WEBVTT - This Week in Crypto: Musk, Doge, and Zimbabwe

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Crypto Daily Bloomberghart Podcast, and I'm Stacy

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<v Speaker 1>Marie Ishmael, Managing editor of Crypto for Bloomberg News. It's Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>November four. It's been yet another pretty interesting week in crypto.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that Elon Musk is at the helm of Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>What do his plans for the social media company have

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<v Speaker 1>in store for digital assets? Why is dogecoin rallying? And

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<v Speaker 1>what's the outlook for crypto earnings? This quota here to

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<v Speaker 1>help me break down the news. We have Bloomberg Crypto

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<v Speaker 1>Deputy Editor Beth Williams. This meme coin that Elon Musk

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<v Speaker 1>loves has sword, and the feeling is that maybe he'll

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<v Speaker 1>allow that to be used for payments on Twitter, so

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<v Speaker 1>that would gain it some credibility and relevancy. And Senior

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<v Speaker 1>editor Dave lid Uh, this is a market of expectations,

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<v Speaker 1>and without expectations that it's gonna rise or you can

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<v Speaker 1>drive the excitement about it, it has basically stalled. Beth, Dave,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome back to the show. Hi glad to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is one of those a lot of stuff

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<v Speaker 1>happening in earnings weeks, and so Dave, I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>start with you, So let's let's talk about micro strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>The last time we talked about them, they were going

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<v Speaker 1>through a fairly significant, shall we say, leadership shuffle, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is their first earnings since then. What were the

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<v Speaker 1>top lines. Top line was that they had a loss

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<v Speaker 1>on it. There was some speculation that they would have

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<v Speaker 1>a profit. It was a small loss, but it was

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<v Speaker 1>still loss. And last quarter they could have they blamed

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<v Speaker 1>it or well, the actual reason was for an impairment

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<v Speaker 1>charge they had to take for their big quote holdings.

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<v Speaker 1>They had a very small one this quarter, but the

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<v Speaker 1>real issue was their revenue from the two biggest um

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<v Speaker 1>businesses actually went down on it, So they have other

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<v Speaker 1>issues to address. Maybe that's one of the reasons that

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Sailor is now focusing on their quote bitcoin strategy now.

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<v Speaker 1>As a reminder, when you say micro strategies other businesses,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not actually a bitcoin company now. They're an enterprise

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<v Speaker 1>software company founded by Sailor and a few college buddies

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<v Speaker 1>used to do things for like McDonald's and some interesting

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<v Speaker 1>point of sales business. That's been a lot of residual

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<v Speaker 1>revenue over the years. But as he stated, we either

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<v Speaker 1>had to grow or change strategies, and he chose to

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<v Speaker 1>diversify into into crypto. So micro Strategy is just one

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<v Speaker 1>of the companies that reported earnings this week. Folks have

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<v Speaker 1>been really looking to see what happens with coin Based

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<v Speaker 1>as a que obviously the only publicly traded crypto exchange

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<v Speaker 1>in the US. But another big theme both of our

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<v Speaker 1>coverage and I think just of like what people are

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<v Speaker 1>paying attention to the markets generally, is about crypto minors.

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<v Speaker 1>It doesn't look good for bitcoin miners right now, No,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't. Argo came out the other day and said, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>we may have to shut down after some funding had

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<v Speaker 1>tried to arrange through stock sale felt through. And that

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<v Speaker 1>followed the announcement from Corse Scientific, who is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the largest bitcoin miners, saying hey, we may go out

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<v Speaker 1>of bankruptcy because we may run out of money pretty soon.

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<v Speaker 1>So the crypto winner is started hit home. With all

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<v Speaker 1>these companies. You can see now whether it's the miners

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<v Speaker 1>um whether them, or even the likes of coin Base,

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<v Speaker 1>which we'll see a decline of revenue from both their

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<v Speaker 1>institution and retail customers of estimates, which is pretty astanding

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<v Speaker 1>when you think about it. It is. I mean, when

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<v Speaker 1>you say, you know, Core Scientific, one of the largest

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin miners listed in the US, their shares have fallen

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<v Speaker 1>nearly like a hundred percent this year, which is kind

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<v Speaker 1>of mind boggling for sure, but it's also way more

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<v Speaker 1>than the actual decline in the price of bitcoin. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>our colleague David Pan has written, shall we say, extensively

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<v Speaker 1>about the challenges facing various bitcoin miners. They've gone through

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<v Speaker 1>winters before. Is the expectation that there's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>consolidation in the industry, Is it that some of them

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<v Speaker 1>are going to kind of survive, possibly change business models.

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<v Speaker 1>It just strikes me as really unusual that somebody would

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<v Speaker 1>actually invoke the B word bankruptcy in a filing when

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<v Speaker 1>that's something that companies really tend to try to avoid

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<v Speaker 1>at all costs. You're probably gonna see both on it.

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<v Speaker 1>The biggest salivation they'll be winners losers. Companies will go away.

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<v Speaker 1>They have a real symbiotic relationship with the market. You

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<v Speaker 1>can't really have bitcoin without the minor and vice versa.

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<v Speaker 1>But for the investors who bought crypto minors as an

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<v Speaker 1>equity diversification, now they're getting real lesson and how traditional

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<v Speaker 1>finance works. In a bankruptcy, more times than not, the

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<v Speaker 1>equity investors are wiped out. You're no longer tracking the

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<v Speaker 1>price of bitcoin. You're really at the mercy of the

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<v Speaker 1>courts at some point, and that just dividing the assets

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<v Speaker 1>among the creditors and their subordinate The equity holders are

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<v Speaker 1>subordinate to the creditors, right that point, to um what

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing when when you see that this arc of

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<v Speaker 1>companies going under, you're starting to see the rise of

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<v Speaker 1>more distressed investors getting into bitcoin mining two or trying

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<v Speaker 1>to pick up investments on the cheap, another sign of distress.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Beth's interesting that you mentioned that we we

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<v Speaker 1>had an office move recently, and you know, the moving

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<v Speaker 1>goal itself fit to put the crypto team right next

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<v Speaker 1>to the credits and distressed team, which was a sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a like an accident, the quirk of desk availability.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's been really helpful because we're working with those

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<v Speaker 1>folks so often. One thing that you know, we've we've

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<v Speaker 1>started to see to your point, is not just the

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<v Speaker 1>distress investors, but also the like the lawyers and the

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<v Speaker 1>restructuring advisors, who are some of the folks whose names

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<v Speaker 1>are very tradify, who have popped up in crypto in

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<v Speaker 1>recent weeks. Names in in UH lawyers are Yeah, like

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<v Speaker 1>we just published a couple of days ago that Paul

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<v Speaker 1>Hastings and Moelis are both emerging in this particular space. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, Paul Hastings has been involved with defending some

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<v Speaker 1>being the lawyer for some of the executive Celsius as

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<v Speaker 1>well as Core Scientific. Now an advisor go where where

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<v Speaker 1>the where the movement is and right now the movement

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<v Speaker 1>in crypto is distress. So you're seeing bankruptcy lawyers sort

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<v Speaker 1>of learning trying to carve space there where they can,

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<v Speaker 1>in some cases having to actually bone up on the industry.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's sort of charted territory between the voyage of

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<v Speaker 1>digital bankruptcy, the Celsius bankruptcy, and now these potential bankruptcies

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<v Speaker 1>with mining um sort of what do you do in

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<v Speaker 1>the in the digital assets space when we're talking bankruptcy

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<v Speaker 1>and also in the case, you know, separate from mining,

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<v Speaker 1>where you're talking about issues where where some of the

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<v Speaker 1>creditors are customers with crypto stuck you know, in limbo.

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<v Speaker 1>Right right to Dave's point, it's sort of where in

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<v Speaker 1>the ranking are you? If everybody is coming after these

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<v Speaker 1>these kinds of assets, there's a different kind of distress

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<v Speaker 1>that's mostly affecting Media's with A, which is all about

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Moss having bought with A after revolutionizing the space

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<v Speaker 1>race and electric cars, the world's richest man is now

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<v Speaker 1>promising a Twitter makeover, the multi billionaire bloviated firing off

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<v Speaker 1>a tweet saying he's buying the platform to quoting now

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<v Speaker 1>help humanity. People having many an opinion about everything to

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<v Speaker 1>do with will you pay eight dollars a month to

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<v Speaker 1>be verified? To what does him becoming CEO mean for crypto?

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<v Speaker 1>We are crypto podcast, so we're not going to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about verification here, but Beth, you've been working with the

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<v Speaker 1>various reports, including our colleague Hanna Miller, who's a regular

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<v Speaker 1>on the show, about what Elon Musk might mean for

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<v Speaker 1>crypto Twitter. What are some of those toplines? Well, crypto

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter is a big part of crypto. The crypto community

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<v Speaker 1>is very attached to Twitter, telling their messages, pumping, dumping sometimes,

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<v Speaker 1>but they also have a sort of a ethos about

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<v Speaker 1>decentralization and perhaps crypto could be an avenue for a

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<v Speaker 1>social media platform like Twitter, sort of democratizing the social

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<v Speaker 1>media platform, letting people decide the kind of moderation, like

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<v Speaker 1>from a base level, from the grassroots level, how they

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<v Speaker 1>want the platform to be run. And Musk has sort

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<v Speaker 1>of danced around. He's been sort of coy about his

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<v Speaker 1>willingness to sort of go there, and so I think

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of expectation amongst some of the crypto

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<v Speaker 1>world that he will try to go there. One way

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<v Speaker 1>of seeing that is is this rally in doge coin

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<v Speaker 1>when we say Raleigh and douge coin, where is doge trading?

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<v Speaker 1>Is trading at less than fifteen cents, So let's just um,

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<v Speaker 1>let's be clear temper that a little bit. Technically it's rallied.

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<v Speaker 1>But this meme coin that Elon Musk loves has sword,

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<v Speaker 1>and the feeling is that maybe he'll allow that to

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<v Speaker 1>be used for payments on Twitter, so that would gain

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<v Speaker 1>it some credibility and relevancy. People are basing their doge

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<v Speaker 1>enthusiasm on like an emoji, right, Like somebody asked you

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<v Speaker 1>lot of question, like my guy, what are you doing

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<v Speaker 1>about doge? And he was like eyes emoji and what

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<v Speaker 1>does that even mean? He tweeted a picture of a

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<v Speaker 1>shiba you know, with a Twitter t shirt on, so

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<v Speaker 1>you know, make of that what you will. But other

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<v Speaker 1>more serious developments by Nance, which is a huge exchange.

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<v Speaker 1>Crypto Exchange has invested five million in Elon Musk's Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>and said that it's developed a team to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>look at ways to use blockchain technology to help with

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<v Speaker 1>the issue of bots, which has been this issue. These

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<v Speaker 1>bots that flood accounts are you know, flood the network

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<v Speaker 1>scams and etcetera. And maybe blockchain technology or n f

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<v Speaker 1>t s could be used to sort of mitigate that somewhat. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>like Elon Musk isn't very interesting character, he's got a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of money, He's got a lot of thoughts. Crypto

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<v Speaker 1>you know it is hoping that some of those thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>may help to to boost the industry. From from an

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<v Speaker 1>idealistic standpoint, and then others who are more speculative think,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm gonna buy does now because it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to become the you know, the currency of Twitter. So

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see. Indeed, we'll be right back with more of

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<v Speaker 1>the week's top crypto stories with Bloomberg editors Beth Williams

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<v Speaker 1>and Dave Lipta, Let's talk about something that's trading at

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<v Speaker 1>a dollar, i e. The U. S. Dollar. One of

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<v Speaker 1>the I suppose counterintuitive things about crypto as a market

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<v Speaker 1>over the past several months has been how much it's

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<v Speaker 1>been a Fed story. And you know, there's no expectation. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure there's at least a few economists who somehow

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<v Speaker 1>miraculously think the FED is going to cut rates um,

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<v Speaker 1>but the broad reasonable expectation is that they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be in an you know, increasing interest rate environment for

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<v Speaker 1>the foreseeable future. Dave, what does that mean for bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>which had been sold as this inflation hedge and does

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<v Speaker 1>not seem to be performing in any way that suggests

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<v Speaker 1>that's true. Well, it's it's been evident for a while now.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's kind of stuck in the water to crash

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<v Speaker 1>in the spring early summer. It's trended around twenty thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is a market of expectations, and without expectations

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<v Speaker 1>that it's gonna rise or you can drive the excitement

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<v Speaker 1>about it, it has is basically stalled. And and and

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<v Speaker 1>then the main reason is the FED has readjusted expectations

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<v Speaker 1>for risk, so there's no longer free money in the

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<v Speaker 1>system or zero p sent money on it, and now

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<v Speaker 1>there's a cost of speculation on it. So people are

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<v Speaker 1>raining in that speculation in the absence of either the

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<v Speaker 1>Fed ceasing to raise interest rates or cutting interest rates,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're being some kind of gigantic hype cycle about

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<v Speaker 1>anything other than douge. What are some of the analysts

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<v Speaker 1>expectations that you've seen for like what's next for crypto?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, folks are looking into you know, you're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>more activity in some of the old coins. There's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of conversation right now around like what's next for defy.

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<v Speaker 1>Various countries, the latest being Zimbabwe are starting to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about well maybe we'll just get into our own digital currencies.

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<v Speaker 1>What are some of those kinds of trends. The biggest

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<v Speaker 1>trend you hear, really even from the maximalist in the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin world, is that the institutions have are still hanging

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<v Speaker 1>in there on it. They've poured a lot of money

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<v Speaker 1>into development, whether it's through VC money or some of

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<v Speaker 1>the more better known major banks through development that type

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<v Speaker 1>of thing, whether it's JP Morgan on its own coin,

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<v Speaker 1>Jamie diamond saying bitcoin is trash, but we see the

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<v Speaker 1>technologists potential payment reel. So that's the incentive for a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of folks to stay in and say, Okay, the

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<v Speaker 1>institutions are coming back, but it seems we're back at

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<v Speaker 1>the test mode period rather than an acceleration stage again

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<v Speaker 1>on it, and it's wait and see. Is is very

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<v Speaker 1>difficult when you're highly leveraged. Exactly. I was in a

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<v Speaker 1>meeting recently with you know, folks who work in and

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<v Speaker 1>around payments and processing, and one of the things that

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<v Speaker 1>they were saying ing is exactly your point one. They're

0:14:01.720 --> 0:14:04.839
<v Speaker 1>taking an experimental approach. They're gonna they're gonna see what's working.

0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:08.680
<v Speaker 1>But too they're starting to really separate things like you know,

0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 1>crypto as asset class investments, opportunity, speculative risk reward from

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:17.760
<v Speaker 1>possibilities for payments, whether stable coins or just like using

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the blockchain for you know, instantaneous settlements or whatever those

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:24.600
<v Speaker 1>things are. And it does seem like, you know, the

0:14:25.400 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>phrase of the week is like bitcoin is boring, But

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:30.240
<v Speaker 1>it does seem like right now people are starting to

0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 1>ask deeper questions around Okay, what else is there? Whether

0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 1>they find interesting answers to those questions, is I guess something.

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 1>We'll have to talk about the on the show, so

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 1>we'll see. But just as a a kind of a

0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 1>closing thought, in your previous life, you were an editor

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>on Opinion, and the opinion to you at Bloomberg has

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of feelings about many things to do with crypto.

0:14:51.960 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>What should folks be reading if they're interested in the

0:14:55.440 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 1>opinion side's view of what's happening in this asset class Well,

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>of course you can't mention Bloomberg Opinion without mentioning Matt Levine,

0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 1>who just published a covery cover issue of Business Week

0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 1>on crypto. But also for some very interesting insights that

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:14.040
<v Speaker 1>go beyond just you know, just your basic you know,

0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>crypto criticisms, but go a little deeper. Leonel Laurent Parmey Olson,

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>we have Aaron Brown who's an investor as well as

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 1>opinion writer. All have really nice of deep thoughts about

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 1>the industry, how it fits into the broader financial system,

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:34.240
<v Speaker 1>and and the questions to ask about it and potential

0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 1>solutions that it provides. Email us if you've already finished

0:15:37.680 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>the Matt Levin CRYPTOSU. I know there's a handful of

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>you that have not been doing any other work, and

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm just reading that cover to cover. We'd love to

0:15:44.480 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 1>get your feedback. Crypto Bloomberg dot net. You can find

0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 1>more of Beth and Dave's work on the Bloomberg Terminal,

0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg dot com and on Twitter. Beth is b

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Willie Lou That's b w I L l I l

0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 1>I O U M. Dave is d Lita. That's d

0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:05.040
<v Speaker 1>l I E d t k A. Beth also edits

0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Crypto newsletter that we publish on Tuesdays and Thursday,

0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 1>so do subscribe to that as well. On the next

0:16:19.880 --> 0:16:23.160
<v Speaker 1>episode of Bloomberg Crypto, it's no secret that an industry

0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.760
<v Speaker 1>that popularized the phrase when lambo might have a thing

0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>for fast cause. But can crypto companies really afford to

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>keep splashing out millions of dollars on Formula one sponsorships?

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Right now? This is Bloomberg Crypto, a daily podcast from

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg and I Heart Radio. For more shows from I

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 1>Heart Radio, visit the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,

0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 1>or wherever you get your podcasts. Send us your comments, questions,

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.600
<v Speaker 1>or suggestions for the show to Crypto at Bloomberg dot

0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 1>net or find us on Twitter. We're at Crypto. The

0:16:57.240 --> 0:17:00.840
<v Speaker 1>supervising producer of Bloomberg Crypto is Vicky Verka Lena. Our

0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:04.679
<v Speaker 1>senior producer is Janet Babin. Our producers are Mohammed Faruk

0:17:04.760 --> 0:17:08.159
<v Speaker 1>and Sharon Barriro. Our associate producers are Ty Butler and

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 1>Moses on Them. Desta wonder At is our engineer. Original

0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:17.359
<v Speaker 1>music by Leo Sidron. I'm Stacy, Marie Ishmael. Have a

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:17.959
<v Speaker 1>great weekend.