1 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 1: What the guys, how are you happy? Saturday? 2 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My 3 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 2: name is Matt Pearlt. You guys calling me across all 4 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 2: socials at Sports Talk Matt, and yesterday was no good 5 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 2: six and three to oh and three. It was six 6 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 2: and six mark over the last four days. That's gambling, unfortunately. 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,239 Speaker 2: So we wipe out the week and we start over 8 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 2: again here on a Saturday week and still have a 9 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 2: winning week, Still have a good Saturday Sunday, have a 10 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 2: winning week. But that was a bummer Friday, oh and 11 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 2: three in baseball, And that's betting baseball in July. 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: It's not easy. It's a roller coaster ride. 13 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,879 Speaker 2: And you know, two and one, two and one, two 14 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 2: and one, oh and three stinks, but that's betting. And 15 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 2: here we go for those of you that don't understand that, 16 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 2: like people were playing like of course he's gonna say 17 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 2: that because he went oh in three, making it nothing skews, Okay, 18 00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 2: it's actually the truth. 19 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: Just what happens. You know, this is this is not easy, Okay. 20 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: This whole thing is difficult, not easy to pull off, 21 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 2: and we have a lot of fun doing it, but 22 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 2: it's difficult, and it wouldn't be fun if it wasn't difficult. 23 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 2: So hopefully winning Saturday Sunday and then we get ourselves 24 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 2: going here, I'm going to go back to an old 25 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 2: adage that we started a couple of months ago, three 26 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: bets in three sports. Now it's difficult to do that 27 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: because sometimes all we have is baseball in the WNBA. 28 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 2: But because we have a fight night card here today 29 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: for the UFC, it does give us an opportunity to 30 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 2: have three bets in three sports. So I'm going to 31 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 2: go to that here today on a Saturday. One thing 32 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 2: I will tell you, the fight bet is not mine. 33 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: I'm going to give it to you because I've bet it. 34 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: I like it. 35 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 2: I am happy this person turned me on to it. 36 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 2: But every once in a while, we get text messages 37 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 2: from people and say, hey, this is a fight you 38 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 2: should go pay attention to. This is a fight that 39 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 2: you need to go and bet. So let's start with 40 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: the UFC here, and this is the first fight of 41 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: the night. It's Na Mahunas against Cortes. Cortes had a 42 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 2: very tough weightcut and to cut her hair literally to 43 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 2: make weight to get down to championship weight. Elder against 44 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,399 Speaker 2: Flowers is one of the first fights. I think it's 45 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 2: the very first fight on the card to get to 46 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 2: this pretty early. Here you have an Elder who's eight 47 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 2: and two and a Darius Flowers who's twelve seven and one. 48 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 2: The average fight time for Elder is thirteen thirty three. 49 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 2: Darius Flowers is seven fifty seven. Neither one of these 50 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 2: guys is all that experience in the UFC. They're both 51 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 2: well one in two and two and one. No, they're 52 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: both and one and two. They're both one and two 53 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 2: in the last three fights here in the UFC. So 54 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: buddy of mine, someone I trust, someone I like, said, hey, 55 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 2: bet this fight to not go the distance, it's minus 56 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 2: one ninety. To not go the distance or under two 57 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 2: and a half rounds is minus one forty five. I'm 58 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 2: gonna risk it here, and I could get beat in 59 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: the third round in the last two and a half minutes. 60 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 2: If you don't want to risk it, you can lay 61 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: the extra juice. And remember we only pay the juice 62 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: that we lose, So if you want the extra two 63 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 2: and a half minutes, you can jump in on the 64 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 2: extra two and a half minutes and just take inside 65 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 2: the distance, the fight will not go to the cards 66 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 2: to no. Bet is minus one ninety it's a little expensive. 67 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: Under two and a half rounds. However, three round fight 68 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 2: is minus one forty five. I like that bet more. 69 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 2: It's less juicy, and yes you can lose, but chances 70 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: are of the fight's gonna end within the first three rounds. 71 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 2: Inside the distance, it's probably not going to end in 72 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: the final couple of minutes of the third round. 73 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: So that's my bet. 74 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 2: We're going Elder in Flowers under two and a half 75 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 2: rounds at minus one forty five. 76 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: For Elder, his last fight went to the cards. 77 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 2: His fight before that he lost by knockout got KOed. 78 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 2: Fight before that he had a loss with unanimous decision. 79 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 2: Darius Flowers, However, he's had two fights that did not 80 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 2: go to the card. One fight that did is last 81 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 2: one against Michael Johnson, did go against the card. If 82 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 2: both these guys are in need of finishes, both these 83 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 2: guys match up well against each other, and I'm gonna 84 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 2: trust my buddy here on this, and we're gonna go 85 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 2: under two and a half rounds for Flowers and Elder 86 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: under two and a half rounds minus one forty five 87 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 2: for fight night here for the u FC. It's gonna 88 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 2: be an interesting fight. I think it's worth tuning in. 89 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:26,159 Speaker 2: I can't wait to watch Rose Thug Rose fight in 90 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 2: this heavy favorite. Thug is a heavy heavy favorite here 91 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 2: for the fight coming up. It's not unbedible, but I 92 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 2: mean she's getting there. I mean she's already minus two 93 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 2: twenty five on this Cortes with the weight cut is difficult. 94 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: Rose by points is plus one ten. Rose by ko 95 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 2: is five to one. Method of victory most often. This 96 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,919 Speaker 2: fight's gonna go to the cards. It's a fight that 97 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 2: I can you know, will it go the distance? The 98 00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:02,160 Speaker 2: no is plus one ninety two. Yes is minus two 99 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 2: sixty to give you an idea. So if you want 100 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 2: something in the main event, I think you can bet over. 101 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 2: I don't think that's a horrible bet is four and 102 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 2: a half rounds. It's minus two eighty so it's really expensive. 103 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 2: So like I said, I think Rose wins. Rose wins 104 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,799 Speaker 2: by decision, if that's what you want to bet. Rose 105 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 2: by decision is plus one ten. It's the most likely 106 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 2: outcome here for this fight. So if you want to 107 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 2: bet that, I don't hate it, but I don't like 108 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 2: it enough to play it officially if you're looking for 109 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 2: something extra there with the main event Rose by points 110 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 2: and plus one tenth on a bad play, but the 111 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 2: official play is under two and a half rounds For 112 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 2: the first fight of the night, Elder against Flowers, under 113 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 2: two and a half rounds and minus one forty five. 114 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:44,040 Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to the Liberty and the Sky. 115 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 2: This total opened up at one sixty five and a half. 116 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 2: We have already seen steam come in here to push 117 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 2: this thing down to one thirty five one sixty three 118 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 2: and a half. Sorry, so one sixty five and a 119 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:59,600 Speaker 2: half down to one sixty three and a half. We're 120 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 2: gonna fs allow this trend here, and we're going to 121 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 2: play under one sixty three and a half for the 122 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 2: Sky and the Liberty. Well, why, well, last time these 123 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 2: two teams played back on June the fourth in Chicago, 124 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 2: the game went under one sixty four went under was 125 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 2: eighty eight to seventy five victory for the Liberty. And 126 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 2: they played in New York. They played differently in New York. 127 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 2: They may more rop tempo, they're at home. They won 128 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 2: and they covered the nine. They went over one sixty 129 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 2: six and a half. It was a ninety one to 130 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 2: seventy six win for New York. Liberty have won two 131 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 2: straight games over Chicago. New York is six and four 132 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 2: to the over over their last ten games. Chicago is 133 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 2: six and four to the over over their last ten games. However, 134 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 2: when you're talking about at home under against Atlanta, under 135 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 2: against Minnesota, last two games have gone under over against Indiana, 136 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: but under against Dallas. So three and one to the 137 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 2: under for Chicago at home here over their last four 138 00:06:55,640 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 2: games on the road for New York under against Connecticut, 139 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 2: under against Indiana, that's two in a row to the under, 140 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 2: over against Atlanta back on the twenty third of June, 141 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 2: but on the road two and one to the over, 142 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 2: sorry to the under rather for New York on the road, 143 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 2: including their last time playing at Chicago where the game 144 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 2: wound up going under. 145 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: So just take a look at this. 146 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 2: You can break it down and go to see how 147 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 2: it all kind of plays out with these teams. 148 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: But I like the under. 149 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna follow the trend here under the steam miss 150 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 2: one sixty three and a half under New York Chicago 151 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 2: under one sixty three and a half for one point 152 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 2: one units, and we'll go three bets in three sports. 153 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 2: Let's go to the Phillies, who scored two going two 154 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 2: runs against Oakland last night in a six to two loss. 155 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 2: Mitch Spence goes to the bump for the ace. Mitch 156 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:53,119 Speaker 2: Spence four and eight sorry four point eight zero era, 157 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:55,400 Speaker 2: a two and two record, a posting betting average of 158 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 2: two fifty two sixteen earned runs, and thirty innings. 159 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: Worth of work. In the game in which. 160 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 2: Mits Spence has pitched, the opposing team has scored six, 161 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: five and seven runs in the last three games. The 162 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 2: Philadelphia Phillies team total is four and a half at 163 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 2: DraftKings minus won forty. But I think team total wise, 164 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 2: I'd rather play over four and a half than over 165 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 2: five and a half at plus money Phillies to get 166 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 2: a bounce back here, I think Philadelphia will come back 167 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 2: and score four and a half runs is sort of 168 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 2: I don't want to say it's like the barometer or 169 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 2: the middle five runs for Philadelphia, but this is a 170 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 2: team that loves to score. This team scored five for 171 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 2: ten in their last three games, all against the Dodgers. 172 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 2: They got shut out against the Braves, only gave it, 173 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 2: you know, got six on zero one and six runs 174 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 2: or eight runs rather against the Braves those on the 175 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 2: road at home, you know the Marlins, they scored seven 176 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 2: to two four. 177 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: It's right there. 178 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 2: It's four or five runs with the starting pitcher on 179 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 2: the mound and the Phillies offense here. I think they 180 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: bounced back after scoring his two runs last night. Philadelphia 181 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 2: team total over four and a half runs at minus 182 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 2: one forty for one point four units. All right, three 183 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 2: bets in three sports. The UFC fight under two and 184 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 2: a half rounds Elder and Flowers in the prelims there 185 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 2: at one forty five, might take one point four or 186 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 2: five units to play to win on one unit there, 187 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 2: we're going under one sixty three and a half for 188 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 2: the Liberty in the Sky at for one point one units. 189 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: And we're taking the Philadelphia team total over four and 190 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 2: a half runs for the Philadelphia Phillies up against the 191 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:43,960 Speaker 2: A's here this afternoon at minus one forty for one 192 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 2: point four units. Let's have a good Saturday, get back 193 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 2: on track. We can still have a winning week. Needs 194 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 2: to have a good Saturday here for us. Hopefully that 195 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 2: will happen. Minus Matt Perrault, you guys have followed me 196 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 2: on socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning. Wherever 197 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts, it's the Daily jewe