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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the corn.

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Speaker 3: Ten seconds of ayning.

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Speaker 1: He just goes through under the basket, under the basket,

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Speaker 1: it's the truth for the wind. God make a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I'm just up the water. Hit that one from the

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Speaker 1: parking lot.

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Speaker 2: What's up, the general nation? Welcome to The Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett NNGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: weekend college basketball betting preview. I'm stuck in joining me

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Speaker 2: as always late in the week Mike Calbreys and Mike

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Speaker 2: Randall Calbrity's All You Do Is podcast with other guys

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Speaker 2: named Mike. Uh, what's going on, gentlemen? Mike, how are you?

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Speaker 2: I guess I guess. I can't say, Mike, how are you?

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Speaker 2: I gotta direct at Calvarys. How's it going going good?

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Speaker 4: You know, Michael was the number name in the world

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Speaker 4: in nineteen eighty six the Eero was born. I think

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Speaker 4: Muhammad took it down every other year.

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Speaker 3: In the eighties.

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Speaker 4: So I'm glad to be surrounded with some other mics.

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Speaker 4: I feel it's a warm blanket around me here in

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Speaker 4: podcast land.

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Speaker 3: I'm doing good.

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Speaker 4: I'm excited to tarant and rave a little bit in

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Speaker 4: a college basketball landscape that just you can't trust anybody.

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Speaker 4: Nobody's good, nobody can.

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Speaker 3: Win on the road.

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Speaker 4: So I'm feeling a little bit George Costanza, where it's like,

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Speaker 4: if every instinct I have is to take a favorite

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Speaker 4: and that's wrong, then the opposite must be right. So

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Speaker 4: they're gonna have to test that out over the weekend.

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Speaker 2: The well you mentioned my I don't have to run

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Speaker 2: into the problem you guys do My people call me stuck.

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Speaker 2: Even my real name is George, But you just mentioned

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Speaker 2: that another George, George Constanza. I don't run it into

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Speaker 2: many Georges. The name got a little popular with h

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Speaker 2: Who was it, George, the Prince George? When the Prince said, like,

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Speaker 2: then you saw like a little boom of George's. But Randall,

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Speaker 2: what's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 1: Listen man? Last night was not for the faint of heart.

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Speaker 1: I was doing pretty well. Last night was a roller coaster.

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Speaker 1: Did you see the comeback that cal had. I mean

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Speaker 1: they were getting crushed fifty to thirty one by Colorado

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Speaker 1: came storming back. Last night was a wild ride.

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Speaker 2: Guys.

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Speaker 1: It was two Jim Martinez from me last night. This

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Speaker 1: was rough. As Mike said, can't win on the road

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Speaker 1: if you're up big early. It's like a terrible sign.

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Speaker 1: We are back, folks. College basketball is back exactly the

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Speaker 1: way we love it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the tournament is going to be it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: awesome because there's I think it's just wide open. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: Colorado's a lot more. They've been underperforming. They've been in

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Speaker 2: a free fall least three games they given their talent.

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Speaker 2: They I'm pretty disappointed in what Tad Boyle has done

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Speaker 2: and USC some of these teams in the PAC twelve,

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Speaker 2: man UFC loses again. It was at home to Washington State.

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Speaker 2: We've seen what UCLA is doing. The Pac twelve is

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Speaker 2: way down overall from top to bottom. But before we

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Speaker 2: get into everything, I just want to remind everyone this

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Speaker 2: podcast is probably resented by Bett MGM. He's bonus code

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Speaker 2: action when signing up to get up to one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty eight dollars in bonus bets when you bet

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Speaker 2: five dollars for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowall, Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

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Speaker 2: West Virginia, and Wyoming. Terms causes apply must be twenty

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Speaker 2: one or older. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 2: Before we get into the weekend, and of course we'll

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Speaker 2: get into our Future's roundtable as we do every Thursday,

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Speaker 2: let's recap the week that was we kind of talked about.

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Speaker 2: It's just one high one high level takeaway. Then we'll

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Speaker 2: get into some rants. I'll say something that we were

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Speaker 2: right on last week, and well early in the week

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Speaker 2: I should say, is I just don't see it with

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Speaker 2: this Marquette team. And they lose at home to Butler,

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Speaker 2: and now they lose Sean Jones for the year. He

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Speaker 2: was an important rotational case for them. They really missed

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Speaker 2: prosper I mean, look, Butler is a pretty good team

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Speaker 2: trending up. But to lose that game after he lost

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Speaker 2: on the road to Seaton Hall, I think that's red flags.

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Speaker 2: I don't see it with this Marquette team. Marquette is

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Speaker 2: still in the top twenty in ken Pom and we're

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Speaker 2: going to do an exercise before we do futures Portfoilo.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to go through the top twenty and

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Speaker 2: you guys are just gonna say yes or no, whether

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Speaker 2: or not you can see that team winning the national title. Spoiler,

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Speaker 2: I don't see it with Marquette. So I think that

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Speaker 2: loss at home was very telling. Like this Mark after

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Speaker 2: a loss on the road last year, you would not

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Speaker 2: have seen this Marquette team lose that game, Randolph throw

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Speaker 2: to you. Yet, one high level takeaway from this week, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: The big takeaway is will somebody step up in the ACC?

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Speaker 1: I guess it's North Carolina. Guys. I have not been

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Speaker 1: a fan of North Carolina. I think Hubert Davis is

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Speaker 1: very shaky and big games. However, I will tell you

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Speaker 1: I think they're and the play of R. J. Davis

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Speaker 1: has just taken them to another level. He's playing like

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Speaker 1: a first team All American. Baycott is better, Ingram gives

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Speaker 1: you things. Todee is great going to the basket. And

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Speaker 1: this is an ACC where Virginia looks very shaky. NC

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Speaker 1: State they just beat you have Duke, of course, but

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Speaker 1: where is Miami? I mean I talked about Miami on

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Speaker 1: the Future last week. Guys, I said, when are they losing? Right? Well,

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Speaker 1: they go to Wake Forest, no Poplar, Okay, so you

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Speaker 1: can excuse me because they lost an overtime at Wake. Okay, fine,

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Speaker 1: then they lose at home to Louisville by nine. Is

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 2: So who starting what was starting a walk on?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, just catastrophic lost and Poplar is back for that game.

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Speaker 1: So I guess the ACC guys is North Carolina and

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Speaker 1: Duke Virginia. I guess I just don't trust their offense.

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Speaker 1: But hohm, the rest of it is just very mediocre.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I really like this North Carolina team, although they've

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Speaker 2: cost me three bats in a row. I faded them.

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Speaker 2: I just thought that they were overpriced. I will say

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Speaker 2: Pitt five of twenty nine from three, Clemson one of

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Speaker 2: eighteen from three, and then last night NC State two

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Speaker 2: of twenty one. That's quickma back three of thirty nine,

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Speaker 2: five of twenty nine eight for what seventy seem So

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Speaker 2: no one has made a three. And it's not like

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Speaker 2: this North Carolina team is a team that just completely

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Speaker 2: shuts down. The three teams are getting, you know, decent

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Speaker 2: looks from the premio and no one can get a shot.

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Speaker 2: So I will say that has helped their case over

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Speaker 2: the last three games. I mean, if you should go

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Speaker 2: one of eighteen, one of twenty from three, you're not

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Speaker 2: going to win a game, but yes, the town is there.

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Speaker 2: You have Baycot inside RJ. Davis, even Trimble's played really well,

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Speaker 2: and then Cado. We're really highly toued of recruit. The

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Speaker 2: reason I really like the upside with Carolina is if

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Speaker 2: he continues to get better at point then they can

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Speaker 2: really reach their ceiling for sure, but they've definitely benefited

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Speaker 2: for some frequint regression over the past few games. Calvary,

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Speaker 2: you have main takeaway from this week?

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Speaker 3: Well, real quick, just on Marquette.

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Speaker 4: I mean, how long ago does mally feel at this

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Speaker 4: point like it's not even the same team that was

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Speaker 4: nearly running the table out there. And additionally, maybe it's

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Speaker 4: because I have PTSD from being here in Philly and

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Speaker 4: the Ben Simmons situation. But when there's a point guard

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Speaker 4: that can score but just chooses not to score, like Colok,

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Speaker 4: it's like it's all hands on deck right now. The

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Speaker 4: offense is going through this lull. You got to show up,

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Speaker 4: and for him not to show up at all in

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Speaker 4: the last two games, I agree with you. I think

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Speaker 4: this is really troubling. Their schedule may hide the fact

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Speaker 4: that they're falling off a cliff, but the road trip

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Speaker 4: to Saint John's on the twentieth I think that's quickly

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Speaker 4: becoming a must win to stabilize their entire season. I

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Speaker 4: just had two quick notes that I saw on Twitter

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Speaker 4: that I thought were really interesting about what's happening with

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Speaker 4: top teams struggling on the road this year. Evan Maya

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Speaker 4: put out that it's harder this year, more than ever

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Speaker 4: for high majors to win on the road. Of the

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Speaker 4: top seven conferences, home teams are winning sixty six percent

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Speaker 4: of the time in league play. That's up five percent

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Speaker 4: over the previous two years. So basically, if you're on

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Speaker 4: your home floor in a power conference, you got a chance.

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Speaker 3: And the second one really caught my eye.

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Speaker 4: Top fifteen teams on the road against unranked competition this

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Speaker 4: season are now sixteen and nineteen.

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Speaker 3: That's horrific.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, I think we're We've been like dancing around this,

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Speaker 4: you know, in the first few episodes of this season

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Speaker 4: covering college basketball, but it is so wide open and

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Speaker 4: there's so few reliable combinations of you know, scorers, coaches

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Speaker 4: who know what they're doing in critical situations and teams

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Speaker 4: that can string together multiple wins away.

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Speaker 3: From their home floor.

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Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna a quick grant, and it could

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Speaker 2: be from this week, this season anything.

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Speaker 4: Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 1: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you're ranting now, baby, I'm ran. Why not?

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Speaker 1: You've got to let it out somehow.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go people, I see this people. You know,

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Speaker 2: a lot of this is new contact creators, new betters,

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Speaker 2: but a lot of people that rant about CLV and

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Speaker 2: oh my god, I got this such a good line

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Speaker 2: and I lost. So here this is how you should

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Speaker 2: look at it. I'll take last Saturday. I had a

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Speaker 2: bunch of bets where I got good lines and lost.

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Speaker 2: All that happens when you get a good line. Now,

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Speaker 2: that's the best indicator that you're good better over the

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Speaker 2: long run. It's you have to it's a long sample size.

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Speaker 2: If you just take one bet and say you beat

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Speaker 2: the line, the closing line by a couple points, that's

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Speaker 2: good because essentially what you took your if you were

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Speaker 2: just a coin flipper, you no edge. You would then

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Speaker 2: go from say fifty percent probability of winning that bet

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Speaker 2: to now fifty five let's say percent. So if I

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Speaker 2: sat in front of you and said here's a coin,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna flip it, and you guessed heads and it

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Speaker 2: was tails, Hey, I was wrong. If I said there's

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Speaker 2: a fifty five percent chance that you're gonna get it

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Speaker 2: right and you got it wrong, you wouldn't be completely

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Speaker 2: out of your mind that you lost. It's just one game,

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Speaker 2: that's good. I will tell you three point regression late

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Speaker 2: game variants will trump closing line value over a small

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Speaker 2: sample size at oh anytime, So you have to get

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Speaker 2: that out of your head. It's good to beat the clothes.

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Speaker 2: Over the long run, you're gonna come out ahead. But

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Speaker 2: we're talking thousands of bets over the short run, especially

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Speaker 2: one bet. Just because you beat the Clothes doesn't mean

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Speaker 2: that you're gonna win that bet or you should have

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Speaker 2: won that bet. You just improved your probability a little bit.

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Speaker 2: So get that out of your head and then people

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Speaker 2: that also removes the possibility of tilting. You're gonna have

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Speaker 2: a lot of bets where you could beat the clothes.

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Speaker 2: Your team doesn't make any threes, you know, they keep

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Speaker 2: fouling at the end, and you get a bad run out.

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Speaker 2: It happens. It also happens on the other end. You

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Speaker 2: get a bad line and you win because of three

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Speaker 2: point variants. That thinks that nature so hate saying that.

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Speaker 2: Just get get that on your head. Accept that over small,

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Speaker 2: short periods, small sample sizes. It's is college basketball crazy.

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Speaker 2: Shit in the final minute is going to swing one

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Speaker 2: way or the other. Are many bets that's just random.

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Speaker 2: And then three point variance with the prevalence of a

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Speaker 2: three point shot. If your team shoots fifty percent and

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Speaker 2: the other team shoots two of twenty, guess what, you're

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Speaker 2: probably gonna lose your bet. And that's okay one of

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Speaker 2: the next one, uh Ran on anything you want to

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Speaker 2: ran them out?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, listen tom Izzo pipe down here. Okay, we keep

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Speaker 1: saying that Izzo's gonna get it right, and I like

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Speaker 1: Michigan State, but that interview against after the Northwestern game

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Speaker 1: was awful. Maybe he's Belichick in a basketball sheep's clothing here,

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Speaker 1: so maybe he should retire with all these other guys.

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Speaker 1: It's terrible. Ran. First of all, he blast analytics, which

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Speaker 1: is a terrible look. He takes a passive, aggressive shot, saying, well,

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Speaker 1: you know, you can't blame the players, would you mind

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Speaker 1: you when parents used to say to me, you know,

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Speaker 1: with all due respect, which means with no respect. So

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Speaker 1: that's what you're doing, is you're blaming the players. So

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Speaker 1: he blast analytics, He blames the players indirectly, and then

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Speaker 1: he says he can't take the football pads out because

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Speaker 1: he's gonna get sued. You know, Tom, maybe we should

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Speaker 1: stay away from sue with Michigan State. You know, maybe

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Speaker 1: it should go a different direction here. Honestly, I think

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Speaker 1: it's a terrible look for them. It reminds me of

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Speaker 1: Clint East would get off my lawn with that ranch. Folks.

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Speaker 1: The Spartans are one in three in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: If Tyson Walker doesn't have at least twenty they can't

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Speaker 1: beat anyone. Illinois loses Terren Shannon and they drill is

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Speaker 1: same Northwestern team by thirty points, and then they lose

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Speaker 1: it per Due by five. Enough complaining, Tom, We know

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Speaker 1: you want to win. You have enough talent. Just get

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Speaker 1: it right. Don't start complaining after a terrible loss to

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Speaker 1: a Northwestern team who we should be celebrating for a

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Speaker 1: big one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, bad luck. And so it was falling off fast.

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Speaker 2: He's getting old quick, and I mean, maybe he knows

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Speaker 2: his team and he's pushing a button, but just I didn't.

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Speaker 2: That was a horrendous ran and went off the rails

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Speaker 2: very quickly. Calbury's anything from you.

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Speaker 4: So it is so frustrating to me with modern college

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Speaker 4: basketball where everyone coaches as though they have pro three

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Speaker 4: points shooters, where yes, there's three point variants, but what

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Speaker 4: is your backup plan? Like if you have a lead

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Speaker 4: and all of a sudden four or five possessions in

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Speaker 4: a row, you're clang in three. It's like, do you

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Speaker 4: have some sets you can run? Is there a way

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Speaker 4: for you to get to the basket? Is there anybody

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Speaker 4: who can play in the post to try to get

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Speaker 4: some touches there? And this all got triggered by the

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Speaker 4: fact I'm a Saint Joe's basketball fan. It's really the

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Speaker 4: only college sports team that I have an emotional connection to,

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Speaker 4: and I've been trying to really hold off from going

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Speaker 4: full into this season and expecting a postseason run NIT

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Speaker 4: or the NCAA Tournament. And they're up twenty against Saint Louis.

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Speaker 4: Their win expectancy was ninety seven point six. They take

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Speaker 4: thirty five goddamn three pointers a lot of them were

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Speaker 4: bad in the half court, contested threes from the corner,

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Speaker 4: just not open looks. But when you look at the

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Speaker 4: rest of the box score, like, you can't lose this game.

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Speaker 4: Up twenty they finished plus seven in the offensive rebounding margin.

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Speaker 4: They only commit five turnovers for the whole game and

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Speaker 4: go twenty three for twenty eight from the line. You

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Speaker 4: should win that one hundred times out of one hundred

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Speaker 4: and Billy Lang, I mean, he's a dope, Like I

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Speaker 4: don't understand what he's coaching. I understand that when it

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Speaker 4: looks really good, when Reynolds bombit in threes and shooting

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Speaker 4: seven for thirteen from long range, this guy looks like

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Speaker 4: the A ten Sleeper coach of the year. But such

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Speaker 4: a frustrating loss, and really one of those differentiating losses

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Speaker 4: between are they really a top six team in the

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Speaker 4: A ten or is this just more Saint Joe's Hawk

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Speaker 4: basketball that I've unfortunately gotten used to in recent years.

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Speaker 2: Hey yeah, Billy Lang, questions re emerge. But let's move

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Speaker 2: on to stop talking about the pass and get to

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Speaker 2: the future. So let's get to the future's roundtable. Before

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Speaker 2: we do, I'm going to go through the top twenty

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Speaker 2: currently ranked teams on ken Pom, and I guess we'll

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Speaker 2: do it this way. If you think that they can't

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Speaker 2: after I say the name, just speak up and say no,

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Speaker 2: and then I might might prode Houston, Arizona, Purdue, Auburn, Connecticut,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee do yeah.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Tennessee can do it.

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Speaker 2: Now, you're not a Tennessee believer.

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Speaker 3: Offense, offense and head coach.

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Speaker 4: I mean, let's let's get real, like I'm closing my

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Speaker 4: eyes and he's gonna win multiple close games, and you know,

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Speaker 4: the Elite eight, the final four, I would see it.

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Speaker 2: Duke Alabama, I'm saying no in Alabama yea, yeah, you know.

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Speaker 3: The reason is stuck.

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Speaker 2: It's mainly the defense. For me. They're ultra they can't

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Speaker 2: get stops and they're super reliant on the three. It's

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Speaker 2: a bad formula in a one and done situation. Uh, Illinois,

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Speaker 2: I'll yeah, I'll say no unless Shannon comes back, which

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Speaker 2: I don't see happening.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, no way, they're not getting a title. Gua,

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Speaker 1: they can make a run. I like Davis. No, it's Hubert,

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Speaker 1: I'm saying the other day, Yeah, it's Hubert. And it's

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Speaker 1: I have not seen enough improvement from Baycott. I get it.

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Speaker 1: But besides that sample size when we saw the great run,

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Speaker 1: I think he's been a little disappointing. He's hit or missed.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think there. I really don't.

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Speaker 2: Yeah good Baycott is so good and then he just disappears.

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Speaker 2: It's very bizarre. Wisconsin, I'm gonna say no, no.

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Speaker 3: No one, Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: B Yu no, no, absolutely not yet. Creighton nozero, no,

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Speaker 2: no Baylor. I'm saying no defense. Iowa State.

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Speaker 3: Disagree. Iowa State.

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Speaker 4: I mean, if they played it, you know at Hilton, sure,

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Speaker 4: but they don't enough.

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Speaker 2: They don't have enough offense. I don't consistent offense. Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: No way, get off my lawn.

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Speaker 2: No way, Marquette, I'm saying no. Kansas, I'm saying no.

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Speaker 1: They need a shooting guard. They need a shooter, yeah,

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Speaker 1: shooting they don't have it.

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Speaker 2: And Oklahoma, I'm saying no, no. So that'll lead us

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Speaker 2: into our futures round table. Last week we decided on

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Speaker 2: well you brought Miami, who did you bring Calvary's. I

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Speaker 2: brought Baylor, which Baylor I brought text A and m

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Speaker 2: and lost two games and they lost to the LSU

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Speaker 2: at home, which is horrific loss. Maybe they get Marble back.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what's going He's like, there's rumors that

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Speaker 2: he might come back. I'm still fine with text A

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Speaker 2: and m as long as they get into the dance,

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Speaker 2: which they should, making a run and winning you know,

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Speaker 2: four games, so I'm still fine with it. They need

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Speaker 2: to start making some shots, though, like, holy moly, make

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Speaker 2: a three one time. But let's get to what we're

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Speaker 2: bringing and then you Yeah, Randall brought Miami. Luckily we

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Speaker 2: didn't buy them at that time after losing to Louisville

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Speaker 2: one of the worst losses of the year. But uh,

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Speaker 2: onward we go. I'm gonna I'm going to bring a

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Speaker 2: conference future.

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Speaker 1: It's funny me too.

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Speaker 2: Go ahead, Well, hopefully I have a backup, so I'll

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Speaker 2: let you go first in case it's the same one.

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Speaker 1: I doubt it's the same one you go for. I

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Speaker 1: think up sick good.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to go with Houston plus two hundred to

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Speaker 2: win the Big twelve regular season right now, Kansas is

359
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:06,360
Speaker 2: the favorite, which they should disagree. I disagree with. And

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Speaker 2: it's not like I know Houston just lost, but Kansas

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Speaker 2: also just lost and Houston's losses at Iowa State in

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Speaker 2: Hilton where it's you know, it was a great spot

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Speaker 2: for Iowa State. They were up fourteen nothing, still had

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Speaker 2: to barely hold on Kansas lose. Yeah. I mean, I

365
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 2: think mainly what this is is I think that Kansas,

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Speaker 2: given their true you know, Bill whole self, will I

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Speaker 2: respect in Kansas's track record. I think it's just their

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Speaker 2: track record is influencing what this price is. Like, Oh,

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Speaker 2: Kansas always wins the Big twelve. And this is a

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Speaker 2: team that, you know, if you go by some advanced metrics,

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Speaker 2: some analyticals sites like, this was a team that was

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Speaker 2: especially if you remove priors in your previous biases, this

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Speaker 2: is a team that's like borderline top twenty five. And

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Speaker 2: they've gotten away with it because they won a ton

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Speaker 2: of close games, right. You know, you barely held on

376
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Speaker 2: to beat Yukon, who was banged up in that game

377
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Speaker 2: at home. You beat TCU by two at home, but

378
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Speaker 2: a bunch of very beneficial calls at the end of

379
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 2: that game, calls didn't even play for tc Then you

380
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: lose it. You see. Yah, they were winning a lot

381
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Speaker 2: of close games, which I think, you know, Indiana game

382
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Speaker 2: could have went either way at Indiana, which I think

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Speaker 2: is really kind of inflating where people think of this

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Speaker 2: canas team. I have Houston favored in every game the

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Speaker 2: remaining the reminder of the season. Kansas does have enough

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Speaker 2: secondary scoring, and I think Houston actually matches up well

387
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Speaker 2: with them. And then I look at the rest of

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve. I think BYU we've seen, like, hey,

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Speaker 2: was good team, but not as elite as you know,

390
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Speaker 2: some of the advanced measures suggested due to their schedule

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Speaker 2: Iowa State, I just don't think they have enough offense

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Speaker 2: to get there. They'll drop some games and then like

393
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Speaker 2: who else Texas Tech golf to a fast start. I

394
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 2: don't ultimately trust them, Baylor, I don't trust their defense.

395
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Speaker 2: So you know, I go through the rest of the

396
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Speaker 2: Big twelve, and I think Houston has the defense, the pedigree,

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Speaker 2: the experience, the coaching. I think they coming out on top.

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Speaker 2: I think they should be the favorite. I think we're

399
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Speaker 2: getting a good number here plus two hundred to win

400
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 2: the regular season. Randall, feel free to share your thoughts

401
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 2: on that one. And then what do you got for

402
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Speaker 2: your conference future?

403
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Speaker 1: That's gonna be a tough one to be. You're getting

404
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,640
Speaker 1: me plus money on Houston on anything. With the level

405
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Speaker 1: of defense they're playing. That is a really really good

406
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Speaker 1: and well done. My friend. This is going to tie

407
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Speaker 1: into what we just talked about with Billy Lang. Guys,

408
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 1: this is a little off the radar, but how about

409
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 1: U mass to win the A ten at plus seventeen hundred.

410
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:39,040
Speaker 1: Here's my rationale.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the front court.

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Speaker 3: The front court's good, so you're starting from a place

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00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 3: of you know, strength.

414
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Speaker 1: Yeah, their front cards is good. That was an impressive

415
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,239
Speaker 1: battle against Dayton. They got down big and then they

416
00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,159
Speaker 1: were able to eat them up a little bit upfront.

417
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,920
Speaker 1: They did some nice things. Josh Cohen, who's come over

418
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 1: to the team fifteen points, hit a three almost which

419
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 1: would have given them the lead Backcross does a lot

420
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: of really good things. And this is a team that

421
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Speaker 1: is Frank Martin's team. The way they're playing defense up

422
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: and down the floor, top fifty turnover rate in the league.

423
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 1: Great on the interior defense, they're scoring this guy, get

424
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 1: better on their free throws. But my point is this,

425
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: outside of Dayton, Saint Bonaventure, Richmond VCU, all those teams

426
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 1: have been up and down George Mason, Saint Joe's. If

427
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,320
Speaker 1: you look at Ken Palm, they are favored to win

428
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 1: every single game except for two the remainder of the

429
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 1: year away at Saint Bonaventure, which is a big game,

430
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,479
Speaker 1: and a way at a way at Richmond, which they

431
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,640
Speaker 1: can definitely get. They got the Dayton away game out

432
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 1: of the way, all they need. They're two and one

433
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 1: here in the A ten plus seventeen hundred. I think

434
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: u Mass has a pad. They got the best coach,

435
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 1: they have a solid team, they're healthy. I still think

436
00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,160
Speaker 1: that there's gonna be no male Chai Smith for Dayton issues.

437
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:54,919
Speaker 1: I think that will creep up a little bit. And

438
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 1: I don't like they have. They left let UMass come

439
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,359
Speaker 1: back in the game at Dayton here, so it's a

440
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 1: little crazy. But plus seventeen hundred for them to win

441
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 1: the A ten A down A ten that may only

442
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,479
Speaker 1: get one bid here. I like him and if not

443
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 1: for that, I think we're going to bet him to

444
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 1: make a run of the A ten tournament.

445
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 2: What do you think, guys, I don't, I don't. I

446
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 2: think is Kobe Elvis. I think he's okay. He got

447
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:22,439
Speaker 2: hurt for Dayton, which would be a big loss for

448
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 2: a team doesn't have great depth. But I think that

449
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 2: I don't know, I don't know if it's long term

450
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 2: or not. I don't I don't hate it. I think

451
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 2: that the A ten is pretty wide open. You're the

452
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 2: A ten guy, Ca Breys, What do you once he said.

453
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,399
Speaker 4: The number like when you when you started with U Mass,

454
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 4: I was like, in my head, like twelve to one

455
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 4: something like that.

456
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 3: To get a number that.

457
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 4: Lucrative, because I agree the you know, outside of homes

458
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,400
Speaker 4: at Dayton, you know they have the best front court pairing,

459
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,720
Speaker 4: and honestly, when you look at the coaching too, it's

460
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 4: understanding how to prepare for road games, it's understanding for

461
00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 4: the grind of conference play, like he's been through it.

462
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 4: And I think you can also motivate this team in

463
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 4: exactly the way that you're saying, which is this is

464
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:09,000
Speaker 4: a one big league like there's no absolute juggernaut here.

465
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 4: And even in a loss, they proved that they can

466
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 4: play at the highest level in the conference. So it's

467
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 4: interesting to me that they're only going to be an

468
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 4: underdog in two games the rest of the way. According

469
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:22,440
Speaker 4: to Kenpom, I think that just validates your position. But overall,

470
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 4: I still think they're undervalued, and you look at certain

471
00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 4: teams and certain markets, they're just like sleepy teams of

472
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 4: the public. They don't watch them, so they end up

473
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 4: hanging these stale numbers out there. I think seventeen to

474
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 4: one is way too generous.

475
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just they need to find they have no shooting.

476
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 2: They're they're not an overly reliant outside shooting team. Drink

477
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 2: and they get a lot of offensive rebounds so that

478
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 2: they're not It's not a team that's going to get

479
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 2: bit too much by three point variants, but they could

480
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 2: find just some shooting. Outside shooting would do wonders for

481
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 2: their offense. And you know you mentioned the free throw

482
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 2: shooting as well. Calbary's what do you got?

483
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: So Memphis is still out in the market.

484
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:01,880
Speaker 4: Get to win the national title at eighty to one,

485
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 4: And I'm glad that we just did that exercise the

486
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 4: top twenty teams because there's so many teams in the

487
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:08,639
Speaker 4: Ken Palm Top twenty that I'm not interested in playing

488
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:10,439
Speaker 4: at all. So that leaves a lot of room on

489
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 4: my dance card to start adding in some of these

490
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:13,640
Speaker 4: you know, longer shots.

491
00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 3: We know what we have offensively you.

492
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 4: Know, they've worked their way into the top seventy in

493
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 4: Torviik and ken Palm with known weapons like David Jones

494
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,720
Speaker 4: and Quinnerly. Tomlin is really helping them on the defensive

495
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 4: end as well.

496
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,080
Speaker 2: Quinarly also what I.

497
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 4: Like, and this is kind of it just depends how

498
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 4: you view close wins. I view it as they're getting

499
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 4: this this anxiety and it's kind of building in some

500
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 4: muscle memory because if they're gonna win six games in

501
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 4: March or really even to be able to hedge a

502
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 4: bet like this, can they get to the final four?

503
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,640
Speaker 3: Can they win four games? They're gonna have to win

504
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:47,439
Speaker 3: some close ones.

505
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 4: And the fact of the matter is they keep winning

506
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 4: close games and Quinterly is stepping up and playing that

507
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 4: kind of alpha role down the stretch. Also, their schedule

508
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 4: sets up, honestly for a four or five lost season

509
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 4: really max at this point when you look at the AAC,

510
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,439
Speaker 4: it's just not that deep. FAU is no longer you know,

511
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 4: a team I'm really scared about. So where does that

512
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 4: put them in terms of marchmadest seeding? Maybe a three,

513
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 4: maybe a four seed, depending on how they do in

514
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 4: the AAC tournament as well. So the fact is, if

515
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,360
Speaker 4: I can stack as many fifty to one plus teams

516
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 4: in that three to four seed range, I think that's advantageous.

517
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 4: So I want to go ahead and grab them. I

518
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,400
Speaker 4: think I only saw it at one shop at eighty

519
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 4: to one. I think this is going to be the

520
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 4: last few days of it. I understand that that utsa game.

521
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 3: They easily could have lost that one.

522
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 4: I'm not saying that they are going to run rough

523
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 4: shot through the AAC, but this number, I think it

524
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 4: is just overly inflated.

525
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 3: Still at eighty to one.

526
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 2: All right, so let's go to the vote. I implemented

527
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:47,720
Speaker 2: a new rule here that for the whole season of

528
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 2: voting you can only vote for yourself three times, So

529
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,320
Speaker 2: you only can vote for your own pick three times.

530
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 2: I voted for mine last week, so I have two left.

531
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:56,680
Speaker 2: I don't think. I don't think you got did you

532
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:57,719
Speaker 2: guys vote for your own?

533
00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: I voted for yours.

534
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 2: You got me off the Yeah, I know you vote

535
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 2: for mine.

536
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 3: Can't remember. I think I may have voted for mine.

537
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 2: So we're at one each. We have two remaining, but

538
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 2: all right, we're gonna hold up one for Houston to

539
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 2: win the big twelve two for U Mass to win

540
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:18,439
Speaker 2: the A ten three for Memphis to win the national title.

541
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 2: And this is this is you Mass regular season? Right?

542
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 2: U Mass regular season? Yes, title A ten, Houston Big

543
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 2: twelve title, all right on three one two three?

544
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a clean sweep. That's Houston bad is mins?

545
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 2: Actually go? I actually got it for Oh you want too? Okay, Sorry,

546
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 2: I'm not I'm on my different computer. Yeah. Yeah, we'll

547
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 2: go to Houston. You could revisit U MASS later. I

548
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,280
Speaker 2: Memphis may be. I can't see them winning the national title.

549
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 2: I don't hate the number in a wide open year

550
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:57,199
Speaker 2: with a guy like Jones who can carry you. But

551
00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:59,639
Speaker 2: there's a little fool's gold in Memphis right now. I

552
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,240
Speaker 2: mean they're a little like Kansas Light that they're getting

553
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,479
Speaker 2: away with. I mean, let's look back to be VCU

554
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 2: in overtime. They beat Texas A and M by six,

555
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 2: Clemson by two, Vanderbilt by two, Tulsa by three, SMU

556
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 2: by three over time.

557
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,879
Speaker 4: It just it depends how you view it, because you know,

558
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 4: you go the variance monster where it's like eventually they're

559
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 4: going to drop a close game, or you say the

560
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 4: other way, where it's like they actually know what they're

561
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 4: going to do. And I've actually been a little bit

562
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 4: impressed with Penny, who I didn't think all that highly

563
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:35,840
Speaker 4: of in terms of an in game coach.

564
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 3: At least at the end of these games, he's.

565
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 4: Not making the big gaff and the mistakes in terms

566
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 4: of managing, you know, foul situations up three, Who.

567
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 3: Are they going to go to the ball to to

568
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:46,919
Speaker 3: take the last shot?

569
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 4: At least he's proving to me that they're competent in

570
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 4: those spots. I'm not saying that he's some kind of

571
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 4: you know, coaching wizard at this point, but I kind

572
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 4: of you.

573
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 3: I understand what you're saying. It cuts both ways.

574
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I also just don't I don't trust win early.

575
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:04,439
Speaker 2: At the end of the day, I still don't trust him.

576
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 2: Any final comments, Randall for we move on to the weekend. No,

577
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 2: I get it.

578
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 1: I'll just say this, guys. Last year, if Kendrick Davis

579
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 1: gets that shot off and they'd be Florida Atlantic, they

580
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 1: absolutely had a path to make the run. That was

581
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 1: the pivot Game one. This team was going to get hot.

582
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: It was a super close game. Is a great game.

583
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 1: They get the time out or Davis gets the shot

584
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,120
Speaker 1: off or whatever. They could easily made it run, So Mike,

585
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 1: I do like it, though I like the path.

586
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, Caleb Mills, who I was never really a fan of,

587
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 2: but he fractured his potella, which is worth noting for Memphis.

588
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 2: But let's move on to the weekend. We'll go rapid

589
00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 2: fire around the horn. You could go Friday, Saturday, or

590
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 2: even Sunday if you want. I'll kick things off here.

591
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. Let's go New Mexico at home and

592
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 2: hoping that we can get around a pick. But the

593
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 2: college basketball market is so much more efficient than he

594
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 2: used to be. I mean, this line fifteen years ago

595
00:28:55,600 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 2: would open like plus three plus two, but now and

596
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 2: probably open like minus two minus three. But I mean,

597
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 2: look at just to show you how much more difficult

598
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 2: the college best market is. Like Iowa Nebraska tomorrow, and

599
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 2: Nebraska's coming off that huge win rush the court corn

600
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 2: Store over Purdue. They go to Iowa team that hasn't

601
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 2: been overwhelming. What is I don't even know what kem

602
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 2: Palm probably projects at at like a pick and I'm

603
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: like staying to myself, I wish, I hope the guy

604
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 2: would get a pick. But I doubt it, and it

605
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 2: opens two and a half goes to three and a

606
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 2: half within one minute. But I think this is a

607
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 2: really good spot for New Mexico off a couple back

608
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 2: to back loss so San Diego Stay team hasn't been

609
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 2: the same way from home escaped with a win at

610
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 2: San Jose State the other night, But this New Mexico

611
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 2: team have now had a couple of games with all

612
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 2: of their guards back to get into the flow. It

613
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 2: got three point variants the other night at UNLB. But

614
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 2: they match up really well with San Diego State because

615
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 2: they're those You need those guards to create hit mid

616
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 2: rage jumpers, which they can do. Last year they went

617
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 2: to Vaas and won, and then at home they lost

618
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 2: I think on a crazy like buzzer beater. I loss

619
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:11,960
Speaker 2: it pretty much spiled them at the end of the

620
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 2: year to keep them out of the tournament. I think

621
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 2: they'll be pretty focused here. Would love to get around

622
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,959
Speaker 2: to pick minus one ish, but I have New Mexico

623
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 2: Circle is a great spot this weekend. On Saturday, Rendolph

624
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:24,360
Speaker 2: throw to you.

625
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 1: Drake has been the class of the Missouri Valley Conference

626
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: for years. But what most people will not realize coming

627
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 1: up their big one over Indiana State. Let's go back

628
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: to twenty nineteen. They went to Southern Illinois and they won,

629
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: but only by three points. Didn't cover. Then they go

630
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: to Southern Illinois the next year, and when they play

631
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois the next year, they get destroyed by seventeen

632
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 1: by Southern Illinois. Then they played Drake the next year.

633
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 1: Both games are away because that was COVID. Then in

634
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two they played Drake at home. They lose

635
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: by one. Then last year they beat Drake at home

636
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 1: by four. So what you're going to have is a

637
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: Drake team coming off a big win over Indiana State,

638
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 1: and everybody says they're the class of the Missouri Valley,

639
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: but they don't realize that Southern Illinois is very quietly

640
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 1: twelve and four is four to one in the Missouri

641
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: Valley and Xavier Johnson is playing at an elite level

642
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 1: and no one can stop them. This is a Sulukis

643
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: team that is number two in the country at defending

644
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: the three pointer. They make a ton of threes, and

645
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 1: they make their free throws and they control the pace.

646
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 1: I'm going to grab this right away. Pen Palm has

647
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: it at Southern Illinois minus two. I think people are

648
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: gonna jump on Drake. I like the selukis here to

649
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 1: continue their path of playing well against Drake. This isn't

650
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,959
Speaker 1: your mother's Drake team. They're not as good as they

651
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: used to be. Roman Pen all those things went sixteen

652
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: oh to cover to start the year a few years ago.

653
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 1: I'm taking Southern Illinois here with a big spot for

654
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:55,440
Speaker 1: the great Xavier Johnson.

655
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was also impressed. A terrible spot for Southern

656
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 2: Illinois before the Drake gam Avalpa, So I got a prayer.

657
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 2: They were up at twenty in that game at the half,

658
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 2: really focused Afford, I got a prayer. Comic Valpo, Yeah,

659
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 2: oh my god. They in b out of the ball

660
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 2: with like four seconds left and just chucked up a

661
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 2: three down eleven and a kid on Valpo comes flying

662
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: in and dunks it off the rim as time expires

663
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 2: to lose by nine. Absolute miracle, like the spot Calbury's

664
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 2: what he got?

665
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:31,720
Speaker 3: This was real quick.

666
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 4: Did you see Xavier Johnson's glow up as a former

667
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 4: George Mason patriot. I mean, this guy is playing at

668
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 4: such an absurd level. He's not just scoring, I mean

669
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 4: he's filling up the stat line every single night. So yeah,

670
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 4: I think he's he's very quietly putting himself in the

671
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 4: mix to be considered the best mid major basketball player

672
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 4: this year, which is pretty wild. I'm going to start

673
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 4: on Friday night. I like Dayton Land three at Ducaine.

674
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 3: You know, the flyer offense.

675
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 4: We've talked about it like they're a statistical Darling Ken

676
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 4: Palm eleventh Tourbick seventh eighteenth and rim in three rate.

677
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: I like what they showed me going on the road

678
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:07,719
Speaker 3: to day.

679
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 2: They're they're catching two, catching two. By the way, oh.

680
00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 3: It's open already, well, fantastic.

681
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 4: I do think, you know, some of their injury issues

682
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 4: potentially in the backcourt, I think it's going to influence

683
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 4: that number. But the reason why I circle this one

684
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 4: ahead of time is in the A ten, there's no

685
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 4: home court advantage for Ducane.

686
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 3: As a home team.

687
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 4: Since twenty twenty one, they've covered five percent of their games,

688
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 4: and they've only covered thirty eight percent of eight ten

689
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 4: games in the last three years. So this is like

690
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 4: a situational play that I like to go ahead and

691
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 4: fade the Dukes when I can. I know that they're

692
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 4: even more dependent Dayton is on homes for big games,

693
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,720
Speaker 4: but I'm comfortable with that. In this matchup, I think

694
00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 4: he's gonna eat. And the fact that I'm now catching points.

695
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 4: As I mentioned at the top, I would have gone

696
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 4: all the way to laying to the edge of one

697
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 4: possession of three points.

698
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go one that everyone is gonna hate, but

699
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 2: I'm probably going back to the well. Texas A and

700
00:33:55,680 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 2: M against Kentucky feel me this. I mean Texas A

701
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 2: and M really veteran team. They're at right with auburnon

702
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:08,720
Speaker 2: right up until the end and could not make a shot.

703
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 2: They're shooting seventeen percent from three in sec play. I

704
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 2: think that they can control the offensive. Last year, they

705
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 2: can keep Kentucky as much as you can out of

706
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 2: transition at home. Here after a couple of losses desperation spot,

707
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 2: I think we're getting Texas A and M at the

708
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 2: very bottom of the market. Taylor had way Taylor at

709
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 2: one of the worst games of this collegiate career at Auburn.

710
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 2: Couldn't make anything, couldn't make a layup at the end.

711
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 2: I think he'll have a big game here. He's usually

712
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: really good in these spots. So Texas A and m

713
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 2: around a pick against Kentucky kill me, but I think

714
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:49,839
Speaker 2: I'm going back to I guess now our Aggies Randall.

715
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,000
Speaker 1: Coasted last week with Bradley at home. Insert the incredible

716
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 1: Hulk smash gift. Now they're on the road at Illinois Chicago. Look,

717
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 1: I love Illinois Chicago. I got a soft spot here

718
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 1: for the Flames because they want me a lot of

719
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:05,439
Speaker 1: money with a run in their conference tournament years ago.

720
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 1: But Luke Yaklitch's team just is horrific on offense. They

721
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 1: can't make free throws. Bradley started zero to two. Remember

722
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: they played a lot of their games here, and they

723
00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 1: struggled early without Connor Hickman, so they're behind eight ball.

724
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 1: They lost to Murray State in Indiana State, so there's

725
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 1: no margin for era. They look great, They're healthy, pounded

726
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 1: Valpo pounded, Missouri State, pounded Evansville. I think they get

727
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 1: to win here at Illinois Chicago. I get it rivalry.

728
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:35,719
Speaker 1: Maybe they keep it close, but I think Bradley is

729
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 1: just too good right now. Hickman is playing really, really well.

730
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 1: I think the line's just too low. I think they cover.

731
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 1: I hate We just talked Mike about teams covering on

732
00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 1: the road here in conference, but I think Bradley is

733
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 1: really good. I don't think they're gonna mess around with

734
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: the Flames. I think they get the job.

735
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 2: Done here, all right.

736
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go to Saturday.

737
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 4: I've been waiting for Colgate to drop a game, and

738
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 4: it's pretty rare when they drop a game at home

739
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 4: in the Patriot League. But they just had one of

740
00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 4: those weird shooting nights and Slafayette still despite that, their

741
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 4: defense and offensive rebound and kept a minute, they still

742
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 4: almost pulled it out. They're traveling to Bucknell. I'd lay

743
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,920
Speaker 4: up to three. I'd probably go four points in this

744
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 4: one because Bucknell is just awful Offensively. They play really slow,

745
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,400
Speaker 4: but that's not a differentiator this year against Colgate. The

746
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,759
Speaker 4: Raiders are actually three hundred and eighth and tempo this year,

747
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 4: so I don't think that's going to throw them off.

748
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:23,959
Speaker 4: But critically, Buckmell is one of the worst rebounding teams

749
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 4: in America, certainly at the bottom of the Patriot League.

750
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 4: And this is where I think Keegan Records has a

751
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:30,840
Speaker 4: big game. He's coming off a double double and that

752
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 4: loss to Lafayette. I think he's going to get the

753
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 4: best to know Williamson inside in this game, and I

754
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 4: think Colgate gets right, gets off the mat in the

755
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 4: Patriot League and wins comfortably.

756
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to the SEC here and a team

757
00:36:42,600 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 2: that's been pretty surprising off to a thirteen and two

758
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 2: start in South Carolina. They kind of got some humble

759
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 2: pied Alabama. I think I'm gonna fade them again on

760
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 2: the road at Missouri. I mean South Carolina. If you

761
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 2: look at their schedule, I mean they played two away games.

762
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 2: They lost that Clemson, and they got blown out out

763
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:04,720
Speaker 2: against Alabama. They've won to beat To Paul by five,

764
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech by two, East Carolina by six, Charleston Southern

765
00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 2: by four.

766
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 4: Uh.

767
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 2: You know, so they've won a lot of close games

768
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,759
Speaker 2: that I think are kind of you know, I've been

769
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,719
Speaker 2: more impressed with South compared to my preseason expectations. But

770
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:24,319
Speaker 2: I think Missouri can run its offense here. They will

771
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: control the tempo at home. I think they'll can. I

772
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 2: think this is just a good Bilo spot on Missouri

773
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 2: against the South Carolina team that's probably even after the

774
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: loss of Alabama at the top of its market, still

775
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 2: not a believer in this team. They still don't have

776
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 2: shooting that I trust overall, So I'm going to look

777
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 2: at to back m I Z at home, Randall.

778
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: Last one, you took it from me. That's a great pick.

779
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 1: I had it on the list, so I would I

780
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 1: would go to my last one here on Saturday, Guys,

781
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 1: I went to Boston College. Had a lot of great

782
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,840
Speaker 1: memories there. Okay, we just hit it right with the

783
00:37:56,880 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: sports and the Elite eight and all that stuff. Football everything. Okay, fantastic.

784
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,080
Speaker 1: You're telling me Clemson's gonna lose four games in a

785
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 1: row and they're gonna lose at home to Boston College.

786
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 1: Everything goes through Quinton Post. I think Clemson can match

787
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: up with them. This is a desperation about for Clemson team. Yes,

788
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,560
Speaker 1: I know there's regression coming, but they're great on the boards,

789
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:19,240
Speaker 1: they shoot well at home. They just lost to Miami,

790
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,279
Speaker 1: North Carolina Virginia Tech. They are not going on a

791
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 1: four game losing streak. I understand. On Saturday, the line

792
00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 1: can Com has it at nine. I would lay double

793
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 1: digits my Eagles. I get it. Sometimes it's a good spot, guys,

794
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,759
Speaker 1: Notre Dame game, the whole thing. This is not the

795
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:36,919
Speaker 1: spot I think you're gonna get an angry Clemson team.

796
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,840
Speaker 1: They cannot go to one and four and lose to

797
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 1: the Boston College Eagles. I will lay it. I'm sorry

798
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 1: with my head, not my heart. Clemson at home against

799
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 1: Boston College.

800
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:48,439
Speaker 3: What happened with Quinton Post in that last game?

801
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,279
Speaker 4: Like he had been killing it the whole year and

802
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 4: just I mean talking about bottoming out in one performance

803
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 4: like that. I didn't I didn't see the actual game,

804
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:56,720
Speaker 4: so I don't know if he was banged up or something,

805
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 4: but I was shocked when I saw the box score.

806
00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 1: I had a really rough game against Syracuse, who made

807
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,360
Speaker 1: it a priority to guard him here. I mean he

808
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 1: was at twenty six minutes, no points, zero of two

809
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 1: and now he's going up against the front line and

810
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,080
Speaker 1: Clemson with PJ Hall, who I think is going to

811
00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 1: be able to challenge him a little bit. So he

812
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:15,280
Speaker 1: just had a bad game, but used by tenant Syracuse,

813
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: I get it to bounce back spot. I just how

814
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 1: can Clemson lose four in a row and made the

815
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:20,840
Speaker 1: fourth them be Boston College. I can't see it, Like.

816
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 2: I was also, do you mentioned uh kind of disappearing

817
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 2: acts Clemson? I know he was in a little bit

818
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 2: of foul trouble. But PJ Hall against North Carolina, I

819
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 2: was a very underwhelming performance. He looked just I mean

820
00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 2: he went five from three to two to four from

821
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,640
Speaker 2: the line. Uh he only I think he only played

822
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 2: like twenty twenty two minutes because of some foul trouble.

823
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 2: But he looked a little hesitant and just I was

824
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,960
Speaker 2: very disappointed in his performance against North Carolina. But I

825
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,959
Speaker 2: don't hate this spot at all generally. I mean, Haul

826
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 2: is a hell of a player. He just had an

827
00:39:56,160 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 2: off night against Carolina. Calbrey's anything else.

828
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:03,320
Speaker 4: You got one last one one of my favorite mid majors,

829
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:05,800
Speaker 4: Western Carolina on the road at Mercer.

830
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 3: I'd lay it up to five.

831
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 4: The Catamounts are really good. They're fourteen to two straight up,

832
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 4: they're eight and five against the spread. They got to

833
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,760
Speaker 4: go to score. Ontarious Wolbright is incredible.

834
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:16,799
Speaker 2: It fills it up, fills up a box score.

835
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,280
Speaker 4: It's like ten ten rebounds per game, twelve one, twelve

836
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:23,799
Speaker 4: and five. He's carrying my college fantasy basketball team this year,

837
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:26,319
Speaker 4: so shout out to him. Mercer, also, by the way,

838
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,960
Speaker 4: is going to be able to help Western Carolina is

839
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,319
Speaker 4: one issue offensively, which is they don't get to the

840
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 4: line no where is there mercer fouls more than just

841
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 4: about any team in their conference. And the Catamats have

842
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,200
Speaker 4: a huge advantage on the glass. A big part of

843
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:40,440
Speaker 4: that is Wilbright chipping in with you know, over ten

844
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 4: boards a game. But overall, they're the thirty seventh best

845
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 4: defensive rebounding team by percentage in the entire country. I

846
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,320
Speaker 4: think that travels. You talked about, like football, good defense travels,

847
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 4: rebounding travels, and I think that's going to help them

848
00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 4: get get the best here.

849
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 3: And finally, Western Kentucky excuse me.

850
00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 4: Western Carolina has been really good at not turning it over,

851
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 4: just below eleven turnovers per game.

852
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 3: That's fifty fifth in the country.

853
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 4: So when you take the rebounding advantage on the glass

854
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 4: and the fact that they're not sloppy with the basketball,

855
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 4: this is not the year to do it. But I'm

856
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 4: gonna trust a team at the top of their conference to.

857
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 3: Go on the road and cover a number, and I

858
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:13,440
Speaker 3: hope the Catmunts to do it.

859
00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 4: For me.

860
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 2: You just look at his stat line every night and

861
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 2: I'm like, what the I mean would It's pretty crazy.

862
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,000
Speaker 3: He'll have like ten in the first half. It's wild numbers.

863
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 2: He puts up. I'll bring up a spot. I'm curious

864
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 2: to see where this line ends up. But Winthrop against

865
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:33,359
Speaker 2: Radford Winthrop here last year they lost in the Big

866
00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:37,880
Speaker 2: South Conference tournament to Radford. They lost twice in the

867
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 2: regular season. They've talked about this game at home triple

868
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,919
Speaker 2: revenge from last year. They should get to the line

869
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,839
Speaker 2: a ton. They have turnover issues, but Radford doesn't turn

870
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 2: you over. I think this is you know Radford, Winthrop

871
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:54,800
Speaker 2: defends the perimeter really well, which is important against Radford.

872
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 2: I think this is a pretty good matchup, a great spot.

873
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,959
Speaker 2: Hopefully we can get them as a short shorter favor

874
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 2: than maybe what I'm expecting. But had Winter circled Butler,

875
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:07,600
Speaker 2: i'd Butler circle to get Seaton Hall. But maybe the

876
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 2: cat is out of the bag Butler winning. I was

877
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 2: hoping Butler lost at Marquette.

878
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:15,279
Speaker 1: That's a good risktock real quick. That's a good point too,

879
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 1: because Winter played last night, they're done. Radford playing at

880
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,799
Speaker 1: Longwood tonight, so that's also a huge advantage.

881
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 2: Yep. And then I'll look to see if you get

882
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 2: an inflated number with Oklahoma State at Iowa State, I mean,

883
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:28,799
Speaker 2: you're gonna get double digits here. I'll see if it's

884
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 2: inflated after that win against Houston. I always State might

885
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 2: come out a little flat. It's still an offense that

886
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:37,360
Speaker 2: can go through lulls and it's a team that I

887
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 2: won't wouldn't mind fading as a big double digit favorite,

888
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 2: even at Hilton. You know, it's not like it's not

889
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,920
Speaker 2: the same Hilton spot against an Oklahoma State team that's

890
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:50,560
Speaker 2: dropped a couple in a row. But that's all I got,

891
00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 2: all right, good stuff there. We have Texas A and

892
00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,200
Speaker 2: M deep in the heart of Texas. So far in

893
00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 2: the Future portfolio, Texas A and M to make the

894
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 2: final four, fourteen to one Houston to win the Big

895
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 2: twelve regular season title at plus two hundred. As we

896
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:09,359
Speaker 2: continue to build our Futures portfolio, which we'll do each

897
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 2: and every Thursday night throughout the rest of the regular season.

898
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,400
Speaker 2: Thanks to Mike for joining me, Thanks to our producer

899
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 2: David on the back end, Thanks of course to all

900
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:22,240
Speaker 2: of you for tuning in. We will be back Monday

901
00:43:22,680 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 2: with myself, Greg Waddell and Mike Calberis for the early

902
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 2: week preview. That's from the Three Men. Weave as always Wednesday,

903
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 2: and we'll be back later next week. Make sure you

904
00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 2: subscribe on Subscribe, Subscribe, tell friends on Enemy, leave a

905
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 2: five star review. Do a giveaways in one of these

906
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 2: next couple episodes, So leave a five star review really

907
00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 2: helps us out. Say whatever and good luck on all

908
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,759
Speaker 2: of your wages this weekend. Enjoyed the hoops, enjoy the

909
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 2: NFL playoffs, and we'll see you next week. Cheers.

910
00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:03,719
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

911
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:06,520
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912
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:09,640
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