WEBVTT - Five Things The U.S. Can Do To Prepare For Iran: Adm. Stavridis

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot Com. Joining

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<v Speaker 1>us now is Admiral James Stavridis. He is the retired

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<v Speaker 1>former military commander of NATO Diana, the Fletcher's School of

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<v Speaker 1>Diplomacy at Tufts University. Also a Bloomberg opinion columnist, Admiral

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<v Speaker 1>Stefridas a pleasure always to speak with you. What is

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<v Speaker 1>your reaction to the war of words on Twitter between

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<v Speaker 1>the United States and Iran? I think it's worrisome, pim um.

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<v Speaker 1>But let's take it from Pres Trump's perspective. First, he

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<v Speaker 1>sees um kind of an angry but actually fairly stereotypical

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<v Speaker 1>set of rhetoric coming out from Tehran. We've we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>that kind of language from them repeatedly. And then he

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<v Speaker 1>launches this real screed, all in caps um. I can

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<v Speaker 1>understand the emotion of the response, but I'll tell you,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, to put it in a movie context, we

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<v Speaker 1>probably need less fast and furious and a little more

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<v Speaker 1>cool hand Luke, which is to say, slow down, analyze

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<v Speaker 1>and understand. We want to avoid getting in a war,

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<v Speaker 1>but we do want to change Iranian behavior. Um. Finding

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<v Speaker 1>that balance, I think it's going to be the challenge

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<v Speaker 1>going forward. Well, what do you recommend? What would be

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<v Speaker 1>the next thing to do? Given that the president seems

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<v Speaker 1>to well, I mean, if you want to, you don't

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<v Speaker 1>carry the cool hand Luke. Analogy further, Um, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>failure to communicate between the Iron and the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>What a nice point. Um. So I'd do five things,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, and I'll knock them off very quickly. One,

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<v Speaker 1>I would focus the intelligence community more dramatically, particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>the maritime zone. Secondly, I would increase our defensive posture

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<v Speaker 1>in the Middle East, because if this thing is gonna

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<v Speaker 1>go hot, we're gonna need to be ready. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>for example, missile defenses. Thirdly, I'd go out to our allies,

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<v Speaker 1>partners and friends in the region are Sunni partners and

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<v Speaker 1>our Israeli partners. Fourth, I'd go to NATO. I'd go

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<v Speaker 1>to the Europeans and try and work through our current

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<v Speaker 1>set of tensions there to get them on board. And

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<v Speaker 1>fifth and finally, PIM, i'd get the inter agency more connected.

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<v Speaker 1>We need c I, a Department of Justice, Department of

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<v Speaker 1>Treasury working more closely together. UM. We need That's a

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<v Speaker 1>long way of saying we need a strategy g not

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<v Speaker 1>an angry Twitter burst. Do we have any evidence that

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<v Speaker 1>these strategies work? I think we do. UM. If we

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<v Speaker 1>look around the world. UM, our strategy worked very successfully

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<v Speaker 1>in Colombia in defeating an insurgency. It has worked very

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<v Speaker 1>well in the Balkans, bringing peace to a very troubled

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<v Speaker 1>region there. I think, uh. More contemporaneously, our strategy has

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<v Speaker 1>worked fairly well in Asia, keeping our allies working together

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<v Speaker 1>as we put pressure on North Korea. I commend the

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<v Speaker 1>administration for what's happening in North Korea, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>they took a strategic approach there. I hope they do

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<v Speaker 1>the same in Iran. You mentioned the Sunni allies Saudi Arabia.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you believe they want to have happened? They

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<v Speaker 1>have a very belligerent stance towards Iran. Broadly speaking, what

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<v Speaker 1>they want is Iran to withdraw from a variety of

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<v Speaker 1>Arab countries where they are pushing hard at Sunni populations. Iran,

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<v Speaker 1>of course leads the Shia bloc in the region, so

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<v Speaker 1>that is they would like to see Iran back out

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<v Speaker 1>of Syria, back out of Lebanon, back out of Yemen,

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<v Speaker 1>back out of trying to interfere with the kingdom itself.

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<v Speaker 1>The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia reduce its ties with Guitar.

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<v Speaker 1>So they see Iran as an inspansionist imperial power. They

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<v Speaker 1>want to contain it, and under Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salomon,

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<v Speaker 1>they will be very strong in doing so. You mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>the maritime zone, and I of course want to mention

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<v Speaker 1>your latest book entitled Seapower, The History and Geopolitics of

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<v Speaker 1>the World's Oceans. When you mentioned maritime power, don't you

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<v Speaker 1>have to think of what China wants to do. You

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely do. And let's reflect on the fact, Pim that

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<v Speaker 1>this region is parked almost dead center in the One Belt,

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<v Speaker 1>one Road UH strategy that is employing in the movement

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<v Speaker 1>of raw materials from Africa and the Middle East to

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<v Speaker 1>them and the return flow of finished goods. So this

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<v Speaker 1>in my view would be an area in which attempting

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<v Speaker 1>cooperation with China might prove fruitful. China does not have

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<v Speaker 1>preconceived notions about its relationships with Iran, and it is

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<v Speaker 1>in China's interests and in the United States interest to

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<v Speaker 1>keep uh that maritime flow of goods going back and forth,

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<v Speaker 1>especially out of the Arabian Gulf. Who or what entity

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<v Speaker 1>inside of NATO do you believe will respond positively if

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<v Speaker 1>we want to improve that relationship to help in these

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<v Speaker 1>issues regarding the Middle East. You know, at the moment

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<v Speaker 1>relations between the United States and the rest of our

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<v Speaker 1>NATO allies are quite low. Let's be honest, we had

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<v Speaker 1>a bad summit. Um, there was finger pointing both ways. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the President is right to press on the

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<v Speaker 1>European allies to increase their defense spending. But I do

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<v Speaker 1>think that they have a point that Um, if they

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<v Speaker 1>are going to go forth and operate with the United

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<v Speaker 1>States around the world, they want to do that in

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<v Speaker 1>a spirit of cooperation, which didn't feel like it was

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<v Speaker 1>forthcoming at the summit in Brussels. So I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>some fence mending to do on both sides in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of who we're closest to, who can help us the most,

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<v Speaker 1>it would be the United Kingdom within the Alliance UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and we have to hope that we improve our relations,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly with Germany, which is a significant actor both within

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<v Speaker 1>the EU and within NATO, and that relationship is in

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<v Speaker 1>bad shape right now. Well in that vain. The summit

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<v Speaker 1>in Brussels was followed by the summit in Helsinki. What

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<v Speaker 1>is your reaction, what is your analysis? Um, the summit

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<v Speaker 1>in Helsinki was a major misstep by the President of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States, and I think that's pretty well validated

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<v Speaker 1>across the political spectrum. The problem was UM less about

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<v Speaker 1>the fundamental idea of talking to Russia. I believe we should.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we should confront Russia where we must, but

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<v Speaker 1>cooperate wherever we can. We don't want to stumble back

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<v Speaker 1>into a Cold war. But the problem was the atmospherics,

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<v Speaker 1>the sense that our president was taking the side of

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<v Speaker 1>Vladimir Putin over the intelligence community, and I think above

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<v Speaker 1>all a kind of refusal to fully admit Russia's intrusion

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<v Speaker 1>into our election, which is a fundamental UM violation of

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<v Speaker 1>international law by Russia. So atmospherically didn't work, particularly coming

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<v Speaker 1>on the heels of the twelve indictments of Russian intelligence operatives.

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<v Speaker 1>The overall idea of working with Russia does make sense.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got to leave it there, Thank you very much.

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<v Speaker 1>Admiral James Stavridis, Dina the Fletcher School of Law and

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<v Speaker 1>Diplomacy and the author of Power, The History and Geopolitics

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<v Speaker 1>of the World's Oceans. Currency manipulation, the dollar, China, the

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<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve all come into focus of Vincent Signerella, are

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<v Speaker 1>global macro strategist for Bloomberg News, joins us here in

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<v Speaker 1>studio to figure this all out. All right, Vincent, what

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<v Speaker 1>is going on with US officials talking down the dollar,

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<v Speaker 1>talking up the dollar? Who are we to believe? I

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<v Speaker 1>think you're gonna stick with Minuchin on this one. I

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<v Speaker 1>think Trump's just firing a couple off the off the

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<v Speaker 1>bow basically, just to get everyone a little nervous. He's

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<v Speaker 1>very upset with Germany. So when he says the Europeans,

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<v Speaker 1>he's really speaking about Germany. Uh, in terms of trade

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<v Speaker 1>with Germany, we have a big deficit. So he when

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<v Speaker 1>he's that all automobiles a big part of it as automobiles.

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<v Speaker 1>But at the same time, I mean, it's uh, it's

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<v Speaker 1>very specific machinery. Germany specializes in very high tech machinery,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in the surgical space, so we we do have

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<v Speaker 1>this broad deficit with Germany. He throws the Europeans all

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<v Speaker 1>under the bus with it with the same stroke um,

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<v Speaker 1>but at the same time, the Euros eighteen it's not

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<v Speaker 1>doing anything. So I would look past any criticism of

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<v Speaker 1>Europe and realize that this is specifically aimed at China.

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<v Speaker 1>But is this is wait a second, but before we

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<v Speaker 1>get to China, is this bus going to get more expensive?

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<v Speaker 1>Which what do you mean the bus that if you

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<v Speaker 1>want to import an automobile from Germany, is that going

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<v Speaker 1>to get more expensive? My guess is at the end

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<v Speaker 1>of the day, we'll reach an accord, especially on autos

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<v Speaker 1>with the Europeans. It's a big business and he's getting

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of pressure from the United States manufacturers as well,

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<v Speaker 1>so I think they're gonna come together on that one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the same kind of squawking we hear about NAFTA.

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<v Speaker 1>Eventually NAFTA will come back around. To believe that will happen.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe it will happen. It's just going to take

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of time and a little bit and

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna see these gyrations in the market. Okay, because

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<v Speaker 1>we've got John Claude Junker. I believe he's tending the

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<v Speaker 1>White House. This is going to be really he's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of lost some credibility on the street, to be honest,

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<v Speaker 1>So it would be very interesting to see what he says.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll explain that. Well, he's gone off over the years

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<v Speaker 1>and in really odd, almost Trump like statements, so that

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<v Speaker 1>the markets have like sort of pulled back and and

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<v Speaker 1>and not reacted so much to what he's had to say.

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<v Speaker 1>We're not you know, if you if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>it in the sense it's like who is he really representing?

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<v Speaker 1>He's going to the White House on Wednesday, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>The move to China, China on what I would like

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<v Speaker 1>to really really stress is this is not a currency war.

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<v Speaker 1>This is not China trying to devalue the currency and

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<v Speaker 1>take it back a few steps. When when Bernanke did

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<v Speaker 1>q E and we were accused and he was accused

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<v Speaker 1>of starting a currency war, what he was doing was

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<v Speaker 1>keeping interest rates low, flattening the curve because of worries

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<v Speaker 1>about the economy. China has some substantial worries about the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>They've seen increased corporate defalse. They had a massive liquidity

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<v Speaker 1>issue that they've just again once again did a big

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<v Speaker 1>medium term lending facility to add to this liquidity. Whenever

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<v Speaker 1>a central bank does a big add you see a

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<v Speaker 1>currency weaken, so that the China's you and by default,

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<v Speaker 1>is weakening. But it's not their aim to weaken the

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<v Speaker 1>currency to be a pain to Trump, although he will

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<v Speaker 1>point to that they're really pointing towards trying to to

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<v Speaker 1>STI is a domestic issue for them, purely a domestic issue,

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<v Speaker 1>purely liquidity issue, and it's a worry. I mean, if

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<v Speaker 1>if you're an emerging market investor, this is a big,

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<v Speaker 1>big worry. China's growth has been slowing and for them

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<v Speaker 1>to to put this much money into the system is

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<v Speaker 1>a is a real wake up call for emerging markets.

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<v Speaker 1>It should be UM. We've seen some appreciation and emerging

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<v Speaker 1>market currencies, but to my look, we have a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more to go if this becomes a major economic issue

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<v Speaker 1>for China. What is the Vincent Signarella chart tell you

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<v Speaker 1>about the future of EM currencies such as Brazil, Russia, India.

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<v Speaker 1>I think EM is gonna stay under the gun. I

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<v Speaker 1>think we're going to see Trump continue this pressure through

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<v Speaker 1>the midterm elections in November. This plays well to his

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<v Speaker 1>political base. Even if there's short term pain for US manufacturers,

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<v Speaker 1>which is in this rust belt, in the place he's

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<v Speaker 1>trying to aim at. From a political standpoint, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>there's a great deal of long term support and a

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<v Speaker 1>great deal of play that he gets out of that. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't have a lot else to hang his hat on,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, other than I mean he's got tax cuts

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<v Speaker 1>as well, So we may see another round of tax

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<v Speaker 1>cuts hit the US before November. But in and in

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<v Speaker 1>the end, that should keep the dollar a little bit alive.

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<v Speaker 1>It should see pressure in the UM. Do you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the price of copper? I do. What does the

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<v Speaker 1>price of copper which has been yeah, falling, un volatile

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<v Speaker 1>and following yes, what does that tell you about let's

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<v Speaker 1>say the economy of a place like Australia. Well, I

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<v Speaker 1>think what it says again, um, what's going on with

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<v Speaker 1>the China situation and how that impacts Australia and then

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<v Speaker 1>eventually obviously copper. If these are the the the base

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<v Speaker 1>metals that feed into production, and when you have the

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<v Speaker 1>the main buyer of those products stumbling a bit, then

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<v Speaker 1>the input to that main product stumbles, and that's what

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<v Speaker 1>we've been seeing in copper, and we're also seeing any

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<v Speaker 1>Australian dollar. What's the biggest mistake that you see currency

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<v Speaker 1>traders make in an environment like this? Reacting to the

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<v Speaker 1>immediate news, we saw something hit the markets this morning

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<v Speaker 1>about how Mexico's economy minister says we're going to aim

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<v Speaker 1>to get an after done by the end of August.

0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Paso strengthened immediately off of that, a couple of big

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 1>figures told news he actually said that yesterday. Um. And

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 1>then the piece of immediately weakens when everybody wakes up,

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:06.360
<v Speaker 1>or actually I squawked it and said, by the way,

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 1>this is yesterday's news. Uh, and then it immediately turned around.

0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 1>The odds of getting NAFTA done by August are really

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 1>really tight. And then the bigger picture is, even if

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>we get an agreement of sorts, needs to be ratified

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 1>by Congress, which at this point unlikely to get done

0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:24.520
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and eighteen. So even if we had

0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:27.400
<v Speaker 1>a agreement at arms length, we still need to go

0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 1>through the congressional process. Not happening this year, So reacting

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 1>to news like that is always going to come back

0:14:33.440 --> 0:14:37.040
<v Speaker 1>to buy two ten seconds. Tell people how they can

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.600
<v Speaker 1>follow you on Squawk. If you have a Bloomberg terminal

0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:44.000
<v Speaker 1>and you're just type esquq, you you'll see a launch

0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:46.640
<v Speaker 1>bad come up for a Squawk go and what we'll

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>do is we will speak live breaking news. Uh down

0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:53.200
<v Speaker 1>your terminal. Thanks very much, Thank you, Vincent Signarella, Global

0:14:53.280 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>macro strategist for Bloomberg News. Well, one of Colorado's largest

0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:20.160
<v Speaker 1>recreational pot companies is planning to bring Willie Nelson's marijuana

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 1>brand to Canada and then go public in Toronto. Here

0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:27.560
<v Speaker 1>to tell us about raising capital in the cannabis industry

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 1>is Kevin Murphy. He's the chief executive of Acredge Holdings.

0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Murphy, thanks very much for being with us. Tell

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:39.680
<v Speaker 1>us about Acreage Holdings and your capital raise and what

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 1>that tells you about the appetite that investors have for

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>the industry. Bamn and Lisa, thanks so much for having

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 1>me on the show. And uh. Acreage Holdings today is

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:56.440
<v Speaker 1>the largest US cannabis provider UM now with thirteen states

0:15:56.440 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and to be fifteen states. UM I'll our footprint covers

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and fifty million people in this country, and

0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 1>our goal is to raise enough capital to be an

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>aggregator into space. And this would be the last round

0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 1>of financing that we will do before accessing the public

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:19.800
<v Speaker 1>markets here in the fall. All right, before we get

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 1>to the public markets, Acreage owns cultivation, processing, and dispensary operations. Correct,

0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 1>that is correct. We are vertically integrated in every state,

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 1>um or striving to be vertically integrated in in every state.

0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 1>But you are absolutely correct. We control the entire um

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the life cycle of the plant from seed to dispensary.

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:47.720
<v Speaker 1>And on your advisory board you have former Massachusetts Governor

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:51.280
<v Speaker 1>William Weld as well as former House Speaker John Bayner.

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 1>That is correct. We couldn't be more proud to have

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 1>those two gentlemen standing shoulder to shoulder with us at Acreage.

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Why if you could raise a quarter billion dollars, two

0:17:02.680 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty million, why did you then just raise

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:10.680
<v Speaker 1>a hundred nine million. Well, we had initially sit out

0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:13.960
<v Speaker 1>to raise fifty million dollars, but we had so much

0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 1>enthusiasm for the raise that we ended up raising as

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 1>much as a hundred and nineteen million dollars, which is

0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:25.560
<v Speaker 1>the largest rays ever done in the United States for cannabis.

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>We also anticipate raising additional capital in the fall, and

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:33.679
<v Speaker 1>so we wanted to leave a little bit room in

0:17:33.800 --> 0:17:39.440
<v Speaker 1>order to do another financing this year. Now you intend

0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to launch on the Canadian Securities Exchange. Why in Canada, Well,

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:49.240
<v Speaker 1>that is correct, and we go where every we are welcome,

0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 1>and today the Canadians are with open arms welcoming us

0:17:53.520 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 1>um to the Canadian Exchange. In Canada, it is federally legal. Unfortunately,

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, cannabis is still a Schedule one drug,

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 1>which is defined by having no medicinal value. Now that

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:13.920
<v Speaker 1>would preclude us from being on the New York Stock

0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:17.879
<v Speaker 1>Exchange or the NASDAC, but we do hope soon to

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 1>be able to list on one or the other here

0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>in the US. What kind of financial gain are let's say,

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>taxpayers missing out on by having the federal government still

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>regard cannabis as a Schedule one drug. This business, in

0:18:40.160 --> 0:18:43.440
<v Speaker 1>this industry is estimated to be by two thousand and

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:49.159
<v Speaker 1>twenty five one hundred billion dollars in size. Compared to

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 1>other consumables. It is a very very large marketplace. We

0:18:56.040 --> 0:19:02.159
<v Speaker 1>at acreage, advocate for a banking, we advocate to pay taxes,

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 1>and at the end of the day, I believe that

0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:10.800
<v Speaker 1>it could have a major impact on um this country's

0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>opay crisis. We'd love to be taxed and have a

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of those tax dollars go to reducing opiate use

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:23.480
<v Speaker 1>in this country. That tax revenue is currently unavailable to

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 1>the federal government. What is holding this up the fact

0:19:30.119 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>that it's a Schedule one drug today again being defined

0:19:33.640 --> 0:19:38.760
<v Speaker 1>as having no additional value. And at the end, we

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>believe that this drug needs to be de scheduled. The

0:19:44.000 --> 0:19:47.959
<v Speaker 1>majority of this country believes that cannabis should be legal,

0:19:48.080 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>and we're hopeful that Congress will essentially vote with their

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 1>constituents to make that a reality, and we believe it's

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:59.639
<v Speaker 1>going to happen sooner than later. Just give you a

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:04.600
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds. Does it strike you as ironic that cigarettes

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and alcohol are legally sold in the United States and

0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:14.680
<v Speaker 1>tax but cannabis isn't. Every industry goes through a change,

0:20:14.680 --> 0:20:17.879
<v Speaker 1>and we believe that the change is now for cannabis.

0:20:18.080 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 1>We've seen prohibition in this country with alcohol, and from

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 1>our vantage point, we are on the cusp of sea change.

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:32.360
<v Speaker 1>And with Speaker Banker being a naysayer historically and now

0:20:32.440 --> 0:20:35.080
<v Speaker 1>having the courage to change his mind, we believe others

0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 1>will as well. And that's why we believe we're well

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:41.919
<v Speaker 1>positioned to be a dominant force in the cannabis space

0:20:42.600 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>when it is federally illegal to us. It's not an if,

0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:52.440
<v Speaker 1>it's a matter of when. Kevin Murphy, Chief Executive Acreage Holdings.

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 1>They've raised nearly a hundred and twenty million dollars in

0:20:56.119 --> 0:20:59.720
<v Speaker 1>their latest financing round, with plans to go public at

0:20:59.720 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 1>the of the year in Canada. This is Bloomberg Markets.

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:22.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm pim Fox. My next guest knows all about the

0:21:22.080 --> 0:21:26.160
<v Speaker 1>modern economy in a world where everything can be copied.

0:21:26.160 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>In other words, control C control V. We all know

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>about it, but how do you deal with it? He

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 1>is Howard You. He is the legal Professor of Management

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>and Innovation at the I M d School of Business

0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 1>in Switzerland, and his new book is called Leap How

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:46.400
<v Speaker 1>to Thrive in a World where Everything can be Copied?

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:49.199
<v Speaker 1>How are you? Thank you very much for being with us.

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:51.359
<v Speaker 1>Maybe you could just start off by telling us a

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:55.119
<v Speaker 1>little bit about why you decided to write this book.

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 1>In many ways. The book concept really came from my

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 1>conversation of executive and manager home I had run conferences

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:06.639
<v Speaker 1>and workshop and one of the key topic, or one

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:09.400
<v Speaker 1>of the biggest complaint they always have. They would say,

0:22:09.480 --> 0:22:13.320
<v Speaker 1>my product is getting commoditized, meaning they find it very,

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 1>very hard to differentiate in marketplace. They subject to all

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 1>kinds of pricing pressure, and whenever they launch or introduce

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 1>a new type of innovation, those product features get copy overnight,

0:22:24.359 --> 0:22:27.679
<v Speaker 1>and so that becomes the crux or the thrust for

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:32.440
<v Speaker 1>me to dive into this inquiry. Now, as you decided

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.280
<v Speaker 1>that this was a focus of attention, did you notice

0:22:35.320 --> 0:22:37.760
<v Speaker 1>that this is an issue that had been going on

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 1>for a very long time. I mean, we may think

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:42.919
<v Speaker 1>that this is just something to do with technology, but

0:22:43.040 --> 0:22:45.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, you go back even to let's say the

0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:50.240
<v Speaker 1>founding of the United States and and the industrialization of

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the United States. UH, factories in the U S were

0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>copying European goods even then. Absolutely, I thought that's pretty

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 1>much a contemper phenomena. But as I died dig into

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:06.919
<v Speaker 1>the historical past, it turns out things getting copy was

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a repeated complaint across era, across industry, across continent as well.

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:15.480
<v Speaker 1>In fact, once a point in time in Switzerland there

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 1>is no pattern law for chemistry or chemical product. So

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>in the land of counterfeat the Swiss were basically copying

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 1>the German to produce drugs, and that had historically two

0:23:28.080 --> 0:23:32.639
<v Speaker 1>years ago the biggest complained by the German drug manufacturer. Well,

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:36.640
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about leap and what did you discover? How

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:41.399
<v Speaker 1>can companies deal with copying in an age where it

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 1>is as simple as a control C movement on the keyboard. Yeah,

0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:49.880
<v Speaker 1>in many ways, executive always dream about building up a

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:54.719
<v Speaker 1>competitive possessioning that they could stay away from global competition.

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 1>That turned out to be pretty much a mirage. In

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:03.639
<v Speaker 1>many ways, competition is almost like mountaineering. So the pioneering

0:24:03.680 --> 0:24:06.639
<v Speaker 1>company would try to reach the mountain peak and the

0:24:06.760 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>lake comer would also try to reach the same altitude. Now,

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 1>when the knowledge underpinning the industry stays tgnate, the lake

0:24:16.119 --> 0:24:19.720
<v Speaker 1>comers sooner or later would reach the same height. No

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 1>value proposition can stay unique forever. No blue ocean can

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:28.159
<v Speaker 1>stay blue forever. Eventually blue ocean turn red. What I

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 1>discover is pioneering company can play a different game. They

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 1>can leap from one knowledge discipline to the next and

0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:39.239
<v Speaker 1>then the next. And when the underlying knowledge of an

0:24:39.280 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 1>industry continued continue to leap forward. Then climbing the mountain

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:48.440
<v Speaker 1>is as if there's constant mudslide pushing everyone down. In

0:24:48.480 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 1>that scenario, it turns out it's the most experience, the

0:24:51.920 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 1>most pioneering company stand a better chance to stay on

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 1>top of competition. Can you give us some examples of

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:02.480
<v Speaker 1>companies that are able to do this? Sure? Um. One

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:04.479
<v Speaker 1>of the prime examples I use in the book is

0:25:04.520 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 1>the pharmaceutical industry I briefly mentioned earlier. So it turns

0:25:08.920 --> 0:25:12.800
<v Speaker 1>out in the beginning of the pharmaceutical industry two years ago,

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:17.000
<v Speaker 1>everyone come up with new drugs based on organic chemistry.

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 1>The first blockbuster in the world is in fact called

0:25:20.000 --> 0:25:23.280
<v Speaker 1>ant hip hiring is a fever reducing drugs, and it

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:27.160
<v Speaker 1>is this chemist making chemical die for the textile industry

0:25:27.359 --> 0:25:32.280
<v Speaker 1>discovered this municipal medicinal benefit to to solve human issues.

0:25:32.840 --> 0:25:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Now you might remember after people talk about Alexander Flaming

0:25:37.440 --> 0:25:42.080
<v Speaker 1>who discover peninsillin the first an hipolytics roughly around the

0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 1>Second World War. So after the Second World War, all

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the pharmaceutical industry moved from the study of chemistry to microbiology.

0:25:49.720 --> 0:25:52.919
<v Speaker 1>They want to find out the more potent fungus, to

0:25:53.119 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>find out the next pay dirt, to find out the

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:59.119
<v Speaker 1>more potent ant hibiotics. So the knowledge discipline really moved

0:25:59.119 --> 0:26:02.880
<v Speaker 1>from organic cam street to the study of microbiology. Today

0:26:03.119 --> 0:26:06.600
<v Speaker 1>it's all about genomics and DNA and genetics. So looking

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 1>back to the long history of pharmaceutical industry, the salient

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>features of this particular sector is the leaping of knowledge

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 1>from one to the next, from organic chemistry to microbiology

0:26:18.160 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>to genomics. But that doesn't that beg the question that

0:26:22.320 --> 0:26:26.440
<v Speaker 1>you need to have confidence in order to do that,

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 1>because if you don't have the confidence, you're gonna try

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 1>to build a bigger moat around your mountains so that

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>no one even gets the climb on top of it.

0:26:35.000 --> 0:26:38.399
<v Speaker 1>How do you help build that confidence? Yeah, this is

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a tricky question because on the verge of leaping from

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>the old knowledge to the next, oftentimes those require investment.

0:26:47.000 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Is very very hard to pinpoint through the traditional financial

0:26:50.359 --> 0:26:53.800
<v Speaker 1>and analysis. I give you a concrete example on the

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:58.520
<v Speaker 1>virtue of launching the targeted cancer drugs called Clevick by novartists.

0:26:58.600 --> 0:27:02.439
<v Speaker 1>At the time, this CEO was facing a paradox in

0:27:02.480 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 1>many ways. This new targeted drugs solving a rare form

0:27:06.040 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 1>of leukemia cancer called CML. The target market is relatively small,

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:14.200
<v Speaker 1>so all the executives around him basically said we should

0:27:14.240 --> 0:27:18.679
<v Speaker 1>allocate the corporate resources to more larger diseased class like

0:27:18.760 --> 0:27:22.639
<v Speaker 1>prostic cancer, breast cancer and so on. But the CEO

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>at the time, Daniel Vanzella, when he reviewed back the

0:27:26.359 --> 0:27:29.160
<v Speaker 1>early clinical trial, he thought, it's not so much about

0:27:29.200 --> 0:27:33.240
<v Speaker 1>increase of revenue, but it really pioneering of a new

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:36.760
<v Speaker 1>way for drug discovery using genomics. No how and he

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:39.919
<v Speaker 1>basically told the team money doesn't matter. We have to

0:27:39.960 --> 0:27:42.639
<v Speaker 1>move ahead. So every time when I look back to

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 1>historical analysis that companies successfully leap from one knowledge to

0:27:47.800 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 1>the next, there is certain top down intervention has to happen,

0:27:52.400 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 1>going beyond the traditional financial analysis that we all know

0:27:56.760 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 1>very well. That was Howard you. He is Lego Professor

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:04.040
<v Speaker 1>of Management and Innovation at the I M d School

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 1>of Business in Switzerland. His new book is entitled Leap

0:28:08.240 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>How to Thrive in a world where everything can be copied.

0:28:13.200 --> 0:28:17.440
<v Speaker 1>And to just give some more uh well pertinent information

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>related to this, you know, the food and us Food

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:24.879
<v Speaker 1>and Drug Administration. Just last week it announced what it

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:29.920
<v Speaker 1>called something called the bio Similars Action Plan, and the

0:28:30.000 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 1>idea is to improve the efficiency of the biosimilar and

0:28:34.400 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>interchangeable product development and approval process, basically making it the

0:28:40.000 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 1>easier and uh faster for companies to create biosimilar drugs.

0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:50.640
<v Speaker 1>And already we know that about a dozen approvals for

0:28:50.760 --> 0:28:54.360
<v Speaker 1>bio similars have made it through the f d A,

0:28:54.920 --> 0:28:58.360
<v Speaker 1>and they have started this effort to accelerate the development

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>and adoption of these particular drugs. Thanks for listening to

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:13.040
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast

0:29:13.040 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 1>platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at

0:29:16.680 --> 0:29:20.080
<v Speaker 1>pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one

0:29:20.320 --> 0:29:23.000
<v Speaker 1>before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:23.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio.