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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

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Speaker 2: straight Fire? Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday,

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Speaker 2: January twelfth. It is a glorious Friday, Ladies and gentlemen.

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Speaker 2: The weekend is here. We have Super wild Card Weekend

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Speaker 2: six games, two on Saturday, three on Sunday, one on

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Speaker 2: Monday night. Oh, it's gonna be great. And to help

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Speaker 2: preview it, we got a great guest on today's podcast, Ta,

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Speaker 2: faithful listeners of Straight Fire. Dating back to my radio show,

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Speaker 2: I think it started in twenty fifteen on Fox Sports Radio.

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Speaker 2: I mean, jeez, I can't believe that's nine years ago now. Damn,

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Speaker 2: time really flies when you're having fun. Anyways, it started

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Speaker 2: talking to Ta on Twitter and he started coming on

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Speaker 2: the radio show every week and gambling. Now he's blowing

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Speaker 2: up big time. It's pretty awesome to, you know, talk

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Speaker 2: to people on the Internet and actually they're normal. They're

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Speaker 2: normal human beings. It's very rare, but it does happen anyways.

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Speaker 2: It just so happens world different sides for a lot

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Speaker 2: of games this weekend. Now, it's weird because when we

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Speaker 2: talk obviously you know what I do the Herd headline segment.

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Speaker 2: They just want me to pick winners and we talk

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Speaker 2: spread in you know, like for instance, heads up, shocker,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Bills. I did bet the Bills, and

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Speaker 2: then Ta comes on is like, I don't know, man,

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Speaker 2: I'm on the Steelers. Ten is a lot. Look at

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Speaker 2: that total, and yeah, you know, Buffalo has not been

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Speaker 2: overly imposing the last couple of weeks, and you're like, okay,

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Speaker 2: win game. Buffalo just wants to get either with the win.

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Speaker 2: If it's seventeen, you know, seventeen to three, Buffalo goes

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Speaker 2: into the prevent tee, Mason Rudolph maybe comes in with

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Speaker 2: the back door cover touchdown late. Buffalo doesn't care. They

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Speaker 2: just want to win. So, you know, it is a

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Speaker 2: big number, and I get that. I just I can

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Speaker 2: see Mason Rudolph choking in as badly in his first

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Speaker 2: cold game, in his first playoff game, in the wind

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Speaker 2: and cold in Buffalo, and I can see this being,

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Speaker 2: you know, twenty three six Bills. Bill's steamroll Pittsburgh. At

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Speaker 2: any rate, we'll talk about that shortly. I did want

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Speaker 2: to open the pod with obviously the big news, which

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Speaker 2: drop Thursday morning ish. The legend, Bill Belichick stepping down

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Speaker 2: slash fired, depending on who you talk to or listened

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Speaker 2: to from the New England Patriots after a glorious run,

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Speaker 2: a two decade run. It's weird. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: parse words too much, but if you listen to so

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Speaker 2: Kraft took the podium, then Belichick, and then they said all, okay,

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Speaker 2: we'll take questions later on today. I was like, oh,

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Speaker 2: that's interesting. Clearly something not great happened and they just

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Speaker 2: wait and come out we're professionals. And then they were like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I want to get the hell far away from the

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Speaker 2: other one. And it sounds again, this is just spitballing,

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Speaker 2: you know, reading reading the tea leaves, which we love

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Speaker 2: to do, is that Craft was unhappy with the direction

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Speaker 2: of things post Brady. This felt like rock bottom and

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Speaker 2: a good time to reset, and he wanted to make

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Speaker 2: some changes. Belichick, you know, had a year left on

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Speaker 2: his deal. Clearly thought like, I can turn this around.

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Speaker 2: I got to be a cap room. I got the

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Speaker 2: number two pick, and Craft is just like, no, thanks,

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Speaker 2: we're done. So now they're in a search for a

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Speaker 2: GM and a coach and we'll see what happens. It's

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Speaker 2: I had this funny thought. You know, you look around

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Speaker 2: the league and all of a sudden, it's like, oh,

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Speaker 2: Mike Vrabol got fired. Huh. And Bill Belichick is now

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Speaker 2: on the market. I know he's seventy two, but he's

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Speaker 2: on the market. And then Nick Saban up and retired

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Speaker 2: in Alabama. He's seventy two. Wow, market's pretty Oh, Jim

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Speaker 2: Harball may be leaving Michigan here in the next I

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Speaker 2: don't know, ninety six hours. It's like, damn all. Usually

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Speaker 2: it's slim pickings. It's like, oh, who do I want

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Speaker 2: to some retread? Don't want to take a chance on

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Speaker 2: a guy like Ebraflu's Do I want to take a

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Speaker 2: chance on an Eric b enemy? You know, you know,

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Speaker 2: you look back at Washington goes out in high there's

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Speaker 2: Ron Rivera a few years ago. It's like, what do

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Speaker 2: we do? Those are the options? Well, now, hell, you

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Speaker 2: look around the league and oh, damn Harball, Belichick, Rabel

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Speaker 2: and Nick Saban.

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Speaker 1: No.

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Speaker 2: I know, Nick Saban sounds like he's retiring and he's done,

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Speaker 2: And I get that. I totally get that. But if

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Speaker 2: you're an owner of a team and you've got to

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Speaker 2: say Matt Friggeniberflus as your head coach, you don't think

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Speaker 2: as the owner, you at least reach out to Jimmy Sexton,

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Speaker 2: the most powerful agent in the industry, and say, hey,

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Speaker 2: he is there a number that would entice Saban to

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Speaker 2: come here? Like do we even need to start a port?

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Speaker 2: Or is he done done? Like you got to make

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Speaker 2: that call, right, So then it gets a little more interesting,

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Speaker 2: Like Saban Okay, college football, I get it. Maybe he's

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Speaker 2: just done done and he's gonna retire at Alabama. He's gonna

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Speaker 2: keep his office and he's gonna do some consulting, uh

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Speaker 2: for the school and the next coach and onboarding and

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Speaker 2: all that fun stuff. Okay, that's fair. Well what about Harball,

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Speaker 2: Rabel and Belichick. If you're saying I don't know my

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Speaker 2: New York Jets and you're Woody Johns and you were like,

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Speaker 2: you know, a month ago we gave the vote of

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Speaker 2: confidence to Robert Salah, well holy shit, things have kind

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Speaker 2: of sort of changed. No, I could keep a coach

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Speaker 2: who's eighteen and thirty three a defensive guy eighteen and

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Speaker 2: thirty three, or I could kick the tires on Jim Harble.

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Speaker 2: He probably doesn't want to come to New York, but

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Speaker 2: I got at least call, don't I it's very rare

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Speaker 2: that like excellent coaches come on the market. Now. I

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Speaker 2: consider Rabel probably one of the best coaches to hit

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Speaker 2: the market because they were fired in a while. No,

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Speaker 2: I mean, remember Peyton stepped down, retired, went to TV

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Speaker 2: Like that wasn't fired. Like this is Mike Rabel on

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Speaker 2: the open market. That doesn't happen. And I don't think

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Speaker 2: you're doing your job as a billionaire owner to not

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Speaker 2: at least inquire about a guy like Mike Rabel or

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Speaker 2: Jim Harbaugh. And you got to wonder if there's a

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Speaker 2: lot of coaches around the league who are maybe a

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Speaker 2: little nervous that the market's kind of flooded with really

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Speaker 2: talented guys. You know, not only does Mike McCarthy have

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Speaker 2: to be wondering where the mindset is of his guy,

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Speaker 2: Dan Quinn as Seattle bounces Pete Carroll and sounds like

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Speaker 2: Pete Carroll may stay, but I don't know. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of chatter that he doesn't want to be done.

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Speaker 2: Like I wouldn't be looking to get in the Pete

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Speaker 2: Carroll business. But if you're like the Carolina Panthers and

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Speaker 2: you have zero culture and you're not going to be

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Speaker 2: getting anybody. Like there's no way Vrabel's going to Carolina

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Speaker 2: right to work with that owner. Like Tepper's not going

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Speaker 2: to have his pick of the litter. But if you're

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Speaker 2: a guy like Pete Carroll, not Pete Carroll's probably not

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Speaker 2: going to take it. He's a West Coast guy. I mean,

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Speaker 2: what happens if Tepper calls up and says, hey, Pete,

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Speaker 2: you know, we need a culture badly. I clearly have

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Speaker 2: no clue what they f I'm doing. I would love

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Speaker 2: it if you would come in and, you know, run

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Speaker 2: things here. What do you think is there a number

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Speaker 2: that interests you? I don't know. I don't know twenty

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Speaker 2: million years. I have no idea. Now I know he's

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Speaker 2: paying two fired coaches, but it's like, huh, I could

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Speaker 2: get Pete Carroll? Like what else are you look at it?

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Speaker 2: If you're Carolina. Ben Johnson's not going to Carolina. Sorry, guys,

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Speaker 2: it's not happening. Ben Johnson. He's in a great spot

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Speaker 2: in Detroit and he's only gonna leave for a really

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Speaker 2: really good head coaching job, like to work with Justin Herbert,

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Speaker 2: maybe to work with Caleb Williams. It's in the division,

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Speaker 2: so it seems unlikely. Does he go to Washington if

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Speaker 2: they're gonna get Drake Bay, I don't know, Like these

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Speaker 2: guys are gonna have options, and like Tennessee's gonna they're

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Speaker 2: not gonna get anyone. They're like the guy who waited, waited,

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Speaker 2: Waded didn't want to ask any girl to the dance

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Speaker 2: because he was shy, and then he's getting fomo like

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Speaker 2: two weeks before the dance and he's like, oh man,

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Speaker 2: everybody has a date. I guess I'm not even you know,

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Speaker 2: I don't even really know this girl, but I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna ask her, so I go with somebody, so so

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Speaker 2: I could hang out with my friends. Like that's where

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is headed with their coach, and we know that

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Speaker 2: ain't gonna end well, like unless they strike absolute gold

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Speaker 2: with something completely outside of the box. Hey, you know what,

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Speaker 2: let me uh hmm, let me take a swing at

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Speaker 2: I don't know. There's this coach at Clemson who doesn't

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Speaker 2: want to go to Alabama, and could we pry Dabo

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Speaker 2: Sweeney out of Clemson and bring him to the NFLTIC

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Speaker 2: have him have a shot. I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you got to get creative at that point and really

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Speaker 2: take some chances. But a lot of these college guys

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Speaker 2: have it great. What the hell are they leaving for now?

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Speaker 2: Of course, you could say the counter is also true.

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Speaker 2: They have it crappy in that they have to recruit

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Speaker 2: twenty four to seven nil has changed the game. Not

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Speaker 2: only do you recruit and land players, you've got to

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Speaker 2: then keep recruiting them and probably play them instantly. There's

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Speaker 2: not a lot of developmental stuff going on anymore in

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Speaker 2: college football. It's like, oh, you're not playing. You have

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Speaker 2: one hundred thousand and nil money and you're not playing.

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Speaker 2: And Pittsburgh comes and says, hey, we got three hundred

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Speaker 2: for you at nil and you start, well, are you

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Speaker 2: gonna get better sitting on the bench. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Do you want to go? I don't to Pittsburgh and

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Speaker 2: start and make more money? Who knows if you're going

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Speaker 2: to the NFL. It's just college is in a weird space,

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Speaker 2: and I just wonder would a college coach take a

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Speaker 2: chance on a Tennessee at Carolina. I have no clue,

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Speaker 2: but all I know is the NFL market right now

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Speaker 2: is just totally popping off with all sorts of stuff.

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Speaker 2: You got Vrabel out there. I don't think he's a

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Speaker 2: slam dunk to go to New England following Belichick. I

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Speaker 2: just don't know how enticing that is. Roster in New

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Speaker 2: England is kind of garbage. So I know they got

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Speaker 2: cap Bruhm. I know they got a high draft pick.

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Speaker 2: But again, you know, I'm a Jets fan, so I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna say anything nice, but Woody Johnson, can you

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Speaker 2: call Harball? Can you at least see because if Jim

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Speaker 2: Harble's taking the job, we're taking him in a heartbeat,

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Speaker 2: although he's probably not gonna want to deal with Aaron

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Speaker 2: Rodgers anyways. All right, let's get to our guest for

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Speaker 2: age varies by jurisdiction, Void and Ontario. Bonus bets expire

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Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty eight hours after issuance. See dkang

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Speaker 2: dot com slash football for eligibility and deposit restrictions, terms

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Speaker 2: and responsible gaming resources.

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Speaker 1: You know a guy Jason likes to think he knows

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Speaker 1: everything when it comes to sports. I know what sports

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Speaker 1: dance wants, but for everything he doesn't. He knows a

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Speaker 1: guy who does let's just say I know a guy

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Speaker 1: who knows a guy who knows another guy.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's welcome in a frequent guest on the

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Speaker 2: Pod to break down Super wild Card weekend. Ta the Man,

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Speaker 2: the myth, the legend. How are you ta good?

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Speaker 1: Jason? Haven't been here for a while, so just talking

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Speaker 1: the NFL with you.

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Speaker 2: I think we had you in the preseason. You gave

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Speaker 2: out just winners galore. You said that if I remember

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Speaker 2: this one, that Arizona was not tanking. What happened with

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Speaker 2: their win total? I didn't bet it after you came on,

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Speaker 2: because you you know ginning pretty well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that win total plummeted. I think it closed at

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Speaker 1: like three and a half. It was Wow. It was

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Speaker 1: like as low as you can get. And obviously nobody

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Speaker 1: had any faith that the Arizona was even trying to win,

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Speaker 1: so they did clear that closing number, but there was

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Speaker 1: I think early on it was like five five and

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Speaker 1: a half, like way before all the tankings. So anyone

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Speaker 1: who got in early actually won on the under, and

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Speaker 1: anyone got in late one on the over. So but

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Speaker 1: I think all in all was a good season for

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Speaker 1: them for base off.

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Speaker 2: Were they your second favorite team after the Browns.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, obviously I have a little little connection

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Speaker 1: there and rooting for them, and you know, they played

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Speaker 1: hard all year, like they were never really out of

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Speaker 1: these games, and limited talent, especially on defense. They had

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Speaker 1: no talent on defense towards the end of the year,

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Speaker 1: and they were you know, they go into Philly and

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Speaker 1: win outright. So there they're sitting with a top five pick.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully they can't get a guy like Marvin Harrison be

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Speaker 1: perfect for them. They got tons of cap space, tons

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Speaker 1: of draft picks. Like they're sitting really pretty if they

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Speaker 1: utilize that.

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Speaker 2: Well, it's funny how Gannon goes leaves, the Eagles goes

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Speaker 2: to Arizona, and the Eagles defense just falls apart. It

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Speaker 2: is abysmal this year. They can't stop anybody. We'll get

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Speaker 2: to Tampa Philly in a minute. But well, let's start

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Speaker 2: with your other favorite team, the Browns. They're in Houston.

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Speaker 2: Interesting line here, I think a lot of people, casual

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Speaker 2: betters are stunned that CJ. Stroud is a dog. The

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Speaker 2: Browns were I think one and a half at the open,

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Speaker 2: now two and a half. I bet your Browns here,

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Speaker 2: But now I'm starting to have buyers remorse as it's

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Speaker 2: gone up. But you know the CJ. Stroud factor, Like listen,

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Speaker 2: he's been phenomenal this year. He was incredible in almost

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Speaker 2: every game, but he has struggled against a bandon man defense,

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Speaker 2: which your guy Schwartz loves to do.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and he has struggled against pressure. If you look

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Speaker 1: at his numbers when he's pressured versus a clean pocket,

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Speaker 1: I think he is one of the largest dropoffs in

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Speaker 1: the NFL once all quarterbacks, so and that's not surprising.

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Speaker 1: That's how he was at Ohio State, and that's just

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Speaker 1: you know, young quarterbacks don't deal with pressure very well.

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Speaker 1: So if the Browns can get to him, then they're

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Speaker 1: gonna likely have success. I find this line interesting. I

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Speaker 1: personally didn't bet it. I thought that I thought that

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Speaker 1: this might be, you know, like a pickum or maybe

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Speaker 1: Houston minus one. So when the Browns are favored and

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Speaker 1: then you know, the line kind of crept up towards three.

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Speaker 1: I was really stunned the way I looked at it.

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Speaker 1: You know, they these two teams played a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks ago and early that was right as the week

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Speaker 1: after Stroud had just missed a game due to a concussion,

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Speaker 1: and most of these quarterbacks come back after one missed game,

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Speaker 1: so everyone assumed that he was going to play. The

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Speaker 1: line opened two and a half in favor of Houston,

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Speaker 1: and it was there for about two days until the

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Speaker 1: announcement came that you know, he wasn't gonna practice and

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Speaker 1: he might not play, and then you know, the line

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Speaker 1: flipped and I think the Browns closed minus three. So

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Speaker 1: the market was telling you initially just a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks ago, that Houston was a two and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorite at home. So for this line to completely

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Speaker 1: this is essentially are almost the same number as when

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Speaker 1: we saw case Keenum starting for Houston. So I think

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Speaker 1: you're paying a little bit of a tax for the

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Speaker 1: rookie quarterback thing, right, like the you know, rookie quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: or first time quarterbacks in the playoffs. Obviously that there's

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Speaker 1: a little tax there, you know. There, there's the the

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Speaker 1: Browns have played well the last couple of weeks with Flacco,

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Speaker 1: They're getting some buzz, so you know, it's clearly a

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Speaker 1: premium here, but I think it's a little expensive personally,

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm just rooting for the Browns, so

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting it, but I think this number might

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Speaker 1: be a tad high. And now you heard Devinzel Award

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Speaker 1: got hurt in practice today, which is odd, so hopefully

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Speaker 1: that's not a big deal. But you know that Will

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Speaker 1: Anderson didn't play in that first game either, by the way,

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Speaker 1: for Houston, so he's still he's still hurt. He played

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Speaker 1: the last last two games of the of the year,

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Speaker 1: so he should be fine to play. Jonathan Grenard, who

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Speaker 1: has twelve and a half sacks, he didn't. I think

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Speaker 1: he left after two or three snaps in that first game,

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Speaker 1: so he's Questionable's he's more questionable I think the Will Anderson.

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Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens. But you know, if they

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Speaker 1: get those guys back, like this is a completely different

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Speaker 1: team than the Browns world just three weeks ago, so

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Speaker 1: I think it'll be it'll be a really close game.

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Speaker 2: He did play, You're right, in the indie game at

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Speaker 2: the end he had it looks like he didn't play

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Speaker 2: a ton of his normal stats that he was playing

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Speaker 2: earlier in the year. But yeah, no, he's a game

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Speaker 2: changer off the edge, and the Browns are down both

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Speaker 2: starting tackles, right that's been the case for a few

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Speaker 2: weeks maybe.

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Speaker 1: Actually their top three tackles. So to rookie Dwan Jones

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Speaker 1: out of Ohio State, who was playing really well.

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Speaker 2: He was.

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Speaker 1: Filling in for Jedrick Wills and Jack Hanklan on the

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Speaker 1: right side. Yeah, he's out for the season a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks ago, so you know they're playing with backups

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Speaker 1: out there. And it's amazing what Stefanski and this offense

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Speaker 1: is done between Flacco and Jerome Ford instead of Watson

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Speaker 1: and Nick Chubb, and then you're down to your fourth

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Speaker 1: and fifth tackles. It's just incredible what they've done offensively

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Speaker 1: to hold this thing together.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of injuries the Dolphins, it looks like they're gonna

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Speaker 2: be down five starting defenders and a rotational guy at six.

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Speaker 2: Moster is back, which is a huge help. This is

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Speaker 2: a tough game for me. And by the way, do

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Speaker 2: you have Peacock or are you one of these guys

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Speaker 2: who's like going to do the trial for Peacock and

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Speaker 2: then cancel.

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Speaker 1: No, I have all these streaming services like that. You

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Speaker 1: know when when COVID hit, like me and my wife,

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Speaker 1: we were binging everything. My wife was pregnant, so we

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Speaker 1: bought everything and I what a couple of bucks a month.

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Speaker 1: I just keep them all.

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Speaker 2: So have you seen bell Air or no?

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Speaker 1: No, I am not.

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Speaker 2: I think it's good man, the fresh per three boot.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, maybe not for you, but I greatly

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Speaker 2: enjoyed it. So we have peacock okay, And I don't know,

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Speaker 2: maybe I'm dumb. I bet the Chiefs here at the

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Speaker 2: outset very early a juice minus three. It's up to

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Speaker 2: four now. I do have problems with the chief getting

356
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Speaker 2: separation here. Maybe maybe McDaniel just says we're just going

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Speaker 2: to run Mostert and a chin all day and make

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Speaker 2: them stop us. It worked largely against Buffalo, but is

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Speaker 2: it going to work in casey rested Chiefs Miami kind

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Speaker 2: of a short week. I don't know, man, it's.

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Speaker 1: A tough game. So I think three's a good number

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Speaker 1: for you. I think that's the right number. I actually

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Speaker 1: just took four and a half, and I took under

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Speaker 1: forty four and a half earlier today. I just thought

365
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Speaker 1: it was I thought the numbers were too high, and

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Speaker 1: I did more. You know me, I like to really

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Speaker 1: dig in, and I've got a database going back to

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Speaker 1: two thousand of every game. I even have you know

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Speaker 1: some weather data. So I was just curious, like the

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Speaker 1: more and more I'm looking at some of this weather,

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Speaker 1: these weather forecasts, like it keeps getting colder by the day,

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Speaker 1: and we're talking about I saw a pickoff temperature at zero,

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Speaker 1: and it's gonna be negative tempts during the game, and

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be fifteen mile hour wins. And obviously when

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Speaker 1: you have a weather issue like that, that usually brings

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Speaker 1: the underdog closer, right, a higher variance game, a lot

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Speaker 1: of things can happen. And so I know it's Miami,

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Speaker 1: but I think everyone's gonna be cold. Like I don't

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Speaker 1: think it matters whether you're from Miami or you're from Ohio,

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Speaker 1: you're from Missouri, like it doesn't you know, it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna be freezing when it's below zero. So it's

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Speaker 1: gonna affect everybody. And when you look back, I just

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Speaker 1: did a quick search like I did temperatures from six

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Speaker 1: degrees and lower because at that at the time, that's

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Speaker 1: what the expected high temperature was going to be. And

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Speaker 1: since two thousand, I'm talking regular season and playoffs, the

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Speaker 1: underdog is actually seven to zero to one against the spread.

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Speaker 1: Only one game. Yeah, only one game was decided by

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Speaker 1: more than three points if you could believe that the

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Speaker 1: under was seven and one in those games too, and

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Speaker 1: no game had more than forty three points scored total.

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Speaker 1: So I do think like you'll see some stuff. People

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Speaker 1: will post things that like, oh, no, you know, temperature

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter when it's twenty five or thirty degrees below.

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Speaker 1: You know, the overhits, but like it really as you

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Speaker 1: get to the single digits, it drops off precipitously, and

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Speaker 1: you know you're in La guys, you don't know how

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Speaker 1: it is. I'm a Cleveland guy. There's a gigantic difference

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Speaker 1: between twenty five to thirty degrees and five degrees or

400
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Speaker 1: negative tests both. Like literally you you don't feel your

401
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Speaker 1: face after like thirty seconds. So like to me, you

402
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Speaker 1: got a hard and ball. You got a Chiefs team

403
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Speaker 1: that I mean, these receivers can't catch the ball anyway,

404
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,400
Speaker 1: like they're gonna catch up thro football. So both teams

405
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 1: are gonna run and a lie and look that the

406
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Speaker 1: Dolphins are one of the best run offenses in the

407
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Speaker 1: NFL between eighth han and if most are plays like

408
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Speaker 1: they could keep the ball on the ground and to

409
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Speaker 1: a know, probably is gonna struggle because he's not used

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Speaker 1: to this weather for sure. So I just think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a lower scoring game. I think both teams

412
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Speaker 1: are gonna run the ball a lot. You'll see a

413
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Speaker 1: lot of Pacheco and even though the Miami defenders all

414
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Speaker 1: those edge rushers are gone, you know, it doesn't matter

415
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Speaker 1: as much if you can't push the ball down the

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Speaker 1: field with a frozen football, and you know, in these temperatures.

417
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Speaker 1: So I just think it just plays out to be

418
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Speaker 1: a lower scoring game, and that you know, obviously favors

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Speaker 1: for a team getting four and a half, It just

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Speaker 1: brings it closer closer to the favorite. So I just

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Speaker 1: decided to take the points there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, how many people do you think are just gonna

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Speaker 2: see cold weather to Miami and instantly bet KC. Which

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Speaker 2: is I mean the books seem fine with that, huhts

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Speaker 2: up to four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Well, and that's what I mean. I think that's that's

427
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,280
Speaker 1: all the mop in. There's no way, like any I know,

428
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 1: the injuries matter, but there's no way, based on how

429
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 1: the season has gone, that you can ever favor Kansas

430
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 1: City by four and a half, right, Like just purely

431
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:57,639
Speaker 1: based on statistics and how the season's gone, because they

432
00:20:57,640 --> 00:20:59,439
Speaker 1: just they don't blow anybody out. I mean, they were

433
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 1: just favored by seven over at Jake Browning led Bengals team, right,

434
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,879
Speaker 1: So tell me, like that team is two and a

435
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:07,520
Speaker 1: half points worse than Miami, you know, I mean, they're

436
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,680
Speaker 1: a lot worse. So it's clearly all that is baked

437
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: into between the two of stuff and the injuries and

438
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 1: the weather. I think that's all baked into this being

439
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 1: inflated here. So you know, like I said, your number three,

440
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 1: I think is a good one. I think that's a

441
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: perfectly fine bet, and then I think my four and

442
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 1: a half is good. On the other side, I think

443
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 1: it's you have two good bets there.

444
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 2: This is kind of an open question and a difficult one,

445
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 2: but what the hell's wrong with k C. It can't

446
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 2: just be the drops. I know they lead the league

447
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 2: in drops, and they'd be better if they didn't have them.

448
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,639
Speaker 2: And there was a couple high leverage plays that they

449
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 2: lost out on with the turnovers against the Eagles and

450
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,679
Speaker 2: the pass interference against the Packers, and you could make

451
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:46,679
Speaker 2: all these excuses, but they just they're not destroyed like

452
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 2: the Eagles aren't destroying teams like they were last year.

453
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 2: The Chiefs just don't look crisp at all in any

454
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 2: facet offensively, don't Can you put your finger on one

455
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 2: one thing?

456
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I don't have all the tracking data,

457
00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: but I just don't think the receivers are getting any separate.

458
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 1: Travis Kelce, Look, he's getting older now, he was hurt

459
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,919
Speaker 1: earlier in the year, and you know he's just not

460
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 1: He's just not getting as open as he used to.

461
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 1: And then you have no speed on the outside yet.

462
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 1: Rashid Rice, who's fine, but he's a rookie, right, and

463
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 1: he's a he's a good player, but he's not an

464
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 1: elite receiver, so you just don't have those options outside.

465
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 1: And I think Patrick Mahomes offensive line hasn't played well either,

466
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: especially in that Raiders game. You saw it. He got skittish.

467
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 1: You know, you're not used to seeing it. But and

468
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,680
Speaker 1: I don't blame him. He's panicking a little bit early.

469
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,439
Speaker 1: He's like trying It's like he doesn't feel comfortable in

470
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 1: the pocket like he used to, so you know he's

471
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 1: trying to get out of the pocket a little bit early,

472
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: trying to make a play. He's not just you know,

473
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,000
Speaker 1: taking those quick throws. So I think it's a combination

474
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 1: of all of that. So but their defense is a

475
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 1: lot better, right, So it's making up for some of

476
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: the offensive deficiencies. And we'll see, Like I'm always you know,

477
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:49,879
Speaker 1: we'll talk about the Eagles in Tampa. I'm always skeptical

478
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: of these teams to quote unquote turn it on, you know,

479
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Like we we thought we were gonna

480
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 1: see that with Tampa and the Bucks last year, right,

481
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 1: Like everybody thought, oh that the Bucks once they get

482
00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 1: to the playoffs, like they're gonna turn around, because all

483
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: year they struggled, and then they got to the playoffs.

484
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 1: Everyone bet them as a home dog against Dallas and

485
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: they got destroyed. So we just got to be careful,

486
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: you know that these teams. Just can't assume that these

487
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: teams are gonna you know, turn the lights on. But

488
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 1: you do have the best quarter but you do have

489
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 1: the best quarterback in the NFL there, so that's always

490
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 1: a possibility.

491
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:20,879
Speaker 2: And so it's funny with the Chiefs last year, my

492
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 2: big thing was, Okay, they'll be okay in the regular

493
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 2: season without Tyreek, but in the playoffs, like, who's going

494
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 2: to be that guy who you could third and nine

495
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,880
Speaker 2: you just need it, and Mahomes was like seven touchdowns,

496
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 2: no turnovers, amazing postseason run, and then they win the

497
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 2: super Bowl. It was just all Mahomes. I don't it

498
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,360
Speaker 2: doesn't look like he can be Superman again, at least

499
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 2: from what I've seen this year.

500
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,199
Speaker 1: And he's amazing. Least twenty second in the NFL in

501
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 1: completions of twenty plus yards down the field, Like they're

502
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: taking away all the all the deep stuff and they

503
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,679
Speaker 1: just don't have many options to go deep. And then

504
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 1: when they do throw a deep, guys like MBS are

505
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 1: dropping it right, like I guess in that Eagles game.

506
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 1: So it's just a combination of all of that. I

507
00:23:58,040 --> 00:23:59,880
Speaker 1: think is just playing into it. And I think even

508
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 1: last year he had a similar wide receiving corps, but

509
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: he had a you know, Travis Kelcey was still playing

510
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 1: an elite level and he was getting so that was

511
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: a big difference there and that clearly has made the difference.

512
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 1: And you know, the offensive line isn't as good as

513
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 1: it was last year either. So yeah, I said, I

514
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: think it's all of that, but maybe they turned it

515
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: on here and you know it's it's Mahomes and Indie

516
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:19,439
Speaker 1: Reid and that's all you need to get to the

517
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: super Bowl again. Stuff. We'll see.

518
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Steelers are it looks like as we record this

519
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,919
Speaker 2: year Thursday, they're getting some money against the Bills. It

520
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 2: looks like this is headed toward nine and a half again.

521
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 2: I don't know, man, this was ten and a half.

522
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 2: It seems like Buffalo's to slam dunk. It's Mason Rudolph,

523
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 2: first time quarterback. The Buffalo Bills went from out of

524
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:42,679
Speaker 2: the playoffs to the number two seed. A massive wind

525
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 2: game here, which actually kind of helps the Steelers. I

526
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 2: don't know, man, I'm that idiot who just said give

527
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:50,920
Speaker 2: me Buffalo at ten, and it looks like I'm on

528
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,120
Speaker 2: the wrong side at least closing line value. We'll see

529
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,199
Speaker 2: what that means. But I don't know anything for you

530
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 2: on this one.

531
00:24:56,160 --> 00:25:00,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. Actually again along with that Kansas City or that

532
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 1: Miami and under, I took Pittsburgh plus ten and it's

533
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 1: you know, not saying my cause, my bet cause, but

534
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 1: it's just good timing. I guess that the number is

535
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: starting to dip it again. It's like you just mentioned,

536
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 1: with these you know, twenty plus mile an hour sustained wins.

537
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: I've seen gus over thirty. You know, the temperature should

538
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 1: be okay, in the twenties. It's not like as cold

539
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 1: as it will be in Kansas City. But again, that

540
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 1: brings in, especially a big underdog like this, that brings

541
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: in the level of variance and you know, kind of

542
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 1: levels the playing field. And when you're getting a double

543
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 1: digit underdog at this and so Mike Tomlin, you know,

544
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:40,760
Speaker 1: back team like you know that that increases the ability

545
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 1: of these dogs to cover in this run game. For Pittsburgh, yeah,

546
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,720
Speaker 1: they faced you know, Seattle and Cincinnati and the backups

547
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 1: for Baltimore. But they've really turned it on the last

548
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 1: three weeks with Mason Rudolph. There's the second best run

549
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 1: offense in the NFL in the last three weeks. And

550
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: when you look at success right logic, Yeah.

551
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,159
Speaker 2: God, who did they play in the last three weeks.

552
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 1: Well that's what I just said. So Seattle, right, and

553
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 1: the backups for Baltimore. But Buffalo, Buffalo's run defense is solid.

554
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,679
Speaker 1: They're eleventh, but they have allowed you'd be surprised at this.

555
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 1: They've allowed the or they've played the single easiest schedule

556
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: of opposing run offenses, so they haven't been tested. And

557
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,199
Speaker 1: they've allowed the second highest rate of explosive runs, so

558
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 1: fifteen yard runs they've allowed the second highest rate. So

559
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 1: you know, maybe not on a down to down basis.

560
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: You know Pittsburgh will have a ton of success, but

561
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,920
Speaker 1: you know they can't break off a runner. Two. Jalen

562
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 1: Warren's tough to tackle. This isn't the greatest tackling Buffalo defense.

563
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: Jal No, he is not. He's out for the season.

564
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 1: So they're line yeah, and so their linebackers are a

565
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,960
Speaker 1: little smaller and not as great a tackling. So again

566
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: it's still solid defense. But you know this, I think

567
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 1: this Pittsburgh team can at least run the ball. Naijie

568
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 1: Harris has like turned the corner like he used to

569
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 1: look like he was stuck in mud. But the last

570
00:26:55,880 --> 00:27:00,239
Speaker 1: three weeks, even against the competition, he's facing like He's

571
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,399
Speaker 1: rushed for over three hundred yards the last three games

572
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 1: and he's looked good doing and he's broken a bunch

573
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,439
Speaker 1: of tackles. I think they could do just enough on

574
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 1: the ground. You know, Mason Rudolph, he's not going to

575
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,280
Speaker 1: throw the ball down the field in this weather. But

576
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 1: all he needs to do is throw quick slants to

577
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,640
Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson and George Pickens and they do the rest, right.

578
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,879
Speaker 1: I mean, they've got back to back or two of

579
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 1: the last three weeks quick slants have taken it, you know,

580
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 1: seventy plus yards for a touchdown. And they're playmakers. So

581
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 1: you know, and Russell Douglas is Buffalo's top corner. He

582
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 1: got hurt last week. He hasn't practiced yet. You know,

583
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,960
Speaker 1: who knows if he'll play. Dave Davis is out for

584
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:37,360
Speaker 1: Buffalo likely, you know, as good as you know Buffalo

585
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 1: is on offense generally, you know, their bottom ten in

586
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 1: explosive pass plays like they have not pushed the ball

587
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: down the field, and you're gonna be without your your

588
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: top you know, deep ball receiver and Gave Davis. It's

589
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of running. I expect Fournett and

590
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 1: James Cook and obviously Josh Allen. Take a look at

591
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: Josh Allen rush props. You know, he could have a

592
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:55,680
Speaker 1: big game. I think they're gonna keep it on the

593
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: ground and I just think it's it's gonna be one

594
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 1: of those lower scoring games. And you know a lot

595
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:00,920
Speaker 1: of people will talk about the taj Watt injury, and

596
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 1: I totally get it. A lot of back in the

597
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 1: prior years, like his backups have been really, really poor.

598
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 1: I think last year, combined all that edge rushers behind him,

599
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: so obviously not Alex Highsmith on the other side, but

600
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:18,439
Speaker 1: all the backups had like thirteen total pressures and no

601
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 1: sacks in action without t J Watt. This year, Nate

602
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 1: Herbig was a really promising rookie out of Wisconsin. Marcus Golden,

603
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,360
Speaker 1: who's an underrated veteran who's kind of been all over

604
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,919
Speaker 1: the place. Those guys have played really well. Both have

605
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 1: a PFF pass rush grades over eighty. They have seven

606
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: sacks combined, so I think they can do just enough

607
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: to fill the gap and you might not need that

608
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 1: pass rush as much with the weather and then win

609
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 1: the way it is so again, I think lower scoring.

610
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:48,000
Speaker 1: I mean the totals thirty five, so you get an

611
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 1: underdog nine ten points, it's becomes highly valuable. And I

612
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: think as long as they limit the turnovers, I think

613
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 1: it's just kind of one of those twenty to thirteen

614
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 1: time games, and you know, to me, the points are

615
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:57,719
Speaker 1: just too valuable.

616
00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 2: Here, it's probably the smart play. I'm looking at Josh

617
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 2: Allen's playoff history against the spread. I don't have the

618
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 2: full number, but I have the box scores. So in

619
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 2: his first one against the Texans, did not cover. I

620
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 2: know he did not cover the next year against Philip

621
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:12,840
Speaker 2: Rivers because I think you would come on. That was

622
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 2: when you were coming on. Yeah, they covered the Colts

623
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 2: did Then they did cover against the Ravens. I had

624
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: lamar in that one. They did not cover against the

625
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 2: Chiefs in a blowout. The following year covered against the Patriots,

626
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 2: did not cover in the overtime loss to the Chiefs,

627
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 2: remember the great game. And then last year didn't cover

628
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 2: against Miami and then got their butts kicked by the Bengals. Right,

629
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 2: so Alan, Yeah, but he's not a covering machine in

630
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 2: the playoffs.

631
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 1: How about this one? You want a trend? Because I

632
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:42,959
Speaker 1: was looking it up because I was like, I felt like,

633
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 1: you know, when you see the Chargers game that going

634
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 1: to l a couple of weeks ago and almost loot

635
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: outright to what as an eleven twelve point favorite? Yeah,

636
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 1: do you know they're oh for their last nine covering

637
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 1: a double digit spread. They're two to nine in the

638
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: last eleven instances that they haven't covered a double digit

639
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 1: number since Week five of last year. Like, they are

640
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: not blowing teams out that they're supposed to. They play much,

641
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 1: but they step up in competition really well. But when

642
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 1: they play teams inferior teams, they're just not blowing them out.

643
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 1: And I think that's a function of just the offense

644
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 1: isn't as explosive as it used to. You know, Stefan

645
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: Diggs isn't as active. They're not pushing it down the field.

646
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: And you know now with Joe Brady a little bit

647
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 1: more conservative running the football. So again, all of that

648
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 1: to me points towards towards Pittsburgh here just to keep

649
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: it closer. Look, you got the Mike Tomlin voodoo that's

650
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:29,959
Speaker 1: always out there. I mean, if the game's gonna be close,

651
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: like you never know with this team.

652
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 2: I don't know about on the road. I mean, Mason

653
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 2: Rudolph is rough. Although he's eighteen of twenty in the

654
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 2: rain against the Ravens. I was stunned. I had Baltimore

655
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: last week, all right, So then the next game is

656
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 2: probably the second best game Packers Cowboys. And you said

657
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 2: you don't have a side on this one. This is

658
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 2: for me the toughest one to bet because I want

659
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: the Packers, but I don't know. I just feel like

660
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 2: Dallas might just blow them out. I had some Dallas

661
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 2: futures to win the Super Bowl and NFC, I don't know, man,

662
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 2: this is you were the guy who was telling us

663
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 2: the Packers are like the most boom bust team in

664
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 2: the preseason, right.

665
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 1: Yep, yep. That was my top kind of sleeper pick

666
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,920
Speaker 1: from an NFC standpoint was the Packers just because I thought,

667
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 1: you know, everyone just assumed Jordan Love was not good,

668
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: right because of like very limited action. And I said, look,

669
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 1: the guy's got a pedigree, he's a first round pick,

670
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 1: he's got all the tools, he's athletic, got a good arm.

671
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 1: We just hadn't seen them. So I said, well, why

672
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 1: are we just assuming he's going to be really bad?

673
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: And it's not like Aaron Rodgers was great last year,

674
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 1: so the bar was not very high. And knew they

675
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 1: had an easy schedule, so I thought that if he

676
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: was just above average that they could make the playoffs.

677
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 1: And he's actually way better. Number five in EPA per

678
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: dropback this year. He was awesome in the last He

679
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: was awesome in the last half of the year. If

680
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 1: you look at the last I think, like eight or

681
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 1: nine weeks, number three in the NFL among all quarterbacks

682
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 1: in EPA, eighteen touchdowns, one interception, Like he kind of

683
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: snuck up to be one of one of the best

684
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in the NFL. So, if the thing is again,

685
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 1: this is his first playoff start in a tough environment

686
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: in Dallas. He didn't face a ton of great defenses.

687
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:01,800
Speaker 1: You know, he did face Kansas City and played well.

688
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: Hasn't really faced a tough defense on the road. I

689
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: don't know this. This is like one of those I

690
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 1: know a lot of people are gonna want to tease

691
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: Dallas down to one and a half. I'm a little

692
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:12,520
Speaker 1: worried if i'm if I'm a Dallas Packer. Like Green

693
00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 1: Bay when they're on, like the way they played against

694
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 1: Detroit on Thanksgiving, they could beat anybody in the NFL.

695
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 1: We saw obviously, we saw them beat the Chiefs. We

696
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 1: saw them beat the Lions or two of the best

697
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 1: teams like they can. They can you know, pour it

698
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 1: on you and Jordan Love can get hot. So it's

699
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: one of those teams that like, I don't. I would

700
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: not want to lay any amount or you know, tease

701
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 1: them because they could they could lose by twenty or

702
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 1: they can win outright, Like I think it's a lot

703
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: of boom er bus like. So I haven't bet anything here.

704
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 1: I'm rooting for Green Bay because I just like the story.

705
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 1: And again I was rooting for them all year and

706
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 1: I think they're fun, a lot of young talent. On offense,

707
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: They're gonna get Christian Watson back, I will say so. Defensively,

708
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: they've been horrible this year, especially the back like month

709
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 1: of the year. They actually made Bryce Young look look

710
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 1: like a real good quarterback, which nobody has. But they

711
00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 1: they've been really banged up all year. Jay Era and

712
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,720
Speaker 1: Xanders get up play. We think he got hurt today supposedly,

713
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 1: but Thevondre Campbell, their best linebacker, the heart of their defense.

714
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 1: He's came back last week. They've only played a couple

715
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 1: of games together, and when they've played together, they've been

716
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 1: really good. They've been a top ten defense. So again

717
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: limited sample size, but now they essentially have their lineup

718
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: that they've they've wanted from the beginning. So we'll see

719
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 1: how they how they match up against Dallas. It's hard

720
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 1: to stop, but you know Exander's playing, he can slow

721
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,239
Speaker 1: down ceedee lamb. You know he's a guy who got

722
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 1: the match. So I think it's gonna be the most

723
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 1: I think that game in the Rams game with the Lions,

724
00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 1: or the two most fun games for sure.

725
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 2: Football is back. No more preseason games. The regular season

726
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727
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729
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,680
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730
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731
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733
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736
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738
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,719
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739
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:29,080
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740
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 2: ta obviously you're a huge numbers guy. But when you

741
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 2: see Jerry Jones not saying, oh, McCarthy's our guy going forward,

742
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 2: blah blah blah, and you know, we'll see how the

743
00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,759
Speaker 2: playoffs go. I know you can't quantify it, but that's

744
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 2: got to put a little added pressure on McCarthy, who

745
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 2: has had two not great playoff games against the Niners

746
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 2: in losses the last you know, the last two years.

747
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 2: I just wonder close game in the fourth quarter, Lafloor,

748
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 2: we're with house money, we didn't expect to be here,

749
00:34:56,400 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 2: and McCarthy we've seen him get super conservative. And again,

750
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 2: you can't put numbers on it, but how do you

751
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,399
Speaker 2: how do you factor that in? Yeah?

752
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: I think there. I think Lafleur has a big coaching

753
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 1: edge when it comes to game strategy, especially late. I mean,

754
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:13,879
Speaker 1: we've seen McCarthy screw things up constantly. Uh and again

755
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 1: maybe maybe like all week it doesn't affect him, but

756
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 1: maybe towards the end of the game, you know, he

757
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 1: gets pressure and he you know, you know, win that paray.

758
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:23,879
Speaker 1: I gotta win this game, Gotta win this game. Got

759
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 1: to make the right call or got to call the

760
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 1: right time out or you know, there are you know

761
00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:30,479
Speaker 1: there is there's opportunity for him to make mistakes there

762
00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 1: when the pressure is on. And I do think now

763
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,439
Speaker 1: that Bill Belichick's available, I you know, tell me Jerry

764
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 1: Jones wouldn't salivate to have him if Mike McCarthy screws

765
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 1: up here or loses this game or even the next round.

766
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 1: So that definitely that pressure doesn't matter. And I think

767
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 1: the coaching edge, you know, definitely is on Lafleur side.

768
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 2: That's a good I was thinking hardball, but yeah, Belichick

769
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:53,880
Speaker 2: sure certainly the best game. I think everybody agrees that.

770
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 2: With the story lines that Lions hosting the Rams. My

771
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:00,600
Speaker 2: problem t A I got Rams here, but see, I

772
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:03,840
Speaker 2: haven't seen one person that I respect or that's credible

773
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 2: take the Lions. I don't know who you want.

774
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: I'm behind the Rams too, but I got a three

775
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:11,239
Speaker 1: and a half. So it depends, right, that's nice. Yeah,

776
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,759
Speaker 1: it's different than if you get at three and like,

777
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 1: I get it. It's kind of a trendy dog. But

778
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 1: don't worry about that. I mean there's you know, to me,

779
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 1: when I when I ran my numbers, I wasn't gonna

780
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:22,919
Speaker 1: I didn't think I was gonna like the Rams because

781
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:25,279
Speaker 1: I haven't been on them much this year, but some

782
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 1: really smart guys I know have been on them for

783
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 1: the last half of the year. And the more I

784
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 1: kind of dug in if you look at this this offense,

785
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 1: and you look at them when they have a healthy lineup,

786
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:38,319
Speaker 1: So that means obviously Matthew Stafford, Nikua, Cooper Cup, and

787
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 1: Kyrin Williams, because Kyrin Williams missed a handful of games.

788
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,720
Speaker 1: Stafford missed, missed a game, Cooper Cup obviously missed early

789
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 1: in the season. Those guys have played eight games together.

790
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,840
Speaker 1: They've averaged nearly thirty points per game. They are the

791
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 1: NFL's number one ranked offense in those games. We look

792
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 1: at EPA, so some of the advanced metrics better than

793
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 1: the Niners. If you could believe that this twenty six

794
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,359
Speaker 1: plus in six right games, and they've done so. It's

795
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,319
Speaker 1: not like they're doing it against like the dregs of

796
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 1: the NFL. In terms of the defenses. They've scored thirty

797
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: plus against the Browns, Ravens, and Saints. That's the number one,

798
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:15,680
Speaker 1: number two, and number five EPA defenses in the NFL.

799
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: Like they're they're no joke, they're for real. You got

800
00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 1: obviously a great offensive mine and Sean McVay is gonna

801
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 1: have a week to prepare against you know, Aaron Glenn.

802
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 1: Aaron Glenn is not the He's a great players coach,

803
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 1: he's not a good strategic coach. And we saw that.

804
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 1: You know, the Lions have really struggled. The Lions defense

805
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 1: is bottom ten in most metrics, and they're one of

806
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 1: the they've they've generated some of the highest rate of

807
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 1: turnovers in the NFL, so they're getting They're lucky they're

808
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 1: not the worst defense in the NFL because of these turnovers.

809
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 1: So I just think you get a week to prepare.

810
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 1: Big advantage. Obviously McVeigh and Rahee Morris, no Jared Goff.

811
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:52,360
Speaker 1: Inside out, you have Sam Laporto who's probably not gonna play.

812
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:54,840
Speaker 1: You have Khalif Raymond. So the one area that I

813
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: would be concerned about, So keep an eye on. The

814
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,799
Speaker 1: Rams have the worst special teams in the NFL. They're off,

815
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,080
Speaker 1: they can't make a field goal, and they're not good

816
00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 1: on special teams. Khalif Raymond, who's a really good returner

817
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 1: for Detroit, he got hurt last game. He may not play.

818
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 1: That's a big that's a big edge that could be

819
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 1: lost if he's not able to go. But that's the

820
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: one area that like maybe you know, the Rams need

821
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: a field goal to win a game or to tie it,

822
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:21,879
Speaker 1: or they allow a punt return, or you know, there's

823
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: a block somewhere, Like that's the one area that this

824
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 1: thing could go down, go down south. But you know,

825
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 1: the Rams defense is not great, not a lot of

826
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 1: household names outside of Aaron Donald. Kobe Turner has been

827
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 1: really good find as a rookie along the defensive line.

828
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 1: But they're kind of, you know, you know, middle of

829
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 1: the pack in every category. But they have not created

830
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:43,319
Speaker 1: many turnovers at all. They're opposite of the Lions. So

831
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:47,760
Speaker 1: I like that because you know, turnovers are typically fluky,

832
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 1: and so when you're relying on turnovers to kind of

833
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,360
Speaker 1: save your butt as a defense, it's just not something

834
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: that's picked each week and going forward. And so the

835
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 1: fact that they're still kind of middle of the pack,

836
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 1: they face a tough bunch of tough offense between the

837
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 1: Niners and the and the and the Ravens, et cetera.

838
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 1: Like they've played some really good teams and they've held

839
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 1: their own uh, and they're not creating any turnovers. If

840
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 1: they create any turnovers, they get the lucky bounces during

841
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 1: the playoffs they can make a run. So I don't know.

842
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:14,719
Speaker 1: I'm not saying the Rams are gonna win. I just

843
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:16,800
Speaker 1: think that you get a veteran quarterback who's won a

844
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 1: Super Bowl just two years ago on the road in

845
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 1: a tough environment. That's why I want if this was

846
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: like Jordan love Manning, you know, or c J. Stroud

847
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:26,840
Speaker 1: in this spot, it might be a tough sell because

848
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 1: you know, it's a really hostile environment and you got

849
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:31,360
Speaker 1: a rookie or a young quarterback making his first start.

850
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 1: You know, maybe you don't produce the same, but you

851
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 1: got Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay, Like, I feel very

852
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 1: confident those guys that have gone through it, they're gonna

853
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:40,480
Speaker 1: be fine in this environment. And I just don't see

854
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 1: Detroit stopping them at all. So I'm not sure if

855
00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 1: they'll win, but I think I think the three and

856
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 1: a half or three is a good number.

857
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,919
Speaker 2: Is this the biggest coaching edge in the playoff wild

858
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,799
Speaker 2: card round? McVeigh and Campbell unless you're a Campbell guy.

859
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 1: So it's not necessarily Campbell. It's more McVeigh versus like,

860
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:02,239
Speaker 1: like I said, versus Aeron Glynne. Probably that's probably the

861
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:02,839
Speaker 1: biggest edge.

862
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 2: Let me reframe it the high leverage moments. I trust

863
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 2: McVeigh a ton. I don't know if Dan Campbell's going

864
00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 2: to do the right thing. I feel like he just

865
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: goes with his gut to I'm guessing because that end

866
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 2: of the game sequence against the Cowboys was just bewildering.

867
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,439
Speaker 1: You know, the thing with him is he actually goes

868
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: for it, like analytics. People love him because he goes

869
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: for it so often. He'll do stuff like he'll run

870
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:26,279
Speaker 1: a fake punt in his own territory, which is the

871
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: great time to do it. Like you'll hear announcers, by

872
00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:31,120
Speaker 1: the way, this is great whenever like, okay, they're at

873
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 1: the opponent's forty or forty five. Oh, watch out for

874
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 1: a fake. No, that's actually the worst time to fake

875
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 1: because everyone knows it could be coming right, it's the

876
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 1: most obvious. The best time to do a fake is

877
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 1: in your own territory when nobody thinks, you know, you

878
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,279
Speaker 1: would ever do it. So he actually does stuff like that,

879
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: which is great. What he did at the end of

880
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 1: that game last week when after the penalty he just

881
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: got blinded. It was the hole he was so upset

882
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:54,879
Speaker 1: with the refs that he got blinded. He said, I'm

883
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:56,879
Speaker 1: just going to go for it. That's where he got

884
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 1: screwed over where he screwed himself over should not I'm

885
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 1: going for it. He didn't have a good excuse for

886
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 1: it after the game. But in general, I actually don't

887
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,719
Speaker 1: mind his aggressiveness in his fourth down play cauling. It's

888
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:10,359
Speaker 1: just it's more coordinator related with Aaron Blyin. I mean,

889
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,720
Speaker 1: Ben Johnson's great on offense, but Aaron Glenn on defense

890
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,320
Speaker 1: as a joke. So that's probably the biggest mismatch.

891
00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:18,760
Speaker 2: Finally, and I don't have a ton on this Eagles Bucks.

892
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 2: I took the Eagles. I feel like everybody thinks, oh,

893
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,520
Speaker 2: Bucks are live for an upset. You actually are the

894
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:26,440
Speaker 2: lone voice I heard that was hyping the Bucks, not hyping,

895
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 2: but saying they could be better than advertised. Meanwhile, I'm like, oh,

896
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 2: they'll be selling Evans and god Win at the trade deadline, Like,

897
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,520
Speaker 2: I mean, Bowls is going to keep his job. Baker

898
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,680
Speaker 2: looks like he's going to get a couple like probably

899
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 2: a three two or three year deal or a genosmid deal.

900
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,120
Speaker 2: But I mean, Tampa Bay was not bad. The division stunk,

901
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 2: but they're kind of limping to the finish line. The

902
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 2: Baker ankle injury two wins over the Panthers down the stretch.

903
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 2: I don't know. I just couldn't take Tampa. Here. I'm

904
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 2: on the Eagles two and a half, and I.

905
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 1: Feel like we're oppos at every game. I'm on Tampa

906
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 1: at three.

907
00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:58,399
Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, no way, So I did too.

908
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 1: I split it up because I'm on Tampa plus three

909
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,800
Speaker 1: and I'm in the team total under for Philly twenty

910
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:05,840
Speaker 1: three and a half. And so let me let me

911
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 1: walk you through that. I didn't again, I didn't think

912
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 1: I was gonna take them. But once it jumped to three,

913
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 1: did you get it at three or do you get

914
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:12,680
Speaker 1: it like two and a half.

915
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:14,319
Speaker 2: But then I felt so good about the Eagles, I

916
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 2: was like, I'm gonna take it a three. It's but significant.

917
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:22,279
Speaker 1: Getting Tampa plus three is different than two and a half, right,

918
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:23,759
Speaker 1: so you get you got a better number. It's just

919
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:25,480
Speaker 1: like with the Miami Kansas City game. So it's not

920
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:28,839
Speaker 1: a problem just for me, Like, Okay, if I put

921
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 1: a blindfold on you, uh, and I said, you're not

922
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,520
Speaker 1: allowed to know who these teams are, and I just

923
00:42:34,520 --> 00:42:36,480
Speaker 1: gave you the numbers and the results for the year.

924
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:38,919
Speaker 1: There is no way in the world a you would

925
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 1: ever make Philly a three point favorite, and probably be

926
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,839
Speaker 1: you would never bet them here like using season long

927
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 1: data and season long stats, Tampa should be favored, to

928
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 1: be honest, at worst, it's a pick them. But Tampa

929
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:52,800
Speaker 1: should be favored because do you know that Phillies. You

930
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 1: know what their point differential was this year? Guess what

931
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:58,280
Speaker 1: They're five? Yeah, let me guess you read it somewhere.

932
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:00,719
Speaker 2: No, No, we talked about it earlier wend.

933
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, so the second worst in the NFL behind Pittsburgh. Okay,

934
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 1: in the playoffs and you know, typically when you get

935
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:08,840
Speaker 1: something like that, Okay, maybe Jalen Hurts missed a handful

936
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 1: of games and they got blown out a couple of times.

937
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 1: At the backup, maybe they had the you know, maybe

938
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 1: the toughest schedule in the NFL. So it's not apples apples. No,

939
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 1: they faced like one of the ten to twelve easier

940
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 1: schedules in the NFL. Jalen Hurts played every game like

941
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 1: there is no like they did not produce. Even when

942
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 1: they were winning games earlier this year, it was essentially fluky.

943
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:29,839
Speaker 1: They were. They were keeping every game close. They beat

944
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 1: Washington by seven twice, like when they were They're actually

945
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:36,239
Speaker 1: losing in Washington and at one point they could have lost.

946
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 1: Remember that one game that went went to overtime early

947
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:41,080
Speaker 1: in the year. You know, so they they kept They

948
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: lose to Arizona at home as eleven point favorites. They

949
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:47,440
Speaker 1: get blown out by the Giants with Tyrod Taylor like

950
00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:50,160
Speaker 1: they I don't know. Like again, back to what we

951
00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 1: said with Tampa last year, we all thought, okay, uh,

952
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,960
Speaker 1: you know this Bucks team and Tom Brady, when they

953
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:57,799
Speaker 1: get to the playoffs, they're gonna turn it around, right,

954
00:43:57,800 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 1: They're just gonna turn on the light. And they just

955
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,719
Speaker 1: never had it. These teams tell you who they are,

956
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 1: Like I've come to learn that these teams will tell

957
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 1: you who they are. They have not covered six straight games,

958
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 1: they have not covered. The market's been wrong on them

959
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 1: every time, assuming that they're gonna turn the lights on.

960
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 1: And look, you're telling me that they're just gonna turn

961
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 1: turn everything around while they have a quarterback in Jalen

962
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,480
Speaker 1: hurt who hurt his finger, middle finger of his throwing end.

963
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 1: You know, he has not thrown the football since Sunday.

964
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:27,720
Speaker 1: They interviewed him today and he has not even thrown

965
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:30,560
Speaker 1: a football. That tells me there's something really wrong with

966
00:44:30,680 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: his hand. You're not even like warming up, you're not

967
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 1: even trying to throw it. He hasn't even attempted to

968
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:37,640
Speaker 1: throw the football yet, So who even knows if he

969
00:44:37,640 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 1: can be effective or if he's gonna play. A. J.

970
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 1: Brown did not practice today. He left the game last week.

971
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 1: He's got some sort of you know, potentially like an

972
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,960
Speaker 1: mcbl sprain. Maybe he goes, but he's not one hundred percent.

973
00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 1: Devonte Smith did practice. He's gonna play, but again he's

974
00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:52,880
Speaker 1: coming off with sprain ankle. So you've got your three

975
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,480
Speaker 1: three best players on offense who are all banged up,

976
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 1: that are not one hundred percent. Defensively, You've been a

977
00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 1: joke like they're the third worst team in the nf

978
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 1: defensively by every metric. In the last six weeks they've

979
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 1: allowed they went from the the third lowest exposed to

980
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 1: play rate allowed in the first eleven games of the year.

981
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 1: They've allowed the third most or third highest rate in

982
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:15,440
Speaker 1: the last you know, handful of like like seven weeks.

983
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:19,960
Speaker 1: So like everything is going wrong for Philly. You you know,

984
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 1: I just can't justify laying points on the road against Yeah,

985
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 1: Tampa's not great, but they're they're solid, Like they actually

986
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 1: have one of the best against spread records this year

987
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:33,160
Speaker 1: in the NFL. You know, they've hung with it. You know,

988
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,600
Speaker 1: it hung tough, especially as underdogs. They've been really good.

989
00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:38,520
Speaker 1: You know, it's a veteran defense. They're not not going

990
00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:40,520
Speaker 1: to be afraid. You've got good players on the defense,

991
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,319
Speaker 1: are fully healthy, like they they have no injuries at

992
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: all on defense. And the one reason why I did

993
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,760
Speaker 1: take I did split up my wager between the under

994
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 1: the team total, and Tampa is just a case like

995
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 1: like you said, with Baker Mayfields, he heard his ankle

996
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:57,399
Speaker 1: last week. He's got bad ribs from two weeks ago.

997
00:45:57,760 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 1: He seemed a little bit off last week. If he's

998
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 1: not not not you know, playing well, maybe they it's

999
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 1: a lower scoring game and they lose, you know, twenty

1000
00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 1: to ten or something. At least I can get that

1001
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 1: under I'm just I'm baking on Philly's offense. Just not

1002
00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:13,400
Speaker 1: you know, turning things around with all those injuries and

1003
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 1: then just hoping that Baker's not totally banged up and

1004
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: they can make some plays against this Phillilly team. I

1005
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:20,960
Speaker 1: just I just don't agree with the whole They're just

1006
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 1: gonna turn around like they there's zero evidence, Like what

1007
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:26,160
Speaker 1: evidence is there that this team can turn it around

1008
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:27,600
Speaker 1: right now? I just don't see it.

1009
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 2: So let me ask so Bak. They had a walk

1010
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:34,240
Speaker 2: through here on Thursday, but according to Tampa Bay Media,

1011
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 2: had they conducted a full speed practice, Baker, Tristan Wurf's

1012
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,480
Speaker 2: and kJ Britt would not have participated. I don't know.

1013
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 2: Baker's got the ankle. I guess ta. If you look

1014
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:46,040
Speaker 2: back at their earlier meeting this year now it was September,

1015
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:50,320
Speaker 2: which feels like forever ago, they just totally dominated the

1016
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,439
Speaker 2: line of scrimmage. Swift went while I think they rushed

1017
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 2: for two hundred yards, Tampa didn't quite have two hundred

1018
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 2: yards of total offense. Now you could argue it was

1019
00:46:56,719 --> 00:47:01,800
Speaker 2: Baker early. I think Evan played, but Godwin didn't. I'd

1020
00:47:01,800 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 2: have to look back at all that, all the particulars.

1021
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:08,280
Speaker 2: I just wonder if this is just not a great matchup.

1022
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,480
Speaker 2: When you look at the x's and o's for Tampa Bay,

1023
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:12,759
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1024
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I was on filling that game. I just

1025
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:16,759
Speaker 1: think it's a totally different team. First of all, the

1026
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 1: defense was way better. Yea, you know, they just were

1027
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:22,759
Speaker 1: were much better. I don't you know. Again, I just

1028
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 1: think it was a totally different situation. If you watch

1029
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,319
Speaker 1: that game again, I was on filling that game. You know,

1030
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 1: they dominated to an extent. You know, they tried to

1031
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:36,280
Speaker 1: throw the ball, they weren't as successful. Mike Evans dropped two. Really,

1032
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 1: he does this a lot. Dropped two easy play, easy

1033
00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 1: deep balls that would have changed complexion of that game.

1034
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 1: One was on third down. You know, a little things

1035
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 1: like that. And you know, one thing I forgot to

1036
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 1: mention because in that game, you know, Philly was fine,

1037
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,880
Speaker 1: but they had I think, I gotta I gotta find it.

1038
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 1: They had maybe their sixth lowest or seventh lowest offensive

1039
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 1: performance or seventh worst off performance all year in that game.

1040
00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 1: So they were okay and amazingly you know, I'm not

1041
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:08,960
Speaker 1: some of these splits are kind of random, right, like

1042
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:12,360
Speaker 1: they're not always telling. But I was looking at the

1043
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:15,759
Speaker 1: Eagles offense and said all right, what are like the

1044
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:17,799
Speaker 1: worst games of the year. They were all on the road.

1045
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,759
Speaker 1: Their six worst offensive games all went on the road.

1046
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 1: I have no idea why. And if you look last year,

1047
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 1: remember they almost lost to the Colts on the road.

1048
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:28,360
Speaker 1: Last year, like they played, they played these road games

1049
00:48:28,560 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 1: very very down to their competition. You know, they weren't

1050
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 1: really that dominant. And for whatever reason, this year, you know,

1051
00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,239
Speaker 1: they're five worst and six of their seven worst games

1052
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 1: on offense all came on the road. They've only gone

1053
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:42,440
Speaker 1: over there. By the way, another reason why I took

1054
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,839
Speaker 1: the team total ender. They've only gone over their team

1055
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: total twice in nine road games all season. One of

1056
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 1: them was by a half a point in the opener

1057
00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 1: against New England, which you remember that was they had

1058
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:54,280
Speaker 1: to pick six at that game, right, So they've completely

1059
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 1: over you know, underperformed on offense on the road, and

1060
00:48:57,640 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 1: the Bucks defense have held they've held opposed offenses under

1061
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:04,200
Speaker 1: their team total in seventy one percent of games at

1062
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: three points per game. That's the third best in the NFL.

1063
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 1: So you know they're exceeding expectations defensively. It wasn't a

1064
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 1: high scoring game last time, and you got all these

1065
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:14,200
Speaker 1: in it's really just the injuries you've got. It's not

1066
00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 1: just one. It's not like one receiver, it's both receivers

1067
00:49:16,719 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 1: and just starting quarterbacks. So like, I want to see

1068
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:21,799
Speaker 1: Philly prove it to me that they're going to turn

1069
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,000
Speaker 1: this around before I before I believe in them.

1070
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:27,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you think Sirianni's in any trouble if he loses

1071
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:28,120
Speaker 2: this game?

1072
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 1: Man, with all these these coaches out there, between Rabel

1073
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 1: and Belichick, and you know, I could see it being tempting,

1074
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 1: you know, if they're able to land one of the fish.

1075
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:39,279
Speaker 1: But I don't. I mean, it would be crazy to me.

1076
00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 1: But you know, who knows what's going on in that

1077
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:41,839
Speaker 1: locker room.

1078
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 2: They just they they lose both coordinators and they look

1079
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 2: like a totally different team this year.

1080
00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:47,239
Speaker 1: Now.

1081
00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:48,880
Speaker 2: Maybe it's like, hey, we got our super Bowl ring

1082
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:50,399
Speaker 2: and half the guys in the locker room are like, yes,

1083
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:54,240
Speaker 2: we got it, and they're good. But it's something feels

1084
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:56,720
Speaker 2: off for them to go from so dominant, blowing teams

1085
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:59,120
Speaker 2: out with the big plays to like AJ Brown stirping,

1086
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,719
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurt banged. I don't know, man, I'm a little now.

1087
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:04,400
Speaker 2: You got me worried about the Eagles here, but we'll see.

1088
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:08,120
Speaker 2: I mean, anyways, all right, any futures bets that you

1089
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:08,839
Speaker 2: want to toss in.

1090
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:13,360
Speaker 1: There, No, I don't. I typically if I if I, like,

1091
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:15,720
Speaker 1: you know, any underdogs to make a run, I would

1092
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:18,960
Speaker 1: just rather roll over their money line all the way through.

1093
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:21,560
Speaker 1: You probably you typically get better odds doing that. Like,

1094
00:50:21,600 --> 00:50:23,600
Speaker 1: if you like the Rams, just just keep taking their

1095
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 1: money line every game, prying roll it over till you

1096
00:50:25,600 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 1: get to the super Bowl. I don't. I mean, I

1097
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:30,120
Speaker 1: have a Browns ticket from for the year as a

1098
00:50:30,120 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: fan at like thirty five to one, so you know,

1099
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 1: that's perfectly fine with me at this point. But I

1100
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:37,400
Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a fun playoffs. But I just

1101
00:50:37,800 --> 00:50:39,719
Speaker 1: you know, the Rams are very trendy picked and not

1102
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:42,000
Speaker 1: only in this game to make a run. Like everybody

1103
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 1: thinks they can make a run, and maybe they can.

1104
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,200
Speaker 1: I do think the special teams will hold them back eventually.

1105
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:49,360
Speaker 1: But you know, so that's one maybe you can consider.

1106
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 1: But you know, nothing really stands out to me. You know,

1107
00:50:52,120 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 1: all the values sucked out of Buffalo. This is kind

1108
00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:57,160
Speaker 1: of a laun shot sleeper. You know, if Miami was

1109
00:50:57,160 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 1: not playing with all those injuries, I would have thought

1110
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,680
Speaker 1: about them, because they've got, you know, a lot of

1111
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 1: the attributes that that these Super Bowl teams, especially like

1112
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:07,279
Speaker 1: with the explosive plays in top pass games that you

1113
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:09,960
Speaker 1: typically see in the super Bowl. But there's just not

1114
00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:11,799
Speaker 1: a lot out there for me to to, you know,

1115
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has no value. Again, I have the Browns, So

1116
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 1: to me, I'll just roll with my Browns and see

1117
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,759
Speaker 1: if we can get both as a fan and as

1118
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 1: a as a better long shot, better ticket to the

1119
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:21,640
Speaker 1: super Bowl.

1120
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: All right. T A good stuff, as always, good luck

1121
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:28,400
Speaker 2: wild Card weekend. Even though we're opposite on some games,

1122
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 2: we're on the same rams side, so that there's just

1123
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 2: always that that's true.

1124
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,279
Speaker 1: Maybe to get that one, all right, I appreciate you,

1125
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 1: Thanks man Hav