Speaker 1: Check it down, man down, then it is the numbers
Speaker 1: game was good. Monday Morning to you, Gill, Alexander and
Speaker 1: my Mission book, Chrissie Andrews. It's guessing lines for week
Speaker 1: three in the National Football League. Jeff Partlay produced number
Speaker 1: eight here is well. Glad you could join us. Uh,
Speaker 1: if you're new to Monday mornings here during the fall,
Speaker 1: it's all about guessing lines. It's a tribute to the
Speaker 1: old Start Us show where we take a stab at
Speaker 1: what the lines ought to be. I've been in a
Speaker 1: cocoon since yesterday, and then, Chrissie, you tell us what
Speaker 1: they will be here after the show, exactly as soon
Speaker 1: as the show's over. Yeah, we'll post them and you
Speaker 1: can come in and bet them. Let's start with the
Speaker 1: question that I always ask, the one question that I'll
Speaker 1: ask of you at the top of every show. You
Speaker 1: did well yesterday As a book, we did okay, not great,
Speaker 1: We did okay. Uh. If we go back through the weekend,
Speaker 1: Thursday was great, You're Washington football team was good, although
Speaker 1: I wish I had missed that last field goal. But nonetheless,
Speaker 1: Thursday was great. Friday was nothing pretty much. Saturday was
Speaker 1: good again not great. But good, and yesterday good not great,
Speaker 1: and if and if Kansas City wins but doesn't cover
Speaker 1: much better, I think it would have been much better. Yes, yeah, alright,
Speaker 1: so many themes to get to because there's so many
Speaker 1: games to get you that we don't even have time
Speaker 1: for for much small talk. But uh, just a random thoughts.
Speaker 1: No one misses field goals in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: Referees still not in regular season form. This this extends
Speaker 1: back to Thursday night with the J. D. McKissick play.
Speaker 1: We'll do this one by one when we get to
Speaker 1: them game by game because we'll look back on every
Speaker 1: game yesterday, Um coaching missus, we'll talk about that because
Speaker 1: there's a lot of strange coaching non decisions that were
Speaker 1: made that you just you just shake your head. You're like,
Speaker 1: what am I watching? And then from a from a
Speaker 1: betting standpoint, I would say that the quirkiest thing from
Speaker 1: this past weekend was that if you one of the
Speaker 1: things we do on Primetime Action is Friday Night. We
Speaker 1: pride ourselves because we get into all the final injury
Speaker 1: reports going into the weekend, and it's also a contest
Speaker 1: like wait until the very end, you don't know about COVID,
Speaker 1: you don't know about injuries. Gotta wait before Saturday. So
Speaker 1: if to me this week, the biggest betting thing that
Speaker 1: happened pre flop was that if you waited for the
Speaker 1: final injury reports, it almost screwed you more than helped you.
Speaker 1: Because the teams that were decimate, the Ravens, Colts, Vikings, Niners,
Speaker 1: they all ended up covering. Every one of them that
Speaker 1: had the worst of the injury reports ended up covering.
Speaker 1: So if you major picks on Friday, you were Friday
Speaker 1: morning or Thursday, you're almost better off. Well, it's finny
Speaker 1: that you mentioned those games. I think we won every
Speaker 1: one of those games pretty much because it went against
Speaker 1: the you know, this team came in on you know,
Speaker 1: based a lot on the injury reports. You know, so
Speaker 1: those were It's a crazy league, it really is. It is.
Speaker 1: And I wore my NFL shirt, can see, Yeah, you're
Speaker 1: protecting the shield to day my NFL shirt today. So
Speaker 1: because I can't think of one team, I didn't want
Speaker 1: to borry my Steelers shirt, but there's at NFL and honor.
Speaker 1: And then I was on Jacksonville Radio this morning. I
Speaker 1: was like, Okay, how hard should I go in on
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. They never gave me a chance, by the way,
Speaker 1: they just want a different question. All right, let's get
Speaker 1: into it crazy, because we all have done Thursday Night, Jeffrey,
Speaker 1: Jeffrey Parlay, everybody. Good morning, guys, good morning. It's always
Speaker 1: fun to talk NFL football. Regardless of yesterday. Let's start
Speaker 1: with Thursday Night. Carolina too, and oh Houston Texans one
Speaker 1: and one. Carolina would have only seven two and oh
Speaker 1: teams after week two there will be seven two and oh,
Speaker 1: seven oh and two's and eighteen one and ones. To
Speaker 1: your point, Carolina wins Donald six of thirty eight for
Speaker 1: three oh five two touchdowns, one Picky we sacked twice,
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey always filling up a statue, twenty four seventy
Speaker 1: two on the ground with a touchdown, five catches sixty
Speaker 1: five yards djre eight catches seventy nine yards in a touchdown. That,
Speaker 1: of course, uh in Carolina's victory yesterday over the Panthers
Speaker 1: twenty six to seven as three point dogs. So Carolina
Speaker 1: taking on Houston. Now here's the thing with Houston. To
Speaker 1: Rod Taylor leaving the game yesterday against the Browns, technically
Speaker 1: in the third quarter, though really it was his touchdown
Speaker 1: running the second quarter where he pulled up lame. If
Speaker 1: you remember, he wasn't very jubilant when he scored to
Speaker 1: put the Texans up over the Browns fourteen to seven. Well,
Speaker 1: he had pulled a hammy. He was ten of eleven
Speaker 1: to that point for a hundred twenty five yards touchdown,
Speaker 1: no picks, no sex, uh and uh. You know the
Speaker 1: Browns tied it up at fourteen to fourteen subsequent to that.
Speaker 1: But he never came out for the for the second
Speaker 1: half in this game, and it was Davis Mills the
Speaker 1: rest of the way to Rod Taylor has already been
Speaker 1: ruled out for this game, this Thursday night game, he's
Speaker 1: already been ruled out. It appears to be Davis Mills.
Speaker 1: Though David Culley went asked whether there was a chance
Speaker 1: that Deshaun Watson, who's on the Texans fifty three man
Speaker 1: roster but was inactive for Houston's first two games, would
Speaker 1: play on Thursday, Cully said, quote, we'll have to see unquote. Watson,
Speaker 1: of course, requested a trade in January, facing accusations of
Speaker 1: sexual as holding into up your behavior in twenty two
Speaker 1: active civil lawsuits. Earlier this year, he said he had
Speaker 1: played his last now for the Texans, immediately prompting those
Speaker 1: trade rumors to emerge. Mills was a of eighteen for
Speaker 1: one or five, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once.
Speaker 1: Brandon Cook's nine for seventy eight and touchdown nine penalties
Speaker 1: for eight yards. Uh, and David Culley, one more thing
Speaker 1: about this game, David Culley, Houston have to point this
Speaker 1: South Houston head. Let's start with the coaching Michiu gus everybody.
Speaker 1: Houston had a third and fifty in this game. They
Speaker 1: get fourteen yards to the forty nine yard line. The
Speaker 1: Browns lined up off sides. So his options at that
Speaker 1: point for David Collier, all right, decline the penalty, you
Speaker 1: got fourth and one, or um take it, you got
Speaker 1: third and ten. So he declines it. So it's fourth
Speaker 1: and one and then he punts. What if it is
Speaker 1: going on? What is happening? I have no idea what
Speaker 1: I'm watching anyway? UH with it with Davis Mills the
Speaker 1: presumptive quarterback here, I would say Carolina minus six and
Speaker 1: a half. Okay, who's playing? And bingo out there here
Speaker 1: we go. I like your number better. Uh okay, there's one.
Speaker 1: Uh well, my my power writing with Tyrod Taylor. You know,
Speaker 1: I didn't know what he's gonna By the way, I
Speaker 1: think he's a little better than what we assumed. The
Speaker 1: yeah came to exactly seven and a half Carolina seven
Speaker 1: and a half. That's the number I see everywhere, little
Speaker 1: juice back and forth. But seven and a half the number.
Speaker 1: That's where my power ratings came to. Like I said,
Speaker 1: with Taylor, without him, I think you gotta like the dog. Now.
Speaker 1: One more thing. You know, I'm not a big trend guy.
Speaker 1: A matter of fact, I hate the one. I do.
Speaker 1: Like you go from a home home dog to a
Speaker 1: road favorite. Here we go, here we go, and uh.
Speaker 1: I like a lot of stuff about Carolina. They're coaching staff.
Speaker 1: I like the way, you know, Donald's proving that he's
Speaker 1: probably was worth the number, you know, a first round
Speaker 1: draft choice, and now that he's gotten good coaching. So
Speaker 1: the number seven and a half, that's what I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open it because I don't want to fool with it.
Speaker 1: Because we everything in the eleven and ten. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: keep my eyes on this one. It starts dropping. I
Speaker 1: definitely will drop it. But in a matter of fact,
Speaker 1: even while I'm thinking about I'm gonna open at seven
Speaker 1: with the hell I love you making decisions right here.
Speaker 1: You gotta make them sometimes. Look, can I tell you
Speaker 1: you know, I've decided right now, But I think seven
Speaker 1: really is a better number, and that's what I'm gonna open.
Speaker 1: But look, of all the trends, keep that one in mind.
Speaker 1: You go from my home dog to a road favorite,
Speaker 1: it's usually an overinflated price. If to Rod Taylor stays
Speaker 1: in that game. Rod Taylor, one of the you know,
Speaker 1: has this amazing record of not coughing up the football
Speaker 1: and by fumbledore by interception. For a guy who has
Speaker 1: you know, talking about a minimum number of snaps, he's
Speaker 1: right up there in the top of the history of
Speaker 1: the league. If he stays in that game yesterday, they
Speaker 1: might just upset the Cleveland Brown. They're right in it, ye,
Speaker 1: right in it. Like I said, I'm watching his kid,
Speaker 1: and he gets zero credit. Probably a lot of guys
Speaker 1: who raid hum the thirty two thirty second best starting quarterback.
Speaker 1: He's better than that. He's not bad, sure, and even
Speaker 1: going into the season, he was better than that. Like
Speaker 1: people have strange things with certain guys like Ryan Fitzpatrick
Speaker 1: enlictits snickers. Really really, he's like one of your worst quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: I's so funny how people sort of pigeonhole guys. Alright,
Speaker 1: so seven is find seven and a half pretty much
Speaker 1: everywhere in the world. But we're gonna open seven and
Speaker 1: take a bet. Do you think de Sean's gonna actually
Speaker 1: show for this? I don't think so, I think David, Yeah,
Speaker 1: But I can't answer that one. I don't know, David Culley.
Speaker 1: What are you doing? Analytics? Analytics? What's the next one?
Speaker 1: Jeff Sunday Morning, First one Cardinals Jaguars. Cardinals are Jaguars.
Speaker 1: Um Okay Arizona is one of the two and o's
Speaker 1: as they survive a Greg Joseph missed thirty seven yard field,
Speaker 1: going to win, but they do not cover against Minnesota yesterday.
Speaker 1: They went at thirty four to thirty three field to
Speaker 1: cover the four points spread. They're at Jacksonville, um Okay Arizona.
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray twenty nine thirty six for four hundred yards
Speaker 1: re touchdowns, two picks, was sacked three times but five
Speaker 1: carries for thirty one yards and a touchdown. He's just
Speaker 1: sensational to watch. He's just so awesome, even though even
Speaker 1: the fact that he made some mistakes though, but Ron
Speaker 1: Dale Moore seven catches for a hundred fourteen yards and
Speaker 1: a touchdown, including one great eighteen yard pick up off
Speaker 1: a pass yesterday towards the end of the first half
Speaker 1: which allowed Matt Prator to get in sixty two yard
Speaker 1: field goal range, which he drilled and that ends up
Speaker 1: being the difference of a winner loss in this game.
Speaker 1: Four d seventy five total yards for Arizona. They were
Speaker 1: minus two in turnovers in that game, uh and still
Speaker 1: managed to win. Jacksonville Lawrence Trevor Lawrence, he may not
Speaker 1: be it man fourteen of thirty three for a hundred
Speaker 1: eighteen yards, one touchdown, two picks stacked on a hundred
Speaker 1: eighteen yards. Jacksonville only had a hundred and eighty nine
Speaker 1: total yards. They were minus two in turnovers and their
Speaker 1: loss to Denver in which they were out time of possession.
Speaker 1: If you will, thirty eight fifty two to twenty one
Speaker 1: oh eight. I said Arizona minus ten and a half
Speaker 1: on the road by high. You're high. I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: say I like you never better, but I might might,
Speaker 1: It's it's pretty much a blanket seven. I see he
Speaker 1: won seven a half with Big Juice on the dog.
Speaker 1: My power ratings come to nine and a half. Now,
Speaker 1: Urban Meyer, there's already rumors about him leaving. I hear
Speaker 1: a lot of how you don't know the scuttle, but
Speaker 1: you know, but it sounds like a lot of guys
Speaker 1: on Jacksonville are not very happy and content with Urban.
Speaker 1: He's still thinking he's a college coach. Uh. During the break,
Speaker 1: I'll tell you a guy who told me he would
Speaker 1: be a miserable failure in in the NFL. I have
Speaker 1: no reason to doubt this guy, but I you know,
Speaker 1: I questioned it naturally. But then as the more I see,
Speaker 1: the more I think he's probably right. Anyway, it's seven
Speaker 1: a half or seven once again, I'm gonna open seven
Speaker 1: and a half and take a bet. You know, Uh,
Speaker 1: you know, I'm still not all in on the Cardinals.
Speaker 1: You know, I've had my questions about Kyler Murray. I
Speaker 1: still think he looks like he's throwing out of a
Speaker 1: well sometimes. You know, I don't like the coach. They
Speaker 1: really should have blown that game yesterday. They should have
Speaker 1: lost that game. The guy missed one at point seven
Speaker 1: yard field gores them. Uh, but you know, but I
Speaker 1: really don't like the accident at all. I don't, and
Speaker 1: I said last week on the show, we that short.
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence is a guy. They're comparing him to Andrew Luck.
Speaker 1: There's no chance he's as good as Andrew Luck, no
Speaker 1: chance at all. And of course they lose to Denver
Speaker 1: to thirteen. But that was cosmetic. It was cosmetic. They
Speaker 1: were never they never had a chance to win that game.
Speaker 1: Kickoff return for a touchdown made that score closer than
Speaker 1: it was. Will come back more. NFL Week three Guesting
Speaker 1: lines with Chrissy on a numbers game a visa the
Speaker 1: sports betting thattwhere we get tweets at beating the book. Uh.
Speaker 1: Cardano guessing lines with Gill and Chrissy about to start
Speaker 1: must listen stuff every week. F y Uh. They were
Speaker 1: two and two when off opening market in agreement in
Speaker 1: Week one. Mike car Current Yanni, I hope I'm pronouncing
Speaker 1: that correct. Mike urban Meyer lost thirty two games and
Speaker 1: seventeen years with four different college programs. If he sticks
Speaker 1: around for two years, he might lose that many games
Speaker 1: in the NFL Welcome to the Big Time and sixty
Speaker 1: four Dragon at Jeffrey underscore Clark Gil you you nailed
Speaker 1: it with the injury report thing. I talked myself out
Speaker 1: of Raiders and Colts because of injury reports stuff. If
Speaker 1: I just stuck with my original reads, I would have
Speaker 1: had a winning Week two. I really think that's the
Speaker 1: biggest betting note of Week two. The injury reports screwed you,
Speaker 1: which is the exact opposite of how it's supposed to work. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I think it's an aberration myself, but that it is
Speaker 1: a fact. YEA last thing about Jacksonville for the from
Speaker 1: the previous segment, do you think you know how the
Speaker 1: last year and Survivor it was the Jets that were
Speaker 1: the pick on team? Is it the Jaguars this year?
Speaker 1: Do you think I'm gonna pass that information onto some people?
Speaker 1: I should keep up shop Urban Meyer. I don't know
Speaker 1: if he's heading back to college, you know, but listen,
Speaker 1: if he's gonna ruin his reputation, he's a mercenary. We
Speaker 1: all know that if he goes to USC or wherever it's,
Speaker 1: it's not gonna hurt his reputed dation. We already know
Speaker 1: it about him. Yeah, we do, Jeff. What's next Sunday morning.
Speaker 1: Sunday morning, it is the a f C South Battle
Speaker 1: of Indianapolis at Tennessee, Indianapolis at Tennessee the Colts. And
Speaker 1: by the way, the other big theme of yesterday was
Speaker 1: quarterback blood, black blood path what you talked about with
Speaker 1: Torod Taylor Um. Carson Wentz ends up leaving the game
Speaker 1: against the Rams yesterday really late. He didn't play their
Speaker 1: last two possessions with an ankle injury, which we're going
Speaker 1: to find out more about today. So that's the other
Speaker 1: thing got oft injured. Quarterbacks injured once again Rams one
Speaker 1: that but the Colts covered by the But you know,
Speaker 1: it could have been different for the Colts first and
Speaker 1: goal at the one in the first quarter goal line
Speaker 1: stand by the Rams that ended with a sack. Second
Speaker 1: quarter first and goal for the Colts of the ten
Speaker 1: that ends in a pick on a third down shovel pass.
Speaker 1: By the way, Carson Wentz does too much of that,
Speaker 1: the flailing shovel pass. It's like stop with that. Wentz
Speaker 1: hurt late as I met. As I mentioned, miss the
Speaker 1: last two possessions with the ankle injury. He ended up
Speaker 1: twenty of thirty one two, one touchdown, one pick, three sacks.
Speaker 1: He's lost six straight starts. If you go back to
Speaker 1: previous carsonal Wentz administrations, uh Eastan in relief was two
Speaker 1: of five through the one picked Jalen Ramsey Pittman Jr.
Speaker 1: Was there was Wentz his big target eight for one
Speaker 1: oh six. So the Colts are oh and two after
Speaker 1: losing to Seattle, and then the Rams and then they
Speaker 1: have the Carson Wentz question. Tennessee. Who they are traveling
Speaker 1: to play here? Tennessee with probably the most dramatic win
Speaker 1: of yesterday, with the exception of the Ravens last night,
Speaker 1: certainly the one of daytime most dramatic win. Ryan Tannehill
Speaker 1: twenty seven forty at Seattle as the Titans beat the
Speaker 1: Seahawks thirty three to thirty, scoring the last seventeen points
Speaker 1: of that ballgame. Tannehill twenty three forty seven, no touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no picks. He was sacked three times, four of twenty
Speaker 1: seven on the ground. Derrick Henry, it was the Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry Show. He finished thirty five forty five carries for
Speaker 1: a hundred eighty two yards three touchdowns. I should probably
Speaker 1: say that most of it happened after halftime. He was
Speaker 1: twenty two for one forty seven and all three of
Speaker 1: those touchdowns in the second half and overtime. Oh he
Speaker 1: also caught six passes for fifty five yards. Julio Jones.
Speaker 1: Nice game. Six catches for um and a touchdown. By
Speaker 1: the way that how was that not a touchdown? That
Speaker 1: was another one? How was that not a touchdown? I
Speaker 1: don't I don't know what I'm watching. Thirty one to
Speaker 1: sixteen advantage and first downs for the Titans, though that's
Speaker 1: a little cosmetic because the Seahawks had two huge touchdown
Speaker 1: plays five hundred and thirty two total yards for the Titans,
Speaker 1: that's the most of any team thus far this year,
Speaker 1: two twelve on the ground, and again, a time of
Speaker 1: possession advantage of forty seven seventeen forty three, which is
Speaker 1: somewhat meaningless because of the too long Seattle touchdowns, but
Speaker 1: not entirely meaningless with that Henry forty seven seventeen three.
Speaker 1: With the overtime, as I mentioned, they scored the final
Speaker 1: seventeen points, ending with a Bullock thirty six yard field goal,
Speaker 1: game winning field goal in overtime. That should have never
Speaker 1: happened because Russell Wilson. There was a safety that I
Speaker 1: don't understand. How can they not call that a safe?
Speaker 1: How many things I've already mentioned on the show, Well
Speaker 1: I had don't understand what the rest of the three? Yeah,
Speaker 1: So anyway, Tennessee wins, and what a what a huge
Speaker 1: win for them. Obviously, UH, India at Tennessee, it's got
Speaker 1: to be more than three. I'll say Tennessee minus three
Speaker 1: and a half. Well, that's what my numbers come to
Speaker 1: with a healthy Carson Wentz. So we don't know. I
Speaker 1: don't know. So right now I'm seeing mostly four and
Speaker 1: a half and five. A couple of places don't have
Speaker 1: it up. I'm gonna debate whether to put it up. Um,
Speaker 1: I probably put it up five. We're kind of in
Speaker 1: a dead zone there, four and a half five. We'll
Speaker 1: say this though. I follow a couple of guys from
Speaker 1: Indianapolis sports writers. They really like Easton. They liked him
Speaker 1: and if you look at his UH career in college,
Speaker 1: he had kind of a checkered career wound up. I
Speaker 1: think he started Georgia, wound up at Washington. I think
Speaker 1: he was one of the top rated quarterbacks coming out
Speaker 1: of high school. Like I said, things didn't quite work
Speaker 1: out for him, but these guys really liked him a lot.
Speaker 1: A matter fact, one guy in particular was pounding the
Speaker 1: drum that he should beat out Carson Wentz. Yeah, but
Speaker 1: he didn't. He didn't play well yesterday. But you know
Speaker 1: it's well, you know, I mean, I don't know what
Speaker 1: we take out of that. But eight, I mean, could
Speaker 1: this be a Wally pipp situation? You know, I don't know,
Speaker 1: but I think that's worth watching if if Winch doesn't
Speaker 1: play and a guy's over his last six. I know
Speaker 1: another guy again, I don't want to say his name
Speaker 1: because he's like a nationally known guys. We follow each
Speaker 1: other on Twitter. He tweeted me last year. So this
Speaker 1: guy is terrible because I I don't know what the
Speaker 1: cults are doing signing him. He's terrible Wentz. Yeah. So
Speaker 1: I mean, this could be a golden opportunity for Easton.
Speaker 1: But anyway, I'll probably put it up just because I
Speaker 1: do like him. I think I'll probably use the bat
Speaker 1: four and a from five probably five. Yeah. The ones
Speaker 1: thing was enturing interesting because we didn't really see where
Speaker 1: the ankle injury was. He knew it was enough to
Speaker 1: keep him out of the game. He knew his body
Speaker 1: enough to know that it kept him out of his game,
Speaker 1: but he was on the sidelines chilling watching. Yeah, why
Speaker 1: saw a replay of it this morning? It looks pretty bad.
Speaker 1: I mean, well, it looks like it should have been
Speaker 1: pretty bad. I mean, you know, I don't know how
Speaker 1: tight Duppy was or whatever, but I did miss the
Speaker 1: read I saw it this morning. It looks like it
Speaker 1: could be pretty bad. Did I show it during the
Speaker 1: game yesterday? I don't think so. I remember seeing it
Speaker 1: during the game, but I had a lot of stuff
Speaker 1: going on. I might have missed it. Okay, what's the next, Jeffrey?
Speaker 1: One last thing there? It was not It was not.
Speaker 1: It was not a good looking injury from the replay
Speaker 1: I saw. Did you see during the gamer this morning?
Speaker 1: I saw it on on Twitter afterwards. After nine games
Speaker 1: going and once you're gonna miss things across the board?
Speaker 1: How about the Baltimore Ravens on the road at the
Speaker 1: Detroit Lions here? Uh? Did you happen to see that
Speaker 1: Baltimore win last night? Good God? The game of the
Speaker 1: week thirty six to thirty five. The Ravens beat the
Speaker 1: Chiefs out right. Lamar Jackson eighteen of twenty six, thirty nine,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, two picks. He was stag ones sixteen carries
Speaker 1: for one oh seven and two touchdowns. It was basically like, Lamar,
Speaker 1: you do what you do. Go. Marcus Brown six catches
Speaker 1: for one thirteen touchdown. The Ravens were six of eleven
Speaker 1: on third down, one of one on fourth down. The
Speaker 1: biggest single play of the game. We'll get to that,
Speaker 1: but four one total yards two hundred fifty one on
Speaker 1: the ground for the Ravens. The Chiefs were up thirty
Speaker 1: five to twenty four. Was third and twelve with the
Speaker 1: k C forty nine with two oh nine left in
Speaker 1: the third quarter. That was the high water mark of
Speaker 1: the Chiefs in this ball game. Up eleven, two oh
Speaker 1: nine left to the third quarter, ball at their own
Speaker 1: forty nine. And then Patrick Mahomes through his first September
Speaker 1: pick ever. Oh that's right. I didn't realize that first
Speaker 1: September pick ever in his career. Remember, it was like
Speaker 1: thirty five touchdowns no picks going into this game. Tavon
Speaker 1: Young picks it off, which eventually led to a Baltimore
Speaker 1: touchdown and to make it thirty five to thirty. But
Speaker 1: can we just say, if we're gonna criticize Carson Wentz,
Speaker 1: that's about the worst pass and decision of Mahome's career
Speaker 1: right there. That was that was terrible. Um after a
Speaker 1: k C punt by the way fourteen play six, the
Speaker 1: eight yard drive that took eight minutes and two seconds
Speaker 1: off the clock in the fourth quarter that put Baltimore
Speaker 1: up thirty six, thirty five, and then on the final
Speaker 1: drive second and three, not the final drive, final drive
Speaker 1: for Kansas City, second and three at the Baltimore thirty
Speaker 1: two with one twenty six left. Edwards a layer stripped
Speaker 1: by o'dafe oh A recovers and then the Ravens four
Speaker 1: plays fourth and one being the fourth at their own
Speaker 1: forty three with one oh five left. John Harbow asked Lamar,
Speaker 1: do you want to go for it? What do you think?
Speaker 1: Lamar is gonna say? Two yards? Ballgame Baltimore wins. They're
Speaker 1: at Detroit, who hasn't played. But I would say it's
Speaker 1: got to be double digits, I said, Baltimore minus ten. Um,
Speaker 1: I see no number on this game because hasn't played,
Speaker 1: Detroit hasn't played. Let's let's not forget Ravens do have
Speaker 1: a lot of injury problems. Now, they jumped up last
Speaker 1: night and played a fantastic game. I'm kind of with
Speaker 1: you when Hardball asked Lamar, do you want to go
Speaker 1: what's it? Lamar say no, we better punt the ball.
Speaker 1: You know, I think that's strategically. I'm going through my analytics.
Speaker 1: That's I've been running the numbers. Anyway. My my power
Speaker 1: rating has come to an eight and a half because,
Speaker 1: like I said, you know, Ravens eight and a half,
Speaker 1: So I think you might be a little bit high there.
Speaker 1: But you know, we got to see something out of
Speaker 1: Detroit tonight. Still with a new coach. I mean there's
Speaker 1: still a lot of moving parts there. Um uh, you know,
Speaker 1: I think eight and has probably a little better than
Speaker 1: ten myself, but uh, you know, let's let's see and
Speaker 1: and like I do not there's still a lot of
Speaker 1: problems with Baltimore. There really is. You know, they overcame
Speaker 1: them last night. I have been you and I have
Speaker 1: been doing this show for like what ten years? How
Speaker 1: what have I said? Pretty much the whole way? Who's
Speaker 1: the second best coach in the NFL? John Harbaugh? And uh,
Speaker 1: you know there's exhibit A. Last night, he did a
Speaker 1: hell of a job to keep his team in a
Speaker 1: game against an opponent who he probably had no business beating,
Speaker 1: no business, what a game it was. The frenetic pace
Speaker 1: of guessing lines continues. Next numbers game it beats in
Speaker 1: these sports betting network it's Gill Alexander, It's Christie Andrews,
Speaker 1: Mimi Shoka here from the South Point Hotel Casino parlay
Speaker 1: in the house as well, producing number eight. We'll get
Speaker 1: tweets at beating the book. I want to read this
Speaker 1: one Bainbridge de Weis, because I always think this is
Speaker 1: an interesting way of sort of autopsying a football game,
Speaker 1: because most of our most people don't do this. But
Speaker 1: he says, if Hardbad doesn't miss those two two point conversions,
Speaker 1: and remember they missed two consecutive two point conversions, then
Speaker 1: the Ravens are up three, no way, or if he
Speaker 1: makes one of them, I guess they're up there. In
Speaker 1: no way. Casey won't know because they wouldn't have tried
Speaker 1: the other. I guess no way. Casey runs in fumbles,
Speaker 1: and very little doubt Mahomes takes them down for a
Speaker 1: touchdown to win by four and cover so that is true, Like,
Speaker 1: that's a point that needs to be made. They play
Speaker 1: called differently, right, if they're down, it's different. It's a
Speaker 1: different game at that point. And we never think about
Speaker 1: such things real quick before we get into the games.
Speaker 1: We had this little exchange the three of us on
Speaker 1: the break, which is how many coaches make the call
Speaker 1: that Harball made last night and fourth and one, So
Speaker 1: it needs to be stated that one. Not every coach
Speaker 1: has Lamar Jackson, right, That's that's key, But everybody would
Speaker 1: have had the data point of Patrick Mahomes being on
Speaker 1: the other side of the field, and so you would
Speaker 1: hope just based on that alone, it would be more
Speaker 1: than just a couple others. On the other hand, I
Speaker 1: think about, you know, Mike Vrabel, we didn't mention this
Speaker 1: in the Tennessee game. Mike Vrabel decided not to go
Speaker 1: for two in regulation, and he has Derrick Henry right
Speaker 1: against Seattle, they could have won the game outright or
Speaker 1: lost if he doesn't get the two point version, and
Speaker 1: he made the decision to push it overtime ended up
Speaker 1: working out for him. But I was surprised by that
Speaker 1: non decision, or by that decision not to go for two.
Speaker 1: So maybe that lends to your answer, which you were
Speaker 1: leaning towards partlay, which is probably not many would have
Speaker 1: gone for it. They also don't have Lamar Jackson, but
Speaker 1: probably not many because even in a Derrick Henry situation
Speaker 1: appears that some teams are skittish about those moments. I
Speaker 1: have very much soured on Mike Vrabel over the last
Speaker 1: year plus. Were you surprised as well that people, even
Speaker 1: though it worked out as a complete wrong decision, especially
Speaker 1: with how Henry, it just destroyed Seattle the whole second?
Speaker 1: All right, what's next? You're Washington football team at the
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. All right? I don't think we have to
Speaker 1: we have to be labor this one too much, Chrissie.
Speaker 1: Washington one on Thursday, as we all know, thirty to
Speaker 1: twenty nine. They beat the Giants on a Dustin Hopkins
Speaker 1: field goal from forty three after the Giants jumped off
Speaker 1: sides on a forty eight yarder than missed. So Washington
Speaker 1: gets it done there, one and one Buffaloes now wanted.
Speaker 1: By the way, Taylor Heneke in that game thirty four
Speaker 1: or forty six for three thirty six two touchdowns of
Speaker 1: Pikey sack ones. Terry McLaurin, what a player, what a
Speaker 1: draft pick? Eleven catches a hundred seven yards at a touchdown,
Speaker 1: but Washington had nine penalties for oh no something, Well, no,
Speaker 1: that's incorrect. I had something else written down there. Um, okay,
Speaker 1: So Buffalo yesterday beats my ammy thirty five to nothing,
Speaker 1: thirty five to nothing as three and a half point
Speaker 1: road favorites. I had Miami full disclosure. Of course I
Speaker 1: didn't know too it would go down. Yeah, less than
Speaker 1: four minutes in the game or just over fourmats in
Speaker 1: the game. Would that have made a difference? Who knows?
Speaker 1: But Josh Allen yesterday and that win. Seventeen of thirty
Speaker 1: three for one seventy nine, two touchdowns, one pickyby sack once.
Speaker 1: Also five carries for thirty five didn't really have to
Speaker 1: do much single Terry thirteen for eighty two and a touchdown.
Speaker 1: Buffalo acknowledging they do have running backs in this game,
Speaker 1: digs four of sixty for touchdown, but the d was
Speaker 1: the story. Six sacks for Buffalo's defense, three takeaways and
Speaker 1: uh really just made Jacoby Brissette look unprepared. We'll get
Speaker 1: to the Dolphins later. But I actually think people are
Speaker 1: gonna underrate Jacoby Brissette going in the next week because
Speaker 1: he's he was you know, he didn't know he was.
Speaker 1: He wasn't with the first team reps. So anyway, Buffalo
Speaker 1: should be more than a touchdown favorite against Washington. I
Speaker 1: think seven and a half might be appropriate. Yeah, my
Speaker 1: power ring has come to eight and a half with
Speaker 1: no adjustment for Tyler Heinekey being the starter because I
Speaker 1: think Fitzpatrick went on i R so he's gonna be
Speaker 1: out six, eight weeks whatever, um, you know. So anyway,
Speaker 1: a game pretty much open eight and a half, it's
Speaker 1: climbing up to nine. I think I like the nine
Speaker 1: a little bit better. I think, you know, Heineke, you know,
Speaker 1: he's played well when he's had the opportunity. He's still
Speaker 1: a pretty untested quarterback going against this defense, I think
Speaker 1: it gonna be pretty tough. So my power ratings come
Speaker 1: to eight and a half. I see mostly nine. You know,
Speaker 1: we're kind of in a dead area right there. I'm
Speaker 1: definitely gonna open nine, and I think I'm gonna make
Speaker 1: an adjustment on my power ratings and knock Washington down
Speaker 1: probably half a point with the Heineke instead of Fitzpatrick.
Speaker 1: But I think nine is a good number. That's what
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open half point between Fitzpatrick and Haneke. Think
Speaker 1: at this point, yes, that could. Your opinion could change
Speaker 1: on this. Well, the world's in a fluid situation. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna imagine short term it could change even is what
Speaker 1: I'm getting it. Okay, Um, I don't have a problem
Speaker 1: with that so far, like Arizona. Best If Arizona is
Speaker 1: only a seven and a half point favorite at Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: I think that's far too low. What's next year? New
Speaker 1: Orleans at New England. Okay, this is this to me.
Speaker 1: What's great about this is we're talking about overreaction Week one,
Speaker 1: and we were all talking about which teams we were
Speaker 1: overacted to. I didn't hear a bunch of I think
Speaker 1: we're overreacting to New Orleans like Sean Payton is for real. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's maybe that was the team we overreacted to the most.
Speaker 1: New Orleans loses to the Panthers, as we mentioned to seven,
Speaker 1: they do so as three point road favorites. Jamis Winston,
Speaker 1: who in the first game this season against Green Bay,
Speaker 1: remember when they crushed Green Bay thirty eight to three.
Speaker 1: Had five touchdown passes but only a hundred forty eight
Speaker 1: yards passing, which is the first time that's ever happened
Speaker 1: in the history of the NFL, that many touchdown passes
Speaker 1: that few passing yards. Well, yesterday Jamis Winston was Jamison
Speaker 1: eleven for twenty two for one eleven, no touchdown passes,
Speaker 1: two picks. He was stacked four times, did carry three
Speaker 1: of eighteen, and had the one touchdown on the ground rushing.
Speaker 1: But now Winston in both games still doesn't have three
Speaker 1: hundred yards passing. I didn't realize that. Yeah, it has
Speaker 1: a grand total of two hundred fifty nine yards passing
Speaker 1: in two games. We'll get to Russell Wilson's dads later.
Speaker 1: The Saints yesterday and that loss to the Panthers, the
Speaker 1: Big Bad Panthers. Five first downs five the fewest that
Speaker 1: the Saints have had since There were two of eleven
Speaker 1: on third down and oh for two on fourth down. Well,
Speaker 1: that's not good. They had a hundred and twenty eight
Speaker 1: total yards of offense, a hundred and twenty eight, which
Speaker 1: is the fewest the New Orleans Saints have had since
Speaker 1: two thousand one. Oh for good measure eleven penalties for
Speaker 1: a hundred and fifteen yards. They were out time of
Speaker 1: possession thirty one thirty two and they scored, as we
Speaker 1: mentioned yesterday, seven points, their fewest since their first seven
Speaker 1: drives for the Saints yesterday, five punts, one pick, one
Speaker 1: turnover on down ounce Alvin Kamara eight rushes for five yards,
Speaker 1: his fewest since twenty seventeen, and curiously, Tasom Hill two
Speaker 1: carries for sixteen I remember complaining all last year and
Speaker 1: the year before it's too much tast him. Now I'm like,
Speaker 1: he's only two carries for sixteen yards and you're not
Speaker 1: doing anything. What's happening? John Payton's Coach of the Year
Speaker 1: coronation tour has been exaggerated. And then there's New England yesterday,
Speaker 1: who beat the Jets handily by the score of twenty
Speaker 1: five to six, covering his six point road favorites. Mac
Speaker 1: Jones first half eighteen of twenty two for one two
Speaker 1: no touchdown. Snow Pixy was sat three times. He finishes
Speaker 1: twenty two of thirty for one eighties six with those
Speaker 1: no touchdownsne picks in three sacks. Damian Harris sixteen of
Speaker 1: sixty two on the ground and a scintillating touchdown run
Speaker 1: where he broke five or six tackles. But the Patriots
Speaker 1: were two of ten on third down. They only had
Speaker 1: two eight total yards themselves. They've benefited from the turnovers.
Speaker 1: They were plus four in turnovers. Zack Wilson was a mess.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that. So it's New Orleans coming off
Speaker 1: that horrific performance against New England, which really wasn't challenged much.
Speaker 1: And the only thing I came up with those New
Speaker 1: England minus three. That's when my power ratings come to
Speaker 1: I saw it open last night, kind of a soft three,
Speaker 1: like three with juice on the dog, even a two
Speaker 1: and a half with some juice on the favorite. My
Speaker 1: power rainings come to three. And by the way, while
Speaker 1: we're on the subject here real quick, I have lowered
Speaker 1: just about every single home field advantage. A matter of fact,
Speaker 1: I have lowered every single home field advantage. So I'm
Speaker 1: only given between one and a half two and a half.
Speaker 1: I got a couple of three still out there. But nonetheless,
Speaker 1: my my this number comes to three. That's what I'm
Speaker 1: gonna open. I have no beef with that, um. But
Speaker 1: let's not go overwhere in the Patriots they beat a
Speaker 1: Jets team and that was one of those games and
Speaker 1: more I looked at it during the course of the week.
Speaker 1: I'm thinking, Bilichick is gonna really rattle this kid, you know.
Speaker 1: It's just kind of right in his ali for doing
Speaker 1: exactly that, and he did. The kid looked terrible. As
Speaker 1: much as I've liked what I've seen out of Wilson
Speaker 1: so far, but it was a bad situation for him.
Speaker 1: But I think three is fine here. Um very interesting
Speaker 1: about the Saints, but that's there's Uh, we were so
Speaker 1: look at Sean pay a week. I was one of
Speaker 1: those guys. You know, you're looking at the guy that
Speaker 1: said exactly that. You know. Now I'm not so sure.
Speaker 1: What's with the Taysom Hill thing only getting two carries? Now,
Speaker 1: I'm not sure. I don't know. I don't know. What
Speaker 1: are the couple of teams with the three point home
Speaker 1: field advantage for Denver and green Bay? Denver and green
Speaker 1: bayes not even Seattle. I said it last week. The
Speaker 1: Seattle is good on the road, Yeah, They're They're just good.
Speaker 1: Not like it's so easy to go into Seattle and
Speaker 1: walk out of there with a win, which Tennessee did.
Speaker 1: But they're they're just good anywhere they played. You know,
Speaker 1: that's you gotta gotta look at the differential in Denver
Speaker 1: has elevation and later weather and has weather like as well.
Speaker 1: And I listen, they've just been a better team at home.
Speaker 1: They really have been. Yeah, that same thing is fascinating
Speaker 1: to me because Jamis was doing Jamis things like again
Speaker 1: the the whirling dervish pick where he's going to the ground.
Speaker 1: He just chucks it up everywhere every every quarter like
Speaker 1: a lot of quarterbacks seem to think that there, you know,
Speaker 1: invincible doing that stuff. And Carson Carson Wentz doing it.
Speaker 1: Mahomes thought he was invincible to it didn't work at
Speaker 1: it yesterday for the first time I think ever, certainly
Speaker 1: in a month of September. That's a fact. We'll come
Speaker 1: back more early games to get to guessing lines. Week
Speaker 1: three of the National Football League Right here at Feast
Speaker 1: in the Sports Betting Network. Hey, do they do uh
Speaker 1: quarterly booby prizes over at Circle. I'm just curious. I'm
Speaker 1: asking for a friend. I think they do. Actually, they
Speaker 1: don't do quarterly boobies, do they? I think that I
Speaker 1: have to double check it. In the rules. But I
Speaker 1: thought they added that this year, that the that the
Speaker 1: worst record gets something even quarterly. I think so I'm
Speaker 1: gonna double add quarterly boobies to your bingo squares. I
Speaker 1: didn't have that on. Just asking for a friend. We
Speaker 1: get tweets that beating the book. This is from not
Speaker 1: that on Jay. I believe I'm saying that. Oh no,
Speaker 1: not that's I don't know. I'm just saying, whatever his
Speaker 1: name is, I'm sorry, we need you back on satellite.
Speaker 1: Coming over the San Mateo Bridge. No internet drives me crazy.
Speaker 1: What I missed? Tell Christie, I hope his health as well.
Speaker 1: There you go, thank you, thank you. I am well,
Speaker 1: thank you, but there's no internet on the San Mateo Bridge.
Speaker 1: Well have you phone to San Francisco and flown over
Speaker 1: the San Mateo brid We have if you have driven
Speaker 1: it many times. The longest thing ever. I know, you know,
Speaker 1: I always know. It's a couple of times, you know,
Speaker 1: like I think it's as like no turn, you know
Speaker 1: you're on the no kidding, where was I gonna turn?
Speaker 1: No turn? That thing is the longest bridge you'll ever see.
Speaker 1: This from Joe Nuns made me look see if autops
Speaker 1: thing is a word. I believe it is or is not.
Speaker 1: I believe it is. Technically, I think we're going to
Speaker 1: be in then Oxford Dictionary by next year. Jeff, you
Speaker 1: have a Carson Wentz update. According to Ian Rappaport of
Speaker 1: NFL Network, Carson Wentz not only has one sprained ankle,
Speaker 1: it looks like he has two sprained ankles. So tests
Speaker 1: being conducted today to see severity of both of those.
Speaker 1: I shouldn't laugh. It's not funny, but somehow I'm laughing.
Speaker 1: We had a kid in like seventh grade. We did
Speaker 1: relay races, remember relay races, And when we did him,
Speaker 1: the wall was too close to the end of the relay,
Speaker 1: and so this kid, Tim may hit the wall too
Speaker 1: hard with both hands and he broke both of his writs.
Speaker 1: That's what I think about with Carson wits Oh man,
Speaker 1: all right, what's next, Jeff. I don't mean to laugh.
Speaker 1: It's not funny. Still in the we're still in the
Speaker 1: early window. By the way, guys, since there's nine in
Speaker 1: the early window this week, what's a good one? The
Speaker 1: a f C West Chargers A chiefs, all right, charges
Speaker 1: at chiefs. That is a good game. Both teams one
Speaker 1: and one. Justin Herbert, could you know? I was gonna
Speaker 1: ask Thembardi last week? I haad in my notes. Is
Speaker 1: he a top five quarterback already? I think that's almost
Speaker 1: been conservative thirty one forty one yesterday for three thirty eight,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked twice. How Mario
Speaker 1: Christo Ball couldn't do anything with him and Anthony Lynn
Speaker 1: wasn't gonna let him see the light of day last year.
Speaker 1: I have no idea, but it's just such a failure
Speaker 1: of coaching. Alan Keenan that is four for one oh eight,
Speaker 1: Mike Williams seven for one uh seven catches for ninety
Speaker 1: one yards and a touchdown, Austin Ekeler nine carries for
Speaker 1: fifty four and nine catches for sixty one, always filling
Speaker 1: up the statute. The Charges did have twelve penalties for
Speaker 1: ninety nine yards, zero touchdowns for the Chargers on three
Speaker 1: second half red zone possessions, field goal, pick field goal.
Speaker 1: But let me just say this once again with our
Speaker 1: themes quarterback blood bath, the injury reports screwed you as
Speaker 1: a better refereeing Mishugas second and goal at the Dallas
Speaker 1: seven with five thirty five left Micah Parsons in air.
Speaker 1: It's here sacks justin Herbert for an eighteen yard loss.
Speaker 1: In what world is that a sack? How quick was
Speaker 1: that whistle? You see that? Oh yeah, and he's in
Speaker 1: the grasp grasp Grass who had a grasp? There is
Speaker 1: no grasp. That was brutal. Chargers end Chargers. You know,
Speaker 1: Charges end up losing to the Cowboys seventeen. The Cowboys
Speaker 1: did not play better than the Chargers in that game,
Speaker 1: but yet they win. Now they got every call off
Speaker 1: that and that seems that's only been a theme for
Speaker 1: the last forty years. Video. Well's I've been watching football
Speaker 1: fifty years, it's been you've noticed. I've noticed the Cowboys
Speaker 1: tend to get their share of the calls. Kansas City,
Speaker 1: by the way, Well, why the gratuitous shots of Jerry Jones?
Speaker 1: Do we do that for any other owner after a win? Yeah?
Speaker 1: They may know what Bill Bidwill looks like. It's right,
Speaker 1: He's been in my office and I don't know if
Speaker 1: I could pick him out of the line. Scotty is
Speaker 1: that his name? I might be pronouncing it rong in Baltimore,
Speaker 1: I think Scotty. We have coffee for coffee with coffee, Yeah, no,
Speaker 1: but yet we never he always low key doesn't want
Speaker 1: to be seen. Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes a defeat yesterday,
Speaker 1: thirty one for three forty three, three touchdowns, That one
Speaker 1: brutal game changing pick wasn't sacked Travis Kelsey seven for
Speaker 1: one o nine and a scintillating touchdown, if I may
Speaker 1: use that word again, which Al Michaels called as if
Speaker 1: it was a preseason touchdown. What was that? Hey, Al,
Speaker 1: it's pretty good play one of six on third down?
Speaker 1: What were the uh, we're the Chiefs. And as I mentioned,
Speaker 1: when they were up thirty five to twenty four, third
Speaker 1: and twelve at their forty nine with two and nine
Speaker 1: left in the third quarter, Mahomes through that awful pick
Speaker 1: for September pick. Ever, Baltimore made a thirty five to thirty.
Speaker 1: After that, Baltimore long drive made a thirty six thirty five,
Speaker 1: and then the Edwards a layer stripping by o'dafh o
Speaker 1: a with one six left, and then Baltimore converting the
Speaker 1: fourth and one at their own forty three with one
Speaker 1: oh five left. Katie bar the door Chiefs lose Chiefs
Speaker 1: here at home, Yes, Chiefs by four and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm not going to say I like your number better,
Speaker 1: but it's fairly close to mine. Mine comes to five
Speaker 1: and a half. I see six and a half out there,
Speaker 1: even a seven with some juice on the dog. That
Speaker 1: defense can't stop anybody. Yeah, you know, I don't. I'm
Speaker 1: probably gonna open six and a half just because they
Speaker 1: tend to get a lot of play. If I see
Speaker 1: that drop, and I'm definitely a drug. Like I said,
Speaker 1: I see it going up in a couple of spots.
Speaker 1: I see six and a half with juice and favorite
Speaker 1: seven with juice on the dog. You know, but I
Speaker 1: you know that that to me, that number is too high.
Speaker 1: And you're talking about justin Herbert. Okay, let's say you're
Speaker 1: starting an NFL franchise. First pick, you know, probably my
Speaker 1: home homes Herbert the second pick. I think so, man,
Speaker 1: And think about like the fortunes of teams if to
Speaker 1: you know, if too was available, they would have picked him,
Speaker 1: right if if you know, it's just it's just amazing
Speaker 1: the fates of these of the draw you know it
Speaker 1: Harbor and by the way, another one in the grass.
Speaker 1: You know, of course there's no grass, but kids six five,
Speaker 1: and he's not a lumbering six five. He's an athletics
Speaker 1: six five. That was not That was a horrible gray.
Speaker 1: If that's big Ben, you think they whistle that police.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do one more here? Are you sure
Speaker 1: you want to do this? Next one here? No, the
Speaker 1: Falcons and the Giants OH one team will be winless
Speaker 1: after this. I can't say guaranteed oh in three because
Speaker 1: they could be hi. I suppose Atlanta loses badly in
Speaker 1: the end to the Buccaneers, though they made it interesting
Speaker 1: for a while. Mattie Ice two touchdowns, three picks, emphasis
Speaker 1: on the picks, one sack because two of those three
Speaker 1: picks were consecutive picks, sixes, Kyle Pitts five for seventy three,
Speaker 1: Ridley seven for sixty three to touchdown, Cordurell Patterson seven
Speaker 1: of eleven for a touchdown, and then five catches for
Speaker 1: fifty eight and a touchdown. But the Falcons were minus
Speaker 1: two in turnovers. The was pick six is looming large.
Speaker 1: They were outscored twenty to nothing in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: Is that good? Final score? Buccaneers covered the thirteen points
Speaker 1: bread and then the Giants were mentioned Thursday night lost
Speaker 1: to Washington. Daniel Jones best game of his career, though,
Speaker 1: I think we established that two thirty two forty nine,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, no picks, He was stacked four times, nine
Speaker 1: carries for ninety five yards and a touchdown. Most importantly,
Speaker 1: no fumbles lost. Shepard was his big receiver nine for
Speaker 1: nine four. Kenny Golladay didn't like that, and I think
Speaker 1: we can establish now that Golladay was screaming at Daniel Jones.
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people are saying he wasn't.
Speaker 1: He was eleven penalties for eighty one yards for the
Speaker 1: Joe Judge Stickler for details. Giants. I mean this has
Speaker 1: to be Giants minus three, right, There cannot be another
Speaker 1: number to this. Yeah, even with my two point homebold advantage,
Speaker 1: that's what I come with. Three, You know it's yeah,
Speaker 1: Atlanta just looks, my goodness, and what happened to this team?
Speaker 1: They just falling off a cliff since they're Super Bowl loss,
Speaker 1: and they looked. Do you think that they're My brother,
Speaker 1: who is a is a you know, not as big
Speaker 1: of a football fan as say you and I are,
Speaker 1: but likes the NFL over everything said yesterday to me.
Speaker 1: He goes it's like they're still spooked by that Patriots
Speaker 1: come back in the Super Bowl. Do you think there's
Speaker 1: any for the remaining guys that are there? Do you
Speaker 1: think there's any lingering thing to something like that? Obviously,
Speaker 1: you know, I don't know. I mean, yeah, how do
Speaker 1: you quantify that? You know that you've been still you
Speaker 1: got you know, Ryan is there, you know, and I
Speaker 1: mean he is the guy, the quarterback you know, for
Speaker 1: some reason could be like kind of the folk rum,
Speaker 1: you know, more so than it should be. And and
Speaker 1: maybe he is because that team has never recovered from that.
Speaker 1: Never Jeff, if I paid you no money and I
Speaker 1: said you must watch this football game. You're not allowed
Speaker 1: to have a bet on it, You're not allowed to
Speaker 1: do anything else, no phone. You must watch this game
Speaker 1: from beginning to end, you would say no. But how
Speaker 1: much money would I have to pay you? There? There
Speaker 1: would be uh, there be other things that you probably
Speaker 1: could get me to MetLife and I'd be all right.
Speaker 1: But but but I mean, this is this is going
Speaker 1: to be a horrible football game all the way through.
Speaker 1: And it's a good point you bring up, Gil. The
Speaker 1: Falcons are probably still swooped all these years later, it
Speaker 1: just they've never been able to recover from that collapse
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. I just thought it was an
Speaker 1: interesting point by someone who's is deep into the numbers
Speaker 1: as a say, we are who knows just observational anecdotal
Speaker 1: it might be three. Famously, of course the Falcons were
Speaker 1: up in that Super Bowl. Don't have to remind to
Speaker 1: remind the Falcons fans will come back. We're guessing lines
Speaker 1: with Chrissy. The Numbers told the story they always this
Speaker 1: is a numbers game with Gil Alexander. Yes, I am
Speaker 1: our number two, but Numbers gave it Visa the sports
Speaker 1: betting that we're kill Alexander alongside Chris Andrews. The director
Speaker 1: at that point hotel because in sports both do we
Speaker 1: call you a director? Is that your official official title? Um,
Speaker 1: we've been doing this show for a decade. Um. It
Speaker 1: is a tribute to the old Star Dust radio show.
Speaker 1: By the way, it's all brought to you by bed
Speaker 1: MGM Nevada. But we've been doing guessing lines for for
Speaker 1: a decade and hopefully it has become part of your
Speaker 1: routine as the first sort of interesting exercise of looking
Speaker 1: at the upcoming week's NFL lines. Uh, I would ask
Speaker 1: at this point for Jeffrey Parlay to give us another
Speaker 1: game here, but Jeff is really nursing a all of
Speaker 1: a sudden, a bloody knows this has made him so
Speaker 1: emotional that is noses. You want to just give us
Speaker 1: a give us a game, Jeff, while you're there. We
Speaker 1: won't put the camera. We have the We have the
Speaker 1: Bears at the Browns's got tissue up this nose. Carson
Speaker 1: wentz both nostrils, bloody, Jeff. That's what we want to know.
Speaker 1: Bears at the Browns. Where Carson wentz? So the Bears.
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one because Cincinnati teaser legs, which
Speaker 1: was the only long Stanford Wong teaser leg of the week,
Speaker 1: got there amazingly. Chicago ends up beating Cincinnati in this game,
Speaker 1: but only wins it by a field goal. Uh Andy Dalton, Yeah,
Speaker 1: question this week? Questionable? Yeah. Andy Dalton hurt in the
Speaker 1: second quarter of the game against Cincinnati yesterday. UM nine
Speaker 1: of ten before he got hurt for fifty six yards,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, zero picks. He was sacked once. It's a
Speaker 1: knee injury, but UM. A league source told Pro Football
Speaker 1: Talk that Dalton's injury not currently believed to be an
Speaker 1: a c L tear. The Bears will get more information
Speaker 1: on Dalton through an m R. But I'm sure there's
Speaker 1: a lot of Bears fans by the way they won
Speaker 1: that game yesterday. Seventeen did cover the spread and the
Speaker 1: Bengals do get the teaser leg from the back door.
Speaker 1: But I bet you there's I mean, I would imagine
Speaker 1: there's a lot of Bears fans were like, I don't
Speaker 1: really care about your Andy Dalton injury report. Justin Fields
Speaker 1: came in. That's the reason they might not care. Justin
Speaker 1: Fields came in yesterday six or thirteen for sixty yards,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns. The one pick that allowed Cincinnati to get
Speaker 1: into teaser shape there was sacked twice. Ten carries thirty
Speaker 1: one yards. The Bears only had two hundred and six
Speaker 1: total yards, but they were plus three in turnovers, including
Speaker 1: a row Quan Smith pick six. Burrow looked off for
Speaker 1: most of that game Cleveland yesterday. We talked about this
Speaker 1: when we talked about Houston earlier. They beat the Texans,
Speaker 1: um Texans again. If Trod Taylor had played that full game,
Speaker 1: who knows? Who knows that the Texans upset the Browns outright. Instead,
Speaker 1: the Browns win at thirty one to twenty one. Do
Speaker 1: not cover the thirteen and a half points. Bread Baker Mayfield, though,
Speaker 1: was nineteen of twenty one for thirteen one touchdown, one
Speaker 1: picks act twice eight of ten, eight four ten, rather
Speaker 1: on the ground with a touchdown. Nick Chubb eleven for
Speaker 1: nine five in a touchdown. I would imagine the Browns
Speaker 1: are more than a touchdown favorites. I'll say seven and
Speaker 1: a half again, Uh, that's pretty much the number. I
Speaker 1: see seven and a half. I even see a seven
Speaker 1: a half with a little bit of juice on the dog.
Speaker 1: But I see an eight, and my power ratings come
Speaker 1: to an eight. I think I like eight a little
Speaker 1: bit better, and I think I'm gonna open eight, so
Speaker 1: if they want to take it a little bit of
Speaker 1: a dead number. But I think the number is gonna
Speaker 1: move up from seven a half. I don't see it
Speaker 1: going to seven. Speaking of which, I owe you a dollar.
Speaker 1: Wait what was our bent? I owe you one United
Speaker 1: States dollar. I'm gonna give you right here because I said,
Speaker 1: remember when the Chiefs Baltimore, Yeah, yeah, okay, okay, um,
Speaker 1: I said that it would get to five and a
Speaker 1: half in a day. Okay, Remember it was two and
Speaker 1: a half five and got it got halfway there, but
Speaker 1: it didn't get Yeah. Matter of fact, at the end
Speaker 1: of the day, it was probably mostly three and a half. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm we closed four, but you know, we had a
Speaker 1: lot of early money on the favorite, but a lot
Speaker 1: of late money on the dog. I could have gone
Speaker 1: to three and half easily, but it was too late
Speaker 1: at that point. I didn't feel like doing it. Back
Speaker 1: to this for a second. What do you do with
Speaker 1: Dalton versus Fields? Nothing at all? Right? Or or maybe
Speaker 1: raised the Bear? Yeah, you know, I mean I think
Speaker 1: I would probably be like most Bears fans. Yeah, let's
Speaker 1: give the kid a shot. You know. I mean, Dalton is,
Speaker 1: you know, lower third of the league. I would say,
Speaker 1: as far as the starting quarterback, Um, let's give Fields
Speaker 1: a shot. Why not? A kid has a lot of talent.
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's ready or not. I guess
Speaker 1: we'll find out, but I think he is a talent talent.
Speaker 1: I don't mean to downplay the Dalton injury because poor
Speaker 1: guy hurt his hurt his knee. We'll find out the
Speaker 1: extent later today. But I always believed that the Bears
Speaker 1: were going to start Justin Fields, not this week but
Speaker 1: next week week four against the Lions. So even if
Speaker 1: it is Fields, it's only happening, you know, a game
Speaker 1: and a half before it probably was gonna happen anyway,
Speaker 1: I would imagine, yeah, yeah, I didn't adjust my power. Right,
Speaker 1: let's put it that way, all right, ste one more,
Speaker 1: Jeffy Okay, we're good. We're good, We're good. That's hey,
Speaker 1: look what when the weather gets cooler? This is this
Speaker 1: has happened. Uh, that's happened in the past. Hasn't happened
Speaker 1: in Vegas before. But oh well, Chris andrews Olers hosting
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals, I'm curious to hear what you have
Speaker 1: to say about this. Um. Okay, so Cincinnati, we just
Speaker 1: mentioned Cincinnati looked bad, but yet somehow got there again
Speaker 1: that Justin Fields, well got there with the teaser, like
Speaker 1: didn't get there with the spread necessarily that right that depended.
Speaker 1: Burrow ends up nineteen of thirty for two oh seven,
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, three picks, sacked four times, his three interceptions.
Speaker 1: Try this at Home, Boys and Girls. His three interceptions
Speaker 1: were on three consecutive passes in the fourth quarter. There
Speaker 1: was a fumble by Tee Higgins on the drive before
Speaker 1: those three picks that led to Chicago field goal. Then
Speaker 1: a ro Quan Smith pick six uh of those of
Speaker 1: those Burrow picks, and then I would think that was
Speaker 1: the first of the three, and then the third Borrow
Speaker 1: pick led to another field goal. It was twenty to
Speaker 1: three Bears twenty three, and the Bengals were minus three
Speaker 1: in turnovers, as we mentioned, and that's really the story.
Speaker 1: But Burrow to Chase Jamar Chase for another touchdown. He's
Speaker 1: or Jamar Chase did the first week one of the
Speaker 1: season as well, and then the subsequent Justin Fields pick
Speaker 1: and a play later Burrow too, Higgins made it twenty
Speaker 1: to seventeen. And anybody who had the Bears, you're like,
Speaker 1: I can't believe. This is difficult, but it did get
Speaker 1: home for most Bears betters. And then there's your Steelers.
Speaker 1: The Steelers, um who were one to know after beating
Speaker 1: the Bills courtesy and large part of a block punt
Speaker 1: for a touchdown in that game against the Bills, they lose.
Speaker 1: They lose to the Steelers twenty six to seventeen in
Speaker 1: a game, by the way, where look, Derek Carr might
Speaker 1: be out, but that's all the story. We'll get to
Speaker 1: the Raiders. But Mike Tomlin punts fourth and one down
Speaker 1: nine at his own thirty five with nine four team left.
Speaker 1: Huh okay Dante Johnson, So this insult is injury to
Speaker 1: insult Deonte Johnson, who was the biggest target of the
Speaker 1: game for Big Ben nine catches for one oh five
Speaker 1: yards a hundred and five yards, but he was hurt
Speaker 1: on the last meaningless play of the game. Game, so
Speaker 1: we have to monitor that Big Ben ends up twenty one, touchdown,
Speaker 1: one piggy sack twice, Nagy ten carries thirty eight yards,
Speaker 1: including a little uh five or forty three with a touchdown.
Speaker 1: Nice touchdown catch and run for nausea in that game.
Speaker 1: But the biggest thing that happened in that Steelers Raiders game,
Speaker 1: and this is another thing where if you were on
Speaker 1: the Steelers yesterday, the biggest single unit to unit advantage
Speaker 1: in the NFL heading into week number two was probably
Speaker 1: the Steelers defensive line against the Raiders offensive line and
Speaker 1: specifically t J. Watt. And so t J. Watt goes out,
Speaker 1: he has four tackles in a sack through a little
Speaker 1: more than a quarter of plan. Then he goes out
Speaker 1: with the groin injury, and they already had groin injuries
Speaker 1: on that defense. So that was a brutal in game
Speaker 1: injury for the Steelers. And without that, who knows, You
Speaker 1: just don't know, a whole game changed changed. Yeah, And
Speaker 1: I'm always amused by football fans who don't acknowledge that
Speaker 1: kind of thing. I was on the Raiders, I was right.
Speaker 1: Do you know you were right? You don't know? Um
Speaker 1: So here Pittsburgh's host things that Annie uh spe more
Speaker 1: than the fieldal I'll say minus four. Well numbers mostly
Speaker 1: four and a half. My numbers come a lot higher.
Speaker 1: But I didn't adjust for all the injuries on the
Speaker 1: Steals because they got a bunch of them. The Aunte
Speaker 1: Johnson and these guys are all listening as questionable. T J.
Speaker 1: Watt questionable. That's huge. Like I said, we mentioned this
Speaker 1: last week. Some guys say he's the best player in
Speaker 1: the league period. I'm not sure I'm ready to go there,
Speaker 1: but he's in the conversation. Joe Hayden a key corner uh,
Speaker 1: Carlos Davis a defensive tackle on Devin Bush one another linebacker.
Speaker 1: You know. So they are decimated right now with injuries.
Speaker 1: But all that being said, the Bengals still stink. They're terrible.
Speaker 1: They're terribly coached. You know Burrow, Listen, I've said a
Speaker 1: million times I want all these young quarterbacks, particularly to
Speaker 1: be successful. Helps the league. You know, Joe Burrow. I
Speaker 1: think he's got a ton of talent. But you know,
Speaker 1: we talked about the luck of a draw. He winds
Speaker 1: up with the Bengals, you know, who have ruined who
Speaker 1: knows how many players for the last forty years. Um,
Speaker 1: I think this number is way too cheap, even with
Speaker 1: all the injuries. Like I said, my unadjusted powering has
Speaker 1: come to make the Steelers eight. I'm gonna open at five.
Speaker 1: Like I said, I don't know all the injury situation
Speaker 1: for the Steelers. I have a feeling that they're gonna
Speaker 1: be bad. But but three points worth, I'm not so sure.
Speaker 1: I'm hoping if T. J. Watt comes back, Um, I
Speaker 1: think that will cure a lot of their ills. But
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open five. It is four and a half
Speaker 1: like a blanket. I see no other no other number whatsoever.
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna open five. Are are what Hayden and
Speaker 1: bits just occurred to me. So I'm just riffing on this,
Speaker 1: But are what Hayden and Bush all groin injuries? Can
Speaker 1: we effort that? Because I know what is and Hayden is,
Speaker 1: but I think there's multiple groin injuries on the defense.
Speaker 1: Might not be Bush, but they there's I don't know
Speaker 1: just for what it's worth. So the rash of groin
Speaker 1: injuries is all I'm getting. Hang on, you're you're the
Speaker 1: wrong one. Your your buddy Todd Wishnev who's a Steelers fan. Also,
Speaker 1: he just says, very simply, he goes, the Steelers just
Speaker 1: aren't good. Do you do you agree with that? Uh? No?
Speaker 1: And Bush bushes a groin? What is this rash of
Speaker 1: groin injuries on the Steelers defense? To quote Keith Olberman,
Speaker 1: he pulled a groin hopefully his own. Hopefully as you
Speaker 1: don't think they're bad. I don't think they're bad if
Speaker 1: they're healthy. I said this last week. You know, football
Speaker 1: games tend to turn on a big play. Who makes
Speaker 1: big plays? Great athletes. They have a few great athletes,
Speaker 1: but legitimately, you know, I don't know if I put
Speaker 1: you know, Hayden in a great athlete category, but T J. Watt,
Speaker 1: Devin Bush certainly great athletes, and Johnson on offense. You know,
Speaker 1: maybe you know, but if you're missing your great athletes,
Speaker 1: who's gonna make a play and a turn of game around?
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure. I'm not only sure they stink,
Speaker 1: but they're missing a lot of ammunition on that team
Speaker 1: right now the play a wild card contender, you think,
Speaker 1: I think so? Yeah? I think so? Yeah? Um u.
Speaker 1: In the in the of those seven rather two and
Speaker 1: O teams in the NFL, five of them in the
Speaker 1: Western divisions, only the Panthers and the Buccaneers exceptions to
Speaker 1: that more week three lines guessing them right here on
Speaker 1: the numbers game at Visa these sports betting network coming
Speaker 1: guessing lines is so dense when it's sixteen games excuse me, yeah,
Speaker 1: sixteen games, then I feel like I'm talking on two
Speaker 1: X when you're while when you're listen to the podcast.
Speaker 1: So if you slowed me down to was so, if
Speaker 1: you went to to uh to like half x, then
Speaker 1: that would be your normal show. I think. Well, advice
Speaker 1: for the podcast side of things. By the way, guessing lines.
Speaker 1: Last week I mentioned that Chrissy, which people can hear
Speaker 1: live unlike the megapod guessing lines, they can hear Lot five.
Speaker 1: And then we made the mistake of putting it on
Speaker 1: like a separate feed for a couple you know. Thousand,
Speaker 1: few thousand downloads. Still a massive hit on a Beating
Speaker 1: the Book podcast. So thank you to everybody to making
Speaker 1: the megapot and guessing lines such big hits. We have
Speaker 1: a joy doing them. Um, we are joyous. Rather, we
Speaker 1: have a blast doing them. I said, I should say,
Speaker 1: Jeffrey Parley, we have a two Otago Voloa update. Oh,
Speaker 1: yes we do. And the next game we're gonna be
Speaker 1: talking about is the Dolphins at the Raiders. A very
Speaker 1: aptlete time update from Tom Pellisaro of NFL Networks. Uh
Speaker 1: to a tongue of law underwent further test this morning
Speaker 1: on his bruise ribs and the understanding is that did
Speaker 1: not reveal any major issues. X rays were negative, so
Speaker 1: that's gonna be up to the pain tolerance and how
Speaker 1: we can function this week in Vegas. So no serious damage,
Speaker 1: just a painful thing and up to the tolerance then
Speaker 1: must have been too painful to play after the first
Speaker 1: few minutes of that game yesterday. What was the game Miami,
Speaker 1: Miami and Vegas. Miami and Vegas only two undefeated teams
Speaker 1: in the a f C. Did you have it as
Speaker 1: the uh the Raiders and the Broncos Miami to a
Speaker 1: heard as we mentioned, just over four minutes into that
Speaker 1: game yesterday, just over four minutes in bruised ribs, and
Speaker 1: there's the update from Jeff. He was one of four
Speaker 1: for thirteen yards, no touchdowns, no picks, was sacked twice,
Speaker 1: including that one that induced the injury before he left
Speaker 1: the game. Three first half turnovers really did in the
Speaker 1: Dolphins yesterday. It was a Jacoby Brissette pick, a jackem
Speaker 1: Grant fumble, oh, and then a Wattle muff which actually
Speaker 1: didn't come back to hurt them towards the end of
Speaker 1: the first half of your like, really, is Buffalo gonna
Speaker 1: get another field goal out of that? But it didn't.
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissette, without practicing with the first team, he was
Speaker 1: twenty four or forty one sixty nine, zero touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was stacked four times, and a lot of people
Speaker 1: are just gonna say, oh, Jacoby Brissette is bad at football.
Speaker 1: He's not really that bad at football. It'll be very
Speaker 1: interesting if he plays this week to see what he
Speaker 1: can do. But we'll see. Maybe two can play. Thirteen
Speaker 1: total first downs in this game for the Dolphins, that
Speaker 1: is all two hundred and seventeen total yards. That is all.
Speaker 1: Were it not for the Saints, that would be brutal,
Speaker 1: the brutal mark of the week. But the Jaguars and
Speaker 1: the Saints that hold my beer. Nine penalties for eighty
Speaker 1: three yards and penalties. The Dolphins had the one bright
Speaker 1: spot Xavian Howard seven picks in his last ten games.
Speaker 1: Good lord. Then there's the Raiders. The Raiders, as we mentioned,
Speaker 1: beating the Steelers seventeen. By the way, the Dolphins lost
Speaker 1: thirty five to nothing. As we mentioned, Buffalo Raiders beat
Speaker 1: the Steelers seventeen as six point dogs. They had a
Speaker 1: first and goal at the two the last sequence of
Speaker 1: the first half. They had to settle for a field goal,
Speaker 1: and you wondered would that come back and haunt them.
Speaker 1: It did not. Derek Carr got hurt in the third quarter.
Speaker 1: It looked like it was serious, and remember Marcus Mariota
Speaker 1: was on i R. So that could have been brutal
Speaker 1: for the Raiders. But they're the one team that didn't
Speaker 1: lose their quarterback for even a snap. He was right
Speaker 1: back in. Car ends up twenty eight of thirty seven
Speaker 1: for three eight two most yards passing in the NFL
Speaker 1: through two weeks, two touchdowns, no picks. He'll be stacked twice.
Speaker 1: Rugs five for one touchdown, Waller five of sixty five,
Speaker 1: sixty five, Renfro five for five for fifty seven, Drake
Speaker 1: five for forty six. So Car not only in three
Speaker 1: two yards passing, but he was spreading the ball around
Speaker 1: the field very nicely as well. Um. So this is
Speaker 1: at Vegas here at Allegiance, and I'll say the Raiders
Speaker 1: buy four and a half. That's a pretty solid number.
Speaker 1: I see anywhere from four. I see one, five and
Speaker 1: a half with some juice on the dog, I see five,
Speaker 1: and I see a couple of five minutes. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: probably open five. My my power rating comes only to four. Um,
Speaker 1: I kind of don't want to dicker with that number
Speaker 1: too much. It's four and a half, five, four. I
Speaker 1: think the public will be all over the Raiders kind
Speaker 1: of wait to see what happens with two. I think
Speaker 1: five maybe a little safer number for me to open.
Speaker 1: So that that is what I'm gonna open, but I
Speaker 1: think that's a shade high um. You know. Again, the
Speaker 1: Raiders look fantastic, and Derek Carr probably playing the best
Speaker 1: football of his career as he I mean, because he's
Speaker 1: been around like what seven eight years something like that,
Speaker 1: and to take him this long to really figure out
Speaker 1: maybe there's other quarterbacks that have done that. He's really
Speaker 1: playing great. He's got a good team around him. And
Speaker 1: of course everybody saw Miami just get obliterated yesterday, so
Speaker 1: people tend to remember what they saw at last. But
Speaker 1: like I said, my power ratings are four, but I'm
Speaker 1: pretty sure I'm gonna open five on this game. I'll
Speaker 1: ask you about this game when I asked you of
Speaker 1: other games, what do you do with two of versus
Speaker 1: Jacobi percent? Well, I think it's kind of mean, certainly
Speaker 1: some you know, off top of my head, probably about
Speaker 1: about two points, maybe even three. But it seems like
Speaker 1: Miami's a little sour on t Um. You know. They
Speaker 1: they talked about making a move in the in the
Speaker 1: off season. Uh, seems like they're just not enamored with
Speaker 1: this kid right now. I don't know if it's you know,
Speaker 1: a media interpretation might be and Jacoby Brissette I think
Speaker 1: is a a very competent backup quarterback. I don't think
Speaker 1: he's ever gonna be good enough to be a starter.
Speaker 1: I think he's a I think he's a very valuable
Speaker 1: teammate and you know, but you know, I still think
Speaker 1: to it has a lot more talent than uh. But
Speaker 1: I don't know. There's some questions about two, Like it
Speaker 1: seems like it's coming from the Miami organization themselves. The
Speaker 1: year after Andrew Luck, the beloved Andrew Luck got hurt,
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissette had the Cults leading in like twelve of
Speaker 1: those games in the fourth quarter. Didn't work out very often,
Speaker 1: but still, um, that's I assume an afternoon game. That
Speaker 1: was the first of the afternoon games. Jeff, Is that
Speaker 1: a four oh five game? Four oh fivestern time game?
Speaker 1: All right? Do we have another four oh five like
Speaker 1: we did yesterday? We do? And it's another a f
Speaker 1: C East team going west. The undefeated Denver Broncos will
Speaker 1: host the winless New York Jets. Oh Man, Denver could
Speaker 1: be there and at three and oh uh, Denver gets
Speaker 1: it done. Yesterday they beat the uh they beat the
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars as six and a half point favorites. They
Speaker 1: end up covering thirteen, and as we said earlier, probably
Speaker 1: cosmetic because again um, Jacksonville had that long kickoff return
Speaker 1: four touchdown. So it was really a bigger win than
Speaker 1: that um in you know, in reality. But Denver in
Speaker 1: the end um and who it's it's what's this game? Denver?
Speaker 1: Who was it? Jets that Denver? Pardon me, okay, Jets
Speaker 1: at Denver. Let's start with the Jets. Oh and two.
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. We we talked about this earlier against the
Speaker 1: Patriots yesterday, his first half he was three of seven
Speaker 1: for forty five yards, no touchdowns, three picks and no sacks.
Speaker 1: For the game, nineteen of thirty three for two ten,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, four pick x and three sacks, and they
Speaker 1: were minus four in turnovers. That's it. It was the
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson interception fest. That was really all you needed
Speaker 1: to know about that game. And as we mentioned earlier
Speaker 1: in New England, really didn't do that much on offense. UM,
Speaker 1: but you go and you go plus four in turnovers,
Speaker 1: you're gonna win football games. Denver. In that win against
Speaker 1: the Jaguars, Teddy Bridgewater twenty six and thirty four for
Speaker 1: three twenty eight, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked
Speaker 1: three times. Courtland Sutton was his big target nine for
Speaker 1: one fifty nine. Denver did have ten penalties for one
Speaker 1: under one yards. They got to clean that up. They
Speaker 1: were plus two in turnovers in their game against the Jaguars,
Speaker 1: and as we mentioned when talking about the Jaguars, they
Speaker 1: won the time of possession battle thirty eight fifty two
Speaker 1: to twenty one oh eight. So Denver has beaten the
Speaker 1: Giants and the Jaguars and then they get the Jets.
Speaker 1: And when we talked about adjusted season win totals at
Speaker 1: shops like draft Kings last week shifting Denver all the
Speaker 1: way up to ten and a half, how ridiculous that was.
Speaker 1: There was some you know comments like, hey, because of
Speaker 1: this soft schedule earlier, it might even get to eleven.
Speaker 1: Maybe you're right, um, Denver minus seven and a half.
Speaker 1: I keep saying seven and a half. I almost like
Speaker 1: your number better. I'm looking at a matter of fact,
Speaker 1: put me down, I like your number better. The my
Speaker 1: my power ratings with adjustments, and I almost try to
Speaker 1: not over just comes to Denver nine. The number out
Speaker 1: there is eleven and even eleven and a half. You know,
Speaker 1: that is a huge overreaction. You know, put me down
Speaker 1: for liking the Jets. This is I think a huge
Speaker 1: overreaction on Denver. Like I said, they beat the Giants,
Speaker 1: they beat the Jaguars and the Jets. I mean, the
Speaker 1: Jets did look terrible. There's no doubt they're going into
Speaker 1: a hostile environment with a rookie quarterback and a rookie coach.
Speaker 1: But eleven eleven, I even see eleven and a half.
Speaker 1: I mean, I think that's crazy. You know, nine, I
Speaker 1: mean that was it was a stretch for me to
Speaker 1: get to nine on this game. He's like what I
Speaker 1: said about the Falcons though this last week, it's like,
Speaker 1: I know that's too many points against Tampa Bay, like Steen,
Speaker 1: but I can't bring myself to bet, you know, on Atlanta,
Speaker 1: and it proved to be you know, prescient, not too
Speaker 1: but like here, it's the same thing. It's like, oh,
Speaker 1: that's way too many points. But Zach Wilson in the
Speaker 1: elevation it gets the totals forty one. I mean that's
Speaker 1: a that's true. I mean, I'm pretty sure that's the
Speaker 1: lowest total on the board like quite a bit. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it is, that's that numbers, too high numbers. So it's
Speaker 1: like if you do the whole conflation thing, it's like
Speaker 1: a twenty six to fifteen kind of game between spread
Speaker 1: and totally. Yeah, I feel about the Jets. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open ten and a half. It's too many points. But no,
Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sprinting to the window. And that's a
Speaker 1: horrible way to die, getting trampled to death by Jets.
Speaker 1: Better she died sprinting to the window betting on the
Speaker 1: New York Jetropolitans coming back more afternoon games them the
Speaker 1: prime time right here guessing lines of these spots, betting
Speaker 1: that the numbers game. It's skill. Alexander Chris Andrews is
Speaker 1: here as well. Jeffrey Parley, producer over five and eight,
Speaker 1: the Grover Cleveland producers. We get tweets at beating the
Speaker 1: book mile high. Mike Gilly. Injuries were part of these
Speaker 1: dealers lost for sure, But if you watch that game,
Speaker 1: Coach Tomlin was a huge factor. Terrible decisions. I sighted
Speaker 1: one of them. As a matter of fact. You know,
Speaker 1: there's a big part of me that loves Tomlin and
Speaker 1: another part that just asked me shaking my head occasionally,
Speaker 1: and that one yesterday was one of those days. Cody
Speaker 1: Denver's win total on at DraftKings now under ten and
Speaker 1: a half plus one oh five, Trip Tepper. Look at
Speaker 1: the scheduling edge. The Broncos have now fifteen games remaining
Speaker 1: and nine of them at home. Broncos still have a
Speaker 1: big home field advantage in Denver with the highest altitude venue.
Speaker 1: I'll go elevation, by the way, but that's all another debate.
Speaker 1: You didn't come here for that, Jeffrey. We have an
Speaker 1: update on a couple of things. One what was the
Speaker 1: first one? Not the Cullie thing. No, well, they're both
Speaker 1: from David Collin. Okay, what was the first? DeShawn Watson
Speaker 1: will not play on third, that Jeff Triscoll will be
Speaker 1: the backup to Davis Mills. It looks like based off
Speaker 1: of what what Colly said this morning, Driscoll currently on
Speaker 1: the practice squad, uh likely to be elevated before that
Speaker 1: game on Thursday Darnald Mills Thursday Night Football exactly likely,
Speaker 1: all expected. And also David Colley admits he made the
Speaker 1: wrong call on the on the declining the third down
Speaker 1: penalty and then promptly punting. So David, what did he
Speaker 1: say after that? If I had to do it again,
Speaker 1: I would have taken the penalty. That's not the Still again,
Speaker 1: it's not the point, and run the ball and then
Speaker 1: punt it once again. It's like he missed it again.
Speaker 1: The third and fifteen, they get fourteen yards of the
Speaker 1: forty nine yard line. The Browns lineup off side. Those
Speaker 1: options are fourth and one or third and ten. He
Speaker 1: declines the penalty and punts. That's the point. If you
Speaker 1: did it, go for it then on fourth and one.
Speaker 1: Why else would you be declining it? Now he's saying
Speaker 1: I would have I would have taken it and been
Speaker 1: third and ten. Oh alright, two more afternoon games. What
Speaker 1: do you got here? We're into the national windows, so
Speaker 1: Eastern and this is a great one. And so far
Speaker 1: Tampa at the l a Rams Game of the year.
Speaker 1: Thus far, both teams too, and Tampa has won nine
Speaker 1: straight games while scoring thirty plus points. That's an NFL
Speaker 1: record dating back to last year. The only two other
Speaker 1: teams to do that Chris the two thousand seven and
Speaker 1: two thousand ten Patriots, who had won eight straight while
Speaker 1: scoring thirty plus points. I guess who their quarterback was.
Speaker 1: Kobe Bruce said, incorrect. Two pick six is from Mike Edwards.
Speaker 1: By the way, the fourth quarter against the Falcons yesterday,
Speaker 1: that was the the ultimate Mattie Ice. We will not
Speaker 1: cover sequence. Tom Brady twenty four, thirty six for two
Speaker 1: seventy six, five touchdown passes, zero picks, three times sacked,
Speaker 1: Mike Evans five seventy two touchdowns, Chris Godwin four four
Speaker 1: for sixty two and a touchdown. Gronk four for thirty
Speaker 1: nine and two touchdowns. Anything negative on Tampa Bay Shore
Speaker 1: nine penalties for eighty three yards, but they were plus
Speaker 1: two in turnovers. And then the Rams, as we talked
Speaker 1: about beating the Colts twenty four but not covering Sean
Speaker 1: McVeigh was thirty eight and no straight up when leading
Speaker 1: at the half they were up ten to six. Now
Speaker 1: he's thirty nine and oh, thirty nine and oh and
Speaker 1: leading at the half. Sean McBeth straight up, pretty day,
Speaker 1: pretty good. Nick Scott, by the way, if he doesn't
Speaker 1: slide over far enough in puntformation with the Rams punning
Speaker 1: out of their end zone, then perhaps it's different snaps
Speaker 1: and the snap hits him touchdown. Indie. But as we
Speaker 1: mentioned earlier, Indie had the two first and goals in
Speaker 1: the first half of they didn't capitalize, So it's kind
Speaker 1: of both teams missing opportunities. Matt Stafford nineteen thirty two,
Speaker 1: seventy eight two touchdowns, one pick, stacked once Cooper cup
Speaker 1: becoming the man nine catches for sixty three and two
Speaker 1: touchdowns after having a great YAK game in Week one
Speaker 1: against the Bears on Sunday night. So Tampa's at the Rams. Uh,
Speaker 1: there's gonna be a Brady factor here to the spread.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna split the difference between a pick him and
Speaker 1: the three. I'll say Rams minus one and a half. Nope,
Speaker 1: it's uh, I see pick and each side one. Um.
Speaker 1: My power ratings just pure numbers have the Rams a
Speaker 1: half a point favorite. Okay, tough to pang that number,
Speaker 1: but I'm an open pick and go from there. Not
Speaker 1: a terrible guest, but okay, no, I mean, you know,
Speaker 1: like I said, who knows where this thing winds up?
Speaker 1: Like I said, I see both sides one. But there
Speaker 1: is a Brady factor that you know, guys love betting
Speaker 1: on him, and why wouldn't you? Um, But you know,
Speaker 1: we'll We'll still have to see and uh, I think
Speaker 1: picks a great place to start. Let's see where it
Speaker 1: takes us from there. But this should be one hell
Speaker 1: of a game. Um, who's the m v P of
Speaker 1: the league through two weeks minus the Detroit Green Bay
Speaker 1: game tonight eighty? Who's playing better than Brady? Right now?
Speaker 1: I don't know who's playing better than him. I'd I'd
Speaker 1: have to go look forty four years old. Remember when
Speaker 1: George George Blander retired, I think at forty six, he
Speaker 1: looked like he was sixty. Yeah, yeah, that's just not
Speaker 1: me as a kid singing. He genuinely looked like he
Speaker 1: was sixty. Cigarettes and bourbon, will, kind of gray hair,
Speaker 1: lamb chop sideburns. All right, what's next? Last afternoon game?
Speaker 1: Seahawks at Vikings. All right, Seahawks we mentioned lose to
Speaker 1: the Titans. Titans score the last seventeen points of that ballgame.
Speaker 1: Titans win at thirty three to thirty, So the Seahawks lose.
Speaker 1: It is the first. First of all, it's the only
Speaker 1: NFC West team with a loss this season. Everybody else
Speaker 1: in that divisions two and oh, Seahawks are one and one.
Speaker 1: It's the first home opener ever lost under Pete Carroll.
Speaker 1: He's now eleven to one's Seahawks coach home openers. So
Speaker 1: there's that. But Russell Wilson two of thirty one for
Speaker 1: three forty three, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked
Speaker 1: three times, three carries for sixteen yards. Wilson this season.
Speaker 1: I just talked about Tom Brady being m v P.
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson through two weeks, five hundred ninety seven yards,
Speaker 1: passing six touchdowns, no picks. Yeah, if we're vone for
Speaker 1: m v P, they'd see him one one though, you
Speaker 1: know what I'm saying. And remember how many weeks into
Speaker 1: this season last week last year where he was clearly
Speaker 1: the m v P probably eight Yeah, and then Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll said, hey, you're not gonna be the MVP because
Speaker 1: we're gonna run the football. Buddy. I had a he
Speaker 1: was robbed in that meeting. Carson Christmas probably had taken
Speaker 1: on Russell Wilson. Chris Carson was thirteen carries thirty one
Speaker 1: yards to be touchdowns. Lock it? How good is lock it?
Speaker 1: Eight catches for one seventy eight and a touchdown. Freddie
Speaker 1: Swayin five catches for a touchdown, one huge long touchdown
Speaker 1: past the locket, one huge long one of sway. They
Speaker 1: did have ten penalties for a hundred yards. And as
Speaker 1: I mentioned with the Titans when we're going over the
Speaker 1: Titans game, Seattle was out time of possession forty two.
Speaker 1: Much of that is meaningless because of those two long
Speaker 1: touchdown passes, but not entirely because Derrick Henry did get
Speaker 1: the best of them. And then there's Minnesota. Minnesota's in
Speaker 1: two two plays go different there two and oh, this
Speaker 1: is the National Football League that the Vikings are the
Speaker 1: poster child for what we're talking about here. How tough
Speaker 1: this is. They get the Dalvin Cook fumble last weekend
Speaker 1: overtime against Cincinnati where they were knocking at the door
Speaker 1: of victory, and then yesterday Greg Joseph miss is a
Speaker 1: thirty seven yarder with no time left, and he had
Speaker 1: been kicking phenomenally well sent the game last weekend over
Speaker 1: time with a fifty two yarder, even after getting iced
Speaker 1: on the first one that went through. He had he
Speaker 1: had fifty plus earlier in this game. But this is
Speaker 1: this is what Mike Zimmer and his staff elect to
Speaker 1: let the clock roll for thirty five seconds to set
Speaker 1: up the thirty seven yarder. Do you want to run
Speaker 1: another play? By the way, Mike McCarthy, coming up later, says,
Speaker 1: whole my beer. We'll get to that. Cousins two two
Speaker 1: forty four, three touchdowns, no pick stacked once to carry
Speaker 1: thirty five yards. Dalvin Cook thirteen for ninety six in
Speaker 1: the first half, finished two one, and the Vikings were
Speaker 1: plus two in turnovers and still managed to lose to
Speaker 1: the Cardinals by a point. Again, that Matt Prade sixty
Speaker 1: two yard or at the end of regulation, coupled with
Speaker 1: the thirty seven yard missed from Joseph at the end,
Speaker 1: the difference in that game. This is a pick up.
Speaker 1: This one I have as a pick up Seattlennesota. My
Speaker 1: power ratings come to pick. I see it as high
Speaker 1: as Seattle one and a half. Um, so I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open one. Like I said, my numbers come to pick.
Speaker 1: I would have been fine open and picked, and I
Speaker 1: see one and a half. I might as well let
Speaker 1: him lay me the one rather than laying the pick
Speaker 1: in favor of Seattle. In favor of Seattle. Yeah, yeah, go.
Speaker 1: Before we move on, we have a couple of quick
Speaker 1: updates here the Raves that they are posting the raven number. Now,
Speaker 1: I see the Ravens anywhere almost a blanket nine. Although
Speaker 1: Circle opened nine and a half. So nine is a
Speaker 1: good number. I think. I told you my power ratings
Speaker 1: come the eight and a half and the other one
Speaker 1: on the Raiders game, they are they've taken anything over
Speaker 1: four and a half. It's really four. I even see
Speaker 1: a three and a half. It's really four now, which
Speaker 1: I said, that's what my power ratings came before. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna amend my opener there. I'm gonna open the
Speaker 1: Raiders four and uh and I am gonna open the
Speaker 1: Raiders and the Ravens nine. And my Ravens gets at
Speaker 1: Detroit again in sight unseen with the Troit to my
Speaker 1: Ravens guest was ten and my Raiders guests was four
Speaker 1: and a half against Miaman. You're saying it's four years
Speaker 1: before I'm gonna open four, and that's what my power
Speaker 1: raids where I kind of had a little fudging in
Speaker 1: there because it's the Raiders. I'm just trying to think.
Speaker 1: So now before we get to the primetime case, which
Speaker 1: we'll get to after the break the games, I like
Speaker 1: the best were the Chargers getting all those points against
Speaker 1: the Chiefs six. You said, that's too many, six and
Speaker 1: a half. Come on, give me the Chargers. And then
Speaker 1: the other one was that was the one earlier on
Speaker 1: the show where I thought that that spread wasn't high enough.
Speaker 1: Arizona at Who's Arizona at again? Jags? Yeah, I didn't
Speaker 1: think that was high enough. What are you posting on that?
Speaker 1: There's a lot of sevens out there? How is that low? Oh? Okay?
Speaker 1: Those are the two for so far. We got primetime
Speaker 1: games to get to, including Mike McCarthy making Mike Zimmers
Speaker 1: gave look like just the tea party, coming back, Numbers
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Speaker 1: schedule and we have in depth data on every matchup,
Speaker 1: including team trends, latest line moves, picture stats, and umpire impacts.
Speaker 1: Whether you're looking to bet the run line, team totals
Speaker 1: for first five inning winners. Bsen dot com slash MLB
Speaker 1: is the only source you need. Increase your sports betting.
Speaker 1: I Q and make the most of all your baseball
Speaker 1: bets this summer at vs dot com slash MLB. So
Speaker 1: in those days, excuse me, everything centered around your little hometown.
Speaker 1: You had your little confection confectionery place where you used
Speaker 1: to go away. You know the movie this thing when
Speaker 1: they walked in the back of whatever. Every town had
Speaker 1: one of those. A place called the Common News in Brady, Pennsylvania,
Speaker 1: just ten miles from where I grew up, and Joannah Garrett,
Speaker 1: the great there had just like I said, you could
Speaker 1: buy the post because that out front and bet two
Speaker 1: team parlay in the back. So I always stopped by there.
Speaker 1: When I go back, the building is still there. And
Speaker 1: I walked in last summer and there was a young lady.
Speaker 1: They're selling magazines and whatever, and I looked towards the back,
Speaker 1: and there was a door, and I said, can I
Speaker 1: And before I got the rest of he says, she said,
Speaker 1: it's been closed for thirty or five years, but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna let you go in and see it. She gave
Speaker 1: me the kid opened it up, and there I was
Speaker 1: whole and smoke. This is sixty years earlier, fifty years earlier. Uh.
Speaker 1: There was a little trellis where the guy used to
Speaker 1: walk up and put the chalkboard. There, there were seats there,
Speaker 1: there were guys playing shorts cards. There short cards right,
Speaker 1: there was all that stuff, and I just felt like
Speaker 1: that was my high and I just continued it. If
Speaker 1: you didn't catch peace in last week, here's some of
Speaker 1: what you missed, because it was what twenty two to ten,
Speaker 1: what Chiefs actually had the ball late second quarter, we're
Speaker 1: getting at half time be fore you call correctly, So
Speaker 1: they could have like as Michael Lamarty calls, it could
Speaker 1: have dominated, but they could have scored twice back to
Speaker 1: back possessions in that middle eight, and then they had
Speaker 1: that long drive. By the way. That's the Browns did
Speaker 1: a great job containing that Chief's offense for most of
Speaker 1: that game until they just once they start to snap,
Speaker 1: man and break get out of the way because the
Speaker 1: damn's gonna snap right there too. So but that that
Speaker 1: the Browns defense was really good. There was like an
Speaker 1: eight minute drive I think for the Chiefs to begin
Speaker 1: the second half. But if they play again in the playoffs,
Speaker 1: this Chief's defense, they are vulnerable, man. And that's why
Speaker 1: with that offensive line with Cleveland, with their backs, they
Speaker 1: can go chubb, they could go hunt. And the way
Speaker 1: that they that Stefanski has already figured this out going
Speaker 1: back to last year, to use both those guys that
Speaker 1: can be chub chub chubb for a lot of it,
Speaker 1: and then they just sprinkle in a little bit of
Speaker 1: hunt here and it's it's a great combination. And then
Speaker 1: like you said, Mayfield looked really good yesterday. They they
Speaker 1: are they can beat them. They can go into Arrowhead
Speaker 1: in January and how the lead again late in the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter like he did yesterday. And if you encounter
Speaker 1: bad weather and you think the Chiefs would get some
Speaker 1: bad weather and that would that's a better situation for
Speaker 1: the Browns with their great running game. But I just
Speaker 1: I mean these kickers and runners, I mean, you have
Speaker 1: one job on perfect snaff each opposite butter faceers, Gil Alexander,
Speaker 1: Chrissy Andrews is here, Jeff Parlay. We thought David Culley
Speaker 1: would win the Comedic Press Conference Award of the Morning,
Speaker 1: but apparently not. What do you got? Okay, We go
Speaker 1: to Chicago, who, of course Andy Dalton suffered. Look, we
Speaker 1: thought may have been an a c L tare courting
Speaker 1: Matt Naggy. It is not an a c L tare.
Speaker 1: They're still running more tests, but it seems that the
Speaker 1: A c L is not tourn. But this exchange happened, well,
Speaker 1: this discussion was going on. The reporter in Chicago asked,
Speaker 1: Matt Naggie is and he's still your starter if he's healthy.
Speaker 1: Matt Naggie comes back with, that's something I'm not going
Speaker 1: to get into with scheme. Reporter says, that's not scheme.
Speaker 1: Matt Naggie comes back with, yes it is, but he's
Speaker 1: supposed to say to that, yes it is. Okay, if
Speaker 1: you say so, coach, it's just ridiculous. Okay. You wanted
Speaker 1: to mention because we haven't mentioned this that you and
Speaker 1: Jeff Vogel uh sends it to me every week just
Speaker 1: in case it's really good. You do this piece every week.
Speaker 1: We do four pieces actually, so we analyzed you know,
Speaker 1: the bettings, uh you know, trends, betting trends, not you
Speaker 1: know that other crop on the Thursday night game, and
Speaker 1: we put one out for Saturday's college football, the major games,
Speaker 1: and we do one for Sunday every single NFL game.
Speaker 1: Then we'll have another one out for the Monday night
Speaker 1: game too, So for you'll find on visa and uh,
Speaker 1: you do our college football as well, we do it
Speaker 1: for college football. Well, like I said, the major games
Speaker 1: we picked, it's really just about which way the action
Speaker 1: is going. Yeah, yeah, we analyze the action. Like I said,
Speaker 1: I'm not giving you home teams, no, no. But what
Speaker 1: I find interesting about it because yeah, when you say
Speaker 1: it just like that, it makes it sound like it's
Speaker 1: a dull article. It's not. It's fascinating the way that
Speaker 1: you say, oh, you were surprised to see this typically
Speaker 1: you'll get this. Um. It's just it's a fascinating window
Speaker 1: into betters well actions. What kind of prompted I got
Speaker 1: tired of guys asking me, well, who the wise guys on? Well,
Speaker 1: what number? What number? You know they're laying three taken
Speaker 1: four and always made the joke there's no wise Guy Union.
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, there's there's some guys out there
Speaker 1: with a lot of money that like the Favorite, and
Speaker 1: another outfit with a lot of money like the Dog.
Speaker 1: You know. So what number are we talking about? Jimmy
Speaker 1: Hoffa fought all this year and Bobby Kennedy was doing
Speaker 1: push up. Anyway, um, and where is this available? It's
Speaker 1: available at Visa dot com at the point spread weekly,
Speaker 1: point spread weekly. Yeah, okay, I think it's on Visa
Speaker 1: dot com too. We need a ruling point spread weekly
Speaker 1: or Visa dot com dot com, thank you. But anyway,
Speaker 1: I think it's really valuable for players out there and understand,
Speaker 1: you know, how the how the bettors are thinking and
Speaker 1: how we got to whatever number we're at. Okay, stay
Speaker 1: tuned for later guessing lines from Christie updates on his
Speaker 1: latest book, updates on updates uscle rather on his latest book.
Speaker 1: That later Sunday night, Packers had forts Packers side unseen
Speaker 1: Packers again double digit favorites tonight against the Lions. Packers
Speaker 1: do me a favorite win this game for survivor purposes,
Speaker 1: thank you very much. Packers are at the Niners was
Speaker 1: that what you say, So Packers, we don't know because
Speaker 1: we haven't seen him play at They played in night
Speaker 1: San Francisco yesterday beat the Eagles, another one of these
Speaker 1: sort of injury report games where it goes against you know,
Speaker 1: the injury report information. Niners were banged up garoppolo Jimmy
Speaker 1: G twenty two of thirty seven, one touchdown note Picks
Speaker 1: wasn't sacked. Eleven carries for twenty yards and a touchdown.
Speaker 1: The fleet of foot Jimmy G. We may touchdown on
Speaker 1: the ground Deebo Samuel six catches ninety three yards um
Speaker 1: up seven to three. The Niners had a six team
Speaker 1: play nine two yard drive that featured eight first downs
Speaker 1: capped by a Jimmy G one yard touchdown in that
Speaker 1: win over the Eagles. They beat the Eagles seven teen
Speaker 1: to eleven, covering the two and a half point number. Again.
Speaker 1: The theme, the biggest betting theme of the week for me,
Speaker 1: again if you missed at the top of the show,
Speaker 1: is the fact that the injury reports, which we go
Speaker 1: through game by game on Primetime Action on MSG Plus
Speaker 1: with Matt Brown and Kelly Bidlin Friday Night, all that
Speaker 1: injury intel when it came down. Oh my god, the
Speaker 1: Ravens are decimated. Oh my god, the Vikings have bad
Speaker 1: you know, Raiders. There were so many teams, they all
Speaker 1: went the other way, the other one. It's got to
Speaker 1: be an aberration. Is a total adboration of the time.
Speaker 1: That's the intel you need, um or the thoroughness you did.
Speaker 1: I'll say San Francisco minus four and a half against
Speaker 1: Sight unseen with Green Beatty it's four. I see one
Speaker 1: three and a half. I personally think that's a huge overreaction.
Speaker 1: My numbers come to two and a half on the
Speaker 1: fourt and you know, I have you know, let's not
Speaker 1: go crazy downgrading Green Bay after one game. You know,
Speaker 1: I know they looked horrible, but it's one game, you know, jeez.
Speaker 1: I think somebody mentioned, uh, Tampa Bay last year lost
Speaker 1: in New Orleans, like thirty eight three or something like that,
Speaker 1: and we thought that, well there goes there goes Tommy
Speaker 1: super Bowl hopes. You know, No, I think this is
Speaker 1: an overreaction. I think that's way too high of the
Speaker 1: number I am. I see one three and a half
Speaker 1: out there, and that's what I'm gonna open is three
Speaker 1: and a half. But there's plenty of fours, so the
Speaker 1: number is probably closer to yours. But I said, my
Speaker 1: numbers come to two and a half. You know, and
Speaker 1: you're talking about a non home field advantage, Hello, San Francisco,
Speaker 1: Levi Is it still called Levi Stadium? Is that was
Speaker 1: still it is? It is a beautiful stadium, but it
Speaker 1: is also an antiseptic stadium. I don't see any home
Speaker 1: field advantage here. I mean, I I still give them
Speaker 1: two points, even know why I'm giving them that, but
Speaker 1: I think that's that's then. That's a Sunday night game.
Speaker 1: The traffic on the one oh one going to that
Speaker 1: game Africa, Oh my god, on a Sunday night. Oh no,
Speaker 1: it's not a workday though, but it is Sunday night.
Speaker 1: If it was Monday night, I'd be a thing. But still,
Speaker 1: what's that traffic? All right? Monday night? What are you got? Well?
Speaker 1: You get your fun? Eagles at Cowboys. Oh, NFC East
Speaker 1: to one on one teams. By the way, the entire
Speaker 1: NFC East wanted one, except for the Giants who are
Speaker 1: going too. By the way, I disagree with you with scheme.
Speaker 1: I just want to point that out. Yes, it is Philadelphia.
Speaker 1: Cut it from eight to six with a two point
Speaker 1: conversion with just over two minutes left. Oh, with just
Speaker 1: over four minutes left in this game. Oh, I want
Speaker 1: I've made this note. Keep in mind, the Eagles were
Speaker 1: down fourteen points in this game. They scored to make
Speaker 1: it seventeen to nine. Instead of katting the extra point,
Speaker 1: they did the analytics thing and went for two and
Speaker 1: made it seventeen to eleven. Didn't end up resulting in victory,
Speaker 1: but I wanted to point out that they did that,
Speaker 1: which again makes people's heads explode, but it is the
Speaker 1: correct mathematical thing to do. Hurt's only twelve completions, twelve
Speaker 1: for one ninety no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice.
Speaker 1: Ten carries for eighty two yards and a touchdown Quez Watkins,
Speaker 1: two catches for one seventeen so ninety one by the way,
Speaker 1: ninety one yard touchdown pass to Watkins. Oh no, we
Speaker 1: didn't score the touchdown, he fell short. But ninety one
Speaker 1: of of Hurts is on ninety throwing yards were on
Speaker 1: that one pass. And then there's Dallas. We talked about
Speaker 1: them beating the Chargers in a game where they did
Speaker 1: not where they were outplayed quite frankly, Doc was twenty
Speaker 1: three of twenty seven, only four in completions for two
Speaker 1: or thirty seven yards, no touchdowns, one pick, you sacked twice,
Speaker 1: Pollard thirteen for one on nine and touchdown Zeke six
Speaker 1: for seventy one in a touchdown Ceedee Lamb eight of
Speaker 1: eighty one through the air. Uh. This though, game ended
Speaker 1: on a fifty six yard game winner with no time
Speaker 1: left on the clock by Greg Zerline Greg the leg
Speaker 1: completely bailing out Mike McCarthy, who let the clock bleed
Speaker 1: him twenty eight seconds down to four seconds because you
Speaker 1: just gotta kick a fifty six yard or when you
Speaker 1: get a chance. And he said, well, we were in
Speaker 1: field goal position. Really, Dak Prescott was five or five
Speaker 1: or thirty five yards on that game when he drive.
Speaker 1: But here's McCarthy on the on the bleeding of the
Speaker 1: clock down to four seconds. Quote, I've never had a
Speaker 1: clock go off the board on me like that. The
Speaker 1: second down, we were trying to chip away and just
Speaker 1: get a shorter field goal, so we were going to
Speaker 1: attempt a third down play then kicking on fourth. He insisted, Uh,
Speaker 1: the clock, He insisted the clock he was watching powered
Speaker 1: off because as John Gala pointed out off air, there's
Speaker 1: only one clock in that whole stadium McCarthy. He said
Speaker 1: that offensive coordinator Kellen Moore couldn't see a clock because
Speaker 1: it was blocked by a camera guy head to an
Speaker 1: under unanticipated personnel change. Pollard, it seems trotted towards the
Speaker 1: sideline after the play before being redirected back on and
Speaker 1: the Cowboys simply didn't capitalize on the one or two
Speaker 1: plays the clocks seemed to allow for. McCarthy said, it
Speaker 1: was a quote substitution communication. We were communicating with the box.
Speaker 1: We didn't have the personnel set for the third down call.
Speaker 1: Once you get below seventeen seconds, it's a threshold and
Speaker 1: you just let it run out and take the kick.
Speaker 1: Seventeen seconds is the threshold. What this is the This
Speaker 1: is the dumbest league I've ever fucked. What are they doing? Anyway?
Speaker 1: I didn't guess anything. Dallas minus three and a half. Oh,
Speaker 1: you're right on, it's three and half. My power rating
Speaker 1: has come a little higher. But uh boy, we're talking
Speaker 1: about you don't need an i Q test to uh
Speaker 1: you don't have to pass an Mike McCarthy exhibit a
Speaker 1: right there. I mean, I don't know. I mean, I
Speaker 1: think Aaron Rodgers saved him about ten years out of
Speaker 1: that whatever his career was up in Green Bay. I
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna open three and a half. I just
Speaker 1: don't want to fool with it. But my power ratings
Speaker 1: do come higher. But boy, I just tell you. I mean,
Speaker 1: but the Eagles, they don't look that good. But I
Speaker 1: do like Sirianni. I think the guy he's there's a
Speaker 1: smart kid right there, and I think he's gonna get
Speaker 1: the most out of Jalen Hurts. Eventually didn't happen yesterday,
Speaker 1: all right, it's the first reaction. I like the Chargers
Speaker 1: and the Cardinals best next week you if you were betting,
Speaker 1: if I was up there, bet and I got. I
Speaker 1: like the Texans, I like the Cardinals, like the Chargers.
Speaker 1: I like the New York Football Jazz. I just I
Speaker 1: like them too. By that number. Thank you, Christy, appreciate it,
Speaker 1: Pleasure Lines. We'll put it in a podcast for him.
Speaker 1: If you've missed any part of this beating the book
Speaker 1: feed Lombardi Line with Michael Lombardi next right here at
Speaker 1: Decent These Sports Betting Network