1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Why from our nations this budget thing is going to 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: do nothing space forts. I still think it's interesting President 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:09,880 Speaker 1: Trump not playing his cards yet. Headlines Policy and Politics 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: Aligning Floomberg Sound On, the insiders, the influencers, the insights. 5 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: I would rather see a congressional solution. It's part of 6 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 1: my DNA. The Senate map in looks a lot different 7 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: than it looked in. You really have a divide within 8 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Team Trump. The present has to do exactly what people 9 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: sent him here to do, which is to get it done. 10 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 11 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: nine one and World five point seven h D two 12 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: transcripts were released. Who's who the Americans at the center 13 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: of the Trump Ukraine uproar and these transcripts. What's going 14 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: on with these transcripts? A lot to get through on 15 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 1: the impeachment inquiry. The transcripts were released earlier today. Meanwhile, 16 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: we've got the latest on the Gnats at the White House. 17 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: The Gnats were at the White House. President Trump had 18 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: a had a lot to say about that. You'd rather 19 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: talk about the World Series, folks, than impeachment. And the 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: latest on the campaign trail its heating up. It's eating 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: up as Elizabeth Boorn says how she's gonna pay for 22 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 1: Medicare for all. Sarah Kim is here, Republican strategist, attorney, 23 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,120 Speaker 1: former senior adviser of the Trevor administration. Her bags are packed, 24 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 1: she's head into Texas. And Joel Payne, Democratic strategist, former 25 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:29,559 Speaker 1: director of African American media outreach for Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign, 26 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: lots to get through big news today. I was up 27 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: on Capitol Hill and these transcripts get released the House 28 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: Intelligence Committee and the other two impeachment Inquiry UH impeachment 29 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: inquiry in committees looking into these transcripts. I'm not sure 30 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: there was any bombshell that's going to change the trajectory 31 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: of this UH inquiry. Joel, what did you make? It's fodder, um, 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: And from what I understand, this is the first of 33 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: kind of a rolling group of transcripts that are gonna 34 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: come out over the course of this week. I think 35 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna get Sunlin and Volker tomorrow. And I think 36 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: really what we're gonna see here is Democrats trying to 37 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: fill in the void now that a lot of the public, 38 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 1: the private testimony is over with kind of some public 39 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: releases of some of the more damning things that might 40 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 1: have been said behind closed doors. Um, I don't think 41 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: anything probably is gonna materially changed public opinion. I think 42 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 1: it's just going to continue to kind of build up 43 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: the fodder for what Democrats hope will be a lead 44 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 1: into impeachment proceedings. In a few weeks, Fox news dot 45 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:33,360 Speaker 1: com the headline reads Seri DEM's release first impeachment probe 46 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: transcripts from closed door interviews. The panels released testimony from 47 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 1: former U s Ambassador to Ukraine Mary Javanovich and Michael McKinley, 48 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 1: a former senior advisor to Secretary of State Mike Pompeio. 49 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: Some of the revelations and again I'm not sure I 50 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: noticed any bombshell ones that would impact whether or not 51 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: the president would be have impeachment. But Janovich test a 52 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 1: that Ukraine told her about the Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani's 53 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: campaign to oust her. But again, when you I read 54 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: these transcripts in uh in uh in the capital today, Seri, 55 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: and my takeaway was, well, it's politics, but politics and peachable. 56 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: I mean, I totally agree with you. There was no 57 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: bombshells it's all politics. I think the biggest news of 58 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 1: the day is that Kim Kardashian said she gained eighteen pounds. 59 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: I mean, really, is anybody paying But was anybody paying 60 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: attention to the transcript? Because at the end of the day, 61 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,839 Speaker 1: the number one concern is that an impeachment is a 62 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: constitutional crisis, and a constitutional crisis requires an abusive power, 63 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: obstruction of justice, and words of he said, she said 64 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: doesn't rise to that level. And what Chairman Adam Schiff 65 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: is trying to do is he's trying to put the 66 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: line out there at the fifty yard line, and yet 67 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: he can't seem to get there. So these transcripts are 68 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 1: continuing to push him there, but there is no there there. 69 00:03:57,880 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: I want to mention regardless, I don't want to have 70 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: a debate. I mean, obviously both of you are on 71 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 1: different sides in terms of whether or not there's that 72 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 1: they're they're But for regardless, I was struck by this. 73 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 1: They're going to be releasing jo all these transcripts, the 74 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: hearings and whatnot, and and from the one side of 75 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 1: my brain is saying that the democratic strategy is drip drip, drip, steady, steady, drumbeat. 76 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: But then if I'm the Republicans are that I'm talking 77 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: to are saying the American people are just going to 78 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: be so inundated with this that they're gonna get fatigued 79 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: by it and just tune it out. Well, I think 80 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: you know a question you have that the Democrats are 81 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 1: asking themselves now is like cadence and speed? Right, And 82 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 1: I've talked about that a couple of the last times 83 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: that I've been here with you, is how fast is 84 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: it's gonna move? Right? Is this just kind of the 85 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: inn room between now and another period of revelations coming 86 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 1: up in a few weeks, Are they're going to be 87 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: um more corroborations of people like John Bolton? Right, that's 88 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: a game changer. If the president's former national security advisor 89 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: comes out and corroborate some of the concern that's a 90 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: game changer. Balton is supposed to testify this week, but 91 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: nobody knows if he's going to show up. Energy Secretary 92 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: Rick Perry. He's supposed to testify this week, nobody knows 93 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 1: if so, Like that level of of of a corroborator 94 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: is a game changer. Um, But I think what what 95 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: we've arrived at is. Look, a lot of the public 96 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 1: polling numbers show that this is starting to line up 97 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 1: with the president's drab approval, and so it's turned into 98 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 1: a political test. And I think that's what Democrats have 99 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 1: to stay away from, is allowing us to become a 100 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: straight ballot test. If it's a ballot test, Democrats lose. Serry, 101 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: take a listen to what Adam Schiff, House Intel Chairman 102 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 1: Adam Schiff had to say today upon the release of 103 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: these transcripts. Serious Republicans were present for all of these depositions, 104 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: and in fact, they had an equal opportunity with Democrats 105 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 1: to ask questions, and you will see they took full 106 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: advantage of those opportunities to ask questions. I mean, you 107 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 1: hear them, and I mean, what's the point again, I 108 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: whenever I hear Adam Schiff say anything, I don't believe 109 00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: what he said. As everybody knows, I've read the Mullar 110 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: Report night times. I listened to him say on television 111 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 1: and radar quite quite quick. Que, how long does it 112 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 1: take you to read the mother Report? Well, I mean, 113 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 1: injuring me, like five hours each time, because I read 114 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:11,840 Speaker 1: the footnotes and then I was memorizing it. But every 115 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: time that I hear and listen to Adam Schiff, I 116 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: remember the four three times he said that there was direct, 117 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: evidentiary proof that President Trump criminally colluded with Russia to 118 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: interfere in. I don't believe what he says. But at 119 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: the end of the day, the most important thing about 120 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: this entire process is that if President Trump committed any crime, 121 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter the time, it doesn't matter the politics. 122 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:36,960 Speaker 1: You should go to the substance. And it seems like 123 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: every Democrat is only focused on the politics. And you 124 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 1: think we're going to find out who the whistle blower is, Well, 125 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,159 Speaker 1: the whistleblower have to testify publicly. Absolutely, So when people 126 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 1: when people say, hey, you gotta protect whistleblowers, what do 127 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: you say to them? I say that if you're going 128 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: to impeach the President of the United States on a 129 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: constitutional basis, you should know who is doing it because 130 00:06:56,440 --> 00:07:00,480 Speaker 1: there was no trial. So I yesterday, you know, just 131 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:02,279 Speaker 1: having it was like I was a kid. I was 132 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: watching the Sunday shows, watching Joel on MSNBC with our 133 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: good friend David Gara former Bloomburger by the way, and 134 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: then President Trump comes out and he's talking to reporters 135 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh, I should be there, but uh, 136 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: here's what he said about the whistle blower and whether 137 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: or not the whistle blower needs an amenity, Joel. And 138 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: then I really do want you to respond, because Sarah 139 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: makes a point, but I want to hear your your 140 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: thoughts on whether or not this whistleblower should ought to 141 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: have an amenity, because that's the talk of the town. 142 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: Here it is, here's President Trump. But whistill blower gave 143 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: a very inaccurate report. And as you know, certain of 144 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: the media released information about a man that they said 145 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: was the whistleblower. I don't know if that's true or not, 146 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: but what they said is he's an Obama person. So 147 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: I mean, okay, look, Kevin and I know we don't 148 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: want this to revolve. And just like the Democrat doesn't 149 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: like Trump and the Republican likes Trump, we would have 150 00:07:55,200 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: a conversation. But the President just said that the whistle 151 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 1: bro that the complaint is inaccurate. He has corroborated the 152 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: whistleblower complaint. All of the witnesses, who are all Republican appointees, 153 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: have corroborated the whistleblower complaints. So you know, look, it's 154 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: like pick your truth, right, Like I mean, pick what 155 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: what your lion eyes are telling you. When people didn't 156 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: have to pick truth. We just knew what the facts 157 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: were well. And and this is the problem. It's hearsay testimony. 158 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 1: As an attorney, I would like to say, and for 159 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: people who focus on Watergate and Nixon, when you had 160 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 1: deep throat, there was two years of evidentiary documents produced 161 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: by the Washington Post, the New York Times, by various 162 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: other people who quote unquote leak during the Nixon impeachment process. 163 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,439 Speaker 1: We have one hearsay testimony. All right, coming up, we're 164 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: gonna talk more about policy and politics. We've got the latest, 165 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: got the latest on on the US China trade talks. 166 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: By the way, US stock benchmarks climb so all time 167 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: highs while treasuries tumbled as trade optimism fuel demand for 168 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: risk assets. So the markets again are not linking on 169 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 1: the transcript release, they are following across the globe. President 170 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: she Jing Ping's comments and remarks regarding the regarding the 171 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,839 Speaker 1: US China trade talks panel stays. Download the Bloomberg Sound 172 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: on podcast on Apple iTunes at Bloomberg dot com. There 173 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: are birds flyers of Hermageddon of birds mated, so many birds. 174 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: Kevin Cirelli, you're listening to Bloomberg nine one, you're listening 175 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg. Sound On with Kevin Currel on Bloomberg and 176 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: one oh five point seven f M h D two. 177 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: America fell in love with the Nats Baseball. They just 178 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: fell in love with that. S baseball. That's all they 179 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 1: wanted to talk about. That an impeachment that I like, 180 00:09:55,800 --> 00:10:00,559 Speaker 1: that's baseball much more. That was press it in Trump 181 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 1: speaking earlier today at the White House. Uh, he hosted 182 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: the World Series champions Washington Nationals. I'm here with two 183 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: political all star Serry Kim, Republican strategist and Joel Payne, 184 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: Democratic strategist. Did you catch Sari the Gnats at the 185 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 1: at the White House? They they the Nats clubhouse reminded 186 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 1: me of my family back home in Philly. I mean 187 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: it was. It's so politically diverse. You got a couple 188 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: of players not coming, other players wearing red make America 189 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: great again. Hats really shows that you can all play 190 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 1: on the same team or be in the same family 191 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:35,960 Speaker 1: and hold different viewpoints. Yeah, I thought The most amazing 192 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 1: thing was that Suzuki, the catcher who hit the homer 193 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: against the Mets. He basically walked up and put a 194 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: make America Great hat again, and President Trump did a 195 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: bro hug from behind and was like, I love this guy. 196 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,680 Speaker 1: I love this guy. I mean that is that was 197 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: that fight over the weekend. Yeah, that UFC fight. And 198 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: this is what's really great about race is the Democrats 199 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: or eating themselves alive on policy proposals. But what I 200 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: say about sports it but but I really, what I 201 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: really want to say is that the Trump campaign in 202 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 1: re election have focused on the fact that Donald Trump 203 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 1: is so culturally pervasive that whether you talk about baseball, 204 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 1: whether you talk about the Kardashians, whether you talk about makeup, 205 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,559 Speaker 1: whether you talk about Kanye traveling or whatever, Donald Trump 206 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 1: is always involved. And that's the problem with the Democrats. 207 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 1: How do you fight that? How do you fight a 208 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 1: ninety nine point nine PC user, I d Joe, go ahead, Um, 209 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: he's going to Alabama, l s U. Apparently in a 210 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: few weeks, which is about the most predictable thing I 211 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: could have imagined. They're gonna put him somewhere in Trump 212 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 1: Country so he can get a different response from the crowd. 213 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:46,719 Speaker 1: So I think it's I think it's I think it's 214 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,199 Speaker 1: great that some players fell comfortable going and the players 215 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: that didn't feel comfortable going, we're giving the room to 216 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 1: do that, you know. I think it's great that the 217 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:54,839 Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles one yesterday and we have a buy and 218 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: we're going to beat the New England Patriots in two weeks. 219 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 1: UM shutdown is on my radar around Thanksgiving November, uh, 220 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: November twenty one. I apologize, Remember twenty one is when 221 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 1: that partial government shutdown could actually happen. And stocks, as 222 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 1: we mentioned, are not blinking on all this impeachment transcript 223 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 1: fodder and what happened, and we were talking about that earlier. 224 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 1: But they are going to be carefully paying attention to 225 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:20,440 Speaker 1: the US China trade talks. We're gonna go there in 226 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: a second. But a key market potential mover could be 227 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 1: SERI the prospects of another government shutdown, I think it's 228 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: already baked in. I mean, this is why this is yeah, absolutely, 229 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 1: I mean, like, let's look at the numbers. It's up 230 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 1: eighteen percent of the year. Last year when there was 231 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: a shutdown, it was the SNP is at what right now, 232 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 1: All these numbers show that the markets have finally calibrated 233 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,560 Speaker 1: to his personality. And I will tell you the one 234 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 1: thing that is the most true and just in November, 235 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: is that if the Democrats continue to move forward with impeachment, 236 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: there will be a government. You're that the calendar could 237 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 1: be impacted, the shutdown calendar could be impacted by floor 238 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:03,080 Speaker 1: time with regards to the impeachment inquiry. Now, I'm saying 239 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: that if the Democrats to any further action on impeachment whatever, 240 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 1: it looks like, the President Trump will shut the government. 241 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 1: Let's head into the Bloomberg terminal for a second, because 242 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 1: Alex Harris reports on the Bloomberg terminal quote. Previous closure episodes, 243 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: most recently the one that ended in late January, have 244 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 1: caused disruptions to the release of major economic indicators such 245 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:27,719 Speaker 1: as the g d P report and trade figures. With 246 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 1: temporary funding measures due to expire November twenty one, there's 247 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: a risk that could happen again if lawmakers in the 248 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 1: administration don't reach into great agreement. Joel Payne, you're a 249 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 1: Democratic insider. Take us into the mind of Speaker Nancy Pelosi. 250 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 1: She wants to get U S m c A done. 251 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: She's got to referee the impeachment inquiry. Where does a 252 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,719 Speaker 1: government shut down this month play into this mix? Oh? 253 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 1: It does nothing good for anybody. And I would imagine 254 00:13:57,120 --> 00:14:00,319 Speaker 1: first in line would be President Trump. I mean that 255 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 1: this is the opposite of wagon dog, right, Like wagon 256 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 1: dog is like, hey, everything's under control, I got it. 257 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:08,679 Speaker 1: A government shutdown suggests that there is no control. And 258 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: you know, I think it would be very unwise that 259 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: the president went forward with linking impeachment to government shutdown. Um. 260 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: I understand that politically he may see some advantage in that, 261 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: but I think that's something that ultimately might be a 262 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: loser for the president. So both of you have mentioned 263 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 1: how impeachment might impact the prospects of a of a 264 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: partial government shutdown. But there's no way the Democrats and 265 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 1: there's no way you can ignore the impeachment backdrop and 266 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 1: just think of the political chaos that would reverberate in 267 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: terms of the mainstream press interpretation of what's going on 268 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 1: in Washington. Should the government shut down around Thanksgiving? And 269 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 1: oh boy, Thanksgiving around the Thanksgiving table. If the government 270 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 1: shut down and there's impeachment, it's gonna be worse than 271 00:14:56,920 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: the Nuts Clubhouse. Well, let's bifurcate it because we have 272 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 1: them by forgetting the procedure and the politics of it. 273 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 1: So the procedure wise, you have eight days for them 274 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: to put together twelve appropriation bills. It's never gonna happen. 275 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 1: The politics of it, the politics of it is in 276 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 1: Trump's favor. I disagree with Joel Michael Strahan of politics 277 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: to my right here. Disagree with them for two reasons. 278 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 1: First and foremost, every member of Congress will get paid, 279 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 1: and they haven't been doing anything. And no, this is 280 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 1: what I'm saying. So you're saying that you're not going 281 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: to pay the troops, you're not going to function v A, 282 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: you're not going to put out Medicare checks, you're not 283 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: gonna do Social Security, you're not going to open post offices. 284 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 1: But you, as a member of Congress who should have 285 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 1: been working the previous twelve months, get paid. No, that's 286 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 1: not gonna work. And forget about the supply chain. Here 287 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: inside of Washington, d C. You've got these small business 288 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 1: owners who are dramatically going to be impacted around the 289 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: holidays and have delayed pay checks. That's not fair. That's 290 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: not right. I don't care what party you're in. Well, 291 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: irrespective of whether it's fair or right, outside of Washington 292 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: d C is what wins presidential races. And outside of 293 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: Washington d C they have seen a nine percent growth 294 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: since two thousand and eight every single year. The markets. 295 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 1: Markets are doing good, all right. So you've got that 296 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 1: on the one issue, and then just quickly, I want 297 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: to I want to wrap this up in terms of 298 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 1: market movers because because a lot of economic indicators this 299 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: month could be impacted by the prospects of a looming 300 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: potentially government shutdown on November twenty one. Uh not to 301 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: mention holiday travel plans for these lawmakers, which always acts 302 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 1: as an impetus to get a deal. They want to 303 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 1: get the heck out of town. They want to get 304 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 1: to dullest fly home to their constituents, their families for 305 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: the holiday. Don't underestimate that. But then we've got President 306 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: she and President Trump. Are they going to sign Phase 307 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 1: one this month? President Trump suggested within the last twenty 308 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 1: four hours he would be willing now the chili is 309 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 1: off the table, to sign that agreement. He would be 310 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: willing to have this in Iowa, in Alaska and Hawaii 311 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: or even somewhere in China quickly serry yes or no. 312 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:05,919 Speaker 1: By the end of the month, you think President Trump 313 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 1: wraps up Phase one of the U. S. China trade talks. Yes, 314 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,800 Speaker 1: because the Democrats needed in those six wing states. At 315 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: The New York Times wrote about today, Joel Sure, but 316 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: with a little bit. But there's a little there's a 317 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: little bit more to it. But I know we're short 318 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:25,640 Speaker 1: our times ahead yet No. I think I think, I think, 319 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 1: I think A little bit more to it is the 320 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 1: fact that um Democrats actually, I think that there is 321 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 1: a place where they can they can interlock with Trump 322 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: on some of these trade issues. Like Elizabeth Warren does 323 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: not sound all that different from Donald Trump on trade, 324 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: and so I think that that's an interesting kind of 325 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 1: strange bedfellows makes that some Democrats don't mind. And I 326 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,639 Speaker 1: think that's a place where the President could probably bracket 327 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,040 Speaker 1: some Democrats into some support. And you know who's really 328 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 1: underestimated it, President Shi Jing Pin, Because you're right, tariffs. 329 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 1: They're talking tariffs on the left on the right, whether 330 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 1: you like it or not. You mentioned Bird Sarry. I 331 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,359 Speaker 1: just want to do a quick thing more washingtone Inians 332 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 1: are suddenly into bird watching, and that's according to the Washingtonian. 333 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 1: And if anyone's been down in city center recently, there's 334 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 1: around this hour like hordes of birds just flying and circulating. 335 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: So don't think we're crazy, but every time at this 336 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 1: hour we're surrounded by in our glass studio of these 337 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: hordes of birds migrating and the Washingtonians writing about it. 338 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 1: Download the Bloomberg Sound On podcast on Apple iTunes, at 339 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business App. 340 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 1: You can also find me on Radio dot com, I 341 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 1: Heart Radio and Spotify have Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent 342 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg. 343 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surley on 344 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg and one oh five point seven F M H 345 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: D two. Here's my plan. Look at this, look at it. Okay, 346 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 1: first off, we're gonna cut military spending, so immediately dead 347 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: in the water to Jeff Bezos, is gonna pay go 348 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 1: from paying no tax to a tax? Yeah, Mr Basis. 349 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 1: The government is a little like Amazon Prime. You reap 350 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 1: the benefits you gotta pay an annual fee, and that's 351 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:19,360 Speaker 1: called Texas. Unlike you, we can't just take it out 352 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 1: of here your debit card for that warning. Kate McKinnon, 353 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 1: Saturday Night Lives. Kate McKinnon, who has just I think 354 00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 1: has been spot on with Senator Elizabeth Warren, the Democrat 355 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,439 Speaker 1: from Massachusetts, said there, I don't know if it was 356 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 1: poking fun or just imitation with regards to Medicare for All. 357 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,919 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg Television and 358 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. Are panel today, Serry Kim, Republican strategist, Joel Payne, 359 00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 1: Democratic strategist. I saw you crack a smile. There is 360 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,439 Speaker 1: there some truth in the humor about Medicare for All, 361 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 1: in the way Warren's making a pitch to some more 362 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 1: moderate voters. Oh, it's just funny. Satire is funny. Um. Look, 363 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 1: I think Elizabeth Warren should be happy that Saturday Live 364 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 1: deems her to be serious enough to where they gave 365 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 1: her a dedicated character. That's probably that's probably something that 366 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 1: Corey Booker wouldn't mind, or probably I'm just saying that 367 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 1: you go, you go down the line. Some of these candidates, 368 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:14,320 Speaker 1: I'm sure they wouldn't mind a Saturday Night Live had 369 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: a dedicated cast member on them. So probably a imitation 370 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: is the Scar's form of flattery. So now the dust 371 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: is settled on this Medicare for All proposal and trillions 372 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,959 Speaker 1: of dollars depending on which estimate you look at the 373 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:32,119 Speaker 1: Biden campaign, Joe Biden, Democratic former vice former vice president, 374 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: Democratic presidential front runner, Joe Biden's campaign poking some holes 375 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: on it. People to Jed South mean Mayor of Indiana, 376 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:42,280 Speaker 1: people to Jedge also being somewhat critical of of Warren's plan, 377 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,199 Speaker 1: and even Bernie Sanders, who says that he was the 378 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 1: o G of Medicare for All, coming at it from 379 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:53,200 Speaker 1: a much different perspective than Biden, obviously in Buddha Jedge. 380 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:58,120 Speaker 1: But is this going to work in terms of Elizabeth 381 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:03,880 Speaker 1: Warren navigating the crowded Democratic presidential primary field. I mean, listen, uh, 382 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren was always going to be painted as a 383 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 1: tax and spin liberal. Um. I think if she came 384 00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,080 Speaker 1: out with a plan that was half the cost, or 385 00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 1: if she didn't even name a number on the plan, 386 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 1: that's what she was gonna be slapped with. I don't 387 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: think this fundamentally changes the race in any way. I 388 00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: think that we all knew that Elizabeth Warren was gonna 389 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: go big or go home on a on a Medicare 390 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 1: for all plans, just like she's gonna go bigger, go 391 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 1: all on everything because she's all about big structural change. 392 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 1: Let me push you on this job. But does medicare 393 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:37,680 Speaker 1: for all? Is Medicare for all a viable political policy position, 394 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:41,920 Speaker 1: not for a candidates platform, but for the party's platform. 395 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: I am old enough to remember when John Edwards was 396 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 1: careful who I worked for in two thousand and seven, 397 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 1: John Edwards and Elizabeth that words, God Rest her soul 398 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: pushed the Democratic field to the left on what would 399 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 1: become Obamacare. That was a that was an outlier position 400 00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,280 Speaker 1: in a Democratic party twelve year years ago. That was 401 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 1: something that happened in the primary. And that's what primaries 402 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 1: are for their laboratories, where parties decide what their values are. 403 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 1: The Democratic parties deciding what their values are on this. 404 00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: It very well may end up that Medicare for all 405 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 1: is the Democratic position, but they're having a very active 406 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: discussion about it. I think it's healthy. Do union workers 407 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania where I'm from, in Ohio, in Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida. 408 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: Do Union Workers SERI Kim want Medicare for All? Absolutely not. 409 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: I mean, here's here's the two problems with Elizabeth Warren's 410 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,760 Speaker 1: Medicare for All plan. One. Currently the United States healthcare 411 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: system costs fifty one trillion dollars. You implement Elizabeth Warren's 412 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:45,120 Speaker 1: Medicare for All plan fifty four trillion dollars. That's her number, 413 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: that's not my number. And she also writes, when you 414 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,560 Speaker 1: think about pay force and how that works, you're gonna 415 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 1: take a three percent billionaire attacks to six percent. And 416 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,760 Speaker 1: here's why Union workers doesn't like it. You're gonna get 417 00:22:56,840 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 1: rid of all union plans and the federal government it 418 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: that currently has acent waste for an abuse in Medicare, 419 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 1: that currently can't collect six hundred billion dollars worth of 420 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: taxes every year, that currently make sure that million Americans 421 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,359 Speaker 1: doesn't have healthcare, even though Obamacare was passed so that 422 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,800 Speaker 1: every American can have healthcare. That's what you want from 423 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 1: Medicare for All. Hey, I'm happy to have her talk 424 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: about it all day every day, because I want to 425 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: go back to the White House. I I have been 426 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,560 Speaker 1: working in government, in and around government for fifteen years. 427 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 1: I remember when Trent Lott was the majority leader. Okay, 428 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: Republicans in the time that I have been in government 429 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:38,040 Speaker 1: have never articulated a plan around healthcare. Democrats have articulated 430 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: a plan around healthcare that became Obamacare and have now 431 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 1: committed the last and I have now committed the last 432 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,120 Speaker 1: half decade and trying how how to fix and how 433 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 1: to plus up Obamacare. How about Romney Care? Okay? Fine? 434 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:54,960 Speaker 1: Did is that? Is that a stock? Is that a 435 00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 1: Is that a stock Republican position? But also Senator John 436 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: McCain advocated for cross state lines with regards has the 437 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 1: leaders of the Republican Has the leadership of the Republican 438 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:11,320 Speaker 1: Party ever made like healthcare like a priority? No? I 439 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:15,359 Speaker 1: understand the point priority when they want to take all Right, listen, 440 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: let's let's listen to Senator Elizabeth Warren defending her healthcare 441 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: plan because she now is once again having a debate 442 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,720 Speaker 1: on her terms. Whether the Democrats, whether Biden likes it, 443 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: whether Buddha Jedge likes it, Bernie likes it, whether any 444 00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 1: of them like it. She almost said better, he dropped 445 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: off Friday, um. But whether any of them like it, 446 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,679 Speaker 1: her plans are driving the conversation. Her plans are in 447 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: the democratic ecosystem of media. Take a listen to Elizabeth 448 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 1: Warren defending the Medicare for All plans. We are currently 449 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 1: on a path that is going to cost Americans eleven 450 00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 1: trillion dollars over the next ten years. They're going to 451 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,199 Speaker 1: reach in their pockets over and over and over to 452 00:24:55,280 --> 00:25:00,640 Speaker 1: pay deductibles. So they're Senator Elizabeth Warren speaking earlier in Davenpor, Iowa. 453 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 1: And Mayor Pete buddhaj Edge is now emerging as taking 454 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,960 Speaker 1: I guess having sharper elbows now that he's being perceived 455 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 1: or maybe he's trying to perceive himself as the alternative 456 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: to Joe Biden, who really is yet to dip in 457 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 1: national polls. Take a listen to Pete Buddha judge. What 458 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,640 Speaker 1: is just not true is that hers is the only solution, 459 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: this my way or the highway idea that either you're 460 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 1: for kicking everybody off their private plans in four years 461 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,679 Speaker 1: or you're for business as usual. It's just not true. 462 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: I'm proposing medicare for all who wanted That was pee 463 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,919 Speaker 1: Boodha Jedge speaking on ABC this week. Uh, Sarry, what 464 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 1: do you make of Buddha Jedge and his ascent now 465 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: that the race is getting closer to Iowa. I think 466 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 1: the ascent of Pete Buddha speaks to one thing. Ah, 467 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 1: you are seeing a generational gap. You have a seventy 468 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,439 Speaker 1: eight year old and almost eight year old and a 469 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,920 Speaker 1: seventy year old who has top tier. They are talking 470 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 1: about issues that Joel, you, Christine, me, and the forty 471 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:06,360 Speaker 1: million Americans have no concern about. There has to be 472 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: an idea of next generation healthcare, next generation defense, next 473 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: generation foreign affairs. And this is why Andrew Yang is 474 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,040 Speaker 1: the most important voice that people should pay attention to. Well, yeah, 475 00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:20,600 Speaker 1: we talked about him. Peeple to judge Joel Pain as 476 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,040 Speaker 1: an alternative to Joe Biden, who's fundraising numbers have dipped, 477 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:28,200 Speaker 1: whose national polling has not dipped, but has dipped in 478 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,720 Speaker 1: early caucus and primary states. People to judge where is 479 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 1: is he now as a as an alternative to Joe Biden. 480 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 1: I don't fee him an alternative to Joe Biden. I 481 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,520 Speaker 1: view him as a real threat to win the Democratic nomination. 482 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,560 Speaker 1: I the part that I agree with Syrian is that 483 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: his generational him being able to differate, differentiate himself because 484 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:47,879 Speaker 1: he does come from a different generation. That is a 485 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,040 Speaker 1: unique quality that he has in the democratic field. Also, 486 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 1: I do think that somebody who comes from that part 487 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: of the country and who is the political athlete that 488 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: Pete Buddha Judges, and I mean that guy is unbelievable 489 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,880 Speaker 1: on the snump. If you this grout what he's saying, 490 00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 1: he is a virtuoso on the stuff. Yes, he is 491 00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,119 Speaker 1: better than Joe Biden on the stump right now. But 492 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: he obviously has to prove that he can win primaries 493 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: and put together a winning coalition, particularly a coalition that 494 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: includes African American voters. Can he do? I think he can. 495 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: I think I think what a lot of voters, particularly 496 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,480 Speaker 1: African American voters, that those constituencies in the Democratic primary 497 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 1: field are looking for as a winner, and if they 498 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,800 Speaker 1: see somebody who can win in those early states, I 499 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: think that you'll see that thaw in Buddha Judges African 500 00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,600 Speaker 1: American support. You know what else they said, I when 501 00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:36,639 Speaker 1: I covered the crowded primary tech cruises camp would always 502 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,879 Speaker 1: say Trump will never win. Evangelicals and you know what happened? 503 00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: Trump wont evangelicals coming up? What's on the Panel's radar? 504 00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 1: Panels stays, Sarai Kim, Joel Payne. Download the Bloomberg Sound 505 00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 1: On podcast on Apple, it Tunes, at Bloomberg dot com, 506 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: or by downloading the Bloomberg Business App. You can also 507 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 1: find us on Radio dot Com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. 508 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:59,040 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Cerelli, Chief Washington corresponded for Bloomberg Television and 509 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. Are listening to Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Sound 510 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:11,119 Speaker 1: On with Kevin Surley on Bloomberg one and one oh 511 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:15,439 Speaker 1: five point seven FM h D two. I'm Kevin Curreli, 512 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television of Bloomberg Radio. Time 513 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 1: now for what's on the Panel's radar. Sarah Kim's here 514 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 1: Republican strategists. Soon to be a Dallas resident, and I 515 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:31,679 Speaker 1: guess that Dallas Cowboys fan. Let's not talk trash at 516 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: NFC East on my last day in Washington, d C. 517 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: It's about your last day. I mean, my last day 518 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:39,719 Speaker 1: is the last time I come on Bloomberg Radio. It's 519 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 1: the official DC Resident. Thank you. I appreciate that but okay, 520 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 1: I mean it's gonna be our new thing. Now you 521 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 1: kind of are moving to the never mind. Joel Payne, 522 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 1: Democratic strategist, is here. We're gonna do what's on the 523 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 1: panels radar. But I've got to just flag this story 524 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,720 Speaker 1: because President Trump and the administration lost a key court 525 00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,520 Speaker 1: battle and they're gonna take this court is all the 526 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: way to the U. S. Supreme Court. It's about his taxes. Now, 527 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,760 Speaker 1: a court ruling that a compliance company in the financial 528 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 1: services industry is going to have to release the tax 529 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:15,680 Speaker 1: data and records of President Trump. The president's legal team 530 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: saying not so fast. They're gonna appeal this to the 531 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 1: Supreme Court. But we don't know is whether or not 532 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 1: the Supreme Court is going to take up the case. 533 00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 1: But we will be carefully monitoring this. I can tell 534 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 1: you that talk to sources all throughout the past couple 535 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 1: of years who say that President Trump is not going 536 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 1: to give up those tax returns unless the Supreme Court 537 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 1: would would make him do so. So we're monitoring that. 538 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 1: Now it's time for what's on the Panel's radar, Serry, 539 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: what's on your radar? What's on my radar? Is the 540 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 1: latest round on pulling came out in the six quote 541 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: unquote news swing states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Florida, and 542 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,800 Speaker 1: they said that it was all leaning towards Trump. However, 543 00:29:54,840 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 1: they left out the upolupoled Well, oh New York Times, 544 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: am I allowed to say it as a Republican since 545 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: we stop the subscription of the For the record, you're 546 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: the only one laughing, yes, Um, But but they left 547 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:15,760 Speaker 1: out the most important state, Ohio. Since nineteen forty four, 548 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:20,760 Speaker 1: Ohio has correctly predicted every presidential election except for one, 549 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: which was Nixon Kennedy in nineteen sixty. And I think 550 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: maybe the New York Times didn't want to put it 551 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: in because President Trump wont Ohio by eight over Hillary Clinton, 552 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 1: and he is currently leading by double digits a state 553 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: that has seen twenty three point eight billion dollars of 554 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 1: economic growth since he's been elected. I think those numbers 555 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,440 Speaker 1: are hard to beat when even if you look at 556 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,600 Speaker 1: all the other tertiary things like Roger Stone's tild coming out. 557 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,239 Speaker 1: I could nerd out about about polls all day, but 558 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 1: we're gonna leave it there. That's fascinating poll data, Joel, 559 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 1: what's on your radar? Well? Um on the impeachment front, 560 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 1: one of the Juliani kind of to live has agreed 561 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:02,239 Speaker 1: to cooperate with the breaking news, breaking news, as we 562 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: were on the air here, and obviously that's a big deal, 563 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 1: and we were talking earlier about what the game changers 564 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,600 Speaker 1: could be. Listen, something like that could be a game change. 565 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: How what's he gonna say that's different? We don't know. 566 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: I mean, and I'm hearing from my sources on the 567 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 1: Hill that we're gonna get these public hearings sometime around Thanksgiving, which, hey, 568 00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:22,240 Speaker 1: if there's a partial government shutdown, folks, can you imagine 569 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 1: that impeachment hearings, government shutdown Turkey Holiday, It's gonna be 570 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 1: a mess. Here's it is from Reuter's Rudy Giuliani associate 571 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 1: ready to comply with the impeachment probe, according to his attorney, 572 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 1: Leve partisan indicted Ukrainian American businessman who has ties to 573 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:41,320 Speaker 1: President Donald Trump's personal lawyer, Giuliani now prepared to comply 574 00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:47,800 Speaker 1: with requests for records and testimony from Congressional impeachment investigators. 575 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:51,440 Speaker 1: His lawyer told Reuters on Monday, Alright, so Giuliani's people 576 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:55,880 Speaker 1: are now talking, Uh, what's on my radar. I'm gonna 577 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 1: go for it, President shi jing Ping, because again we 578 00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 1: said this earlier, it bears repeating. The markets did not 579 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,479 Speaker 1: blink and they haven't been blinking at all on the 580 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 1: impeachment data. What they are watching as President shi Jingping 581 00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,560 Speaker 1: because he is expected to renew his pledge to open 582 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:15,560 Speaker 1: China's markets as the country inches towards a trade deal 583 00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 1: with US President Donald Trump. That was confidence for the street. President. 584 00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: She spoke at the start of a trade exmo within 585 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 1: the last twelve hours in Shanghai, and this was the 586 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:33,760 Speaker 1: Chinese president's first opportunity to address global investors since the 587 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: world's two largest economies resumed trade talks in September. So 588 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:41,360 Speaker 1: he had a positive rhetorical approach. And let's just go 589 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 1: over some of the key tenants of Phase one of 590 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,600 Speaker 1: the U S. China trade deal. One, China would buy 591 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 1: more agricultural purchases from farmers here in the United States 592 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 1: to the Chinese would open up their financial services sector 593 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 1: to American businesses. And three, and this is a big 594 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: one for both China and the United States, and that 595 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: is that those December mid December tariffs that President Trump 596 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 1: has threatened would be off the table, So we're carefully 597 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: monitoring that obviously political implications. Can you imagine, Sara quickly, 598 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: if President Trump inks that trade deal in Iowa, it's 599 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,520 Speaker 1: gonna happen, Terry Brand, is it gonna happen? Joel? Last word, 600 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 1: it's it might better than sure. Thank you to Saray. Hey, Sarah, 601 00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:32,720 Speaker 1: you're welcome anytime when you're back from Cowboy. There we go. 602 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 1: Can't bring us some barbecue, Joel. Thanks, and I'll see 603 00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 1: in Atlanta. Um, that's it for me. I'm Kevin Sairli 604 00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: Chief watching a correspondent from Bloomberg Television Bloomberg Radio. Don 605 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: Junior is on tomorrow. Tune in Bloomberg