1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Day Baker podcast. Kimoni's Finding the 3 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: twenty sixth of September. I'm Caroline Hepget in London. Coming 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 2: up today, President Trump announces a one hundred percent duty 5 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 2: on patented drugs made by pharmaceutical firms not building plants 6 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: in the US. The former FBI director James Comy is 7 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 2: charged with lying to Congress as the President cheers plus 8 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 2: ready to strike, Europeans privately tell Moscow they are prepared 9 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 2: to shoot down Russian jets that enter their airspace. Let's 10 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 2: start with a roundup of our top stories. President Trump 11 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 2: has unveiled a fresh round of tariffs, including a one 12 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: hundred percent levy on any branded or patented pharmaceutical product, 13 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: that is, unless a company is building a drugs manufacturing 14 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 2: plant in America. The move was one of several industry 15 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: focused tariffs and now by the President. In a post 16 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 2: on truth social President Trump announcer fifty percent tariff on 17 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 2: kitchen cabinets, thirty percent levee on upholstered furniture, and a 18 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 2: twenty five percent tariff on heavy trucks imported into the US. 19 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 2: New charges will take effect next week on the first 20 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 2: of October. Deborah Elms, head of trade policy at the 21 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 2: Heindrich Foundation, speaks, now. 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 3: This is an incredible, breathtaking expansion of tariff coverage that 23 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 3: will affect everyone, including those countries that thought that they 24 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 3: had a deal in place under those reciprocal tariffs that 25 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 3: are not covered by these sector specific new applications. 26 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 2: So that was Deborah Elms had a trade policy at 27 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 2: the Heinrich Foundation. According to Bloomberg Economics, the levee on 28 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: pharmaceuticals could raise the average US tariff rate by up 29 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 2: to three point three percentage points. However, the impact may 30 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 2: be offset by the exemption for companies building American manufacturing facilities. 31 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 2: Former FBI direct to James Comy has been charged with 32 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 2: lying to Congress and obstruction in relation to testimony that 33 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 2: he gave in twenty twenty. Comy told Congress that he 34 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: never authorized anyone at the FBI to be an anonymous 35 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 2: source in news reports. The current charges say that that 36 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 2: was false. It comes days after President Trump demanded legal 37 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 2: action against Comy and other perceived political enemies. Comey reacted 38 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 2: to the announcement on Instagram. 39 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 4: My family and I have known for years that there 40 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 4: are costs to standing up to Donald Trump, but we 41 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 4: couldn't imagine ourselves living any other way. We will not 42 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 4: live on our knees, and you shouldn't either. Somebody that 43 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 4: I love dearly recently said that fear is the tool 44 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 4: of a tyrant. And she's right. But I'm not afraid, 45 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 4: and I hope you're not either. 46 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 2: James Comy, speaking there as the US Justice Department said 47 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 2: that he could face up to five years in prison. 48 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 2: President Trump, mean while, reacted positively to the news on 49 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 2: truth social describing Comy as quote bad for our country. 50 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 2: European diplomats have privately warned the Kremlin that NATO is 51 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 2: ready to respond to further violations of its airspace by 52 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 2: shooting down Russian planes. Bloomberg understands that British, French and 53 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 2: German envoys had a meeting in Moscow about an incursion 54 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 2: by three fighter jets over Estonia last week, concluding after 55 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: the meeting that the violation was deliberate. Speaking to Bloomberg's 56 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 2: editor in chief, John Micklethwaite, the Secretary General Mark Ritchard 57 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 2: says that NATO is well prepared. 58 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 5: Our fighter jet miners not exactly what to do for 59 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 5: fifty years now, from the sophiet days to now is Russia. 60 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 5: We have had these incursions before. They will assess the 61 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 5: danger and if the danger is such that they feel 62 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 5: they really have to take down the plane, then they can. 63 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 5: But they've also decided that there's no imminent threat, and 64 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 5: then they will escort them outside off the airspace. 65 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 2: NATO Secretary General Mark Rutter speaking there, He also said 66 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 2: that Western militaries cannot afford to keep shooting down drones 67 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 2: with costly missiles. Russian officials have denied their planes crossed 68 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: into NATO airspace, and the Kremlin insists it's not trying 69 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 2: to test the alliance. One of the world's most closely 70 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 2: watched hedge fund managers is warning that unprecedented spending on 71 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 2: ai I may not pay off. Greenlight Capital founder David 72 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 2: Einhorn says that there's a reasonable chance that a tremendous 73 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,359 Speaker 2: amount of capital destruction will occur. 74 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 6: So now we have open ai today, they're a trillion 75 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 6: and they have like ten billion of revenue, So I 76 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:41,239 Speaker 6: don't know where the trillion is going to come from. 77 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 6: These aren't like, you know, a trillion dollars is basically 78 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 6: the book equity of the mag seven and opening. I 79 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 6: want us to invest in this much in the next 80 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 6: number of years in data centers. This seems really really 81 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 6: strange to me. It seems to be a continued competition 82 00:04:57,040 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 6: of people throwing out numbers which sound really really big 83 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 6: and really really exciting, that are not really measurable. 84 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 2: David Einhorn, who was speaking there to an audience at 85 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:12,559 Speaker 2: the Simplify Asset Management event, he said that weak job 86 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:17,039 Speaker 2: growth and stagnant productivity are signs that a recession may 87 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 2: be looming. Let's get to some news here in the UK. 88 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 2: When it's a Kiss, Starmer will announce a plan for 89 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 2: compulsory ID cards as part of efforts to tackle small 90 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,839 Speaker 2: boat crossings. Blomberg has learned that every adult in Britain 91 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 2: will need a digital document to start a job or 92 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 2: rent a house. Silky Carlo from Big Brother Watch says 93 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 2: this run's counter to Britain's history of civil liberties. 94 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 7: Employers already have a legal duty to check people's right 95 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 7: to work. Starmer has absolutely no mandate for this. Nobody 96 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 7: voted for this. This wasn't in the labor manifesto. 97 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 2: The new scheme is kiss Starmer's latest attempt to reset 98 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 2: his government as political rivals like the Manchester mayor Andy 99 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 2: Burnham talk about replacing him. Bloomberg reported Kirstarma's allies had 100 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: been comparing the Manchester meir to Liz Truss, alleging that 101 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 2: he is a risk to bond markets. Liz Trust responded 102 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 2: to the Bloomberg story saying Burnham quote should be so lucky. 103 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 2: And lastly, corporate NEWSVW says it's cutting car production and 104 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 2: introducing temporary shutdowns at two German factories. Bloomberg's Mihul Kubala 105 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: has that story. 106 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 8: While VW is benefiting from growing electric vehicle sales in Europe, 107 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 8: the overall rise in demand for its evs is slower 108 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 8: than the German automaker had predicted. The two sides where 109 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 8: it is cutting output produce EV's exclusively, making them especially 110 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 8: vulnerable to fluctuations in demand for battery powered models. The 111 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 8: announcement comes despite new figures released yesterday showing an uptick 112 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:56,359 Speaker 8: in EV sales. European consumers continued to warm to electric 113 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 8: and hybrid models produced by the region's manufacturers in their 114 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:04,599 Speaker 8: right back against Chinese rivals. In Brussels, Michal kobala Bloomberg Radio. 115 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 2: So those are our top stories for you this morning. 116 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 2: Now President Trump back with further tariffs, the US stocks 117 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 2: healthcare index may underperform today. We've seen a sell off 118 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 2: in pharmaceutical and health stocks in Asia overnight. Stock futures 119 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 2: for Europe are up though over all half of one percent, 120 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,680 Speaker 2: but we've seen the all country World index down a 121 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 2: tenth of one percent, the cost by slumping almost two 122 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 2: and a half percent this morning. We've also got, of 123 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:37,160 Speaker 2: couse the PCE data, the inflation figures out on Friday. 124 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 2: Personal consumption expenditures expected to rise by two tenths of 125 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 2: one percent in August versus three tenths in July. And 126 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 2: in terms of the Fed money markets slightly cutting bets 127 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 2: on rate cut expectations forty basis points of this. 128 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 8: Year. 129 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: That's because of the strong GDP data we sort out 130 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 2: of the US yesterday. So those are the markets this morning. 131 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 2: Now in a moment, but we'll talk about NATO and 132 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: we'll also discuss the pharmaceutical levees that President Trump is 133 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 2: bringing in next week. But there's something else that caught 134 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 2: my eye, maybe a bit more fun, maybe a bit 135 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: louder and more raucous. So this is the Ryder Cup, 136 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 2: the forty fifth Ryder Cup that is taking place in 137 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 2: New York, haves every couple of years. Of course, cheers, boos, heckling. 138 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: It's going to be a wild weekend of golf. Our 139 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 2: opinion columnst Adam Mint has been writing about this, but 140 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: then I was also watching Carson Daily hosting the opening 141 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 2: ceremony event for the Ryder Cup. Of course it pits 142 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 2: a team of US golfers against a bunch of European golfers. 143 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 2: I mean, you have's done pretty well of course one 144 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 2: in Rome. So we're going to see huge rivalry and 145 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 2: the big question about whether the opening pairings, the people 146 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 2: going out first are going to be able to really drive. 147 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,439 Speaker 2: At the first hot, I hit a really really long 148 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 2: shot three hundred and sixty five yards. It's going to 149 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 2: be fascinating. Sars at twelve to ten London time today, 150 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 2: a pretty early state side seven ten Am. I like 151 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 2: the fact that Adam Mint has gone into the details 152 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 2: about actually how many people are getting more interested in golf, 153 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 2: which has kind of been a bit of a dying 154 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 2: sport but is coming back, and a lot of that 155 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,079 Speaker 2: is to do with not playing golf on the golf course, 156 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 2: but actually playing it indoors with your friends top golf. 157 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 2: Maybe that's something that you can think about for the weekend, 158 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 2: getting a team together and some bets and watching the 159 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 2: Ryder Cup. 160 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:28,839 Speaker 9: Of course. 161 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 2: Anyway, that's something that I've been thinking about to date. 162 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,199 Speaker 2: Let's also turn our attention though, to matters more serious, 163 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 2: a rapid expansion or of US tariff barriers in both 164 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 2: Chief Asia correspondent Ros Matheson joins me now to discuss 165 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 2: Good morning Ros on the farmer taris, what does this 166 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 2: exemption exception for building a US plant mean? 167 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 10: Do you think this has started out really as just 168 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 10: Donald Trump announcing something on social media overnight and there 169 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 10: isn't a lot of detail and paperwork in practice what 170 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 10: this would be. But it does seem as though he's 171 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 10: announcing another round of tariffs on different goods, including kitchen 172 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 10: cabinets and heavy trucks, but also particularly pharmaceutical branded pharmaceuticals 173 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 10: pagented pharmaceuticals, so probably not generic pharmaceuticals. 174 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,319 Speaker 1: But you know, this is potentially. 175 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 10: Impactful for a lot of big farmer companies around the world, 176 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 10: unless they have already started to break ground on production facilities. 177 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 3: In the US. 178 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 1: I mean, many of them are doing that, so they 179 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 1: may find they get an exemption, but some have promised 180 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: to do so and have not yet started, and it's 181 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,479 Speaker 1: very unclear if they get impacted. 182 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 3: And also how does this go. 183 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 10: Against all the other trade deals that are being done 184 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 10: and the complex arrangements already. Does this get stacked on 185 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 10: top of other tariffs? Do you get an exemption if 186 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:55,439 Speaker 10: you've already negotiated a full trade deal with the US. 187 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 10: So it's unclear just how significant this might be for 188 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:03,440 Speaker 10: farmer company and it's potentially impactful, particularly for those in Europe, 189 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 10: but also in Singapore. But you can see from the 190 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 10: market reaction that people are kind of waiting really to 191 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 10: get more detail exactly how it's going to play out. 192 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely they are. You know, perhaps the upshot of 193 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 2: this is that the trade will might not end, it 194 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 2: might be an ongoing state. Roslin, thank you so much 195 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 2: for being with us. That in Bloomberg's chief Asia correspondent, 196 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 2: Roslyn Matheson speaking to me this morning. Stay with us. 197 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg daybaqube coming up after this. So European 198 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 2: leaders privately telling Moscow, that they're ready to shoot down 199 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 2: jets and encroach on their territory as Russia appears to 200 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:45,400 Speaker 2: be testing native member countries and Mark Russia speaking to Bloomberg, 201 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 2: Well talking to us this morning, Ben Sills, Bloomberg's Managing 202 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 2: editor for European Economy and Government. Ben, good to have 203 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 2: you with me today. It seems like a real test 204 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 2: of NATO credibility at the moment. What has emerged you 205 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 2: think over the course of these past few days on 206 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 2: trying to counter Russia. 207 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 9: Hi, good morning, Caroline. Yeah, I think you're right. I 208 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:09,960 Speaker 9: think I would say that. You know, this year NATO 209 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 9: has faced two major challenges. The first one kind of 210 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 9: concluded at the beginning of the summer with that summit 211 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 9: where Mark Rutter managed to persuade Donald Trump to kind 212 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 9: of renew the US commitment to the alliance, which I 213 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 9: think had been, you know, a source of some concern 214 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 9: for European leaders. And now you have a series of 215 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 9: incursions by various Russian aircraft, thrones and fighter jets along 216 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 9: the eastern Eastern border. That the worrying thing about that 217 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:53,840 Speaker 9: is that for years, ever since really the start of 218 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 9: the war in Ukraine, security analysts have been saying that 219 00:12:57,520 --> 00:13:02,960 Speaker 9: when if Russia wants to threaten Europe beyond Ukraine, the 220 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 9: way that begins is with some kind of hybrid attack 221 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 9: which sows confusion, and by confusing or disguising their intentions, 222 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 9: the Russians are seeking to divide the allies. And you 223 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 9: have seen that this week with the governments in Eastern Europe, 224 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 9: the Polls, the Estonians, the Lithuanians, all calling for really 225 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 9: assert of response to further further incursions, including potentially shooting 226 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 9: down Russian jets, whereas the Germans, for example, happened publicly 227 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 9: much more cautious. But what we learned from this, from 228 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 9: from this reporting yesterday is that actually in private, the Germans, 229 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 9: French and the British have been delivering a fairly fairly 230 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 9: strong message to the Russians saying, actually, yeah, you do that, 231 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 9: and we are prepared to shoot down your jets. 232 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:05,200 Speaker 2: That is interesting, isn't it. Mark Rutterer telling Bloomberg that 233 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 2: President Trump's statement on Ukraine that it could maybe take 234 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 2: back all of its territory is fantastic. I mean, that's 235 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 2: the other layer, isn't it. It is just about what 236 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 2: the US position on NATO is. 237 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 9: Yeah, that was quite surprising from Trump this week, I thought, 238 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 9: you know, and there were different layers to it, you know. Obviously, 239 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 9: it was a really strong endorsement of the Ukrainian position 240 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 9: on the face of it, and a very bleak assessment 241 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,479 Speaker 9: from a Russia point of view of both their economy 242 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 9: and their military situation. At the same time, Trump clearly 243 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 9: is distancing the US from the conflict in Ukraine, and 244 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 9: the role that he defined for the US is essentially 245 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 9: selling weapons to the Europeans so that they can ship 246 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 9: them to Ukraine. So kind of, on the one hand, 247 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 9: you do have the reassurance that it looks like a 248 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 9: prosh one between the US and Russia is further away 249 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 9: and it's been for some time. You also have less 250 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 9: fewer restrictions on the face of it, on the weapons 251 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 9: that Ukraine can access if they can find the money, 252 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 9: but less skin in the game for the US. 253 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 11: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 254 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 11: stories making news from London to Wall Streets and beyond. 255 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, 256 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 2: Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 257 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 11: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 258 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 11: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 259 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 260 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 261 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepca. 262 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 11: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for 263 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 11: all the news you need to start your day right 264 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 11: here on Bloomberg day Break Europe 265 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 10: M