1 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Friday? Welcome into 2 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: Matt Paroltze. Guys can follow me across all socials at 4 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt in. This podcast being brought to you 5 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: by Omah Steaks dot Com and the Deluxe Father's Day 6 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: Gift set package. I just got this, like literally, like 7 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 1: ten minutes ago, just arrived. It's unbelievable. You've got an 8 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,520 Speaker 1: incredible amount of food. You've got things like the top 9 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 1: cut surloins, You've got the boneless pork chops, the boneless 10 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: chicken breasts, the gourmet Jumbo franks, plus the steak burgers. 11 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: You can get this at Olma Steaks dot Com with 12 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: the Prono Coo juice for just eighty nine ninety nine. 13 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: And when you do that, they're gonna throw in four 14 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: additional Omaha Steak burgers absolutely for free. That is twenty 15 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: four entrees for just eighty nine ninety nine with the 16 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 1: promo code juice at checkout. Dads want steak, DAGs want food. 17 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: We all grill out. I can't wait to grill is 18 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: that when I come back from New England. I can't 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,119 Speaker 1: wait to hit the grill with this deluxe Father's Day 20 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: gift set for free burgers with the code Juice for 21 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 1: just eighty nine ninety nine, all available at Omaha stakes 22 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: dot Com with their one percent satisfaction guarantee. All right, 23 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: so I have no idea what happened except we got 24 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: the Paul Skiins bet wrong. Why the bullpen blew it 25 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: for the pirates plus Paul Skins only hand three ks, 26 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: so lost loss. This is something to keep track of. 27 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: I mentioned this on the Discord channel, So betting pros 28 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: I have no clue what they're gonna do. Sometimes they 29 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: make my plays the pick of the day. Sometimes they 30 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: make my plays, they make a graphic. They like to 31 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: make graphics for the parlays. I don't really know why 32 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: they don't make graphics for my individual bets, just my parlays. 33 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: By my count, I'm one in seven. I'm one in 34 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: seven on the graphics. So when you see a graphic, 35 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: maybe don't play it because we haven't done well when 36 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 1: the betting Pros graphic department puts it out on social media. 37 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: So not great. There, So down a unit. That's why 38 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: I didn't want to bet Minch one fifty. It was 39 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: too expensive. And I didn't want to bet minus five 40 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: k's or six k's because we were still paying juice, 41 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: so I wanted to have a one unit play. So 42 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 1: that's a one unit loss. We start oh to one. 43 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: The rest of the bets are all still the calm. 44 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: Later today, I'm getting on a plane here in a 45 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: couple of hours to head to New England, so I'm 46 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: not able to really track this, and I gotta tape 47 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: this now. We'll tape tomorrow from New Hampshire. Again. I 48 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: don't know what time the podcast will drop. It might 49 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: be early, might be lates, might be very late. I 50 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 1: don't know. It depends. I'm going to be on East 51 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: Coast time, so like one am East Coast is one 52 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 1: am East Coast versus like ten pm here or eleven 53 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:45,360 Speaker 1: pm here, So I don't know what time I would 54 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: tap the podcast, but I'll be in New England doing it. 55 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: You'll get the podcast every morning like you always do 56 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: here for the Daily Juice. But I do have four 57 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 1: plays to give you guys here for a Friday. No parlays, 58 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 1: like I mentioned, we're going to skip out on those, 59 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,679 Speaker 1: sorry Graphic Department. No parlays to pick on here for 60 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: today but I am gonna tell you that I do 61 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: like the over again for Minnesota and Dallas. The numbers 62 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 1: coming down, it's two oh seven. I don't understand this. 63 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: I don't get it. It's the same philosophy and thought 64 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: process from game one. Bet the over, get a fast start, 65 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: Bet the under. Okay, we got two twenty two and 66 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: a half. That's more than I thought we were going 67 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: to get. I'm looking for a ten to fifteen point middle, 68 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: all right, So if this is somewhere around two twenty, 69 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 1: bet the under okay, Hopefully try to middle it and 70 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: win both bets again over two oh seven y. The 71 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: Mavericks were six of twenty five from behind the three 72 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: point line, and they won six to twenty five. This 73 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: is a Mavericks team that, on the road this year 74 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: shot the basketball thirty six point five percent from behind 75 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: the arc. Water is gonna find its level, right, you 76 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: think they're gonna have a much better shooting night, six 77 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: for twenty five. Maybe it's twelve for twenty five. In 78 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: game number two for the for the Timberwolves, they shot 79 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: forty nine threes. That's more than they usually take, but 80 00:03:58,000 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: that's because Dallas is giving it to them and they 81 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: hit eighteen of them, so it's not like they're gonna go, oh, 82 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: we won't take that shot anymore. They were eighteen of 83 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 1: forty nine. That's thirty seven percent. That's pretty good. So 84 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna shy away from shooting those shots. 85 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: I think they're going to continue to look to shoot 86 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: those shots when they're given those shots to take. So 87 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: I mean Minnesota at home this year thirty eight point 88 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: two percent from behind the three point line. That was 89 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 1: top ten in the NBA for home three point percentage. 90 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 1: I doubt they're going to shy away from shooting the threes. 91 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: Dallas is gonna give it to them over two oh 92 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 1: seven for one point one units. We'll look to come 93 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: back and try to middle this thing. One oh five 94 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: was the was the final score for the first matchup 95 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: two thirteen. We bet under two twenty two and a half. 96 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: Let's try to do it just again over two oh 97 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: seven under two twenty when a game when it goes 98 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: live but pregame pre flop as they call it, over 99 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: two oh seven Game two Minnesota and the Dallas Mavericks, 100 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: rinse and repeat type of bet. One prop bet that 101 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: let's make I'm only gonna give it for a half 102 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 1: a unit, but you can play it for a full 103 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: unit if you want. Officially, he was do a half 104 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 1: a unit. Nas Reid went over his point. I told 105 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: you that I like that going into the game. I 106 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: don't think we made an official though, right, But naz 107 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: Reid fifteen points in twenty four minutes. Nas Reid has 108 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: gone over double digits in every game this year against Dallas. Points, 109 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists is just sixteen and a half. So 110 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,359 Speaker 1: maybe he doesn't get fifteen points. Maybe he only scores 111 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: ten but five rebounds to assists in game one, we 112 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,720 Speaker 1: can do that again here. That would get us, you know, seventeen. 113 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 1: That's over here for us with points, rebounds and assists. 114 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 1: His point prop is ten and a half. So maybe 115 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: he scores ten rebounds and assists. We go over sixteen 116 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 1: and a half minus one ten bet to win a 117 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: half a unit. Nas Reid points, rebounds and assists for 118 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: sixteen and a half. Over for one point, well better 119 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: for like point five five units, right, I don't know 120 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: if I'll do something else. I may add in the 121 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,799 Speaker 1: discord channel a prop that I like going into the game. 122 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: So stay tuned for that. But I might be really 123 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: busy tomorrow. I don't know. I got a lot of 124 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: stuff going on. I'll be on West coast time. I'll 125 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 1: be all screwed up being in on the East coast. 126 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: But betting pros dot Com slash chat for that. So 127 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: naz Reid over sixteen and a half point three bounds 128 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: and assists over two o seven Game two from Minnesota 129 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: and Dallas Hockey zig Zag Effect. Not going to overthink this. 130 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 1: This is a long series. Florida's favored minus one fifteen 131 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 1: at the open there's still minus one oh eight depending 132 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: on where you're looking. Some books have us as a 133 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: pick them. You can get mis one oh two at 134 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: the super book right now here. For the New York Rangers, 135 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 1: I'm taking New York to win this game. I can't 136 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: see them losing both games on the road. I can't 137 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 1: see them going back to Florida down oh two. I 138 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 1: think you're getting a herculean effort of the Rangers here 139 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,919 Speaker 1: tonight in game number two, not a big handicap, just 140 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: as Zigzag Effect. I expect Lebovsky to be a little 141 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: bit weaker, and I think you'll see a very very 142 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,719 Speaker 1: sharp egor under five and a half. It's a good 143 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: bet as well, but it's juiced to mius one to 144 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 1: twenty five. I'm not really interested in betting that and 145 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 1: under at MIUS one twenty five because I thought they over. 146 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:08,280 Speaker 1: The first game might go over, second game might go over. 147 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Rangers on the money line save for 148 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: play Rangers mius one oh five Mie one oh two 149 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: actually miss one o two for the Rangers for one 150 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: point zero two units to win game two to even 151 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: up their best of seven series at one game apiece. 152 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: And then finally, the Philadelphia Phillies are taking on the 153 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: Colorado Rockies. The Rockies are at home, so the total 154 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: is ten and a half. What will the team total 155 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: be for the Phillies. The Phillies are on a ridiculous 156 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: run right now. Team total overs have been. It's very 157 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: similar to the Braves Unders. I think it's twenty nine 158 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: and three to a team total over for the Philadelphia Phillies. 159 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 1: If you look at the Phillies since this win streak 160 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: has started, Phillies have won seven let's see, sorry, they've 161 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 1: won nine of ten five four ten six four four 162 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 1: eleven five eleven five runs being scored most days their 163 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 1: team total is four and a half five and a 164 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: half probably today because it's the Colorado Rockies. The numbers 165 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: on out yet, but it's ten and a half some 166 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: I'm guessing team total will be five and a half 167 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: or six for the Phillies. Bet the over. Why well? 168 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: One their offense, two course field and three. Ty Blanche 169 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: is not very good one and two on the year. 170 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: He is. Last start on the road, gave up six 171 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 1: earned runs three to one win against Texas. His last 172 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: home game, five innings, one earned run, five nothing. He 173 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,959 Speaker 1: lost against the Giants, but what in his faults? The 174 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 1: bullpen gave up four runs. He went three innings, gave 175 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: up one earned run against Miami five to four loss. 176 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: He went four innings, then any earned runs five innings 177 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,599 Speaker 1: in four earned given up against the Padres back in 178 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 1: the twenty fourth of April. He's probably gonna go one 179 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: time through the order here he's an opener, and then 180 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: you get to the bullpen, and I think the Phillies 181 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: go to work, and I think they're going to score 182 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 1: five and a half over five and a half over six. 183 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,959 Speaker 1: I'm good with either. You want to lay the run 184 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: line if you want, but it's expensive for them on 185 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: the run lines. Why I don't like it. It's laying juice, 186 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: like big juice, like minus one thirty juice for the 187 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: run line. I'm not interested in doing that. Team total 188 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: should be somewhere around minus one ten minus one fifteen. 189 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: Phillies team total over five and a half or six 190 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 1: on the road at the Rockies here with a ten 191 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: and a half total, eleven total. It should be somewhere 192 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: in that range. So if it gets too high, ask 193 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: me in the discord channel. I'll try to respond, but 194 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 1: we should be good there. I'm going to be in 195 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: New Hampshire. I'm going to be in a legal betting states. 196 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 1: I'll be able to fire on DraftKings and everything else, 197 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: so we'll be good there. So I'll be in the 198 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 1: state where I actually can bet. So I have to 199 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,559 Speaker 1: worry about if the line does move a bit, we 200 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: can we can be a little more agile in the 201 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 1: discord channel and bet it if we need to. Phillies 202 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: team total over five and a half or six on 203 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,439 Speaker 1: the road at the Rockies, nas Reid over sixteen and 204 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: a half points, freebounds assists over two oh seven Minnesota 205 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: and the Dallas Mavericks rat and the Rangers money lined 206 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: for Game two of the Rest of seven Eastern Conference 207 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 1: Finals against the Panthers in hockey at minus one oh 208 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: two for that minus Matt Parolt following me across all 209 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning Dale Juice Podcast 210 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: I was being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot 211 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 1: Com