1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: This is Master's in Business with very rid holds on 2 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:07,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. 3 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:11,639 Speaker 2: This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest. 4 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 2: Matt Levine, writes the Money Stuff daily newsletter for Bloomberg. 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 2: Matt has become this fascinating character in the world of 6 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: Wall Street research and analysis and commentary. He brings an 7 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 2: unusual background as both an m and a attorney and 8 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 2: a derivative specialist at two of the best firms in 9 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: the world for those spaces, and so he has this 10 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: unique way of taking these very complicated, sophisticated ideas and 11 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 2: making them both accessible and amusing to both finance professionals 12 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: and lay people. Nobody in the world writes about markets, finance, derivatives, 13 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 2: hedge funds, you name it, the way Matt does, and 14 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 2: and it's why he has such an amazing following. Over 15 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: three hundred thousand people get his daily missive. I found 16 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 2: this conversation to be really intriguing, and I think you 17 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: will as well. With no further ado, my conversation with 18 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 2: Money Stuffs, Matt Levine. 19 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 1: Thanks for having me. I walked all the way across 20 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 1: this floor to get here. 21 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 2: Not easy right to not easy to get to the broadcast. 22 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: Weirdly, I went upstairs and then came downstairs. 23 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 2: That's right, So let's talk. This is really the only 24 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 2: kind of odd question I'm going to ask, and everything 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 2: else is all very career oriented, so hopefully this isn't 26 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 2: too embarrassing. But let's ask this. So you're undergrad at Harvard, 27 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: where you majored in classics, and you list your activities 28 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 2: as quad whiffle ball and tequila Tuesday, which doesn't strike 29 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 2: me as you take it very seriously. You were valed 30 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 2: victorian Harvard. You never mentioned your Ivy League education. 31 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: You're quoting my LinkedIn, which probably my proud of social media, 32 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: since is my LinkedIn is I would like to think 33 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: a little bit funny, And yes I was. I was. 34 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I was, I believe, the co commissioner of quadwiffle wall very, 35 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: which is neither like prestigious, neither prestigious nor nor athletic 36 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: nor organizationally impressive. 37 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: But I had to dig that up. I had to 38 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,119 Speaker 2: dig up that you evalid Victorian. 39 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: I wasn't really Validictori, you were not. I didn't give 40 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: a speech. 41 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 2: I like, okay, so you you were. You just didn't 42 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 2: accept the. 43 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 1: No, no, no, there's there's not a thing called valedictoria and 44 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: I want a prize. 45 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 2: For So where where is this coming from? You? Not 46 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 2: the first time you've heard no. 47 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: No, no, I did win a prize for having the 48 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: highest GPI. So there's like a technical sense, but not 49 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: the most technical sets. That was not the validatory Yeah, editory. 50 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:50,799 Speaker 2: I never hear you talk about the Ivy League. You 51 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 2: go to law school at Yale. It's almost as if 52 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 2: you're embarrassed by the whole bruhaha around the IVS. 53 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: Uh. I don't know, it's like a little embarrassing to say. 54 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 2: That you, Well, the old joke is right. 55 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: How do you tell someone however, they'll tell you. 56 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 2: They'll tell you, But you're the exception to that rule. 57 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: There are a lot of exceptions, but I do I 58 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: will say that like in my in my column, I 59 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:19,080 Speaker 1: fairly regularly have occasion to disclose that I worked at 60 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: Goldban because I'm often writing about Goldman and it feels 61 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: like somehow dishonest not to mention that I worked at Golvin. 62 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 1: So I get a lot of my bragging in that 63 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:28,959 Speaker 1: way because because it used to be and it's less 64 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: true now, it used to be that like there is 65 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: a lot of like you could be like, oh, I 66 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: worked at Golvin. I was like, oh, you worked at Goldvin. 67 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: Now like that's a little tarnished, but there's still some good. 68 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 2: All right. So you go to Yale law school, you're 69 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: on the Law of You given your current career as 70 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 2: a writer, did you did you publish a lore of 71 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: you artcle? 72 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: You know? I did? I published it what it's called 73 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: the Comments, like a very short one about this great 74 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: tax law case with this guy who like won the 75 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: lottery and then wanted to get his lottery winnings treated 76 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: as capital gains. He lost, But I thought that was 77 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: so funny, and then it had nothing to do with 78 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: like anything I did for the next like seven years 79 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: after law school. But it's like, you know, like it 80 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: could have been a money stuff section, Like it was 81 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 1: pretty close to what I. 82 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 2: Do now very much. So, so we'll skip you teaching 83 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: Latin because my brain can't wrap my head around. 84 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: That that was fun. It's pretty bad. 85 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 2: So you say, I know, I'll become an M and 86 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 2: a attorney at Walktail Lipton, perhaps the most infamous M 87 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 2: and a law shop. 88 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, like the normal thing to do with 89 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: a classics degree is conclude that you should not continue 90 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: to be a class assistan and therefore go to law school. 91 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: So that was pretty pretty straight forward decision. But yeah, 92 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: then I went to walked out afterwards because it seemed 93 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 1: like because like, you know, you're you're a law student, 94 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: you don't know what a law firm is. And then 95 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 1: like you can spend your second year summer at a 96 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 1: law firm, and if you spend your second year summer 97 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: at most law firms, they take you out to fancy 98 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: lunches at the end of the summer, not knowing what 99 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: a law firm is. But if you go to walk tell, 100 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: they just put you to work, and so you end 101 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: the summer knowing what a lot from us. And I 102 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: was like, I might as well find out. 103 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: So I imagine it's endless hours focused on minutia. 104 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: What was your experience, Like, there's some of that, but 105 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: like you have to like like, yeah, you're like writing 106 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: merger agreements and then the other side is marking up 107 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 1: the merger agreement, and like you're arguing over commas and stuff, 108 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: and I love that. I thought that was really fun. 109 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: So I was very interested in that stuff. But there's 110 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: also a lot of like at way Tel. You know, 111 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: I was at Wachtel in two thousand and five to 112 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: two thousand and seven, so really mirror the peak of 113 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: a big merger's boom. And so I saw a lot 114 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 1: of deals and it was very much you know, I 115 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: read Barbarians at the Gate when I was like in 116 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: high school or whatever, and I was like, this seems cool. 117 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 1: And then you had to an MNA law fram being 118 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: like I'm gonna do like like MNA stuff, and like 119 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: it really did. I tell people like there's this time 120 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:54,359 Speaker 1: when we you know, we had like two sets of 121 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: bidders for some company, Like I'm in conference rooms on 122 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: different floors and they'd be like, you know, uh uh, 123 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: they'd be like, this is our final effert, but don't 124 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: shop to the other side. And we're like, h We'll 125 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: go to the bathroom, shop to the other side. It's real, 126 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,480 Speaker 1: like you know, like the sort of like high drama 127 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 1: of of of like the highest drama in finances and 128 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 1: like big ticket M and A and as a junior 129 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: m and a lawyer like I was, you know, doing 130 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 1: a lot of marketing up mergergrounds, but I was also 131 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: like kind of exposed to the highdrama like I was 132 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: in like these board meetings I was in, like I 133 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: got to see a lot of cool stuff. 134 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 2: So how do you how do you shift from m 135 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 2: and a legal work to structuring derivatives at Goldman? 136 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 1: Uh So I worked in this very weird desk at 137 00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: Goldman that uh it was corporate equity derivatives. And so 138 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: the thing we were doing was sort of solving like 139 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: often securities law or tax or accounting problems for people 140 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: with like derivatives. So like a component of it was 141 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: like the standard deriv his math right, and so like 142 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 1: you know, I got there and I learned through it 143 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: as math right. But a component of it was also 144 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: like thinking through all these like legal and regulatory and 145 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: quasi legal regimes, like the you know, like the counting standards. 146 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: And I said that everyone on that desk was a 147 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 1: good lawyer. Some of us had a lot of degrees, 148 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: but like the other people, the people who didn't have 149 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: a lot agrees, who just like were Goldman lifers, were 150 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: like would have been really good lawyers because it was 151 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: a very like, you know sort of there was a 152 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: practice that was like spotting issues and sort of thinking 153 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 1: through rules and thinking like how we could get through 154 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: the rules in a way that advantage us. In addition 155 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: to like sort of standard financi stuff. 156 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 2: Seems very legalistic. What led you to leap from Walcktail Goldman? 157 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 2: Was it the hours? Really? 158 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: I tell people I'm the only person who went to 159 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: Goldman for the hours. 160 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 2: I was for lowering your billable work week. 161 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was working. I loved walktaut. I thought it 162 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: was really fascinating and interesting. But it was you know, 163 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: it's like notoriously the hardest working law firm, and this 164 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: was in like a big m and a boom, and 165 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: so I was just working all the time. And I 166 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: got a call from a guy who actually had left, 167 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: walked out and gone to Goldman, and he said, do 168 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: you want a job here? And I said, is it 169 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: better than this job? And he said, it's a little 170 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: better than this job. And I was like, walk me 171 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: through your week, and he like walked me through. I 172 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: was like, yeah, that's a little better than this job. 173 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: So I left for the hours. 174 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 2: So you stay at Goldman for a couple of years. 175 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: For four years, the longest I've been at a job 176 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: until this job. 177 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 2: So you're there right into the teeth of the financial crisis. 178 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 2: What was that. 179 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 1: Like I was just telling someone a friend is going 180 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: to Sonoma for a vacation, and I was like, I remember, 181 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 1: I like woke up in Napa. I took this vacation 182 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: where you know, I was worried I wouldn't be able 183 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: to go because with this deal going, and I wrote 184 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: this long memo to people being like, this is what's 185 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 1: going to happen if the deal goes because I was 186 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 1: trying to be a responsible citizen at the desk, and 187 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 1: then by the time I got to Napa, I was like, 188 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: I don't think this deal is going to go. And 189 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: then I woke up in lehmanhead filed, and you know 190 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: it's like this is a cliche and in finance says this, 191 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: but like I remember walking around the day Lehman had 192 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: filed in Napa looking at people who are being normal 193 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: and thinking, how are you not freaking out? Because like 194 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: I was freaking out, you know I was. It seemed 195 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: like the end of the world. But no, it's wild. 196 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: I Like the thing that I think back on now 197 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: a lot is what did I do because there was 198 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: you know, we had this we had this spreadsheet of 199 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: just like every deal that that like one thing. One 200 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: aspect of what I did in my job was convertible 201 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,079 Speaker 1: bond underwriting, and so I had the spadsheet of every 202 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,079 Speaker 1: convertible bond deal that we or anyone else in the 203 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:41,520 Speaker 1: market did. And it stopped in like September of two 204 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:43,640 Speaker 1: thousand and eight, and it restarted in I want to say, 205 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 1: March of two thousand and nine, but like only a 206 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: little bit. And so for six months there were no deals, 207 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: Like we did not like print any revenue, We did 208 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: not do any deals. And I don't like, I didn't 209 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: take six months off, Like I came into the office 210 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:58,719 Speaker 1: every day, I didn't leave early. I didn't like take 211 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: long lunches. I don't know what I was doing for 212 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: six months. I think it was just like sort of 213 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: walking around panicking, but like you know, like scraping sticks 214 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: together and like trying to find deals to do. But 215 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 1: like we didn't do anything, Like we could have just 216 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: taken the six months off. And I think back on 217 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 1: that time and think, you know, it wouldn't have been 218 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 1: nice if we're just not gone to work, But no, 219 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: it was. It was a scary time, and it was 220 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 1: you know, there were there were like a number of layoffs. 221 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: You know, there were a couple of rounds of layoffs, 222 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: and you know, within my first two years at goldbun 223 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 1: and I didn't get laid off, and I was like, oh, okay, 224 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: I'm probably safe for a while. 225 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 2: You said about that job, I felt both that the 226 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 2: job was bad and I was bad at it. 227 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: Over time, I mean, I I liked, I like learned 228 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: a lot from that job, and it's like really helped 229 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: me to what I do today because it really touched 230 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,599 Speaker 1: on a lot of elements of the bank. You know. 231 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: It was all this like structuring and like tax and 232 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: legal and accounting stuff. It was derivatives math. It was 233 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:55,439 Speaker 1: like working with the traders on like risk management. It 234 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: was underwriting, you know, it was like doing investment banking 235 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: and underwriting public offerings. It was dealing with like the 236 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: sort of guts of the bank and like new product 237 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 1: development and capital and balance sheet. So I learned a lot, 238 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: but like early on, I was really learning a lot 239 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: because I was sort of like building stuff and learning 240 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: how to like build you know, like learning how to 241 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: use Excel and just like sort of just kind of 242 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:21,319 Speaker 1: like figuring out all this stuff. And then over time 243 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:24,320 Speaker 1: the job more says you get more senior into just 244 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: like getting on planes and flying around and giving market 245 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: updates to corporate treasures, and that I found less fulfilling. 246 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,199 Speaker 1: I was learning less and I was bad at that, 247 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:35,839 Speaker 1: Like I was good at the like sitting in the 248 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 1: lab during up to Rhotis, I was okay with that, 249 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 1: but like I was bad at the like getting on 250 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 1: planes and sweet talking corporate treasures, and so over time 251 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: it was a less and less good fit for me. 252 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 2: So what inspired the pivot to writing. 253 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 1: I don't have a good answer. I like could always 254 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: vaguely imagined myself as a writer without doing anything about it, 255 00:11:56,280 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 1: and I really I didn't want to be a corporate 256 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 1: equity to ride as a banker anymore. And you know, 257 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 1: in general, when you have jobs like these, it's very 258 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: hard to find a new job because you're working all 259 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: the time. And so my plan was actually to quit 260 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: and not do anything and figure out what my next 261 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: step was. And I like went to my very nice 262 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 1: boss and I was like, I'm quitting, and he said, 263 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: what are you going to do it? And I was like, nothing, 264 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: I'm going to figure out my next step. And he's like, well, 265 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: don't quit now, like take some time off and figure out, 266 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: and you know, it's very sweet, like like sort of 267 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 1: thoughtful response. And then he was like, we'll give you 268 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: a bunch of time off, but for now, go back 269 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 1: to your desk. And so I went back to my 270 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: desk and I worked for like three more weeks, and 271 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: then I saw the deal breaker, the great like comedic 272 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:39,599 Speaker 1: financial blog was hiring, and so I shot it in 273 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: an application and they hired me, and I was like, Okay, 274 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: I'm gone. But there was really very little thought to it. 275 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 1: You know. I had not been like blogging on the side, 276 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 1: or like practicing at night or anything like that. It's 277 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: just like I had this vague itch that I was 278 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: going to be a writer. I was at a point 279 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 1: in my life where I was very willing to gamble, 280 00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: you know. I was, I didn't have kids. I had 281 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 1: saved a bunch of money at Goldman in part because 282 00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 1: I really did think I was going to take time 283 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: off and figure out what my next thing was. And 284 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 1: so it felt like a fairly lowist time to take 285 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: a gamble on something that would pay a lot less 286 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 1: and uh, and that I didn't know that i'd be 287 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: good at, you know, but I figure i'd give it 288 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: a shot. 289 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 2: So making a lot of money at an investment bank 290 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 2: that you leave to take a much lower paid job 291 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 2: as a writer sounds a little parallel to Michael Lewis 292 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 2: and Salomon Brothers. Ever, think about that as as someone 293 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 2: who blaze that trail before you. 294 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: Oh, of course, I mean I wouldn't like go around 295 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: saying that because like, you know what, you know what 296 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: I mean, like, yeah, eleven, You're not gonna leave Goldman 297 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 1: and be like I'm going to go be Michael Lewis, right, 298 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 1: because like that's a little that's a little implausible. But no, 299 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: I mean, of course, like and I don't think I 300 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: even thought about it at the time. I just like 301 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:52,719 Speaker 1: it's just like in the background of what you think of, 302 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 1: like how you perceive the possibilities of like the financial 303 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: writing world. But yeah, no, I actually talked. I was 304 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: on his pod the other week and I talked about that, 305 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:04,920 Speaker 1: you know, we talked about that exact point. Yeah, in 306 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 1: some ways there were parallels between his career. 307 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 2: Really really intriguing. So let's talk about some of your 308 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 2: favorite subjects. Everything is securities, fraud. 309 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 1: Explain if a bad thing happens at a public company 310 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: public company, does a bad thing. This is ceo sexually 311 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: harassed to someone. If the company gets hacked, if it's polluting. 312 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: Usually what happens is like the stock drops, and when 313 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 1: the stock drops, the shareholders and sometimes even the sec 314 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: will sue the company saying, essentially, you didn't tell us 315 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 1: about this bad thing, and then when it came out, 316 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 1: the stock drop, so we bought the stock before at 317 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: this inflated price because we were deceived. You were lying 318 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: to us. You were saying that you had a code 319 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 1: of ethics, but then your CEO is sexually asking people, 320 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: or you were saying that you like were careful at 321 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: the environment, but you were like dumping pollution, or you 322 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: were saying that you like used good passwords, but used 323 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: bad passwords and you got hacked. Right, So, anytime like 324 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: a bad thing happens and the stock goes down, there 325 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,359 Speaker 1: will be a lawsuit of over securities, fraud and interesting 326 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 1: because like often the bad thing has like diffuse victims 327 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: or unclear victims, or it's unclear how to quantify the harm. So, 328 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: like you have a sexual harassment scandal, there will be 329 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 1: some number of people at the company who are victims 330 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 1: of that, and they will have different stories if they 331 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 1: were to sue, you need a lawyer to kind of 332 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: get all of their stories. And then like the company 333 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: would say, well, these stories are different, and like you know, 334 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: will argue them separately, and like how do you quantify 335 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 1: their damages? And it's it's kind of a mess. Whereas 336 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: if the stock goes down by a billion dollars, then 337 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: like some securities lawyer will say, well, the shareholders lost 338 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 1: a billion dollars, will bring a very straightforward class action 339 00:15:37,400 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 1: on you half the shaholders. And so you see these 340 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 1: cases where like the company pays a big securities settlement 341 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: because like it's not that like the shareholders of the 342 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 1: company are the most direct or the most harmed to 343 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: victims of whatever the bad thing is, But they're the 344 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: easiest victims, right, They're the easiest victims for a plaintiffs 345 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 1: lawyer to like round up, file a class action on 346 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 1: behalf of quantify their damages, settle it for ten cents 347 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: on the dollar. And so it's just like a fascinating 348 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 1: development in American securities law, where like there are so 349 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: many bad things get litigated as securities fraud because it's 350 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 1: like an easy way to litigate. 351 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 2: It and let's do the related topic, is everything insider trading? 352 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 2: Because if you're selling stock as an insider and there's 353 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 2: some everything is securities fraud going on, seems that that 354 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 2: would naturally follow one follow the other. 355 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I've read about that. Yeah, I mean, like 356 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: you can. Definitely it is unusual for like a CEO 357 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: to like get arrested for selling stock while he was, 358 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 1: you know, doing sexual harassment or whatever, but like it's 359 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: not unheard of, and there are private lawsuits that do 360 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 1: sort of express exactly that theory that everything is also 361 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: insider trading. 362 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 2: So you wrote a lot about all the meme stocks. 363 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 2: What was your biggest takeaway from that era. 364 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 1: I was struck by, like the ability of retail investors 365 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 1: collectively to move stock wises right, Like I was not 366 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 1: expecting that, I was. I mean, I think people confidently 367 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:00,920 Speaker 1: declared it on Reddit and I was like, sure, but 368 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 1: it's retail. And then like, in fact, these stocks went 369 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: up and stayed up for very long periods through like 370 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 1: the actions of retail investors and like people creating gamma 371 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: squeezes by buying options, And I was like, yeah, sure, 372 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 1: like that works in theory, that's not really gonna work, 373 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,399 Speaker 1: and they kind of did work. The other takeaway that 374 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,439 Speaker 1: I think is interesting is like just from the corporate 375 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: finance side, I think like there are some companies where 376 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 1: they were like, we're going to make our investor relations 377 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 1: and corporate finance strategy be about retail investors. And I 378 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:31,120 Speaker 1: think that that was never a thing that people did 379 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: for you know, the last like twenty or thirty years, 380 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 1: because you know, everyone sort of understood that the money 381 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 1: was in was in institutional investors, and like there's not 382 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 1: an efficient way to reach and like rely on retail 383 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 1: investors for funding. And in the meme slack craze, AMC 384 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:48,479 Speaker 1: very early on was like, oh yeah, we can do that, 385 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:50,719 Speaker 1: Like we can we can raise money, we can do 386 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 1: tons of at the market offerings to retail investors. We 387 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 1: can offer popcorn to our shareholders to keep our stock 388 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 1: price up, and we can like really, you know, do 389 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 1: our financing in rehail markets by being a memestock. And 390 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: I think like the way to do memestock investor relations 391 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: like had to be kind of invented on the fly, 392 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,919 Speaker 1: and it's fascinating the way people did it now. I 393 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 1: don't think it's like permanent, right if you're a CEO. 394 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: Now you can't be like, let's become a memestock and 395 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,480 Speaker 1: rely on retail investors because I think it's like it's 396 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 1: always been a crapshoot, and you know, it's much less 397 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 1: common than it was two years ago. But I think 398 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,200 Speaker 1: it was like a fascinating like lesson from that. 399 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 2: And some of these companies managed when the stock price 400 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 2: went went meteoric. We're able to do secondaries, We're able 401 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 2: to do refinancings. They took me full advantage. 402 00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:36,640 Speaker 1: AMC, like you know, was like recapitalized, like filing going 403 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,959 Speaker 1: concern warnings like we're going to go bankrupty, you know, 404 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,199 Speaker 1: we run movie theaters in a pandemic. We have all 405 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: this debt. And then they just refinanced their debt and 406 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 1: like and you know, bought a lot of it down 407 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 1: because they could sell stock at very high prices. They 408 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 1: had an asset that was not you know, that was 409 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: a very untraditional you know, like we have this ability 410 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: to tap retail investors to refinance, and they played it 411 00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 1: really fascinatingly. 412 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it seems like it was clearly not the 413 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 2: sort of thing buy and hold investors want to play with. 414 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 2: Off the highs. Most of these stocks are down. The 415 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,640 Speaker 2: meme stocks are down seventy eighty ninety plus percent. They've 416 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 2: all gotten taken a big hit. 417 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it was. It lasted much longer than 418 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: I expected, but it didn't last forever. 419 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:20,160 Speaker 2: Let's talk about another subject that you come back to regularly, 420 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 2: which is the philosophy of active versus passive investing. It 421 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 2: seems like active managers, who have been underperforming according to 422 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 2: the academics for a long time, are constantly throwing novel 423 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 2: new theories at the passive worlds, trying to take them 424 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 2: down a notch. You cover this on a regular basis, 425 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,040 Speaker 2: tell us a little bit about that space. 426 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: So my favorite part of it is not really about 427 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: active passive. My favorite part is right now, is this 428 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 1: notion that like, owning all of the companies is bad. 429 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 2: Owning all the companies in a sector because you're an 430 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 2: index investor somehow leads to price fixing. 431 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: So's the That's like the starting point of it. But 432 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 1: I think it's like a bigger theory than that, right, 433 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's that, And sometimes my headline 434 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 1: is sometimes like should index ones be illegal? 435 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 2: Right? 436 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,360 Speaker 1: The basic idea is that if all of the companies 437 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,199 Speaker 1: in a sector, or all of the companies in the 438 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 1: country or in the world, you know, all the company 439 00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 1: if they are all owned by twelve people. Right. John Coates, 440 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 1: the Harvard law professor, has a book out called The 441 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,920 Speaker 1: Problem of Twelve where he's like, yeah, there's like twelve 442 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 1: people and the people are like, you know, the people 443 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,679 Speaker 1: who run Black Rock, Vanguard, you know, State Street, but 444 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: also like Fidelity, Right, Like, this is not really a 445 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 1: passive question. This is a very large diversified investor question. Right. 446 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:43,919 Speaker 1: If like twelve people control you know, fifty one percent 447 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 1: of the stock in all of the companies, then it 448 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: sort of stands to reason that those people will want 449 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 1: stuff to happen that is broadly good for all of 450 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 1: their companies, rather than for one company to compete against 451 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: another company, and that the CEOs of those companies who 452 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 1: are for douce shares for these shaolders will think like, yeah, 453 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 1: I got to do what is right for these shareolders. 454 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:05,840 Speaker 1: And so that happens in a lot of ways, and 455 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,199 Speaker 1: the alleged to happen in a lot of ways. And 456 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 1: like the starting point for all of this is some 457 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: papers that people published about price fixing. Like the idea 458 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,159 Speaker 1: is that if all of the airlines are owned by 459 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: the same dozen investors, then the airlines will not compete 460 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: hard on price, and like they will try to divvy 461 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,640 Speaker 1: up roots in a way that keeps prices high. Because 462 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 1: if you compete on price, you're essentially, you know, mostly 463 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: taking a dollar away from your competitor, and like that 464 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,479 Speaker 1: dollar ends up in the hands of your shareholders anyway. 465 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,360 Speaker 1: So why would you compete. Why wouldn't you just try 466 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,439 Speaker 1: to grow the pie for everyone? And it's like super controversial, 467 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 1: and like the empirical evidence where it is not super clear, and. 468 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 2: Like especially focusing on airlines as opposed to tech or 469 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 2: industrials or they cherry pick that sector, which kind of 470 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 2: reveals how bankrupt the argument is. But keep going, like. 471 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 1: They are fascinating stories about like this is not in 472 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:54,679 Speaker 1: public companies, this is not the problem as well. But 473 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: like ride sharing startups, like soft Bank was financing all 474 00:21:57,720 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: these ride sharing startups and then like the kind of 475 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: didn't feeding against each other, and they kind of like 476 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 1: divvate up the world, you know, and it's like, well, yeah, 477 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 1: they're like subsidiaries of SoftBank, right, And if you think 478 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,680 Speaker 1: about the world as being like all companies are subsidiaries 479 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 1: of black Rock, then it's just like an interesting analytical framework. 480 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 2: But you but you need that leap, which is inally 481 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 2: the part that nobody talks about is, hey, we're running 482 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 2: a ten trillion dollar company. I know, let's put that 483 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 2: at risk to reduce competition in the airline section. Okay, 484 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:29,959 Speaker 2: but such an absurd argument. 485 00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 1: Okay, But but like here's where it is universally accepted 486 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 1: to be true, which is ESG think about like what 487 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: black Rock is, right, Like, they don't really gain from 488 00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,359 Speaker 1: one company like improving its competitive position against another company, 489 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: because they own all the companies. 490 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 2: What they get, that's their business. Their business is to 491 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 2: own all the companies, and they gain when they run 492 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:50,760 Speaker 2: that business better. 493 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 1: Yes, and so like broadly speaking, competition is good for 494 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 1: them because like competition sort of you know, does ultimately 495 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 1: grow the pie. But like there are places, and like 496 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,560 Speaker 1: the place that I think is sort of obvious is 497 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 1: like Blackrock has and they do less of this now 498 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 1: because of political pressures, but they have put up papers 499 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 1: and they put out you know, strongly worded letters to 500 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,200 Speaker 1: CEOs saying you need to take climate risk seriously because 501 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,439 Speaker 1: climate risk is a systemic risk that affects all of 502 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: our companies, and like that strikes me as straight forwardly true. 503 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 1: And Blackrock is saying, you know, we have to care 504 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 1: about not just like year to year bottom line of 505 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 1: these companies. We have to care about like the systemic, 506 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: like long run sustainability of like the entire capitalist system. 507 00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 2: Which by the way, is their way of doing business. 508 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:37,080 Speaker 2: Vanguard hasn't done that, statement hasn't done that. Yeah, I agree, 509 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 2: And the competition amongst the three of those is why 510 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 2: there's no real price fixing. If I don't think it's 511 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 2: going the other way. 512 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 1: I don't want to argue for like there's price fixing 513 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 1: in airlines because of Blackrock, But I do think that, like, 514 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 1: if you are a broadly diversified, enormous asset manager, you 515 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 1: do have to think about your portfolio primarily in systemic 516 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: ways and not in like competitive decisions that your individual 517 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 1: companies are making. And if you're thinking about your portfolio 518 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: systemically like that creates different incentives for you and for 519 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,400 Speaker 1: your portfolio companies managers. Then if they all had shareholders 520 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: who only owned their company and they were just trying 521 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: to maximize their company's share all sorts of like ESG 522 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: stuff is about externalities, right, It's about a company saying, 523 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 1: we can make more money by doing bad stuff that 524 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: causes externalities to other companies, but we're not going to 525 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 1: do that. I think part of why they're not going 526 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 1: to do that is because like their shareholders absorb those externalities, right, 527 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 1: and like that's like the simplest form of the story, right, 528 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: and like then you can be like, well, one thing 529 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 1: that causes externalities is like airlines cutting prices, and like 530 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: that seems bad, and stopping them from doing that it 531 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: seems bad. Another thing that causes externalities is like pollution, 532 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 1: and stopping them from doing that is good. Right, Like 533 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,280 Speaker 1: there's all sorts of things, and some of them are 534 00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 1: good and some of them are bad. But like this 535 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 1: notion that like a systemic shareholder is doing systemic stewardship 536 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,080 Speaker 1: and that it wants its companies to act in a 537 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 1: way that benefits all of its portfolio rather than just 538 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:00,960 Speaker 1: that one company, I think like makes total intuitive sense. 539 00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 1: And then like you're gonna have questions about the individual cases. 540 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 2: So I wanted to bring it up because you bring 541 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,360 Speaker 2: it up every couple of months, there's always some crazy 542 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 2: law review article or some wacky that that are at 543 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 2: the outer limits of how the world really works, how 544 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:22,680 Speaker 2: how indexing works, and how big asset managers like black 545 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 2: Rocker vangor to state street work. But if we pretend 546 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,640 Speaker 2: that they're colluding, well maybe index funds are illegal. 547 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 1: I don't really think they should be illegal. But there 548 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 1: are people, and I I've made fun of the people 549 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: who like really strongly believe they should be illegal. 550 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 2: Now do they really believe that or are they just 551 00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,680 Speaker 2: hired by active managers to push them facility because I 552 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 2: ideal going on, hey push the fish. 553 00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:47,840 Speaker 1: I don't think most of them even believe that index 554 00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 1: fund should be leg I think they I think that, 555 00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: like me, they find they find this like an interesting 556 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,959 Speaker 1: sort of theoretical point. And I agree with you that 557 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 1: like a lot of them feel like empirically sort of 558 00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: pushing the limits of what is plausible, but like there's 559 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: some nub of it that like just seems uncontroversially true, 560 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,400 Speaker 1: and then it's just about like sort of figuring out 561 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 1: like what the like, how to frame it and understand. 562 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:10,879 Speaker 2: It, where's the line how far you could take it? 563 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:11,119 Speaker 1: Right? 564 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 2: Last topic that you talk about on a regular basis derivatives, 565 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:19,160 Speaker 2: high frequency trading, hedge funds, and down and short selling. 566 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,120 Speaker 2: Let's talk a little bit about SPACs, which you covered 567 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 2: pretty aggressively during the SPAC frenzy over the past couple 568 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,119 Speaker 2: of years. Yeah, it's over, it's done, right, Are you 569 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,439 Speaker 2: going to see this again or is this another another 570 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 2: ten years have to go by before this pops up again? 571 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,400 Speaker 2: Because you remember mid two thousand SPACs were a thing 572 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:37,120 Speaker 2: as well. 573 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,359 Speaker 1: Right, there was a long period where SPACs were like 574 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,479 Speaker 1: a known technology but like notoriously shady, and then in 575 00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 1: like the recent boom, they became kind of like mainstream 576 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 1: and popular. I don't know if they'll go back to 577 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,159 Speaker 1: being like a notoriously shady thing. I think it's a 578 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: plausible tool, right, I think that, like you know, before 579 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:56,639 Speaker 1: SPACs there is a bit of a boom and direct 580 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,120 Speaker 1: listings US and that's still. 581 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 2: Kicking around, been talking about that forever. 582 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 1: You'll still see an occasional direct listing. Like that's just 583 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,560 Speaker 1: like a technology that like someone built and that was 584 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,520 Speaker 1: it's kind of domesticated and is now part of the toolbox. 585 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 1: I think SPACs are different because like you can't just 586 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:12,960 Speaker 1: like go to a company and be like, well you 587 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 1: can do an IPO, you can do a spec because 588 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:16,760 Speaker 1: you need to have a pre existing spack lying around. Right. 589 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 1: The spack experience, you know, was very lucrative for spack 590 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,000 Speaker 1: sponsors for you know, the first half of that boom, 591 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 1: and then more and more sponsors got into it and 592 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,159 Speaker 1: a lot of them ended up stuck and like with spacks, 593 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: that will expire and they will eat a million dollars 594 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:33,200 Speaker 1: or whatever of setup costs and feel burned. So I 595 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: think that you'll be less likely to see people starting 596 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,879 Speaker 1: spacks like on spack as it were, and trying to 597 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 1: you know, find a deal. So I don't know, I 598 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,200 Speaker 1: think it will kind of dissipate. But there's still stuff. 599 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 1: I mean, like I really like Bill Ackman's spark, you 600 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 1: know his like ah, his spack where you don't raise 601 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 1: the fund first. Like that solves like a number of issues. 602 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 1: But one issue that it solves is like it's not 603 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 1: as risky for the sponsor upfront, right, like because you 604 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:57,240 Speaker 1: said up the thing and it's like, well, you have 605 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,360 Speaker 1: as long as you need and like you're not raising 606 00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 1: a specific amount money you have, like you know, you 607 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,480 Speaker 1: can raise as much moneys you want and so it's 608 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 1: like a tool where like seven years from now, a 609 00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:07,919 Speaker 1: bank can go to a company and be like, well 610 00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:09,199 Speaker 1: you can go pupic with an IPO. You can do 611 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: a direct listing, or you can call it Bill Blackman 612 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 1: and see if he's got a sparkling around, right, And 613 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 1: so there's something as a technology. It's interesting, but like 614 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: because it needs to be set up in advance, like 615 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:21,159 Speaker 1: it's possible that like there mostly go away. 616 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 2: Any other topics that you've been looking at lately that 617 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 2: are going to become regulars, and I'm holding crypto to 618 00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:28,679 Speaker 2: be its own, you. 619 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: Know, crypto, You're right, like crypto was a regular topic 620 00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,479 Speaker 1: and it still is, but you know, a large subset 621 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 1: of my readers or second it I mean crypto was 622 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: fascinating because lake Elon Musk, it was a laboratory for 623 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 1: understanding financial concepts, right, Like people who were like kind 624 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 1: of rebuilding the financial system from scratch, and so you 625 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 1: could have like great discussions about like what is margin lending? 626 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 1: Right because like crypto exchanges were like thinking of new 627 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 1: ways to do it. 628 00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:49,600 Speaker 2: Right. 629 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:51,920 Speaker 1: The retrenchment of crypto has been has meant that there's 630 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 1: just like much less of that there's much less like 631 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,440 Speaker 1: interesting financial experiments in crypto, because like crypto is just 632 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 1: like there's just less new stuff happening in crypto. The 633 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:01,239 Speaker 1: thing that, like, that's been on my mind a lot 634 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 1: recently because of the open AI saga. It's just AI, right, Like, 635 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 1: I just like the influence of large language models and 636 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: other sort of AI tools in finance. It's still kind 637 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: of early days, but you're just like, oh, is an 638 00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:16,520 Speaker 1: article about how AI tools are being used, you know, 639 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 1: to do new stuff, to like take over jobs from humans, 640 00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 1: to like find new ways to do things in finance. 641 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 1: And I think that's like, you know, obviously going to 642 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: be a central theme. 643 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 2: All right, so let's let's talk about a few of 644 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 2: your other favorite topics. I just love the way you 645 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 2: put this quote. I have to say, nobody makes being 646 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 2: a billionaire look like less fun than Elon Musk. He's 647 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 2: the richest person in the world. Exclamation point. He decided 648 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 2: to buy his favorite toy and to make it more 649 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 2: closely aligned with his tastes. So he did that, and 650 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 2: it worked, and yet it seems to make him more 651 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:54,760 Speaker 2: miserable every day. So when when the Twitter acquisition was 652 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 2: early days, it was front page with you all the time. 653 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 2: It was top of mind. Tell us a little bit 654 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 2: about why you find it so fascinating to write about 655 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:05,920 Speaker 2: Elon Musk. 656 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 1: So, in terms of like my professional interests, I'm really 657 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: interested in like kind of financial stuff, and Elon Musk 658 00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:18,720 Speaker 1: is a fascinating like financial guy because he really rethinks everything. 659 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:23,040 Speaker 1: And I think, like his biggest supporters would say this, 660 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 1: he really rethinks everything from first principles, and that's kind 661 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 1: of a terrible way to do almost everything in like 662 00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 1: regulated financial markets. And so like, I write a lot 663 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 1: of like imagined dialogue for Elon Musk, and a lot 664 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,240 Speaker 1: of it is like Elon calling his lawyers and saying, 665 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 1: why can't I pretend I'm going to take Tesla private 666 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 1: or whatever, and his lawyers being like, you can't do that. 667 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 1: And I think, you know, you read stories where you're 668 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: like at space X, they're like, well, the laws of 669 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 1: physics don't allow you to do whatever you're doing. Right 670 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 1: in like the laws of like financial markets and the 671 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 1: laws of the sec everything's like a little grayer, you know, 672 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:00,720 Speaker 1: it's a little bit less clear what's allowed and what's 673 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,680 Speaker 1: not allowed. And so he's constantly pushing up against what's allowed. 674 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 1: So he's always doing weird stuff that one is funny, 675 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: and then two that kind of illuminates how these mechanisms work, right. 676 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,960 Speaker 1: I mean I wrote so much about his acquisition of 677 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,960 Speaker 1: Twitter because I you know, I was an M and 678 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: A lawyer, and I have written over the you know, 679 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 1: twelve years of my career in financial journalism there have 680 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,000 Speaker 1: been M and A deals where like there's been some 681 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 1: dispute about whether some deal had to close, and like 682 00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 1: where you could be like, oh, this is how merger 683 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 1: are going to work, this is how remedies work in 684 00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:33,880 Speaker 1: merger disputes, right, But I didn't do a lot of 685 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,680 Speaker 1: that because people find it kind of boring, right, and you're, yeah, yeah, 686 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 1: like merger dispute remedies in in merger contracts, and then 687 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: Elon Musk makes it like hilarious front page News. I'm like, 688 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 1: I can write about merger disputes and you often don't 689 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: see those mechanics because usually people just kind of do 690 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,239 Speaker 1: the expected thing. And Elon Musk is like, no, I'm 691 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:54,960 Speaker 1: going to test every like pressure point of how mergers work. 692 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 1: It turns out they do work, right, Like we might 693 00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 1: have been wrong, right, we might have like all done 694 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 1: merger argreements in ways that were vulnerable to Elon Musk 695 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:06,840 Speaker 1: finding flaws in them, but in fact it held up, 696 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 1: you know, And there's just like a lot of stuff 697 00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 1: like that. There's a lot of you know, he like 698 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,480 Speaker 1: pushes the boundaries of what he can get away with. 699 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:16,280 Speaker 1: He does weird things and sort of pushes people to 700 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,080 Speaker 1: acquiesce to them, and sometimes they do and sometimes they don't. 701 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 1: It's always just like illuminating about how finance and how 702 00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 1: the law works. 703 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,479 Speaker 2: I love this description. Nobody has been penalized more in 704 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 2: history for their inability to manage their impulse control. 705 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: Well, you know, like in like dollar terms, but like 706 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 1: you know, other people have been penalized worse, like in 707 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,200 Speaker 1: terms of their own utility. Like he's had to pay 708 00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,920 Speaker 1: a lot of money for his inability to resist Twitter, 709 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:44,520 Speaker 1: but like I mean still quite rich. 710 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 2: Right, that's that's forty four billion dollars. I always wondered 711 00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 2: why he didn't just write the billion dollar breakup of FEEB. 712 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: Well, this is this is what we're telling about. Like 713 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 1: he couldn't do that. That wasn't how it worked. The 714 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: merger agreement isn't that simple. It had a specific performance 715 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 1: Clauset said, you can't walk away for by writing a 716 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 1: billion dollar breakup fee. The breakup fee is payable and 717 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:07,920 Speaker 1: specific circumstances where you're sort of allowed to walk away. 718 00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 1: But he was not allowed to walk away by writing 719 00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:10,720 Speaker 1: by paying a billion dollar fee. 720 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: Who is advising him to waive due diligence? I recall 721 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 2: you wrote about that. 722 00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: Well, he so I actually think that in hostile public 723 00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 1: company m and A, it is not that uncommon to 724 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,600 Speaker 1: not do due diligence, right, And that's how hostile m and 725 00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 1: A works, Like you don't talk to the management, We'll 726 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:27,520 Speaker 1: talk to you, and you're like, I'm gonna put in 727 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:33,080 Speaker 1: a bid anyway. These days, normally the hostile deals sort 728 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 1: of end up going quasi friendly and like you get 729 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,040 Speaker 1: to do some due diligence. But like, I mean, the 730 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: reasoning is Twitter's financials and you know, it's business were 731 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 1: all fairly well known publicly, and there was no information 732 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 1: that he didn't have that was relevant to his bid, 733 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:51,600 Speaker 1: so like he had all the information he needed. Like 734 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,160 Speaker 1: what happened is like, first of all, he was kind 735 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 1: of overpaying, you know generally, but more importantly, like kind 736 00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 1: of the market tanked, right, between when he and the 737 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:03,320 Speaker 1: deal and when it closed, the waiving due diligence was 738 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 1: not the problem there, right, Like, like he he was 739 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:11,080 Speaker 1: buying a very well known public company and he knew 740 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:12,400 Speaker 1: what he needed to know about it. 741 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,920 Speaker 2: So your your headline for that story was Musk lost 742 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:20,320 Speaker 2: interest in pretending to buy Twitter, which is kind of vibral. 743 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 2: Well that's what I thought at the time, right, ironic 744 00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:25,320 Speaker 2: because he ends up being forced to buy Twitter because 745 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 2: he made a firm offer. Yeah, which raises a big question. 746 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:31,920 Speaker 2: How could you be the wealthiest person in the world 747 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:36,200 Speaker 2: and not have one or two lawyers and accounts on 748 00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:39,920 Speaker 2: staff that say, hey, genius, you're going to be forty 749 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:41,759 Speaker 2: five billion in the hole if you don't stop this, 750 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 2: Like nobody says note him. 751 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 1: Well, there's two points right before he signed the deal, Like, 752 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 1: I think that, Like there are a lot of people 753 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,840 Speaker 1: signing a public company merger agreement is sort of different 754 00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:54,280 Speaker 1: from like signing a letter of intent to buy at computer. 755 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 1: Like I think that, like he might have some experience 756 00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,560 Speaker 1: in doing deals where like you sign a piece of 757 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 1: paper that is not a final binding commitment, right, whereas 758 00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 1: in a public company merger, like it doesn't really work 759 00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:05,839 Speaker 1: that way. You sign a piece of paper, your pretty 760 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,279 Speaker 1: committed it done. I think it's possible that he had 761 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 1: lawyers who told him that and he didn't listen. I 762 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 1: think it's also possible that it did not occur to 763 00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:14,840 Speaker 1: a lawyer to say, when you signed the definitive merger agreement, 764 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 1: that's a definitive merger group. 765 00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 2: Right. 766 00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 1: Think it might have been like the lawyer might have 767 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: assumed that was obvious right after he signed the deal. 768 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,000 Speaker 1: The reporting on this suggests that he did that. His 769 00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:26,919 Speaker 1: lawyers did tell him, you know, you signed a binding deal, 770 00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: but I think that they probably accurately told him he 771 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:31,319 Speaker 1: had some chance of winning. 772 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:33,360 Speaker 2: Not exactly the same. 773 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,000 Speaker 1: He was like, let's roll the dice. Man like, I 774 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 1: don't think he minds going up against long odds. 775 00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 2: Really really interesting stuff. Let's talk a little bit about 776 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:46,320 Speaker 2: how money stuff got started before it was the most 777 00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,960 Speaker 2: red item on Wall Street? How did it begin? Tell 778 00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:52,040 Speaker 2: us a little bit about the background. 779 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,319 Speaker 1: You know, I don't. I don't really know. It's sort 780 00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,440 Speaker 1: of like accrewed in stages. So I was blogging at 781 00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:58,799 Speaker 1: del Bicker for a while, you know, writing like you know, 782 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 1: one to three blog posts today about the financial industry 783 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:06,080 Speaker 1: back when people wrote blog posts. And then I came 784 00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:08,320 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg and they sort of it was at a 785 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: time when they were sort of thing, you do the 786 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: same thing. You know, you'll blog a couple of times 787 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 1: a day, and like many blogs like deal Breaker, like 788 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 1: some other financial blogs, you know, there's this notion that 789 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,200 Speaker 1: in the morning you just sent out a roundup of links, 790 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 1: and so it became like my morning link round up 791 00:36:23,600 --> 00:36:26,799 Speaker 1: was like a couple of paragraphs about four stories, right, 792 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,080 Speaker 1: And at some point I was like, I want this 793 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:34,320 Speaker 1: link wrap to be an email that goes to your inbox. 794 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 1: I didn't like do a lot of thinking and market 795 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: research about this. I think I was mostly inspired by 796 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 1: this great media newsletter called Today in Tabs by Rusty 797 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 1: Foster that was like hilarious and uh. 798 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,080 Speaker 2: Just very like stylish still still around. 799 00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:49,000 Speaker 1: Still around. Yeah, it's like gone through different direction day 800 00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:51,560 Speaker 1: Today and Tabs that's great and. 801 00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 2: Back in the pre substat days. 802 00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, this was fourteen something like that. And so I 803 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:00,319 Speaker 1: was like, I'm gonna make this an email newsletter and 804 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:02,800 Speaker 1: everyone was, you know, Bloomberger was like sure, whatever, h 805 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,439 Speaker 1: And I don't know. 806 00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:06,279 Speaker 2: Exactly that's precisely what they said sure. 807 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:09,239 Speaker 1: There was a kind of like real thinking about it, 808 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:12,200 Speaker 1: and we were like, we should give it a name. 809 00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:15,799 Speaker 1: And I do think that Tim O'Brien, now the head 810 00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 1: of Bloomberg Opinion, came up with the name money Stuff, 811 00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:20,759 Speaker 1: but he thinks it was me. But any any case, 812 00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:22,319 Speaker 1: someone came up with the name money stuff wi I, 813 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:23,359 Speaker 1: which I adore and. 814 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:29,479 Speaker 2: Is like, cause it's so it's so perfectly ambiguous and generic. Yeah, 815 00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:33,320 Speaker 2: and yet it's so winking at the same time. 816 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,120 Speaker 1: One of my editors once called my tone and headlines 817 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:41,360 Speaker 1: blandly sarcastic, and I think I think of money Stuff 818 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,600 Speaker 1: as being blandly sarcastic. But so we came with the name, 819 00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:45,759 Speaker 1: which is which was great. But then like you know, 820 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:47,400 Speaker 1: I started sending out it's an email, and then like 821 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:50,440 Speaker 1: over time, more of my work went into the email, 822 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 1: and it got longer and frankly got later in the day, 823 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,600 Speaker 1: and less of my work went into the standalone blog 824 00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 1: post until I realized, like I had this audience on email, 825 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,359 Speaker 1: it would be obscene for me to write a long, 826 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: good post and put it up on Bloomberg and not 827 00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,360 Speaker 1: send it to my email subscribers. So instead the email 828 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,200 Speaker 1: is gonna be the whole thing, and like, if I 829 00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 1: have something good, I'm gonna put it in the email, 830 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: you know. And so I no longer write like standalone 831 00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:15,480 Speaker 1: blog posts, and the word blog has sort of vanished 832 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:17,400 Speaker 1: from the Internet, but I still kind of think of 833 00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 1: myself as a blogger. It was such a good strategic 834 00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 1: decision to like capture this audience and people who expect 835 00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:25,040 Speaker 1: to hear from you each day, who know your name 836 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,799 Speaker 1: or get an email from your name, rather than like, 837 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:29,960 Speaker 1: you know, a column that they don't necessarily look at 838 00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,399 Speaker 1: the pieline, who expect it every day, who feel some 839 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,759 Speaker 1: sort of like parasocial relationship with you, where they're like, 840 00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,040 Speaker 1: were there in some sense in correspondence with you, rather 841 00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,280 Speaker 1: than just like reading some stuff on the internet. 842 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,279 Speaker 2: So let's talk a little bit about your audience. And 843 00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:47,000 Speaker 2: I have a few quotes I've pulled from the Internet. 844 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:51,399 Speaker 2: Matt's one of the best writers today chronicling the ironies, paradoxes, 845 00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:55,680 Speaker 2: and absurdities of modern business and finance. That that's Jim 846 00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 2: Chanos of Kinnicos Associates. His work is some of the 847 00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:03,520 Speaker 2: most sophistic analysis of what's really happening on Wall Street 848 00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:07,520 Speaker 2: says Bill Ackman. These are some pretty big hitters blowing 849 00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:11,280 Speaker 2: kisses your way. What's it like to know that your 850 00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:15,879 Speaker 2: daily email is being read by some pretty big Wall 851 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 2: Street titans. 852 00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,120 Speaker 1: I try not to think about it too much because, 853 00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:20,400 Speaker 1: like sometimes you write about. 854 00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,919 Speaker 2: Them when you when you write something, do you know 855 00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:24,759 Speaker 2: this is going to be read by them? Is that 856 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:25,640 Speaker 2: in the back of your head? 857 00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:27,520 Speaker 1: The thing is that, like the tone of the email 858 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:29,640 Speaker 1: is so like it is written for like me and 859 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:31,759 Speaker 1: my friends. You know. It's like I used to think 860 00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:34,400 Speaker 1: of my audience as being like the analysts on my desk, 861 00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:36,200 Speaker 1: who are like sort of like young people who know 862 00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,200 Speaker 1: a little that finance play. You can still explain a 863 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: lot of things to them. I no longer really think 864 00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:42,160 Speaker 1: about that way, but I still think of it as like, 865 00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 1: like the audience is to like to make myself laugh. 866 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,400 Speaker 1: I don't think of it as being like Bill Ackman's 867 00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 1: going to see this, you know. 868 00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:51,480 Speaker 2: The New York Times described your analyzes as humor with 869 00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,080 Speaker 2: a nerdy, confident tone. Sounds like you're writing for your 870 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:57,719 Speaker 2: buds on the in the analysts room. 871 00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,200 Speaker 1: Yeah a little bit. Yeah. 872 00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 2: So so so let's talk a little bit about some 873 00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 2: of that nerdiness. What's with the endless humorous footnotes? 874 00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, Like it's just like it's a tick 875 00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:13,400 Speaker 1: that started a deal breaker and then I sort of 876 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,600 Speaker 1: brought it over because like people complain if I don't 877 00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 1: have footnotes that you know, It's like an email newsletter 878 00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,239 Speaker 1: is a very linear thing, but like sometimes there are 879 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 1: like digressions that you want to have and the best 880 00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:23,719 Speaker 1: way to do that is in a footnote and you 881 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 1: have some rudimentary HTML that allows you to jump back 882 00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,320 Speaker 1: and forth. Although in an email newsletter it's like pretty rudimentary. 883 00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:32,720 Speaker 1: As it's gone on longer, like you know, the audience 884 00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 1: has broadened, right, and so it's not like I'm literally 885 00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:39,279 Speaker 1: writing for, like, you know, an audience of analysts at 886 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,880 Speaker 1: a bank. I'm writing for a kind of range of audiences. 887 00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:46,280 Speaker 1: And there are times when I will say something general 888 00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:49,520 Speaker 1: and straightforward in the text, and then I'll be like, 889 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:51,320 Speaker 1: I know you're going to complain about this, So in 890 00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:53,480 Speaker 1: the footnote I'll be like, this is like not quite right, 891 00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 1: and here's why, you know, And I try to like 892 00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:57,480 Speaker 1: be like not in the direction of like a sort 893 00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,960 Speaker 1: of deeper understanding with that necessarily cluttering up the description 894 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:01,600 Speaker 1: of the text. But there's other things too. Some of 895 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:03,319 Speaker 1: things there are just like funny jokes that are that 896 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,719 Speaker 1: are distracting in the text, and so I'll put a 897 00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:06,480 Speaker 1: joke on the phoot. 898 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,480 Speaker 2: So, so you mentioned the audience, how often do you 899 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,200 Speaker 2: hear from them? How often are readers hitting you up 900 00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:12,040 Speaker 2: with emails? 901 00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:14,279 Speaker 1: I often get emails from people who are very much 902 00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,880 Speaker 1: on my wavelength, right, So I wrote recently about this 903 00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:21,920 Speaker 1: like trading mistake by a power company that led to 904 00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,520 Speaker 1: finish electric prices being negative, and so there are like 905 00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,400 Speaker 1: these news stories about like finish people running their saunas 906 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,960 Speaker 1: all night to like to make money because they're getting 907 00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,520 Speaker 1: paid to run their saunas, and so many people emailed 908 00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,839 Speaker 1: at me about that, being like, oh, here's the time 909 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:37,600 Speaker 1: that my electric presses were negative, and I, you know, 910 00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 1: like that. It's like when I write about like weird trades, 911 00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:43,280 Speaker 1: I have enough of an audience who does weird trades 912 00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:45,520 Speaker 1: and who like think about this in the same way 913 00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:47,040 Speaker 1: that they'll be like, oh, here's a weird trade. I 914 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:49,080 Speaker 1: did that. It's hilarious and like I always love those, 915 00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:51,360 Speaker 1: and so I often am able to like, if I 916 00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 1: write about something weird, I will have like then a 917 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 1: week of follow ups of readers corresponding and saying being like, 918 00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:58,520 Speaker 1: here's an even weirder story. 919 00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 2: You know, I have a vivid ruck election when oil 920 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,080 Speaker 2: prices went negative and your headline was something along the 921 00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 2: lines of there's no place to store oil. It's smelly, 922 00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:11,719 Speaker 2: it's it's dangerous, it's this, it's that, and so we'll 923 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,040 Speaker 2: pay you to take this oil off our hands. You 924 00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:19,200 Speaker 2: you probably affected, certainly my understanding what was going on 925 00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:22,120 Speaker 2: with negative oil prices, but I bet a whole lot 926 00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 2: of other people as well. 927 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:26,640 Speaker 1: Thanks. That's the goal, Like I like to, you know, 928 00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:29,040 Speaker 1: the best things are like things were like there's some 929 00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:31,319 Speaker 1: weird story, and like the headliness like, oh, here's a 930 00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:33,680 Speaker 1: weird thing, and I can be like, here's like a 931 00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:36,719 Speaker 1: sort of intuitive conceptual framework for understanding that weird thing. 932 00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,080 Speaker 1: You know, here's like how to think about that weird thing. 933 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:40,920 Speaker 1: But that's always like super satisfying to do. 934 00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:42,960 Speaker 2: But it's a little more than that. I'm going to 935 00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:46,120 Speaker 2: quote the New York Times on that he makes readers 936 00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:51,120 Speaker 2: feel in on the savage joke that is late capitalism, 937 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,799 Speaker 2: and the Times was referring to what I thought was 938 00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:59,200 Speaker 2: a pretty hilarious acronym that's about thirty letters wrong long 939 00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:05,319 Speaker 2: about a city group shared downside protection derivative that you 940 00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:10,440 Speaker 2: decided to abbreviate, and it was a really really funny 941 00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:12,240 Speaker 2: tongue in chic line. 942 00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:14,040 Speaker 1: I think there's like a sort of standard mode in 943 00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:16,359 Speaker 1: financial journalism of like you look at like stuff that 944 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:18,960 Speaker 1: banks do and you're like, this is really bad, and 945 00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:21,320 Speaker 1: then like my mode is I often find it really funny. 946 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:23,760 Speaker 1: And I think that resonates with a lot of readers 947 00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 1: in different ways, sometimes because they work in capital in 948 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 1: finance and also find it funny, sometimes because they don't 949 00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:32,160 Speaker 1: work in finance and find it funny. You know. I 950 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,480 Speaker 1: have a lot of readers these days who work, like 951 00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,520 Speaker 1: broadly speaking, in tech, and like what they are interested 952 00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:40,920 Speaker 1: in is not like specifically descriptions of finance, but like 953 00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:45,960 Speaker 1: this like sort of like system z, like nerdy algorithmic 954 00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:47,719 Speaker 1: way of thinking about the world, and so like, I 955 00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,160 Speaker 1: have a lot of tech readers who are sort of like, 956 00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:50,920 Speaker 1: I like your style. I don't really care about finance, 957 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:52,960 Speaker 1: but I think this is like a explanation of finance 958 00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:54,840 Speaker 1: that resonates with tech people. I have a lot of 959 00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,759 Speaker 1: readers who are like very strong critics of banks and 960 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:01,960 Speaker 1: of finance, and who like what I do because sort 961 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 1: of neutrally explanatory and tries to get at what's actually 962 00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:07,640 Speaker 1: going on and how people are in the industry are 963 00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 1: actually thinking about things. And the people who are like 964 00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:14,480 Speaker 1: strong critics of banking often find that useful. Right, will 965 00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 1: as supposed to just be like, oh oh, banks are evil. 966 00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:21,080 Speaker 2: Right, You're critical without seeking to be critical in a 967 00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:25,520 Speaker 2: way that once you understand the absurdity of certain situations, 968 00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:26,879 Speaker 2: it can help. 969 00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:30,000 Speaker 1: But be critical, I work from them opinion. I joke 970 00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,880 Speaker 1: that I'm an opinion columnist without any opinions. That's not 971 00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 1: really true, but like I'm not, like, it is not 972 00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,680 Speaker 1: high on my list to be like this is bad 973 00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:39,719 Speaker 1: or this is good, right, Like, it's always like this 974 00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 1: is interesting, right, Like, look at this interesting thing. Let's 975 00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,440 Speaker 1: try to understand it. Yeah, I definitely think that a 976 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,640 Speaker 1: lot of readers come away being like, you have explained 977 00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:48,880 Speaker 1: this thing, and now I think it's much worse. But 978 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:50,680 Speaker 1: like that's not always my goal, you know. 979 00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,600 Speaker 2: That's that's hilarious. So let's talk a little bit about 980 00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:59,080 Speaker 2: a somewhat infamous podcast you did with Sam Banking Freed 981 00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,840 Speaker 2: and FTX on odd lots a good year before or 982 00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,640 Speaker 2: so before it crashed. What was your sense of FTX 983 00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:07,760 Speaker 2: at the time. 984 00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:09,799 Speaker 1: I've no story that makes me look good. I thought 985 00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: FTX was really interesting. I thought FTX seemed like a 986 00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:14,840 Speaker 1: well run crypto exchange that seemed to be printing a 987 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,400 Speaker 1: lot of money, and that had interesting, you know, aggressive 988 00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:21,880 Speaker 1: ideas for how to change the structure of derivatives, margining, 989 00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:25,600 Speaker 1: and what's your endgame as a crypto exchange. I thought 990 00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:28,760 Speaker 1: that Sam Bankmin Freed had a like reasonably clever endgame, 991 00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:32,120 Speaker 1: which is like he was going to consume the regular 992 00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:35,160 Speaker 1: financial system. He was going to be a place where 993 00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:38,720 Speaker 1: you could like tokenize stocks and run a crypto exchange 994 00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,640 Speaker 1: that gradually became like the main financial exchange for the world. Right. 995 00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:42,880 Speaker 1: I don't want to say it like I thought that 996 00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,319 Speaker 1: plan was inevitable, but I thought that was like, that's 997 00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,040 Speaker 1: a better plan for your crypto exchange than like, well, 998 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:51,120 Speaker 1: crypto will take you know, all of like financial life 999 00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:52,920 Speaker 1: will be in bitcoin. Right. I thought he had like 1000 00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:54,799 Speaker 1: a pretty good idea for like how we're going to 1001 00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:56,360 Speaker 1: be a you know, enormous company. 1002 00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:59,640 Speaker 2: Well, well, he clearly came up with a better mechanism 1003 00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:04,360 Speaker 2: for extending credit and liquidating portfolios that were in the 1004 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:09,759 Speaker 2: red then other exchanges had. He just kept building FTX 1005 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:15,640 Speaker 2: and kept focusing on being the biggest, baddest crypto trading 1006 00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:19,480 Speaker 2: platform and crypto exchange that could have been wildly successful. 1007 00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,040 Speaker 2: It certainly looked like he was printing money for a while. 1008 00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,560 Speaker 2: It turned out there were some com mingling funds and 1009 00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:26,439 Speaker 2: other issues there. 1010 00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:30,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's interesting to ask if he was 1011 00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:31,840 Speaker 1: doing what he said he was doing, was that a 1012 00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:33,960 Speaker 1: good idea, because I was like, yeah, that sounds like interesting. 1013 00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,160 Speaker 1: I don't know. He was very much about like we're 1014 00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:39,200 Speaker 1: going to have an automated margining system where we're never 1015 00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:40,680 Speaker 1: going to call you for margin calls. We're just going 1016 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:42,640 Speaker 1: to blow you out if you fall below a certain level. 1017 00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:44,719 Speaker 1: It's going to be all twenty four to seven mark 1018 00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,160 Speaker 1: to market. It's going to be much less subjective. And 1019 00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:48,880 Speaker 1: he was talking about this at a time when like 1020 00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,359 Speaker 1: the London Metals Exchange had had this like sort of 1021 00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:55,319 Speaker 1: semi scandalous problem where like this big trader accumulated this 1022 00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:57,239 Speaker 1: huge deaf as a position and like he couldn't meet 1023 00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,600 Speaker 1: margin calls and they couldn't do anything about it because like, 1024 00:47:00,239 --> 00:47:02,600 Speaker 1: if you know, they would have like blown up the exchange. 1025 00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:05,600 Speaker 1: So they just sort of like pause trading for a week. 1026 00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:07,399 Speaker 1: And it just looked bad, right, And it's like, oh yeah, 1027 00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:10,920 Speaker 1: this like system of like subjectively doing margin calls and 1028 00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:12,680 Speaker 1: like doing margin calls once a day, and if like 1029 00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 1: if it's moved too far, then like you're like, oh no, 1030 00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:18,600 Speaker 1: it's too big to fail. That the SBF endorsed system 1031 00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,239 Speaker 1: of like we're going to do everything automated. You know, 1032 00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:23,160 Speaker 1: you're like, oh yeah, I see the appeal of that. 1033 00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:24,840 Speaker 1: I don't know that it was a good idea. I 1034 00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,839 Speaker 1: think that like there are obvious downsides to it too, 1035 00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:30,080 Speaker 1: But like what brought FTX down was not any of 1036 00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:32,800 Speaker 1: those downsides, because like what was in fact happening was 1037 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:35,560 Speaker 1: that he had simply exempted his own big hedge fund 1038 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:39,760 Speaker 1: from the automated margining rules and it accumulated a vastly 1039 00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:43,200 Speaker 1: bigger deficit position than like the London Metals Exchange guy did, 1040 00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:45,360 Speaker 1: and then it did in fact blow up the exchange 1041 00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:47,480 Speaker 1: and take customer money down with it. The thing he 1042 00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:50,200 Speaker 1: said he wasn't doing was what caused them to blow up. 1043 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:52,600 Speaker 1: But as far as I know, FTX was printing money, 1044 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:55,560 Speaker 1: Like the exchange was very valuable in terms of it 1045 00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:57,960 Speaker 1: made a lot of revenue, and some of what they 1046 00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,319 Speaker 1: did was just they overspent that revenue. And then what 1047 00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:02,799 Speaker 1: they did was like they had this affiliated hedge fund 1048 00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:06,160 Speaker 1: that you know, lost bajillions of dollars, right and because 1049 00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:08,600 Speaker 1: it was just taking enormous margin loans from the exchange, 1050 00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:10,600 Speaker 1: when it lost the bajillions of dollars, it took the 1051 00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,480 Speaker 1: exchange down with it. But the exchange itself is very profitable. 1052 00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 1: And one thing you could say, like there was a 1053 00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:17,960 Speaker 1: time I think like over the summer when like they 1054 00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,600 Speaker 1: considered shutting down Alameda the hedge fund, and you do 1055 00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:23,840 Speaker 1: look back and say, like could they have managed to 1056 00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:25,640 Speaker 1: do that in a way that you know, it was 1057 00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:28,480 Speaker 1: like embarrassing it whatever, you know, like lost money, but 1058 00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:31,680 Speaker 1: that left FTX intact and then FTX could continue printing 1059 00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:33,480 Speaker 1: money and maybe I don't know, like maybe they had 1060 00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:35,799 Speaker 1: already gone too far by that point. The other thing 1061 00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:38,480 Speaker 1: is like there is a theory that one reason that 1062 00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:41,600 Speaker 1: FTX was printing so much money was that it was 1063 00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:44,920 Speaker 1: a very good trading experience for customers because Alameda was 1064 00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,040 Speaker 1: on the other side of a lot of trades, and 1065 00:48:46,080 --> 00:48:48,000 Speaker 1: Alameda was losing money on all these customers. So you'd 1066 00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:49,880 Speaker 1: go to FTX, you'd trade, you'd make money. You're like, oh, 1067 00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:51,320 Speaker 1: this is great, I'll come back right. But it was 1068 00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:53,200 Speaker 1: all sort of like an indirect Ponzi scheme, where like 1069 00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:55,840 Speaker 1: you were making money from Alameda and Alameda was stealing 1070 00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:58,560 Speaker 1: it from you. I don't think that's really true, I think, 1071 00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:00,520 Speaker 1: but I think there's like a element of truth of that. 1072 00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:03,239 Speaker 1: I don't think that's like what mainly explains FTX. Like 1073 00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:05,520 Speaker 1: I think FTX was a good business and now Alimita 1074 00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:09,000 Speaker 1: was like a hilariously bad business, and like they were interminkled. 1075 00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 2: So last summer, you write this giant piece in Business 1076 00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:18,920 Speaker 2: Week about Crypto. Essentially you were that entire issue of 1077 00:49:19,200 --> 00:49:23,080 Speaker 2: Business Week. Tell us about what led to that massive 1078 00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:26,480 Speaker 2: piece and what the thinking was that had you say, 1079 00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:29,400 Speaker 2: I know, I'm going to take over Business Week for 1080 00:49:29,560 --> 00:49:31,800 Speaker 2: a week and write about nothing but crypto. 1081 00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:33,799 Speaker 1: Joel Weber, the editor of Business Week, came to me 1082 00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,480 Speaker 1: and it was like, hey, do you remember what is code? 1083 00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,840 Speaker 1: So what is code? Is Paul Forth, this great computer programmer, 1084 00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,799 Speaker 1: wrote a Business Week issue took over the entire issue 1085 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,360 Speaker 1: of Business Week to write a thing called what is Code? 1086 00:49:43,560 --> 00:49:46,600 Speaker 1: I was trying to explain computer programming to a like 1087 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:49,360 Speaker 1: I get sophisticated business audience, but not coders, right, And 1088 00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:51,439 Speaker 1: it was just like this really fabulous, like just piece 1089 00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:54,040 Speaker 1: of writing and explaining and thinking. And I loved it 1090 00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:56,239 Speaker 1: when it came out, and Joel came to me, is like, 1091 00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:58,360 Speaker 1: remember what is code? We'd like to do that for Crypto, 1092 00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:02,480 Speaker 1: and I was like, I found it appealing because I 1093 00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,080 Speaker 1: like to write long and I was like, I have 1094 00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:07,000 Speaker 1: a whole magazine. Two. Crypto felt to me like a 1095 00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:09,640 Speaker 1: big enough subject to warrant a whole magazine, but a 1096 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:12,359 Speaker 1: small enough subject that you could like almost do all 1097 00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:14,080 Speaker 1: of it, Like I didn't do all of it, but 1098 00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:16,280 Speaker 1: you can almost like sort of start at the most 1099 00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:19,919 Speaker 1: basic building block intuitions and build up to a full 1100 00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:22,880 Speaker 1: understanding of the entire Crypto universe in the space of 1101 00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:24,759 Speaker 1: like forty thousand words. And that just seemed like a 1102 00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:27,480 Speaker 1: really interesting, like just technical challenge to be like take 1103 00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:30,880 Speaker 1: a reader from nothing to like not like some vague intuitions, 1104 00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:33,560 Speaker 1: but like a detailed understanding of like all the stuff 1105 00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:36,680 Speaker 1: that matters in crypto that felt really interesting. But also 1106 00:50:36,760 --> 00:50:39,560 Speaker 1: like in my day job, I was often writing about crypto, 1107 00:50:39,719 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 1: and you have this question of where to start, right, 1108 00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:43,759 Speaker 1: do I explain what a blockchain is in order to 1109 00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:46,560 Speaker 1: like make a joke about this, like you know, crypto 1110 00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:49,400 Speaker 1: exchange that got hacked, right, And so the idea of 1111 00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:52,520 Speaker 1: writing this this magazine piece is partly like selfishly for me, 1112 00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:54,640 Speaker 1: I could be like, I've explained what a blockchain is 1113 00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:56,360 Speaker 1: over there, so I can just tell you about this 1114 00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:58,880 Speaker 1: thing that got hacked, right. So it felt like a useful, 1115 00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:02,440 Speaker 1: like like reference piece for me to do from then on. Oh. 1116 00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:03,919 Speaker 1: The other thing that I was thinking at the time, 1117 00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 1: to be honest, is that Joel came to me and 1118 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:09,080 Speaker 1: like in June or whatever, and I was like, summer's 1119 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:12,239 Speaker 1: always slow. Let me be so bored writing my newsletter every day. 1120 00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:14,359 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have enough to write about, so why 1121 00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:15,800 Speaker 1: don't I take some time off from the newsletter to 1122 00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:17,400 Speaker 1: write this long thing. And then of course that was 1123 00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,759 Speaker 1: the summer of Elon and Twitter and so like I 1124 00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,200 Speaker 1: was like, oh damn, And so then yeah, like that's 1125 00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:24,480 Speaker 1: that was that was kind of the motivation for it. 1126 00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:27,040 Speaker 1: My my biggest regret is that, you know, this is 1127 00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 1: really directly inspired by Paul Ford's What Is Code? And 1128 00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:32,319 Speaker 1: the Joel sort of like working title was like what 1129 00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:34,160 Speaker 1: is Crypto? And I was like we should call it 1130 00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:37,120 Speaker 1: what was Crypto? And we were like that's too mean, 1131 00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:39,000 Speaker 1: We're not gonna do it. And then it came out 1132 00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:40,800 Speaker 1: and like, I don't know they'd come out in October 1133 00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:43,400 Speaker 1: of twenty twenty two. It came out like, you know, 1134 00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,359 Speaker 1: like two weeks before I have to Exitxploded. And had 1135 00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:48,759 Speaker 1: we called it what was Crypto? You were like, what 1136 00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:51,319 Speaker 1: about all the awards? Man, that what a great title 1137 00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:52,960 Speaker 1: that would have been, and we just like we didn't 1138 00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:54,799 Speaker 1: have the courage or conviction, so we didn't call it 1139 00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:55,480 Speaker 1: what was Crypto? 1140 00:51:55,680 --> 00:51:58,080 Speaker 2: Well, this leads me to a sort of curve ball 1141 00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:01,839 Speaker 2: question that was almost the book. When is the Matt 1142 00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:02,560 Speaker 2: Levine book? 1143 00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:04,400 Speaker 1: Yeah? When I write it, I don't know. I mean, like, 1144 00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:07,400 Speaker 1: I like, there's they're sure there'll be a book. I 1145 00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:09,319 Speaker 1: want to do a book, but like I I really 1146 00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:10,200 Speaker 1: like my day job. 1147 00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:12,080 Speaker 2: A lot, and it goes to get in the way. 1148 00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:15,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, like involves writing a lot of words, so like 1149 00:52:15,400 --> 00:52:16,880 Speaker 1: I don't have any more words to go when I 1150 00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:18,759 Speaker 1: go home at night. But I really like that my my, 1151 00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,040 Speaker 1: you know, I like the day job, but like, I 1152 00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:24,239 Speaker 1: don't know, I found that what was crypto exercise really 1153 00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:26,000 Speaker 1: fun and I would like to do something like that 1154 00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:27,280 Speaker 1: for you know, not crypto. 1155 00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:29,759 Speaker 2: All right, well, we only have you for another ten 1156 00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:32,480 Speaker 2: or so minutes, so let's jump to our favorite questions 1157 00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,640 Speaker 2: that we ask all our guests, starting with what are 1158 00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,680 Speaker 2: you streaming these days? Tell us what you're either watching 1159 00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:41,600 Speaker 2: on Netflix or listening to In terms of podcasts, what's 1160 00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:42,680 Speaker 2: keeping you entertained. 1161 00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,239 Speaker 1: I don't really watch television. I have like a lot 1162 00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:47,879 Speaker 1: of children's television in my life, so streaming a lot 1163 00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:51,960 Speaker 1: of Eleanor Wonders Why, a lot of Frozen two things 1164 00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:56,000 Speaker 1: like that. I used to listen to weirder podcasts. Now 1165 00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:58,840 Speaker 1: I listened to like the long form podcast I love. 1166 00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:02,839 Speaker 1: I love song Exploder, the like yeah music podcast that's great. 1167 00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:05,640 Speaker 1: Yeah in PoCA, like I find myself like long form 1168 00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:07,680 Speaker 1: is the same thing, right, Like it's like people who 1169 00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:10,440 Speaker 1: are really good at something explaining like at a like 1170 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:13,160 Speaker 1: a like a truly like mechanical specific level, like how 1171 00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,400 Speaker 1: they do what they do. It's like always satisfying and 1172 00:53:15,480 --> 00:53:16,759 Speaker 1: like how they do what they do, and also like 1173 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:19,600 Speaker 1: they're sort of psychological traumas as they do it. I 1174 00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:20,600 Speaker 1: find it very useful. 1175 00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:23,560 Speaker 2: Tell us about your mentors who helped shape your career. 1176 00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:27,520 Speaker 1: The person who I most think of that way, it 1177 00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:29,239 Speaker 1: was just like, yeah, my first job out of law 1178 00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:31,239 Speaker 1: school was clerking for a judge, right, And like that's 1179 00:53:31,280 --> 00:53:34,360 Speaker 1: a very weird job, right, like because it's it's like 1180 00:53:34,400 --> 00:53:37,400 Speaker 1: you and like two other people with like cloking for 1181 00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:41,200 Speaker 1: one sort of powerful figure. And I clerked for this judge, 1182 00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:43,520 Speaker 1: Ed Becker in Philadelphia, who was like one of the 1183 00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:46,640 Speaker 1: great judges. Like he was you know, brilliant, highly respected, 1184 00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,839 Speaker 1: but also like a mensh a nice guy, a guy 1185 00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:52,719 Speaker 1: who like in your interview would be like I have 1186 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:54,960 Speaker 1: a zero deference policy and like really meant it and 1187 00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:57,680 Speaker 1: like wanted to hear from his clerks and like wanted 1188 00:53:57,719 --> 00:54:00,880 Speaker 1: to hear your opinions, and who just like had like 1189 00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:03,319 Speaker 1: a work ethic and a just an ethic that was 1190 00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,719 Speaker 1: really inspiring. Like he went, in doubt, do it the 1191 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,120 Speaker 1: right way, and like he just like that's how he 1192 00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:09,200 Speaker 1: lived his life, you know, like he really like wasn't 1193 00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:11,880 Speaker 1: interested in short cuts or like he was just like 1194 00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:13,920 Speaker 1: he wanted to get things right, and that was just 1195 00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:16,719 Speaker 1: very inspiring to see, like, you know, in my earliest 1196 00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:18,560 Speaker 1: career to be like, oh yeah, this is a guy 1197 00:54:18,560 --> 00:54:20,600 Speaker 1: who like has been doing it forever and has a 1198 00:54:20,640 --> 00:54:23,400 Speaker 1: lot of accolades, but who is just like totally focused 1199 00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:24,239 Speaker 1: on doing the right thing. 1200 00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:26,680 Speaker 2: Let's talk about books. What are some of your favorites 1201 00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:28,000 Speaker 2: and what are you reading right now. 1202 00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:30,239 Speaker 1: I never have a favorite book. I'm like, I read 1203 00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:33,279 Speaker 1: a lot. I feel like having a favorite book is 1204 00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:35,040 Speaker 1: like I have too many books to have a favorite. 1205 00:54:35,040 --> 00:54:38,040 Speaker 1: But like the finance e books that like when people 1206 00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:41,040 Speaker 1: are like what should I read? Knowing nothing, the books 1207 00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:43,640 Speaker 1: I recommend are Liar's Poker Barbarians at the Gate, which 1208 00:54:43,680 --> 00:54:45,960 Speaker 1: I already mentioned right Like, it's just like I read 1209 00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:47,680 Speaker 1: it at a formative age and I was like, oh yeah, 1210 00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,560 Speaker 1: this finance stuff is cool. And the other one that 1211 00:54:50,600 --> 00:54:52,839 Speaker 1: I love is a diary of a very bad year. 1212 00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:54,960 Speaker 1: It was put out by like N plus one the magazine. 1213 00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:57,680 Speaker 1: It's it's Keith Gassing. There's a N plus one utter 1214 00:54:58,160 --> 00:55:01,040 Speaker 1: interviewing this anonymous hedge fund manager over the course of 1215 00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:02,839 Speaker 1: like two thousand and seven to two thousand and nine. 1216 00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:04,680 Speaker 1: He's just like a series of long interviews with this 1217 00:55:05,160 --> 00:55:08,200 Speaker 1: hedge fund manager talks about the financial crisis, but also 1218 00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:09,719 Speaker 1: just about like what it's like to run a hedge fund. 1219 00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:11,880 Speaker 1: He's just like very thoughtful and it gives you a 1220 00:55:11,880 --> 00:55:14,279 Speaker 1: sort of real flavor for like what finance is like, 1221 00:55:14,320 --> 00:55:15,799 Speaker 1: but also like what it is like to think about 1222 00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,040 Speaker 1: at a high level, and like like what the mindset 1223 00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:19,880 Speaker 1: is of someone who's very good at this. What am 1224 00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:23,840 Speaker 1: I reading now? I'm reading a book called a Nansi's Gold, 1225 00:55:24,200 --> 00:55:27,239 Speaker 1: which is about this con man in Ghana in like 1226 00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:31,240 Speaker 1: the seventies and eighties who was running a Nigerian prince scamp. 1227 00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:33,960 Speaker 2: If I have all this money waiting for me, if 1228 00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:36,719 Speaker 2: you sat me exactly, I'll split it with you. 1229 00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:39,280 Speaker 1: His version of the scam was that the first president 1230 00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:42,279 Speaker 1: of an independent Ghana had spirited hundreds of millions of 1231 00:55:42,280 --> 00:55:45,920 Speaker 1: dollars out of the country as and then was then deposed, 1232 00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 1: and the money was in trust in a bank in Switzerland. 1233 00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,640 Speaker 1: He was going to get the money back and use 1234 00:55:50,680 --> 00:55:52,680 Speaker 1: it for the benefit of Ghana, but he just needed 1235 00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,960 Speaker 1: investors to whatever fill out the formalities, and so it's 1236 00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:58,640 Speaker 1: like this is just fascinating story of I love cons right, 1237 00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:01,839 Speaker 1: I love like financial frauds. And what to me is 1238 00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:07,360 Speaker 1: so incredible about this story is just that it lasted 1239 00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,279 Speaker 1: for decades because like the problem with this is is 1240 00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:12,960 Speaker 1: you're like, I need money, and in two months, I 1241 00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:15,120 Speaker 1: will get all this money and I'll pay you back tenfold. 1242 00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:17,279 Speaker 1: And then you do that for twenty years, and like 1243 00:56:17,480 --> 00:56:19,759 Speaker 1: your investor, you have like investors who stick with you 1244 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:22,279 Speaker 1: for twenty years, and like the like the just the 1245 00:56:22,680 --> 00:56:25,799 Speaker 1: charisma and like the ability to get those you know, 1246 00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:27,360 Speaker 1: probably some of a return in two months, and then 1247 00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:29,360 Speaker 1: twenty years later they're still waiting for it. It's crazy. 1248 00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:32,680 Speaker 2: So our final two questions, what sort of advice would 1249 00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:35,799 Speaker 2: you give to a recent college grad interested in a 1250 00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:41,320 Speaker 2: career in m and a derivative structuring or financial writing. 1251 00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:45,640 Speaker 1: Well, it depends on which of those three things. So 1252 00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:47,800 Speaker 1: if you're interested in career and financi're writing, I recommend 1253 00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:49,680 Speaker 1: a career in finance first, because I do think it 1254 00:56:49,719 --> 00:56:52,120 Speaker 1: is really helpful to have subject matter knowledge and also 1255 00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:53,799 Speaker 1: just like sort of cultural knowledge of like what it 1256 00:56:53,800 --> 00:56:55,719 Speaker 1: feels like to work at a bank or whatever. You know. 1257 00:56:55,800 --> 00:56:57,680 Speaker 1: I would not be where I am today if I 1258 00:56:57,719 --> 00:57:00,400 Speaker 1: had like pursued this, you know, like I came to 1259 00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:03,080 Speaker 1: this in a haphazard way after having several other careers. 1260 00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:05,040 Speaker 2: First subject matter of expertise matters. 1261 00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:07,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just like it's I find it like I'm 1262 00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:09,560 Speaker 1: very glad that I did not try to be a 1263 00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:12,120 Speaker 1: writer when I was twenty two. If you want to 1264 00:57:12,120 --> 00:57:14,600 Speaker 1: be interrivatives the advice I sometimes I don't want to 1265 00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:16,360 Speaker 1: say I regret that I have. But a dumb thing 1266 00:57:16,440 --> 00:57:18,320 Speaker 1: I did was like when I left law, I was like, 1267 00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,480 Speaker 1: I want to be in finance, and so I'm going 1268 00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:22,919 Speaker 1: to take the first like finance job I get right, 1269 00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:27,040 Speaker 1: And finance is like this enormous, you know, varied industry 1270 00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:29,120 Speaker 1: where there are a lot of different roles, and like 1271 00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:33,400 Speaker 1: if you are essentially like a math person and a tinkerer, 1272 00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:36,040 Speaker 1: like you will want different roles than if you're like 1273 00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:38,640 Speaker 1: a people person and a salesman, you know, and so 1274 00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:41,320 Speaker 1: there's a lot of like, uh, it's hard to know 1275 00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:44,320 Speaker 1: in advance what you'll be good at, but like it's 1276 00:57:44,320 --> 00:57:46,840 Speaker 1: important to know yourself and sort of understand what roles 1277 00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,000 Speaker 1: exist and try to find a role that matches your 1278 00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:53,000 Speaker 1: characteristics rather than just like be in finance generally. The 1279 00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:54,960 Speaker 1: other piece of advice I love to give young people 1280 00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:58,520 Speaker 1: is like, like I did a very standard career path, 1281 00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:01,400 Speaker 1: Like I went to college, went to a fancy college. 1282 00:58:01,440 --> 00:58:03,160 Speaker 1: I went to a fancy law school. I went to 1283 00:58:03,160 --> 00:58:04,880 Speaker 1: a fancy law firm, and then it was like two 1284 00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:07,080 Speaker 1: thousand and seven, so like, if you're a fancy corporate lawyer, 1285 00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:08,400 Speaker 1: you want to be an investmentker. So I went to 1286 00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:11,440 Speaker 1: a fancy investment back. Right, everything very standard until I 1287 00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:13,560 Speaker 1: was like, you know, in my early thirties, and then 1288 00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,000 Speaker 1: I was like I'm going to quit for deal Ricker. 1289 00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:17,160 Speaker 1: And that was a big change. Right. I tell people, 1290 00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:19,160 Speaker 1: I've made one career decision in my life, right, like 1291 00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:21,120 Speaker 1: everything was set for me and then I went to 1292 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:24,200 Speaker 1: deal Ricker. And I think that if you are, like, 1293 00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:25,960 Speaker 1: you know, if you're a lot of like young people 1294 00:58:26,120 --> 00:58:28,440 Speaker 1: like looking you know, like an analyst job at Goldban, 1295 00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:32,080 Speaker 1: like you've been on this prestige seeking career path that 1296 00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:34,680 Speaker 1: is very set for you. My advice is like, that's good. 1297 00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:37,400 Speaker 1: Do that, and like there's some point at which you 1298 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,040 Speaker 1: have to jump off that like standard career prestige path 1299 00:58:40,160 --> 00:58:41,360 Speaker 1: and you have to just kind of like know when 1300 00:58:41,360 --> 00:58:43,160 Speaker 1: that point is, and like be really calibrated to where 1301 00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:45,320 Speaker 1: that point is, because there are people who are miserable 1302 00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:47,480 Speaker 1: law firm partners because they stayed on that path too 1303 00:58:47,520 --> 00:58:49,200 Speaker 1: long and they were like I'm gonna do the expected 1304 00:58:49,200 --> 00:58:51,520 Speaker 1: thing and do the expected thing, like oh no, I'm 1305 00:58:51,560 --> 00:58:53,600 Speaker 1: trapped in this thing. I can't do anything else. I 1306 00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:55,640 Speaker 1: need the money, and like I don't like it, right, 1307 00:58:55,840 --> 00:58:57,200 Speaker 1: And then there are people who jump off too early 1308 00:58:57,240 --> 00:58:59,919 Speaker 1: and they're like I don't need to like pursue these 1309 00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:02,040 Speaker 1: hard jobs. I can just like go be a poet. 1310 00:59:02,040 --> 00:59:03,840 Speaker 1: And then like they're not happy either, right, And like 1311 00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:06,480 Speaker 1: there's some like optimally calibrated point where you can like 1312 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:09,160 Speaker 1: the like optionality and prestige of the standard path and 1313 00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:12,120 Speaker 1: then like exercise your optionality and like do the thing 1314 00:59:12,120 --> 00:59:14,280 Speaker 1: you actually want to do. And it's not immediately, but 1315 00:59:14,320 --> 00:59:15,240 Speaker 1: it's not like never. 1316 00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:18,640 Speaker 2: You know, you seem to have exercised that optionality. 1317 00:59:18,720 --> 00:59:21,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean my timing was great and like, you know, accidentally, 1318 00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:24,040 Speaker 1: but like I do think that like people in these 1319 00:59:24,120 --> 00:59:27,040 Speaker 1: jobs think of themselves as a carering optionality and like 1320 00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:28,400 Speaker 1: eventually that starts to decay. 1321 00:59:28,560 --> 00:59:31,040 Speaker 2: So our final question, what do you know about the 1322 00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:34,600 Speaker 2: world of finance today you wish you knew twenty five 1323 00:59:34,680 --> 00:59:37,320 Speaker 2: or so years ago when you were first getting started. 1324 00:59:37,480 --> 00:59:39,320 Speaker 1: This is a mixed bag because like, I love what 1325 00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:42,200 Speaker 1: I do now, and it is so fortuitous that I 1326 00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,280 Speaker 1: landed here, and like, there are a lot of ways 1327 00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:48,520 Speaker 1: that I could have been luckier early and then been 1328 00:59:48,600 --> 00:59:51,960 Speaker 1: sadder overall, because I would have found a really good 1329 00:59:52,040 --> 00:59:55,000 Speaker 1: job early on that really fit me, and then it 1330 00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:56,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't fit me quite as well as this one, but 1331 00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:58,360 Speaker 1: I would stay at it. But I do think that, 1332 00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:01,040 Speaker 1: like what I said earlier, like I didn't know anything 1333 01:00:01,080 --> 01:00:03,680 Speaker 1: about like what the different types of jobs were, and 1334 01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:07,520 Speaker 1: I thought finance was this undifferentiated like world where like 1335 01:00:07,720 --> 01:00:10,760 Speaker 1: it's all like you know, the same spreadsheets or whatever. 1336 01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:13,560 Speaker 1: And I think had I known better, like what I 1337 01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:16,000 Speaker 1: was good at and like what kind of jobs there were, 1338 01:00:16,080 --> 01:00:18,920 Speaker 1: I might have like more intentionally pursued jobs in finance 1339 01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:21,840 Speaker 1: and I might have gotten rich. But I might have 1340 01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:25,000 Speaker 1: been like you know, miserable and overworked. So I don't know, 1341 01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:26,360 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know anything now. 1342 01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,480 Speaker 2: It all worked out in the end. Thanks Matt for 1343 01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:32,240 Speaker 2: being so generous with your time. We have been speaking 1344 01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:36,360 Speaker 2: with Matt Levine. He is the author of Bloomberg's Money 1345 01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:40,880 Speaker 2: Stuff daily newsletter. If you enjoy this conversation, well check 1346 01:00:40,920 --> 01:00:44,320 Speaker 2: out any of the five hundred previous interviews we've conducted 1347 01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:49,960 Speaker 2: over the past nine years. You can find those at iTunes, Spotify, YouTube, 1348 01:00:50,280 --> 01:00:54,040 Speaker 2: wherever you get your favorite podcasts. Sign up for my 1349 01:00:54,200 --> 01:00:56,680 Speaker 2: daily reading list at ridults dot com. Follow me on 1350 01:00:56,720 --> 01:01:00,840 Speaker 2: Twitter at rid Holt's. Follow Matt Levine on Twitter at 1351 01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:04,840 Speaker 2: Matt underscore Levine. Follow all of the Bloomberg family of 1352 01:01:04,880 --> 01:01:09,200 Speaker 2: podcasts at Twitter, and check out my new podcast at 1353 01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,520 Speaker 2: the Money, where each week we share a quick investing 1354 01:01:12,680 --> 01:01:17,600 Speaker 2: insight with an industry expert. Those are on Apple Premium 1355 01:01:17,640 --> 01:01:20,880 Speaker 2: Podcast for the end of the fourth quarter of twenty 1356 01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:24,520 Speaker 2: twenty three. It will be everywhere in twenty twenty four. 1357 01:01:25,240 --> 01:01:27,200 Speaker 2: I would be remiss if I did not thank the 1358 01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:31,360 Speaker 2: Crack staff that helps put these conversations together. My audio 1359 01:01:31,440 --> 01:01:35,240 Speaker 2: engineer is Meredith Frank, My producer is Anna Luck. Sean 1360 01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:38,080 Speaker 2: Russo is my head of research. Attika of al Broun 1361 01:01:38,240 --> 01:01:42,560 Speaker 2: is our project manager. I'm Barry Rutolts. You've been listening 1362 01:01:42,600 --> 01:01:46,400 Speaker 2: to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio