WEBVTT - Here's How People Are Using Cryptocurrency in Venezuela

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Allaway. Tracy, I think

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<v Speaker 1>that recently we may have seen one of the most

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<v Speaker 1>pivotal events in the history of money. Uh, that is

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<v Speaker 1>a large claim, But I think I know what you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, Facebook's announcement about starting its own cryptocurrency called Libra, right, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't necessarily think it's definitely going to be or

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<v Speaker 1>that it's going to work, or that it's gonna take off,

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<v Speaker 1>And in fact, I'm kind of skeptical that it will

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<v Speaker 1>ever get launched at all because of all of the

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<v Speaker 1>regulatory and political scrutiny that Facebook is under. But this

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<v Speaker 1>is quite a walk back. No, No, I know it

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<v Speaker 1>sounds like a walk back, but I think that, like

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<v Speaker 1>with all existing capsts, it just seems like a really

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<v Speaker 1>big deal to me that one of the biggest companies

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<v Speaker 1>in the world is trying to launch its own global currency. Like,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we kind of have to just step back

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<v Speaker 1>for a second and be like, Wow, this is like

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<v Speaker 1>pretty wild futuristic sci fi stuff here. So I will

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<v Speaker 1>say I am sort of bullish on the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>a global company, uh, sort of nibbling at the edges

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<v Speaker 1>of traditional sovereignty. And I don't know if you ever

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<v Speaker 1>read the Margaret Atwood book, but she talks about how

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<v Speaker 1>in the future companies basically control the world and people

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<v Speaker 1>live in corporate compounds. I can see that aspect of it.

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<v Speaker 1>But I gotta say I'm a little bit more skeptical

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<v Speaker 1>about exactly what Facebook is proposing here. Again, don't get

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<v Speaker 1>me wrong, like I have plenty of skepticism on all

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of front I just think that it's pretty wild

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<v Speaker 1>and has the potential, in at least one version of

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<v Speaker 1>the future, to be pretty enormous. That's what I'm saying.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe I maybe I oversold it. So one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that it was really interesting is in their launch

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<v Speaker 1>material where they promoted Libra, their new cryptocurrency, they made

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<v Speaker 1>a really big focus on, you know, serving the the

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<v Speaker 1>underbanked around the world, people largely in emerging markets, who

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<v Speaker 1>don't have access to traditional financial services, whose home currencies

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<v Speaker 1>may be unstable, who don't easily get access to bank accounts,

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, it's one of these things which that

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<v Speaker 1>does seem like a big opportunity. But on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a very happy sheen to put on, here's this

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<v Speaker 1>company that's worth like a half a trillion dollars, And

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<v Speaker 1>of course it's very feel goody to say, oh, we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna serve all these people that the rest of the

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<v Speaker 1>that all these other financial institutions have failed so far. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So two things there. First of all, I'm very upset

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<v Speaker 1>that they've chosen Libra to be the name of this cryptocurrency,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's my horoscope sign, and now I feel what

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<v Speaker 1>all the people called Alexa felt like when Amazon launched

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<v Speaker 1>that thing. But secondly, I totally agree with you on

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<v Speaker 1>the underbanked point. And I think one interesting point of

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<v Speaker 1>comparison is that cryptocurrencies like bitcoin have been saying similar

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<v Speaker 1>things for a very very long time. So it's worth

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<v Speaker 1>asking what is Facebook going to do in that space

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<v Speaker 1>that bitcoin and other crypto coins don't already do. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>the advocates and a lot of the developers and even

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the speculators in this space, a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of them have gotten very rich and they try to

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<v Speaker 1>come up with the story about how they're doing something

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<v Speaker 1>very good for the world, and they usually say, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>you in America, you don't understand the importance of all

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<v Speaker 1>this stuff because you have a stable currency and easy

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<v Speaker 1>to access banks. But this is all we're doing something

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<v Speaker 1>very important for the world, and obviously a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>that is just spin. And also it's just a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more complicated than that, because the truth of the matter

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<v Speaker 1>is there really aren't that many people yet and even

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<v Speaker 1>in the near future, in the developing world, actually using

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<v Speaker 1>any of these cryptocurrencies that people are touting as a

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<v Speaker 1>benefit to them, right, And it kind of gets back

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<v Speaker 1>to a really important theme, which is the problem of

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<v Speaker 1>having the under banked out there, or the problem of

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<v Speaker 1>having an unstable sovereign currency or a currency that people

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<v Speaker 1>don't trust. Is that actually a technological problem or is

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<v Speaker 1>that a political problem? Right? And another big problem is

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<v Speaker 1>that at root, a lot of this is just about

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<v Speaker 1>poverty rather than anything having to do with financial institutions.

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<v Speaker 1>That being said, there is perhaps an opportunity for some

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<v Speaker 1>new crypto based currency, whether it's a decentralized one like

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin or something, or maybe something like Libra, to to

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<v Speaker 1>make a dent. And so today's guest I'm really looking

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<v Speaker 1>forward to it is someone who's actually done the work,

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<v Speaker 1>someone who doesn't just sit on Twitter and say, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>this is going to be really good for the underbank.

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<v Speaker 1>But someone who has actually talked to people in unstable

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<v Speaker 1>markets about how money works and what it would take

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<v Speaker 1>in theory to introduce a new, more stable cryptocurrency that

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<v Speaker 1>actually benefited their lives. Great, I can't wait. Okay, So

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<v Speaker 1>without further ado, I want to bring in Jill Carlson.

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<v Speaker 1>She is a co founder of the Open Money Initiative,

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<v Speaker 1>and unlike everyone else, as I said, she's actually talked

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<v Speaker 1>to people and done the real work to see what

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<v Speaker 1>it would take to introduce crypto into people's lives. So, Jill,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much for joining us. Thank you. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>happy to be here starting to do the work, starting

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<v Speaker 1>to do the work. But what I've seen so far

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<v Speaker 1>has been very impressive, and we'll talk about it. But

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<v Speaker 1>before we get into that, I'm just curious. What is

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<v Speaker 1>your background? How did you get interested in cryptocurrency? Yeah, so,

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<v Speaker 1>I actually started my career working in finance. I was

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<v Speaker 1>trading sovereign debt and derivatives at Goldman Um, and in

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<v Speaker 1>particular I was on the Latin America desk, and that

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<v Speaker 1>was actually the lens through which I first got introduced

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<v Speaker 1>to cryptocurrency. Um, it was through trading Argentine debt through

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<v Speaker 1>the default in and early in I had a broker

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<v Speaker 1>come to me and you know, he would have some

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<v Speaker 1>market color for me. Every morning. There was always something

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<v Speaker 1>that he was excited to share, and one morning that

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<v Speaker 1>thing that he was excited to share with me was

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<v Speaker 1>all about bitcoin. Now this was early. The only context

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<v Speaker 1>I had heard of bitcoin at this point was people

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<v Speaker 1>trying to buy drugs with it on the internet. So

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<v Speaker 1>I was very skeptical and I was like, man, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know, this sounds even sketchy earthan the pace, so

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if this is a good idea. But

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<v Speaker 1>he kind of dragged me, kicking and screaming down the

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<v Speaker 1>down the bitcoin rabbit hole, if you will. So what

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<v Speaker 1>did you discover as you went down the bitcoin rabbit hole?

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<v Speaker 1>What brought you to being co founder of the Open

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<v Speaker 1>Money Initiative? You must have seen something in it? Yeah, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that this broker actually, in particular, that he

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<v Speaker 1>convinced me of was that there was something really compelling

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<v Speaker 1>there that he was unable to do previously right, And

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<v Speaker 1>that thing for him was to get his money offshore,

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<v Speaker 1>to get his money out of the Argentine Paso and

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<v Speaker 1>that ability to use this to basically evade capital controls,

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<v Speaker 1>right is what he was doing that really piqued my

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<v Speaker 1>interest because again that was something that you couldn't do before.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, previously people were trying to smuggle money out

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<v Speaker 1>of the country in suitcases. I remember talking to people

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<v Speaker 1>I ended up doing research on the subject on Argentina

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<v Speaker 1>and cryptocurrency in capital controls, and I remember speaking to

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<v Speaker 1>people who had literally tried to smuggle money out of

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<v Speaker 1>the country again in suitcases and been caught by sniffer

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<v Speaker 1>dogs on the boat to Uruguay, all kinds of crazy stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>And so then here, all of a sudden, you have

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<v Speaker 1>this digital alternative that in many ways promises to to

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<v Speaker 1>take out a lot of that trouble that people were

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<v Speaker 1>having in in again evading capital controls. Now, whether or

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<v Speaker 1>not that's a good thing for the world, whether or

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<v Speaker 1>not this is something we want to enable or not,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a phenomenon that cryptocurrency has enabled. And so that

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<v Speaker 1>that was what really piqued my interest, and that's the

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<v Speaker 1>thing that actually is stuck with me throughout the last

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<v Speaker 1>five years that I've been working in this space of

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<v Speaker 1>here's this thing that this enables that no one has

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<v Speaker 1>been able to do before. It's interesting that you said

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<v Speaker 1>your first introduction to knowing anything about bitcoin was that

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<v Speaker 1>people bought drugs with it online, and then the next

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<v Speaker 1>not me, this is this is this is all anyone

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<v Speaker 1>was talking about. Please, I worked at Goldman their drug tests. Sure, um,

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<v Speaker 1>we could have been dealing um. But the but then

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<v Speaker 1>the next thing was capital controls. And although those seemed

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<v Speaker 1>very different, I mean, in the end, the consistent category

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<v Speaker 1>is these are the things the governments don't want you

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<v Speaker 1>to do. Yeah, exactly, and I mean I I actually

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<v Speaker 1>stand by this as one of the sort of primary

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<v Speaker 1>underpinnings of that question. What is cryptocurrency good for at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, A lot of it is

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<v Speaker 1>regulatory arbitrage. Now you can have all kinds of opinions

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<v Speaker 1>about is that good, bad, ugly? A lot of it

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<v Speaker 1>is very ugly, but you know it can be interesting nonetheless,

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<v Speaker 1>So sorry to press on this point, but is there

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<v Speaker 1>not like a sort of judgment call going on here,

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<v Speaker 1>like you said earlier, whether or not this is a

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<v Speaker 1>good thing that people are able to evade capital controls.

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<v Speaker 1>But the fact that you know, you're sort of talking

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<v Speaker 1>about and promoting the use case of doing that um

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<v Speaker 1>in certain countries, it seems like almost a judgment call

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<v Speaker 1>on the legitimacy of those countries or the legitimacy of

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<v Speaker 1>the regimes or legal system. They're like, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>think about the I'm struggling to find the word, but

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<v Speaker 1>I guess like the moral aspect of this or how

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<v Speaker 1>this fits in with existing government structures, it's really hairy.

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<v Speaker 1>And and I'll clarify my organization, the Open Money Initiative,

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<v Speaker 1>and the work that I've done, it's all just been

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<v Speaker 1>research oriented, and so it's less about trying to push

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<v Speaker 1>an agenda of this is right, this is wrong, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's more about trying to look at what's going on today,

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<v Speaker 1>what the world looks like, and then present that to

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<v Speaker 1>the world so that people can make their own judgment calls.

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<v Speaker 1>But I mean, I'll be very up front. We'll probably

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<v Speaker 1>spend a lot of time this morning talking about how,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, people who are being impoverished in Venezuela may

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<v Speaker 1>or may not be using bitcoin in order to escape

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<v Speaker 1>some of that poverty that, from what I've seen, has

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<v Speaker 1>been really inflicted on them. By the government. But at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, it's important to also acknowledge that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>who's probably using bitcoin just as much, if not more

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<v Speaker 1>than anyone sort of within the country of Venezuela who's

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<v Speaker 1>being impoverished by these government policies is the government officials themselves, right,

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<v Speaker 1>are also using these tools, and so it is very

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<v Speaker 1>important to remember that any time we're talking about whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's Bitcoin, whether it's other technology, whether it's other areas

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<v Speaker 1>of sort of regulatory disruption. Anytime you introduce a new

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<v Speaker 1>tool to the market, you don't get to choose who's

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<v Speaker 1>using it, and it's going to be used by sort

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<v Speaker 1>of the good guys and the bad guys alike. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about the Open Money Initiative. And like

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<v Speaker 1>I said in the beginning, you know, there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people that from their fancy start up offices in

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco tweet about how they're doing great stuff for

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<v Speaker 1>the world and bringing financial inclusion and financial services to

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<v Speaker 1>the under bank. But you've actually gone and talk to

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<v Speaker 1>people and gotten behind the computer screen to learn about

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<v Speaker 1>the potential or what's not working. So what is the

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<v Speaker 1>open Money Initiative and sort of describe the work that

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<v Speaker 1>you've done. Yeah, so we are a research organization. We're

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<v Speaker 1>not for profit. That was a very important, uh, sort

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<v Speaker 1>of foundation for us because we can't be going in

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<v Speaker 1>trying to do kind of objective research if we're pushing

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<v Speaker 1>a product, and so that again very objective neutral. We

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<v Speaker 1>have partnered with and received funding from many organizations within

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<v Speaker 1>the technology community, within the cryptocurrency world, and then also

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<v Speaker 1>from outside from the activism community. For example, the Human

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<v Speaker 1>Rights Foundation is a huge supporter of us. But again,

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<v Speaker 1>all of those organizations have given us this funding because

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<v Speaker 1>they have an interest in learning sort of the objective

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<v Speaker 1>truths or facts of what's going on on the ground. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>Our mission is to get a better understanding of what

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<v Speaker 1>money systems look like in closed economy, is or failing

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<v Speaker 1>financial systems. We went to what we believe is sort

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<v Speaker 1>of the most extreme case of this that exists today,

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<v Speaker 1>which is Venezuela, as our first case study to get

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<v Speaker 1>a better understanding of what the world looks like. They're

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<v Speaker 1>now I have sort of this background in cryptocurrency, my

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 1>other two co founders due to an extent as well.

0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:24.360
<v Speaker 1>But the questions that we went in asking, we're not

0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 1>just about bitcoin and cryptocurrency, but rather we're asking the

0:13:28.960 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 1>question of what are people doing today in Venezuela, What

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:34.840
<v Speaker 1>are the sort of hacks that they're using in order

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:38.240
<v Speaker 1>to survive and in some cases even thrive, And then

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 1>how can we take those and present those again back

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 1>to the world so that people can, you know, whether

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 1>it's these builders at these tech companies or again people

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 1>in the activism community, whoever it is, take it, learn

0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:53.600
<v Speaker 1>from it, and build with it. So Joe knows that

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:57.720
<v Speaker 1>I have a secret obsession with anthropology and ethnography, So

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:01.199
<v Speaker 1>I'm really curious. You know, you decide on Venezuela as

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:04.839
<v Speaker 1>your test case. You have the crypto background, but you're

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>setting your sights on something much more broader, which is

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:11.120
<v Speaker 1>how people are using money in general. All right, so

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 1>you're setting out to learn more about this subject. How

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:18.439
<v Speaker 1>exactly did you go about doing it? Yeah, So one

0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:20.720
<v Speaker 1>of the first decisions we had to make was whether

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 1>or not to go to Venezuela itself, and we determined

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 1>that at the time, this was back in February of

0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 1>this year, there was a lot of upheaval going on,

0:14:30.480 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of political uncertainty, and we determined that as

0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>an American, a Canadian who's basically American, and then also

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 1>of Venezuelan himself. So my other two co founders and

0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 1>I we decided that it was not wise for us

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.240
<v Speaker 1>to try to go to Venezuela itself, so we did

0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>the next best thing, which was to go to the border.

0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:54.200
<v Speaker 1>So we went to a city called Cucuta, which is

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>in Colombia but it kind of might as well be

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>in Venezuela, and spent a lot of time there talking

0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to people who had just crossed the border, people who

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 1>were crossing borders sort of intra day. One important thing

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 1>to note about this research. The first thing people always

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>ask me when I start talking about this work I've

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 1>been doing. They say, oh, cool, So like how many

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>people in Venezuela are using bitcoin? And the answer is,

0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I have not the slightest idea because the type of

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.560
<v Speaker 1>work that we were doing, the type of research that

0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 1>we were interested in, was much less about sort of

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the quantitative or the macro here, but much more about

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 1>what does this actually look like on a day to

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 1>day basis. So, you know, Tracy, you mentioned sort of

0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:41.560
<v Speaker 1>ethnographic or anthropological lenses. That's exactly right. So we would

0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 1>sit down with people for two plus hours, and often

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 1>this was in context, you know, in their homes and

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:51.480
<v Speaker 1>their places of work, even sort of intercepting them on

0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:54.120
<v Speaker 1>the street in the middle of of whatever they were doing,

0:15:54.400 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 1>and get a really good sense of what their day

0:15:57.080 --> 0:16:00.280
<v Speaker 1>to day lives look like. And often what would come

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 1>out here was we would find these sort of extreme

0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 1>edge cases as well. Right, So, rather than looking for

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>the men or the average, which is often what you're

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>looking for and more kind of quantitative studies, we would

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 1>be looking for outliers and finding out, Okay, what what

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>does this guy who is really thriving and has actually

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:23.520
<v Speaker 1>managed to make a ton of money throughout this crisis,

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>what is he doing? Or you know what is what

0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 1>is the woman who's managed to make it across the

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>border with her family and with her finances intact? What

0:16:31.560 --> 0:16:33.840
<v Speaker 1>did she do right? And then how can we learn

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>from that and draw inspiration from it? So whenever I

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.640
<v Speaker 1>read about Venezuela, I just, yeah, obviously just boggles the

0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>mind that people can survive in such a chaotic system

0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 1>in which all money has been essentially rendered worthless. What

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 1>were some of the most striking findings that you came

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.480
<v Speaker 1>across in terms of essentially how people hack the economy

0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:17.680
<v Speaker 1>for their own purposes to survive or thrive. What were

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 1>the things that surprised you. Yeah, so there are a

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of things that surprised me. So I'll start with one,

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:26.800
<v Speaker 1>which is that you know, as I'm sure many of

0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:30.679
<v Speaker 1>your listeners know, the Venezuelan Bolivar has been in a

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>state of hyper inflation for the last several years, and

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>in the state of extremely high inflation for many years

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.920
<v Speaker 1>before that, to the point where every few years now,

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:41.879
<v Speaker 1>if not every year, they have to come out with

0:17:42.000 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 1>a new denomination of boulevard that basically lops off the

0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:48.280
<v Speaker 1>last three zero is because they just can't keep up,

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:53.600
<v Speaker 1>so a million note would become a hundred thousand right now.

0:17:54.080 --> 0:17:57.240
<v Speaker 1>You would think in this context people would just say,

0:17:57.359 --> 0:17:58.720
<v Speaker 1>the hell with it, We're not going to use the

0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:02.440
<v Speaker 1>boulevard anymore, We're going to move on to some other alternative.

0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 1>But in fact that's not the case. There you still

0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.439
<v Speaker 1>really need the bolivar to survive, and there are a

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:11.919
<v Speaker 1>few different reasons for that. One is because it's just

0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of this this shelling points the natural standard that

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:18.959
<v Speaker 1>people still resort to and use when when you know,

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:22.960
<v Speaker 1>making transactions in the economy. Another reason for that is

0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:27.080
<v Speaker 1>that the Venezuelan government mandates that the bolivard is the

0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:30.240
<v Speaker 1>only currency that can be accepted, and so often what

0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>you would find is we would talk to shopkeepers who

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:35.199
<v Speaker 1>still ran shops in Venezuela or who were sort of

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:37.919
<v Speaker 1>crossing the border and leaving pine their shops, but what

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:40.879
<v Speaker 1>they would say is that they would still have to

0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:44.800
<v Speaker 1>denominate everything in bolivar's. They would still have to accept

0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:48.639
<v Speaker 1>bolivars for most of their transactions. But then if you

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:51.160
<v Speaker 1>went back to their books, and sometimes they would even

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:54.919
<v Speaker 1>show us their bookkeeping ledgers, they would all be denominated

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>in US dollars. And so you have this dynamic where

0:18:57.960 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 1>people have started to think in alternative of currencies, whether

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that's often you know, in cases like in Caracas, it

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:07.520
<v Speaker 1>would often be the US dollar. Close to the Colombian

0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 1>border or to often be the Colombian pass so close

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:13.359
<v Speaker 1>to the Brazilian border would often be the Brazilian rail.

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 1>So you'd have these cases where people would be thinking

0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:19.479
<v Speaker 1>in one currency and yet still having to deal and

0:19:19.560 --> 0:19:23.920
<v Speaker 1>transact and list prices in another currency. So you have

0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 1>basically a duel or even triple sort of currency system

0:19:29.800 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>that has taken hold, but it's just that no one

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>is actually using or a few people are actually yet

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:41.400
<v Speaker 1>using dollars or pasos, etcetera. And so that's that's one

0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:44.399
<v Speaker 1>example of kind of a quirk that that we've found

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 1>that you know, it's kind of unexpected here. So what

0:19:47.840 --> 0:19:52.240
<v Speaker 1>does that imply about the usage potential of crypto Because

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, you do have people basically running

0:19:55.400 --> 0:20:00.040
<v Speaker 1>parallel currency systems against one one another. But on the

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:04.160
<v Speaker 1>their hand, you have a lingering problem of adoption, right

0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 1>like people are just used to the boulevard, as you mentioned,

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:11.119
<v Speaker 1>and you also have the problem of the government exerting

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 1>pressure on people to use the boulevard and to not

0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 1>basically evade regulations by using something like dollars or cryptocurrency.

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 1>So putting it all together, what does that tell us? So, Yeah,

0:20:25.119 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 1>one interesting thing here about cryptocurrency specifically in Venezuela is

0:20:30.119 --> 0:20:33.560
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned that the boulevard it's mandated to be effectively

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:37.439
<v Speaker 1>the only currency that gets used by the government. Right now,

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:40.439
<v Speaker 1>there's kind of shades of gray here in terms of

0:20:40.440 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 1>what gets enforced and where it gets enforced and how

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:47.800
<v Speaker 1>it's it's very patchy, right, there is very little rule

0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>of law left in many ways in Venezuela because you

0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:54.240
<v Speaker 1>have to remember, often it's the police or the border guards, etcetera,

0:20:54.320 --> 0:20:56.919
<v Speaker 1>are just as desperate as anybody else to survive, and

0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 1>so they kind of decide when and how they'll enforce rules,

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:04.679
<v Speaker 1>when and how often that enforcement it just takes the

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:08.440
<v Speaker 1>form of confiscation, right, and it ends up just being

0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:11.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, the police seizing your assets or your cell

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:13.639
<v Speaker 1>phone or whatever it is to just hold onto for

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:18.840
<v Speaker 1>themselves for their own enrichment. Now, dollars are way on

0:21:18.880 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 1>the end of the spectrum of not okay. If you

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 1>are dealing in dollars and you get caught doing so,

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:29.200
<v Speaker 1>you are going to face some probably pretty serious consequences

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:34.680
<v Speaker 1>for all kinds of political reasons. Cryptocurrency is interesting because

0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>it's it's more of a gray area. It's kind of

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:42.479
<v Speaker 1>pactually enforced um to the point where when we were

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:44.600
<v Speaker 1>first speaking with people, I was sort of wondering, like,

0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:46.840
<v Speaker 1>what is going on here? Half of these people lying

0:21:46.920 --> 0:21:49.360
<v Speaker 1>to us, because you know what people are telling us here,

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>it's it's completely incongruous. It doesn't make sense with each other.

0:21:53.600 --> 0:21:58.439
<v Speaker 1>But in fact, the Venezuelan government has backed itself into

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.960
<v Speaker 1>an odd kind of corner when it comes to cryptocurrency,

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 1>because the Venezuelan government issued its own cryptocurrency a couple

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:10.679
<v Speaker 1>of years ago back inen called the Petro. Now, we

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:13.400
<v Speaker 1>can do a deep dive on the Petro if you're interested.

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 1>I have lots of thoughts on that as well. But

0:22:16.480 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 1>the reality is is that because the Venezuelan government did that,

0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 1>the Venezuelan government now faces this sort of weird conundrum

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>in which they can't just make a blanket statement of

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:31.120
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency is bad, you're not allowed to use any of it,

0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 1>because here they're almost mandating in some cases that their

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:39.199
<v Speaker 1>citizens do use their own cryptocurrency. And so there is

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:41.640
<v Speaker 1>this sort of gray area where it comes to cryptocurrency

0:22:41.640 --> 0:22:45.680
<v Speaker 1>where people aren't so sure whether it's good bad, whether

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:48.159
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be enforced or not if they're using it.

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 1>And so we saw some cases where actually people were

0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:55.400
<v Speaker 1>more comfortable using something like bitcoin as opposed to the U. S. Dollars,

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>which felt shocking to me. The people that do you

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:04.760
<v Speaker 1>who's bitcoin in Venezuela talk to me about the sort

0:23:04.800 --> 0:23:08.160
<v Speaker 1>of usability issues because it has to be even okay,

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:10.720
<v Speaker 1>bitcoins more stable. Let's say you can find a retailer

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 1>that will accept it, there have to be all kinds

0:23:12.960 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 1>of difficulties of getting it, because I can't imagine there

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:18.120
<v Speaker 1>are people too many people that want to sell bitcoin

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 1>for bolivars, which is the one that most people have.

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:25.080
<v Speaker 1>Even in the you know, the most developed market of

0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:29.639
<v Speaker 1>the US. Cryptocurreties are sort of famously the U the

0:23:29.720 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>user interfaces for things like well, it's it's just difficult,

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>and so I imagine that's only compounded, uh in a

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>place where imagine the Internet doesn't work as well, things

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:41.080
<v Speaker 1>like that. So talk to us about the people that

0:23:41.680 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 1>have used them. What is that sort of life experience

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 1>like for them. Yeah, so we we only talked to

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 1>a handful of people who used cryptocurrency on kind of

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:54.399
<v Speaker 1>a daily basis. We talked to a handful more who

0:23:54.440 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 1>are familiar with it. Maybe it toyed around with it

0:23:56.600 --> 0:23:59.439
<v Speaker 1>at some point, But of those people we spoke to

0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:04.920
<v Speaker 1>who used it pretty consistently, they actually didn't have many complaints.

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:07.879
<v Speaker 1>They actually had a lot of really good things to

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.040
<v Speaker 1>say about the experience. And so I can walk you

0:24:10.080 --> 0:24:12.160
<v Speaker 1>through just kind of one example of how it gets

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:16.120
<v Speaker 1>used um which came from a young woman. Will call

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:20.120
<v Speaker 1>her Anna. She is a university student in Caracas. She's

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>about twenty two years old, and she got introduced to

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:26.360
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin a few years ago now by way of her

0:24:26.400 --> 0:24:30.439
<v Speaker 1>boyfriend who was also an engineer, and they imported a

0:24:30.480 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 1>couple of mining rigs they call them, so these sort

0:24:34.080 --> 0:24:38.159
<v Speaker 1>of specialized computer hardware systems, and it sounded to me

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 1>like her boyfriend was a little bit of a nerdy guy,

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:42.159
<v Speaker 1>and he kind of set them up in her parents

0:24:42.200 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 1>basement and they were running and it was just kind

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>of this fun experiment that they were running on the side. Now,

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.919
<v Speaker 1>lo and behold, two years later, those bitcoin miners have

0:24:52.040 --> 0:24:55.639
<v Speaker 1>become basically the sole source of income for Anna's family.

0:24:56.280 --> 0:24:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Her dad got laid off since job, her mom doesn't

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.280
<v Speaker 1>is still working, but doesn't make enough money to support

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Anna and her two sisters, etcetera. But those bitcoin miners

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 1>that she and her boyfriend imported a few years ago,

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:12.720
<v Speaker 1>they pull in about eight hundred dollars a month in bitcoin,

0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:16.000
<v Speaker 1>which is a pretty staggering amount of money in the

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 1>context of Venezuela right now. And so the way that

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:22.040
<v Speaker 1>she would use this though, she would take the bitcoin

0:25:22.240 --> 0:25:25.480
<v Speaker 1>that was being generated by these miners and she would

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:29.639
<v Speaker 1>deposit them into an account on a website called Local

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoins local bitcoins dot com. This is a website that's

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:36.240
<v Speaker 1>available globally. I compare it a little bit like the

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:40.120
<v Speaker 1>Craigslist of bitcoin um because it has this sort of

0:25:40.640 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 1>localized web pages depending on where you are in the world.

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 1>But what it enables is you deposit your bitcoin onto there,

0:25:48.040 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 1>and then all of these bids and offers will pop

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 1>up of people buying and selling bitcoin in your local currency,

0:25:54.400 --> 0:25:57.119
<v Speaker 1>and you can even filter it by who has a

0:25:57.200 --> 0:25:59.960
<v Speaker 1>bank account at your bank, so that it can be

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 1>just a seamless book transfer on that side. And so

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Anna Maria, Anna will deposit the bitcoin onto local Bitcoins,

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:09.520
<v Speaker 1>and she will look for someone who's looking to buy

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin who shares her bank account, and she will then

0:26:13.760 --> 0:26:18.280
<v Speaker 1>start a discussion with that trader negotiation. They'll converge on

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:22.720
<v Speaker 1>a price, and that trader will then send her the

0:26:22.760 --> 0:26:25.880
<v Speaker 1>boulevards that she needs as she's cashing out the bitcoin,

0:26:26.480 --> 0:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and Anna Maria will put the bitcoin into an escrow

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:33.640
<v Speaker 1>that is run by Local Bitcoins. As soon as Anna

0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 1>confirms that she has received the money on her side

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:40.360
<v Speaker 1>in her bank account, Local bitcoins releases that bitcoin out

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:44.440
<v Speaker 1>of the scrow to the trader. So this all sounds

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>maybe a little bit convoluted, but when she started to

0:26:47.720 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 1>describe how this sort of happened in her day to

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:54.320
<v Speaker 1>day basis, it was actually quite seamless, to the point

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>where she would even do this just as she was

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>walking to the store. Because here's the critical point to

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:02.280
<v Speaker 1>take away is that what this enabled her to do

0:27:02.920 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 1>was not only to receive the income in the form

0:27:06.119 --> 0:27:09.359
<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin, but also to cash it out just in time,

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 1>right because she doesn't want to hold boul of Ours

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:14.680
<v Speaker 1>for any longer than she has to. She only wants

0:27:14.720 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to hold boul of Ours at the very moment that

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>she is going up to the checkout counter in the shop,

0:27:19.680 --> 0:27:22.440
<v Speaker 1>because her shopkeeper doesn't take bitcoin, he's only going to

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>accept it in boul of ours. And she could even

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 1>do this as she was standing in line to go

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:31.040
<v Speaker 1>to the checkout counter. Actually, all of this would take

0:27:31.119 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 1>a matter of five ten minutes, provided she could find

0:27:34.160 --> 0:27:38.400
<v Speaker 1>someone who who shared her her bank And so that

0:27:38.560 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 1>was a really kind of revolutionary thing for her, to

0:27:42.080 --> 0:27:44.439
<v Speaker 1>the point where she's not really complaining about you know,

0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:48.560
<v Speaker 1>the user experience issues or the pain of of having

0:27:48.600 --> 0:27:51.240
<v Speaker 1>to you know, deal with a bitcoin private key or

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 1>whatever it is, because to her that ability to cash

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:59.120
<v Speaker 1>out just in time is so critical. So that's that's

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:01.879
<v Speaker 1>one example of how people are using it. Do we

0:28:01.960 --> 0:28:05.200
<v Speaker 1>know much about the other person on the other side

0:28:05.200 --> 0:28:08.119
<v Speaker 1>of that trade? Like who is the person that would

0:28:08.160 --> 0:28:12.560
<v Speaker 1>share the same bank as the woman in your example,

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 1>and who would have you know, bolivars at hand and

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:18.960
<v Speaker 1>want to trade them into bitcoin and then what would

0:28:19.000 --> 0:28:22.920
<v Speaker 1>they do with the bitcoin after that? So sometimes it's

0:28:23.000 --> 0:28:27.119
<v Speaker 1>another person like Anna, right. Sometimes it's somebody who is

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:30.920
<v Speaker 1>just sort of naturally a natural real buyer, you might

0:28:30.960 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>call them of bitcoins, So someone who may be exchanged

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:37.520
<v Speaker 1>too much into bolivars and is now trying to trade back.

0:28:38.440 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 1>But in many cases it's dedicated traders. And so these

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:46.640
<v Speaker 1>might be people in Venezuela who have bank accounts. Often

0:28:46.720 --> 0:28:49.440
<v Speaker 1>you have these money traders in Venezuela who have bank

0:28:49.480 --> 0:28:53.080
<v Speaker 1>accounts across seven or ten different banks, and they do

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>this intentionally so that they can have liquidity across all

0:28:56.880 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>of these different pools, right, and they're just clipping basically

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:04.080
<v Speaker 1>bid offer as as any trader would on these trades

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:08.200
<v Speaker 1>that they're doing, and it's it's fairly liquid, but there's

0:29:08.200 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 1>still a decent spread obviously to capture in there. If

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 1>if you're doing this, sometimes it's folks who are based

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 1>in Miami or Columbia, etcetera, who have left Venezuela excuse me,

0:29:19.840 --> 0:29:22.600
<v Speaker 1>but who still have access to a Venezuelan bank account,

0:29:23.440 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 1>and so they would be doing exactly the same thing

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 1>as a local trader would, but they would just be

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:32.320
<v Speaker 1>doing it sort of remotely. Um, and so this this

0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:36.360
<v Speaker 1>is quite common. So let's talk a little bit about

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Facebook Libra, but also just generally, whether it's people who

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:44.320
<v Speaker 1>are believers in bitcoin or some other currency, or a

0:29:44.360 --> 0:29:48.760
<v Speaker 1>company launching its own currency like Facebook. This whole idea

0:29:48.920 --> 0:29:55.080
<v Speaker 1>of we want to uh deliver financial services stable currencies

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:57.600
<v Speaker 1>to the two billion people or whatever it is that

0:29:57.840 --> 0:30:01.160
<v Speaker 1>don't have access to them. What are they up against? Like,

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 1>what are the sort of the big things they're going

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:06.840
<v Speaker 1>to need to do to actually make traction and not

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 1>have it just be taught that regulators and the media

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 1>will like. Yeah, So the first thing I'll say is

0:30:12.800 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 1>that to talk about the unbanked or the underbanked. That

0:30:17.920 --> 0:30:21.840
<v Speaker 1>is such a broad category that you've got to you've

0:30:21.840 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 1>got to just be more specific. You've got a narrow down,

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:27.120
<v Speaker 1>You've got a narrowed down by geography. You know, often

0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:30.480
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen is that what works in one place

0:30:30.520 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 1>does not work in another. If you look at something

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 1>like m pesa, which is obviously taken off in Kenya

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 1>and in other areas of Africa, that does not translate

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:43.640
<v Speaker 1>at all to a Latin American context. You try and

0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 1>ask people about, oh, what do you think about using

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:48.800
<v Speaker 1>cell phone minutes is money in Latin American and they

0:30:48.880 --> 0:30:52.200
<v Speaker 1>look at you like you're crazy. It doesn't. It doesn't translate.

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:54.360
<v Speaker 1>So you have to narrow it down by geography. But

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:56.640
<v Speaker 1>you also just have to narrow it down by what

0:30:56.680 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>do you mean? Is this about access? Is this about

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:03.960
<v Speaker 1>ending people's financial access, whether that's to bank accounts, whether

0:31:04.040 --> 0:31:06.920
<v Speaker 1>that's to other forms of money outside of their own

0:31:06.960 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of sovereign currency, whether that's about access to other

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:17.040
<v Speaker 1>financial instruments, investment instruments, etcetera. Or whether that's just about

0:31:17.080 --> 0:31:20.200
<v Speaker 1>as you said at the beginning of the episode, Joe poverty, right,

0:31:20.280 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>and that's that's a very different problem altogether, uh than

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 1>just having, you know, having a bank account. And so

0:31:28.000 --> 0:31:31.000
<v Speaker 1>that's kind of my first gripe with any time anyone

0:31:31.080 --> 0:31:33.800
<v Speaker 1>sort of waves their hands and says, oh, yeah, we're gonna,

0:31:34.440 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 1>uh democratize the financial system, or we're gonna bank the unbanked,

0:31:39.400 --> 0:31:42.440
<v Speaker 1>and it's just it's too broad. And now I can

0:31:42.480 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 1>speak to Venezuela with some degree of confidence, in Argentina

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:49.640
<v Speaker 1>with some degree of confidence, and other areas with a

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:52.480
<v Speaker 1>much lower degree of confidence. But but that's the first

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.400
<v Speaker 1>thing that I would say now that that I realized

0:31:55.480 --> 0:31:57.240
<v Speaker 1>is kind of a lame cop out answer of like

0:31:57.360 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>it depends, and so I'll give you something a little

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:01.880
<v Speaker 1>bit more were concrete to bite on here, which is

0:32:02.360 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the next thing I would think about in the context

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:09.520
<v Speaker 1>of whether it's Bitcoin, whether it's Facebook's libra coin, whatever

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:12.640
<v Speaker 1>it is. If you're talking about a different type of

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:15.760
<v Speaker 1>financial instrument, if you're talking about a different asset, the

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:17.920
<v Speaker 1>first thing you have to think about is cash in

0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:21.080
<v Speaker 1>and cash out, right, And so I just ran through

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:24.160
<v Speaker 1>that whole kind of convoluted example of there's this service,

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:28.719
<v Speaker 1>this Craigslist system that exists called local Bitcoins that provides

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:31.560
<v Speaker 1>an scrow service and provides basically a bulletin board of

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:34.800
<v Speaker 1>it's and offers and blah blah blah. Now that is

0:32:35.400 --> 0:32:39.000
<v Speaker 1>that is basically the one of the only cash in

0:32:39.040 --> 0:32:43.520
<v Speaker 1>cash out systems that exists for bitcoin in Venezuela. And

0:32:43.520 --> 0:32:46.720
<v Speaker 1>the existence of that service is why bitcoin gets used

0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 1>at all, gets talked about at all in Venezuela. Now

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>why local bitcoins as opposed to coin based or as

0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 1>opposed to ally pay or we chat. That has to

0:32:58.800 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 1>do with actually many ways, the regulatory arbitrage question again, right,

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:07.160
<v Speaker 1>because coin base and many of these other services struggle

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.840
<v Speaker 1>to do business in places like Venezuela. They still do,

0:33:11.040 --> 0:33:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I believe, but to a very limited extent, because it's dicey, right,

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Like I get it. Even even just doing the research

0:33:17.800 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 1>with the Open Money Initiative, And I was just doing research, right,

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't operating as a money transmission anything. But we

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:28.880
<v Speaker 1>had to go through layers and layers and layers of

0:33:28.960 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 1>lawyers just to make sure that you know, we're doing

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:35.360
<v Speaker 1>we're doing business. We're doing work in in a sanction

0:33:35.560 --> 0:33:38.680
<v Speaker 1>it's not a it's not an officially sanctioned country, but

0:33:39.200 --> 0:33:42.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, a huge spot of the population Venezuela is

0:33:42.600 --> 0:33:46.360
<v Speaker 1>sanctioned by the United States government. That's really hairy. That

0:33:46.440 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 1>gets really dicey. And so you need these services, whether

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.320
<v Speaker 1>they're local, whether they're global in nature, whatever, it is

0:33:53.840 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 1>uh to service cash in cash out ramps in and

0:33:56.840 --> 0:33:59.080
<v Speaker 1>out of your system, and you need to be comfortable

0:33:59.160 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 1>doing that in countries where frankly it is pretty uncomfortable. Right.

0:34:04.920 --> 0:34:08.480
<v Speaker 1>So on that note, it feels like the places where

0:34:08.520 --> 0:34:12.400
<v Speaker 1>potentially that there could be a good use case for, um,

0:34:12.440 --> 0:34:16.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, something like Facebook Libra would be places where

0:34:16.920 --> 0:34:21.960
<v Speaker 1>there is ethics instability, where people are seeking alternatives. But

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:26.160
<v Speaker 1>by that very sort of nature of the system, I

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:29.360
<v Speaker 1>guess there's a big question about whether or not Facebook

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:32.439
<v Speaker 1>would actually be welcomed there, and whether or not all

0:34:32.480 --> 0:34:34.680
<v Speaker 1>the sort of bells and whistles, the cash in cash

0:34:34.680 --> 0:34:37.480
<v Speaker 1>out systems that would go along with it would be

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:41.320
<v Speaker 1>able to attach themselves to Facebook. Is that what you're saying? Yeah,

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:43.520
<v Speaker 1>that's right, And you know, you start to get into

0:34:43.560 --> 0:34:47.120
<v Speaker 1>these really hairy situations in which I have I have

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:50.960
<v Speaker 1>a friend, just as an example, who is Venezuelan. He

0:34:51.719 --> 0:34:54.719
<v Speaker 1>left Venezuela pretty recently, but while he was there he

0:34:54.800 --> 0:34:57.640
<v Speaker 1>had some money in coin base, and coin Base at

0:34:57.680 --> 0:35:03.120
<v Speaker 1>one point actually froze those funds effectively. Because I don't

0:35:03.120 --> 0:35:05.280
<v Speaker 1>know all of the details of it, but it seemed

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:09.880
<v Speaker 1>like coin Base was suddenly uncomfortable with doing business with

0:35:09.960 --> 0:35:14.319
<v Speaker 1>him because they maybe didn't have all of the assurances

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:17.640
<v Speaker 1>that they needed that he wasn't doing something nefarious with

0:35:17.680 --> 0:35:21.200
<v Speaker 1>them blah blah blah, which he wasn't, but just because

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:25.279
<v Speaker 1>he is in Venezuela, where again a huge portion of

0:35:25.520 --> 0:35:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the population is is sanctioned, and so exactly, you know,

0:35:29.920 --> 0:35:32.920
<v Speaker 1>you start to think about other cases like this. It's like, Okay,

0:35:33.000 --> 0:35:36.920
<v Speaker 1>where where would this all be the most useful? Probably

0:35:36.960 --> 0:35:42.439
<v Speaker 1>actually in places like Venezuela, Cuba, Ran, Somalia, etcetera, where

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.799
<v Speaker 1>there is all of this instability, where it is a

0:35:44.880 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 1>very closed financial system. But that suddenly is, yeah, the

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:52.759
<v Speaker 1>hairriest of places to do business with this, So I

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:55.319
<v Speaker 1>gotta wrap up soon. But one more question I have,

0:35:55.400 --> 0:35:59.160
<v Speaker 1>and I think this sort of gets that really Venezuela

0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 1>side one of the big ships about Facebook itself, and

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:04.840
<v Speaker 1>it gets to your sort of initial introduction into the

0:36:04.880 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 1>crypto world, and the big opportunity for crypto is frankly

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:13.359
<v Speaker 1>kind of regulatory arbitrage, the stuff that people, whether it's

0:36:13.400 --> 0:36:16.360
<v Speaker 1>banks or governments, don't really want you to do. Facebook

0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:18.080
<v Speaker 1>is going to be is already one of the most

0:36:18.120 --> 0:36:22.000
<v Speaker 1>scrutinized entities in the world. In addition to that, because

0:36:22.040 --> 0:36:25.040
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a FIAT backed coin in which

0:36:25.120 --> 0:36:28.279
<v Speaker 1>money is held representing the Libra, It's going to be

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:32.120
<v Speaker 1>held in regulated financial institutions, which so they're gonna have

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:34.600
<v Speaker 1>to comply with all those financial rings that even like

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.000
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency brokers or whatever don't really have to think about

0:36:38.080 --> 0:36:43.280
<v Speaker 1>as much. So fundamentally, in your view, can an entity

0:36:43.400 --> 0:36:47.360
<v Speaker 1>that's that regulated, that that's that beholden to all kinds

0:36:47.400 --> 0:36:52.480
<v Speaker 1>of rules actually deliver on any kind of promise in

0:36:52.520 --> 0:36:55.880
<v Speaker 1>your view of what cryptocurrencies can be used for. I'm

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:59.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm a bit skeptical, to be honest. Um, Look, I

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:02.399
<v Speaker 1>think that they're scope for it to be an impactful

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:07.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of financial tool or product, but whether it can

0:37:07.239 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 1>deliver on anything that sort of Bitcoin or other more

0:37:11.560 --> 0:37:15.920
<v Speaker 1>conventional cryptocurrencies have promised and in many ways actually delivered

0:37:15.960 --> 0:37:20.879
<v Speaker 1>on in terms of what the actual utility is, I'm skeptical, right,

0:37:21.080 --> 0:37:23.640
<v Speaker 1>And and the reason for that is exactly what you

0:37:23.719 --> 0:37:29.360
<v Speaker 1>just said that Facebook as a platform, and any platform,

0:37:29.400 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 1>regardless of what other entities it brings around the table,

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:36.040
<v Speaker 1>regardless of it if it's in consortium model, whatever it is,

0:37:36.520 --> 0:37:40.000
<v Speaker 1>that consortium, that platform, it has the ability to d

0:37:40.200 --> 0:37:44.040
<v Speaker 1>platform you um, and this has been a huge issue

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:47.080
<v Speaker 1>that's gotten a lot of coverage over last year in

0:37:47.160 --> 0:37:51.160
<v Speaker 1>terms of content and content moderation. Well, now suddenly we're

0:37:51.160 --> 0:37:54.440
<v Speaker 1>talking about a world in which it's also financial moderation.

0:37:55.040 --> 0:37:57.320
<v Speaker 1>And you know, we would be we would be lying

0:37:57.440 --> 0:37:59.319
<v Speaker 1>right if we said that that's not the world that

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:02.960
<v Speaker 1>we already live in. It is, and it's much more

0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:05.440
<v Speaker 1>so in a place like Venezuela, where it is a

0:38:05.440 --> 0:38:08.279
<v Speaker 1>closed economy, where there are all of these rules and regulations,

0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:09.920
<v Speaker 1>many of which feel like they don't make a lot

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:12.480
<v Speaker 1>of sense. You know, it's not something that I think

0:38:12.480 --> 0:38:15.160
<v Speaker 1>about here in America. I'm not one of these sort

0:38:15.160 --> 0:38:17.960
<v Speaker 1>of tinfoil hats who stays up at night worrying about

0:38:18.320 --> 0:38:20.600
<v Speaker 1>what the FETE is is. Well, I do worry about

0:38:20.680 --> 0:38:22.600
<v Speaker 1>what the FETE is doing, but I don't worry about,

0:38:23.000 --> 0:38:25.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, what the FET or treasury is going to

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:27.960
<v Speaker 1>do in terms of d platforming. My ability to use

0:38:28.000 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 1>the US dollar. But what I do want to say

0:38:30.440 --> 0:38:34.560
<v Speaker 1>is that as we move to an increasingly cashless society,

0:38:35.360 --> 0:38:37.600
<v Speaker 1>this becomes more and more of an issue, even for

0:38:37.680 --> 0:38:40.160
<v Speaker 1>those of us in places like the United States where

0:38:40.160 --> 0:38:42.800
<v Speaker 1>we feel like there is good rule of law, because

0:38:43.360 --> 0:38:47.279
<v Speaker 1>I've even had these issues myself of dealing with UH

0:38:47.440 --> 0:38:51.359
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency accounts with my banks. Banks don't tend to like that.

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:55.120
<v Speaker 1>Even if you're dealing with a regulated cryptocurrency exchange, they

0:38:55.120 --> 0:38:57.320
<v Speaker 1>don't tend to like that. And so I've had banks

0:38:57.400 --> 0:38:59.919
<v Speaker 1>actually call me up and ask all kinds of question

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:03.720
<v Speaker 1>ens um and even not freeze my accounts, but freeze

0:39:03.719 --> 0:39:07.840
<v Speaker 1>counterparties accounts from whom I'm maybe receiving income or whatever

0:39:07.880 --> 0:39:11.640
<v Speaker 1>it is. It can get really messy really quickly as

0:39:11.640 --> 0:39:14.600
<v Speaker 1>soon as you move to this completely cashless society where

0:39:14.760 --> 0:39:19.440
<v Speaker 1>suddenly you do have banks, corporates, entity is maybe now

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:23.480
<v Speaker 1>even Facebook controlling who can do what with your money.

0:39:23.600 --> 0:39:27.680
<v Speaker 1>And that's something that with cash, there's still there's still

0:39:27.719 --> 0:39:31.040
<v Speaker 1>that out right, Like I can still stuffed dollar bills

0:39:31.160 --> 0:39:34.000
<v Speaker 1>under my mattress and go and use them for whatever

0:39:34.040 --> 0:39:36.520
<v Speaker 1>I want to use. But so that's actually the role

0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 1>that I see bitcoin filling in the future and cryptocurrencies

0:39:41.560 --> 0:39:44.840
<v Speaker 1>like it is that ability to have sort of truly

0:39:44.960 --> 0:39:48.480
<v Speaker 1>censorship resistant money, and that's a much more niche use

0:39:48.560 --> 0:39:51.880
<v Speaker 1>case than a lot of people will will say, especially

0:39:51.920 --> 0:39:54.080
<v Speaker 1>if they have if they own a lot of bitcoin,

0:39:54.160 --> 0:39:56.480
<v Speaker 1>or if they work in cryptocurrency. It is still niche,

0:39:56.520 --> 0:40:00.279
<v Speaker 1>but I think it's important nonetheless, Joe Carlson of the

0:40:00.320 --> 0:40:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Open Money Initiative, fascinating conversation. Really looking forward to following

0:40:05.120 --> 0:40:08.120
<v Speaker 1>your work as you continue to research these areas more

0:40:08.160 --> 0:40:10.520
<v Speaker 1>in a thank you for coming on out lots. Thank

0:40:10.560 --> 0:40:27.359
<v Speaker 1>you so much so, Joe. I really enjoyed that conversation.

0:40:27.560 --> 0:40:30.000
<v Speaker 1>I enjoy talking to anyone who comes on and says

0:40:30.040 --> 0:40:34.200
<v Speaker 1>that crypto is basically regulatory arbitrage. Yeah, I agree with that.

0:40:34.400 --> 0:40:37.680
<v Speaker 1>I completely agree with that, and I actually wish more

0:40:37.800 --> 0:40:41.600
<v Speaker 1>people in crypto would be upfront about that. And because

0:40:41.600 --> 0:40:44.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's necessarily a bad thing. I think,

0:40:44.560 --> 0:40:47.319
<v Speaker 1>as Jill pointed out in the beginning, there obviously uh

0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:50.440
<v Speaker 1>uses that most people probably wouldn't approve of. There are

0:40:50.560 --> 0:40:54.680
<v Speaker 1>in many cases good uses, especially when the laws or

0:40:54.760 --> 0:40:57.480
<v Speaker 1>the way banks treat people is unfair. But I do

0:40:57.640 --> 0:41:01.359
<v Speaker 1>think that is kind of the essential all use and

0:41:01.600 --> 0:41:04.799
<v Speaker 1>people have a really hard time because, especially if they're

0:41:04.800 --> 0:41:08.000
<v Speaker 1>trying to bring it to the institutions or whatever, they

0:41:08.000 --> 0:41:10.120
<v Speaker 1>want to wave their hands and try and say it's

0:41:10.120 --> 0:41:12.640
<v Speaker 1>about something else. But I think it at its core

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:15.120
<v Speaker 1>that is the one thing where they just sort of

0:41:15.160 --> 0:41:17.960
<v Speaker 1>logically makes sense, right, And I think if you narrow

0:41:18.000 --> 0:41:22.640
<v Speaker 1>it onto that one sort of use case scenario, regulatory arbitrage,

0:41:22.680 --> 0:41:25.560
<v Speaker 1>it helps you a attach some value to it. But

0:41:25.760 --> 0:41:29.400
<v Speaker 1>we also think about the problems of adoption, and of

0:41:29.440 --> 0:41:31.880
<v Speaker 1>course we touched on some of those, and that is

0:41:32.000 --> 0:41:35.120
<v Speaker 1>whether or not governments are going to allow it, and

0:41:35.160 --> 0:41:39.520
<v Speaker 1>whether or not if governments don't allow it, uh, the

0:41:39.560 --> 0:41:44.000
<v Speaker 1>technology itself can sort of sustain it outside of the

0:41:44.040 --> 0:41:47.920
<v Speaker 1>regulated system, and we still see that debate going on. Absolutely,

0:41:48.200 --> 0:41:52.680
<v Speaker 1>and just generally. I really appreciated being able to talk

0:41:52.719 --> 0:41:56.840
<v Speaker 1>to someone who, again it was not just a theoretical conversation,

0:41:56.880 --> 0:41:58.640
<v Speaker 1>is not just someone on Twitter. It's not just someone

0:41:58.920 --> 0:42:03.400
<v Speaker 1>coming on a podcast past and pontificating, but actually talking

0:42:03.400 --> 0:42:06.279
<v Speaker 1>to people and just hearing about the other things that

0:42:06.520 --> 0:42:11.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, even crypto aside. It's fascinating reading and learning

0:42:11.520 --> 0:42:15.120
<v Speaker 1>about how people in Venezuela or living in an economy

0:42:15.120 --> 0:42:18.080
<v Speaker 1>that's extremely in turmoil, how they get by and how

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:22.360
<v Speaker 1>they use combinations of cash and social media chat rooms

0:42:22.400 --> 0:42:25.600
<v Speaker 1>to sort of just get by and do commerce is

0:42:25.640 --> 0:42:28.520
<v Speaker 1>a really fascinating topic, even if it had nothing to

0:42:28.520 --> 0:42:32.040
<v Speaker 1>do with big point. I totally agree. And one last

0:42:32.080 --> 0:42:34.360
<v Speaker 1>thing that I would say, you know, you built this

0:42:34.520 --> 0:42:36.719
<v Speaker 1>up quite a lot in your intro where you said

0:42:36.760 --> 0:42:39.680
<v Speaker 1>this was sort of a historic moment, and I do think,

0:42:40.200 --> 0:42:42.279
<v Speaker 1>I will admit, I do think you're right in the

0:42:42.360 --> 0:42:45.080
<v Speaker 1>sense that what we're probably going to see is a

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:49.920
<v Speaker 1>big clash between a private company like Facebook trying to

0:42:50.560 --> 0:42:54.279
<v Speaker 1>shape regulation in its favor to get libra off the

0:42:54.280 --> 0:43:00.680
<v Speaker 1>ground against politicians and existing regulatory structures. So that's going

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:03.200
<v Speaker 1>to be really interesting, and you sort of wonder which

0:43:03.200 --> 0:43:04.759
<v Speaker 1>one of those is going to win out. You know,

0:43:04.800 --> 0:43:06.960
<v Speaker 1>I was going to make another follow up point, but

0:43:07.080 --> 0:43:08.960
<v Speaker 1>I just actually want the last point to be you

0:43:09.000 --> 0:43:11.200
<v Speaker 1>agreeing with me that this is a big deal, so

0:43:11.360 --> 0:43:14.920
<v Speaker 1>we could just wrap it up there. All right. This

0:43:15.040 --> 0:43:18.359
<v Speaker 1>has been another episode of the Odd Thoughts podcast. I'm

0:43:18.400 --> 0:43:21.920
<v Speaker 1>Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at Tracy Alloway.

0:43:22.560 --> 0:43:24.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe. Why isn't thal You could follow me on

0:43:24.760 --> 0:43:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at the Stalwart, and you should follow our guests

0:43:27.960 --> 0:43:33.319
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter Jill Carlson. She's at Underscore Jill Ruth, and

0:43:33.440 --> 0:43:36.840
<v Speaker 1>be sure to follow our producer on Twitter, Laura Carlson.

0:43:37.040 --> 0:43:40.680
<v Speaker 1>She's at Laura M. Carlson. Follow the Bloomberg head of podcast,

0:43:40.719 --> 0:43:44.719
<v Speaker 1>Francesca Levy at Francesca Today, and check out the new

0:43:44.760 --> 0:43:49.480
<v Speaker 1>home of Bloomberg podcast on Twitter at podcasts. Thanks for listening.

0:44:00.080 --> 0:44:07.640
<v Speaker 1>The year e