WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2018 NFL MegaPod Week 13 Preview 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:11.720 Tom check it on Man Now Down Now Thursday morning, 0:00:11.720 --> 0:00:18.280 November Beating the Book Podcast Megapod Times Gil Alexander thanks 0:00:18.320 --> 0:00:20.560 everybody for tuning in. You know how this works. Week 0:00:20.680 --> 0:00:23.759 thirteen in the NFL. We will tackle it as always 0:00:23.760 --> 0:00:26.400 the show brought you by the score x dot com 0:00:26.720 --> 0:00:29.200 th h E S C O r e x dot com. 0:00:29.240 --> 0:00:33.120 Remember if you win the pool of beating the book listeners, 0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:34.839 if you put in the promo code GIL G I 0:00:35.000 --> 0:00:38.000 L L, you are qualified for the Beating the Book pool. 0:00:38.360 --> 0:00:40.400 The winner at the end of the regular season will 0:00:40.400 --> 0:00:44.320 beat on the Megapod with Me, Marco and Ace wild 0:00:44.360 --> 0:00:47.520 Card week. So I am here to update the standings 0:00:47.560 --> 0:00:50.960 currently with five weeks left in the season. The leader 0:00:51.080 --> 0:00:55.720 right now is profitable gentlemen profitable plus he has indeed 0:00:55.720 --> 0:01:00.200 been profitable. Number two topsch left, not top shell off, 0:01:00.200 --> 0:01:03.440 mind you. He misspelled top shelf perhaps and called himself 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.120 topsch left, So we could have a guy who misspelled 0:01:06.160 --> 0:01:08.080 top shelf as our guest here on the Megapod Well 0:01:08.360 --> 0:01:11.760 Car week. He's up Dieto the Greek is up twenty 0:01:11.800 --> 0:01:14.600 six percent, the Wick up percent. Those guys tied for 0:01:14.680 --> 0:01:18.280 third and then Vitamin g up so whoever wins it, 0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:21.080 whether it's in that group or someone lurking right behind 0:01:21.160 --> 0:01:24.039 that top five, whoever's at the top. After week seventeen, 0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:26.040 you will be on the magupod with this wild card week. 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:28.800 We look forward to it and pumped that you've been 0:01:28.840 --> 0:01:31.360 score X and all year long. Once again, it's th 0:01:31.520 --> 0:01:33.360 h E S c O R e X the score 0:01:33.520 --> 0:01:35.839 X dot com on the show today. You heard that laugh. 0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:39.040 That is the recognizable laugh of one of the pillars 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:42.640 of the show. Thirty nine years in the business. That 0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:46.640 like goes back to the Eisenhower administration. No, not quite, 0:01:46.760 --> 0:01:49.080 not quite that far back, ladies and gentlemen. It is 0:01:49.120 --> 0:01:52.600 Marco to Angelo. Good morning, Marco, good morning. I'm doing 0:01:52.720 --> 0:01:55.000 very well. I can't wait for the Derby. When I 0:01:55.040 --> 0:01:57.840 introduce you for the Derby as a man who's seen 0:01:57.840 --> 0:02:01.320 all Kentucky Derbys live, that's always fun. It's always fun 0:02:01.360 --> 0:02:05.960 for you. Maybe that's more accurate. You're right and on 0:02:06.040 --> 0:02:09.519 my left out of the sports betting diaspora. Ace, good morning, Ace, 0:02:09.880 --> 0:02:12.680 all right, thanks for having me brother. Nice to be 0:02:12.720 --> 0:02:14.919 back after the break. Yeah, I got a request. Yeah, 0:02:15.040 --> 0:02:16.480 by the way, thanks to everybody I know. We had 0:02:16.520 --> 0:02:18.640 a couple who were like, not a little more than 0:02:18.680 --> 0:02:20.280 a couple of people who are like, where's the megapod? 0:02:20.360 --> 0:02:22.680 We never do one Thanksgiving week? Marco, we never do 0:02:22.720 --> 0:02:24.600 one Thanksgiving week? And when's the other time we never 0:02:24.639 --> 0:02:32.359 do one? Wee I did, we had, we had gone 0:02:32.360 --> 0:02:34.520 away from it. And then for some cockamami reason I 0:02:34.520 --> 0:02:35.680 got in my head, I was like, let's do a 0:02:35.680 --> 0:02:37.760 week seventeen pods. You're like, why we never do one. 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:39.880 I'm like, oh, let's try it. And it was stupid. 0:02:40.120 --> 0:02:43.080 Um Ace, I gotten requests about you this week. Uh, 0:02:43.120 --> 0:02:45.320 somebody wants a blah blah blah from you at some 0:02:45.360 --> 0:02:48.280 point on the show. And then they also want a 0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:52.959 they want a Patrick Mahomes member update, which I can't 0:02:52.960 --> 0:02:55.760 even believe that came out of my mouth. But a 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:57.960 Ace is not a fan of the Chiefs and that 0:02:58.000 --> 0:02:59.840 has not worked out so far for him. And on 0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:03.480 the show today, Ladies and Gentlemen, our esteemed guest, as always, 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:06.920 we haven't had Teddy on in a while, and that 0:03:07.040 --> 0:03:10.200 is my mistake and nobody else's. From Sports Memo, Ladies 0:03:10.240 --> 0:03:13.280 and Gentlemen, the Great Teddy covers Good morning, Teddy, Gentlemen. 0:03:13.360 --> 0:03:15.360 Great to be here. Thanks for being are I appreciate 0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:17.560 you doing this. Always fun having you, Hey, the pleasures 0:03:17.600 --> 0:03:20.800 all mine and hopefully this time. There was one pod 0:03:20.880 --> 0:03:23.960 that I remember just being vehement and arguing against all 0:03:24.000 --> 0:03:26.120 you guys, and then I was completely wrong when Monday 0:03:26.160 --> 0:03:29.440 Night you guys mocked me, and I think maybe that's 0:03:29.480 --> 0:03:31.640 why I wasn't on from Oh No, if we have 0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:33.240 being in arguments, I'll try to be on the right 0:03:33.320 --> 0:03:35.960 side of them. Teddy, we mock everyone, We mock each other. 0:03:36.040 --> 0:03:38.360 It's kind of what we do. All right, Let's start 0:03:38.440 --> 0:03:40.720 as we always do in reverse. Will start with Monday Night. 0:03:40.760 --> 0:03:43.760 It is a NFC East. I hesitate to use the 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:47.200 word clash, but basically, if the Cowboys lose tonight on 0:03:47.240 --> 0:03:49.760 Thursday Night Football to the Saints, which might be the 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:52.240 highest rated Thursday night football game of all time, we 0:03:52.280 --> 0:03:54.680 shall see. But if the Cowboys lose that game and 0:03:54.800 --> 0:03:57.960 the Eagles end up beating the Redskins, we will have 0:03:58.160 --> 0:04:00.680 a three way tie on top of the NFC East 0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:04.160 at six and six Cowboys Eagles at Redskins. We'll see 0:04:04.160 --> 0:04:06.000 if it pans out. As it is for this game, 0:04:06.040 --> 0:04:08.960 the Eagles are six six and a half point favorite. 0:04:09.000 --> 0:04:11.560 Consensus in this game on Monday Night, it will be 0:04:11.600 --> 0:04:15.680 Colt McCoy again for the Redskins. Redskins on extra rest 0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:19.200 here having lost to the Cowboys last Thursday and Thanksgiving 0:04:19.839 --> 0:04:23.120 refs refusing to make some calls on the Cowboys, man 0:04:23.200 --> 0:04:25.479 just say, as a Redskins fan, kind of a p 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:28.400 I rapage that wasn't called, kind of a targeting that 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:29.919 was heard up in the booth that wasn't called. But 0:04:29.960 --> 0:04:32.400 you get the idea. The Redskins didn't win the game. 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:35.479 Didn't cover unless you got it early. On guessing lines. 0:04:35.480 --> 0:04:36.880 I said eight and a half was ridiculous. If you 0:04:36.920 --> 0:04:39.400 got it early enough, you were you want on the Redskins. 0:04:39.440 --> 0:04:41.880 But most people did not win on the Redskins. Anyway, 0:04:41.880 --> 0:04:45.080 they lose that game. Offense is just decimated really, Besides 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:48.800 Jordan Read and their starting center, everybody's different than was 0:04:48.839 --> 0:04:50.400 the case from the beginning of the season, although Trent 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:52.560 Williams and Morgan Moses get in and out of the 0:04:52.600 --> 0:04:55.920 lineup at tackle. And then there's the Eagles, defending Super 0:04:55.960 --> 0:05:00.200 Bowl champions, who have just not looked anywhere near the 0:05:00.200 --> 0:05:02.360 way they did last year. Much of that the fact 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:04.960 that they're not having the same success on third down conversions, 0:05:04.960 --> 0:05:07.200 which they were just lights out on last year. A 0:05:07.240 --> 0:05:10.599 lot of injuries in that secondary. But they come back 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:13.000 from a nineteen to three deficit against the Giants last 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:16.360 Sunday win at twenty five to twenty two. So again 0:05:16.400 --> 0:05:18.919 a chance if things go break their way here on 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:21.200 Thursday night as well, to be in a tie after 0:05:21.240 --> 0:05:24.600 all that twelve games of the season atop the NFC East, Teddy, 0:05:24.600 --> 0:05:26.839 how do you feel about this game? So, you know, 0:05:26.920 --> 0:05:30.080 the Rescues were a team that when they got off 0:05:30.120 --> 0:05:35.240 to that hot start, it really felt real like Washington 0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:39.039 was going to be there for the full race. But 0:05:39.440 --> 0:05:42.440 when your offensive line gets decimated with injuries and you 0:05:42.480 --> 0:05:45.599 were talking about it, you know, uh yeah, puts a 0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:49.400 real damper on everything that you're capable of doing. You know, 0:05:49.520 --> 0:05:52.000 last week you talked about all the key plays except 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:54.360 the one that actually what's the point spred difference maker 0:05:54.400 --> 0:05:57.920 of course, the missed extra point for the Ridskins having 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:03.440 enormous betting occasions here in Las Vegas. Uh, with the 0:06:03.480 --> 0:06:05.600 eight point victory in the game that closed seven seven 0:06:05.600 --> 0:06:07.920 and a half. The missed extra point was the difference 0:06:07.920 --> 0:06:10.960 maker there. And obviously when you're talking about this stage 0:06:10.960 --> 0:06:14.120 of the season, it's not unusual to see games land 0:06:14.320 --> 0:06:17.880 right around the number. Every half point can and does matter, 0:06:17.920 --> 0:06:20.359 and this is one of those games where as we talk, 0:06:21.279 --> 0:06:24.560 we're looking at six and a half. I expect this 0:06:24.839 --> 0:06:28.000 game to go to seven by the time that you know, 0:06:28.080 --> 0:06:31.159 at least at some books, by the time we're looking 0:06:31.160 --> 0:06:34.400 at kickoff, simply because Philadelphia saved their season last week 0:06:34.680 --> 0:06:38.800 and Washington had another National TV loss, and we know 0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:42.160 the Eagles aren't anywhere near what they were a year ago. Uh. 0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:43.520 You know, a lot of it, in my mind, has 0:06:43.560 --> 0:06:45.440 to do with the brain trust. You know, look at 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:48.200 the Colts with Frank Greig right now, and boy, their 0:06:48.240 --> 0:06:53.080 game plans are unique and difficult to defend every week. Huh. 0:06:53.320 --> 0:06:55.560 We haven't seen that in Philadelphia. We've seen John to 0:06:55.560 --> 0:06:59.400 Philippo up in Minnesota have success as the offerensive coordinator 0:07:00.000 --> 0:07:02.720 of the QB coach for Carson Wentz last year when 0:07:02.720 --> 0:07:05.600 Wentz was an MVP candidate. Clearly he's not an MVP 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:09.080 candidate this season. Of course, the Eagles do have all 0:07:09.120 --> 0:07:11.760 of those injuries in the secondary secondary last week that 0:07:11.800 --> 0:07:15.200 had nary a healthy starter in the mix. That's a 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:18.600 problem in this point spread range. All that being said, 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:21.880 Philadelphia is the better of these two teams moving forward. 0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:24.520 When you talk about upside, the Redskins with a backup 0:07:24.600 --> 0:07:28.360 quarterback who's not you know, a playmaker in Colt McCoy 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:32.080 got who made a lot of mistakes last week and 0:07:32.720 --> 0:07:36.600 is going up against a strong pass rush here. Boy, 0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:39.200 I don't trust McCoy to avoid the mistakes this week. 0:07:39.200 --> 0:07:41.560 I think Philly more likely to get the job done. 0:07:41.640 --> 0:07:43.560 Philly more likely to get the job done. And you're right. 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:47.280 Colte McCoy first start for the Redskins in place of 0:07:47.360 --> 0:07:52.640 the injured Alex Smith, thirty eight for two touchdowns, three 0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:56.640 picks among his passes, more than his share of ducks. 0:07:57.160 --> 0:07:59.400 He was sacked three times. Colte McCoy gets a second 0:07:59.440 --> 0:08:02.120 start of the Sea in this one. Zach Ertz the 0:08:02.160 --> 0:08:04.720 go to guy for Carson Wentz this year. Seven catches 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:06.680 for ninety one yards and a touchdown against the Giants 0:08:06.760 --> 0:08:09.520 last week. Uh, Teddy just mentioned Frank Reich in that 0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:12.400 Frank Reich is the common thread. The Eagles were the 0:08:12.400 --> 0:08:14.840 best team on third downs last year. Frank Reich was there, O, 0:08:14.960 --> 0:08:18.240 c what do you know Indianapolis Colts this year the 0:08:18.280 --> 0:08:22.040 only team over fifty conversion rate on third downs. That's 0:08:22.160 --> 0:08:25.680 obviously been a huge differentiator among so many for the 0:08:25.720 --> 0:08:28.520 Eagles thus far this year. Marco, any thoughts on this 0:08:28.560 --> 0:08:34.920 ball game? Yeah, Washington, Uh use a VR's favorite line 0:08:35.040 --> 0:08:37.800 or the pony is a three dollar bill. You know 0:08:37.800 --> 0:08:41.040 when they had that four in one run, uh, prior 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:43.000 to losing the last two. If you go back and 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:45.760 look at that four in one run, they enjoyed a 0:08:45.880 --> 0:08:49.840 twelve to two turnover edge. I'm sorry. Whenever you have 0:08:49.920 --> 0:08:52.960 a twelve to two turnover edge over five game period, 0:08:53.240 --> 0:08:55.640 you're gonna win some ballgames. That's how they won the 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:59.920 Carolina game. They were plus three in turnovers. Beat Carolina 0:09:00.040 --> 0:09:03.120 twenty three to seventeen. Plus three in turnovers, you're supposed 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:06.760 to win bigger than six points. Um. We all talked 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.560 about that Tampa Bay game. That was another one. Uh. 0:09:09.640 --> 0:09:13.960 They beat Tampa Bay sixteen to three with Tampa Bay 0:09:14.000 --> 0:09:17.560 having like five hundred yards of offense and no points 0:09:17.600 --> 0:09:19.920 to show for it. Well, it was plus four in 0:09:19.920 --> 0:09:23.679 the turnover margin in Philadelphia last week. As bad as 0:09:23.720 --> 0:09:27.360 Philadelphia has been, and we've seen it all year. The 0:09:27.440 --> 0:09:30.600 way they were able to pull last week's game out. 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:34.280 That is the type of game that can save someone's 0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:36.880 season and start them on a run. And I think 0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:40.040 that's where you're gonna be with Philadelphia. The injuries to 0:09:40.200 --> 0:09:44.840 Washington has been well documented. UM, asked Alex Smith. That's 0:09:44.960 --> 0:09:47.920 you know, probably why Uh, you know he got hurt 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:52.040 with the poor offensive line play. I'll take Philadelphia here. Uh, 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:54.800 this is a game that, like you said, Gil, if 0:09:54.880 --> 0:09:59.480 we get a loss tonight by the Cowboys against the Saints, 0:10:00.320 --> 0:10:03.080 this sets up, you know, if you're a conspiracy theories, 0:10:03.559 --> 0:10:06.760 you're gonna be on Philadelphia at least for a teaser anyways, 0:10:06.800 --> 0:10:09.959 to just win the game. Because what better way to 0:10:10.080 --> 0:10:15.000 have the NFC least other than having three mediocre teams 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:18.040 at six and six. Yeah. I was gonna ask you 0:10:18.040 --> 0:10:20.520 if this had teas written all over it on the Eagles, 0:10:20.520 --> 0:10:22.720 and you answered the question. Uh. Normally when you speak 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:25.040 poorly of the Redskins, I always go, how dare you, Marco? 0:10:25.160 --> 0:10:28.200 How dare you say such things? But you are you 0:10:28.200 --> 0:10:32.360 are completely correct in the in this in this case, Um, 0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:35.520 and yes, the Tampa Bay game four nine eight or 0:10:35.520 --> 0:10:37.760 four hundred nine nine yards of offense. Can't remember the 0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:41.079 exact number, but it's right there, and the Buccaneers managed 0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:45.400 three points. That just doesn't happen. Doesn't happen. Ridskins won 0:10:45.400 --> 0:10:47.880 that game. In that Carolina game you referenced, Redskins went 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:50.560 up seventeen and nothing, and you're right to DJ more 0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:54.199 turnovers for the Panthers. That was huge into the Redskins 0:10:54.280 --> 0:10:56.880 getting steaked to a seventeen and nothing lead. Panthers came 0:10:56.960 --> 0:10:58.679 all the way back, got the ball all the way 0:10:58.720 --> 0:11:00.680 to the fifteen yard line with it as to win it, 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:05.679 and then Cam just had this Cam like horrific sequence 0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:09.560 where the Redskins escaped and you're like, what was Cam doing? So, yeah, 0:11:09.640 --> 0:11:12.400 a bunch of escape jobs for the Redskins. ACE totals 0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:16.000 at forty five. Any thoughts on this game? Yeah, I mean, listen, obviously, 0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:18.559 the Redskins haven't looked good to the last four weeks 0:11:18.600 --> 0:11:21.120 except for that win at Tampa Bay. But with that said, 0:11:21.120 --> 0:11:24.800 they they've been decimated by injuries of late um not 0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.080 giving him a pass, but I mean you gotta factor 0:11:27.160 --> 0:11:30.079 that in. Personally, I thought this line was a little high. 0:11:30.280 --> 0:11:33.000 I don't like what I see out of Philadelphia Um. 0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:35.040 I mean when you look at the matchups that they've 0:11:35.080 --> 0:11:38.800 had against solid teams, they just can't get it done. 0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:42.839 I mean against Dallas at home, a very big game. 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:45.839 The way this division is lined up, I couldn't get 0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.280 that win as seven and a half point favorites. Against 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:52.520 Carolina at home, fine point favorites, another big game. Can't 0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:55.640 get that win. Against Minnesota at home three and a 0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:58.600 half point favorites, can't get that win. Ohly did they 0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:01.520 not cover these games? They even win the game straight up. 0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:05.480 So I don't see anything to get excited for with Philadelphia, 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.320 um let alone laying a touchdown. This is going off 0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:11.760 of last year. I mean, their their reputation this entire 0:12:11.840 --> 0:12:14.680 season is going off last year. Um. That's why they're 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.040 burning through money. If you're betting them there three and 0:12:17.080 --> 0:12:19.920 eight against the spread, that's not by an accident. Um. 0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:22.480 So for me, I just can't lay close to a 0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:25.840 touchdown with Philadelphia, And the fact that they're three and 0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:29.080 three at home gives me no confidence to even tease them. 0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:31.080 You know, I could see if they, you know, were 0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:34.040 a five and six, six and five team, but they 0:12:34.080 --> 0:12:36.960 were getting their winds at home and just having trouble 0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:39.079 on the road. But this team is a coin toss 0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:41.959 at home and on the road, so they have confidence. 0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:44.040 I just don't see it. I mean, for me, it's 0:12:44.080 --> 0:12:47.040 a dog or pass situation. UM. But I think there's 0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:49.719 value in the over here. I mean it sets up 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:54.080 as that NFC East playoff aspirations called what you will 0:12:54.120 --> 0:12:57.520 for both these teams fighting for that top spot. And 0:12:57.520 --> 0:13:01.200 and it's that NFC East I think perception of that 0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:04.280 defensive game, and then you factor in, you know, the 0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:06.400 Eagles have been in on their team. Four of their 0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:10.839 last five games have gone under. UM. Again, it's it's 0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:14.720 at the primetime game. UM. Usually that the biases towards 0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:18.800 the over, and I not want to quickly jump on 0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:21.280 that over, but I did last Monday night and it 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:23.400 worked out for me, and I liked the over again 0:13:23.520 --> 0:13:26.040 this Monday night as well. If there's one thing I 0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.880 saw out of Washington, as much as McCoy makes those 0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.319 mistakes and they had five turnovers the last two weeks, 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.480 the offense moves okay, and I think they'll be able 0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:36.240 to get some points against Philly, and Philly will do 0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:38.560 the same, So give me the over. They scored forty 0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:41.079 seven and and fifty eight when they played last year. 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.000 In those two games, I think they could go over 0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:45.120 forty four and a half forty five. Last thing on 0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:47.040 this game, because we do we do sort of gloss over, 0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.080 you know, when a team gets estimated by injuries. But 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:52.839 the Skins on offense, man, my god, both starting guard 0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:56.600 Shawn Laval and Brandon Schriff out for the season. Trent 0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:59.280 Williams and Morgan was their their tackles in and out 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:02.000 of the lineup. Jamison Crowder, their slot receiver, has been 0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:05.280 out for two months. Chris Thompson, the best player on 0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:08.760 that offense, been out for almost two months. Who else 0:14:08.920 --> 0:14:11.920 Paul Richardson and yeah, Paul Richardson out for the year, 0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:14.240 and of course Alex Smith now done for the year 0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:17.360 as well. It's incredible how how many injuries they have. 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.520 But we'll see, still got a shot. Redskins right now 0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:22.600 six and a half point dogs on the road at 0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.720 Philly on Monday night, Sunday night, guys, game that was 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:29.840 flexed in good matchup Chargers at the Steelers. Steelers right 0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.200 now are three and a half point favorites consensus, though 0:14:32.240 --> 0:14:35.240 you will see some threes out there with extra Juice, Marco, 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:37.120 it is fitting that we start with you, not only 0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:39.320 because it's the Steelers, funny how that always works out, 0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:43.240 but because you absolutely rabbit footed up your ass your 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:47.560 way to a Denver win last week. If I may 0:14:47.560 --> 0:14:50.320 be blunt, how many things had to happen in that 0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:52.600 game for Denver to to cover and win it out right? 0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:55.000 By the way, Denver wins it by a touchdown. Pittsburgh 0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:57.360 won only five teams that didn't hit on the tease 0:14:57.440 --> 0:15:00.720 last week, twenty five and thirty on teaser sides. Big Ben, though, 0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:03.360 in that game against the Broncos forty one of fifty 0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:06.600 six for four sixty two, one touchdown, two picks. That's 0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:09.200 a six four hundred and fifty yard plus game of 0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:14.160 his career, juju is ridiculous. Thirteen catches for nine and 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.480 two touchdowns. Steelers had five hundred twenty seven total yards 0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:20.360 of offense, controlled the ball for thirty five minutes. However, 0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:24.200 let's run down the list. Blocked field goal a fumble 0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:25.720 through the back of the end zone. By the way, 0:15:25.720 --> 0:15:28.720 I cannot stand that rule. Ben misses the wide open 0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:31.560 receiver in the third quarter that was headed to the house. 0:15:32.120 --> 0:15:35.320 James Conner fumbling just inside the red zone, and of 0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.080 course the final interception from Big Ben at the end. 0:15:38.080 --> 0:15:41.320 Steelers first loss since September. And then there's the Chargers 0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:43.880 who come in this game off a huge victory over 0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.720 the Cardinals, really coasting easy victory after they spotted Arizona 0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:51.480 ten points. But Melvin Gordon gone because Anthony le Lynn, 0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:53.840 when they were up by like a thousand points, decided 0:15:53.880 --> 0:15:55.680 to keep him in the game. He's gone now with 0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:58.240 the knee injury. He'll be out this week and maybe 0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:02.080 a couple subsequent weeks. Four. The Chargers Pittsburgh again three 0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:05.040 point favorites. It's called three and a half consensus right now, 0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:08.800 total at fifty one and a half. Marco, Well, that's 0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:12.280 set up with the horseshoe and everything else. Sounds like 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:15.440 somebody had. Somebody had Pittsburgh last week. Did No? I 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:17.200 did not. I did not have any action in that game, 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.960 all right, But yeah I did. I had Denver and 0:16:22.000 --> 0:16:24.960 it was the luckiest win. And this is what's humbling 0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:28.360 about the NFL. As you like to throw out your 0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:31.360 plink oh and coin flips and everything else, till I 0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.040 went one and one on Sunday in the NFL the 0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.800 game I lost, I never show lost in the game 0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:39.040 I won, I never should have won. That's the beauty 0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:42.400 of the NFL. I had Carolina that went up and 0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:46.360 down the Seattle last week, and you know I would 0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:49.400 have gladly traded that one and one the other way around. 0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:52.960 Um obviously because of you know, my loyalty to the Steelers. 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:56.479 But you know it was a bad spot for Pittsburgh 0:16:56.600 --> 0:16:58.880 last week, and it's why that I put me on Denver. 0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:01.800 They were coming off that Jacksonville game. Playing back to 0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:05.560 back road games, UM is always tough, and especially the 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.680 way the Steelers had to come from behind to win 0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:10.159 the Jacksonville game. And as we all know, that was 0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.520 a huge revenge game for Pittsburgh. But did I think 0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.280 the Steelers were gonna put up the numbers they did 0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.040 last week? Offensively? I mean, they went up and down 0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:21.920 the field and kept shooting themselves in the foot. And 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:26.679 how often do we see this though throughout Mike Tomlin's career, 0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:31.160 For whatever reason, when the Steelers play a sub five 0:17:31.240 --> 0:17:34.120 hundred team, they played to the level of the competitions. 0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:38.119 It's frustrating. And uh, Denver stole a game, pure and simple, 0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:42.000 and now we've got the Chargers in Pittsburgh. They got 0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:45.919 something in common. These two teams both gave games away 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:49.240 to Denver in the last two weeks. UM, so they're 0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:52.440 the same on that aspect. But you talk about Juju, 0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:54.760 and you know, I just want to highlight for a 0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:58.600 second what he's doing right now. And Gil, if you 0:17:58.680 --> 0:18:02.600 remember back right now, what we're seeing with Juju is 0:18:02.640 --> 0:18:06.639 what we saw with Antonio Brown, uh in his first 0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.760 and second year in Pittsburgh, and that was you know, 0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:13.240 Antonio Brown was not the guy. It was Mike Wallace, 0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:17.119 you know, and Mike Wallace was getting all of the 0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:20.879 you know, the double teams, and Antonio Brown, because he 0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:23.720 is such a good, you know talent, you know, was 0:18:23.800 --> 0:18:27.240 the unknown factor and not getting you know, the coverage. 0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:31.240 Is that Antonio Brown, you know that Wallace was getting. 0:18:31.240 --> 0:18:33.679 And now that's what's happening to Juju. And he is 0:18:33.760 --> 0:18:38.840 emerging as a superstar. If you don't get him immediately 0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:42.119 when he makes the catch, his yards after the catch, 0:18:42.760 --> 0:18:45.480 um is insane. I mean, just look at last week's 0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:48.600 you know, ninety seven yard touchdown. You know this guy 0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:51.720 when he gets into the open field, Uh, the speed 0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:55.080 and elusiveness uh. And then you know you got a 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:57.280 B on the other side getting the double team. He 0:18:57.320 --> 0:19:01.040 got juju And if you somehow manage to cover those two, 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:04.159 you gotta worry about Connor out of the backfield, and 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:08.320 you gotta worry about Vance McDonald, who is emerging is 0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.400 one of the best tight ends in the NFL. He's 0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:14.960 having a breakout season with the Steelers. So this offense 0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:19.280 is just, you know, right now, unstoppable unless Ben throws 0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.159 it to the wrong colored jerseys. Um. I look at 0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:24.840 the Chargers, and everybody's gonna point out where all the 0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.200 Steelers are going against a good defense. The Chargers don't 0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:29.960 give up any points. Let's just stop with that for 0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:34.040 a second. Look at who the Chargers have played, uh 0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:36.960 in recent weeks in which you know, they've had a 0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:40.600 stretch here now of seven games where only one team 0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:44.159 is top twenty points. That one team was Denver. Uh. 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:46.040 You look at the other teams that they played. They 0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:50.920 played Oakland, who is absolute trash. They played Cleveland when 0:19:51.320 --> 0:19:54.080 the clown show was still there of Hugh Jackson and 0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:59.720 Tied Haley, And we noticed Baker Mayfield's numbers the minute 0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:02.960 Ti Hayley cut replaced and he got replaced my head 0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:06.240 coach at the defensive coach, and the offensive numbers are 0:20:06.240 --> 0:20:10.199 off the charts. With Baker's last three games, Um Tennessee, 0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:14.320 not an offensive Jugger, not UM Seattle. Okay, they held 0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:17.000 them to seventeen, but then they played Oakland a second 0:20:17.000 --> 0:20:20.520 time and then Denver in Arizona. They haven't faced an 0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:24.800 explosive offense. We'll see what the Chargers defense is really 0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:29.600 made of going against a good offense and explosive offense. 0:20:30.119 --> 0:20:33.479 And we know the Steelers home off of the loss, 0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:37.360 how good they are. They're a different team at home. 0:20:37.400 --> 0:20:40.320 They averaged seven points a game more at home. And 0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:42.840 now this game is flexed into the Sunday night game 0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:46.080 the Steelers. Uh, this just doesn't look good for the Chargers. 0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:48.600 And this one, uh, no Gordon, and this one for 0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:51.600 the Chargers that's gonna hurt them. And I am gonna 0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:55.359 actually finish this analysis with yes, I'm on Pittsburgh and 0:20:55.400 --> 0:20:58.600 I went the entire analysis without calling the Chargers the 0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:01.720 San Diego Chargers. How about back well done? That that's 0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:04.120 the big upset of the day right here, plus eight 0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:08.359 hundred cashes on that. Uh it's so true though, like 0:21:08.440 --> 0:21:10.760 I could totally see Pittsburgh just rolling in this game, 0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:14.720 because Pittsburgh always seems to have one horrific out of 0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:17.239 the blue road loss every year. It's kind of what 0:21:17.320 --> 0:21:20.840 they do. And I think Denver is that this year. Yeah, 0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:24.080 I mean, just just in your mind's eye picturing Ben 0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:26.600 trying to get hold of the turf by Joey Bosa 0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:28.320 and just managing to get it out in a big 0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:30.399 Pittsburgh playing this one. By the way, anecdotally, if you 0:21:30.400 --> 0:21:33.439 talk to any Chargers fan, they're such defeatist fans, by 0:21:33.440 --> 0:21:35.240 the way, Chargers fans, they're like, yeah, this is the 0:21:35.240 --> 0:21:38.920 game where we get absolutely destroyed. Yeah. I mean, listen, 0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:41.439 I had Denver last week also, and I get it. 0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:45.879 Four turn minus born turnovers for Pittsburgh. You're not going 0:21:45.920 --> 0:21:48.080 to cover games. You're not gonna win games like that, 0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:50.040 so call it what you will. I I like, I 0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.120 thought we had the right side. We got a little 0:21:52.200 --> 0:21:56.320 couple of lucky plays, but regardless, Um, listen, they snapped 0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.639 their six game wins. Now they return home, Um, this 0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:02.320 is the to be their only excuse me home game 0:22:02.359 --> 0:22:05.600 in like a four weeks. Threat. Um, I could definitely 0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:08.359 see the Steelers showing up, and I agree with Marco. 0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:13.000 The only thing I don't like is not sure the 0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:18.440 market's reaction based on the Gordon situation. You know, I 0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:22.440 I as soon as a key player goes down like that, 0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:26.080 usually the market overreacts and thinks he's worth more to 0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:29.600 the betting line than than he truly is. And for me, 0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:33.840 I'm always cautious there. Um. I do like the under though, um. 0:22:33.960 --> 0:22:36.440 And I know it's scary because you've got the Chargers 0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:39.359 team that's definitely gonna try to throw on these Steelers. 0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:41.760 You know they're they're gonna have trouble running the ball, 0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.600 especially now. Um, But I don't think they would have 0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:47.199 had all that much success anyway. They were gonna come 0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:50.160 and throw in the football against the Steelers defense. And 0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:52.560 when you think of two teams that are gonna be 0:22:52.600 --> 0:22:55.199 throwing the football, you think points and over. But but 0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:58.520 I think this line is just way too high. I mean, listen, 0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.920 we've seen total us that we've never seen before this season. 0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:06.240 In fact, we saw the unprecedented one two Monday nights ago, um, 0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:08.400 where they scored a hundred five points and went over. 0:23:08.520 --> 0:23:11.359 I get it. Um, it's a it's a change the 0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:14.400 NFL and you have to approach it a little differently. 0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:18.840 But with that said, UM, the NFL betting market is 0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:22.120 probably one of the most efficient on the planet. UM 0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:28.720 and none evolve and uh quicker than the NFL. And 0:23:29.040 --> 0:23:33.040 I think that you're starting to see these totals high 0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:36.920 in games that it's not warranted. I mean, you look 0:23:36.960 --> 0:23:39.480 on the board now and you're seeing four, five, six 0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:43.840 games in or around the fifties, UM, and I just 0:23:43.920 --> 0:23:48.680 think that's more of what we've seen, uh this sample 0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:52.119 size of this year than it really being warranted. So 0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:54.400 for me, I think this total is too high. I'm 0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:57.120 gonna go ahead and bet the under. I don't think 0:23:57.119 --> 0:23:59.680 you're gonna see a two way shootout. I could see 0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:02.800 it turn into a one sided game on the Pittsburgh side, 0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:04.960 So I do like that a little bit as well. 0:24:05.040 --> 0:24:07.160 But I just think this total is way too high. 0:24:07.200 --> 0:24:09.439 Give me that under, all, right, under fifty one and 0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.720 a half. I am contractually obligated gentlemen to mention that 0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:15.800 Philip Rivers last week against the Cardinals in that blowout 0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:19.280 forty five to ten blowout, twenty eight of twenty nine 0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:22.600 had twenty five consecutive completions to start that game, uh 0:24:22.680 --> 0:24:26.280 ties in NFL record Ryan Tannehill's mark for but it 0:24:26.359 --> 0:24:28.760 is a record for completions to start a game. But 0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:32.400 twenty eight of twenty nine, that's nineties six point eight 0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:35.520 percent is the greatest completion percentage in the history of 0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:37.199 the National Football League. And let me just say this, 0:24:37.480 --> 0:24:43.719 Keenan Allen and Mike Williams were making just unbelievably amazing 0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:47.879 catches with their tiptoeing just inside the sidelines. Those receivers 0:24:47.920 --> 0:24:51.640 helped Rivers out so much too. It's just an impressive performance. 0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:54.760 But a last the Cardinals, they ain't the Steelers, Teddy, 0:24:54.800 --> 0:24:56.800 what do you think? So? Now, did you notice that 0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:00.119 Philip Rivers left the game after completing twenty nine Then 0:25:00.160 --> 0:25:02.840 Gino Smith came in and through three strading completes. I 0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:07.160 did notice that, Yeso Smith. Gino Smith, by the way, Teddy, 0:25:07.200 --> 0:25:09.760 one of my favorite scouting report lines ever when he 0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:13.800 was coming out of college. It's a Geno Smith slow eyes. 0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:19.080 I love that slow eyes and Gino I mean to 0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:21.840 watch his NFL career is absolutely no surprise and Nione 0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:23.520 that watched him in college and the fact that the 0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:25.400 Jet has been a first round draft choice on him, 0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:27.120 and the fact that he's lasted this long in the league, 0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:30.679 I'll give him credit. What it speaks volume about the 0:25:30.680 --> 0:25:34.600 football organization in New York. A couple of things we 0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:36.240 got to talk about right off the bat. First, of course, 0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:38.159 is the weather. When we're talking about l A traveling 0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:41.440 to Pittsburgh for a night game, tempi are supposed to 0:25:41.440 --> 0:25:43.320 be in the fifties. Is a chance of light rain, 0:25:43.400 --> 0:25:45.280 but it's not going to be one of these cold, 0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:50.280 nasty nights at the Hinesfield. So advantage in that regard 0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:54.000 probably l A. Of course, when you start talking about 0:25:54.000 --> 0:25:57.439 Austin Ekeler instead of Melvin Gordon, that's not necessarily an 0:25:57.440 --> 0:25:59.320 advantage l A. And by the way, their third leaning, 0:25:59.440 --> 0:26:01.720 the third leading rusher this year is Keenan Allen. They 0:26:01.720 --> 0:26:05.760 do not really have a decent backup for Atli who 0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:08.239 you know, Lynn's talking the talks and oh he can 0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.359 be an every down back, no problem. You know, you 0:26:10.400 --> 0:26:14.119 see all the yards after after contact that he gets. Okay, 0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:16.520 the guy's got seventy carries on the season. And this 0:26:16.560 --> 0:26:19.560 is a game where l a's game plan has to 0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:23.320 be run the football, keep big ban off the field. 0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:27.159 That's likely to be a problem with their backup running back, 0:26:27.200 --> 0:26:28.679 and you know, I'm not a running back guy. I 0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:31.480 tend to think of them as being interchangeable. Now Gordon 0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:34.680 is not interchangeable, and his absence will be fetting. Note 0:26:34.680 --> 0:26:37.159 that the note that the markets have pretty much been like, yeah, whatever, 0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:39.480 Melvin Gordon doesn't matter the threes and a half getting 0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:41.800 back down? Are you Are you surprised by that, Teddy, 0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:43.439 because I was a little surprised by that. I mean, 0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:46.280 I get it, these guys don't mean that much, much 0:26:46.359 --> 0:26:49.199 less than the public perceives. But in Gordon's case, I 0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:53.399 thought maybe some movement, none really none, none whatsoever. And 0:26:53.440 --> 0:26:54.600 a lot of it has to do with, again, what 0:26:54.640 --> 0:26:56.320 we saw last week. What we see last week? We 0:26:56.320 --> 0:26:59.760 saw the Chargers blow out a bad team, and we 0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:03.800 the Steelers lose straight up uh to a mediocre team. 0:27:04.400 --> 0:27:06.840 Hence the I think that has something to do with 0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:10.600 the lack of market support for Pittsburgh here and the 0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.280 lack of enthusiasm for Melvin Gordon, and the fact that 0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:15.960 both of these teams, I mean, what the Steelers did 0:27:16.240 --> 0:27:19.480 against Denver, you guys setting nailed it. You know, Pittsburgh 0:27:19.480 --> 0:27:21.760 does this not once. That's why they do it a 0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:24.080 you know, three or four times. It's like every season 0:27:24.440 --> 0:27:26.240 they have games where, yeah, they should have won, but 0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:29.320 they didn't. Um. Of course, the Chargers have more than 0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:32.080 their fair share of special teams misc used. No surprise 0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:33.960 here if the Chargers end up losing this game at 0:27:34.119 --> 0:27:36.359 s because somebody misses an extra point or somebody this 0:27:36.520 --> 0:27:40.160 is a field goal. It's what they do. But with 0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:42.960 one team coming off the blowout win, the other team 0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:45.040 coming off a bad loss where they were minus four 0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:47.919 in turnovers a prior, you have to look at the 0:27:47.920 --> 0:27:50.920 Pittsburgh side here at three. I'm a buyer on the Steelers. 0:27:51.119 --> 0:27:53.240 All right. It's such a good point about the Charges too. 0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:55.399 If you're friends with any Chargers fans, they will tell 0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:58.080 you this. It's just that there's cursed with place kickers. 0:27:58.080 --> 0:28:00.679 Like it's an amazing how a franchise can't get together. 0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:03.040 You know who has a little of that. The Vikings. Like, 0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:05.520 all of a sudden, Dan Bailey is not Dan Bailey 0:28:05.520 --> 0:28:09.360 anymore in Minnesota. So it's like a Blair Walsh lost 0:28:09.359 --> 0:28:11.040 the Super Bowl, I lost on a Super Bowl because 0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:12.960 they both accurate kicker in NFL history at the time. 0:28:13.160 --> 0:28:16.160 The Jip John Field, Gary Anderson, that's right, and then 0:28:16.160 --> 0:28:18.679 of course there's the Blair Walsh kick against the Seahawks. 0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:22.760 Kai for Bath Daniel Carlson had moved on to other teams. Sam, 0:28:22.840 --> 0:28:26.680 It's interesting, alright, gentlemen, we get Sunday DIBs now from 0:28:26.760 --> 0:28:29.639 Ace your choice of Sunday games, sir, all right, a 0:28:29.640 --> 0:28:32.560 lot of good games to choose from. I'm gonna go 0:28:32.600 --> 0:28:35.479 ahead and and save some people some money because this 0:28:35.520 --> 0:28:38.360 is gonna be one of the most tease teams, um, 0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:41.320 come Sunday, and and it even just falls into that 0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:45.280 advantage teaser number as well. And that's going to be 0:28:45.280 --> 0:28:47.920 the Baltimore Raven. Stay away from that team this Sunday 0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.920 going into Atlanta. UM, it's we're at that time of 0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:56.080 the year where you start the ad that must win 0:28:56.240 --> 0:29:00.560 Moniker and nothing to play for Moniker on teams, UM, 0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:04.080 and rest assured that's been factored into the betting line, 0:29:04.080 --> 0:29:08.600 and once it is discussing, it becomes meaningless. Is blah 0:29:08.680 --> 0:29:11.680 blah blah for nothing? Um, And they're going to tell 0:29:11.720 --> 0:29:14.920 you this, we're at that point of the season where 0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:19.600 everyone's quit on Atlanta. They've now lost three straight games. UM. 0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:22.360 Listening except for that loss at Cleveland, which was ugly. 0:29:23.320 --> 0:29:26.880 Losing the Dallas and losing at New Orleans aren't really 0:29:26.920 --> 0:29:29.920 the two worst losses you can possibly have. On the 0:29:29.960 --> 0:29:32.720 flip side of that same coin, what Dome I seem 0:29:32.760 --> 0:29:35.320 from Baltimore. This is a team that's lost to Cleveland, 0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:39.400 lost to that Saint Saints team, lost to Carolina, lost 0:29:39.400 --> 0:29:42.560 to Pittsburgh, and they they looked good the last two weeks, 0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:47.400 beating Cincinnati, beating Oakland. I mean, I don't get it. 0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:51.640 And then you talk about the Lamar Jackson experiment. I 0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:53.800 think he's gonna be good, but this is his first 0:29:53.880 --> 0:29:58.000 road game and he's not going up as as granted, 0:29:58.120 --> 0:30:01.800 this the Atlanta isn't the eight I Bears defense, but 0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:04.040 still now all of a sudden, you're you're going on 0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:08.080 the road, um, and it's not Oakland or Cincinnati and Atlanta. 0:30:08.200 --> 0:30:10.960 If anything, I think this is a team with with pride. 0:30:11.000 --> 0:30:14.200 I mean, coming into the season the last couple of years, 0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:17.280 it's a team that was focused on making the playoffs 0:30:17.280 --> 0:30:19.800 and making a run in the playoffs. And I get 0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:22.000 it with teams like that, when when the playoffs, when 0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:25.360 they're eliminated, you want to be cautious how motivated they are. 0:30:25.760 --> 0:30:30.600 But listen, they're not mathematically eliminated. And as long as 0:30:30.680 --> 0:30:34.600 there's a sliver of hope, I expect players to show up. 0:30:34.880 --> 0:30:38.200 And if Atlanta shows up Sunday at home on in 0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:40.800 a pretty much pick them situation, my money's on him. 0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:45.479 I like Atlanta Sunday. All the nonsense about the you know, 0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:48.600 must win in Baltimore in the playoff hunt, they can't 0:30:48.640 --> 0:30:51.840 afford losses. Yeah, well that's great what you can and 0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:54.440 can't afford? Um, what's gonna happen to a different story? 0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:56.680 Give me Atlanta, I'll l a one to three. I 0:30:56.720 --> 0:30:59.200 don't know what it is. Save your money on the teasers, 0:30:59.240 --> 0:31:01.640 don't take them up the eight nine. They're gonna lose 0:31:01.640 --> 0:31:04.480 by double digits, Atlanta one and a half point in 0:31:04.520 --> 0:31:06.960 since his favorites now in that game. On Guessing Lines, 0:31:07.000 --> 0:31:09.920 for those who listened to Guessing Lines, whether on Visa 0:31:10.440 --> 0:31:13.600 on a Numbers Game Monday through Friday, Marco seven and 0:31:13.760 --> 0:31:17.520 nine am Pacific, uh Tenda Doon Eastern, or on the 0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:19.960 Beating of the Book podcast a couple of weeks ago. 0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.040 I was outraged when Vinny, who was sitting in for Chrissy. 0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:25.400 When Vinny said that the Redskins were eight and a 0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:27.360 half points, I was like, what eight and a half 0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.360 against the Cowboys? And again, if you got it right there, 0:31:29.400 --> 0:31:31.320 you did it land on the Redskins as a winner. 0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:33.400 And the other one that week where I was incredulous 0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:35.760 about was I was like, how are the Colts nine 0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:40.320 point favorites hosting the Dolphins? Nine? What? Like? What is that? Like? 0:31:40.320 --> 0:31:42.520 Where did that spread come from? And that proved to 0:31:42.520 --> 0:31:44.440 be an easy winner for the Dolphins on the line 0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:46.719 this week. The two that I was outraged by, and 0:31:46.760 --> 0:31:48.440 I don't know, there are weeks where I'm not outraged 0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:50.640 by anything, but it's funny that back to back weeks 0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:52.520 I've had to where I'm just like, what is that? 0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:55.600 And one of them was the fact that the Titans. 0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:58.840 This was before the Titans even played. He saw that. 0:31:59.040 --> 0:32:01.240 He saw that one had the Titans posted as a 0:32:01.440 --> 0:32:04.800 nine point favorite hosting the Jets, and I'm like, what, like, 0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:07.760 how are the Titans nine point favorites against anybody? The 0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:10.760 other one was the fact that the Ravens were favored 0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:14.920 against the Falcons at Atlanta, and I was I couldn't 0:32:14.920 --> 0:32:17.080 believe it. I was like I was, like, we gotta 0:32:17.120 --> 0:32:19.720 start thinking about some of these NFL teams. We talk 0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:22.120 about home road splits in baseball a lot, but we 0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:24.800 don't ever in the NFL think about these teams in 0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:28.000 the NFL this year that our home road splittish. The Packers, 0:32:28.320 --> 0:32:30.320 you know, they haven't won a game on the road yet. 0:32:30.360 --> 0:32:33.040 The Cowboys are very home road splitty. We'll see what 0:32:33.080 --> 0:32:35.880 happens tonight. We'll talk about that momentarily. Atlanta is one 0:32:35.920 --> 0:32:38.800 of these teams. Also for me, there's such a different 0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:41.080 team at home than they are on the road. Everything 0:32:41.080 --> 0:32:43.440 I said about Lamar Jackson and his first road game 0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:45.720 as well, I'm with you there, Ace. Right now, the 0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:48.000 Falcons are the team that's favored one and a half. 0:32:48.440 --> 0:32:50.480 Is the numbers? All right? When you agree with me, 0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:52.680 it's been good results. We may be gone for the 0:32:52.720 --> 0:33:00.160 third straight winner for the listeners last week and we 0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:03.880 got that post. I just want to repeat this is 0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:05.600 want to repeat what he said. He's on a two 0:33:05.640 --> 0:33:07.880 game winning streak. I just want to point out what 0:33:08.000 --> 0:33:12.880 it's just highlighting. That's awesome. Uh, Teddy, what do you got? 0:33:12.920 --> 0:33:16.760 I don't think I've lost since now, since the start 0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:23.240 of November long, since before the mid term, since before 0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:28.280 the Midtermat okay, Teddy, what do you got on Saturday? 0:33:28.520 --> 0:33:31.520 So I'm gonna take a look at two teams whose 0:33:31.640 --> 0:33:36.080 full season long stats are telling nothing but lies right now. 0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:40.760 That's Indianapolis and Jacksonville. The Jags first was of the 0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:42.440 season that they were good. They were the same team 0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:43.840 that were last year. We saw them blow out in 0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:47.040 New England. The offense was clicking, everything was just fine. 0:33:47.680 --> 0:33:51.040 Now we're talking about a Jags team that still has 0:33:51.120 --> 0:33:53.640 that first month of this season on their stat list. 0:33:53.760 --> 0:33:56.440 But they've also lost seven in a row, just got 0:33:56.440 --> 0:33:58.520 beat by Buffalo at home, and they have had a 0:33:58.600 --> 0:34:02.600 pretty rough go of it obviously over the course of 0:34:02.680 --> 0:34:05.840 the last two months. There's Indy with the one in 0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:09.040 five start. They were awful, god awful both sides of 0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:11.520 the football for extended stretches. Darius Leonard, who has been 0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:14.440 as impressive as any rookie defensively this season, was banged 0:34:14.520 --> 0:34:17.600 up luck took a while to find his rhythm. The 0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:20.200 Colts over the last month have been that again. The 0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:24.399 competition has been relatively weak, but Indie has been pretty good. 0:34:24.440 --> 0:34:25.879 And no, they weren't good enough to cover a big 0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:29.120 number last week against Miami. They came back and won 0:34:29.160 --> 0:34:31.839 that game, though, and that's what I expect him to do. Here. 0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:35.000 There's a reason that Cody Kessler has been on the 0:34:35.000 --> 0:34:38.160 bench behind Blake Bortles all this time. There's a reason 0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:41.480 that the Jags coaching staff said, no, Bortles is our 0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:45.839 best option. Okay. Cody Kessler was a starter in Cleveland 0:34:46.400 --> 0:34:48.799 Parade games in the year where the Calves of the 0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:52.239 kil the Browns won sixteen. And yeah, he threw six 0:34:52.280 --> 0:34:54.800 touchdown passes in eight games. All right, if you watched 0:34:54.880 --> 0:34:57.640 him last week, if you watched him in preseason, Cody 0:34:57.760 --> 0:35:01.200 Kessler is a downgrade from Blake Bordles. Oh my god, 0:35:01.320 --> 0:35:06.200 that's hard to be, man, that's very hard to do. Okay, 0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:08.480 you bring your fire, Nathaniel Hackett, and you the QB 0:35:08.600 --> 0:35:13.680 coach gets promoted. Okay, great. The defense still thinks whatever 0:35:13.719 --> 0:35:16.080 the Jacks defense was supposed to be, it isn't. The 0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.160 two teams are headed in opposite directions, and yet we're 0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:22.839 seeing a tick of Jacksonville money. They can't be this bad. Yes, 0:35:22.880 --> 0:35:25.680 they can give me the Colts minus the spot in Jacksonville. 0:35:25.680 --> 0:35:28.520 Two teams at an opposite direction, and I was I 0:35:28.560 --> 0:35:30.440 was worried that you were going to take Jacksonville there, 0:35:30.520 --> 0:35:32.560 to which I was going to say, because I agree 0:35:32.600 --> 0:35:35.799 with you. Jacksonville is almost at the point, Marco. We've 0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:38.480 talked about this for years too. They're almost at the 0:35:38.520 --> 0:35:42.920 point now where how can you, how can you in 0:35:43.080 --> 0:35:46.880 any right mind put your actual harder and money behind 0:35:46.920 --> 0:35:50.480 that football team they like the Pittsburgh loss was so 0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:53.560 gut wrenching, like even if you thought they had any 0:35:53.719 --> 0:35:55.719 motivation at that point, the fact that they were up 0:35:55.719 --> 0:35:58.759 sixteen and nothing, they lost twenty to sixteen, like that 0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:01.480 is just a season in killing whatever they had left 0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:05.000 of it, season killing game. And then they doubled down 0:36:05.040 --> 0:36:08.919 on that last week, would come back from fourteen down 0:36:08.920 --> 0:36:11.640 to Buffalo have the ball on the doorstep of the 0:36:11.719 --> 0:36:13.760 end zone at the one yard line, and then Leonard 0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:17.680 Leonard four Nette goes all sugarade Leonard on Shack Lawson 0:36:18.160 --> 0:36:20.799 uh and then a sequence of events that ends up 0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:24.000 in a Shank field goal and then Buffalo matriculating the 0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:26.719 ball down the field and taking lead, like just how 0:36:26.760 --> 0:36:29.680 many stomach punches can you take if you're the Jaguars 0:36:29.920 --> 0:36:34.120 and care anymore? You know, it's just amazing. And yeah, 0:36:34.160 --> 0:36:36.319 we'll see Nathaniel Hackett. As you point out, Eddie, the 0:36:36.360 --> 0:36:39.440 offensive coordinator, he's the guy who ends up paying the price, 0:36:39.480 --> 0:36:41.480 and he deserves some of the blame. But there's a 0:36:41.520 --> 0:36:43.560 lot of blame to go around there in Jacksonville, starting 0:36:43.560 --> 0:36:46.640 with Blake Bortles, who will be on the bench. As 0:36:46.680 --> 0:36:49.239 you point out, Marco, which way you going here on Sunday? Yeah, 0:36:49.640 --> 0:36:52.000 one last thing on Jacksonvill. Don't you always love whenever 0:36:52.040 --> 0:36:53.560 there's a coach that you know is going to be 0:36:53.600 --> 0:36:55.759 gone at the end of the year. He throws one 0:36:55.760 --> 0:37:00.560 of the coordinators under the bus, kills me and you 0:37:00.560 --> 0:37:02.200 and I we should we should say this, Marco, because 0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:04.239 I talked about a conversation I had with you with 0:37:04.280 --> 0:37:07.080 Michael lombardion air at Vesta, which is, if this is 0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:09.040 gonna be an interesting year with coaches. When you and 0:37:09.080 --> 0:37:10.920 I were driving back from our Monday night game the 0:37:11.000 --> 0:37:14.000 other night, we were talking about how the worst teams 0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:16.520 in the league this year, those coaches are all gonna 0:37:16.560 --> 0:37:19.840 stay right like Oakland's not firing Gruden, San Francisco is 0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:23.800 not firing Shanahan. The Giants are gonna gonna fire Schirmer 0:37:23.880 --> 0:37:26.520 after year one. You know, I don't know does Arizona 0:37:26.560 --> 0:37:29.839 get Wilkes pass after year one? Probably? Right? All these 0:37:29.840 --> 0:37:31.719 guys that are in these awful teams, it's these mid 0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:36.960 tier guys, McCarthy and Rivera and Horrorball. It's gonna be 0:37:37.000 --> 0:37:39.680 a really interesting year for who gets fired. And it's 0:37:39.719 --> 0:37:42.080 not gonna be the worst teams anyway. I just want 0:37:42.120 --> 0:37:45.520 to point that out. Yeah, I agree with is gonna 0:37:45.560 --> 0:37:50.160 be a fun off season, that's for sure. Marvin Lewis, Yeah, yeah, 0:37:50.400 --> 0:37:54.880 if he if I'll think what what if he survives again? 0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:59.239 We have to we have to see the pictures that 0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:03.920 he has of whoever is trying and firing him that 0:38:04.040 --> 0:38:06.440 it hasn't fired him yet, because they've got to be 0:38:06.560 --> 0:38:09.239 really good, because I don't know how he is still there. 0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:12.520 All right, I'm sorry. I'm gonna go back to the 0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:16.840 scene of the crime. If last week my my team 0:38:16.880 --> 0:38:18.759 that let me down last week, I'm going to give 0:38:18.800 --> 0:38:23.120 them a chance to redeem themselves. Carolina went up and 0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:28.200 down the field on on Seattle last week, and Rivera 0:38:29.040 --> 0:38:33.000 just stop with the gambling already, Okay, the opening drive, 0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:36.120 they go all the way down the field they got. 0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:39.680 You know, it's not fourth and one, it's fourth and three. 0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:43.480 You have a five six minute drive in which you 0:38:43.560 --> 0:38:47.040 just have Seattle on their hills, and then you make 0:38:47.080 --> 0:38:50.759 it all go away by gambling on fourth and three 0:38:50.760 --> 0:38:53.799 and not taking the three points, not coming away with 0:38:54.000 --> 0:38:57.399 something at the end of that drive. And oh, by 0:38:57.440 --> 0:38:59.960 the way, what does three points have come in handy 0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:04.600 at some point in that game? Yeah? Final score? Yeah, 0:39:04.640 --> 0:39:09.400 you lose by three. You're an idiot, And I'm gonna 0:39:09.440 --> 0:39:12.680 come back with You know, we've got Tampa Bay. This 0:39:12.760 --> 0:39:16.239 is a team that finally got a win last week. 0:39:16.280 --> 0:39:19.840 They go back to Jamis Winston, who has a good game. 0:39:20.320 --> 0:39:22.880 When was the last time Jameis Winston has had two 0:39:22.880 --> 0:39:28.680 good games in a row. Florida State Okay, probably, Uh, 0:39:28.719 --> 0:39:32.880 this is a spot where I'm gonna go with Carolina. 0:39:33.200 --> 0:39:35.719 You look at the defense of Tampa Bay. How are 0:39:35.760 --> 0:39:38.640 they going to stop Carolina? And when Cam's running the 0:39:38.680 --> 0:39:41.560 football like he was last week and throwing the football, 0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:44.880 I mean he had a huge day too. You know, 0:39:44.920 --> 0:39:49.560 they had two yards underground. McCaffrey an absolute beast. What 0:39:49.680 --> 0:39:52.839 a weapon. This guy is running the football and out 0:39:52.840 --> 0:39:56.160 of the backfield catching the ball, and then when you 0:39:56.200 --> 0:39:59.359 throw Cam in there with the red option. I don't 0:39:59.400 --> 0:40:02.319 see how tamp but base stops them. Uh. Does it 0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:05.200 become a track meet and they have to outscore one another. 0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:09.239 I think Carolina's defense is solid enough to put the 0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:12.799 clamps down onto Jamis Winston. I'll go with Carolina here. 0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:15.919 I think we're getting a short number because we got 0:40:15.920 --> 0:40:20.040 the three game losing streak of Carolina, and they should 0:40:20.040 --> 0:40:22.200 have won two of those three that they lost. The 0:40:22.239 --> 0:40:27.560 only game they got drilled on was the Pittsburgh game. Uh, 0:40:27.719 --> 0:40:31.960 Detroit again, he gambles, doesn't go for the overtime, Take 0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:34.280 the extra point and go into overtime. You're the better 0:40:34.320 --> 0:40:37.000 team and you've got all the momentum. Why make the 0:40:37.040 --> 0:40:39.600 game come down to a coin flip on a two 0:40:39.600 --> 0:40:42.760 point conversion? Go into overtime. You've got the better team. 0:40:42.920 --> 0:40:46.120 But it's just like when you have the better team 0:40:46.160 --> 0:40:48.719 and you're looking at overtime. It's the same way I 0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:53.280 look at the house. Uh in Vegas, the longer you play, 0:40:53.400 --> 0:40:56.520 the edge goes to the house. If you're the better team, 0:40:56.560 --> 0:40:59.600 the longer you play, the edge goes to you go 0:40:59.719 --> 0:41:04.400 to over time. Just stupid I'm on Carolina. If they 0:41:04.440 --> 0:41:07.759 blow this one, this might be a theme then the seasons, 0:41:07.800 --> 0:41:09.880 the season's gone, because then they're gonna lose four in 0:41:09.880 --> 0:41:12.440 a row and they're out of it. And this is 0:41:12.480 --> 0:41:15.200 a tough spot for them. They've got three of their 0:41:15.280 --> 0:41:17.600 last four games they played on the road. They play 0:41:17.680 --> 0:41:20.120 on the road again next week, and all of a sudden, 0:41:20.120 --> 0:41:23.200 Cleveland's not a cupcake. And after that you've got the 0:41:23.320 --> 0:41:27.200 Saints Atlanta and the Saints again. You better take care 0:41:27.200 --> 0:41:30.000 of business right here if you want to keep your 0:41:30.000 --> 0:41:33.600 season alive. I thought you're gonna sing for Carolina. Unbettable, 0:41:33.760 --> 0:41:36.960 that's what you are. They are, they are, They are 0:41:37.200 --> 0:41:40.840 so frustrated. I'm sorry, sorry about that. I apologize to everybody, 0:41:41.040 --> 0:41:44.600 so so unbettable. I think Ron Rivera, to your point, 0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:48.000 has turned into Dusty Baker, Like you know how Dusty 0:41:48.080 --> 0:41:51.319 Baker would just make all the wrong calls, and then 0:41:51.400 --> 0:41:53.560 sometimes even when he would start to make the right calls, 0:41:53.560 --> 0:41:55.760 they would just not go his way. Like Ron Rivera 0:41:55.840 --> 0:41:58.840 just seems to make the wrong choice at every go 0:41:58.920 --> 0:42:00.960 of it now. And I think at that game against 0:42:00.960 --> 0:42:03.480 Detroit that you were referencing two weeks ago, when all 0:42:03.480 --> 0:42:05.000 he had to do is keep the extra point force 0:42:05.040 --> 0:42:07.520 overtime and not do this stupid like, you know, hey, 0:42:07.600 --> 0:42:09.359 let me be macho and try to win it. Right here, 0:42:09.440 --> 0:42:11.680 we're playing for the win, like I hate brain dead 0:42:11.680 --> 0:42:14.680 coaches to do that. Like I almost wonder if Riverboat 0:42:14.760 --> 0:42:17.600 Roun if his nickname made him do that, you know 0:42:17.640 --> 0:42:18.920 what I mean, Like, oh, I gotta live up to 0:42:18.920 --> 0:42:22.560 my nick Yeah. It is just like the people you 0:42:22.640 --> 0:42:25.200 expect things from. That's how they act, you know. I mean, 0:42:25.239 --> 0:42:28.439 the class clowned this that if once you get that 0:42:28.880 --> 0:42:32.400 like name stock or what people expect people, you usually 0:42:32.440 --> 0:42:34.359 act that way, you know what I mean. It's more 0:42:34.680 --> 0:42:37.360 like subconsciously you do it. And that dudes just the 0:42:37.480 --> 0:42:40.920 moron because he believes he's Riverboat rons who you are. 0:42:41.120 --> 0:42:42.560 It's funny if you know, when we get to the 0:42:42.640 --> 0:42:44.680 question of which game do you want no part of? Though, Mark, 0:42:44.680 --> 0:42:47.719 I might have picked this game because Carolina scares me 0:42:47.760 --> 0:42:49.919 in Tampa Bay's offense, Man, you never know what those 0:42:49.960 --> 0:42:53.080 guys um, but that is your call. You're taking one 0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:56.400 last stab on the Panthers. As he holds his breath 0:42:56.760 --> 0:42:58.560 before we get to the final two questions, Gentlemen and 0:42:58.560 --> 0:43:01.720 the Thursday Night game. 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He had 0:44:11.800 --> 0:44:16.000 a great little stat on this about the about the Saints, 0:44:16.080 --> 0:44:19.200 rather New Orleans Saints. They've one un covered nine straight 0:44:19.239 --> 0:44:23.160 games since nineteen eighty nine. Only five other teams have 0:44:23.280 --> 0:44:27.160 covered and one nine straight games, and since eighty nine, 0:44:27.320 --> 0:44:30.520 no NFL team has made it to the tenth one. 0:44:30.800 --> 0:44:33.200 So the Saints are trying to be the first team 0:44:33.320 --> 0:44:35.520 to go ten and oh straight up in a t s. 0:44:35.560 --> 0:44:37.680 We shall see if it happens tonight again. They are 0:44:37.760 --> 0:44:40.840 seven point favorites on the road against the Cowboys. Teddy 0:44:40.880 --> 0:44:44.200 will start with you here. Any thoughts, brief thoughts on 0:44:44.239 --> 0:44:46.400 tonight's Thursday Night game? Will you be betting it? And 0:44:46.400 --> 0:44:48.840 if so, how I'm not involved in tonight's gaming. And 0:44:48.880 --> 0:44:51.800 this is a story where I'm not willing to step 0:44:51.840 --> 0:44:54.600 in front of New Orleans. I've learned that lesson. And 0:44:54.680 --> 0:44:57.600 yet it feels like the value is clearly on the 0:44:57.640 --> 0:45:01.160 Dallas side of the equation. But when you get your 0:45:01.200 --> 0:45:04.520 teeth kicked in betting against the team more than once, 0:45:05.320 --> 0:45:07.399 try to learn your lesson. I have at least an 0:45:07.480 --> 0:45:09.080 enter to the Saints. I got the Saints power raiters 0:45:09.120 --> 0:45:12.160 three points better than anyone else in the NFL right now, 0:45:12.200 --> 0:45:15.319 and if Dallas falls behind, it worries me about their 0:45:15.320 --> 0:45:17.440 ability to catch up. So I'll be sitting on the 0:45:17.520 --> 0:45:21.319 sidelines here with the slightest of leans home Dog. I 0:45:21.360 --> 0:45:24.080 honestly think that what you just said there reflects the 0:45:24.120 --> 0:45:27.640 feeling of many people tonight. Like there's a lot of people, 0:45:27.800 --> 0:45:29.239 there's a lot of people who are like, oh, seven 0:45:29.280 --> 0:45:31.160 point home dog. I mean like they they almost like 0:45:31.160 --> 0:45:33.320 instinctively go to and then they're like, I'm not getting 0:45:33.320 --> 0:45:35.719 in front of that train, you know, Like there's like 0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:37.760 why am I going to do that? There's no reason 0:45:37.800 --> 0:45:42.399 for brave points here, so stay away for Teddy Marco anything. Well, 0:45:42.480 --> 0:45:44.680 my question to you before I give you mine is 0:45:44.800 --> 0:45:47.759 I know your teeth in this game tonight, but I 0:45:47.760 --> 0:45:50.080 don't know about that. You know, like road road, seven 0:45:50.120 --> 0:45:54.560 point favorites is a six proposition that's like below break even. 0:45:54.640 --> 0:45:56.799 So by the math, I wouldn't, but yeah, I might, 0:45:57.600 --> 0:46:01.279 I might, I might. Where do you feel where do 0:46:01.360 --> 0:46:04.399 you feel more comfortable taking the Saints to just win 0:46:04.480 --> 0:46:07.879 the game or taking the Cowboys and getting that thing 0:46:07.960 --> 0:46:11.640 up to two touchdowns sat the win. Yeah, I know 0:46:11.760 --> 0:46:14.520 you do that. I'm on I'm on Dallas here and 0:46:15.280 --> 0:46:18.880 the Saints, I know, the freight train and stepping in 0:46:18.920 --> 0:46:21.520 front of it's not a wise thing to do. But 0:46:21.640 --> 0:46:25.839 you know, they ruined my fourth played a Turkey um 0:46:25.920 --> 0:46:28.680 last week on the night game because I had Atlanta, 0:46:29.040 --> 0:46:32.000 because I'm sitting there with the you know, my fourth meal, 0:46:33.280 --> 0:46:36.960 and I watched Atlanta turn the ball over not once, 0:46:37.000 --> 0:46:41.399 but twice inside to five, a third time inside the twenty, 0:46:41.600 --> 0:46:44.160 and then just to you know, for extra major or 0:46:44.160 --> 0:46:46.680 fourth time. I forget where that one was. But four 0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:49.640 turnovers and I've got and I'm holding a ticket at 0:46:49.640 --> 0:46:53.200 plus thirteen and a half and lose by fourteen. That's 0:46:53.239 --> 0:46:56.359 a little frustrating, you know, But I know you guys 0:46:56.360 --> 0:46:59.760 are all worried. I did get that fourth plate down, Okay, 0:46:59.480 --> 0:47:03.879 I powered through. I'm taking I'm taking the Cowboys here. 0:47:03.960 --> 0:47:07.640 They're different team the last three games. And you know, 0:47:07.760 --> 0:47:11.360 as much as we made fun of the Cowboys for 0:47:11.440 --> 0:47:16.440 once again, you know, blundering and paying too much for 0:47:17.440 --> 0:47:21.320 Amari Cooper giving away you know, a number one draft choice. Guys, 0:47:21.760 --> 0:47:25.360 Look what he's done instantly to this team. They now 0:47:25.440 --> 0:47:30.600 have a legitimate deep threat. What's that done? You still 0:47:30.640 --> 0:47:33.000 gotta have Dak get him the football. Well, what it's 0:47:33.040 --> 0:47:35.439 done is opened up the running game again for Zeke 0:47:35.760 --> 0:47:39.680 because teams are not cheating and coming up and trying 0:47:39.719 --> 0:47:42.239 to stack the line, you know, daring Dak to throw 0:47:42.239 --> 0:47:46.439 the football, and with him spreading the defenses out when 0:47:46.640 --> 0:47:49.840 Cooper goes downfield, if Zeke runs the football and he 0:47:49.880 --> 0:47:52.760 breaks that first line and containment, then all of a sudden, 0:47:53.200 --> 0:47:56.280 what would have been a five yard rush turns into 0:47:56.280 --> 0:47:59.680 a fifteen or twenty yard you know, explosive play, and 0:47:59.719 --> 0:48:02.800 you started getting chunk plays, and all of a sudden, 0:48:03.200 --> 0:48:07.400 Dack's got confidence because he's got a threat to throw too, 0:48:07.440 --> 0:48:10.760 and it's opening up the passing routes for the underneath guys. 0:48:11.280 --> 0:48:15.080 And let's not ignore the fact that the Cowboys very 0:48:15.200 --> 0:48:19.239 quietly have emerged as one of the best defenses. Uh. 0:48:19.360 --> 0:48:23.680 This defense has improved tremendously. I've got him, I'm gonna 0:48:23.719 --> 0:48:26.160 go with the points. I'll take the seven, and you 0:48:26.280 --> 0:48:28.840 shop around. There's still a couple seven and a half's 0:48:28.880 --> 0:48:31.120 out there, and I think as we get close to 0:48:31.200 --> 0:48:35.160 game time, you're gonna see the old flip flop. The 0:48:35.200 --> 0:48:38.200 public is gonna take the Saints ticket to seven and 0:48:38.239 --> 0:48:39.880 a half. Soon as it hits seven and a half, 0:48:39.880 --> 0:48:42.200 the sharps will take the Cowboys and it will keep 0:48:42.239 --> 0:48:44.719 going back and forth. So you should be able to 0:48:44.760 --> 0:48:47.120 grab a seven and a half, not to douse cold 0:48:47.120 --> 0:48:49.840 water on your passion there, but no Tyrone Smith tonight 0:48:49.840 --> 0:48:53.600 for the Cowboys. He is out Cowboys standout offensive linement, 0:48:53.640 --> 0:48:55.720 so he will not be in the lineup for the Cowboys. 0:48:55.800 --> 0:48:58.200 I think your analysis on a Marii Cooper is dead on. 0:48:58.280 --> 0:48:59.600 So for the people who are like, oh, he showed 0:48:59.680 --> 0:49:02.360 up again. The Skins too touchdowns, Yeah, Quentin Dunbar slipped 0:49:02.360 --> 0:49:05.000 and ha ha, Clinton Dix needs a pro tractor. He 0:49:05.120 --> 0:49:09.240 took an awful angle. But I think your analysis is great, 0:49:09.280 --> 0:49:12.439 which is just forget that he even scored those two. 0:49:12.560 --> 0:49:14.920 Just him being on the field spreads it out for 0:49:15.040 --> 0:49:18.200 DAC and just having that thread is such a big deal. 0:49:18.280 --> 0:49:21.040 And by the way, Dallas also rediscovers Zekiel Lli in 0:49:21.080 --> 0:49:23.160 the process, which is awfully kind of them to their 0:49:23.200 --> 0:49:25.439 fans and their backers as well. So New Orleans seven 0:49:25.480 --> 0:49:29.000 point favorites against Dallas. Marco's taking a bite on Dallas. 0:49:29.160 --> 0:49:31.480 By the way, when you were eating that fourth plate 0:49:31.560 --> 0:49:34.319 of turkey, do like other people at the table look 0:49:34.360 --> 0:49:36.600 at you and disgust and they're like, dude, like, could 0:49:36.600 --> 0:49:39.279 you leave some food for us? Stop eating? Do they do? 0:49:39.200 --> 0:49:42.360 Do you get those works? You're at my house. I 0:49:42.400 --> 0:49:48.799 bought the turkey. You're lucky. Jeez. Do you at least 0:49:48.840 --> 0:49:50.759 have good stuffing? Are you one of these people who 0:49:50.800 --> 0:49:53.040 like put raisins and nuts in their stuffing and jack 0:49:53.120 --> 0:49:54.520 the whole thing up, or like, do you have like 0:49:54.640 --> 0:49:59.600 simple stuffy well or puts uh? She puts the cran 0:49:59.719 --> 0:50:09.040 rais and then come on, LORI with the some man 0:50:09.640 --> 0:50:11.920 Laurie got her fifteen seconds on the show. It did 0:50:11.920 --> 0:50:14.719 not go well. It did not go well. I'll let 0:50:14.760 --> 0:50:22.880 her know yet here. Yeah, listen. Fewers high on the 0:50:22.920 --> 0:50:25.560 Saints as I am. And it has nothing to do 0:50:25.600 --> 0:50:27.800 with the bias. I like them coming into the season, 0:50:27.800 --> 0:50:30.000 and after that one and one every chance I got, 0:50:30.040 --> 0:50:32.759 I thought I was saying, go bet that future. Now 0:50:33.200 --> 0:50:36.719 this is still one of the best teams in the nfl. Um. 0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:39.640 But the spreads the great equalizer and this line is 0:50:39.680 --> 0:50:42.080 a little bit too high. Again, I don't want to 0:50:42.080 --> 0:50:44.440 stand in front of New Orleans either. You know you're 0:50:44.440 --> 0:50:47.320 not gonna get rich doing that. Um. But with that said, 0:50:47.360 --> 0:50:49.520 I like what I've seen from Dallas of late, not 0:50:49.640 --> 0:50:52.400 just them running the football, but the fact that they 0:50:52.440 --> 0:50:55.000 could stop the other team from running the football. That's 0:50:55.040 --> 0:50:57.200 the most interesting thing about this game. That you have 0:50:57.320 --> 0:51:02.360 too good rushing off that is, against two really good 0:51:02.640 --> 0:51:05.719 Russian defenses. Um, I think you're going to force both 0:51:05.760 --> 0:51:08.160 these teams to kind of become one dimensional if they're 0:51:08.360 --> 0:51:10.280 able to run, and when that's the case, you usually 0:51:10.360 --> 0:51:15.000 get lower scoring that's than is expected. I see value 0:51:15.000 --> 0:51:19.160 on Dallas. I see value on the under as well. Um. 0:51:19.200 --> 0:51:21.719 You know, again, you didn't get Rich Betton against New 0:51:21.800 --> 0:51:24.360 Orleans this year, so I'm in no rush to jump 0:51:24.360 --> 0:51:27.040 out ahead of them. But I'm not gonna lay the 0:51:27.120 --> 0:51:29.440 points with them on the road. Just no chance of 0:51:29.520 --> 0:51:31.800 laying that many of Dallas. And let's not forget the 0:51:31.880 --> 0:51:34.960 last time New Orleans had a streak like this, they 0:51:35.000 --> 0:51:37.960 had one thirteen in a row, and who stopped it? 0:51:38.080 --> 0:51:42.120 Tony Romo in Dallas when they went to Dallas. So, uh, 0:51:42.200 --> 0:51:44.760 I don't know, deja vu. Who knows. We'll find out tonight. 0:51:44.840 --> 0:51:49.200 But this isn't unprecedented territory. This strikes me as one 0:51:49.239 --> 0:51:51.839 of those games where Dallas beckers, like five minutes into 0:51:51.880 --> 0:51:53.680 the game, they're like, Oh God, what was I doing? 0:51:53.960 --> 0:52:00.680 What did I do? How did I bet against? Yeah? Exactly, yeah, 0:52:00.719 --> 0:52:04.200 no way, I'm putting money on Dallas, No way. Al Right, gentlemen, 0:52:04.440 --> 0:52:07.000 final two questions, the first of which is always which 0:52:07.080 --> 0:52:08.759 are the big favorites? Do you think is the most 0:52:08.800 --> 0:52:12.400 likely to lose? Outright? We will bend this to six 0:52:12.520 --> 0:52:16.840 point favorites are greater, so the candidates are New Orleans, 0:52:16.840 --> 0:52:18.840 as we just talked about, seven point favorites on the 0:52:18.880 --> 0:52:22.360 road against Dallas tonight, the Rams ten point favorites on 0:52:22.400 --> 0:52:25.720 the road against the Lions on Sunday morning, Green Bay 0:52:26.040 --> 0:52:30.800 two touchdown favorites at home against the Packers. Houston six 0:52:30.960 --> 0:52:36.120 point favorites at home against the Cleveland Browns. Then Sunday afternoon, Tennessee, 0:52:36.200 --> 0:52:38.520 this is down to seven and a half at home 0:52:38.560 --> 0:52:41.919 against the Jets. Kansas City, which still gets to play 0:52:41.920 --> 0:52:44.040 Oakland at home. By the way, later in the season, 0:52:44.080 --> 0:52:46.160 we'll see what that line is, although I think it's 0:52:46.200 --> 0:52:48.920 week seventeen, so it might be squirreling. Yeah, that sucks. 0:52:49.520 --> 0:52:53.080 Kansas City's fifteen point favorites consensus right now on the 0:52:53.160 --> 0:52:58.000 road against Oakland, Seattle, ten point favorites consensus at home 0:52:58.040 --> 0:53:01.000 against San Francisco, and then Monday night we talked about it. 0:53:01.239 --> 0:53:03.319 The Eagles six and a half point favorites at home 0:53:03.360 --> 0:53:06.319 against the Skinnies. Teddy, which of those big favorites do 0:53:06.320 --> 0:53:09.000 you think is the most likely to lose? Outright? But 0:53:09.320 --> 0:53:11.320 I'm gonna give I'm not gonna say the most likely 0:53:11.360 --> 0:53:15.040 to lose outright. I apologize for not answering the questions specifically, 0:53:15.080 --> 0:53:17.440 but I kicked the Lions, and if there's one of 0:53:17.480 --> 0:53:19.520 those favorites I want to bet against, it beat the Rams. 0:53:20.160 --> 0:53:22.440 The Rams coming off the by in Detroit, and I 0:53:22.440 --> 0:53:24.560 think the Lions are capable of giving them a game 0:53:24.600 --> 0:53:28.040 and potentially pulling off the outright upset. And it has 0:53:28.080 --> 0:53:31.200 everything to do with you know, how much more fat 0:53:31.200 --> 0:53:33.600 and happy can you be for l A. You know, 0:53:33.640 --> 0:53:35.960 you score fifty four points on Monday night football, you 0:53:36.000 --> 0:53:37.360 go on your buy we get more. Tell you how 0:53:37.400 --> 0:53:38.960 great you are, and now you gotta go to the 0:53:39.000 --> 0:53:40.640 Motor City and play a team, but you're not really 0:53:40.640 --> 0:53:45.040 excited about It's not a step up spot, uh for 0:53:45.480 --> 0:53:47.759 l A. And you know, for as bad as the 0:53:47.800 --> 0:53:50.440 Lions have been, I be competitive, and they've particularly been 0:53:50.440 --> 0:53:52.200 competitive at home, you know, last week losing on a 0:53:52.239 --> 0:53:55.959 defensive score against the Bears as possible here, but rams 0:53:56.000 --> 0:53:58.840 defense isn't getting I mean I didn't against k C admittedly, 0:53:58.880 --> 0:54:01.000 but that's not a defense that I trust to get 0:54:01.000 --> 0:54:03.799 scores on a weekend, week out basis. So maybe take 0:54:03.800 --> 0:54:05.400 a shower with the Lions if you're looking for a 0:54:05.400 --> 0:54:08.080 big dog on the money. Wow, did not expect that game. 0:54:08.120 --> 0:54:10.440 By the way, Marco, I think Teddy meant fatt and sassy. 0:54:10.480 --> 0:54:13.759 Didn't He not fat and happy? Isn't that correct? You know? 0:54:14.480 --> 0:54:16.480 Fatt and sassy? Is it? You know? He didn't. He 0:54:16.480 --> 0:54:20.000 would have had to send me, you know, permission, disclaim 0:54:20.360 --> 0:54:22.200 to use it and everything and all that. So he 0:54:22.280 --> 0:54:23.960 just didn't want to go through all that and he 0:54:24.120 --> 0:54:26.759 just you know, how did you Neric one? Ace and 0:54:26.760 --> 0:54:28.920 I are still waiting for Barstool to pay us money 0:54:28.960 --> 0:54:33.880 for sprinkle me. Oh my god? Alright, what do you 0:54:33.880 --> 0:54:37.680 got here, Marco, same question. Uh, when you were running 0:54:37.680 --> 0:54:39.680 down the list there, did you include Houston and that 0:54:39.920 --> 0:54:44.000 I did? Okay, all right, I'm I'm there with Houston, 0:54:44.040 --> 0:54:47.839 and I'll tell you why. Because one, first of all, 0:54:47.960 --> 0:54:52.359 this Cleveland team is playing with a newfound Uh it's 0:54:52.400 --> 0:54:55.680 just like a different team. I mean you Jackson's gone, 0:54:55.760 --> 0:54:59.720 Todd Haley's gone, Baker Mayfield's had his three best games 0:55:00.200 --> 0:55:04.080 of his career in the NFL. After he was looking 0:55:04.080 --> 0:55:07.640 like he hit the rookie wall um four weeks ago. 0:55:07.680 --> 0:55:10.680 I mean he was declining game after game. Uh, you 0:55:10.760 --> 0:55:13.680 look like a deer. Cotton Headlights was having a happy feet, 0:55:13.760 --> 0:55:16.319 was taking bad sacks, and all of a sudden, he's 0:55:16.360 --> 0:55:20.120 put up big numbers three games in a row. That's one. 0:55:20.400 --> 0:55:22.560 But the other part of it is this is a 0:55:22.640 --> 0:55:26.680 bad spot for Houston. They're coming off of a Monday 0:55:26.760 --> 0:55:30.680 night game, short week, an emotional Monday night game on 0:55:30.800 --> 0:55:33.719 several different fronts. One, you had the you know, the 0:55:33.719 --> 0:55:36.760 death of the owner, Um, you know over the weekend. 0:55:37.400 --> 0:55:41.640 Uh there that caused you know, uh something probably should 0:55:41.640 --> 0:55:44.879 have factored into the Monday night handicapping. You know the team, Uh, 0:55:45.040 --> 0:55:47.239 you know get that fired up, you know, win for 0:55:47.280 --> 0:55:52.439 the uh the owner uh mentality, plus the fact that 0:55:52.560 --> 0:55:57.480 win over Tennessee basically gives them the division. I mean, 0:55:57.719 --> 0:56:00.440 the closest team to them right now was indiana Apolis, 0:56:01.000 --> 0:56:04.839 and they already beat Indianapolis thanks to the the frank 0:56:05.000 --> 0:56:09.080 right uh you know bonehead decision when he kicked the 0:56:09.160 --> 0:56:11.440 long field goal and missed and then gave them the 0:56:11.440 --> 0:56:15.399 short field uh in that game or no, I'm sorry 0:56:15.480 --> 0:56:19.879 went forward? Yeah, and uh that game in the game. 0:56:19.960 --> 0:56:22.600 So they already have a two game lead and we're 0:56:22.680 --> 0:56:25.239 having the tide breaker. It's basically a three game lead. 0:56:25.680 --> 0:56:29.919 With the emotional, the short week, and the satisfying win 0:56:30.160 --> 0:56:33.880 that gives them the division. They are filling fat sassy. 0:56:33.960 --> 0:56:37.120 I think Cleveland's a live, live dog that Mike go 0:56:37.200 --> 0:56:39.439 in there and pull the upset. I have an over 0:56:39.480 --> 0:56:41.520 ticket on Houston at eight and a half, which obviously 0:56:41.560 --> 0:56:44.840 looks great, but more importantly, I have an Indianapolis Colts 0:56:44.880 --> 0:56:47.520 to win the a f C South at eight to one. Man, 0:56:47.560 --> 0:56:49.479 would I like Houston a trip up at some point? 0:56:49.520 --> 0:56:52.399 As it is Houston, They're gonna be favored in four 0:56:52.440 --> 0:56:55.279 at other last five games. New England's got them in 0:56:55.320 --> 0:56:57.520 the rear view for that number two position in the 0:56:57.520 --> 0:56:59.439 a f C, and the by like New England better 0:56:59.520 --> 0:57:02.960 not stump because Houston. There's a scenario where Houston actually 0:57:03.000 --> 0:57:06.479 gets there. But you like Cleveland here as a live 0:57:06.560 --> 0:57:09.279 dog getting six and Baker Mayfield throwing shade at Hugh 0:57:09.400 --> 0:57:13.400 Jackson after that game. Uh the other day was just phenomenal. Uh. 0:57:13.440 --> 0:57:18.040 And then my second favorite rumor, second highest favorite rumor 0:57:18.160 --> 0:57:20.240 of the week is, uh, did you see that report 0:57:20.280 --> 0:57:22.600 where Cincinnati was like, yeah, if we fire Marvin Lewis, 0:57:22.720 --> 0:57:25.440 they may be interested in Hugh Jackson, who's on their staff. 0:57:25.480 --> 0:57:29.280 Now I'm like, wait, what what? Why would you? Why 0:57:29.360 --> 0:57:35.000 is that your go to He's kryptonite? Bring? Yeah? Why not? 0:57:36.120 --> 0:57:38.680 My favorite rumor, by the way, thanks for asking. My 0:57:38.760 --> 0:57:42.400 favorite rumor is this new one where Jason Witten is 0:57:42.440 --> 0:57:44.880 so bad in the Monday Night Booth and Dallas has 0:57:44.880 --> 0:57:47.240 an injury at tight end that he's gonna come out 0:57:47.240 --> 0:57:50.160 of retirement and play for the Cowboys. That's my favorite 0:57:50.160 --> 0:57:53.520 one because it's so that's a win win for everybody 0:57:53.560 --> 0:57:57.240 if that happens. We'll see Ace which is the big 0:57:57.240 --> 0:57:59.040 favorite you think is the most likely to lose that right. 0:57:59.600 --> 0:58:03.320 I agree with both those gentlemen. I think Detroit is 0:58:03.560 --> 0:58:07.520 live as as as you can get, especially getting ten points. 0:58:07.520 --> 0:58:09.200 And I always say, if I'm gonna bet a dog, 0:58:09.520 --> 0:58:11.880 I'm gonna sprinkle a little something something as well. And 0:58:11.920 --> 0:58:15.720 I agree with Marco also, um, but I'm gonna give 0:58:15.800 --> 0:58:18.280 I'm gonna stick with Dallas. Man. And again this is 0:58:18.320 --> 0:58:22.600 me telling you against the Saints because usually, man, there's 0:58:22.600 --> 0:58:24.560 a spot of team slips up. I mean, this is 0:58:24.640 --> 0:58:28.080 the NFL, um, and Dallas is that team that's not 0:58:28.200 --> 0:58:31.160 out of all those teams you the matchups you gave us, 0:58:31.720 --> 0:58:33.760 Dallas is that team on the other side, except for 0:58:33.800 --> 0:58:36.760 Cleveland that seems to be playing motivated ball. That's not 0:58:37.080 --> 0:58:39.400 a junkie team, you know what I mean? Like, Dallas 0:58:39.520 --> 0:58:42.040 is actually a pretty good football team, even at six 0:58:42.040 --> 0:58:44.160 and five, and especially at home. I mean they've won 0:58:44.200 --> 0:58:46.760 four of their five games there um and outscored their 0:58:46.760 --> 0:58:50.040 opponents by a touchdown. So I mean they're very capable 0:58:50.040 --> 0:58:52.800 of winning this game at home. So for me, I 0:58:52.800 --> 0:58:54.920 think that one. And let's not forget prior to the 0:58:54.960 --> 0:58:58.240 season startmin and granted, Saints are a lot better than 0:58:58.280 --> 0:59:02.400 most people think, not better than I most people. Um 0:59:02.600 --> 0:59:04.600 Dallas was minus two and a half in this game. 0:59:05.000 --> 0:59:08.000 They were favored two and a half point favor Now, granted, 0:59:08.120 --> 0:59:11.800 a lots transpired since the first week of September, but 0:59:11.920 --> 0:59:15.600 still I think this is a possible slip up for 0:59:15.600 --> 0:59:18.160 for the Saints. All Right, guys, no buys this week 0:59:18.200 --> 0:59:21.120 in the NFL. Everybody from here on out is playing 0:59:21.160 --> 0:59:25.160 every week, so we have sixteen games. If you had 0:59:25.240 --> 0:59:27.560 to play fifteen of them, Let's say we lived in 0:59:27.560 --> 0:59:29.959 a bizarro world, Teddy, you had to play a side 0:59:29.960 --> 0:59:31.760 on every single one of these, but you were allowed 0:59:31.880 --> 0:59:34.720 one free pass. What's the game you want no part of? 0:59:35.200 --> 0:59:38.520 And and there are multiple choices here, try to debate 0:59:38.960 --> 0:59:41.520 which one was the one that I really liked the 0:59:41.600 --> 0:59:46.360 absolute movie, and that would probably be Arizona Green Bay. 0:59:47.360 --> 0:59:50.040 Do I trust the Cardinals to do anything? No, I 0:59:50.080 --> 0:59:52.480 don't you know. My powertyings have them right with Oakland 0:59:52.480 --> 0:59:55.960 as the worst team, the worst two teams in the NFL. 0:59:56.760 --> 0:59:59.560 Trip to Lambo in December is not anything the Cardinals need. 0:59:59.600 --> 1:00:02.160 But do I trusting Green Beta bounce back off what 1:00:02.240 --> 1:00:06.960 they've been through over the last month? No, assertainly not 1:00:07.000 --> 1:00:09.560 by Margins So to me, that's that's probably the easiest 1:00:09.560 --> 1:00:11.400 pass in the board, although there are some other real 1:00:11.480 --> 1:00:14.400 good options for those looking to pass the game. You're right, 1:00:14.400 --> 1:00:16.440 there are a lot of choices here, Marco. What do 1:00:16.440 --> 1:00:20.000 you like the least? Denver Cincinnati? Do you want to 1:00:20.080 --> 1:00:23.720 lay points on the road with the Broncos, which needed 1:00:24.520 --> 1:00:28.240 needed for all of those interceptions by Ben and fumbles 1:00:28.280 --> 1:00:31.000 through the end zone? Um? But yet do you want 1:00:31.000 --> 1:00:35.040 to take Cincinnati with Triscoll? Come on? You know dead 1:00:35.040 --> 1:00:39.840 Man rocking Marvin Lewis that whole situation there? I can't, 1:00:39.880 --> 1:00:42.160 I can't be involved in this game. God, you could 1:00:42.200 --> 1:00:44.800 make a case for at least at least five or 1:00:44.800 --> 1:00:46.880 six of these Ace What do you want no part of? Here? 1:00:47.120 --> 1:00:50.200 For me, it's simple because I actually love all these games. Um. 1:00:50.200 --> 1:00:52.720 Only one really jumped out at me that that I 1:00:52.840 --> 1:00:56.240 just crossed it right off. Um, and that's going to 1:00:56.280 --> 1:00:59.320 be Kansas City at Oakland. To me, that's just a 1:00:59.480 --> 1:01:02.800 meaningless game, Kansas City coming in off that loss against 1:01:02.800 --> 1:01:06.160 the Rams. Um. We know how bad Oakland is. You know, 1:01:06.400 --> 1:01:09.880 is Kansas City warranted to be a two touchdown road 1:01:09.960 --> 1:01:13.520 favored in the divisional game? Probably? Um? But do I 1:01:13.560 --> 1:01:15.960 want to lay it. Absolutely not, even though they you know, 1:01:16.000 --> 1:01:19.680 they're capable of going out there and beating them like 1:01:19.760 --> 1:01:22.200 they did Cincinnati. But at the end of the day, 1:01:22.200 --> 1:01:24.440 we know what they are about. When they face on 1:01:24.480 --> 1:01:28.600 New England or Rams, they get slapped back into reality 1:01:28.960 --> 1:01:31.120 and that's why they got two losses. So they'll keep 1:01:31.160 --> 1:01:32.960 beating up on the oaklands of the world and then 1:01:33.000 --> 1:01:37.200 they'll run into the wrong New England or RAMS team. Yeah, 1:01:37.200 --> 1:01:39.120 it's a lot of points too many to lay from me, 1:01:39.360 --> 1:01:42.120 and we'll be in Missouri getting changed for those three 1:01:42.160 --> 1:01:48.920 dollar bills real soon. It's Seattle over again. It's just 1:01:49.000 --> 1:01:52.800 he refuses, will tell I will tell you what we 1:01:52.880 --> 1:01:55.000 will know sooner than not. So they don't win the 1:01:55.040 --> 1:01:58.120 Super Bowl, than you're right somehow on this. Of course, 1:01:59.280 --> 1:02:02.080 if they get knocked out of the playoffs their first game, 1:02:02.120 --> 1:02:06.160 absolute they can't win a playoff game. Yeah, if you're 1:02:06.200 --> 1:02:09.600 that good and you're you, you got a home playoff 1:02:09.680 --> 1:02:12.720 game and you've been crushing everyone and scoring forty points 1:02:12.720 --> 1:02:15.480 a game, and then some team that had the had 1:02:15.480 --> 1:02:18.200 the win wild card weekend comes in there and beats you. 1:02:18.480 --> 1:02:21.640 But when I say, you'd say race was right, that 1:02:22.120 --> 1:02:24.880 the three great wait, un tilt it your direction. But 1:02:24.920 --> 1:02:26.840 what if they lose the Super Bowl by a field goal? 1:02:27.240 --> 1:02:31.120 The are you right? No, I'd say, you know what, No, No, 1:02:31.240 --> 1:02:33.960 I I would and I'd be honest and say, yeah, 1:02:33.960 --> 1:02:36.080 they were legit, they got it a big game. And 1:02:36.080 --> 1:02:38.160 then because you lose by field goal, man, that was 1:02:38.200 --> 1:02:41.680 a very winnable game. And I give them that. The 1:02:41.680 --> 1:02:44.720 games that they did lose, that they lost at New England, 1:02:44.760 --> 1:02:47.960 which was on the road, and the Rams game again 1:02:48.120 --> 1:02:49.800 on the road. So you got to give them that. 1:02:50.040 --> 1:02:52.520 Both their losses came on the road. So again, when 1:02:52.520 --> 1:02:54.800 the playoffs come, you're playing at home, you've got to 1:02:54.840 --> 1:02:57.000 win those games. You should be able to get to 1:02:57.040 --> 1:02:59.120 the super Bowl. That's that's what you're telling me. You're 1:02:59.200 --> 1:03:02.120 that good. So until I let me see it, you've 1:03:02.120 --> 1:03:08.680 done talking about Patrick mahomes private parts. You've done with that. God, yeah, yeah, yeah, honestly, 1:03:09.000 --> 1:03:12.360 thank god. I'm just glad, honestly that they lost that game, 1:03:12.600 --> 1:03:16.920 all right, And more importantly than five turnovers, next to it, 1:03:17.600 --> 1:03:22.880 five turnovers, that's the best, the best five turnover. There's 1:03:22.880 --> 1:03:24.880 a lot of candidates for games I want no part 1:03:24.880 --> 1:03:26.840 of Carolina, Tampa Bay, which I know you like, Marco, 1:03:26.880 --> 1:03:29.160 I would not touch that game. Chase Daniel is the 1:03:29.200 --> 1:03:32.200 starting quarterback for the Bears, their four point favorites at 1:03:32.200 --> 1:03:34.440 the Giants. People really liked Chase Daniel on Thursday. I 1:03:34.480 --> 1:03:36.560 was like, he was terrible to me, Like he held 1:03:36.560 --> 1:03:40.000 the ball forever. So he does not inspire confidence in 1:03:40.080 --> 1:03:42.240 me in that game, though I think the Bears probably 1:03:42.280 --> 1:03:45.840 win it with that defense. Uh, Tennessee seven and a 1:03:45.880 --> 1:03:47.960 half against the Jets. That scares me a whole bunch 1:03:47.960 --> 1:03:50.760 of anyway, what was your by the way, before we go, Marco, 1:03:50.840 --> 1:03:52.360 before you guys came on the air, he came on 1:03:52.400 --> 1:03:54.160 like a few seconds before you did, and he said, 1:03:54.200 --> 1:03:56.680 you and Teddy Ace Teddy, you guys got into a 1:03:56.720 --> 1:04:00.640 feisty Minnesota New England video battle. What was you What 1:04:00.680 --> 1:04:03.560 were you guys talking about? Oh no, I was just 1:04:04.480 --> 1:04:08.640 it was simply stating that they know they're gonna get 1:04:08.680 --> 1:04:11.600 New England money, they know there's gonna come some sharp 1:04:11.680 --> 1:04:15.080 money against them, and yet New England once again is 1:04:15.200 --> 1:04:17.560 eight and three straight up and seven and four against 1:04:17.560 --> 1:04:20.040 the spread. And I say, instead of sitting there and 1:04:20.080 --> 1:04:23.240 crying every week about how New England beats you put 1:04:23.320 --> 1:04:27.080 up a fucking bigger number. Let the wise guys get 1:04:27.120 --> 1:04:29.480 the best of it. Who gives this ship, they're gonna 1:04:29.520 --> 1:04:32.200 take the good number. And and they're not the ones 1:04:32.240 --> 1:04:34.560 that are betting it all the way down. They're the 1:04:34.600 --> 1:04:36.919 ones that I said, instead of putting it up at 1:04:37.000 --> 1:04:38.840 at six, put it up at eight, put it up 1:04:38.880 --> 1:04:41.080 at eight and a half. So what those guys aren't 1:04:41.080 --> 1:04:43.000 gonna bet it all the way down the flour they're 1:04:43.000 --> 1:04:44.840 gonna they're the guys are gonna take the eighth, the 1:04:44.880 --> 1:04:47.120 eight and a half, maybe some seven and a half, 1:04:47.320 --> 1:04:48.880 and that's gonna be the rest. They're gonna be the 1:04:48.920 --> 1:04:52.840 piggybackers and everyone else that's willing to take the third, fourth, 1:04:52.880 --> 1:04:56.080 fifth numbers take the worst of it. And then that's fine. 1:04:56.200 --> 1:04:58.160 Let them do that. But you know you're gonna get 1:04:58.200 --> 1:05:00.160 all the public money coming in on New England in 1:05:00.240 --> 1:05:03.600 any way. So why did you let one team continue 1:05:03.640 --> 1:05:07.800 to beat you against the spread? That's all I was 1:05:07.840 --> 1:05:11.200 trying to explain that that why is Alabama keenan oh? 1:05:11.360 --> 1:05:14.200 And yet not even against the spread because they did 1:05:14.240 --> 1:05:16.080 a good job with it. Can I hear from Teddy 1:05:17.680 --> 1:05:21.960 Ace is mad at the betting marketplace. He's like, yes, 1:05:22.480 --> 1:05:24.040 instead of giving us, they said, letting all the wise 1:05:24.080 --> 1:05:26.160 guys we have six with New England, let him if 1:05:26.160 --> 1:05:27.920 we have make with New England instead, and that's the 1:05:27.960 --> 1:05:31.080 better choice for the bookmakers. And I'm like, that's that's insane. 1:05:31.400 --> 1:05:33.800 The betting market is what it is. It's not them 1:05:33.920 --> 1:05:36.600 or ust, it's not wise guys or sharpers. It's a 1:05:36.680 --> 1:05:39.960 betting marketplace. You buy a stock, that's what the price is. 1:05:40.040 --> 1:05:42.320 You buy a game, it's not the people who list 1:05:42.400 --> 1:05:44.320 the stock that says what the price is. It's the 1:05:44.360 --> 1:05:46.480 market that says what the price is. It's the same 1:05:46.480 --> 1:05:48.960 story in the NFL. Guess what New England opened six 1:05:49.160 --> 1:05:53.000 and got pounded down. That wasn't public money, that's wise 1:05:53.040 --> 1:05:55.960 guy money. So just say that this is where the 1:05:56.000 --> 1:05:58.960 line should be in the books are idiots because the 1:05:59.000 --> 1:06:03.240 Patriots keep beating every year. It's not the books, it's 1:06:03.280 --> 1:06:06.880 the markets. So obviously you have a disagreement on that 1:06:07.560 --> 1:06:13.360 was certainly a fun video. I'm glad that's settled. Teddy, 1:06:13.440 --> 1:06:15.960 thank you for coming on, man, really appreciate it. Always 1:06:15.960 --> 1:06:17.720 a pleasure. Thank you so much for having me. Gil 1:06:17.800 --> 1:06:20.520 a Marco, Best of luck to all of you this 1:06:20.560 --> 1:06:24.600 week too, About Too for Marco and a skill Alexander 1:06:24.640 --> 1:06:26.680 is always good luck with all your bets and for 1:06:26.760 --> 1:06:28.920 Teddy covers as well. From Sports Memo, thank you so 1:06:29.000 --> 1:06:29.680 much for listening.