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Speaker 1: hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites,

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Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chat Noman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. It is Tuesday

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Speaker 1: of Super Bowl week. Somehow we are getting through the

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Speaker 1: two weeks and we are finally at the point where

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Speaker 1: we can are talking legit, actionable content. Me. It might

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Speaker 1: be f my companion, my compadre professional better signing hunter

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Speaker 1: brother Chad. I instantly regretted this morning not reading Matt

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Speaker 1: Mitchell's email over the weekend because I had no idea.

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Speaker 1: We're doing a live show today. Nice a little live

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Speaker 1: email where it's like, here's the live header. I was like,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, I'm not a fan of these live

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Speaker 1: shows because if we do a podcast, I have a

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Speaker 1: one percent chance of being fired. When we do a

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Speaker 1: live show, it's chance of me getting fired. Fortunately, Look,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do two shows this week. As we've discussed,

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Speaker 1: you and I were gonna do it we always do

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Speaker 1: on Thursdays. We're going to review the sharp calls that

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Speaker 1: we've been getting about the game decides the totals. It'll

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Speaker 1: be a quick show because we've talked a lot about

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Speaker 1: what's happening with the Bengals and the Rams. Today, we

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Speaker 1: are doing our very own favorite version of proper Palooza

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Speaker 1: with our convince Me colleagues are all a little panel

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Speaker 1: of experts here, Chris Raybon, Sean Kroner. There's nobody better,

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Speaker 1: nobody better at player props in the entire world than

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Speaker 1: these two guys. I had true glory. So I'm in

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Speaker 1: l A. Anyone who's a regular viewer or a listener

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Speaker 1: of the podcast will see that my background is different.

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Speaker 1: I'm in l A. Already flew out on Monday morning.

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Speaker 1: I wake up in the morning very early from my flight.

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Speaker 1: I get on the plane, and before I get on

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Speaker 1: the plane, I see we've downloaded the new Action Network

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Speaker 1: podcast with Raybon and Kroner Proper Palooza, Pure Player Props.

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Speaker 1: I had to lay some money down in beds before

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Speaker 1: I even took off. I had the pilot hold the

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Speaker 1: plane just so I can make sure I did it

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Speaker 1: legally while I was in the state of Connecticut. Krona

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Speaker 1: is not gonna say anything mean about me. I see

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Speaker 1: you shaking your head. The good thing about this is

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Speaker 1: that Simon, you don't have to worry about getting canceled

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Speaker 1: or fired because I'm still the number one person that's

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Speaker 1: more likely to most likely to get fired and or

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Speaker 1: canceling on the show. So let's see what happens. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna see Raybon and Croner tomorrow night for dinner here

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Speaker 1: in l A. One of the last times I saw

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Speaker 1: Raybon post work for an event before the pandemic. It

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Speaker 1: was very late at night. We were at a restaurant.

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Speaker 1: He yelled things that nobody should be yelling in public,

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Speaker 1: and then passed out of the table literally to put

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Speaker 1: his head down. On the table passed out. I think

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Speaker 1: like in the middle of a very very expensive sort

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Speaker 1: of curated sounds about right on that coroner. How excited

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Speaker 1: are you for player props super Bowl Week? Super excited?

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Speaker 1: I want the game to start already. It's it's already,

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Speaker 1: you know, Tuesday, but I just wanted to start. I

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Speaker 1: can't wait, you know, six more days. So let's let's

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Speaker 1: get it rolling. Well, listen, you're a so Cal native.

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Speaker 1: This is a big deal for you. We're gonna get

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Speaker 1: to sort of your guys, all three of you, you're

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Speaker 1: best player props. We can do a little mini conve

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Speaker 1: to me. I'm excited to see what you guys say

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Speaker 1: so I can decide which one of these are the

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Speaker 1: best ones. But before we get to that, there's literally

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Speaker 1: hundreds and hundreds of player props. And the way this

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Speaker 1: market has grown over the past fifteen years, even but

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Speaker 1: really accelerated the past five years. It used to be

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Speaker 1: bookmakers are taken a week to get out three or

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Speaker 1: four hundred player props that they're printing on sheets that

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Speaker 1: every better better has to go get at the book

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Speaker 1: if they want to bet. These player props. Now they're

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Speaker 1: coming out within forty eight hours and they're everywhere. So

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Speaker 1: before we get to the players like Corona, I want

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Speaker 1: to start with you, what markets have you seen that

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Speaker 1: you immediately thought, okay, there's an opportunity. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: first off, I look at every single market and I

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Speaker 1: try to come up with a way to project whatever

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Speaker 1: that market is. UM. And I have two non player

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Speaker 1: props that I think are winners. And the first ones

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Speaker 1: to field goal prop and it's the shortest field goal

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Speaker 1: made over twenty seven and a half yards UM. So

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Speaker 1: you know, obvious see if either kicker gets a field

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Speaker 1: goal attempt inside inside twenty seven yards, this prop is toast.

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Speaker 1: So I looked at you know, the season long data,

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Speaker 1: and twelve point five percent of Evan McPherson and Matt

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Speaker 1: Gay's attempts have been inside the twenty seven yard line.

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Speaker 1: I would put this around, you know, a sixty chance

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Speaker 1: of hitting that. You know, if there is a field

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Speaker 1: goal made that there's gonna be there's not gonna be

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Speaker 1: a field goal within twenty seven half yards. And let

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Speaker 1: me just say that, double check with your book. This

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Speaker 1: prop should be avoided if there's no field goal made. UM.

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Speaker 1: So that's part of my calculation is if there's at

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Speaker 1: least one field goal made, there's a sixty percent chance

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Speaker 1: that we're not gonna see one under twenty seven half yards.

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Speaker 1: So I love that one. And the other one that

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Speaker 1: I like that I would never bet on, like any

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Speaker 1: other Super Bowl, is which team will call the first

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Speaker 1: time out? And I think in this case, the Rams

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Speaker 1: should be the clear favorite. Anytime you watch Rams game,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that Sean McVey doesn't really care for

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Speaker 1: time outs. He just uses them like they're going out

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Speaker 1: of style. So one guy, Michael Lopez didn't in depth

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Speaker 1: analysis on you know, coaches and their use of timeouts,

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Speaker 1: and Sean McVeigh led the league with two point nine

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Speaker 1: unnecessary time outs per game, and I can't think of

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Speaker 1: a more unnecessary time out typically than the first time out.

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Speaker 1: I went back and I was gonna just see, you

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Speaker 1: know how the Rams have called timeouts the past few games, um,

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Speaker 1: And I went back and I saw they have called

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Speaker 1: the first time out in nine straight games. So that's

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Speaker 1: that's enough for me to take what's typically a pick them.

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Speaker 1: You could get Rams probably minus one fifteen at most books.

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Speaker 1: So that's my other favorite non player prop prop. All right,

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Speaker 1: I have so many follow up questions for you, but

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Speaker 1: they're not about the actual props. They're about process. So

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Speaker 1: let me get to Raybon Croner just gave us first

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Speaker 1: time out called shortest field goal twenty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half yard. Bet it or don't bet it. What is

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Speaker 1: your non player prop market that you looked at and thought,

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Speaker 1: I gotta get after it. I'm looking at what's gonna

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Speaker 1: happen early in the game. And I know people, especially

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Speaker 1: people betting props that don't bet props often, probably are

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Speaker 1: gonna love these kind of things as you get your

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Speaker 1: action decided pretty quickly early on. So the first thing

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at is the first play of the game

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Speaker 1: will be a pass attempt or a rush attempt, and

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Speaker 1: I love past attempt at plus one eighteen. Now, you

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Speaker 1: might look at the Rams and say, okay, you know

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Speaker 1: they only pass about forty percent at a time on

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Speaker 1: their first play, But the Bengals have passed on their

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Speaker 1: first place sixteen of twenty times this year, so that's

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Speaker 1: eight percent. So you average those two out, you get

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Speaker 1: about six, and you're getting first play the game is

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Speaker 1: a pass at plus one eighteen. Uh. And also the

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Speaker 1: Rams have been known to pass early on their first

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Speaker 1: play against the tougher run defenses, so you know teams

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Speaker 1: like San Francisco they'll pass and and the Bengals actually

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Speaker 1: do have a better run defense than they have a

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Speaker 1: past defense. So I think the Rams are true. Odds

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Speaker 1: are better than forty as well, so I think it's

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Speaker 1: at least fifty fifty at the first play of the

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Speaker 1: game is going to be a pass, and you're getting

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Speaker 1: plus one two, So I would take this at anything

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Speaker 1: even money or better uh than the next one. No,

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Speaker 1: it's in the first six minutes at minus one twenty two.

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Speaker 1: I love that Historically Super Bowl first quarters have been

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Speaker 1: very low scoring. Teams are trying to feel each other

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Speaker 1: out early on in the game, not trying to do

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Speaker 1: anything too crazy. So I went back and looked at

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Speaker 1: both of these teams. Cincinnati scored in the first six

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Speaker 1: minutes of the time this year, and so did the Rams.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati allowed to score in the first six minutes five

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Speaker 1: percent at the time. The Rams allowed one fifteen percent

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Speaker 1: at a time. So but eighty percent chance that each

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Speaker 1: for each team. You do some math, uh, so to

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Speaker 1: combine it for both teams, you get about a sixty

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Speaker 1: four percent chance that neither team should score in the

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Speaker 1: first six minutes. That's about minus one seventy The odds

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Speaker 1: are minus a Fandel again, I think you have some

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Speaker 1: great value there. Uh. And the final one is the

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Speaker 1: first quarter under under ten. You can get at fandul

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Speaker 1: uh nine and a half of some other places. But

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Speaker 1: this season Cincinnati thirteen six and one towards the under

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Speaker 1: in the first quarter, the Rams fourteen and six towards

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Speaker 1: the under in the first quarter. That is twenty seven

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Speaker 1: twelve and one first quarter unders. And the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: in general has been very profitable skewing to first quarter unders.

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Speaker 1: So I loved those three early in the game. Props

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Speaker 1: first play the game pass no points in the first

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Speaker 1: six and the first quarter under. Do you feel like

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Speaker 1: a the first play of the game being a pass?

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Speaker 1: That is like legit, uncut gems, degenerate style betting. That

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Speaker 1: is how you kick off your Super Bowl like right away,

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Speaker 1: you've got a winner a loss right as soon as

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Speaker 1: you do it. It almost makes me too nervous to

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Speaker 1: do it. But for all three of you, Simon, you

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Speaker 1: answer first, do you feel like books are starting to

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Speaker 1: adjust to a slower than people would normally expect pace

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Speaker 1: of play first half, first quarter because the trends have

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Speaker 1: been for these games to be lower scoring in the

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Speaker 1: first thirty minutes of the game. Honestly, not really. They

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Speaker 1: opened all the books open probably minus one second half

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Speaker 1: of the most points, and now the professionals have betted

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Speaker 1: it's up the minus minus one forty. So it's one

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Speaker 1: of those every year they open it up, they're like,

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Speaker 1: we'll let the people decide, and every year we just

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Speaker 1: bet the second half to have the most points. So

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Speaker 1: Chris touched on a little bit. It's with these props

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Speaker 1: I want people to keep in mind where if you

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Speaker 1: have a really close number, if you already like the under,

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Speaker 1: you usually should bet the under in these props. If

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Speaker 1: you like the over, you take a bunch of over

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Speaker 1: in the props. It's kind of one of those where

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Speaker 1: it's like, if you're gonna bet your props, kind of

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Speaker 1: bet how you think the game's gonna go. So I'm

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Speaker 1: right there with Chris. I think it's gonna be under game.

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Speaker 1: I love the first half winder, so I'm I'm really

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Speaker 1: liking those bets where I look at this matchup and

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Speaker 1: it's like, we have two quarterbacks their first times in it.

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Speaker 1: And I know people are gonna bring up how the

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Speaker 1: Patriots used to start always start slow, even though Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady had been there before. It's just jitters. It feels

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Speaker 1: like any team, they're human. You're in the biggest game.

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Speaker 1: It's like an hour two hours, you're just sitting there

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Speaker 1: waiting for this game to start. It starts and we

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Speaker 1: just see the defense always kind of has up for

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Speaker 1: hand to start the game. So I love betting these

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Speaker 1: under especially these first half unders. What were the sort

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Speaker 1: of your non player prop markets that you were paying

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Speaker 1: attention to? UM It all depends, I mean looking at

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Speaker 1: this one. Like I know Stucky says he hates betting

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Speaker 1: things before the game starts. I actually love that. It's like,

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Speaker 1: I'm a gambler. Let's get this started. So heads their tails,

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Speaker 1: Like I'm all into that stuff. I told people to

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Speaker 1: ask me, should they bet? I said, yeah, throw a

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Speaker 1: couple of bucks on it. You literally are losing money

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Speaker 1: technically by the value, like it should just be even money.

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Speaker 1: They're charging you minus one ten Like the books know

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Speaker 1: what they're doing. It's free money for the sports books.

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Speaker 1: But it's fun. Like everyone's sitting around the TV drinking

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Speaker 1: your beer betting that So for more serious when I

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Speaker 1: love the two point conversion. Every year it's at a

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Speaker 1: plus number. We've just seen the last especially the last

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Speaker 1: twenty years with these coaches have kind of updated their playbooks.

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Speaker 1: If a team gets down double digits in the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: historically the two point hits a clip. So that means

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Speaker 1: if either team gets up by two touchdowns, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be cashing this bet. Last year didn't work off for

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Speaker 1: us with the Chiefs. The Chiefs just couldn't score a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: So it's mainly you need the team chasing to get

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Speaker 1: the two pointers, and it didn't work out for us

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Speaker 1: last year. Makes me love to doing more this year.

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Speaker 1: It's it's a good number two. I'm gonna plus one

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Speaker 1: thirty five at certain books. I think it's plus. Raybon

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Speaker 1: and Croner. You both mentioned heavily researched props, you know,

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Speaker 1: mentioning digging in Raybon the number of times the Bengals

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Speaker 1: and the Rams have run a pass or a run

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Speaker 1: on the first play of the game. Um Kroner, the

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Speaker 1: number of times these field goal kickers have kicked something

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Speaker 1: under twenty seven yards and very specific numbers, and then

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Speaker 1: Croner you mentioned you basically want to bet every market

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Speaker 1: that is available, hundreds and hundreds of proper markets available.

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Speaker 1: How much time does this take you? Like? How are

273
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Speaker 1: you doing this so quickly? Oh? I'm not. It takes

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Speaker 1: me two weeks. So I'm glad that we have a

275
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Speaker 1: two week ramp up for the Super Bowl. And you know,

276
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Speaker 1: I'm running simulators, I'm doing all these things. And so

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Speaker 1: I made a good point. You know, when I started

278
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Speaker 1: making these prop bets, I kind of want them all

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Speaker 1: to correlate too, so you know, like if I start

280
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Speaker 1: having you know, portfolio five to six player props like

281
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Speaker 1: going forward, I kind of went all my bets to

282
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Speaker 1: kind of like line up with the narrative that they're

283
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Speaker 1: you know, describing, So like I meticulously usually end up

284
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Speaker 1: with about ten to fifteen props. You said, I try.

285
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Speaker 1: You know, I wanted about every market. That's true, but

286
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Speaker 1: I only end up on about ten to fifteen. Uh,

287
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Speaker 1: you know, prop bets. What about you the research I

288
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Speaker 1: would be doing for the entire slate on a normal

289
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Speaker 1: NFL week, which is you know, sixteen games usually, Um,

290
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Speaker 1: you know, I ride up the big big column about

291
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Speaker 1: each game. I just kind of put that into the

292
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Speaker 1: different prop markets. So when I first start, I just

293
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Speaker 1: kind of look at all of the markets and I

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Speaker 1: kind of hone in on the ones that I can

295
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Speaker 1: actually do some research that I think, hey, you know

296
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Speaker 1: the I understand how the books where I try to

297
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Speaker 1: understand how the of books put out their initial number,

298
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Speaker 1: and if I see something like you know, first play

299
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Speaker 1: of the game, They're not gonna spend too much time

300
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Speaker 1: on that, but a lot of people are gonna bet it.

301
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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go back and actually say, you know what,

302
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Speaker 1: I would never look at this for a normal NFL week,

303
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Speaker 1: you probably wouldn't even get that available. But now I

304
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Speaker 1: can actually dig into the data and get the exact numbers, uh,

305
00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,160
Speaker 1: and see how close they are, you know, to to

306
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Speaker 1: the odds. So I just kind of treat every different

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Speaker 1: market like an individual NFL game. But how much of

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Speaker 1: this is chicken in the egg? And what I mean

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Speaker 1: by that is Kroner or Raybon. Currently you're running a

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Speaker 1: simulator Raybon, You're thinking, Okay, that's a prop that could

311
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Speaker 1: be interesting to me. Are you looking in some kind

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00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,800
Speaker 1: of spreadsheet that you have that says, hey, there could

313
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Speaker 1: be a little bit of an edge here or is

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Speaker 1: it just I test? I want to see something that's interesting,

315
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Speaker 1: and that's what I'm going to spend my time researching bond.

316
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Speaker 1: You First, I do it that way. I just kind

317
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Speaker 1: of look at the entire market because I'm the odds

318
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Speaker 1: in my head, like I can kind of ballpark where

319
00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:58,920
Speaker 1: they should be for each market. So it's kind of

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Speaker 1: just just like I would on a normal prop market,

321
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Speaker 1: like um, you know, I'll just kind of look over that,

322
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Speaker 1: you know, and then kind of say, Okay, here's what

323
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Speaker 1: I want to check in and kind of do more

324
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Speaker 1: research on because in my head, these odds don't quite

325
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Speaker 1: match up, or there might be an edge here, or

326
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Speaker 1: there just might be some specific information here that gives

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Speaker 1: me the best number if I don't know that. Sometimes

328
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Speaker 1: I don't even know what the numbers should be, but

329
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Speaker 1: I know I could do the research to find out,

330
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Speaker 1: and I know the books didn't put that much time,

331
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Speaker 1: and it's but yeah, I'm just kind of looking over

332
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Speaker 1: the markets because you do have to prioritize your time.

333
00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:28,840
Speaker 1: I mean, there are like hundreds of markets, as you said,

334
00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:30,480
Speaker 1: So that's why we're kind of here, you know, we're

335
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:32,880
Speaker 1: gonna do it in categories like our favorite nonplayer props,

336
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:34,640
Speaker 1: our favorite player props. I do it the same way.

337
00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:36,760
Speaker 1: I kind of bund do it in the categories and

338
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,320
Speaker 1: then go from there. What I like is Raybond is

339
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 1: always trying to give people markers. He like, you know,

340
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:44,360
Speaker 1: you think he's just going to be the drunk guy

341
00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:46,600
Speaker 1: at the end of the night who's yelling crazy things,

342
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 1: but he's looking for structure. Kerner, are you using your

343
00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:55,200
Speaker 1: simulators to help you define which bets you want to

344
00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 1: do more research on? Absolutely? And similar to Raybond, you know,

345
00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 1: I am combing through just sing like real quick which

346
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:03,160
Speaker 1: one stand out to me? But I do rely on

347
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:05,640
Speaker 1: I seem later to kind of find value, and then

348
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,440
Speaker 1: I can narrow down which props you know I'm gonna

349
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 1: be on um And for example, like a Cooper Crop

350
00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:13,240
Speaker 1: Cooper cut prop, I want to be over and I

351
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 1: knew I had to lock that in immediately because a

352
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 1: market like that, you figure everyone's betting on his over,

353
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Speaker 1: whereas other markets, I feel like, you know, the dogs

354
00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:22,520
Speaker 1: are gonna go up and I'll get a better number

355
00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:24,120
Speaker 1: later in the week. So I think it all comes

356
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Speaker 1: down to timing. As with everything betting related. But you know,

357
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:28,919
Speaker 1: I try to time win. I think I can get

358
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,080
Speaker 1: the best number two. That's that's part of my process

359
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,199
Speaker 1: as well. All right, there is one more non player

360
00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,960
Speaker 1: prop that I want to get to. I'm going to

361
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:42,520
Speaker 1: start with Simon. I'm going to end with Raybon because

362
00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:44,959
Speaker 1: I know this is something that he loves to do

363
00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:50,639
Speaker 1: research on. I would say the two props that people

364
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:55,199
Speaker 1: will be most interested in are what color is the

365
00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:58,359
Speaker 1: gatorade that will be dumped on the winning coach? And

366
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 1: national anthem. We will never get a better story about

367
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 1: gatorade than Um. Drew Franklin, who was from Kentucky and

368
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 1: works in a lot of radio there Um told a

369
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:17,320
Speaker 1: great story on our podcast, which was Jared Lorenzen, who

370
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 1: was forever the sort of beloved former quarterback at Kentucky,

371
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:24,520
Speaker 1: three pound guy who played quarterback in the NFL. It

372
00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,560
Speaker 1: was a backup for the Giants when they played the

373
00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:29,840
Speaker 1: Patriots in the Super Bowl the first time. Uh he

374
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:34,240
Speaker 1: was on the sideline before the game and he looked

375
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 1: in the gatorade canisters for both the Patriots and the

376
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 1: Giants and then texted all of his buddies back in

377
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:45,879
Speaker 1: Kentucky and told them what color gatorade was in each container,

378
00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:49,960
Speaker 1: so that way they could bet what color gatorade was

379
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 1: going to be dumped on the winning coach based on

380
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,159
Speaker 1: whoever they thought they was gonna win the game. So

381
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 1: if the friends thought that the Patriots are gonna win,

382
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,040
Speaker 1: they could bet that color. If they thought the Giants

383
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 1: were gonna win, they could bet that color. That is

384
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,040
Speaker 1: the greatest tip, the greatest gatorade betting story you could

385
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:08,119
Speaker 1: ever possibly have. Simon, do you have an opinion on

386
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: the other prop that everyone is going to talk about,

387
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,879
Speaker 1: which is the national anthem? So do your thoughts in

388
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 1: the national anthem? How do you bet the national anthem?

389
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,280
Speaker 1: Will you be betting the national anthem this year? I

390
00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,640
Speaker 1: mean I try to cheat like everyone else. Like last year,

391
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,760
Speaker 1: we had a guy leak um early video of her

392
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,639
Speaker 1: singing the national anthem, and everyone's able to get on

393
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,680
Speaker 1: the under and they dropped it like twenty seconds down

394
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,120
Speaker 1: after that clip on viral of her singing. So that's

395
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,119
Speaker 1: that's one of those where it's like I'm honestly, I'm

396
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 1: not on social media enough to do that, but other

397
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,040
Speaker 1: people are, so I'm just wait on text, like as

398
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 1: soon as that comes out whenever she does her practice run.

399
00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:46,639
Speaker 1: That's when you just hit all these books for the

400
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,200
Speaker 1: under or the over, depending on how long the time

401
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 1: she gets time for. So that's one of those where

402
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,359
Speaker 1: people have to be on Twitter this week if you

403
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 1: want to catch that, because someone's gonna put it up.

404
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:57,919
Speaker 1: Someone in media will put up how long they sing for,

405
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: and that's that's a great like Again, that's how you

406
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,520
Speaker 1: use social media to your advantage. The person singing the

407
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 1: national anthem this year is a singer named Mickey Guiton.

408
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 1: I guarantee I don't know who it is. She's a

409
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:17,680
Speaker 1: country singer. Um. I guarantee at some point international recording

410
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: artist Nicky Guiton. That's how they introduce anybody that the

411
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 1: entire world not might not know is. They will say

412
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 1: international recording artist. If I can get a prop on that,

413
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,240
Speaker 1: I would bet on that coroner. Do you have any

414
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,479
Speaker 1: thoughts in the National Anthem? Uh? No, I spent so

415
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: much time handicapping the actual game. I'm similar to Sime.

416
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,959
Speaker 1: I just wait for inside info or something to go

417
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 1: off of, but no, like and I'm not saying, you know,

418
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: I'm not de genda about it. I'm max betting, punter props.

419
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 1: So um, it just it has to be involving the

420
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 1: actual football game for me to like be relying on

421
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 1: anything internally. He's kind of coming after you. How's he

422
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,880
Speaker 1: coming out to me because I know you are max betting?

423
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,879
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, well, I mean we gotta MAXI bet props.

424
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:07,159
Speaker 1: I mean, what are what are we doing here for?

425
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 1: We gotta MAXI bet anything you bet, uh properties, And

426
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,120
Speaker 1: I feel like that's just how it goes. But uh yeah,

427
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:16,120
Speaker 1: I do look at the numbers for for this, I mean, uh,

428
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 1: not the individual singer. It's tough because it's such a

429
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 1: different stage, you know, in the Super Bowl. So I

430
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: don't but and if that, if that does come out

431
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 1: where they say, okay, we've seen the rehearsals, obviously update.

432
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 1: But when I start out, I just look at the

433
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,679
Speaker 1: times of each singer, you know, going back you know

434
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl, and you know, the line that

435
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,320
Speaker 1: I've seen is somewhere between like uh somewhere in a

436
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 1: minute and a half range for the for the anthem

437
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 1: to go over under And if you just look back

438
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 1: at the last uh fourteen super bowls, uh, it's been

439
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: over a minute and a half. Uh each time, so

440
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 1: it hasn't gone uh for a minute and a half

441
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 1: for lessons. Billy Joel in Super Bowl forty one was

442
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: a minute thirty exactly. You know, last year it was

443
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 1: to seventeen. The year before it was one nine, two

444
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:08,120
Speaker 1: oh one, fifty two, two oh four, two two oh four,

445
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: two oh three to thirty six. Now some of these

446
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 1: numbers went under um because the lines were higher, but

447
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 1: from the initial line, I just feel like the books

448
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,400
Speaker 1: opened it pretty low at a minute and a half.

449
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 1: I mean, you're talking about nothing since you know, fifteen

450
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,200
Speaker 1: years ago that that's been that short. So unless they're

451
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 1: trying to shorten it and there's something we don't know,

452
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:32,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bang the over and then just adjust uh

453
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,199
Speaker 1: if we get if we get different information. But right

454
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: now I love the over. I think there's like twenty

455
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 1: seconds of value on the over. You know what. I

456
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 1: appreciate you taking your job professionally, unlike Simon and Coroner,

457
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: who aren't paying attention to what one of the biggest

458
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: opportunities in the market might be. Simon, if you wouldn't

459
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: give me your favorite player props right now that you

460
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 1: are smashing, will smash hoping to smash if the market

461
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: moves a little bit, Uh, what are they? Yeah? And

462
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 1: I when I look at these kind of player props,

463
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 1: like I do have a system for but nowhere near

464
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 1: is extensive as Sean and Chris are like I, I'm

465
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 1: definitely more of a spreads and told us kind of guy.

466
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,360
Speaker 1: But the super Bowl is where you can really get

467
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 1: great value on the player props. And it's look the

468
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: rare instance where I bet more on props than I

469
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 1: do even on the game, just because that's where we're

470
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 1: gonna find the value. So the biggest one that jumped

471
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,160
Speaker 1: out to her how many people love Tee Higgins. So

472
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,640
Speaker 1: when I saw his number, it's gone up for sure.

473
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: But the rationale is probably just Ramsey's gonna shadow Chase.

474
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:40,919
Speaker 1: So that's where you're gonna get a good number at

475
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: te Higgs. And when you're looking at this style, that's

476
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,920
Speaker 1: that's that is a really good price for him. He's

477
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 1: right now, he's at sixty nine point five on that's

478
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: that's a good number for him. His athleticism, what we

479
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,120
Speaker 1: think this game is gonna go. I could easily see

480
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 1: him reaching that number, especially where he's got to step up.

481
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 1: He's knocking getting Ramsey. That's a big moment for him.

482
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 1: My other favorite one is another number two receiver, so

483
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,400
Speaker 1: Adell Beckham. He's been really good to me these playoffs.

484
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 1: I've just been betting his overprops. I've been betting him

485
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 1: to score touchdowns. He keeps delivering. So I look at

486
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: this offense. We already know Cooper Cup is gonna do

487
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:16,399
Speaker 1: like he's gonna probably end up putting up a hundred.

488
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,840
Speaker 1: They're gonna shadow the whole defense to him eventually, Little

489
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: Justin just have him double box or triple box like

490
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,880
Speaker 1: they're just gonna make it. So if they're gonna give

491
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 1: up a catch the Cooper Cup, it's only gonna go

492
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 1: for ten fifteen yards where O'Dell we've seen him get open.

493
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 1: We've seen him make these big plays in these playoffs.

494
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:32,639
Speaker 1: So I love that number. I think it's really short.

495
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 1: Uh seeing it at sixty one point five right now

496
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 1: and fandual uh Raybon and coroner. I know in the

497
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:44,239
Speaker 1: proper pod. Before we get to your player props, you

498
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:48,760
Speaker 1: guys spent a ton of time talking about te Higgins

499
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:54,120
Speaker 1: as m v P. UM, you first give me your

500
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 1: thoughts on te Higgins as m v P or any

501
00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: other m VP candidates that we should thinking about. Yeah,

502
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 1: so that's that's Actually my favorite long shot is te

503
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: Higgins six one to win the Super Bowl m v P.

504
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,440
Speaker 1: If you look at the past twenty Super bowls, UM

505
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 1: four receivers have won it, and the Super Bowl has

506
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,440
Speaker 1: some really good receivers in it, So I think that,

507
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 1: you know, looking at Cooper Cup, I'll back come Jamar

508
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,520
Speaker 1: Chase te Higgins. I think that's sort of the sweet

509
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 1: spot when it comes to value betting on the m

510
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 1: v P, and both I should mention both starting tight

511
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 1: ends are dealing with sprained m c ls, so they'll

512
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 1: probably suit up, but they're gonna be limited and they

513
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,879
Speaker 1: could be decoy, so that boost these wide receivers value

514
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,360
Speaker 1: even more. In my opinion, I just think te Higgins

515
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,399
Speaker 1: is the guy where you know, Sion mentioned that that

516
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 1: the Rams will put extra resources in slowing down Jamar Chase,

517
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 1: and the Rams play a ton of zone and we've

518
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: seen this season that te Higgins tends to thrive against

519
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 1: his own coverage. So I think this is all setting

520
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,160
Speaker 1: up for te Higgins to have a you know, potential

521
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,959
Speaker 1: big enough game, uh to win m v P. But

522
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: Higgins is a guy. I think it's been undervalued all

523
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,439
Speaker 1: season long, so just I'm looking to cash in with

524
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 1: the sixty one long shot on him to win m

525
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: V p Raybon. You feel the same way about Higgins?

526
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 1: You have any thoughts on Super Bowl MVP? I love it.

527
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: We had our Super Bowl odds draft at the Action

528
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 1: Network and I actually grabbed Higgins, And for people out

529
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 1: there that that have followed us for a while, you

530
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: may remember, I think it was my first year at Action.

531
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: In our odds draft, I took Julian Edelman as like

532
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: a twenty one long shot too in Super Bowl m

533
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 1: V p oh And what happened. He won it against

534
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 1: who Sean mcveigh's ram so without a touchdown. And I

535
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: think that's the key, is that for the Bengals to

536
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 1: win this game. You know, yes, they could get in

537
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 1: the shootout, but I think the more likely, uh kind

538
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 1: of outcome is that there they figure out some crazy

539
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:45,639
Speaker 1: second half adjustments and they're able to kind of do

540
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 1: what they did to Kansas City, UH and slow down

541
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 1: to Rams in the second half and and maybe win

542
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:52,679
Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. So I think that puts it

543
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 1: to where if Chase is getting you know, do having

544
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 1: a normal game, but not crazy, not a monster like

545
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 1: two hundred yard game. That means Burrow may not be

546
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 1: having a monster game because Chase and Burrow I have

547
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: been pretty much perfectly correlated with their monster games. But

548
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 1: Higgins could still go for like a hundred yards even

549
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 1: if he doesn't get a touchdown. There's a precedent for

550
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 1: a wide receiver winning against these very Rams with a

551
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,879
Speaker 1: hundred plus yards no touchdowns in the Super Bowl. So

552
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 1: I love Higgins. I think Jalen Ramsey's pretty interesting at

553
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 1: eighty to one. If you like the Rams and Leonard

554
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: Floyd at one two one, because I mean Floyd on

555
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: that front, you're gonna be checking von Miller, You're gonna

556
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 1: be checking Donald. I think Floyd's that guy that could

557
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: get single blocked a lot and uh and cause some havocs.

558
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 1: So if you like the Rams, those two guys, if

559
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 1: you like the Bengals, I think it's Higgins and maybe

560
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,199
Speaker 1: even a little bit, maybe a couple of dollars on

561
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:42,360
Speaker 1: some Evan McPherson. We've never seen a kick or win,

562
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 1: but uh, you know, could the Bengals could win like

563
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,919
Speaker 1: a fifteen to twelve game. Fifteen to ten something like that.

564
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 1: If McPherson hits like five field goals two or three

565
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 1: from fifty plus, I mean you gotta give it to him.

566
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 1: So hopefully none of them are within seven yards. That correct? Yeah,

567
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 1: just all along field goals only fifty plus. Yes, that's

568
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: all we're looking for. The first book come in the

569
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 1: first half after Sean McVeigh burns the time out. All right,

570
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 1: So we talked about t Higgins. Simon's gonna hit his

571
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: over you guys both like him for Super Bowl MVP,

572
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 1: and the odds are there. The NFL season all comes

573
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,560
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581
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582
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583
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Speaker 1: West Virginia, coroner run down your faives your favorite favorite

611
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: props for me, so you know I have a time,

612
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: but let me focus on my top two and the

613
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 1: first one already mentioned it is Cooper Cup longest reception

614
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 1: over twenty eight and a half yards um. This is

615
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:40,960
Speaker 1: one of the first props I lockt in because, like

616
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,360
Speaker 1: I mentioned, I was surprised to find value on a

617
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup over honestly, because we know books are probably

618
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 1: taking a ton of action on the over, so I

619
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 1: want to get on this quick. A lot a lot

620
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 1: of books have moved it up to twenty and a half.

621
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 1: Some have moved up over thirty, but look out for

622
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half out there, because I haven't

623
00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: going over the sixty four percent of the time. Um.

624
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 1: Based on his season a date uh game logs, he's

625
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 1: actually gone over the seventy of the time. So I'm

626
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: being fairly conservative with my six estimate. But even at

627
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 1: you know, twenty nine and a half, I still haven't

628
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 1: clearing this at sixty one percent. This line should be

629
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 1: closer to thirty three and a half. So love Cooper

630
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 1: cup long re reception over twenty and a half yards

631
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 1: and then you know it's the hold on, hold on,

632
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 1: let me fall up there. You say it should be

633
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 1: closer to thirty three and a half. You wanted a

634
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half. Uh, I got it yesterday

635
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half uh minus I think one

636
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: thirty maybe um. And that's when I was listening to

637
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: the podcast. Within two hours, I was listening to your

638
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:50,560
Speaker 1: and rabon Action Network proper Pools a podcast within two

639
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 1: hours of it being posted at twenty nine and a

640
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: half some places at thirty How high would you go?

641
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 1: What's the ceiling on? What you would bet on this? UM,

642
00:31:57,600 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: I'd probably bet up to thirty and a half UM.

643
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 1: That's when the wind probably is gonna drop to about

644
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 1: fifty eight percent UM, so every yard is gonna dock

645
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: about three percent, So just think of it that way.

646
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 1: So usually fifty eight percents my threshold, and that's thirty

647
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: and a half. So I would bet it up to

648
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 1: thirty and a half. Got it, all right? See there

649
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 1: you go. That's an important calculation right there. Alright, what

650
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 1: was number two? I've started in with you? So yeah,

651
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: So it's sorry, I'm excited for these punter props, but

652
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 1: it's the Super Bowl. This is the only game all

653
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: season we get offered punter props, so I have to

654
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 1: attack these. And I did find really good value again

655
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 1: this year, and that's Kevin Huber. His longest punt to

656
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: be over fifty two and a half yards UM, and

657
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: my simulator has him clearing this sixty two percent of

658
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,240
Speaker 1: the time. He's cleared this in thirteen of twenty games

659
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 1: this year. That's a sixty uh over eight UM. So

660
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: this line should be culture to fifty four and a half.

661
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: And this is this is a market where every single

662
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 1: yard matters UM. So at fifty three and a half yards.

663
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 1: He's still getting hited about fifty eight percent at the time,

664
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: so I would we betted up to fifty three and

665
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: a half, but it's going to be right around fifty.

666
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 1: If I had to guess, he's his longest punt will

667
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 1: probably be fifty five yards exactly. Um, So I love

668
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 1: taking these props and love his longest punt to be

669
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 1: over fifty two and a half yards. When you saw

670
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: the markets come out, we're puncher props the first thing

671
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: that you look for. Yeah, and they weren't up yet,

672
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: but that was absolutely the first thing I look for, because,

673
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 1: like I said, this is the only game all season

674
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 1: that or even offered these, and typically, you know, I

675
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 1: can find one or two, you know where I think

676
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: there's this over sixty percent chance to hit, and it

677
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: just gives you incentive to literally watch every single play

678
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 1: of the game because usually when team's punting, that's when

679
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 1: you get another beer or snacks. But now I'm sitting

680
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 1: there sweating punter props. So when you refill your green tea,

681
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 1: no beer maybe for you. He only Crida only gave

682
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: me two favorite player props, so I'm gonna give him

683
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 1: a little bit of a break, I'm gonna come to

684
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 1: you for your favorite player props, and then I'm gonna

685
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 1: go back to Coroner because i feel like two isn't enough. Alright, cool,

686
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 1: so I'll give you my favorite two as well. Um

687
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: let's started off with Matthew Stafford under five and a

688
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 1: half rushing yards. So this is just straight recently bias prop.

689
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,359
Speaker 1: He's been over five and a half and all three

690
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:26,279
Speaker 1: postseason games, and so everyone's looking and at it and

691
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 1: they're saying, Okay, we gotta bump this number up at

692
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:31,840
Speaker 1: the books, but in reality, this is a terrible number.

693
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford has been under five and a half and

694
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 1: thirteen of twenty games or sixtent his median is point

695
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 1: five rushing yards, which means he's goes over fifty percent

696
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 1: at the time. He goes under half a rushing yard

697
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,879
Speaker 1: fifty percent at a time. All thirteen of those games

698
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: where he's had under five and a half, he's had

699
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 1: two or fewer rushing yards. So it's just been kind

700
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 1: of an anomaly. These last couple of games he scrambled

701
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 1: or something like that. He scrambled in under half his games.

702
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,240
Speaker 1: By the way, uh, end you look at the Bengals.

703
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:02,799
Speaker 1: They they're not a team that gives up a ton

704
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 1: of rushing numbers two quarterbacks because they like to play

705
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:06,879
Speaker 1: a lot of zone. We saw them even drop eight

706
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 1: in the second half against my homes most of the

707
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 1: second half. So the Bengals gave up the tenth fewest

708
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: rushing yards during the regular season. Over fifty percent of

709
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 1: those rushing yards to quarterbacks came from two quarterbacks, Lamar

710
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 1: Jackson and Justin Fields. Over of all of the rushing

711
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: yards of quarterbacks that the Bengals gave up, Matthew Stafford

712
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,400
Speaker 1: two or less than sixty five percent of his games. Uh,

713
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 1: this is a terrible number at five point five. I

714
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: jumped on that very early, so I think you gotta

715
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,400
Speaker 1: take that. And my second favorite one is some J.

716
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: P Ryan under fourteen and a half combined rushing and

717
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 1: receiving yards. So p Ryan, before going over last week

718
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:43,880
Speaker 1: on that long screen touchdown, he'd been under this number

719
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 1: in five straight games. He's likely gonna need three touch

720
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,959
Speaker 1: opportunities to get there because the averages under four yards

721
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:55,040
Speaker 1: to carry about seven yards per catch. So uh, he's

722
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:58,280
Speaker 1: had um just one more than one touch just once

723
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,800
Speaker 1: in the three postseason games. He really he hasn't been

724
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 1: a big factor. And now we're talking about the Super Bowl. Uh,

725
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 1: he'd be lucky. You'd be lucky to get multiple touches

726
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,840
Speaker 1: in this game. And even if he catches multiple passes,

727
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 1: which is unlikely because it's the receptions props one and

728
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: a half UM, you know, he would need he would

729
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 1: probably still need a third touch to go over that um,

730
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: and his most likely outcome is probably one touch. So

731
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: I think this number is way too high, and just

732
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 1: again based on a residency bias of him scoring that

733
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 1: long screen pass touchdown that kind of you know, inflated

734
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 1: his average. But we're looking for the media here, um,

735
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 1: and I think his median is is actually in the

736
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:37,360
Speaker 1: single digits in terms of his scrimmag yards so some J. P.

737
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,920
Speaker 1: Ryan under fifteen fourteen and a half rushing and receiving

738
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,799
Speaker 1: and Matthew Stafford under five and a half Russian. I

739
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 1: thought you said something really interesting in the podcast that

740
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,800
Speaker 1: you and Croner did again, go check it out Action

741
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:54,720
Speaker 1: Network podcast prop of Palooza. Um. You talked about how

742
00:36:56,239 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 1: the Bengals game plan might only have one great play

743
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 1: for him in there, and they might have used it. Already. Yeah.

744
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,760
Speaker 1: So if you watch the ANFC Championship game, you noticed

745
00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:13,360
Speaker 1: p Ryan got that screen pass touchdown, which was well designed.

746
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:15,840
Speaker 1: Didn't mean for it to go for a touchdown, honestly,

747
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,799
Speaker 1: it was more like, uh, one of those players that

748
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 1: you're hoping gets you, you know, a good chunk, but

749
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:22,760
Speaker 1: he took it all away. And then he had another

750
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 1: play that actually could have gone for a touchdown, but

751
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 1: he ran the wrong route. Uh, and so that was

752
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 1: later so I you know, that's before that again he

753
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 1: had it had he done nothing for five games straight,

754
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 1: so they used like they had these two plays drawn

755
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,520
Speaker 1: up for him to kind of catch the Chiefs off guard,

756
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:40,799
Speaker 1: you know, because when mixing comes out, it's usually okay,

757
00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 1: we don't have to worry about whoever is in the

758
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: backfield we were, we gotta worry about Chase and Higgins

759
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 1: and boy and use Oma. So it's like they kind

760
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 1: of threw everything they had in terms of the somaj

761
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 1: p Ryan tank out in that Chiefs game. I wouldn't

762
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 1: be surprised if this dude like he's he's liable not

763
00:37:56,440 --> 00:38:00,319
Speaker 1: to play a snap in this game, all right, in

764
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 1: the spirit it convinced me, which is the show that

765
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 1: the three of us do Sunday mornings eleven a m

766
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 1: Eastern at Action Network HQ. That is the place where

767
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 1: everybody who's been listening to the Favorites knows you can

768
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 1: get our thoughts and insights on lines as they are

769
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:22,799
Speaker 1: changing in real time. That's where everything is up to

770
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,240
Speaker 1: the minute. On that show, each of you is usually

771
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 1: tasked with having to convince me of what bet I'm

772
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 1: going to take, whether it's a side, a total player prop, whatever.

773
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:36,320
Speaker 1: Um you kind of convinced me of everything. I've already

774
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 1: bet Somer G. P Ryan. I bet him under fourteen

775
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 1: and a half because that was available already. Bet Cooper

776
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,959
Speaker 1: Cup over twenty and a half. I already bet Kevin

777
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:47,640
Speaker 1: Hubert over fifty two and a half. Longest punt. I'm

778
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,320
Speaker 1: gonna bet Tee Higgins over sixty nine and a half.

779
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,840
Speaker 1: I'll probably bet him. M V P. Simon on the

780
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 1: show Ray Bons m O all season has been I'm

781
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 1: gonna name the ugliest prop I can name to try

782
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 1: to get Chad to bet it. He just named Matthew

783
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 1: Stafford under five and a half, some G. P Ryan

784
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,800
Speaker 1: under fourteen, under fifteen and a half total receiving yards

785
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,399
Speaker 1: or total rushing and receiving yards as a professional better

786
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,880
Speaker 1: you hear something like Matthew Stafford under five and a

787
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 1: half yards. To me, that just feels so I know

788
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:22,600
Speaker 1: what Raybond is saying about the value in the odds.

789
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:28,440
Speaker 1: That's one broken play in a game where everything can

790
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:33,840
Speaker 1: go haywire every second because everyone's nerves are so afraid. Yeah,

791
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 1: and but Chris is coming from it from a volume

792
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 1: better standpoint where it's like, if he loses this one

793
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 1: on the prop, he'll get it back down the road

794
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:43,359
Speaker 1: just because it eventually evens out. So that that to

795
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,600
Speaker 1: me is scary. As like you just said, he just

796
00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:48,399
Speaker 1: has one broken play. He takes a twenty yards, You're

797
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,640
Speaker 1: just like, all right, I just need a couple of

798
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: big sacks and that's over. But I like it just

799
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:55,840
Speaker 1: because he's taking advantage of what he just talked about.

800
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 1: The public is betting that number up because Stafford has

801
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 1: been running the ball last couple of weeks. So to me,

802
00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 1: he's playing that spart He's gonna good value on the

803
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 1: good number. Let me just mentioned to um, you know,

804
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 1: the Rams are the favorite in this game. I'm not

805
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: saying that like they're the best value on the spread.

806
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: But did a favorite in his game, So Matthew Stafford

807
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 1: could get like a six seven yard scramble. Uh, three

808
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: nail downs and the gates that right, And that was

809
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 1: That's what I was gonna say. Like famously, Patrick Mahomes

810
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, his his rushing prop was

811
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:29,240
Speaker 1: like twenty nine and a half or something like that. Creoner.

812
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 1: I don't know if you remember the exact number I had. Yeah,

813
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 1: I had Patrick Mahomes under twenty nine and a half

814
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:39,000
Speaker 1: rushing yards and he had it. He was like forty yeo,

815
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 1: I think. So he had three kneel downs that equated

816
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,800
Speaker 1: like minus fifteen yards because he he was trying to

817
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 1: run the clock as well, so he ran backwards and

818
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,600
Speaker 1: kneeled down for like minus ten yards of the clip.

819
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,319
Speaker 1: It was the most amazing win I've ever had. It

820
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 1: honestly was one of the best wins. I had it too,

821
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 1: And I kept watching him like, am I winning this

822
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 1: right now? Um? Coroner, I'm giving you one last chance

823
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 1: to give me one smash it right now player? Prop?

824
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: Oh Man, So the h I have a few rushing props,

825
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 1: but this one I love. It's Jamaar Chase, we'll have

826
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 1: more rushing yards than Cooper Cup. It was minus one forty,

827
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:19,960
Speaker 1: but it's already been bet up to minus one sixty.

828
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 1: I think it should be closer to minus two thirty.

829
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,440
Speaker 1: But you know, the Bengals have been giving Chase Russia

830
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: attempts in each of their three playoff games. Um, it

831
00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 1: makes sense. You know, if they're struggling to get him

832
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:30,640
Speaker 1: the ball, they get the ball in his hands, so

833
00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 1: they have some design rush attempts. Whereas Cooper Cup, I

834
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 1: mean it's easy enough for him to get targets, like

835
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 1: he gets enough targets and receptions of the game. They

836
00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 1: don't really give him design carries. So Cup only has

837
00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:42,839
Speaker 1: two rush tempts all season that went for two yards

838
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:45,919
Speaker 1: or more, whereas Chase has seven, and four of those

839
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: have come in the playoffs. Um, so there's a chance

840
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 1: neither one gets rushed temp and this this bets a void,

841
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 1: but I have this being closer a seventy chance. So,

842
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,160
Speaker 1: like I said, this should be closer to you know,

843
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 1: minus two thirties. So I love the value we're getting

844
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 1: at minus one sixty here, all right, we got to

845
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:04,799
Speaker 1: mar Chase more rushing yards than Cooper Cup. We've got

846
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 1: Kevin Cuber over fifty two and a half UH for

847
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:13,879
Speaker 1: max punting punting yards, We've got um Cooper Cup over

848
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half for longest reception. We've got

849
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:22,279
Speaker 1: some Agi p Rhyme under fifteen and a half receiving

850
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 1: and rushing yards. Matthew Stafford under five and a half

851
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,840
Speaker 1: rushing yards. We've got Tee Higgins over sixty nine and

852
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. We've got a lot of Tea

853
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 1: Higgins for long shot MVP. We've got so many field

854
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 1: goal We've got so much for the first play. We've

855
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,840
Speaker 1: got so much for the Unders in the first half,

856
00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,719
Speaker 1: first six minutes, first quarter. I want to hear their

857
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 1: best long shots. I'll go first my long shot. It

858
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,240
Speaker 1: goes against Chris a little bit, but not really. It's

859
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 1: my guy. Stafford two touchdowns one, he's had two rushing touchdowns.

860
00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 1: He's playoffs. The last game. He didn't get there. He

861
00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: was close, but we did not get there. Had had

862
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 1: a friend him. An article that was very interesting about

863
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,760
Speaker 1: when they traded for O'Dell. Back to back Friday practices,

864
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:10,799
Speaker 1: they ran their own version of the Philly Special with

865
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:14,239
Speaker 1: O'Dell passing the ball to Stafford. They have not used

866
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 1: to play all season. This is this is when you

867
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 1: bust those plays out. So if I can get Stafford

868
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 1: give me some QB sneak and you know, first second quarter,

869
00:43:22,680 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 1: then they run a little Philly Special gatting that second touchdown.

870
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 1: Hundred of one chat, I mean, I'll throw a grand

871
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:30,439
Speaker 1: to win a hundred K and I'll be damn happy

872
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 1: if ever hit. So that's my favorite long shot. Like,

873
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 1: what the hell hundred of one kind of bet? What

874
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,000
Speaker 1: do you guys think? I love? I love the inside

875
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:40,719
Speaker 1: uh Philly Special. I mean that's when you gener like

876
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 1: this is the last game of the year and teams

877
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: kind of saved their best plays for this moment and

878
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: it's shown me they too. Right. So, um, last time

879
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 1: the Rams went to the Super Bowlay scored how many points? Three? Three?

880
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 1: I think I think he's gonna pull everything out the

881
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:59,279
Speaker 1: bag that he has corner. Any last long shot that

882
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: we should be thinking about, Like I said, my my

883
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 1: long shot is Tee Higgins one to win Super m

884
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 1: v P. That's That's what I'm going with from my

885
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 1: long shot. All right, guys, we have officially covered it

886
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: all This has been the Favorites podcast The prop Spectacular

887
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:21,560
Speaker 1: from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Milman for

888
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: Chris Raybon for Sean Crooner. Make sure you listen to

889
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:30,560
Speaker 1: their a hundred and twenty two minute Proper Palooza podcast

890
00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 1: on the Action Network. And one quick note for our listeners,

891
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 1: be sure to check out the three and Our podcast

892
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:40,759
Speaker 1: with John Mittlecoff every Monday, Tuesday and Friday only on

893
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:45,760
Speaker 1: the Volume Podcast Network. John is an x NFL scout

894
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 1: who brings you his unique perspective to the Volume as

895
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 1: he breaks down all the news around the NFL and

896
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,280
Speaker 1: college football. Whether you're looking for game predictions, coaching searches,

897
00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 1: the ins and outs of an NFL front office, even

898
00:44:56,760 --> 00:45:00,879
Speaker 1: an occasional golf tip, John has you covered. Download three

899
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:04,800
Speaker 1: and Out with John Middlecoff only on the Volume Podcast Network.

900
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:10,760
Speaker 1: For my BFF, my compadre, my companion Professional Better Simon Hunter,

901
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: we will be back on Thursday talking about the sides,

902
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 1: talking about the totals, talking about the sharp calls for

903
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals and the Rams. Don't forget you can catch

904
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:23,400
Speaker 1: about four of us along with Samantha Pavidian darn Revell

905
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 1: Convinced me on at Action Network HQ eleven a m

906
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:33,400
Speaker 1: Eastern rate review. Subscribe, download from Apple podcasts, from Spotify podcasts,

907
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 1: wherever you get them until Thursday. Love you,