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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome in to eight

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Speaker 1: Wednesday morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perrelt. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are

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Speaker 1: back after a not good day. So last week we

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Speaker 1: were red hot. We won over ten units. Last week

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Speaker 1: we hit a high water mark of forty two units.

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Speaker 1: That was our high water mark for up for twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five. Whenever that happens, and a couple of you

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Speaker 1: guys have been wise to this is that whenever we

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Speaker 1: get really hot like that, and I've told you for

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Speaker 1: five years now, the regression is going to show up.

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Speaker 1: And welcome to the regression, and welcome to the bottom.

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Speaker 1: Because we go off on Monday and awful on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Oh in three down, three point twenty five units. The

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Speaker 1: Aces lose outright, the Red Sox lose outright, the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: lose outright. All three games down, the drain three point

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Speaker 1: twenty five units down. We are down nearly seven units

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Speaker 1: for the week to start it off here on a Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: So this is a hole. I've dug this a nice

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Speaker 1: little hole. Here as to how we can get ourselves

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Speaker 1: out of it. At this point, I'm just trying to

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Speaker 1: be negative, to be negligent, and zero. I'm just trying

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Speaker 1: to get back to zero. So I'm trying to climb

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Speaker 1: our way out of it. We're not gonna have a

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Speaker 1: winning week most likely. This is when you get off

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Speaker 1: to this ruff of a start. Normally don't get off

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Speaker 1: to a very strong week or have a winning week.

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Speaker 1: So which is fine. I mean again I said before,

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Speaker 1: we don't win every day. We don't in every week,

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Speaker 1: we don't win every month. But we have done very

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Speaker 1: well over July, August, and now here into September. We're

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Speaker 1: very high. We're up for them. We're still way up

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Speaker 1: for the month. But yeah, it stinks when this happens.

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Speaker 1: So here's what's going on. Not only would did I

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Speaker 1: go zero in three last night? Not only did I

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Speaker 1: lose three units plus on Monday? The internet provider where

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Speaker 1: I'm currently staying at my girlfriend's house, they issued a

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Speaker 1: alert last night, like at like eight o'clock of like, hey,

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Speaker 1: by the way, tomorrow, we are doing work in your

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Speaker 1: area and we are going to be showing outages throughout

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Speaker 1: the entire region and where you are. So I get

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Speaker 1: up this morning and it's currently seven thirty Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: There's no internet here. Now luckily I can tape this,

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Speaker 1: but it's the podcast has been coming out pretty early.

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Speaker 1: It's been coming out around eight o'clock Eastern time. There's

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Speaker 1: no way I'm posting it by eight o'clock Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: So if you're wondering why the delay this morning, well

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Speaker 1: that's why, because there's no internet here at the house.

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Speaker 1: So I got to go go somewhere. Here's the kind

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Speaker 1: of bummer thing until I get out of the sling,

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Speaker 1: until I can take the thing off, until I'm clear

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Speaker 1: to drive, I can't drive myself anywhere, so Amanda, my girlfriends,

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Speaker 1: we have to go work. She needs to do work too,

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Speaker 1: so we have to go do work at a coffee shop.

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Speaker 1: And then I got a post. So the hope is

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Speaker 1: posting video. If you guys have ever tried to post video,

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Speaker 1: and coffee shops not always the easiest. So fingers crossed

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Speaker 1: that I go to a coffee shop and we have

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Speaker 1: enough bandwidth to post this thing at some point this morning.

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Speaker 1: So that's why there was a delay today of getting

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast out. So you're wondering like, Matt,

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Speaker 1: where's the podcast? That's why. So it's just been a

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Speaker 1: it's been a rough start to the week. Okay, Monday bad,

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Speaker 1: Tuesday bad. So here's the other problem. I can't do

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Speaker 1: the same level of research that I normally would do

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Speaker 1: because well, I don't have access to the internet. So

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Speaker 1: rather than force it today, and granted I normally take

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Speaker 1: days off anyway, I have all the research that I

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Speaker 1: already did for yesterday's podcast with Pat Fitzmore. I see

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Speaker 1: if you guys haven't gone and watched it, we did

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Speaker 1: a full breakdown of week three in the NFL. I

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Speaker 1: have that. I have all that research. I have all

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Speaker 1: that information and all the picks that I talked about.

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Speaker 1: So we're just gonna give I have a football podcast today,

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Speaker 1: so we're not gonna do baseball. I warned you guys

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Speaker 1: yesterday a bit about what was going on in baseball

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Speaker 1: these last fifteen games. The books have got so much data.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they are razor sharp with their numbers, they're

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Speaker 1: razor sharp with their prices. Like this is the end

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Speaker 1: of the year. This is always a very difficult time

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Speaker 1: to bet any sport, whether it be football, baseball, basketball, hockey, whatever.

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Speaker 1: When you get to the end of the regular season,

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Speaker 1: it can be difficult. Now there are betting opportunities, but

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Speaker 1: we're not fully me I'm not fully paying attention to

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Speaker 1: baseball because the second we get to football, it's Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting football. So that's kind of the problem when

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Speaker 1: it comes to baseball for me to hear on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: What I will do, though, is I'm gonna update you

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Speaker 1: as to where we are on our futures that are

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Speaker 1: currently in play. I'll tell you, guys, after we give

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Speaker 1: out the football plays, I'll update you once to where

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Speaker 1: we are from a record standpoint, where we are from

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Speaker 1: a progression standpoint when it comes to Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 1: So stay tuned for all of that. Now. The Tyreek

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Speaker 1: Hill jersey is still available. It's going to be given

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Speaker 1: away coming up at the end of the month. If

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Speaker 1: you want to be involved, you're going to subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel and you are going to

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Speaker 1: comment on this video. If you do that, you could

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Speaker 1: very well win an autographed sign Tyreek Hill Miami Dolphin

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Speaker 1: do we you know people have been asking how do

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Speaker 1: Must be twenty one plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia to play terms and condition

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Speaker 1: to ply con terms about gambling in Florida called one

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Speaker 1: eight eight admit it in Indiana or so if you

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Speaker 1: or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help,

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Speaker 1: call one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and Virginia. Okay, let's talk about Thursday Night Bills and

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins numbers eleven eleven and a half. Really it's

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Speaker 1: been as high as twelve and a half, but then

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Speaker 1: it was it was bet down a little bit yesterday

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Speaker 1: to eleven and a half. Look, the Dolphins are going

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Speaker 1: to Buffalo and the Bills are playing at such an

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Speaker 1: elite level right now. I mean, I don't even mind

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Speaker 1: you go ahead and just lay the eleven and a half.

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Speaker 1: But to me, this feels like a prime time same

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Speaker 1: game teaser opportunity. We haven't done many of these officially

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Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice, but I think this is the

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Speaker 1: time to get involved with this because I want to

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Speaker 1: cross seven. I mean, maybe the Bills win by seven,

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Speaker 1: they do'll cover, but I cannot see the Bills losing

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Speaker 1: to the Miami Dolphins, in particular, just the way that

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins play in the fourth quarter. We saw it

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Speaker 1: in the Patriot game, like they just don't have it

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Speaker 1: in terms of that it factor to make big plays.

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Speaker 1: A chain steps out on the twenty yard line that

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Speaker 1: saved the game for the Patriots. Pats win by six.

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Speaker 1: It's just been a very rough start to the year

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Speaker 1: for the Miami Dolphins, in particular, their defense has to

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Speaker 1: go off to a really rough start. And this is

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Speaker 1: not the time to go to Buffalo, where the Bills

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Speaker 1: are coming off of a complete destruction of the New

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Speaker 1: York Jets on the road. So you've got a win

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Speaker 1: for the Buffalo Bills in week number one in which

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Speaker 1: they scored over forty points, they destroyed the Jets on

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Speaker 1: the road where they scored nearly forty points, and now

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Speaker 1: you have the Dolphins trying to slow down Buffalo in

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Speaker 1: primetime on a short week where you're traveling north to

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Speaker 1: the Bills. This has all I mean again, sometimes it's

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Speaker 1: just a bad spot. This is just a bad spot

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Speaker 1: for the Miami Dolphins. So if you want to lay

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Speaker 1: the eleven and a half, go ahead. But I think

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Speaker 1: it's the same game teaser opportunity. I do not think

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Speaker 1: the Bills score any less. I will probably come back

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Speaker 1: on tomorrow's podcast and have a Bill's team total over bet.

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Speaker 1: That's probably also what I'm going to do in this game.

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Speaker 1: But I think just pulling it down into a six

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Speaker 1: point teaser and you pull it to five and a

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Speaker 1: half here for ooh, sorry, where did that go? I

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Speaker 1: didn't put it up? I apologize. I thought I did.

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Speaker 1: Hold on screens blank for a second. Hold on, let

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Speaker 1: me get that for you here on a Wednesday. Sorry

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Speaker 1: about that? Where did that go? Hold on? Okay? Hold

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Speaker 1: on there it is okay? I don't know that's not yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's right there. It is. Okay. There it is, so

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Speaker 1: Bills minus five and a half and the over forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half here for the Bills and the Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: So Bills five and a half over forty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Shop around on prices. This is one option

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty three where you guys can go

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Speaker 1: and take a look at different plays. I tend to

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Speaker 1: get a little better prices on that. But you guys

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Speaker 1: are all kind of like, where do you get the

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Speaker 1: one twenty Well, I'm not disclosing that, so but there's

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Speaker 1: places where you can find minus one twenty but minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty three is available, you know, in for different

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Speaker 1: books one twenty five and other books. You know, don't

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Speaker 1: go and play. Don't pay one thirty five. Okay, don't

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Speaker 1: pay that, but somewhere in the one twenties is not

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Speaker 1: a bad price for teasers. But I just think same

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Speaker 1: game teaser over forty three and a half, five and

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Speaker 1: a half from eleven and a half. Pull it down,

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Speaker 1: go over for the Buffalo Bills. Bet number two. This

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Speaker 1: is for Sunday. This number has opened at forty six

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's been bet right to fifty, and

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Speaker 1: Pat fitz Morris was right to talk about jumping on

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Speaker 1: it immediately. I'm gonna take the Dallas Cowboys to win

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Speaker 1: the game, but I'm gonna watch and see how many

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Speaker 1: points I wind up getting because the Bears are favored,

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Speaker 1: and so all right, the Bears are favored. Why are

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Speaker 1: the Bears favored? Well, the you know Cowboys going on

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Speaker 1: the road. It's more of a fade on their defense.

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Speaker 1: So since we know the Cowboys can't stop anybody, we

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Speaker 1: watched it against the Giants, and we know the Bears

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Speaker 1: can't stop anybody, we watched it against the Lions, why

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Speaker 1: don't we just look at the total total was opening up.

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Speaker 1: It opened up at forty six and a half, it's

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Speaker 1: now fifty. Drawd Blaine's not gonna Bland's not gonna play

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Speaker 1: in this game for the Dallas Cowboys. They did pick

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Speaker 1: up to Daveon Clowney, which will help with their pass rush,

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Speaker 1: but it's the first game for Clowney, so I'm not

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Speaker 1: sure how big of an impact or how many snaps

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Speaker 1: he'll be out there on the field for the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: I know that Dak Prescott's gonna cook that defense. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we know that we know that the offense is going

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Speaker 1: to run the and throw the ball at will. But

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Speaker 1: a running quarterback is a problem for the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Russell Wilson could have probably ran for more than he did,

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Speaker 1: but he threw for four hundred and fifty yards against

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Speaker 1: this defense. We're not fixing that defense in a day.

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Speaker 1: We're not fixing that defense. In a week the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: are gonna score what twenty eight? How many points will

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Speaker 1: the Bear score? I mean, this has like a thirty

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Speaker 1: to twenty eight type game written all over it. It's

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Speaker 1: really hard for this game to go under all that steam.

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Speaker 1: Going from forty six and a half to fifty again

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Speaker 1: key numbers, fifty two, fifty three, fifty four. We're at fifty.

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Speaker 1: My gut tells me this number is gonna keep on

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Speaker 1: climbing and get higher and higher and higher, and it

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Speaker 1: probably we see probably some resistance coming up at fifty

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Speaker 1: two fifty three somewhere there. But right now, let's take

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Speaker 1: the fifty. Let's jump in on it now before it

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Speaker 1: goes over there. Forty nine and a half, Dallas Cowboys

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Speaker 1: and the Shugle Bears over forty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Let's have a fifty point, you know, let's go over

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Speaker 1: fifty here. Mis one oh eight at one point zero

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Speaker 1: eight units. Cannot see much happening here at all in

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Speaker 1: terms of a scoring or lack of scoring between Cowboys

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Speaker 1: and the Bears. In particular, check the weather report for

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Speaker 1: the weekend for Chicago. It's going to be beautiful, like hot,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna have tired defenders. We're gonna have offenses

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Speaker 1: with no problem throwing the football around the field. Here

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Speaker 1: in a September, you know, a very warm day in

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Speaker 1: Chicago for this one over forty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: for the Cowboys and the Bears. And finally, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you a teaser early because I want these numbers

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Speaker 1: are perfect. At the moment, the Packers are going to

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Speaker 1: be a team that I'm going to play in Survivor

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Speaker 1: against the Browns on the road. Why well, on the

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Speaker 1: road we have seen in the month of September. In

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Speaker 1: the first three weeks of the season under Matt Lafleur,

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Speaker 1: the Packers are eight and one against the spread since

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Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. I mean, Matt lafour is tremendous against the number.

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Speaker 1: So I think they're going to cover the seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. But we can just go ahead and take

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Speaker 1: it and pull it down to one and a half

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Speaker 1: and take the take the Packers. I think it's just

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Speaker 1: six point teaser. Green Bay Packers down from seven and

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Speaker 1: a half down to one and a half against the Browns.

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Speaker 1: I know it's on the road, but I'm not really

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Speaker 1: worried about that. I mean the Browns indivisional games, okay,

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Speaker 1: but they're zero and two and now they're facing a

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Speaker 1: Packers team with Matt Lafleur and Jordan Love and this

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Speaker 1: running attack and this defense for Micah Parsons, it's just

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Speaker 1: the I think as the weeks go here, the Packers

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Speaker 1: are going to get better and better. And I don't

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Speaker 1: like this Browns team. I think they will continue to

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Speaker 1: get worse, and Joe Flacco and whoever's that quarterback and

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Speaker 1: whatever they wind up doing, I'm not worried about it.

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Speaker 1: I like the Packers in Survivor, but I like the

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Speaker 1: Packers as a teasing option as well. To go ahead

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Speaker 1: and pull them down from seven and a half down

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Speaker 1: to one and a half. Green Bay on the road,

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Speaker 1: we're crossing three, we're crossing seven. Two key numbers. I

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Speaker 1: like that a lot. I don't want to see this

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Speaker 1: numbered run as high as eight and a half. Just

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Speaker 1: make sure you can get down below three, okay, just

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Speaker 1: make sure you're getting below three. So if it hits nine,

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Speaker 1: don't play this. But it's seven and a half, eight,

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Speaker 1: eight and a half, I've no problem pulling this down

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Speaker 1: to two and a half, two or one and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Green Bay Packers. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: I'm doing what I've been telling you guys. I am

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Speaker 1: fading the Giants, the Bears, sorry, the Chiefs on the road.

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Speaker 1: They can't lose this game. The Chiefs are oh and two.

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Speaker 1: They lose this game, they go to oh and three,

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Speaker 1: they go to oh and three, and the Chargers are

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Speaker 1: playing the Broncos. And if the Chargers beat the Broncos,

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Speaker 1: which I think that they might, the Chargers will be

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Speaker 1: three and oh in the division and the Chiefs will

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Speaker 1: be oh in three. I mean, it's it's not over,

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Speaker 1: but it's kind of over. I mean, it's it's a

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Speaker 1: really big lead. The Chiefs are not going to win

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Speaker 1: the division if they lose this football game. They like,

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Speaker 1: that's how big this game is to me, given what's

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Speaker 1: going on now. If the Broncos beat the Chargers, the

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Speaker 1: Broncos are two and one, Arders to two and one,

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Speaker 1: and the Chiefs, that they win this game, they're one

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Speaker 1: and two. Whole different situation, whole different race. So there

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Speaker 1: is so much at stake here in these two football games.

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Speaker 1: But it comes down to the Chiefs winning at New York.

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Speaker 1: The Giants. I mean, look, Russell Wilson played a horrific

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Speaker 1: defense in Week two. He's playing one of the best

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Speaker 1: in Week three. I don't think you're gonna see Russell

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Speaker 1: Wilson throw very much. In Week one, he didn't throw

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Speaker 1: very much because he took on a very good defense.

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Speaker 1: I think unders on Russ props, go ahead, completions, yards, touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: all of it under I don't think the Giants are

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Speaker 1: going to move the football. I don't think they're going

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Speaker 1: to score. Steve Spagnolo obviously ties to the Giants. He's

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Speaker 1: now coming back to New York. You know how he's

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Speaker 1: going to be for this football game. You know how

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Speaker 1: this defense is going to be for this football game.

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Speaker 1: It's a six point spread. Pull it down to a pick,

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Speaker 1: take the Chiefs to cover. So we're going Green Bay

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half teased with the Green Bay Packers.

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Speaker 1: Sorry with the Casey Chiefs down to a pick. All right,

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Speaker 1: So plays for us Wednesday, but no plays for today.

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Speaker 1: Take the day off after a really rough start to

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Speaker 1: the week. We'll take a look and hopefully get ourselves

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Speaker 1: right for the rest of the week. Thursday Night, same

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Speaker 1: game teaser, Buffalo minus five and a half over forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half, Dallas and the Bears over forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at minus one oh eight, and

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Speaker 1: the green Bay Packers teased with the Casey Chiefs green

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Speaker 1: Bay minus one and a half. The Chiefs going to

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Speaker 1: a pick for us on a Wednesday. Now, I have

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Speaker 1: no internet, so I need to use my phone to

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Speaker 1: tell you guys where we are from a standings perspective

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Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball. But as we go ahead and

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Speaker 1: take a look at what's going to happen going forward

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Speaker 1: for us here from a betting perspective, the good news

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Speaker 1: is we have hit that the Tampa Bay Rays will

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Speaker 1: miss the postseason. That bet will come in. We made

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Speaker 1: that at the All Star Break. We got that we

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Speaker 1: were correct coming up on that play, so cash that

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Speaker 1: we've cashed that. The Colorado Rockies under fifty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half wins. The Rockies have forty one wins. They're

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Speaker 1: not getting there now. We have Milwaukee to win the

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Speaker 1: World Series at twenty seven to one. That's live. We

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Speaker 1: have the Astros to win the World Series at ten

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Speaker 1: to one. You get a much better number now, but

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Speaker 1: that's still live. So we still have the ability to

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Speaker 1: play off of that. We have the Cubs to win

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Speaker 1: the National League pennant. The Cubs are eighty seven and

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Speaker 1: sixty four and the Cubs most likely barring you know,

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Speaker 1: they haven't clinched it yet, but the Cubs are in

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Speaker 1: so they have a nine game lead, so they are

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Speaker 1: good that the Cubs are going to be a wildcard team.

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Speaker 1: They'll be the number one wildcard team. Most likely. They're

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Speaker 1: eighty seven and sixty four, So the Cubs future, Milwaukee future,

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Speaker 1: and the Astros future are all still alive. The Astros

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Speaker 1: have now passed the Red Sox for the second wild card,

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Speaker 1: so the Astros would play the Yankees here in the

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Speaker 1: opening round of the wild Card. The Red Sox would

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Speaker 1: then go and play a division winner, most likely Seattle,

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Speaker 1: a division winner coming up here for that. So that's

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a different spin from an American

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Speaker 1: League standpoint. But let's talk about wins. So, as I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: we've hit the Rockies. What about the Cardinals. The Cardinals

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Speaker 1: have seventy five, sorry, seventy four wins. They're seventy four

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Speaker 1: and seventy eight. We need the Cardinals to win two

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Speaker 1: more games. Two more games, okay, so we need to

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Speaker 1: win two more games Hey, Balloons, we win two more games,

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Speaker 1: Cardinals get there. So we're watching the Cardinals very closely

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Speaker 1: on that. The Rangers are the question. They're seventy nine

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Speaker 1: and seventy three. The Rangers have lost three games in

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Speaker 1: a row. They were red hot and they've cooled off

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Speaker 1: a little bit. Here. For us, I don't know if

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Speaker 1: we're getting there, to be quite honest, now, if they

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Speaker 1: beat the Astros tonight, which would be huge, they would

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Speaker 1: get to eighty wins, they would be eighty and seventy three,

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Speaker 1: so fifty one fifty three, so we'd have nine games left.

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Speaker 1: They would need to go six and three down the

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Speaker 1: stretch for us to get there. Is it possible, Yes,

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Speaker 1: it is possible, it's not, and we're not dead yet.

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Speaker 1: They'll play three games at home against the Marlins, and

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Speaker 1: they'll play three games at home against the Twins. If

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Speaker 1: they win all six, were there, will they? Yeah? Probably not.

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Speaker 1: Think four and two is probably the best we can

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Speaker 1: hope for. And then the Rangers play at the Guardians,

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Speaker 1: which is a really dangerous situation. So we may be

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Speaker 1: having to hedge off of that price at some point

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Speaker 1: in you know, in a week or two. In the

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Speaker 1: last weekend on the twenty six, twenty seventh, and twenty

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Speaker 1: eighth of September, we may be looking having to hedge,

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Speaker 1: so just a heads up on that. So that's where

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Speaker 1: we currently stand. We're one and oh Tampa Bay got there,

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Speaker 1: so we're two and oh, we're hoping on the Rangers.

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Speaker 1: We're hoping on the Cardinals. I think the Cardinals will

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Speaker 1: get there for three and oh, the Rangers is the question.

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Speaker 1: And then the other futures with the Cubs, the Brewers

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Speaker 1: and the Cubs, Brewers, Cubs, and the Astros are other futures.

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Speaker 1: So heading off hopefully to a good end of the

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Speaker 1: month for us with Major League Baseball minus Matt Parol

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Speaker 1: follow me across all my socials at Sportstock Matt every

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Speaker 1: morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice.