WEBVTT - What 40 Million Tax Returns Reveal About America

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody's still courting with an army and normal folks. Welcome

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<v Speaker 1>into the shop for shop talk, Alex, how are you?

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<v Speaker 1>I'm doing well? Bill?

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<v Speaker 2>Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Normally we just kind of play with the avid seeing

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<v Speaker 1>you like I haven't seen you in five or six days?

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<v Speaker 1>How you do that?

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<v Speaker 3>That's also pathetic, and it's usually when people say that,

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<v Speaker 3>it's like you haven't seen you in a month or

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<v Speaker 3>in three months, like I haven't seen you for five

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<v Speaker 3>or six days.

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<v Speaker 1>Well I haven't. And you normally are in the shop

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<v Speaker 1>every day looking at our Sundrys. It's nice not to

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<v Speaker 1>drive three hours around trip. That's true. That's good. Gosh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's true. How are you seriously good? Good?

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<v Speaker 3>Actually going with the kids all next week and we're

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<v Speaker 3>going to Chicago. We're really doing a bunch of fun

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<v Speaker 3>stuff all there. And I still have a ton of

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<v Speaker 3>family there.

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<v Speaker 1>So I was going to say, I know your family

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<v Speaker 1>moved to Florida, but you.

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<v Speaker 3>Used to have lots of up Thereably got the fifteen

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<v Speaker 3>people there.

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<v Speaker 1>Are all Bears fans. Yeah, okay, all right, everyby this

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<v Speaker 1>shop talk number one fourteen. What forty million tax returns

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<v Speaker 1>reveal about America? Actually, I know a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>this because we've talked about it in the past. I

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<v Speaker 1>think you guys are going to really dive into it

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<v Speaker 1>and like it. Hold on, we have first there you go.

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<v Speaker 1>But first, in honor of shop talk, wasn't fourteen and

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<v Speaker 1>our lovely history lessons? We like to play with Alex

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<v Speaker 1>what happened one hundred and fourteen years ago today? Well? First, Bill,

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<v Speaker 1>what year was one hundred and fourteen years ago? Well

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<v Speaker 1>that would have been nineteen eighteen, ninety nineteen twelve. Do

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<v Speaker 1>this right, Yeah, you're own a business whatever. I've been

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<v Speaker 1>here such for this woman, So kissed my butt. The

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<v Speaker 1>Titanic sank really April fifteenth, nineteen twelve. Well, in that hilarious.

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<v Speaker 1>We shouldna be laughing about people dying. You just did

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<v Speaker 1>it this way the Titanic sake. That's great.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not great though, that's said so funny. Okay, let's

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<v Speaker 2>we're both going word dog, But it is it like

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<v Speaker 2>one hundred and fourteen years ago the Titanic said.

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<v Speaker 1>That's that's yod I may I mentioned this before.

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<v Speaker 3>That was my dad's birthday, also the day Lincoln was assassinated,

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<v Speaker 3>and also Tax Day.

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<v Speaker 1>It's quite a day in American history. Incredable. All right.

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<v Speaker 1>The other thing, the modern oreo cookie was introduced. Really yes,

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<v Speaker 1>Oh that's that's a huge thing. Anybody liked a national

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<v Speaker 1>biscuit company.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know that was the original name of Nobisco,

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<v Speaker 3>nobisca national biscuit company.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you uh? Lisa introduced me this. She she makes

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<v Speaker 1>homemade chocolate chip cookies and she does it with the

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<v Speaker 1>oreos and she puts them in the freezer so they're

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<v Speaker 1>really cold and hard. But and then she puts a

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<v Speaker 1>glass of milk in the freezer for like fifteen minutes

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<v Speaker 1>and then gives me the glass of milk with a

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<v Speaker 1>hard frozen cookies. Man, I never thought, Oh my gosh.

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<v Speaker 3>It's Grace saying the world. So the oreo thing is important.

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<v Speaker 3>Have you ever had My mom taught us.

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<v Speaker 1>We do it.

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<v Speaker 3>The kids like white chocolate covered oreos and then you

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<v Speaker 3>put it in the freezer. They are ridiculous. I don't

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<v Speaker 3>know if you've ever seen the movie parent Trap. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>the Lindsay Lohan versions, the more modern one where do

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<v Speaker 3>you know what she does with the oreo? She dips

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<v Speaker 3>it in peanut butter.

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<v Speaker 1>No need, have you had it? No? You got to

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<v Speaker 1>do that? So good but you got to have milk

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<v Speaker 1>for something like that. You don't have to be you

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<v Speaker 1>have to. It's a moral imperative as an American to

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<v Speaker 1>have very cold milk when you eat stuff like that.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get rolling, Okay, Coming up on shop

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<v Speaker 1>Talk number one fourteen, where oreos were invented the same

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<v Speaker 1>year that the Titanic sank, which is interesting in and

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<v Speaker 1>of itself. What forty million tax returns reveal about America?

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<v Speaker 1>Coming up right after these brief messages from our genter sponsors, everybody,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome back to the shop shop Talk number one fourteen,

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<v Speaker 1>where Alex and I try to be exceedingly interesting. What

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<v Speaker 1>forty million tax returns revealed about America? A few years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>a group of researchers asked a question that gets argued

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<v Speaker 1>about all the time. Does the American dream still exist? Oh?

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<v Speaker 1>My gosh, how many times have we heard that the

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<v Speaker 1>last decade? Does the American dream still exist? Before I

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<v Speaker 1>even read this, I believe the American dream not only exists,

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<v Speaker 1>but is more readily available today than it has been

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<v Speaker 1>in the history of our country. The problem is social media,

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<v Speaker 1>and all of it we've got has created all kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of longing for what some might say is pretty unreachable

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<v Speaker 1>for the vast majority of us. And then when we

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<v Speaker 1>do reach what the quote American dream is, we're unsatisfied

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<v Speaker 1>because we don't have the yacht. Okay, I'm just going

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<v Speaker 1>to tell you. I think that's going on a lot

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<v Speaker 1>in our culture today. But a few years ago, a

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<v Speaker 1>group of researchers asked a question that gets argued about

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<v Speaker 1>all the time. Does the American dream still exist? Not

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<v Speaker 1>on social media, not on cable news, in real life.

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<v Speaker 1>The lead researcher was Raj Chetty, then an economist at

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<v Speaker 1>Harvard University, along with Nathaniel Hendron and a team of researchers.

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<v Speaker 1>They did not conduct a survey. They didn't interview a

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<v Speaker 1>few hundred people. They analyzed the tax records of almost

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<v Speaker 1>forty million American children and their parents forty million. I

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<v Speaker 1>would say this carries weight from a standpoint of the study.

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<v Speaker 1>It's one of the largest studies ever conducted on economic

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<v Speaker 1>mobility in human history. Their goal was simple, if you're

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<v Speaker 1>born poor in the US, what are your chances of

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<v Speaker 1>climbing the latter. What they found was both encouraging and alarming.

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<v Speaker 1>The American dream, Oh they're saying, what I think, The

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<v Speaker 1>American dream is still alive, but where you grow up

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<v Speaker 1>dramatically affects your obs of reaching it. For example, they

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<v Speaker 1>found a child born to parents and the bottom twenty

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<v Speaker 1>five percent of income earners had about an eleven percent

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<v Speaker 1>chance of reaching the top twenty percent of earners if

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<v Speaker 1>they grew up in Salt Lake City. Holy moly, let

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<v Speaker 1>me read that again. They found that a child born

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<v Speaker 1>to parents and the bottom twenty five percent of income

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<v Speaker 1>earners had about an eleven percent chance of reaching the

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<v Speaker 1>top twenty percent if they grew up in Salt Lake

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<v Speaker 1>City and Charlotte, that same child had a four point

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<v Speaker 1>four percent chance, same country, same economy, same generation, but

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<v Speaker 1>more than twice the odds of reaching the top simply

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<v Speaker 1>because of where the child grew up. That's interesting. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>that really is interesting, So you got to keep going.

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<v Speaker 1>It raises an obvious question, what is Salt Lake City

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<v Speaker 1>doing that? Charlotte isn't where the kids smarter, No, with

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<v Speaker 1>the parents trying harder. Now does one city have better slogans?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it could be argued, but not really. So

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<v Speaker 1>the research dug deeper and they found four things that

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<v Speaker 1>consistently produced whether children would flourish. The first was family,

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<v Speaker 1>not perfect families, not wealthy families, stable families. Places with

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<v Speaker 1>higher percentages of children growing up in stable homes, regardless

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<v Speaker 1>of income, had dramatically higher rates of upward mobility. The

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<v Speaker 1>second was community. The researchers called it social capital. I

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<v Speaker 1>might call it knowing your neighbors, churches, coaches, mentors, volunteer organizations,

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<v Speaker 1>people who know your name, people who notice when you're struggling,

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<v Speaker 1>people who simply show up. Communities with stronger social connections

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<v Speaker 1>consistently produced better outcomes for children. The third factor my

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<v Speaker 1>big one. Education, not spending, not pretty buildings. Could kids read,

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<v Speaker 1>could they do math? Could they graduate? Were they being

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<v Speaker 1>prepared for opportunity? The fourth was the neighborhood environment, crime rates, trust,

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<v Speaker 1>role models, the presence of working adults. So there's another

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<v Speaker 1>big one, meaning to children, see people getting up and

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<v Speaker 1>going to work every day, the presence of working adults.

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<v Speaker 1>The researchers found that children surrounded by more employed adults

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<v Speaker 1>were significantly more likely to become employed themselves. Really, kids

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<v Speaker 1>become what they see. Now here's the statistic that absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>floors me. Study Chetty and his team looked at families

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<v Speaker 1>who moved. This is going to speak to the thing

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<v Speaker 1>we learned from the guy in Charlotte. They found that

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<v Speaker 1>children who moved from a high poverty neighborhood to a

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<v Speaker 1>higher opportunity neighborhood before age thirteen earned approximately thirty one

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<v Speaker 1>percent more money as adults. That is incredible. I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>say it again. They found that children who moved from

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<v Speaker 1>a high poverty neighborhood to a higher opportunity neighborhood before

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<v Speaker 1>age thirteen earned approximately thirty one percent more money as adults.

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<v Speaker 1>Thirty one percent not because they suddenly became smarter. They

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<v Speaker 1>didn't work harder, They didn't, you know, show up. Somebody

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<v Speaker 1>started handing out money because their environment changed. The people

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<v Speaker 1>around them changed, the expectations around them changed, the examples

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<v Speaker 1>they saw every day changed. And it even gets crazier.

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<v Speaker 1>The recent found that every additional year of exposure to

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<v Speaker 1>a better neighborhood before age thirteen increase future earnings by

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<v Speaker 1>about one percent. One year, one percent, one more percent,

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<v Speaker 1>another percent. I mean, think about that. If you earn

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<v Speaker 1>thirty one percent more by age thirteen, if you move

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<v Speaker 1>at three now, you're going to earn forty one percent

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<v Speaker 1>more one year, one percent one more per year, the

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<v Speaker 1>effects compounding. Those children were also more likely to attend college,

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<v Speaker 1>less likely to become single parents, less likely to experience incarceration,

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<v Speaker 1>and more likely to build stable adult lives. That's not economics,

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<v Speaker 1>that's flourishing. Three of our four biggest predictors weren't programs.

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<v Speaker 1>They were relationships, family, community, neighborhood, the things we often

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<v Speaker 1>overlook because they seem ordinary. And who builds those things?

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<v Speaker 1>Who creates families? Who mentors kids, who coaches Little League,

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<v Speaker 1>who teaches Sunday School? Who starts businesses, who engages in

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<v Speaker 1>their community? Who hires somebody trying to rebuild their life,

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<v Speaker 1>who fosters children, who adopts them, Who checks on the

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<v Speaker 1>widow next door, Who notices a struggling teenager, who organizes

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<v Speaker 1>the block party or the potlock alex, who starts the

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<v Speaker 1>service club, Who becomes the trusted neighbor. It doesn't happen

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<v Speaker 1>at Harvard, It doesn't happen in DC. It doesn't happen

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<v Speaker 1>in Manhattan. It's not the billionaires the people that do

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<v Speaker 1>all that, normal folks. The research didn't set out to

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<v Speaker 1>prove the philosophy and army and normal folks. But after

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<v Speaker 1>studying forty million Americans, they accidentally proved the philosophy of

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<v Speaker 1>an army of normal folks, because what they found is

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<v Speaker 1>the American dream grows best in healthy soil, and that

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<v Speaker 1>soil is made up of family, community, neighborhood, education, the

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<v Speaker 1>very things ordinary people help build every single day. So

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<v Speaker 1>maybe the lesson isn't that we need bigger systems. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>the lesson is we need stronger communities. Maybe the lesson

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<v Speaker 1>is not that every one of us have more influence

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<v Speaker 1>than we think. You may not be able to solve poverty.

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<v Speaker 1>You certainly may not be able to fix Washington. You

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<v Speaker 1>may not be able to reform the education. But you

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<v Speaker 1>can mentor a kid, you can coach them. You can

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<v Speaker 1>foster a child, you can adopt one. You can help

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<v Speaker 1>somebody who has adopted a child. You can help a

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<v Speaker 1>family who is fostering a kid. You can help a neighbor,

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<v Speaker 1>you can strengthen a family, you can build community, And,

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<v Speaker 1>according to one of the largest studies ever conducted, those

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<v Speaker 1>things matter more than most of us even realize. The

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<v Speaker 1>American dream doesn't just happen, but it is alive. It's cultivated,

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<v Speaker 1>one family, one neighborhood, one community a time. See, that's

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<v Speaker 1>what we mean when we say do what you can.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a stark.

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<v Speaker 3>My friend, so Joe Woodward on a recent episode, talked

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<v Speaker 3>about this a little bit. I thought we might as

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<v Speaker 3>well dive deeper into it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Well, I mean, honestly, when you hear it laid out,

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<v Speaker 1>it makes so much sense, and when we say it

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<v Speaker 1>all the time, it makes so much sense. It's very

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have the largest study ever conducted by Harvard

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<v Speaker 1>with forty million tax receipts to look at and evaluate

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<v Speaker 1>it across the spectrum of our unit in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States to prove what we're saying and armunermal folks is

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<v Speaker 1>the answer, community involvement, all of it. So when we

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<v Speaker 1>say do what you can, we're actually saying, when you

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<v Speaker 1>do what you can, you change lives. That's it. That's it.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I guess I'll share one thought.

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<v Speaker 3>It's been on my mind lately and trying to figure

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<v Speaker 3>out what our service clubs too, just the whole idea

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<v Speaker 3>of like doing life with people. I heard somebody riff

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<v Speaker 3>on this too, like, Hey, if you're going to go

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<v Speaker 3>to the Old Miss Baseball game, bringing.

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<v Speaker 1>With you, you know, or if you're have.

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<v Speaker 3>Dinner at your house, bringing with you, like you don't

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.440
<v Speaker 3>need to be like doing some big, grand like crazy things.

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:12.439
<v Speaker 3>Just include people who are less fortunate and all your

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:14.440
<v Speaker 3>activities that you would have done anyway, right, you could

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:16.719
<v Speaker 3>have exposed a kid to DC obviously exposing kids their

0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 3>football team all the time, but you know those kind

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:20.760
<v Speaker 3>of things, right, or bring them to the Grizzlies game,

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 3>or you know, bring them out to dinner with you

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:23.840
<v Speaker 3>or hang out with you.

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>I often this is not to talk about myself, which

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 1>I almost never, never, never do like this, but I've

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:37.080
<v Speaker 1>often wondered what effect coaching football really has, you know.

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>But then I think about, you know, we raise money

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.880
<v Speaker 1>to get our kids on charter buses, and we take

0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:48.800
<v Speaker 1>them to eat at decent places when we're out, and

0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 1>by being good, we get to travel to other places.

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of kids that we've coached had never

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:58.040
<v Speaker 1>been out of Memphis, and so they're exposed to stuff,

0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:03.360
<v Speaker 1>you know. And when young men who are thirty or

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty five or forty come back and say, coach, I

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 1>remember when you said this, you know, it made me

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 1>look at this differently, you know, It does make a difference.

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Just engaging in community, just engaging and someone that may

0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>not be as fortune as you, just getting to see

0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:26.440
<v Speaker 1>a different look at stuff. It just matters. It's just

0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.040
<v Speaker 1>an army and normal folks. It's just being a normal

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:34.080
<v Speaker 1>person and engaging where you might not otherwise, engage outside

0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:37.920
<v Speaker 1>of your you know, your your vacuum of people and family,

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:42.720
<v Speaker 1>and it does change lives. It does make a difference.

0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 3>I always think of the story of Jeffrey Kanna is

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 3>the founder of the Harlem Children's Zone. Like this great

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 3>charter school network in New York, that's the Harlem Children's

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 3>Zone Zone. Yeah, that's amazing. But one of his board

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:56.840
<v Speaker 3>members has been stand drunken. Miller is one of the

0:15:56.880 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 3>most successful investors ever. But they would always bring the

0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 3>kids to his you know, like Penthouse, you know, part

0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 3>of it and New York kind of thing, but to

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:06.920
<v Speaker 3>see it and obviously spend time with you know him too,

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 3>and I think you know, Stan probably gave them hundreds

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 3>of millions of dollars, like just an incredible flathrobust to them.

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 3>But they talked about this line, like anything in life,

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:18.600
<v Speaker 3>you need to have a taste of it, whether it's success,

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 3>or it's drugs, or it's alcohol. You have to get

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 3>a taste of it somewhere, right, So if these kids.

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>That's interesting kid, never an alcoholic. If you don't first

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>taste alcohol, you'll never have success if you first don't

0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 1>taste it.

0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 3>See what no one exposes you to it, or or

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 3>what a stable family you know looks like?

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Right, that is such a good point. Yeah, so just

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>the taste, just the exposure can light a flame that

0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you know your life. You're riff at the beginning too.

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.640
<v Speaker 3>Talking about income and people's expectations, Daniel Kahneman and this

0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 3>other guy and Malcolm Gladwell have always talked about this

0:16:55.000 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 3>that really happiness plateaus after one hundred thousand dollars worth of.

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Income, Is that right?

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:04.080
<v Speaker 3>So you actually do see happiness increase to one hundred thousand,

0:17:04.119 --> 0:17:04.640
<v Speaker 3>and then there's.

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:06.679
<v Speaker 1>No money came by happiness to two.

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 3>Hundred thousand, and Malcolm's original book with seventy five thousand,

0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 3>and then there's been you know, inflation since. So yeah,

0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 3>the number now is supposed one hundred thousand. You get

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:19.080
<v Speaker 3>no gains after that, no happiness, no happiness gains after that,

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 3>You just buy more stuff Yeah, it's interesting and obviously

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:24.280
<v Speaker 3>it can create other problems too.

0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:28.879
<v Speaker 1>No, that's also true. Yeah, okay, your body. What forty

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 1>million tax returns were billed about America? The American dreams alive.

0:17:33.680 --> 0:17:38.360
<v Speaker 1>People just need access, they need community, they need family,

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:41.760
<v Speaker 1>they need coaches. You better close this the right way,

0:17:41.880 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 1>and they need you a taste, and then they need you.

0:17:46.200 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>That's true. They do, They do need you. So that

0:17:49.480 --> 0:17:51.719
<v Speaker 1>chap Talk one fourteen. I hope you enjoyed it. If

0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:54.840
<v Speaker 1>you did, share friends of the social subscribe to the podcast,

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:57.959
<v Speaker 1>rate it, review it. Join the army at normal folks

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:02.960
<v Speaker 1>dot us, Join us Risk Club, buy some merch until

0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:06.120
<v Speaker 1>next week. Do what you can, baby, Do what you can.