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Speaker 1: Good Saturday morning. Everybody.

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Speaker 2: Welcome into the Saturday morning edition of the Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perotz. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt here on Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 2: Always being brought to by bet MGM YouTube for the

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Speaker 2: video audio where we get your audio podcasts in the

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Speaker 2: offer ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty bucks

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Speaker 2: any event promo cod Juice one fifty at BETMGM betmgm

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Speaker 2: dot com. Promo code Juice one fifty ten bucks one

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty bucks in any event including college football.

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Speaker 1: Coming up here today.

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Speaker 2: All right, so Discord Bet will be had today eight

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Speaker 2: o'clock in the morning Pacific time eleven pm am Eastern time.

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Speaker 2: We will have the Discord Chat going on on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: You guys, what are we six and three now? I

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Speaker 2: think right, I don't know. My brain's so frieda after

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Speaker 2: everything going on. I ended my radio show yesterday and

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Speaker 2: just a lot of craziness, very crazy week. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: So Discord Channel Bet Conversation eight o'clock in the morning

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Speaker 2: Pacific time, eleven am Eastern time for the bet available

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Speaker 2: to you guys for a crowdsourcing. Bet we got it

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Speaker 2: right last week, right. You guys will correct me if

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Speaker 2: I'm wrong, but I think we got it right last week,

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Speaker 2: and we'll do that. Then we have the circa million

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Speaker 2: chat conversation one in four last week for the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice team, but we didn't talk it out. That was

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Speaker 2: because everybody was busy. So I hope everybody can be

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Speaker 2: there for this week because we didn't talk it out.

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Speaker 2: We had our worst week when we just went with

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Speaker 2: the consensus. So got to talk it out, Gotta have

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Speaker 2: some arguments, got to have conversations about what to play,

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Speaker 2: what not to play. So hopefully everybody can be available

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Speaker 2: for us coming up here for the Deli Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: discord chat that will happen at three o'clock Eastern time

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Speaker 2: noon Pacific time, coming up today on a Saturday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so mark those down in the discord channel betting pros

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Speaker 2: dot com slash chat to get in, or the link

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Speaker 2: is underneath me here on YouTube to get into the

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Speaker 2: discord channel. All right, So we went to three and

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Speaker 2: zero in the World Series. On side we were perfect.

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Speaker 2: Betting on which side, which team's gonna win the World Series.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to do tonight. I'm gonna leave

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Speaker 2: it out kind of hanging here. I don't know what

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Speaker 2: to do with it. We may come back with a

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Speaker 2: full unit or a half unit.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I probably won't play the total. Zak Grianky's going it's

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Speaker 2: minus one oh five on both sides. Zach Greenky is

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Speaker 2: going for the Astros. I lean Astros, but I don't know.

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Speaker 2: More on that later during the day on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to that coming up a little bit later on.

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Speaker 2: But over didn't hit. And then the experiment with the

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Speaker 2: Vegas Golden Knights. Eight consecutive games, all eight games for Vegas,

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Speaker 2: a goal has been scored in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 2: Bet that again. Keep betting that until it cashes. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be plus money. It was plus one seventy

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Speaker 2: plus one, I mean sorry, minus one seventy rather minus

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Speaker 2: one seventy in it cashed. Okay, So it's ridiculous for goals.

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Speaker 2: Eight games, eight goals in the first ten minutes for

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Speaker 2: the Vegas gold Knights.

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Speaker 1: They're up four to one. They blew it.

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Speaker 2: They want it in a shootout five to four against Anaheim.

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Speaker 2: But kind of a crazy thing to watch that for

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Speaker 2: the Vegas gold Knights, crazy trend for them, goals being

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Speaker 2: scored very quickly, any goal being scored very quickly.

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Speaker 1: So I would come back and bet that again.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be even more plus money probably watch plus

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Speaker 2: one sixty plus one seventy on the know. So we'll

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Speaker 2: just keep on betting. Somebody asked me, like, Matt, do

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Speaker 2: you often bet with trends like that or against trend?

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Speaker 1: Here's my philosophy on that.

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Speaker 2: If you've been in on the trend and the trend early,

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Speaker 2: like after two games, if we started betting goal in

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Speaker 2: the first ten minutes and we're on like the fourth

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Speaker 2: or fifth time, keep on betting it because until it

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Speaker 2: when it loses, it won't matter because you've been so

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Speaker 2: profitable on it.

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Speaker 1: Fading it.

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Speaker 2: If you're getting involved with it late, you fade it

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Speaker 2: until it doesn't hit, and it won't hit at some

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Speaker 2: point Okay, nine to oh rarely. I'm really unlikely it

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Speaker 2: goes nine and oh next time, So I think it

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Speaker 2: would be smart to come back and fade it next

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Speaker 2: time the gold.

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Speaker 1: Knights play, I to jump into that. I haven't seen

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Speaker 1: the schedule.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they played today, but I'm.

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Speaker 1: Not sure about that. Okay.

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Speaker 2: Sorry, I'm just watching the end of this Nevada game

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Speaker 2: because I laid nineteen points with Nevada personally, so hopefully

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Speaker 2: they're by twenty four right now, so hopefully they cash

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Speaker 2: that and I'll end a night on a wedding night.

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Speaker 1: So it's good. Okay.

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Speaker 2: So here's where I'm going today. I've got three bets

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Speaker 2: for you. I've got a bunch of personal plays going

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Speaker 2: on this day today in case you guys care. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I got a bunch of things I'll talk about a

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Speaker 2: little bit but personally, but let's talk about where I

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Speaker 2: am officially. Okay, three bets for you guys here for

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Speaker 2: college football, all for one unit.

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Speaker 1: Let's get into it here.

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Speaker 2: Let's get into the Michigan Michigan State game, the first

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Speaker 2: game of the day. Okay, here we are with two

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Speaker 2: arch rivals. Total is fifty one. We've got a team

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Speaker 2: in Michigan three and four to the over, Michigan State

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Speaker 2: three and four to the over. Okay, last two games

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Speaker 2: Michigan State have gone under. Last one for Michigan went

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Speaker 2: under fifty one and a half against Northwestern.

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Speaker 1: They won thirty three.

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Speaker 2: Seven game went under against Nebraska, they won thirty two

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Speaker 2: to twenty nine. The game went over fifty and a half.

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Speaker 2: Before that, against Wisconsin forty three and a half. They

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Speaker 2: scored thirty eight points, nearly got to the total of

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Speaker 2: themselves in that game over by eleven and a half

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Speaker 2: points for Michigan State against.

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Speaker 1: Indiana twenty to fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Game goes under by thirteen and a half points, forty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half against Rutgers, game goes under by

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Speaker 2: six points, thirty one thirteen. The final of a total

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Speaker 2: of fifty totals fifty one. Fox Sports is going to

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Speaker 2: be there. It is the big game, Big noon kickoff

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Speaker 2: Eastern time, nine am Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: Right, how do we have a total of fifty one? Like?

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Speaker 2: What?

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Speaker 1: This is a big ten game?

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Speaker 2: Iowa Wisconsin's total is thirty six and a half. These

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Speaker 2: are two running football teams. These two teams want to

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Speaker 2: run the football. I don't understand this, okay. I get

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Speaker 2: it that the offenses are ravaging thirty seven and thirty

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Speaker 2: three points per game, okay, But the defenses are ravaging

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Speaker 2: fourteen point three and nineteen point five yards per play,

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Speaker 2: four point six and four point eight yards per rush,

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Speaker 2: three point two and three point five. These are all

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Speaker 2: top fifty stats here for Michigan and Michigan State. Okay,

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Speaker 2: defensively passwhy six point two fourteenth best, six point three

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Speaker 2: eighteenth best?

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Speaker 1: Like, what are we doing here? This is a Big

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Speaker 1: ten game? Fifty one points.

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Speaker 2: We're going under one unit under Michigan Michigan State. Run

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Speaker 2: the football, use your power, play keep away, burn the clock,

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Speaker 2: play Big ten football twenty three to twenty type of

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Speaker 2: game here. I'm gonna predict under fifty one for Michigan

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Speaker 2: Michigan State here for one full unit. On the other side,

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Speaker 2: we're going Texas and Baylor. Baylor five and two to

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Speaker 2: the over, Texas four and.

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Speaker 1: Three to the over all.

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Speaker 2: Right, we've got a BYU game for Baylor thirty eight

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Speaker 2: twenty four went over by nine and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Total was fifteen and a half. West Virginia forty five. Well,

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Speaker 2: they scored forty five themselves forty five. Twenty game goes

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Speaker 2: over by twenty points Oklahoma State. That game was twenty

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Speaker 2: four fourteen. That was weird, but that snapped a streak

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Speaker 2: of three straight games where the game it went over

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Speaker 2: with fifty three and.

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Speaker 1: A half forty eight and a half and forty six

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Going over by fourteen three and a half in nineteen

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Speaker 2: and a half for Baylor. Last game against Oklahoma State

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Speaker 2: for Texas, same thing. Lower scoring game than we thought,

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Speaker 2: but more to do with Oklahoma State than Texas. Thirty

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Speaker 2: two to twenty four the win for Oklahoma State, lost

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Speaker 2: for Texas. Game went under by five points before that

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Speaker 2: against Oklahoma fifty five forty eight. The lost to Oklahoma,

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Speaker 2: but it goes over by thirty seven and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Against TCU it stayed under by six and a half points,

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Speaker 2: but that snapped a streak of fifty seven and a

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Speaker 2: half fifty one and a half in sixty three that

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Speaker 2: all went over, including Texas Tech what over by forty

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Speaker 2: two points, rights over by six and a half points,

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Speaker 2: and three point five points going over for the Arkansas

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Speaker 2: game for Texas and Baylor. Okay, I'm going to be

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Speaker 2: personally on Texas money line. Okay, I'm not gonna take

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Speaker 2: the plus two and a half. I'm gonna take Texas

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Speaker 2: and be Robinson to run the ball like crazy, big

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Speaker 2: plays and to win this game outright. But the official

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Speaker 2: play for one unit is I'm going Texas and Baylor over.

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Speaker 2: We're going over sixty one points for Texas and Baylor

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Speaker 2: over sixty one as I think both these teams are

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Speaker 2: gonna move the football.

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Speaker 1: Texas defense is not good.

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Speaker 2: Six point one yards per play that's one hundred and

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Speaker 2: first in college football. Five point two yards per rush

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Speaker 2: that's one hundred and twelfth in college football. Seven point

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Speaker 2: four yards per pass play that's seventieth in college football.

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Speaker 2: Texas is not good man, But offensively, Texas can move

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Speaker 2: the ball. Six point seven yards per play that's tenth

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Speaker 2: best in the country. Five point six yards per rush

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Speaker 2: that's eighth best in the country. Nine yards per pass

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Speaker 2: play that's fourteenth best in the country.

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Speaker 1: Texas can move the ball.

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Speaker 2: Baylor's defense is okay, middle of the pack, decent defense,

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Speaker 2: not outstanding. Texas can move the ball on him. Texas

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Speaker 2: can throw the ball at him. Texas can run the

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Speaker 2: ball on him, and Baylor will.

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Speaker 1: Do the same.

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Speaker 2: We're going over sixty one Texas and Baylor for one

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Speaker 2: unit for one for official play.

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Speaker 1: I am on Texas money line.

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Speaker 2: However, that is also going to be an ad for

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Speaker 2: Texas on the money line. And then one more play

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Speaker 2: to jump in here, and this may be a little

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Speaker 2: bit controversial, but bo Nix's career at Jordenhair Stadium twenty touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: two interceptions, a sixty two point five career past percentage,

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Speaker 2: a guy who has run the ball much better. He's

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Speaker 2: got nine touchdowns at home versus seven touchdowns on the road.

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Speaker 2: He throws eleven picks on the road to two at home,

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Speaker 2: just twelve touchdowns on the road to twenty at home

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Speaker 2: in a completion percentage of fifty six point two on

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Speaker 2: the road to sixty two point five. Okay, here we

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Speaker 2: are with ole Miss coming in line opened at one,

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Speaker 2: was bet up to three where it has stopped and stayed.

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss is coming to Jorden Hare off of a

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Speaker 2: hallatious schedule at Alabama home for Arkansas, at Tennessee home

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Speaker 2: for LSU, and at Auburn those five games. This is

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Speaker 2: the last game here for ole Miss. Ole Miss is

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Speaker 2: one in seven straight up at Jorden Hare since two

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Speaker 2: thousand and four. They have covered consistently, however, being there

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Speaker 2: at Jordenhair Stadium. But the problem is Auburn's coming off

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Speaker 2: of bye and Auburn gets a chance to really look back,

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Speaker 2: reassess as to where they are, and I don't like

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Speaker 2: this offense.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, I don't like this defense at all. For ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: I think they're tired.

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Speaker 2: I think Look, Auburn owns the all time series thirty

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Speaker 2: four and ten all time. They've won the last five

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Speaker 2: meetings here the home team that was zero and seven

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Speaker 2: against the spread in this series. The last time Auburn

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Speaker 2: lost to ole Miss at home was back in twenty fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Last year they won thirty five twenty eight on the road.

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Speaker 2: Back in twenty nineteen, they won at Jorden Hair Stadium

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Speaker 2: twenty to fourteen. Line was nineteen, so ole Miss covered.

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Speaker 2: But this is a small number, a small line. I

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Speaker 2: love Matt Carrel as much as everybody else, but I

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Speaker 2: just think ole Miss is tired. They've played so many games,

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Speaker 2: so many big games in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: Auburn's rested. Auburns have had a bye week.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a big deal here in this week

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Speaker 2: to have the chance to kind of get back, new

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Speaker 2: head coach, figure out what to do, how to attack

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Speaker 2: this ole Miss offense. Total sixty six and a half.

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Speaker 2: Because it's ole Miss, I would lean towards the under

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Speaker 2: in this game. I think Tank Bidsby and bo Nicks

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Speaker 2: gimme Auburn lay in three Auburn minus three against Ole

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Speaker 2: Miss for one full unit.

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Speaker 1: All right, so.

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Speaker 2: Three plays for us officially here on a Saturday. We've

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Speaker 2: got the Discord bet for a half a unit and

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Speaker 2: a baseball bet for a half a unit, all coming

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Speaker 2: up here today that I will get involved with here

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Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice podcast. All right, so I will

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Speaker 2: talk to you coming up for the Discord Channel conversation

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Speaker 2: at eight am Pacific eleven am Eastern, and we'll do that,

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Speaker 2: and then later in the Discord Channel as we get

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Speaker 2: towards the closer to the game, I'll give you a

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Speaker 2: baseball bet right now. I lean Astros, but man Zach Grenkio,

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Speaker 2: I don't know. Maybe it's Astros, maybe it's Braves first

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Speaker 2: five that I'll get involved with.

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Speaker 1: I don't know yet.

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Speaker 2: But we will have a baseball bet coming up for

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Speaker 2: the World Series, for Game four of the World Series

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Speaker 2: later on today. But that's after we do the Discord

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Speaker 2: bet and we get the college football bets going here

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Speaker 2: as well. If you're curious about my other plays, I

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Speaker 2: will be. I'm gonna watch the Georgia game if this

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Speaker 2: number goes back above fourteen at fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: I will take Florida at fourteen and a half, but

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Speaker 2: right now I would lean towards Georgia and taking Georgia

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Speaker 2: when I was fourteen.

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of in between on that.

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Speaker 2: And then I am very close to taking the over

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Speaker 2: for Notre Dame and North Carolina at sixty two and

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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 1: I think the over is the play that game.

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Speaker 2: I also think the North Carolina might hang around at

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Speaker 2: plus three and a half, I think North Carolina might

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Speaker 2: be around as well. I think look out for Sam

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Speaker 2: Howell coming in here. It's just I don't think Carolina

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Speaker 2: can stop anybody, and I don't think Notre Dame is

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Speaker 2: gonna get stopped at all. And I think North Dame

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Speaker 2: is gonna have a tough time without Kyle Hamilton playing.

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Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see a big passing attack for

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. So over sixty two and a half, I'm

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Speaker 2: on that. Personally, I'm on Texas over. I'm on Texas

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Speaker 2: money line.

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Speaker 1: But the three.

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Speaker 2: Official plays here for me under fifty and a half, sorry,

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Speaker 2: under fifty one, excuse me. Under fifty one for Michigan

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, over sixty one for Texas and Baylor and

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Speaker 2: Auburn minus three for three units three bets here for

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Speaker 2: college football Saturday. Talk to you for the discord chat

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Speaker 2: conversation later on today. It's the Daily Juice podcast every

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Speaker 2: morning right here in Betting pros dot com.

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Speaker 1: I was being brought to you. I bet MGM