1
00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:11,440
Speaker 1: Hey there everyone. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast,

2
00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,600
Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

3
00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,720
Speaker 1: You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris Ady.

4
00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,720
Speaker 1: It is time for our early look at next week's lines,

5
00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,040
Speaker 1: and with me to break it all down is Sean Green,

6
00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:25,800
Speaker 1: the co creator and co host of the Sports Gambling podcast.

7
00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,600
Speaker 1: You can find him on Twitter at Shawn T. Green. Shawn,

8
00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,240
Speaker 1: thanks for coming back on the show. How's it going?

9
00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,479
Speaker 2: Oh man? Great? Thanks for having me. Yeah, kind of

10
00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:37,320
Speaker 2: a weird Week six, but yeah, looking forward to breaking

11
00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:38,519
Speaker 2: down these weeks seven lines.

12
00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:40,639
Speaker 1: How was it for you? By the way, cause I'm

13
00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:42,680
Speaker 1: going to have full disclosure. I will talk about it

14
00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:44,880
Speaker 1: on our Thursday show where we make our actual picks.

15
00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,080
Speaker 1: But I hit all my picks that I listed on

16
00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,159
Speaker 1: the show. But I pretty much otherwise was terrible for

17
00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,320
Speaker 1: the week. I just did not have a good sense

18
00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:54,640
Speaker 1: for this week. Every time I almost tried to go

19
00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:56,840
Speaker 1: contrarian at times to be like, well this is what

20
00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,760
Speaker 1: you know, almost against the public, but just wasn't really

21
00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,080
Speaker 1: working for me. How about you? Were you relatively on

22
00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:03,840
Speaker 1: point this week or yea? Really?

23
00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:08,560
Speaker 2: Yeah? So you know, my big moves as far as betting,

24
00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,479
Speaker 2: I you know, like the five picks for the NFL

25
00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:15,559
Speaker 2: Super Contest, I went, I went three and two, and

26
00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,440
Speaker 2: you know, kind of onto, like I think eleven and

27
00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:23,000
Speaker 2: four the last fifteen. But yeah, I mean I started

28
00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,319
Speaker 2: off rough, but I feel like I'm kind of dialed in.

29
00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:27,800
Speaker 2: A couple of things threw me off this week. I

30
00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:32,080
Speaker 2: love that Steelers play. I'm kicking myself for not taking

31
00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,440
Speaker 2: more action on it. But yeah, and hit my lock

32
00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:39,119
Speaker 2: which was Seattle, so that was good. But the rest

33
00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 2: the stuff, the stuff I didn't feel great about, I

34
00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:43,920
Speaker 2: was off on. But the stuff I felt really good

35
00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,400
Speaker 2: on I was hitting, So that's kind of that always

36
00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:48,000
Speaker 2: feels good.

37
00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:50,960
Speaker 1: I'm kind of the opposite. Unfortunately in the Super Contest,

38
00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,480
Speaker 1: I went one and four this week, and I started

39
00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,920
Speaker 1: off like twelve and three and was just a marching.

40
00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:57,560
Speaker 1: I don't know. I was just off this week. But

41
00:01:57,600 --> 00:01:59,800
Speaker 1: we're gonna get back on track in the meantime. However,

42
00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,480
Speaker 1: first let's just take a look at all the week

43
00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,760
Speaker 1: seven lines on an early basis. Now, we're gonna be

44
00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:08,200
Speaker 1: using the consensus odds over at bettingpros dot com. Unless

45
00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,520
Speaker 1: this is your first time listening to this podcast, you

46
00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,640
Speaker 1: know that the consensus odds are an aggregation of the

47
00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,880
Speaker 1: odds that are available in the market. As always, there

48
00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,480
Speaker 1: are going to be differences at the various sportsbooks, so

49
00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,280
Speaker 1: make sure to shop around for the best odds. Also,

50
00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,160
Speaker 1: if you want to see how some of the top

51
00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,120
Speaker 1: sports betting experts are leaning on any given bet at

52
00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:28,760
Speaker 1: any given time, bettingpros dot Com is going to show

53
00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,920
Speaker 1: you that too. All right, chum, let's dive right in

54
00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,280
Speaker 1: here with the Chiefs at the Broncos on Thursday night.

55
00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,480
Speaker 1: The Chiefs currently laying three and a half. The over

56
00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,760
Speaker 1: under is at forty nine. I checked earlier today it

57
00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,960
Speaker 1: was at fifty, so it's dropped a bit. Two teams

58
00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:42,920
Speaker 1: kind of heading in opposite directions a bit here. The

59
00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,760
Speaker 1: Chiefs coming off back to back losses, the Broncos back

60
00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,880
Speaker 1: to back wins. We're in Denver, it's a short week.

61
00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:48,639
Speaker 1: How do you feel here?

62
00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:53,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I guess I'm kind of surprised that

63
00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,760
Speaker 2: the chief spread wasn't a little higher. I mean, their

64
00:02:56,800 --> 00:03:00,440
Speaker 2: history against the Broncos, their ats history, I thought they

65
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,639
Speaker 2: would have opened it a little higher. But yeah, I

66
00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:06,399
Speaker 2: guess they're just kind of riding. I think there could

67
00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,200
Speaker 2: be a little recency bias in this line because the

68
00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,200
Speaker 2: Chiefs have lost to in a row, the Broncos have

69
00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:14,240
Speaker 2: won two in a row. Are the Broncos really that

70
00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,880
Speaker 2: red hot? Are the Chiefs really that bad? I guess

71
00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:19,320
Speaker 2: we'll find out Thursday night. But I honestly I thought this.

72
00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:21,760
Speaker 2: If I had a guess this spread, I would have

73
00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:23,720
Speaker 2: thought they would make it a little bit higher and

74
00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:25,239
Speaker 2: put it closer towards six.

75
00:03:25,520 --> 00:03:28,400
Speaker 1: Honestly, I could not agree with you more. And I

76
00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:30,880
Speaker 1: get worried when I see line like that because I

77
00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,080
Speaker 1: feel like, you know, the Chiefs are generally been a

78
00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,440
Speaker 1: public team. I don't know if the if the books

79
00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:37,760
Speaker 1: are banking on the fact that maybe because they've lost

80
00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:39,880
Speaker 1: now the last two games, that maybe the public's going

81
00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,120
Speaker 1: to be off it. But this game to be screams

82
00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,440
Speaker 1: take the Chiefs. And that always makes me a little word.

83
00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:46,280
Speaker 1: And I assume they know that the public is going

84
00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,360
Speaker 1: to hammer the Chiefs on it, and I think they

85
00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,680
Speaker 1: are in the early going here. I mean the Broncos.

86
00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,560
Speaker 1: The Broncos weren't as bad, you know, as an zero

87
00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:56,720
Speaker 1: to four team that they started out because they were

88
00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,560
Speaker 1: in a lot of those games, right, of course, but really,

89
00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:02,240
Speaker 1: the Chiefs can score on anyone, it doesn't matter how

90
00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:04,640
Speaker 1: many injuries they have on the offensive side of the ball.

91
00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:06,400
Speaker 1: I'm not sure if Sammy Watkins is going to be

92
00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,520
Speaker 1: back heel here, Tyreek Hill came back, they're running backs

93
00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:11,840
Speaker 1: whoever they use there. They're all healthy right now, lash

94
00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:15,240
Speaker 1: Damian Williams, right, Darrel Williams, so you know, and Mahomes

95
00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,360
Speaker 1: didn't seem that limited by the ankle that cropped up,

96
00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,640
Speaker 1: so they're gonna be able to put up points here.

97
00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,920
Speaker 1: And the Broncos have you know, Okay, great, you beat

98
00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:26,080
Speaker 1: the Titans that are in disarray so much so that

99
00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,320
Speaker 1: they benched Marcus Mariotta in the beginning. And the Chargers,

100
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,279
Speaker 1: you're kind of seeing here were kind of paper tigers

101
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,719
Speaker 1: with how badly they were beaten last night. You mentioned

102
00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:37,040
Speaker 1: it with the Steelers, so it's not like they've been

103
00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,000
Speaker 1: overly impressive there. So for me, I completely agree with you.

104
00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,760
Speaker 1: I really expected this line to be higher. Thursday lines

105
00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,360
Speaker 1: don't usually move that much. We're recording on Monday afternoon.

106
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,760
Speaker 1: They don't usually move that much from the time we record,

107
00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:51,520
Speaker 1: But if anything, I would expect it maybe to dip

108
00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,599
Speaker 1: a little bit in the Chiefs direction. But I'm a

109
00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:56,160
Speaker 1: little worried because I had the same reaction that you did.

110
00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:59,040
Speaker 1: So it is something where we're gonna watch. But I agree,

111
00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,359
Speaker 1: I expected it to be much higher, and I wouldn't

112
00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:04,120
Speaker 1: be surprised. If you like the Broncos, I'd wait, you know,

113
00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,360
Speaker 1: because I think I highly doubt it's going to get

114
00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:08,560
Speaker 1: down to three or anything like that. If anything, it's

115
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:09,320
Speaker 1: gonna get higher.

116
00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, the late money will probably push this up.

117
00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:15,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. Raiders at Packers here, Packers laying six

118
00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:17,320
Speaker 1: and a half over under at forty six and a half.

119
00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:19,960
Speaker 1: As I mentioned, we're recording this on Monday afternoon, that is,

120
00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:23,680
Speaker 1: before Monday night football. Let's assume going into this right now,

121
00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,679
Speaker 1: no major injuries coming for the Packers tonight. Let's also

122
00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,839
Speaker 1: assume that Devanta Adams does not play, because it sounds

123
00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,080
Speaker 1: like it's still a little bit of a long term injuries.

124
00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,080
Speaker 1: And I know wide receivers don't really move the line

125
00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,200
Speaker 1: all that much, but when we're thinking about it, I'm

126
00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:40,000
Speaker 1: sure the odds makers are taking that into consideration. On

127
00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,160
Speaker 1: the other side of the wall, Raiders are a little frisky,

128
00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:46,200
Speaker 1: you know, they might even becoming like a public team

129
00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,040
Speaker 1: a little bit. They're coming off the bye and off

130
00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,200
Speaker 1: of beating up on the Bears out in London. Packers

131
00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:55,120
Speaker 1: are on a short week versus the Raiders on a

132
00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:56,560
Speaker 1: buy How do you feel here? Six and a half

133
00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:58,120
Speaker 1: over under forty six and a half?

134
00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:02,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I just think this is no respect

135
00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,920
Speaker 2: for the Raiders. By the book here, I would have

136
00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,800
Speaker 2: had this a little bit lower. And I'm a guy

137
00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,280
Speaker 2: who I talked a ton of crap about John Gurden

138
00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,080
Speaker 2: a ton of craft on this Raiders team. He doesn't

139
00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,160
Speaker 2: know what he's doing. This team's gonna be a disaster.

140
00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:18,440
Speaker 2: And they've looked pretty competent. I mean they beat the Bears,

141
00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,760
Speaker 2: they beat the Colts like those are quality wins in London,

142
00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,480
Speaker 2: in Indianapolis. I mean that that West Coast to London

143
00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:31,400
Speaker 2: trip is insane. Yeah, I was surprised it's this high

144
00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,479
Speaker 2: for the Raiders. And again, like you pointed out, the

145
00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:38,240
Speaker 2: rest disparity Monday to a bye week, that's a pretty

146
00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:42,400
Speaker 2: big difference. And yeah, I guess I'm this feels a

147
00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:43,080
Speaker 2: little high to me.

148
00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 1: Honestly, No, it does to me too. I think that

149
00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:50,039
Speaker 1: odds makers probably just you know, the Packers are so public,

150
00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:52,360
Speaker 1: and I'm sure they just kind of take that into consideration,

151
00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,720
Speaker 1: right but I think right now, look, I don't want

152
00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,680
Speaker 1: to take anything away from the Packers, you know, barring

153
00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,839
Speaker 1: what they look like tonight. You know, I really hope

154
00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:01,600
Speaker 1: they don't just completely come out and lay an egg,

155
00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:04,560
Speaker 1: because no, they've they've been good. You know, it's not

156
00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,960
Speaker 1: overly impressive without the Vonta Adams. You know, they ran

157
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,960
Speaker 1: all over the Cowboys, not necessarily that that's gonna be

158
00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,320
Speaker 1: the case, although again, the Raiders don't have a great

159
00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,000
Speaker 1: run defense right now. Vontez Berwick is now for the season.

160
00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,640
Speaker 1: You know, they've had injuries to their linebackers, so maybe

161
00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:21,360
Speaker 1: they're just thinking about that. And of course their Packers

162
00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,000
Speaker 1: are going to be home at Lambeau. But really, I mean,

163
00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,760
Speaker 1: coming off the bye versus coming off the short week,

164
00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,200
Speaker 1: that really makes me nervous. So I don't think we're

165
00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:31,480
Speaker 1: gonna get past the key number here of seven. But

166
00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,560
Speaker 1: I agree I kind of expected it to be a

167
00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:35,480
Speaker 1: little closer. My guess is this is where it ends up.

168
00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,640
Speaker 1: It has not moved, and again the Packers haven't played yet,

169
00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:40,120
Speaker 1: but it hasn't moved I don't think since the look aheadline,

170
00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,560
Speaker 1: so we're probably right on where it's gonna be. Let's

171
00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,880
Speaker 1: move on to the Dolphins at the Bills. I can't

172
00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:51,520
Speaker 1: remember last time the Bills were favored by sixteen and

173
00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:55,040
Speaker 1: a half with an over under on thirty nine and

174
00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:56,840
Speaker 1: a half. I do want on a record that on

175
00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,640
Speaker 1: Thursday's show, I did pick the Dolphins to and I

176
00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:03,320
Speaker 1: was never worried about it, not for a second. I

177
00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:05,840
Speaker 1: don't know if I'm going to pick them to cover here. Look,

178
00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,600
Speaker 1: we actually don't even know who the starting quarterback is

179
00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,240
Speaker 1: at the moment for the Dolphins. I think they came

180
00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,480
Speaker 1: out and basically said that we still view Josh Rosen

181
00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:18,280
Speaker 1: as the starter. So maybe that's the case. Ryan Fitzpatrick

182
00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,000
Speaker 1: certainly looked a little better this week against the Redskins. Meanwhile,

183
00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:25,760
Speaker 1: the Bills look I undersold their defense completely. I refuse

184
00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:27,640
Speaker 1: to buy into it for like the first three games,

185
00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,680
Speaker 1: but it is absolutely legitimate. They're coming off the buye.

186
00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,480
Speaker 1: They may get Devin Singletary back. I don't know what

187
00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:35,719
Speaker 1: to do with these giant lines, So I mean, what

188
00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,480
Speaker 1: are you doing here? Bills sixteen and a half over

189
00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:40,120
Speaker 1: under thirty nine and a half at home.

190
00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's crazy the NFL we're living in,

191
00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:47,760
Speaker 2: where these giant spreads keep covering. It doesn't make sense

192
00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,760
Speaker 2: because normally in the NFL it's such there's so much parody,

193
00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:53,400
Speaker 2: and you get these giant numbers, you just blindly take them.

194
00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:57,160
Speaker 2: But they've actually the giant numbers have been good for

195
00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,600
Speaker 2: the favorites. And you mentioned when one is the last

196
00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,880
Speaker 2: time the Bills have been favored by this much? I

197
00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:06,560
Speaker 2: actually looked it up. I saw online it was the

198
00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:09,840
Speaker 2: regular season opener back in nineteen ninety three. They were

199
00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:12,959
Speaker 2: fourteen point favorites. So this is insane.

200
00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,080
Speaker 1: This is why I bring you on the podcast, Okay,

201
00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,240
Speaker 1: because you're gonna do the research and look that stuff

202
00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:18,720
Speaker 1: up for me. Well, I mean, what do you think?

203
00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:20,880
Speaker 1: All right? Right now you have to make a call.

204
00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:22,160
Speaker 1: I'm not going to really hold you to it. But

205
00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,560
Speaker 1: if you had to make a call, is this line

206
00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:26,679
Speaker 1: something that you would be going for the Bills or what?

207
00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:30,800
Speaker 2: Yeah? And I think you gotta take the Bills here

208
00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,960
Speaker 2: even though this because what we're dealing with here, the

209
00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,720
Speaker 2: Dolphins their historical anomaly, right, I mean, think about it.

210
00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,800
Speaker 2: The Redskins fired their coach last week and they were

211
00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,720
Speaker 2: three and a half point road favorites. I tried to

212
00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:47,880
Speaker 2: find the research on that. I couldn't find another time

213
00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:50,679
Speaker 2: when someone fired the team was going so bad they

214
00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,520
Speaker 2: fired their coach, and yet they were laying points on

215
00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:58,000
Speaker 2: the road. Insane. And this Dolphins team doesn't travel. This

216
00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:01,280
Speaker 2: Bill's defense is legit. I mean, I wouldn't be surprised

217
00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,240
Speaker 2: that this score was like seventeen to nothing.

218
00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,440
Speaker 1: Well what you say, by the way, just to make

219
00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,079
Speaker 1: that clear, I do like the under I realized it's

220
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:10,840
Speaker 1: a low number, thirty nine and a half. But I

221
00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,160
Speaker 1: mean the Dolphins, I can't imagine that they're going to

222
00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,240
Speaker 1: be able to do anything. I mean, the Redskins have

223
00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:17,920
Speaker 1: a terrible defense. Put aside whatever you want to say

224
00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,559
Speaker 1: about case Keenum getting back in there and focusing on

225
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,120
Speaker 1: the run and Adrian Peterson and Terry mclaur and all

226
00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:25,280
Speaker 1: that stuff. They have a terrible defense. Okay, they're not

227
00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,400
Speaker 1: able to really, you know, hold anybody in check. And

228
00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,560
Speaker 1: you know, the Dolphins got to sixteen points by replacing

229
00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,240
Speaker 1: Rosen with fitzmagic over there, but they're not what are

230
00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 1: they going to put up? You know, maybe ten? You

231
00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,560
Speaker 1: might give them a touchdown if everything breaks right. And

232
00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,960
Speaker 1: you know, the Bills, while they're certainly a competent football team,

233
00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,000
Speaker 1: they're not an offensive juggernaut. I don't care who the

234
00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:46,959
Speaker 1: defense is on the other side. So thirty nine and

235
00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,360
Speaker 1: a half I kind of like the under here.

236
00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:50,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look just look at what that Patriots

237
00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,160
Speaker 2: team when they went into Buffalo. Now granted, this Pats team,

238
00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,760
Speaker 2: as far as the offense isn't firing on all cylinders,

239
00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,400
Speaker 2: but they really struggled to put up points in a

240
00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:03,079
Speaker 2: you know, in Buffalo where they've traditionally had success of

241
00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:04,800
Speaker 2: being able to score on the Bills. And I think

242
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,240
Speaker 2: it just shows how good this Bills defense is.

243
00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,800
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, if for me, I mean I lean the

244
00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:12,840
Speaker 1: under and I lean the Bills. I mean I I

245
00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:15,080
Speaker 1: you know, not by a strong mount just because I

246
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,880
Speaker 1: don't think the Bills are really the type of team

247
00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:18,920
Speaker 1: is gonna put up twenty four points, you know, in

248
00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,079
Speaker 1: any even weak or anything like that. So the sixteen

249
00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,120
Speaker 1: and a half is a lot. But you know what,

250
00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,760
Speaker 1: I made my money banging on the Dolphins to cover

251
00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,240
Speaker 1: they covered against the Redskins, and I think I'm moving

252
00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,600
Speaker 1: on from them, So let's also move on to two.

253
00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,599
Speaker 1: Kind of dumpster fire of teams over here, Rams at Falcons.

254
00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:37,240
Speaker 1: Rams are currently laying three and a half. The early

255
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,000
Speaker 1: line was three, so it's moved a little bit in

256
00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,200
Speaker 1: favor of the Rams. The over under here is at

257
00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,680
Speaker 1: a whopping fifty three. I mean, look, the Falcons offense,

258
00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:48,480
Speaker 1: it's great, Matt Ryan is playing great. The defense cannot

259
00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:52,400
Speaker 1: stop anyone whatsoever. Meanwhile, Jared Goff is coming off a

260
00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:55,400
Speaker 1: game where he threw for seventy eight yards against the

261
00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,080
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. The offense looks completely out of sorts.

262
00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,679
Speaker 1: We don't know about whether Todd Girl or Key to

263
00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,400
Speaker 1: Leave is gonna play here. This feels like to me

264
00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:06,240
Speaker 1: a spot for the Rams to kind of get right

265
00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,640
Speaker 1: a little bit. I think the Falcons are just kind

266
00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:10,840
Speaker 1: of done until dan Quinn is fired. What do you think?

267
00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:14,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this Falcons team, they've really really checked out.

268
00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,760
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, they're they're figuring out ways to lose

269
00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:22,000
Speaker 2: in all different fashions. You're totally right on a possible

270
00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,680
Speaker 2: get right game for this Rams team. This offense, they're

271
00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:28,320
Speaker 2: in a dome going up against a horrible defense. If

272
00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:30,800
Speaker 2: Jared Goff can't get it going here, I just don't

273
00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:32,959
Speaker 2: think you can get it going three and a half

274
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,880
Speaker 2: as far as the number probably makes sense. But I

275
00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,719
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if this gets bet up a little bit,

276
00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:42,840
Speaker 2: because I mean, the Falcons have just looked horrible any scenario,

277
00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:45,679
Speaker 2: and even ATS, I don't think they can give this

278
00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:50,040
Speaker 2: Falcons team enough points. But yeah, people are out on golf,

279
00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,400
Speaker 2: and I've made fun of golf for a long time.

280
00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,920
Speaker 2: Now I say, I say I'm the owner of Jared

281
00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:57,920
Speaker 2: Goff Sucks Island because.

282
00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,360
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's an island anymore. Yeah, you know,

283
00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:01,840
Speaker 1: a continent at this point.

284
00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:05,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an island in the same way that Australia

285
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:09,079
Speaker 2: is an island or whatever. It's just growing. But yeah,

286
00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:13,760
Speaker 2: I totally agree Cup. I think and golf they get

287
00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:16,600
Speaker 2: going here, So I think I think this actually may

288
00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,000
Speaker 2: go up, and if you like the Rams, you may

289
00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:21,240
Speaker 2: be able to find a minus three somewhere and you

290
00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:22,320
Speaker 2: may want to bet that now.

291
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,560
Speaker 1: And I'm not kidding. I mean I'd take it at

292
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,280
Speaker 1: three and a half and not be overly concerned about it.

293
00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,040
Speaker 1: I think if you like the Rams getting now, I

294
00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:31,560
Speaker 1: don't think it's going back to three. Nobody in their right,

295
00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:33,839
Speaker 1: mind can back Atlanta at this point. A lot of

296
00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,080
Speaker 1: people did, myself included back then, you know, the spread went.

297
00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,920
Speaker 1: I believe they were originally laying one to the Cardinals.

298
00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:41,520
Speaker 1: Then they wound up laying two and a half by

299
00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:43,839
Speaker 1: the time it closed, and that of course didn't go well.

300
00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:46,000
Speaker 1: Although if Matt Brian had hit you know, an extra point,

301
00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:49,040
Speaker 1: perhaps they would have done it. But in the end,

302
00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,040
Speaker 1: this look, the Rams have to get right. I get

303
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,680
Speaker 1: there's a blueprint on them right now about how to

304
00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,680
Speaker 1: kind of contain them, But in the end you got

305
00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,839
Speaker 1: to get pressure on goth to make them uncomfortable, and

306
00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:01,439
Speaker 1: I just don't think the Falcons are going to be

307
00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:02,880
Speaker 1: able to do that. So I do think you know,

308
00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:04,760
Speaker 1: I get that it's an away game, But if you

309
00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,760
Speaker 1: like the Rams personally as I do, I think i'd

310
00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:09,280
Speaker 1: get in on it now because it's not going to

311
00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:11,439
Speaker 1: get lower. I don't think it's going back to three.

312
00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:13,080
Speaker 1: If you can get a three, get in now. But

313
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,120
Speaker 1: if you like them also, I think it's a better

314
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,400
Speaker 1: chance that it rises, you know, more like Rams four

315
00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,240
Speaker 1: could close at four and a half or something like that,

316
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:20,520
Speaker 1: as opposed to three and a half.

317
00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:23,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean there's a blueprint out on Jared Goff,

318
00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,800
Speaker 2: but I don't trust the Atlanta Falcons to figure out

319
00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:26,920
Speaker 2: any sort of blueprint.

320
00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, absolutely. Let's move on to the Vikings at

321
00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,600
Speaker 1: the Lions. Really interesting game. The Vikings here are laying

322
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,320
Speaker 1: one the over unders at forty four. Again, we have

323
00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 1: not seen how the Lions are going to look tonight,

324
00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:42,280
Speaker 1: but they've been pretty impressive. I mean, they could easily

325
00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,440
Speaker 1: be four to oh heading into tonight's game. They've been

326
00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:49,120
Speaker 1: doing it with all around solid play on both sides

327
00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:51,440
Speaker 1: of the ball. On the other side, the Vikings kind

328
00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,560
Speaker 1: of look like they're getting right a little bit, look

329
00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:56,120
Speaker 1: to be tightening the ship despite the fact that everybody is,

330
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,680
Speaker 1: you know, complaining and everything like that. The passing game

331
00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,400
Speaker 1: gets going a little bit into admittedly really soft matchups

332
00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,920
Speaker 1: against the Giants and the Eagles. Eagles have a fine defense,

333
00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,080
Speaker 1: but it's all about stopping the run. They're really vulnerable

334
00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:11,800
Speaker 1: in their secondary to essentially pick them here, Vikings saying

335
00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:13,440
Speaker 1: one over underd forty four. What do you think?

336
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:18,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think this spread is probably a

337
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 2: little inflated on the Viking side because everyone saw Kirk

338
00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,120
Speaker 2: Cousins go off and they're like, oh, Kirk Cousins, good

339
00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:27,080
Speaker 2: is good. Yeah, let's hop on the Kirk Cousins bandwagon.

340
00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,000
Speaker 2: You're probably to me, it felt like a little inflated.

341
00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,880
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm a diehard Eagles fan, and I was

342
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,120
Speaker 2: seriously worried about our cornerbacks going into that game. I mean,

343
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,080
Speaker 2: they just couldn't cover. I mean, it was really that simple.

344
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:42,120
Speaker 2: And Kirk Cousins got the touchdowns, he got it done.

345
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,800
Speaker 2: But I do feel like this is a little inflated.

346
00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:48,320
Speaker 2: I think if the Lions have a competitive game, or

347
00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 2: if the Lions win, you could see this definitely switch

348
00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,280
Speaker 2: to Lions even I mean again, I wouldn't. I would

349
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,000
Speaker 2: have set this line closer to Lions minus three, because

350
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:03,000
Speaker 2: I think these are two pretty successful teams, pretty solid

351
00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,680
Speaker 2: teams so far this year, both Dome teams. It's a

352
00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:11,160
Speaker 2: division matchup. I just don't know what what I've seen

353
00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:14,880
Speaker 2: that makes the Viking so strong to be this much

354
00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 2: of a or just to be a road favorite in

355
00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:17,680
Speaker 2: the division game.

356
00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:19,920
Speaker 1: I feel like it's I feel like it's a little

357
00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,000
Speaker 1: bit of undervaluing the Lions, to be honest, generally, and

358
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:24,760
Speaker 1: I feel like the bookmakers have done that all year.

359
00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,440
Speaker 1: I mean the Packers lines, and I think it opened

360
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,280
Speaker 1: at minus six. It might have closed at minus four

361
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,320
Speaker 1: or something like that. Before that, you know, against the Chiefs,

362
00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,280
Speaker 1: you know, every everybody was all over the Chiefs, I

363
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 1: guess on that one, and the Lions wound up covering.

364
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,800
Speaker 1: So I kind of feel like the Lions still aren't

365
00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:43,880
Speaker 1: quite getting the respect they deserve. I don't. I don't

366
00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:46,280
Speaker 1: know necessarily if I agree that it should be the

367
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,720
Speaker 1: Lions favored by three, this does feel much more like

368
00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:51,680
Speaker 1: a pick em to me, and I think you'd agree.

369
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,040
Speaker 1: You don't. You wouldn't expect the line to actually get

370
00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:55,120
Speaker 1: anywhere close to the right.

371
00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:57,360
Speaker 2: I mean, no, no, no, I'm just saying in my head,

372
00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 2: these teams feel closer to even, and especially in the

373
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:06,560
Speaker 2: division matchup. Yeah, I think it would. On a neutral field,

374
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,119
Speaker 2: I guess I would probably have the Vikings by maybe

375
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,960
Speaker 2: a point, so then you factor in home field. But

376
00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,400
Speaker 2: you're right, I don't think the number will actually move

377
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:19,160
Speaker 2: to that. So yeah, if you like the Vikings, maybe

378
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 2: you're right, it probably gets to a pick. But yeah,

379
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:25,399
Speaker 2: a lot of that'll determine on what happens tonight.

380
00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:27,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, in the end, this game is going to be

381
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:28,879
Speaker 1: about who you think is going to win. Before we

382
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,120
Speaker 1: move on, I want to tell everyone about the sponsor

383
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,480
Speaker 1: of today's show, bet MGM. You know about betmgm already,

384
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:37,480
Speaker 1: and in particular the bet mgm Sports App because it's

385
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,239
Speaker 1: the easiest and best way to place a bet. If

386
00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,359
Speaker 1: you're in the state of New Jersey. Just search for

387
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 1: and download the bet mgm Sports app on your phone

388
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,360
Speaker 1: or visit betmgm dot com, sign up for an account,

389
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,400
Speaker 1: and you can place a bet right from your home.

390
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,879
Speaker 1: And once you sign up for an account, you really

391
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 1: need to pay attention because bet mgm offers boosted bets

392
00:17:56,560 --> 00:18:00,000
Speaker 1: and promotions across all major sports, so you'll occasionally get

393
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,879
Speaker 1: these preposterous odds on various bets that are not available

394
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 1: anywhere else in the market. They also let you track

395
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,920
Speaker 1: your bet in real time, and they offer early cash

396
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,359
Speaker 1: outs where you can settle a bet before the game

397
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 1: ends to lock in winnings or cut your losses. And

398
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 1: if you sign up right now, you can get a

399
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 1: free five hundred dollars bet. Here's the deal. When you

400
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 1: download the betmgm Sports app and you sign up using

401
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,679
Speaker 1: our promo code Harris, then your first bet of up

402
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:29,080
Speaker 1: to five hundred dollars is risk free. If you lose,

403
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,919
Speaker 1: bet mgm is going to credit you the amount you

404
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:36,119
Speaker 1: lost up to five hundred dollars for future wagers. So

405
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:38,399
Speaker 1: just download the app and use the promo code Harris

406
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 1: to claim the promotion, and you can go to betmgm

407
00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 1: dot com for further details. You must be twenty one

408
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,159
Speaker 1: years or older. And although you can sign up an

409
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 1: easily deposit money anywhere, you must be in the state

410
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 1: of New Jersey to place a sports bet. Visit betmgm

411
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 1: dot com for the full list of terms and conditions.

412
00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:55,479
Speaker 1: And if you've got a gambling problem called one eight

413
00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,760
Speaker 1: hundred gambler. All right, John, let's move on here to

414
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:02,040
Speaker 1: the Texans at the Cot. The Colts are laying one

415
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 1: and the over under is now at forty seven and

416
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,120
Speaker 1: a half. It has dropped a bit. It was at

417
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,199
Speaker 1: forty eight and a half when I first saw. The

418
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,680
Speaker 1: Texans are dealing with a couple of injuries here. Titus Howard,

419
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,960
Speaker 1: their right tackle, and Bradley Roby, one of their corners,

420
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 1: are both going to miss some time. There's lots of

421
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,960
Speaker 1: early money on the Colts here, who are coming off

422
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,280
Speaker 1: a buye. This is maybe a little bit of a

423
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 1: letdown spot here for the Texans coming off the giant

424
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: win against the Chiefs, and with the Colts they're getting

425
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,479
Speaker 1: a little healthier. Of course, with the bye Darius Leonard

426
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,600
Speaker 1: has finally cleared the concussion protocol and should play. What

427
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,359
Speaker 1: do you think here, Colts laying one over under forty

428
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 1: seven and a half.

429
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do think this one's going to probably creep

430
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,960
Speaker 2: up closer to three. Like you said, a lot of

431
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,679
Speaker 2: money coming in on the Colts. They're coming off that

432
00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 2: bye week, and again Texans two huge wins back to back.

433
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 2: They both beat the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City.

434
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,239
Speaker 2: The game feels pretty evenly matched, and the Colts are

435
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:59,199
Speaker 2: good at home, and Colts and Texans are good ats teams.

436
00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:01,919
Speaker 2: But yeah, I wouldn't be surprised if it gets to

437
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,920
Speaker 2: two and a half, maybe the full three by kickoff.

438
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,800
Speaker 2: It does seem like, like you said, the money's coming

439
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 2: in on the Colts, and I think there's a number

440
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 2: of matchups that kind of favor them, and especially if

441
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 2: they get Leonard back and it sounds like he cleared

442
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,160
Speaker 2: the protocol, he should play. That should be huge against

443
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 2: the Texans offensive line.

444
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is one where I've actually been monitoring it.

445
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,199
Speaker 1: It opened up minus one, it got bumped almost exactly,

446
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 1: just had two two and a half to the point

447
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,200
Speaker 1: where right before we went on, I was checking where

448
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 1: the line was and it had moved back to one,

449
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 1: and I wasn't sure if that was a typo. But

450
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 1: while you were talking, I went and I was like, oh,

451
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 1: maybe I just wrote down the line wrong or something

452
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:41,760
Speaker 1: like that. No, when I got there, it had been

453
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,199
Speaker 1: to two and a half. So it's kind of jumped

454
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 1: all over the place. I can't imagine. If you like

455
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 1: the Colts in this game, this is the best you're

456
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: going to get. So you got to get on it.

457
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: Because I completely agree. There's a lot of money at

458
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 1: least early coming in on the Cults, and it's good.

459
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,119
Speaker 1: I mean, this is a perfect situation right now for

460
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 1: the Colts. I mean, the Texans are really flying high,

461
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 1: you know, off that game, and they're not that good.

462
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: I mean they're fine, but they're really not that good.

463
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,920
Speaker 1: I have no idea whether they're not throwing downfield to

464
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins or anything like that. Now, they could have

465
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:15,280
Speaker 1: won bigger in Kansas City, to.

466
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,399
Speaker 2: Be it did feel like they left some opportunities on

467
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 2: the board.

468
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:22,120
Speaker 1: I think will Fuller himself, you know, left eighteen points

469
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: on the field by dropping all the touchdown passes. So yeah, look,

470
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: it's certainly something where perhaps, you know, realistically, you could

471
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:30,440
Speaker 1: look at that game be like, man, the Texans should

472
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: have destroyed the Chiefs. Absolutely, that's fine, but arrested Colts team,

473
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 1: you know, coming off you know, one of these draining,

474
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 1: you know games for the Texans. I agree that I

475
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 1: like the Colts, and I wouldn't be surprised at this.

476
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 1: You know, I don't think it'll get to three, but

477
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: you know the fact that it was already at two

478
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 1: and a half before coming back down. I wouldn't be

479
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 1: surprised if it got there. And if you like the Colts,

480
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 1: I'd get Now let's move on to the Cardinals at

481
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: the Giants. The Giants here are favored by three. The

482
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:59,120
Speaker 1: over under has moved up to fifty and a half.

483
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 1: This is bounced back a lot here. It opened originally

484
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,120
Speaker 1: in forty nine and a half, dropped down a bit,

485
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 1: then came back up. I'm a little surprised by this line,

486
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 1: so I'm interested to hear what you think about it.

487
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: I mean, the Cardinals are getting Patrick Peterson back, Kyler

488
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:14,119
Speaker 1: Murray is starting to play really well even without Christian Kirk,

489
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 1: who could be back. Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley isn't even a

490
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: lock to come back. I kind of thought that he

491
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 1: would be. I thought it was just they're gonna wait

492
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 1: and see. You know, they're gonna hold him out for

493
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: the Thursday night game. But now it didn't sound all

494
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,119
Speaker 1: that optimistic or at least not certain that he's going

495
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 1: to come back in this game. Sterling Shepherd is probably

496
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: going to be out again. I kind of thought that this.

497
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 1: I understand the Giants being favored, but given the fact

498
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 1: that Arizona's offense has looked a little better here lately,

499
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 1: admittedly in soft matchups, that I kind of thought that

500
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 1: this would be more like one one and a half

501
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:45,680
Speaker 1: two or something like that in favor of the Giants.

502
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 1: What do you think?

503
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I see where you're saying what you're

504
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 2: saying there. I think they just kind of these teams

505
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,679
Speaker 2: are similar in a lot of ways where they're they

506
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: should really struggle on defense. They're probably able to get

507
00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 2: the passing game going against weaker opponents, but You're right.

508
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 2: I think what's really gonna be key is the Giants

509
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 2: injuries and who actually ends up playing or doesn't play.

510
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 2: The Patrick Peterson thing probably is in factor in the line,

511
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 2: but it really should because you know, going up against

512
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 2: a rookie quarterback like Daniel Jones, who, I mean, what

513
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 2: five turnovers against the Patriots. What the Giants have going

514
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,679
Speaker 2: for them is the extra bit arrest coming off the

515
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 2: Thursday game, and those Thursday teams have been I think

516
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 2: fairly strong ats this season. The other matchup that's really

517
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 2: important as far as in big fantasy implications as well.

518
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 2: But the Cardinals can just not figure out how to

519
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 2: guard a tight end. I don't know what the hell's

520
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 2: going on, but they just can't figure it out. And

521
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: whether or not Evan Ingram plays, I know it's not

522
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 2: going to have an impact on the line, but definitely

523
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 2: something to keep an eye on for DFS or fantasy stuff.

524
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: But yeah, maybe it's a maybe it's a hair high,

525
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 2: but I think I kind of see what they're doing

526
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 2: setting it at three, and I could see adjustments getting

527
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 2: made if Saquon actually plays, or if they get a

528
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: lot of money one way or the other.

529
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 1: Well just to be clear, Tyler Eifert heard your the

530
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 1: giant the Cardinals can't stop any tight ends at all,

531
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 1: and said hold my beer, because we had a lot

532
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 1: of him in DFS and it did not work out quite.

533
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:23,959
Speaker 2: By any exceptions.

534
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, but certainly if Ingram plays. You know, he

535
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,359
Speaker 1: missed Thursday night's game, but if he is able to play,

536
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:32,720
Speaker 1: then he is a wonderful play. In the end, I'm

537
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 1: going to be honest, like I can't ever right now,

538
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 1: I can't back the Cardinals. I mean I'm in any game.

539
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: I don't mean in this game, I mean in any game,

540
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,959
Speaker 1: just because I just do not have faith in them.

541
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 1: I actually picked the Falcons. Unfortunately, it was a little

542
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 1: bit like the Irresistible Force meets the Immovable outduct with

543
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 1: right with the Falcons just completely tanking basically at this point,

544
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 1: just not playing anymore, versus the Cardinals, in which I

545
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 1: have no faith whatsoever. So in the end, I'm surprised

546
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 1: a little bit about the line. I don't like one team.

547
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: This is not a game I'm gonna go near. And

548
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: on Thursday we list a game that we're avoiding, and

549
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,440
Speaker 1: this will probably be my game because I just don't

550
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 1: like it. I'm okay with the over under. I mean,

551
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: fifties a little high for me considering Peterson's coming back,

552
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 1: But I do expect both teams to be able to

553
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 1: score pretty much at will.

554
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if, yeah, the Cardinals, are they really

555
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,160
Speaker 2: going to win three games in a row. It does

556
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 2: seem like the Cardinals or Yeah, the Cardinal stock couldn't

557
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 2: be higher with back to back wins, even though neither

558
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 2: win was against a good team and they certainly could

559
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 2: have lost probably both those games as well.

560
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,199
Speaker 1: That's a little bit why I was surprised that the

561
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,640
Speaker 1: Giants were favored by three, because I kind of expected

562
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:40,119
Speaker 1: money to come in on the Cardinals here, Yeah, because

563
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 1: given the fact that they're riding high and they're coming

564
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 1: off the things. But that early money is not on

565
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 1: the Cardinals.

566
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 2: I'm the Giants, So yeah, Jay's still kind of a

567
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 2: public team.

568
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 1: I get it. I get it, bookmakers, no more than

569
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: I do. That's fine, I will accept it. Let's move

570
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 1: on to forty nine ers at the Redskins. Forty nine

571
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,920
Speaker 1: ers here are laying ten. The over under is at

572
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,159
Speaker 1: forty two. Everything's working for the forty nine ers. I

573
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 1: I thought that Kyle Yuschek's injury would have a little

574
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: bit more of an impact. But they look I mean, look,

575
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: they only put up i think seventeen points or whatever

576
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:09,439
Speaker 1: against the Rams, so it's not as if they had

577
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:13,879
Speaker 1: an offensive juggernaut. But their defense has been completely suffocating.

578
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 1: And we talked about the Redskins earlier when we were

579
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 1: looking at the Dolphins matchup. They take advantage of that matchup,

580
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 1: but still only seventeen points. I mean, they look relatively

581
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 1: kind of almost sort of competent with case GenAm back there.

582
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: But ten points is a big margin to be an

583
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 1: underdog at home. But what do you think you're forty

584
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 1: nine ers laying ten over under forty two?

585
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think the forty nine ers are

586
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 2: probably are finally getting the respect from the bookmakers. I

587
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:43,719
Speaker 2: know I was skeptical of the forty nine ers success

588
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 2: and it seemed like the betting market was skeptical as well.

589
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,199
Speaker 2: I mean, you look at that Rams line, that wasn't

590
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 2: that big, and yeah, I think finally now it's like,

591
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 2: all right, they're playing a really bad team. It's on

592
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 2: the east coast, west coast to east coast, but I

593
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:01,959
Speaker 2: think think they're finally kind of giving the respect that

594
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 2: they've earned. Again, I wasn't a huge forty nine Ers

595
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 2: guy going into the season, and again I thought the

596
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 2: fullback injury for the forty nine Ers would really kind

597
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 2: of slow down that Shanahan offense, but it just didn't.

598
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 2: So it's hard not to give the expect the forty

599
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 2: nine Ers to win by a decent number, especially with

600
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:25,360
Speaker 2: how historically good that d line is playing. I think

601
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 2: that's gonna be kind of a nightmare situation for the Redskins.

602
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think the Redskins offensive line, you know,

603
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 2: as as competent as they made a Keendom look, I

604
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 2: think it could be trouble for going up against this

605
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:40,880
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers team.

606
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 1: I really want to find value in the Redskins in

607
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:47,360
Speaker 1: this game because I'm just like, well, you know, they're

608
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 1: they're coming east, and you know they're coming off this

609
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 1: monstrous win you know over the Rams where they looked

610
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 1: you know, it's classic classic letdown game. But I just can't.

611
00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:59,919
Speaker 1: It's one of these things where these teams, you know,

612
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 1: with the Dolphins for the first couple of weeks, you

613
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 1: were kind of like looking at these lines, You're like, well,

614
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 1: there's value there you know that there's value, there are

615
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: NFL teams, there's value with these big lines. But I

616
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: can't do it, not a ten certainly. If anything, I

617
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,879
Speaker 1: leaned towards the forty nine. The over under strikes me

618
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:15,680
Speaker 1: as about right. Forty two. I mean, it's not gonna

619
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 1: be a high scoring game no matter what, because you

620
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: know the forty nine ers as a general matter, especially

621
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 1: without you check, I'm sure that does affect their offense. Again,

622
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: they only put up seventeen points against the Rams team

623
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: that was missing a keep to leave. I mean, they

624
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 1: have a fine defense, but overall, you know, I think

625
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,560
Speaker 1: the forty two strikes me as roughly correct. Let's move

626
00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 1: on here to the Jaguars at the Bengals. Jaguars are

627
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: laying three the over under at forty three and a half.

628
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 1: The Bengals managed to keep it relatively close here in Baltimore.

629
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 1: They were never really in the game, but they ended

630
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: it within six. Maybe they get aj greenback here sound

631
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 1: you know, Zach Tayler said, we'll see today, so who knows.

632
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 1: They obviously struggle on both sides of the ball. And meanwhile,

633
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 1: you know, Minshew Magic looks to be running out a

634
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: little bit the Jaguars had a lot of trouble moving

635
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: the ball against Saints, but still the line felt a

636
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 1: little bit light to me. I thought the Jaguars should

637
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: have been favored by maybe four. I imagine the public

638
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 1: is going to come in hard on Jacksonville with that

639
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 1: line because just I think people are just avoiding the Bengals.

640
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: So it makes me a little nervous that it didn't

641
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 1: open higher, especially they were favored against the Saints, which

642
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 1: I think surprised a lot of people. I know they

643
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 1: were home, so you know, it makes me a little

644
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: worried because this line s tricks me as it should

645
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:25,680
Speaker 1: be closer to something like four.

646
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do. I don't see it closing at minus

647
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 2: three for the Jags. It does feel like you'll get

648
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 2: up to three and a half or four. I mean,

649
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 2: the Bengals are zero and six. And can you really

650
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 2: make a case where you were watching a Bengals game

651
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 2: and thought like, hey, they got this, They're gonna win

652
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:45,840
Speaker 2: this game. I mean, they covered against that Ravens team.

653
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 2: But if you watch that game, there was kind of

654
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,719
Speaker 2: some fluky stuff that happened as far as like random

655
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 2: special teams play or you know, deflected I and T

656
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,479
Speaker 2: that kind of stuff. And the Jaguars, even though they

657
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 2: lost to the Saints at home, I think that kind

658
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 2: of says more about the Saints. This Jaguars team feels

659
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 2: like a competent team. I mean, I'm not you know,

660
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: I still got a little taste of minshew mania. You know,

661
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 2: just got my fake mustache and sunglasses in the in

662
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 2: the mail, so I gotta I gotta hold onto it

663
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 2: until it runs out. This Jaguars team just feels competent,

664
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 2: and I can't really say the same thing for the Bengals.

665
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 2: I think I think it's just gonna be tough to

666
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 2: get the public involved on the Bengals at plus three,

667
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:28,800
Speaker 2: even as the home dog.

668
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 1: That's the point. I mean, the public here is going

669
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 1: to pound the Jaguars, at least i'd expect them to.

670
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 1: And it makes me a little nervous when there's a

671
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: line that's like, man, you guys are just begging for

672
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 1: the public to pound one side of this. It makes

673
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 1: me a little nervous that I'm missing something at this point.

674
00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, I tried to make excuses for the Bengals

675
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 1: for a while, you know, when they when they were

676
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: beaten up by the forty nine ers and they they

677
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: couldn't tackle anybody. I was like, well, I mean they

678
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: look competent against Seattle, so you know, I don't think

679
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 1: those tackling issues are repeatable, and it turns out that

680
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,920
Speaker 1: they were. I did beat against Buffalo at that time,

681
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: which they've managed to cover, getting six. I think they

682
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 1: lost by four in that game, so you know, on

683
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: the road they generally have a pretty good record of covering.

684
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 1: But at this point, I mean, I'd love the Jaguars

685
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: at three. I think this is a game where they

686
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 1: bounce back a little bit from again a game I

687
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 1: completely agree. That's much more about the Saints defense, which

688
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 1: is really really strong in shutting them down there. So

689
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 1: I agree, And if you like the Jaguars, I would

690
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 1: get in now as opposed to waiting. Let's move on

691
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: to the Chargers at the Titans. The Titans here are

692
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 1: now laying two and the over unders at forty and

693
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 1: a half, which really shows you what you need to

694
00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: know right now about the Chargers. Two teams here that

695
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: are struggling. We don't know who's going to start at

696
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 1: quarterback for the Titans at this point. After Ryan tanneheall

697
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 1: they don't know. They don't know, and I'm not really

698
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: sure it matters at all. I mean, I think it

699
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 1: doesn't move the line either way because I think they're

700
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: both equally sort of like, Okay, fine, throw this guy

701
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 1: out there. I guess they'll be fine. Meanwhile, the Chargers

702
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: are just doing Chargers things. They're lags against the Broncos

703
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: and the Steelers. Their offensive line is in tons of trouble.

704
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: They can't get into a group offensively, they can overcome

705
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,959
Speaker 1: their defensive injuries. Look, I have said essentially that I

706
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: am never betting on a Titans game right now because

707
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,959
Speaker 1: I don't know which team is going to show up

708
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 1: whenever they come. And I feel kind of the same

709
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:21,720
Speaker 1: way about the Chargers at this point. So what do

710
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 1: you think Titans lang to over under a forty and

711
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: a half.

712
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: Well, it's it's interesting because the Titans. When we're doing

713
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 2: our preview podcasts over at the Sports Gamling podcast, the

714
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 2: Titans team where a team me and my coast Ryan

715
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 2: were both you know against. I think I had them

716
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 2: at six and ten and he had them as like

717
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 2: five and eleven, and we caught the wrath of a

718
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 2: ton of Titans fans who are like, you don't know

719
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 2: what you're talking about, blah blah blah. So it's I

720
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 2: guess it's not surprising that they're that they're two and four,

721
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 2: and it's weird because they they're a super physical team,

722
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 2: and you know they succeed in kind of these smash

723
00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 2: mouse scenarios. The Chargers offensive line, Yeah, that pounc the

724
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 2: injury putting him on IR that was just I mean,

725
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 2: their offensive line was in shambles to begin with, and

726
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,760
Speaker 2: then you take away the center and you're forced to

727
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 2: play a basically a road game at home. The Chargers historically,

728
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 2: I mean since they moved to the stub Hub or

729
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 2: what Dignity Helps Sports Park now it's called, they've actually

730
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 2: been really good on the road because essentially they're playing

731
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 2: sixteen road games, so normally there's there's some value on

732
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 2: the Chargers on the road. Match applies, man, don't. I

733
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,239
Speaker 2: don't know where this line goes from here. I'd be

734
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: surprised if it gets up to Titans minus three, but

735
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 2: maybe that's where it goes. I do think the Chargers,

736
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: even though they're injured, they still probably have the more talent.

737
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: Hunter Henry seem to be getting going tons of questions

738
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 2: quarterback for the Titans. Again, these are just two super

739
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 2: disappoint teams. I guess I wouldn't be shocked if it

740
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 2: gets to three, But again I don't This one is

741
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 2: really tough for me to get a handle on because

742
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,479
Speaker 2: if you're the betting public, like I don't see what's

743
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 2: appealing on either side of this. These are just two

744
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 2: teams that have looked really frankly gross. So I think

745
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a low volume betting slate for

746
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:29,920
Speaker 2: the for the books here, So I don't know. Because

747
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 2: of the low volume, I don't see it moving a lot,

748
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: but I guess it wouldn't be surprised if Titan's move

749
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 2: to three. What's your handle on this?

750
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 1: You stole my thunder every No, that's good. I'd rather

751
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,799
Speaker 1: you talk the whole point that first of all, if

752
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 1: this is not the least bet game on this slate,

753
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:49,919
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I should make a bet

754
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:51,479
Speaker 1: on it, like I do every once in a while,

755
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 1: but nobody wants this game. I don't think I have

756
00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 1: no idea what the line is going to. I think

757
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 1: they're just going to try to make the line where

758
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 1: they're Like, does anybody want to bet on this game, Like,

759
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 1: that's what I thought. The Redskins Dolphins line one was

760
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 1: three and a half. They were like, look at three

761
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 1: and a half. People are either like me, are gonna

762
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 1: look at me like, oh man, this is gonna be close.

763
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't like either of these teams. I'll

764
00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 1: take the extra hook and I'll go with the Dolphins.

765
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 1: Other people are like, man, the Dolphins are I don't

766
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 1: care about the Redskins. You know the Dolphins are historically bad.

767
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: I'll take it like I think they'll They'll try to

768
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 1: set something. This line's gonna move all over the place.

769
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: I think. I don't think it'll get past three in

770
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:30,800
Speaker 1: either directions, but I could see it ending with the

771
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 1: Chargers favorite. I'm not even kidding, Like.

772
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 2: No shocked either. I think they just kind of threw

773
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 2: this two out to see what the betting public wanted

774
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 2: to make of this game, and I guess let that

775
00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 2: let them decide.

776
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I think if you and I are representative

777
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 1: of the betting public, we're not nobody's gonna be going

778
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,839
Speaker 1: anywhere near this game. So that's my prediction. But it's

779
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: not something that I have a good feel for at all.

780
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 1: So before we finish up with our last few games,

781
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: I want to tell everyone some good news and some

782
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:02,719
Speaker 1: bad news. Let's start with the bad news first, because

783
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:04,879
Speaker 1: that's how I like to do it. Our signed Alvin

784
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: Kamara helmet giveaway contest is over. I'm going to randomly

785
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 1: select a winner this week and announce it on Thursday's show.

786
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 1: So that is the bad news. Contest is over. Now

787
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,000
Speaker 1: the good news. It's time for our next contest, and

788
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,560
Speaker 1: this one is a signed Odell Beckham Junior Cleveland Brown's helmet.

789
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 1: You can go to bettingpros dot com slash contest for

790
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:25,640
Speaker 1: more details, but to enter, just leave a review for

791
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 1: the show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and send a

792
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:32,960
Speaker 1: screenshot of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com. Now,

793
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 1: an entry into any contest gets you automatically entered into

794
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: all future contests. So maybe you're like me and you're

795
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: just waiting for that Sam Darnold autographed helmet because he's

796
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,479
Speaker 1: your hero and he has immaculate hair. If that's ever

797
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 1: going to be a giveaway, you would automatically be entered

798
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 1: once you send in your entry into any contest, So

799
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:53,759
Speaker 1: take the two seconds be kind to Sean and send

800
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,279
Speaker 1: in a review. All right, let's move on here to

801
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 1: the Saints at the Bears. Bears here are favored by

802
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 1: three and hours half. The over under is at thirty nine.

803
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 1: Still Teddy Bridgewater. Here, the Saints defense is playing incredibly well,

804
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,279
Speaker 1: as we talked about. Meanwhile, the last time we saw

805
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,360
Speaker 1: the Bears that were getting their butts kicked in London

806
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 1: by the Raiders. I have some strong thoughts on both

807
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 1: these numbers, by the way, but what's your reaction your

808
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 1: Bears lank three and a half at home over under

809
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 1: thirty nine?

810
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was surprised that Bears were favored by this much.

811
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 2: I mean, what more does the betting public and the

812
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 2: odds makers need to see the Saints team? They went

813
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 2: into Jacksonville and played extremely good defense. I mean, the

814
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:39,240
Speaker 2: Jacksonville offense isn't really that much different from this Bears offense.

815
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 2: I mean, you could Gardner Minshew, I would take him

816
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 2: over Chase Daniel right now. It's just I'm pretty surprised

817
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,480
Speaker 2: that's this high. I mean, I normally like to fade

818
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 2: the Saints historically a dome team going outdoors on like

819
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 2: kind of slow conditions. But this Saints team has just

820
00:37:57,160 --> 00:38:01,759
Speaker 2: really showed that, you know, their defense can trap that

821
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:05,000
Speaker 2: their offense whatever they're doing with Bridgewater, they're keeping it

822
00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 2: simple and they've just been really effective since Drew Brees

823
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 2: has been out. And I guess I'm surprised that the

824
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 2: spread is that high.

825
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 1: Could not agree more. I really I get that the

826
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 1: Bears can be favored in this game because they're home

827
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,239
Speaker 1: and they're off of buying whatever. But no, I mean,

828
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 1: the Saints are absolutely legitimate on defense. Really, that's what

829
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 1: it comes down to. You can't run on the Saints, right,

830
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 1: I mean, they have a great run defense. I mean,

831
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 1: Fournette was fine, but they have a really good run defense.

832
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: I don't think David Montgomery is gonna be able to

833
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:36,839
Speaker 1: do that much if they give him the touches, which

834
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 1: you never know. So you're going to be relying on

835
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 1: Mitch Trubisky is coming back here. Okay, that's good, I

836
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 1: guess because Chase Daniel looked terrible. But it's not that

837
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:46,840
Speaker 1: good it really, you know, if you're going to be

838
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 1: relying on him after being off for so long, especially,

839
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: I mean remember as bad as he's looked, he looked

840
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 1: terrible that first game part of it because he had

841
00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:58,759
Speaker 1: no preseason reps essentially, and he's essentially looking at that too.

842
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 1: He's been off for several weeks. I do not expect

843
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:03,439
Speaker 1: them to be able to move the ball very well here.

844
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 1: So if you're telling me that you can get the

845
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 1: Saints at more than a field goal, I mean I

846
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:10,319
Speaker 1: would be all over that, and I'd be all over

847
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,760
Speaker 1: the over under thirty nine too. I think ideally Peyton

848
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: wants to rely on his defense. The one time he

849
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 1: let Bridgewater open it up was against the Bucks, because

850
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,920
Speaker 1: that's the weakness. The weakness is they have no pass defense.

851
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 1: They're okay at stopping the run, but they cannot stop

852
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:27,919
Speaker 1: the pass. He said, all right, we're going to open

853
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 1: this up for this one time. Only. Can't do that

854
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 1: against the Bears. It's going to be a low scoring game.

855
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:34,839
Speaker 1: I can't see a scenario where the Bears win by

856
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 1: more than a field goal, so I'm shocked. I think

857
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 1: it opened at minus four. It's already come down a

858
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,720
Speaker 1: little bit. So if you like the Saints, as both

859
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: of us do, I would get in now before it

860
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 1: drops closer to a field goal, because if you're getting

861
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:47,839
Speaker 1: more than a field goal, I love it. So I'm

862
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:49,760
Speaker 1: glad you had the same reaction because, yeah.

863
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 2: Honestly, of all the lines this week, that one really

864
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 2: in particular jumped out at me.

865
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:56,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was a good one. Let's move on here

866
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:59,320
Speaker 1: to the Ravens at the Seahawks. Really interesting game actually

867
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 1: here right now. The Seahawks are favored by three and

868
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: a half and the over under is fifty and a half.

869
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 1: If you would have said in the preseason that the

870
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:09,080
Speaker 1: over under on the Ravens Seahawks game was going to

871
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 1: be fifty and a half, no one would have believed.

872
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 1: You know, you've got the MVP of the league almost

873
00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:16,600
Speaker 1: certainly as at this point, Russell Wilson. He's playing absolutely

874
00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 1: out of his mind. But the loss of Will Disley,

875
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 1: they I don't know if they've officially diagnosed it as

876
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:23,399
Speaker 1: a torn achilles yet, but that's what everybody thinks. He's

877
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 1: likely after the season. He had kind of become an

878
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 1: important weapon for them, and their defense has not been great.

879
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 1: It's certainly not what it was back in its heyday.

880
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:34,239
Speaker 1: And then you've got the Ravens on the other side,

881
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 1: who have beaten the Dolphins, the Cardinals, the Steelers, and

882
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 1: the Bengals and other than the Dolphins, they haven't won

883
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 1: by a significant amount, so you know, when they win,

884
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:47,400
Speaker 1: they don't really cover anyway, give me your thoughts on

885
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 1: this one. Seahawks at home three and a half over

886
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 1: under a fifty and a half.

887
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:55,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought Seahawks would be favored by a little

888
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 2: bit more. I mean, this is a tough non conference

889
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:01,640
Speaker 2: road spot, a lot of travel for this Ravens team.

890
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 2: And it's interesting because you're right, the Ravens and Seahawks

891
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 2: historically have been like two grinded out, physical teams, and

892
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 2: neither of the team's defenses have been what they've once

893
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: been historically. I mean the Ravens in particular, they just

894
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 2: don't have that same kind of pass rush, the same

895
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,479
Speaker 2: kind of intensity. And again, yeah, the Ravens have beat

896
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:25,799
Speaker 2: up on some lower quality teams. But the Seahawks, you

897
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:30,320
Speaker 2: look at their schedule, it's been They've won some tough

898
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 2: games and kind of tough spots. I mean, even going

899
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 2: up against Cleveland last week, I wasn't super high on Cleveland.

900
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 2: I made Sea out of my lock, but still I

901
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 2: give them some credit for a quality win because of

902
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:45,240
Speaker 2: how desperate that Browns team was and again non conference

903
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:49,759
Speaker 2: road game that can be easy to overlook. I think

904
00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a tough spot for the Ravens.

905
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:55,400
Speaker 2: I mean, again, if you normally sometimes some people have

906
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:57,880
Speaker 2: this Seahawks home field advantage at three and a half.

907
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 2: So to me, on a neutral field, the Seahawks and

908
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 2: Ravens team already equal. I think the Seahawks are probably

909
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:09,240
Speaker 2: a point and a half power ranking by my account,

910
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 2: so I'm surprised it's only three and a half.

911
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I think I have a little bit

912
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 1: of a different view on this one. Now. Your view,

913
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 1: I think is more of the majority of you. I've

914
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 1: seen early action coming in on the Seahawks here are

915
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 1: both in terms of the number of vets and the

916
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 1: money that's being laid down. You know, man, I just

917
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:28,240
Speaker 1: I don't trust the Seahawks team.

918
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:29,960
Speaker 2: And that's fair, especially their defense.

919
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:33,120
Speaker 1: That's the thing. Their defense is not good. It's really

920
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 1: it's all Wilson right now. You know, With Brandon Williams

921
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 1: back for the Ravens, I think they're really going to

922
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:40,640
Speaker 1: be strong against the run. You take away Disley, not

923
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,160
Speaker 1: that will Disley is the be all end all or

924
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 1: anything like that, but you know, dk Metcalf is fine,

925
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,439
Speaker 1: but you know he's much more of a red zone threat.

926
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,479
Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett's great. I mean, Jern Brown's probably not catching

927
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,319
Speaker 1: two touchdown passes. Again, the thing is that Wilson right

928
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: now is just playing so incredibly well that they're likely

929
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,400
Speaker 1: going to be able to put a points on anyone.

930
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: And I don't really trust the Ravens necessarily to be

931
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:04,839
Speaker 1: able to catch up, right. I mean, Lamar Jackson ran

932
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,240
Speaker 1: for whatever he did this weekend, you know, one hundred

933
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 1: and fifty yards, but you know you're not going to

934
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 1: really be able to do that the entire time when

935
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 1: you're playing from behind. Also, Hollywood Brown, it's not clear

936
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 1: if he's going to be able to suit up for

937
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:17,600
Speaker 1: this one. He's kind of in wait and see mode,

938
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:19,680
Speaker 1: and his presence, if for no other reason, then it

939
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 1: kind of clears out, you know, the field because of

940
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 1: his speed. So if he doesn't play, I guess I

941
00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:26,600
Speaker 1: could see it. But my early lean, oddly enough, was

942
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:28,719
Speaker 1: for the Ravens. I just it feels to me like

943
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 1: a close game if you're getting more in a field goal.

944
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,359
Speaker 1: But it's something where again that's the minority position right now.

945
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,879
Speaker 1: From what I could see and the over under. I

946
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: also it kind of felt a little under to me.

947
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 1: I don't really expect this just crazy high flying. I

948
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 1: don't think that's realistically what the Seahawks want to be.

949
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:46,440
Speaker 1: They had to do it. They fell way behind against

950
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,360
Speaker 1: the Brown so they're letting Wilson go. But I think

951
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,560
Speaker 1: ideally at their heart, at the way Pete Carroll and

952
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:54,320
Speaker 1: Brian Schottenhamer want to run these games, they want to

953
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 1: be kind of like a close, like drag it out

954
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,399
Speaker 1: of fair one of these things. So I could see

955
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,880
Speaker 1: it being like that in a little lesser scoring than

956
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 1: most people think. So I'm a little bit on the

957
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 1: other side, which I admit is a minority position.

958
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:09,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I get what you're saying there that maybe there's

959
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:11,960
Speaker 2: some value, especially in the under, because there are two

960
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,799
Speaker 2: teams that, like admittedly, want to run the ball, want

961
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:17,520
Speaker 2: to pound the rock. But yeah, it's going up against

962
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 2: two defenses that have, you know, had issues, so I

963
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:24,600
Speaker 2: guess that's where things will shake out. But yeah, I

964
00:44:24,640 --> 00:44:27,720
Speaker 2: mean saying it's a field goal game, I think totally

965
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 2: makes sense to me. The extra point and a half

966
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 2: value that I think is there if you're on the

967
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 2: Seahawks is in the situational spot and the travel and

968
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:38,680
Speaker 2: that kind of thing.

969
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,360
Speaker 1: Yep, I think that all makes sense. Let's move on

970
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 1: here to the Eagles that the Cowboys must win game

971
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 1: here for both teams. Cowboys are now favored by two.

972
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,799
Speaker 1: I believe it opened at three. So the Cowboys laying

973
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 1: to over under is now at forty nine. It was

974
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 1: at forty eight. You've obviously got the Amari Cooper injury

975
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 1: here on the Cowboys side. That's a big one for

976
00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 1: them if he is unable to suit up. It's a

977
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:02,759
Speaker 1: quad bruise, so it doesn't sound structural, but you know

978
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:05,720
Speaker 1: he missed the entire Jets game pretty much bigger than that. However,

979
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 1: they might be the progress of Tarron Smith and Lil Collins,

980
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 1: their big offensive linemen. I mean they neither one suited

981
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:15,839
Speaker 1: up against the Jets. One or both may suit up

982
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:17,719
Speaker 1: against the Eagles, which you know you need to do

983
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:20,920
Speaker 1: against that pass rush. Meanwhile, the Eagles just can't seem

984
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 1: to get it going. You know, more than anyone you

985
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 1: said you're an Eagles fan. Their pass defense is just

986
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:27,840
Speaker 1: not where they run defense is solid, their pass defense

987
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:31,719
Speaker 1: it's just terrible. They may get Shawn Jackson back. I

988
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,759
Speaker 1: think he's probably out for another week or two though,

989
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 1: But I don't know. What are your thoughts here, Cowboys

990
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,239
Speaker 1: laying to over under forty nine.

991
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's interesting, you know, because the Eagles

992
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 2: cornerbacks Darby and Mills they're expected to return to practice.

993
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if they'll be able to go. There's

994
00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:51,920
Speaker 2: so many questions at cornerback for the Eagles. To me,

995
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 2: this just feels, I mean, both teams kind of similar

996
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,799
Speaker 2: in that they've had serious injury issues. Their play has

997
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,479
Speaker 2: been up and down. They're both three and three. They've

998
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 2: lost some games they probably shouldn't have. To me, this

999
00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 2: just feels like a straight three. I don't see where

1000
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 2: the adjustment off the three is. That's, I guess, to

1001
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 2: me surprising. And it must have been a ton of

1002
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 2: Philly action coming in on the plus three that that

1003
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 2: got them to move into two. Because traditionally the Cowboys

1004
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 2: are a you know, America's team, a public team. I

1005
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:27,880
Speaker 2: could see. I can see why they're off them because

1006
00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:31,319
Speaker 2: of the losing to the Jets, which is pretty embarrassing.

1007
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 2: But that was on the podcast. My co host had

1008
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 2: the Jets as his money lining dog play because with

1009
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:44,840
Speaker 2: both tackles out and a look ahead spot for the Cowboys,

1010
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 2: you can see you could really make the case for

1011
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 2: the Jets.

1012
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 1: There so and the Jets and the Jets being the

1013
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:52,280
Speaker 1: best team in the NFL. Thanks, I appreciate that go ahead.

1014
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:56,720
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, and uh yeah, and Sam Donald's return, Sammy

1015
00:46:56,800 --> 00:47:00,320
Speaker 2: d slinging it all around to me, this's just should

1016
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,800
Speaker 2: feel this should just be three. I think three is

1017
00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:05,719
Speaker 2: where it probably will end up closing. I'm surprised we're

1018
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 2: seeing twos right now. So that's my big takeaway on

1019
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:08,920
Speaker 2: this spread.

1020
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the consensus is two, but there are

1021
00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:14,719
Speaker 1: certainly some threes out there. I'm looking at it now,

1022
00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know. My guess is the early money.

1023
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 1: You know, our people probably public betters, you know, looking

1024
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:23,400
Speaker 1: at the Mark Cooper injury and maybe saying, you know

1025
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,240
Speaker 1: they the offense. You know, you don't. Wide receiver injuries

1026
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 1: don't often move the line, or shouldn't move the line

1027
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 1: necessarily that much. But Cooper really changes things a little

1028
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:34,960
Speaker 1: bit for that offense. Michael Gallup is good. Jason Witten

1029
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:37,760
Speaker 1: found the Vounty of Youth a little bit, but they

1030
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:40,319
Speaker 1: really don't have many other options after that. It's not

1031
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:42,879
Speaker 1: a game that I feel particularly comfortable with no matter

1032
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: what it is. I agree it's three two evenly matched teams.

1033
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 1: Cowboys are at home, seems like a three primetime divisional game.

1034
00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 1: It's just not something where I want to go near personally,

1035
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:55,839
Speaker 1: because you know, both teams are desperate. But in the end,

1036
00:47:56,160 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: if both tackles, both offensive lineman play, Smith and Collins,

1037
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 1: if they both play, if Cooper plays, I'd probably lean

1038
00:48:03,640 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 1: towards the Cowboys here, especially if you can get it

1039
00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: at anything less than three. But in the end, it's

1040
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,280
Speaker 1: just probably a game I'm not gonna go too close.

1041
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:15,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, it does seem like I would, I mean, honestly,

1042
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:17,719
Speaker 2: either side, you like, I would kind of wait it

1043
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 2: out till later in the week, because again it's like

1044
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 2: will they play, but then sometimes they play, but they're

1045
00:48:24,080 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 2: not fully one hundred percent like I think. I guess

1046
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 2: if you like the Cowboys, maybe lock up that minus two.

1047
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:33,279
Speaker 2: But it does seem like it's worth it to wait

1048
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:35,880
Speaker 2: and see how some of these injuries progress before betting

1049
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:36,360
Speaker 2: this game.

1050
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, with all the health concerns, it's certainly something where

1051
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 1: more information is going to help you make a better

1052
00:48:42,120 --> 00:48:45,560
Speaker 1: decision final game of the week, Patriots at Jets. Patriots

1053
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 1: here are laying ten over under is at forty three.

1054
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,400
Speaker 1: We talked a little bit about the Jets looked very

1055
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 1: competent offensively with Sam Darnold against the Cowboys. I'm not

1056
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 1: sure whether or not Chris Herndon's gonna be able to

1057
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 1: play here, but regardless, they can certainly move the ball.

1058
00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:04,840
Speaker 1: Robbie Anderson, Jameson Crowder and even Samarius Thomas sort of

1059
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 1: helping out there, and of course they have Le'Veon Bell

1060
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,359
Speaker 1: and on the defensive side, they're solid, not spectacular, don't

1061
00:49:09,360 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 1: have great corners or anything like that, but especially if CJ.

1062
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,359
Speaker 1: Mosley can come back, that's gonna yeah, that's too. Yeah.

1063
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:17,279
Speaker 1: I'm not sure what the latest is on him. I

1064
00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:20,360
Speaker 1: haven't read anything yet about this week, but he's obviously

1065
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 1: been trending in that direction. Although he wasn't questionable in

1066
00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:25,680
Speaker 1: like a game time call here, he was doubtful, so

1067
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:27,920
Speaker 1: he may be another week away or something like that. Meanwhile,

1068
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,440
Speaker 1: the Pats, they continue to roll, but they did not

1069
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:35,439
Speaker 1: look that dynamic against the Giants Offensively. They got going

1070
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,760
Speaker 1: a little bit later, but you know, Josh Gordon's battling injury.

1071
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 1: It's pretty much Julian Edelman. They are getting to kill

1072
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:44,399
Speaker 1: Harry Back. The running game really does not look good

1073
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:47,040
Speaker 1: since James Devlin went out. It's a big thing. But

1074
00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:50,200
Speaker 1: you know they can easily drop, you know, forty points

1075
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 1: without really breaking a sweat here. So what do you

1076
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:56,799
Speaker 1: think Patriots minus ten over under forty three in New

1077
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: Jersey playing against the Jets.

1078
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I I think this spread sounds about right.

1079
00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:05,839
Speaker 2: Patriots coming off that extra Thursday rest, their offense has

1080
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 2: really just looked bad. I mean there's moments where Tom

1081
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 2: Brady's throwing the ball and you're just like, ugh, what's

1082
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:14,279
Speaker 2: going on there? So it's I guess in that sense

1083
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 2: it's crazy to make them a minus ten road favorite.

1084
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:19,360
Speaker 2: But I think the flip side of that is this

1085
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: Patriots team is just historically good on the defensive side

1086
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:26,240
Speaker 2: of the ball, and they're creating turnovers, They're creating points

1087
00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:29,600
Speaker 2: off turnovers. They're making the job so easy for the

1088
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 2: offense going the other way that they can't help but

1089
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:34,960
Speaker 2: cover these big numbers. Like I was on the Pats

1090
00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 2: minus sixteen and a half and certainly had to sweat

1091
00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:40,359
Speaker 2: it out a little bit but they you know, they

1092
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:42,480
Speaker 2: came through, and a lot of it is the turnovers

1093
00:50:43,160 --> 00:50:47,200
Speaker 2: that they got off Daniel Jones, a young, inexperienced quarterback,

1094
00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:51,279
Speaker 2: which they're facing with Sam Darnold here. Yeah, I think

1095
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:53,400
Speaker 2: if you we're back in the Jets, I liked the

1096
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 2: case you're building there with like CJ. Mosley and the defense.

1097
00:50:56,560 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 2: The Jets defensive line I probably doesn't get enough credit

1098
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,480
Speaker 2: for how solid it's been. So if they can, you know,

1099
00:51:03,719 --> 00:51:05,960
Speaker 2: and this is a Monday night game, the Jets should

1100
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:07,840
Speaker 2: be up for it. I think that's the case. If

1101
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:11,279
Speaker 2: you're talking yourself into the Jets. I don't if you're

1102
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 2: if you're a Pats backer and you're hoping it gets

1103
00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 2: down to like nine and a half or nine, so

1104
00:51:16,680 --> 00:51:19,040
Speaker 2: you can put it in a tease, I'd be surprised

1105
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 2: if it dips that low. I think if anything, it

1106
00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:26,400
Speaker 2: probably you know, gets to ten and a half maybe,

1107
00:51:26,440 --> 00:51:28,680
Speaker 2: But this this spread feels about right.

1108
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is about right. I actually think

1109
00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:32,879
Speaker 1: if it does, I think it's going to stay here

1110
00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:34,800
Speaker 1: at ten because I think ten's the right number. I

1111
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:36,319
Speaker 1: think if it does go anywhere, I could see it

1112
00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 1: going half a point to nine and a half actually

1113
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:41,520
Speaker 1: under the ten because my guess is that people will

1114
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:44,880
Speaker 1: be hitting the Jets here a little bit, particularly if

1115
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 1: there's good news on Mosley. You know again, look, you know,

1116
00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:52,520
Speaker 1: you throw out, throw out completely what you saw in

1117
00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:54,879
Speaker 1: between game one and in between this last game. Because

1118
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 1: Luke Falk is not an NFL quarterback, you can't take

1119
00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 1: anything away from it. Darnold is good, the system works,

1120
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 1: It's really gonna be I know Adam Gase isn't the

1121
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:05,840
Speaker 1: great head coach, but his system is going to be fine.

1122
00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 1: They're gonna be able to move the ball against it.

1123
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:11,440
Speaker 1: It's a fantastic, fantastic defense. The Jets have no offensive

1124
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:14,759
Speaker 1: line whatsoever. That's that's troubling, but Darnold's mobility is able

1125
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:16,839
Speaker 1: to kind of move around that. And again, they're gonna

1126
00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 1: be able to get pressure on Brady without blitzing too

1127
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:23,040
Speaker 1: much given the line. And that's the one thing that

1128
00:52:23,160 --> 00:52:25,919
Speaker 1: makes it not as confident. I'm always reluctant to back

1129
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: the Jets, just because I've been a fan of my

1130
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:29,759
Speaker 1: entire life, and it's you know, if you've done that,

1131
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 1: you've seen enough losing. But at this you know, at

1132
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 1: home on Monday night, that place is going to be nuts.

1133
00:52:35,520 --> 00:52:37,439
Speaker 1: They really get up for it. I kind of see

1134
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 1: a little value in the Jets. I'm not saying that

1135
00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:40,320
Speaker 1: I would take it. I'm sure it won't be like

1136
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 1: a super contest pick or anything like that for me,

1137
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:44,879
Speaker 1: but it's something where as of right now, I kind

1138
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 1: of see the value and I kind of also see

1139
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:49,359
Speaker 1: the value in the over because I think that, you know,

1140
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:52,399
Speaker 1: of forty three, the Jets are going to be able

1141
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:54,440
Speaker 1: to move the ball, not crazy or anything like that.

1142
00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:56,360
Speaker 1: The Pats have a great defense, but look, you know

1143
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:59,919
Speaker 1: they're gonna the game against the Giants wound up being

1144
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:02,480
Speaker 1: you know, relatively high scoring one where the Pats are

1145
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 1: gonna be able to pick to put up points. So

1146
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 1: I kind of like the over there, and I kind

1147
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 1: of lean towards the Jets with the ten. But it's

1148
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 1: not something where I'm like jumping for joy over or

1149
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:11,799
Speaker 1: anything like that.

1150
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:16,000
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, I'm probably of that mindset as well. But

1151
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 2: it's just this Patriots team just keeps covering these big

1152
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 2: numbers and they the turnover thing could really swing this

1153
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:25,799
Speaker 2: one way the one way or the other, and night

1154
00:53:25,920 --> 00:53:30,200
Speaker 2: I do think, yeah, I do think you're I like

1155
00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:32,319
Speaker 2: to play on the over there that that kind of

1156
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:33,839
Speaker 2: makes sense the case you're building there.

1157
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:35,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, let's hope so so I can at least

1158
00:53:36,040 --> 00:53:38,920
Speaker 1: enjoy my my Monday night living in New England as

1159
00:53:38,960 --> 00:53:41,360
Speaker 1: a Jets fan. But anyway, that's gonna do it. For

1160
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:43,560
Speaker 1: today's show, Shawn, it was great having you back on.

1161
00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:45,839
Speaker 1: Remind everybody where they can find more of you and

1162
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:46,280
Speaker 1: your work.

1163
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:49,799
Speaker 2: Awesome. Yeah, we'll check us out on the Sports Gambling Podcast.

1164
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 2: You can follow us on Twitter at Gambling Podcast or

1165
00:53:53,080 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 2: follow me at Sewan T. Green And yeah, we're putting

1166
00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 2: three podcasts out a week. We do a daily fantasy one,

1167
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:03,359
Speaker 2: a college and the NFL Picks one and yeah, so

1168
00:54:03,840 --> 00:54:06,279
Speaker 2: and tons of blogs and free picks and all that

1169
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 2: kind of stuff over at Sports Gaming podcast dot com.

1170
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:11,680
Speaker 1: Awesome. Thanks again for coming back, and I hope we

1171
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:13,319
Speaker 1: can do it at least one more time before the

1172
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:13,799
Speaker 1: season ends.

1173
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:16,479
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I would love to really enjoy it. Thanks man.

1174
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:19,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, thanks again to the sponsor of today's show, bet MGM.

1175
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 1: Remember to download the bet MGM Sports app and use

1176
00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:24,880
Speaker 1: the promo code Harris to get your risk free first

1177
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:27,760
Speaker 1: wager of up to five hundred dollars, and don't forget

1178
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 1: to rate and review the podcast, and send a screenshot

1179
00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,279
Speaker 1: of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com for

1180
00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:36,480
Speaker 1: your chance to win a signed Odell Beckham Junior Brown's helmet.

1181
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:38,400
Speaker 1: We'll be back later this week giving you some of

1182
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:40,840
Speaker 1: our best bets for week seven. I'll talk to you

1183
00:54:40,880 --> 00:55:04,280
Speaker 1: then