WEBVTT - Mark Carney

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<v Speaker 1>One of the most admired, respected, and busiest global leaders

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<v Speaker 1>in the world is Mark Carney. He served for a

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<v Speaker 1>number of years as the Governor of the Bank of

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<v Speaker 1>Canada for a number of additional years as the Governor

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<v Speaker 1>of the Bank of England. He currently serves as a

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<v Speaker 1>Special UN Envoy for Climate Action Finance, and he also

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<v Speaker 1>chairs Brookfield Asset Management. I had a chance to sit

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<v Speaker 1>down with Mark recently to talk about how he does

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<v Speaker 1>all these things so well, Mark has been the Bank

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<v Speaker 1>of Canada governor, been the governor of the Bank of England.

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<v Speaker 1>Has anybody ever been the governor of two different central

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<v Speaker 1>banks in two different countries.

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<v Speaker 2>No, I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 1>And so in addition to that, in addition to that,

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<v Speaker 1>you are also the chairman of Brookfield Asset Management, and

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<v Speaker 1>you are the new chairman of Bloomberg. So you obviously

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<v Speaker 1>like b Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bloomberg and Brookfield.

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<v Speaker 1>But there's a story in the latest edition of a

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<v Speaker 1>Canadian newspaper like two days ago that's saying that you

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<v Speaker 1>might also be the next Prime Minister of Canada.

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<v Speaker 2>So any interest in that in the story, not in

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<v Speaker 2>the story per se. The you know, It's interesting you

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<v Speaker 2>you say the same thing over and over, but it

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<v Speaker 2>gets heard differently in different contexts. And I think that

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<v Speaker 2>story is probably more indication of the current environment in Canada.

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<v Speaker 3>In other words, you wouldn't be uninterested in that.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm interested that we have an effective prime minister in Kenada. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>so Prime Minister Trudeau, and you know him. I know

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<v Speaker 2>him well, yes, and he's done very so.

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<v Speaker 1>But we'll take that as maybe all right, so I

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<v Speaker 1>won't pursue that anymore. All right, let me ask you,

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<v Speaker 1>as the Bank of England governor and as the Bank

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<v Speaker 1>of Canada governor, do you think the other the central

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<v Speaker 1>banks recently figured out that inflation was more serious than

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<v Speaker 1>it was too late? Or do you think they recognized

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<v Speaker 1>early when it was going to be serious they just

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<v Speaker 1>didn't do enough about it.

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<v Speaker 3>No.

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<v Speaker 2>I think in hindsight they realized it too late. They

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<v Speaker 2>were operating under the old paradigm, if you will. It

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<v Speaker 2>was an issue of not enough demand, and that is

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<v Speaker 2>something that works well generally until you have a bunch

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<v Speaker 2>of supply shocks. And we had a COVID supply shock,

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<v Speaker 2>we had an energy supply shock. We had supply shoks

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<v Speaker 2>with supply chains, geopolitics, all of which meant that there

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<v Speaker 2>was more than transitory inflation, and it took a while

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<v Speaker 2>for some of the central banks to fully recognize that

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<v Speaker 2>and start to respond.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that they have did recognize it, do you think

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<v Speaker 1>they've done enough? And do you see any more rate

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<v Speaker 1>increases likely to come about? There are many people in

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<v Speaker 1>the market who think that maybe another rate increase in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States is likely.

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<v Speaker 3>What do you think about that?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, first first part of the question, and I

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<v Speaker 2>think that once they started to move, and particularly when

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<v Speaker 2>the FED started to move, it did respond in a

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<v Speaker 2>very effective manner. It's consistently surprised people with it how

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<v Speaker 2>resolute it was and what it was prepared to do.

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<v Speaker 2>It recognized that the bigger risk was that inflation stayed

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<v Speaker 2>high or worsened, and it has put us in a position,

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<v Speaker 2>put the US in a position where inflation is increasingly

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<v Speaker 2>under control, not totally under control. And that gets to

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<v Speaker 2>the second part of your question, which is, I know,

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<v Speaker 2>if I have to choose a camp, I be in

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<v Speaker 2>the camp of I expect that there will be a

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<v Speaker 2>bit more tightening by the Fed, so probably an additional

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<v Speaker 2>rate increase this year, But.

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<v Speaker 3>What's as important.

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<v Speaker 2>In fact, what's more important is the path of policy

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<v Speaker 2>over the course of the next twelve to eighteen months.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think it's finally beginning to be recognized. It's

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<v Speaker 2>been a painful few weeks for some of the market

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<v Speaker 2>in getting recognition that it's not just about where the

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<v Speaker 2>rate is today, it's not just about the peak, but

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<v Speaker 2>it's the path, and the path of rates is very

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<v Speaker 2>much and I've been in this view for a while,

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<v Speaker 2>higher for longer, in order to ensure that policy is

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<v Speaker 2>adequately tight to bring inflation fully back to that two percent.

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<v Speaker 1>When I was in the White House as a young man,

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<v Speaker 1>we were running for reelection under Jimmy Carter, and the

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<v Speaker 1>head of the inflation Effort fighting inflation effort was a

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<v Speaker 1>man named Fred Kahn, former Cornell professor, and he went

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<v Speaker 1>out into the White House briefing room one day and said,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to have a recession. Well, Carter

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<v Speaker 1>hauled him into the oval. Officer said Fred, I'm running

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<v Speaker 1>for reelection. Do not use the R word. It scares people.

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<v Speaker 1>And fred Kahn said, well, what am I supposed to do?

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<v Speaker 1>I have to be honest, be honest, but don't use

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<v Speaker 1>the R word. So the next time Fred Kahn went

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<v Speaker 1>out and he said, I think we're heading into a banana.

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<v Speaker 3>He used the word banana.

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<v Speaker 1>As a substitute of recession for figuring reporters wouldn't put

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<v Speaker 1>that in the headline. So are we heading into a banana?

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think or you think we're not going into

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<v Speaker 1>a banana?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think the.

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<v Speaker 2>Likelihood of banana has gone down. Actually, to be clear,

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<v Speaker 2>the FED has done quite a masterful job. Other things

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<v Speaker 2>have helped. But if you look at and you asked

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<v Speaker 2>me a moment ago rightly about unemployment and getting back

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<v Speaker 2>to the two percent, what's happened in the US, almost

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<v Speaker 2>uniquely in the US is there hasn't been a sharp

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<v Speaker 2>rise in unemployment. There's been a fall in vacancies, something

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<v Speaker 2>that hasn't happened in the past. But of course this

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<v Speaker 2>cycle is quite different than any previous cycles. So the

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<v Speaker 2>Fed's been able to thus far ease some of the

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<v Speaker 2>pressure in the labor market by reducing vacancies as opposed

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<v Speaker 2>to increasing unemployment. That, plus the other aspects of the

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<v Speaker 2>resilience that we've seen in the US economy makes recession

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<v Speaker 2>less likely because the reality is, you know, if you

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<v Speaker 2>get half a percent or certainly a full percent. Historically,

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<v Speaker 2>anytime the unemployment rate in the US had risen by

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<v Speaker 2>at least half of percent, there's been a recession. It's

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<v Speaker 2>just you get the compounding effect that hasn't happened, So

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<v Speaker 2>the probability's gone down, but there's still lots.

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<v Speaker 1>When you're the head of the central back in Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>do you kind of refer a lot to what the

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<v Speaker 1>US was doing because your economy so tied to the US.

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<v Speaker 1>Or do you say, look, we're we're going to do

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<v Speaker 1>what we want to do. We don't care what the

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<v Speaker 1>US is going to do. You consult a lot.

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<v Speaker 2>We obsess about the US as the short answer, because

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<v Speaker 2>it's the most impactful external factor for the Canadian economy.

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<v Speaker 2>And there's also some you know, some of the things

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<v Speaker 2>that drive growth in the United States, they're common factors

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<v Speaker 2>that drive growth and or inflation in Canada. Let's talk

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<v Speaker 2>about your background. So where did you grow up in Canada?

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<v Speaker 3>Where were you born?

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<v Speaker 2>I was born in Fort Smith in the Northwest Territories.

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<v Speaker 1>And you're the Arctic and you're in the Northwest Territories. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's very far up.

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<v Speaker 2>It is very far up Yeah, So what we're your

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<v Speaker 2>emphasis on the north and what were your parents doing there?

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<v Speaker 3>My parents were teachers.

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<v Speaker 1>And did you ever tay to them that's pretty far

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<v Speaker 1>up north to be living. And did they ever move closer?

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<v Speaker 1>They moved, we moved. Well, it's interesting.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean it's whatever two hour flights south to Edmonton, which.

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<v Speaker 3>Is probably then you grow up in Edmonton.

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<v Speaker 2>I grew up in Edmonton. I went to Yes, And

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<v Speaker 2>so you were a hockey player too. I was a

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<v Speaker 2>hockey player.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes. So you played Harvard hockey at Harvard's right, I did? Yes?

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<v Speaker 2>Ish I opened the gate. I was a goalie, so

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<v Speaker 2>I opened the gate for a lot of very good players.

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<v Speaker 3>Really.

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<v Speaker 2>So were you a star at Harvard in the hockey

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<v Speaker 2>world or.

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<v Speaker 3>I was very good at opening the gate? Yes? But

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<v Speaker 3>you never consider going to the NHL?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 3>I considered it. They didn't. The NHL did not consider it.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe in some sort of administrative role.

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<v Speaker 1>But okay, So after you graduated, you went to do

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<v Speaker 1>something like investment banking and you went to Goldman Sacks.

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<v Speaker 3>I went to Golden Sacks in London, yes, nineteen eighty eight.

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<v Speaker 3>And what did you do there?

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<v Speaker 2>I worked, Actually I worked in the credit department. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>credit analysis, which was probably the best thing I could

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<v Speaker 2>have done, because you know, you build up a fundamental skill.

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<v Speaker 1>How many people go to Goldman after college a young

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<v Speaker 1>get an MBA and you decided not to get an

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<v Speaker 1>MBA but to get a PhD in economics. Why did

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<v Speaker 1>you want a PhD economics?

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<v Speaker 2>I wanted to well, I thought that at some point

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<v Speaker 2>i'd work in public policy, and I thought it would

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<v Speaker 2>be more useful. And I toyed a bit with being

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<v Speaker 2>an academic as well. My father was ended up being

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<v Speaker 2>a professor ultimately.

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<v Speaker 1>So you did this in Oxford. Why didn't you do

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<v Speaker 1>a university in the United States or Canada?

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<v Speaker 3>Why did you get the way to England? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>It was To be honest, you could do a PhD

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<v Speaker 2>in Oxford in three years, as opposed to if you're

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<v Speaker 2>in the US system as a doctor student, you spend

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<v Speaker 2>a huge amount of time teaching, which is great if

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<v Speaker 2>you're going to be an academic. If you want the

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<v Speaker 2>academic training, though, it means that the average time is most.

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<v Speaker 3>So when you were in Oxford, did you also played hockey? Rint? Right?

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<v Speaker 3>I did? And where you was a star or you're

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<v Speaker 3>a star.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, okay, So you stayed at Goldman for how many years?

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<v Speaker 3>I was back?

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<v Speaker 2>In total, I was thirteen years at Goldman, but eight

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<v Speaker 2>almost ten years, I guess.

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<v Speaker 3>So what the highest level you reached.

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<v Speaker 2>That Goldman was to be a managing director managing director,

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<v Speaker 2>So managing director, a managing director?

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, So why did you leave Goldman? Some people think

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<v Speaker 1>it's the greatest thing in the world to be a

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<v Speaker 1>Goldman managing director. Why did you decide to leave and

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<v Speaker 1>go back to Canada?

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<v Speaker 2>But I had an opportunity to become Deputy governor at

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<v Speaker 2>the Bank of Canada. I've always had an interest in

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<v Speaker 2>public policy. It was unique, unique opportunity and I fully

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<v Speaker 2>huge respect for the guy who was governor at the time,

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<v Speaker 2>David Dodge.

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<v Speaker 3>And so how.

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<v Speaker 1>Would they have heard of you? You're an investment banker

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<v Speaker 1>in Goldman. People in Canada are They.

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<v Speaker 3>Had an end. They put an ad in the paper

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<v Speaker 3>and I applied.

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<v Speaker 1>They put an ad in the paper and you responded, wow, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>that's how.

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<v Speaker 3>You got a job. Okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Well now it's like, okay, so it's not how you

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<v Speaker 1>got to be the governor as well? You responded to that.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, they knew they knew okay, well no, but you

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<v Speaker 2>know for the governor as well. I mean that's become

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<v Speaker 2>the norm now central banks do put ads. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>think the face. So you're the deputy governor. You then

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<v Speaker 2>went to the Finance. I went to the Finance Department

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<v Speaker 2>and I worked with Yeah, I was one of the

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<v Speaker 2>Then you become the governor and I became the governor

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<v Speaker 2>Stephen Harper, and that was an easy time because there

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<v Speaker 2>was no recession, there was no problems, the economy was

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<v Speaker 2>going well well. I yeah, basically I remember saying to Diana,

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<v Speaker 2>my wife's that.

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<v Speaker 3>Look.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean we had young kids, like you know, this job,

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<v Speaker 2>you know you make eight decisions a year. You know

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<v Speaker 2>exactly when you make those decisions, you know, work life balance.

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<v Speaker 3>It was going to work.

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<v Speaker 2>Great and U and two weeks after I started, bear

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<v Speaker 2>Stearn's failed. Ultimately you finished after about how many years

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<v Speaker 2>were you that?

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<v Speaker 3>Just under six six?

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<v Speaker 1>All right, you step down and say now I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to go back and make money at Goldman Sachs.

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<v Speaker 3>So what did you want to do? Didn't I didn't

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<v Speaker 3>step down. I was asked to.

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<v Speaker 2>I was approached by the UK government to become governor

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<v Speaker 2>of the Bank of England.

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<v Speaker 3>And is like an illegal poaching.

0:11:01.280 --> 0:11:03.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean they're going to another country to take the

0:11:03.320 --> 0:11:04.880
<v Speaker 1>central banker from another country.

0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:06.320
<v Speaker 3>Did you think that was unusual?

0:11:06.440 --> 0:11:09.840
<v Speaker 2>Well, it was, it was, It was unusual. It was

0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:12.559
<v Speaker 2>I mean the unusual times. Technically the head of state,

0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Queen Elizabeth is the same, so it's inter company transfer.

0:11:16.280 --> 0:11:18.240
<v Speaker 3>Okay. So yeah, all right.

0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:20.920
<v Speaker 1>So when you're the head of the Central Bank of Canada,

0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:24.880
<v Speaker 1>by the way, you get your signature on the currency. Yes, wow,

0:11:25.160 --> 0:11:27.840
<v Speaker 1>so that it's pretty nice when your hand somebody a

0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:30.240
<v Speaker 1>dollar bill, you say to people with my signature, you

0:11:30.240 --> 0:11:32.760
<v Speaker 1>ever tell them that, well, you don't break that rag?

0:11:32.840 --> 0:11:33.840
<v Speaker 3>Okay? All right.

0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:36.319
<v Speaker 1>So you get offered to go to be the head

0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:39.199
<v Speaker 1>of the Central Bank of England and you said yes

0:11:39.320 --> 0:11:39.680
<v Speaker 1>right away?

0:11:39.720 --> 0:11:41.480
<v Speaker 3>And I didn't. Actually I.

0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:45.480
<v Speaker 2>Turned it down a few times. It was a rolling

0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:47.920
<v Speaker 2>conversation over the course of twenty two eight.

0:11:48.040 --> 0:11:51.360
<v Speaker 1>So you ultimately took the job. I then took the job. Yeah,

0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:53.480
<v Speaker 1>I eventually took the job for about eight years.

0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:55.719
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, just under. And when you're the head of.

0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:57.800
<v Speaker 1>The Central Bank of England, does the Queen call you

0:11:57.920 --> 0:12:01.280
<v Speaker 1>for advice or she ask you anything? To meet the

0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:02.079
<v Speaker 1>Queen very much.

0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:05.840
<v Speaker 3>Or I did have a few audiences, right.

0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:09.319
<v Speaker 1>And just and the prime minister, he doesn't appoint you

0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the prime minister or he or she doesn't appoint you.

0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:13.880
<v Speaker 3>Uh, you're appointed by the sovereign.

0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and the sovereign report to the Board of Governors.

0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:22.360
<v Speaker 2>I show, uh, well you I mean you report to

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:26.040
<v Speaker 2>the British people. Really through parliament is the way that's

0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:30.160
<v Speaker 2>really the accountability you're I mean, you can only be

0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:34.120
<v Speaker 2>removed for incapacity and that is a very Did you

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:38.280
<v Speaker 2>enjoy that job, job, job security, the job?

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:42.360
<v Speaker 3>I enjoy that I it was, Yes, I did.

0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.200
<v Speaker 2>I mean it was you know sometimes in the in

0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 2>the thick of it, it's it doesn't feel enjoyable. But

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:51.319
<v Speaker 2>it was incredibly challenged. He was you know, there was

0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:54.800
<v Speaker 2>a lot going on, which is the reason why an

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:55.719
<v Speaker 2>outsider came in.

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.440
<v Speaker 3>So yes, I did enjoy it.

0:12:58.480 --> 0:12:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Was it more fun to be the head of the

0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Central Bank of Canada or Central Bank of England?

0:13:02.720 --> 0:13:05.400
<v Speaker 2>I would say was with The challenges were much greater

0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.640
<v Speaker 2>in the UK. You had an institution that had been

0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:11.319
<v Speaker 2>totally transformed. You had a financial system that I mean

0:13:11.520 --> 0:13:13.880
<v Speaker 2>was at the epicenter of the problems and had to

0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:19.040
<v Speaker 2>be fixed. You had the elements of Brexit what ultimately

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 2>was Brexit, the Scottish referendum. You had a big management challenge,

0:13:24.080 --> 0:13:25.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, so it was you enjoyed it.

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:26.439
<v Speaker 3>I enjoyed it.

0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so you would recommend that job anybody that gets

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 1>offered it, right.

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 3>I did recommend it too. I recommended it to a

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:32.320
<v Speaker 3>number of people.

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.320
<v Speaker 1>Yet, not too long from now, the next meeting of

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:38.680
<v Speaker 1>a COP will occur. I guess it's in Abodhabir Dubai,

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>and I assume you'll be there as a special envoy.

0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:45.319
<v Speaker 1>So the last COP meeting didn't seem to make a

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:48.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of progress. What kind of progress you think is

0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>going to be made this time where we actually get

0:13:49.840 --> 0:13:51.880
<v Speaker 1>closer to getting to the target goals?

0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 3>And you have?

0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, I think the first thing. Let's just back

0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:56.760
<v Speaker 2>up for one second. So if we go to the

0:13:56.800 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 2>Paris COP seven years ago, the world was headed towards

0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:02.400
<v Speaker 2>three and a half degrees warming by the end of

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:07.439
<v Speaker 2>this century. IA came out last week says on current policies,

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.560
<v Speaker 2>what actually is happening, We're headed to two point four degrees.

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:12.800
<v Speaker 2>So there has been quite a bit of progress, it's

0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 2>not enough. The goal is to be less than two.

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:17.280
<v Speaker 2>But just to be clear in terms of the scale

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:20.920
<v Speaker 2>of investment in the policies that we're making progress this

0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:25.520
<v Speaker 2>COP and full credit to the Presidency of the COP

0:14:25.600 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 2>the United Emirates and Sultan al Jaber is very focused

0:14:30.640 --> 0:14:34.240
<v Speaker 2>on commercial solutions for climate change. And so first and

0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 2>foremost and objective to get the major oil countries, producing

0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:43.720
<v Speaker 2>countries and companies to commit to zero methane near zero

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 2>methane by twenty thirty, doubling the efficiency of producing and

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.240
<v Speaker 2>transporting oil and gas.

0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:53.320
<v Speaker 1>So you step down for the Central Bank of England

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 1>and then you often become the special envoy off you

0:14:56.720 --> 0:15:01.200
<v Speaker 1>and now you're the chairman of Field Asset Management, and

0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>now to be the chairman of Bloomberg. Right, what is

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Brookfield Asset Management?

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 2>So Brookfield Asset Management and Brookfield as a whole is

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 2>one of the world's largest alternative asset managers. The asset

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 2>management business is the capital light bit. So this is

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 2>where the twelve hundred plus investment professionals of Brookfield reside.

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:28.760
<v Speaker 2>We oversee the investments that have two hundred thousand operating

0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:36.120
<v Speaker 2>professionals and it's a business that invests effectively in the

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 2>backbone of the global economy.

0:15:37.520 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 3>So that means renewable power.

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 2>One of the largest owners operators at renewable power, over

0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and sixty gigawatts of renewable power owned, operate

0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 2>and develop. One of the largest real estate investors in

0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 2>the world. One of the pioneers, if not the pioneers,

0:15:53.080 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 2>of infrastructure is an asset class. So one hundred and

0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:00.360
<v Speaker 2>sixty billion under management in infrastructure, and that's everything from

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 2>energy infrastructure to data infrastructure, big private equity business and

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 2>a very large private credit business as well.

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>Now you have many jobs. Currently you're not the head

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 1>of the central bank in Inlet anymore or Canada, but

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:15.600
<v Speaker 1>among other things, you're the special I guess advisor to

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 1>the UN Envoy Special Envoy UN on climate change.

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 3>So right, that's correct, on climate action and finance. Right,

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 3>So what does that really mean? What are you doing?

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:28.680
<v Speaker 1>You're telling the people in each country they should go

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 1>more electric or don't burn as much oil, or what

0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>it's really about.

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:34.880
<v Speaker 2>So a lot of if there's a common theme to

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 2>my career, it's working at the intersection of public policy

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:42.400
<v Speaker 2>and private markets. So a lot of that in central banking,

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 2>that's what you're doing. And that's what I'm doing, is

0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 2>this special envoy, And really it's to organize the private

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 2>financial system to be ready for climate change, not just

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:57.120
<v Speaker 2>the physical impacts of climate change, but to be part

0:16:57.120 --> 0:16:59.520
<v Speaker 2>of the solution, to be able to provide capital, get

0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 2>capital where it's needed to.

0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 3>Get a mission.

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 1>So in this disposition, which I assume is probably an

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:09.400
<v Speaker 1>unpaid position very much, so you know, people are looking

0:17:09.400 --> 0:17:11.199
<v Speaker 1>at you all the time, say you're the special envoy

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>for climate action.

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:16.200
<v Speaker 2>Can you can't fly in a private plane so easily?

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:16.760
<v Speaker 2>I guess, right?

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Then do you take public transportation or you can you

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:23.680
<v Speaker 1>drive your own carve it's an oil and gas car

0:17:23.840 --> 0:17:24.159
<v Speaker 1>or not?

0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:25.880
<v Speaker 3>Well I have I.

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Might not surprise if we have an electric car, as

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 2>you would expect, and most of the time that is

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:33.040
<v Speaker 2>charged in Quebec.

0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 3>I live just on the border with Quebec.

0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 2>And that's therefore, are you countable power?

0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 3>Are you conscious?

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 1>People always looking at you as a special envoye saying

0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 1>you know he's using too much, he's got too big

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:44.280
<v Speaker 1>a carbon footprint, or you don't worry about that?

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:47.440
<v Speaker 2>Well no, people, look, people will make that, particularly if

0:17:47.440 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 2>they don't want to confront the tough issues around climate change,

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.200
<v Speaker 2>the big blocks of what's actually going to make a difference.

0:17:53.240 --> 0:17:56.560
<v Speaker 2>They'll go to, you know, the anything you're wearing. You know,

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:59.359
<v Speaker 2>there's plastic on my watch strap, and therefore there's an

0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:00.880
<v Speaker 2>element of high carbons in that.

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:03.359
<v Speaker 1>If you have an oil and gas investment that comes

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 1>to an investment committee and you're the special envoy, you

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:08.040
<v Speaker 1>have to recuse yourself or how do you know.

0:18:08.080 --> 0:18:11.440
<v Speaker 2>Well, we have a very we have very clear approach

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 2>at Brookfield. As I say, we're one of the largest

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 2>renewable energy providers and we are systematically going through our

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:24.639
<v Speaker 2>assets to ensure that as much as possible they have

0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 2>business plans that are consistent with the transition towards net zero.

0:18:30.600 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 2>And we do that first and foremost. From a fiduciary perspective,

0:18:35.600 --> 0:18:40.159
<v Speaker 2>we see being low carbon or lowering your carbon footprint

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 2>to put it that way, as one of the fundamental

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:45.640
<v Speaker 2>drivers of value in the market. And I have to say,

0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:47.920
<v Speaker 2>you know, we're being proven right. We know in real

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:51.080
<v Speaker 2>time that the mapping of the temperature increase to the

0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:54.400
<v Speaker 2>extreme weather events is worse than we thought ten years ago.

0:18:54.840 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 2>So actually the goal, even though the goal is getting

0:18:57.880 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 2>tougher to get it's becoming more.

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:03.680
<v Speaker 3>To get there. And the third thing we know is

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 3>the mapping.

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:10.000
<v Speaker 2>You can map specific actions to specific emission reductions and

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 2>it can become very clear whether you're making a difference

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 2>on that and what we've seen. I'll make two points

0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:18.760
<v Speaker 2>if I may, on that. One is we go back

0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:22.439
<v Speaker 2>five years ago. Clean energy investment, so that's wind, solar,

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:27.280
<v Speaker 2>battery storage, and let's say ev charging those types of things.

0:19:27.520 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 2>About five hundred billion worldwide dollars spent this year last year,

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 2>one point two trillion this year one point eight trillion. Okay,

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:37.160
<v Speaker 2>that is one and a half one point six times

0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 2>what we're spending on conventional energy investment, and that's starting

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 2>to move, you know, so you can see in real

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 2>time what's happening in terms of emission reduction, solution emission reduction,

0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:53.560
<v Speaker 2>and as well, you know, from a financial we're at Bloomberg,

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:56.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, and talking a bit about Brookfield as well.

0:19:57.400 --> 0:19:58.840
<v Speaker 3>From a financial perspective.

0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:01.720
<v Speaker 2>First off, the numbers are huge in terms of the

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:04.520
<v Speaker 2>you know, the action is in the clean not in

0:20:04.560 --> 0:20:10.159
<v Speaker 2>the conventional. Secondly, the information set around whether or not

0:20:10.240 --> 0:20:12.639
<v Speaker 2>a company doesn't matter what the industry is could be

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:17.479
<v Speaker 2>tech could be motor, whatever services. The information about what

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 2>your carbon footprint is today and where it's going is exploding,

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:23.680
<v Speaker 2>so you can tell.

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 3>Who's part of the solution, who's part of the problem,

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:26.439
<v Speaker 3>and that is driving value.

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:29.399
<v Speaker 1>Some of the emerging market countries say, well, wait a second,

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:32.119
<v Speaker 1>you guys in the United States and Western Europe, you

0:20:32.200 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 1>had a century or so to pollute as much as

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:37.119
<v Speaker 1>you want it. Now you're asking us, as we're emerging,

0:20:37.440 --> 0:20:40.200
<v Speaker 1>to give away the right to use some of these

0:20:40.480 --> 0:20:43.120
<v Speaker 1>same kinds of fuels that you use as it's not fair,

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 1>They would say, what do you respond to that.

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:47.879
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's not fair.

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:51.880
<v Speaker 2>Unfortunately, the disproportionate impacts of climate change will also fall

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:54.719
<v Speaker 2>in those same countries and the people in those countries.

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:57.880
<v Speaker 2>You know, Africa, seventeen percent of the world's people three

0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:01.239
<v Speaker 2>percent of the world's emissions run right, but you know,

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:03.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, hundreds of millions of people will be in

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:07.560
<v Speaker 2>uninhabitable climate if we don't get.

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:07.880
<v Speaker 3>This on top.

0:21:08.200 --> 0:21:11.399
<v Speaker 2>So we've got to all get together and deal with it.

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:15.159
<v Speaker 2>First point, and then the second is that now, given

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 2>the progress that has been made in the economics of

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 2>wind solar stores particularly, they are becoming the low cost

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 2>solutions for those countries as well.

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 1>You have an electric car. You said you drive electric car, right,

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:30.879
<v Speaker 1>So some people say electric cars are not perfect in

0:21:30.880 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the sense that they get the minerals you need for

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:36.240
<v Speaker 1>some of their batteries. For example, you have to do

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of mining of things, and that is not

0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:40.840
<v Speaker 1>great for the environment either. But on the whole you

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:43.719
<v Speaker 1>would say electric vehicles are infinitely better than carbon.

0:21:44.960 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 3>Well, here we are in combustion.

0:21:46.760 --> 0:21:50.240
<v Speaker 2>At Bloomberg and I can reference BNF research on this,

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 2>which they actually show depending on where you are where

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 2>the crossover point is that your electric car net impact

0:21:59.359 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 2>on the environment is you know where it's better than

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 2>the internal combustion engine car.

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:05.040
<v Speaker 3>If you're in.

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:07.960
<v Speaker 2>Place like Canada, where you've got a lot of clean

0:22:07.960 --> 0:22:10.960
<v Speaker 2>power eighty five percent of our power zero mission in Canada,

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:13.720
<v Speaker 2>a little plug for Canadian manufacturing there by the way,

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 2>and the crossovers about eighteen months. If you're even if

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 2>you're in China where you have instilled in the installed

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:25.959
<v Speaker 2>based a lot of coal, it's well, I'll have to

0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:28.199
<v Speaker 2>check on I'll do BNF and check the number, but

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:31.959
<v Speaker 2>it's around five years, okay, So and that includes the

0:22:32.000 --> 0:22:35.479
<v Speaker 2>embedded carbon from all those processes.

0:22:35.040 --> 0:22:36.880
<v Speaker 1>For somebody whos watching it says, I'd like to be

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 1>like Mark Carney successful, but almost everything is touched to say,

0:22:40.720 --> 0:22:42.720
<v Speaker 1>maybe not hockey perfectly, but pretty good.

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:44.680
<v Speaker 3>What was it your hard work?

0:22:45.600 --> 0:22:49.720
<v Speaker 1>It's just being good jeans, you know, just smarter than

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<v Speaker 1>everybody else. So what is it luck? What do you

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 1>think it is that enable you to do all these things?

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<v Speaker 1>And you're still a very young man by my standard,

0:22:56.480 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 1>you're fifty eight years old. That's a teenager to me.

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<v Speaker 1>How so what do you think made this possible?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, look, luck is a huge element of it, without question.

0:23:07.880 --> 0:23:10.120
<v Speaker 2>You make your own luck to some extent if you're

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<v Speaker 2>doing things that you like and you care about, so

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:15.639
<v Speaker 2>you're around opportunities. You know, I wouldn't have been Governor

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 2>of the Bank of England if I hadn't wanted to

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 2>be in public policy and was the governor of Bank

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:20.440
<v Speaker 2>of Canada, for example.

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<v Speaker 3>But I, at least in.

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<v Speaker 2>My experience, maybe with my genes or whatever, I think

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:26.720
<v Speaker 2>you can't get away.

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<v Speaker 3>From hard work.

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to hear more of my interviews. You

0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>can subscribe and download my podcast on Spotify, Apple, or

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:36.159
<v Speaker 1>wherever you listen.