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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

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Speaker 1: straight Fire fan? It's mean Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Thursday,

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Speaker 1: December twenty second. As we discussed earlier this week on

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Speaker 1: the pod, this will be the final podcast for Christmas week.

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Speaker 1: We'll return next week. As I know, not a lot

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Speaker 1: of people are gonna be sitting around listening to podcasts

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Speaker 1: when they're hanging out with their family, rapping last minute gifts,

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Speaker 1: going to the mall to get last minute presents. Two

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Speaker 1: people do that anymore. They just order everything on Amazon.

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Speaker 1: Amazon is not a sponsor. I should not mention them. Um,

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Speaker 1: so this will be a big one. We have a

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Speaker 1: great guest today, a first timer on the pod, gambling analyst. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: this usually would be our Friday pod, so we'll have

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Speaker 1: best bets at the end of the podcast. Don't go

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Speaker 1: ahead and skip to the end just to get the

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Speaker 1: picks and hopefully make some money. College basketball picks have

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Speaker 1: been pretty good this week. If you're on I G Stories, Um,

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Speaker 1: don't post those on Twitter, just Instagram stories, you know,

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Speaker 1: for the real ones, the what do they call them,

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Speaker 1: the t ones? I guess Rob G calls him that

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Speaker 1: the serious hardcore podcast listeners who listened to the end.

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Speaker 1: Listen to every episode. You never know when you're gonna

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Speaker 1: get a kernel of wisdom or a bucket of cash

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Speaker 1: for a wager. Now, I haven't done any NBA bets

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Speaker 1: on the podcast, but oh my gosh, did you guys

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Speaker 1: see what happened last night in Brooklyn? Golden State Warriors

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Speaker 1: go to Brooklyn enter down seventeen after one quarter. One quarter.

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Speaker 1: No Kyrie Irving, by the way, it was Kevin Durant, Royce, O'Neil,

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Speaker 1: Joe Harris. Nice to see him back. Uh t J.

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Speaker 1: Warren getting some buckets, folks. Brooklyn had nine points at halftime. Halftime.

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Speaker 1: You know, my son, he has a sixth rade basketball team.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna meet most of the guys this week, and

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Speaker 1: I think we got a pretty good team. He you know,

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Speaker 1: he's scouting at recess and telling me, oh, this guy's

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Speaker 1: really good. It he's gotten so good, Dad, we gotta

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Speaker 1: get and so I go out and get these guys.

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Speaker 1: So we'll see him today. We probably have the best

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Speaker 1: player in the league. But you know, don't tell anyone. Um.

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Speaker 1: So I'm excited to see them and we may be

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Speaker 1: hanging up Brooklyn on Golden State type numbers. I mean

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Speaker 1: ninety one and a half. Are you kidding me? Golden

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Speaker 1: State not playing any defense. They lose hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: three to a hundred and thirteen. At one point they

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Speaker 1: were down forty. They end up losing by thirty. If

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Speaker 1: you're looking for a silver lining, James Wiseman had thirty points.

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Speaker 1: I'm assuming all of it was in garbage time, since

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Speaker 1: the final three quarters were garbage time. Thirty points, I

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Speaker 1: guess that's got to be a career high for Wiseman. Um,

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Speaker 1: I don't know the Brooklyn that's good. I see the

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Speaker 1: record is nineteen and twelve. They're like shockingly surging the

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn nets. It's interesting. We've heard nothing out of Kyrie.

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Speaker 1: But if you really want to, if you're a team,

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Speaker 1: if you're doing some opposition research and you're on the

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Speaker 1: Celtics or the Bucks and you want to get under

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Speaker 1: the net skin, just think of something you can do

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Speaker 1: to get Kyrie Irving talking. I honestly haven't heard anything

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Speaker 1: he said. Maybe he's dodging the media. Pretty smart, smart

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Speaker 1: move on his part, because as he's kept it quiet,

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Speaker 1: the nets are rolling, and I know some people want

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Speaker 1: to say, hey, j your guy Steve Nash. They fire

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Speaker 1: him and now they're on a tear also true. I

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Speaker 1: don't know, um, maybe we could give the new coach.

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Speaker 1: Is it Jack Vaughan? I think it is. That's how

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Speaker 1: distant I've been from Brooklyn and the NBA. Brooklyn is

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Speaker 1: good now though, nineteen and twelve at about the what

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Speaker 1: is this like the two fifth smart something like that.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Whatever December NBA action it's fantastic, um so,

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Speaker 1: at any rate, the Warriors are really struggling. Fifteen and seventeen.

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Speaker 1: This is crazy three and fifteen on the highway. That

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Speaker 1: is staggeringly bad for a franchise that has been just

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Speaker 1: pretty incredible for like the last half decade. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what on earth has happened to them. Tough to

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Speaker 1: lock in, I guess after a championship last year, but

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Speaker 1: it was a it was a rough night for the

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Speaker 1: best teams in the league. The Bucks got forty five

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Speaker 1: from the Honest and lost to the Calves, who are

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Speaker 1: really good, and the Celtics lost to the Pacers. So

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Speaker 1: the top two teams in the East lost, the defending

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Speaker 1: champs from the West lost. It's December. It's the NBA,

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Speaker 1: that's what's happening. There was one little item on the

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Speaker 1: NFL front, obviously before we get two picks in gambling,

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Speaker 1: and it's that Nick Folds. He's back as the starter.

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Speaker 1: I wrote this down on my notes as I was

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Speaker 1: jotting down some stuff as I prepare for the weekend

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Speaker 1: Week sixteen. This is the ninth team in the NFL

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Speaker 1: this season, ninth to play a third quarterback. Nine teams

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Speaker 1: have started three different quarterbacks and the season is not

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Speaker 1: over yet. So the Panthers, let's see if you we'll

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Speaker 1: do a quick game. Can you name the three starters

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Speaker 1: for each of the teams. Panthers would be Baker. Oh

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Speaker 1: my gosh, I'm spacing on the skinny guy. I can't

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Speaker 1: member's name obviously Baker, Sam Donald, and I'm seeing Malik

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Speaker 1: Willis in my head, but it's obviously not him. P J.

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Speaker 1: Walker there. It is Miami Dolphins, Skyler something or other,

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Speaker 1: Skylar Thompson, Ta, Teddy Bridgewater, Houston, Texans, UH Driscoll, Davis Mills,

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Speaker 1: and Kyle Kyle Allen Jets. Well, that one's very easy.

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Speaker 1: Joe Flacco, Mike White, Zack Wilson, Patriots have started three

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Speaker 1: huh Bailey Zappy mac Jones. Oh, we're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: come back to that. I would have Oh is it

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Speaker 1: Brian Hoyer might be Brian Hoyer. Forty Niners, Easy Brock Purty,

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Speaker 1: Tray Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo. Rams there technically on their fourth,

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Speaker 1: but for scoring purposes, will just do three. The Rams

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Speaker 1: three starters Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield and oh Bry Perkins, Yes,

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Speaker 1: and then John Woolford before this is how nerdy I

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Speaker 1: am on the NFL holy account. I'm sure there's some

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Speaker 1: people listening at home. We are getting all these and

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Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals would be Kyler Murray, uh, Colt McCoy

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Speaker 1: and then the new guy who's starting this week. They

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Speaker 1: just announced it, Trace McSorley, and I think we talked

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Speaker 1: about him on the podcast this week. Former Penn State kid. Folks.

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Speaker 1: We did extend the end NFL season by a game,

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Speaker 1: but this is this is not great. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: product is rough. I already talked about the Christmas Day games.

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Speaker 1: It looks like Russell Wilson's coming back for the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: You're looking at backups in that one. It's it's tough.

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Speaker 1: We gotta I know, you know you hate the flags

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Speaker 1: protecting the quarterbacks. But nine teams have started three quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: You can't get through the season with with with your

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Speaker 1: starter healthy, you have to go to a backup and

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Speaker 1: then a third stringer. Man that is bleak. And I'm

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Speaker 1: sure there are some teams that could be looking at

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Speaker 1: a quarterback. Um, you know Washington has had two, Um,

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Speaker 1: Dallas has had two? Who else? Philadelphia is on their

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Speaker 1: backup this week? New Orleans? How's New Orleans down on

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Speaker 1: that list? Oh? I guess Jamis has not taken a

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Speaker 1: snap yet. Um, Green Baseball, Jordan's love. Detroit's been healthy.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's funny the teams that are supremely healthy

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Speaker 1: at quarterback. Shocker Josh Allen, Pat Mahomes, Joe Burrow combined

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Speaker 1: games and missed zero. Ravens are fading. They had their backup.

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Speaker 1: Chargers are fading, they had their backup. Dolphins are fading,

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Speaker 1: they've had their backup. Eagles, I mean, Jalen Hurst just

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Speaker 1: played every game. He's the m v P. Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 1: hasn't missed a game. Now. The Niners are the exception. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay's had Brady Dallas did have the backup, but

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Speaker 1: the Giants, I don't know. If the Giants have gone

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Speaker 1: to the backup. They might have, Washington's gone to the backup.

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Speaker 1: It's just been a weird season. They're all weird. You

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Speaker 1: could say that about every NFL season. By um, obviously

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Speaker 1: we're enjoying it greatly. I know some people are asking

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Speaker 1: for college football bull picks and I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: I'm just reluctant to go in unless you really look

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Speaker 1: deeply at all the guys who are opting out because

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Speaker 1: the opt outs. I'm seeing stories that there's a record

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Speaker 1: number of opt outs for bowl games, and I'm with them, like,

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Speaker 1: what's the point of playing? Just go focus on the NFL.

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Speaker 1: A lot of guys are like transfer portal, you know,

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Speaker 1: transfer portals growing, what's the point? So if you can't

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Speaker 1: really do the homework on how many guys are down

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Speaker 1: and and again we're looking at like bad bowl games.

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Speaker 1: It's like, I mean, if somebody has a real slam

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Speaker 1: dung winner because of knowledge inside knowledge that you've got

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Speaker 1: on a certain team and you follow them closely. There's

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Speaker 1: just too much happening around the holidays, right just too

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Speaker 1: many sports going on, too much life getting in the

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Speaker 1: way to dig into Bowl games. I haven't watched one

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Speaker 1: minute of any of the Bowl games yet. I don't

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Speaker 1: even know when they are. I think a lot of

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Speaker 1: them are the final week of the year. But you

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Speaker 1: know guess who'll be working most of those days. Yeah? Me. Anyways,

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Speaker 1: without further ado, let's get to our guest for the

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Speaker 1: final podcast before the Christmas break. You know him, you

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Speaker 1: love him well? I think you will after this podcast.

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Speaker 1: Jared Smith from picks Wise. Jason likes to think he

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Speaker 1: knows everything when it comes to sports. I know what

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Speaker 1: sports dance want, but for everything he doesn't, he knows

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Speaker 1: a guy who does. Let's just say I know a

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Speaker 1: guy who knows a guy who knows another guy. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's welcome into straight Fire a new guest on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: You know, we like to feature new guys who are

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Speaker 1: on the up and up rising stars in the gambling industry.

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Speaker 1: And the bonus here is that this gentleman is a

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Speaker 1: Jets fan, because we don't talk about that Jets enough

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Speaker 1: on the podcast. Jared Smith from picks Wise. Jared, how

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Speaker 1: are you man? We did a little commiserating before we

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Speaker 1: came on here, but you're right overall, Jason, it's been

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Speaker 1: trending in a in a positive direction. I think I'm

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Speaker 1: a big Robert Salagy as I'm sure you are. Just

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Speaker 1: just gotta figure out the quarterback situation. I mean there's

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Speaker 1: things like the quarterback, you know, just little things like that,

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Speaker 1: you know, no biggie. So Jared also co hosts the

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Speaker 1: bet MGM Show every Saturday on Fox Sports Radio, and uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, Jared, usually we do our big gambling segments

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Speaker 1: for Friday's pod, but this year we took Friday off

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Speaker 1: for the Christmas holiday. Um, so we're previewing in a

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Speaker 1: day or early news. It's tough to give out picks

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Speaker 1: this early in the week. There's still injury reports. Um,

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Speaker 1: you know there there's guys who Lamar Jackson for instance,

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Speaker 1: hasn't practiced yet, Like, how do we handle that? So

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Speaker 1: we'll just handicap whatever game's best we can and listen,

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Speaker 1: this is a Christmas week or Hanka or Kwanza or

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Speaker 1: whatever you celebrate, So maybe you're not laying the lumber

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Speaker 1: like uh you normally would say in a mid October

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Speaker 1: UM game. But let's start with Thursday night football. Shall

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Speaker 1: we heared? Uh, you are a Jets fan. The Jets

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Speaker 1: number is ticking up to minus one and a half

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Speaker 1: public all over Jacksonville, and yet the market is telling

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Speaker 1: you the Jets of the side. Now. I two weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: I had by I think the second best week of

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Speaker 1: the season, went five and oh in the contest, it

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Speaker 1: was great, glorious. Last week I was on the Jets

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Speaker 1: and others one three and one didn't really cut the mustard. Um,

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Speaker 1: I'm staying away from this game. Do you have anything

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Speaker 1: on Jets Jacks? I was on the Jets last week too.

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Speaker 1: I thought it was a really good spot for them.

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Speaker 1: And listen, I thought they played well. I thought the

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Speaker 1: defense played well. They gave up a special teams touchdown,

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Speaker 1: and you know your credit, Ben Johnson, they kind of

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Speaker 1: outflanked the Jets on that fourth and one play. But

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Speaker 1: for the most part, it's been a very positive season

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Speaker 1: for the Jets defense. So positive in fact, that teams

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Speaker 1: aren't even targeting Sauce Gardener anymore. He wasn't targeted at

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Speaker 1: all by the Lions last week, and I thought it

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Speaker 1: was a very unique approach to the game because earlier

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Speaker 1: I did think the lines were making some hay in

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Speaker 1: the Jets typical man coverage and then the Jets kind

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Speaker 1: of switched it up in the second half went zone

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Speaker 1: and that's not something the Jets do often, but again

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Speaker 1: it's it shows Robert Salas flex ability and it also

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Speaker 1: shows the talent because you know, to switch schemes like

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Speaker 1: that midgame. To make an adjustment like that, you have

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Speaker 1: to be confident, especially with your secondary, to go from

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Speaker 1: man to his own. And I do think that that's

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Speaker 1: where the Jets strength is, and that's where I would

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Speaker 1: say Jacksonville strength is too, because Trevor Lawrence has taken

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Speaker 1: some massive steps forward last week his first interception in

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Speaker 1: six games. But what we're starting to see is the

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Speaker 1: body language and the decision making and some of the

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Speaker 1: polish that I think Doug Peterson brings to the table

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Speaker 1: is really starting to make leaps and bounds. But now

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Speaker 1: it's a short week, you're going outdoors to a tough environment.

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Speaker 1: There's gonna be you would think some weather this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm hearing weather across the league this week and all

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Speaker 1: the outdoor games. And he's a little bit banged up too.

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Speaker 1: So I do think the Jets defense this is I

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Speaker 1: mean both teams backs against the wall, especially the Jacks

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Speaker 1: in the a f C South, But I do think

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Speaker 1: the Jets defense continues to be the driving force. Now.

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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson very erratic, and the metrics are really bad

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Speaker 1: adjusted accuracy. They really struggled to run the ball. The

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Speaker 1: lines basically just stacked the box and said, okay, dare

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Speaker 1: he is act and he made some throws, some flashes.

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Speaker 1: But I think the down down yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly

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Speaker 1: seven big plays. Yeah. I just think it's the down

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Speaker 1: to down stuff that just scares me a little bit. Jason,

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Speaker 1: So I I I'm concerned with the pass rusher helps

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Speaker 1: the Trayvon Walker won't play in this game, But I

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Speaker 1: think the market. You're right when I'm kind of back

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Speaker 1: and forth like this, and I think the Jaguars better offense,

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Speaker 1: better quarterback, Jets, better defense, maybe better coached. You can

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Speaker 1: make an argument there. I think I trust the market

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Speaker 1: because that's where the sharp betters are betting. And you're right.

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Speaker 1: We've seen this line move towards the Jets, and I

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Speaker 1: think if I were to play it, that's where I go. Now,

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Speaker 1: the totals down forty two all the way to thirty seven.

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Speaker 1: As you said, uh, it seems like it wind and

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Speaker 1: weather or not gonna be great. I'll say this, Jared, Uh,

257
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Speaker 1: the Cowboys have an elite defense according to football outsiders

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Speaker 1: and all the advanced stats. The Jacks had five three

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Speaker 1: yards of offense seven point two yards per play. They

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Speaker 1: gashed him. Now Dallas in the secondary not as strong,

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Speaker 1: especially as as the Jets. As you said, Sauce Gardner,

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Speaker 1: you could hear my dog. I jokingly call him Sauce

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Speaker 1: because he is a guard dog Golden retriever. He saw.

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Speaker 1: But um, I don't know. I was looking at the total,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not getting the best number, not even close

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Speaker 1: to it. Though, Um, what about a first half under here?

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Speaker 1: First half under? Does that ever wet your beak? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: The I think the derivative totals can be intriguing if

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Speaker 1: you think you have a vibe on who's gonna make

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Speaker 1: the best adjustments. For example, last week, the first half

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Speaker 1: over I think came close to cashing with the Jets,

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Speaker 1: but it just missed. Now this week, you've seen this

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Speaker 1: number drop significantly. In fact, I'm as we're taping this

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Speaker 1: now I can see the number continue to drop on

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Speaker 1: my screen here in my live odd screen. So maybe

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Speaker 1: it's whether maybe it's someone caught wind of some personnel

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Speaker 1: um for either team playing. But when you're betting first

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Speaker 1: half unders, and actually it's funny the only first half

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Speaker 1: bets I usually make our unders, And the handicap behind

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Speaker 1: it is you want to avoid the madness that comes

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter, the witching hour, right, you know

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Speaker 1: that just to stay away from that. Teams get very

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Speaker 1: you know, uber aggressive, and they break tendencies. So it's

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Speaker 1: harder to use any metric you know, in the first

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Speaker 1: half for and over. Then it would be for an

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Speaker 1: under when things do play out a little more true,

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Speaker 1: whereas second half tend to go over. So yeah, if

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Speaker 1: I were to play the total, I don't love playing

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Speaker 1: unders at low numbers unless I really have a strong

290
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Speaker 1: vibe I don't hear, especially because I can see the

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Speaker 1: Jets making some explosive plays and with the volatility of

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Speaker 1: Zach Wilson that could be points on the other end

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Speaker 1: to short fields for Jacksonville's offense. So when I have quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: especially a Jets offense, that it doesn't run the ball

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Speaker 1: as effectively as I'd like them too. Maybe they have

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Speaker 1: a little more success in this game. But I really

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Speaker 1: thought last week that was gonna be the Jets offense

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Speaker 1: because Evan Knights numbers had popped, But the Lions just

299
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Speaker 1: completely scheme that out. I'm guessing the Jacksonville defensive staff

300
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Speaker 1: watch that game film and they're probably gonna employ a

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Speaker 1: similar strategy this week, and they're gonna make Zach Wilson

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Speaker 1: beat him. And that's where some of the volatility I

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Speaker 1: think with points and yards can come into play. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: The other thing is Slid doesn't want to lose the

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Speaker 1: game in the first half. As we've seen he was

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Speaker 1: super conservative with Mike White in Minnesota. He doesn't want

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Speaker 1: to open it up if he doesn't have to. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you fall behind fourteen, nothing you know to for

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Speaker 1: a story. But I think the game script will be

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Speaker 1: a lot of running for the Jets. By the way,

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys ran all over the Jags. So, like you said,

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Speaker 1: Donovan Knight under seventeen and a half would be to

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Speaker 1: play for me on Jets. Jacks. Let's move to Saturday. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: Christmas Eve everything pushed up. I don't have a lot

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Speaker 1: that I've laid yet. Um I'll throw out this one day.

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Speaker 1: I'll go, We'll go one for one. I am on

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. I took the six. It has been pinging

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Speaker 1: around since Hurts was rumored to be unlikely to play,

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Speaker 1: and now maybe he might go. The Eagles are playing

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Speaker 1: mind games with Dan Quinn and the defense. I took

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Speaker 1: the six. I see it at five and a half now, Um,

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Speaker 1: it's just when you want to touch or it's just

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Speaker 1: just like the Marquee four PM game Christmas Eve. You

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Speaker 1: gotta sneak out and watch in church. Um, you know,

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Speaker 1: and you're gonna root for the dog. I think this

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Speaker 1: is such a fun game from a betting perspective because

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Speaker 1: anytime there's volatility Jason with with the gambling markets, it

328
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Speaker 1: breeds opportunity. So I think I fortunately had a that

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Speaker 1: it was a good by low spot for the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: way before any news dropped on Jalen Hurt. Sunday night.

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Speaker 1: We actually dropped the column on Sunday night. We do

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Speaker 1: an early birds column on Picks Wise, and we dropped

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Speaker 1: um Cowboys minus one and a half. And and I

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Speaker 1: didn't even bet it because I thought the number would

335
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Speaker 1: be around because in my mind, I'm like, oh, yeah,

336
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Speaker 1: everyone's gonna you know, look at the Eagles as an

337
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Speaker 1: underdog this week. They're gonna want to bet the Eagle,

338
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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna have a chance to bet this later

339
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Speaker 1: in the weekend, and we'll see what injury stuff shakes out.

340
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Speaker 1: Wake up on Monday, and and and then all heck

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Speaker 1: breaks lose. I eventually got to the window on the

342
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 1: Cowboys lane three, and then I started to see even

343
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,920
Speaker 1: more chaos, you know, and Sue, and it does look

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Speaker 1: like now I think this line closes around six if

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Speaker 1: it is Minshew. My numbers have Minshew about a five

346
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,399
Speaker 1: five and a half point drop off from Hurts, So

347
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Speaker 1: if you go one and a half, I think six

348
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:51,720
Speaker 1: is probably a fair target for where this closes. So

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Speaker 1: at six with Philly, you probably got the best number

350
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Speaker 1: that you're going to get. This is such a it's

351
00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,280
Speaker 1: such a fascinating matchup. Let's let's just put just take

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Speaker 1: the quarterbacks out of the equation for a second, and

353
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Speaker 1: let's just talk about the trenches, because I think that's

354
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Speaker 1: where these two teams really eat. And we all love

355
00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,919
Speaker 1: to talk about the offenses, and you know, the receivers

356
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,240
Speaker 1: and Ceedee Lamb and Davante Smith and A. J. Brown,

357
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 1: all these guys. But this is this is two teams

358
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Speaker 1: that I think do it better than anyone in the trenches.

359
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: Dallas has the highest pressure rate in the NFL defensively,

360
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 1: and they're outside the top ten and blitz rate. And

361
00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 1: the reason why that's important to me. If you can

362
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Speaker 1: sustain pressure at a high level on the quarterback and

363
00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:30,879
Speaker 1: not commit extra guys in the box by blitzing, you

364
00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,520
Speaker 1: are an elite defense. The Jets do that better than anyone.

365
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:35,720
Speaker 1: The Cowboys are another team that do that really well.

366
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Speaker 1: Their second top five team and pass rush win rate.

367
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Speaker 1: Obviously Michael Parsons Lawrence like they get after you on

368
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,400
Speaker 1: the defensive line, and the Eagles offensive line I think

369
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Speaker 1: maybe was one of the best in the NFL. So

370
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Speaker 1: that matchups fascinating. And then if you flip it, I

371
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 1: love what I've seen with the Eagles defensive front. I

372
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,680
Speaker 1: think they've been a little bit I don't want to

373
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Speaker 1: say exposed, but I think the names don't match the

374
00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:01,200
Speaker 1: production with Sue and Joseph and some other guys Cox

375
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:02,920
Speaker 1: and Grand they haven't lived up to some of their

376
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,360
Speaker 1: you know, the back of their jerseys. But you've got

377
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,480
Speaker 1: Reddick and Sweat that are playing at a very high level.

378
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,639
Speaker 1: And then you've got the Cowboys offensive line with Martin

379
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,439
Speaker 1: and Beadash. I mean, they're they're really talented up front too.

380
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:14,399
Speaker 1: I think the Eagles have a little bit of a

381
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:17,479
Speaker 1: weakness stopping the run, and that's where I think Dallas

382
00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 1: can cause some problems in this game. And then you

383
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 1: throw in the motivational factor and the fact that Dallas

384
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,920
Speaker 1: just came off with brutal loss, and Phillies you don't

385
00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 1: know where their heads at with the Jalen Hurts Gardner

386
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 1: Minshew think I could see Minshew stepping in and being fantastic.

387
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 1: I mean he was last year in in a limited role,

388
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 1: but I could also see it going in the complete

389
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,760
Speaker 1: opposite direction because he's been super volive in his career.

390
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,200
Speaker 1: I think Dallas wins this game, but I think it's six.

391
00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be willing to lay it at three. I

392
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,119
Speaker 1: would be willing to lay Dallas. I think it's six.

393
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,040
Speaker 1: I think it's more on the Philly side. But we'll

394
00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 1: see where this number bounces around for the next couple

395
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 1: of days. It should be fun. Yeah, a lot of

396
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,640
Speaker 1: tight games Saturday. So I started with Eagles. I'll let

397
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 1: you fire on one. Is there anything that that looks

398
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 1: interesting or maybe uh, you're unsure of that, Like Kansas

399
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: City favored by ten seems large. I had, um, I

400
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,160
Speaker 1: had Kansas City against the Texas last week. I saw

401
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,480
Speaker 1: that Texas injury report. I mean they're down top two

402
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 1: of their three top cornerbacks, their top two receivers. I mean,

403
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:15,560
Speaker 1: Kansas City statistically should have dominated that game, and they did.

404
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 1: But then you look at the actual game and you

405
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:20,880
Speaker 1: see a two fruity flukey turnovers, a bunch of penalties

406
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 1: on third downs. It really hurt taking casey. But um,

407
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 1: is there one that jumps out to you this week?

408
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,880
Speaker 1: I think the bigger spreads can be tough, and especially

409
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 1: with a team like the Chiefs. And you know, I'll

410
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: even throw the Commanders line in there against the Niners. Um,

411
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 1: there's another big spread, Bills Bears. That's another one that's

412
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 1: over at touchdown. This has been, historically speaking, the tightest

413
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 1: NFL season on record, more one score games than ever,

414
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 1: more games landing on one. And typically in the gambling world,

415
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 1: when we see a line at one and a half,

416
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 1: we don't really care about betting the money line because

417
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,200
Speaker 1: in our minds, games don't land one. Only eight games

418
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 1: landed on one all of last season. We've almost doubled

419
00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:00,480
Speaker 1: that total was still three weeks to go this year,

420
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 1: so it's been a very unique season. Parody in the league.

421
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 1: UM has been at an all time high, So I'm

422
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 1: less willing to lay big numbers. That being said, now

423
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,080
Speaker 1: that we've gotten down to three with this Texans Titans game,

424
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 1: I think I'm willing to lay it with Tennessee. And

425
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 1: I know it's Molik Willis, but just doing some simple

426
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 1: line analysis here, Wait, is it definitely Wills or it's

427
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 1: likely Willis? I mean, now that it's at three, I

428
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 1: think it's Willis because it was seven earlier in the week.

429
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 1: So the market tends to sniff this out, just like

430
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 1: the Jalen Hurts thing. The market new. The market moved

431
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:36,159
Speaker 1: five points on Philly before any Adam schefter Ian Rappaport tweet,

432
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 1: And I think you're gonna hear probably in the next

433
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 1: eight hours that Tannehill, you know, trending in a bad direction,

434
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 1: some kind of cryptic tweet that kind of says he's

435
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 1: not gonna go. But let's just assume that it is

436
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 1: Willis here, and this line kind of closes right around three. Well,

437
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,720
Speaker 1: the Titans were a one and a half point favorite

438
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:57,200
Speaker 1: on the road against this Texans team back in week eight,

439
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: So if you assume we're hearing one and a half

440
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 1: points for home field advantage, so let's say Titans minus

441
00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 1: three on a neutral would have been that line eight

442
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 1: weeks ago. So you're telling me it's the same line

443
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: now with the Titans at home and Malik Willis, let's

444
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 1: be honest, started a game in Houston one beat his

445
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: division arrival, then goes to Kansas City the following week,

446
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:20,160
Speaker 1: plays at Arrowhead takes them to overtime. I'm assuming there's

447
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 1: been at least some minimal, you know, progression with with

448
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 1: with his experience and with his just overall vibe of

449
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 1: this offense. So it's basically the same line that it

450
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 1: was eight weeks ago, but now the Titans are at

451
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: home and you get eight more weeks of experience under

452
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,239
Speaker 1: Malik Willis's belt. No, by the way, Derrick Henry has

453
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 1: gone off for four straight two games against this Texans defense.

454
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: How much do they have left in the tank After

455
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 1: back to back tight games against Dallas in Kansas City,

456
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:49,159
Speaker 1: I can see the Titans just bludgeoning them in a

457
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 1: spot where their backs are squarely against the wall. Losers

458
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: of three in a row with that a f C

459
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 1: South now hanging in the balance. So I think this

460
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:58,200
Speaker 1: is a big, resounding week for the Titans. I'm not

461
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,119
Speaker 1: gonna say Malik Willis gonna like the world on the

462
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 1: numbers weren't great when he was in the lineup, but

463
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 1: he doesn't have to do much to get Derrick Henry

464
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 1: involved make a couple of throws. I think trailing Burke's

465
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: comes back from the concussion this week, I think the

466
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,160
Speaker 1: Titans are a strong play for me if that line

467
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: gets the three. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports

468
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows

469
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I

470
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app. Search f s R to listen live.

471
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: I don't know if you remember the last their their

472
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:27,880
Speaker 1: meeting late last season. It was either Week seventeen or eighteen,

473
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 1: but um so Titans were eleven point favorites. You know,

474
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry's on his streak and um against the Titans,

475
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 1: but he actually didn't play in that one and they

476
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 1: led twenty one nothing at the half. I don't know,

477
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 1: I don't remember if I was on Tennessee or not.

478
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 1: But the Texans did what they've been doing. They like

479
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,440
Speaker 1: fight hard, clawback, and they get the cover. They don't win,

480
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: but they get the cover. These divisional matchups, you know,

481
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: usually it's dogging under right, Um. I I kind of

482
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 1: am with you on Tennessee. I you know, I just

483
00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: I don't like this team as much as last year.

484
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 1: This Tennessee team banged up in the secondary, defensive line

485
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: has been been hit and miss um. Interesting that you're

486
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 1: laying it with with Henry Um. I guess the other

487
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: game I would look at on Saturday before we get

488
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 1: to Sunday, which I think has a better slate, is

489
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 1: this Brown's Uh Saints game. These are two teams unlikely

490
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. I think the Saints have slim hopes.

491
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb Mr Practice this week. The total is at

492
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:27,959
Speaker 1: thirty two and a half, lowest total I've seen in

493
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,719
Speaker 1: years now. There are something like five games in the thirties.

494
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 1: Because you mentioned whether at the outset, Um. But I'm

495
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: worried because I keep thinking Cleveland is ready to rock

496
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 1: and Watson's gonna wake up and it just hasn't happened.

497
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,400
Speaker 1: And I wonder if there is a scenario where Taysom

498
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: Hill not throwing in twenty Wins does a lot of

499
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: read option stuff and they ride Kamara Taysom Hill and

500
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,920
Speaker 1: the Saints keep this close. And if I get three

501
00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 1: with the Saints on the road, am I taken? That?

502
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 1: Is that crazy? Oh? It's not. And you know, I'm

503
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 1: seeing some of the sharper shops. This line's kind of

504
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,400
Speaker 1: hovered around three, and any time it gets back to three,

505
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,199
Speaker 1: it looks like it's getting bought down pretty quickly. And

506
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: that's kind of your indicator on where the sharp money

507
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 1: is now. The sharp money loses four out of ten times, right,

508
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,959
Speaker 1: fifty six kind of the you know, the ceiling for

509
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 1: what the best handicappers in the NFL do on a

510
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: yearly basis. So, but that being said, I still think

511
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 1: three is a fair number. I actually crunched some numbers

512
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 1: with um the Browns the difference between Burssette and Watson,

513
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: and it's it's pretty stark Brossets numbers, at least analytically speaking,

514
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:32,880
Speaker 1: d v o A. They were a top five passing

515
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: offense with him this year and right now they're outside

516
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 1: the top twenty with Watson. Granted it's three games, small sample.

517
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 1: He hasn't played in two years. Like, I think we

518
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 1: need to be a little patient, and I think it's

519
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 1: fair to say that we've seen slight progression from week

520
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: to week to week. It was really bad with Houston.

521
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 1: Maybe it got a little bit better in the second

522
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,159
Speaker 1: week and now just slightly better last week against the Ravens,

523
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 1: and you know, a tough game against the visional opponent.

524
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 1: Now you face the Saints, who are also very very

525
00:25:56,760 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 1: tough defense, and I could see Cleveland's struggling to move

526
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 1: it here, and the number tells you that there's not

527
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of points in this game. So

528
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,879
Speaker 1: when the numbers this low and you're giving me a

529
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 1: full field goal, it's basically ten percent of the total

530
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 1: three points. So absolutely I want to be on that

531
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,160
Speaker 1: side of the ledger. I think in this particular, Chris

532
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 1: now on Christmas Day, the lineup is weak because of

533
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 1: injuries too, although Russell Wilson sounds like he's probably coming back.

534
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,119
Speaker 1: Uh Stafford out, Kyler Murray out those two games on

535
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 1: watch too. But I think Packers Dolphins is fascinating. It

536
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 1: seems to me early in the week like everybody's buying

537
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:32,959
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins. Oh, they've lost three in a row.

538
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 1: They're returning home. All is gonna be right with two.

539
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: I'm just this defense. I don't think they can stop anybody,

540
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 1: and I think I like the Packers at getting four

541
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 1: points here. Yeah, Packers since Week ten, third best v

542
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: o A their offense offensive v o A in the NFL.

543
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:53,439
Speaker 1: So again, rookies all over the field wide receiver. I

544
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: think I've read a story a few weeks ago that

545
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,680
Speaker 1: it was, you know, it was gonna be bad for

546
00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 1: the Packers offense because the rookies aren't coming out well.

547
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 1: Now they're starting to come around a little bit. And listen,

548
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 1: we're in I know this won't be the vibe in Miami,

549
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 1: but you saw it on Monday night. We're in the

550
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: dog days of winter, as I like to call it

551
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 1: the NFL. Now, it's kind of the opposite of what

552
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 1: we've seen in baseball during the summer. It's cold, it's windy,

553
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,679
Speaker 1: and Green Bay can run the ball, so it doesn't

554
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 1: matter as much. This game and friendly, you know, South

555
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 1: Florida conditions. But big picture, if this team can find

556
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 1: a way to sneak into some kind of Big Game

557
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 1: Week eighteen or even in the wild card round. That's

558
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: a scary offense because they run the heck out of

559
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,159
Speaker 1: it and they've got arguably the m v P of

560
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: years past still at quarterback, who still I think has

561
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: a few bullets left in the chamber. So this is

562
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 1: a Dolphins defense that struggles mightily. I'm concerned with two

563
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 1: a long term because I think now Miami did a

564
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: good job. I give Mike McGann a lot of credit.

565
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 1: He did make some adjustments. They ran the ball a

566
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:53,159
Speaker 1: lot more against Buffalo last week. But big picture, I

567
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 1: think the you know, the book is out on on

568
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 1: what Mike McDaniel wants to do deep middle, try to

569
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 1: attack those his safeties. Well, now you're seeing a lot

570
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 1: more robber coverage. You're seeing a lot more Hey beat

571
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,360
Speaker 1: us outside the hash marks. I dare you to throw

572
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:08,199
Speaker 1: it out there too. And he's not as accurate out

573
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: there than he is over the middle of the field.

574
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,680
Speaker 1: So I think there's gonna be some some some tough

575
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 1: games for him down the stretch unless they make some

576
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 1: major adjustments. And I know that their wide receiving corps

577
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 1: a little bit banged up, not a percent like they

578
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 1: were early in the year, and defensively they've they've really struggled.

579
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: I mean the payings Avian Howard a gazillion dollars and

580
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 1: he can't cover anything. And I think that's a big

581
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,439
Speaker 1: problem when you're eating up all that equity into one

582
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 1: guy that's really struggled at a at a key position.

583
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,120
Speaker 1: So Green Bay can absolutely take advantage of that. Now,

584
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 1: the numbers, you know, north of three, I think I'd

585
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: be on the Packer side for sure. Yeah, it's interesting

586
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: when when the Packers have stepped up in class and

587
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 1: played the elite to the of the league, Tampa Bay

588
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 1: they get to win and cover Belichick, they get to

589
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 1: win Buffalo they covered uh in Buffalo beat the Cowboys. Uh.

590
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 1: I think they gotta push against the Eagles, and they

591
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 1: seem to play with their food when they stepped down

592
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 1: and face like the dregs of the league or even

593
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 1: like a wash Ington and you could tell they're just

594
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: not into some of these games. I think you're gonna

595
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 1: be up for this point against Miami. Um, how about

596
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 1: Monday Night football? Have you looked at Chargers Colts at all?

597
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,959
Speaker 1: We are Nick Foles as now the starter for Indie

598
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: I just feel I just feel so bad for Matt

599
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I feel bad for Matt Ryan until I

600
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 1: remember the money and the trophies and the accolades and

601
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 1: all that stuff. But I mean, it's just he's been

602
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: benched twice now this year. He's been part of two

603
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: of the worst or best depending on what side you

604
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,479
Speaker 1: were on, comebacks in the history of the NFL, and

605
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 1: I just I don't know what the future Like, Indie

606
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 1: just seems to be running like a dog chasing their tail,

607
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 1: Like I just don't know. Like this move to Nick

608
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 1: Foles should have been made weeks ago, and that to me,

609
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,120
Speaker 1: that was the move, like the Ellinger move didn't make sense.

610
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 1: Then they go back to Matt Ryan and they kind

611
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:49,560
Speaker 1: of fumble a little bit around and then all of

612
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,440
Speaker 1: a sudden, out here we are back at Nick Foles.

613
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 1: My guess is we see a little bit of a

614
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 1: spark from Nick Foles. But I'll be honest, we haven't

615
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 1: seen this guy in years, so I don't have no

616
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 1: idea what to really expect from him. But I think

617
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,480
Speaker 1: if you asked me gut feel gut reaction, we see

618
00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 1: a short term spark. But if Jonathan Taylor can't play

619
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: and it doesn't look like he's Taylor. Yeah, I think

620
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 1: they ruled Taylor out for the season. That's just that's

621
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,040
Speaker 1: that's such a thing. But you didn't You didn't grab

622
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 1: Zack Moss in your fantasy league. No, you know what

623
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 1: the funny with all the gambling stuff the last three years,

624
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 1: I quit fantasy football. I couldn't deal with it anymore

625
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 1: because I had too many bets that were conflicting with

626
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:30,239
Speaker 1: my fantasy I know that is difficult, really tough when

627
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 1: you're rooting for one guy to not score because you

628
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 1: need this and then the other guy. But you bet

629
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 1: on the over in the game. It's it's it's a

630
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 1: tricky thread the needle. But I think the Chargers. I

631
00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 1: want to buy into this Chargers team, I really do,

632
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 1: and I think I think there's a lot of upside

633
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: there and if if they're healthy at receiver and if

634
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 1: the Colts, it'll be a fascinating matchup to see who

635
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 1: Stefan Gilmour tries to mark in this game. Because pick

636
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: your poison here, do you know? Do you take away

637
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 1: the deep Thrett Williams already a kind of take away

638
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 1: what Keenan Alan does over the middle. But the Chargers

639
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 1: really struggled around the ball. And and that's that's a

640
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 1: good thing because the Cults are really good against the run.

641
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 1: Janik and Gokwa played a heck of a game against

642
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: the Vikings the other day. I think that Chargers offensive

643
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:15,240
Speaker 1: line is is a problem and and that's where I

644
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 1: think the Cults are gonna have an advantage here. They're

645
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: at home. Herbert will have to go silent count. It's

646
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 1: a primetime game. I know the Colts are bad, but

647
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: you know that that team still draws pretty well in

648
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 1: that building, especially, so I think it will be silent

649
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: count for Herbert, and it will be a lot of

650
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: you know, quick quick moves off the ball for this

651
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 1: really good Colts defensive line that has really put together

652
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 1: a good season despite the collapse last weekend. You know,

653
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: mentality wise, like if you're a Colts player, probably pretty

654
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 1: fired up for this game because everyone you're the butt

655
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 1: of every joke this week. And that's tend that tends

656
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: to be when I like to bet on teams in

657
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 1: the NFL and everyone's talking smack and everyone's jumping off

658
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: the bandwagon. These guys are pros. They hear everything that

659
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 1: we're saying, and and I think there's gonna be a

660
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: bounce back vibe to this indie defense this week. And

661
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: this Chargers offensive line has really been a struggle. So

662
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: while I really want to buy into l a I,

663
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: it's I just I really struggle with laying points with them,

664
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 1: especially on the road. I'm curious if Bosa returns. Welcome

665
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 1: back to the league, Nick Foles, you get to go

666
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 1: against Khalil Mack and Bosa both hasn't played since we

667
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 1: three derwin. James slated to return. I want to dovetail

668
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 1: that into a quick talk on futures. And you know, obviously,

669
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 1: you know, buying the Dolphins futures now would be a

670
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 1: perfect time. They've lost three in a row, numbers ticking up.

671
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 1: But can this team win the a f C? I

672
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 1: don't know. Um, it's a little late to be on

673
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,920
Speaker 1: the Bengals train. Uh. They seem like maybe they're the

674
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 1: best team in the a f C. Um Bills and

675
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 1: Chiefs defenses look shaky. I don't know if you could

676
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,440
Speaker 1: buy Brock Purty getting to the super Bowl. But is

677
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 1: there anything you've adjusted or laid looking at the futures?

678
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 1: So I I played the futures market very well. When

679
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 1: that Bengals Chiefs game took place, I basically treated it

680
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 1: as a sling shot, Jason. What I thought was, if

681
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 1: the Bengals win this game, their odds to win the

682
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: Super Bowl are going to be It's like a double

683
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: win almost for their Super Bowl ots, because not only

684
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 1: do they have a win over Kansas City, but you

685
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 1: start to see some of the standings take shape and

686
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 1: you start to see the hey, maybe Cincinnati when they

687
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 1: manage up in class pretty good. So I actually have

688
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,040
Speaker 1: a Bengal sixteen one ticket in my back pocket. I

689
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 1: bet the Chiefs eight to one earlier in the year.

690
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,719
Speaker 1: Those are the two tickets that I currently have positions on.

691
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 1: I also have an Eagles to win the NFC ticket

692
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 1: that I bet after I believe it was Week two

693
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: or week three, because I saw their schedule and I

694
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 1: was like, yeah, they're just they're gonna be the one

695
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 1: seed and then I'll just worry about who I really

696
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: like come you know, later in the season. So sometimes

697
00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 1: when I bet the futures market, I'm almost betting it

698
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 1: to come off of it later, knowing that I am

699
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: right before a big market moving event at this stage,

700
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,920
Speaker 1: of the season, there's not as many market moving events

701
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 1: just because there's not as many games that are gonna

702
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 1: dictate seating and standings. So I'm not as bullish on

703
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 1: buying the futures market at the stage of the year.

704
00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 1: But I'll be honest, if you're still pricing the Bengals

705
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 1: below the Bills and the Chiefs, and I know the

706
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: numbers moved a lot, but I put those three teams

707
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 1: on the same tier in terms of who I think

708
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 1: can actually win the Super Bowl. Now, if you want

709
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 1: to say seating match up the road to the Super Bowl,

710
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,319
Speaker 1: maybe a little bit tougher for Cincinnati, I can buy

711
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 1: that and maybe a market a little bit lower. But

712
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,879
Speaker 1: right now I'm seeing Bills plus one sixty, Chiefs two

713
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 1: plus two forty, and the Bengals at five to one

714
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,680
Speaker 1: to win the a f C. Like to me, I

715
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 1: think that number still has value because I don't see

716
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:31,800
Speaker 1: a world where the Bengals aren't in the a C

717
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 1: Championship Game, and that means that we're gonna have a

718
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 1: chance to buy off of that number and we'll see

719
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 1: who's on the other side. Yeah, I just I really

720
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:42,439
Speaker 1: really like this Bengals team, and I think Kansas City

721
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 1: and and and and and Buffalo are great, but they

722
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 1: rely a lot on their quarterbacks, and that means volatility.

723
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 1: That means if a quarter if Josh Allen has a

724
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 1: bad game, I don't see the Bills winning a playoff game.

725
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 1: But if Joe Burrow has a bad game, I could

726
00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 1: still see the Bengals stealing a playoff game, just like

727
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:02,720
Speaker 1: they did last year in Tennessee when he was sacked

728
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,720
Speaker 1: nine times. So to me, there's still some vibes where

729
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,880
Speaker 1: even though the prices moved significantly over the last month,

730
00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 1: I still think Cincinnati has a little bit of upside,

731
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 1: especially if they beat the Bills in a couple of weeks.

732
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 1: If you want a market moving event that could still

733
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,359
Speaker 1: happen end of the season, that could be the game

734
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 1: right there where you see all of the sudden Cincinnati

735
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: and Buffalo, that gap shrinks. Yeah, I mean, it's probably

736
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 1: wiser to look to the NFC right where Brock Purty

737
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 1: is a third string quarterback, Jalen Hurts has this injury.

738
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 1: Uh that maybe the Cowboys make a run. But I'm

739
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 1: gonna go in the a f C. I see the

740
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,960
Speaker 1: Chargers sitting there at fourteen plus fourteen twenty five to

741
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 1: win the a f C. And I think last year

742
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 1: nobody would have taken the Bengals going into the playoffs too,

743
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: um take down the number one seed Tennessee and then

744
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 1: go to Kansas City and win that UM and get

745
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. So Chargers could have to go

746
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 1: through Bengals, Bills, maybe even the Chiefs if that's possible.

747
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you right now, justin Herbert, with a

748
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 1: healthy set of receivers, the defense getting healthier, could my

749
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:09,240
Speaker 1: bet on this year's Bengals would probably be the Chargers.

750
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 1: Although the a f C is just such a gauntlet,

751
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: is I mean, the good news for the Chargers is

752
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 1: they understand and they know how to beat the Chiefs.

753
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 1: So if there was a road to getting them to

754
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 1: the championship game, if you bet a fourteen to one

755
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 1: to in the a f C, really your goal should

756
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 1: be get in the a C Championship game and then

757
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 1: I'll worry about the bet then and we'll see what

758
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 1: the number is and we'll see if I can come

759
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 1: off in a in a creative way. But at fourteen

760
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 1: and one, you feeling really good if you get into

761
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 1: that A championship game a lot of it too, I

762
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 1: think is dependent on the bracket in that case, when

763
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:43,279
Speaker 1: you get a team like the Chargers, because I would

764
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,879
Speaker 1: feel a lot more comfortable betting the Chargers to win

765
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:48,680
Speaker 1: the a f C if I know their divisional round

766
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 1: game is against the Chiefs. That is kind of how

767
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,479
Speaker 1: I would strategize that. So that number I think will

768
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 1: likely be available, you know, once you continue, and maybe

769
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 1: it won't be fourteen, or maybe it'll be twelve of

770
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 1: the one, It'll probably still be available towards the end

771
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 1: of the season when we have a much better idea

772
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: of what the bracket looks like. Because you have those

773
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 1: three studs at the top of the a f C

774
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,840
Speaker 1: eating up all that equity. I don't see the Chargers

775
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: line moving considerably down even if they went out down

776
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: the stretch um because of you know, those those three

777
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:19,879
Speaker 1: teams at the top. So that listen, Justin Herbert, look

778
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 1: like I said, during the cults, you know, Chargers breakdown,

779
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 1: Like I want a reason to buy into this team,

780
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 1: but as a favorite, I don't like them. And then

781
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,120
Speaker 1: of course Brandon Staley scheming out some defensive things. I'll

782
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,720
Speaker 1: give him credit though that defensive game planning at against

783
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 1: the Dolphins was was top notch. I mean that was

784
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 1: nuts and bolts, about as good as you can defend

785
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 1: a really other than that down the Chiefs, right, Yeah, exactly.

786
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 1: And he's had good and and he has an understanding

787
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 1: of of of how to beat that offense too. So

788
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:49,440
Speaker 1: we've given Brandon Staley a lot of crap over the

789
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:51,320
Speaker 1: last couple of years for some of his decision making,

790
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:53,719
Speaker 1: but I give him credit. Over the last couple of weeks.

791
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:56,280
Speaker 1: I think he has this Chargers team pointing and listen,

792
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 1: that was a tough game last week against the Titans

793
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:00,879
Speaker 1: defense that gets into you, and that was a tight

794
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: game late and Justin Herbert made the throws down the

795
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,240
Speaker 1: stretch to win it. And that's kind of what you want,

796
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 1: you know, your playoff pick to be. That's why I

797
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 1: love Joe Burrow because I just think it doesn't matter

798
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:15,360
Speaker 1: what kind of game the Bengals play. I think he

799
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 1: is equipped to win and they have an understanding of

800
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 1: how to get stops in big moments, you know, on

801
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 1: the defensive side, lu and A Rumo has been unbelievable.

802
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:25,919
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm I'm looking for off. You know, It's

803
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 1: just like a horse racing, you want to try to

804
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,560
Speaker 1: unseat the favorite. That's the only way to make any money.

805
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: So you know, you can bet on the Bills and

806
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:33,439
Speaker 1: the Eagles all you want right now, the odds are

807
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: you're making a bad bet long term. I think you

808
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 1: want to try to find somebody at this stage. Yeah,

809
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,760
Speaker 1: off the path a little bit, you get the Bengals,

810
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,280
Speaker 1: and then if you really want to go off pace,

811
00:38:41,560 --> 00:38:43,839
Speaker 1: the Chargers certainly have the quarterback to take you down

812
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,879
Speaker 1: down the road. Yeah alright. He has Jared Smith from

813
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:51,040
Speaker 1: Picks Wise co host the bet MGM Show every Saturday

814
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:54,520
Speaker 1: on Fox Sports Radio. Hey Man, congrats on on the rise, Jared,

815
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 1: keep up the good work. Uh your four months now

816
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,160
Speaker 1: into Vegas? How close to the strip are you are

817
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 1: enough of way to where I'm not tempted to go

818
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,440
Speaker 1: every day? I actually, yeah, I'm very smart. I actually

819
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:07,839
Speaker 1: lived down in a neighborhood called Southern Highlands. I don't

820
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 1: know if you're a golfer, but great golf area. And

821
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:13,759
Speaker 1: there's a casino close by that's just close enough that

822
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 1: has cheap craps. On a craps guy, you go to

823
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:19,400
Speaker 1: the strip, it's like they do minimums I'll go broke

824
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 1: doing that. Wow. Okay, craps in December. All right, good luck,

825
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:27,920
Speaker 1: all right, Jared, Thanks loving appreciate it. Fox Sports Radio

826
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,840
Speaker 1: has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch

827
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 1: all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com

828
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:36,920
Speaker 1: and within the I Heart Radio app search f s

829
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:41,840
Speaker 1: R to listen live. The only thing better than sitting

830
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 1: on your couch watching the game. He's making money while

831
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 1: you do it. Here's your best bet. Good stuff there

832
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 1: from Jared Smith. Nice addition to Fox Sports Radio, he

833
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 1: is on the uh bet MGM countdown to kick off

834
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 1: every satur Day on Fox Sports Radio. Good stuff, Jared

835
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 1: Um Week sixteen, it's you know, it's weird. I just

836
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,560
Speaker 1: had this thought that the reason I had such a

837
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:14,239
Speaker 1: good run from like Thanksgiving to before last week, at

838
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 1: least part of it, I think, is because the World

839
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 1: Cup was there to take some of my attention away

840
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 1: from the NFL. Otherwise, you could just do over these

841
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 1: games every single day, finding sides and angles and then

842
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: counter sides. It's just frustrating because you go back and forth.

843
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,399
Speaker 1: There's so much information. By the end of the week,

844
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 1: you're just like, you know, information overload. But during the

845
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 1: World Cup. It took a lot of the time away

846
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:40,840
Speaker 1: from being distracted on every single morsel of NFL news,

847
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:42,360
Speaker 1: So I was able to kind of go with the

848
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 1: first instinct and I had a great run. Of course,

849
00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 1: as the World Cup winds down, only a handful of

850
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:49,799
Speaker 1: games last week, I'm going back and forth. I love

851
00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:51,600
Speaker 1: my picks, love my picks, and it didn't go well.

852
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 1: So this week, jeez, whish I could say I was

853
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 1: distracted by all the shenanigans um leading up to Christmas,

854
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 1: obviously my daughter's birthday week, which is very exciting. Um,

855
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 1: you know, the the youth basketball starting up, big moves

856
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 1: for Nick Coxa. I'm sure you guys saw that on Instagram.

857
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 1: We um one of the best goalies in the league

858
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:15,600
Speaker 1: played for Club America and he was sold to a

859
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:19,279
Speaker 1: team I believe in Europe, and so they had a

860
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 1: big need of goalie. We have a young goalie who

861
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: had big price tag, and um we sold him to

862
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 1: Club America. So that was kind of a big news.

863
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:33,359
Speaker 1: Doing some fun offseason stuff with Nicks. It's tough being

864
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 1: here where I am, and you know, a couple of

865
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,319
Speaker 1: the owners went down for some of the preseason there.

866
00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 1: We know, we have the new manager. Um, a lot

867
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 1: of stuff happening internally. Moves are happening, and you know,

868
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:45,879
Speaker 1: I'm communicating with them over text message and email. It's

869
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 1: not as exciting as being on the ground, but things

870
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 1: are in motion and it's fun to be kind of

871
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:52,439
Speaker 1: part of that. If you guys heard on the herd,

872
00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:55,720
Speaker 1: you know we're playing you know, armchair GM in the NFL.

873
00:41:55,760 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 1: That's fun as hell. Well on some level. I'm in

874
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 1: the room again at some level, not like in there

875
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:06,839
Speaker 1: obviously in Mexico making the moves, but you know, knowing

876
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 1: what's happening and being part of the discussion. It's fun.

877
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,439
Speaker 1: And again I'm not even integral because I'm not down there.

878
00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 1: You know, I've had some people. Would you want to

879
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:16,800
Speaker 1: be the GM of a T of course? You know,

880
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:18,719
Speaker 1: fun that would be of course, the high stress level.

881
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: You know you're out of the job in two three years.

882
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 1: But um, I'll last. Let's get to NFL bets for

883
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 1: weeks six. Team very difficult. We don't love a lot

884
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:33,000
Speaker 1: I did. I do feel pretty good about I think

885
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: two picks number one Green Bay Packers four and a

886
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 1: half got him at four and a half got him

887
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 1: at four in Miami. Again, this is a good Miami team.

888
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 1: This is I believe, a Green Bay team that's finally

889
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:48,080
Speaker 1: healthy at wide receiver. You guys know that this is

890
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 1: the healthiest they've been at receiver all season. Lazard, Cobs, Dabs, Watson.

891
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:55,719
Speaker 1: They have the weapons. Now, we didn't totally see it

892
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 1: against the Rams. My read on that is they didn't

893
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: want to uncork anything flash she They're saving some stuff

894
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 1: possibly for this game. We have not seen a really

895
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:10,399
Speaker 1: dynamic Watson um Gadget play. Remember, Watson has a phenomenal arm.

896
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,600
Speaker 1: He's an incredible athlete if you look at his history.

897
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 1: Keep an eye out for Watson doing something special this week.

898
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 1: I don't know if anybody's still alive in Fantasy football

899
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 1: small flex here, I have both my teams are in

900
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,959
Speaker 1: the semifinals. My son's team is in the semifinals as well.

901
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 1: But I think Watson's gonna have a monster weekend. This

902
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:32,279
Speaker 1: great eight team can score with the Dolphins, and I

903
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:36,080
Speaker 1: do believe they will get enough pressure on TOA and

904
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,040
Speaker 1: I like the Packers four or four and a half.

905
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:40,240
Speaker 1: That's one of my two that I feel pretty good about.

906
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: I did take the Pittsburgh Steelers favored by two and

907
00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:46,280
Speaker 1: a half against the Raiders. Raiders coming off a crazy

908
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 1: win where they look great for a half, completely inept

909
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 1: and lost for a half, and then they get the

910
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 1: luck box victory on the crazy lateral interception run back

911
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 1: by Chandler Jones. Now they have to go across the

912
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 1: country Christmas week to play in the frigid temperatures in Pittsburgh.

913
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 1: We've seen the Pittsburgh run defense get gashed by Baltimore

914
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,240
Speaker 1: and then we saw them totally bottle up Carolina. Which

915
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 1: one will it be this week against Josh Jacobs, t J.

916
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:20,239
Speaker 1: Watt versus whoever. I like this Pittsburgh defense. It's so

917
00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:23,120
Speaker 1: weird Pittsburgh. If they could be remotely consistent and they

918
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: do get Kenny pick it back this week, that's a

919
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 1: big one. Pick it obviously at an upgrade from Mitchell Robinski.

920
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 1: I believe Pittsburgh has this. If you I don't know

921
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:33,839
Speaker 1: if you guys remember this. I think it was last

922
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 1: year these two played and Pittsburgh was in total control

923
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:39,879
Speaker 1: and then t J. Watt gets hurt, does not play

924
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:41,600
Speaker 1: in the second half, and I knew I was toast.

925
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 1: What goes out no pressure. Car has a great second

926
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 1: half Raiders win. I think that was last year, might

927
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 1: have been two years ago. I think Pittsburgh gets revenge.

928
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,360
Speaker 1: That's probably gonna play a play. We'll see when the

929
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 1: lines come out later this morning. For the weekend games.

930
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:56,600
Speaker 1: If it's two and a half, I think you have

931
00:44:56,680 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 1: to take Pittsburgh. Um, I'm gonna skip over the Tennessee game.

932
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 1: We touched on it with Jared earlier. I just you

933
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 1: know Malik Willis. He does not excite me at all.

934
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 1: Houston stinks, but they burned me last week going against them,

935
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna pass on that one. I know that

936
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:14,800
Speaker 1: you guys are gonna hate this, and it seems to

937
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 1: be a weekly recurring theme, but I think you've got

938
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,840
Speaker 1: to look hard at the Patriots against the Bengals. Bengals

939
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 1: are covered eleven and twelve nineteen of twenty two. It

940
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 1: is a staggering run. Is it smoking mirrors? I don't know.

941
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,000
Speaker 1: But at some point these injuries have to catch up

942
00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 1: with them, don't they? Or can they just continue rolling?

943
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:36,480
Speaker 1: And maybe they're the real Chiefs or the Bengals are

944
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,360
Speaker 1: the real Buffalo Bills. This is a team that I

945
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 1: don't know, man, They just aren't losing games. It is

946
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 1: truly incredible what Burrow and company are doing. And you

947
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 1: know it's tough to get in front of those busses

948
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:52,200
Speaker 1: when it's rolling. But the Patriots getting three and a

949
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:55,040
Speaker 1: half at home, I would guarantee you if you looked

950
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:58,839
Speaker 1: up all the times Bill Pelichick was getting more than

951
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:00,480
Speaker 1: a field goal at home. What do you want to guests?

952
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:04,960
Speaker 1: They are against the spread? It can't be many, maybe

953
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 1: fifteen games. It's a stretch of probably closer to like

954
00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 1: five to ten games getting the hook at home. It's

955
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:18,640
Speaker 1: just it's it's wild to me again. Matt Jones looked

956
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 1: totally out of sorts against the Raiders, who are an

957
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:25,759
Speaker 1: atrocious past defense. Now the Bengals are really beat up,

958
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,359
Speaker 1: and Tom Brady moved in on him easily. Can mac

959
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:31,360
Speaker 1: Jones do the same? We'll see. I mean, the Patriots

960
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: rotating cast of running backs all seem to get the

961
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:37,200
Speaker 1: job done again. That's definitely a hold your nose play

962
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 1: going against the Bengals who right now are just killing everyone. Yeah,

963
00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:44,879
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles has to be a play gardner Man show

964
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 1: and we talked about it with Jared gardner Man Show

965
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:52,360
Speaker 1: coming off the giving a eulogy at Mike Leach's memorial

966
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:54,520
Speaker 1: this week. You know he's going to be dialed in

967
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 1: and wanting to um, you know, so to speak, win

968
00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,879
Speaker 1: one for my coach. And it's not like he doesn't

969
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 1: have the weapons. There will not be elements to deal with.

970
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 1: I think the Philly defense can rattle Dak Prescott. We've

971
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 1: seen Hi rattled. I mean, hell, the Jags really messed

972
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 1: with Dak Prescott last week. One bad interception, the unlucky

973
00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 1: pick six off Noah Brown's hands. I think my guess

974
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 1: is that this is lower scoring, the familiarity, Nobody's gonna

975
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:23,879
Speaker 1: want to lose the game early. Um. I think Doc

976
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:25,720
Speaker 1: is in a bit of a funk. So I expect

977
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:28,640
Speaker 1: a heavy dose of Pollard and Zeke and a lot

978
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 1: of short stuff. So I think this will be lower scoring.

979
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:33,560
Speaker 1: But I do think the Eagles can get If you

980
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:36,160
Speaker 1: can get six, great. It seems to be pinging all

981
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 1: the way around between one. I'm sorry, it was one

982
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:40,440
Speaker 1: earlier this week, then it got up to six, then

983
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:41,880
Speaker 1: it was five and four and out. It looks like

984
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 1: it's back up to five years. We're recording very very

985
00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,120
Speaker 1: interesting setup. Now. There is one game that I did

986
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 1: not talk about with Jared. It was this Niners Washington game.

987
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,880
Speaker 1: If you were I had my son's sixth grade basketball

988
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,759
Speaker 1: draft Sunday night. We did it at this local bar

989
00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:04,160
Speaker 1: and I'm of course, you know, they have the game

990
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,400
Speaker 1: on the television and I'm watching, and every time I

991
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,800
Speaker 1: look up, I'm like, this isn't the Taylor Heinekey that

992
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 1: I've come to know and love. For the last five

993
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,480
Speaker 1: or six weeks. Taylor Heineck had been on such a

994
00:48:14,520 --> 00:48:19,760
Speaker 1: good run, not making mistakes, you know, moving the chains,

995
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 1: that just the basics. Taylor, give me the basics and

996
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:25,759
Speaker 1: then occasionally throw one up for mclorin, occasionally throw one

997
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:28,000
Speaker 1: up for for dots In and let them make a play.

998
00:48:28,040 --> 00:48:30,960
Speaker 1: But other than that, just don't lose the game. And

999
00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:34,720
Speaker 1: then Taylor Henekey sack fumble, run back for the touchdown

1000
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 1: by Thibodeau. Well, he's now facing a much better defense

1001
00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:43,880
Speaker 1: than San Francisco. San Francisco's defense is much better than

1002
00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 1: the New York Giants. We've seen them get in the

1003
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:50,480
Speaker 1: face of Tua, totally rattled him. Gino Smith had been

1004
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 1: had he could do nothing, folks, You know, I know

1005
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:55,560
Speaker 1: it's Brock Purdy and you kind of want to fade

1006
00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:57,400
Speaker 1: him in. Seven is a big number to be laying

1007
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:02,279
Speaker 1: against a good run defense. But Kyle Shanahan versus the

1008
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,840
Speaker 1: old organization that could have made him head coach and

1009
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 1: did not, and Taylor Heineke maybe looking over his shoulder

1010
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 1: at the potential of Carson wentzter placing and that's all

1011
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,000
Speaker 1: the media was asking, Well, what Heineken screwed up? And

1012
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 1: you're going back to Wentz? I mean, if a key

1013
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:18,600
Speaker 1: has an early mess up, are we gonna see Wentz?

1014
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:20,799
Speaker 1: And come on, guys, I you know I wouldn't trust

1015
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz to pick up my mail if I was

1016
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 1: on vacation. Come on, that guy is a walking disaster

1017
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 1: and against Boston Company, no shot. So I think you

1018
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:33,879
Speaker 1: gotta really look at the seven with San Francisco. This

1019
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 1: is a team right now. It's weird. I won't lay

1020
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 1: three and a half on the road with the Bengals,

1021
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,399
Speaker 1: but I will gladly lay seven at home with San

1022
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:42,760
Speaker 1: France simply because of what I've seen from that defense.

1023
00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be popular laying the big number with

1024
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:49,319
Speaker 1: the third string quarterback. Eventually, perty will will struggle, right,

1025
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:53,840
Speaker 1: will they get extra time, Washington cross country travel, and

1026
00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 1: I you just have to wonder, Washington probably will want

1027
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,080
Speaker 1: to bounce back strong, so maybe in the first half

1028
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 1: their live. But this is the San Francisco team. Just

1029
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 1: go look at the recent opponents they faced. You cannot

1030
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 1: move the ball on these guys unless you're banking on

1031
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:10,120
Speaker 1: brock Party, you know, vomiting all over himself like Taylor

1032
00:50:10,120 --> 00:50:14,840
Speaker 1: Henke has done last week against the Giants. You know,

1033
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,319
Speaker 1: I don't see how San Fran doesn't get margin here.

1034
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:21,440
Speaker 1: Could this easily be a seventeen nine, you know, twenty

1035
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 1: to ten type game? Sure, but I think in most

1036
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 1: scenarios san Fran covers if you know, I know some

1037
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:29,399
Speaker 1: people want to make a case for the dog here,

1038
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,440
Speaker 1: and I understand that. You know, Washington is good, Jason,

1039
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 1: you like them so much going into the Giants game. Yeah,

1040
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:37,800
Speaker 1: and they outgained the Giants I think by a hundred yards.

1041
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 1: They moved the ball well, but again when it mattered most,

1042
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:43,880
Speaker 1: did Taylor Heneke deliver these high leverage moments? Can you

1043
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:48,880
Speaker 1: count on a backup quarterback against the number one defense

1044
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,680
Speaker 1: in the league and they're playing at home? I just

1045
00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 1: I can't so for for me, and again we're doing

1046
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:57,440
Speaker 1: this early in the week on Thursday. Those are the

1047
00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 1: games that I have mostly circled. I I actually we won't.

1048
00:51:01,480 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, we'll talk about Chargers Colts. Nick

1049
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:07,160
Speaker 1: Foles has now been named the starter. I like the

1050
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 1: Chargers in Monday Night Football. I know people are the saying, geez, Jason,

1051
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 1: come on, you're laying more than a field goal with

1052
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 1: the Chargers. Yeah, why not? This is a team getting

1053
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 1: very healthy. Jonathan Taylor now out for the year. I've

1054
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 1: got to wonder if you're in that Colt's locker room,

1055
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:26,759
Speaker 1: you hear the reports about, um, what's the kid's name

1056
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:30,319
Speaker 1: from Iowa State Matt Campbell looking to be the next

1057
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 1: head coach, or Stay is looking at him or stays

1058
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:36,320
Speaker 1: clearly over Jeff Saturday. I mean, you blow all these leads.

1059
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 1: You look as bad as the Colts have. It's tough

1060
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 1: to make a case for those guys. I think Herbert

1061
00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:44,400
Speaker 1: and the offense is as healthy as they've been. Outside

1062
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 1: the offensive line, Alan and Williams are really making this

1063
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 1: team just very dynamic. I I you guys heard me

1064
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 1: with Jared. I think this Chargers team has the potential

1065
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:57,359
Speaker 1: to go on a Bengals type run Now offensive line

1066
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 1: is shaky, but Herbert can make a lot of saves.

1067
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:05,160
Speaker 1: He comes down to Ken Staley cook up enough defensively.

1068
00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:08,120
Speaker 1: Hopefully Durwin James is back this week in Bosa. Will

1069
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:10,600
Speaker 1: check the practice reports. That is Monday night football, so

1070
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 1: and Christmas is on Sunday, so I don't know exactly

1071
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:16,960
Speaker 1: what the practice schedule will be. So you got probably

1072
00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:19,440
Speaker 1: weighed on it, but you know, four and below. I

1073
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:21,759
Speaker 1: think the Chargers are the side for me, So that'll

1074
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:25,480
Speaker 1: be it for us on the podcast. Christmas week. We

1075
00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 1: will be back on Tuesday. I think I'm pretty sure

1076
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 1: we'll be back on Tuesday. Everybody, have a happy, safe Christmas, Hanukkah, Kwanza,

1077
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:40,800
Speaker 1: whatever it is that you celebrate. Um, thanks for listening

1078
00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 1: to the podcast, and we'll be back next week.