Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is Leading
Speaker 1: Off Live, brought to you by that three six five
Speaker 1: That five bucks get one hundred and fiftyen bonus bets
Speaker 1: when use the promo code leading Off. It's me Joey
Speaker 1: p And look everybody, it's the Welsh and he seems
Speaker 1: to be healthy post water Park. I don't know, man,
Speaker 1: I gotta say, should I give you the kazoo for
Speaker 1: the triumphant return of the Welsh?
Speaker 2: Yeah? Deserve at kazoo please.
Speaker 1: I'm sure everybody in the audio is gonna love that.
Speaker 1: That's not gonna make everybody miserable. Welsh's good to see you, buddy.
Speaker 1: We missed you. Bogman holding down the fort terrific job
Speaker 1: by Bogs and uh, I'm happy to see you here
Speaker 1: in the show without some sort of I don't know,
Speaker 1: antihistamine potentially running through the body.
Speaker 2: I don't know, there's some growth coming out of my
Speaker 2: face or my ear or something like that from being
Speaker 2: around all those sicky people, the mud people out there. Yes, yeah,
Speaker 2: I enjoyed a couple of days off, which, by the way,
Speaker 2: just want to remember for everybody as a parent, vacations
Speaker 2: are not vacations for adults. They're vacations for their children.
Speaker 1: Trips. We always am taking my children on a trip. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm like a manager comic. When people are bringing me cocktails,
Speaker 1: that's vacation on a beach somewhere.
Speaker 2: There's a little bit of that. But I watched the
Speaker 2: you are ignoring me by the way I was talking
Speaker 2: in the chat on Tuesday, and I could not get
Speaker 2: your attention. But I watched the whole show. You did great,
Speaker 2: didn't watch a second one.
Speaker 1: Why did you actually be on vacation? I stop working, No.
Speaker 2: No, but I missed you all. I love you all.
Speaker 2: I'm glad to be back, and I missed all the
Speaker 2: exciting stuff. I missed all the call ups and Joe
Speaker 2: Joe and I literally had a text thread yet I
Speaker 2: don't know if you mentioned it. Yesterday on the show,
Speaker 2: we had this whole text thread about Trout and I
Speaker 2: literally was like, I'm missing this show, like I want
Speaker 2: to have the We're.
Speaker 1: Not gonna know all the ones you miss, right, like
Speaker 1: the biggest ones, and look, I'm just we could start there,
Speaker 1: so let's do that. Because you didn't get your two cents,
Speaker 1: and I know you were somebody that was on the
Speaker 1: Trout bandwagon, so Trout obviously going to be out for
Speaker 1: an extended period of time. We're still waiting for the
Speaker 1: exact amount of time here with Mike Trout. But well,
Speaker 1: you know, it's amazing. I'm so happy that some of
Speaker 1: our listeners, and one of them in particular, made the
Speaker 1: exact trade somehow pulled that off in there leave. That
Speaker 1: warmed the cockles of my heart, which are dark and
Speaker 1: black as everybody knows for the most part. But that
Speaker 1: made me so happy because we were ahead of the curve.
Speaker 1: The people who are here on the show are head
Speaker 1: of the curve with it. And if you pulled off Julio,
Speaker 1: who by the way, went what three for five yesterday?
Speaker 1: Like that, Like you're loving life right now and you
Speaker 1: dodged a bullet. But I guess now the bigger question
Speaker 1: I'm going to post to you in keeper leagues and
Speaker 1: dynasty leagues, where does this leave Mike Trout here? Is
Speaker 1: this like are you trying to get him back healthy
Speaker 1: and then maybe later in the summer trade him for
Speaker 1: some younger prospects and just get out of the business
Speaker 1: all together?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, what can you do? What could you?
Speaker 1: Wait? Could you get a man Zardo and a picture,
Speaker 1: a young picture for.
Speaker 2: Him right now? And what are you talking in the
Speaker 2: dynasts I'm.
Speaker 1: Saying in August like you're out of it, Trout to Albatross?
Speaker 1: Can you can you make a Manzarto plus trade for Trout?
Speaker 1: Is that a value? Like what's the the dynasty trade
Speaker 1: value chart on Fantasy for you?
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good question, Manzardo. We're gonna talk about
Speaker 2: in a little bit. Remember today is prospect, prospect and
Speaker 2: win the Welsh later today we're gonna be doing all that.
Speaker 2: So yeah, I suppose that could be a possibility. But
Speaker 2: the problem is is the the blinder thing that happened.
Speaker 2: So you and I talked extent about this because at
Speaker 2: the end of the day, Scott Pianowski, who was on
Speaker 2: Fantasy Fest, he was right. I pushed back a little
Speaker 2: bit because right, because because Scott was a little like
Speaker 2: his talent, he was dismissive of the talent, where I
Speaker 2: was like, that's still there. So I was right, But
Speaker 2: he was one hundred percent right about you know, the
Speaker 2: cost to where you get and the injury stuff. And
Speaker 2: it happened. Of course it happened again. So but here's
Speaker 2: the problem. Every time it's like chipping away your chip.
Speaker 2: Nobody wants to give up on Trout. It's like a
Speaker 2: bridge that's holding everything and we're slowly chipping away every
Speaker 2: time this happens. I think coming into this year in Dynasty,
Speaker 2: he was already in some places near to outside the
Speaker 2: top one hundred. For me, he was around like fifty
Speaker 2: to sixty. So from a Dynasty perspective, after this knee surgery,
Speaker 2: I think he's gonna go back down to seventy five, eighty,
Speaker 2: maybe ninety. But if anybody's competing, I don't know if
Speaker 2: anybody really wants to pay the cost. Dare I say
Speaker 2: it's probably gonna be outside the top one hundred. So
Speaker 2: you have the constant injuries versus what really looks good
Speaker 2: from a talent perspective, if you compare it to Gihan
Speaker 2: Carlo Stanton, it looks like one of the worst players
Speaker 2: in baseball. By the way, I don't know how much
Speaker 2: you watch him anymore. He's so bad and he's been
Speaker 2: riddled with injuries. It's just done. He's not worth anything.
Speaker 2: Trout was on this incredible tear with the injury, and
Speaker 2: it just creates this bad situation. I argued that the
Speaker 2: cost of what you were paying in the preseason from
Speaker 2: a redraft perspective actually still made sense. And I was
Speaker 2: right for one month and then it crashed down for
Speaker 2: all the reasons that people said, you don't even bother
Speaker 2: with it.
Speaker 1: Dare I say not only were we are more than
Speaker 1: right because the stolen bases came back. And that was
Speaker 1: Pianowski's point, which was a good one, which is like, look,
Speaker 1: the trend line is showing you he's not running anymore now.
Speaker 1: I don't know if the running puts stress on the
Speaker 1: knees now, and that was part of the reason why
Speaker 1: we had this happen. I think that's a fair question
Speaker 1: to ask. I do too, But to your point, I
Speaker 1: would say, you take what you can get, and the
Speaker 1: best time might be have assignment. Like when he's on
Speaker 1: that where you have assignment, everything is glorious and everything
Speaker 1: is like he's healthy, he's feeling good, he's gonna be back,
Speaker 1: he's never felt better, all that stuff, and you just
Speaker 1: get out of the business. By the way, some hilarious
Speaker 1: stuff going on the chat. We will get Tom an Arrow.
Speaker 1: Today's prospecting with a Welsh It's Thursday. But Michael and
Speaker 1: Impo just nailed it. Vacation is just yelling at your
Speaker 1: kids away from the normal home and local places you
Speaker 1: yell at them. That is that is the quintessential definition.
Speaker 2: That's fan pretty much, that's pretty inde. They're just filled
Speaker 2: with candy and sugar.
Speaker 1: Good starts yesterday for a lot of starting pictures. Yamamoto
Speaker 1: six shot editings five k's again he folks short of
Speaker 1: my five and a half yesterday's miserable again. I'm just miserable,
Speaker 1: betting I had that one great day and I've been
Speaker 1: miserable bookending both of them, and I am so miserable.
Speaker 1: That's the only word. Justin Verlander two runs out, seven innings.
Speaker 1: Weird start for him, but again, you know seven innings,
Speaker 1: you'll take the innings. Shota emon Aga Welsh my rookie
Speaker 1: shares in Rookie of the Year for the National League
Speaker 1: on Chota looked pretty good. Seven strikeouts, shut out the
Speaker 1: Mets there for that period of time. The other side, Boutteau,
Speaker 1: who I saw your razor giving me crap for getting
Speaker 1: off the Bouteau train. After all that, I went the
Speaker 1: under on the five and a half. Gays yesterday Welsh
Speaker 1: because I thought five and a half, that's a good number.
Speaker 1: I like the plus money, I'm gonna take it. Of
Speaker 1: course he got six right, just to troll me. And
Speaker 1: then Chris Sale nine strikeouts Welsh. Throughout the weekend we
Speaker 1: talked about this, and even the last couple of days.
Speaker 1: These strikeout totals have been absurd for some of these
Speaker 1: starting pitchers lately. So of all those good starts yesterday,
Speaker 1: which one stands out the most to you?
Speaker 2: Probably point out Shota. We can talk about him. I
Speaker 2: was telling you this too. By the way, it was
Speaker 2: hell because where I was at the Great Wolf was
Speaker 2: technically on the edge of an Indian reservation. It's legal
Speaker 2: to bet here in Arizona, but I couldn't bet at
Speaker 2: the place I was vacationing at.
Speaker 1: It was brutal.
Speaker 2: It kept being like, nope, you're on reservation land. So
Speaker 2: I literally got up and I drove like a mile
Speaker 2: to put some drove away from the place on the way.
Speaker 2: I had a perfect day yesterday, and I had bet
Speaker 2: on shouta over strikeouts in a little parlay with the
Speaker 2: under of Jordan Montgomery. That was good. And I had
Speaker 2: bet a live Braves money line at minus one and
Speaker 2: a half, which ended up cashing, But I watched a
Speaker 2: decent amount since I had bet on Shota. And the
Speaker 2: continuously interesting thing about him is when you look at
Speaker 2: expected stats, he has been one of those players that
Speaker 2: everybody's like, hey, regression is going to happen. Regression is
Speaker 2: going to happen. But you know what's happening.
Speaker 1: From Mike here in the chat time to sell on
Speaker 1: in Monaga, I say, no, I also thought him at
Speaker 1: such a value, Look, he's gonna regress. He's not gonna
Speaker 1: have a one RA Like, that's not gonna happen. But
Speaker 1: did you get a really good starting pitcher at a
Speaker 1: really good discount in your draft? Yeah, And I don't
Speaker 1: know what you'd get for him that would make a
Speaker 1: smart return.
Speaker 2: I'd be open to it because, like before, his regression
Speaker 2: numbers looked a little bit more extreme. But this is
Speaker 2: the funny thing that's happening. As he's still kind of
Speaker 2: dominating and adjusting, his expected numbers are just coming down.
Speaker 2: So yes, he has a sub one era. Like two
Speaker 2: weeks ago, I believe his expected ERA was like in
Speaker 2: the three and a half range. It's two point seventy
Speaker 2: three right now. He has a really low barrel rate
Speaker 2: wOBA against is under two hundred right now, twenty six,
Speaker 2: almost twenty seven percent strikeout rate, and one of the
Speaker 2: league's lowest walk rates. The only thing I'm not in
Speaker 2: love with from a long term perspective is that around
Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of his pitches are either a fastball
Speaker 2: or a splitter, and that's still working. At some point.
Speaker 2: I feel like that could adjust. But you know, obviously,
Speaker 2: you guys know stuff. Plus is like dominant on Shota.
Speaker 2: I think Shota. I'm actually kicking myself that I didn't
Speaker 2: do the early Rookie of the Year bet On. I
Speaker 2: think he will have some regression in it. But this
Speaker 2: is one of those key like should I sell Shota?
Speaker 2: Maybe if you can go and get a tippy top
Speaker 2: name of a guy that struggled the Lomis Castillo.
Speaker 1: Yeah, but no one's gonna make that deal now the
Speaker 1: Castillo has gotten the ship, right, no one's gonna give you, Kirby. Now,
Speaker 1: I don't think i'd want would you? Okay, here we go,
Speaker 1: Max fried Er showta rest of season? Who would rather have?
Speaker 2: Oh? Man, I know Max is starting. I'm the best
Speaker 2: at this, but I would probably say Shota. So that's
Speaker 2: that's my feel, that's my thing right there. I think
Speaker 2: Max and Chota are in the same general place in vicinity.
Speaker 2: So if you can buy on a underperforming hitter that
Speaker 2: you really like, let me ask you this one. Shota
Speaker 2: Imanaga or Corbyn Carroll.
Speaker 1: See position player is as different now, but you're but
Speaker 1: I want Corbyn Carroll.
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, but that's what I'm saying.
Speaker 1: I still believed by the way our friend Wilson, friend
Speaker 1: of the show here, who I saw the gym, He said,
Speaker 1: Ask Welsh today. I know he's coming back. This is
Speaker 1: either we have a hardcore audience Welsh, like, I see
Speaker 1: the numbers on our videos. I see how consistently everybody's
Speaker 1: here watching the shows. We see you, we love you,
Speaker 1: we appreciate you. Saw Wilson at the gym today, goes,
Speaker 1: Welsh is back right today? And I said yeah. He said,
Speaker 1: ask him what the hell's going on with Corbyn Carroll?
Speaker 1: Because he's killing me asking the Cutch's thinking they actually
Speaker 1: put in the ball harder. That's what Bogwin kept saying.
Speaker 1: He's like, he's had some really hard outs lately, and
Speaker 1: that's usually the first side of it to the ground.
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, but I was watching this graphic. There is
Speaker 2: and as I've been saying four weeks, there is a
Speaker 2: there is a map, there's a there's a a blueprint
Speaker 2: of what to do against Corbyn Carroll. It is pitch
Speaker 2: high in the zone. And guess what he is not
Speaker 2: adjusting for whatever reason. He also, by the way, is
Speaker 2: a stinky ass outfielder. He's just making bad plays after
Speaker 2: bad plays. I am so frustrated. But he's not adjusting.
Speaker 2: Everybody's pitching. You high end the zone, so stop swinging
Speaker 2: high in the zone. Make them come back lower because
Speaker 2: everything is in the ground. Can't you just sure? I'm
Speaker 2: still super questionable about it, Welsh, I'm gonna say, yeah, well,
Speaker 2: frustrating because.
Speaker 1: Like, by the way, I love watching show to Imanaga pitching.
Speaker 1: Know why, because he pitches. He doesn't just throw trying
Speaker 1: to throw balls through barn doors all the time. That
Speaker 1: is so refreshing in this league entertain and if you
Speaker 1: want to know why he's having success, that's why he's
Speaker 1: having success in the major leagues because he does he
Speaker 1: understands the art of pitching. He understands the art of
Speaker 1: pitching where you're going high low, east west, you're trying
Speaker 1: to make sure you're moving the batters one. He does
Speaker 1: all that stuff and it's a joy to watch. It's fantastic.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to some unexpected good starts. Louis
Speaker 1: Heel beat Corbyn Burns yesterday. That was fun. Tristan McKenzie,
Speaker 1: who has been awful all of a sudden six k's
Speaker 1: two runs. I don't know what the heck happened there.
Speaker 1: And then Joe Musgrove, who, after all these weeks, I
Speaker 1: finally benched this. I finally benched him. What does he do?
Speaker 1: Season high nine strikeouts? So I'm happy about it, and
Speaker 1: I'm angry about it. At the same time, I'm also
Speaker 1: angry about Freddy Peralta getting a five game suspension. So
Speaker 1: Jose Siri hits a home run off you hot dogs
Speaker 1: around the bases, hot dogs at the plate, and if
Speaker 1: you watch that at bat, and I watched it back
Speaker 1: again today, Paralta in that at that was kind of
Speaker 1: struggling with the control, and I thought that one time
Speaker 1: he probably just went to himself, Eh, screw it, we're
Speaker 1: up five runs. I'm just gonna hit him and let
Speaker 1: him first because I clearly am off right now. And
Speaker 1: you know what, because he didn't want to make a
Speaker 1: stick to him, so what like he's no warning, nothing,
Speaker 1: he gets suspended now five games. I think this is absurd, Welsh,
Speaker 1: I really do, am I off base here?
Speaker 2: No, I mean I think all of the like weird
Speaker 2: suspension stuff, all the weird. I mean. Also, what was
Speaker 2: the other side the Abner Uribe fighting with Jose Siri
Speaker 2: Abner rebe By. I got optioned after that, which is crazy.
Speaker 2: Did I see that correctly that he got optioned?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 2: He did.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And then then we had the whole controversy with
Speaker 1: the Mets game last night, with the whole catcher situation.
Speaker 1: To we can talk about that. There's a lot of
Speaker 1: I don't know if you have any feelings about that
Speaker 1: or if you were still underwater.
Speaker 2: Literally no, I don't even know what you're talking about it.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about that. The blocking of the plate, not
Speaker 1: blocking of the plate.
Speaker 2: Oh you know what I think I did?
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so whatever, But your thoughts on the peralta suspension,
Speaker 1: because I think it's absurd.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's silly, but I don't think it
Speaker 2: stops much. It just pushes him a day. I actually
Speaker 2: think like baseball suspension for pictures are just hilariously stupid
Speaker 2: because it's like he's out for ten games and it's like, okay,
Speaker 2: well that's actually only like one misstart with me.
Speaker 1: But it's ten checks. You get paid every game. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I guess so that that I'm talking. I want Freddy
Speaker 1: P to get his money. I'm out here.
Speaker 2: I always a man for the money. Yeah, call me.
Speaker 1: Right now at what a hundred, Freddy P. I will
Speaker 1: fight for you. Did you hit somebody in the little
Speaker 1: league game because he was being a jerk? I will
Speaker 1: fight for you. Did you hit somebody get upset at
Speaker 1: you when you were talking trash there and like you know,
Speaker 1: somebody on the outside of the fan area, somebody's talking
Speaker 1: trash and you turn around and he threw a ball
Speaker 1: at them, and then you got thrown out of the game.
Speaker 1: I will fight for you.
Speaker 2: My name's Jimbo.
Speaker 3: And guess what I gott in a fight after I
Speaker 3: had seventeen beers and this guy said that my player said,
Speaker 3: I punched him square in the face.
Speaker 2: And guess what. Joe Pizapia got me off with as
Speaker 2: little as a ticket.
Speaker 3: And I am not suspended from seeing my favorite team
Speaker 3: every single year.
Speaker 2: Thank you Joe for saving.
Speaker 1: Gift card to Target. I got him all of that,
Speaker 1: So call me right now. I will get your suspension
Speaker 1: redews beautiful. We should That should be the commercial for
Speaker 1: a leader. Yeah, all right, let's get to some fun things.
Speaker 1: Derek'son Profar cannot be stopped four for four another two
Speaker 1: RII like, I'm waiting for the shoot to drop here.
Speaker 1: It just hasn't. And it's been a month now, and
Speaker 1: I've seen this before Profar where he's had good stretches,
Speaker 1: but this is a long stretch. Zach Eflin is now
Speaker 1: one and four. He did strike out six guys and
Speaker 1: walked none, So I would be buying Zach Efflin. I'd
Speaker 1: be selling Profar. Do you think that's the correct answer
Speaker 1: to those two questions?
Speaker 2: I don't think Profar has any like trade value. I
Speaker 2: I think maybe more is like, hey, I got Profar.
Speaker 1: You couldn't trade Profar for like Aaron Zavali right now?
Speaker 1: Who expected ERA is way lower than is actually era.
Speaker 1: That's no, I don't think so if you could do
Speaker 1: it one hundred percent, do it.
Speaker 2: I think the better question with Profar is, hey, do
Speaker 2: I believe that Profar is good enough that I shouldn't
Speaker 2: drop him to go pick up com Nzardo or Junior
Speaker 2: camen Ra or something like that. Then I think, like
Speaker 2: I would move off of and that's a bigger question,
Speaker 2: and I would I would drop him for one of those,
Speaker 2: like as I call it, the mount rushmore of prospects
Speaker 2: to come up. Anything more than that, I might not.
Speaker 2: But you know, Profar is also the reason this team
Speaker 2: didn't get more aggressive with Tommy fam who looks pretty good.
Speaker 2: They didn't want to pay, you know, extra money to
Speaker 2: cover his taxes because Profi has been playing well. So
Speaker 2: what was the other one? E Flyn I bet weeks ago?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm a buying I'm buying Flyn Nolan Gorman
Speaker 1: by the way over three. He is now hitting a
Speaker 1: buck ninety on the season go cards. And also Angels
Speaker 1: outfielder Aaron Hicks got the big release because they're like, hey,
Speaker 1: we're just throwing into the towel here, We're the Angels.
Speaker 1: What are we gonna do now?
Speaker 2: Claren Hicks and Joe my team they cut Sorry.
Speaker 1: I got him a job and independent baseball for the
Speaker 1: Long Island Ducks, and I can get you a position
Speaker 1: there as a bat boy today. Call me right now.
Speaker 1: I'm Joe Piezapia. This is the number below right here,
Speaker 1: call me at one hundred, Freddy p that's.
Speaker 2: Thank you, Joe, Pizza Pizza, thank you.
Speaker 1: This is our job. I lock here. Wait all right.
Speaker 2: Some people are questioning how that's possible.
Speaker 1: I'm sure they are. I'm sure they're but they're watching.
Speaker 1: But they're watching Tyler Black rookie, lookie bat and clean
Speaker 1: up yesterday. So I don't even get the call. But
Speaker 1: he's hitting in the four spot, which means there's only
Speaker 1: one more thing we can do.
Speaker 2: Right now.
Speaker 1: It's Thursday and it's time for our favorite segment about
Speaker 1: the rookies. It's time for prospecting with the Welsh. You
Speaker 1: could see him right there with his strong forearms and
Speaker 1: his pickaxe and his multitude of balls, so Welsh. There's
Speaker 1: a lot of questions about a lot of prospects who
Speaker 1: are about to get the call. Let's dive into them.
Speaker 1: Let's start with Junior Camanaro, who's blowing up the chat.
Speaker 1: And I've got shares, you know me, So I want
Speaker 1: to hear what you have to say about Junior Cavanaro.
Speaker 1: Of the Tampa Bay Rays maybe getting up here sooner
Speaker 1: than we think.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well the bombs are starting to fly again. Four
Speaker 2: for five on April twenty eighth, he had a double
Speaker 2: and two home runs I believe last night another couple homers.
Speaker 2: Eight hits in his last ten games after suffering the injury.
Speaker 2: And the only big question for me with Junior Camenaro. Yeah,
Speaker 2: these first two we're going to talk about. These are
Speaker 2: kind of like the big big names again my Mount
Speaker 2: Rushmore of prospects. You want to have cam Andaro still
Speaker 2: sits at the tippy tippy top. That's in my article
Speaker 2: of ten to go. But why we're talking about Caminaro
Speaker 2: again is that the Rays of got to come and
Speaker 2: make this decision quick. But it's not at the expense
Speaker 2: of Escock Praties. And that's what's really tough about this.
Speaker 2: Esock Pradies, who's been at third base, has been the dude.
Speaker 2: He has been hitting really well, So to find him
Speaker 2: a spot, it's not going to come from there. So
Speaker 2: then you start to look where else can we find
Speaker 2: Junior him Aaron, because he's crushing the ball. That was
Speaker 2: what I was telling you at the top. He's just
Speaker 2: absolutely crushing the ball. The strikeouts aren't going crazy. If
Speaker 2: this team, who is I believe twenty third in runs
Speaker 2: scored in baseball, wants to start making a serious push,
Speaker 2: they have to get more offense. They're going less than
Speaker 2: on average four runs per game. Why not get one
Speaker 2: of the best offensive prospects out there. You'd have to
Speaker 2: do it by a having Cameron Arrow go and play
Speaker 2: shortstop over cavea Ro or be comfortable of knocking off
Speaker 2: that DH spot, which I think you can do with
Speaker 2: some of the guys they've been churning out there. I
Speaker 2: don't think Austin Shinton is going to be the reason
Speaker 2: that Cameron Arow can't come up soon. You move Parades
Speaker 2: and Cam and Arrow between those two spots if they're
Speaker 2: not comfortable with him playing short stuff. So I say
Speaker 2: all of this to say I can't see Cam and
Speaker 2: Arrow in the minors for more than another week. So
Speaker 2: if he is still sitting out there, yes you should
Speaker 2: pick him up. He is one of those beautiful faces
Speaker 2: on the Mount Rushmore process need.
Speaker 1: He will be up before Memorial Day, as predicted on
Speaker 1: this show and as predicted when we did our preview
Speaker 1: shows running into the Fantasy baseball season as well. This
Speaker 1: is not a talent that was going to be long
Speaker 1: for Triple A. So I'm with you one hundred percent,
Speaker 1: and I do believe it will come at the Taalaero expense.
Speaker 1: But we'll see how it works. Now another guy too
Speaker 1: who can't be stopped. Who again, I don't know there's
Speaker 1: anything left to learn here. He looks like when you
Speaker 1: have the adults pitching to the kids, but now the
Speaker 1: adults are pitching as hard as they possibly can to
Speaker 1: like the eight year olds. And it's Paul Skeins like,
Speaker 1: that's what it looks like right now, Welsh. So what's
Speaker 1: the latest on schemes?
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is more of an update of anything. Again,
Speaker 2: this is the second face of our Mount Rushmore of
Speaker 2: prospects we are waiting to get called up that we
Speaker 2: are excited. The Mount Rushmore also are the players that
Speaker 2: almost without question, you can put on your bench. And
Speaker 2: there are some situations where the super low benches and
Speaker 2: stuff like that. But these are the guys we have
Speaker 2: an expectation are very soon and their talent is at
Speaker 2: such a high level. So the update on Skeens. Last
Speaker 2: time we talked, I said, I think you have two
Speaker 2: more starts for schemes. They got to get him over eighty.
Speaker 2: The next start, we get him around seventy five 's
Speaker 2: what seventy five pitches in this start? Also the first
Speaker 2: time he got to six innings. I think two key
Speaker 2: markers here. He gave up only three hard hit balls.
Speaker 2: Just hit that counts like you know, whatever line drives
Speaker 2: and stuff like that. Nothing, only three hard hit balls.
Speaker 2: Struck out seven, walked one, went six. That's the key.
Speaker 2: Next start, we're getting to eighty and then next start cashing,
Speaker 2: he's coming up to the majors. That is my call
Speaker 2: with Paul Skins, as we are so close to that
Speaker 2: eighty marker, and I really do think now it's a
Speaker 2: possibility they could push one more and want him to
Speaker 2: get to eighty five or something like that. But look
Speaker 2: for this next start for him to get to eighty,
Speaker 2: and then I think the real timetable starts and the
Speaker 2: clock starts with Paul Skins.
Speaker 1: What about the manchild Kyle Manzardo, How is that going?
Speaker 1: Because that's another guy too where I feel like there's
Speaker 1: very little for him to prove a triple A. What
Speaker 1: are we doing here? I know Cleveland's been good offensively
Speaker 1: better than maybe people thought. But again, like, why are
Speaker 1: we wasting all of these bullets here with Kyle Manzardo
Speaker 1: a triple A hitting bombs every week.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So the Manzalorian as I call him in the
Speaker 2: Arctic too, it's a pretty solid one. He's been on
Speaker 2: an absolute tear. He's got six home runs since April nineteenth,
Speaker 2: which is absurd. His average has pushed over three hundred,
Speaker 2: and he's got an almost one thousand ops. And this
Speaker 2: has been my favorite thing about him as well, this
Speaker 2: is he has exemplified classic Guardians play, which is low
Speaker 2: strikeouts and walks twelve percent walk right and only seventeen
Speaker 2: percent K percentage in the miners right now, kind of
Speaker 2: actually similar to the race situation, except the Guardians score runs.
Speaker 2: They are in the upper echelon of runs scored. Is
Speaker 2: that they just don't have like a true opportunity to
Speaker 2: set for him until they stop with the wil Brinnan
Speaker 2: and Estevan florial thing. The problem is Manzarto is not
Speaker 2: gonna play the outfield, so he's going to have to
Speaker 2: play dh So it's a little bit trickier than Camonaro,
Speaker 2: where it's like when they make the commitment. It's going
Speaker 2: to be Manzardo and Naylor going between first and DH.
Speaker 2: That's probably the only output. But I do think it's
Speaker 2: coming soon. And he's ready over three hundred average low strikeouts.
Speaker 2: It's classic offensive. He should be within the next couple
Speaker 2: of weeks. I know my buddy Chris klegg Is, and
Speaker 2: it keeps.
Speaker 1: Snail or healthy too, like a guy, you know, like
Speaker 1: let's keep Let's give him some rest time here, let
Speaker 1: him DH a little bit. That makes sense. Now, you've
Speaker 1: got some other guys on the list this week. Who
Speaker 1: is it? Because I know one is a Baltimore guy
Speaker 1: and this guy, I gotta be honest with you, like
Speaker 1: I kind of want like, you know, his grandpa could
Speaker 1: be his grandpa Povich, I don't know. I want him
Speaker 1: to open up a thing and says you are the starter.
Speaker 1: Today I wanted to open up an envelope for Kate Povich.
Speaker 2: Let's talk like maybe like a flower too, like you
Speaker 2: get to the next level. But Kate Povich, I've kind
Speaker 2: of been dying to talk about him. He's been on
Speaker 2: Do you guys check out my article. There's the ten
Speaker 2: names and then there's like the watch list and Povich
Speaker 2: has been on there for a little bit. And the
Speaker 2: reason we haven't been more aggressive is it's really tough
Speaker 2: to tell what this team is gonna do. Because we
Speaker 2: had Bradish coming up, we had Means coming back, we
Speaker 2: did Grayson go on the eel. Bradish is back today
Speaker 2: as we're recording this. There's also a little bit in
Speaker 2: the air about like the role that John Means really
Speaker 2: might be used with. And what's great about Kate Povich
Speaker 2: is he's been going pretty deep into games. He's got
Speaker 2: a litany of pitches, a cutter in his last start
Speaker 2: which has an over fifty percent with rate, and I
Speaker 2: really think at this point it's just gonna have to
Speaker 2: be they're ready to pull the trigger because he has
Speaker 2: a walk problem that he's kind of starting to try
Speaker 2: to maintain, but he can go deep into games. He's
Speaker 2: got a bevy of pitches. And now I think there's
Speaker 2: more of an opportunity with Grayson on the al and
Speaker 2: maybe some questions about John Means in general that we
Speaker 2: could see him in the rotation soon. There's not a
Speaker 2: ton of pitchers we can speculate on that are at
Speaker 2: triple I don't think we're in the Double A pitchers
Speaker 2: can jump range yet, but we are in the Triple
Speaker 2: A ones and he's one of those guys. Any other
Speaker 2: I think half of the other league, he would probably
Speaker 2: be getting opportunity if he was a Padre right now,
Speaker 2: I think it would die to bring him up. Orioles
Speaker 2: just have a glut of really good players. I got
Speaker 2: three Orioles on this top ten list. So watch for
Speaker 2: kid Povich within the next couple weeks to maybe get
Speaker 2: an opportunity, especially with the Grayson injury. And then I
Speaker 2: don't know if you want me to just jump into
Speaker 2: the final. Let's get this is an obscure name that
Speaker 2: I think this is the most obscure name that you
Speaker 2: probably aren't going to see in a lot of places.
Speaker 2: But you're gonna understand the reason. And the guy is
Speaker 2: Nico Cavadis Cavedas, who I get to see in the
Speaker 2: Arizona Fall League. I'm I'm completely forgetting that. I think
Speaker 2: it's Cavedas Nico Cavedas with the Boston Red Sox, who
Speaker 2: is a first base only prospect, has a kind of
Speaker 2: nailer shape to him, if you will, and hits the
Speaker 2: ball really hard. Yeah, I didn't realize that an actual
Speaker 2: it's it's a I think you know why, it's a
Speaker 2: body type because if I see a brother who also
Speaker 2: plays there, well, no, if if I see it, you
Speaker 2: understand what I'm saying when I say it. So I
Speaker 2: think it's a good body I like, I approve of
Speaker 2: the Nailer body type.
Speaker 1: I just want to say body positivity on this show.
Speaker 2: Yeah, always two ninety average five homers K percentage. It's
Speaker 2: around twenty seven percent, which is down from last year,
Speaker 2: and then over twenty percent walk rate. Here is my logic.
Speaker 2: They just signed Dominic Smith the Boston Red Sox. They've
Speaker 2: been putting Bobby doll back out there. Nika's having a
Speaker 2: great triple A. He hits the ball really hard in
Speaker 2: can Assistancies are kind of his problem, you know what.
Speaker 2: I think at this point, with Costas being out for
Speaker 2: an extended period of time, I don't know if Dominic
Speaker 2: Smith and Bobby daalback will get it done. I think
Speaker 2: they could cut bait on that maybe in the next
Speaker 2: week or so. So Nico might be a sneaky guy.
Speaker 2: He's number ten on my list that you might want
Speaker 2: to start poking around at least paying attention to and
Speaker 2: know that you can get big power if he gets
Speaker 2: called up. You want to see all the rest, go
Speaker 2: and check out my article right now over on Fantasy
Speaker 2: Pros ten prospects to stash with some others and that
Speaker 2: can get you set up for the prospecting is. We
Speaker 2: had three graduations this past week which was pretty crazy.
Speaker 1: Love graduations. That's it. And if you want to see
Speaker 1: more prospects up as well, said, check Fancaypros dot com
Speaker 1: or just join us next Thursday for more prospected with
Speaker 1: the Whales. Yeehaw, good times, babe. All right, let's get
Speaker 1: after the three up, three down, real quick Steven quand
Speaker 1: three for five with a triple double two rubies, Julio
Speaker 1: three for five run scored. Let's go Julio and Zach
Speaker 1: Wheeler continues to be dominant. Six Kate. When Zach Wheeler wins,
Speaker 1: ye young, I'm gonna be so salty this Year'll be
Speaker 1: so mad. He's just as a met fan like watching
Speaker 1: him toil away in the peaks and valleys of what
Speaker 1: he was. It's a met is so frustrating to see
Speaker 1: what the picture he's become now. Three down Jackson Merrill
Speaker 1: over four with his strikeout, Jordan Montgomery, six run, three
Speaker 1: innings and not good. But it was the Dodgers and
Speaker 1: Joe Adell. Well, Joe Adele, you have your opportunity to
Speaker 1: carry the load here with Mike trout out and what
Speaker 1: he do over five or four case against the Phillies.
Speaker 1: Now it was against Zach Wheeler, so I'll give him
Speaker 1: a pass. But still let's fly through the injuries and
Speaker 1: get to the home runs. Justin Steele obviously not the
Speaker 1: best first start. We'll give him a pass there in
Speaker 1: the rehab. Three runs, six hits and three and third.
Speaker 1: That's fine. I'm not worried at all. Friend of the show,
Speaker 1: Justin Steele. Chaz McCormick. Ten day il is going to
Speaker 1: hit that retroactive to the twenty eighth of April. With
Speaker 1: the hamstring strain, Zach Gallon will not start Friday. They're
Speaker 1: just giving him some extra time with the hamstring. Okay,
Speaker 1: cool whatever. Hodai Senga shoulder is scheduled to throw another
Speaker 1: live bullpen session on Saturday, and I on that over
Speaker 1: the weekend. Report back to you on Monday. Brian Bayo
Speaker 1: Minor League rehabit start next week. It looks like Yoshida
Speaker 1: goes on the IL so no on the IL Marlin's
Speaker 1: Jake Berger on the rehab assignment and Welsh Byron Buxton
Speaker 1: undergoing an MRI today on his injured right knees.
Speaker 2: So here you go, you sellout.
Speaker 1: Injury and a Byron Bucks injury in the same week.
Speaker 1: That's that's rarefied air right there. That's a pretty good
Speaker 1: betting odds.
Speaker 2: And we're going to talk about some beths probably pretty
Speaker 2: good betting odds that that was going to happen and
Speaker 2: that we were going to see everybody when Mike Trout
Speaker 2: get hurt, go Byron bux and then of course he did.
Speaker 3: No.
Speaker 1: That's okay. If you if you're feeling sad, the one
Speaker 1: thing it can make you peppy is this trophy Smack
Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Championship Belt. How do I get this, you asked, Well,
Speaker 1: I will tell you. You drop your comments below, you
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. We are just like a few
Speaker 1: away from twenty k. Let's get there, folks. When you
Speaker 1: get there, you'll get this potential trophy in your hands. Again,
Speaker 1: comment on any video we have here. Try to keep
Speaker 1: it clean, will you please, And of course ascribe to
Speaker 1: the chatto and ring the belt for notifications you know
Speaker 1: every time a piece of content drops and if you
Speaker 1: are the big winner and Welsh it's Thursday, you're back.
Speaker 1: I need you. Let's go for the best Bets of
Speaker 1: the Day with Joey p and the Welsh. Make sure
Speaker 1: you're using bet three six five and the promo code
Speaker 1: leading off when you sign up yet the bet five
Speaker 1: bucks get one hundred and fifty and bonus bets and Welsh,
Speaker 1: you don't have to drive off the reservation today, why
Speaker 1: don't you take things off? I am ice cold, you
Speaker 1: are red hot, so kick things off for best Bets
Speaker 1: of the Day for Thursday and MLB.
Speaker 2: I literally did, Like I drove to a cap. I
Speaker 2: was driving on a parking lot, like is this good?
Speaker 1: Is this going?
Speaker 2: And then finally it took my bets and I'm like, ah,
Speaker 2: we got it, we got it. It was crazy.
Speaker 1: So I can only have a vacation right here in
Speaker 1: this parking space for the next two days.
Speaker 2: It's like, I'm like, the jerk, You're just gonna take
Speaker 2: my bets in this lamp is so stupid. All right,
Speaker 2: so my bets the day. I I had a couple
Speaker 2: bad days yesterday was a very good day. But it's
Speaker 2: a short slate that makes it rough. So what to
Speaker 2: choose from? So here are a couple of mine. I'm
Speaker 2: going with the Cubs and the Mets over eight runs,
Speaker 2: and this one there were a couple different play ways
Speaker 2: I was thinking of playing it as well. Just a
Speaker 2: little side note. Adrian Hawser I saw you can get
Speaker 2: his earned runs given up at two and a half
Speaker 2: and you can take the over at like minus one ten.
Speaker 2: He's given up i think at least five and runs
Speaker 2: over his last two starts each. So that was kind
Speaker 2: of sneaky. And that's what this is about. This is
Speaker 2: about Ben Brown getting hit a tiny bit. This is
Speaker 2: about Adrian hawser O the gave like six in his laugh.
Speaker 2: This is about kind of banging that up. So this
Speaker 2: is a full game, full game, eight runs over. Next up,
Speaker 2: I'm going Washington and Texas. Mitchell Parker has been good.
Speaker 2: I was so dismissive of that first start. He's been good.
Speaker 2: You've got Evaldi in there, and I'm gonna take the
Speaker 2: under run total which is at four and a half
Speaker 2: because Mitchell Parker is doing some good stuff in the
Speaker 2: early innings. Evaldi just kind of maintains in general. So
Speaker 2: I'm banking on under four and a half. Hopefully hit
Speaker 2: that four marker, So give me the under through the
Speaker 2: first five if I didn't make that clear, which I
Speaker 2: don't think I did. First five under four and a half,
Speaker 2: and then finally I'm gonna go to a K prop
Speaker 2: the only one I really like today. We're going with
Speaker 2: Kyle Harrison five and a half over strikeouts. Boston Red
Speaker 2: Sox okay on the strikeout market, but they do strike
Speaker 2: out the top five against lefties in K percentage, So
Speaker 2: you got Kyle Harrison on the bump, so I like
Speaker 2: him to get that over on the strikeouts five and
Speaker 2: a half. Those are my plays on this very short slate.
Speaker 2: Come on, Joe, what do we got. Let's let's turn
Speaker 2: it toward slate.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna focus on one thing I like today, and
Speaker 1: I like Cleveland and Houston to give me some runs.
Speaker 1: And where there's runs, there are some good performances from
Speaker 1: the hitter. So I'm gonna start with the over nine
Speaker 1: and a half in this game at minus one oh two.
Speaker 1: Spencarragheny on the mound again when he's a gift. They
Speaker 1: always keeps on giving Jose Ramirez overo point five RBI
Speaker 1: plus one twenty three and go take that end our boy,
Speaker 1: mister Alvarez at over point five RBI as well plus
Speaker 1: one oh five. Now if you take the over on
Speaker 1: the run total and the two overs on the RBIs
Speaker 1: if everybody does their job and you put them together,
Speaker 1: you get plus four seventy seven. So that's your same
Speaker 1: game parlay of the day from Joey P. Hopefully it's
Speaker 1: a good one. I want to see like a fourteen
Speaker 1: spot in this game Welsh. That would make me very happy,
Speaker 1: and I want to see home runs all over the board.
Speaker 1: Those are our best bets of the day with JOEYP
Speaker 1: in the Welsh. Make sure you join us over at
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Make sure you join the leading Off group
Speaker 1: there bettingpros dot com, slash leading Off and of course
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app. Use the tools. Be smart,
Speaker 1: start betting smarter, not harder. Now, I see a lot
Speaker 1: of questions. I'm sorry. We had a lot of segments
Speaker 1: today in the show. So if you have some questions,
Speaker 1: lay them in here in the chat we'll answer him
Speaker 1: at the back end. Travis has a good one here.
Speaker 1: I'm a victim of both the Trout and Grays and
Speaker 1: I elstance what a bad twenty four hours it was
Speaker 1: for you, Travis. I'm sorry. I'm going to send you
Speaker 1: an edible arrangement. Is Adele and Feedti the best stop gap?
Speaker 1: I would say yes and yes to both, to be
Speaker 1: honest with you, I think those are really good stop
Speaker 1: gaps if somehow you have them or they're do you agree, Welsh?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Hey, one of the extra pluses when we have
Speaker 2: the opportunity, I answer some of the chat questions, and
Speaker 2: I said that to Travis. Yeah, I think so. I'm
Speaker 2: still not the biggest, like sold the person on jo Adell,
Speaker 2: but fifty three percent hard hit rate, he's barreling the
Speaker 2: crap out of the ball, he's running. That's good. Betty's
Speaker 2: kind of a no brainer right now. I don't know
Speaker 2: if continuously strike out nine every single game, but yeah,
Speaker 2: I don't think seventy five percent of fantasy owners have
Speaker 2: those options as replacements for Trout and Grayson. So Travis,
Speaker 2: if you do, I think you're doing better than the rest.
Speaker 1: Let's stop ignoring Phil. Philip wants to know will Turnbull's
Speaker 1: day in the rotation with Walker back.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Oh, I think. I don't think Walker is any
Speaker 2: push to Turnble. I think turnbulls locked in with how
Speaker 2: he's performed. So yeah, I.
Speaker 1: Agree, disagree. What about Friedel? Here's a question from Razor Ramone.
Speaker 1: Is Freedol worth a stash.
Speaker 2: A stat Yeah? I mean if you want stolen bases,
Speaker 2: he was a good homer or stolen based combo guy,
Speaker 2: if you have the ability to statsh What's really interesting
Speaker 2: is like, who would you rather Freedol or camon Aro
Speaker 2: if he were out there? That's tougher cameron Aro's upside,
Speaker 2: but Freedl stole a bunch.
Speaker 1: Of base I would say a thousand times over.
Speaker 2: But I would take Freedol over like probably over Manzardo,
Speaker 2: you know, like because of the stolen basis. So yeah,
Speaker 2: I think Fredel belongs in that territory.
Speaker 1: Here's one from fabby Davis Junior. It'd be funnier if
Speaker 1: it was like a like f aa B, like like
Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball fab that would be even that would hold outside.
Speaker 1: What do we do with Bobashett, What do you want
Speaker 1: to do with him?
Speaker 2: I have a talk with him, give him a call,
Speaker 2: bench him. Shouldn't have drafted him I didn't draft him.
Speaker 2: Why did you draft him?
Speaker 1: Uh?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: I guys like this worst time to sell when they're underperformed.
Speaker 2: I think at a hot start and then either like Okay, hey, comfortable,
Speaker 2: he's readjusted, he's hitting the ball hard, or get the
Speaker 2: hot start and move on.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the home run board, which
Speaker 1: is pretty cool because you'll see b t Rot eight
Speaker 1: is now at ten six straight days of calling home
Speaker 1: runs properly. I want to give a shout out there
Speaker 1: thanks to Wonkee Penguin for letting me know six straight days.
Speaker 1: That is an impressive streak right there, and now at
Speaker 1: double digits and right tied next to me again, the
Speaker 1: leaderboard hasn't changed all that much. Still, what it looks like,
Speaker 1: it's been a rough week for home runs. If there
Speaker 1: was strikeout calls, it would be a lot easier.
Speaker 2: But I got one on the first day, I was gone,
Speaker 2: and I just couldn't. I'm so close, I just am
Speaker 2: like there, I just can't get to.
Speaker 1: The bog when I both had a two ve yesterday,
Speaker 1: but alas it was not meant to be. But I'm
Speaker 1: sticking with the astro today. Jordan Alvarez is my guy,
Speaker 1: your thoughts here on the home run call for the
Speaker 1: day for you, Well.
Speaker 2: I hate a lot of it, but I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: to see j Abrams. I know that's kind of just
Speaker 2: like a weird call in general, but you know, give
Speaker 2: me someone at the top end order. We've seen the
Speaker 2: power kind of fly in. There's a little bit of
Speaker 2: a home run to fly ball advantage that Abrams has
Speaker 2: gotten his matchup against the Valdi. So I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with Cee j Abrams.
Speaker 1: All right. I want to intervention here on this one
Speaker 1: because it says the Wilson wants to know, would you
Speaker 1: trade Kirby for Hussy, Young Kim and cutter Crawford. No,
Speaker 1: I would not be trading George Kirby right now. I
Speaker 1: think that's a terrible idea. Welsh. No interventions. Interventions right
Speaker 1: here on the program we give you.
Speaker 2: Bet that's a team league too. I bet that's a
Speaker 2: ten team league and might absolutely not even might be.
Speaker 1: Make sure you join our Discord fantasypros dot Com slash
Speaker 1: chat today. It's free, it's fun, and don't forget to
Speaker 1: sink your leagues again. Fantasy uh never stops. But if
Speaker 1: you want something to help you manage all of it.
Speaker 1: You can manage all your teams from my playbook right now.
Speaker 1: Go to wherever you get your apps and download my
Speaker 1: playbook for MLB, download for NFL two. That's gonna be
Speaker 1: around the corner. Sink your leagues for free. Use the
Speaker 1: tools if fantasy pros don't. Just watch these two tools
Speaker 1: and bogintwo he he counts as a tool. So the
Speaker 1: three of us here on the show from time to time.
Speaker 1: But use the tools of Fantasy Pros to help you
Speaker 1: manage your league, make trades. Make waiver Wire claims new
Speaker 1: waiver Wire video. Just drop today to go check it
Speaker 1: out right now on the YouTube channel. Drop your comments below,
Speaker 1: subscribe and you might win yourself a championship belt. Welsh.
Speaker 1: It's good to see my friend. I missed you, buddy, and.
Speaker 2: I missed you guys desperately. I shave and everything.
Speaker 1: Sony, you look so cute.
Speaker 2: You look twenty years younger. I'm I don't. I'm like,
Speaker 2: there's so much gray hair like in here.
Speaker 1: It's just what you look like this. Hey, hey, oh boy,
Speaker 1: you look so I'll see you. Ed Rey says here
Speaker 1: Welsh speak. I love Norfolk. Riding a bus superplace. I
Speaker 1: hit four hundred at Norfolk Call, but I can't possibly
Speaker 1: hit here at the major League.
Speaker 2: He was three for six yesterday too, So it's just
Speaker 2: one of those things like I just love.
Speaker 1: Norfolk like it's something in the air. It's good for
Speaker 1: his curls. That's why I told Bogam yesterday, it's good
Speaker 1: for his girls. All right. That'll do it for us,
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.
Speaker 2: Kids, Love you, goodbye.