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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, It's bull season, all right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 3: With the kids jingle belling and everyone telling.

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Speaker 4: You be a good cheer.

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Speaker 3: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 4: What's up, Degenerate Nation. Welcome to the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 4: This is the Weekend Review and Bold Betting Preview, Part three.

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Speaker 4: I'm stuck you with me, as always is Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 4: We will get the touch a little bit on your

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Speaker 4: hogs Thursday night. You're looking forward to that game? Still

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Speaker 4: on as of now, right, not like Isla, Missouri?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, still on as of now.

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Speaker 5: I gotta check the COVID updates because I'm gonna take

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Speaker 5: all my masks and hand sanitizers down and be twenty

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Speaker 5: feet away from other razorback fans. But yeah, I plan

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Speaker 5: on being in attendance and Energy Stadium. So yeah, so

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Speaker 5: far we're good to go on that bowl.

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Speaker 6: Woo pig suy.

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Speaker 4: All right, well, let's get right into the weekend Review,

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Speaker 4: weekend recap. Then we'll get to your voicemails, and then

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Speaker 4: we'll get into seven bowls starting on Tuesday going through Thursday,

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Speaker 4: leading up until the Arkansas game. If you want to

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Speaker 4: share any quick thoughts on that you can, but we'll

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Speaker 4: cover that game when we record on Wednesday, which will

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Speaker 4: be an episode that covers all the weekend bowl games.

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Speaker 4: So we have seven bowl games to get to. But first,

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Speaker 4: do you want to just provide a quick NFL recap?

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Speaker 4: Pretty crazy NFL day, especially for AFC playoff implications. You know,

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Speaker 4: on Saturday night, Miami comes back. It's a miracle win.

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Speaker 4: By the way, that game was like fourteen thirteen with

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Speaker 4: five to go, if you had the under fifteen and

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Speaker 4: a half and it's twenty six twenty five, but Miami wins,

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Speaker 4: keeping their playoff hopes alive.

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Speaker 1: Fits magic.

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Speaker 4: As a Ravens fan in a Ravens Futures ticket holder,

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Speaker 4: that was bad for me, So I do. Going into Sunday,

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Speaker 4: I really needed a Colts loss, and the Colts came

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Speaker 4: out were all over pit. I mean, Pick couldn't even

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Speaker 4: get a first down. The Steelers get a miraculous comeback late.

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Speaker 4: I am a little assisted by the rests Indianapolis on

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Speaker 4: that broadcast up what's seventeen in the second half, Jim Nancy,

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Speaker 4: Tony Romo. We're talking about the Colts is a two

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Speaker 4: seed as of this moment, the Colts are out of

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Speaker 4: the playoffs. The Colts will need help next week. They

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Speaker 4: will need to win. They need the Bills to potentially

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Speaker 4: lose or the Browns. Now. The Browns are playing the

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Speaker 4: Steelers next week. The Steeers clinched in the division. The

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Speaker 4: Browns also just need to win next week, but they

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Speaker 4: should because the Steelers are probably gonna rest their starters.

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Speaker 4: Those two teams might meet again because of the Colts lost.

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Speaker 4: The Ravens control their own destiny, as do the Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: So if Dolphins, Browns, and Ravens all win, those are

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Speaker 4: your three wild card teams in the AFC and the

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Speaker 4: Colts will be left out. Now, even if the Steelers

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Speaker 4: do sit their starters, the brown still could lose, The

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Speaker 4: Dolphins could lose to the Bills. We'll see what the

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Speaker 4: Bills do about their starters, and who knows, the Ravens

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Speaker 4: could lose to the Bengals. Hell, the Ravens lost to

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Speaker 4: the Bengals in Week seventeen at home a few years

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Speaker 4: ago that kept them out of the playoffs. Lots of

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Speaker 4: weird things can happen in Week seventeen, but the Chiefs

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Speaker 4: did clinch the number one overall spot in the AFC.

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Speaker 4: They'll likely or maybe rest starters next week, and then

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Speaker 4: you're gonna have the Steelers, Bills, Titans most likely.

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Speaker 5: I bet the Steelers today and I'm down twenty four

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Speaker 5: to seven, and I can dive through all their advancing analytics.

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Speaker 5: I can't figure out what makes us team so hot

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Speaker 5: and then just all of a sudden so cold. Are

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Speaker 5: they really a fraud? Are they not a fraud? That's

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Speaker 5: for like people on public radio to discuss. But I

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Speaker 5: mean from an advanced the team is like they have

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Speaker 5: flashes of being the best team in the league and

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Speaker 5: then they go ice cold. I can't figure it out.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, their schedule has been very easy, and

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Speaker 4: they were running well with turnovers, and I've had injuries

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Speaker 4: on the defensive side of the ball. Their offense is

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Speaker 4: still broken. Their offensive line is not playing as well.

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Speaker 4: They can't run the ball at all, so they have

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Speaker 4: no balance in their offense. And then on these third

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Speaker 4: and one, fourth and one, they can't pick them up

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Speaker 4: because they can't run the ball. They get no push

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Speaker 4: on the offensive line. Some of their offensive line matters

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Speaker 4: are worse than a fell when it comes to run blocking.

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Speaker 4: What they did in the second half finally, is because

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Speaker 4: their offense now it's completely reliant, or it has been

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Speaker 4: for the most part, relying on short passes. When you

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Speaker 4: get a lot of drops, that's not helpful either. But

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Speaker 4: just regardless, if you're relying on a short passing attack,

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Speaker 4: that's very hard to sustain. Drives all the way up

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Speaker 4: and down the field with no explosiveness, and teams have

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Speaker 4: started to realize this and they're just playing very aggressively secondaries,

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Speaker 4: they're jumping routes, they're playing their safeties up. What the

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Speaker 4: Steelers finally did in the second half is they took

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Speaker 4: some shots down the field. And guess what happens in

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Speaker 4: the NFL when you do that, You get a lot

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Speaker 4: of flags, some phantom, some not, and they actually hit

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Speaker 4: some completions down the field. That's what the Steelers need

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Speaker 4: to do. I don't know if they could find a

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Speaker 4: run game, but you can't just keep relying on short passes.

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Speaker 4: They need to take shots down the field. That I

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Speaker 4: meant many teams out there need to take more shots.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, their offense is still flawed. That's what they're

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Speaker 4: gonna have to do. The defense will be good, but

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Speaker 4: they're gonna have to hit shots down the field, They're

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Speaker 4: gonna have to get some explosiveness, and they have Town

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Speaker 4: on the outside. In the NFC, the NFC East, I mean,

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Speaker 4: it is ugly. You have the Washington football team go

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Speaker 4: out there with Dwayne Hodskins and basically do nothing all

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Speaker 4: day against the Panthers. They lose. With their loss, they

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Speaker 4: keep they kept the Eagles alive to potentially win the division.

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Speaker 4: The Eagles go out there, go up seventeen three or

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Speaker 4: fourteen three, and then lay an egg there. I mean

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Speaker 4: their cornerback to Cette. He had one of the worst

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Speaker 4: performances I've ever seen in my life for a corner.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he's a free undraft free agent. The Eagles

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Speaker 4: secondary was deescimated, but the Cowboys just went bananas. I

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Speaker 4: think Falton threw from ust four hundred yards, Gallup went off.

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Speaker 4: Hurts had some questionable throws there. But that keeps the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys and the Giants alive for the division. So Washington,

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Speaker 4: depending on what Washington does against the dead Philly team

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Speaker 4: next week, if they win, they're in. If they lose,

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Speaker 4: the winner of the Giants or Cowboys game is going

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Speaker 4: to win the division. Insane. Your six and ten Giants

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Speaker 4: could win the division. Elsewhere in the NFC, the Rams

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Speaker 4: potential they lose again to the Seahawks. Seahawks clinched the division.

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Speaker 4: You obviously have the Packers who have clinched the division,

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Speaker 4: the States of Clinton Division. The Bucks are in. What

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Speaker 4: this means now is there's two spots left in the

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Speaker 4: NFC for three teams. You have the Rams, the Cardinals,

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Speaker 4: and the Bears. Bears take care of businesses today in Jacksonville.

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Speaker 4: The Cardinals laying egg on Saturday, the Rams laying egg today.

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Speaker 4: So what's that mean? The Bears now can get in

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Speaker 4: if they beat the Packers. The problem is because Seattle

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Speaker 4: won stick with me, the Packers need to win next

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Speaker 4: week for the one seed, so the Bears will have

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Speaker 4: to play a motivated Packers team. The Rams play the Cardinals.

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Speaker 4: If the Cardinals win, then the Cardinals are in, and

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Speaker 4: then if the Bears lose, the Rams are still in.

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Speaker 4: The Bears the Cardinals can only get in by beating

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Speaker 4: the Rams. If the Cardinals lose, the Rams and the

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Speaker 4: Bears are in. The problem for Bears. The problem for

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Speaker 4: the Bears and Bears fans is that the Rams might

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Speaker 4: have John Wolford as their quarterback next week. Is Jared

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Speaker 4: Goff has a hurt thumb, John Wolfer might be the

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Speaker 4: worst backup in the NFL. I don't know if they

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Speaker 4: can sign someone else this week. I don't know if

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Speaker 4: they can clear COVID protocols.

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Speaker 7: ORF.

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Speaker 4: They'll be able to learn the offense in time. But

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Speaker 4: the backer situation from last year was the funniest I've

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Speaker 4: ever seen. They had that quarterback from Yukon who had

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Speaker 4: like one touchdown and ten picks. Somehow he was the

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Speaker 4: backers backup. They obviously drafted Love now. So that's where

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Speaker 4: the NFC Wildcard will be decided. Just it'll be Week

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Speaker 4: seventeen craziness as always. All right, let's move on to

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Speaker 4: We'll get to the Monday night football preview later in

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Speaker 4: the show. Let's move on to our college recap, and

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Speaker 4: to do that, we'll let y'all drive the bus. So

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Speaker 4: let's just pull up some voicemails. Obviously only a few

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Speaker 4: games each day, so we don't have a loaded voicemail

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Speaker 4: saying I haven't listened to these. I'm hoping that we

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Speaker 4: hear from Triple C Dynasty. Assuming we do, we got

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Speaker 4: three and a half minutes here, let's go.

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Speaker 7: Bad beats, back doors, and miracle covers.

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Speaker 4: However you're feeling, we want to hear from you.

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Speaker 5: You have reached the.

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Speaker 8: Voicemail box of my Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 7: Let's check this week's messages.

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Speaker 2: Hey, Colin, I just have one question for you. It's

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Speaker 2: Ryan and you surese you man, I gotta know what

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Speaker 2: the we're thinking on Marshall for three and a half

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Speaker 2: and then you say five Jared Patterson's outense isn't a

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Speaker 2: problem no matter.

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Speaker 8: Who set out, it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 2: Have you seen the offense the left two week? Did

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Speaker 2: you watch the UAD game? Matter of fact, did you watch.

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Speaker 4: The Rice game?

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Speaker 2: You gotta be shud Are you pulling this out of

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Speaker 2: your is?

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Speaker 6: This is unbelievable.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I just don't understand. Merry Christmas an idiot Caylin. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I've had a couple more beers. It's Christmas, man. I mean,

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Speaker 2: he's still gotta be academy Grandwell's. We're really betting on

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Speaker 2: this kid right now. I mean, this is a joke.

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Speaker 7: Dude.

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Speaker 2: Do you guys put however many hours into you know,

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Speaker 2: capping these games as you do on a weekly basis,

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Speaker 2: and Marshall, is the bet that you come out with.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if you just wanted some

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Speaker 2: action or if you actually looked into the game. I

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Speaker 2: saw your spreadsheet looked real cute. I mean we didn't

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Speaker 2: update it after the opt outs or anything.

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Speaker 4: Give me a break, dude, I'll let you respond it.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I can tell you that I was on

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Speaker 4: Buffalo money line, and that was assuming that Patterson was

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Speaker 4: going to play, Kot's was going to play. Once they weren't,

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Speaker 4: you took some Marshall. I think that it was the

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Speaker 4: right side end. It probably should have covered. I still

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Speaker 4: can't believe Buffalo teased Marshall backers again. I know that

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Speaker 4: they're kicking sucks, but David, they were forty one or four.

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Speaker 4: They have missed an extra point all year, and then

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Speaker 4: they had to end up sweating a drive at the end.

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Speaker 4: But I don't think you had a bad play with Marshall.

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Speaker 4: Once that line wheras and then Patterson was out and

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Speaker 4: kots was out.

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Speaker 5: No, I mean Patterson was out right, but you know

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Speaker 5: the handicap. It took plus three and a half and

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Speaker 5: then I took five again when I you know, caught

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Speaker 5: word that Patterson was going to be out. Could never

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Speaker 5: get it confirmed, but there was a lot of rumors

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Speaker 5: floating around that was going to happen. But hey, when

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Speaker 5: you take a plus five and you give up multiple

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Speaker 5: turnovers and the game ends, you know seven, I'm not

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Speaker 5: I'm not killing myself over this. I mean that game

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Speaker 5: was ten ten going down to the very end of

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Speaker 5: the final drive, and I talked about this on the podcast.

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Speaker 5: Even though that there were opt outs on both sides

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Speaker 5: of the ball, especially the Knox kid running the ball

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Speaker 5: for Marshall, his backups were just as elusive and had

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Speaker 5: as many yards after contact. So I don't think it

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Speaker 5: was a bad bet at all. I mean, it was

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Speaker 5: ten ten till the end, and there was multiple turnovers,

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Speaker 5: got Buffalo to the house. So I'm not going to

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Speaker 5: ever apologize or feel like I'm a dumb fuck for

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Speaker 5: taking a bet losing by a couple points against the

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Speaker 5: spread when the turnover ratio was way against me.

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Speaker 4: So sorry, Yeah, I'll talk shit on you for other

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Speaker 4: bets and myself on some bets, but not well.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we should talk about Grant Wells too, because

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Speaker 1: he's coming back.

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Speaker 5: He was a freshman and I think what people are

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Speaker 5: like thinking, like, did you see them against Rice?

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Speaker 1: Did you see them? Yeah?

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Speaker 5: Well, Grant Wells as a freshman, I mean he's as

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Speaker 5: baby as baby can be. They had a game November

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Speaker 5: fourteenth against Middle Tennessee and wopped him forty two to fourteen,

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Speaker 5: and then they had to sit for three weeks. And

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Speaker 5: if you're a quarterback, a freshman quarterback, and you sit

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Speaker 5: for three weeks. He threw five interceptions against Rice, and

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Speaker 5: then he didn't play again for another thirteen days.

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Speaker 1: And he had a bad game against UAB.

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Speaker 5: But after he went zero for ten against UAB, he

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Speaker 5: finished eight of thirteen. And what happened to Grant Wells yesterday?

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Speaker 5: Or I'm sorry in the bowl game when he came out,

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Speaker 5: he looked great. He looked fine to start off the game.

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Speaker 5: So I really think that extra time off was what

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Speaker 5: affected Grant Wells, especially that five I in t game

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Speaker 5: against Rice.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, he's quarterback.

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Speaker 5: I'll be looking to back in Conference USA play Conference

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Speaker 5: USA teams. It's just I don't know, oh to six

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Speaker 5: on the ball season, terrible hard.

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Speaker 4: But guess who covered meet me?

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Speaker 2: You know, you guys have been saying all and yearlong

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Speaker 2: that there's not a coach in college football that just

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Speaker 2: takes me anymore. Well, I guess Klinie Kataki is the

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Speaker 2: only coaches have taken me.

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Speaker 9: You know, it's unbelievable that I can get this riled

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Speaker 9: up on a Tuesday night.

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Speaker 7: Well, I guess that's just the beauty of ball season.

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Speaker 9: But UCS, what's stuff like Josh Hipel, are you kidding me?

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Speaker 9: You're down thirty five points or whenever it is in

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Speaker 9: the first half? Got you got the ball down at

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Speaker 9: the inside the BYU twenty and you kick a field goal?

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Speaker 9: You kick a field goal when you know your defense

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Speaker 9: can't stop anybody. I cannot believe some of these kids

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Speaker 9: on UCS on defense have got scholarships to play. It's

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Speaker 9: like ridiculous, Oh my god, what a pathetic effort. And

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Speaker 9: here I am, Mitchell, where's the clown noise? Because I'm

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Speaker 9: a farking diot who bets the money on too On real.

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Speaker 4: I can't get every play into the app if I

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Speaker 4: sometimes if I'm doing something and I bet something and

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Speaker 4: I'm driving or something, and then if the line moves,

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Speaker 4: I don't want to put it in the app. I'll

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Speaker 4: play that I had that wasn't in the app. I

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Speaker 4: had over seventy two and it closed eighty and it

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Speaker 4: landed seventy two because UCF went for two. And I

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Speaker 4: actually was like, I fine, look they were going to

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Speaker 4: try to cut it to twenty four. Eye roll, and

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Speaker 4: then BYU goes down the field and then UCF calls

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Speaker 4: a time out for some reason, and then BYU decides

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Speaker 4: during the time out they're going to take knees. I

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Speaker 4: feel so bad that anyone have the over there. The

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Speaker 4: thing is that over that total opened at sixty seven.

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Speaker 4: You won't talk about a bad opener closed eighty. So

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Speaker 4: I ended up pushing. But yeah, I'm surprised that you

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Speaker 4: credit to BYU. I'm surprised u CF couldn't do more

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Speaker 4: on offense.

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Speaker 1: Credit to BYU.

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Speaker 5: But more importantly, let's put disc credit on Josh Hipel.

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Speaker 5: And by the way, just as a side note, the

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Speaker 5: reason why we love Coastal Carolina is because they'll play

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Speaker 5: BYU on the fly. A team like UCF was offered

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Speaker 5: a two point one with Florida and they turned it down.

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Speaker 5: That's why we're always gonna love Coastal Carolina. If you

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Speaker 5: look at Central Florida, in this game zero percent and

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Speaker 5: explosive drives.

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Speaker 1: Now, the national average is like twelve percent.

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Speaker 5: So if you have, like you know, ten or eleven possessions,

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Speaker 5: you should have two explosive drives and explosive drives.

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Speaker 1: Where you average more than ten yards per play the

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Speaker 1: entire drive.

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Speaker 5: UCF had zero zero. BYU, on the other hand, forty

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Speaker 5: one percent explosive drives. They averaged ten yards per play

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Speaker 5: in standard downs. You're never in passing downs because you

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Speaker 5: averaged ten yards per play in standard downs. BYU ran

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Speaker 5: through this defense like there was tomorrow. Josh Hypel's decision

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Speaker 5: to kick a field goal and not try to get

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Speaker 5: more points on I think Hypeol really needs to be

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Speaker 5: on the watch list for the hot seat next year.

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Speaker 5: I haven't had a chance to see Central Florida's schedule

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Speaker 5: going in next year, knowing that they've already dodged University

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Speaker 5: of Florida, but uh, this is not going in the

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Speaker 5: right direction whatsoever. They backed out of a planting a

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Speaker 5: two for one deal with the University of Florida. You

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Speaker 5: could have had the Gators come to your home turf

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Speaker 5: and you.

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Speaker 1: Turned it down.

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Speaker 5: The decision by Hypol to kick a field goal asinine,

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Speaker 5: and I think they're a team that we were gonna

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Speaker 5: want to fade next year. Hypeel might not be the

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Speaker 5: guy for this job.

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Speaker 7: All right, Moving on, Well, I just snuck away from

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Speaker 7: the family Christmas and Zucky, thank you for that Georgia

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Speaker 7: State under But boys, mebe maybe maybe maybe uh.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, mebe. I was really proud of our road runners.

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Speaker 4: Bad call in Georgia State under a frustrating way to

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Speaker 4: lose it at the end. But you tell, though, this

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Speaker 4: is just going to happen in twenty twenty with COVID

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Speaker 4: uh Utsa ended up having a bunch of guys out

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Speaker 4: and one of the things that you see where that

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Speaker 4: there was a lot of depth guys their special team,

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Speaker 4: which are normally really good, like their returners, their blockers

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Speaker 4: on the on this it was just really bad. But

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Speaker 4: they forced to fumble that kind of swung momentum in

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Speaker 4: the second half. And credit Frank Harris for some of

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Speaker 4: the throws he made, and credit Louisiana and Billy Napier

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Speaker 4: for taking knees at the end and making.

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Speaker 5: Sure that meat meat covered every number after we got

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Speaker 5: our second half over, of course, right, I mean, I'm

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Speaker 5: sure if we would.

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Speaker 1: Have got that score, we'd have been screaming out of them.

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Speaker 5: But thank you Billy Napier for taking knees there, for

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Speaker 5: letting all the masses of meet meat folks.

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Speaker 1: I'm glad we got that cover.

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Speaker 5: Too bad we couldn't get the outright win for our

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Speaker 5: guys Sincere McCormick and Frank Harris were putting on a

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Speaker 5: show all day. Great job by Jeff Trailer, he wasn't

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Speaker 5: there out due to COVID. As a head coach. They

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Speaker 5: had a fantastic season. And you know what my Barry

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Speaker 5: Lenny Junior as the interim coach. Now, if you guys

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Speaker 5: don't know, he's an Arkansas boy. His dad is the

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Speaker 5: high school coach of where I graduated and been bill Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: But he was two and zho against the spread.

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Speaker 5: As he head coach at Arkansas after Chad Morris got fired.

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Speaker 5: Now you can make Barry Lenny Junior three and zero

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Speaker 5: in his lifetime against the spread as an interim head coach.

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Speaker 1: But Trailer will be back next year.

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Speaker 5: USA is on the right track and I can't wait

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Speaker 5: to see what kind of odds we get on them

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Speaker 5: next year for conference.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's close it up here with hopefully some

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Speaker 4: Triple C nation.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, you know what it is, Caca shawnsond they come

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Speaker 6: to a then fantastic season, fantastic finish, entertaining for his boys,

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Speaker 6: entertaining for the fans. A lot of lopsided calls. But

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Speaker 6: you know what, so sow, it is the best season

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Speaker 6: we can possibly have the Triple C dynasty. Silver rolls

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Speaker 6: on and the next season maybe he showed them what

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Speaker 6: it was all about. Roll Shawns.

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Speaker 8: I'm calling in with the most ever disappointed. You know,

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Speaker 8: you want to talk about a Vandwagon fan who was

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Speaker 8: full on this train for a while.

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Speaker 6: You're looking right at him. I even went out.

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Speaker 8: I bought the shirt, big Triple C Nation, big Triple

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Speaker 8: C fan button. Everybody's out Coastal Carolina. My heart is broken,

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Speaker 8: and I really do feel bad. It's a true native Conway,

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Speaker 8: South Carolina. But I will continue to wear this shirt

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Speaker 8: with pride. I will continue for the Triple C Nation

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Speaker 8: at the Triple CE Dynasty. I believe in it as

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Speaker 8: always real chance. Baby.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that was the game of the weekend. I still

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Speaker 4: I thought I was gonna middle it. I had Coastal

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Speaker 4: moneyline and to close out some parlays and I had

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Speaker 4: Liberty plus seven, and Liberty can't take a knee correctly.

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Speaker 4: I mean, just take a knee. They hand it off instead,

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Speaker 4: and then the guy doesn't know if he's going or

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Speaker 4: out and the offensileven pushes him. If you're going around

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Speaker 4: the clock, you don't have to hand it off. He

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Speaker 4: fubbles it, Coastal gets it. We go to overtime and

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Speaker 4: Coastal gets a fueld goal blocked in overtime, and Liberty

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Speaker 4: pulls out a thriller. Thoughts on that game.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, well, first off, Coastal, that's not going away. Jamie

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Speaker 5: Chadwell is there next year. Grayson McCall is coming back,

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Speaker 5: highly likely, should be.

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Speaker 1: Back next year.

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Speaker 5: But it's got to be the greatest duo tandem on

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Speaker 5: an offensive field. If there's something we can investigate in

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Speaker 5: the off season with Coastal Caroline, it's that they can

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Speaker 5: shore up some of their rush defense. I knew at

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Speaker 5: some point it was going to bite them, and I

402
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Speaker 5: thought the Malik Willis zone read RPOs would be a

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Speaker 5: big problem, and it was.

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Speaker 1: I was sad. I was with you too.

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Speaker 5: I thought Coastal was going to come back and get

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Speaker 5: the win outright, and I was hedging my liberty plus seven.

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Speaker 5: But I'm telling you that that game was exciting, and

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Speaker 5: I am excited for Coastal and the Sun Belt. I

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Speaker 5: think it all these players back next year. If a

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Speaker 5: book puts out a really bad number sometime in March

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Speaker 5: April May, you guys would be the first ones to

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Speaker 5: know about it on the Action app.

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Speaker 10: Hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I want

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Speaker 10: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast network.

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Speaker 10: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 4: You were locked on of the Dallas Matters. Welcome everybody

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Speaker 4: to the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's Go.

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Speaker 10: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

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00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,040
Speaker 10: know your team better than anyone and give you the

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Speaker 10: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

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Speaker 10: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

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Speaker 4: All right, one last cuckale for twenty twenty. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's get to some of the balls this week, which

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Speaker 4: is why I know a lot of you are here.

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Speaker 4: We will start on Tuesday, five thirty Eastern on ESPN

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Speaker 4: at Camping World Stadium. In Orlando, Florida, we have Oklahoma

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Speaker 4: State against Miami. This is the only bowl of two

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Speaker 4: ranked teams outside of the nearest six bowls and obviously

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Speaker 4: the College Football Playoff. This is an interesting game for me,

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Speaker 4: like trying to cap motivation, which I think does matter

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Speaker 4: more so with these teams, the Power five teams, this

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Speaker 4: particular matchup, It's like, do either of these teams want

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Speaker 4: to be there and the other doesn't. In that case,

435
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 4: I think that might end up the siding the game

436
00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 4: if they both want to show up or they both

437
00:20:57,800 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 4: don't show up. We can look at some of the matchups,

438
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:01,639
Speaker 4: but I do want to focus on the motivation. The

439
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,879
Speaker 4: first thing I'll say, which is crazy is Miami has

440
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,440
Speaker 4: won one bowl game since two thousand and six. They're

441
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 4: one and nine in bowls. I mean crazy. Now. One

442
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,119
Speaker 4: of the things if you look at from an opt

443
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 4: out perspective, I do think that there's positive sides for Miami.

444
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:22,239
Speaker 4: Although Phillips and Roche their two best edge rushers. By

445
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 4: the way, jam Phillips, who transfer from UCLA, was maybe

446
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 4: a five star bust. It went bokers this year and

447
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 4: made himself a ton of money. So both their top

448
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,360
Speaker 4: edge rushers are out, and that is to me, it's

449
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 4: such a huge cap to this game because Oklahoma States

450
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:40,360
Speaker 4: offense Jue Albert has opted out, you know, a couple

451
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 4: of weeks back, just but in general, their offense has

452
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 4: not been the same and it's because their offensive line

453
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 4: has been a mess all year, different rotations week to week.

454
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 4: And they even have Jenkins their best offensive line and

455
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:55,680
Speaker 4: he opted out about a month ago. So Ken Miami,

456
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 4: you know, with Phillips and Roche, I thought Miami was

457
00:21:57,960 --> 00:21:59,399
Speaker 4: gonna be in the backfield all day and they were

458
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 4: gonna be able to take advantage of this Oklahoma State

459
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,400
Speaker 4: offensive line. Now you're gonna have a bunch of backups.

460
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 4: You have a Miami team that just got embarrassed the

461
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 4: last time Autio almost eight hundred yards offense to UNC.

462
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 4: The Oklahoma State offense is nowhere close to UNC this year.

463
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 4: It's because that offensive line. Can Miami take advantage? I

464
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 4: do like that you're not hearing about a lot of

465
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 4: other opt outs on Miami. Derick King said he's coming

466
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 4: back positive signs. Does his team have enough pride to

467
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 4: kind of show up after what we saw last year

468
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 4: when they got shut out in an embarrassing effort against

469
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 4: Louisiana Tech in their bowl. That's the question for me

470
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 4: at bet MGM. Right now, the Oklahoma State is two

471
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 4: and a half point favorite over Under fifty eight and

472
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 4: a half. I can tell you on the surface, I

473
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 4: made this Miami a slight favorite. Now I have to

474
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 4: go in and adjust for opt outs. I'm waiting as

475
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 4: long as possible, So who knows. I mean, you even

476
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 4: had Florida Atlantic as all their best players decide to

477
00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 4: opt out an hour before kick. But I do think

478
00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 4: that with two defts of that, it's a big loss

479
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:03,400
Speaker 4: for Miami. How do you see this game playing out?

480
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 9: Yeah?

481
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,199
Speaker 5: This is This one was a tough one for me

482
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 5: because there are certain things within the team for Miami

483
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 5: that say take them. There's a lot of history that

484
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 5: says don't take them. Miami's on a three bowl game

485
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 5: losing streak. Hurricanes have covered just two of the past

486
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 5: twelve bowl games. That would be the twenty sixteen West

487
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 5: Virginia game in the two thousand and eight col game.

488
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 5: And I mean, Manny Diaz is a part of that.

489
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 5: Just completely unprepared. In these bowl games, you go to

490
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,680
Speaker 5: the other side of Gundy and Oklahoma State's covered four

491
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,120
Speaker 5: straight bowl games, seven of the last ten bowl games

492
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 5: they've covered in the over the last decades in twenty ten,

493
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 5: and you know, I kind of project this game Miami

494
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,159
Speaker 5: minus two. So is the Oklahoma State number inflated. We

495
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,360
Speaker 5: know that Oklahoma State is without Chewba Hubbard have been

496
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 5: for a while. Their offensive tackle Tevin Jenkins won't be there.

497
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 5: Tylan Wallace I believe was upgraded to probable today, so

498
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 5: that's good news. But you know, Stuck mentioned Miami's opt

499
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:58,119
Speaker 5: outs of Phillips and roche Those defensive ends were a

500
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:02,640
Speaker 5: monster part of this defense. When I say monster, they

501
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 5: led the team in quarterback hurries by far. They combined

502
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 5: for fifty four quarterback hurries on the team and the

503
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 5: next player on the list was at eleven. They're going

504
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 5: to start two red shirt freshmen on defensive ends, and

505
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 5: that plays into the hands of Oklahoma State because if

506
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 5: you look at what Oklahoma State does offensively, they stretch

507
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,919
Speaker 5: the field, They go sideline to sideline, They like to

508
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 5: run a lot of crossing routes. They like to get

509
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 5: people in the backfield moving. So you know, I think

510
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 5: what's going on is Miami's not going to be able

511
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 5: to expose the offensive line for Oklahoma State, and those

512
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 5: defensive ends missing is a really big loss, bigger than

513
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 5: just reading, oh hey, there's an opt out. Both defenses

514
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 5: are heavy and defensive havoc. Oklahoma State their strength to

515
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 5: schedule was you know, thirty second. They're much better controlling

516
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 5: the trench and in defending the pass. If you look

517
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 5: at them, their lineyards were eighteenth, their pass coverage was

518
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 5: tenth and you know, Oklahoma State, I just think that

519
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 5: they have a huge advantage without those defensive ends on

520
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 5: the side to contain Spencer Sanders or or anything else

521
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 5: that's going to happen offensively. Deerik King coming back is

522
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 5: a huge confidence boost. That's a really big thing for Miami.

523
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 5: You know, the offensive line has got to get better

524
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 5: for him next year. This year they were ninety eighth

525
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 5: and then sacarate on the offensive line. Deerrak King was

526
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 5: sacked twenty six times. But I think they're going to

527
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,120
Speaker 5: find success here. And the reason is because I went

528
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 5: back to see some of Oklahoma State's games.

529
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 1: When did they face a dual threat quarterback?

530
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 5: A few weeks ago they just played they played Max

531
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 5: Dugan at TCU two hundred and sixty five yards a

532
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 5: throwing TD one hundred and four on the ground, two tds,

533
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 5: horn frogs beat the Pokes that Oklahoma State defense had

534
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 5: problems with a dual threat quarterback all day.

535
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:42,160
Speaker 1: I want Miami. I prefer three.

536
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 5: I think that I have them projected to win the

537
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 5: game of minus two. I think both offenses are going

538
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,640
Speaker 5: to score a lot. I went win the defensive ends

539
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 5: for Miami opted out of this game. That was only

540
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 5: good for Oklahoma State's offense. So as much as I

541
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 5: project this game at fifty seven and a half, it's

542
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,359
Speaker 5: sitting at fifty eight, I think it's going to go

543
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 5: over becase because Oklahoma State's not gonna have enough pressure.

544
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 5: They're gonna stretch the field, and Deer King is going

545
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,439
Speaker 5: to play dual threat role and do what Max Duggan

546
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 5: did to the Pokes and put up you know, a

547
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 5: lot of yards, a lot of points, and a lot

548
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 5: of explosive plays. So I might wait to see if

549
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 5: I can get this to drop to maybe a key

550
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 5: of fifty seven. I want to take an over here

551
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 5: and I want to back Miami. The Miami might come live.

552
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 5: The fifty seven over will probably come pregame.

553
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:27,159
Speaker 4: It's very difficult for me to quantify how much of

554
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,919
Speaker 4: the loss they are that cluster loss at defensive end,

555
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,199
Speaker 4: it just would have been such a huge impact that

556
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 4: if you look, I had to do give credit to

557
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 4: Oklahoma States defense as well. That's been the strength of

558
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,640
Speaker 4: their team all year by some metrics, been a top ten,

559
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 4: top fifteen unit. And if you look at the advance

560
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 4: that's her. Both defensive fronts have the advantage. But now

561
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 4: Miami you're taking away both their two best edge rushers. Still,

562
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:53,120
Speaker 4: I can't envision myself moving this line at three four

563
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 4: five points because of the defensive ends being out. So

564
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 4: I agree with you. The play here for me is

565
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 4: I'm waiting on Miami three.

566
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 7: I wanted to be the one to pass along this information.

567
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,719
Speaker 6: Will win, We'll get it done, all right.

568
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 4: Let's move to Tuesday night after Miami, Oklahoma State and

569
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,199
Speaker 4: the Cheese at Bowl. Man, we've had some remember that

570
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 4: TCU cheese the Bowl was that TCU tcudah, Yeah, it

571
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 4: was like three nothing. The Valero Alibo Bowl nine pm

572
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 4: Eastern ESPN and the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas between Texas

573
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 4: and Colorado at BETMGM Texas is a nine point favorite

574
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 4: over under sixty two and a half. I can tell

575
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 4: you with this, and I'm gonna have to do a

576
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 4: final adjustment on Texas if you follow our power ratings

577
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 4: and projections on the Action network app Adactionnework dot Com.

578
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 4: I can tell you first with Colorado. Look, they had

579
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 4: a pretty good year, right and especially for a first

580
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 4: time coach in a COVID year, you know, but they

581
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 4: beat UCLA forty eight, forty two. They beat Stanford thirty five,

582
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 4: thirty two, They beat your San Diego State offense twenty

583
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,919
Speaker 4: to ten. They beat Arizona with a you know, an

584
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 4: Arizona's quarterback on her, and then they got drilled by Utah.

585
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 4: So it's like, I don't know how great of a

586
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 4: sample we really do have on Colorado, and their defense

587
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 4: did look questionable at times. But what this comes down

588
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 4: to to me, and this is the quinn Essential Bowl

589
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 4: motivation game. I mean, I guess you could say that

590
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,160
Speaker 4: it's Sam Ellinger's last game. Potentially you could come back.

591
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 4: This year doesn't count, but this Texas team had high hopes.

592
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 4: There were people that were talking about going to the

593
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 4: College Football Playoff Big twelve Championship. You know, now you're

594
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 4: playing in the Alima Bowle against Colorado. Not sure if

595
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 4: they show up. First time coach for Colorado, I'm sure

596
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 4: this game probably means a lot of them playing Texas,

597
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 4: recruiting Texas. It's hard for me to see Texas really

598
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 4: caring about this game, especially once you hear about the

599
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 4: opt outs. Not a great sign. A lot of rumors

600
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 4: going around people, kids aren't happy. Uh So, why don't

601
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 4: you start there with the Texas optouts and let me

602
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 4: know how you see this game plan out?

603
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, well, the Action Network we created a landing page

604
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 5: for your opt outs for each Bowl game, and I

605
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 5: just don't think we have enough space for what's going

606
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 5: on with Texas. So Textas gonna be without Joseph aside

607
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 5: to Kwon Graham, Chris Brown, Caden Sterns, Caonta Ingram, that

608
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 5: was all on defense, County Ingram, wide receiver Brandon Eagles

609
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:31,280
Speaker 5: on offense.

610
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 1: Senior center Derek kurs stet Ter injured at k State.

611
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 5: He won't be in this game. Then the announcement came

612
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 5: from what I read I want.

613
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 1: To see two days ago.

614
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 5: COVID is going through the team pretty heavy and those announcements.

615
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 5: Those players that are going to be out will not

616
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 5: be announced until the morning of the game. That I

617
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 5: haven't even named everybody, Like, there's three defensive players that

618
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 5: could also miss with injury. Bj Foster, Jalen Green, Jadea Barron.

619
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 5: You know, it's it's ground zero for Longhorns on the

620
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 5: defense side of the ball, and.

621
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: We don't even know who the COVID sitouts are going

622
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 1: to be.

623
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 5: So, you know, seeing all that, I thought to myself, well,

624
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 5: you got to play Colorado immediately, because once more of

625
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 5: this news comes out and it becomes more mainstreaming people

626
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 5: pay attention to this ball, it's got to come down

627
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 5: even farther. But I can't even get over like Joseph

628
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,920
Speaker 5: Asai missing on defense is the biggest name out there.

629
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 1: He's the one that creates everything.

630
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 5: When you see a havoc number attached to Texas, when

631
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 5: you see lineyards attached to Texas, that all comes from

632
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 5: Joseph Asai.

633
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: So you know, when I look.

634
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 5: At Tom Herman when he's favored by seven and a

635
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 5: half or more and his career as a coach seven

636
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,239
Speaker 5: to twelve and one against the spread, he is not

637
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 5: a very good coach.

638
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 1: When he's favored by this much. And you know, let's

639
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: take a look at the.

640
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 5: Last two bowl games for Texas unmotivated teams. Utah comes

641
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 5: off a PAC twelve championship game loss with opt outs

642
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 5: on the team. Texas wins Raw Raw Herman twenty eighteen.

643
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 5: Georgia tons of opt out did win the SEC Championship,

644
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,360
Speaker 5: didn't make it into the College Football Playoff Raw ra

645
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 5: Herman wins, and Bevo's trying to chase Uga down the field.

646
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 5: So and if you look at you know, you flip

647
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 5: the script and you look at Colorado with their new

648
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 5: head coach. They haven't won a bowl game since two

649
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 5: thousand and four against UTEP. The Buffaloes are extremely excited

650
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 5: to be in this bowl game. Only three players on

651
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 5: this roster have ever played in a bowl. So, you know,

652
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 5: Noyer and his stable of backs, I think they're going

653
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 5: to be able to take advantage of Texas's defensive ends.

654
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 5: Whoever it's going to be. I don't know where they're

655
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 5: going to grab these people from. The defensive depth is

656
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 5: a real problem for Texas. I think it may take

657
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 5: Elliger now that you know they're his top wide receiver.

658
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 5: Brendon Eagles is out. It may take Elliger a quarter

659
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 5: or two before he clicks with his new running backs,

660
00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 5: the wide receivers. I think Colorado's the bet, and I

661
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 5: might throw a Colorado money line first half in there

662
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 5: for fun because there's more news to come from Texas

663
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 5: and it's none.

664
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: None of it's positive.

665
00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 11: We are not in a point in our program where

666
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 11: we can not play our bets and expect to win.

667
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 11: It's not gonna happen.

668
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 4: I just took some Colorado lots up to ten. It's bad,

669
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 4: and then I questions about the motivation is on top

670
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 4: of that, Whereas I'm pretty confident that Colorado will care here.

671
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 4: So I still there's a lot of unknowns to me

672
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 4: about Colorado based on like a small PAC twelve schedule.

673
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 4: But this line should come down, I mean Texas, and

674
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:21,959
Speaker 4: I'm not sure Texas cares or shows up.

675
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 5: And we've said that before, like we had questions about

676
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 5: Colorado's validity and we didn't think that that was real.

677
00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:29,480
Speaker 5: But I read some sort of stat I don't know

678
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 5: if you saw this stuck. Its like if you just

679
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 5: chase steam and bowls. So far, it's like thirteen and

680
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 5: two against the spread. Some crazy number like that, So

681
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 5: I mean, there don't fade. Obviously, the theme of the

682
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 5: bulls a lot of it.

683
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:44,440
Speaker 4: It's also inside like people get info before it gets released, right,

684
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 4: you know, the line moves before it gets announced, and

685
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,080
Speaker 4: then there's late announcements, and then the line has already

686
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 4: moved when players being out, which is why sometimes this

687
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 4: Bull season, if there is a bunch of late movement

688
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 4: and it puts a team in range, like you know,

689
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 4: an hour or two before care or a day, I'm like,

690
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 4: I'm hesitant. I'm like, I'm not going to buy it yet,

691
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 4: even though I like this team, because there could be

692
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 4: news I don't know about. That's just some of the

693
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 4: shit you have to deal with in twenty twenty. Yep,

694
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 4: all right, let's move on. Yeah, I agree, it's it's

695
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 4: Colorado or nothing there, and that line should come down

696
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 4: as more news comes out, and make sure you do

697
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 4: check out that landing page on Action network dot com.

698
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 11: Well, let me back up. That's a really upset and

699
00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 11: dejected locker room. I mean, we had guys in tiers.

700
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 11: That means we're headed in the right direction.

701
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:32,800
Speaker 4: All let's move to December thirtieth, and we have two Bowls,

702
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 4: starting with the Duke's Male Bowl at Bank of America

703
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:40,760
Speaker 4: Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina, noon Eastern on ESPN. Wake

704
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 4: Forest versus wisconsint Wisconsin at VENMGI has a seven point

705
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 4: favorite over under fifty one and a half. I mean,

706
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 4: Wake Forest is a fraud. I've been screaming all year.

707
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,760
Speaker 4: They've also had a couple key opt outs. This team

708
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 4: has benefited from some of the most extreme turnover luck

709
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 4: I've seen years. You know, some of that kind of

710
00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 4: some of that imminent regression happened against Louisville. A decimated

711
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 4: Louisville team beat them forty five to twenty one in

712
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:14,240
Speaker 4: wake Forest's finale regular season finale, which was I believe

713
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,239
Speaker 4: on December twelfth. So wake Forest catching seven here. The

714
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:19,880
Speaker 4: problem is, if you want to fade wake which I

715
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 4: was looking to do, is you have to lay seven

716
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 4: with Wisconsin. That's not necessarily the most appetizing thing I've

717
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,640
Speaker 4: ever seen. We saw them lay eleven and a half

718
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 4: against Minnesota and need a field goal overtime to win

719
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 4: that game. I mean, Graham Mertz has looked so bad.

720
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:41,919
Speaker 4: The defense is really good, it projects out really good.

721
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 4: All their underlying metrics are really good, but can you

722
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,439
Speaker 4: really lay seven with Graham Mertz in that offense? That's

723
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 4: ultimately the question. What do you see here in the

724
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,359
Speaker 4: Duke's Mail Bowl between wake Forest and Wisconsin.

725
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 5: And not to mention that wake Forest's top twenty five

726
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 5: in pass coverage per PFF, so Graham Mertz doesn't get

727
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 5: a free pass in the bowl game. And yeah, I

728
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,400
Speaker 5: thought the same thing you did when I saw Wisconsin

729
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 5: minus seven, as this team just continues to burn me

730
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 5: on these spreads and they the problem is they don't

731
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 5: have any juice, and I think that might be the

732
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:13,719
Speaker 5: problem on both sides of the ball. So we'll start

733
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 5: with wake Wake is out there. Running back Kenneth Walker,

734
00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 5: defensive end Carlos Bashim is out both a pretty big losses.

735
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,319
Speaker 5: Even you know, this isn't really home field advantage, but

736
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,399
Speaker 5: it's really in only an hour and fifteen minute bus

737
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 5: ride for the Deeks to get down there. But the

738
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 5: Wisconsin depth chart is going to include, according to Paul Chris,

739
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:34,880
Speaker 5: running back Jalen Berger, left tackle Cole Van Lannon, wide

740
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 5: receiver Danny Davis, Kendrick Pryor. All these players missed the

741
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 5: Minnesota non cover, which would have helped in the handicap there.

742
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 5: The Big Ten changed the COVID setout rules. I think

743
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 5: it went from twenty one to seventeen days. So these

744
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 5: players are going to be eligible to play in this game.

745
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 5: And you know, Wake was not very good against the run.

746
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 5: They were one hundred and tenth in tackling, They were

747
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 5: ninety third in defensive rushing success rate, one hundred and

748
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,759
Speaker 5: fifteenth in defensive power success. They can't stop anything in

749
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 5: the holes. So Jalen Berger, who we've been expecting to

750
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 5: get a bigger workload for Wisconsin because he is elusive

751
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 5: and can't avoid tackles, he may have a big game

752
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 5: if he gets more handoffs and there's no Carlos Basham

753
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 5: there to play defensive end and just wreck Wisconsin. So

754
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 5: that is a plus for Wisconsin here. But Kenneth Walker,

755
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 5: you know, he was more explosive than his backup Christian

756
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 5: bal Smith. I would say, backup, they kind of you know,

757
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 5: had both that time. If you look their yards after Kerry,

758
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,920
Speaker 5: I mean, Kenneth Walker had nine more avoided tackles with

759
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 5: two less attempts than bial Smith. So I don't really

760
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 5: think Kenneth Walker sitting out is you know that big

761
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,319
Speaker 5: of a you know that big of a deal. I

762
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,239
Speaker 5: just think that Wake Force doesn't have the explosiveness that

763
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 5: they had before, and Wisconsin hasn't had it all season.

764
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 5: So you look at the Wisconsin defense, they have played

765
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 5: well top ten in defensive line yards. Wake runs the

766
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,880
Speaker 5: ball fifty seven percent of the time. That's their offense,

767
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 5: it's all our po you know, Wisconsin is fourth in

768
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 5: defensive finishing drives. A reasonably why I like the under

769
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 5: in this game, it's because of this key stat. Wisconsin

770
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 5: is stale versus speed racer.

771
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 1: By the way, Yeah they are interesting.

772
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, Wisconsin is one hundred and twenty second and seconds

773
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 5: per play, but their defense is fourth in the nation

774
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 5: and defensive finishing drive So if Wake's going to cross

775
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 5: that forty, they're gonna have a hell of a time

776
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:19,840
Speaker 5: getting some points.

777
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 1: Up on the board.

778
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 5: But if you look on the offensive side of the

779
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 5: ball for Wisconsin, they're one hundred and twenty second and

780
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 5: offensive finishing drives. So really I see a problem getting

781
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,920
Speaker 5: points on the board. Maybe there's field goals, but I

782
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:35,719
Speaker 5: like the under fifty two here. You know, and like

783
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 5: I said, to start everything off, Mertz is going against

784
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 5: a top twenty five pass coverage unit. Both of these

785
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 5: offenses lack explosiveness. Wisconsin's had four straight non covers and

786
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:49,959
Speaker 5: four straight unders, and I think that's the recipe here.

787
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 4: By by the way, welve right up for all these games,

788
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 4: so make sure that you check them out on Action work.

789
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 4: Understand that I lean Wisconsin, but I just don't know

790
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,719
Speaker 4: if I could bring myself to laying it. This Wait

791
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 4: team is just not good. I mean just across the board.

792
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:06,279
Speaker 4: Their defense is terrible. Harman commit some explosive plays, but

793
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 4: did they're gonna get sacked a ton by Wisconsin? I

794
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 4: feel like, and it's just ben they benefited from so

795
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:18,320
Speaker 4: much turnover lock and that is it's the regression monster

796
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 4: looms there.

797
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,200
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814
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:14,880
Speaker 12: And now back to the show.

815
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 4: All right, let's move out of Wednesday night and we

816
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 4: have the Goodyear Cotton Bowl at AT and T Stadium,

817
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 4: Jerry World in Arlington, Texas, eight pm Eastern on ESPN.

818
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:31,840
Speaker 4: We got a good one here, Oklahoma against Florida, Florida

819
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 4: three at at MGM, a three point favorite over under

820
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 4: seventy one and a half. We got a high one here.

821
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 4: I could tell you that Oklahoma's star cornerback has opted out.

822
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:45,839
Speaker 4: He's made I think up like the game winning play

823
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,479
Speaker 4: in the Big Twelve Championship like each of the past

824
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 4: three years. Pretty wild, it does. And you know they

825
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,440
Speaker 4: had like Pledguere they're running back, and Morde Kayler quarterback

826
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 4: also opted out. But it looks like everyone else is

827
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 4: gonna play it like even Creed Humphrey's gonna be like

828
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 4: a top ten pick at center. They have some first

829
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 4: round twent overplace. Looks like everyone in Oklahoma's going to

830
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 4: play with Florida. Kyle Pitts is out. That's enormous, just

831
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,479
Speaker 4: an enormous loss. Obviously one of the best receivers in

832
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 4: the country, even though he's a tight end. And Kyle

833
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 4: trask As announced he is going to play, but maybe

834
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 4: he will decide to sit out. There's still maybe a

835
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 4: slight chance that happens. And then Dan mohen Is hinted

836
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,840
Speaker 4: that there's a chance we could see a few more

837
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 4: and there's been a couple defensive backs that have opted

838
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:33,760
Speaker 4: out for Florida. So I from an opt out perspective

839
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:35,879
Speaker 4: and a care perspective, I think Oklahoma is in better

840
00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:37,879
Speaker 4: shape here. And if you look at where these two

841
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:40,879
Speaker 4: teams have gone, both these teams had high expectations national

842
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,399
Speaker 4: championship coming into the year. But if you've looked where

843
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 4: I think these teams are just headed in opposite directions.

844
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 4: Florida started out really well, they still had hope for

845
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 4: the College Football playoff, and then, you know, then they

846
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:54,919
Speaker 4: dropped that game to LSU. You know, then they lose

847
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 4: that game to Bama. And meanwhile, Oklahoma, you know, they

848
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 4: lost Kansas State earlier, they lost to Iowa State. They

849
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 4: started off one and two, and since then they've really

850
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 4: come on. Spencer Rattler, I think has really developed. I mean,

851
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 4: his numbers are awesome, especially under pressure, but where he's

852
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 4: really improved is he's limiting his turnovers and that's what

853
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,359
Speaker 4: really killed them early in the year. Late he would

854
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,800
Speaker 4: throw key picks and he's getting smarter about his throws. Also,

855
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 4: Oklahoma has you know, Stevenson back at running back. Now

856
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 4: they have men's at receiver. You know, Hayes went back

857
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:30,640
Speaker 4: of receives, so they're dead. They're full complement of weapons

858
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,439
Speaker 4: now who are all going to play. Their defense has

859
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:38,719
Speaker 4: been unbelievably good compared to Oklahoma standards, and it's been

860
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 4: really good once they kind of got all of their

861
00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 4: pieces back kind of after the Texas game. There's some

862
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 4: talent on the defense. They really bring it. It's an

863
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 4: aggressive defense under Alex Gritch, who's just he's wants to

864
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 4: force turnovers and he wants to bring pressure, and they're

865
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:57,440
Speaker 4: very good at doing that. They're a little susceptible to

866
00:41:57,520 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 4: explosive runs that aggressive defense. But you know, when I

867
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:05,000
Speaker 4: look at this Florida team, that's that's not this Florida

868
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:06,719
Speaker 4: team at all. And I'm sure you're gonna point that

869
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 4: out if you look at Collins sharp at Oklahoma's one

870
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,800
Speaker 4: hundred and nineteenth and rush explosiveness on defense Florida offense

871
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 4: one hundred and tenth. So this Oklahoma defense matches up

872
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 4: really well. I think with the Florida offense, well, Kyle Trask,

873
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 4: even without Pitts, he's gonna get his own but he's

874
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,319
Speaker 4: gonna put up. He's gonna get his numbers. But I

875
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 4: think that Oklahoma can get some stops here, can get

876
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 4: some pressure, put Florida behind the sticks. And this Florida

877
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 4: defense has been really bad all year. The one thing

878
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 4: they do is they don't give up big runs. But

879
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 4: that's not really what Oklahoma does. So you know, I

880
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 4: think that this game should be closer to a pick.

881
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 4: And when I look at motivation when I look at

882
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 4: more potential opt outs coming for Florida, Now they could

883
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:55,200
Speaker 4: come from Oklahoma. Look, I thought that all signs for

884
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 4: towards Patterson was playing for Buffalo, So you never really know,

885
00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 4: but as of right now, I think all signs point

886
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 4: to Oklahoma as the player. I took the three.

887
00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:05,319
Speaker 5: Yeah, I saw you take a full game three, and

888
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 5: I was gonna hop on and do the same. And

889
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:12,840
Speaker 5: then I started to remember the script of playing Oklahoma games.

890
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 5: So you know, both teams have allowed players. And the

891
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 5: reason why I'm going to wait a while on this

892
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 5: before i make a full game decision.

893
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 1: I know I've already put a play in the action app.

894
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 5: Both teams are sending players home for Christmas, so we

895
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,279
Speaker 5: don't know game day what kind of COVID issues there

896
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:26,759
Speaker 5: is going to be.

897
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:28,280
Speaker 1: You mentioned Trask.

898
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:30,360
Speaker 5: We don't know if Tras's gonna make a lot, you know,

899
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 5: Canarius Tony. I mean, there could be some other key

900
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:34,680
Speaker 5: names here that decide that they're not going to play

901
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:37,960
Speaker 5: in this game. Obviously, Pitts has already opted out, you know,

902
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:40,879
Speaker 5: Trey Brown's opted out, TJ Pledger running back is opted out,

903
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 5: you know, and.

904
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:43,480
Speaker 1: I think.

905
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 5: OU's defense is definitely going to get to Trask, Nick

906
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 5: Benito as a Thomas Perry and Winfrey Ronnie Perkins. They

907
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 5: combined for one hundred quarterback hurries this season. Oh you

908
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:59,200
Speaker 5: under the Alex Grinch here too, Reclamation Reclaim project. Sooners

909
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:03,879
Speaker 5: are getting to the quarter and that's great, But there

910
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 5: is a script with Oklahoma. Oklahoma scoring differential in the

911
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:13,480
Speaker 5: first half is plus seventeen point two. Oklahoma's scoring differential

912
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:16,919
Speaker 5: in the second half is plus one point nine. It's

913
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,440
Speaker 5: one of the biggest gaps in all of college football,

914
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 5: and they have a negative point differential in the fourth

915
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 5: quarter this season. And so when you go a little

916
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 5: bit further deep into that, Spencer Rattler's plays are all

917
00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 5: scripted early in the game, like through the entire first half,

918
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 5: and once it becomes off script, it gets really bad

919
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 5: in his efficiency.

920
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:38,320
Speaker 1: And it's been that way all season.

921
00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:40,759
Speaker 5: I was more than happy to go to the action

922
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 5: half and take OU first half. Whether you want to

923
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:44,439
Speaker 5: do money line or get the one and a half

924
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:46,880
Speaker 5: or whatever's out there is available. I have confidence that

925
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:49,720
Speaker 5: OU is going to be leading this game, especially maybe

926
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 5: Trash does opt out, maybe we don't have a Cadarius Tony.

927
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 5: I don't know, but the defense is going to be

928
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 5: solid for OU, and they have been one of the

929
00:44:57,000 --> 00:45:01,160
Speaker 5: more solid teams in the first half all season. You know,

930
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 5: Riley may opt to run the ball down the Gators throat.

931
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:05,279
Speaker 5: I mean, if he wants to, he can. I mean

932
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 5: Florida's ninety second and defensive rushing success rate their ninety

933
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 5: first and tackling. The best way to maybe keep Florida's

934
00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 5: offense off the field is to run the ball. Maybe

935
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:16,360
Speaker 5: keep them out of sync is not let them have

936
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:17,400
Speaker 5: so many possessions.

937
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: I know Pitts is not there. That means a lot

938
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:21,360
Speaker 1: to that offense.

939
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:23,840
Speaker 5: It really showed up against You could call LSU a

940
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 5: flat spot because they had overlooked Alabama, But you know

941
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 5: Trash didn't have Pits against Arkansas and rang them up

942
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 5: for a fifty burger. So not not saying Arkansas's defense

943
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:38,359
Speaker 5: is worth anything, but you know Trask has done this

944
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,839
Speaker 5: in two games this season without Pits, so at least

945
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 5: it's not going to be completely unfamiliar for him. I

946
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 5: just can't get over the point differential for OU between

947
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 5: the first and the second half, and the fact that

948
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 5: they have a negative fourth quarter point differential on the

949
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 5: season scares me. Taking them full game. I would rather

950
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 5: go owe you first half. Maybe I will consider a

951
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 5: first half under if Lincoln Riley wants to keep their

952
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 5: offense off the field and expose Florida on third downs

953
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 5: and running the ball. But for me right now as

954
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 5: we record, I have money on Oklahoma first half.

955
00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:10,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't necessarily disagree with that, And Nick O'Riley

956
00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 4: was actually asked about that this week in some of

957
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 4: the interviews leading up to this game, because if you

958
00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 4: take back to Oklahoma, one of the criticisms of Lake

959
00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 4: and Riley from Oklahoma fans and media is he gets

960
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 4: too conservative with a big lead and doesn't keep his

961
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 4: foot on the pedal. And let's think back to like

962
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:38,319
Speaker 4: the the Iowa State game last year. Remember that they

963
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,840
Speaker 4: were up like thirty four to seven, they had a

964
00:46:40,880 --> 00:46:43,839
Speaker 4: hold on to win by three. Blew that big lead

965
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 4: to Kansas State. Iowa State that had a few times

966
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 4: over the years. They've done this before, so I'll be

967
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 4: curious that he does. Riley's get more aggressive now, but

968
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 4: it seems to me that once they get a big lead,

969
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 4: they go pretty conservative. So yeah, I'm in Florida even

970
00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 4: without pits. If everyone plays, does have firepower to come back.

971
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:04,320
Speaker 4: So maybe I'll join you on adding some boomer sooner

972
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:05,839
Speaker 4: first half, but I definitely like them for the full

973
00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 4: game too. I think it should be a coin flip,

974
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 4: so I'll gladly take three. And I might even think

975
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:11,359
Speaker 4: that Oklahoma should be favored if there's a few other

976
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 4: key players from Florida that opt out. All right, let's

977
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:19,879
Speaker 4: move on here to New Year's Eve. We start out

978
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 4: with the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl between Tulsa and

979
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:30,719
Speaker 4: Mississippi State, and this is in Fort Worth, Texas, at

980
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 4: noon on ESPN at bet MGM. Tulsa is a two

981
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:35,480
Speaker 4: and a half point favorite over under forty eight and

982
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:38,719
Speaker 4: a half. I will say that Mississippi State they had

983
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 4: a Conker against Auburn, but over you know, their last

984
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 4: three or four games. The offense looked a lot better

985
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:46,960
Speaker 4: once they changed to Will Rogers, a quarterback which I

986
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 4: was screaming for. He's just comfortable in front of the

987
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 4: offense he did in high school. The air raa is

988
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:55,520
Speaker 4: just different. kJ Costello never comfortable doing it. When I

989
00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:59,399
Speaker 4: look at the Tulsa defense, though, what do they play? Three? Three, five?

990
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,759
Speaker 4: They can have three down linemen drop eight. They play

991
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 4: a lot of these spread attacks. They're kind of built

992
00:48:07,040 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 4: to stop a team like Mississippi State. But Tulsa's missing

993
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 4: their best player, maybe the best linebacker in all of

994
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 4: college football. And Collins who opted out, which is a

995
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 4: huge loss on the other side of the ball. I

996
00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:25,200
Speaker 4: don't know if Tulsa's offense, I mean, look, they did

997
00:48:25,239 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 4: some good things against Cincinnati. This offense all year did

998
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 4: nothing all year in the first half, nothing, absolutely nothing.

999
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:34,920
Speaker 4: I mean they went four straight games averaging four points

1000
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:38,280
Speaker 4: per first half leading up to their AC Championship againt Cincinnati,

1001
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 4: and you know then they were lied on a lot

1002
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 4: of explosive plays like they had a ton of big comebacks.

1003
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:45,759
Speaker 4: Does Mississippi State want to be here? I don't know.

1004
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 4: Does Tulsa have letdown after the SINCI? This is game

1005
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 4: is hard for me to get a read on. I'm

1006
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:53,799
Speaker 4: digging deep into it. I'm doing a right up for

1007
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:55,600
Speaker 4: this game, so make sure you check that out on

1008
00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 4: Action network dot com the Action Network Gap for all

1009
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 4: of my updated and can these thoughts they after going

1010
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:03,399
Speaker 4: through this game even some more over the next few

1011
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 4: days to curious to get your thoughts here, well, I took.

1012
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,439
Speaker 5: Misssippi State plus three once the Zavi and Collins news

1013
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:10,000
Speaker 5: came out. Because he was such a big part of

1014
00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 5: the defense. You know, he was you know, leader in

1015
00:49:13,280 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 5: sacks with four. He doubled anybody else's hurries. In twenty

1016
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 5: five he was third on the team in tackles and

1017
00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 5: Tulsa was sixth inn pass coverage in the nation with

1018
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 5: a strength of schedule of sixty six. And if you

1019
00:49:25,200 --> 00:49:27,480
Speaker 5: want to beat Mississippi State, you want to beat an

1020
00:49:27,480 --> 00:49:29,520
Speaker 5: air raid offense, you need to run a three three

1021
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 5: five And Tulsa runs a three three five on seventy

1022
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 5: five percent of downs. They run a three to four

1023
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,799
Speaker 5: on the other twenty five percent of downs, so they

1024
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:39,880
Speaker 5: can defend the air raid. And they did play SMU

1025
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 5: earlier this year who was running the Sunny Dykes Mike

1026
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 5: Leach Protege air raid, and they had just two hundred

1027
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,440
Speaker 5: passing yards on thirty six attempts against Tulsa, and they

1028
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:52,200
Speaker 5: never scored in the second half. So Tulsa is not

1029
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:55,839
Speaker 5: fresh in preparing for air raid. They saw it out

1030
00:49:55,840 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 5: of SMU and they shut it down in the second

1031
00:49:57,640 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 5: half and only allowed two hundred passing yards the problem

1032
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 5: is they're missing their leader on defense. Missippi State had

1033
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 5: fifty one points in a win over Miszoo after losing

1034
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 5: six of seven. Their quarterback Will Rogers went for two

1035
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 5: ninety five and three tds and their wide receiver Wally

1036
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,880
Speaker 5: at one hundred and twenty nine yards on just five catches,

1037
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:16,759
Speaker 5: So they've listen. I mean, either it's an air rate

1038
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 5: and if you haven't got it figured out and you're not,

1039
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,880
Speaker 5: you know, rushing three and dropping eight, you're gonna get exposed.

1040
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:24,799
Speaker 5: And Misssippi State doesn't have great numbers on defense, but

1041
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:26,840
Speaker 5: their strength of schedule is fifth in the nation, a

1042
00:50:26,920 --> 00:50:29,719
Speaker 5: huge contrast to what Tulsa's had to deal with this year.

1043
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 5: So I think they're going to prevent Tulsa explosive runs

1044
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:37,000
Speaker 5: Tulsa excels and passing downs explosiveness. We talked about this

1045
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,840
Speaker 5: before about Tulsa's only offense is when they're third and

1046
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,719
Speaker 5: fifteen and they just make shit happen. I mean, that

1047
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:46,120
Speaker 5: just seems to be the only time Tulsa gets points up.

1048
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:48,960
Speaker 5: Mississippi State the key stat for that. If Tulsa's just

1049
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:52,360
Speaker 5: gonna only do things on passing downs and they have

1050
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:56,319
Speaker 5: passing downs explosives. Mississippi State defensively, they're just fifty first

1051
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:58,880
Speaker 5: and passing down success rate and they're seventy seventh and

1052
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:02,480
Speaker 5: passing downs explosive from this on defense, so they can

1053
00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:04,880
Speaker 5: give up a big play. I expect Tulsa to be

1054
00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:07,160
Speaker 5: able to do something when they're you know, third and

1055
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:09,480
Speaker 5: twenty in the like I took missip State plus three.

1056
00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:12,520
Speaker 5: I'm not sure how comfortable I am with it. I

1057
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:15,759
Speaker 5: was pretty confident when David Collins was out because you know,

1058
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 5: he's the biggest player on the defense. But the fact

1059
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 5: that they have some very good safeties, they have a

1060
00:51:21,640 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 5: lot of guys in the secondary that have you know,

1061
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:26,319
Speaker 5: some good pass breakups on the season, and the fact

1062
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,200
Speaker 5: that they've seen the air raid and kind of shut

1063
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 5: it down the second half on SMU makes me a

1064
00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 5: little nervous about this play. So there could be an endgame,

1065
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:36,120
Speaker 5: could be a live hedge on this. Maybe see how

1066
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 5: it starts out, Maybe try to get three on Tulsa

1067
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:41,280
Speaker 5: on the others, you know, on the other side, Tulsa

1068
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 5: I think can absolutely hang against air raid. But you know,

1069
00:51:43,560 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 5: Collins is the reason that I made this bet.

1070
00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 4: I let's move on the Arizona Ball ball State at

1071
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 4: bet MGM ten point underdogs over under sixty four and

1072
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 4: a half against San Jose State. There's a chance, by

1073
00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:57,840
Speaker 4: the way the Arizona Ball This is two pm Eastern

1074
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 4: on CBS Sports Network, Tucson, Ara Zona. There's a chance

1075
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 4: they stay. Clemson wins at all, that sant Jose State

1076
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:06,760
Speaker 4: ends up is the only undeated team in college football

1077
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 4: chance ball State. I show a lot of value on

1078
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:13,200
Speaker 4: them here. I'm always way higher than them in the market.

1079
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 4: I will be playing them plus ten. They don't give

1080
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 4: up a lot of exposive plays. It's one of the

1081
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 4: things they've done well this year. And that's what San

1082
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:20,799
Speaker 4: Jose State lives on.

1083
00:52:20,840 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 8: Now.

1084
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:22,879
Speaker 4: The santase State defense, I mean some of their numbers,

1085
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 4: they just surprised me, Like, I don't understand how the

1086
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:29,160
Speaker 4: San Jose State defense has been so good in certain categories.

1087
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 4: Number one in finishing drives. I think there's some regression

1088
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:36,200
Speaker 4: coming in that department. But yeah, I mean passing explosives,

1089
00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:38,200
Speaker 4: that's what Santase State does and that's what ball State

1090
00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 4: takes away. I think there's a ton of value on

1091
00:52:40,280 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 4: my ball State boys. You know, I'll be on them here,

1092
00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:42,680
Speaker 4: what do you think?

1093
00:52:43,080 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, and I by the number alone, by the projection,

1094
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:48,440
Speaker 5: I should absolutely be playing ball State. And so you know,

1095
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:49,919
Speaker 5: you do a little bit more of a deep dive

1096
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:52,839
Speaker 5: on this. Ball State's tempo's top ten in the nation

1097
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 5: in Santa s State has faced a schedule full of snails.

1098
00:52:57,680 --> 00:52:59,319
Speaker 5: I mean, you look at everybody in the Mountain West

1099
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,240
Speaker 5: as they play extremely slow. The fastest offense they've played

1100
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:05,160
Speaker 5: is Hawaii at twenty six. But other than that, everybody

1101
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:07,799
Speaker 5: that I've been outside the top fifty in tempo. Ball

1102
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 5: State should have success running the ball and drew plit's

1103
00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:13,440
Speaker 5: twentieth and passing success rate. The problem is their offensive line.

1104
00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 5: Their offensive line is one hundred and eighth and that

1105
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 5: is a MAC schedule. The problem is our offensive line

1106
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 5: is one hundred and eighth in sacrate and that's going

1107
00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 5: to be you know, big for defensive enk Hall for

1108
00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:25,240
Speaker 5: San Jose State who has ten sacks on the season,

1109
00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:27,919
Speaker 5: and he should be able to abuse that MAC offensive line.

1110
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:31,080
Speaker 5: So that is a problem for ball State. Offensively, Starkle

1111
00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:33,440
Speaker 5: should be able to pass all day and ball State's

1112
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:36,200
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty first and defensive passing success rate.

1113
00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:39,040
Speaker 5: The offensive line has kept Starkling clean all season. They're

1114
00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:42,520
Speaker 5: seventh in sacrate allowed on the offensive line, so expect

1115
00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:44,360
Speaker 5: San Jose State to be able to move the ball.

1116
00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:46,320
Speaker 1: I think the number is way too high.

1117
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:49,680
Speaker 5: The ball State offensive line worries me a little bit

1118
00:53:50,040 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 5: if they weren't able to protect Drew Plitt during MAC play.

1119
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:56,320
Speaker 5: I think the San Jose State defensive line is going

1120
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:59,000
Speaker 5: to be able to wreak havoc on this ball State offense.

1121
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:02,760
Speaker 5: So you know, also, you mentioned the defensive finishing drives

1122
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 5: ranking first in the nation. You know, I think Startle's

1123
00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:08,640
Speaker 5: going to be able to hit passes all day.

1124
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:10,960
Speaker 1: I can't make it ten though. I think ten is

1125
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:12,359
Speaker 1: extremely too high on this.

1126
00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:15,759
Speaker 5: I'm happy to sit back and let people buy into

1127
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:17,800
Speaker 5: the fact that San Jose State's going for an undefeated

1128
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 5: season and this is just old ball State who you know,

1129
00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:23,879
Speaker 5: Patterson got hurt and that's the reason they won the Mac,

1130
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,800
Speaker 5: which is not true, you know. So I'm willing to

1131
00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:28,239
Speaker 5: see this rise a little bit and maybe take a

1132
00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:31,440
Speaker 5: little bit out of ball State. But you know, their

1133
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,000
Speaker 5: offensive line has got to be able to protect the

1134
00:54:34,040 --> 00:54:37,239
Speaker 5: quarterback and they have got to do something with San

1135
00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 5: Jose State's defensive end Kate Hall.

1136
00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:41,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, the only thing that's scary is it's Ball State

1137
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 4: in a shortened MAC season. So it's like, you know

1138
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:47,279
Speaker 4: some of their stats and what we've seen against some

1139
00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:49,960
Speaker 4: of the bad MAC teams. You get a little worried.

1140
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 4: But I think the Ball State will be able to

1141
00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:53,600
Speaker 4: move the ball and there's some regression coming for the

1142
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:57,399
Speaker 4: San Jose State defense in my opinion. Yeah, too many

1143
00:54:57,400 --> 00:55:01,000
Speaker 4: points here. There are some concerning things State, but just

1144
00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 4: way too much value for me to pass up. Assuming

1145
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:04,879
Speaker 4: that there's no opt outs out there that I don't

1146
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,480
Speaker 4: know about, obviously, I'll be scaring the internet for those.

1147
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 4: All right. Lastly, let's get to the AutoZone Liberty Bowl

1148
00:55:12,080 --> 00:55:18,000
Speaker 4: four pm Eastern on ESPN on New Year's Eve, West

1149
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 4: Virginia against Army. At that MGM wester Wich is a

1150
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:25,520
Speaker 4: seven point favorite over Under forty one and a half.

1151
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 4: Sometimes you guess at motivation. I don't have need a

1152
00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:31,200
Speaker 4: guess With Service Academy teams. I know they're gonna show up.

1153
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:36,319
Speaker 4: Am I gets understand that. Oh shit, I can't hear you.

1154
00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:40,960
Speaker 4: They always do. I think historically I'll right up for

1155
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,279
Speaker 4: this game. They're about seventy percent against the spread of

1156
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:47,120
Speaker 4: the last thirty five years in Bowl games. Service Academy

1157
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 4: always gonna show up no matter what, no matter where

1158
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:53,319
Speaker 4: the game is, what the circumstances, but especially we're talking

1159
00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:56,399
Speaker 4: about Army this year. I mean, Jeff bunkin their head coach,

1160
00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,759
Speaker 4: was saying that there were tears in the kid's eyes

1161
00:55:58,760 --> 00:55:59,880
Speaker 4: when it was announce that they're gonna go to a

1162
00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:04,520
Speaker 4: Is West Virginia excited to play a Army. I don't know.

1163
00:56:04,680 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 4: I know that they don't don't have as much time

1164
00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:09,080
Speaker 4: to prepare for the triple option as you normally would

1165
00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:11,359
Speaker 4: in a bowl game. Finding it out about this game

1166
00:56:11,440 --> 00:56:14,520
Speaker 4: last week. I also know that two of their better

1167
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 4: defensive players have opted out along their front seven. That's

1168
00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 4: not an ideal situation going up against Army's triple option.

1169
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:23,920
Speaker 4: I took Army plus seven and a half. There's no way

1170
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:26,360
Speaker 4: I'm not taking Army in a touchdown yere when I

1171
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 4: know that they'll show up in a game that is

1172
00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 4: a total of forty one and a half. Agree.

1173
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:33,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. No one's going to be more fired

1174
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:34,279
Speaker 1: up than Army.

1175
00:56:35,040 --> 00:56:37,839
Speaker 5: The West Virginia defense though that this has really been

1176
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:40,960
Speaker 5: a tough, tough handicap for me, because the West Virginia

1177
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,160
Speaker 5: defense has been great against the run, their top thirty

1178
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:47,759
Speaker 5: vineyard stuff for a rushing success rate tackling their co

1179
00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:50,360
Speaker 5: defensive coordinators have done a fabulous job this year, but

1180
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:53,160
Speaker 5: they haven't seen the triple since they played Georgia Southern

1181
00:56:53,239 --> 00:56:55,879
Speaker 5: during their Troy days under Neil Brown, so it's been

1182
00:56:55,920 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 5: a while and it's definitely something new for these defenders here.

1183
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,279
Speaker 5: The Stills brothers can plug holes for the full.

1184
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:04,160
Speaker 1: Back dive stop, you know.

1185
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:07,239
Speaker 5: But as Armies, I guess my question is is Army

1186
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:09,120
Speaker 5: Secondary going to be able to keep up with the

1187
00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:11,920
Speaker 5: West Virginia RPO. That is something that's going to be

1188
00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 5: probably pretty new that Army hasn't seen yet this year,

1189
00:57:16,080 --> 00:57:17,640
Speaker 5: and it's going to be tough for them to defend

1190
00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:21,640
Speaker 5: the total of seven points lower than the projection that

1191
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:25,160
Speaker 5: I have at forty two, but I think it's completely justified.

1192
00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 5: The question is whether West Virginia can hit explosive plays.

1193
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:31,640
Speaker 5: Army is probably going to limit their possessions here. Army

1194
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 5: is eleventh against pass explosiveness, but they have a strength

1195
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:36,840
Speaker 5: of schedule of one hundred and twenty seven, so It's

1196
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 5: just it's a really tough handicap because I think West

1197
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 5: Virginia is going to have medium success in stopping Army.

1198
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:46,800
Speaker 5: I think Army is going to steamroll them like they

1199
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:48,480
Speaker 5: did over Houston a couple of years ago in a

1200
00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 5: Bowl game that was absolutely terrorizing. But we can see

1201
00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,240
Speaker 5: the problems with Houston's defensive line. I don't see those

1202
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 5: problems in West Virginia's defensive line. So really the handicap

1203
00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:01,360
Speaker 5: comes down to will West Virginia's RPO confuse the Army

1204
00:58:01,440 --> 00:58:06,360
Speaker 5: secondary could be maybe a chance here. Big Army advantage

1205
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,160
Speaker 5: in finishing drives, especially when West Virginia has the ball.

1206
00:58:09,680 --> 00:58:12,560
Speaker 5: West Virginia's defense is going to allow Army to score points,

1207
00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:15,400
Speaker 5: no doubt about it. And you know the Monkin's gonna

1208
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:18,320
Speaker 5: go forward on fourth down every time. A big advantage

1209
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:21,040
Speaker 5: for Army and special teams in this game. So a

1210
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 5: lot of the things in the box point to Army.

1211
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,160
Speaker 5: But I come back to the fact that West Virginia

1212
00:58:27,240 --> 00:58:29,680
Speaker 5: is good in the trench and they may have some

1213
00:58:29,840 --> 00:58:32,400
Speaker 5: RPO explosive plays on the offensive side of the ball.

1214
00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 5: I'm really kind of indecisive on this. You know, the

1215
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:39,000
Speaker 5: projections lower but I can see Army slimming this game

1216
00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:42,160
Speaker 5: down to a low number of possessions. I haven't made

1217
00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:44,080
Speaker 5: a final decision on this. I may I may wait

1218
00:58:44,680 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 5: up till the game time.

1219
00:58:46,040 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 4: Or I was like card, who's Army gonna play? I

1220
00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 4: just need to find ou they're gona play, souse. I

1221
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,720
Speaker 4: love betting service academies in bold season love it. One

1222
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:54,960
Speaker 4: of my favorite things to do. It's better that I

1223
00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 4: shouldn't say better second to Army Navy unders. And I

1224
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:01,280
Speaker 4: was a good let me see they're gonna play. And

1225
00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:03,760
Speaker 4: then they get West Virginia a couple opt outs and

1226
00:59:04,320 --> 00:59:06,320
Speaker 4: I get them against where I'm catching over a touchdown.

1227
00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:07,040
Speaker 4: That's all I needed.

1228
00:59:07,400 --> 00:59:10,880
Speaker 5: Well, total, why is West Virginia's defense is top twenty

1229
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 5: in defensive finishing drives and you know Armies one hundred

1230
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:16,040
Speaker 5: and twenty fifth and seconds world, we know that, and

1231
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:19,320
Speaker 5: so I think this is an undergame. It's low though,

1232
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:22,600
Speaker 5: I mean it's been placed lower than what it typically

1233
00:59:22,600 --> 00:59:25,360
Speaker 5: should be. So you know, I think you're right from

1234
00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:27,600
Speaker 5: a point spread perspective from the side, but from a

1235
00:59:27,640 --> 00:59:29,720
Speaker 5: total I've just been completely like, I mean, forty two

1236
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 5: is if West Virginia hits one or two RPOs. I

1237
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:35,080
Speaker 5: mean this could go over forty two, So definitely forty

1238
00:59:35,080 --> 00:59:37,640
Speaker 5: two is the last number I would take it under.

1239
00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:39,480
Speaker 1: Don't let it float underneath that. Yeah.

1240
00:59:39,560 --> 00:59:41,760
Speaker 4: West Virginia's some of their defensive numbers are great, but

1241
00:59:42,160 --> 00:59:45,400
Speaker 4: Tony Fields, their best linebacker, opted out, still one of

1242
00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:48,200
Speaker 4: the best defensive linemen he opted out. So this isn't

1243
00:59:48,240 --> 00:59:53,720
Speaker 4: your full strength West Virginia defense and motivation wise, maybe

1244
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:57,400
Speaker 4: West Virginia shows up, but there's a chance they don't

1245
00:59:57,440 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 4: really care that much. And I know that Army will

1246
01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 4: care a ton, so that's worth something here.

1247
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:04,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, all right.

1248
01:00:05,600 --> 01:00:10,120
Speaker 4: We're going to go through Arkansas TCU in depth on Wednesday.

1249
01:00:10,120 --> 01:00:13,960
Speaker 4: We record, but how about a thirty second just tease

1250
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:15,720
Speaker 4: of that or what you're looking at or what you're

1251
01:00:15,800 --> 01:00:16,440
Speaker 4: looking into.

1252
01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:20,040
Speaker 5: I see advantages for both. Kendall Briles used to be

1253
01:00:20,080 --> 01:00:23,320
Speaker 5: the Baylor offensive coordinator. He rang Patterson up in the

1254
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:26,920
Speaker 5: two times that he faced Gary Patterson's defense. That was

1255
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,720
Speaker 5: in twenty fifteen, he beat him, and then he put

1256
01:00:28,800 --> 01:00:31,840
Speaker 5: sixty two points up on him in twenty.

1257
01:00:31,560 --> 01:00:33,400
Speaker 1: Sixteen on TCU's defense.

1258
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:36,240
Speaker 5: So these two coaches are pretty familiar with each other

1259
01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:39,800
Speaker 5: when it comes to Arkansas's offense versus TCU's defense on

1260
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 5: the other side of the ball. I can't find a

1261
01:00:43,160 --> 01:00:46,840
Speaker 5: single quarterback that Arkansas face, said is anything like Max Duggan.

1262
01:00:47,080 --> 01:00:50,040
Speaker 5: And you say, well, Arkansas's in the SEC they did

1263
01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:52,080
Speaker 5: not face a dual threat quarterback. I mean, you want

1264
01:00:52,080 --> 01:00:54,560
Speaker 5: to go through some of these names, Mac Jones, Connor Besley,

1265
01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:58,240
Speaker 5: Ryan Finley, Kyle Trask, Jared Garenton. None of these guys

1266
01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:01,280
Speaker 5: are dual threat quarterbacks. So what I've seen Adam Dougan

1267
01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:05,520
Speaker 5: this year scares me from an Arkansas defensive perspective. So

1268
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:08,600
Speaker 5: right now I'm leaning to the over. I thought the

1269
01:01:08,680 --> 01:01:10,880
Speaker 5: Arkansas number was too high hopped on. That may come

1270
01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:14,920
Speaker 5: back it TCU at some point, but that that's the.

1271
01:01:15,200 --> 01:01:17,000
Speaker 1: We'll take that as the high level going into the

1272
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:18,240
Speaker 1: next podcast.

1273
01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:31,360
Speaker 4: And finally have some Monday Night football at bet MGM

1274
01:01:31,800 --> 01:01:35,280
Speaker 4: Buffalo Bills minus seven at New England over under forty

1275
01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:38,000
Speaker 4: six and a half. This total has come up some.

1276
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:40,760
Speaker 4: The Bills line is going some. I can tell you

1277
01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:43,520
Speaker 4: right now the Patriots have a tad bit of value

1278
01:01:43,520 --> 01:01:45,800
Speaker 4: at seven. Do you want to back them? I don't know,

1279
01:01:45,840 --> 01:01:47,800
Speaker 4: it's ugly, but what do you think I mean, the

1280
01:01:47,800 --> 01:01:49,680
Speaker 4: Patriots have looked off over the past couple of weeks.

1281
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:52,000
Speaker 4: The Bills have looked like the best team in the NFL.

1282
01:01:54,760 --> 01:01:56,200
Speaker 1: The Bills make me want.

1283
01:01:58,400 --> 01:02:04,280
Speaker 10: Your hands up, yoky back now them Now?

1284
01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 4: Can they maintain that level? Probably not. I can tell

1285
01:02:08,880 --> 01:02:11,640
Speaker 4: you also that this I think this is under as

1286
01:02:11,640 --> 01:02:13,680
Speaker 4: some value forty six and a half. It's ticked up.

1287
01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:16,360
Speaker 4: I don't know if it's gonna hold, but I probably

1288
01:02:16,400 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 4: will take a piece of that under here. The reason

1289
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,360
Speaker 4: is if you go back to the first matchup, by

1290
01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:24,160
Speaker 4: the way, in that first matchup with Cam Newton who

1291
01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 4: fumbled the ball with a chance to win in Buffalo

1292
01:02:26,880 --> 01:02:30,400
Speaker 4: territory late that game was back. Yeah, that came back

1293
01:02:30,440 --> 01:02:34,480
Speaker 4: on November first, New England was catching four at Buffalo

1294
01:02:34,600 --> 01:02:38,760
Speaker 4: and now they're catching seven and Buffalo is obviously improved.

1295
01:02:38,720 --> 01:02:41,160
Speaker 4: In New England, we've seen it kind of an offensive fraud.

1296
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:44,440
Speaker 4: But in that game, which ended twenty four to twenty one,

1297
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 4: the total was forty one, and I think there was

1298
01:02:47,720 --> 01:02:50,200
Speaker 4: some win. But what happened there is Josh Allen threw

1299
01:02:50,200 --> 01:02:52,680
Speaker 4: it eighteen times, completed eleven passes for one hundred and

1300
01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:56,280
Speaker 4: fifty four yards. Why all Bill Belichick did was sit

1301
01:02:56,440 --> 01:03:00,600
Speaker 4: back in dime packages and just say, Buffalo, run the ball.

1302
01:03:01,240 --> 01:03:04,680
Speaker 4: And they did. Secretary around fourteen times, wats around a

1303
01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:07,240
Speaker 4: fourteen times, Alan runt of ten times, they had thirty

1304
01:03:07,280 --> 01:03:10,479
Speaker 4: eight carries. And what did Belichick do? Also, he said,

1305
01:03:10,520 --> 01:03:13,400
Speaker 4: we're gonna shorten the game and run the ball. That's

1306
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:16,000
Speaker 4: what they're normally do each week. So I think Belichick's

1307
01:03:16,040 --> 01:03:17,760
Speaker 4: goal here, if he even wants to win, who knows,

1308
01:03:17,760 --> 01:03:19,320
Speaker 4: He's not even kicking field goals in Miami to go

1309
01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:22,000
Speaker 4: downtown to get it's seven to cover my teaser. But

1310
01:03:23,400 --> 01:03:26,360
Speaker 4: I'm assuming that's the Patriots approach here is they're gonna say,

1311
01:03:26,600 --> 01:03:29,280
Speaker 4: we're gonna make you run the ball, Buffalo, go up

1312
01:03:29,320 --> 01:03:30,680
Speaker 4: and down the field, and then when we have the ball,

1313
01:03:30,680 --> 01:03:33,480
Speaker 4: we're gonna just go slow. We're gonna run it. That

1314
01:03:33,640 --> 01:03:36,360
Speaker 4: is the Bill's, you know, weakness, and it's been become

1315
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:38,320
Speaker 4: more of a strength since they made some changes at linebacker.

1316
01:03:38,360 --> 01:03:41,480
Speaker 4: They've gotten healthier, defensive line is playing better. Everything on

1317
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:44,840
Speaker 4: the Bills is trending up. There's definitely the value in

1318
01:03:44,880 --> 01:03:46,680
Speaker 4: the pages, as you'd expect after what we've seen in

1319
01:03:46,720 --> 01:03:48,720
Speaker 4: the past couple of weeks and the perceptions change on

1320
01:03:48,760 --> 01:03:51,160
Speaker 4: both of these teams. So if you're gonna take a

1321
01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:52,600
Speaker 4: side here, I think you have to look Patriots. That's

1322
01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 4: seven or more. And from a total perspective, I think

1323
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:57,160
Speaker 4: my favor playing this game is at forty six and

1324
01:03:57,160 --> 01:03:59,960
Speaker 4: a half. I'm gonna see if I can find or

1325
01:04:00,000 --> 01:04:02,920
Speaker 4: if it gets to forty seven, I'm gonna monitor it. There.

1326
01:04:03,600 --> 01:04:05,880
Speaker 4: I'll a right up for this game also on actionork

1327
01:04:05,920 --> 01:04:07,480
Speaker 4: dot com the Action out. But I think that the

1328
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:10,040
Speaker 4: underhus and Dale. I think this Patriots offense is so bad.

1329
01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:12,760
Speaker 4: The Bill's defense is playing a lot better than it

1330
01:04:12,840 --> 01:04:15,520
Speaker 4: was back then when these teams first met on November first,

1331
01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:17,440
Speaker 4: And I think that the Patriots are going to try

1332
01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:20,080
Speaker 4: to play ball control and they're just gonna say, look,

1333
01:04:20,440 --> 01:04:24,240
Speaker 4: especially without Gilmour who's out for the year, they're gonna say,

1334
01:04:24,320 --> 01:04:25,760
Speaker 4: we're gonna keep everything in front of us, and you're

1335
01:04:25,800 --> 01:04:27,120
Speaker 4: gonna have to run the ball. They're gonna dare the

1336
01:04:27,160 --> 01:04:28,640
Speaker 4: Bills to run the ball. And this clock should be

1337
01:04:28,720 --> 01:04:31,000
Speaker 4: speeding throughout. So I like the under here.

1338
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:32,360
Speaker 1: I like New England here.

1339
01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:34,880
Speaker 5: I mean you mentioned they played each other, you know,

1340
01:04:35,040 --> 01:04:37,600
Speaker 5: just on November first, and three point ball game with

1341
01:04:37,600 --> 01:04:39,280
Speaker 5: New England having a chance to win. I think the

1342
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 5: number is completely inflated, should be around four and a half.

1343
01:04:43,560 --> 01:04:47,640
Speaker 5: But New England doesn't have anything to play for Buffalo does.

1344
01:04:48,120 --> 01:04:51,080
Speaker 5: To me, it's just a completely inflated number. It's gonna

1345
01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:53,480
Speaker 5: be a slow pace of play, which gives me, you know,

1346
01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:57,240
Speaker 5: I think even more value to having a spread of

1347
01:04:57,240 --> 01:04:59,360
Speaker 5: a touchdown. So for me it was Patriots.

1348
01:05:01,000 --> 01:05:03,600
Speaker 4: All right, that'll do it for us on We're gonna

1349
01:05:03,600 --> 01:05:07,440
Speaker 4: record on Wednesday for all the weekends bowl games and

1350
01:05:07,480 --> 01:05:09,440
Speaker 4: the College Wallploff, We're gonna make sure we have that

1351
01:05:09,520 --> 01:05:13,520
Speaker 4: out to you on New Year's Eve overnight before New

1352
01:05:13,560 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 4: Year's Eve morning, so we have a lot of work

1353
01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:19,200
Speaker 4: to do diag into maybe some props for the College

1354
01:05:19,200 --> 01:05:23,640
Speaker 4: Waball playoff as well. I'm excited to get to work there.

1355
01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:27,720
Speaker 4: And don't forget about the voicemail During the week. Let's

1356
01:05:28,080 --> 01:05:30,960
Speaker 4: monitor our Twitter accounts and the Action app for notes

1357
01:05:31,000 --> 01:05:33,560
Speaker 4: and plays that come through, because they after you listen

1358
01:05:33,600 --> 01:05:36,680
Speaker 4: to this, there could be more opt outs, so make

1359
01:05:36,680 --> 01:05:39,040
Speaker 4: sure that you try and stay up to date with

1360
01:05:39,120 --> 01:05:42,360
Speaker 4: them or just with us, because we will be keeping

1361
01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:44,160
Speaker 4: track of that all week. So let's have a good

1362
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:47,520
Speaker 4: week and continue a successful Bowl season, and we'll catch

1363
01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:49,680
Speaker 4: all later in the week. Make sure by the way

1364
01:05:49,680 --> 01:05:53,760
Speaker 4: subscribe on subscribe, tell a friend, rate review, leave a review.

1365
01:05:53,760 --> 01:05:56,320
Speaker 4: I'll be doing more giveaways during our Bowl previews. We'll

1366
01:05:56,360 --> 01:05:58,040
Speaker 4: catch you all later. Cheers out.

1367
01:06:00,440 --> 01:06:07,360
Speaker 3: Squandercle time, just the most squercle time, call the most

1368
01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:12,240
Speaker 3: quanercle time.

1369
01:06:20,680 --> 01:06:21,720
Speaker 4: We're finished talking