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Welcome 23 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 24 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 1: I I'm Chad Milman, chief content officer for the Action Network. 25 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:39,279 Speaker 1: It's Thursday. We got a big show. Lines are moving, 26 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 1: We're gonna narrow things down. I'm gonna do it as 27 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: I always do with my bff, my companion, my compadre, 28 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,919 Speaker 1: someone who only laughs at me three or four times 29 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: every show. Professional better Sigmon Hunter, Chad. Thursday, week eleven, 30 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 1: are we just gonna die right into it? Atlanta? Just relax, Okay, Simon, 31 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: I'm so far up. I put up all the lines. 32 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: I'm just going. But you know what, it's Thursday, So 33 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 1: before we get too sharp calls, let's get something straight. Okay. 34 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 1: My job is to drive. Your job is to back 35 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 1: seat drive. So let me tell you where we're going 36 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 1: and then you can tell me why it's wrong. I'm sorry, gentlemen, 37 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about a survivor pick, even though we 38 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: haven't been a survivor for two weeks, but people keep 39 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: asking for us. We're gonna talk about a money line parlay. 40 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: We're gonna do our big balls better the week. We're 41 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: gonna get a sharp call in, which is when your 42 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: professional betting buddies have called you after the Tuesday show 43 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:43,839 Speaker 1: and said you're wrong, you're right, go get this, etcetera, etcetera. 44 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: But first we'll talk about Thursday, because it's Thursday. We 45 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: were all over Atlanta on Tuesday. I bet the Falcons 46 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: plus seven. The line has been moving down, moved back up, 47 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: moved down, has been bouncing around. What do you got? 48 00:02:57,680 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: I was gonna say to you, can you I can't 49 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: believe this line is moving down a six and a half. 50 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 1: That's I'm honestly pretty shocked. But because this is every gambler, 51 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: this is what they wanted. They want to take the 52 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: six point teaser. You tease it down now and a half. 53 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: All you need is that the Patriots just to win 54 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: straight up by a point, doesn't matter. If they win, 55 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 1: you're gonna be covering now in teasers. So I like 56 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 1: the Atlanta play going into it now, I love it 57 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: even more. I really do think the bookmakers are kind 58 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: of showing their hand here moving it down like this. 59 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: So it's um it's rare we do Thursdays, and I've 60 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: been on a roll on our Thursdays and we haven't 61 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: used any of them. Of course, we gotta use this 62 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: week because this is a typical standalone primetime game reverse 63 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: line action. All the money's coming in on this Patriots team. 64 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: Everyone keeps throwing in the teasers, just like last week 65 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: with the Ravens. Everyone started their week off putting the 66 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: Ravens and their teasers to start the week. It's it 67 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 1: was a loser. So we are do for one of 68 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: these big favorites to cover on a Thursday night. But 69 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: Colts just two weeks ago covered as a ten point 70 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: favorite on Thursday Night against this Jets team. So I 71 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: don't really think we're that do I kind of like that. 72 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: You know, dogs have been good to us in these 73 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: primetime games. So I'm still all in on Atlanta plus 74 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: six and a half. Uh yeah, I liked Atlantic seven. 75 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: What's interesting about this line It actually got bet up 76 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: to seven and a half. I feel like I feel 77 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: like the professionals were playing the market. I think they 78 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: betted up to seven and a half so they could 79 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: bet it down to say they wanted to get that 80 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 1: hook on Atlanta at plus seven and a half. Uh, 81 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: and then they came back and bought it, and bought 82 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: it so big that it went down to six and 83 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: a half. I'm surprised as there, but we do like it. Um. 84 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: I told you that the math works out now, buddy, 85 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: where I looked at it, seven and a half, seven 86 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: don't hit as much as six and six and a 87 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 1: half sto. So I'm with you that the pros might 88 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: have came in and betted up a little bit like that, 89 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 1: but we didn't really use any value. Apparently that the 90 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:50,919 Speaker 1: odds have not shifted more than percentage of us not 91 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: covering the six six and a half. So I still 92 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: gotta love the number. I love the number. I love you. 93 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: Those are two things that I love. Uh. Let's talk 94 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 1: about sharp calls. Let's get to it. Hello, who's there. 95 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: I'm talking somebody who called you this week after Tuesday 96 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: and said they hated our picks or loved our picks. 97 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: It's it's definitely a trend this season. We have a 98 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: great week, a winning week, not that many calls, not 99 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 1: too many guys and really go out there and really 100 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,799 Speaker 1: go against me. So I had the one buddy called 101 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 1: me again, the guy who gave me Denver. Last week 102 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:34,919 Speaker 1: we just got absolutely slaughtered and I was over the Eagles, 103 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 1: So I talked a lot of ship to him. But 104 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: he is good at reading these home favorites. I'll give 105 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: that to him. That is what he likes, the bet favorites. 106 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: That's what he does. That's what his group does that 107 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: They kind of not the anti pro. They just roll 108 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 1: with the chocolate lot. That's what they like to do. 109 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: So he's been one of the few guys who was 110 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 1: on the screen Bay train. I mean, every week you'd 111 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 1: call me up, but every time we go up against 112 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:56,839 Speaker 1: Green Bay and tell me I'm an idiot. He's like, 113 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: you just don't get it. You don't get it, you 114 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: don't get it. I kept on him, He's not getting it, 115 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 1: and then here we go. Green Bay has covered every 116 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:06,479 Speaker 1: week um since week one. So this week he called 117 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: me up and he was surprisingly on the Vikings a 118 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: two and a half. We wake up this morning. What 119 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: do we see, Chad. It's down to plus one with 120 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings. Now, So that's that's one of those 121 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: I know for a fact. I mean, you're gonna have 122 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: in because I believe it's still two and a half 123 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: in the contest, and we liked it at two and 124 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 1: a half. But it really does feel like we're walking 125 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,679 Speaker 1: into it now because this is so easy. Now everyone 126 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: in the world's gonna wake up Tonday morning be betting 127 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: this Green Bay team, especially on minus one. So give 128 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: it to me. Let me fall right into the trap. 129 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: I don't care. You have to take the Vikings in 130 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: this position. Vikings are our foxhold better the week. I 131 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: love it. So we're already ahead of the curve. We're 132 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: ahead of the curve. Uh, let's we might as well 133 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 1: talk about that game. We're gonna run down the games 134 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: that we listed, and the Vikings were on that list. 135 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:50,359 Speaker 1: But of course, you know, I like to listen on 136 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: Thursday mornings, I have my double shot espresso, my my 137 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 1: green tea with match of powder, my overnight oats which 138 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: he is seeds your fruit water. I listened to the 139 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: Action Network podcast with Raybond, Chris, Raybond and Stucky. I 140 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: like to see what they're saying against what you're saying. 141 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: It's always really interesting. But this is one where they 142 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: loved the Vikings too. Ah. And this is one of 143 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: those things where and we see this with the Titans. Also, 144 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about the Titans and the Colts. There's 145 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: three plays over the course of the season that are 146 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: the difference between a team being overvalued and a team 147 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: being properly valued. Right now, the Packers, they're nine and 148 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: one against the spread. They are due for a regression. 149 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: With a defense that is overperforming UH, with a quarterback 150 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: who is showing signs that he is um vulnerable under 151 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: pressure UH, a Niners defense that is playing at a 152 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: near elite level, a running back who is an All 153 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 1: Pro going against a terrible rush defense. You can see 154 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: why the number moved. I'm gonna wait until Sunday. At 155 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 1: this point, I I forgot to bet it on Tuesday. 156 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait until Sunday and see if it comes 157 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: back up. I will say that as a Packers guy 158 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: that has invested in the Packers that win the Super Bowl, 159 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: I honestly never felt better all these games they're winning. 160 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: They're they're missing a couple of guys in the row line, 161 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: and they're missing joy Year Exalloner at that like their 162 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: best cornerback. They've been if you look on paper, they've 163 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 1: been one of the best secondaries in football. This season. 164 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I do think a lot of 165 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: things have bounced their way, but this is a typical 166 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have been two seasons ago. The Green may 167 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 1: was in the same exact position right now. They're eight one. 168 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: They went on the road to go play the Vikings 169 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: team I believe, and they were like a seven point favorite, 170 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: the Vikings beating my believe by four team. So divisional games, 171 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: that's what we're banking on here. You kind of have 172 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:54,959 Speaker 1: these teams that just match up really well with each 173 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,560 Speaker 1: other inside these divisions, and that's how I look at 174 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: this Vikings team. I just think myself, it's not be fun. 175 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 1: Me chat hate betting on Kirk Cousins because it's never 176 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: a good time. But this is the pro line. We 177 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: have to bet this number got to got to that'll 178 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 1: be in the contest for sure. We'll get it to 179 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: two and a half again. If you're going to bet 180 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 1: it it's now at one, you might as well wait 181 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,679 Speaker 1: and see what happens on Sunday if the public comes 182 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 1: in on the Packers. All right, let's talk about the 183 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 1: Texans and the Titans. Texans plus ten and a half, 184 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: that was our Simon says bet better immediately when I 185 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: was able to bet it on Tuesday legally in the 186 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 1: state of Connecticut. I got it at eleven. Um, it's 187 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 1: down to ten, right, I think it's down to ten. 188 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: I also bet a little bit of a taste on 189 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 1: the money line. UM got it a plus three eight. 190 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: I think I still like it. I still like everything 191 00:09:56,920 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: about it. And I mean, it's just the Titans. Come on, man, 192 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: Like Josh Allen doesn't slip, they lose that game. A 193 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:08,839 Speaker 1: Cults receiver doesn't tear as a c O while running 194 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: a Ton interception back for a touchdown. The Titans get 195 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: the ball back and then score. A referee doesn't call 196 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: it rough in the past, or when the Saints intercept 197 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 1: the ball in the end zone, the Titans get the 198 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: ball back and they score. Those are three flute plays 199 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: that have the Titans on a sist game winning street. 200 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: And like Power Raider is the number one team in 201 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: the NFL, come on, come on, and I got I 202 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 1: got beef to pick with my group. I sent this 203 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 1: in on Tuesday to be one of my big bets 204 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 1: then the season, and I got rejected. I got down. Yeah, 205 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 1: so I I get it. There they're they're just not believers. 206 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: I am is in Taylor, so they wanted me to 207 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: wait a week on that love for Houston. But it 208 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 1: is one of those where as soon as I saw this, 209 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 1: I told you I love this line. I loved it. 210 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: At ten and a half, it just screamed over value 211 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 1: team in this Tennessee team. Um like a little bit 212 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: of the window on my sales when I got rejected 213 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: just because I like I not that I want to 214 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 1: get over my big bets this season, but it's just 215 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 1: a piece of stress I hate carrying with me where 216 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: it's like I need to find it, I need to 217 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: get it, I need to be right. So nothing's changed. 218 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: This is gonna be one of my biggest bets of 219 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: the week. I'm all in on Houston, but it will 220 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 1: not be one of my biggest bets of the season, 221 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: just in the simple fact that other professionals don't trust it. 222 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: So um, I feel like anyone listening to this, this 223 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 1: is a bet you have to make. Like I said 224 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: on Tuesday, you should have been at a ten and 225 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: a half. I'd still take it at ten. I would 226 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: bet this down to about nine and a half nine, 227 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: and then uh, we'll see. I I still think public 228 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: money will be coming in a Tennessee that I'll just 229 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: hold here at the ten number, but I would just 230 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: grab it now just to be safe. We love this game, yeah, 231 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:49,320 Speaker 1: definition of an overvalue team. We love the Falcons, we 232 00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: love the Vikings, we love the Texans. Right now, how 233 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: are we feeling about the Saints plus one and a 234 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 1: half against the Eagles. We loved it the other day? 235 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 1: Well loving it now? Yeah, still love it? Still like 236 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: still like that camar is back. But you're in, like 237 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: you're in, Like you're not You're not in love. No, 238 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 1: It's like there's other dogs we like better, especially ones 239 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 1: on the road with bigger point spreads. But um, I 240 00:12:16,920 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: still bet to send teasers. Still think you're getting a 241 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 1: good number. It's just interesting now that professionals are really 242 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,719 Speaker 1: coming on the Eagles. This is that minus two for 243 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 1: the Eagles minus two and a half. It's some off 244 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: shore books. So usually when you look at all shore books, 245 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 1: that's the pro books because they don't pay taxes on 246 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 1: those winnings. So very interesting to see. Um, you know 247 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 1: that this is like one of these the money keeps 248 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,679 Speaker 1: coming on the Eagles where I'm sitting here and nothing's 249 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 1: really changed. I still think you're getting a good number 250 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 1: on the Saints. So at this point, I'm just gonna wait. 251 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 1: I hope this gets up the two and a half 252 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: three I legal books. I'll bet it again because you're 253 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 1: getting a good number of the Saints team makes no 254 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 1: sense to me the Saints defense. Saints defense is best 255 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 1: in the NFL rush. All the Eagles can do right 256 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: now is run the ball, and their defense is uh holy, 257 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: And I don't mean that in the paperway. Yeah, what 258 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 1: the hell are we missing? That's how I don't get. 259 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 1: So it's very interesting. But didn't we feel that way 260 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: last week about I think we felt that way last 261 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:19,360 Speaker 1: week about the Saints too. Yeah, we were right though 262 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: they landed. I know, so, like, what are we missing? No, 263 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: we felt that way last week about the Niners. They 264 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,200 Speaker 1: were becoming sort of the the team that all the 265 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 1: wise guys love, that that public wise guy team. Yeah, 266 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: and we ended up being spot on. So you know what, 267 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: the fucking geniuses doesn't have to be If it comes 268 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,439 Speaker 1: Sunday and Chad's like, hey, asshole, put Saints in, I'll 269 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: put them in because I'm already bet. I'm already invested 270 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:48,559 Speaker 1: in it. So I'm with you on it alright. This 271 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 1: other one that I love and that I think will 272 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 1: definitely be in our five Colts plus seven plus seven 273 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 1: and a half at the Bills. Yeah, the seven and 274 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: a half was a treat down to set been. It's 275 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:01,640 Speaker 1: gonna be down at six and a half probably in 276 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 1: most books by the weekend. It's I think I got 277 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 1: the Colts at seven and a half on Tuesday. Yeah, 278 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 1: and like I, I hit a couple of books or 279 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 1: seven a half. But obviously our good friends, our partners here, 280 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 1: it's where it's stuck at seven for a while. FanDuel. 281 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: I think they eventually got to seven a half and 282 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: then I got bet down. But anyone, anyone that listened 283 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: to the show knows that I've not that I've been 284 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: super high on the Colts, but I did. Coming in 285 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: the season. I had a higher grade on them most 286 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: people did on this cold team didn't work out the 287 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 1: way I played. Carson Wentz got hurt to start the year, 288 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: he missed all those reps to start the season. They 289 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: were just they came out just sluggish to start the year, 290 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: and the last couple of weeks they've been good. They've 291 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: been winning their only game they dropped was against that 292 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 1: Tennessee team and the Ravens come back, which we look 293 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 1: back on now, that was just a fluke. The Ravens 294 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 1: they're pretty good, but them to come back like that, 295 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: that's that was insane. So when I when I think 296 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: of this cold team, I am put a limit on 297 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 1: the money line. It's not gonna be that big of 298 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 1: a money line bet because that's simple reason. They haven't 299 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,280 Speaker 1: They have not closed teams out this and so you're 300 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 1: giving me a seven seven a half spread. We of 301 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 1: course love that, but this will be one of those 302 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do a stand alone in the money line. 303 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: I'll just throw it into a round robin or something, 304 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:11,840 Speaker 1: just because the Colts have not been closing teams out. 305 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 1: Frank Reich, he gets tight and when they have these 306 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: big leads, he goes away from what's working for the team, 307 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: where they'll just say, you know what, we'll run it 308 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: twice and then on third and seven, I'll of course 309 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: to try to throw it. That's not work. That does 310 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 1: not work for their team. That's that's what's been hurting 311 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: them when they get these leads. So I still love 312 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: the number we're hoping for some weather too, because that 313 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: would really benefit us. We have a great running team 314 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: against the Bills team that cannot run the ball. That 315 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: that's out of our hands at this point. But a seven, 316 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 1: seven and a half, if you can get that number, yeah, 317 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: we're I mean, this is one of these games you 318 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 1: talked on Tuesday, and I had no doubt we would 319 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: have as one of our five putting it in. By 320 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,760 Speaker 1: the way, we have four games that we love right now. 321 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 1: We're never this locked in on a Thursday. When I 322 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 1: call you Sunday, it's not even gonna be a call, 323 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: it's just gonna be a text. We're good, We're good. Yeah. Well, 324 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 1: the toughest part about Sunday always to me always be 325 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: I get up at three am Eastern time, which is 326 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: midnight veggat time. So by the time I talked to Chad, 327 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,920 Speaker 1: you know, on our own call, it's like even thirty, 328 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 1: so I've already been up looking at lines for eight 329 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: hours and my mind is just all over the place. 330 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 1: So that's what's good about you, Chad. You kind of 331 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: ring me back and you're just like, no, dude, this 332 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 1: is what we said, this is what we're doing. Because 333 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 1: I am not lose my mind at that point. But 334 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: it's just so much information. Someday morning it can be 335 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: just a bit overwhelming. I'm what you call ballast. Is 336 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: that what I would say? Foundation? Yeah, I'm just I'm 337 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: here to help what I do. We talked about the 338 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 1: Vikings a lot. Uh, we made it packed with each other. 339 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:52,960 Speaker 1: We will never put the Jags in our top five again, 340 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: sticking to it. Okay, okay, because the Jags they were 341 00:16:57,280 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: at seven. You had this game at four and a half. Yeah, 342 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: you said you liked it as a money line game, 343 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 1: and the line has moved in our direction. It went 344 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 1: from seven to six. Still like it, but I'm just 345 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,680 Speaker 1: I refuse to do it to the fans like I 346 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 1: honestly feel terrible. Um every time we put them in, 347 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: they screw us. So I was I'm a man of 348 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: my word. I will not put the Jags in, but 349 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: yes I am on the Jacks. We talked about the 350 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:25,400 Speaker 1: Raiders and the Bengals. We liked the Raiders. We decided 351 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,160 Speaker 1: we were going to wait on it. By the way, Uh, 352 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 1: Niners and Jacks huge pros. Joe's game. All the betting 353 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 1: tickets on the Niners, all the money on the Jags, Bengals, 354 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: decent sized pros. Joe's game tickets on the Bengals. Uh 355 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: bet money on the Raiders. We wanted to wait on it. 356 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:48,120 Speaker 1: It was a plus one. It's still at plus one. Yeah, 357 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: I'm surprised the money is on the Raiders too. I 358 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 1: thought more people be burned by them. But I guess 359 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 1: the pros are just thinking, like I am, this is 360 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 1: this is where you have to take the Raiders. Everything 361 00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: that could have gone wrong in that game really did. 362 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: Everything seriously bounced the Chief's way. The biggest pause would 363 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,160 Speaker 1: be you got the Bengals coming off by a week 364 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,480 Speaker 1: perfect defense to get right against the second area of 365 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 1: this biggest team is terrible. I look at the other way. 366 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,920 Speaker 1: I told you, I really do like this Raiders offensive. 367 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 1: A defensive line. Max Crosby has been playing out of 368 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:23,120 Speaker 1: this world this season. Joe Burrow has no protection. He's 369 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,400 Speaker 1: one of the most hit quarterbacks this season, and that's 370 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 1: led to a lot of turnovers from Joe. I think, um, 371 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: it's like him and Zach Wilson have seven picks, like 372 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 1: when they throw over twenty yards this season, Like there, 373 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 1: it's way up there because he's forcing the issue trying 374 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: to get this team into these games when he's got 375 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 1: a lot of pressure on him. So nothing changed. Still 376 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:43,719 Speaker 1: like this number, My only issue is it's not great value. 377 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:45,199 Speaker 1: I had a right where it pretty much is. I 378 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 1: put this game as a pic. That's where it's sitting 379 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 1: at pretty much. So I'm I've moved the number down 380 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 1: a little bit on Vegas, like I had biggest power, 381 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 1: it a little higher. Now the more I've dived into 382 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: their team, it seems like there are a little bit 383 00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:01,200 Speaker 1: of They've been bad on als, that's the biggest issues. 384 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,479 Speaker 1: So they haven't drafted right now. Their defense is kind 385 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 1: of suffering in that word, they just don't have the 386 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 1: really good pieces in their secondary but we have. I mean, 387 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: as a professional, I had to take this number. This 388 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 1: is um such a trap spot for people that are 389 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: big Bangos believers, which mean Chad are. I mean, I 390 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: bet on them to win the North, so I I 391 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,639 Speaker 1: do believe in this team, but just a bad spot 392 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: for them they're walking into. I don't know that the 393 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: writer is gonna make our final five. Now they're kind 394 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 1: of gross. Right now, they're kind of gross. And I 395 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: also think in the next four games, I want to 396 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 1: spend a little bit of time on each one. Seahawks Cardinals. 397 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 1: Tickets still coming in on the Cardinals, money coming in 398 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,760 Speaker 1: on the Seahawks. You get the Seahawks at plus two 399 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,200 Speaker 1: and a half. Right now, How am I not taking 400 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 1: Seattle in this game? Everything lines up. I don't know 401 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: if Kyler Murray is playing. They might sit them out 402 00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 1: for one more week because then they get to buy 403 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:54,679 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins didn't practice the Seahawks, Russell Wilson getting shut out. 404 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: Of course, this feels like a bye right spot for 405 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 1: the Seahawks. I'm running the other I'll probably end up 406 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,680 Speaker 1: on the Cardinals. Even the guys I've talked to now 407 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: that are around the Seattle team and like they have insiders, 408 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,120 Speaker 1: even they are telling them that Russ at practice, he's 409 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 1: not making the throats, something like his hand just isn't 410 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 1: right yet. So, you know what, I could be dead 411 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 1: wrong by passing on this game. And I get your 412 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,280 Speaker 1: reasons for taking the Seahawks, But something's funky here like that, 413 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 1: this line is funky. The bookmakers know what they're doing. 414 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 1: They know they're gonna get a ton of Russ money. 415 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:28,879 Speaker 1: They know that I'm gonna have rust and all my 416 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: teasers because you're giving me plus two now at home? 417 00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: Why would I not tease this up to plus eight? 418 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 1: This is a very fishy, fishy line. So I'm I mean, 419 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,880 Speaker 1: they're gonna just stay away, or I'll just tease the Seahawks. 420 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: But I'm not. This is one of the few games 421 00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: I'm not bending straight on the Seahawks. There's I just 422 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 1: don't trust the jujue right now coming out of that team. Yeah, 423 00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: not a lot of people know, but that's something that's scientific. 424 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 1: It's not it's not just a gambler's feeling. There's real 425 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,159 Speaker 1: logic and numbers behind bad jusual. There must be a 426 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 1: little bit, of course, there is. We live in a 427 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:07,400 Speaker 1: world that is powered by electro magnetic energy, right, It's unseen. 428 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 1: It's little pops of static between people, between objects. These 429 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:22,359 Speaker 1: things have power. It's kinetic deep, motherfucker deep. 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Especially data wise? Like the 472 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: Chiefs everything on paper says this is a prime matchup 473 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,879 Speaker 1: for the Cowboys. Cowboys dominate the type of defense that 474 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 1: this Chief's team runs. I mean, just on the run 475 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: game alone, statistically, this is going to be a field 476 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,640 Speaker 1: day for this Cowboys pass blocking, run blocking offensive line. 477 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 1: So I understand what they're saying. Maybe they're just looking 478 00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:18,199 Speaker 1: at this a spot where it's like this is a 479 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 1: good spot to take the Chiefs. They're getting right, they're 480 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: coming home. They play teams really well at home. All right, 481 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,639 Speaker 1: nothing's changed for me. We'll be on the Cowboys a 482 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:26,920 Speaker 1: plus two and a half. We'll have them in a 483 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: couple of teasers as well. I love this position for 484 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: this Cowboys offense. Well, I don't, Well we put them 485 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 1: in the contest, I would say no right now, because 486 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:37,920 Speaker 1: again it's a foursome play, but we have to get 487 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,439 Speaker 1: in at least one favorite, and right now I have 488 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:43,280 Speaker 1: four underdogs I just like more than this Cowboys one. Well, 489 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,120 Speaker 1: the other game that that we might fall in love 490 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 1: with is the Steelers plus five and a half against 491 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:52,840 Speaker 1: the Chargers. Ra Ra Mike Tomlin spot who wins outright 492 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: without ben rolphs product? What ra Ra Mike Tomlin spot 493 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 1: the game when the cool bodies right here today from 494 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: y'all the game today. Like you know, we always talked 495 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,440 Speaker 1: about my time Lynn Grates his two thousand three, but 496 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,439 Speaker 1: he's always had Ben Roethlisberger during the entirety of his 497 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 1: coaching career. Without Ben Roethlisberger, he wins out right all 498 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:20,920 Speaker 1: the time as an under dog. It's it's crazy. I'll 499 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: get a coaches, like I talked about, I wanted to 500 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,400 Speaker 1: take the Charges that minus four, and I like looked 501 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: at it for a while and I just couldn't do 502 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 1: it because it thought so gross. And then it shot 503 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 1: away up to five and a half and it made 504 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 1: me really nervous. Where it's like, okay, I've already messed 505 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,520 Speaker 1: the best number on the Chargers. Now they're getting a 506 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: little overvalued, this Charger's team because everyone's freaking out because 507 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: Roethlisberger might be out of this game. But I don't 508 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 1: know I'm gonna end up. I think staying away from 509 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 1: this one. Um, it's a primetime game, and you know 510 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,440 Speaker 1: I love prime time dog, so I'll by the time 511 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,120 Speaker 1: that kicks off, I'm sure I'll be on this Pittsburg team, 512 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: especially if it hits six, which to me is such 513 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:58,080 Speaker 1: a key number. But man, it's it's fishy, fishy, fishy, 514 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 1: fishy line because I get it. Pittsburgh. They're one of 515 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 1: the best running teams in football playing against one of 516 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,399 Speaker 1: the worst run defenses all football. Like, that's why you 517 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,440 Speaker 1: can't let this line get too high, because if Pittsburgh 518 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,200 Speaker 1: gets a lead, they're gonna be able to dominate this matchup. 519 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: But the way their defense plays and the way their 520 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: offense plays. But for me, I don't know. It's it's 521 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: so hard to put money on this game where it's like, 522 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: am I really about to bet a decent amount of 523 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 1: money on Mason Rudolph in this position on the road 524 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: without t J. Watt on the defense. There's there's just 525 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 1: so many unknowns right now for Pittsburgh that if I 526 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: was gonna bet this, I'd wait until Sunday when you 527 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: have more information. I love the fase enthusiasm. I' MOUs 528 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: say we can make what do you guys quit today? Well, look, 529 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,439 Speaker 1: the biggest Prime under Primetime underdog of the week, the 530 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,600 Speaker 1: Giants plus eleven and a half on the road at 531 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: the Bucks. We got four games that we love right now. 532 00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:48,400 Speaker 1: We have not settled on a fifth. It could make 533 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:52,160 Speaker 1: Sunday ugly. I don't know that we're feeling that good 534 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: that we want to go Falcons on Thursday night as 535 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 1: home dogs and book end it with Giants plus eleven 536 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 1: and a half on Monday night. We wanted. Actually, I 537 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: got a couple of calls on this one from a 538 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 1: couple of pros, so I know a really well known 539 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: professional group was coming heavy on the Buccaneers. When I 540 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,199 Speaker 1: got down to ten. Now, I'm I just opened it up. 541 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 1: It's up to eleven now, so obviously the bookmakers took 542 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 1: that money pretty damn serious. So damn it because I 543 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,679 Speaker 1: did like the Giants. But like when that when a 544 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: group that doesn't bet that often that's big on one 545 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: side and a primetime game, it usually scares me off. 546 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: So I'll probably pass that one. And I know we 547 00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 1: didn't give it like, we'll just fly through it real quick. 548 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,919 Speaker 1: I still don't hate Cleveland as a big favorite. I 549 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,760 Speaker 1: hate Joe Flacco, Chad. Last year, I should on Joe 550 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: Flacco constantly. That was my move to talk to you 551 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 1: about Joe Flacco. So I wasn't the Jets. Now I flapped, 552 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,359 Speaker 1: I'm in Miami. I took them at three. It's up 553 00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 1: to three and a half. Still don't hate that number. 554 00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco is bad. He is bad, bad, bad. I 555 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 1: honestly think they're they're looking at the standpoint. They're like, Okay, 556 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: this is a veteran quarterback playing against a veteran defense. 557 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: Now this is a weird, weird move by this Jets team. 558 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,439 Speaker 1: It's like they're openly trying to tank. Now, sitting Mike White, 559 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,520 Speaker 1: the guy that upset one for them against Cincinnati Bengals, 560 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:04,399 Speaker 1: and he has one bad week. Now you're out weird 561 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 1: and everything on the Jets is just weird. So for 562 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 1: talking favorites at a real chalky, I do like Miami. 563 00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 1: I know it's so chalk, but Joe Flacco awful defense. 564 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,719 Speaker 1: This is uh, this is bad, bad, bad for the Jets. Uh. 565 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 1: In reference to our old friend Bob Scucci battered Flacco. 566 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:30,159 Speaker 1: He used to get so beat up that uh Scooch 567 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:34,159 Speaker 1: called him battered Flacco and then we ultimately made it 568 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:39,160 Speaker 1: a dish at the Orleans Uh. In the buffet, it 569 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:44,040 Speaker 1: was like a Pinko crustard flounder or something. I think 570 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: I have like crab in there because of the Maryland, 571 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 1: like the Baltimore coun because I thought I always thought 572 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:54,120 Speaker 1: Flacco sounded like battered. Flacco sounded like a fish, you guys, 573 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: a fucking fish. And before we keep moving, I just 574 00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 1: want to give out. Should we make our big balls 575 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:06,840 Speaker 1: better the week? Atlanta big ball better the week? Like 576 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:08,920 Speaker 1: wrap it off the bandages, get it over with, right, 577 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 1: Let's do it. Let's go with Atlanta. I've never felt 578 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: so confident and yet so ready to be asleep by 579 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,520 Speaker 1: ten o'clock when the Patriots are up seventy nine to 580 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 1: two because Mac Nipple Jones cannot stop firing darts to 581 00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,840 Speaker 1: whatever receiver he decides to throw it too. That's Mac 582 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: Jones right now. He's a witch nipple quarterback. Now, I mean, 583 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 1: I mean he's on this show for three years. Not 584 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 1: every time we believe in Matt Ryan. This is when 585 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,000 Speaker 1: he fox us. But we gotta do it stand alone 586 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 1: primetime game. We have to do it in this position. 587 00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: He does not deserve our faith. He doesn't. He really doesn't. Silent. 588 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: If we were to choose to survive for this week, 589 00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: who would we choose, assuming we're moving forward, and who's 590 00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: remaining the survivor pick of the week? Alright, so using 591 00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 1: our fictional chart, we'd already sadly used the Browns, which 592 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: I really like. Coming into this week. Oh man, this 593 00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 1: was a tough, tough, tough one. We didn't use the bus, 594 00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,600 Speaker 1: which could be a little risky doing against the Giants, 595 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 1: but I feel like it's not. Now, that's not a 596 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 1: risk that such big money is coming on them. Uh. 597 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 1: The other one we could do, that's smart, little risky, 598 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 1: but by Miami Dolphins. They're playing against the Jets. Joe 599 00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: Flacco just like the pause there, it's on the road 600 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: and we don't like, Yeah, this is a this is 601 00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: the box. You take the box at home Monday night. 602 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 1: Play it safe. I'm not putting my my my mythical 603 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 1: survivor pool pot in the hands of two on the road. 604 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: I can't hate it on. If you're I mean again, 605 00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,120 Speaker 1: me and Chad took Houston, I understand if you're like, no, 606 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 1: I want to take tennis. I'm gonna us Tennessee here. 607 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 1: And then another team, A couple of people reach at 608 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:05,760 Speaker 1: they wanted. They think sleep is a good sleeper for 609 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 1: this would be the Chargers. If Pittsburgh started Mason Rudolph, 610 00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,080 Speaker 1: that's that's a crazy play. To take the Chargers. He 611 00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: got bos out. Now for the Chargers, he failed his 612 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: COVID test I believe or maybe his close contact he's unvaccinated. 613 00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,720 Speaker 1: He needs to pass the test either Saturday or Someday morning. 614 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: Back in this game again, do not lock in if 615 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:25,880 Speaker 1: you're gonna if you have to lock in your Survivra 616 00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 1: pool before this weekend, stay away from the Chargers. Please, 617 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 1: this is it's too high for risk at this point 618 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,680 Speaker 1: in the season. Do what Chad's talking about. Just played safe. 619 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 1: Take the Buccan years. Who's gonna money line parlor? I 620 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 1: really give on the Thursdays because a lot of people 621 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 1: don't catch it in time. Do you like Atland his 622 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,240 Speaker 1: money line. I'm gonna have a money line around robbing 623 00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 1: with them in there. But if you want to skip 624 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 1: that one, I'll go just the Sunday I got Houston, 625 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 1: I got the Colts, I got the Jaguars, which Chat 626 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 1: already did in a three teamer, which is it was 627 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 1: one of my favorite bets from Tuesday started over again. 628 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 1: Houston money line, Colts money line, Jaguars money line, Washington 629 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:01,960 Speaker 1: Football the money line, and if you want to close 630 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,560 Speaker 1: it out, the Steelers on Sunday night. Don't hate it, 631 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 1: but again, I would wait to see if it's Roethlisberger. 632 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,360 Speaker 1: If that's Roethlisberger, I love that play. If it's not, 633 00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 1: I would not put them in. And if you just 634 00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 1: gotta force win in because they're out two, you didn't 635 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,720 Speaker 1: do it Atlanta either. I don't hate what you just 636 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,360 Speaker 1: talking about. Seahawks play like they're at home. There are 637 00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 1: a dog with Russell Wilson. That's usually pretty good to us, 638 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 1: But to me, I'm just gonna do it in a 639 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 1: teaser because I feel safer with that number. All Right, 640 00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 1: I feel like we've covered it all. We've done our 641 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: big balls better the week. We've done our money line parlor, 642 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 1: we've done our Survivor. We've narrowed down the board. We're 643 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 1: feeling really good about Falcons plus seven, Vikes plus two 644 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 1: and a half, which is the contest line we got 645 00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: on Tuesday. We're like the Texans plus ten and a 646 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:45,240 Speaker 1: half were like the Colts as dogs. And then come Sunday, 647 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna have a horrid decision to make. 648 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:49,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna just see what the market is saying. Yea, hopefully, 649 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 1: Chris Chris Raybon or Shawn. Like Seawn can give us 650 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,120 Speaker 1: a good pick Somenday morning, we can still one of 651 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:57,440 Speaker 1: their That's right. Watch us on Convince Me see the 652 00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: heat the kinetic energy. Having into last week free month 653 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 1: to convinced me at Action Network HQ eleven Am eastern 654 00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 1: I am Shad Molman. He is Simon Hunter. This has 655 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,719 Speaker 1: been the favorite from the Volume Podcast Network. Download us 656 00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:15,120 Speaker 1: and Spotify, Apple Podcast, wherever you get your podcast. Until 657 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,479 Speaker 1: next time, Love you