1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene along 3 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 2: with Paul Sweeney. Join us each day for insight from 4 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 2: the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You 5 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 2: can also watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the 6 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday 7 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 2: mornings from seven to ten am Eastern from our global 8 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 9 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 10 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,160 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. 11 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: Join us now. 12 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 2: A guy who doesn't believe in a hold John Stolfus 13 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 2: just says, be in the market, participate thrill to could 14 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 2: join us today? Sean, where's SPX a year out? 15 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 3: I think it's well over six a year out, But 16 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 3: it'll depend upon what we're looking for, you know, in 17 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 3: terms of from the FED and also what the new 18 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 3: administration does or the because it'll be a new administration 19 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 3: irregardless of who wins, right, I mean it terms from 20 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 3: what we just. 21 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 2: Know, But what's the earning service? Is a Kate moron 22 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 2: from Black Rock and I said, you know, I don't 23 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 2: know if I got a rock star answer from her. 24 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 2: But John what do your security analysts say earnings will 25 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 2: be out a year? Do we get the same earnings 26 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:33,639 Speaker 2: love that we had the last ninety days? 27 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 3: I would say overall, I don't want to speak for them, well, 28 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 3: I can speak for our team. We would expect that 29 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: we're going to see revenue and earnings growth will continue 30 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 3: so long as we remain on a path where we 31 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 3: have a federal reserve that remained sensitive to practicing its mandate, 32 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 3: and we continue to see resilience, whether it's in business, 33 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 3: the consumer, or to some degree at least in terms 34 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 3: of job postings. Although I understand that I think it's 35 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 3: Wednesday or Thursday we get that revision number, it'll be 36 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 3: interesting to see what that job's number looks like in 37 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 3: terms of inaggregate thus far. 38 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:17,639 Speaker 1: Johnny, you mentioned to FED a couple of times. 39 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 4: Here. 40 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: We're going to hear from FED chairman j Pal later 41 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 1: this week in Jackson Hole. 42 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 5: What do you expect to hear? Are you expecting any 43 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 5: surprises whatsoever? 44 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 3: You know, I'm not. I'm expecting him to remain His 45 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:36,920 Speaker 3: general message has been one that will likely continue in 46 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 3: Jackson the Hole this week, it'll probably be essentially the 47 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 3: FED has made great progress, they remain data dependent, are 48 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 3: looking for the confidence to begin to lower rates, and 49 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 3: I think generally it'll be with one It'll be an 50 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 3: intimation that likely the market is going to get I 51 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 3: shouldn't say the market, but the FED is to provide 52 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 3: Main Street and Wall Street with a down payment that 53 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 3: will look probably like a twenty five BIPs cut. But 54 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 3: he won't talk about that directly, Jenny. 55 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 2: If I say to people, corporations adapt, and I guess 56 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 2: I've been right on that for two years, but you 57 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: know who knows about the next year. But when I 58 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: say corporations for adapt, how do you translate that? Is 59 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 2: they adapt on capital spending? Do they adapt on headcount? 60 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,119 Speaker 2: How do actual companies adapt? 61 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: I think they adapt on both of those that you 62 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 3: just mentioned, capax and headcount. It certainly showed up in 63 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 3: terms of technology, in terms of the technology companies last 64 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 3: year when they began cutting in the market like that, 65 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 3: when they were beginning to cut a warehoused employees, and 66 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 3: then in terms of tap as. I think people investors 67 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 3: are generally pleased to see that the investment in AI 68 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 3: is just within technology and communications services, but it's across 69 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 3: the other nine sectors as well. As business looks for 70 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 3: to create greater efficiencies, I think, by the way, I 71 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 3: also think the consumer is going to look for greater efficiencies. 72 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:20,239 Speaker 3: That's why you know, when you get upgrades coming in smartphones, 73 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 3: that'll be something that should benefit those manufacturers. Without being 74 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 3: specific on names. 75 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 5: Hey, John, pretty much getting gotten through these earning cycle. 76 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 5: Here we have some retailers this week. What's your takeaway? 77 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,559 Speaker 5: Were there earnings good enough to keep this market moving? 78 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 3: Oh? I think so. I think if anything. You know, 79 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 3: when we look at the earnings, we've got four sectors 80 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 3: double digit earnings growth. And as I recall, and I'm 81 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 3: not just going to say, I recall it's the best 82 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:53,599 Speaker 3: in line was healthcare sixteen point five percent so far 83 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 3: with about ninety three percent of companies having reported. The 84 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 3: utes utility is fifteen points q three percent earnings growth. 85 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 3: And then you've got community, You've got consumer discretionary thirteen 86 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 3: point nine percent. You'd never believe it based on the 87 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 3: performance for consumer discretionary stock. What is it? 88 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 2: I mean, we're talking to a guy dressed conservatively. We 89 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 2: just talked to Dan Ives, who was irresponsibly colorful today. 90 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 2: What is Apple and MAG seven going to do? 91 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 3: John Stolfus, Well, I've got to say, let me I 92 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 3: can comment on MAG seven rather than an individual company, Beau, 93 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 3: since I heard you know, I manage money. The OpCo 94 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 3: doesn't like me pitching my buscher. But I can say 95 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 3: this related to MAG seven, I would expect that they 96 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 3: will continue to be where investors will look for now 97 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 3: in terms of earnings growth that generally remains ahead of 98 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 3: other sectors, though this most recent sector showed it was 99 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 3: it was healthcare, the utes and consumer discretionary with the 100 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 3: double digit action was so I think it's a broadening 101 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 3: of the effect as we go forward. And while I 102 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 3: think the Magium will remain in the leadership, it will 103 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 3: not necessarily be that which is the lead dog, so 104 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 3: to speak, in the back. 105 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 2: Just so, flake Dog, thank you so much. Love to 106 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: hear you talk about the YouTube. Kaylee Lines, good morning 107 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 2: from Chicago. Do you know how to drive a car 108 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 2: with a clutch? 109 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 6: I have no idea. 110 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: There we go. 111 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 2: We welcome Kaylee Lines at the DNC with balance of power. Kayley, 112 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 2: I want to go to tonight and President Obama speaking 113 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 2: and I think there's so many people that don't understand 114 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 2: what Joe Biden wrought. In two thousand and eight first term, 115 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 2: Obama got sixty nine million votes. Joe Biden got seventeen 116 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 2: percent more votes, eighty one million. How does Vitvident Harris 117 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 2: do a Biden and get that kind of turnout, that 118 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 2: kind of eighty one million popular votes. 119 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 6: Well, that kind of turnout, Tom Frankly, is something that 120 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 6: money can help you buy, or at least you can 121 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 6: invest in the resources to drive the turnout to vote 122 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 6: effort in the swing states that ultimately will decide this election. 123 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 6: And certainly the Harris campaign does have ample money to spend. 124 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 6: They raised three hundred and ten million dollars just in 125 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:30,679 Speaker 6: the month of July, the campaign said yesterday, sixty percent 126 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 6: of that was from women in particular, So turnout in 127 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 6: the women demographic is going to be important. That's something 128 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 6: that was alluded to on the convention floor last night 129 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 6: as they specifically focused on the issue of reproductive rights, 130 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 6: heard stories of people's pregnancies and miscarriage or inability to 131 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 6: access a board of care, and that is something a 132 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 6: big theme that this convention is focusing on as they 133 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 6: try to drive turnout not just among female voters, but 134 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 6: also among certain demographics like Latino and Black. 135 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 2: Well, that's where I wanted to go. What's the Latino 136 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: focus in Chicagoeos features that today and to me, the 137 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 2: turnout dynamic that pure Research identifies is about Latino. Tell 138 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 2: give us a vignette of Latino visibility. 139 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 6: Well, the Pew Research survey you're alluding to, Tom that 140 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 6: came out last week shows that Harris does have a 141 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 6: solid lead with Latino voters over Donald Trump. It's something 142 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 6: to the tune of about seventeen points, and when Biden 143 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 6: was still in the race, he was effectively tied with 144 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 6: Trump in that demographic. We actually spoke here on set 145 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 6: in Chicago yesterday with Frankie Miranda, who runs the Hispanic Federation. 146 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 6: They have done specific polling on this, and he told 147 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 6: us fifty seven percent of Latinos that they surveyed say 148 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 6: they are now more enthusiastic and interested in this election 149 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 6: cycle since Kamala Harris entered the race. He said, seventy 150 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 6: three percent of registered Latino voters are now almost certain 151 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 6: that they are going to vote in this election cycle, 152 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 6: and that could be critical in certain states. Includingling states 153 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 6: like Nevada, where the New York Times in Siena polling 154 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 6: that came out over the weekend found Harris within one 155 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 6: point Donald Trump. So the Latino vote could make a 156 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 6: big difference in a state like that. 157 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 2: I don't know where clicks in Paul, but we get 158 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 2: to a point where turnout is the only thing discussed. 159 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 2: Policy doesn't matter, that doesn't matter. 160 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: All it's going to be is get out the vote, 161 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: Get out the vote, Kaylee. 162 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 5: The Democratic Party came into Chicago with some pretty solid momentum, 163 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 5: with VP Harrish being named the top of the ticket here. 164 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 5: They had a good first night, it seemed like last night. 165 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 5: What's the level of optimism in Chicago these days among 166 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:29,199 Speaker 5: party faithful. 167 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 6: Well, there's a lot of energy. 168 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 7: Tom. 169 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 6: Democrats, especially at the highest levels, are very enthusiastic about 170 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 6: the Harris Walls ticket, and frankly, it seems to be 171 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 6: quite relieved that this is a convention celebrating that and 172 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 6: not a convention filled with dread about whether or not 173 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 6: Joe Biden, as an octagenarian, would be able to ultimately 174 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 6: win the election in November. Of course, it was an 175 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,559 Speaker 6: emotional night in Chicago last night when Joe Biden gave 176 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 6: his address very late into the evening, he talked well 177 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 6: past midnight on the East Coast about his legacy, but 178 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 6: he tied that much to the effort of not just 179 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 6: him as president, but also Kamala Harris as vice president. 180 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 6: I will say, though, while the Democratic Party is trying 181 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 6: to preach this notion of unity that they have all 182 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 6: coalesced behind this ticket, divisions are still certainly present. You 183 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 6: see a lot of that outside the United Centers. There's 184 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 6: been thousands of protesters protesting over the ongoing war in Gaza, 185 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 6: and that's why developments in regard to a potential ceasefire, 186 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 6: which Israel has agreed to Hamas the jury is still 187 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 6: out on. But the political timing of that if it 188 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 6: comes to frush and certainly can't go without notice. The 189 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 6: effort toward a ceasefire was raised by Biden last night, 190 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 6: it was raised by progressives like Congressman and Alexandria Costio Cortez, 191 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 6: who also spoke on the floor, and I would guess 192 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 6: that it's going to come up repeatedly, potentially in Harris's 193 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 6: own remarks on Thursday night. 194 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 5: So going to there, Kaylee, VP, Harris's remarks on Thursday. 195 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 5: A lot of the country, most of the country is 196 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 5: still trying to get to know Kamala Harris. What do 197 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 5: we expect to hear from her on Thursday? What do 198 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 5: you think the tone and the meat of the speech 199 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 5: will be. 200 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:01,719 Speaker 6: It'll likely be a lot of the frames we've come 201 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 6: to expect from her over the course of her now 202 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 6: four weeks old candidacy, This notion that she is looking 203 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 6: toward the future, that she does not want to go 204 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 6: back to the past, that she is fighting for freedom, 205 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:14,079 Speaker 6: which is one of the themes of the Democratic Convention 206 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 6: here in Chicago, whether that be from reproductive rights to 207 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 6: the right to vote, and likely a lot of that 208 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 6: will push forward on Thursday. I've been worn by many 209 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 6: a Democratic strategists not to expect many fine points of 210 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 6: policy to emerge in the speech, not going to get 211 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 6: very much into details, whether it comes to economic policy 212 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:33,319 Speaker 6: or otherwise. I would note, though, before we hear Harris 213 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 6: on Thursday, she and her running mate Tim Walls won't 214 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:38,439 Speaker 6: even be here in Chicago for the speeches from the 215 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 6: Obamas or from the Second Gentleman. Tonight. They're heading to Milwaukee, 216 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:44,319 Speaker 6: Wisconsin to the Pfizer Forum where the Republican Convention was 217 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 6: held just four weeks ago. So they're taking their campaign 218 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,319 Speaker 6: to the Swing States even as all the other Democrats 219 00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 6: are gathered here in Chicago. 220 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: Kayley, thanks for the brief. See you tomorrow if you 221 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 2: can do it again. Kaylee Line, thank us so much. 222 00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 2: Balance of Power. Look for that on of Bloomberg here 223 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 2: near the twelve hour and also five pms to night 224 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 2: twelve to two and five pm as well across this nation. 225 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:21,559 Speaker 2: This is the most important conversation Bloomberg Surveillance will have today. 226 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,680 Speaker 2: He has served the nation in the military. And as 227 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 2: we lose track and touch of any number of topics, 228 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 2: I'll get the one that has to do with domestic politics. 229 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 2: But Paul is looking at how he and I have 230 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 2: stepped back and lost touch with Ukraine. 231 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:39,080 Speaker 1: With McK moulroy. 232 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 5: Mcmulroy Tom he's co founder of the Lobo Institute, former 233 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 5: Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East at 234 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 5: the US Department of Defense, former Power Military Operations officer 235 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 5: at CIA, and former US Marine Infantry officer. And we 236 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 5: thank mister maulroy for his service there. Let's start with Ukraine. 237 00:12:56,640 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 5: It seems very noteworthy that Ukraine has launched this incursion 238 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 5: into Russia. 239 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: Tell us what that means for the bigger picture there. 240 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 4: Paul as Sons who said, attack where the enemy is 241 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 4: not right. So they basically did a really significant intelligence 242 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 4: I think analysis of where Russia was weak, and they 243 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,839 Speaker 4: hit the seams and gaps. I do actually think this 244 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 4: is more like a du Lettle raid if you remember that, 245 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:29,559 Speaker 4: basically just to kind of like give a psychological punch 246 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 4: in that case to Japan, this place to Russia. But 247 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 4: they didn't really expect it to go as successful as 248 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 4: it was, and then they just capitalized on it. They 249 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 4: sent in more troops, they brought in combined air and 250 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 4: ground operations, and they'd taken over what one thousand square 251 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:49,560 Speaker 4: kilometers now over eighty villages. It's really significant, and it 252 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 4: looks like they've decided that they will set up a 253 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 4: military headquarters and potentially use it as some kind of 254 00:13:55,160 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 4: bargaining for when the actual discussions start for the end 255 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 4: of the war. 256 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: And when do you think that may be? Because it seems, Mick. 257 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 5: That we've been grinding here this almost war of attrition 258 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 5: within Ukraine. Now we have this development within Russia. Does 259 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:14,839 Speaker 5: that bring the Russians to the table. Do you think 260 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 5: that accelerates any potential discussions. 261 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 1: I think it could, right. 262 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 4: So obviously Russia's taken far more Ukrainian territory, but in 263 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 4: the last year now the Ukrainians have taken more Russian territory. 264 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 4: Then I mean, yeah, then Russians have taken up Ukraine. 265 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 4: So it really is shifting the balance here, and it's 266 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 4: really telling Russia that they're not impervious to this war 267 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 4: coming home. It's now home and Russians are being relocated 268 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 4: because of it. So I think, frankly, when it comes 269 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 4: to a war of attrition, Ukraine can't win that they 270 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 4: are vastly outnumbered. But what they can do is take 271 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 4: bold moves like this and change the calculation of Vladimir 272 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 4: pood Mick. 273 00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 2: I'm bringing this up with great respect for you public service. 274 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 2: A kid was in Brighton, mass which was Bulle Collar Boston, 275 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 2: and he became an enlisty I believe in the Marines. 276 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 2: Got out of the Marines, they threw him into officer 277 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 2: candidate school and he ended up being the General of 278 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 2: the Marines. John F. Kelly, you served with Madis General 279 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 2: Kelly in the last twenty four hours has said what 280 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 2: former President Trump said about our Medal of Honor winners. 281 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 2: It was basically, I'm editorializing her. Folks, excuse me, reprehensible. 282 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 2: Can you please discuss how we can flight something like 283 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 2: the Medal of Honor with the Medal of Freedom. 284 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 4: Well that's first up. Tom had nothing but the utmost respect, 285 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:48,920 Speaker 4: as every American should for General Kelly. He was out 286 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 4: enlisted marine in Vietnam and all the way on to 287 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 4: a four star general. His service was impeccable. He had 288 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 4: two sons that served, one that lost his life in Afghanistan. 289 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 4: So that's that's John Kelly. As far as the Medal 290 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 4: of Honor, I think it's really important that you know, 291 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 4: you have we have different definitions of heroes in society. 292 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 4: To me, although I super respect athletes, you know, Olympic athletes, 293 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 4: that's not really heroic. Heroic is when you put your 294 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 4: life on the line for somebody else and in that realm. 295 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 4: You know, we have all sorts of vor awards, but 296 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 4: the top of the top is the Medal of Honor, 297 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 4: and those are the individuals I think that we should 298 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 4: hold on the highest podium, if you will, in the 299 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 4: United States, and although the Presidential Medal of Freedom is, 300 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 4: you know, a very important award and some important people 301 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 4: have gotten it, it is in no way close in 302 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 4: my opinion, to the Medal of Honor, and the fact 303 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 4: that you have to have given the last measure of 304 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 4: devotion in many cases to get the Medal of Honor 305 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 4: is something to be applauded and and not something to 306 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 4: be degraded. 307 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 5: Hey, Mick, while we have you, we need to just 308 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 5: get your thoughts on the just coming out of the 309 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 5: Middle East. Hamas is out with some I guess the 310 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 5: latest reporting from Bloomberg, Hamas is quote keen to reach 311 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 5: ceasefield ceasefire deal with Israel and Gaza. Are we anywhere 312 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 5: closer to getting some type of ceasefire here? 313 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 1: Do you think? Well? 314 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,679 Speaker 4: I certainly hope so. I mean, this is something that 315 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:20,920 Speaker 4: needs to happen both of the humanitarian situation in Gaza, 316 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 4: the hostages, eight of which are Americans, to come home, 317 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 4: and then to move this into a discussion about the future. 318 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 4: The hold up apparently is that they're all talking about 319 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:35,119 Speaker 4: the second phase of this proposal, which is where they're disagreeing. 320 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 4: I think from the US perspective, they just want to 321 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 4: get to the first phase, and when it comes to 322 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 4: the Maas, there's some rumors that Sinoar is sick, has 323 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 4: some kind of health issues that needs to be treated 324 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 4: outside that might push them more toward, quite frankly, a 325 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,920 Speaker 4: ceasefire agreement, because in my perspective, Moss basically just cares 326 00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 4: about Hamas, not the people of Gaza. But this is 327 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,199 Speaker 4: something that I think is in the last stages. The 328 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 4: US has been very optimistic many times before, so quite frankly, 329 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,200 Speaker 4: a lot of the people that follow this don't really 330 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 4: pay attention to that. It's really what Hamas is saying 331 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:13,240 Speaker 4: and what Israel is saying specifically. And although Israel looks 332 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,400 Speaker 4: like they've accepted this bridging proposal that was presented by 333 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:19,239 Speaker 4: Secretary Blincoln, now it's up to Moss to see if 334 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 4: they will. It's been one of those things that they've 335 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:25,160 Speaker 4: never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity, and hopefully 336 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 4: that will happen here. 337 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,200 Speaker 2: Mc morroy, thank you so much for joining us this morning, 338 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 2: particularly those comments on the what General Kelly had said 339 00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 2: about the Medal of Honor mcmorroy serving the Nation, of 340 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 2: course and with Lobo Institute, were there newspapers this morning. 341 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 2: Lisa Mateo, I. 342 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 7: Want to expand about what you guys were talking about 343 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 7: before that paramount deal. Editor Broffin Junior. He put in 344 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 7: this four point three billion dollar bid for control of Powermount. 345 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 8: But a lot of people say, you know, how is 346 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 8: this possible? 347 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 7: You know with sky Dan's didn't they agree to buy 348 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:07,879 Speaker 7: out Cherry Redstone. 349 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,760 Speaker 8: But it's that forty five deal day go. 350 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 7: Shop provision and that's kind of that reason why they're 351 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 7: able to do this, Paul, I mean, I guess that's 352 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 7: the reason how they're able to just step in when 353 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 7: they had an offer before from. 354 00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, he's part of a bidding group and Thomas asking 355 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,159 Speaker 5: about this before. He's part of that bidding group that 356 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:28,119 Speaker 5: includes the producer Stephen Paul never heard of him, creator 357 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,399 Speaker 5: of the Baby Genius movie franchise. And that's according to 358 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 5: two people familiar with the matter. So again, mister Broffman, 359 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 5: former head of Warner Music Group, Air to the Seagram 360 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 5: fortune certainly well well known within the Hollywood circles and 361 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 5: you know, high finance. 362 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: But how credible is this bid? I don't know. 363 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:48,919 Speaker 8: Yeah, four point three billion. 364 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 7: Powermount actually worth roughly twenty five billion when it was 365 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,640 Speaker 7: created with that merger Viacom CBS about five years ago. 366 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, somebody in their household's really never seen the whole 367 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 2: Milk Gibson AdEx thing. So we're having fun. We watched 368 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 2: the original one and last night we watched Mad Max two. Uh. 369 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,679 Speaker 2: And you know, at the opening of it, Paul, the 370 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 2: absolute first opening of it is the image of Paramount's 371 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 2: studios in Hollywood. Yeah, the classic photograph of all of 372 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 2: the emotion back to our grandparents. Is that worth anything now? 373 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 3: Yeah? 374 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely. 375 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 5: The lots in the movie lots in Hollywood are very valuable, 376 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 5: extraordinarily valuable, if nothing else for making real estate, both 377 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:40,439 Speaker 5: both and so the Fox lot for example, the Warner 378 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,720 Speaker 5: Brothers lot and the Paramount lot. 379 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:44,400 Speaker 2: From the beginning of the Mad Max two. 380 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 5: Yep, exactly, So I mean, and those are all very cool. 381 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 5: It's prime real estate. It's prime you know, just kind 382 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 5: of the stuff you need to just make movies and 383 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:54,159 Speaker 5: TV shows. 384 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,440 Speaker 7: Okay, next, Okay, Tom, I'm not sure if you plan 385 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 7: on visiting Yellowstone on your trip to Jackson Hole. But 386 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 7: National Parks they have this problem. They have a lot 387 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,879 Speaker 7: of visitors, like more visitors, but they don't have enough staff. 388 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:10,119 Speaker 7: So people going to places like Zion National Park and 389 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 7: you tie Yellowstone too, they have longer way times. They're 390 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 7: waiting on these long lines for shuttle buses. They don't 391 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 7: have enough staff to kind of keep up. So they're 392 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 7: doing a few things. They're closing visitor centers, they're closing bathrooms. 393 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 7: They're starting to notice that the trails are starting to 394 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:28,200 Speaker 7: get more crowded. And this is just becoming a growing 395 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,680 Speaker 7: problem because people enjoy the parks and they want to 396 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 7: get to them, but there's just not enough people to 397 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:37,199 Speaker 7: man them. And then the budgets too, are starting to 398 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 7: doin the long budget. 399 00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 2: But mostly it's just a wall of Americans taking advantage 400 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 2: of Teddy Roosevelt's vision and it's just what do you do? 401 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,640 Speaker 2: And one school thought I've seen is you got a limit, 402 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 2: you know, you have to passes and limit when you 403 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 2: can go, and. 404 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,360 Speaker 5: I think you can just got to pick your times 405 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 5: when other people aren't going, you know, But that's hard. 406 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: Kids and only have limited windows to go. 407 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,640 Speaker 2: I mean that was life forming for me. I mean 408 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,160 Speaker 2: we got in the car and went and my parents 409 00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 2: thought nothing to driving across the country. Halfway across the country, 410 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 2: and there was always a park to go to, but 411 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 2: now it's thousands and thousands of people. 412 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 5: Yellowstone is my favorite, is it you've been yes on 413 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 5: my list? Go to the tent cabins in Yellowstone Valley, 414 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 5: so that you're kind of camping out, but it's a 415 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 5: cabin like a wooden floor. 416 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 8: It was glamping, yes, and it's in the. 417 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: Tent cabins and the valley floor of Yellowstone. 418 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 5: Phenomenal experience kids kind of camping kind so it's like camping. 419 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 2: It's like the Hassler in Rome. 420 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, yeah, exactly, I got that right. Okay, kind 421 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: of camping kind of camping. 422 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 8: Yes, clamping, we've done it. Fire Island has glamping. 423 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 3: We took on the island. Okay. 424 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 7: We've been talking about dating apps, right. The problems are 425 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 7: having like bumble right, a lot of less fewer people 426 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:57,239 Speaker 7: using them. 427 00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 8: I gave up my suction see ei there you go. 428 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 7: Prime example, The Washington Post says there's new kind of 429 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 7: apps that are taking over loneliness apps. I don't know 430 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 7: if you want to call it that or maybe friendship apps. 431 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,240 Speaker 7: So they are apps that people go to if they 432 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 7: want to just have the post. I'm telling you you want, 433 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 7: you're you're you're working from home, and that's the problem. 434 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 8: You don't have friends, you don't see anyone in person. 435 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 1: Why a lonely? 436 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:25,680 Speaker 8: You're lonely. 437 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 7: So you go in an app, like an app called 438 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 7: you know, breakfast, it's called the Breakfast. You go on it, 439 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 7: you pay a fee, and you find someone who wants 440 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 7: to sit and have a conversation with you. It could 441 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 7: be a female looking for a female friend. It could 442 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 7: be a guy looking for a bro hangout like. It's 443 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:42,639 Speaker 7: something like that that people feel like they don't have 444 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:48,440 Speaker 7: anymore because they're lonely. And so these apps the Breakfast, Time, Left, Creative, 445 00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 7: Lunch Club, they're even creating like little gatherings of six 446 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 7: people or more. So they each put their name in 447 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:55,919 Speaker 7: and they all get selected and they go on this 448 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 7: you know, I guess you could say date, but it's 449 00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:58,119 Speaker 7: not a date. 450 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,639 Speaker 8: It's just a meetup. And so this is how people 451 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,919 Speaker 8: are doing it. But Bumble is seeing it. 452 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 7: I mean, they acquired Geneva, that's an app to help 453 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 7: people meet new friends. So Bumble is starting to see 454 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 7: that trend too, So they're getting into that. So it's 455 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 7: not dating, it's not networking. 456 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:17,680 Speaker 3: It's just friends the breakfast, Paul. 457 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 2: We learned something every day from meet new people over breakfast, 458 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 2: not dating. Its not dating or networking, just breakfast. 459 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 5: Just breakfast. Seventeen cities worldwide for the breakfast. All right, 460 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 5: let's just go into a bar and meet people. 461 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 2: I don't know, Nicole Kidman or somebody or Billy Crystal. 462 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 2: I think lectures that it's not just breakfast. Thank you, Li, 463 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 2: I learned something. 464 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 7: Oh one more luxury trends at hotels bunk beds. Bunk 465 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 7: beds is a new trend luxury hotels like Marriott Moxie 466 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 7: because consumers are looking for value. Tell's facing higher demands, 467 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 7: so it's not just coming from the budget travelers, but 468 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:07,600 Speaker 7: also high end travelers who just want this lux vibe 469 00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 7: without having to book two different rooms, so they have 470 00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 7: everybody all in one space. Hotels can charge a little 471 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 7: bit more for the rooms too, so it's kind of a. 472 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 1: Win win th kids in there, I guess, is that 473 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: the thing? 474 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 8: Yeah, but they're fancy bunk bine. 475 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: I got it that. 476 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,640 Speaker 8: But the problem is that there is pretty cool. 477 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:24,159 Speaker 1: I'm looking at some of these, they look pretty, they 478 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 1: are pretty nice. 479 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 7: Okay, but you know, it's manufacturers can't keep up, so 480 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 7: now there's a problem getting enough bunk bits. 481 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 1: Getting enough bunk. 482 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 2: Thank you, Lisa Tello, the newspapers today. This is the 483 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast, bringing you the best in economics, finance, investment, 484 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:42,399 Speaker 2: and international relations. You can also watch the show live 485 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 2: on YouTube. Visit the Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to 486 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 2: see the show weekday mornings from seven to ten am 487 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 2: Eastern from our global headquarters in New York City. Subscribe 488 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,359 Speaker 2: to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 489 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 2: And always I'm Bloomberg Radio, the Bloomberg Terminal, and the 490 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Business App.