of those episodes as you

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Speaker 2: continue your Week zero, which is five days a week

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Speaker 2: and Week one preparation. We'll also share Brett McMurphy's picks,

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Speaker 2: his favorite picks. He sent a couple over at the

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Speaker 2: end of the show, and we'll make fun of his

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Speaker 2: pick of Stetson Bennett for Heisman. I know you're listening,

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Speaker 2: Brett and watching hopefully. All right, let's get things started,

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Speaker 2: and let's start in the Big Ten. I'll give my

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Speaker 2: best bet in the Big tenants Nebraska over seven and

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Speaker 2: a half wins. I love this team's schedule. I have

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Speaker 2: them favored in their first nine games, seven by double digits.

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Speaker 2: There are only two road games before mid November are

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Speaker 2: at Perdue and that run heres that, I mean, doesn't

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Speaker 2: get much easier than that. I think they can get

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Speaker 2: off to a hot start. They did lose some key pieces,

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Speaker 2: but I loved what they did in the transfer portal

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Speaker 2: and in the coaching department, bringing Whipple in as the

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Speaker 2: offensive coordinator. They also addressed special teams. Last year, the

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Speaker 2: amount of special teams and mental errors were laughable, and

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Speaker 2: those mistakes were maybe even worse when you consider they

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Speaker 2: were oh and eight in one possession games and eight

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Speaker 2: and a knife lost by nine points to Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: Aught a positive aggression coming to this team's way, especially

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Speaker 2: they could fix the special teams, which I think they did.

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Speaker 2: You hopefully the mental layers and the flags go down

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Speaker 2: a little bit. But I love Nebraskat schedule. I love

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Speaker 2: what they did in the offseason. Give me over seven

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Speaker 2: and a half called you agree where you going into

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Speaker 2: Big ten?

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Speaker 1: Completely agree? And then I'm gonna stay in the Big

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Speaker 1: Ten and I'm gonna stay with Illinois going under four

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Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, Brett Bilima and his boys, I

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Speaker 1: think are going to have a rough season. Only twenty

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Speaker 1: five percent of the offensive line snaps return to this

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Speaker 1: offensive attack that wants to be ground and pound exactly

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Speaker 1: in the image of what Brett Bielima wants. Quarterback Tony

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Speaker 1: Tommy DeVito transfers in from Syracuse. That was a spread

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Speaker 1: offense and now he's going to more of a different style.

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Speaker 1: There's a new offensive coordinator in play, so lots of

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Speaker 1: changes going on the offensive side of the football for Illinois,

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Speaker 1: and they're projected double digit underdogs in at least seven games.

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Speaker 1: They must win Indiana, Virginia, Northwestern just to get to five.

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Speaker 1: So under four and a half is a bet that

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Speaker 1: in those coin flip games and the ones that they

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Speaker 1: should win, that they don't.

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Speaker 2: You Fading Brett Bilma shocker elsewhere in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: I like Ohio State minus two hundred to win the conference.

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Speaker 2: I think there's value of that number. I think they're

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Speaker 2: head and shoulders above the rest. They host Michigan at

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Speaker 2: the end of the year, which is huge. I think

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Speaker 2: they're back in the conference title game and they'll be

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Speaker 2: massive favorites. So give me Ohio State minus two hundred. Look,

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Speaker 2: we know the offense. The defense has been the question.

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Speaker 2: They bring in Jim Knowles. I think that's just a

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Speaker 2: massive addition. The defense should be competent, more discipline. That's

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Speaker 2: the difference. This Ohio State team is loaded in a

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Speaker 2: year where college football, in my opinion, is extremely top heavy,

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Speaker 2: and I think it's going to be when it's all

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Speaker 2: said and done, Ohio State first Alabama in the National Championship.

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Speaker 2: But the Jym Knowles edition is just massive for that defense,

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Speaker 2: and that's been the missing piece. So give me Ohio

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Speaker 2: State to win the Big Ten. Colum anything else in

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Speaker 2: the Big ten worth mentioning.

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Speaker 1: I completely agree with you. I'm going to tag onto

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Speaker 1: your Nebraska ben, except I'm going to go to win

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Speaker 1: the West Division. It's out there at plus three to sixty.

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Speaker 1: You've already mentioned offensive coordinator Mark Whipple coming in. Expect

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Speaker 1: them to be a little bit faster, and quarterback Casey

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Speaker 1: Thompson comes in from Texas high ceiling, high floor, and

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Speaker 1: then the defense needs to be mentioned. They get eighty

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Speaker 1: seven percent of their pressures back from last year and

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Speaker 1: they were eighth in the nation and finishing drives, they

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Speaker 1: were stingy, letting people score. I think that's going to

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Speaker 1: be replicated this year and this ticket. It's easy to head.

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Speaker 1: You don't have to wait until right before Thanksgiving when

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Speaker 1: they play Wisconsin and Iowa to win the West. So

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Speaker 1: Nebraska plus three sixty out of the Big ten.

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Speaker 2: Don't hate it all right, let's move on to the SEC.

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Speaker 2: We'll start in the SEC East. All my friends from

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Speaker 2: Lexington then you go get a jury, you know, make

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Speaker 2: yourself a sandwich and turn away or just mute this

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Speaker 2: for a couple of minutes. But my favorite bet is

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Speaker 2: Kentucky under eight wins. I think you're going to disagreement

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Speaker 2: con which is weird. You're going to be the Kentucky guy.

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Speaker 2: I'm fading Kentucky. I think there's more questions than answers

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Speaker 2: with this team. If you look at the recent success

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Speaker 2: with Kentucky, it's all been about the offensive line, the

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Speaker 2: big blue wall. There's some questions there. They lost three

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Speaker 2: key offensive line I'm in new offensive coordinator comes in,

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Speaker 2: have some talent at receiver, but replacing Wandel Robinson is

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Speaker 2: a tall task. He was number one in the country

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Speaker 2: a percentage of teams explosive plays at receiver last year.

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Speaker 2: He did everything for that offense. I'm not as sold

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Speaker 2: on will Lewis as some I mean, I'm seeing some

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Speaker 2: projections and him going number one overall next year in

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Speaker 2: the NFL Draft. There's also questions on the defense and

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Speaker 2: this team finally has expectations. And look, there's questions around

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Speaker 2: Chris Rodriguez, a star running back. It looks like he's

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Speaker 2: going to miss the first couple games, maybe three or

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Speaker 2: four games. Why is that important? They play Florida Week two,

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Speaker 2: con I think that it's going to bring us to

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Speaker 2: your favorite bet, which is Florida under seven wins. I

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Speaker 2: think that that Kentucky Florida game might go a long

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Speaker 2: way and determining both teams win totals. But you like

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Speaker 2: Florida under seven and are higher on Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Correct, Yeah, I am high on Kentucky, em bullish on them.

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Speaker 1: But these recent announcements of suspensions, especially with Chris Rodriguez,

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Speaker 1: will see how long they last and how much that

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Speaker 1: hasn't effect But I am going to bet Florida under seven.

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Speaker 1: Quarterback depth is a real issue here with Emery Jones

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Speaker 1: taking off for Arizona State through the transfer portal. Anthony

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Speaker 1: Richardson remains, but how often was he injured last year?

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Speaker 1: That really puts some focus on some depth of the

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Speaker 1: quarterback position, which they just don't have. The receiving core

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Speaker 1: has been completely wiped out. Two of the top seven

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Speaker 1: pass catchers from last year are that still remained, but

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Speaker 1: that's just not enough for ar you know, to have

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Speaker 1: enough weapons around him. And there's new codc's on the

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Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball. They're trying to repair a

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Speaker 1: secondary that was one hundred and ninth in coverage seventy

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Speaker 1: fourth and tackling for the defense as a whole. There

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Speaker 1: is a long way to go with the Todd Grantham

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Speaker 1: post Todd Grantham. And they draw LSU in Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M out of the West. That is not easy whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: And they only have one home game after October fifteenth

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Speaker 1: on the schedule. If Billy I'm sorry, PM will say

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Speaker 1: it again. If you know Billion Apier does not keep

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Speaker 1: this roster healthy, and if he doesn't have full health

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Speaker 1: from Anthony Richardson, there could be a lot of l's

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Speaker 1: on this schedule. So I'm going to go under seven

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Speaker 1: with Florida.

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Speaker 2: You started off this with Fading Pilama and then Billy Naper.

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Speaker 2: I'm surprised you said his name. Probably the two least

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Speaker 2: shocking bets that we could have expected. But I don't

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Speaker 2: hate it, but that Week two game might go a

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Speaker 2: long way. The other bet that I have in the

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Speaker 2: seas took I threw a flyer on Tennessee fourteen to

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Speaker 2: one to win the division. Can they go into I

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Speaker 2: know they have Alabama on the schedule, But I love

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Speaker 2: the offense. I think the defense can make strides, which

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Speaker 2: is going to be the key to this team. But

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Speaker 2: if you look at their standard downs last year, they

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Speaker 2: were a lot better than the end numbers. They got

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Speaker 2: to fix the third down defense. But can they go

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Speaker 2: into Athens and get a win. I don't know, but

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Speaker 2: I think Kentucky's a bit overvalued. I think Tennessee's clearly

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Speaker 2: the second best team in the division. I took a shot.

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Speaker 2: I think there's a little bit of value with Tennessee

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Speaker 2: to win the division. So a fun flyer for me.

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Speaker 2: Anything else in the SEC East worth mentioning.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, some props just got put up since we've done

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Speaker 1: our SEC podcast. I'm going to take Spencer Raler under

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Speaker 1: two thousand, six hundred and ninety nine passing yards on

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Speaker 1: the season he gets, you know, he doesn't get a

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Speaker 1: lot of snaps back on the offensive line. This is

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Speaker 1: sort of mid range to bottom offensive line and the

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Speaker 1: SEC standards, and I'm not sure that that's, you know,

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Speaker 1: a great thing, because this offensive line last year was

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nineteenth and havoc allowed. They were one

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixteenth and pass blocking and if you know

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Speaker 1: anything about Rattler. He needs a clean pocket to get

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Speaker 1: the ball down the field. But can he get the

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Speaker 1: ball down the field? Their biggest weapons are at the

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Speaker 1: tight end position. Outside of Josh Van, There's just there's

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Speaker 1: no proven players in the wide receiver on the depth

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Speaker 1: chart whatsoever. And at Oklahoma he posted twenty five hundred

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Speaker 1: yards in twenty twenty in the pandemic season. But now

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Speaker 1: you know that was the Oklahoma spread versus going into

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Speaker 1: a pro style offense, and I just don't think those

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Speaker 1: numbers are going to be available to get up that high.

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Speaker 1: Not to mention it's an under so injury, benching, just

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Speaker 1: anything could come into play there. But I do like

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Speaker 1: Spencer Ratler under twenty seven hundred yards for the season.

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Speaker 2: Let's move on to the SEC West. I'll start with

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Speaker 2: my favorite beat Mississippi State over six and a half wins.

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Speaker 2: This team is loaded with experience on both sides the ball.

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Speaker 2: Most importantly, Will Rodgers comes back at quarterback after an

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Speaker 2: outstanding year. It's his third year in Mike Leach's air

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Speaker 2: raid system, which is all about that scheme is all

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Speaker 2: about timing, repetition. I think he's poised for a huge

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Speaker 2: year and if you look back historically, Mike Leach has

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Speaker 2: had three three year starting quarterbacks in his coaching career.

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Speaker 2: I think Graham Harrow, Cliff Kingsbury, and Luke Fauch. Each

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Speaker 2: of those teams won at least nine games. This team

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Speaker 2: also positive aggression candidate. They could not make a field

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Speaker 2: goal last year, only team the SEC to make under

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Speaker 2: seventy percent of the field goals. Kicking was a disaster.

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Speaker 2: They went out addressed that in the transfer portal. They

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Speaker 2: also were unlucky in the turn of a department. It

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Speaker 2: should be four and zero non conference? Can they get

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Speaker 2: three wins in a brutal I mean their schedule is

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Speaker 2: brutal in the SEC. I think so. I like Mississippi

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Speaker 2: State over six and a half. Gimme calbell Yep, yeah, I'm.

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Speaker 1: Going to Arkansas over seven. Not hard to shocker, shocker

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Speaker 1: that I was gonna take that. But there's reason for

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Speaker 1: taking this. I mean, this is an elite offensive line.

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Speaker 1: There's a rushing trio behind kJ Jefferson. If you cannot

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Speaker 1: stop the rush, you're gonna get be And there's only

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Speaker 1: four teams on this schedule that have an elite front seven.

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Speaker 1: That's Alabama Mississippi State, Auburn and LSU. The other eight

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Speaker 1: teams are not going to be able to defend the

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Speaker 1: run here. Plus, I think where I was worried on

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Speaker 1: the podcast with the SEC West was their receiving targets.

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Speaker 1: With Traylon Burk's moving on to the Tennessee Titans, and

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Speaker 1: now you have to wonder who's going to step up. Well,

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Speaker 1: that has been answered through scrimmages. Warren Thompson and Jason

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Speaker 1: Jayden hazel Wood have both stepped up in scrimmages. They

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Speaker 1: are in sync with kJ Jefferson right now. It's just

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Speaker 1: night and day what we've seen out of Warren Thompson

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Speaker 1: and Camp versus what we had last year. And then

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Speaker 1: I was also worried about the nose tackle position, about

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Speaker 1: not getting enough pressure. John Ridgway leaves a huge hole there.

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Speaker 1: Arkansas has switched to a four man front, so that's

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Speaker 1: going to alleviate some of the concerns about getting pressure.

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Speaker 1: Two defensive tackles in they've both done extremely well against

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Speaker 1: an elite offensive line. Like I said, so I'm taking

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Speaker 1: Arkansas over seven because all my worries about them have

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Speaker 1: been alleviated through the scrimmages.

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Speaker 2: Predictable, Pete, you got Bilama under Napier under an Arkansas over,

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Speaker 2: but you're going to give us something else now, team.

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Speaker 2: I have nothing else in the sec A team that

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Speaker 2: I'm having trouble projecting because there's just transfers everywhere. They're

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Speaker 2: going to be extremely transfer reliant and that's ole Mess.

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Speaker 2: You like the under win total. Tell us why I.

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Speaker 1: Don't think Lane Kiffin likes the makeup of his team.

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Speaker 1: I think it's in his body language, the way he

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Speaker 1: answers questions and some of the things that he says

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Speaker 1: after you know, scrimmages and practices. Jackson Dart and Luke

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Speaker 1: Altmeyer just have not learned the quarterback position and they

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Speaker 1: have not learned the playbook and they're not executing it

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Speaker 1: through practices and through scrimmages, and that was a problem

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Speaker 1: back in the spring game. So they have massive losses

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Speaker 1: at receiver. So again, this is not the mold of

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Speaker 1: what Lane Kiffin wants. They're going to be a more

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Speaker 1: ground based attack with Zach Evans coming in a running

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Speaker 1: back transfer from TCU, And as far as the defense

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Speaker 1: is concerned, it's always been a smoking crater for Ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: And they've had no upgrades of the defensive line. They

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Speaker 1: were bottom twenty and rushing success rate last year and

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Speaker 1: six of the top eight tacklers are gone. I have

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Speaker 1: not seen any improvement this Ole Miss team whatsoever. I'll

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Speaker 1: take an under seven and a half on the ReBs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I believe Ole Miss. They start off against Troy,

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Speaker 2: so what kind of you know? It looks like on

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Speaker 2: paper an easy game, But Troy has some guys on

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Speaker 2: that defense, so we'll learn a lot about the offense

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Speaker 2: right away for Lane and company. Let's move on to

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Speaker 2: the big twelve. Brett is not here to defend his

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Speaker 2: own wander but I like Oklahoma State under eight and

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Speaker 2: a half wins. Talked about Jim Knowles and how important

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Speaker 2: I think he's going to be to Ohio State. Well,

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Speaker 2: the other side of the coin, I think Oklahoma State

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Speaker 2: is really going to miss him on the defensive side

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Speaker 2: of the ball, and they were just gutted. Their defensive

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Speaker 2: line should be pretty good, but at linebacker and secondary

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Speaker 2: just have to replace a lot of production. Yes, Spencer

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Speaker 2: Sanders is back on the other side of the ball,

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Speaker 2: but do you really trust him. He's going to have

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Speaker 2: a game where you just you're scratching your head at

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Speaker 2: every throw. He does lose his top back, top receiver,

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Speaker 2: and there's still some questions, especially with depth on the

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Speaker 2: offensive line. This team was extremely fortunate last year. They

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Speaker 2: went six and two and one possession games plus eleven

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Speaker 2: turnover margin. Look at the boys's stake in they one

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Speaker 2: because they're an inadverted whistle. So I think it's going

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Speaker 2: to be a long year for Oklahoma State. I like.

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Speaker 2: I will say that the you know, the floor is

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Speaker 2: pretty high, but I liked under eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: A lot of what this comes down to is just

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Speaker 2: showing value in the number and being either lower or

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Speaker 2: higher on a team than the market, and in this case,

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Speaker 2: I'm lower than the market on Oklahoma State. And there's

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Speaker 2: reasons why I also like this. So give me under

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Speaker 2: eight and a half with the Pokes. What are you

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Speaker 2: seeing in the big twelve.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go with a team that has absolutely

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Speaker 1: shown it in the trenches. They've shown it against the

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Speaker 1: spread since coach k has been there. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: go with Kansas State over six and a half. The

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Speaker 1: transfer of Adrian Martinez from Lincoln down to Manhattan, we

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Speaker 1: have no clue how great This Kansas State team could

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Speaker 1: be if Adrian Martinez eliminates the turnovers. But the great

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Speaker 1: news is he won't be asked to do that much

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Speaker 1: because he's going to be in twenty one personnel, multiple

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Speaker 1: running backs on the field, and you know, Brett Bielhen

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Speaker 1: has said at best last year when they played Nebraska,

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Speaker 1: he said, we're only scared of number two. He's the

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Speaker 1: only one on that team that could beat us. It

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Speaker 1: just goes to show how much he was, how much

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Speaker 1: Adrian Martinez was used in that Nebraska offense, and now

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Speaker 1: he gets a little bit of that weight taking off

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Speaker 1: his shoulders. Duce Fawn is one of the best all

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Speaker 1: purpose backs in the nation. And then on the defensive

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Speaker 1: side of the ball, Felix and enidyke Ozama is one

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Speaker 1: of the best defensive linemen, not just in the Big Twelve,

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Speaker 1: but in the nation. This team is projected as clear

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Speaker 1: favorites in six games, and then they have five coin flips,

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Speaker 1: so going over six and a half shouldn't be too

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Speaker 1: much of an issue. I think Kansas State is a

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Speaker 1: dark horse candidate for winning the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 2: Is Texas back? I don't know, but I did play

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Speaker 2: them to win the Big Twelve on the price I

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Speaker 2: thought was a bit off, So I'm looking forward to

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Speaker 2: Kansas ruining that ticket later in the season. But if

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Speaker 2: you want to hear more, check out our Big Twelve episode.

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Speaker 2: I know you have a few more bets in the

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Speaker 2: Big twelve, so I'll give you a little extra time here.

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Speaker 2: What else you got in the Big twelve?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, real quick, I'm gonna take TCU to win the

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Speaker 1: Big Twelve. That number is still out there anywhere from

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Speaker 1: twelve to one up to eighteen to one. I would

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Speaker 1: suggest grabbing that because you know, this is a new

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Speaker 1: coaching regime. Specifically, defensive coordinator Joseph Gillespie comes in from Tulsa.

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Speaker 1: He's one of the best dcs in the nation. You

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Speaker 1: can just wipe away all those stats from TCU from

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Speaker 1: last year. They were not interested in anything that Gary

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Speaker 1: Patterson had to say. And this offense is loaded with

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Speaker 1: skill positions and two quarterbacks that are completely capable of

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Speaker 1: running it. So we're gonna go TCU to win the

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Speaker 1: Big Twelve and then Kansas over two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Stucky.

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Speaker 1: I got Stuffy to join me on the podcast and

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Speaker 1: it's over, so hopefully I'm not alone here, but always

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Speaker 1: expect head coach Lance Leopold to do more than what

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Speaker 1: he has. He did it at Buffalo, now he's doing

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Speaker 1: it at Kansas. They beat Texas last year, and that

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Speaker 1: he has a steady quarterback now with Jalen Daniels and

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Speaker 1: their projected favorites against Tennessee Tech and against Duke. We

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Speaker 1: just need to win somewhere else on the schedule, whether

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Speaker 1: it's Houston or maybe there's an upset on the conference schedule.

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Speaker 2: But oh, Texas, that's the third win, right, Texas is.

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Speaker 1: The third win. But we're gonna go over two and

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Speaker 1: a half on the Jayhawks.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind it. I like Daniels and I

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Speaker 2: like where Kansas is trending. I mean, you can't really

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Speaker 2: go any further down then where Kansas has been, but

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Speaker 2: I think they're headed in the right direction. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's move on to the AEC. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: I think people have wagers on you how quick how

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Speaker 2: long it's going to take for you to mention media days.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you talking about Lane Kiffin and

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Speaker 2: how he's talking counts and maybe a technicality might have

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Speaker 2: to wait for the word media day, and maybe you'll

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Speaker 2: bring it up here with the acc and paton Ardoozy.

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Speaker 2: I know you're a fan of him, but I'm going

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Speaker 2: up Pitt under eight and a half wins. Magical year

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Speaker 2: last year, but they lost Kenny Pickett, they lost Jordan Addison,

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Speaker 2: a receiver. They lost their offensive coordinator, Whipple to the Brass.

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Speaker 2: We talked about how big we think that's going to

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Speaker 2: be for the Courdhuskers also lost a wide receiver coach

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Speaker 2: who was really involved in the passing game. Offensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: they bring in really aligned with Dardouzie. What does our

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Speaker 2: news you want to do? They run the ball. He's

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Speaker 2: going to get back to his roots here. Him and

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Speaker 2: Whipple were just never philosophically aligned. It ended up working

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Speaker 2: last year. But I think the offense goes back to

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Speaker 2: the old hit offense that we were used to say.

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Speaker 2: They're going to be in a bunch of close games

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Speaker 2: against inferior opponents, so I think the offense takes a

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Speaker 2: step back. The defense will be what it is. It's

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Speaker 2: going to you know, lots of tackles for loss. They

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Speaker 2: have pro talent on that defensive line. But I think

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Speaker 2: this number is a bit too high. You're gonna sell

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Speaker 2: me on Pitt. I think to win the division or

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Speaker 2: win the ACC. But give me Pitt under eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. Here's your chance at a rebuttal.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I am taking Pit to win the Coastal,

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Speaker 1: not to win all of the ACEC, but to win

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Speaker 1: the Coastal. And yes, you're right, they're changing philosophies on

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Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball completely. Frank Signetti Junior

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Speaker 1: comes in from Boston College. It's going to be a

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Speaker 1: run base attack. You know. Nardozzi spoke at ACC media

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Speaker 1: days about how much he loves Kadan slovan is that

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Speaker 1: this is the quarterback that he wanted. This is the

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Speaker 1: style of offense that Nardozozi wants. They want to get

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Speaker 1: in a bare knuckle fistfight with everybody in this conference.

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Speaker 1: And now they've got the offense to match the defense

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Speaker 1: as far as a you know, a brutality perspective. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: there's a big difference between Pitt and Miami schedules to

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Speaker 1: play Clemson, Pitt draws Syracuse. So I mean it really

408
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Speaker 1: looking at a three to one to win the Coastal here,

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Speaker 1: and it's based upon the fact that there's in I

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Speaker 1: think these two teams are within a decimal point of

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Speaker 1: win total for me Miami and Pitt, but the difference

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Speaker 1: being that the conference late's a little bit easier for Pitt.

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Speaker 1: And then I'm going to roll into who I think

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Speaker 1: is going to win the ACC and that's NC State.

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Speaker 1: Eight to one is the number out there in the market.

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Speaker 1: If you can get better than that, I certainly scoop

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Speaker 1: that up. But this is the only team in the

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Speaker 1: ACC to retain all of their staff. There's been so

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Speaker 1: much movement in offensive defensive coordinators, this team has not

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Speaker 1: moved an inch as far as their coaching staff goes.

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Speaker 1: Same thing for the roster of players. They got seventy

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Speaker 1: seven percent of their offense back ninety percent of their

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Speaker 1: defense back. Is a roster that beat Clemson last year,

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Speaker 1: so there's no mental hurdle about whether they can beat

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Speaker 1: the big dog in the conference. They had two conference

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Speaker 1: losses in the ACC last year by a combined four points.

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Speaker 1: This team is upset and focused, and what got thrown

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Speaker 1: into that was in fact, their Holiday Bowl was canceled

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Speaker 1: last year. So this team is highly motivated and they

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Speaker 1: have the talent to beat anybody in this conference. So

431
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take in State to win the ACC eight

432
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 1: to one.

433
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, at least the first game, the tricky game

434
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 2: against East Carolina doesn't impact that that. Don't hate the

435
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,879
Speaker 2: number for elsewhere in the ACC. I actually played Miami

436
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,680
Speaker 2: to win the division. Take a look on the action

437
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 2: app if you don't follow me there and the number

438
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 2: that I got and would play it down to. But

439
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,199
Speaker 2: I think the difference is well, I think Pitt is

440
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 2: overvalued and Miami host Pitt at the end of the year,

441
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,280
Speaker 2: which I think will ultimately be a difference. I think

442
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 2: Miami is a good shot of winning the conference. I

443
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 2: think their coaching changes that they made are exactly what

444
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 2: that team needed. And if you look at what the

445
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,120
Speaker 2: offense did last year once Van Dyke got in there,

446
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 2: it really took off. I think the defense will show improvement.

447
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:44,720
Speaker 2: So I like Miami to win the division. And at

448
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,400
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech under with three and a half wins, show

449
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 2: me where therefore wins are. This is a team headed

450
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:55,199
Speaker 2: in the wrong direction, got gutted via the transfer portal.

451
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,120
Speaker 2: I don't even know if Jeff Collins makes it through

452
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 2: the year, I'll make them prove that they can win

453
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 2: three winnable games on their schedule and then pick up

454
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 2: an upset somewhere off their schedule is vicious. What else

455
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,119
Speaker 2: you see in the ACC one more.

456
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a Boston College under six and a half.

457
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: I mentioned Frank Signetti, offensive coordinator departing for pitt. I

458
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:15,760
Speaker 1: project these guys just at five wins, and there's plenty

459
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 1: of new faces on the offensive line, and that offensive

460
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: line has failed to protect Phil Drakovic, one of the

461
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:24,880
Speaker 1: best arms in the NFL scouted and everything. We don't

462
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: know where his stock is going to fall after this

463
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: upcoming season, but this is an offensive line that continues

464
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,439
Speaker 1: to struggle in pass walking and it's just not a

465
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:35,119
Speaker 1: good formula offensively when it's been very conservative with running,

466
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 1: putting it all on Jurkovic to throw on third downs.

467
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: It's just not working. And the offensive line is not

468
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 1: going to gel this year either. One hundred and eighth

469
00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 1: and Havoc allowed. That should continue. New offensive coreinator John

470
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 1: McNulty comes in. He was the tight end coach from

471
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,439
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. So you can expect more conservative play calling

472
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: out of Boston College, which doesn't really fit the makeup

473
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: of who their quarterback is. So I'm going to go

474
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 1: Boston College under six and a half.

475
00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:01,960
Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, true. My problem with colleges I trust athlete

476
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 2: to fix that d and then having trouble projecting. Okay,

477
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 2: what are we going to get from that offense? Because

478
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,200
Speaker 2: how much was Jerry I mean jerk which clearly wasn't

479
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 2: healthy last year when he was back in the fold,

480
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 2: so I think his numbers should improve. So I'm pretty

481
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 2: spot on there, But you make a pretty good case.

482
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the Pac twelve. My

483
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,880
Speaker 2: favorite bet is Washington over seven and a half. Disastrous

484
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 2: year for the Huskies in twenty twenty one started off

485
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 2: with a home loss to SCS Montana, but I love

486
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 2: what they did in the offseason. I think major coaching

487
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: upgrades across the board. Quarterback play should get better with

488
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 2: transfer Michael Pennocks, so I assume will win that job,

489
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 2: and he actually thrived under debor Is now the head

490
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,560
Speaker 2: coach when he was the offensive coordinator at Indiana. Do

491
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 2: lose a ton of talent in that secondary, but I

492
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 2: think from a schematic perspective, the changes that they're making

493
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 2: defensely will address the run. Defense was just a siev

494
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 2: last year. Like some of the guys that they have

495
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 2: in that secondary, and the schedule is really favorable. I

496
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 2: think this team at least gets to eight wins. Agree

497
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 2: on Washington and now what else you're seeing on in

498
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 2: the fact twelve.

499
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 1: Well, I resent agree on Washington and there on the

500
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 1: up and I'm with you on that bet. I'm going

501
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 1: to go A team that I'm not with is USC.

502
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under nine and a half on these guys. Listen,

503
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: there's just there's too many mouths defeat here on offense,

504
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams, Jordan Addison, Travis Dye. That doesn't even mention

505
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 1: some of the other stars that they've had to come

506
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 1: in to this offense. I don't understand how Lincoln Riley

507
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 1: is going to get the ball spread out enough to

508
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 1: satisfy what these guys have been able to produce in

509
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 1: the past, especially Jordan Addison, who's a bolinticof winner, so

510
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: you know, and I think all that boils down to

511
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 1: the fact that Caleb Williams is going to be allowed

512
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 1: to run whenever he wants, for scramble yards for designed runs.

513
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,879
Speaker 1: He had over for or designed over four hundred yards

514
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 1: on designed runs last year. They're not going to take

515
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 1: that away from him. So you know, I think they're

516
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 1: going to score a ton of points. We all expect

517
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,439
Speaker 1: them to score fifty every game, but you have to

518
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 1: play defense. And Alex Grinch comes in from Oklahoma with

519
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley and the Trojans. You know last year bottom

520
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 1: twenty and coverage tackling havoc. These are things that just

521
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: don't get fixed Overnight coaching can only go so far.

522
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: If they can slip into the top one hundred, that's great,

523
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 1: but you know, Alexcrinch has a history of improving havoc

524
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:09,960
Speaker 1: with teams he's been at, but success rate and finishing

525
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 1: drives are a part of it too. That is just

526
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 1: a really tough, tough hill for them to climb. They're

527
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 1: gonna be an underdog in three games this season, and

528
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,120
Speaker 1: you know that's gonna expect them to lose those games.

529
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 1: So that brings the total down to nine. But I

530
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:24,439
Speaker 1: really think that you should look at some of the

531
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: scheduled offenses they play in the Pac twelve Stanford, Oregon State,

532
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: Washington State. I know people don't consider these teams ones

533
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: that can win the Pac twelve, but they are instant,

534
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 1: flash point offenses that can score at any time. I

535
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 1: expect a ton of shootouts on this USC schedule. I

536
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be a ton of games where both

537
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: teams score in the fifties. And if you're just gonna

538
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 1: have a bunch of coin flips of score fest, I'm

539
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 1: definitely gonna take the under nine to a half on

540
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 1: the Trojans all right.

541
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 2: Elsewhere in the Pac twelve, I know you disagree with

542
00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: me here, but well maybe non disagree, but I know

543
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 2: you played another team WI You'll get to in a second.

544
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 2: I played Oregon to in the PAC twelve. Look, they

545
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 2: avoid USC. Their road schedule in conference is as easy

546
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 2: as that you can possibly get. And guess what they

547
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 2: host Utah bow next season in full effect, bow next

548
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: season in full effect. I think the defense will be

549
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 2: all right under Landing. I actually like the secondary in

550
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 2: the defensive line is just loaded with depth, excellent linebacker.

551
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 2: So I just think, scheduleize and where I project the

552
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:23,919
Speaker 2: Oregon I think this price is off. And then I

553
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 2: also played Colorado under three wins. Go take a look

554
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:31,719
Speaker 2: at Colorado schedule, by the way, but they've played nothing

555
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 2: but Power five teams one exception. At air Force schedule

556
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 2: is absolutely brutal. This team was gutted in the transfer portal,

557
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 2: especially in the secondary they are they have freshmen everywhere.

558
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,679
Speaker 2: Not a fan of the quarterback situation, as is a

559
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: program headed in the wrong direction. I don't see how

560
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 2: they get to four or even three wins. So give

561
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: me Colorado under three? What else you got in the

562
00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:57,959
Speaker 2: Pac twelve?

563
00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: Love that Colorado bed. You always want to bet against

564
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 1: Mike Sandford Junior as an offensive partner, So we'll take that.

565
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:05,239
Speaker 1: I'm going to go Utah to win the conference. Now.

566
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 1: I don't disagree that Oregon's gonna make it. I just

567
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 1: disagree on who's going to win this thing. I think

568
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 1: the Ducks and the Utes are primed to meet each

569
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 1: other again in the PAC twelve championship game. As far

570
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 1: as the Utes go, they have one of the highest

571
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: marks in returning experience per TARP. And then they host

572
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 1: usc N rice Ecles. That's you know, if that's going

573
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 1: to be a tiebreaker. It's good that Utah has that

574
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 1: game at home. I project them as a favorite in

575
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 1: every single game. Only three games will they be short favorites.

576
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: It's hard for me to project this Utah team finishing

577
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: third in the PAC twelve they've changed their rules. There's

578
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: no more north than south. That is to a huge

579
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,159
Speaker 1: advantage for Utah. And then after that, I'm gonna go

580
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 1: watching the state over five and a half stuck And

581
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 1: I mentioned it on the PAC twelve podcasts. If you're

582
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 1: going to take a long shot flyer on Washington State

583
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: to win the PAC twelve, I can certainly see why

584
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:48,680
Speaker 1: you would do that because the introduction of quarterback cam

585
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 1: Ward and his offensive coordinator Eric Morris come in from

586
00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 1: Incarnate Word last year, just an electric offense that's now

587
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 1: going to take over the PAC twelve. The Kougs went

588
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,639
Speaker 1: seven to one and one against the spread against PAC

589
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 1: twelve competition last year. I'm not sure if odds makers

590
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 1: can't catch up with Jake Dickart's been able to do

591
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 1: since he took over for Nick Rolovich. I think we

592
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: should just keep writing this until you know, odds makers

593
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,360
Speaker 1: and people that make power ratings like ourselves can catch

594
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 1: up to how good the Kougs are. So you know,

595
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 1: I'm definitely going to back this defense. It finished within

596
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 1: the top sixty and finishing drive, so I'll take Washington

597
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: State over five and a half.

598
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: You mentioned so you're high on Utah. You're low on Florida.

599
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 2: I think the game that people have asked me, friends

600
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 2: people on Twitter the most about in week one is

601
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 2: Utah Florida. I assume you're going to give the nod

602
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 2: of approval on the Utes.

603
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,439
Speaker 1: That's why I mean, that's why we have an award

604
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 1: winning Action Network app where you can go see that.

605
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 1: I had the Utes money line put in a few

606
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: weeks ago. So am I going to add it to

607
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,919
Speaker 1: two and a half three? We'll see. This is a

608
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,400
Speaker 1: game that I think Utah should absolutely win. But if

609
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 1: you have a cheap money line out there, maybe minus

610
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: one thirty five or better, I'd lay it right now.

611
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 2: Can't wait for that. One should tell us a lot

612
00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:02,679
Speaker 2: about both teams. Let's move on to the AAC the

613
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 2: American I'll start off. I like Tulane over six wins.

614
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 2: It's a tough schedule, but not as tough as last year,

615
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,400
Speaker 2: where they had one of the hardest schedules I've ever

616
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,640
Speaker 2: seen from a group of five team and nothing went

617
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 2: right for this team. I looked at what I won

618
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 2: five and one possession games. They were one hundred and

619
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: twenty second in turnover margin, one hundred and twenty eighth

620
00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 2: and fourth down conversion. They were in fourth down conversion right.

621
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 2: They were extremely unlucky if you look third and fourth

622
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 2: and long situations. They even had to move to Birmingham,

623
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 2: I believe for a month because of the hurricane, and

624
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 2: they had their game against Oklahoma, moved to Norman and

625
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 2: they almost won that game. Everything kind of spiraled out

626
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,479
Speaker 2: of control. There were also rumors of issues with the

627
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 2: offense and the offensive coordinator. Chib Long not a fan

628
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 2: of I love Savata, the offensive coordinator they brought in

629
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 2: from the D two level. I think he's gonna do

630
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 2: wonders for this offense. From everything that I'm reading and seeing,

631
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: I think that's a big upgrade for this offense. Major

632
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 2: positive aggression candidate in to Lane. I think they at

633
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 2: least get the bow eligibility. Happily took over six A

634
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 2: plus money on the Greenway. What are you seeing in

635
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 2: the AAC as your favorite beat?

636
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 1: Well, as you mentioned tou Lane in their strength of

637
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: schedule and how tough it was, let's talk about the

638
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 1: team that has the easiest strength of schedule and all

639
00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: of maybe any conference out there, and that's Houston. I'm

640
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 1: going to take Houston to make the AAC Championship. It's

641
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 1: right now, it's minus one thirty five. I'm looking at

642
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 1: the schedule the top teams in the AAC or Cincinnati

643
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 1: and Central Florida, and they are not on Houston schedule,

644
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 1: so there's no division. So it's one of those things

645
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 1: where you have to finish top two to make the

646
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 1: championship game. And when you don't have to play the

647
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 1: two top teams, that is already giving you a leg up.

648
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: Now quarterback Clayton, I mean it helps Houston. Also the

649
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 1: quarterback Clayton Tune wide receiver Tank Dell are both coming

650
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: back probably the best combination of quarterback wide receiver, the

651
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 1: most explosive in the entire AAC and eighty percent of

652
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 1: the offense returns of a group that was top twenty

653
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 1: in finishing drives. So Holgerson knows how to get sustained drives,

654
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 1: get into scoring position, and get as many points up

655
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: on the board as possible. They are going to do

656
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: circles around this very this easy strength of schedule they

657
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: got inside their conference just shocks still. They don't play

658
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 1: Cincinnati or Central Florida, So Houston to make the ACC

659
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 1: Championship minus one thirty five.

660
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 2: By the way I saw that Plumbley was named the

661
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 2: starting quarterback for UCF, it's they're gonna be a fun

662
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 2: team to watch, So I put it that way. There's

663
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,719
Speaker 2: gonna be some fun football games UCF with plumb Ley

664
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 2: in that system, also are in the AC. I like

665
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 2: Tulsa under six, if six peak find it. Under five

666
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: and a half I think is out there now. I

667
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 2: still like that. I think one of the more underrated moves,

668
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 2: which isn't being talked about enough, is the loss of

669
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 2: their defensive coordinator, who I think is Gillespie's one of

670
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 2: the most underrated in all of college football. I think

671
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:55,520
Speaker 2: their defense is going to take a major, major hit.

672
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: I'm lower than the market on Tulsa. I like under six,

673
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 2: under five and a half, but six certainly if you

674
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 2: can find it. Hopefully Tulane gets that revenge from last

675
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: year where they missed a chip shot field goal from

676
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 2: I think like twenty yards to beat Tulsa. Any thoughts

677
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 2: on Tulsa's right in your backyard.

678
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's definitely down here. Without Joseph Gillespie. We'll see

679
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 1: what they do at the quarterback position. But no it's

680
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 1: definitely coming back down for a Tulsa team that was

681
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 1: struggling for so long before Gillespie took over his DC.

682
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: We'll see what they can do on defense. I'm going

683
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 1: to go under on another team in the conference. Under

684
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 1: four and a half for Navy, the midship them. They're

685
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 1: just not able to utilize the transfer portal like other teams,

686
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: and they just continue to fall behind in the current

687
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: college football landscape. The climate says you fill, you backfill

688
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:44,960
Speaker 1: your positions that are have empty coming into the season

689
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:46,959
Speaker 1: with the transfer portal, and Navy's not allowed to do that.

690
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 1: And it's good that quarterback Tie Levitie comes back to

691
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: run the option attack, but the offense was one hundred

692
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 1: and fifteenth in success rate last season. That's just not

693
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 1: going to work with the triple option attack. And the

694
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: team was dead last in pass rush. And again it's

695
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: the exposive play on defense. This is a defense that

696
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 1: has struggled for multiple years now and it's not getting

697
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 1: any better. I'll take I think it's a number that

698
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 1: I project around three point four, So under four and

699
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: a half on Navy.

700
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Navy, ever since Malcolm Paril just can't get that

701
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 2: Russh offense back to the levels that we were used

702
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: to seeing for years. It's definitely bit a struggle in Annapolis.

703
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the Mountain West Conference.

704
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,880
Speaker 2: I'll start. I'm gonna go with another service academy. I

705
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 2: took air Force to win their division. I think this

706
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 2: is just the last year with divisions in the Mountain West.

707
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: I believe yep, yeah, I think they're going away from divisions,

708
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 2: which a lot of comments are doing starting next year.

709
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: But here's the thing. I mean. Air Force posts Boise

710
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 2: State in a game, two teams that I power it

711
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: right around each other. They also avoid Fresno. Boise plays Fresno.

712
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 2: I think that's absolutely messive. I have air Force albeit

713
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 2: Boise States basically coin flip, but favored in all twelve games.

714
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 2: They're one of only five or six teams that I

715
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 2: can say that about. Absolutely. Look, this is all about

716
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 2: the rushing offense. Air Force. They've run everything back for

717
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 2: that rushing offense led by quarterback because he Daniels fullback

718
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 2: arts everything in this offensive line. Super experience. This is

719
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 2: one of the most experienced Air Force teams that we've

720
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 2: seen in years. Given the schedule, given where I power

721
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 2: rate them everything that they're bringing back. Look, there are

722
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 2: some questions on the defense up front and in the secondary,

723
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 2: but I think that there's value in air force to

724
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 2: win their division. What are you seeing in the Mountain West?

725
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:34,720
Speaker 1: No, we're gonna go Nevada under four and a half.

726
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 1: This is a number that has taken massive hits throughout

727
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: the summer and there's a reason for that. Head coach

728
00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 1: Jane norveld Leaves goes to Colorado State. He essentially takes

729
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 1: everything that is any kind of expertise on the roster

730
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 1: and takes it with him through the portal. So there's

731
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 1: a coach and a scheme change coming in on both

732
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 1: sides of the ball. New offensive coordinator Derek Sage is

733
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 1: from UCLA, where they like to run multiple running backs,

734
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: play action of the tight end. That is not what

735
00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: they were running Nevada was running with Carson Strong last year.

736
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 1: So it's a completely different look going on. And then

737
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 1: you know less than twenty percent returns on both sides

738
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,840
Speaker 1: of the ball. They did not backfall from the portal whatsoever.

739
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 1: There are now non scholarship players in the too deep

740
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,320
Speaker 1: on defense. Depth is an extreme concern with these guys,

741
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 1: they play Iowa and air Force early on the schedule.

742
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 1: Our injury is going to take a toll on this

743
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: team that you know, before they get to their second

744
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 1: game of the Mountain West Conference schedule. Under four and

745
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 1: a half here, there is too much going on, too

746
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 1: much in transition, too much change, and there's just no

747
00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 1: ident identifiable expertise at any position that can get these

748
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 1: guys some wins. So I even love them coming up

749
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 1: here week zero week one, even as you know, getting

750
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 1: beat is a big up favorite. So Nevada under four

751
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:44,880
Speaker 1: and a half.

752
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: For me, Romeo doves A really going to miss him.

753
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 2: Is he gonna become the backers number one this year?

754
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 2: It's the chance. Yeah, I also played Santose they stayed

755
00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: over in the Mountain espactually agree on Nevada. I mean,

756
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:57,960
Speaker 2: if you want to know what the market thinks of Nevada,

757
00:34:58,000 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 2: take a look at they played two game one week

758
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 2: zero in Week one Mexico State where they opened a

759
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:05,839
Speaker 2: two touchdown favorite. It's down to like nine or were

760
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 2: they a seven and a half point favorite against Texas

761
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 2: State in Week one the game after? I think that's

762
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,320
Speaker 2: down to five. The market is fading this team and

763
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 2: I think for a good reason everywhere. This team just

764
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 2: lost everything and there's so much change. I completely agree

765
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 2: on the Nevada under anything else in the Mountain West

766
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 2: for you.

767
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been doing New Mexico under two and a half.

768
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna mention a team later on that

769
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 1: I think might be the worst team in all of

770
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:34,880
Speaker 1: college football, but New Mexico is certainly giving a push

771
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 1: to be the worst one head coach Danniganzalez. It has

772
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:39,239
Speaker 1: not worked out on the offensive side of the ball.

773
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,600
Speaker 1: They're installing their third different offense in three years. They

774
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:46,360
Speaker 1: were running a no huddle spread. They switched over to

775
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,279
Speaker 1: his zone Diamond triple the Coastal Carolina runs. It's just

776
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 1: too confusing when you don't have the horses in the

777
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,319
Speaker 1: backfield or on the offensive line to do this. Danny

778
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:56,720
Speaker 1: Gonzalez as a head coach went one and eleven against

779
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 1: the spread last year. So I mentioned that oddsmakers can't

780
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: catch up to you know, certain teams like Washington State. Well,

781
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 1: they haven't been able to put a good price on

782
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:09,080
Speaker 1: New Mexico either, So they're dead last and offensive success

783
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 1: rate in finishing drives last year. That's not going to

784
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 1: get any better, and they're projected to be a favorite

785
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:17,000
Speaker 1: only against Maine and New Mexico State, and I think

786
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: New Mexico State could beat them too. So WYAMI is

787
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 1: the only other team on the schedule that they could

788
00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 1: possibly be to get to a third win. It's just

789
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 1: not going to happen. So New Mexico under two and

790
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 1: a half.

791
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Gonzales and Rocky Long that they know defense, and

792
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 2: that defense wasn't bad, especially given the talent that they have.

793
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 2: Good safeties should be okay again this year. But the

794
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:39,720
Speaker 2: offense just is absolutely dreadful. It is hard to watch

795
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 2: that Lobo offense. All right, let's move on to my

796
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:56,800
Speaker 2: favorite conference to MAC can talk some maction. Working currently

797
00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 2: on the MAC Manifesto, which should be out in to

798
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 2: We have a loaded MAC preview a Big Bets on

799
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:05,840
Speaker 2: Campus podcast. Wherever you listen to podcasts, make sure you

800
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 2: check that out as well as well as all the

801
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 2: other preview episodes. As I mentioned before, I'll start my

802
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 2: favorite bet have a couple, but I'll I guess I'll

803
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 2: go Western Michigan under six and a half win under

804
00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 2: six and a half. Juice under six is fine too.

805
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:25,400
Speaker 2: This team lost so much on the offense. Caleb Albeit

806
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: at quarterback, who was just awesome, one of the most

807
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,839
Speaker 2: efficient quarterbacks in the country last year, Sky Moore, who

808
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,720
Speaker 2: was drafted by the Chiefs of receiver. The offensive line

809
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:37,720
Speaker 2: is extremely raw outside of kums Krum's a wide receiver.

810
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:41,839
Speaker 2: They lost everything red shirt freshmen starting at quarterback. Their

811
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,400
Speaker 2: special teams are going to be dreadful. They lost their

812
00:37:44,440 --> 00:37:48,400
Speaker 2: top pass rusher on defense, and last year their defense

813
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 2: really benefited from an offense that was top five in

814
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 2: time possession. That won't be the case this year. Look,

815
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 2: their running backs are good at teams, they're just going

816
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:56,759
Speaker 2: to be really easy to defend in my opinion, with

817
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 2: a new offensive coordinator. But teams are just going to

818
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,439
Speaker 2: stack the box. He got one versus receiver to really cover,

819
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,120
Speaker 2: just a bunch of unproven town on the outside. I

820
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:07,440
Speaker 2: do not see Look, Max's very unpredictable, but I do

821
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 2: not see this Western Michigan team getting to seven wins.

822
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: I think they'll struggle just to get to six and

823
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 2: Bowl eligibility. So give me Western Michigan under six and

824
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,759
Speaker 2: a half wins. What are you see in the MAC?

825
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 1: Well, the team I like to win the MAC didn't

826
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 1: get a lot of love on the podcast that we

827
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 1: put out. So Miami of Ohio plus four fifty coming

828
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:32,319
Speaker 1: out of the East Division only Bowling Green returns more

829
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 1: experience in the East Division than Miami of Ohio. That

830
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 1: includes quarterback Brett Gabbert, wide receiver Mark Hippenhammer, the best

831
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,719
Speaker 1: combo in the division and a stat that carries overseason

832
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:45,880
Speaker 1: to season is havoc allowed in havoc So havoc allowed

833
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 1: is how often are you allowing tackles for loss or sacks.

834
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:51,040
Speaker 1: Miam of Ohio is twelfth in the nation on offense

835
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: and havoc allowed and seventeenth on defense and havoc so

836
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 1: they definitely have it. And a stat that usually carries

837
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 1: over year to year, there's no Toledo on the schedule

838
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:03,359
Speaker 1: from a cross division scheduling road games at Bowling Green

839
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 1: and Akron that that's one of the easiest division pass

840
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:08,880
Speaker 1: that there could be. There's zero difficulty here. It's a

841
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 1: hedgeable ticket into the MAC Championship game. So I'll take

842
00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:13,080
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio plus four fifty.

843
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,919
Speaker 2: Got to just hope that Gaverick stays healthy quarterback and

844
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 2: Chuck Martin doesn't mess it up. But maybe mine Ohio

845
00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 2: can give Kentucky a game in the opener elsewhere in

846
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 2: the back. I won't get too much into it. Check

847
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:30,799
Speaker 2: out my Mac manifesto shameless Pug on Action network dot

848
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:32,879
Speaker 2: com The Action orkap in the next day or two.

849
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 2: But I also took a flyer on Ohio to win

850
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 2: the conference. I mean I saw there was a twenty

851
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 2: five to one out there, which is outrageous. This is

852
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: the conference where just do you expect the unexpected? But

853
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 2: in Northern Illinois where they went the first team to

854
00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 2: win the conference title left to go and winless the

855
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:49,399
Speaker 2: previous season. A couple of years ago, Central Michigan get

856
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,640
Speaker 2: in there. There were fifty to one preseason. I think

857
00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 2: this is just a wide open division, completely misspriced. I

858
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 2: also loved Toledo over as a team that couldn't buy

859
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 2: break last year in close games. Best defense in the

860
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 2: conference by far. Offense was much better with Finn at

861
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 2: the helm. I think all those close losses turned to

862
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,719
Speaker 2: close wins this year for Toledo. Really like that over,

863
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 2: especially if you can find an eight. What else you

864
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 2: got in the mat?

865
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, Northern Illinois and Rocky Lombardi coming to haunt us

866
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 1: again for a full season of football. But I'm gonna

867
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 1: go Bowling Green over four. I mentioned how much experience

868
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 1: they return. This is a team that covered against Tennessee

869
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 1: and then flat out beat Minnesota as a thirty one

870
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: point underdog last year. They're projected as a clear favorite

871
00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:31,839
Speaker 1: against Eastern Kentucky, but then after that they have five

872
00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 1: coin flips Akron, Buffalo, Western Michigan, Kent State, and Ohio.

873
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:38,200
Speaker 1: Those are all winnable games. I'll take Bowling Green over four.

874
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, you mentioned Northern Illinois. They lost Trayvon Rudolph, which

875
00:40:42,680 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 2: was a for the season. I believe major loss at receiver.

876
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,320
Speaker 2: Not that it matters because there will go like thirty

877
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: five or forty on fourth down and win eight games

878
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 2: by eight combined points. No, I'm not bitter. All right,

879
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 2: let's move on to the Sun Belt. I'll throw out

880
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:03,960
Speaker 2: Jay under I think it's so under six out there.

881
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:07,680
Speaker 2: Under six wins caveat here. They only play eleven games

882
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:10,440
Speaker 2: and this is their first year in FBS, so it's

883
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 2: really a tough team to project, right. You take they've

884
00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 2: been one of the top teams in FCS in recent seasons,

885
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:18,719
Speaker 2: but you know a lot of their numbers last year.

886
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:22,000
Speaker 2: You can't just you know, translate them into this year.

887
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 2: It doesn't work as easy. But if you go back over,

888
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 2: you know, between two thousand and eight and twenty eighteen,

889
00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:30,759
Speaker 2: I believe twelve teams made the jump from FCS to FBS,

890
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 2: some and most a lot of them were in the Sunbelt.

891
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 2: Mixed results, right, you had a team. I think Georgia

892
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 2: State went owned twelve in their first year. Georgia Southern,

893
00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:41,040
Speaker 2: I believe went nine and three. Average wins for all

894
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,240
Speaker 2: those teams, I think it was four point two five.

895
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 2: I think Jim is really going to struggle to get

896
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:49,480
Speaker 2: to five wins. They lost their star quarterback. I'm not

897
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,279
Speaker 2: a fan of Toddson Tao. I believe he's gonna win

898
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,719
Speaker 2: that quarterback battle. And I just wasn't a fan of

899
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 2: them at Temple Colorado State. I think there's a big

900
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 2: drop off in quarterback play. Lost a lot on the

901
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 2: offense and on the defense, new defensive coordinator as well,

902
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 2: lose your top receiver. I'm just not a big fan

903
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 2: of this roster, and I think it's going to be

904
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 2: more of a struggle than the market as anticipating with

905
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 2: this number. So I like JMU under six wins in

906
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:19,720
Speaker 2: their eleven games schedule.

907
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna move over to Georgia State, a team

908
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 1: that I absolutely love. My favorite bet on a win

909
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:27,000
Speaker 1: total is over seven and a half on the Panthers.

910
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,400
Speaker 1: They're a true dark horse to win the Sun Belt.

911
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 1: They return at least eighty percent on both sides of

912
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,399
Speaker 1: the ball per Tart. I project them to win eight

913
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 1: point four games, and they ended last season winning six

914
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 1: of their last seven, not just winning but covering their

915
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 1: double digit favorites in five games. And they have coin

916
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:46,839
Speaker 1: flips against Army app State, Louisiana, and Troy. And they

917
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,239
Speaker 1: know they have a couple of Power five teams on

918
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 1: this schedule that can be beat in South Carolina and

919
00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 1: North Carolina. So I love Georgia State. I think they're

920
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:56,759
Speaker 1: going to surprise this year just like they did last year.

921
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:00,359
Speaker 1: And this is definitely a team that can win that

922
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: tough East Division and go on to win the whole conference.

923
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,800
Speaker 2: Yeah. One of the most experienced teams in the country

924
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:10,520
Speaker 2: from a returning production standpoint. Elsewhere in Conference USA, I

925
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 2: played South Alabama over five and a half wins, like

926
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 2: the direction of this program, and then I played Marshall

927
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,840
Speaker 2: to win the conference. It's all about the schedule. Marshall

928
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 2: won the conference schedule lottery. I really like what they

929
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 2: did in the transfer Bortal like this staff. I think

930
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:31,320
Speaker 2: they address some of the issues, especially with that run defense.

931
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,359
Speaker 2: Really like where Marshall's headed, and I think that there's

932
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 2: some value in them to win the conference. What else

933
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 2: are you seeing in Conference USA?

934
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: Well, I'll give you two long shot futures and if

935
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 1: you're going to do this, do it in the group

936
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: of five. And these teams are absolutely mispriced. They shouldn't

937
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: be priced anywhere more than sixteen to one. The first

938
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 1: one is Southern miss Over in the West Division at

939
00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 1: thirty to one to win the conference. You know, I mean,

940
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 1: this is an easy division to be in. You know,

941
00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 1: the only competition there is a Louisiana team that's going

942
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,880
Speaker 1: through some trainransition themselves. Ty Keys returns a quarterback that

943
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 1: allows Frank Gore to get out from under center and

944
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:08,320
Speaker 1: be a running back again. It's a deadly combination against

945
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 1: this division. And the defense finished fifteenth and finishing drives

946
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:13,760
Speaker 1: last year, so and they return their top ten tacklers,

947
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 1: so there's a lot coming back on the Southern miss team,

948
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 1: and they have a very easy division. Now the tougher

949
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 1: division is where Old Dominion is and that's why they're

950
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 1: listed at fifty to one. But again, that number is

951
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:25,279
Speaker 1: just way too low for a team that you know,

952
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:27,120
Speaker 1: went on a winning streak at the end of last

953
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 1: year just to make it to bull season. Now they

954
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 1: return more experience just about anybody in the conference, and

955
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:34,440
Speaker 1: you have to really pay attention to the top dogs

956
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 1: in the East. App State loses a ton Chase Price

957
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 1: is not a good fit for that offense whatsoever. Coastal

958
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 1: Carolina has lost everybody but Grayson McCall at quarterback, and

959
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 1: they draw us out and getting back to Old Dominion,

960
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,959
Speaker 1: they draw easy games over in the West against South

961
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,799
Speaker 1: Bama and Arkansas State. So you know, we are an

962
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: upset or two away from Old Dominion being in the

963
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 1: driver's seat. This number, like I said, should be in

964
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,239
Speaker 1: the teams. It should not be fifty to one. So

965
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 1: Old Dominion's a long shot. And then the team that

966
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 1: I said was the worst team in the nation up

967
00:45:03,000 --> 00:45:06,719
Speaker 1: against New Mexico, that's Arkansas State and under five is

968
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 1: definitely a play that you have to add to your portfolio.

969
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 1: I project three point two wins against Grambling, UMass and ULM.

970
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 1: Outside of that, I'm not sure how the red Wolves

971
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 1: are going to get a game. Butch Jones has just

972
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 1: been an absolute disaster there. They return less than fifty

973
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 1: percent on both sides of the ball, and they are

974
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in Havoc on both sides

975
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:27,839
Speaker 1: of the ball. So there's just there's no continuity here.

976
00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 1: The roster doesn't have anything worth winning. And I mean

977
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 1: outside of those three games that I mentioned where they

978
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 1: should be favorites and they should win, there just isn't

979
00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 1: a lot going on here where they can win any

980
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:40,719
Speaker 1: game inside the conference outside of ULM. So definitely under five,

981
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:42,520
Speaker 1: I cannot see a way the red Wolves get to

982
00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 1: postseason play.

983
00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 2: Southern Miss is a weird team, a lot of trouble

984
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:48,719
Speaker 2: projecting now, and last year they all kinds of quarterback.

985
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 2: They were unlucky at the quarterback postition with injuries, but

986
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:53,320
Speaker 2: then they were good without a quarterback, with like running

987
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 2: running backs at quarterback who were actually completing passes. Sometimes,

988
00:45:57,520 --> 00:45:59,360
Speaker 2: I don't know. Southern Miss is a hard team for

989
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: me to purge, but I don't mind your point on

990
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:05,880
Speaker 2: taking flyers in the Belt. All right, let's move on

991
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:10,719
Speaker 2: to Conference USA. I'll start with my nemesis, Middle Tennessee State.

992
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,200
Speaker 2: I played under five and a half wins. I think

993
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:14,840
Speaker 2: this offense is going to be a mess. Transition to

994
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:19,279
Speaker 2: new skiing in the offensive line is major problems, non

995
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:22,320
Speaker 2: existent running game. I think there's gonna be major, major

996
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:26,720
Speaker 2: transition and just issues on this offense all year long.

997
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:28,480
Speaker 2: And by the way, this is one of the luckiest

998
00:46:28,480 --> 00:46:30,640
Speaker 2: teams in the country last year from a turn of

999
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:34,799
Speaker 2: of perspective that I don't think is sustainable, especially when

1000
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 2: you look at some of the losses they had on

1001
00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:39,240
Speaker 2: the defensive end, especially in the back end of that defense.

1002
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:43,040
Speaker 2: Major questions with depth across this froster as well. So

1003
00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 2: I like Middle Tennessee under five and a half. Hopefully

1004
00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 2: I won't be making any trips to Murphy's Brow at

1005
00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 2: any point this year. What do you got?

1006
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:54,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you know. I'm gonna take utsa under

1007
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:56,120
Speaker 1: eight and a half And I hate it because I

1008
00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 1: love meet meep and we love the program so much.

1009
00:46:58,160 --> 00:47:00,839
Speaker 1: But it's hard to replace. Sinceerra mccorny make a running back.

1010
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 1: This is a team that you know had some close

1011
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 1: wins they started eleven zero on the season. They finally

1012
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 1: lost a game in a meaningless game before they went

1013
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 1: on to win the conference championship where they beat Western

1014
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 1: Kentucky and Bailey Zappi. So they've kind of reached the pinnacle,

1015
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,239
Speaker 1: you know, and they might be a little bit oversold.

1016
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 1: Frank Harris does return at quarterback. He has a loaded

1017
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 1: wide receiver group, but like I said, the loss of

1018
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,759
Speaker 1: Sincere McCormick in the backfield and they've lost more than

1019
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 1: fifty percent of their defense, there's gonna be some struggles

1020
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,000
Speaker 1: here to replicate what they did last year, and there's

1021
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,480
Speaker 1: a possibility this team starts zero to three. They have

1022
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:35,920
Speaker 1: to play Houston Army Texas, and you know, you consider

1023
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 1: the fact that UTSA is breaking in two new defensive

1024
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 1: ends and you're gonna take on Army so early where

1025
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,279
Speaker 1: you have to have outside contained against the triple option.

1026
00:47:43,680 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 1: That's not an easy game for them. So they host

1027
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,400
Speaker 1: North Texas and UTEP, two teams that I think are

1028
00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:49,880
Speaker 1: on the rise in the conference, and they have to

1029
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 1: travel to UAB. So it's not an easy schedule whatsoever.

1030
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,320
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take UTSA under eight and a half.

1031
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 2: Well, you're against our meet Meet funds. But you're going

1032
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 2: to please our a pizza party friend in Apasto. Apasto. Yeah, so,

1033
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 2: I don't know you liked Minor Nation to win the conference.

1034
00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 2: Are gonna love this one.

1035
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:13,719
Speaker 1: We're talking Minor Nation out.

1036
00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:18,279
Speaker 2: In the West Texas town of al Pastor picks up.

1037
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:20,919
Speaker 1: They can put a tweet out about six weeks ago

1038
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 1: and I said you better have U TIP thirty to

1039
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: one in your pocket. Well that's now UTEP twenty to

1040
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 1: one for Conference USA. I hate that Jacob Cowing has

1041
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,480
Speaker 1: moved on. He's no longer he transferred out, went to Arizona.

1042
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,440
Speaker 1: So but you know they still have weapons there. With

1043
00:48:33,560 --> 00:48:35,320
Speaker 1: Gavin Hardison in a quarterback, he has one of the

1044
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:38,400
Speaker 1: biggest arms in all the group of five quarterbacks. And

1045
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:40,359
Speaker 1: you know Tyron Smith is still there. He averaged two

1046
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:43,720
Speaker 1: point two yards per route run. Route run is wide receiver,

1047
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:47,319
Speaker 1: which means he is an explosive target for Hardison to

1048
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 1: connect with. But this is the easiest schedule in Conference USA.

1049
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: It's not even close. They don't play UAB, they don't

1050
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: play Western Kentucky. Their road conference schedule consists of Rice,

1051
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech, and Charlotte, So we'll see if UTEP can

1052
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:02,879
Speaker 1: get their first ever win in the Eastern time zone

1053
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:06,120
Speaker 1: against Charlotte. But this is a really easy schedule. There's

1054
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:07,920
Speaker 1: no divisions, right, so all you have to do is

1055
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 1: finish top two in the standings and kind of like

1056
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 1: Houston over in the AC, you're gonna give me the

1057
00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:14,719
Speaker 1: easiest schedule in the world. In the conference, you're gonna

1058
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 1: get me some experience returning. You should probably finish in

1059
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 1: the top two. So I'll take you tap twenty to

1060
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 1: one to win the conference.

1061
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 2: Minor Nation they get it done, we'll have we'll have

1062
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 2: to head on down there and throw quite the pizza party.

1063
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:30,439
Speaker 2: All right, that'll do it for us. We do still

1064
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:32,480
Speaker 2: have one what our business, and I think I have

1065
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 2: like twenty five pre season bets between futures and wind pedals.

1066
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 2: You're probably around there, so I don't know if we

1067
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:38,479
Speaker 2: got to fifty. By the way, you just mentioned Collan,

1068
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,840
Speaker 2: I do like Arizona over too. You're over under. I

1069
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:42,279
Speaker 2: don't know. Maybe that put it over fifty two and

1070
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 2: a half. But our college football insider Brett McMurphy was

1071
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 2: not available. He was gonna be on the show, but

1072
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 2: he's pursuing the latest moves regarding conference realignment, having a

1073
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,080
Speaker 2: pinacle out on the beach somewhere.

1074
00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 1: First reported by our own Brett McMurphy.

1075
00:49:57,800 --> 00:50:05,160
Speaker 2: Brett McMurphy is, but he managed to email over his

1076
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:07,440
Speaker 2: favorite bets that we can make fun of, starting with

1077
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:12,720
Speaker 2: Stetson Bennett to win the Heisman. Do not bet that SEC.

1078
00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 2: The bet Alabama minus one forty to win the SEC. Fine,

1079
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 2: PAC twelve? You bet Utah plus two twenty five. You

1080
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:22,319
Speaker 2: wanted me to mention that he did hit Utah last year.

1081
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:23,879
Speaker 2: He's on board with you in the utes?

1082
00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:26,879
Speaker 1: Did you say ute yet?

1083
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 2: And TCU? Would you write this up? For TCU to

1084
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 2: win the Big twelve, Miami to win the ACC like that,

1085
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,360
Speaker 2: air Force to win the Mounta West like that? You

1086
00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:39,480
Speaker 2: agree or disagree? Yeah?

1087
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:43,319
Speaker 1: I agree? I agree? Air Force, Yes, FAU ten to.

1088
00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:44,440
Speaker 2: One to win Conference USA.

1089
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 1: I think I think Brett's too busy on it is

1090
00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 1: out on his back porch in Florida, reading too much

1091
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:50,760
Speaker 1: about the Owl. That's that's a stretch.

1092
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 2: Coastal to win the Sun Belt. Yeah, I mean, look,

1093
00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 2: you got one of the best quarterbacks. I love watching

1094
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 2: their offense. By the way, in college football, but they're

1095
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 2: by like my guy, Isaiah likely for the Ravens is

1096
00:51:07,920 --> 00:51:10,279
Speaker 2: killing it. He's one of many that they lost. Their

1097
00:51:10,360 --> 00:51:12,160
Speaker 2: roster was gut it. I'm going to say no on that.

1098
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 1: The offensive line has gone and highly likely is gone.

1099
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:15,440
Speaker 1: So no thanks.

1100
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 2: In the MAC Central Michigan five to one, no thanks.

1101
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 1: I have no love for the Chips and Houston to

1102
00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:24,360
Speaker 1: win the.

1103
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 2: American you would agree there.

1104
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 1: I agree they're going to make it. Whether they can

1105
00:51:27,600 --> 00:51:29,319
Speaker 1: win it, we'll have to see. But they do have

1106
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:32,000
Speaker 1: one of the most explosive offensive combos in the conference.

1107
00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:32,839
Speaker 1: So yeah, i'd like that.

1108
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 2: National champion Alabama plus one ninety don't hate it, but

1109
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:40,239
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's he actually likes that or

1110
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:43,800
Speaker 2: if that's a hedge against his Stetson Bennett Heisman. I

1111
00:51:44,800 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 2: do know he likes it.

1112
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 1: I would look there are there is a two ten

1113
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,560
Speaker 1: out there somewhere, so if you're gonna get down pretty

1114
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 1: heavy on Alabama, I'd probably look for the best number.

1115
00:51:53,640 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 2: Not terrible. A couple we didn't agree with, but overall,

1116
00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:01,160
Speaker 2: nice work and good luck on your bench ticket. Thanks

1117
00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 2: everyone for joining us. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe

1118
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:08,080
Speaker 2: subscribe Big bets on Campus Podcast. Check out all of

1119
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 2: our previews, all of other episodes. We go through every

1120
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:13,800
Speaker 2: conference with them. Week zero a week zero betting reviews

1121
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,920
Speaker 2: here five days Away, can't Wait. Make sure you subscribe

1122
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:19,360
Speaker 2: to you a five star review. All that helps us

1123
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:22,720
Speaker 2: will do giveaways for anyone that does. Appreciate your time.

1124
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,920
Speaker 2: Thanks as always to Colin for joining me. Thanks to

1125
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,319
Speaker 2: all of you for tuning in. We'll catch you all later.

1126
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:29,759
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace out,