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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five forty Cody five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the Kicks Block the college Football Laura Stunner,

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and bumble the lateral turn

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Speaker 3: a tyre on the inside.

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Speaker 4: Gus La.

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Speaker 1: Cap it off the field the night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the size of the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 3: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. It's the

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Speaker 2: Group of five Deep Dive. I am My Calvary's joined

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Speaker 2: as always by Mike Ianella. We're gonna go through the

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Speaker 2: entire Week eight card in G five Lance hit you

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Speaker 2: with our best. That's art G five heroes of the

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Speaker 2: week kind of mismatching. Here also the round robin where

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Speaker 2: we're going to give you our five picks that you

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Speaker 2: can package together in any way, shape or form, and

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Speaker 2: our underdog money line parlay. So a lot to get

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Speaker 2: to here. A little bit of recap from week seven.

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Speaker 2: It was more of an opportunity for the P four

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Speaker 2: to shine as opposed to the G five, but in

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Speaker 2: terms of our team steaming towards a potential showdown in

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Speaker 2: the Mountain West Conference, Poise wins, UNLV drops a fifty

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Speaker 2: burger on Friday night, so they're moving in the right direction.

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Speaker 2: And Army and Navy now ranked in the AP Top

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Speaker 2: twenty five at the same time for the first time

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Speaker 2: since nineteen sixty. So it's good to see the Service

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Speaker 2: Academy's peaking. I know they've had some advantageous scheduling, but

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Speaker 2: I'm very excited to see what a collision late in

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Speaker 2: the season, maybe in the AAC title game, maybe getting

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Speaker 2: a double dip in Army Navy the following week. The

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Speaker 2: fact of the matter is they are right smack dab

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Speaker 2: in the middle of the chase for the College Football Playoff,

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Speaker 2: getting that G five auto bid, So lots of exciting

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Speaker 2: stuff for us to cover. I know I'll go to

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Speaker 2: you first your thoughts on week seven, and maybe you

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Speaker 2: can kick a right into your hero of the week.

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Speaker 5: My thoughts are I suck and I'm depressed and I'm ashamed.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, no, in all, honest, it sucks.

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Speaker 5: I obviously a terrible week. I think I went over

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Speaker 5: from the show. I've had a bad season. I think

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Speaker 5: you know, I think Stucky does a really good job

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Speaker 5: of this of just you know, kind of encompassing, like, yeah,

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Speaker 5: I get we're supposed to be experts, and we do

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Speaker 5: our best to provide quality handicaps and information. I think

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Speaker 5: anyone who list has listened to us for four years

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Speaker 5: with a test, I think we're pretty good at this. Yeah,

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Speaker 5: it's been a bad year. I mean I think both

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Speaker 5: of us kind of on the show haven't been great

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Speaker 5: like we normally have. I think our best bets have

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Speaker 5: been Okay, we're obviously the two dogs, but yeah, no,

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Speaker 5: I'm having a terrible year, especially on the show, and

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Speaker 5: it sucks and I hate it and it ruins my

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Speaker 5: weekend every week.

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Speaker 2: So you're not jumping into the transfer portal? Is this

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Speaker 2: what you're hitting me with? You're going to another show?

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Speaker 5: No, I just, unlike Trent Dilfer, I'm putting my hand

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Speaker 5: up and I'm taking responsibility and blame. I've been bad

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Speaker 5: and if people want to tell me, I don't blame

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Speaker 5: you at all. I'm going to try to find some

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Speaker 5: winners here. But yeah, it sucked. I'm depressed and the

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Speaker 5: one thing saving me, as always is Army Navy. We've

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Speaker 5: been hyping them up by year G five here of

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Speaker 5: the week, Bryson Daily, Just.

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Speaker 4: Mine, mine too, can't wait, can't wait time flowers.

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Speaker 5: The absolute daily double on the ground, through the air,

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Speaker 5: four touchdowns, rushing, touchdown passing eleven point three yards per carry,

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Speaker 5: fourteen and a half per past.

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Speaker 1: Obviously they smoke Dab, which makes it even sweeter. We

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Speaker 1: love piling on. Trent Dilver is already packing his bags.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned it. Army's twenty third, Navy's rank twenty fifth.

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Speaker 5: Look, our nation has never been safer, other than maybe

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Speaker 5: through the air because the air force stinks. But we

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Speaker 5: have the land and the sea on lockdown, and our

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Speaker 5: nation's enemies are just shaking in their boots watching these

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Speaker 5: two offenses.

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Speaker 1: I said on our playoff show.

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Speaker 5: Army's gonna make theloffs. They're gonna They're gonna go eleven

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Speaker 5: and one. At worst, they can go to They could

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Speaker 5: be nor You're more of a Navy guy. I'm on

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Speaker 5: an Army this year, Bryson Daily.

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Speaker 1: My g five year of the league.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna keep the good times going. Prior to

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Speaker 2: this season, Army hadn't had a player account for five

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Speaker 2: or more touchdowns in a game in twenty nine years.

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Speaker 2: Bryson Daily has now done it twice in less than

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Speaker 2: a month. Like this is how crazy the season is

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Speaker 2: getting for Army. They've now won ten in a row,

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Speaker 2: which extends the longest win streak in America. As you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: the Trent Delfer Farewell tour continues. They just beat the

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Speaker 2: brakes off him forty four to ten in that blow

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Speaker 2: out win over UAB. Love seeing that, also doing more

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Speaker 2: of a deep dive on Daily. It wasn't just a

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Speaker 2: one week wonder. The kid is fourth in QBR in

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Speaker 2: the entire country. ESPN has a metric if you go

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Speaker 2: across and you know filter by some of their tabs,

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Speaker 2: they have a run metric. It's clutch weighted expected points

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Speaker 2: added through rushes by quarterbacks. So you go to the

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Speaker 2: QBR section for them and you click on run. He

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Speaker 2: leads the country. He's ahead of Blake Corvath at Navy

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Speaker 2: as well. And what I also love in situations like this,

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Speaker 2: I had to do a quick deep dive on a

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Speaker 2: personal thing. He's on an engineering track at Army. Not

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Speaker 2: that there's any majors that you can just coast on

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Speaker 2: wall with Army, but he is one of those special

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Speaker 2: kids who is not only an offensive captain, but as

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Speaker 2: someone that has a bit of mystique around him, and

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Speaker 2: as I dug into it, apparently he was a hot

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Speaker 2: head as a kid. He lost his temper regularly, so

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Speaker 2: his grandfather would tell him, cool head, hot heart. He's

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Speaker 2: got that tattooed on his arm. What do we see

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Speaker 2: in this year? He runs the offense absolutely perfectly, but

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Speaker 2: when there's an opportunity for him to be a bowl

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Speaker 2: and just run people over at the goal line, he's

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Speaker 2: an absolute monster. He is a behemoth in red zone opportunities.

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Speaker 2: He's got that hot heart. He's passionate. You can see it.

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Speaker 2: Whenever he scores. Usually there's some subdued celebrations from servicemen.

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Speaker 2: Not when he gets in the end zone, he's pounding

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Speaker 2: his chest. He's chest bumping his offensive line. So Bryson Dally,

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Speaker 2: a big old salute to you as our G five

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Speaker 2: hero of Week seven.

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Speaker 1: He says his grandpa said that, Yes, I like to picture.

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Speaker 5: His grandpa just looks at him, goes cool head, hot heart,

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Speaker 5: and he just yelled, yeah, louse.

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Speaker 1: Gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts, let's.

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Speaker 3: Go play some.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean he's also from Texas, so it makes sense.

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Speaker 2: It all goes together with Friday night lights. Let's hop

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Speaker 2: right into the best bets here in Week eight. So

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go for an over shocker. It's been something

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Speaker 2: I've been addicted to this entire season. I think the

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Speaker 2: worm has finally turned for me. After some bad beats.

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Speaker 2: I think the overtrain is ready to lead the station.

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Speaker 2: Let's start it here. North Texas at Memphis. The total

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Speaker 2: sin at sixty six.

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Speaker 1: And a half.

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Speaker 2: This number is predicated on Memphis's offensive regression in the

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Speaker 2: past few games. But my question here right off the top,

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Speaker 2: is is that a mirage for the Tigers, Because when

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Speaker 2: you look through it against USF they scored twenty one

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Speaker 2: points in an eighteen point victory, only seven points in

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Speaker 2: the final three quarters. That's usually alarm bells for potentially

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Speaker 2: getting off the overtrain. But they missed a field goal

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Speaker 2: in that game, they had two turnovers on downs. They

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Speaker 2: still got close to three hundred and fifty total yards offense.

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Speaker 2: So yes, it was not their best offensive performance, but

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Speaker 2: I think there was a bit of hidden points that

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Speaker 2: were left on the board in that game. The week

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Speaker 2: before that, they scored just twenty four against Middle Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: but They had over four hundred yards of total offense

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Speaker 2: in that one. They also missed a field goal, and

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Speaker 2: they played very conservatively in the second half protecting the lead.

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Speaker 2: Here's what I know about this game against North Texas.

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Speaker 2: North Texas is going to score, so playing not to lose.

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Speaker 2: Playing conservatively is not on the table. The Mean Green

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Speaker 2: are fifth in total offense and score over forty points

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Speaker 2: per game, So Memphis has to bring it everything that

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Speaker 2: they have offensively that perhaps they've been holding back in

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Speaker 2: runaway wins in the past two They now have to

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Speaker 2: leave it all on the table. What I know about

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Speaker 2: North Texas as well is they have eleven scarecrows on defense.

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Speaker 2: It's spooky season, it's Halloween time. They have excel bags

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Speaker 2: of leaves that are decorated as jack landers on their

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Speaker 2: front lawn. This even cks up anybody.

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Speaker 5: We saw last week with my pick, I mean, they

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Speaker 5: made Cam Fancher look like Joe Montana.

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Speaker 2: Their pass epa one hundred and fifth one hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixth and tackling per PFF one hundred and thirty third

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Speaker 2: in pass rush. They can't get to the quarterback, which

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Speaker 2: unsurprisingly they're bottom fifteen to Havoc This is the remedy

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Speaker 2: for the Memphis offense of Blues. They're gonna get off

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Speaker 2: the mat and they're gonna be able to run, They're

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Speaker 2: gonna be able to pass. There's gonna be lots of

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Speaker 2: time for Seth Hennigan in this game. And then finally,

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Speaker 2: tempo is so important when you're going over a high

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Speaker 2: number like this. Sitting in the mid sixties, Memphis twelfth

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Speaker 2: in plays per game. North Texas snaps it every twenty

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Speaker 2: three point three seconds of game action, which is the

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Speaker 2: fourteenth fastest in the entire country. My numbers call for

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Speaker 2: this total to be it seventy one or seventy one

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Speaker 2: and a half, so almost a full touchdown worth of value.

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Speaker 2: I'm going over here, what are your thoughts? Having watched

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Speaker 2: a lot of North Texas games, doesn't this scream over

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Speaker 2: to you?

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Speaker 1: Yep?

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Speaker 5: This was one of the ones I kind of was

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Speaker 5: toying with. I didn't write it down, but I had

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Speaker 5: it toyed with coming to the show. I think it's

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Speaker 5: one of those ones too. Where again, as I mentioned,

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Speaker 5: you know, maybe not. We haven't had the best year.

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Speaker 5: This is one of those bets for even if it

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Speaker 5: doesn't cash a you'll be like, I'm glad I watched

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Speaker 5: that game. It was fun and like it might lose,

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Speaker 5: but you won't feel stupid after, Like you know, you

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Speaker 5: take like an Iowa Minnesota over because the number is

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Speaker 5: too low, and then you watch it and it's ten

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Speaker 5: to three and you're.

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Speaker 1: Like, why the hell did I bet that over?

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Speaker 5: Like this is one of the ones, Like even if

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Speaker 5: it loses, you'll be like, you know what, I would

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Speaker 5: probably take it again because it was fine and they're

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Speaker 5: great offenses and like it should hit.

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Speaker 1: So this is gonna be a fun watch. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be exciting game.

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Speaker 2: I agree with you.

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Speaker 5: I think you mentioned everything we've seen North Texas offense

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Speaker 5: and their defense. We know what we're gonna get from there.

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Speaker 5: And I think Memphis Memphis feels like they just still

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Speaker 5: have another gear to hit. And sure if this loses,

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Speaker 5: it's because it the same thing. Have they hope have

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Speaker 5: four hundred yards passing and only two touchdowns and you're like,

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Speaker 5: what the hell happened? But if they switch, flip the switch,

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Speaker 5: this go they score fifty and this goes over easily.

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Speaker 1: So I like it.

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Speaker 5: I'll play it with you as well, going to my

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Speaker 5: best bet look, as I said, if you want to

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Speaker 5: tell me this week, go for it if you want to,

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Speaker 5: if you're sticking with me and your ride or dying.

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Speaker 5: I appreciate the loyalty, especially because I'm taking Tulsa plus

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Speaker 5: three against Temple.

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Speaker 2: It was cutting room floor for me. I almost did it.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, like the only way to get out of

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Speaker 5: a hot streak is to just dig yourself deeper into

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Speaker 5: the sewer or get out of cold streak. There are

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Speaker 5: only three or four teams in the country. The Temple

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Speaker 5: should be favored over it.

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Speaker 1: And I don't think Tulsa is one of them.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned earlier this year how Tosa has been more

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Speaker 5: heave then we thought, yeah, it was by thirty every week,

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Speaker 5: but their.

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Speaker 1: Schedule has been really hard.

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Speaker 5: They certainly aren't a good team, but they are better

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Speaker 5: than Temple pretty much across the board. Tulsa is ninety

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Speaker 5: seventh and yards for play, Temple's one hundred and twenty sixth. Defensively,

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Speaker 5: the Golden Hurricanes are ninety fourth in success rate, the

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Speaker 5: Owls are ninety eight, so it's like they're not good,

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Speaker 5: but Temple's just worse. Tolsta has been strong against the

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Speaker 5: run this year, and Temple can't run the ball at all.

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Speaker 5: So that's kind of taking away that aspect of the

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Speaker 5: game is not gonna be a problem. That's not gonna

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Speaker 5: be exist in this game. And the Owls, you know,

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Speaker 5: they showed some life with Evan Simon taking over at quarterback.

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Speaker 5: He helped us cash that over against Army, one of

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Speaker 5: the big overs you did hit. And he hasn't played

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Speaker 5: since Forrest Brock started last week against Yukon. He continues

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Speaker 5: to be terrible. Now Simon has been cleared to play

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Speaker 5: this week, but Drayden came out and said he's unsure

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Speaker 5: who will start because Simon hasn't thrown a ball in

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Speaker 5: three weeks. So not the most brimming of confidence from that.

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Speaker 5: And you know, Tulsa continues to use multiple quarterbacks, which

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Speaker 5: I typically don't love, but they kind of have a

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Speaker 5: good system going where Kirk Francis is the passer, Cooper

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Speaker 5: Legatt is the runner, and the Golden Hurricane have actually

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Speaker 5: run the ball pretty well this season. They're averaging four

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Speaker 5: point nine yards for Kerry, Anthony Watkins, Bill Jackson.

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Speaker 1: They both looked good running the ball.

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Speaker 5: I got eighty one yards in a touchdown on the

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Speaker 5: ground against Army in their last game out. Both these

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Speaker 5: teams are coming off of bye, so no real rest

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Speaker 5: advantage there. But I think Tulsa has more pieces to

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Speaker 5: plan for. You know, they have Benjamin, they have the

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Speaker 5: running backs, they have the two quarterbacks, where Temple's entire

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Speaker 5: offense is just Dante Wright, so you basically had two

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Speaker 5: weeks to try to take him out, where Temple has

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Speaker 5: to try to take out four or five guys. So

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Speaker 5: you know, Donte Wright has forty two catches for Temple,

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Speaker 5: their next closest receiver has eleven. He's their whole team.

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Speaker 5: Take him out, win the game. They're two bad teams.

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Speaker 1: Give me this.

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Speaker 5: I mean, first of all, you were in the Eagles

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Speaker 5: hat wink. Your financial field is zero home field advantage

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Speaker 5: for Temple. So there are two bad teams. You're giving

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Speaker 5: me three points.

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Speaker 1: I'll take them. I'm taking the Golden Hurricane here.

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Speaker 2: I'm glad you brought up that final point. There is

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Speaker 2: zero home field damage whatsoever. They will be friends and

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Speaker 2: family and then probably six hundred people at this game.

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Speaker 2: My directly connected my.

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Speaker 5: Best friend as I was two years old, went to Temple,

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Speaker 5: now works for Temple, lives like three blocks from Temple

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Speaker 5: and I always texting, you know, you.

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Speaker 1: And me were talking.

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Speaker 5: I'm like, hey, you know they play a Thursday or

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Speaker 5: Friday night game. I'm like, hey, you want to go

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Speaker 5: a Temple game? And he's like, god, no, love sports,

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Speaker 5: like huge sports fanatic, Just like, no, it's Friday night.

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Speaker 1: Did I'm not going to the Temple game. Okay.

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Speaker 2: It's a tough show, particularly with this team with this offense,

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Speaker 2: as you point out Dante Wright appointment television. But if

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Speaker 2: they can just double him in this game and you know,

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Speaker 2: at least hold him under one hundred yards receiving, I

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Speaker 2: think you're on the right side of this. As I

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Speaker 2: mentioned Golden Hurricane. We're just on my list, not quite

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Speaker 2: making it here.

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Speaker 6: In Week eight, shout out to our Action Network colleague

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Speaker 6: Sean Zarillo, who had another great year in baseball, finishing

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Speaker 6: the MLB regular season up more than twenty five units.

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Speaker 6: And with Action Pro, you get instant notifications every time

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Speaker 6: Zarillo or any of our Action experts make a pick

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Speaker 6: in the Action app Just is it actionnetwork dot Com

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Speaker 6: Slash Pro and use the promo code October for fifteen

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Speaker 6: percent off an Action Pro subscription. That's fifteen percent off

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Speaker 6: at actionnetwork dot com slash pro with the promo code October,

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Speaker 6: and be sure to check out Sean every week talking

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Speaker 6: MLB playoffs.

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Speaker 2: On the Payoff Pitch podcast. All right, we now turn

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Speaker 2: to the G five High five.

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Speaker 3: The G five High five should be high five high

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Speaker 3: five five picks.

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Speaker 2: Put them together in a round robin and put it

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Speaker 2: in a parlay. Just pick out your favorite, throw some

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Speaker 2: money down on that. However you want to dice these

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Speaker 2: picks up and sprinkle them all over your Saturday and

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Speaker 2: in some cases weekday card, feel free to do. So.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to get things started here. I'm doing three

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Speaker 2: of the five picks, So I got to bring my

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Speaker 2: a game, and I'm gonna start with a team that's

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Speaker 2: I still think we're buying low on them. I think

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Speaker 2: they can get it together in the Sun Belt, and

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Speaker 2: that's Arkansas State laying a touchdown at Southern Miss. Southern

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Speaker 2: Miss has quit, all right, four straight double digit losses.

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Speaker 2: South Florida got right against them, drop forty nine points. Otherwise,

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Speaker 2: South Lord has been a mess this season. Jacksonville State's

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Speaker 2: taking flight after beating them forty four to seven. Even

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Speaker 2: ul Monroe crushed them by seventeen points. They laid it

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Speaker 2: on in the fourth quarter, moving away from them late

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Speaker 2: in that game. This is the team that you need

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Speaker 2: to play to feel better about your offense. One guarantee

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Speaker 2: of this play is that when Arkansas State gets in

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Speaker 2: the red zone, they're going to score. When they're up

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Speaker 2: against Southern Miss, this is a defense that gives up

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Speaker 2: scores on eighty seven percent of opponent trips inside of

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Speaker 2: their twenty. That's bottom fifteen in the entire country. You

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Speaker 2: know what else, They're bottom fifteen in coverage in the

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Speaker 2: red zone. They really struggle in pass coverage in those

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Speaker 2: tight windows. And this is important for an Arkansas State

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Speaker 2: offense that is just eightieth in quality drives. They don't

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Speaker 2: have a ton of opportunities on the season, so when

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Speaker 2: they get in there, they can't waste them. And against

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Speaker 2: Southern Miss, I think this is the team to take

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Speaker 2: advantage of them. Both Back up a second, why are

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Speaker 2: we getting this price? Because when I first saw it,

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Speaker 2: I was like, is this a trap? This feels a

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Speaker 2: little bit trappy against the Golden Eagles here, Well, Arkansas

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Speaker 2: State's been blown out by Iowa State, who's now ninth

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Speaker 2: in the country. By the way by Texas State, who

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Speaker 2: could very well win the Sun Belt. I think that's

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Speaker 2: an overreaction by the public to them getting their brains

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Speaker 2: beaten in really left and right for the past month.

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Speaker 2: They still have weapons like Jalen Rainer Jaquez Cross, who

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Speaker 2: just went off by the way against Texas State. I

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Speaker 2: know they got blown out in the second half of

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Speaker 2: that game, but he finished with one hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: five all purpose yards and that's critical for a Red

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Speaker 2: Wolves team that needs him to be both a threat

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Speaker 2: in the run game and the pass game. Corey Rutgers

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Speaker 2: still has three games on this season with six or

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Speaker 2: more receptions, so he's still a viable threat as their

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Speaker 2: top wide receiver. This is going to be a bowl

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Speaker 2: team in my opinion. I think they're going to get

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Speaker 2: it together, and the messaging is important on that front

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Speaker 2: because I said at the top, Southern Miss has that

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Speaker 2: quick factor going for him. On the other side, Arkansas State,

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Speaker 2: they got to look at themselves and say, the brutality

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Speaker 2: of our schedule, all those paycheck games that's behind us.

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Speaker 2: We have clear cut opportunities for wins ahead of US.

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Speaker 2: Southern Miss in this game, Troy and Old Dominion, they

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Speaker 2: win those three games. Over the next six weeks, they're

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Speaker 2: going bowling and that's to start here. So I think

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Speaker 2: you're going to get premium effort out of the Red

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Speaker 2: Wolves and one final nugg that I love when hoping

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Speaker 2: to avoid a backdoor cover. Southern Miss is dead last

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty fourth nationally in havoc allowed. That

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Speaker 2: means tackles for lost sacks, forced fumbles, interceptions, they're all

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Speaker 2: on the table every single snap. So there's a chance

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Speaker 2: for this to snowball away from Southern Miss. That's why

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Speaker 2: I'm not afraid to lay seven here. I'd lay up

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Speaker 2: to ten. What are your thoughts on Butch Jones? Butch

380
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Speaker 2: better have our money? Am I right?

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Speaker 1: Butch better have my money? Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I've been high on Arkansas State all year. You know,

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Speaker 5: they haven't come through for us a couple of times.

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Speaker 1: But I'm with you.

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Speaker 5: I still think there's enough talent in that offense and

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Speaker 5: on that team. And you mentioned that they quit watch

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Speaker 5: on Southern Miss. Yeah, I think I think our boy

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Speaker 5: will haul's days or number.

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Speaker 1: I think it's one of those teams.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 1: I'll say something nice about Southern Miss.

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Speaker 5: Frank Gore made his NFL debut Monday night for the Bills,

393
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Speaker 5: which is cool. I don't think you got to carry,

394
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Speaker 5: but he did play, was active, which was cool to see.

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Speaker 5: And I think we've seen you know, Frank Gore did

396
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Speaker 5: so much for that team. He was the human break

397
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Speaker 5: glass in case of emergency, and they did on every play.

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Speaker 5: He played quarterback, he played running back, he played receiver.

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Speaker 5: He covered up so many holes on this team and

400
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Speaker 5: probably gave Willhaul an extra two years. But like just

401
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 5: by sheer Will and now he's gone, and I think

402
00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:08,560
Speaker 5: it shows, and they're just by losing him, they're basically

403
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Speaker 5: worse at three positions. So I think it's really really showing.

404
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Speaker 5: So yeah, I like it all right for my pick. Look,

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Speaker 5: I'm very curious to see your take on this one.

406
00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,879
Speaker 5: You're either gonna love it or hate it. I know

407
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Speaker 5: we talked about this Army offense and how good they are.

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Speaker 2: You're going East Carolina.

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Speaker 5: No, No, I'm going under fifty one and a half

410
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Speaker 5: because let's not sleep on this Black Knight's defense.

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Speaker 1: They have yet to.

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Speaker 5: Allow more than fourteen points all season. They have allowed

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Speaker 5: over three hundred, three hundred totally yards in a game

414
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Speaker 5: once and it was three hundred and three last week.

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Speaker 2: Sure giving games down.

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Speaker 5: They are giving up nine point eight points per game.

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Speaker 5: That is second in the country only to Texas, who

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Speaker 5: is the number one team in the country. Army is

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Speaker 5: fifth in the nation at preventing explosiveness. They just do

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Speaker 5: not give up big plays. You have to move the

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Speaker 5: ball down the field so insteadily and I am not

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Speaker 5: a fan of this East Carolina offense. I've been down

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Speaker 5: in ECU kind of a year. Jake Garcia was just

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Speaker 5: a walking turnover.

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Speaker 2: He was.

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Speaker 5: He threw twelve interceptions this year, got benched for Kateen Houser,

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Speaker 5: and his first start, Howser went a glorious eleven for

428
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Speaker 5: twenty eight That is a thirty nine percent completion rate

429
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Speaker 5: for eighty four yards in a pick. He was very inaccurate.

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Speaker 5: Last year at Michigan State. He had six touchdowns five interceptions,

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Speaker 5: and again he couldn't beat out Garcia. So I don't

432
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Speaker 5: think he's the answer. They can't really run the ball either.

433
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Speaker 5: I don't know how they're going to score on this

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Speaker 5: Army defense. But the one thing East Carolina is very

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Speaker 5: very good at stopping the run. They are fifth in

436
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 5: the country at rushing success rate on defense, they were

437
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 5: allowing just three point four yards per carry. We saw

438
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,359
Speaker 5: last year they held Navy to ten points and allowed

439
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,359
Speaker 5: just one hundred and seventy four rushing yards on fifty carries.

440
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:56,119
Speaker 5: Twenty twenty two, it was twenty three to twenty and

441
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,439
Speaker 5: Navy had one hundred and ninety one rushing yards on

442
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:02,040
Speaker 5: sixty six carries. This run defense is very, very good,

443
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 5: and I just don't trust the Pirates to score on

444
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,719
Speaker 5: this defense. And as long as they just don't, you know,

445
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:10,280
Speaker 5: keep turning the ball over and giving Army short fields.

446
00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:12,800
Speaker 5: You mentioned Army's gonna show the scheme down. They're gonna

447
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 5: limit possessions, They're gonna I think they stay under this

448
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 5: number unless they're throwing up pick six is like, I don't.

449
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:19,080
Speaker 1: I still.

450
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:20,639
Speaker 5: I mean it's a big number to lay of the

451
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 5: Service Academy, But I mean, what's the final score here,

452
00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 5: thirty to ten? Like, I don't think ECU can score here,

453
00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 5: and I think Armies run our ECUs run defense can

454
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 5: do just enough to kind of not let Armies score

455
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:33,120
Speaker 5: fifty by themselves.

456
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,600
Speaker 2: Well, you inspired me with one Service Academy play in

457
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 2: a way here, I'm gonna go it's been a while

458
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,119
Speaker 2: I've been keeping this on the shelf. I wanted to

459
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 2: do it. I wanted to go back to the future

460
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 2: with Biff bust out the craze sports Almana and see

461
00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:47,520
Speaker 2: if I can get a win.

462
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 1: You see this book.

463
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 3: This book tells the future, tells the results of every

464
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:56,000
Speaker 3: major sports event till the end of the century, football, baseball,

465
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:57,880
Speaker 3: horse races, boxing.

466
00:19:58,359 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 1: The information in here is worth million.

467
00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 2: Rip your sleeves off, Rip my sleeves off. I'm doing it.

468
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:07,159
Speaker 2: I'm going Charlotte plus seventeen at Navy. Welcome to de

469
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 2: Sean Purdy Era. Last two starts Charlotte two and zero.

470
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,679
Speaker 2: You got to queue up the coach from Major League.

471
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 1: We won a game yesterday. If we win one today,

472
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 1: that's two in a row.

473
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 2: We win one tomorrow.

474
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 1: That's call a winning streak.

475
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 2: Two money line upsets in a row. In those two games,

476
00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,919
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers have scored seventy six points and

477
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 2: ran up eight hundred and twenty one yards of total offense.

478
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,159
Speaker 2: The running game has really popped against ECU. They have

479
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 2: three hundred and eleven on the ground and six touchdowns.

480
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,399
Speaker 2: Holy moly, what a performance there. Can they move it

481
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 2: on the ground against Navy. This is the question. The

482
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 2: Middies are seventy fourth in RUSHYPA. They're outside of the

483
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,680
Speaker 2: top one hundred in stuff for eight. Thank you. Pat

484
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 2: tip to Colin Wilson for his exhaustive spreadsheet with every

485
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 2: single cistical nugget you'd want to find, so on paper,

486
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 2: Navy definitely not world beaters in the box when they

487
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 2: faced off again, it's a really strong running game. Don't

488
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 2: forget that Memphis game that launched their whole season and

489
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 2: put them in a conversation to make it to the

490
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: College Fable Playoff. They still get up two hundred and

491
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 2: seventy four yards and four scores on the ground in

492
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,680
Speaker 2: that game. Huge chunk runs left and right. Charlotte is

493
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,280
Speaker 2: a far cry from Memphis, I know, but they're simply

494
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 2: playing so much better offensively with Perdy as the starter.

495
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 2: Could we see Max Brown in this game maybe? Could

496
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 2: we see Trexler Ivy in this game? Perhaps? But Ivy

497
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: is flashed at times this season, so if it's him

498
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 2: and Purdy and they mix and match, I feel okay

499
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,800
Speaker 2: with that. This play is not predicated on excellent quarterback play.

500
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 2: Party even in the wins, hasn't had to do all

501
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,119
Speaker 2: that much with his arm. Not a huge threat the

502
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 2: freshman out of Baltimore with his legs. But I still

503
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 2: like what's happening with this team because they've been downtrodden

504
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 2: for so long. Once you get to three wins where

505
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 2: they're sitting right now, all of a sudden Bowl eligibility

506
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:51,440
Speaker 2: doesn't look crazy, and you're up against a Navy team

507
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 2: where there's limited possessions. Navy's gonna shrink this game down,

508
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 2: so any turnover that you catch when you're catching seventeen points,

509
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 2: that becomes magnified Against Service Academy, Charlotte is dead even

510
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 2: a turnover margin on the season, but when you look

511
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 2: at what they've done defensively, they're top forty in HAVOC,

512
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 2: so I think they're due for a little bit of

513
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 2: positive regression in terms of the turnover margin. And finally,

514
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 2: I wanted to put this out there. I've been banging

515
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 2: the drum for Army and Navy all year, but now

516
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,680
Speaker 2: there's a half season worth of film on Drew Chronick's

517
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 2: wing T triple option hybrid and Charlotte isn't a complete

518
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 2: mess against the run as they've been in previous years.

519
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 2: They're inside the top one hundred and rush success defense, lineyards,

520
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,919
Speaker 2: stuff rate rush EPA. Like I said, I don't expect

521
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 2: them to shut down this Navy team. All I need

522
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,679
Speaker 2: is one or two turnovers in a game that's going

523
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 2: to have limited possessions. I think seventeams too many. We've

524
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: talked about it for years. Nobody really feels comfortable with

525
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 2: a triple team, a Service Academy team laying huge numbers

526
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,640
Speaker 2: north of two touchdowns. They've been covering left and right.

527
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 2: I think this is when they finally get bit. The

528
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 2: forty nine ers make this a four quarter battle. I'll

529
00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:55,640
Speaker 2: take Navy by ten in this game, and I think

530
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,880
Speaker 2: they steam ahead closer to that AAC title game Berth.

531
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 2: But I think Charlotte is now officially pesky. They're feisty.

532
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 2: Give me the seventeen and forty nine ers.

533
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 3: Yeah.

534
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: Like I said, I like what Biff's doing.

535
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 5: You know, I bet over three and a half wins

536
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,160
Speaker 5: at the start of the year, so I only needed

537
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,959
Speaker 5: that one more. I don't think it comes here, but

538
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 5: I don't hate to play. I think you remember two

539
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 5: back to the preseason when Biff came out before their

540
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,880
Speaker 5: opener and said like fifty percent of their starters were hurt.

541
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 5: They were probably gonna miss two to three weeks most

542
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 5: of them. All right, those two three weeks are going

543
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 5: and they've won what three of their last four games,

544
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 5: So you mentioned, you know, it's not just like they

545
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 5: madually started gating Bears.

546
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: No, they were hurt.

547
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 5: They started getting guys healthy. Most of those injuries were

548
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 5: on the offensive and defensive line, so they got I mean,

549
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 5: obviously they lost Max Brown after the fact, but I

550
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 5: think you've seen the offensive line and defensive line really

551
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 5: shore up as the season's going on. They brought in

552
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 5: a bunch of Power five transfers. Those guys were hurt.

553
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: Now they're playing. Now they're now they're they're looking good.

554
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 1: I know, like you know math and trends.

555
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 5: Obviously, you know, I think Stocky's been banging the drum

556
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,640
Speaker 5: for years about like a Service Academy laying over you know,

557
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 5: fourteen and then on the flip side, take them if

558
00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 5: they're a dog. I would say that Army Navy looks

559
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,920
Speaker 5: so good this year that I'm not playing that principle.

560
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 5: It does scare me away how good they've looked, So

561
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 5: I'm not playing Charlotte but I'm also I'm not paying

562
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 5: Army or Navy this week. I haven't played them, I

563
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 5: think the last two weeks because of the same number. Yeah,

564
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 5: so I would say if I I'm not gonna play

565
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,120
Speaker 5: with you, But if I had to pick a side,

566
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 5: I would pick Charlotte as well.

567
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: But maybe just scares me. But I think you're on

568
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: the right side.

569
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 5: All right, I'm going to another kind of gross one,

570
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 5: but hopefully not as gross. Kind of same logic with

571
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 5: the Tulsa pick. Give me New Mexico minus one and

572
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:31,440
Speaker 5: a half against Utah State.

573
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 1: Utah State's terrible.

574
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 5: Their defense is horrific against FBS teams this year. They

575
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 5: have allowed forty eight, thirty eight, forty five, sixty two,

576
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 5: and fifty points. Temple scored forty five points on them.

577
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 5: They rank one hundred and thirty first in total defense,

578
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 5: one hundred and thirty second in scoring defense. They're in

579
00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 5: the bottom ten against the past, bottom ten against the rush.

580
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 5: And this New Mexico offense, you've been on this train

581
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,560
Speaker 5: all year has been pretty good. With the human highlight reel,

582
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:08,360
Speaker 5: Devin Dan Pierre, he is awesome to watch. The Lobos

583
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 5: are thirty eighth in the country, in success. Right on offense,

584
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 5: dam Pier has thrown the ball pretty well minus the turnovers.

585
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 5: He definitely has to clean that up, but his biggest

586
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 5: strength is his legs, and he leads the team with

587
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,880
Speaker 5: sixty three point seven rush yards per game eight rushing scores.

588
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,880
Speaker 5: Mexico has three really good running backs that they us

589
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 5: all have at least thirty yards per game. Eli Standers

590
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 5: is lead back there. They have averaged seven point five

591
00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 5: yards for play in each of the last two games.

592
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 5: They put up back to back fifty burgers. This offense

593
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,479
Speaker 5: is cooking right now. We know Bronco Mendenhall is a

594
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 5: terrific coach. We have years at multiple schools of evidence

595
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 5: of that. His team has looked better and better each week.

596
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 5: I think they're going to continue to build momentum. And

597
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 5: Utah State is officially on Capitol Q quit watch. I

598
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 5: think they've given up. We talked about it last week.

599
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 5: Coach gets fired in this summer. They have an room

600
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 5: coach that they barely know. This team's given up. I

601
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 5: really like New Mexico. I love Bronco. I like what

602
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 5: they're doing here. If it's gonna give another fifty burger,

603
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:09,800
Speaker 5: I find it hard to believe their offense is going

604
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 5: to keep up here?

605
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,679
Speaker 2: Did you have any interest in the absurdly high total

606
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 2: even rich for my blood, it's seventy eight and a half.

607
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:17,440
Speaker 2: Did you think about going over?

608
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: Oh?

609
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,880
Speaker 5: God, no, because like if it goes over, it's because

610
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 5: New Mexico scores sixty.

611
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: So I'll just take them. Maybe take their team total.

612
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 5: If you're worried about Utah State's offense all of a

613
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 5: sudden humming, take the New Mexico team total.

614
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, my recommendation here because it was a lean for

615
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:34,920
Speaker 2: me on New Mexico. If you're in a state where

616
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 2: you can play player props and same game parlays, take

617
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 2: over on Royals for Utah State. That's where all the

618
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 2: passes go. And go ahead and take over on the

619
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: team total and lay the points with New Mexico. See

620
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 2: what that spits out and you.

621
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 5: Do most like books offer like boosts or free plays

622
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,400
Speaker 5: for three games to throw, throw like a damn pier

623
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,920
Speaker 5: anytime touchdown, dampier anytime touchdown. New Mexico team total, Royals

624
00:26:58,960 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 5: receiving yards over.

625
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 1: That's a pretty good parla. All right.

626
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 2: I'll close out the G five to high five fading

627
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 2: one of the worst teams in the FBS, not just

628
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 2: this year, but arguably in the last twenty years of

629
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 2: college football. Talking about the Kent State Golden Flashes going

630
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 2: to Bowling Green, Bowling Green took the money, They got

631
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,639
Speaker 2: beat up. They threw a huge scare into Penn State early.

632
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,440
Speaker 2: They get knocked around at A and M. They've made

633
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 2: it out of the early portion of their season, but

634
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,640
Speaker 2: the wins aren't stacking up just yet. So I've been

635
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 2: waiting to play the Falcons. They're laying twenty one here.

636
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 2: This is simple. According to Leffler, their head coach Bazlac

637
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 2: is day to day better than anticipated. He said, they'll

638
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 2: know more at the end of the week. Hold off,

639
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,720
Speaker 2: even if this line moves up to twenty four twenty

640
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,199
Speaker 2: four and a half, make sure that you secure the

641
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:47,719
Speaker 2: information that Beazlac is starting, because if he does, I

642
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 2: think this offense will lay up Kent State. The Golden

643
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 2: Flashes are the only team in the SBS NP plus

644
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,120
Speaker 2: according to Bill Conley, outside of the top one hundred

645
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,479
Speaker 2: and thirty in both offense and defense. They almost made

646
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 2: it a clean sweep. Their special teams is sitting at

647
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty ninth shout out to Stucky with

648
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 2: max Special Teams. I love Bill Conley. I love the

649
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 2: work that he does. He puts together the top two

650
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:10,720
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty four. That's every level of college table

651
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 2: played in America. So all the way at the top,

652
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 2: he got Texas, all the way at two hundred and

653
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:17,480
Speaker 2: sixty four, he got something called crown. You know where

654
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,880
Speaker 2: Kent is rated one hundred and ninety fifth behind Division

655
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 2: two Washita Baptist in Arkadelphia, Arkansas. That is how bad

656
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 2: Kent State is this year. And I know that Tommy

657
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 2: Yulatowski got plenty of love in Van Pelt's bad Beat

658
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,399
Speaker 2: segment from last week. Kent scored twenty one points in

659
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter, much of it in the final few minutes,

660
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 2: but so much of that was a wash in penalty.

661
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 2: These broken plays pure luck. The defense for ball State

662
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 2: got a stop, they had a roughing the passer, they

663
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:48,120
Speaker 2: had this absurd catch and run. All this nonsense. Critically,

664
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 2: Bowling Green can stop the pass their thirty eighth in

665
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 2: passing success rate on defense thirty eighth or thirty sixth

666
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 2: in pass EPA. This is their one trick pony in

667
00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: terms of what Kent State's going to do. They're going

668
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: to be playing from behind their to throw it a

669
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 2: lot with Ultowski. I like the fact that that's a

670
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: strength of the Falcons, whereas I'll probably fade them in

671
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 2: other spots in MAC play because of their issues on

672
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:10,760
Speaker 2: the ground. You can move Bowling green in the front,

673
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 2: you can open up holes. Ken is awful in that regard.

674
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and thirtieth in run blocking and I'm

675
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 2: matching one hundred and thirtieth in run success all according

676
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 2: to Pro Football Focus. Like I said, this is a

677
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 2: bad draw for Kent State in this spot. If these

678
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 2: lack as a go, like I said, lay up to

679
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 2: twenty four and a half. Go with the Falcons.

680
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:27,640
Speaker 3: Right.

681
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 2: We'll close out now with the G five underdog money

682
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 2: line parlay.

683
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 1: Where is mine?

684
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 2: Oh?

685
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 1: Where is mine? Oh?

686
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 2: We had some hits early. It's time to get the

687
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 2: band back together and play some hits. Would you like

688
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: to go first? Let's mix it up this week. What

689
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 2: are you adding to it?

690
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,560
Speaker 1: You mentioned it. We gotta play some hits, and sometimes

691
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 1: you just gotta start with old faithful.

692
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 5: Start with a classics, Start with a timeless piece that

693
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 5: everyone knows and everyone loves, So I'm gonnachieve a little

694
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 5: bit here. You're greater, David Enter, some boot drops here,

695
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 5: this man, give me Buffalo plus one hundred.

696
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,280
Speaker 2: You call okay, sure? Sure?

697
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 5: At home against Western Michigan. Look, Buffalo has beaten Northern

698
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 5: Illinois and Toledo, two of the favorites to in the MAC.

699
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 5: Western Michigan has beaten Buthune, Cookman, Ball State and Akron.

700
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,920
Speaker 5: Why are they favorite on the road here? You talked

701
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 5: about last week the coaching upgrade with Pete Lambo coming

702
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 5: in against Toledo, and that showed clear as day they

703
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 5: were what fourteen point dogs?

704
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 1: Went outright? Really a never in doubt game either.

705
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 5: Cj Agbana is running this offense so much better than

706
00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:40,160
Speaker 5: Cole Snyder did last year. He isn't as dynamic as

707
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 5: the passer, but he protects the football just one interception

708
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,680
Speaker 5: this year. He's dangerous with his legs. He just operates

709
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 5: the offense, does his job protect the football. They have

710
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 5: two good backs and Henderson and Birksdale, and the Western

711
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 5: Michigan defense has not been good at all. They are

712
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty ninth in the country in success

713
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 5: right on defense, they gave up forty two points to

714
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 5: Ball State, who like can't as twenty four to AC

715
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 5: ran over six yards per play in both games. And

716
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 5: this Buffalo defense has been very good.

717
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 1: You were all over it last year.

718
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 5: They're in the top half or last week they were

719
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 5: in the top half of the country in success rate.

720
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 5: We've talked at length about Sean Sean Dolak dominating in

721
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 5: the middle of that defense at linebacker. They have a

722
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 5: really good secondary. They're fourth in the country and tackling

723
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 5: sixth in coverage grade at Pro Football Focus. And other

724
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 5: than getting boat raced by the absolute wagon that is Yukon,

725
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 5: they have not allowed more than twenty points in three

726
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 5: of the last four games. So the Bulls are undefeated

727
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 5: in conference play. I think that continues here at home

728
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 5: against Broncos.

729
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: You know, it's an overused cliche or slang, you know,

730
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,240
Speaker 2: putting the clamps on somebody putting an offense in the box.

731
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 2: If you're top ten in coverage and your top ten

732
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 2: in tackling, that's putting the clamps on people. They're just

733
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:52,479
Speaker 2: they're so fundamentally sound. The coaching shines through, and I

734
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: agree this is just one of those teams that for

735
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 2: whatever reason, the public's never behind Every conference has one

736
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 2: of these, and in the MAC, you would think that

737
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 2: there shouldn't be any teams that are negatively looked upon

738
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 2: from a public perspective, because they're all kind of looked

739
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 2: down upon. But for some reason, Buffalo continues with this,

740
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:10,280
Speaker 2: let's just take advantage of it.

741
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 5: I've never had a more profitable run than betting every

742
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 5: single week. On twenty nineteen, twenty twenty, Buffalo with it

743
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,479
Speaker 5: was Tyree Jackson was a quarterback, and thinking twenty nineteen,

744
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 5: that's just when Lipol was the quarterback and they had

745
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 5: little Jarrett Patterson running for like four hundred yards a game.

746
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 1: They were dogs in like every game. They ended up

747
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: going to the MAC that I believe they lost to. No,

748
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: they'ren Illinois in the MAC Championship game.

749
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 5: But I bet on them every single week and just

750
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 5: Jarrett Patterson, just my sweet baby boy.

751
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: Oh god, I love that team so much.

752
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: All Right, we didn't coordinate this, but if you cheated

753
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 2: a little bit and you went with a team that's

754
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 2: not much I mean, technically they're an underdog, I'm gonna

755
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 2: go with a bigger swing. I'm gonna go for a

756
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 2: team that as zero wins on the whole season.

757
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 1: Why are you doing this?

758
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 2: Because you know what I feel it. It's time for

759
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 2: our brothers and sisters in West Texas to bang the

760
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: drum in El Paso. The miners are getting to win.

761
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 2: They're plus two to twenty over FIU.

762
00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 3: We're talking minor.

763
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 1: Nation out in the West tixas town of l Past

764
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 1: picks up.

765
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 2: As I mentioned, they played six games, they lost all

766
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 2: of them, but five of those teams that beat them

767
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:25,520
Speaker 2: are likely going bowling. Only Colorado State is really on

768
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: the fence, but I think we can agree they're starting

769
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 2: to play a little bit better. They should probably get

770
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 2: to six wins. Nebraska Liberty, they could spend some time

771
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,440
Speaker 2: in the top twenty five this season. Sam Houston has

772
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 2: been a wagon Western Kentucky is certainly a threat in

773
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 2: conference to USA. That's a rough schedule, particularly in a

774
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 2: year zero. Now, as you follow FIU, as we do,

775
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 2: beyond just all the Pitbull sound drops, you probably have

776
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: whiplash because they're so up and down. They force five

777
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 2: picks and crush Central Michigan. Then they get mauled by

778
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: Cam Fanscher of all people, and FAU. Then they follow

779
00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 2: that up with a lost FCS Monmoth, then a win

780
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 2: over the Corps of La Tech by seven. They take

781
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 2: Liberty to overtime. As I said, up and down, up

782
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 2: and down with this FIU team. They're coming off an emotional,

783
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 2: potential season defining overtime win against Liberty. When you're in

784
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 2: Conference USA, everybody is looking to take down Liberty. They

785
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 2: had their chance. They couldn't get it done. That's an

786
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:20,439
Speaker 2: emotionally deflating moment. Now when you look at their defense, yes,

787
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,640
Speaker 2: they played, you know, arguably their best of the entire

788
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 2: season against Liberty, but when you look at it as

789
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 2: a whole, you can move the ball freely. On FIU

790
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 2: one hundred and ninth in success rate, they drop into

791
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 2: zone or some kind of zone hybrid on eighty percent

792
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 2: of their defensive snaps. They play a lot of quarters coverage,

793
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 2: and they blit slightly below average. So basically what they're

794
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 2: doing is keeping everything in front of them, allowing teams

795
00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:45,719
Speaker 2: to pick them apart underneath, and saying we're just not

796
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 2: going to give up explosives. And they've been very good

797
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 2: in that regard. They don't give up explosives. But when

798
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 2: you look at UTEP this year. I think they have

799
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: potentially the opportunity between the run game and short passing

800
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 2: game to get some momentum and to move the ball

801
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: down the field. It looks like Cade McConnell will be

802
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:02,080
Speaker 2: scratch due to injury in this game, which means we

803
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 2: get Skylar Blocklear. He looked fine against Southern Utah in

804
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 2: an overtime loss, and he completed twenty six passes against Liberty.

805
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 2: I don't think it's a huge difference, and maybe this

806
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:13,319
Speaker 2: is the reason why this number is north of two

807
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:15,799
Speaker 2: to one in terms of the money line. I think

808
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: they're comparable quarterbacks, so he also gives us a bit

809
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 2: of a dual threat in being able to use his

810
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 2: legs in this spot. Fau to me, is just by

811
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 2: comfort to essay standards at least, just so jeckle and hide.

812
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,399
Speaker 2: Sometimes they come out and they absolutely lay an egg.

813
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 2: I think situationally, this is an opportunity to play them

814
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,719
Speaker 2: off of that deflating loss. And utep I said it

815
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,439
Speaker 2: in the preseason. Yes, it's a year zero. I didn't

816
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 2: think they would go winless. They got to score one

817
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 2: in conference to USA play. I think this is a

818
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 2: spot for them to do it.

819
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 1: Listen.

820
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 5: We need to we need to turn things around and

821
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 5: have good vibes on the show. So all I'm gonna

822
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:52,279
Speaker 5: say is, nobody go look at my Action app and

823
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 5: look at my Fie minus three and a half ticket.

824
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 5: Just everyone, just let's just don't look at my app

825
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 5: until Thursday. That's all I'm gonna say. I had that

826
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 5: on the covering floors, so I won't bring it up.

827
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 2: Now as we record here that there's games on Tuesday

828
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 2: night that are currently being played. There's games on Wednesday

829
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 2: that we didn't touch upon, because we want to make

830
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 2: sure that listeners have an opportunity to play as much

831
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: of our advice as possible or to fade, you know,

832
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 2: depending on how you're feeling about us right at this moment.

833
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 2: Because of that, do you think you have fewer cutting

834
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,279
Speaker 2: room floor picks or was this everything that you had

835
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: on the card?

836
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 3: Yeah?

837
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 1: I only had two. I wanted to mention. I wanted

838
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,879
Speaker 1: to mention FIU, but I didn't because you just brought

839
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:29,879
Speaker 1: it up. The one I had on the covering floor.

840
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,919
Speaker 5: Honestly was I I was really toying with Louisiana minus

841
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,359
Speaker 5: three and a half against Coastal. I know you took

842
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 5: the Shaants last week. I was, I was, hasn't. I

843
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 5: still don't think them. Be's a good coach, but I

844
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,879
Speaker 5: just think Louisian's pretty good. I think Louisiana has looked good.

845
00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 5: The only thing that scared me way is it's one

846
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 5: of those things where like we were talking on the

847
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,759
Speaker 5: Playoff show, how the Sun Belt needs Louisiana to run

848
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 5: the table and meet JMU and the conference title game,

849
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:53,439
Speaker 5: and that kind of just the way the sun Belt works.

850
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 5: That means they'll lose out right this week. But I

851
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 5: actually think Louisiana's pretty good, So I've toyed with playing

852
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 5: them against the Shans. I'll probably end up lockman and

853
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:03,479
Speaker 5: at some point, but for now it's on the cutting

854
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 5: on floor.

855
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 2: I talked about FIU being checkl and Hyde. I think

856
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:09,040
Speaker 2: it may be time to buy on Tucker Gleeson. You know,

857
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:13,399
Speaker 2: we've basically hammered against Toledo twice, hitting a money line

858
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 2: upset and you know, a sweat free pick with Buffalo

859
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,800
Speaker 2: for them to be an underdog now in Northern Illinois

860
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 2: in a game that's probably going to be one possession,

861
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,319
Speaker 2: a little bit ugly, I'll just take the points in

862
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 2: that spot. So that was very close for me. There's

863
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 2: a couple other games, you know, is Miami of Ohio back,

864
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 2: you know, Gabard had a phenomenal game. I understand owner adjusted,

865
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: we have to keep that in mind. But have they

866
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 2: turned the corner and we'll heat up, you know in

867
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 2: October or November as they have in recent years. But

868
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 2: I think that's more of a wait and see for me.

869
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 5: The thing we should have really noticed that we were

870
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 5: talking last week too with the Toledo pick in Gleason

871
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 5: and this kind of is not only Gleason for specifically

872
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 5: as a quarterback, but kind of you know Jason Candell's

873
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,120
Speaker 5: m as a coach. Toledo is one of those teams

874
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 5: that's either going to win, cover or lose out right.

875
00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 5: So in hindsight, you know, we waited for the Buff fourteen. Like,

876
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 5: if you're someone making your picks, keep that in mind.

877
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 5: If you want to take Toledo as a favorite, they'll

878
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 5: probably it's because Gleas is either gonna be awesome or

879
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,960
Speaker 5: he's gonna throw three picks. So if you like an

880
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,919
Speaker 5: underdog against Toledo, take the money line because it they're

881
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 5: the more talented team. So if they play to their

882
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 5: talent level, they'll win easily, and if they shit themselves,

883
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 5: they're gonna lose outright. So that's kind of how I

884
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 5: would play Toledo going for it, especially with the way

885
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 5: Gleason has played all year for.

886
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:28,759
Speaker 2: Mike I knowll on Mike Calibrey's This has been the

887
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 2: group of five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on

888
00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:34,760
Speaker 2: Campus banner. A programming reminder, as always, we'll have Colin

889
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 2: Stuck running through the entire Week eight card leading up

890
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:41,080
Speaker 2: to Georgia and Texas on the forty Acres there in Austin,

891
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:42,879
Speaker 2: and then on the Saturday while at the live show,

892
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 2: Bret McMurphy, Colin Stuck myself as well as Johnny Football

893
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,360
Speaker 2: and all of his plays and insight into the world

894
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 2: of college football. So be sure to check that out

895
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 2: live over on our BBOC channel. That channel is a

896
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 2: great way to interact and to support our show if

897
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,799
Speaker 2: you can go ahead and subscribe, like comment, as well

898
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 2: as drop a review over at Apple Podcasts. As I

899
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 2: said earlier in the season, we're moving inching closer to

900
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 2: one thousand reviews. That's a huge threshold for us. We're

901
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 2: at four point nine stars out of five, so we

902
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 2: really appreciated five star reviews. Will be sure to give

903
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:17,399
Speaker 2: out some stuff in the coming weeks. I'm overdue for

904
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 2: a few reviews to give out some free parlays, so

905
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:21,600
Speaker 2: I'm happy to do that in our next episode. So

906
00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 2: now's a good time to jump in there and we'll

907
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 2: be picking out some of the reviews to also give

908
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 2: out some Action Network swag from our producer Matt Mitchell.

909
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 2: Thanks so much for listening, and please have a great

910
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 2: college football week. It is wall to wall every single day.

911
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 2: If you're listening, it's probably some football just hours away.

912
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:39,399
Speaker 1: It's a beautiful time a year.

913
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 4: Enjoy it.

914
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 6: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

915
00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

916
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:02,160
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917
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:02,680
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