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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after a winning day.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: I did not put an NBA player prop up on

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Speaker 1: the app.

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Speaker 2: Why.

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Speaker 1: I didn't like anything, and look, I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: push and force when there's just nothing that's grabbing my attention.

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Speaker 1: So I just said, look, not going to play anything,

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Speaker 1: let's just stay off of it.

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Speaker 2: I don't normally do that, but.

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Speaker 1: That was just an executive decision call, and I'm glad

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Speaker 1: that I did that because we wind up one to

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Speaker 1: oher with the potential for a two and oh Mark,

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Speaker 1: we get the under easily. That number completely disintegrated. It

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Speaker 1: closed up two fourteen. We had under two twenty one

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Speaker 1: and a half. That was an easy cash there, and

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Speaker 1: then the whole fight is tonight at UFC two thirty four.

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Speaker 1: Butler comes in with the money line. So we're up

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Speaker 1: four units with the potential to be up five units

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Speaker 1: over the last two days, and that puts us right

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Speaker 1: back essentially to even.

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Speaker 2: So how the week.

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Speaker 1: Goes for the next two days for Saturday and Sunday,

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Speaker 1: we'll dictate how we do for the week. Do we

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Speaker 1: have a winning week or a losing week. So Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: no good. Thursday, Friday, we're up three units, in four units,

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Speaker 1: maybe five units to make up for what happened, which

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Speaker 1: has been this very weird pattern that I've been in

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Speaker 1: for the last couple of weeks where Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: I'm just atrocious, and then Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday,

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Speaker 1: I make it up.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why, it just it is what it is.

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Speaker 1: But I am going going to UFC three twenty four,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna go and throw some decent bets here.

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Speaker 1: I got an early premium bet already with the Hokik

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Speaker 1: fight on a money line. I've got a bet on

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Speaker 1: the on the Comaine, and I've got two bets on

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Speaker 1: the Main coming up here for us today, plus a

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Speaker 1: three leg money line parlay for college basketball. I'll explain

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Speaker 1: everything coming up here in just one second, But first

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Speaker 1: a reminder that hard Rock Bet is the presenting sponsor

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Speaker 1: and make your first deposit today. All right, hoke it

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Speaker 1: fight is the early prelimits the third fight of the night.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the comaine. It is Sean O'Malley taking

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Speaker 1: on Song You Dong. This is going to be a

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Speaker 1: really fun fight. But here is my theory on Song

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Speaker 1: You Dong. His last three fights have all gone the distance.

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Speaker 1: Petrillon is the belt tolder in this bantamweight division. Song

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Speaker 1: You Dong lost to him. He also won three of

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Speaker 1: his last four fights, including his last fight against Henry Sahudo,

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Speaker 1: but it went to a decision. I don't think Song

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Speaker 1: You Dong really is a type of fighter who's going

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Speaker 1: to stop many fighters. Now you have to go all

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Speaker 1: the way back for him in the fifth round against

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Speaker 1: Ricky Simon of a fight night when he was the

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Speaker 1: main event back in the on April twenty ninth, twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three, for the last time that Song You Dong

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Speaker 1: stops somebody. So here's my theory. Sean O'Malley needs a win,

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Speaker 1: But I don't think Sean O'Malley wants to get into

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Speaker 1: a firefight here. Average fight time for O'Malley is eleven nineteen.

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Speaker 1: Average fight time for Songya Dong is thirteen oh five.

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Speaker 1: O'Malley has a five inch reach advantage. He strikes landed

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Speaker 1: per minute for O'Malley six point three strikes absorbed per minute,

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Speaker 1: sorry per fifteen sorry per minute sorry for song youa

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Speaker 1: Dong four that he takes some punishments On the flip side.

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Speaker 1: O'Malley is three point four to eight with strikes absorbed

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Speaker 1: per minute, four point five strikes landed per minute for

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Speaker 1: Song You Dong. Neither one of these guys want to

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Speaker 1: take this thing down, okay, point two seven takedown average

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Speaker 1: for O'Malley over fifteen minutes point b six' one For Songa.

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Speaker 1: Dog so this fight's gonna be on the. FEET i

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Speaker 1: think O'Malley's gonna stay away from any real. Damage Songa

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Speaker 1: dong really does not get. Stopped he's a very difficult

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Speaker 1: guy to. Stop he lost To Peter yan by. Decision

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Speaker 1: he lost To Corey sandhagen by being cato to the fourth,

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Speaker 1: round but that was back in twenty twenty. Two he

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Speaker 1: can O'Malley stop him, Absolutely BUT i think the path

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Speaker 1: to victory For sean O'Malley here against a dangerous fighter

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Speaker 1: who has knockout power is just to go ahead and

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Speaker 1: pick him apart from the, outside just to outpoint the.

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Speaker 1: Guy it is heavily favored to the over two and

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Speaker 1: a half rounds for this three round. Fight O'Malley is

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Speaker 1: a guy THAT i think just wants to get off

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Speaker 1: the losing. Streak the last two, fights both Against morob

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Speaker 1: he lost, them both won by decision and one getting

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Speaker 1: choked out in the third. Round his last fight that

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Speaker 1: he won was back in twenty four Against Marlon. Vera

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Speaker 1: it's been a. Minute he beat Al Jamaine sterling back

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Speaker 1: on In august of twenty, three like the shine and

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Speaker 1: the all the sugar show stuff is nearly.

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Speaker 2: Done he needs a. Win just get a.

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Speaker 1: Win i'm gonna play O'Malley on the money line here

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and get a, win but that will

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Speaker 1: be on different.

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Speaker 2: BETS i think you have to play by.

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Speaker 1: DECISION i think you have to go in and Take

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Speaker 1: sean O'Malley by decision just because of the. Price it's

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Speaker 1: too expensive not to O'Malley by decision is plus one.

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Speaker 1: Seventeen we're gonna take it for a. Unit O'Malley by

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Speaker 1: decision at for one. UNIT i will have him involved in.

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Speaker 1: PARLAYS i will take him by any means on a money,

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Speaker 1: line BUT i think officially for the, juice we're gonna

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Speaker 1: come in and we're gonna take him by decision at

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Speaker 1: plus one. Seventeen now to the main, EVENT ufc three

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Speaker 1: twenty four was supposed to have an unbelievable comaine With

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Speaker 1: Kayla harrison And Amanda, nunez so that's not happening any.

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Speaker 1: Longer that puts a lot of pressure on the main

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Speaker 1: event to. Deliver Justin gaichie has been pretty clear if

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Speaker 1: he loses this, fight he will very well retire the

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Speaker 1: lightweight belt is on the line. Now Justin gaichie has knockout.

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Speaker 1: Power Justin gaichie is a tremendous. Fighter he is a,

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Speaker 1: durable very difficult man to. Stop and he's Fighting Patty

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Speaker 1: pemblet where a lot of people do not believe he

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Speaker 1: belongs in this, fight that his resume does not give

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Speaker 1: him the right to fight for the interim lightweight belt

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Speaker 1: just because of who he's. BEATEN i, mean he Beat Michael,

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Speaker 1: Chandler King, Green Tony ferguson and then a bunch of

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Speaker 1: just also. Rams he's undefeated in THE. Ufc he's extremely.

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Speaker 1: Talented he can, grapple he can submit, you he can

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Speaker 1: knock you, out he can, talk he can. Entertain Justin

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Speaker 1: gaechie has had an edge about him that is all,

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Speaker 1: week which is very. Interesting he seems very pissed off

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Speaker 1: at the, company very mad about THE usc And Justin

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Speaker 1: gaichee's resume is. Ridiculous his last fight where he Beat,

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Speaker 1: phaziz but he lost To holloway with THE bmf belt

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Speaker 1: fight back In april of twenty, four but he Beat,

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Speaker 1: porier he lost To Charles. Olavera he Beat Michael, chandler

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Speaker 1: he lost To. Kebebe he Beat Tony, ferguson he Beat Donald,

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Speaker 1: serone he Beat Edison. BARBOZA i mean the only guy

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Speaker 1: he hasn't fought Is connor in this. Division he has

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Speaker 1: fought everyone in this division except For connor, McGregor and

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Speaker 1: here he has a shot at becoming the beltolder. Again

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Speaker 1: the interim, belltolder but still twenty six and five For

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Speaker 1: Justin gaichee average fight time of eleven minutes and fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Seconds Patty pimlet's average fight time is only eight fifty,

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Speaker 1: six which is pretty. Fast that's why the total is

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Speaker 1: set at two and a. Half now it's not as

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Speaker 1: heavily juiced as the O'Malley. Fight The amale fight is

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Speaker 1: almost unbetable for the over two and a half, rounds

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Speaker 1: but not this. Fight Justin gaichie has talked about the

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Speaker 1: fact that he wants to Take Paddy pemlet into deep

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Speaker 1: water late, rounds, third, fourth and fifth. ROUNDS i don't

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Speaker 1: mind a thought on this fight going the. Distance Patty

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Speaker 1: pimlet is, undefeated but you know he's a. Guy, ferguson

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Speaker 1: that fight went the. Distance Jared, gordon that fight went the.

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Speaker 1: Distance Michael, chandler he took care of him in the third.

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Speaker 1: Round it was late in that. Fight this is a

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Speaker 1: five round, Fight i'll give it to. You BUT i

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Speaker 1: think this fight is going to go into the third,

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Speaker 1: round AND i think it goes into the fourth and

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Speaker 1: maybe even the fifth.

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Speaker 2: Round.

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Speaker 1: HERE i don't think this fight ends quickly Unless Justin

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Speaker 1: gaichie gets submitted quickly By. Patty but that is something

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Speaker 1: That justin Gai. CHIE i, mean look at he's been

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Speaker 1: in there With. Kabib now he lost in the second,

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Speaker 1: round but he's been in there with the.

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Speaker 2: Best of the.

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Speaker 1: Best would you Put habib And patty in the same

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Speaker 1: sentence in terms of grappling in? SUBMISSIONS i would, not

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Speaker 1: so for that, REASON i feel like Early Justin geechee

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Speaker 1: can keep himself away from being submitted By Patti. Pemlet

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Speaker 1: so if he gets out of the first round without being,

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Speaker 1: submitted and he gets a ladder going and there's some you,

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Speaker 1: know they start to get. SLIPPERY i don't think you're

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Speaker 1: going to see a submission By Patti. Pemlet For, GAICHEE

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Speaker 1: i think he tries to wear Out. Patty he tries

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Speaker 1: to test the cardio and then tries to knock him

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Speaker 1: out in the, third, fourth or fifth. ROUNDS i think

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Speaker 1: this fight goes longer than people. Think i'm gonna bet

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Speaker 1: the over. Here we're gonna go over two and a

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Speaker 1: half rounds For gaichie And pemlet at minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: for one point two. Units with that, STATED i talked

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Speaker 1: to an odds maker, today odds maker On thursday as.

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Speaker 1: Well both have stated that their books will Need Justin

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Speaker 1: gaichee because the public is Betting patty P.

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Speaker 2: Pimlet they're in every.

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Speaker 1: PARLAY i mean every single moneyline parlay Has Patty pimlet in.

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Speaker 1: It they Need Justin. Gaechie there was also sharp action

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Speaker 1: coming in On Justin gaichie because of the price at

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Speaker 1: plus whatever you can find it. At for, ME i

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Speaker 1: went and shopped. AROUND i found plus two h. Five

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Speaker 1: you can find maybe better to ten to twenty On Justin.

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Speaker 1: Geichee we're gonna take a flyer with the money line

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Speaker 1: and we're gonna Let Justin geechee go out there and

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Speaker 1: throw bombs and see if he can Catch patty and

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Speaker 1: knock him. Out he hasn't been in there with a

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Speaker 1: guy Like, tony Like Justin, gaichie just a straight up

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Speaker 1: brawler you, Know Tony, Ferguson Dustin, Poirier Justin gaichi those three.

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Speaker 1: Together Max holloway goes in there. TOO i, mean these

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Speaker 1: are guys who are just built differently, mentally, tough, physically just.

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Speaker 1: Imposing they take damage so, well and they keep moving

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Speaker 1: forward even when you cut, them even when they're. Bleeding

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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter to these. GUYS i just don't know

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Speaker 1: If patty's ready for. This So i'm gonna take a

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Speaker 1: half a unit And i'm gonna take a flyer On

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Speaker 1: Justin gaichee on the money line to win this. Fight,

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Speaker 1: okay plus two oh, five Take Justin gaichie flyer half a.

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Speaker 1: Unit so what AM i doing with the other half a? Unit,

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Speaker 1: Well i'm gonna do an sec basketball money line parlay

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Speaker 1: just for the heck of, it BECAUSE.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a decent. Bet it's a fun.

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Speaker 1: Play and we're gonna look At arkansas at home up

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Speaker 1: AGAINST lsu money, Line alabama at home up Against tennessee money,

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Speaker 1: line And texas at home as a two and a

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Speaker 1: half point home favorite Against georgia on the money. Line

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Speaker 1: The texas play definitely is the most. Concerning The texas

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Speaker 1: play is the one that could burn me for. Sure

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Speaker 1: alabama And arkansas are both big favorites In alabama And

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Speaker 1: arkansas are both very good at. Home texas is playing

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Speaker 1: A georgia team that is very good on the, road

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Speaker 1: and this is going to be an awesome basketball game

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Speaker 1: in THE. Sec i'll take the home teams for a

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Speaker 1: three leg home team money line parlay that comes in

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00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,400
Speaker 1: at plus one. Seventy we're going to take a half

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Speaker 1: a unit flyer on this For Arkansas alabama In, Texas

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Speaker 1: Chalky Chockee chalky moneyline parlay on A saturday for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit With Arkansas alabama In. Texas a three

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Speaker 1: leg money line parlay in THE sec in college. Basketball

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Speaker 1: so our plays for, today hoke it To win wins

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Speaker 1: us a. Unit he's a minus two to twenty favorite

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Speaker 1: in his prelim.

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Speaker 2: Fight hok it To win gets us a.

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Speaker 1: Unit O'Malley by decision at plus one seventeen for one.

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00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:53,640
Speaker 1: Unit geechee And pimlet goes over two and a half

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Speaker 1: rounds at minus one twenty for one point two. Units

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Speaker 1: Justin gaichee on the money line at plus two oh

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Speaker 1: five for a half a unit In, Arkansas texas And

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Speaker 1: alabama money line college basketball is a plus one seventy.

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Speaker 1: Bet we're throwing a half a unit down on. THAT

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Speaker 1: i am going TO ufc three twenty. Four it's going

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Speaker 1: to be a late. Night the podcast will drop late For,

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Speaker 1: sunday but you already have a pretty good idea of

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Speaker 1: WHAT i am. Betting that is WHY i gave out

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Speaker 1: those plays. Earlier if you don't know the, plays head

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Speaker 1: on back to earlier episodes of The Daily juice podcast

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00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,000
Speaker 1: and you guys can see my plays For SUNDAYS nfc

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Speaker 1: AND Afc championship. Games we'll have the live stream coming

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Speaker 1: up at eleven eleven Am pacific time two Pm Eastern

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Speaker 1: time for a one hour live stream to take you

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Speaker 1: up to kickoff of THE Afc championship game On. Sunday

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Speaker 1: so we'll have, that but for, today a lot of

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Speaker 1: fighting little college.

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Speaker 2: Basketball my name Is Matt.

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Speaker 1: Parolt you guys can follow me across all my socials

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Speaker 1: At Sports Talk matt every morning wherever you guys get your.

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Speaker 2: Podcasts it is The Daily.

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Speaker 1: Juice perfunt from

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Speaker 2: The fact the center