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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Thursday morning edition of the Day of

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Speaker 1: the News podcast. I am your host, Matt Parolt here

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Speaker 1: off Bettingpost dot Com, and this whole thing is being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. Boys and girls, let's

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Speaker 1: just take a second here on a Thursday morning to

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Speaker 1: acknowledge something that football is back football. Where in March

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Speaker 1: we did not think we were going to have a season.

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Speaker 1: We weren't sure about the NFL. We were not sure

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Speaker 1: in April about college. We weren't sure in May about

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Speaker 1: the NFL. We weren't sure in June about college. And

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Speaker 1: we're sitting here on the tenth of September with kickoff

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Speaker 1: only hours away in the NFL, and we had a

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Speaker 1: college weekend last weekend. But for the NFL to be here,

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Speaker 1: I mean, welcome back football. What an awesome, awesome run

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Speaker 1: we are going to have. Dan Harris and I are

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Speaker 1: in the Draft Kings Pro Football Pick Them contest at

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Speaker 1: last Look, we're talking about a contest with less than

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Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty entries for one million dollars. If

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Speaker 1: you are in New Hampshire, New Jersey, or West Virginia

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Speaker 1: and you like football picking, if you like handicapping. I

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Speaker 1: cannot stress this enough that this is going to be

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Speaker 1: a contest that you have to be in. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how many are going to wind up in this contest. DraftKings,

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Speaker 1: for a long time, going back to their DFS days,

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Speaker 1: will offer free roles for a variety of people who

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Speaker 1: they want them in. There from a promotional standpoint and

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Speaker 1: just from a DFS player perspective, they want to put

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Speaker 1: people in. DraftKings is not afraid of overlays and they're

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Speaker 1: not afraid of losing money. I mean, this is one

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Speaker 1: of the really interesting things. I've got Johnny Avello from

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Speaker 1: DraftKings coming on my radio show on Friday, and I'm

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Speaker 1: really curious to hear his take as to what they're

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Speaker 1: going to do. Because it's a one million dollar guaranteed

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Speaker 1: first place prize and one million dollars in top of

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Speaker 1: that in prizes. So when you have two hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventeen people as of Wednesday night who had signed up,

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Speaker 1: that's like a way, not like it is. It's a

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Speaker 1: one in two hundred and seventeen chance of winning a

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Speaker 1: million a million dollars. You're never gonna see odds like that,

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Speaker 1: So I do expect a pretty big rush here for entries.

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Speaker 1: We could wind up with one thousand people being involved.

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Speaker 1: But when you look at the Circa Million in Vegas

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Speaker 1: with over two thousand, two hundred teams now in it,

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Speaker 1: and the Westgates Super Contest with with about a thousand

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Speaker 1: people in it, all the talk, all the height was

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Speaker 1: on the Circa million. This is not on the Circa million.

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Speaker 1: This is not their overlay. This is a whole different

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Speaker 1: East Coast overlay. And I don't know if you guys

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Speaker 1: really understand this. And I'm just going to go off

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Speaker 1: my two little brothers, who are both you know, one's

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Speaker 1: twenty six and one's twenty four, and I was going

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Speaker 1: to do the DraftKings contest with them with one of

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Speaker 1: my brothers, who lives about ten minutes from the New

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Speaker 1: Hampshire border, used to be physically in these states. On

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Speaker 1: game day, to go ahead and place your wagers in

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Speaker 1: place your picks for these contests, you're gonna pick five

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Speaker 1: games against the spread. The lines come out on Thursday,

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Speaker 1: come out today, and you're gonna see a lot of

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Speaker 1: activity on Twitter. If you're new to this, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see a lot of activity about the lines which are

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Speaker 1: stagnant from the DraftKings for Circa and the west Gate

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Speaker 1: and everyone loves to kind of dive deep and do

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Speaker 1: a lot of research into what these things are gonna

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Speaker 1: look like and what the games are gonna look like,

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Speaker 1: and they make their plays. Well, look, that's confusing to

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Speaker 1: new people. They don't get that five plays. What do

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Speaker 1: you mean fifteen hundred dollars. There's a lot of money.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if I should enter this or not.

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Speaker 1: It seems to be a little bit pricey. Yeah, it is, okay,

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Speaker 1: it's not cheap to go into these things, but my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: if you're in New Hampshire, if you're in New Jersey

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Speaker 1: or in West Virginia, I don't know how you don't

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Speaker 1: enter this. If you've got the money and the wherewithal

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Speaker 1: and you're a gambler, you're never gonna see a contest

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Speaker 1: like this. Now, the odds have been a little bit confusing,

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Speaker 1: and we've kind of gone back and forth with DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: I've been on the phone with their pr trying to

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Speaker 1: kind of sift through some of these some of these rules.

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Speaker 1: But for the most part, I have a pretty it's a

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Speaker 1: good idea that it's a fourteen week tournament. You take

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Speaker 1: two bye weeks. Week seventeen doesn't happen. So you choose

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Speaker 1: your two bye weeks and you pick five games. If

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Speaker 1: you want to play Thursday, you play Thursday, and then

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Speaker 1: on Sunday you enter in the other four picks. That's

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Speaker 1: very unique. That's different than what happens here in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: where if you want to play Thursday, you have to

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Speaker 1: enter in all five plays, including the four plays on

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Speaker 1: Sunday or Monday on Thursday, which is never good, in

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Speaker 1: particular when it comes to a COVID nineteen season, you

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Speaker 1: never want to do that. So if you are playing

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Speaker 1: the Circle or the Westgate, my advice to you is,

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Speaker 1: do not play Thursday. Okay, do not play Thursday. It's

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Speaker 1: not worth it given all the injury news and COVID

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Speaker 1: nineteen issues and whatnot. So Thursday night football should be

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Speaker 1: off limits if you're in the Circle or the Million,

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Speaker 1: or even the Circle Million, or you're in the West Gate.

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Speaker 1: But I would highly recommend it for the DraftKings contest

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Speaker 1: to play Thursday. There's no real penalty to do it.

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Speaker 1: So very cool stuff, very exciting to see football be here.

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Speaker 1: We do have a play on the college game. We

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Speaker 1: have a play we already told you about for the NFL,

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Speaker 1: and I've got two plays coming at you for what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen here in the NHL. I am not

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Speaker 1: going to play what's going to happen in the NBA tonight.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to pick the Lakers in the Rockets.

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Speaker 1: I don't have a good feel. If I was going

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Speaker 1: to bet this, I would bet the under. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: under two twenty and a half. House might not play

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Speaker 1: due to the investigation about violating protocol, but the under

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Speaker 1: would be to play two twenty and a half. But

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Speaker 1: I'm going to pass on the Lakers minus five for

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Speaker 1: the Lakers Rockets. I'm gonna pass on this because I

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Speaker 1: just feel like this is a very pivotal game. It

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Speaker 1: will help us know what to bet on going forward.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not betting on the Lakers game tonight at all.

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Speaker 1: But just two plays in hockey, two plays on one

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Speaker 1: game in hockey, one play in college, one play in

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Speaker 1: the NFL coming at you here tonight. So last night

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Speaker 1: we went two and one, and I was so angry

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Speaker 1: about the Celtics loss that I had to go for

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Speaker 1: a walk and when I tell you that as a

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Speaker 1: Celtics fan, I am a passionate sports fan, and I

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Speaker 1: love my job and I love my teams. But this

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Speaker 1: went beyond losing a bet. This went into the category

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Speaker 1: of actually feeling ripped off. And I had to like

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Speaker 1: check myself a couple of times on Twitter because I

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Speaker 1: didn't want to write like crazy conspiracy theory stuff. But

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Speaker 1: there are some really crazy conspiracy theory stuff going on

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Speaker 1: right now when it comes to Boston and the referees.

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Speaker 1: And before you go, Matt, what are you talking about.

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Speaker 1: Your sound like a crazy person. The Celtics are now

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Speaker 1: three and thirteen straight up with Tony Brothers refereeing their games.

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Speaker 1: That is a significant number and we should never have

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Speaker 1: to look at referees when it comes to games. But

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Speaker 1: if Scott Foster is working Game seven, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: lose my mind because here's my conspiracy theory. And you

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Speaker 1: guys can tell me if I'm right or I'm wrong,

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Speaker 1: but just look at this system from my way perspective.

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Speaker 1: The Rockets are gonna get bounced, most likely in five

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Speaker 1: to six games. The Clippers in the Nugget series is over.

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Speaker 1: That's gone. The Nuggets are nowhere near the Clippers. Goodbye.

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Speaker 1: They're are three games to one, They're gone. Miami just

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Speaker 1: knocked out the number one seed in the East in

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Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks. If Boston takes care of Toronto, and

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Speaker 1: we are having to wait a while for NBA basketball

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Speaker 1: because everyone got over really quickly, and we've got the

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Speaker 1: hard schedule for the NBA Finals. This is not good

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Speaker 1: for the NBA. This is not good to go multiple

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Speaker 1: days without having any game scheduled as we prep for

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Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference in Western Conference Finals and then going

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Speaker 1: into the NBA Finals. So Miami is sitting here cooling

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Speaker 1: their jets. But I don't think the NBA cares about that.

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Speaker 1: They need drama. They need one of these series to

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Speaker 1: produce some type of drama. So that game yesterday, that

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Speaker 1: game six, the number of calls that went against Boston.

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Speaker 1: The flagrant foul on Jason Tatum was ridiculous. That was

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Speaker 1: a horrific call. And then you have a coach out

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Speaker 1: of the coaching box in the corner goading Jason Tatum

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Speaker 1: to pass the basketball to him. No call, no warning,

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Speaker 1: no nothing. We have fowls on Kemba Walker as he's

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Speaker 1: going to the basket. Numerous times we have a review

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Speaker 1: be overturned when Boston has a shot at free throws,

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Speaker 1: it gets overturned with very little evidence to prove the

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Speaker 1: overturning of a challenge on a foul on Daniel Tice.

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Speaker 1: But it went that way every single pick, every single

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Speaker 1: foul call that could have gone against Boston did and

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Speaker 1: they still went to double overtime and they still almost

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Speaker 1: won that game. But that was robbery. Okay, it's not

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Speaker 1: crying over a team losing or my team losing or

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Speaker 1: losing a bet, but that was robbery. That was one

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Speaker 1: of the worst officiated games I have ever seen in

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Speaker 1: just being a one sided, awful performance. Referees are always

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Speaker 1: the story, but that was a whole different story with

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Speaker 1: Boston and Toronto. So that was the only game we

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Speaker 1: got wrong last night. Under five and a half goals

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Speaker 1: for the Islanders and the Tampa Bay Lightning. I told

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Speaker 1: you it was a lean on the Islanders. That was

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Speaker 1: a tough loss for the Islanders. Oh my gosh, eight

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Speaker 1: seconds left and the goal gods get scored by the

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Speaker 1: by the Lightning to win two games to one. I

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Speaker 1: started two goals to one ouch under hit. It's easily though.

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Speaker 1: That was fun, and then the under came in easy.

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Speaker 1: The two twenty and a half came in easy for

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Speaker 1: the Clippers and the Nuggets. Nuggets are just absolutely toast.

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Speaker 1: So two in one yesterday, two and one the day before,

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Speaker 1: So four and two up one point two units over

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Speaker 1: the last two days. So just again, slow and steady,

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Speaker 1: turning the ship around, trying to turn the big freighter

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Speaker 1: around and get things going in the right direction because

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Speaker 1: things weren't going in the right direction. So before I

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Speaker 1: give you the picks, let me tell you about a

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the plays and the picks.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the college game. I'm going to tell

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Speaker 1: you ahead of time the line here in Vegas is

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Speaker 1: minus fourteen and a half for Miami taking on UAB. Now,

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Speaker 1: the one big curveball into this story, into this game

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Speaker 1: is the fact that COVID nineteen has come into focus.

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Speaker 1: How many players for UAB have COVID nineteen. We don't

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Speaker 1: really know that right now. They have been overly precautious

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Speaker 1: as some players have tested positive for COVID nineteen. But

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Speaker 1: as of right now the game is on schedule, we

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Speaker 1: don't know how many UAB players have tested positive. We

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Speaker 1: don't know who is in, we don't know who is out.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter to me because I was gonna

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Speaker 1: bet Miami anyway, but simply because fourteen and a half

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Speaker 1: is a number I don't like, I bought the half point.

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Speaker 1: So for me, I played this at minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: If you can get it at fourteen, get it at

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Speaker 1: fourteen at minus one ten. But it's fourteen and a

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Speaker 1: half here in Vegas. I didn't like it. So this

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Speaker 1: is a game at hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Temperature

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Speaker 1: is gonna be in the eighties, but UAB shouldn't have

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Speaker 1: a problem with the humidity. They're used to it in Birmingham, Alabama.

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Speaker 1: But Miami has a quarterback who I've been in love

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Speaker 1: with for a really long time. Deeric King is a superstar,

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Speaker 1: I mean a straight up superstar. If Miami uses him properly.

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Speaker 1: He is going to be in It's tough to say

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson at Louisville, but he's that like, he's he's

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Speaker 1: that good, all right. He really is on the college game.

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Speaker 1: He really is that good. He had three thousand yard

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Speaker 1: thirty six touchdowns for Houston. I mean, he's a guy.

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Speaker 1: I was throwing the ball, running the ball. It was

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Speaker 1: seven hundred yards in fourteen scores. I mean, the dude

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Speaker 1: is spectacular. Okay, he put up big numbers in the

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Speaker 1: scrimmage already. This kid is gonna put up numbers, all right.

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Speaker 1: UAB had a tough time last week against an FCS

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Speaker 1: opponent against Central Arkansas. I just think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a track meet here. I think Miami destroys UAB,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna lay the fourteen again. I don't like

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. I laid it at fourteen me

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty for you, hopefully Miles one ten. But

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Speaker 1: I bought the daffa point because I'm not gonna lose

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Speaker 1: on a hook here if it's fourteen point victory. But

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Speaker 1: I have Miami minus fourteen over UAB here on Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football second game. I'm not gonna spend too much

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Speaker 1: time on this because I've already told you what I've

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Speaker 1: bet and the line has moved against me. So for

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Speaker 1: you guys, you can get it at nine. For the

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Speaker 1: Texans and the Chiefs tonight, Casey minus nine at home,

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Speaker 1: I already took it at ten. Here's my thought process

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Speaker 1: on these games where you don't have preseason football, we

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Speaker 1: don't know really what the offense is gonna look like.

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Speaker 1: For the Houston Texans, Bill O'Brien versus Andy Reid, and

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Speaker 1: you have the banner dropping in Kansas City with only

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Speaker 1: seventeen thousand, five hundred fans there, but there's still seventeen

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Speaker 1: thousand fans are gonna be there this I think this

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Speaker 1: Chief team wants to put up a big number. I

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Speaker 1: think they want to justify the new contracts that everybody got.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you've got a contract, and you've got a contracts.

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Speaker 1: I mean Kelsey got a contract, man Mahomes got a contracting,

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Speaker 1: Clark got a contract. To me, he's insane everyone they're paying.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a very interesting game. I understand

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Speaker 1: the trends here. The road team nine to three against

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Speaker 1: the spread with the last two meetings for the Texans

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Speaker 1: and the Chiefs to go back to the playoffs last

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Speaker 1: year where the Houston Texans had a big lead and

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Speaker 1: then somehow the Casey Chiefs came storming back. I actually

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Speaker 1: think that helps here with the line, because I think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see this offense, even if Terrey Kale is

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Speaker 1: not one hundred percent or he doesn't play, I still

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Speaker 1: think this is Mahomes. I still think this is this offense.

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Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see the new kid running back

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Speaker 1: have a Clyde hitbers hil Air. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: have a huge game. I just don't think Houston's ready

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Speaker 1: to be honest. I mean, I just think going into

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Speaker 1: this environment against this team, I'm laying the points here.

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Speaker 1: I laid ten. You can lay nine, but Chiefs big

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Speaker 1: over the Texans. Everyone in their mom is on the over.

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Speaker 1: They think points, points, points. I don't know. I think

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Speaker 1: that chief defense might be better than people think. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go near the total here. I think

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Speaker 1: we gotta watch and see and again, remember it's football early.

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Speaker 1: We've got to be careful when it comes to football early.

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Speaker 1: But I'm on the Chiefs minus ten. You can be

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Speaker 1: on the Chiefs minus nine, and let's hopefully see a

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Speaker 1: nice win here for the Casey Chiefs and the defending champs.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna look at all the trends and all

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Speaker 1: the different stats that say first game dropping in the banner,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots notoriously played really poorly. They think the Pats

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Speaker 1: lost two of these games outright where they started a

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Speaker 1: year dropping the banner, and then at home on Thursday

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Speaker 1: night in primetime and they lost the game outright. I

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Speaker 1: don't think that's gonna happen. I do understand why people

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Speaker 1: are on the Texans. It's a big number, but I'm

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Speaker 1: just taking the Chiefs. I'm gonna lay the points. Finally,

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Speaker 1: two plays on the hockey game tonight for the Vegas

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights against Dallas Stars. So first, Robin Lehner is

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Speaker 1: back in net for Vegas, and I'm not sure we're

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Speaker 1: gonna see Mark he Andre Fleury again play. Leonard was

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Speaker 1: outstanding shut out three to nothing in game number one,

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Speaker 1: his fourth shutout with the postseason. He has not allowed

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Speaker 1: a goal in forever. U'dobin's going here for Dallas, and

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Speaker 1: I do believe that we're gonna see another tight, low

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Speaker 1: scoring hockey game. So my first play here is under

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Speaker 1: five and a half, under five and a half a

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Speaker 1: half goals. I got this and you and these are

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Speaker 1: numbers I would shop around. Okay, if you can find

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Speaker 1: a def a decent number here, try to. But I

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Speaker 1: found it at minus one twenty five five and a

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Speaker 1: half goals one thirty one thirty five's are out there.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lay the juice here under five and

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Speaker 1: a half goals for the Vegas gold Knights. And the

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Speaker 1: next play is the really greasy, dangerous one. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: make it anyway. Okay, I didn't do it the first

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Speaker 1: time last game, I'm gonna do it here. Vegas won

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Speaker 1: three nothing in game two. I told you I was

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Speaker 1: leaning on the puck line, but I just took the

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Speaker 1: team outright to win because I was afraid. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: come back on the puck line here and we might

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Speaker 1: need some help. We might need an empty net goal here,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna go ahead and lay it. I think

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Speaker 1: it's a three to one win for Vegas. Puck line

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Speaker 1: comes in at plus one sixty. We haven't made one

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Speaker 1: of these plus money bets in a while, but I

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Speaker 1: think the offense has found some rhythm here. I think

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Speaker 1: Ryan Reeves being back is a big deal. I think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see William Carson get going here. I think

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Speaker 1: the four get going here. I think the defense is

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Speaker 1: really good. Dallas is not a great offensive team. They

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Speaker 1: play more of a defensive style. That's why things is

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Speaker 1: going to be a low scoring game. But it wouldn't

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Speaker 1: shock me to see a two to nothing victory here.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if Leonard has another shutout. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the ice playing panda's playing insane, so we're gonna ride him.

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Speaker 1: We're going under five and a half and we're taking

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Speaker 1: the Vegas gold Knights here on the puck line at

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty. Let's see how this plays out. I'm

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Speaker 1: very excited to see what's gonna happen here in this game.

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Speaker 1: But we're going with the under and we're going with

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Speaker 1: Vegas on the puck line here at plus one sixty.

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Speaker 1: So to recap our plays, it's the Hurricanes minus fourteen

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty, the Chiefs minus ten or minus

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Speaker 1: nine at misus one ten, Vegas on the puck line

357
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Speaker 1: at plus one sixty, and the under five and a

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Speaker 1: half goals at minus one twenty five for us here

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Speaker 1: on a Thursday. Who good day, Good to have football.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Pereltz. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, make sure you're

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Speaker 1: subscribing to the Daily Juice Podcast. A ton of football

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Speaker 1: coming this weekend. I cannot wait to get rocking and

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Speaker 1: rolling picking football in the NFL and college. It all

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Speaker 1: comes at you on the Saturday morning edition, the Friday

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Speaker 1: morning edition, the Sunday morning edition of the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast of Bettingpros dot com, presented by bedemgab