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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and welcome to Fadeville. If you

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Speaker 2: have not been fading me, you should be fading me.

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Speaker 2: If you're not, you should be doing exactly what I

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Speaker 2: did last night, which is you got a live bet

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Speaker 2: back to back nights.

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Speaker 1: It is.

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Speaker 2: Sports gambling is a mental test. That's all I have

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Speaker 2: to say about what happened last night the Richmond game.

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Speaker 2: Thank god there's live betting. So right around the three

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Speaker 2: minute mark, Richmond's up by about three points. They're three

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Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. I went ahead and bet

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Speaker 2: we had laid two and a half. I tried to

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Speaker 2: create my own middle, thinking maybe Richmond would win by

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Speaker 2: three and you or I would wind up, you know

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Speaker 2: somehow helping us out. Well, I bet plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half. It didn't middle, but it covered the bet.

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Speaker 2: So I went two and two last night. Officially we

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Speaker 2: wind up going one and two. But I'm on the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel all the time, and I said, hey, if

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Speaker 2: you can get out of this bet three and a

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Speaker 2: half because I did not want another melt, and it

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Speaker 2: was another melt. So the hard rock bet now drops

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Speaker 2: to twelve and nine. We go down one point three units.

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Speaker 2: We just continue this slide from Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: It's just been this really ridiculous run. So you should

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Speaker 2: be fading my place, like one hundred percent. You should

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Speaker 2: be fading my place until further notice, until we come

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Speaker 2: out of this. And we will come out of it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it'll happen, but we'll get on a hot streak. But

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Speaker 2: right now we've started off twenty twenty six pretty cold,

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Speaker 2: down for the month, down for the year, obviously because

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Speaker 2: it's the first month of the year. But look, we're

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Speaker 2: here every day. We are always transparent. I will sit here,

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Speaker 2: I will take the heat, I'll take the hat, I

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Speaker 2: get the DMS. Whatever you guys want to write in

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Speaker 2: the comments section, I'm here to take it. I understand

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Speaker 2: this is part of the game. This is part of

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Speaker 2: the deal. And you know, when the picks are bad,

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Speaker 2: the picts are bad, and the pics have been bad

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Speaker 2: here for a couple of weeks now, and I am

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Speaker 2: today going to try to go back to some of

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Speaker 2: my basics. I think with blocking and tackling. It's kind

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Speaker 2: of how I mentally get past this is like, just

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Speaker 2: get back to what you're used to doing, what you've

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Speaker 2: done in the past. I hit a two leg money

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Speaker 2: line parlay last night the Creighton Blue Jays. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is how crazy the jay should have lost that game.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you watched it or not, but

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Speaker 2: they were laying seven points. I was way too heavy

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Speaker 2: against Xavier. They need a miracle at the end of

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Speaker 2: that game to get a bucket to win by one.

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Speaker 2: And I was just like, this is just the way

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Speaker 2: things are right now, Like the margins are so narrow

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Speaker 2: or so thin for the games I'm betting that.

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Speaker 1: You know, we're talking about coin flips.

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Speaker 2: So I do have a two leg moneyline college basketball

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Speaker 2: parlay to give you guys that I like, because I

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Speaker 2: don't want only the points I'd like on both sides.

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Speaker 2: There are games that may not be on your easily

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Speaker 2: found television, but we're going to get into some America

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Speaker 2: East basketball here tonight.

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Speaker 1: For college basketball.

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Speaker 2: I have an NBA play and I have an NHL

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Speaker 2: played to give you guys coming up for tonight. Before

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Speaker 2: we do that. Let me tell about our friends at

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Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet. If you're in Florida, you guys know

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Speaker 2: you guys. They are the only sportsbook that's legal in

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Speaker 2: the state of Florida, but they are also the book

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Speaker 2: of record.

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Speaker 1: In the state of Florida.

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Speaker 2: There is a ton going on at hard rock Bet

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Speaker 2: at the moment because of what's happening on Sunday. We're

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Speaker 2: going to see two teams punching their tickets to the

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Speaker 3: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,

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Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms of conditions apply.

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Speaker 3: Concerned about gambling in Florida call one eight three three

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Speaker 3: play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you know

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Speaker 3: as a gambling problem wants help, called one eight hundred

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Speaker 3: and nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler.

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Speaker 3: In Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about two games in the Murica.

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Speaker 2: East Vermont is playing at UMass Lowell. Now I've told

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Speaker 2: the story before, but my dad lives in Burlington.

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Speaker 1: Are around there.

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Speaker 2: I signed U mass Lowell to the radio station that

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Speaker 2: I was running in Manchester in Nashville and New Hampshire

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Speaker 2: when they went D one. The first radio station to

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Speaker 2: ever carry UMass Lowell Athletics for men's basketball and Pat

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Speaker 2: Dukett's team was the radio station that I was running.

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Speaker 2: Now that was a while ago. Pat Duket's been there

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Speaker 2: for quite a long time. But U mass Lowell is

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Speaker 2: off to a really rough start this year, and Vermont

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Speaker 2: has won seven consecutive games up against UMass Lowell, including

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Speaker 2: last year's America East Championship game. There's just a lot.

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Speaker 2: The number opened at three and a half. It's been

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Speaker 2: bet to four and a half. I'm not in love

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Speaker 2: with laying that many points. But I'm also not taking

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Speaker 2: UMass Lowell here because I don't think you Mass Lowell

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Speaker 2: is very good this year.

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Speaker 1: The numbers are pretty bad. Like if you look at.

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Speaker 2: Kenpom, Kenpom has it as a three point win for Vermont,

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Speaker 2: and they've played some road games this year, and they

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Speaker 2: haven't been great with some of their road games this year.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just not really interested in laying the points here.

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Speaker 2: But I like Vermont to win the game. So I

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Speaker 2: gotta find a dance partner for who I'm gonna bet

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Speaker 2: with Vermont, And I want to go and look at Albany.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, look at UMBC. I was looking at Albany, But

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Speaker 1: look at.

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Speaker 2: UMBC, who's at home against njiit New Jersey Institute of Technology.

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Speaker 2: So Njiit is nine to eleven on the year. Overall,

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Speaker 2: they're four and eight straight up. UMBC has won six

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Speaker 2: of their eight games at home, the three and one

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Speaker 2: in conference, ten and seven overall. If you look at

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Speaker 2: it from a point spread perspective, New Jersey NJIT has

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Speaker 2: been pretty decent. Okay, they've been seven and five ats,

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Speaker 2: while UMBC has only been one in five. So there's

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a concern there when you start

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Speaker 2: looking at where we are here. But the number UNBC

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Speaker 2: is laying eight and a half points in this game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they've been hot. They beat Bingington by eight points. They

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Speaker 2: did lose to Bryant on the road, but they beat

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Speaker 2: un h they beat Maine, they beat Coppin State, they

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Speaker 2: lost by twenty five to South Florida, and they've played

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Speaker 2: a pretty good schedule. I mean, UNBC has played some

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Speaker 2: decent teams. They played Georgetown, they lost badly. They played Bucknell,

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Speaker 2: they beat them. They lost by nine to Georgetown, they

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Speaker 2: played them tough. Nngit has been you know. They beat

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Speaker 2: UMass Lowell by nine, they beat lost to Maine by four,

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Speaker 2: they beat New Hampshire by four, they beat Bingington by eight,

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Speaker 2: Briant by twenty four. But they're on the road here

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Speaker 2: where they haven't been great, and they're pretty big dogs.

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Speaker 2: I'm not interested in laying the eight and a half

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Speaker 2: points here with UMBC. So we're gonna go moneyline, money line,

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Speaker 2: money line, Vermont money line UMBC here in America East action,

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Speaker 2: and that number comes out to minus one sixteen. As

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Speaker 2: I said, blocking and tackling, Okay, two leg moneyline parlay

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Speaker 2: should probably play pay us plus money, but lay and

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Speaker 2: juice is never really all that intelligent.

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Speaker 1: But I just want wins, okay.

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Speaker 2: I'm just trying to get two basketball games, So trying

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Speaker 2: to get two wins, just trying to see the ball

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Speaker 2: go through the hoop on this, I'm just trying to

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Speaker 2: get a layup, okay. So you know, I understand that

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Speaker 2: makes it more difficult. Whenever you add a leg, you

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Speaker 2: make it more difficult for yourself. But I'm very confident

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Speaker 2: that Vermont's going to beat you mass Lowell tonight. I

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Speaker 2: just don't think they're going to cover. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to be sweating out another melt like I just watched

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Speaker 2: the last two nights, and I do think that UNBC

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Speaker 2: at home is a good play. They're laying eight and

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Speaker 2: a half, just go ahead and win the game outright.

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Speaker 2: So that is a two leg money line parlay at

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Speaker 2: minus one sixteen. Hard Rock Bet had that last night,

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Speaker 2: so you guys can go and find your own price.

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Speaker 2: Shop around, get the best price on that. But I

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Speaker 2: do think we're gonna see two wins there, one for

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Speaker 2: Vermont and one for UMBC on the money line tonight

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Speaker 2: in college basketball at minus one sixteen. Now let's go

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Speaker 2: to the NBA. Let's talk about Orlando, a team that

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Speaker 2: I have liked a lot this season. Okay, I've been

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Speaker 2: Hopefully we're going to wind up getting ourselves into a

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Speaker 2: win with Orlando for their win total, we're on the over.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully they start to continue to play well like they have.

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Speaker 2: They got off to kind of a rough start. They

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Speaker 2: are playing at home against Charlotte. Now, we were on

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Speaker 2: the Lonzo Ball prop last night, and Lonzo Ball could

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Speaker 2: not hit the broadset of a barn last night. The

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Speaker 2: Bobcats only scored the Hornets only scored eighty seven points

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Speaker 2: last night. Okay, so that was against Cleveland ninety four

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Speaker 2: eighty seven. The game went under by fifty six and

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Speaker 2: a half points last night, and they're on a back

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Speaker 2: to back. Do we think we're gonna get a better

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Speaker 2: shooting performance out of Charlotte? Did they get all the

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Speaker 2: bad shots because Ball could not do anything. We're on

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Speaker 2: points and assists. The over for Ball, he was awful,

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Speaker 2: like just awful. His brother didn't play, but he was awful.

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Speaker 2: So we need to see, you know, a defensive effort

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Speaker 2: here by Orlando at home, they're ten and nine to

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Speaker 2: the under. Charlotte on the road is thirteen and eleven

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Speaker 2: to the under. The last three game from the Magic

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Speaker 2: have all gone over, but two of those games were

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Speaker 2: overseas against Memphis, and then the last home game was

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Speaker 2: against New Orleans. It was two thirty six and a half.

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Speaker 2: The game went over by nine and a half points.

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Speaker 2: But could we have tired legs here for the Magic

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Speaker 2: coming back from the two games slate against Memphis overseas,

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Speaker 2: Both those games went over by five and a half,

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Speaker 2: by one and a half, so slightly over, and the

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Speaker 2: total was two twenty seven and a half and two

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Speaker 2: twenty nine and a half. We're looking at a total

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Speaker 2: about the same at about two twenty nine and a

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Speaker 2: half here tonight. Two thirty seven and a half under

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Speaker 2: for Charlotte in Cleveland, two twenty six and a half

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Speaker 2: for Denver.

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Speaker 1: On the road.

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Speaker 2: That game went under the last two games for Charlotte

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Speaker 2: have gone under by twenty nine and a half points

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Speaker 2: and fifty six and a half points. Let's just keep

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Speaker 2: this train rolling here in Charlotte not being able to

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Speaker 2: hit the broadside of the barn. Orlando at home, Hopefully

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Speaker 2: they get into a lockdown defensive situation. They continue, hopefully

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Speaker 2: to play well defensively. They are a defensive first type

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Speaker 2: basketball team. They are sixteen and thirteen to the under

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Speaker 2: against the East. Charlotte is nineteen and eleven to the

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Speaker 2: under against the East. Let's go under to twenty nine

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Speaker 2: and a half for Charlotte and Orlando tonight in the

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Speaker 2: NBA and then finally in hockey, Detroit and Minnesota. So

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Speaker 2: you guys know, I like to play trends, and there's

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Speaker 2: a big trend here for you know, what's going on

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Speaker 2: with both these hockey teams. Both these teams, but Minnesota

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Speaker 2: is the one that you really can look at in

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Speaker 2: terms of what they've been doing. Minnesota is seven and

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Speaker 2: three to a first period over over their last ten games.

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Speaker 2: Minnesota is well, they haven't been getting goals a lot.

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Speaker 2: They're six and four to the goal in the first

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Speaker 2: ten minutes, but they're nine and one to an over

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Speaker 2: over their last ten games, Like, we've just seen a

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Speaker 2: lot of goals being scored here, nine and one to

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Speaker 2: the over. We've seen five and a half, six is

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Speaker 2: and six and a halfs last game against Montreal four

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Speaker 2: to three time, before that against Buffalo six to three.

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Speaker 2: Time before that against Buffalo five to four. As this

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Speaker 2: road trip wrapped, three game road trip all went over.

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Speaker 2: Their last three home games six two, five to two,

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Speaker 2: four to three, all going over. So we've seen when

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Speaker 2: it's five and a half, we get six goals, when

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Speaker 2: it's six and a half, we get seven or eight goals.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: On the flip side, for Detroit, they're five to four

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Speaker 2: and one to the under. Their last game against Toronto

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Speaker 2: two to one, but before that was a four to

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Speaker 2: three game against Ottawa and a four to two game

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Speaker 2: against San Jose. So two of the last three games

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Speaker 2: have gone over for Detroit. But given the trend from

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Speaker 2: Minnesota and the fact that we have a six in

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Speaker 2: the market, there are some they've already gone to six

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Speaker 2: and a half, but that sixth number I like a

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Speaker 2: lot here for a chance to maybe get a push

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Speaker 2: on this with Detroit on the road. Minnesota has just

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Speaker 2: been one of these teams and just they give up

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Speaker 2: a lot of goals and they score a lot of goals,

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Speaker 2: and I like the six. There's a good push potential

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Speaker 2: there with the six. Hopefully we get seven goals, but

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Speaker 2: if not, we can get a push out of it.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go in and I'm going to jump

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Speaker 1: in and.

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Speaker 2: Bet the over six for Detroit in Minnesota over six

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Speaker 2: goals at minus one fifteen. We don't know about the

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Speaker 2: goaltenders yet, but when you have this many games, ten

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Speaker 2: games plus, it doesn't really matter who's in net for

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Speaker 2: Minnesota or for Detroit for that matter. Hopefully we're going

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Speaker 2: to see goals no matter who they put in net

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Speaker 2: over six. Like I said, good push potential there for this.

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Speaker 2: So we're going over six for at MIS one fifteen.

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Speaker 2: So we are going with plays Vermont in UNBC money

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Speaker 2: line tonight, Detroit in Minnesota at the two lag Moneay

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Speaker 2: nine parlay at MIS one sixteen, Detroit Minnesota over six

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Speaker 2: in Charlotte and Orlando under two twenty.

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Speaker 1: Nine and a half in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: If you got want to hear some more information about

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Speaker 2: what the pros are betting for the games on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: I will have Jeff Sherman from The Super Book on

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Speaker 2: with me for the Bostonian Versus of the Book on Thursday,

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Speaker 2: and then on Friday I will have Adam Bijorn from

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Speaker 2: Bet Chris Arizona to come on in. So back to

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Speaker 2: back book makers on the Bostonian Versus of the Book

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Speaker 2: Thursday and Friday. We go live at one pm Eastern

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Speaker 2: Time on the BBB YouTube channel at Boston Versus the

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Speaker 2: Book with an audio podcast that immediately follows. So if

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Speaker 2: you like to find out where the professionals are betting,

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Speaker 2: where the money is heading, what the number is going

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Speaker 2: to do as we head towards kickoff for the AFC

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Speaker 2: and NFC Championship Games. Back to back shows with expert

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Speaker 2: bookmakers on the program with me Jeff Sherman from the

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Speaker 2: Super Book here in Vegas, and then Adam Bijorn on

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Speaker 2: Friday for Bet Chris Arizona. That's all coming up on

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Speaker 2: the Bostonian Versus the Book on Thursday and on Friday

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Speaker 2: at Boston Versus the Book on X as well.

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Speaker 1: Check it out.

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Speaker 2: Mine's Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 2: my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys,

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Speaker 2: get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice