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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Deal Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk

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Speaker 2: Matt Betting Pros at Betting Pros were always found wherever

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Speaker 2: you get your audio podcasts. YouTube for the video and

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Speaker 2: the offer from bet MGM always above me here on

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Speaker 2: YouTube ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 2: any event. Use that promo cod Juice one fifty at

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Speaker 2: betmgm dot com or bet mgm.

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Speaker 1: The losing streak is snapped. We get to win. Woo,

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Speaker 1: we gotta win.

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Speaker 2: Cowboys win and cover under comes in as well. So

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Speaker 2: bad day for the books, good day for the public.

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Speaker 2: Cowboys always a very public side. I was at a

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Speaker 2: bar watching the second half, and literally every single person

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Speaker 2: had the Cowboys minus four and a half, five and

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Speaker 2: a half, six and a half. They all come in,

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Speaker 2: all the teasers hit, everything hits well, so we get

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Speaker 2: the money line play. I told you guys in the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel that I actually doubled down. I took moneyline

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Speaker 2: Cowboys minus two hundred, and then I teased the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: once I got to six I teased it down to

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Speaker 2: a pick and I linked it up with the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: and the Broncos game. Broncos from nine and a half

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Speaker 2: down to three and a half. So I have a

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Speaker 2: personal teaser going on that heading into Sunday. So the

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Speaker 2: losing streak, we're up half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Yay.

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Speaker 2: Good to put money back into the account after the

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Speaker 2: bleeding over Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. So here we are

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Speaker 2: on a Friday. Now, this is what's going on for today.

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Speaker 2: We've got the PAC twelve championship game here in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 2: I've got two plays going on for that, each of

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Speaker 2: those bets being a half a unit. And then I

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Speaker 2: am going to get involved with the NBA. No lines

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Speaker 2: are available at the moment between the Warriors and the Suns.

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Speaker 2: I will most likely be on the Warriors at home

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Speaker 2: to get revenge for the loss on Tuesday in Phoenix,

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Speaker 2: but we gotta wait and see what the line and

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Speaker 2: who's playing in, who's out, blah blah blah, and then

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Speaker 2: I may have some NBA player props potentially or a

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Speaker 2: college basketball play to give you guys in the Discord

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Speaker 2: channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get in there

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Speaker 2: or the link underneath me here on YouTube to get

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Speaker 2: into our daily Juice Betting pros Discord channel, where I

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Speaker 2: will give you what I'm playing for the NBA. I'll

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Speaker 2: probably have one more unit in play, but look, I'm

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Speaker 2: still not you know, warm by any means. I'm ice,

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Speaker 2: and I'm still you know, technically, I'm one in my

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Speaker 2: from my last nine beats this week, So it's not

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Speaker 2: like I'm you know, red hot or anything after one

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Speaker 2: win with the Cowboys. So I'm not gonna get cocky here.

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Speaker 2: I've got two plays half a unit each on Utah

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Speaker 2: and Oregon. Okay, let's talk about the side here first.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's interesting since the PAC twelve Championship game

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Speaker 2: became a thing, Oregon's been pretty darn good in this

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Speaker 2: football game. Oregon won in twenty eleven forty nine thirty one.

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Speaker 2: Oregon won it in twenty fourteen fifty one to thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Oregon won it in twenty nineteen thirty seven fifteen over

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Speaker 2: these very utah Utes, and Oregon in twenty twenty beat

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Speaker 2: the Trojan from USC thirty one to twenty four. The

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Speaker 2: total of this game is fifty eight. By the way,

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Speaker 2: the line is two and a half plus one fifteen

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Speaker 2: on the money line coming in here for the Oregon Ducks.

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Speaker 2: So since twenty thirteen, take a look at some of

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Speaker 2: the numbers. Oregon's five and three straight up and four

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Speaker 2: and four against the spread. Since Utah joined the PAC

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Speaker 2: twelve in twenty thirteen, the game has gone over six

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Speaker 2: of eight times. The forty five points scored in the

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Speaker 2: first matchup this season, a blowout victory for Utah was

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Speaker 2: the fewest in those eight games ever. Beating a team

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Speaker 2: twice is always difficult, but Utah is trying to beat

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Speaker 2: the same team twice in three weeks. And you know

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Speaker 2: what happens here when it comes to Oregon. A talented

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Speaker 2: team and this game is here in Vegas. It's not

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Speaker 2: in Utah, not in Salt Lake, in a dome, fast track,

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Speaker 2: neutral site. Right. This is perfect for Oregon. Their speed,

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Speaker 2: their talent, their ability to cause turnovers.

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Speaker 1: This is big.

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Speaker 2: When Utah doesn't turn the football over, they're a very

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Speaker 2: difficult team to beat. But if they do turn the

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Speaker 2: football over, they are very very beatable. Oregon is going

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Speaker 2: to have a big night. Okay, Look, we've seen it before.

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Speaker 2: We've seen Oregon do this. They rise up late, they

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Speaker 2: win the Pac twelve Championship, they'll go to the Rose Bowl,

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Speaker 2: probably win the Rose Bowl, and even though they're not

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Speaker 2: going to be in the College Football National Championship, it's

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Speaker 2: a really big win for this program. It's a big

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Speaker 2: win for Utah and all this talent that they've got.

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Speaker 2: I know, thirty eight to seven happened just a couple

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Speaker 2: of weeks ago, and Oregon couldn't stop Utah to save

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Speaker 2: their life.

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Speaker 1: They ran all over them.

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Speaker 2: But you get a chance to play a game in between,

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Speaker 2: you know, get your feet back underneath you and go

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Speaker 2: after it here. So a couple things to take a

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Speaker 2: look at just from a against the spread perspective here

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Speaker 2: this season Oregon five and seven against the spread, Utah

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Speaker 2: same thing, five and seven against the spread on the road,

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Speaker 2: Utah two and four against the spread on the road,

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Speaker 2: three and two for Oregon. This is a neutral site game.

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Speaker 2: But Oregon it was only two and five at home

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Speaker 2: this year against the number. So it's actually a benefit

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Speaker 2: to get them out of Eugene to play here in

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Speaker 2: Vegas at a neutral site. Number open up at three.

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Speaker 2: It's been bet down to two and a half. Total

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Speaker 2: was fifty nine and a half, it's been bet down

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Speaker 2: to fifty eight. Okay, So from a total perspective these teams,

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Speaker 2: it's interesting to the over Utah eight and four on

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Speaker 2: the road five and one, to the over at home

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Speaker 2: three and three, Oregon one in four, to the under

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Speaker 2: on the road five and two, to the over at

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Speaker 2: home six and six.

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Speaker 1: On the year.

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Speaker 2: For Oregon, Oregon ended the year kind of going over

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Speaker 2: the last four games, two and two to the over.

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Speaker 2: Excuse me, it went over last time against Oregon State

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Speaker 2: in their big rivalry game sixty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: They scored thirty eight points after just scoring seven the

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Speaker 2: week prior against Utah. Giving up thirty eight points for

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Speaker 2: against Utah. Now, Oregon's defense is gonna have to play

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Speaker 2: a whole lot better than what they have been playing. Oregon,

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Speaker 2: they score thirty one points per game, but they also

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Speaker 2: give up twenty six points per game. That's not gonna

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Speaker 2: get it done here. Utah giving up twenty one point

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Speaker 2: nine points per game. They score thirty four point eight

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Speaker 2: points per game. That's top twenty five in the country.

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Speaker 2: We know what Utah likes to do. Number one rushing

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Speaker 2: offense in the country for yards per rush five points seven.

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Speaker 2: They run for two hundred and twenty one yards per game.

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Speaker 2: It is tenth best in the country. It's gonna test

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Speaker 2: this Oregon defense, which has been pretty good one one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty two yards per game giving up that

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Speaker 2: twenty first best in the country. But they could not

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Speaker 2: do anything in Salt Lake against Utah. They got gashed

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Speaker 2: like crazy. Utah their defense pretty good, only giving up

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty two yards rushing per game. That's

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Speaker 2: thirty second best in the country. Not easy to pass

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Speaker 2: in these guys either, only one hundred and ninety eight

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Speaker 2: yards per game through the air, top twenty for Utah. Okay,

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Speaker 2: here is how I am going to play this game.

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Speaker 2: Got a half a unit on either side. I think

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Speaker 2: Oregon's the better team.

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Speaker 1: I look, I've been cold.

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Speaker 2: I just think in this game, the history in this game,

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Speaker 2: I think it matters. I think this team understands playing

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Speaker 2: on a neutral field well you know better, And it

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Speaker 2: played out in twenty nineteen this way where you know,

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Speaker 2: Oregon loses and so they're out of the Cold Foot playoffs.

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Speaker 2: All that you know, negativity, all that stress is off

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Speaker 2: their back. They can just go play. I think they

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Speaker 2: play loose they're in the PAC twelfth Championship. Chance they

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Speaker 2: get a w it matters. It's in Vegas. I think

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Speaker 2: Oregon's gonna have a ton of fans here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take Oregon to win the PAC twelve Championship half a

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Speaker 2: unit money lined, forget the spread, just take them to

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Speaker 2: win the game. Half a unit Oregon to win tonight

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Speaker 2: and beat Utah at plus one fifteen. And for the

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Speaker 2: other half a unit, I'm gonna come in on the

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Speaker 2: under here fifty eight. And I just think you have

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Speaker 2: a running clock. I think both teams are gonna try

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Speaker 2: to run the game, run the ball, and that's a

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Speaker 2: quicker game. And I think in championship games, I do

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Speaker 2: tend to l to lean towards the under because I

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Speaker 2: do think in terms of the way these teams are playing,

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Speaker 2: I think it's like, you know, a twenty eight to

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Speaker 2: twenty four type of victory here, and with fifty eight

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Speaker 2: being the total, I just think it could get close

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Speaker 2: to it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, twenty and twenty four. It's fifty two.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not saying it's gonna go way under, but

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Speaker 2: I just I don't think these teams get into the

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Speaker 2: thirties or even both teams in the upper twenties. So

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the under fifty eight for a half

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Speaker 2: a unit as well coming up here in the PAC

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Speaker 2: twelve Championship game. And if you look at the points

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Speaker 2: that have been scored here, you know, if you take

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Speaker 2: a total of fifty eight, it would have gone under

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Speaker 2: in twenty twenty, under in twenty nineteen, under in twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 2: over in twenty seventeen, but then under in twenty sixteen.

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Speaker 1: Under it would have gone over in.

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Speaker 2: Twenty fifteen, and then it would have gone over in

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Speaker 2: twenty fourteen, under in twenty thirteen, under in twenty twelve,

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Speaker 2: and over in twenty eleven. So I mean we have

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Speaker 2: seen high scoring games, but in the games involving Oregon

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Speaker 2: so far, I mean it's not crazy. I mean Oregon's

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Speaker 2: last two appearances here in this championship game, both those

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Speaker 2: games would have gone under fifty eight points if that

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Speaker 2: was the total. So I think Oregon can score. I

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Speaker 2: think they can play well defensively. I think they can

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Speaker 2: fix a lot of the mistakes and the problems that

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Speaker 2: they had against Utah in the first matchup in Salt Lake.

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Speaker 2: And I think that they win the game outright, and

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Speaker 2: they hold this scoring offense down both teams in the twenties,

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Speaker 2: not the thirties. And I'm going under fifty eight for

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Speaker 2: Oregon and Utah in the PAC twelfth Championship game. All right,

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Speaker 2: halfy unit Oregon plus one fifteen on the money line

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Speaker 2: and under fifty eight for one unit, two plays one

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Speaker 2: unit in play here for both those picks. Now, like

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Speaker 2: I mentioned, we will have something in the NBA. I'm

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Speaker 2: definitely going to be on Suns and the Warriors most

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Speaker 2: likely barring if like Curry's out or something, maybe I'll

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Speaker 2: stay off the Warriors. But right now I'll be on

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Speaker 2: the Warriors, and I'll probably have a college basketball play.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I'll have a couple player props for us, depending

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Speaker 2: on what I want to jump back into that craziness

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Speaker 2: here for us coming up on our Friday night for

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Speaker 2: the NBA, But just one play for college football. Now,

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Speaker 2: remember Saturday, things kind of go back to normal a

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Speaker 2: little bit for us here on Saturday. So what I'm

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Speaker 2: doing on Saturday is I'm smoking a brisket. I've not

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Speaker 2: done one of these yet. In college football. I am

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Speaker 2: watching football all damn day. My wife and daughter are.

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Speaker 1: Going out and doing things.

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Speaker 2: I'm sitting, I am smoking a brisket and I'm going

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Speaker 2: to eat like a king later on in the evening

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Speaker 2: for when this game kicks off. When the PAG twelve

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Speaker 2: Championship game kicks off at eight o'clock Eastern time, five

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Speaker 2: o'clock here on the West Coast, I'm gonna get up.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do the full on full of smoke. I'm

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Speaker 2: not done a brisket smoke in a while, so I'm

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Speaker 2: really psyched to do it. I got to get back

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Speaker 2: and learn all my different little tricks in techniques and

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Speaker 2: get a bunch of I got to go buy a

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Speaker 2: bunch of a bunch of pellets to put on my

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Speaker 2: smoker and whatnot. So I'm super excited to do it

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Speaker 2: on Saturday. So we will have the Discord Bet conversation

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Speaker 2: that will come back again on Saturday, so we'll be

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Speaker 2: doing that.

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Speaker 1: We will have.

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Speaker 2: Another opportunity for one of the members of the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice team to pick the circa. So we've gone one

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Speaker 2: good and one not so good, so we'll have another

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Speaker 2: person hop up. Tree Beard this week is going to

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Speaker 2: be the person on the Discord channel. He's going to

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Speaker 2: pick the five games that we're going to roll with

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Speaker 2: here for the Circa contest to see how he can

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Speaker 2: do picking games for this week in the circuit contest.

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Speaker 2: So those two things will happen, and then on Sunday

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Speaker 2: the live stream is now as right now, schedule to

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Speaker 2: come back with Dan Harrison and I here for breaking

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Speaker 2: down the NFL slate coming up on Sunday, So we're

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Speaker 2: going to get back into it here for the first

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Speaker 2: weekend of December. We got our first championship game here

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Speaker 2: and then we've got big ten sec acc.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a ton of action going here. I

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Speaker 1: may have. I may have.

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Speaker 2: I don't think I've had five units in play yet.

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Speaker 2: I think I may have five units in play coming

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Speaker 2: up here for us on on Saturday. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a big Saturday, So good time to shake the coldness

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Speaker 2: and shake the ice off and hopefully we get two

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Speaker 2: and oh well at three in a row, and then

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Speaker 2: we'll co into Saturday scorching hot and we'll fire and

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Speaker 2: do some big things coming up on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Oregon money line under fifty eight halfy unit each for

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Speaker 2: the PAC twelfth Championship game minus Matt Parolt's following me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning it's the.

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast, which, by the way, real quick, sorry

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Speaker 2: everybody who's messaging me, everybody who's id'd me for the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice on the Spotify wrapped that's super cool.

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Speaker 1: Thank you.

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Speaker 2: If I responded to you, hopefully I saw it and responded.

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Speaker 2: If I didn't respond, I apologize. I'll try to get

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Speaker 2: to everybody, but it's super fun to see you. I

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Speaker 2: seeing the Daily Juice in the top five of people

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Speaker 2: Spotify wrapped. I know a lot of you listen to

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Speaker 2: the podcast and watch the podcast on YouTube and listen

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Speaker 2: to it on Apple. I totally understand that Apple is

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Speaker 2: our biggest platform, but it is neat to see how

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Speaker 2: many people listened on Spotify and people enjoying the podcast

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Speaker 2: on Spotify.

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Speaker 1: So that's very cool. Thank you for doing that.

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Speaker 2: Every morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast, always being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM